This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS for our Championship Series Dominator. We put this out late because Milwaukee once again has delayed in naming a Game Three starter and the choices are interchangeable. In series using the current 2-3-2 format, teams that won Games 1 and 2 on the road have prevailed in the series 88.9 percent of the time so this is big just as it was for Toronto last night. The Brewers will likely go with Jose Quintana who is coming off a 49-pitch effort against the Cubs in the NLDS. They could also go with Jacob Misiorowski who would be on four days of rest. The Dodgers did what the Dodgers do when healthy as they threw their top two starters at Milwaukee and they went a combined 17 innings and Milwaukee has scored only two runs. They are back home where they are 55-30 but laying a big number as usual and they turn to Tyler Glasnow who has been solid since his return from injury and after coming back, he made his first two starts against the Brewers and while he allowed only one run in 11 innings but the Dodgers lost both games. Milwaukee is 15-2 in its last 17 road games following a game where they had four or fewer hits. 10* (957) Milwaukee Brewers

This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS for our Championship Series Game of the Year. The Dodgers are going to try and match what the Mariners did and that is win the first two Championship Series games on the road to take a commanding lead heading home for three straight games. Yoshinobu Yamamoto has had a spectacular season for the Dodgers with a 2.39 ERA and 1.00 WHIP through 32 starts and his numbers on the road are even better with a 2.13 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 18 outings. He is favored for this reason but a couple factors add value the other way. He dominated the Reds in the Wild Card Round, allowing no earned runs over 6.2 innings. However, he regressed against the Phillies in the Divisional Round as he gave up three runs in four innings and has that as the last memory. Additionally, he also knows his shortest and worst start of the season came right here on July 7 where he allowed five runs in 0.2 innings and it was his only career outing where he had no strikeouts. Milwaukee made a valiant effort in the ninth inning after getting one hit through eight innings and even though it was a loss, that inning can provide momentum. Freddy Peralta has a 2.80 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 35 starts and while he did not have his best stuff against the Cubs but was one out from a quality start at home in the NLDS and at home, he is 10-1 with a 1.85 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 18 starts. He faced the Dodgers and Yamamoto in that July start and tossed six shutout innings. 10* (952) Milwaukee Brewers

This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS for our NLCS Monday Dominator. The Brewers are looking to make it back to the World Series for the first time since 1982 and just the second time in franchise history. They are coming off a five-game NLDS win over the Cubs and remain home where they are 55-29 and as of Monday morning, they have not named a starter and it will come down to Quinn Priester or a bullpen game as Freddy Peralta has already been named the Game Two starter. Milwaukee dropped the last two starts for Priester after winning 16 consecutive starts of his. The Dodgers are looking to become the first team in a quarter century to successfully defend a World Series title. They look both games in Philadelphia in the NLDS but have been untrustworthy on the road as they are just 43-40. Blake Snell gets the call and while he has been dominant, he has not been nearly as dominant on the road. He has a 1.39 ERA at home over eight home starts while posting a 3.41 ERA in five road outings. Still good but not as a favorite over the best team in baseball. 10* (946) Milwaukee Brewers

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES for our NLDS Wednesday Dominator. Obviously, the season comes down to tonight for the Phillies after a brutal loss on Monday failing with their comeback bid in the ninth inning. Now they hit the road where they have been average at 41-40 but we get incredible value tonight with the number and a veteran pitcher coming off one of his best starts of the season and having a ton of rest. Aaron Nola is having his worst season in Philadelphia and injuries playing a big part in that after missing three months between May and August. His last start was his longest as he went eight innings while allowing only two hits and one run, a solo home run, striking out nine and not walking a hitter. The Dodgers have been a disappointment based on their win total coming into the season but are getting healthy and send one of their top pitchers thus the number. Yoshinobu Yamamoto has gone three straight starts without allowing a run and this is the sell high spot based on that and what the number is. 10* (911) Philadelphia Phillies

This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS for our ALDS Dominator. Detroit came away with a split in Seattle which was essential and the Tigers return home where they are 46-35 and are in the rare role of home underdog. Jack Flaherty has been a huge disappointment for the Tigers after coming back from the Dodgers. He is however back home for the first time in three weeks and this is where he has been at his best and he has been in this spotlight before with his time in Los Angeles which came to fruition in the Cleveland series. Seattle was actually fortunate with the split since it could not escape Tarik Skubal in Game Two but was able to get the win over the bullpen. One of the hottest teams over the second half of the season, we do not think they are trustworthy on the road at 39-42 at this number. Logan Gilbert has started to find his rhythm after a slow start since coming back in June but should not be laying this number on the road. He has a 2.23 ERA in 13 home starts but the highway has not been kind as he has a 4.88 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in 12 road starts and Seattle is 4-13 in his last 17 road games in the second half of the season. 10* (904) Detroit Tigers

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES for our NLDS Dominator. The Dodgers came through on Saturday and we are flipping in Game Two as they are now overvalued in a sell high time. The series basically on the line for the Phillies as a loss and heading to Los Angeles after spells disaster. Philadelphia comes in 55-27 at home and is now as a home underdog and is the wrong price. Jesus Luzardo has been part of the solid top of the rotation and isd coming off a great start in his last outing. He got lit up by the Dodgers before that but that was on the road and the extended rest is big. lake Snell is going to be a huge part of the Dodgers postseason rotation and he will be fresh as long as he can remain healthy. He made two early starts before going on the IL for four months because of a shoulder injury and he has made 10 starts since coming back for a 2.14 ERA. He has made only four road starts, posting a 4.30 ERA compared to his 1.25 ERA at home. 10* (948) Philadelphia Phillies

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES DODGERS for our NLDS Dominator. The Dodgers advanced to the NLDS relatively easy and hit the road where they have not been good but actually have some value here. Shohei Ohtani gets the call for Game One and while he was brought along slowly, the goal was to have him at full strength come the postseason and that is where he is. He closed the regular season by not allowing a run over his last 16.2 innings and he is coming off his longest start of the season as he tossed 91 pitches while going six innings. Included in the scoreless streak was five shutout innings against the Phillies where he did not allow a hit. Per the MLB website, Clayton Kershaw will be back on the roster and available out of the bullpen, and Tyler Glasnow will also be a relief option in Game One, which lines him up to start a potential Game Four. Cristopher Sanchez has been great all season as among National League starters, he ranked second in innings (202), third in ERA (2.50), fourth in WHIP (1.06) and fifth in strikeouts (212). He has been especially good at home with a 1.94 ERA in 15 starts with the Phillies going 13-2 in those games and that alone is putting the majority on Philadelphia in Game One but while they zig, we will zag. 10* (935) Los Angeles Dodgers

This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Tuesday Double Play. The Reds are not going to be given much of a chance here in this series but we are all over them in Game One as this is a team playing loose and with no pressure. Cincinnati closed with an 8-3 record in its final 11 regular season games and got a break with the Mets collapse to make the postseason. Hunter Greene missed two and a half months and came back in mid-August and has looked great. He has one back outing which came in Sacramento in a stadium that no pitcher seemed to like. The Dodgers closed well also with five straight wins and going 9-2 in their final 11 games but it has been a disappointment overall. They are the fortunate division winner that does not have the bye as they can carry momentum into the Wild Card round but they are simply overpriced. Blake Snell is fresh and ready to go in the postseason after missing four months and his home schedule has been excellent with the Dodgers going 6-1 in seven home outings but has a comparable starter on the other side. 10* (947) Cincinnati Reds

This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX as part of our MLB Tuesday Double Play. The Yankees closed the regular season with eight straight wins but it was not enough to take the American League East yet carry that momentum into the postseason. While that momentum is big, we are fading here with this being the best Boston opportunity to win on the road at a good number. New York goes with Max Fried who has been the best and most consistent pitcher in the rotation with his 2.86 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 32 starts. He has been better at home with a 2.37 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 15 starts with the Yankees going 11-4. While that is a concern, more than half of those wins came against non-playoff teams with the Yankees going 2-2 against teams with a winning percentage of .540 or better. Boston was ok the road but dominated with Garrett Crochet on the hill as the Red Sox went 15-3 in his 18 road starts as he posted a 2.25 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. Boston has won his last seven starts including two against the Yankees and is 8-0this season when the line is between +125 and -125. 10* (945) Boston Red Sox

This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS for our Divisional Game of the Month. Miami lost last night but remains mathematically in the mix as it had won seven straight and 11 of its last 12 games prior to Wednesday and is four games out of the final Wild Card spot in the National League with four games remaining, three against the Mets to close the season, and two other teams in front having tough season ending series. At 41-39, they have the fifth best road record in baseball and send to the hill a reverse splits starter. Janson Junk is an outcast who has resurrected something in Miami as he has a 4.27 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 20 games including 15 starts and that is inflated because of three rough home starts against the Royals, Yankees and Nationals. He has a 3.42 ERA and 1.07 WHIP on the road and the Marlins are 5-0 in his five road starts as an underdog between +125 and +175. The Phillies are still three games behind the Brewers for the top spot in the National League and they are going with Walker Buehler who was let go by the Red Sox and is pitching for a playoff rotation spot in the bullpen despite going less than nine innings with Philadelphia. He is clearly an overpriced favorite in his last start of the season. 10* (905) Miami Marlins

