Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03-28-16 | Blue Jackets v. Capitals -239 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. Both these teams lost badly on Saturday. Columbus fell 5-1 at Nashville while Washington was blanked 4-0 by the Blues. The Caps have been MUCH better at bouncing back from those type of defeats though. The Jackets are 8-19 (-11.1) after allowing four or more goals and 9-17 (-7.5) after a loss by two more goals. Meanwhile, the Caps are 7-1 (+5.6) after scoring one or fewer goals and 8-1 (+6.6) after a loss by two or more. The Caps have taken two of three meetings and are 5-1 the last six series meetings here at Washington. They should continue that dominance this evening, improving to 18-5 (+10.2) when playing a home game with a total listed at LESS than 5.5. 6* |
|||||||
03-26-16 | Oilers v. Kings -225 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 27 h 36 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LA. The Oilers are at the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Kings have dropped three straight for the third time this season. They snapped the skid at three, on each of the previous occasions, allowing just a single goal in each of the victories. Looking back a bit further finds them at a profitable 16-8 (+7.6) the past few seasons, after losing three or more consec. games. If the line seems steep, keep in mind that the Oilers are just 20-62 (-35.7) in divisional games the past few seasons. Look for LA to again bounce back, improving to 11-5 after allowing four or more goals in its previous game. 6* B.M. |
|||||||
03-26-16 | Stars v. Sharks -125 | 4-2 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE. The home team has won both meetings this season and I expect that trend to continue this afternoon. While they did beat the Hawks recently, the Stars are still just 7-9 (-3.8) their last 16 against teams with a winning record. The Sharks, on the other hand, have been at their best against other quality teams recently. They're 10-2 (+7.6) their last 12 against teams with a winning record. Look for the Sharks to come away with the two points, improving to 14-6 their last 10 off a loss by two or more goals. 9* annihilator |
|||||||
03-24-16 | Canadiens v. Red Wings -215 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DETROIT. The home team has won both meetings this season. The Habs won in Montreal in October. The Wings returned the favor with a victory here in December. With tonight's game at Detroit, I expect the Wings, who have won seven of 10 here, to take advantage of a depleted Habs lineup which has had trouble on the road all season. While the Canadiens are essentially playing out the string, the Wings are battling for their playoff lives. Justin Abdelkader had this to say: "We've obviously been comfortable at home, so we've just got to come out and play well ... It's a big game for us." While the Wings give up 2.5 goals per game here at home, the Canadiens give up 3.3 per game on the road. The Wings can't afford to squander this opportunity and I don't believe that they will. 6* B.M |
|||||||
03-23-16 | Senators v. Islanders -175 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NEW YORK. The Islanders badly need a win and this should be the perfect spot/opponent to get one. While the Isles had last night off, the Sens were busy losing (4-2) against the Capitals. That's noteworthy as they're just 3-9 (-6.4) when playing the second of b2b games, an ugly 14-26 their last 40 in that situation. The Isles are still 11-6 off a loss by two or more goals and 12-6 after scoring one or less in their last game. They had some back luck on Monday as a puck bounced off the linesman to give the Flyers a break which led to the game-winning goal. (Flyers won 4-1 but was 1-1 when that happened.) While the Sens are 14-22 on the road, the Isles are 21-13 at home. Ottawa allows 3.6 goals per game on the road. The Isles allow 2.4 here at home. It all adds up to two points for the home team. *9 violator |
|||||||
03-22-16 | Stars v. Blackhawks -135 | 6-2 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CHICAGO. The Hawks are too talented to continue losing. The Stars are no slouches themselves, but the absence of Seguin figures to hurt against an elite team like Chicago. Given the home/road records, the price could easily be higher. The Stars are a modest 19-17 on the road, where they give up 3.1 goals per game. On the other hand, the Hawks give up just 1.9 gpg here at Chicago, where they're 24-13. With or without Crawford, they figure to be the stingier team tonight. The Hawks have a few days off after this and then head out on the road. With a 3/11 loss at Dallas still fresh in their memories, I expect this well-coached team to bounce back with its best effort. 9* annihilator |
|||||||
03-22-16 | Sabres v. Hurricanes -150 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -150 | 25 h 16 m | Show |
I'm playing on Carolina. The Sabres have won both this season's meetings but I expect the Canes to get some payback this evening. It should be noted that both earlier meetings were at Buffalo while tonight's game is being played at Carolina. That's noteworthy as the Canes are brutal (14-23) on the road and respectable (17-18) by comparison, here at home. While the Sabres are 7-13 (-3.4) off a loss by two or more goals, the Canes are a profitable 5-3 (+2.9) after having lost three or more consecutive games. While the Sabres are out of the playoff race, the Canes are still fighting to keep their hopes alive. Though they haven't been winning, they've been earning points in the majority of their games to stay within range. Currently, entering the new week, the Canes are seven points out of the final playoff spot, needing to pass three teams to get there. Needless to say, they can't afford to get swept by a non-playoff team like the Sabres, a team which is 1 for 31 on the power-play its last 10 road games. I say its "payback time." 10* Revenge GOY |
|||||||
03-21-16 | Flyers v. Islanders -138 | 4-1 | Loss | -138 | 24 h 6 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NEW YORK. Off three straight losses, all on the road, the Isles figure to be extremely hungry tonight. They should also be thrilled to return home, where they're 21-12 on the season and where they outscore opposing teams by an average of 3.2 to 2.4. A look at the schedule shows that the Isles have played 12 of their last 14 on the road. They won their only two home games during that time. They also beat the Flyers, who are just 15-19 on the road, in this season's only meeting here, while splitting the games at Philadelphia. In fact, they've beaten the Flyers four straight times here. The Isles are 7-1 after playing their previous three on the road and 11-5 when coming off a loss by two or more goals. Prior to their current 3-game slide, the Isles had only lost three games in a row two other times this season. They were a perfect 2-0 the following game, winning by a combined score of 7-3. I like their chances of bouncing back again here. 9* Personal Favorite |
|||||||
03-20-16 | Coyotes v. Sharks -220 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 18 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE. I won with the Sharks yesterday and am coming right back with them again today. While both teams played yesterday, the Sharks played an afternoon game here at SJ (4-1 win vs NYR) while the Coyotes played a night game (2-0 loss vs. TB) at Phoenix. With yesterday's loss, the Coyotes are just 4-12 (-6.7) their last 16 against teams with a winning record, 9-20 on the season. One of those wins came against these same Sharks, a few days ago. With the schedule in their favor, the revenge-minded Sharks, 23-13 (+9.1) when facing a team which defeated them in the previous meeting, get some payback. 6* B.M. |
|||||||
03-19-16 | Devils v. Blue Jackets -145 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. This is the front end of a home-and-home series as the teams will meet again at NJ tomorrow evening. Knowing this, I expect the Jackets to go all out to "hold serve" on home ice, and to snap their current skid. The Devils get outshot by an average of 30.2 to 24.1 on the road, where they score just 2.4 goals per game. The Jackets aren't great at home but they do score 2.8 goals per game here, on 30.4 shots. They've dominated the Devils this season, outscoring them by a combined 11-3 margin in going 3-0. I expect them to continue that domination for at least one more night. 9* Personal Favorite |
|||||||
03-19-16 | Rangers v. Sharks -134 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE. The overall records are quite same. However, a closer look shows that SJ is better against "good" teams and NY is better against bad one. The Rangers are only 12-17 (-6.2) against teams with a winning record. The Sharks, on the other hand, are 14-7 (+6.8) against teams with a winning record, including 9-1 (+8) the last 10. Needless to say, they're playing better now than when NY beat them 4-0 early in the season. The Rangers get outshot 32.6 to 28.6 on the road, getting outscored 2.8 to 2.5. The Sharks, who score 2.9 gpg here, outshoot teams by a 32.3 to 25.3 margin here. The Sharks have won 60 of their last 100 when attempting to avenge an earlier loss, 23-13 (+9.1) their last 36. Throw in a 12-6 record, when off a loss by more than a goal, and I say its Payback Time. 8* |
|||||||
