Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-21-21 | Islanders v. Lightning -180 | Top | 0-8 | Win | 100 | 31 h 34 m | Show |
I'm playing on TAMPA. The Isles deserve a lot of credit. They're very well-coached and they never stop fighting. That said, they're going to see the best of the world champions tonight. Indeed, the champs have been money, when off a loss, in the playoffs. In fact, they're 4-0 in these playoffs, when off a loss and a perfect 11-0 in that situation, since last year's playoffs. As Tampa forward Pat Maroon noted: "We don't focus on the series itself, we focus on the task at hand, the job at hand at that moment in time. The guys do a good job, adjustments are made and the players kind of buckle up when they need to and play the right way when we need to." Remember, the Isles struggled on the road all season while the Lightning dominated at home. Expect the champs to bounce back and seize control of the series. |
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06-18-21 | Golden Knights -158 v. Canadiens | 2-3 | Loss | -158 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VEGAS. Similar situation to last night's game. That series had seen the underdog Islanders salvage a split on the road. I backed the Lightning though, noting that I thought they were the superior team and the fact that they were on the road allowed us to get them at a far more reasonable price. I feel the same way about this one. The Knights' effort was disappointing for much of Game 2 but I expect them to be better tonight. Like the Lightning last night, I feel the Golden Knights are the stronger team. Once again, we get a far more reasonable price due to the venue. Yet, like the Lightning, the Knights know how to win on the road. In fact, no team has more road wins than the Knights this season. Last time they played away from Vegas, they won at Colorado. Look for them to seize control of the series and improve to 17-8 their last 25 in the revenge role. |
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06-17-21 | Lightning -133 v. Islanders | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TAMPA. The Lightning bounce back in Game 2. Series tied, I expect the champs to again be at their best. Note that Tampa is 3-0 the past couple of seasons, when a series has been tied. Off the 4-2 win, note that the Lightning are 19-9, when off a win of two or more goals. On the other hand, The Isles are a surprisingly poor 4-8 (-5.5) when off a loss of two or more goals. With the Lightning playing on the road, we're able to get them at a far more reasonable price than we would at home. Yet, this team has shown it can win on the road in the playoffs. I say they do exactly that tonight. |
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06-15-21 | Islanders v. Lightning -175 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 36 h 0 m | Show |
I'm playing on TAMPA. The Islanders continue to surprise many and they scored the upset in Game 1. Tonight, however, they're going to see the very best of the defending champs. Sunday's loss was just Tampa's four defeat in more than a month. After each of the previous three losses, the champs bounced right back. They won the next game by scores of 6-2, 4-0 and 6-4, a combined score of 16-6. The Lightning are also still a 8-4 their last 12, when hosting the Islanders. Tampa has been here before and there will be no panic. As Stamkos noted: "We dropped a few last year in the playoffs as well, including in the final. We’re fine in this position. It's not ideal. They did what we've done to teams so far and get one on the road for them, so we've got to respond with another game at home in front of our fans and then we'll take it from there." Expect them to dig deep and even the series. |
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06-10-21 | Avalanche +121 v. Golden Knights | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLORADO. Many are quick to write off the Avs. Indeed, Game 5 was a tough pill to swallow. That said, I'm not among those counting this team out. Nobody ever said the series was going to be easy but this team has the talent to respond. Now, with this game in Vegas and the Avs on the verge of elmination, we're able to get the Avs at a healthy underdog price, which I feel is providing us with excellent value. Consider that when the teams met here exactly one month ago (May 10th) it was the Avs who were laying -130. Colorado won that game by a 2-1 score, by the way. Trailing for the first time in the series, I expect the Avs to be at their best. They're 7-2 the past nine times that they were down in a series and I like their chances of improving on those stats tonight. This one's going the distance. |
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06-08-21 | Golden Knights v. Avalanche -138 | 3-2 | Loss | -138 | 15 h 51 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO. I never expected the Knights to go down easily. That said, I still believe that the Avs will have the edge tonight. Home ice has proven significant, as the home team has won all four meetings. Not surprising, given that the Avs are a dominant 25-6 here at home. They outscore visiting teams by a commanding 4.1 to 1.9 margin here. Dominant numbers. Even factoring in the Gamd 3 loss, the Avs are also an outstanding 15-4 their last 19, when facing an opponent which defeated them in the previous meeting. Expect them to bounce back and continue their excellence on home ice. |
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06-04-21 | Canadiens v. Jets -110 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 33 m | Show |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. Most of the talk is going to be about the Scheifele hit on Evans. Sure, that will have the Habs fired up. However, it could also cause them to take an unnecessary penalty or two, as they try to get some of their own revenge. The Jets are going to be fired up, too. They'd had a relatively long layoff before last game, having swept the Oilers, where as Montreal was coming off a 7-game series. Ultimately, that worked in Montreal's favor. The teams are playing on the same schedule now though and the extra rest Winnipeg had prior to this series, figures to now become an advantage. Prior to the Game 1 loss, the Jets had won six straight. They had also won three of the previous four against Montreal. Down a game, I say we see the very best of the Jets in this one, as they bounce back big and level the series. |
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05-31-21 | Canadiens v. Maple Leafs -198 | 3-1 | Loss | -198 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO. While anything can happen in a Game 7, I expect the Leafs to take this one. Playing at home, in front of some fans, with their season on the line, the Canadiens were great out of the gate last game. However, once they did get a lead, it was Toronto which dominated play. Though they did win in OT, the Habs were hanging on for dear life before even getting there. (I had an under 5.5 ticket, 0-0 going into the third and I felt like I was hanging on for dear life, too. The Leafs were all over them.) Back home, now with their own season on the line, I expect to see the the very best from the Leafs. Off their 3-2 win, note that the Canadiens are just 3-13 after allowing two goals or less in their previous game. Leafs dig deep and get it done. |
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05-27-21 | Hurricanes -135 v. Predators | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. The Canes have been the stronger team all season and I believe that they've been the better team in this series. I like that they finally caught a break and I expect them to carry the positive momentum into tonight's game. After the Canes finally won an OT game (they'd lost the preivous two in OT) their coach commented: "I think we got rewarded tonight. That's the way I look at it. We finally got a bounce, something that went our way that we really haven't had this series. So I think that was nice." Keep in mind that Carolina had a 37-25 edge in shots, after outshooting the Preds by a 61-43 margin the previous game. Carolina also had a commanding 66-40 edge in hits last game. Including that result, the Preds are just 9-20 their last 29 against teams with a winning record. I say their season ends tonight. |
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05-26-21 | Golden Knights -125 v. Wild | 0-3 | Loss | -125 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VEGAS. The Wild have been a thorn in the side of the Knights every since Vegas came into the league. So, its not surprising that they've provided the Knights with a test. That said, Vegas has been the much better team for most of the series and that was the case for the final 40 minutes of the last game, too. Minnesota hung on for dear life, Talbot standing on his head. Vegas had a 40-14 edge in shots. The Knights have a goalie also capable of "standing on his head," as Fleury is still at the top of his game. I expect him to be at his best. The Knights are 34-19 (+11.2) their last 50+ when off a loss by two or more goals. They're also 10-2 (+8.4) their last 12, after allowing four or more goals. I say they bounce back and seal the deal. |
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05-24-21 | Maple Leafs -155 v. Canadiens | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO. After losing a close one in the opener, the Leafs bounced back and hammered the Habs in Game 2. I backed them in that 5-1 win and I expect them to carry the positive momentum into this evening's game. The Canadiens are now 0-5 their last five, with one day's rest in between games. They're also 0-4 the past four times that they had scored two goals or less in their previous game. Meanwhile, Toronto is 6-1 its last seven against a team which scored two goals or less. The Leafs are also 20-6 the past 26 times that they allowed two goals or less in their previous game. As I mentioned in Game 2, " ... While Game 1 reminded everyone that the playoffs are entirely different beast, we can't ignore the fact that the Leafs were the best team in the division the entire season while the Canadiens had just the 18th most points in the league ... " Look for the favorite to move to 25-9 the last 34 in this rivalry. |
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05-23-21 | Oilers -127 v. Jets | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -127 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. Obviously, this isn't what the Oilers had hoped for. I'm not ready to write them off yet though. They've still got arguably the best player in the world playing for them and they're not about to go down without a fight. The reality is that this series could easily be tied or even 2-0 in favor of the Oilers. Its been that close. As Edmonton's Leon Draisait noted: "It's tight. It really could go either way. The bounces haven’t really been in our favour. That's the way it goes. That's playoff hockey. Eventually they're going to go our way." That said, I expect the Oilers to work harder than ever to "earn" those bounces. Coach Tippett commented: "You earn your breaks. We're not sitting here crying that we're not getting breaks. They’ve scored two goals off of deflections — one of them deflected off (Adam) Larsson. They’ve got those goals. We haven’t. We still have to work to get those goals. We're not sitting here thinking, 'Everything is all right. We’re just not getting breaks.' There are things we can do to help earn those breaks." The road team is now 5-0 the last five in this series. Oilers bounce back. |