This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. Arizona came through for us last night and we will ride the Diamondbacks again after coming back from a 4-0 deficit in the seventh inning as they scored two in the ninth. Arizona has gone 16-8 over its last 24 games to put it back into the race for the final Wild Card spot in the National League as it is one game behind the Mets tied with the Reds. Ryne Nelson opened the season in the bullpen with 10 appearances and he has been great since entering the rotation as he has a 3.10 ERA and 1.07 WHIP over 22 starts. His splits are even more expansive with a 4.26 ERA in 15 road appearances compared to a 2.58 ERA in 17 home games including a 2.41 ERA in nine starts. The Dodgers have been garbage on the road and continue to be overvalued. Los Angeles still has work to do in winning the National League West as it is a game and a half ahead of the Padres with all five remaining games on the highway. The road has not been good for the Dodgers as they are 11-21 over their last 32 road games. Blake Snell will be a big part of the playoffs for Los Angeles as he is rested after being out for four months but he is not good on the road with a 5.29 ERA in three starts. 10* (962) Arizona Diamondbacks

This is a play on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. Things are getting tight in the American League East as Toronto now has a one game lead over the Yankees in the American League East following its series opening loss against Boston on Tuesday. The Blue Jays have dropped five of six and they still control their own destiny as the lead in the division is in reality two games as they hold the tiebreaker over New York. If you want a pitcher on the hill in a game that needs to be won, it is Max Scherzer. He has had a rough stretch over his last five games but the spot is good being back home where he has been better and Toronto is 7-2 in his nine home outings. Boston has a two-game lead over Houston so this is big for the Red Sox as well and are favored. Garrett Crochet counters for Boston and while he is the guy they want here, he has slipped after being a Cy Young candidate for most of the season. He has been a great addition and his road numbers are awesome but over his last eight starts, he has a 4.04 ERA and he has been crushed by the long ball, allowing 12 home runs over this eight-game stretch. Toronto is 17-2 this season at home against left-handed starters. 10* (972) Toronto Blue Jays

This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. The Marlins have been one of the pleasant surprises this season and they will not quit and momentum counts this time of year. Miami has won seven straight and 11 of its last 12 games to keep a very slim playoff hope alive as it is four games out of the final Wild Card spot in the National League with five games remaining, three against the Mets to close the season, and two other teams in front having tough season ending series. Ryan Weathers gets the call to keep it rolling and he has made two starts since coming back into the rotation and while the last one was not good, it was at Coors Field. He had a 2.73 ERA prior to that including a 2.63 ERA on the road. The Phillies are just 22-25 against left-handed starters, dropping 11.2 units. The Phillies have lost three straight games and their quest for the top spot in the National League is slipping as they remain three games behind Milwaukee which has also lost three straight. Jesus Luzardo counters for the Phillies and he has been average with a 4.08 ERA overall in 31 starts including a 4.50 ERA at home in 15 outings Philadelphia is 7-9 in his 16 starts as a favorite of -150 or more, losing 9.4 units. 10* (957) Miami Marlins

This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. Arizona has gone 15-8 over its last 23 games and it has gotten back into the race for the final Wild Card spot in the National League as it is one game behind the Mets and Reds and two games up on the Giants. The schedule is not on their side as they have three here against the Dodgers and then head to San Diego for the final series of the season. Brandon Pfaadt has had a rough season as he has a 4.97 ERA in 31 starts but the damage has been on the road where he has a 7.17 ERA in 15 starts but that ERA drops to 3.15 in 16 home outings. Los Angeles still has some work to do in winning the National League West as it is three games ahead of the Padres with all six remaining games on the highway. The road has not been good for the Dodgers as they are 11-20 over their last 31 road games. Shohei Ohtani has made 13 starts and he has been decent with a 3.29 ERA but is just 1-1 as he has averaged just over three innings per outing. He has a 4.95 ERA in six road starts with the Dodgers 1-5 in those games and they are 0-6 in his six games against National League teams averaging 4.5 or more rpg. 10* (912) Arizona Diamondbacks

This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. Washington continues to play hard as the season winds down as it took two games in New York against the Mets over the weekend to close the series. The Nationals have not been very good on the road at 33-45 but they have netted 3.4 units thanks to numbers like these. Brad Lord had a rough stretch to end August but has settled down over his last three starts, allowing six runs over 16.6 innings and he has the reverse splits with a 3.21 ERA on the road compared to a 5.01 ERA at home. The Braves are 13 games under. 500 against right-handed pitchers and down 32.2 units. The Braves have been playing excellent but it is obviously too little, too late as they have won nine straight games which is a big reason for this number but also they are being priced like the Braves of old. Atlanta is three games under .500 at home and down 21.8 units and laying another huge number with a young pitcher. Hurston Waldrep has been impressive in his limited action as he has a 3.04 ERA in nine games including eight starts but after a strong six-game stretch, he has allowed 11 runs in 9.2 innings over his last two starts. 10* (905) Washington Nationals

This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. We did not think it was possible but Detroit is in jeopardy of losing its lead in the American League Central as it is one game ahead of Cleveland after holding a 13-game lead on July 9 and 10.5 games just a month ago. The Tigers now head to Cleveland for this massive series and then go to Boston after so this is a brutal roadtrip to end the season. Detroit is down to just three games over .500 on the road and it comes in as the road favorite for obvious reasons with Tarik Skubal trying to get this team regrouped. He will be the American League Cy Young winner as he has a 2.23 ERA and 0.88 WHIP through 30 starts and while his numbers are better on the road, the wins are not coming as he is 9-1 at home but just 4-4 on the road. Cleveland had its 10-game winning streak snapped with a loss on Sunday against the Twins and there is still momentum to keep the run going. Gavin Williams has been a huge asset as he is 11-5 with a 3.06 ERA in 30 starts including a 3.00 ERA in 15 home outings. He has been pitching his best of late with a 2.20 ERA in his last 10 starts and Cleveland is 10-5 in his 15 starts against teams with a winning record. 10* (918) Cleveland Guardians

This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS for our N.L. Game of the Month. St. Louis and San Francisco are both still mathematically alive for a Wild Card spot in the National League and it will take both to win out and get some help so the scenarios are unlikely for either side. The Cardinals took two of three against the Brewers in a must win series to conclude a 3-3 homestand and they close with all six remaining games on the road and while they have not been great on the road, this is the value spot. Michael McGreevy has been a great addition to the He has reverse splits as he has struggled at home with a 5.22 ERA and 1.34 WHIP but on the road he has a 2.75 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in six starts. The Cardinals are 5-1 in those games including 3-0 against teams with a losing record. The Giants salvaged one game in Los Angeles after dropping three straight to the Dodgers and are back home where they are just one game over .500. Justin Verlander is going through his best stretch of the season as he has a 0.87 ERA and 1.03 WHIP over his last five starts so this is the sell high spot. The Giants do not win in his starts on a regular basis as they are 9-18 including 6-9 at home and have dropped 6.7 units which shows the overpriced markets. 10* (955) St. Louis Cardinals

This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS as part of our MLB Sunday Double Play. Seattle has won the first two games of this series and has moved two games ahead of Houston in the American League West. The Mariners have won 13 of their last 14 games and are another sell high team that is now laying their biggest number on this roadtrip as they sit four games under .500 on the road. Logan Gilbert has started to find his rhythm after a slow start since coming back in June but should be laying this number which is higher than his last start which was on the road against a much worse Kansas City team. The highway has not been kind as he has a 5.24 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 11 road starts and Seattle is 3-13 in his last 15 road games in the second half of the season. This is a huge game for Houston with this being its final home game of the season and now tied for the final Wild Card spot. Jason Alexander has been great over his last nine starts with a 2.34 ERA and 1.06 WHIP covering 50 innings. While he has pitched excellent, the Astros have given him ample run support and that has led to Houston going 9-0 over these last nine starts. 10* (918) Houston Astros

This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS as part of our MLB Sunday Double Play. Cleveland swept the Twins on Saturday by a combined score of 14-0 and the Guardians have won 10 straight games and what was once a division that looked sealed, the American League Central is wide open. Cleveland is one game behind the Tigers and this is where we sell high especially with a home series against the Tigers on deck. Joey Cantillo has turned things around after a slow start as he has a 1.21 ERA over his last five starts and also falls into the sell high category. Minnesota can try and play spoiler after a brutal Saturday and this is their final home game of the season. Simeon Woods Richardson counters for the Twins and he had a rough start after coming off the IL in late August with a stomach parasite but he has settled down over his last three starts. He is back home where he has been solid, posting a 3.05 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 11 starts and he has allowed three runs or fewer in his last seven home starts and 10 of those 11 starts overall. The Twins are 6-1 in his six starts against good teams that are outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more rpg. 10* (916) Minnesota Twins

This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS as part of our MLB Saturday Double Play. We rode St. Louis last night and we are coming back again with the Cardinals against what has become an average Brewers team. Milwaukee was coming off a sweep of the Angels to conclude a 5-1 homestand but lost last night 7-1 yet its magic number to clinch the National League Central came down to three with the Cubs loss. The Brewers had that massive 17-1 run to get into first place but have gone a pedestrian 16-16 since then and will continue to be overpriced. Chad Patrick has no business laying this number on the road where he has a 4.60 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 10 games including nine starts and going back to early June, the Brewers have lost his last nine starts. St. Louis opened its final homestand of the season by losing two of three against Cincinnati and are now seven games over .500 at home with two remaining. Miles Mikolas has allowed two runs or less in his last four starts and he is back home where he has a 3.40 ERA in 14 starts compared to a 6.33 ERA in 15 road outings. 10* (956) St. Louis Cardinals