03-18-16 | Bruins v. Ducks -145 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ANAHEIM. The Ducks hammered the Bruins at Boston earlier and they swept them last season. Hungry for a win, I expect them to continue that recent series dominance tonight. The Bruins are a mediocre (and money-burning) 56-55 (-11.3) against teams with a winning record the past couple of seasons. During that same stretch, the Ducks are a solid (and profitable) 78-58 (+12) against teams with a winning record. They're also 30-20 the last 50 times that they were held to less than two goals in their previous game. I expect them to improve on those stats tonight. 7* |
|||||||
03-18-16 | Blackhawks -157 v. Jets | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CHICAGO. The Hawks typically aren't quite as good away from Chicago. However, their road record is still superior to Winnipeg's home record. Speaking of superior, the Hawks have the edge on both sides of the puck. Even after a loss last time out, their fourth straight, they're still 10-4 the last 14 times that they lost their previous three games. They're too talented and too well-coached to endure many extended losing streaks and I expect them to bounce back in a big way tonight. 8* Personal Favorite |
|||||||
03-18-16 | Predators v. Capitals -160 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. For as good as the Capitals have been, this price could easily be higher. The Preds are 18-19 on the road. The Caps are 27-8 at home. The Preds get outscored by an average of 2.7 to 2.5 away from Nashville. The Caps outscore teams by an average of 3.3 to 2.2 here at Washington. The Preds, who won 4-2 last night, are 3-7 (-5.6) when playing the second of b2b games and 7-13 (-12.8) when off a win by two or more goals. With the well-rested Caps at 16-4 when playing at home with a total of less than 5.5, there's only one way to go here. 7* |
|||||||
03-17-16 | Wild -150 v. Devils | 4-7 | Loss | -150 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. Tough spot for the Devils, as this is their first game back home after a trip out West. Home ice doesn't mean much to NJ either. The Devils are below 500 here and get outscored by a 2.5 to 2.1 margin on home ice. Playing with revenge from an earlier loss at Minnesota, I expect the Wild to move to 12-9 (+1.2) when attempting to avenge an earlier home loss. 7* |
|||||||
03-16-16 | Rangers v. Ducks -150 | 2-1 | Loss | -150 | 15 h 55 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ANAHEIM. The Ducks are off a dominating 7-1 effort last time out. Some teams might suffer a letdown, off that type of big win. However, the Ducks had lost their previous three. So, they aren't likely to have been patting themselves on the back for one win. They know they need to keep winning and that tonight's opponent will require their best game. It should be noted that the Ducks are an outstanding 65-27 (+32) the past few seasons, after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. It should also be mentioned that the Rangers will be without starting goalie Lundqvist, as Raanta is expected to be the starter. The Rangers swept the Ducks last season and they beat them at MSG earlier. With Anaheim at 59-39 (+11.6) the past few seasons, when playing with revenge, I say its "payback time." 8* Violator |
|||||||
03-16-16 | Flyers v. Blackhawks -190 | 3-2 | Loss | -190 | 24 h 6 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CHICAGO. The Flyers are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Blackhawks lost 5-0 last game (their third straight loss) and they're none too pleased about it. This is a very talented team, one with a lot of pride. They don't get blown out like that too often, nor are they accustomed to losing streaks. They'll be highly motivated to bounce-back and I look for them to do so. The Hawks are 11-5 after allowing four or more goals and 10-3 the last 13 times that they had dropped their previous three games. They're 2-0 this season, after losing their previous three. They won those two games by a combined score of 10-3. Catching the Flyers off a game last night, I expect more of the same here. 6* B.M |
|||||||
03-15-16 | Bruins v. Sharks -135 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE. The Bruins may be the league's best road team but I expect them to stumble tonight. The Sharks are better than their record inidicates and they've been putting it all together lately. They've won six of eight including a big win over Washington here last time out. I believe that was a momentum-building type of victory. They're now 8-1 their last nine against teams with winning records and I expect them to finally string together consecutive home wins tonight. 9* |
|||||||
03-15-16 | Kings v. Stars -120 | 5-2 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DALLAS. While the Kings, who are off a big win at Chicago last night, have been pretty good overall when playing the second of b2b games, they'd did lose (4-2 at Anaheim on 2/28) their last time in that situation and I expect them to stumble again tonight. Note that LA is an ugly 57-73 (-28.8) over the years, off a shutout win. The Stars, who had the last two days off, are 12-3 when playing with two day's rest and 12-5 after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. Looking to avenge an earlier loss at LA, I look for them to bounce back with their best effort tonight. 9* |
|||||||
03-15-16 | Hurricanes v. Capitals -218 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. If the Capitals hadn't lost two in a row, I might be more concerned that this was their first game back from a road trip out West. However, those losses, combined with the fact that Carolina beat them in the last meeting, should ensure we get a fully focused effort. The Caps, 13-6 when facing a team which defeated them in the previous meeting, are 15-4 at home when the O/U line is less than 5.5. Carolina, on the other hand, is 19-47 (-24.2) the past couple of seasons, when playing a road game with an O/U line of less than 5.5. The Canes get outscored by a 2.7 to 2.3 average on the road. The Caps outscore teams by a 3.3 to 2.2 margin here. Mismatch. 6* |
|||||||
03-14-16 | Devils v. Ducks -240 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 30 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ANAHEIM. The Devils managed a win at LA, as a similar sized underdog, in their last game. They won't be so fortunate here. The Ducks, who will be extremely motivated after dropping three straight, are 11-1 their last 12 against teams with a losing record. They're also 12-2 this season when playing with two day's rest. With the Devils averaging only 2.3 gpg on the road and the Ducks allowing just 2.2 gpg at home. all signs points to a win for the home team. 6* BM |
|||||||
03-14-16 | Panthers v. Islanders -133 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 54 m | Show |
10* Islander. Analysis before 7am PST |
|||||||
03-13-16 | Maple Leafs v. Red Wings -195 | 1-0 | Loss | -195 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DETROIT. While the price may seem steep, it could easily be higher. Both teams played yesterday. However, unlike Toronto, the Wings had the advantage of playing an early game and also they didn't have to travel. Note that the Leafs, who are dealing with a ton of injuries at the moment, are an awful 1-12 when playing the second of b2b games. They're even worse (1-19!) in division play this season. With a tough 4-game road trip on deck, the Wings know they can't afford to squander the two points available here. They beat the Leafs 4-0 here earlier and all signs point to another mismatch. 6* personal fav |
|||||||
03-12-16 | Flyers v. Panthers -155 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 22 h 45 m | Show |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. These teams have split this season's meetings, the home team winning each time. The Flyers won 1-0 at Philly. The Panthers pounded them 7-1 here at Florida. With the schedule in their favor and back on home ice, I expect the Panthers to have the edge today. The Panthers, who had yesterday off, got back on track against Ottawa on Thursday, earning a 6-2 victory. Note that they're 14-5 (+9) off a win by two or more goals. Unlike their hosts, the Flyers played (3-1 win at Tampa) last night. Note that the Flyers remain with Voracek, one of their best offensive players, and that they've had trouble with Florida goalie Luongo, who has limited them to one goal each of the last three times he's faced them. Florida's Vincent Trocheck said this of Thursday's win: "We just needed a little bit more confidence in here. We're a young team. The confidence was a little bit down, so having a win like this, scoring that many goals, it definitely gets your confidence back up." With their confidence restored, the Panthers make it two in a row. 10* Eastern Conf. GOM |
|||||||
03-11-16 | Flyers v. Lightning -160 | 3-1 | Loss | -160 | 21 h 59 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TAMPA BAY. Off b2b losses, the Lightning will be hungry tonight. Throw in the fact that the Flyers beat them in this season's only meeting (4-2 win this past Monday) and we should have an extremely motivated Tampa team. Lightning forward Brian Boyle said this of Monday's effort: "That's not who we are as a team. We don't show that very often if at all." Even with the recent losses, the Lightning are still 21-6 their last 27 games. As for the Flyers, even with their recent wins, they're still a sub .500 team against the moneyline. With TB at 25-11 (+8.7) its last 36 against sub 500 teams and at 8-0 its last eight as a host in this series, I see this one resulting in a win for the home team. 8* |
|||||||