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05-22-21 | Canadiens v. Maple Leafs -162 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 16 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO. The Canadiens drew first blood in this Original Six showdown, scoring a 2-1 upset victory. The Leafs lost more than the game. Losing Tavares is, of course, a blow. However, the Leafs have more than enough left to bounce back against their oldest rival. Toronto is still 8-3 the past 11 meetings here. Overall, the favorite has won 23 of the past 32. The Habs are 1-6 after allowing two goals or less in their previous game. They're also 0-4 their last four, when playing with one day's rest in between games. While Game 1 reminded everyone that the playoffs are entirely different beast, we can't ignore the fact that the Leafs were the best team in the division the entire season while the Canadiens had just the 18th most points in the league. I say Toronto bounces back. |
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05-21-21 | Jets v. Oilers -156 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -156 | 33 h 17 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. Off a loss in the opener, we're going to see the best from the Oilers in Game 2. Even with that loss, the Oilers are still 6-1 their last seven against the Jets. The Oilers won those previous six games by a dominating 21-8 margin. As for the Jets, they're just 1-6 the last seven times that they played with one day's rest in between games. Keep in mind that the Oilers had a 33-20 edge in shots in Game 1. So, they didn't play as poorly as the score makes it sound. Captain McDavid commented: "I actually didn't mind our game. I thought we did a lot of good things. I thought we had the puck a lot of the night, played in their zone, put a lot of pucks there. Just didn't find a way to get one. That's the way it goes. They get a tip (Dominic Toninato's tiebreaking third-period goal), we don't. That's playoff hockey." Also, note that the favorite has won five of the past seven meetings. The Oilers were the better team down the stretch and they haven't dropped three straight for many weeks. After getting held pointless in the opener, look for McDavid to lead his team to victory in this one. |
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05-18-21 | Wild v. Golden Knights -160 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VEGAS. The Knights have had trouble against the Wild over the years. So, it wasn't surprising that Minnesota gave them all that they can handle in Game 1. That said, the Knights still played well and it took a heroic effort from Cam Talbot for the Wild to score the upset. Down a game, we're going to see the best of the Knights in Game 2. This is a very strong Vegas team, one which has consistently responded to poor offensive efforts. Considering that they're a perfect 6-0 the past six times that they scored two goals or less in their previous game, I'm expecting them to solve Talbot in this one. Remember, the Knights had a +67 goal differential this season, best in the entire NHL. Expect them to bounce back. |
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05-18-21 | Islanders v. Penguins -132 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. Down a game, we'll get the best of Crosby and co. tonight. The Pens are a dominant 17-4 (+12.2) their last 21 in the revenge role, 5-1 their last six when attempting to avenge a home loss. Though it didn't mean much in Game 1, home ice has been extremely significant for both teams during the regular season. The Isles were a dominant 21-7 at home but just 11-17 on the road. Likewise, the Pens were a mediocre 15-13 on the road but a dominant 22-6 here at home. The Isles obviously want more but they've already accomplished their mission by earning at least a split in these games. That's all they're going to get, too. Pens bounce back and even the series. |
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05-17-21 | Predators v. Hurricanes -178 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 26 h 43 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. Home ice hasn't meant a great deal in these playoffs yet. However, it tends to be significant when these teams play each other and I expect that to be the case on Monday night. The Canes recently lost a pair of games at Nashville (3-1 on 5/8 and 5-0 on 5/10) and they're 8-11 their last 19 there. However, they're 4-0 the last four meetings here at Carolina, 7-1 the past eight and 10-2 the past 12. This season, the Canes were a dominant 20-8 (20-3-5) on home ice; the Preds were 13-15 on the road. Despite winning their division, the Canes are flying under the radar, a little. They very nearly led the league in points and they had fewer regulation losses than any team in hockey. Expect them to draw first blood, moving to a perfect 5-0 the past five times that they faced an opponent which scored five or more goals in its previous game. |
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05-11-21 | Canucks v. Jets -173 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. After having lost to these same Canucks last night, the Jets will be all business here. The last thing they want to do is be on a losing streak before they start the playoffs. The Canucks will still play some meaningless games after this - so, this isn't their final kick at the can. While the Jets are a modest 4-3 when playing the second of b2b games, the Canucks are an ugly 1-7 in that situation. Due to having missed all the time from Covid, the Canucks have been playing a lot of games. This will be their 13th game since 4/20. During that span, the Jets have played 10. Expect all those minutes to catch up to the Canucks in the b2b spot, the Jets closing out their season with a "W." |
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05-11-21 | Bruins v. Capitals -110 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. This is essentially a meaningless game as these teams are locked into a first round matchup against each other. Still, the situation favors the Capitals. Boston is off a hard-fought OT win last night and there's little reason to go hard again tonight. Note that the Bruins are just 3-6 (-8) when playing the second of b2b games. Going back further finds them at a money-buring 17-19 (-13.2) in that situation. The Caps, on the other hand, are well-rested. They had the past couple of nights off. With Boston having pounded them the last meeting (after Washington did the same to Boston the previous game) expect the Caps to take this one, moving to 15-8 (+6.9) in the 'revenge' role. |
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05-10-21 | Canucks v. Jets -169 | 3-1 | Loss | -169 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. While the Jets are looking to build momentum for the playoffs, the Canucks are playing out the string. Due to all their games missed from Covid, even when other teams, like the Jets, are playing meaningful games, they'll still be playing meaningless ones. I expect that reality to start setting in and for them to have trouble matching the Jets' intensity tonight. The Jets are 20-12 their last 32 against losing teams and they'll be hungry to bounce back, after a loss to the Sens. They've dominated the Canucks the past few meetings, winning by a combined score of 14-3. All signs point to another Jets win this evening. |
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05-10-21 | Stars -130 v. Blackhawks | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DALLAS. These teams are strictly playing for pride. Dallas had higher expectations this season and had just saw its postseason chances officially killed over the weekend. So, its not that surprising that the Stars were a little flat yesterday. They still have a talent edge in this matchup though and yesterday's loss will provide some added motivation today. The Hawks are dealing with a ton of injuries and all those absences will be felt tonight, when playing their second game in two days. The last time Chicago played the second of b2b games, it allowed six goals. Stars bounce back. |
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05-09-21 | Senators v. Flames -190 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
I'm playing on CALGARY. The Senators have really been a thorn in the side of the Flames this season. Me too, lately. This evening, however, Calgary gets a final chance for some payback. Schedule and venue in their favor, I fully expect the Flames to make the most of that chance. While the Flames are well-rested, the Sens are off a game at Winnipeg last night. They're 0-9 when playing the second of b2b games, 8-30 (-16.4) their last 38 in that situation. I actually played against Calgary in its last game, a 4-0 loss. The Flames are 11-5 their last 16, after allowing four or more goals though. Going back further finds them at a profitable 45-24 (+17.2) in that situation. Calgary rolls. |
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05-08-21 | Red Wings v. Blue Jackets -135 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. The Wings took yesterday's game. Playing with immediate revenge and playing their home finale, I expect the Jackets to respond. Keep in mind that Detroit is just 3-9 its past 12, after scoring four or more. Going back further finds the Wings at 9-25 their last 34, when playing the second of b2b games. In a game like this, with nothing except pride at stake, usually, the team which wants it more is the team which finishes on top. The Jackets have certainly been the bigger underachievers. Tonight, however, look for them to be the team which wants it more. Jackets "dig deep" and get the "W." |
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05-08-21 | Devils v. Islanders -222 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
I'm playing on the NY ISLANDERS. The Devils are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Isles are playing their reg. season finale and they're off three straight losses, the most recent coming against these same Devils. They are NOT going to want to lose again. Keep in mind that the Isles are a dominant 20-7 here on the season. While the Devils are 9-21 their last 30 against winning teams, the Isles are 15-6 their last 21 againt losing teams. Expect them to be all business in this one. |