This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES as part of our MLB Saturday Double Play. New York is coming off a 4-2 loss last night and remains three games behind Toronto in the American League East but still has the top Wild Card spot as it is ahead of Boston and Houston by a game and a half. They remain on the road where they are 42-37 and down 8.8 units. Carlos Rodon has been one of the consistent starters for the Yankees as he comes in with a 3.11 ERA and 1.07 WHIP through 31 starts and this includes a 3.32 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 17 road starts. Like the team as a whole, winning on the road has not come with the success as New York is 8-9 in those 17 road games. Baltimore has won four of five games and evened the season series at four games each following the win last night. The Orioles remain two games under .500 at home and with five games still remaining against New York, the spoiler role is fully enabled. Tomoyuki Sugano has had a decent first year with Baltimore and the Orioles have stepped it up, going 8-4 against teams with a winning percentage of .520 or better, winning 7.5 units. 10* (964) Baltimore Orioles

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. San Francisco continues to hang on to some hope for a playoff spot as it is three games out of the final Wild Card spot in the National League following a 2-1 loss in the series opener last night, the offense managing only one hit. Robbie Ray has put together a fantastic season as he has a 3.50 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 31 starts and he looks to get past a recent stretch of poor outings as he has allowed 17 runs over his last four starts but three of those were at home where he has struggled more than on the road where he has a 3.28 ERA in 15 outings with the Giants going 12-3 including 6-0 in his six starts as road underdogs. The Dodgers moved to three games ahead of the Padres in the National League West and are likely locked into the No. 3 seed for the upcoming postseason. Clayton Kershaw continues to deal in what is officially now his last season. He has a 3.53 ERA in 20 starts including a 3.38 ERA in nine home outings. He too has been struggling lately and he is overpriced based on name on front and back of his jersey. 10* (909) San Francisco Giants

This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. Milwaukee is coming off a sweep of the Angels to conclude a 5-1 homestand and its magic number to clinch the National League Central is down to four. Jacob Misiorowski made the National League All Star team after just five starts and those who opposed that decision could not have been more correct as it was an outlandish pronouncement. He has made eight starts since the All Star Break and has posted a 5.50 ERA with just one quality start which is the only game he has gone past five innings. In six road starts, he brings in a 5.61 ERA and while the Brewers are 6-1 in his seven home starts, they are just 3-3 in his six road outings. St. Louis opened its final homestand of the season by losing two of three against Cincinnati and are still six games over .500 at home. Sonny Gray has had a pretty average season with a 4.43 ERA but that does include a 4.04 ERA in 19 home starts compared to a 5.11 ERA in 11 road outings. The Cardinals are 14-5 in those 19 home games. 10* (906) St. Louis Cardinals

This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. After losing three straight at the red hot Guardians, the White Sox returned home and were promptly swept by the Orioles to make it six straight losses following a solid 10-4 run and we find some excellent value in this series opener in a great buy low spot. Chicago is only down three units of profit at home because of numbers like these. Davis Martin comes in with a 4.01 ERA in 23 starts and one relief appearance where it was technically a start as he went six innings following an opener. He has a 4.01 ERA at home where Chicago has won five of his 11 outings and he has allowed three runs or less in six straight home starts. The Padres lost two of three in New York against the Mets as their road struggles continue as they are now 36-42. Dylan Cease has been a big disappointment this season as he has a 4.59 ERA through 30 starts with only eight of those being quality. Like the team as a whole, he has been bad on the road with a 5.54 ERA in 15 outings. 10* (926) Chicago White Sox

This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Afternoon Double Play. Time is running out for Colorado as it remains tied with the 2024 White Sox for fewest wins in a 162-game season with just four home games left. This is a system play on Colorado which opened this series with a pair of losses and the Rockies have played 24 homestands prior to this one and opponents being lethargic in the series finale to simply get out of town is a real thing as the Rockies are 12-12 in those finales, netting 7.1 units. Tanner Gordon has been pitching well with a 3.58 ERA over his last five starts he has actually pitched better at Coors Field with a 5.40 ERA compared to a 7.40 ERA on the road. The Marlins have been a decent road team all season but they are another team that is ready to get out of town and they do not has a counter here with Sandy Alcantara who has also been pitching very well of late but most of his starts have been at home and he is back on the road for just the second time in a month and he has a 7.24 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 12 road outings. 10* (954) Colorado Rockies

This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Afternoon Double Play. We are rolling with the Royals again as they came through last night with our comp play and are in another good spot. Kansas City will not be going back to the postseason as it has dropped seven of its last 10 games but is back to .500 and is now five games over .500 at home. Stephen Kolek does have reverse splits with home struggles but that was mainly early in the season and he has been great in three starts since coming back with a 1.83 ERA over 19.2 innings. Seattle had won 10 straight games to overtake Houston in the American League West but it flipped back after last night. While the run has been solid, it has mostly been at home and the Mariners are seven games under .500 on the road. Overall, Seattle is just 33-38 when the number is between +125 and -125. Luis Castillo is having a decent season but he is like most other Seattle starters that are great at home and struggle on the road as he has a 2.71 ERA in 16 home starts but a 5.09 ERA in 14 road outings. He has an 8.07 ERA over his last six games. 10* (966) Kansas City Royals

This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. The Yankees did their best in trying to blow a 10-1 lead last night as they hung on for a 10-9 victory. New York is five games behind Toronto in the American League East but still has the top Wild Card spot as it is ahead of Houston by a game and a half. They remain on the road where they are 40-36 and down 9.7 units and the Yankees are just 21-21 as road favorites between -125 and -175. Luis Gil has been solid since finally hitting the hill. He got back into the rotation in August and opened with a poor outing but he has been great since with a 1.95 ERA over his last six starts and he will be a huge asset come playoff time but we fade him on the road. The Twins have split the first two games and are in a similar spot to Monday. The real issues have been on the road where they are 29-46, the fourth worst road record in all of baseball and while they are two games under .500 at home, this is a value spot and Minnesota is in a good buy low situation. Minnesota is 6-1 at home against teams averaging 1.5 or more home runs per game. Taj Bradley has been average across the board but it pitching to a 3.92 xERA. 10* (926) Minnesota Twins

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. The Angels have lost five straight to open this roadtrip and while the road has not been great, it has been for one pitcher. Los Angeles is 12-3 this season against National League teams averaging five or more rpg. Jose Soriano has been the epitome of reverse home/road splits this season and as long as the number works, we will continue to work with it. He has struggled all season at home with a 5.90 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in 15 home outings. He is now back on the road where he has a 2.66 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 15 outings while pitching to a 2.92 xERA and the Angels are 10-5 in those games. The Brewers had that massive 17-1 run to get into first place in the National League Central but have gone a pedestrian 14-15 since then and will continue to be overpriced. Milwaukee is ahead of the Phillies by just a game and a half for the best record in the National League so it is getting tight. Brandon Woodruff started strong in his comeback but he has struggled late as he has a 4.93 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in his last five starts and this includes two starts against the lowly Pirates where he allowed no run. 10* (929) Los Angeles Angels

This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. Cleveland is coming off a 7-5 win in 10 innings last night to make it five straight wins and the Guardians are 10-1 over their last 11 games. While they were playing spoiler not that long ago, they have more to play for now as they have moved 2.5 games out of the final Wild Card spot in the American League with 10 games remaining. Gavin Williams has been a huge asset as he is 10-5 with a 3.16 ERA in 29 starts including a 3.33 ERA in 14 road outings. He has been pitching his best of late with a 2.28 ERA in his last 10 starts and Cleveland is 9-5 in his 14 starts against teams with a winning record. Detroit is holding on in the American League Central but has fallen four games behind Toronto for the top spot in the American League. Jack Flaherty was dealing it at home earlier in the season but now he has leveled out and has been consistently average across all splits. He has a 4.69 ERA in 29 starts overall including a 4.31 ERA in 16 home starts, a 4.76 ERA in his last 10 starts and a 4.33 ERA over his last five outings. Detroit is just 6-10 in those 16 home starts while going 9-20 overall when he is on the hill. 10* (917) Cleveland Guardians

This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. Colorado was on pace to break the 2024 White Sox record for the worst 162-game record in baseball history and while it never put together a good run, it did enough to get to the point where it needs just one win in its final 12 games to avoid sharing that record and this is a good spot. The Rockies enter their final homestand of the season with a dismal 23-52 record at home and turn to Kyle Freeland who has not been good at Coors Field but is pitching some of his best baseball of the season. He has allowed three runs or less in five of his last six starts not counting a Giants start where he left after eight pitches, including both at home and those were against the Dodgers and Padres. The Rockies are 11-3 in his last 14 home starts on the money line in the second half of the season. The Marlins have been a decent road team all season and they counter with Eury Perez who has struggled with an 8.01 ERA over his last seven starts covering 30.1 innings. The Marlins are 0-5 in his last five road starts with a money line of -100 to -150. 10* (962) Colorado Rockies

This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. Kansas City will not be going back to the postseason baring a minor miracle as it has dropped six of its last eight games to fall back to .500 and the Royals are 6.5 games out of the final Wild Card spot. They are coming off a 2-5 roadtrip to fall five games under .500 on the road and are back home where they are 40-35 and open their final homestand looking to play spoiler with series against Seattle and Toronto , two playoff teams. Michael Wacha is making his final home start of the season after coming off the 7-day concussion injured list and he has been great here with a 2.92 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 15 home starts and overall he has allowed two runs or less in eight of his last 10 starts. Seattle has won nine straight games to overtake Houston in the American League West by a half-game. Logan Gilbert has started to find his rhythm after a slow start since coming back in June but still has a 5.47 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 10 road starts and Seattle is 2-13 in his last 15 road games in the second half of the season. 10* (974) Kansas City Royals