03-10-16 | Sabres v. Canadiens -158 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MONTREAL. The Canadiens lost two games to the Sabres in the first half of February. Those games should provide them with some added motivation tonight. The Habs got back on track with a win over Dallas last time out. As disappointing as things are, they're still above .500 here at home. While the Sabres have some exciting young players, they're still averaging only 2.4 goals per game. While the Sabres are 27-57 (-11.8) the past few seasons, after allowing four or more goals, the Habs are 46-32 (+11) after scoring four or more. Payback time. 8* Annihilator |
|||||||
03-09-16 | Capitals v. Kings -124 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 29 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA. The Capitals have been rolling for some time now. The Kings have recently started playing very well too though and I expect them to have the edge on home ice tonight. The Kings, who lost at Washington a few weeks ago, are a profitable 22-10 the last 32 times that they attempted to avenge an earlier loss. They've had success against the Caps here at LA, including a 3-1 win here on Valentine's Day last season. Off their 5-1 win over the Canucks, note that the Kings are an impressive 18-4 (+9.9) when coming off a divisional game. Look for the Kings' best effort, as they improve on those stats and grab the important two points. 10* Personal Favorite |
|||||||
03-08-16 | Rangers -145 v. Sabres | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NEW YORK. While the Sabres beat me in a shootout yesterday, I'm prepared to go against them again today. The Rangers lost 6-4 last time out which will have them hungry here. Unlike Buffalo, they had last night off. That's noteworthy as the Sabres are an ugly 11-33 (-11.8) the past few seasons, when playing the second of b2b games. The Rangers tend to take care of business against the league's weaker teams, particularly as the games become more important down the stretch. They're 10-2 their last 12 against losing teams and a commanding 41-12 (+22.6) against teams with a losing record, in the second half of the season, the past few years. Not surprisingly, they've dominated the Sabres. The price on them is always a lot more expensive on the Rangers (against Buffalo) than it is here, including -325 and -250 their last two last trips here. The Rangers won those game 3-1, outshooting the Sabres 43-25 and 2-0, outshooting them 33-20. More of the same here. 9* Personal Favorite |
|||||||
03-07-16 | Coyotes v. Avalanche -149 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLORADO. The Coyotes are off a 5-1 win. The Avs are off a 5-2 loss. Play on Arizona, right? Not tonight. Prior to Saturday's win, the Coyotes had lost seven straight, giving up 29 goals in the process. Its a little early to "trust" them. Note that the Coyotes are just 12-22 (-7.4) the past few seasons, after scoring four or more goals and 7-14 (-5.8) after a win by multiple goals. Meanwhile, during the same stretch, the Avs are a respectable 38-30 (+10.8) after allowing four or more and a commanding 39-20 (+22.3) off a loss by two or more goals. Throw in the fact that the Coyotes won both this season's meetings and we should have a very motivated Colorado team. The Avs were laying more than -200 when they hosted the Coyotes earlier. Tonight's price is far more reasonable and I believe its providing very fair value. 10* GOM |
|||||||
03-07-16 | Sabres v. Maple Leafs -119 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -119 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
I'm playing on TORONTO. Even when these teams are both having a bad season, as has been known to happen, there's still a rivalry between the Leafs and the Sabres. Buffalo's Evander Kane noted: "It's lights, camera, action in T.O. It's a fun place to play no matter if they're having a good season or not. I know Buffalo and Toronto have a bit of a rivalry." More often than not, in games played here at Toronto, the rivalry has been pretty one-sided in recent seasons. Indeed, the Leafs have won six straight here against the Sabres and 11 of the last 12. Looking to avenge an earlier loss at Buffalo and motivated to snap their current losing streak, I expect the Leafs to be a little hungrier tonight and for that to lead to a much-needed two points. 10* Div GOW |
|||||||
03-05-16 | Blue Jackets v. Flyers -159 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. These teams both just faced the Oilers. The Flyers lost 4-0 while the Jackets won 6-3. The problem for the Jackets is that they played last night while the Flyers had last night off. Throw in the fact that the Flyers will be looking to avenge a pair of December losses and we should have a more motivated team, as well as a fresher one. The Flyers are 11-7 (+5.3) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. I expect them to bounce back and improve on those stats this evening. 9* personal fav |
|||||||
03-04-16 | Devils v. Stars -220 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DALLAS. This line may initially appear steep but it could easily be even higher. The Stars have a major talent advantage on offense. They score 3.2 goals per game here, while the Devils were averaging 2.2 on the road, entering Thursday's action. The Stars fire 33.6 shots at the net per game here. The Devils entered Thursday with an avg of only 24.2 shots per game on the road. The Stars are 10-3 (+5.9) when playing with two day's rest and they're catching the Devils in a b2b spot, off a hard-fought OT win at Nashville. Off four straight losses and looking to avenge an earlier loss at NJ, they'll be all business tonight. 6* B.M. |
|||||||
03-03-16 | Rangers v. Penguins -135 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. The Rangers are playing well right now but I expect their winning streak to come to an end here. The Pens should be extremely motivated. They lost their last game, at Washington, and need points. They were also blanked by the Rangers here a few weeks back. Additionally, it was the Rangers who knocked them out of the playoffs last season and the Rangers who have dominated them in recent seasons. Add it all up and we should be ensured of the Pens' best effort this evening. While they've played better on the road recently, the Rangers are still below .500 on the road and they're still just 10-16 (-7.6) when playing on the road when the O/U line was less than 5.5. The Pens, on the other hand, are a respectable 13-8 (+3.2) when playing at home when the O/U line was less than 5.5. The Pens have won nine of their last 11 games here and they've won their last two here by a combined score of 10-1. The Pens have had Melkin, who missed last month's game, back for a few games now and he scored last time. Time to finally get some payback against those pesky Rangers. 9* Personal Fav |
|||||||
03-01-16 | Avalanche v. Wild -150 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. These teams have split a pair of games at Colorado. The Wild won there back in October and the Avs won there in December. The Wild won the lone meeting here at Minnesota though and I expect them to have the edge again tonight. Minnesota blanked the Avs in the game here and figures to have the defensive advantage once again. Colorado gets outscored by a slight 2.8 to 2.7 margin on the road. Minnesota outscores teams by a 2.7 to 2.3 score here at home. The Avs bolstered their lineup before the trade deadline and the additions may well help them in the long run. Losing a tough one in the Stadium Series figures to sting though and I expect there to be some lingering negative effects from that game tonight. The Wild have been mired in a terrible slump for much of 2016. They won last game and now have victories in five of their last eight. A win (in regulation) here and they'll jump Colorado in the standings and into the second wild card spot. I expect them to do just that. 9* Personal Fav |
|||||||
02-29-16 | Red Wings v. Stars -145 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -145 | 25 h 19 m | Show |
I'm playing on DALLAS. The Wings have won two straight while the Stars have dropped two straight. In some cases, that might point us towards a play on Detroit. I don't think this is one of those. The back-to-back losses figure to make the Stars angry, particularly as they both came on home ice. In fact, the Stars have lost three straight here. Note that the Wings are off an exciting late win at Coors Field on Saturday, which could be a little more cause for a letdown than a "regular" game. Also, note that the Wings had been winning before they faced the Stars earlier in the season, at Detroit. Dallas jumped all over them in that game though and ended up winning 4-1. While the Wings would obvioulsy like to avenge that loss, note that they're a money-burning 25-35 (-13.6) the last 60 times they attempted to avenge an earlier home loss. The Wings are 3-5 when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. The Stars are 19-10 at home with an O/U line of 5.5. While the Wings get outscored by an average of 2.7 to 2.4 on the road, the Stars outscore teams by an average of 3.3 to 2.7 here at Dallas. The Stars didn't play badly last game, a 3-2 loss vs the Rangers. In fact, the result might well have been different if a controversial goal (non-goal?) wasn't disallowed mid-way through the third period. They're still 20-10 here at Dallas though and this is their only home losing streak this season. The Wings have dominated the Stars here in recent seasons, a fact that Dallas is well aware of. They know a win tonight snaps both their home losing streak and their home losing streak against the Wings. I expect them to go all out and I expect that to lead to them coming away with the two points. 10* GOM |