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05-08-21 | Senators v. Jets -170 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -170 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. I lost with the Jets when these teams met recently, at Ottawa. The Jets thoroughly outplayed the Sens but couldn't beat a hot goalie. Winnipeg, however, would follow up that disappointing loss by thumping Calgary in its last game. The losing streak in the rearview mirror and with a chance to get some payback against the pesky Sens, I fully expect another victory this evening. Both teams play with two day's rest in between games. However, while the Sens are 11-25 (-9.2) their last 36, when playing with two day's rest, the Jets are 19-11 (+5.8) when doing so, during the same stretch. The Sens have been dismal on the road and give up more than four (4.1) goals per game away from Ottawa. The Jets are a lucrative 47-39 (+10.9) in the revenge role the past few seaons, 13-8 (+6.7) their last 21. Payback time. |
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05-05-21 | Kings v. Coyotes -130 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -130 | 26 h 41 m | Show |
I'm playing on ARIZONA. The Kings won 3-2 here a couple of nights ago. Tonight, I expect the revenge-minded Coyotes to return the favor. While Monday's loss effectively killed any remaining hope the Coyotes had of making the playoffs, they still have plenty to play for. For starters, they're still mathematically alive, as they're within five points of the Blues with three games remaining. While catching them isn't realistic, they'll give everything they've got tonight. Added motivation stems from the fact that this is their home finale. It may not be a normal season but they still want to close things out at home with a "W." With the Kings just 12-25 (-9.9) their last 37, when playing their previous three on the road, look for the Coyotes to take this one. |
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05-05-21 | Jets +109 v. Flames | 4-0 | Win | 109 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The Jets cost me last game. However, it certainly wasn't from lack of effort. Really, they played quite well. They just ran into a very hot goalie, which will happen in hockey sometimes. That said, a similar effort will generally lead to a victory. They're going to be extremely motivated to snap their skid tonight, as they can't afford to keep losing right before the playoffs. While the Flames are 10-17 (-7.2) their last 27 against teams with a winning record, the Jets are 19-11 (+6) their last 30 against teams with a losing record. The Jets, who got Lowry back last game, are also 27-19 (+8) their last 46, after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. Expect them to bounce back and score the minor upset this evening. |
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05-03-21 | Jets -152 v. Senators | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -152 | 28 h 31 m | Show |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. On the surface, this might appear like two teams heading in opposite directions. The Senators, to their credit, have continued to fight hard, despite the fact that they won't be going to the playoffs. In fact, they're 5-2 their last seven games and they picked up a point in one of those two losses. The Jets, on the other hand, have gone through the motions recently and they're 0-6 their last six games. Yes, they're already locked into a spot but I expect the Jets to play with a sense or urgency tonight. They absolutely can't afford to enter the playoffs like this and this is a perfect chance to pick up a win. Sure, the Sens have won two of three. However, those two wins came against a Vancouver team which was also essentially playing out the string and which had recently dealt with the NHL's worst bout of Covid. In their last game against Montreal, the Sens were catching an exhausted Montreal team. Yet, as that game got into the third period, the Habs dominated. Indeed, the Sens are still a bad team and when a superior opponent plays with its top intensity, the Sens are unable to match them. Thats what I expect to be the case tonight. Winnipeg hopes to have Lowry back in the lineup tonight, after he's missed the past four games. He'd be a huge boost but with or without him, Winnipeg is coming to play. The Jets have won four of their last five visits here and they're 8-2 the last 10 meetings in the series overall. The Jets, who have been better on the road than at home this season, are also 3-0 the past three times that they played with two day's rest in between games and 19-10 (+7.5) against teams with a losing record. They stop the bleeding tonight. |
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04-29-21 | Blues v. Wild -144 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -144 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. After blowing a lead and losing last night to these same Blues, the Wild are going to be in an angry mood tonight. I expect them to get some immediate revenge. While both teams are obviously playing their second game in two days, the Blues are also playing their third game in the past four. That's not the case for the Wild. Prior to last night, they had three days off. So, fatigue may not be quite as much a factor for them. Also, keep in mind that the Wild are an excellent 6-2 (+3.8) when playing the second of b2b games. The Blues are just 4-5 when doing so. With the Wild also 5-1 the last six times that they attempted to avenge a home loss, I see them bouncing right back and improving on those stats this evening. |
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04-27-21 | Red Wings v. Blue Jackets -136 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. The Blue Jackets have had a very tough stretch of games. Not only were their last six on the road but they came against Tampa, Florida and Dallas. Prior to that, they'd had two competitive games against Chicago but those were preceded by more games against the Lightning and Panthers. Needless to say, they were outmatched in those games. Tonight, however, they take a big step down in class to host the Red Wings. I believe that they still match up well against this team and I expect them to be very hungry to snap their skid. Note that the Jackets score 3.0 goals per game at home while the Wings score just 2.2 gpg on the road. The home team has won the past four meetings; the Jackets won 4-1 the last time that the teams played here. Jackets stop the bleeding. |
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04-26-21 | Oilers v. Jets -106 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -106 | 31 h 59 m | Show |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. I really like how this one sets up for the home team. Off a 4-1 loss to the Leafs on Saturday, the Jets have dropped three straight. They're going to be extremely hungry. Added motivation comes from the fact that the Oilers have beaten them in four straight meetings. Note that the Jets are 7-2 (+6.6) the past nine times that they'd dropped their previous three games. During that span, they're also 27-16 (+11.2) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. They're also 13-6 (+8.8) their last 19 in the 'revenge' role. The Oilers haven't played since 4/21. Note that they're just 3-11 (-9.4) the past 14 times that they played with three or more day's rest in between games. It all adds up to a win for Winnipeg. |
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04-23-21 | Canadiens v. Flames -108 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
I'm playing on CALGARY. This is the first of three straight meetings between these teams. They'll play tomorrow and again on Monday. They just split a pair of games last week, too. Off b2b losses and looking up at the Canadiens in the standings, I expect to see a very determined Calgary team tonight. Indeed, this is desperation time for the Flames. They need to sweep this series to keep their faint playoff chances alive. While the sweep is obviously a tall order, I do expect the very best from the Flames tonight. Calgary's Chris Tanev commented: "I think for most guys, everyone's tuned in to what's going on and exactly what needs to happen." The Canadiens, who are off a 4-3 win, are just 30-42 (-17.9) the past few seasons, after scoring four or more goals. The Flames, who are off a 4-2 loss, are 44-23 (+17.4) during the same span, after allowing four or more goals. Expect them to improve on those stats this evening. |
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04-22-21 | Maple Leafs -128 v. Jets | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO. After dropping both games at Vancouver, the Leafs have now lost five straight. Enough's enough. The losing stops this evening. A trip to Winnipeg figures to be just what the doctor ordered. The Leafs have won their last five games here, outscoring the Jets by a combined score of 22-9 in those games. The Jets did beat the Leafs in the most recent meeting, which was at Toronto. That's noteworthy as the Leafs are 9-1 the past 10 times that they attempted to avenge an earlier home loss. While the Jets are well-rested, having last playe on 4/17, they're just 5-10 the past 15 times that they played with three or more day's rest in between games, 1-3 their last four. Expect the highly motivated Leafs to continue their success here. |
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04-21-21 | Canadiens v. Oilers -132 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -132 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. These teams just played a couple of nights ago. Edmonton won 4-1. Montreal led that game 1-0 midway through the third period though and had previously dominated the Oilers. I like the way that Edmonton rallied late and "got the monkey off their back" by beating the pesky Habs. I feel thats the type of victory that will build positive momentum. Edmonton's Ethan Bear had this to say on McDavid's third period goal: "We held the line, didn't let them get in. We came back as five,. There was a turnover, and Connor just does his thing. That's what makes us dangerous." The fact is that the Oilers have been much better than the Habs, who are without Price, on the season. Edmonton scores more goals and allows less. The line could easily be higher and it should be. Oilers win, again. |
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04-19-21 | Senators v. Flames -205 | 4-2 | Loss | -205 | 24 h 6 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. The Sens have actually beaten the Flames the past few meetings. There is no way that Calgary can afford to let it happen again. Two of those three wins were at Ottawa. The Sens are worse on the road and the Flames are better at home. Calgary has still won three of the past four meetings here and 11 of the past 14. The Sens, who are off a 4-0 upset win, are 0-6 the past six times that they were off a win by two or more goals, an ugly 8-32 their last 40 in that situation. Meanwhile, the Flames are 3-0 when playing with two day's rest in between games. Calgary gets some payback and a much-needed two points. |