This is a play on the ATHLETICS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Athletics and Red Sox play their second series in a week with Boston taking two of three in Sacramento and tonight is a rematch of Game Two of that series, won by Boston 6-0 and we are seeing a line shift of +104 to -165 for the Red Sox and that is simply too big. Boston trails the Yankees, who it just lost two of three against, by one game for the top Wild Card spot in the American League and they remain home where they are 45-30. Connelly Early is making his Fenway Park debut after tossing five shutout innings against the Athletics, allowing five hits while striking out 11 one week ago and this is a pressure game. The Athletics have been a much better team on the road, 37-38 compared to 33-421 at home and Jeffrey Springs is in line with that too with reverse pitching splits as he has a 3.61 ERA on the road while posting a 5.00 ERA at home. Boston got to him for five runs in five innings last week but that was at home and since the end of July, he has a 2.31 ERA in four road starts covering 23.1 innings. 10* (969) Athletics

This is a play on the MINNESOTA TWINS for our MLB Monday Sweet Spot. The Yankees were unable to complete the sweep against the Red Sox as they allowed six runs in the first inning and were unable to play catch up. New York is now four games behind Toronto in the American League East but still has the top Wild Card spot as it is ahead of Boston by a game and a half. They remain on the road where they are 39-35 and down 8.7 units. Carlos Rodon has been one of the consistent starters for the Yankees as he comes in with a 3.11 ERA and 1.07 WHIP through 30 starts and this includes a 3.34 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 16 road starts. Like the team as a while, winning on the road has not come with the success as New York is 8-8 in those 16 road games and this includes a 4-7 record when favored between -125 and -175, losing 6.2 units. The Twins lost two of three against Arizona as this dreadful season continues. The real issues have been on the road where they are 29-46, the fourth worst road record in all of baseball and while they are two games under .500 at home, this is a value spot and Minnesota is in a good buy low situation. Simeon Woods Richardson counters for the Twins and he had a rough start after coming off the IL in late August with a stomach parasite but he has settled down over his last two starts. He is back home where he has been solid, posting a 3.42 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 10 starts and he has allowed three runs or fewer in his last six home starts and nine of those 10 starts overall. The Twins are 5-1 in his six starts against good teams that are outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more rpg. 10* (916) Minnesota Twins

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS as part of our MLB Sunday Double Play. The Giants won in extra innings on Friday and carried that over to take a 4-1 lead after one inning last night then the wheels fell off as Logan Webb got shelled. With the Mets losing again, San Francisco is still a half-game behind New York for the final Wild Card spot in the National League. The Giants close their homestand with another big arm in Robbie Ray as he brings in a 3.32 ERA and 1.18 WHIP over 30 starts with numbers nearly identical at home in 15 outings. He bounced back with a solid start against Arizona after a pair of rough games and the Giants are now 8-2 in his 10 starts against division opponents. Los Angeles got one back on the highway where it is now 35-39 road record where they have dropped 23 units as the overpricing has been evident and yet again here. Tyler Glasnow has been back from the IL since early July and has made 10 starts, seven of which have come at home. In the three road outings, he has a 4.85 ERA and in five road games overall, he has a 5.68 ERA. 10* (956) San Francisco Giants

This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Sunday Double Play. Cleveland has taken the first two games of this series and has won three straight overall while going 8-1 in its last nine games to get back into the playoff picture. The Guardians are now 3.5 games behind Seattle for the final Wild Card slot in the American League with Texas sitting in front of them by a game and a half. They are six games over .500 at home and this is a sell high spot going against Slade Cecconi who is coming off the best start of his career as he was carrying a no hitter against the Royals but allowed a hit in the eighth inning. He brings in a 4.45 ERA in 20 starts including a 4.65 ERA in 10 home outings while possessing a 4.62 xERA overall and 4.64 xERA at home. The White Sox are closing in on the end of another rough season but have gone 9-4 over their last 13 games so there is some momentum despite the two recent losses. Yoendrys Gomezhas made six starts with a 4.08 ERA since coming out of the bullpen and this includes a 3.60 ERA in two road outings. 10* (963) Chicago White Sox

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS as part of our MLB Saturday Double Play. The Giants came through last night in extra innings with a walk off grand slam in the tenth inning in what could be a huge victory as the season winds down for playoff spots. With the Mets losing again, San Francisco is only a half-game behind New York for the final Wild Card spot in the National League. The Giants turn to their ace tonight as Logan Webb has been on a roll with a 2.03 ERA and 1.07 WHIP over his last five starts. The Giants have been an underdog in his starts only three times and they are a perfect 3-0 in those games, beating the Yankees, Dodgers and Brewers by a combined score of 18-7. The Dodgers returned home from a 1-5 roadtrip and got the perfect opponent to get right as they welcomed Colorado for three games and that resulted in a sweep. Los Angeles dropped another road game and brings in a 34-39 road record where they have dropped 24 units as the overpricing has been evident. Clayton Kershaw continues to defy father time as he brings in a 3.27 ERA and 1.16 WHIP through 19 starts and while his road numbers are slightly better, the Dodgers are 6-4 in his 10 road starts with a win over the Mets being the only one against a winning team. 10* (908) San Francisco Giants

This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Saturday Double Play. Time is starting to run out for Kansas City as it had a chance to split with Cleveland on Thursday but blew a 2-1 lead in the eighth inning and then dropped the opener of this series last night. The Royals are back to .500 after having dropped five of their last six games, scoring two runs or less in all five, and they are now six games back for the final Wild Card spot in the American League. Ryan Bergert is coming off his worst start since coming over from San Diego, his first start allowing more than three runs in 14 outings so we expect a bounce back. The Phillies have won five straight games following the Friday win which came after a four-game sweep of the Mets and their magic number for winning the National League East is down to three games. Philadelphia currently holds the No. 2 seed in the National League, which would give it a first-round bye and home-field advantage through the National League Division Series. The Phillies got a great start from Walker Buehler in his Phillies debut and turn to Taijuan Walker tonight who has struggled of late with a 7.80 ERA over his last three starts and while those were on the road, he brings in a 4.25 ERA in 14 home games including eight starts. 10* (923) Kansas City Royals

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The Dodgers returned home from a 1-5 roadtrip and got the perfect opponent to get right as they welcomed Colorado for three games and that resulted in a sweep. Los Angeles is now back on the road for a quick three-game trip before hosting the Phillies and the Dodgers bring in a 34-38 road record where they have dropped 22.5 units as the overpricing has been evident. Yoshinobu Yamamoto was one out away from a no-hitter at Baltimore last time out and he has a 2.61 ERA over 27 starts including a 2.33 ERA in 16 road outings. But the wins have not been on plane with the pitching success as the Dodgers are just 15-12 overall and 9-7 on the road in his starts while going 7-7 overall as favorites of -125 or higher. The Giants took two of three against Arizona and are two games over .500 which has them 1.5 games behind the Mets for the final Wild Card spot in the National League. We have faded Justin Verlander numerous times because he is usually overpriced based on his name but now that value has switched and he is throwing his best in the stretch run for the Giants. He has been better at home all season with a 3.89 ERA in 14 starts and this is after opening with two bad outings so take those out and he has a 3.26 ERA in his last 12 home outings. 10* (958) San Francisco Giants

This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. We went against a Brewers streak on Wednesday, fading Freddy Peralta and his 29-inning scoreless streak and we will fade another one tonight. Milwaukee opened its roadtrip with a sweep in Pittsburgh but then gave it right back by getting swept in Texas. The Brewers are back home with a two-game lead over the Phillies for the best record in the National League and we sell high here. Following a 5-2 win over Pittsburgh, the Brewers have won 14 consecutive starts from Quinn Priester and this is now the time right. We faded him and Milwaukee in that game which was his fourth straight start coming on the road and now back home, we are getting better value considering he has been better on the road in 15 starts as at home, he has a 3.79 ERA which is still very good but not to the level of good enough to having not lost since May. Eight of the 14 games have been quality outings which is a low percentage and he has benefited from good offense as he has gotten 5.5 rpg during this winning stretch. St. Louis was also swept to open the week at Seattle and we buy low. We can also go contrarian the other way as the Cardinals had been 1-11 in 12 starts with Andre Pallante on the hill but did win his last outing, a 3-2 victory over San Francisco at home. 10* (953) St. Louis Cardinals

This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The Tigers took two of three against the Yankees and remain a half-game behind Toronto for the best record in the American League and continue the roadtrip this weekend. They come in as big favorites Friday for obvious reasons and we are fading as they are just four games over .500 away from home and we go where the value lies. Tarik Skubal remains the Cy Young favorite in the American League over Garrett Crochet with his 2.10 ERA and 0.86 WHIP through 28 starts and while his numbers are better on the road, the wins are not coming as he is 9-1 at home but just 4-3 on the road and this could be that sleepy spot as the Tigers would have liked to have moved him up to have faced New York. It has been another down season for Miami which was expected but to their credit, they have exceeded expectations as they had an over/under win total of 63.5 and have already gone over that. Sandy Alcantara is in his initial season off Tommy John surgery and it has not been good but he has been getting back into form which is great news for next season. He has posted a 3.43 and 1.08 WHIP over his last 10 starts which includes a 2.45 ERA and 0.82 WHIP over his last five outings while putting up a 33:6 K:BB ratio and this number is based on the overall picture and not recent form. 10* (972) Miami Marlins