|||||||
02-28-16 | Capitals v. Blackhawks -120 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 22 h 39 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHICAGO. When an elite team is struggling, sometimes it takes a visit from another top team to provide a "wake up call." That's what I expect to happen for the defending champs this afternoon. Yes, the Caps are having a great season. They'll be without their top-scoring defenseman today though and when properly motivated, the Hawks can beat anybody when playing on home ice. The Hawks, who will be looking to avenge an earlier loss (and one from last year's Winter Classic) will receive a boost with the acquisition of Ladd and co. I expect their best effort to lead to two points. 10* Breakfast Club. |
|||||||
02-27-16 | Rangers v. Stars -130 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -130 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
I'm playing on Dallas. The Stars are off a home and home series against the Jets. They won the game at Dallas but followed it up with a 6-3 loss at Winnipeg. Not surprising really, as they're much better at home, where they're 20-9. The Rangers are another team which is MUCH better at home and they already hammered the Stars at MSG in the first week of January. The Stars are 13-8 in the "revenge" role though and an even better 11-2 (+8.9) off a loss by two or more goals. I like their chances of bouncing back here. 10* Personal Fav |
|||||||
02-26-16 | Sabres v. Sharks -235 | 3-1 | Loss | -235 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE. At first glance, the price on the Sharks seem steep. Many bettors staunchly refuse to play games in this price range. That's totally fine. For me, however, "expensive" is a relative concept. To some, dropping $40K on a brand new car might seem "expensive." However, if someone was shopping for a car in that price range and that they believed that the true cost was actually $60K, then that car would seem like a "bargain." On that note, consider that the Sharks were laying -350 the last time that they hosted Buffalo. The time before that? -420! The fact that the Sabres won both those games, combined with the fact that SJ is coming off a loss, should ensure that we get the Sharks' best effort here. Still with a considerable talent edge, that "best effort" should be all it takes for the Sharks to come away with an important two points. 6* B.M |
|||||||
02-25-16 | Senators v. Canucks -105 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
I'm playing on VANCOUVER. I backed the Canucks in their last game, a 5-1 win over Colorado. The offense got back on track and they got a great game from their goaltender. The losing streak now in the past, I expect them to build off that victory and make it two in a row tonight. While the Sens are off a 4-1 win, they're only 29-45 (-19.4) the past few seasons, after scoring four goals or more in their previous game. While they've lost back-to-back games at Ottawa, the Canucks have won six of the last seven meetings here at Vancovuer. A look at the last six meetings here reveals that the Canucks were laying anywhere from -138 all the way to -270. Tonight's price is far better and I believe its offering excellent value. 10* best bet |
|||||||
02-24-16 | Sabres v. Ducks -234 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 27 h 3 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ANAHEIM. Yes, the price is high. However, it could easily be - and should be - higher. The Ducks have five straight. They've scored 24 goals during that 5-game streak, five or more in each of their last four. A slow start to the season a distant memory, the Ducks have been one of the hottest teams in the league for many weeks. One thing thats not so distant a memory is a 3-0 loss at Buffalo in mid-December. The Ducks were struggling at the time, mired in a stretch that saw them lose four of five. They outshot the Sabres 44-22 but Johnson was hot in goal for Buffalo. (Lehner is expected to go tonight.) The December loss should ensure that the Sabres receive Anaheim's full attention here. The Ducks are 58-37 (+13.4) the past few seasons when playing with revenge. During that stretch, they're also 62-27 (+28.9) after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. While the Sabres are 4-9 when playing with two day's rest, the Ducks are 10-2. All signs point to a win for the home team. 6* B.M. Beatdown |
|||||||
02-23-16 | Blue Jackets v. Red Wings -189 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DETROIT. The Wings badly need a victory and this game sets up perfectly for them to get one. Not only do they get to host a relatively weak Columbus team, they also have the schedule in their favor. While the Wings had yesterday off, the Jackets are off a 6-4 win over the Bruins. Note that the Jackets are a poor 7-17 after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. The Wings have four far more diffcult games (two against Chicago) on deck, before they face these same Jackets at Columbus on 3/8. Armed with this knowledge, they know its imperative to take care of business tonight. They will. 7* B.M. |
|||||||
02-23-16 | Flyers v. Hurricanes -135 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 46 m | Show |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. The Hurricanes come in with a score to settle. They've faced the Flyers three times this season and they've lost in OT all three times. Enough is enough. Its time for some payback. While they admittedly haven't been great here, the Canes have been better at home this season than the Flyers have been on the road. Carolina scores 2.6 gpg here and also allows 2.6. The Flyers also score 2.6 gpg on the road. However, they allow a much higher 3.0. The Canes outshoot teams by a solid 31 to 25.7 margin here. Conversely, the Flyers get outshot by a 32.1 to 28.3 margin away from Philly. The Canes lost last time out but they've responded well to losses lately. In fact, they haven't lost consecutive games in regulation since the first few days of December. On the season, they're 10-4 (+7.2) off a loss by two or more goals. Eric Staal noted: "Guys are playing hard. This team wants to be in the mix, and you need to respond after losses." I look for Staal and co. to do just that. 10* Personal Fav. |
|||||||
02-21-16 | Avalanche v. Canucks -115 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 15 h 55 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Vancouver. Enough is enough! The Canucks are mired in an extended losing streak but they've got the schedule in their favor here. I expect their best effort. While the Avs were busy beating Edmonton last night, the Canucks had the day off. Valarmov will start for Colorado, after Pickard went last night. That's good news for the Canucks, as they've had some recent success against him. They beat him 3-1 last month and 5-2 in the meeting before that. He's got a poor 3.74 GAA his last three against Vancouver. The Canucks aren't ready to roll over and die yet. They haven't lost seven straight here in nearly a decade and I look for them to step up and stop the bleeding tonight. 9* personal fav |
|||||||
02-20-16 | Bruins v. Stars -142 | 7-3 | Loss | -142 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DALLAS. I successfully played against the Bruins (2-0 loss at Nashville) in their last game and I believe that this will be another good spot to do so. While the Bruins have admittedly been strong on the road, their success has come largely against teams from their own conference. The Bruins, now 7-13 (-10.6) against teams from the West, are just 1-5 (-5.2) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. The Stars, 16-8 (+4.4) against teams from the East, are a profitable 10-1 (+9.4) after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. The Stars are very tough to beat here at Dallas. They're 20-7 here, outscoring teams by a 3.3 to 2.4 margin. I feel the price is reasonable and I look for them to come away with the two points. 9* Personal Favorite |
|||||||
02-20-16 | Lightning v. Penguins -117 | 4-2 | Loss | -117 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. The Penguins have dropped both games to the Lightning this season and I believe that revenge factor will help motivate them here. Having slept in their own beds last night, I also believe that the early start time will work in their favor. After managing only three combined goals in their previous two games, the Lightning exploded for six against the Jets in their last game. They're only 6-12 (-8.4) the last 18 times they scored four or more goals in their previous game. Both this season's losses were at Tampa. Playing in their own rink, where they've dominated TB for years, the Pens get some payback this afternoon. 9* Breakfast Club |
|||||||