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04-19-21 | Blackhawks v. Predators -136 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 23 h 5 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. Off b2b losses against a tough Carolina team, the Preds will be happy to step down in class to take on Chicago. Indeed, they've dominated the Black Hawks. They're a perfect 5-0 this season and 6-1 the last seven meetings, here at Nashville. Beating teams like Chicago and losing against teams like Carolina has been the norm for Nashville this season. While they've consistently struggled against winning teams, they've consistently beaten losing teams. In fact, they're 19-4 against teams with a losing record. I feel that the price could easily be higher and I expect them to improve on those stats this evening. |
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04-15-21 | Islanders v. Bruins -118 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
I'm playing on BOSTON. The Islanders have had their number so far this season, as the Bruins are just 0-3-2 (0-5 vs. the ml) in five meetings. Only one of those came here at Boston though and that one went to OT. That's noteworthy as the Islanders are much better at home than they are on the road. Indeed, they're 18-2-2 (18-4) at home but 9-9-2 (9-11) on the road. In fact, they only average 2.2 goals per road game, while giving up 2.5. The Bruins, meanwhile, outscored teams by an average of 2.9 to 2.7, here at Boston. Enough's enough, the Bruins need to beat this team. Venue in their favor and Rask back between the pipes, I expect them to do so tonight. |
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04-14-21 | Ducks v. Sharks -173 | 4-1 | Loss | -173 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SJ. The Ducks blanked the Sharks 4-0 on Monday. Don't expect it to happen again. While the Sharks are 7-3 after scoring one goal or less in their previous game, the Ducks are 0-3, after shutting out their opponent. They're 2-6 their last eight in that situation. The Sharks have been far more competitive overall than the Ducks this season. Importantly, they're much healthier than Anaheim at the moment, as the Ducks are dealing with numerous injuries. Anaheim's goalie Anthony Stolarz "stood on his head" on Monday, as he made 46 saves in earning the shutout. (SJ had a 46-21 edge in shots.) Gibson is expected to be between the pipes tonight though and they won't be able to count on a similar performance. Payback time. |
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04-14-21 | Jets -165 v. Senators | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 29 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The Sens beat the Jets 4-2 on Monday. Don't expect it to happen again. Ottawa is 0-5 off a win by two or more goals. Going back further finds the Sens at a dismal 8-31 their last 39 in that situation. The Jets, meanwhile, are 6-2 (+4.6) off a loss of two or more goals. They're also 8-3 (+6.2) after allowing four or more in their previous game. Additionally, they're 11-4 (+8.3) in the revenge role. Note that the Sens are an ugly 18-45 (-20.4) during that span, after scoring four or more. The Jets can't afford another loss to the Sens. Not with the Leafs waiting for them tomorrow. Expect them to bounce back and get some payback. |
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04-10-21 | Blackhawks v. Blue Jackets +100 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 20 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. The Jackets aren't getting much respect these days. However, they're taking a significant step down in class here. I believe that they match up well against the Hawks and I'm expecting their best effort. Keep in mind that four of Columbus' last six games came against Tampa, the defending Stanley Cup champion. The Lightning are 27-11-1. The other two games came against Florida, a team with a 26-11-2 record. At 18-18-3 (18-21 vs. the ml) Chicago is far less formidable. The Hawks have dropped five straight on the road, losing by a combined score of 21-8. They've managed just one goal their last two road games. The Jackets arguably played better than the final 6-4 score indicated last time out. Coach Tortorella noted: "We developed a ton of offense. I liked our puck plays. We developed a lot of offense. I like what I saw in a lot of our guys as far as the effort. I watched our guys continue to try and concentrate on our team concept." While the Jackets' playoff hopes are slipping away, they're not completely gone yet. This is essentially a must win game if they want to keep it that way though. Expect them to respond with their best effort en route to a much needed victory. |
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04-09-21 | Coyotes v. Golden Knights -220 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VEGAS. The Coyotes are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. After beating the Blues 6-1 on 4/5, the Knights turned around and lost 3-1 to those same Blues on 4/7. Off that loss, their fourth setback in five games, the Knights will be all business tonight. They're a profitable 32-19 (+9.2) the past 51 times that they were off a loss of two or more goals. When counting OT losses as losses, as they are when betting on the moneyline, the Coyotes are 19-21 on the season. The Knights, on the other hand, are 25-13 (+7.8). Thats noteworthy as the Coyotes are 9-15 against teams with a winning record while the Knights are 15-5 agianst sub-500 teams. Vegas scores more and allows less. At home and motivated, this should be a mismatch. |
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04-05-21 | Coyotes v. Kings -124 | 5-2 | Loss | -124 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LA. The Kings have struggled lately and they've cost me a couple of times. This is a great spot for them to bounce back with a much-needed win though. While LA had yesterday off, the Coyotes are off an OT win against the Ducks. They're 12-17 their last 29 when playing the second of b2b games. The Kings know that they'll host these same Coyotes again Wednesday and they also now that they won't enjoy the same scheduling advantage for that one. Look for them to go all out to take advantage of tonight's favorable setup, dropping the Coyotes to 2-6 after playing their previous three on the road. |
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04-05-21 | Senators v. Jets -199 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. Sens are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off b2b losses, the Jets will be in an angry mood. They're 26-15 (+11.2) the past 2+ seasons, after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. The Jets also haven't forgotten that Ottawa actually beat them in the last meeting here. That game notwithstanding, the Sens are terrible on the road. They give up a whopping 4.6 goals per game, when playing away from home, while scoring just 2.5. The Jets are 6-1 (+5.2) their last seven, when attempting to avenge an earlier loss. Payback time. |
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04-04-21 | Stars v. Hurricanes -162 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. The Stars took yesterday's game. With a chance for immediate revenge, the Canes should bounce right back this evening. While Carolina is a modest 3-2 when playing the second of b2b games, Dallas is an ugly 1-5 when doing so. Going back further finds that Dallas is 14-19 (-5.6) in b2b games while Carolina is an excellent 24-12 (+10.4). The Stars, who are playing the fourth game of a 6-game road trip, are 0-4 when playing their previous three on the road. Yesterday notwithstanding, the Canes have been outstanding at home. They outscore teams by an average of 3.6 to 2.3 here. Expect them to bounce back and move to 11-4 their last 15, when playing with 'revenge.' |
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04-03-21 | Sharks v. Kings -117 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -117 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA. The Sharks won last night but I expect the Kings to bounce back this evening. Its tough to go on the road and beat a team two nights in a row. The Kings are going to be extremely motivated to avoid another loss. I expect their very best effort. While the Kings are a modest 2-2 (+1) in b2b spots, the Sharks are a poor 1-4 (-3.2). Going back further finds SJ at just 11-19 (-9.9) its last 30, when playing the second of b2b games. The Kings are +5.5 net units vs. the moneyline, during the same span. LA still outscores teams 2.9 to 2.7 here while SJ still gets outscored 3.3 to 2.9 on the road. Look for the Kings to bounce back and move to 6-4 their last 10 in the revenge role. |
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04-03-21 | Penguins v. Bruins -112 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 2 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON. Everyone is really down on the Bruins right now. Its true that they haven't played as well of late as they were at the beginning of the season. That said, that sentiment and their recent sub-par results are working in our favor to provide us with excellent line value here. We get them in a immediate revenge spot, desperate for a victory, at a pick'em price. While many have written them off, I still respect the Bruins. They're 22-11 (+6.9) their last 33, after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. Expect them to bounce back and improve on those stats this afternoon. |
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04-02-21 | Sharks v. Kings -120 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA. These teams recently played a pair of games, at San Jose. The Sharks won both. Playing at home, I expect the Kings to exact some revenge. While their road numbers aren't that good, the Kings quietly outscore teams by an average score of 3.1 to 2.6 in games played here. On the other hand, the Sharks are outscored by a 3.5 to 2.8 average score on the road. Both teams won their last game, each by identical 4-2 scores. While the Kings are a modest 5-4 (+3.4) after a win by two or more goals, the Sharks are just 1-4 (-3.1) in that situation. They're 4-9 after scoring four or more goals. The Kings won 6-2 the last time that the teams played here. Expect them to finish on top, once again. |
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04-01-21 | Penguins v. Bruins -129 | 4-1 | Loss | -129 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON. I really liked what I saw from the Bruins last game. Down and out, they rallied late to force overtime. Once they got there, the Bruins had to kill off a penalty, which is often tough in OT. Yet, they perservered and won in the shootout. That's the type of a win that a team can absolutely build positive momentum from - especially a good team like Boston which had previously struggled in OT and which had previously struggled against the Devils. Momentum on their side from the big comeback, I expect the Bruins to come out flying tonight. Home ice tends to be important when these teams meet and the Bruins have absolutely owned the Pens here at Boston. Expect them to continue their home ice dominance against the Pens tonight. |