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS as part of our MLB Thursday Double Play. The Angels are coming off a series win over Minnesota to conclude a 3-3 homestand and while the road has not been great, it has been for one pitcher. Jose Soriano has been the epitome of reverse home/road splits this season and as long as the number works, we will continue to work with it. He is coming off a home start against the Athletics where he allowed eight earned runs over two innings and that was his sixth home start allowing five or more runs and he now has a 5.90 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in 15 home outings. He is now back on the road where he has a 2.47 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 14 outings while pitching to a 2.80 xERA and the Angels are 10-4 in those games. Seattle is coming off a sweep of the Cardinals to make it five straight wins and the Mariners are still a game and a half up on Texas in the American League Wild Card and now we sell high. Bryce Miller is coming off a pair of decent outings, one being a quality start, but he is far from who he was last season. He went on the IL with elbow inflammation in June and has made four starts since coming back and has a 5.06 ERA and in 14 starts overall, he has a 5.53 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. This includes a 5.46 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in six home outings. 10* (915) Los Angeles Angels

This is a play on the NEW YORK METS as part of our MLB Thursday Double Play. The Mets look to avoid the sweep tonight as they have dropped the first three games of this series and have dropped five straight games overall. New York is still in the No. 3 Wild Card spot in the National League but the margin is now only two games ahead of Cincinnati and San Francisco. The road has not been good but that is playing into this number. David Peterson is coming off a pair of bad starts and he has certainly slipped since an incredible start to the season but he has still allowed two runs or less in seven of his last 11 starts. The Phillies have all but locked up the National League East as they have a 10-game lead over New York and they are two and a half games behind the Brewers for the best record in the National League. As bad as the Mets have been on the road, the Phillies have been a cash machine at home at 42-23 and up 13.1 units but this is the go against game based on the starters with Suarez and Sanchez having gone the last two games. Jesus Luzardo has been average with a 4.01 ERA in 29 starts including a 4.50 ERA in 14 home outings with the Phillies going just 8-6 in those games while dropping close to four units because of numbers like these. The Phillies are 3-7 in his 10 starts against the National League East. 10* (903) New York Mets

This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Wednesday Double Play. We are on the Reds again as they won last night and while they did not gain ground on San Francisco, they are still just one game back and three games behind the Mets for the final Wild Card spot in the National League. Andrew Abbott is having a solid season with a 2.88 ERA and 1.14 WHIP through 25 starts which includes a 3.41 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 10 road outings so he does not have severe home/road splits like many pitchers do. One thing that is deterring backers as that he has not won a game since July 9 but despite this, he has pitched well with a 3.89 xERA. The Reds are 13-2 in his last 15 starts going back to 2023 as an underdog of +125 to +175. San Diego now has a five-game cushion in the Wild Card standings and send Nick Pivetta to the hill and they need a long outing so if the Reds get to him early, it could be a long night as four relievers are out tonight as they have pitched the last two days, Jeremiah Estrada, Robert Suarez, Wandy Peralta and Mason Miller. Pivetta has been great at home with a 2.39 ERA and 0.83 WHIP in 15 starts but San Diego is an average 9-6 in those games including 4-3 as a favorite of -150 or higher. We are getting exceptional value once again with an above average opposing arm. 10* (959) Cincinnati Reds

This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES as part of our MLB Wednesday Double Play. The Pirates lost in extra innings last night as their dreadful road season continues as they are now 22-48 and down 19.9 units. We used the Pirates and Paul Skenes as our comp play last Thursday as he was getting plus money at home and that is a sure take all the time now he is back on the road and laying a big number so now it is fade time. His season has been outstanding and he would have been shut down by now if not for the Cy Young possibility which is pretty much a guarantee at this point. He has a 1.98 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 29 starts and those numbers slightly dip on the road as in 15 road outings, he has a 2.43 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. While the Pirates are 10-4 in 14 home outings, they are 6-9 in those 15 road games. The Orioles are now four games under .500 at home which is not ideal but are in a great buy low spot here. Tyler Wells finally made his season debut after missing 17 months due to undergoing UCL revision and internal brace augmentation surgery. Against the Padres, he went five solid innings, allowing two runs on five hits while striking out four and not issuing a walk during an 85-pitch outing. In six minor league rehab starts, he posted a 2.49 ERA and 1.11 WHIP and now comes his season home debut. 10* (978) Baltimore Orioles

This is a play on the TEXAS RANGERS for our MLB Afternoon Dominator. Texas has won the first two games of this series, a 5-0 shutout on Monday and a 5-4 last night as it remains right in the American League Wild Card mix. The Rangers trail the Mariners by a game and a half with 16 games remaining including a tough upcoming roadtrip with three games at the Mets and three games at the Astros. Texas is 46-28 at home and need to continue to take care of it here. Merrill Kelly has a 3.16 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 29 starts between Arizona and Texas and this includes a 2.98 ERA in seven starts with the Rangers since coming over at the trade deadline. He has a 2.59 ERA in four starts at home with the Rangers winning the last two. The Brewers are still 6.5 games up on the Cubs and go with Freddy Peralta who has been unscorable if that is even a word as he has gone five straight starts without allowing a run and his scoreless streak is now at 29 innings. This is a streak not many are going to jump in front of but here we are as there is a ton of value in going against this as the Brewers actually lost two of those games because of no run support and we are partly banking on that again here. Milwaukee is 8-6 in his 14 road starts while going 9-7 overall when the line is between +125 and -125. 10* (976) Texas Rangers

This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. Cincinnati lost a tough one last night as it blew a 3-0 lead and eventually lost on a sacrifice fly in the tenth inning. The Reds took the final two games against the Mets prior to last night and remain four games back in the National League Wild Card race with 18 games left. Time is running out so every game is huge and at 32-38 on the road, these are even more important and from our viewpoint, this is where the real value is. Zack Littell has put together a solid season with a 3.81 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 28 starts, 16 of which have been quality outings. He is 3-1 as an underdog of +150 or higher with the wins over the Yankees, Blue Jays and Cubs. The Padres have now won three straight games following a five-game losing streak. San Diego has a six-game lead for the second Wild Card spot so they are fairly safe at this point so the sense of urgency is not at the same level and they are overvalued tonight based on the amount of bullpen work used last night. Michael King made his first start in nearly three months and he was held to just two innings as the Padres are bringing him back slow. He will not be stretched tonight and they used six relievers last night so it could get dicey. 10* (907) Cincinnati Reds

This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. We look for value with good teams, actually really good teams, when they are not getting the respect based on their opponent and this is a classic example with the Tigers. Detroit dropped four of six games on its recent homestand and sits a half-game behind Toronto for the best record in the American League yet are catching their biggest number since August 3 when facing Cristopher Sanchez and the Phillies and tonight’s opposing starter is no Sanchez. Casey Mize has had a good season with a 3.87 ERA and while his numbers slightly dip on the road, the tigers are 7-5 in 12 road starts while going 5-2 against teams with a winning record. New York took two of three against Toronto to pull within two games of the Blue Jays in the American League East. The Yankees are 14 games over .500 at home yet are down 6.4 units which shows how badly overvalued they are. Will Warren put together a pair of solid starts on the road and is back home where he has been very good with a 3.30 ERA and 1.25 WHP in 14 starts but he has struggles against above average teams with the Yankees going 1-8 in nine starts against teams with a winning percentage of .540 or better. 10* (915) Detroit Tigers

This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Guardians leapfrogged Kansas City with a 10-2 win last night, its fourth straight win, behind a gem from Slade Cecconi and they are now 2.5 games out of the final Wild Card spot in the American League. Joey Cantillo has been pretty solid since entering the rotation as he has a 3.68 ERA in nine starts but along with that is a 1.41 WHIP as he has 24 walks in 44 innings and his 4.91 BB/9 in No. 251 out of 251 starters that have gone at least five innings. This includes 10 walks in 15.2 home innings over three starts and this is a sell high spot after coming off his first quality start. Kansas City fell to three games under .500 on the road after getting no-hit for over seven innings and dropping its second straight game. It is imperative to win this series as they travel to Philadelphia next before their final homestand consisting of Seattle and Toronto for three games each. Noah Cameron came into the big leagues on absolute fire allowing three runs over five starts but then faced the Yankees, one of four games he struggled in toward the start of August but the other three were against the Dodgers, Cubs and Blue Jays, all four in the top ten in slugging percentage while Cleveland comes in No. 29. 10* (913) Kansas City Royals

This is a play on the ATHLETICS as part of our MLB Monday Double Play. Boston is coming off a huge win as it scored three runs in the top of the ninth inning to pull out the 7-4 victory to avoid the sweep while snapping a three-game losing streak. Boston is now a game and a half behind the Yankees for the top American League Wild Card spot and 3.5 games behind Toronto in the East. The Red Sox are two games under .500 on the road and are big favorites because of Garrett Crochet who has been great all season and has clearly been their best starter on the road. That being said, he has slowed down over the last month as he has a 4.80 ERA over his last five starts. He faces an Athletics team whose offense has been up and down but they are 17-14 against left-handed starters. The Athletics are coming off a series win over the Angels and are back home following a 3-3 roadtrip and while we know of the home struggles, this is where the value lies. Luis Morales is on the mound and he continues to fly under the radar. He opened the season in the bullpen to open August with one relief appearance and then hit the rotation running as he has a 1.37 ERA and 0.91 WHIP over five starts, allowing just four runs in 26.1 innings with two of those runs being two solo home runs. He has been great at home and in two home starts, he has yet to allow a run. 10* (968) Athletics