02-19-16 | Sabres v. Blue Jackets -138 | 4-0 | Loss | -138 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. These teams have a number of similarities. Both are off a 2-1 loss last time out. Both had won their previous two games. Both will miss the postseason, both are playing out the string. Both teams continue to play hard though and both should be looking to pick up the "W" here. Playing at home and looking to avenge an earlier loss, I expect the Jackets to have the advantage. The Jackets have actually won six of nine, dating back to 1/25. The Sabres are 4-6 during the same stretch. The Jackets average 2.8 goals per game at home while the Sabres average 2.5 gpg on the road. The Sabres won the first meeting back in October. That was the third game of the season for both teams and they were both looking for their first win. Columbus would go on to start the season at 0-8 and could really point to that Buffalo loss as the one that allowed things to spiral out of control. Payback time on Friday night! 9* Personal Favorite |
|||||||
02-18-16 | Bruins v. Predators -126 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 4 m | Show |
I'm playing on Nashville. While the Bruins check in as the hotter team, I like the Predators to come away with the two points tonight. Nasvhille played well last time out but a bad change was costly in OT. I felt that the Bruins, on the other hand, were somewhat fortunate to win their last game. Even Loui Erickson acknowledged: ''I felt like it wasn't the best game ... we made so many mistakes, even on the power play. We made some mistakes. They got some breakaways ... " While the Bruins' success on the road is well-documented, its largely come against Eastern Conference opponents. They're only 7-12 (-9.6) overall against teams from the West. The Preds have fared well against the Bruins in recent seasons and Rinne is 3-0-1 (2.32 GAA) against them. I expect their best effort here. 10* Personal Favorite |
|||||||
02-16-16 | Stars v. Blues -128 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS. The home team has won all three meetings this season. With the schedule in their favor, I expect the Blues to continue that trend this evening. While the Blues had yesterday off, the banged-up Stars are off an OT win at Nashville. They're 13-20 (-4.2) their past 33, when playing the second of b2b games. During that stretch, they're 9-17 when off a win streak of three or more games. This will be the Stars' fourth game in the past six days. The Blues, who are looking up at the Stars in the standings, are starting to play well. St Louis coach Hitchcock, a longtime Dallas coach, said this of the Blues: "It looks like we found some rhythm. We're starting to really play well and we have to keep playing well." They're 55-34 (Dallas is 34-43) against divisional opponents the past few seasons and I look for them to get it done again tonight. 8* Annihilator |
|||||||
02-16-16 | Sabres v. Senators -145 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 25 h 51 m | Show | |
I'm playing on OTTAWA. The Senators could badly use a victory and Buffalo should represent the perfect opponent. Sure, the Sabres are a little better than they used to be. They're still not a "good" team though and remain very inconsistent. The Sabres came in here and beat the Sens a few weeks ago, former Senator Robin Lehner getting the win for Buffalo. That should provide the Sens with some added motivation (not that they should need any) here. The Sabres have won two straight for the sixth time since mid-November. They've followed up the previous 2-game winning streaks by losing the next game, all five times. They were outscored by a combined 16-8 in those five games. Look for that third win to again prove elusive, as the Sens get back on track with a much-needed two points. 9* Personal Fav |
|||||||
02-15-16 | Maple Leafs v. Blackhawks -250 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CHICAGO. I don't make many friends by taking a large favorite like this, as many people are bothered by it. Thankfully, I'm not trying to win any popularity contests. I'm only interested in winning and finding value. In this case, I felt the line should be greater than -300. Its come down from that and I believe the current price is fair. While anything can obviously happen in any game, the Hawks are better in all facets of the game than the Leafs. They've also got the venue in their favor and they're catching Toronto off at the end of a 5-game trip which took them all through Western Canada. The Leafs best hope would normally be that the Hawks would overlook them. However, off three straight losses, that's not going to happen. The only previous time that the Hawks dropped three straight this season, they responded with a 3-1 win. They're 9-3 (+4.8) the last 12 times they were off three or more losses. The Hawks hammered the Leafs 4-0 in the last meeting here. No reason to expect any different here. 5* |
|||||||
02-15-16 | Stars v. Predators -120 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. Off three straight wins, the Stars are playing well right now. They're pretty banged-up at the moment though and I expect it to catch up with them here. The Stars are already without Spezza, one of their top players and its possible that they'll be without Seguin. He's currently questionable, the reason the game was OTB overnight. With or without him, I expect the Stars to stumble this evening. Three game winning streaks haven't been kind to the Stars. They just followed up a 3-game streak with a 5-1 loss earlier this month. That dropped them to 8-17 (-15.9) the last 25 times that they had won their previous three or more games. The Preds got back on track in a big way last time out, a much-needed 5-0 blanking of the Panthers. They've struggled against the Stars at Dallas but have had success here at Nashville, taking four of the last five meetings and six of eight. I look for them to build off that win here. 10* Div. Personal Favorite |
|||||||
02-15-16 | Penguins v. Panthers -126 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 54 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. When these teams met on 2/6, the Panthers were rolling, having won five straight. They jumped all over the Pens in that game and appeared en route to their sixth consecutive victory. The Penguins rallied to beat them though, erasing a 2-0 third period deficit, scoring the tying goal late in regulation (with the goalie pulled) and winning in OT. Florida had dominated the game but ran into a hot goalie as Pens backup Zatkoff "stood on his head," stopping 42 shots. Since that loss, the Panthers have struggled, causing Florida coach Gerard Gallant to say this of his team's recent effort: "Our team has been pathetic the last couple of games.". They'll be highly motivated to right the ship and I look for their best effort here. The comeback on 2/6 marked the second time that the Pens had beaten the Panthers in OT this season, both times winning by a score of 3-2. Note that Melkin, who scored the OT winner in the first game, is now out for the Pens. He'd been really starting to get going before his injury and I look for his absence to finally catch up with the Pens here. The Panthers are a profitable 32-23 (+18.2) last 55 times they attempted to avenge an earlier home loss, 12-3 (+11) their last 15 in that situation. Payback time. 10* GOW |
|||||||
02-15-16 | Red Wings v. Islanders -150 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 9 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NEW YORK. I won with the Wings yesterday but this is a tough spot for them. Off yesterday's wild game, they now play an early game against a talented and revenge-minded Isles team. The Isles, who lost 6-3 vs. Carolina on Saturday, are 12-7 against winning teams and 8-4 off a loss by two or more goals. Last game notwithstanding, they've started to play well recently, winning three of four. With the Wings at 4-7 when playing the second of b2b games and the Isles playing with double-revenge, I'm going with the home team. 8* B.M. |
|||||||
02-14-16 | Bruins v. Red Wings -144 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DETROIT. Boston won both earlier meetings but this should be a good spot for the Wings to get some payback. While the Bruins played yesterday and will be playing their third game in four days, the Wings had yesterday off. The last time that the Bruins played the second of b2b games, they lost by a 6-2 score. While that was at home, they're also 0-2 since Christmas, when playing on the road after playing the previous day. The Wings were struggling when these teams met earlier in the season. With three wins in their last four and points in all four of those games, they're starting to play better now. They should have won the last game against the Bruins here (blew lead in final 2 mins then lost in OT, despite dominating) and they haven't forgotten. Payback time this afternoon. 9* Afternoon Annihilator |
|||||||
02-13-16 | Ducks v. Blackhawks -130 | 3-2 | Loss | -130 | 25 h 60 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CHICAGO. Rarely do you find the Hawks at a better price at home than we find them here. While the Ducks are indeed a talented team, I believe that the low price is providing plenty of value with what should be a highly motivated Chicago team. The Hawks have dropped two straight. This is such a talented and well-coached team that they rarely experience extended losing streaks. This is just the third time since early December that the Hawks have dropped two in a row. In each previous case, they responded by winning the third game. Yes, the Ducks have played very well in recent weeks. Yes, they'll want to avenge this season's losses, as well as getting some payback against the team which knocked them out of the playoffs last season. That said, I don't think we can just ignore the fact that Anaheim is 10-15 on the road while Chicago is 21-8 at home. The Hawks are 4-0 the last four in the series and they've beaten the Ducks three straight here at Chicago. I look for them to continue that recent series dominance for another day. 9* personal favorite |