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03-31-21 | Maple Leafs -130 v. Jets | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO. The Jets are playing their first game back home off a 7-game road trip. While the trip was successful and was closed out with a 5-1 win, the first game back home from a long trip can often be tough. Its a lot tougher when the best team in the division is motivated and waiting for them. Note that the Jets are just 7-10 (-3.3) after scoring five or more goals. Speaking of "five goals," the Leafs haven't forgotten that the Jets dropped five on them in the last meeting, a 5-2 Winnipeg win at Toronto on 3/13. The Leafs are 12-2 (+8.6) their last 14, when attempting to avenge an earlier loss. That includes an 8-1 record when attempting to avenge a home loss. Payback time. |
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03-30-21 | Red Wings v. Panthers -215 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. The Red Wings have won back-to-back games but they're outclassed in this one. Detroit still has an ugly -36 goal differential on the season, worst in the division. The Panthers, on the other hand, are +17 in that department. While they've remained competitive at home, the Red Wings are brutal on the road. They're 3-13 on the road this season, an awful 8-43 their last 51. Give the Panthers a day between games and they're tough to beat. They're 7-2 the last nine, when playing with one day's worth of rest in between games. They're also 10-2 the last 12 meetings in the series. One of those losses came the last time the teams met and the Panthers will be certain to make sure it doesn't happen again. Florida rolls. |
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03-30-21 | Devils v. Bruins -178 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON. The Bruins remain banged-up. However, they've still got more than enough left to avenge Sunday's 1-0 loss to these same Devils. Keep in mind that the Bruins had 40 shots in Sunday's game. That's not usually going to result in zero goals. In fact, in a way, it didn't. In the final 70 seconds of the game, the Bruins had a goal waved off and another no-goal call upheld. As Boston coach Bruce Cassidy commented: "Not a lot of puck luck for us." Needless to say, the Bruins are going to be itching for some payback. The Bruins don't score that many goals at the best of times, as they average just 2.7 goals per game. However, thats still considerably better than the Devils, as they average just 2.4 goals per game. On the defensive side of the puck, the Bruins' advantage is bigger. Boston allows a mere 2.4 goals per game. NJ, on the other hand, concedes 3.1 gpg. Boston allows 26.5 shots per game at home. NJ allows 34.6 spg on the road. Payback time. |
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03-28-21 | Blue Jackets -150 v. Red Wings | 1-4 | Loss | -150 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. These teams played yesterday and Detroit won 3-1. The Wings are NOT a good team though and Columbus can't afford to lose to them again. They won't. In addition to playing the second of b2b games, the Wings are playing their fourth game in the past six days. (That's not the case for the Jackets, as they had 3/23 off, while Detroit was playing.) That's noteworthy as the Wings are an ugly 3-14 the past 17 times that they played the fourth game of a four-games-in-six-days situation. The favorite is still a healthy 39-14 the last 53 meetings. Jackets bounce back. |
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03-28-21 | Rangers v. Capitals -132 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. The Rangers beat the Capitals on 3/20. Washington hasn't lost since. This afternoon, the Caps have both the venue and the schedule working in their favor. While the Rangers are off a hard-fought 2-1 loss to the Flyers yesterday, the Caps had the day off. The Caps are a perfect 5-0 the past five times that they played with one day's rest in between games, too. The favorite is 37-16 the past 53 times that these rivals met. Payback time. |
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03-27-21 | Jets v. Flames -112 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. The Jets jumped all over them last night and the Flames couldn't claw their way back. We're going to see a desperate Calgary team tonight though. The season is slipping away and the Flames can't afford another loss. Sure, the Jets have won three straight. However, they're also a money-burning 7-15 (-11.8) the last 22 times that they had won their previous three. Enough's enough. The Flames are still outscoring teams by a 3.2 to 2.9 margin here at home. The price is very fair and they'll bounce back tonight. |
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03-26-21 | Jets v. Flames -120 | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. Off three straight losses, the Flames arguably need this game more than the Jets. I expect them to be an extremely hungry team. Keep in mind that Calgary is already 2-0 this season, after dropping its previous three games. In fact, the Flames didn't even allow a goal in either of the previous two instances, winning by scores of 2-0 and 3-0. Wednesday's 3-1 loss to Ottawa definitely hurt. However, the Flames are back home now and they're 7-2 (+5) off a loss by two or more goals. The Jets are off a 5-1 win over Vancouver, after beating the same Canucks by a score of 4-0 in their previous game. However, the Canucks were very banged-up and are already essentially now playing out the string. The Jets are still just 6-10 after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. As for the Flames, they're a dominant 12-2 the past 14 times that they faced a team which scored five or more, in its previous game. Calgary bounces back. |
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03-25-21 | Rangers v. Flyers -105 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 53 m | Show |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. To say that the Flyers have had this one circled would be an understatement. In case you missed it, the Rangers handed them a 9-0 beating a week ago. Thats not a misprint. The score was actually 9-0. Those aren't the type of losses a team just forgets about. Its highly important that the Flyers "make things right" and avenge that loss tonight. Sure, the Rangers scored five goals last time out. However, that was against the Sabres, the worst team in hockey. Also, the last time that they scored five or more goals (the 9-0 game vs. Philly) the Rangers followed it up by scoring just one goal in their next game. In fact, including that 2-1 loss, the Rangers are just 1-6 the past seven times that they scored five or more goals in their previous game. Philadelphia captain Claude Giroux had this to say: "We have a lot of confidence in our group. I still think we're going to make the playoffs. We need to be a little more consistent in our game, and it starts with me ... " Look for the captain to lead by example, the Flyers bouncing back and avenging last week's embarrassment. |
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03-24-21 | Flames -170 v. Senators | 1-3 | Loss | -170 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. The Flames simply can't afford to lose two in a row to the Senators. This is an Ottawa team which gives up 3.9 goals per game (Calgary gives up three) and which has essentially been out of the playoff race since Day 1. It should be noted that Calgary outshot the Sens by a 36-23 margin on Monday; the Ottawa goalie (Gustavsson) essentially stole one. The Flames are a respectable 10-7 (+2.2) in the revenge role and a similar effort here should result in a win. They started this 4-game road trip off with a victory at Toronto but have since proceeded to drop the next two. Expect them to play with a sense of urgency in this one, as they dig deep and close the trip with an important "W." |
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03-23-21 | Devils v. Flyers -157 | 4-3 | Loss | -157 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. The Devils are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Flyers are the stronger of these two clubs and they're going to be in an angry mood tonight. They could easily be a bigger favorite than they are. However, we're getting them at a more reasonable price, due to the fact that they played yesterday. That's not a bad thing for this team though. In fact, its been a positive. The Flyers are 4-1 in five tries, when playing the second of b2b games. They're also 5-1 (+4.2) after scoring one goal or less, in their previous game. The Flyers already beat the Devils in both previous meetings, 5-3 and 3-1, back in January. Look for them to bounce back and take care of business again tonight, improving to 10-4 when facing a team with a losing record. |
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03-22-21 | Kings v. Sharks -123 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SJ. This one sets up nicely for the Sharks. The Kings are off an upset win over Vegas yesterday. Now, in addition to playing the second of b2b games, they're playing their third game in four days. The last time (2/27) that they played a road game, after having played the previous day, the Kings lost. Off four staight losses, the Sharks are going to be playing with a sense of urgency. They know they'll host these same Kings again in two days but that tonight, with LA playing the second of b2b games, is the night they need to go all out. Expect them to stop the bleeding, moving to 6-4 in 10 games against teams with a losing record. |
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03-21-21 | Predators v. Stars -170 | 4-3 | Loss | -170 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DALLAS. Both teams are off games yesterday. The Stars shutout the Wings while the Preds were blanked by the Panthers. To be fair, Nashville was playing a tougher opponent. That said, I like what I saw from the Stars a lot more. The Stars always seem to score multiple goals per game and they've got 29 goals over their last nine games. The Preds have just 22 over their last nine games, only two their last two. The Preds earned a shootout win here two weeks ago. However, the Stars had a big edge in shots in that game and they also had handled the Preds in both previous meetings. They're better on the powerplay and better at killing penalties. Expect a Dallas victory. |
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03-20-21 | Canucks v. Canadiens -175 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MONTREAL. The Canucks earned an important win here last night. Don't expect it to happen again. The Canucks are 1-4 when playing the second of b2b games and 1-5 when having played their previous three on the road. This has already been a highly successful road trip, regardless of what happens tonight, and they may already be looking forward to getting home. The Habs, on the other hand, are going to be fully focused, having dropped two in a row and four of five. They know that they can't afford to get "swept" in this 2-game series. They won't. |