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES as part of our MLB Monday Double Play. The Mets won the series opener in Cincinnati before losing the final two games and their third place lead in the National League Wild Card is now down to four games. 10 of their final 19 games are on the road where they are 31-40 and down 16 units. Nolan McLean has been great through four starts as he has a 1.37 ERA while picking up the win in all four games. He has not allowed a run in 13.1 innings at home and while he still has a solid 2.77 ERA in 13 road innings, he has been more vulnerable and this will be the second time the Phillies have seen him which is a big edge. The Phillies are coming off a 4-2 roadtrip which was huge as they now have a seven-game lead in the National League East and they took a four-game lead over the Dodgers for the second best record in the league which will give them home field advantage in the NLDS should they both advance. Aaron Nola has not been good since coming back from a three-month absence because of ankle and rib injuries as he has allowed six runs in two of his four starts but those were both on the road. He struggled at home prior to the injury and while he has allowed six runs in two starts over 12 innings post comeback, three of those were by way of home runs so cut that off and he will be fine. 10* (954) Philadelphia Phillies

This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. This is a system play on Colorado which opened this series with a 3-0 win but gave it back on Saturday and it closes its second to last homestand of the season on Sunday. The Rockies have played 23 homestands prior to this one and opponents being lethargic in the series finale to simply get out of town is a real thing as the Rockies are 12-11 in those finales, netting 8.1 units. This includes a 9-3 win over the Padres on May 11 as a +267 underdog. Tanner Gordon has not been very good but he has actually pitched better at Coors Field with a 4.50 ERA compared to a 9.33 ERA on the road. San Diego snapped its five-game losing streak with the win last night and are now a game ahead of the Mets for the second Wild Card spot in the National League. Dylan Cease is not right and is a true fade especially at this price on the road no matter the opponent. He is 0-8 with a 5.81 ERA in 14 road starts while posting a 5.96 ERA over his last five starts overall. 10* (912) Colorado Rockies

This is a play on the TEXAS RANGERS as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. Houston lost the opener of this series 4-3 but put it to Texas last night in an 11-0 win behind Hunter Brown as the offense got to the Rangers bullpen. The Astros are 3.5 games ahead of the Mariners in the National League West and now sit two games over .500 on the road. Framber Valdez got roughed up against the Yankees at home and now hits the road where he has really struggled lately, putting up a 6.37 ERA over his last five road outings. Texas is still two games out of the final Wild Card spot in the American League and despite the Saturday loss, it is still 44-28 at home. Patrick Corbin got off to a great start, allowing three runs or less in his first 12 starts but in his last 14 outings, he has allowed four runs or more five times, a total of 25 runs, but four of those were on the road where he has struggled overall. In 12 home starts, he has a 3.20 ERA and 1.21 WHIP and this is a solid bounce back spot after getting roughed up in Arizona. 10* (922) Texas Rangers

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS as part of our MLB Sunday Triple Play. We played against San Francisco yesterday as we went contrarian against its five-game winning streak and 11-1 run while fading Justin Verlander, who albeit pitched outstanding, and the Giants lost it 3-2 by allowing three runs in the bottom of the ninth inning. Now they go from public road favorite to a buy low spot today and as mentioned yesterday, the Giants have gone from out of playoff contention to two games over .500 which puts them four games behind the Mets. Kai-Wei Teng was awful in his first two starts, settled down in his third one and is coming off his best outing which came at Coord Field and this is a good spot to keep it going. The Cardinals are now one game under .500 and sit 5.5 games back in the National League Wild Card which is too far back with four teams ahead of them. Sonny Gray has allowed three runs or less in five of his last nine starts but has allowed 27 runs in the other four including 19 runs in three home starts. 10* (907) San Francisco Giants

This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS as part of our MLB Saturday Double Play. San Francisco continues to roll along as it has won five straight games and 11 of 12 following an 8-2 win on Friday in the series opener. The Giants have gone from out of playoff contention to three games over .500 which puts them four games behind the Padres with 21 games left. They come into Saturday as the popular road favorite not only because of the streak but because Justin Verlander is on the hill. He has not been close to the pitcher of old as he has a 4.44 ERA and 1.45 WHIP through 24 starts and this includes a 5.29 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 10 road outings. St. Louis is all but done at two games under .500 as it had its two-game winning streak snapped on Friday. They are still five games over .500 at home and turn to Andre Pallante who looks to build on a solid start last time out after an awful run. His ERA numbers are worse than Verlander but he is pitching to a 4.34 ERA (4.40 for Verlander) and has the better xFIP and a near identical WHIP. 10* (960) St. Louis Cardinals

This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS as part of our MLB Saturday Double Play. Tampa Bay is making a big playoff push as the Rays were coming off a pair of sweeps against Washington and Seattle and then took the opener on Thursday to make it seven straight wins but they allowed five runs in the second inning last night and could not recover. We thing this run is an illusion and they Rays are being overvalued because of it and they are still a sell high team. Shane Baz is coming off a pair of quality outings following a poor run and even though he shut down Seattle at home time out, he has a 6.47 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in 14 starts at their temporary home. The Guardians are back to .500 overall and are still in the hunt as they are 2.5 games out with 22 games with this being another huge game. The Guardians are at two games under .500 but have gained positive units thanks to being undervalued. Tanner Bibee has been up and down and more so down on the road but that is due to allowing 18 home runs in 15 starts. 10* (967) Cleveland Guardians

This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. Tampa Bay is making a big playoff push as the Rays swept the Nationals in Washington then got a massive home sweep against Seattle which pulled them to within two games of the Mariners for the final American League Wild Card spot. Tampa Bay took the opener last night to make it seven straight wins and are now at the bottom of the pitching rotation so this is a vulnerable spot and we can sell high at this price. Griffin Jax will take the mound for the first inning or two before Ian Seymour takes over in the bulk role. The Guardians are a game under .500 overall and are still in the hunt as they are 3.5 games out with 23 games with this being another huge game. Gavin Williams has quietly been really good with a 3.26 ERA and 1.29 WHIP over 27 starts and he has been decent on the road with a 3.54 ERA and 1.38 WHIP but it is his recent form that has propelled him as he has a 2.35 ERA and 1.03 WHIP over the last couple months covering 10 starts. 10* (917) Cleveland Guardians

This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The Reds lost two of three against Toronto after dropping two of three against St. Louis and their playoff hopes hang in the balance of this series as they trail the Mets by five games so a sweep could be necessary but they have the top of their rotation going. Cincinnati is right at .500 but five games over .500 at home and it sends Andrew Abbott to the hill. He has been awesome all season with a 2.65 ERA in 24 starts and at home he has been even better, posting a 2.11 ERA in 14 starts. The Mets won their series in Detroit as they won the first two games before dropping the finale and they remain in that No. 3 spot in the National League Wild Card standings. David Peterson got off to a sensational start this season but he has slowed down considerably as he has thrown a career-high 152 innings so fatigue could be creeping in. He posted a 7.56 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in five August starts and he is pitching to a 4.28 xERA so there is negative regression still upcoming. 10* (906) Cincinnati Reds

This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. The Pirates are coming off a sweep of the Dodgers and have won seven of their last nine games. There is no such thing as a letdown in baseball so we will not buy that here as they will be a popular fade. Pittsburgh has been abysmal on the road with the third worst record in baseball but they are 42-30 +12.4 units so there is value and especially in this spot. Johan Oviedo has made four starts, the last three being real ones as the first was as an opener and in the last three outings, he has a 2.57 ERA and 0.93 WHIP. In the lone home start, he held the top hitting Blue Jays to just two hits, one home run, over five innings. The Brewers lost two of three against the Phillies and have dropped five of their last eight games yet still have a 5.5-game lead in the National League West. Quinn Priester has been great in his first season here with a 3.28 ERA including a 2.94 ERA on the road and the contrarian fade is that the Brewers have won his last 13 starts so it is time to sell high. 10* (904) Pittsburgh Pirates

This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS for our A.L. Game of the Month. The Astros came through for us last night although they tried to give it away as they took an 8-4 lead into the ninth inning and came away with the 8-4 win. They are again getting plus money at home simply because of the name on the jersey of the opponent and we will again go where the value is as Houston is 43-31 at home including 9-2 as a home underdog. Christian Javier has made four starts since his return and he has been solid with a 3.38 ERA and 1.13 WHIP which includes a 1.93 ERA and 0.79 WHIP in three home starts. The Astros are 13-2 in his last 15 starts as an underdog of +150 or less. The loss put the Yankees at 8-2 over their last 10 games. They are now 3.5 games behind Toronto in the American League East and while the road has gotten better, they are still only two games over .500 on the highway. The Yankees are 12-25 this season against teams with a winning percentage of .540 or better. Carlos Rodon has had a solid season with a 3.18 ERA and 1.08 WHIP through 28 starts which includes a 3.47 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in 15 road outings with the Yankees going just 7-8 in those games. The Astros are 18-10 against left-handed starters this season. 10* (962) Houston Astros

This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. The Yankees dominated Framber Valdez and Houston on Tuesday with a 7-1 win and they are now 8-1 over their last nine games. They remain 2.5 games behind Toronto in the American League East and the road has gotten better but they are still only three games over .500 on the highway. Will Warren did put up four straight solid starts but three of those were at home where he has a 3.30 ERA and 1.24 WHIP and was lit up by Boston but on the road, he has a 5.58 ERA and 1.61 WHIP and that is unbackable especially at a number like this against a quality team. Houston has lost three of its last four games but has maintained its three-game lead in the American League West over Seattle because the Mariners are struggling as well. Jason Alexander had a rough outing coming out of the All Star Break but he has been great over his last six starts with a 2.41 ERA and 1.04 WHIP covering 33.2 innings. 10* (920) Houston Astros