|||||||
02-13-16 | Maple Leafs v. Canucks -164 | 5-2 | Loss | -164 | 24 h 34 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VANCOUVER. While the Leafs have yet to win since trading away their captain, the Canucks have gotten back on track with back-to-back victories. Fighting for the playoffs, the Canucks know they can't afford to squander opportunities like this one. Vancouver defenseman Alex Biega had this to say of the Canucks' mentality: "Every game is do or die for us. Every point really matters. For the most part, that's playoff-type of hockey." The Leafs have given up nine goals in two games since trading away their captain and they haven't won here in Vancouver in more than a decade. Speaking of things that haven't happened in a long time, the Canucks will be wearing their black flying skate sweaters, ones they haven't worn in roughly 20 years. They'll have a number of former stars on hand, who should provide some inspiration. Further motivation stems from the fact that they lost at Toronto earlier. Payback time tonight. 8* B.M. |
|||||||
02-12-16 | Flames v. Coyotes -130 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ARIZONA. The Coyotes are badly in need of a victory. Facing a team they've had success against and with the schedule in their favor, I look for them to get one. While Arizona had the day off, the Flames were involved in a wild game last night. They got up big on the Sharks, only to blow a 3-goal lead, lose their starting goalie and then hang on to win in a shootout. Off that dramatic affair, I won't be surprised to see them struggle here. Note that Calgary is 3-5 when playing the second of b2b games, 1-3 its last four. Last night notwithstanding, the Flames haven't been good on the road, or in divisional games. The Coyotes remain a respectable 11-7 (+8.1) against divisional opponents and they're 10-5 (+6.1) when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. They won both this season's earlier meetings and I like their chances again tonight. 9* Personal Favorite |
|||||||
02-11-16 | Maple Leafs v. Oilers -130 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. Both these teams have followed up 2-game winning streaks with a losing streak. Both lost their last game by a goal and both suffered blowout losses in the game before that. Playing at home, I expect the Oilers to be the team which bounces back tonight. Its not a coincidence that Edmonton's last three losses have all come on the road, as the Oilers are terrible (7-23) away from Edmonton. One of those losses came at Toronto. They're above 500 here at home though and they won their only post-All Star game here by a score of 5-1. They're 9-4 when playing a home game w/ an O/U line of 5.5. While the Oilers outscore teams by a 2.9 to 2.6 average here, the Leafs get outscored by an average of 2.9 to 2.2 on the road. The Oilers, who happen to be 8-3 (+6) after losing three or more consecutive games, are a young team which feels its on the rise. The Leafs are a team which just traded its captain away, a move which may help down the road but won't help them tonight. Oilers ge it done. 8* Annihilator |
|||||||
02-11-16 | Sabres v. Flyers -150 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 25 h 55 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. Both these teams have dropped three straight. Playing at home, I expect the revenge-minded Flyers to be the team which snaps its skid here. These played twice earlier in the season. The Sabres won both those meetings. That should provide the Flyers with some added motivation. No team wants to get dominated by Buffalo. The Sabres are just 17-49 (-17.6) the past couple of seasons, when playing a road game with an O/U line of less than 5.5. During that time, they're also a dismal 23-64 (-24.2) after a loss by two or more goals in their previous game. Philadelphia had a bad 6-game losing streak at the beginning of the season and both previous games against Buffalo came during that stretch. Since then, this is the fourth time that the Flyers have lost three straight games. Each previous time they snapped the skid before it got to four games. I look for the Flyers to bounce back again here, improving to 9-6 (+4.2) the last 15 times that they scored one goal or less in their previous game. 9* Personal Favorite |
|||||||
02-09-16 | Maple Leafs v. Flames -135 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 20 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. The home team won both meetings last season. The Leafs won 4-1 at Toronto while the Flames won 6-3 here at Calgary. I expect the home team to have the edge again this evening. The Leafs are 11-17 on the road. They get outscored by an average of 2.8 to 2.1. The Flames are a little disappointed with their 15-11 home record but they're still much better here than the Leafs are away from Toronto. Calgary has outscored teams by an average of 3.0 to 2.8 in games here. After a couple of rare wins, the Leafs fell back to earth in a big way last time out, a 6-1 loss at Ottawa. Note that they're a dismal 19-44 (-25.4) the L63 times that they scored one goal or less in their previous game, 3-14 in that situation this season. While the Leafs are already playing out the string, the Flames still have playoff aspirations and are desperate for points. They know they can ill afford to squander opportunities like this one, particularly after they lost to Columbus in their last game here and as they hit the road after this one. They were laying -190 for last year's game here and I believe tonight's far more reasonable price is providing excellent value. 9* Personal Favorite |
|||||||
02-09-16 | Islanders -125 v. Blue Jackets | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
I'm playing on the NEW YORK ISLANDERS. The Jackets are coming off a rare successful West Coast road trip. This is their first game back though, which can be difficult to begin with and they'll be taking on a talented team which is coming off a breakout game. I expect a reality check. Recent wins notwithstanding, the Jackets are still a bad team. They're now tied for the fewest points in the league. They won't be making the playoffs. On the other hand, the Isles are a good team which is fighting for its playoff lives. An 8-1 destruction of Edmonton last time out should have them full of confidence here, as will the fact that they've dominated the Jackets this season. Having dropped two straight, prior to the big win, the Isles know they can't afford to get complacent. They've outscored the Jackets by a 12-4 margin this season and I expect them to finish on top once again. 9* Annihilator |
|||||||
02-07-16 | Oilers v. Islanders -165 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
I'm playing on the NEW YORK ISLANDERS. After winning with the Oilers a couple of games ago, I played against them yesterday. They lost 5-1 at Montreal. The Isles are also off a 5-1 loss yesterday. Playing at home, I like their chances of being the team which bounces back. The Isles have dominated teams from the Western Conference, going 13-6 (+5.9). They're a respectable 16-11 at home, outscoring teams by an average score of 3.1 to 2.5. On the other hand, the Oilers dropped to a dismal 7-21 on the road, with yesterday's loss. Yesterday notwithstanding, the Oilers have been respectable against "losing teams." They can't compete against top tier teams though. Indeed, they're a terrible 31-80 (-32.8) the past couple of seasons against teams with winning records. While the Oilers have been out of the playoff race for some time, the Isles are desperate for points. They know that they can't afford to drop games like this one and I look for their very best effort. 6* |
|||||||
02-06-16 | Maple Leafs v. Senators -120 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
I'm playing on OTTAWA. The Leafs come in as the hotter team. However, I believe the Sens are still the better team and I look for them to have the advantage this evening. Sure, the Leafs have won two in a row. However, three game winning streaks have been few and are between for this team the past few decades, as have victories against divisional opponents. This season, Toronto is a terrible 1-13 (1-7-6) against divisional opponents. The Leafs have managed an average of just 1.9 goals in those 14 games, giving up an avg of 3.4. Yikes. Yes, the Sens have dropped three straight. They're a solid 14-9 (+5.5) the past 2+ seasons, off three or more consecutive losses though. During that stretch, they're also a profitable 32-23 (+13) after dropping their previous game by two or more goals. I believe the price is very fair and I expect them to bounce back here. 10* Personal Fav. |
|||||||
02-06-16 | Oilers v. Canadiens -135 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MONTREAL. I won with the Oilers a couple of games ago. However, I expect them to have their hands full this afternoon. The Canadiens, who will be looking to avenge an earlier loss at Edmonton, figure to be desperate to stop the bleeding. Facing an Oilers team that is a terrible 7-20 away from Edmonton figures to be the perfect tonic for their problems. I rarely pay attention to how well a team performs on a certain day, as that's generally random coincidence. However, Saturday hockey games are still a big deal in Montreal and afternoon ones don't come around that often. Note that the Oilers are 9-29 (-19.6) on Saturdays the past couple of years. During the same stretch, the Habs are 42-22 (+14). The bleeding stops this afternoon, at least for now. 9* Annihilator |