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03-20-21 | Stars -186 v. Red Wings | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DALLAS. The Wings upset the Stars a couple of nights ago. Don't expect it to happen again. The last time that the Wings had won two in a row, they proceeded to get hammered 7-2 in their next game. Even factoring in Thursday's result, the Wings still get outscored by an average of 3.3 to 2.3 this season. The Stars, on the other hand, have outscored teams by a 3.0 to 2.8 average margin. If the Stars want any hope of digging out of their hole, they can't afford to drop both these games to the lowly Wings. Expect them to bounce back with a big effort en route to an important win. |
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03-20-21 | Flames v. Maple Leafs -153 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO. The Flames beat the Leafs last night, handing them their third straight loss. Don't expect it to happen again. The Leafs are 7-3 (+4.1) their last 10, when off three or more consec. losses. During that span, they're an excellent 50-31 in the revenge role. That includes a 10-2 (+6.6) mark their last 12, when attempting to avenge an earlier loss, a 7-1 record when attempting to avenge a home loss. With the Flames just 1-6 their last seven, after scoring four or more goals in their previous game, expect the revenge-minded Leafs to deliver some payback. |
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03-19-21 | Flames v. Maple Leafs -156 | 4-3 | Loss | -156 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO. The Flames are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off b2b games against their provincial rival, the Flames aren't going to be ready for a rested and angry Toronto team. The Leafs, 9-3 (+4.8) the last dozen times that they played with three or more day's rest in between games, are off b2b losses and have now dropped five of six. Clearly, the mini break (haven't played since 3/14) came at exactly the right time. The Flames are 6-10 on the road and just 5-10 (-5.5) against teams with winning records. While Calgary is outscored by an average of 3.2 to 2.3 on the road, Toronto outscores teams by a 3.4 to 2.7 margin here at home. Leafs roll. |
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03-18-21 | Stars -183 v. Red Wings | 2-3 | Loss | -183 | 22 h 28 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DALLAS. The Stars dug themselves an early hole and are now trying to dig out. They've been playing better hockey of late and now step down in class. They need to take advantage of a game against a relatively weak Detroit team. While the Wings are off a 4-2 win, they're still an ugly 9-21 on the season, getting outscored by a 3.3 to 2.3 average score. They're -31 goal differential is the worst in the division and among the worst in the league. (Dallas is +4.) Also, note that the Wings are just 1-5 after a win by two or more goals. These teams met twice back in January and they'll face each other again Saturday. The Stars won both meetings, a combined score of 9-4. I expect more of the same tonight. |
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03-15-21 | Canucks -170 v. Senators | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VANCOUVER. The Canucks absolutely dominated the Senators in the three meetings in January. They won by a combined score of 16-3! Tonight, they catch the Sens off a rare upset win over rival Toronto last night. That was Ottawa's third win in March. In both previous cases, the Sens went out and lost the very next night. The Canucks have quietly been playing their best hockey of the season and have crept within striking distance of the playoffs. Schedule in their favor, facing a weak team which they previously dominated, they can't afford to squander this opportunity. Note that Vancouver is 7-1 the last eight in the series. Last night, the Sens caught the Leafs playing their second game in two nights. Shoe on the other foot, expect them to stumble tonight. |
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03-15-21 | Flyers -109 v. Rangers | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. While they split a pair of meetings in February, the Flyers have dominated the Rangers in recent seasons. Off back-to-back losses to Washington, most recently a 5-4 setback on Saturday, Philadelphia will be in foul mood for this one. Note that the Flyers are 11-1 the past 12 times that they allowed five or more goals in their previous game. While they upset Boston on Saturday, the Rangers had lost their previous three. The Flyers are 4-0 their last four visits here. Expect them to play with desperation tonight, en route to making it five straight wins here. |
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03-13-21 | Blackhawks v. Panthers -157 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. The Hawks have played pretty well this season but they're up against a superior opponent this evening. Off a 5-4 win, the Panthers have won four of five, the lone loss coming at Carolina. Note that they're 7-1 their last eight, after scoring four or more goals. The Hawks also scored four (4-2 win) last time out, bouncing back from a 6-1 loss in their previous game. However, they're just 2-5 after a win by two or more goals. The Panthers already beat Chicago in both this season's meetings, scoring 10 combined goals. They're better, they're healthier and they're playing at home. Expect another victory. |
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03-12-21 | Kings v. Avalanche -220 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 3 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO. The Avs got MacKinnon back last game and promptly returned to their winning ways. I fully expect them to string together consecutive "W's" here. The Kings won the last meeting and Colorado is 8-1 its last nine, when playing with revenge. While the Kings have had success against the Avs in recent years, the Avs are the far more talented team this season. The Arizona game was the type that they can build positive momentum from. The Avs had an absolutely dominant 46-14 edge in shots but found themselves in OT. If they lost that game, it would have been tough. They didn't though, instead pulling off the 2-1 win. Now, look for them to carry that strong play into tonight's game, en route to a victory against a Kings team which has long been a thorn in their side. |
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03-11-21 | Jets v. Maple Leafs -174 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 4 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO. Jets are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Leafs have been the dominant team in the division and they're not going to let the Jets beat them in back-to-back games to creep closer. (The teams meet again Saturday.) Note that the Leafs are 6-1 their last seven, when attempting to avenge a home loss. The favorite is still a healthy 17-8 in this series. This is the first time that the Leafs have lost three straight all season and they're going to be extremely determined to right the ship. They're 6-3 the past couple of seasons, after losing their previous three. Payback time. |
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03-11-21 | Rangers v. Bruins -176 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 4 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON. Rangers are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off b2b losses, the Bruins are going to be in an angry mood. Recent struggles notwithstanding, they're still a very strong team. They've dominated the Rangers, winning seven of the last eight meetings. Going back further finds that the favorite is 20-8 the last 28 meetings between these longtime Original Six rivals. Obviously, the Rangers also want to snap their skid. They're not as talented as Boston though and, as mentioned, they've really struggled in series. Its also worth mentioning that the Rangers are 0-6 the past six times that they played the fourth game of a four games in six days situation. Bruins roll. |
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03-10-21 | Coyotes v. Avalanche -195 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 26 h 3 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO. While the Avs are still banged-up, they hope to have superstar MacKinnon back in the lineup. One of the top players in the world, he's a difference maker and absolutely makes the Avs much stronger. Having lost back-to-back games, most recently falling 3-2 to these same Coyotes, the Avs are going to be all business. Note that they're 10-2 the past 12 times that they scored two or fewer goals in their previous game. Even with Monday's loss, the Avs are still 6-1 the past seven times that they hosted the Coyotes. Expect the revenge-minded Avs to bounce back and get some payback tonight. |
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03-09-21 | Blackhawks v. Stars -127 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 32 h 44 m | Show |
I'm playing on DALLAS. The Stars need wins and a vist from the Hawks should be just what the doctor ordered. The Hawks jumped off to a quick start last time out but proceeded to get brought back down to earth. Off the 6-3 loss, one which saw them collapse and cough up their early 2-0 lead, note that they're 0-4 the last four times that they were off a loss of three or more goals. These teams met twice this season. Both meetings were at Chicago. The Hawks won both by identical 2-1 scores, both going to OT. Playing at their own rink, they'll be all business here. While the Stars fell in a shootout last time, I like how they rallied for a point, as they were down 3-0 in that game. While Patrick Kane would surely love to win his 1000th game, look for the Stars to spoil his party on Tuesday. |
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03-07-21 | Predators v. Stars -141 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -141 | 25 h 23 m | Show |
I'm playing on DALLAS. I like how this one sets up for the home team. Both teams played yesterday. However, the Stars played here while the Preds had to travel from Nashville. Both teams are playing their third game in four days. However, prior to that, the Stars had some time off. The Preds did not. This will mark their fourth game in the past six days and their sixth game in the past nine days. I expect it to catch up with them here and for Dallas to have the fresher legs. Note that Nashville is 1-4 its past five, when playing its fourth game in the past six days. The Stars are 5-1 their last six as a host in the series. Expect them to improve on those stats here. |