This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. Tampa Bay has won five straight games following a pair of wins to open the series and the Rays are now right at .500. They are still alive in the American League Wild Card race as they sit 3.5 games out but they do have to leapfrog three teams. Tampa Bay is solid in their temporary home at 36-33 and send Adrian Houser to the hill and he has been up and down since coming over from the White Sox. This will be just his second start at home and with both teams, he is 6-0 with a 2.08 ERA in six home starts. Seattle has now lost four of its last five games and is up on the Rangers by just a game and a half in the Wild Card chase. The Mariners are 32-39 on the road and turn to George Kirby who has been decent with a 3.94 ERA through 18 starts. Like most Seattle starters, he dominated at home with a 3.16 ERA but does show regression on the road with a 4.73 ERA and is the overpriced favorite in this highway spot. 10* (914) Tampa Bay Rays

This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. Boston has won three straight games after taking the first two in this series and going back, it has won 10 of its last 13 games. The Red Sox are 2.5 games behind Toronto in the American League East and they are in good position in the Wild Card standings, sitting six games clear of fourth place Texas. Brennan Bernardino will get the start as the opener and after he goes his typical one inning, he will likely turn things over to Dustin May or Kyle Harrison so there is no pitching edge here. The Guardians have now lost three straight games and they remain four games out of the Wild Card race and will have to pass four teams so it seems unlikely but there is still hope. Cleveland is three games under .500 on the road but is up a unit thanks to numbers like this one. Joey Cantillo gets the ball and he has been pretty solid with a 3.93 ERA in 29 games including eight starts and on the road, he has a 3.28 ERA in 17 games including five starts. 10* (911) Cleveland Guardians

This is a play on the TEXAS RANGERS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Rangers extended their winning streak to six games with their biggest road comeback of the year, a 7-5 10-inning win over Arizona to open this series. The victory allowed them to get back to within 1.5 games of the final American League Wild Card spot, currently held by the Mariners. While it has not officially been announced, it will be Jacob Latz who is making his fifth start which have been dispersed between June and August. He has been good enough to keep the Rangers in games which is key to then bring in one of the top bullpens in baseball. Arizona has lost two straight following a four-game winning streak and its playoff hopes continue to fade as it is now 6.5 games out of the final Wild Card spot in the National League. The Diamondbacks are just one game over .500 at home and look to get back in the win column with Nabil Crismatt who has been good in two starts but we are far from sold on him and this will be his first home start which could add some extra pressure. 10* (977) Texas Rangers

This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. These teams are 17 games apart from each other so the huge line makes sense in that regard but this pitching matchup is closer to last night than what this line is telling us for tonight. Atlanta fell to 29-43 on the road which is also part of the reason but the Braves have gone 20-20 over their last 40 games on the highway after a dreadful start. Joey Wentz has been a solid addition to the rotation after a long stint in the bullpen as he has made eight starts and has a 3.67 ERA and has reverse splits with a 3.02 ERA in four road starts, three of which have been quality outings. The Cubs have won three of their last four games but two of those were against Colorado and it has been a struggle since mid-June as they have gone 20-20 over their last 40 games. Shota Imanaga has been solid as expected with a 2.85 ERA in 20 starts including a 2.47 ERA in nine home starts but the Braves have been sneaky good against lefties, going 18-18 and we will back that at a huge plus money number. 10* (955) Atlanta Braves

This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Mets took the opener of this series in a wild 10-8 win despite getting outhit 14-8 and they go from short favorite to a sell high overpriced favorite tonight. They remain four games ahead of Cincinnati for the final Wild Card spot in the National League while sitting six games behind the Phillies in the National League East. We cannot ignore the fact they are 29-37 on the road and turn to Nolan McLean who has been the real deal through his first two starts, allowing two runs over 15 innings with a 13:0 K:BB ratio so we go contrarian on that. Detroit still holds the top spot in the American League by a half-game and the Tigers come in 44-26 at home including 6-4 as a home underdog. Sawyer Gipson-Long will be making a spot start but we get value in this spot because of it. Her has a 4.32 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 20:4 K:BB ratio in 25 innings over two starts and four relief appearances and has not reached the five-inning mark in an appearance since late June, so he will likely not be stretched but there is faith in the strong Tigers bullpen. 10* (970) Detroit Tigers

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES as part of our MLB Monday Triple Play. The Phillies took three of four against the Braves which put a little positive in the clubhouse after getting swept by the Mets prior to that. They are back on the road where they are a game under .500 and catching a great number based on the pitching matchup which is contrarian based on name. Taijuan Walker was thought to be left for retirement after last season with a 7.10 ERA but he has resurrected it by posting a 3.63 ERA and 1.33 WHIP this season and will be an integral part of this ongoing rotation. He has reverse splits with a 2.62 ERA compared to a 4.25 ERA at home. The Brewers won their first two games in Toronto before losing the series finale and are back home laying a big price not only because of their home mark but also because Jacob Misiorowski is on the hill. He has shown signs of being dominant but has also been exposed and his 4.33 ERA shows the overvalue. 10* (905) Philadelphia Phillies

This is a play on the ATHLETICS as part of our MLB Monday Triple Play. The Athletics got the wrong sort of payback as they swept the Tigers to open the week and then got swept against the Rangers over the weekend for a homestand split. They are back on the road where they are 34-35 which has been good for a +6.7 unit profit. The value is there in the opener with Luis Morales on the mound as he is certainly flying under the radar. He opened the season in the bullpen to open August with one relief appearance and then hit the rotation running as he has a 0.87 ERA over four starts, allowing just two runs in 20.2 innings with one of those runs being a solo home run. The Cardinals could not get the sweep against the Reds as they lost 7-4 on Sunday to fall two games under .500 and are now still 5.5 games out of the final Wild Card spot in the National League. Sonny Gray is coming off a quality start but has been on a run where he cannot be trusted as he has a 5.93 ERA over his last eight outings. 10* (921) Athletics

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS as part of our MLB Monday Triple Play. Since the trade deadline the Astros are 13-15 as the offense has been awful. The only reason they are still in first place in the American League East is that the Mariners lost 11 of their last 17 games to end August. Houston has averaged 2.0 rpg over the last seven games and it is still sell high time. Luis Garcia will be activated from the IL Monday to start the series finale against the Angels and it will be his first start since May 1, 2023, so we do not know what to expect. That being said, he is favored and unbackable based on the offense behind him. The Angels have won two straight after a series opening loss and the pitching has been awesome in this series, allowing three runs in three games. Yusei Kikuchi is coming off a bad start at Texas as he allowed six runs in four innings and while his road resume is not good, this is the time to catch Houston and has a good track record against the Astros. 10* (911) Los Angeles Angels

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS as part of our MLB Sunday Double Play. We are going contrarian with the Angels in some regards, namely going against the Astros pitching. Los Angeles took Game Two yesterday, snapping a three-game slide and are catching a good number here despite the opposing pitcher. Jose Soriano has had a solid season with a 3.85 ERA and 1.36 WHIP and he limits damage by keeping the ball in the yard as he has allowed only 11 home runs and of 161 starters that have gone at least 50 innings, he is No. 9 in HR/9. He has reverse splits with a 5.11 ERA and 1.49 WHIP at home but on the road he has a 2.69 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Houston remains in first place in the American League West by three games over Seattle and while they have been dominant at home this season, the big concern is the offense that has dried up, averaging 2.3 rpg over their last six games. Hunter Brown has been exceptional but we will fade with Houston going just 7-5 in his 12 home starts. 10* (963) Los Angeles Angels

This is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Sunday Double Play. Detroit took this series opener on Friday but gave it back yesterday and has now lost five of its last six games as the Tigers continue to flounder on the road as they are now 35-33. They come in as big favorites Sunday for obvious reasons and we are fading. Tarik Skubal remains the Cy Young favorite in the American League over Garrett Crochet with his 2.28 ERA and 0.87 WHIP through 26 starts and while his numbers are better on the road, the wins are not coming as he is 8-1 at home but just 3-3 on the road with Detroit going 8-3 in his 11 road starts but three of those were one run wins and two others were in extra innings. The Royals are six games over .500 at home and at 70-66, they are right in the Wild Card mix, two games behind Seattle. Michael Wacha comes in with a 3.39 ERA as he has allowed two runs or less in seven of his last eight starts with the outlier allowing three runs. He returns home where he has a 2.71 ERA. 10* (966) Kansas City Royals

This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS as part of our MLB Saturday Triple Play. Seattle blew a 4-0 lead last night as it lost 5-4 and is now three games behind the Yankees for the No. 2 Wild Card spot in the American League. The Mariners are 31-36 on the road yet come in as favorites again despite starting a pitcher with reverse splits. It was George Kirby last night and Logan Gilbert tonight as Gilbert comes in with a 3.69 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 19 starts which includes a 2.15 ERA and 0.70 WHIP in 11 home outings but a 6.00 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in eight road starts. Cleveland has won three straight following a six-game skid that included three straight shutout losses. The Guardians are a game over .500 overall and are still in the hunt as they are four games out with 29 games with this being another huge game. Gavin Williams has quietly been really good with a 3.36 ERA and 1.32 WHIP over 26 starts and he has been decent on the road but has a 3.18 ERA and 1.25 WHIP at home. 10* (916) Cleveland Guardians