|||||||
02-05-16 | Blue Jackets v. Flames -160 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -160 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
I'm playing on CALGARY. This price is slightly higher than I'd normally go for a "big" play. However, I really like how it sets up and believe the price could easily be higher. I won with the Flames a couple of nights ago. While I'm aware that they're short-handed on the blue line, I expect that 4-1 win to provide them with some confidence and momentum. The Flames still have aspirations of making the playoffs and they know that if they want any shot of that becoming reality that these are the games that they absolutely need to take advantage of. Opponents like the Blue Jackets don't come around regularly. Yes, Columbus won at Vancouver last night. The Jackets likely benefitted from the fact that they were catching the Canucks off an extra long break. That was also an emotional game for them, as their coach was returning to face his old team. So, despite the fact that they're essentially already playing out the string, the team had reason to "get up" for that one. I believe a letdown is entirely possible here. The Flames handled them at Columbus recently and with the schedule in their favor, I expect more of the same here. 10* Personal Favorite |
|||||||
02-04-16 | Flyers v. Predators -155 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -155 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. The Predators dropped their first game back from the break, losing 1-0. They'd really started to roll before that though and I look for them to get back on track this evening. While the Flyers have been scoring some goals recently, they still only average 2.4 per game, 2.3 on the road. By comparison, the Preds score 2.8 per game at home, outshooting teams by a 31.2 to 25.8 margin here. Its on the defensive side of things (and in net) where Nashville has the real advantage though. The Preds have allowed only five goals over their past five games and have given up one or less in six of seven. That spells trouble for the Flyers as they've allowed two or more goals in five straight (avg of 3) and in seven of their past eight. For the season, the Flyers allow 2.9 per game on the road, the Preds 2.2 at home. The Preds are a profitable 32-22 (+9.9) the past 2+ seasons after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. I expect them to improve on those stats here, avenging a November loss at Philly in the process. 10* Personal Favorite |
|||||||
02-03-16 | Hurricanes v. Flames -116 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 51 m | Show |
I'm playing on CALGARY. These teams met at Carolina prior to the break. The Canes won by a score of 5-2. With this evening's rematch being played at Calgary, I expect the Flames to return the favor. The Flames have long dominated the Canes here at Calgary. The most recent meeting saw them win by a score of 5-0. While the Flames are a somewhat respectable 14-10 at home, the Canes are just 11-14 away from Raleigh. The Canes closed out the first half with an impressive 5-0 win over Chicago. Note that they're just 58-84 (-31.2) over the years, when playing with three or more day's rest. During that stretch, they're also a dismal 29-52 (-30.6) when they were off a shutout win. Off this season's two shutout wins, they've been outscored by a combined 7-1 margin in their next game. Looking at some more stats, the Canes are just 16-42 (-23.2) the past 2+ seasons, when playing a road game with an O/U line of less than 5.5. During that period, the Flames are 24-11 (+14.2) when playing a home game with an O/U line of less than 5.5. I like their chances of improving on those stats here. 10* GOW |
|||||||
02-03-16 | Sabres v. Canadiens -138 | 4-2 | Loss | -138 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MONTREAL. The Canadiens destroyed the Sabres by a 7-2 score when the teams met earlier in the season. That game was at Buffalo but the Canadiens were more expensive than they are here. I expect the Canadiens to play with desperation and feel tonight's price is a relative bargain. Montreal can't afford to keep losing and knows this is the type of team it needs to beat. Nathan Beaulieu had this to say on the team's mindset: "I mean, we're not going to give up on each other... We've got to really look at ourselves in the mirror right now." Sure, the Sabres would love to avenge the earlier 7-2 loss. That's easier said than done for them though; they're just 19-49 (-18.2) the last 68 times they attempted to avenge an earlier home loss. True, the Canadiens played last night, losing against the Flyers while the Sabres had last night off. Normally, that situation might favor the Sabres. However, given that both teams were just coming off the break, I expect it to favor the Habs. Montreal got its legs back last night and shouldn't be overly tired, due to having had plenty of rest before yesterday. The Sabres, on the other hand, may be a little rusty from the layoff. They're 7-13 the last 20 times they played the second of b2b games. The Canadiens were laying in the -400 range the last time they hosted the Sabres. This is by far the best price they've had for a game here against the Sabres in recent seasons. I look for them to step up and stop the bleeding. 8* Annihilator |
|||||||
02-02-16 | Blue Jackets v. Oilers -130 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 26 h 13 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. One might assume that these teams would prefer to lose, in order to improve their chances of drafting Auston Matthews, the top prospect in this year's draft. I think its much too early for that though and that both teams will be playing to win. That said, I expect the Oilers to be a little hungrier. The break came at the right time for the Oilers, as they'd dropped three straight. Now, they've had a chance to regroup and the extra time off has allowed Connor McDavid (last year's #1 overall pick) a chance to fully recover. He's expected back on the ice tonight for the first time since early November. McDavid noted: ''I'm excited. It feels like my first game all over again." In addition to anything he can contribute on the ice, he should bring some life to the crowd and a boost to the team overall. The Jackets are 10-17 on the road. They get outscored by an average of 3.1 to 2.4 away from Columbus. The Oilers also have trouble on the road. However, they're a somewhat respectable 13-11 here at Edmonton. They've beaten the Jackets six of the last seven meetings here and 19 of 25. I expect their best effort here. 9* personal favorite |
|||||||
01-27-16 | Predators v. Flames -110 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
I'm playing on CALGARY. The Predators won their third straight road game last night. They haven't won four straight away from Nashville for 5+ years though and I don't expect it to happen tonight. Recent win streak notwithstanding, the Preds are not the same team away from Nashville. They're still 10-16 (-8.2) on the road. On the other hand, Calgary is 14-9 (+4.6) at home. It should be noted that the Preds are an ugly 9-23 (-13.6) when playing the second of b2b games the past few seasons, including 0-6 this season. They were dominated in those games too, getting outscored by a combined 24-8 margin. Five of six losses came by multiple goals. Part of the reason, perhaps, for the Preds' problems in b2b spots is a tendency to give #1 goalie Rinne the night off. (He's only played b2b games once this season.) Backup Carter Hutton did earn a shutout in his last start, so he's capable. However, it should be noted that game was at home and that he's allowed eight combined goals in losing his last two on the road. (*Even if Rinne were to get the call, note that he's just 1-5 in nine starts at Calgary.) After finally making the playoffs last season, the Flames were supposed to be a team on the rise this year. They're currently out of a playoff spot though which should make them very hungry to enter the break with a win. Captain Mark Giordano noted: "We got to start from the get-go next game. We have one more before the break that we have to have ... " This is the third time that the Flames have lost b2b games already in 2016. They've responded to the first two 2-game losing streaks by winning 4-2 on the road and 6-0 here at Calgary. I believe the price is very fair and I expect their best effort again tonight. 10* GOM |
|||||||
01-27-16 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning -206 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TAMPA. No reason to expect anything but a win for the home team here. The Lightning have beaten the Leafs three straight times here. They come in off a loss against Florida and are looking to bounce back before the break. Prior to that, they'd won seven straight. The Leafs also lost against Florida in their last game. However, that's become normal for them. Limping towards the break, they've now dropped eight of their last nine. |
|||||||
01-26-16 | Avalanche v. Sharks -158 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE. Both these teams have started to play well of late. The Avs have won four straight and five of six. The Sharks lost their last game but have still won seven of nine. Playing at home and looking to avenge a late December loss here, I feel that it'll be the Sharks who have the advantage this evening. |
|||||||