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03-07-21 | Lightning -177 v. Blackhawks | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TAMPA. The Hawks have played the Lightning tough as the first two games both went past regulation. This afternoon, however, the teams will play the rubber game and I expect the cream to rise to the top. The Lightning have been outstanding again this season. In fact, they were even strong in Friday's loss as they had a 45-27 edge in shots. Tampa's Ryan McDonagh noted: "That's the way it goes. More importantly, we were happy with our effort from pretty much 60 minutes there, playing a lot more in the O-zone, not getting caught in our D-zone as much. We continue to play like that, we'll give ourselves a chance to win every night. We need to continue to follow this up here. Can't just be a one every couple of games kind of thing. We've got to make sure that we take the good from this game and put forth right away from the start next game." The Lightning are still 11-2 the last 13 meetings. They've got a +32 goal differential compared to Chicago's +5 mark. Tampa wins. |
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03-06-21 | Jets v. Canadiens -138 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 23 h 19 m | Show |
I'm playing on MONTREAL. Enough's enough. The Jets have had the Canadiens' number so far this season but I believe that changes this evening. Winnipeg won the first meeting by a 6-3 score. However, the next two have both been tied after regulation. So, the Habs have been right there. They know they can't afford to keep losing though; I expect their very best effort this evening. The Canadiens made some early mistakes in the last game and dug themselves a hole. I like the charatcter they displayed in battling back though; something we may not have seen prior to the recent coaching change. Expect the revenge-minded Habs to bring that type of intensity from the opening puck drop this time, en route to a much needed victory. |
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03-05-21 | Capitals v. Bruins -131 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
I'm playing on BOSTON. The Caps got the better of them a couple of days ago but I expect the revenge-minded Bruins to return the favor this evening. Boston is a perfect 4-0 its last four when its opponent scored two goals or less in its previous game. The Bruins are also a perfect 5-0 their last five, when playing with one day's worth of rest in between games. Wednesday's game was decided in a shootout; a game which the Bruins never trailed. Having struggled a bit of late, expect the talented Bruins to be the hungrier team this evening as they make sure to take care of business in regulation. |
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03-04-21 | Senators v. Flames -198 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 25 h 47 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. These teams have taken turns beating up on each other. Back home, now its Calgary's turn. Not only are the Flames the far more talented team, playing at home, they've also got the schedule working in their favor. They haven't played since Ottawa handed them a 5-1 beating to start the month. The Sens, on the other hand, played again (lost at Montreal) the next night. That's noteworthy as they're 0-6 the last six times that they played the third game of a 3-games-in-four-nights situation. While many teams struggle when playing their first game back home from a road trip, the Flames are actually a perfect 6-0 the last six times that they returned home from a trip of seven or more days. Expect them to improve on those stats this evening. |
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03-04-21 | Jets v. Canadiens -145 | 4-3 | Loss | -145 | 23 h 47 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MONTREAL. The Jets took a pair of meetings against Montreal to close out February. The Habs finally stopped the bleeding to start March though. Back home and with a chance for some payback, I expect their very best effort this evening. While they didn't fare too well at Winnipeg, the Canadiens are 12-5-1 over the years as a host in this series. While both teams played Tuesday, the Jets also played Monday, while Montreal had both Sunday and Monday off. That makes this the Jets' third game in four days. I say the Habs are both hungrier and fresher and I look for them to come away with the important "W." |
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03-04-21 | Flyers -121 v. Penguins | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 47 m | Show |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. The Penguins just beat up on the Flyers a couple of nights ago. Tonight, I expect the Flyers to return the favor. Pittsburgh will be without Crosby, amongst a handful of others. While they gave up five goals to the Pens on Tuesday, the Flyers are 6-1 the last seven times they faced an opponent which scored five or more goals in its previous game. Conversely, the Pens are 1-5 the last six times that they faced an opponent which allowed five or more goals in its previous game. Tuesday's game notwithstanding, the Flyers have been the better team overall this season and also in the previous h2h meetings. Expect them to bounce back and take advantage of the Crosby-less Pens. |
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03-03-21 | Coyotes -117 v. Kings | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show |
I'm playing on ARIZONA. I like how this one sets up for the Coyotes. They just lost two in a row to these same Kings, at Phoenix, last week. After that, the Coyotes knocked off Anaheim twice before falling to Colorado, twice in a row. The Avs are a lot better than either the Kings or the Ducks though. Now, stepping down in class, they get a chance at some payback. Including the recent games in the desert, the road team is a perfect 4-0 in this series. The Coyotes won 3-2 the last time that they played here. Tonight, they catch the Kings playing their first game back home, after a long road trip. That's often a tough spot for teams and Kings' fans know that all too well. Indeed, you'd be a perfect 5-0 if you played against the Kings the past five times that they played a home game, following a road trip of seven or more days, as the Kings are 0-5 their last five in that situation. Tonight makes it six straight, as the revenge minded Coyotes bounce back with an important win. |
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03-02-21 | Red Wings v. Blue Jackets -175 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 22 h 42 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. The Blue Jackets badly need a win and a visit from the banged-up Red Wings figures to be just what the doctor ordered. Columbus has dominated Detroit in recent seasons. The Jackets are 21-6 the last 27 meetings, 5-1 the last six in Columbus. If the price seems a little steep, consider that the Jackets were laying -in the -360 to 370 range for the last meeting here. That was last February and Columbus won 2-0. Including that result, the favorite is 38-13 the last 51 in the series. There's growing talk for Columbus coach Tortorella to get fired. With a couple thousand fans at the arena for the first time, look for the Jackets to be energized, as they continue their dominance of the Wings here while silencing the critics at the same time. |
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03-01-21 | Flames -161 v. Senators | 1-5 | Loss | -161 | 24 h 3 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. The Flames turned the corner with Saturday's big win here. I expect them to build off that effort this evening. Note that Calgary is 8-2 its past 10, when facing an opponent which allowed five or more goals in its previous game. Meanwhile, the Sens are a dismal 3-14 their last 17, when allowing five or more goals in their previous game. Here's what I said prior to Calgary's win on Saturday: "I was winless on Thursday, an ugly day in a bad month. The Flames also hit rock bottom Thursday, a 6-1 loss to the lowly Senators. Just as I fully expect to bounce back, I fully expect the Flames to do the same today. That wasnt just an ordinary loss. It was a humbling and embarrassing one. It should be noted that the Flames were playing their fifth game in seven days on Thursday, the second of b2b games. They've since had a day off. If this team has any pride, which I believe it does, a response is required. Note that the Flames are 10-2 their last 12, when facing a team which scored five or more goals in its previous game. Expect them to come out with a vengeance and to improve on those stats this afternoon." While the Flames did indeed come out with a vengeance, it will all be for naught, if they don't follow it up with another win here. Expect them to do exactly that. |
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02-28-21 | Red Wings v. Blackhawks -159 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHICAGO. These teams met here last night. The Wings won 5-3. That's going to provide the Hawks with some added motivation for this one. Yesterday's loss notwithstanding, the Hawks have really played well lately. Prior to yesterday, they'd won eight of their previous 10 games. However, with three games against the defending champs (TB) on deck, the Hawks know they can't afford to slip up again today. Prior to yesterday, the Hawks had also dominated the Wings. Detroit's -22 goal differential is the second worst in the entire league. I say the Hawks bounce back and close out the month with another win. |
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02-28-21 | Bruins -162 v. Rangers | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON. The Rangers embarrassed the Bruins a couple of days ago. Don't expect it to happen again. Off back-to-back losses and having dropped four straight, the Bruins are going to be all business on Sunday afternoon. For Friday's game, the Bruins were playing the second of two games in two days, while the Rangers were rested. That's not the case here, as both teams has Saturday off. While the Rangers are 1-5 theiir last six, when facing an opponent which scored one goal or less in its previous game, note that Boston is a perfect 4-0 the past four times that it played with one day's rest in between games. The last time that the Bruins dropped two in a row, they responded by hammering the Flyers in their next game. Look for them to bounce back big, once again. |
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02-27-21 | Canadiens -110 v. Jets | 1-2 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 28 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MONTREAL. Facing these same Jets on Thursday, the Canadiens jumped off to an early lead, only to blow it and lose 6-3.I expect that loss and the recent coaching change to spark under the team tonight, as a coaching change often does in hockey. Montreal goalie Carey Price said this of the blown lead and recent skid: "It's shocking obviously." Montreal forward Jonathan Drouin added: "We're NHL players, it's time to step up and do the stuff we're supposed to do." Expect Drouin and co. to do exactly that, as they bounce back and temporarily silence the doubters. |