01-26-16 | Coyotes v. Jets -155 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The home team has won both meetings in the season series. I expect another victory for the home team here. |
|||||||
01-26-16 | Blue Jackets v. Canadiens -172 | 5-2 | Loss | -172 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MONTREAL. These teams just met last night at Columbus, the Jackets winning by a 5-2 margin. With the venue switching to Montreal, I expect the Habs to have the advantage tonight. |
|||||||
01-26-16 | Devils v. Penguins -169 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. Both these teams have started to play well of late. The Devils have won four straight. The Penguins have won two in a row and three of four. Playing at home and looking to avenge an earlier 4-0 loss at NJ, I feel that it'll be the Pens who keep their streak in tact. |
|||||||
01-25-16 | Flames v. Stars -198 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DALLAS. While this price seems steep, I expect a highly motivated effort from a revenge-minded Stars team on Monday. These teams met twice in December. Calgary won both meetings. There's no way that Dallas wants to drop another one to this team. Additional motivation stems from the fact that the Stars have dropped five of their last six overall. |
|||||||
01-25-16 | Coyotes v. Wild -169 | 2-1 | Loss | -169 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. The Wild badly need to get back on track and this should be the perfect opponent to do so against. They're 8-1-1 the last 10 meetings in the series. |
|||||||
01-24-16 | Blues v. Blackhawks -154 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CHICAGO. With all due respect to the Blues, this line could easily be higher. While they've played well recently, the Blues are still a modest 12-12 on the road, where they get outshot and outscored. The Hawks, on the other hand, are 20-6 (+9.8) at home, outscoring teams by a commanding 3.1 to 1.6 margin. They're perfect here in 2016, outscoring teams by a combined 23-9 margin. In their last game, the Blues squandered the lead in the final minute and lost in a shootout. Those losses can be tough to bounce back from. The Hawks lost 4-0 though, getting thoroughly outworked. They're not happy about it and have vowed to deliver a better effort here. Chicago coach Quenneville was the coach of the Blues for many years; he always makes sure that the Hawks are up for games against his former club. While they've already avenged that loss with a win at St. Louis, the Hawks still haven't forgotten that the Blues beat them here earlier in the season. Off their huge winning streak, the Hawks have dropped two in a row. They'll be highly motivated to stop the bleeding and I like their chances of bouncing back. 8* Annihilator |
|||||||
01-23-16 | Blue Jackets v. Bruins -205 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON. Some people may shudder at the thought of laying such a high number. However, I personally believe that this number could easily be considerably higher. Therefore, to me, the Bruins are in fact providing fair value. Keep in mind that the Bruins were asked to lay -290 against a much better Columbus team last year. |
|||||||
01-23-16 | Devils v. Jets -130 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The Devils come in on a little roll while the Jets have struggled recently. Throw in the fact that Winnipeg is dealing with some injuries and many will be looking to back New Jersey. However, the Jets have dominated the Devils and I feel we're going to get a highly motivated effort from them this evening. |
|||||||
01-23-16 | Canucks v. Penguins -180 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. This is a difficult scheduling spot for the Canucks. Not only are they thousands of miles from home, they're playing the final leg of an East Coast road trip while doing so at a very early (9:35am West Coast time) starting time. Off a 4-2 win over Boston last time out, note that they're 1-6 off a win by two goals or more. The Pens are playing better under coach Mike Sullivan and got the monkey off their backs by beating the Flyers last time out. Sullivan figures to want this one a little more than most as the Canucks previously fired him from an assistant coaching position. Malkin noted: "Now we're starting to believe that we can win every game. We've got a great team ... " I like their chances here. 6* breakfast club |
|||||||
01-22-16 | Red Wings -127 v. Sabres | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DETROIT. The Wings have dominated the Sabres here over the years. A 4-3 win on 1/2 brought them to 6-0-1 their last seven visits here. Off b2b losses, the Wings should be fairly desperate for a win here. Prior to that, the Wings had won five of six to start the year. |
|||||||
01-21-16 | Flyers v. Penguins -147 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. The Penguins should be extremely motivated for this one. Not only do they badly need points but they've also lost eight straight against their hated instate rivals. |
|||||||
01-20-16 | Sabres v. Avalanche -164 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 25 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO. The Sabres have played some of their better hockey recently and have actually won four of five. However, they've still got a lot of weaknesses and I expect them be exposed this evening. |
|||||||
01-19-16 | Oilers v. Lightning -220 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 25 h 37 m | Show | |
I am playing on the LIGHTNING. Tampa Bay is lucky not to be laying far more chalk in this game in a spot where they catch the Oilers with no gas left in the tank. |
|||||||
01-18-16 | Sabres v. Coyotes -155 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -155 | 31 h 54 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Arizona Coyotes as my 10* Game of the Week. |
|||||||
01-17-16 | Flyers v. Red Wings -155 | 2-1 | Loss | -155 | 22 h 28 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Detroit Red Wings as a 7*. |
|||||||
01-17-16 | Panthers v. Lightning -140 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 59 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Tampa Bay Lightning as a 7*. Tampa Bay is burning up the schedule, riding a red-hot four-game winning streak into Sunday’s Sunshine State showdown with the rival Florida Panthers. The Lightning have discovered their offensive touch, netting a total of 15 goals in those four game. The Panthers, on the other hand, are coming down from their extended winning streak, losing two in a row since boasting a 12-game run. Things got especially messy in a 6-0 loss to Calgary last time out. We are getting great value on one team rising against another one falling. Tampa Bay has done well against Florida at home in recent meetings, winning four of its last five versus the Panthers inside Amalie Arena. I’m playing on Tampa Bay as a 7* Sunday. |
|||||||
01-17-16 | Hurricanes v. Penguins -160 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 59 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Pittsburgh Penguins as a 7*. |
|||||||
01-16-16 | Stars v. Sharks -116 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 29 h 0 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the San Jose Sharks as my 9* Best Bet. |
|||||||
01-15-16 | Jets v. Wild -151 | 1-0 | Loss | -151 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Minnesota Wild as my 9* Personal Favorite. |
|||||||
01-14-16 | Oilers v. Sharks -175 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 27 h 13 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the San Jose Sharks as my 6* Blue Marlin. |
|||||||
01-14-16 | Hurricanes v. Blues -164 | 4-1 | Loss | -164 | 25 h 45 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the St. Louis Blues as my 6* Annihilator. |
|||||||
01-12-16 | Sabres v. Wild -196 | 3-2 | Loss | -196 | 26 h 10 m | Show | |
I am playing on the WILD. Buffalo hasn't won back to back games in a month and I don't think the Sabres will end that streak Tuesday in Minnesota. |
|||||||
01-12-16 | Blue Jackets v. Islanders -191 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 25 h 10 m | Show | |
I am playing on the ISLANDERS. The Isles could really use a game against the worst team in the NHL and I think they'll take advantage by skating to a home win here Tuesday night. |
|||||||
01-12-16 | Penguins -111 v. Hurricanes | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -111 | 25 h 10 m | Show |
I am playing on the PENGUINS. Injuries have hit the Carolina lineup lately and the Canes also face a nightmare mismatch on special teams, which is why I like Pittsburgh here. |
|||||||
01-11-16 | Bruins v. Rangers -135 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 16 m | Show | |
I am playing on the NEW YORK RANGERS. The Rangers have to be dying to get back on the ice after the way their last game went down and I think Boston is going to be on the losing end of their frustrations on Monday. |
|||||||
01-10-16 | Devils v. Wild -150 | 2-1 | Loss | -150 | 25 h 40 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Minnesota Wild as my 8* Personal Favorite. |
|||||||
01-09-16 | Maple Leafs v. Sharks -140 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 26 h 31 m | Show | |
I am playing on the SAN JOSE SHARKS. The Sharks couldn't be catching the Leafs at a better time in this Saturday night clash and I'm surprised they're not laying more chalk. |
|||||||
01-08-16 | Blues v. Ducks -118 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 18 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Anaheim Ducks as my 10* Personal Favorite. |