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02-27-21 | Flames -155 v. Senators | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 35 m | Show |
I'm playing on CALGARY. I was winless on Thursday, an ugly day in a bad month. The Flames also hit rock bottom Thursday, a 6-1 loss to the lowly Senators. Just as I fully expect to bounce back, I fully expect the Flames to do the same today. That wasnt just an ordinary loss. It was a humbling and embarrassing one. It should be noted that the Flames were playing their fifth game in seven days on Thursday, the second of b2b games. They've since had a day off. If this team has any pride, which I believe it does, a response is required. Note that the Flames are 10-2 their last 12, when facing a team which scored five or more goals in its previous game. Expect them to come out with a vengeance and to improve on those stats this afternoon. |
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02-26-21 | Kings v. Wild -159 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 49 m | Show |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. Both these teams are hot right now. Both enter on winning streaks. The Wild have arguably been more dominant though; they've won their last four games by a combined score of 20-6. Last time out, they beat Colorado, a favorite to win the Cup, by a score of 6-2. That was their second consec. 6-2 win. The Kings won the most recent meeting, a 4-0 victory on 2/16. The Wild are 6-1 (+5.8) when facing a team which beat them in the most recent meeting though. Happy to be back home, I expect them to improve on those stats this evening. |
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02-25-21 | Canadiens -122 v. Jets | 3-6 | Loss | -122 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MONTREAL. The Habs lost 5-4 on Tuesday. It marked their third staight loss and their fifth loss in their last six. Needless to say, they're going to be extremely hungry. Note that they're 6-2 their last eight, after scoring four or more goals. The Jets haven't played since a 4-3 win on 2/21. Not only are they 2-6 (-5.4) after scoring four or more goals, they're also 0-3 when playing with three or more day's rest in between games. Going back further finds them at just 4-10 (-7.1) the past 14 times that they played with at least three day's rest in between games. Look for the Habs to draw first blood in the first of this 2-game set. |
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02-25-21 | Blackhawks v. Blue Jackets -121 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -121 | 30 h 56 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. These teams faced each other on Tuesday and the Jackets ended up on the wrong side of a wild 6-5 shootout. With a chance to get some immediate payback, I expect them to bounce back with a huge effort Thursday. Note that Columbus is 5-1 the past six times it had allowed five or more goals in its previous game. As for Chicago, the Hawks are a dismal 4-26 the past 30 times that they faced an opponent which scored five or more in its previous game. All that aside, the Hawks are dealing with a number of key injuries right now. Expect it to catch up with them here, as the Blue Jackets respond with an important victory. |
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02-24-21 | Kings v. Blues -153 | 2-1 | Loss | -153 | 29 h 54 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS. The Kings are rolling right now and they blanked the Blues 3-0 a couple of days ago. Don't expect a repeat performance. The Blues know how important it is not to drop back-to-back games to the same team. They're going to come out with a vengeance tonight. As Binnington noted: "We can't make excuses. It's a shortened season and every game matters, and these sorts of games are big. ... Hopefully we can regroup and come out with some fire." Despite the shutout loss, St. Louis has still scored more goals (59) than any team in the division. Prior to Monday's loss, they'd beaten the Kings four of the previous five meetings. Expect them to "come out with some fire" as they dig deep and get some payback. |
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02-24-21 | Flames v. Maple Leafs -144 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO. The Flames earned a much needed 3-0 win over the Leafs a couple of nights ago. Don't expect it to happen twice in a row though. The Leafs are a perfect 4-0 the past four times that they were off a home loss of three or more goals. They're also 6-1 the past seven times that they faced an opponent which allowed two or fewer goals in its previous game. On the season, the Leafs still have a +18 goal differential while the Flames are at -4. That 22-goal disparity is a big difference considering that the teams have only played 19 and 20 games. All things considered, this price could easily be higher. Leafs bounce back. |
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02-24-21 | Rangers v. Flyers -113 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. The Flyers should be the hungrier team in this one. They're off b2b losses while the Rangers are off b2b wins. The first of those two game saw the Rangers knock off the Flyers, 3-2 in a shootout. That will provide even further motivation for the Flyers. That game notwithstanding, the Flyers have dominated the Rangers in recent seasons. They're still 9-2 the last 11 meetings. The Flyers' last loss was an 'ugly' one; Boston beat them 7-3. That's the type of defeat this team typically responds well to though. In fact, the Flyers are 12-2 their last 14, following a loss of three or more goals. Expect them to improve on those stats here. |
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02-23-21 | Blackhawks v. Blue Jackets -123 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -123 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. The Jackets have fallen below the Hawks in the standings. That being the case, I expect their very best effort tonight. The fact that the Hawks are ahead in the standings has also helped us in terms of line value. We're getting the Jackets as only a slight favorite, when they could easily be more expensive. Additionally, I believe that they're catching Chicago at the right time. That's because the Hawks have a lengthy list of injuries and Strome was just added to it. The favorite is 20-9 the past 29 in this series. Look for those stats to improve Tuesday night. |
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02-22-21 | Ducks v. Coyotes -137 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 30 h 34 m | Show |
I'm playing on ARIZONA. Both teams are coming in hungry but I expect the Coyotes, playing at home, to have the advantage. Note that the home team has won six of the past seven meetings. The Coyotes, who lost to LA on Saturday, are 5-1 the past six times that they played with one day's worth of rest in between games. On the other hand, the Ducks are 0-4 their last four, when their opponent scored two or fewer goals in its previous game. The Ducks score the fewest goals per game in the entire league. Expect their skid to continue. |
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02-22-21 | Kings v. Blues -158 | 3-0 | Loss | -158 | 29 h 31 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS. This is the first of a two game series; the teams will face each other again Wednesday. The Kings have been on a nice roll but I expect a visit to St. Louis to cause them to fall back to earth. While the teams split a pair this season, the Blues have still won four of the past five meetings. The Blues have responded to each of their last two losses by immediately bouncing back and winning their next game. Expect them to bounce back once again, snapping the Kings' winning streak in the process. |
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02-21-21 | Devils v. Capitals -160 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. Both teams lost yesterday. Playing at home, I expect the Capitals to be the team which bounces back. This game was originally scheduled to go in the evening but the time was changed to the afternoon. I feel that works in the Caps favor, being the home team and not having had to travel yesterday. The Caps have dominated the Devils in recent seasons. They're 6-1 the last seven meetings here in Washington, 20-7 the last 27 in the series overall. Going back further finds that the favorite is a profitable 42-17 the last 59 games in the series. This is the first of eight meetings between these teams. Expect a motivated effort from the Caps and for them to draw first blood. |
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02-20-21 | Kings v. Coyotes -158 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -158 | 21 h 56 m | Show |
I'm playing on ARIZONA. The Kings won in a shootout when these teams met two nights ago. After a day off Friday, I fully expect the revenge-minded Coyotes to return the favor this evening. The Coyotes had two days off before the last game but they're a perfect 5-0 the past five times that they played with exactly one day's rest in between games. The Coyotes were a little lethargic early in the last game and fell behind early. They know they can't afford to drop both these games and they're going to come out with a much better effort right from the opening whistle. Expect them to dig deep and to come away with the imporant victory. |
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02-19-21 | Blackhawks v. Hurricanes -198 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. The Hawks have been playing well recently but they've also benefitted from playing some weak opponents. Tonight, stepping up in class, I expect them to come back to earth. Note that Chicago is 0-3 the past 2+ seasons, when off a shutout win. The Canes have been solid all season. They weren't happy with their last performance and they're also looking to avenge an earlier loss to these same Hawks. They're going to be bringing their best effort tonight. If you look at the following numbers, this really is a mismatch. The Hawks get outscored by a 2.9 to 2.1 average on the road. The Canes, meanwhile, outscore teams by a 3.8 to 2.2 mark here at Raleigh. Look for them to improve to 5-1 their last six, when in the 'revenge' role. |
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02-18-21 | Kings v. Coyotes -151 | 3-2 | Loss | -151 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ARIZONA. After seven straight against the Blues, the Coyotes will be happy to face the Kings, arguably a step down in class from St. Louis. The Coyotes won four of those seven against the Blues, while getting a point in one of the losses. They're playing well. While the Kings are off b2b wins, they'd previously lost five straight. These teams have historically been rivals in the Pacific and they'll meet again Saturday. Expect the Coyotes to draw first blood. |