This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Saturday Triple Play. The Yankees have taken the first two games of this series 10-4 and 10-2 and are heavy favorites again tonight. They have won six straight games to move three games behind Toronto in the American League East. Cam Schlittler has tossed two straight quality outings of allowing no runs, covering 12.2 innings. He looks like the real deal with a 2.76 ERA but New York is just 4-4 in his eight starts. Chicago is typical Chicago of late but showed signs prior and is catching value in this pitching matchup. Shane Smith has been a bright spot for the White Sox where not much has gone right. He opened the season with consecutive starts of allowing two or fewer hits, two or fewer runs, and at least 17 outs, only the fifth time that has happened for a starter in White Sox franchise history. Overall, he has a 3.38 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 23 starts including a 3.31 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 11 home starts. 10* (912) Chicago White Sox

This is a play on the MIAMI MARLINS as part of our MLB Saturday Triple Play. Miami took the opener of this series but gave it back last night as Eury Perez could not get out of the first inning, allowing five runs in 0.2 innings and Tyler Zuber could not get out of the second inning, allowing seven runs in one inning and it was game over. The Marlins are still a respectable 32-35 on the road and turn to Edward Cabrera who has been solid this season with a 3.32 ERA and 1.18 WHIP through 23 starts. He had a couple rough outings but bounced back in his last start, allowing no runs over seven innings while striking out 10. New York is still fairly hot as it has won four of five and nine of its last 13 games. The Mets are in the No. 3 Wild Card spot in the National League, three games up on the Reds and David Peterson gets the ball who is also having a great season. He is coming off a pair of good outings following two poor starts at home and he is overvalued based on the matchup. 10* (901) Miami Marlins

This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES as part of our MLB Friday Double Play. Baltimore is coming off a four-game home sweep at the hands of the Red Sox to conclude a 1-7 homestand and are now in a buy low spot based on that. The Orioles managed only seven runs against Boston and getting out of town can only help. Dean Kreamer has had another average season with a 4.19 ERA but he has shown good command as he has a 1.23 WHIP. The Giants meanwhile have won five straight games to give them a glimmer of playoff home but they are still six games out of the final Wild Card spot in the National League. Two wins were against the Brewers and the other three were against the Cubs so it has been an impressive streak but they are now a sell high team. Robbie Ray is having a great season with a 2.93 ERA and has been more impressive at home but this is the contrarian time to fade. 10* (979) Baltimore Orioles

This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS as part of our MLB Friday Double Play. Seattle is coming off a 4-2 homestand to improve to 72-62 and it remains two games behind the Yankees for the No. 2 Wild Card spot in the American League. The Mariners hit the road where they are 31-35. George Kirby is coming off a quality start against the Athletics at home where he has a 3.16 ERA but is now back on the road where his ERA balloons to 5.08. Cleveland took the final two games against Tampa Bay to snap a six-game skid that included three straight shutout losses. The Guardians are back to .500 overall and are still in the hunt as they are five games out with 30 games remaining so this is a huge series. Logan Allen got hammered in his last game, allowing nine runs in five innings against the Rangers. Prior to that he had allowed two runs or less in his previous four starts and we expect a bounce back. 10* (962) Cleveland Guardians

This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Thursday Double Play. New York has won four straight games and is in the No. 2 Wild Card spot in the American League with Seattle and Kansas City making a move and are of course overvalued once again. Will Warren did put up four straight solid starts but three of those were at home where he has a 3.30 ERA and 1.24 WHIP and was lit up by Boston but on the road, he has a 6.09 ERA and 1.63 WHIP and that is unbackable especially at a number like this. Chicago had a three-game winning streak snapped with the 5-4 loss last night as there has been no quit in this young roster. The overall record is not great but home has been a lot better and there is value here again with a turnaround from the pitching staff. Davis Martin has put up three straight solid outings, posting a 2.81 ERA and has been really good all season with a 3.79 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 14 games including 13 starts with excellent home and road splits. 10* (914) Chicago White Sox

This is a play on the ATLANTA BRAVES as part of our MLB Thursday Double Play. The Phillies are coming off a loss on Wednesday to make it a sweep for the Mets which have closed the gap to four games in the National League East. They will be very popular tonight to bounce back at home but not at this price with Aaron Nola who was the ace of this staff but that is long gone. He was on the 60-day injured list for an ankle sprain and a stress fracture in his right rib that kept him out since May and he has made two starts in his return and it has not been good, allowing eight runs in 8.1 innings in two games against Washington. The second start was good but we cannot trust him at this number. Atlanta has won two straight by a combined 23-3 and send Cal Quantrill to the hill who was let go by the Marlins after a 5.50 ERA and has made one start with Atlanta, allowing three runs over 4.2 innings which was not great but a positive spin and one to back at this number. 10* (907) Atlanta Braves

This is a play on the ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. Milwaukee has been up and down over the last couple weeks but still maintains the best record in baseball and has a 6.5-game lead over the Cubs in the National League Central. This is as contrarian as we can be with Quinn Priester on the hill as the Brewers have won his last 15 starts. We are concerned about possible fatigue as he has not made it through six innings in his last three outings. Arizona is done for the season as it is 7.5 games out of the final Wild Card spot in the National League but this is the buy low scenario that we love to play this time of year. This is also partially contrarian with Ryne Nelson on the mound and being on the road. We love him at home and he has not been nearly as good on the road but why is he such a short underdog tonight against the best team in baseball? We love going against big streaks and this is one that is ready to break. 10* (955) Arizona Diamondbacks

This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. Kansas City has won six of 10 games to get to three games over .500 and are right back in the playoff mix sitting three games out of the final Wild Card spot in the American League. Ryan Bergert has been a great addition to an already solid rotation as he has a 2.79 ERA through his first 11 games including seven starts but the K:BB ratio is a concern. Chicago had a three-game winning streak snapped with the 5-4 loss last night as there has been no quit in this young roster. The overall record is not great but home has been a lot better and there is value here again with a turnaround from the pitching staff. Aaron Civale has been all over the place but looking at his log, Cleveland and Toronto have been the nemesis teams. Take away four starts against those two teams and he has an ERA of 2.83 over 12 starts since his poor opening start against the Yankees. 10* (970) Chicago White Sox

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. The Mets have taken the first two games of this series with a total of 19 runs scored and they are now five games out of first place in the National League East. They remain in the No. 3 Wild Card spot and have increased their lead to 3.5 games over the Reds but they are overvalued tonight. We were on Nolan McLean in his Major League debut against Seattle where he allowed no runs on two hits over 5.1 innings and followed that up with a quality start in seven innings against the Braves but now the opposition ramps up. Philadelphia was on a 6-1 run prior to the start of this series so it had a decent cushion in the division and this has turned into a big game. Taijuan Walker has been a great addition to the rotation with limited expectations coming into the season as he has a 3.44 ERA after posting a 7.10 ERA last season over 83.2 innings. 10* (953) Philadelphia Phillies

This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. Pittsburgh had a four-game winning streak snapped with a 7-6 loss on Monday and has now lost three straight road games following a 5-1 homestand including a sweep over Colorado and an impressive series win over Toronto. Those five wins included only four runs allowed and the one outlier was surprisingly from Mitch Keller whose ERA is now up to 4.34 after allowing 11 runs over his last two outings after giving up three runs or less in 10 of his previous 11 starts. The Cardinals snapped a two-game slide with the victory and are now two games under .500 which puts them 5.5 games out of the final Wild Card spot in the National League. Andrew Pallante has been on a worse run as he has an 11.25 ERA over his last three starts, allowing 15 runs over 12 innings. He has a 5.37 ERA in 12 home starts. 10* (907) Pittsburgh Pirates

This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. Washington dropped the opener of this series 10-5 to make it three straight losses and it comes in as a big underdog once again despite a much better pitching matchup tonight. The Nationals are 27-39 on the road and get back into the win column with Mackenzie Gore who has shaken off a rough stretch where he posted a 13.21 ERA over four games but has rebounded with a 2.75 ERA over his last three outings. He has the reverse splits with a 3.59 ERA in 14 road starts compared to a 4.73 ERA in 12 home outings. The Yankees salvaged a game against Boston to avoid the sweep and are now tied with Seattle for the No. 2 spot in the American League Wild Card. Luis Gil has been better after a rough season debut as he has allowed four runs over his last three starts but still is being limited because of poor command. 10* (925) Washington Nationals

This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. Boston has won four of five games to remain five games behind Toronto in the American League East and it holds down the top Wild Card spot in the American League. Despite the Monday win, they are still four games under .500 on the road. Lucas Giolito has put together a solid season with a 3.72 ERA in 20 starts but he has been inconsistent since the All Star Break with a 4.38 ERA over seven starts which includes a 6.20 ERA in five road outings. Baltimore has been playing better with a 7-5 record over its last 12 games and brings back Kyle Bradish who is making his first start since undergoing Tommy John surgery. Though his last rehab start was not very good, the previous one he struck out nine over five innings and his overall stuff has looked good throughout his assignment. 10* (914) Baltimore Orioles

This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Monday Triple Play. The Reds came through Sunday with a five-run eighth inning to beat the Diamondbacks 6-1 and pull back within a game and a half of the Mets for the final Wild Card spot in the National League. At this stage, we will grab Hunter Greene at plus money no matter the opponent as he brings in a 2.63 ERA including a 2.19 ERA in two starts since coming back from his injury. The Dodgers are back tied with the Padres for first place in the National League West following a series loss with San Diego and have a tough opener here. Emmet Sheehan had a nice run after the All Star Break but has allowed nine runs over his last two starts over 11 innings. 10* (959) Cincinnati Reds

This is a play on the ATHLETICS as part of our MLB Monday Triple Play. The Athletics have no chance for the postseason and we have to pick them in spots and this is another one here. J.T. Ginn has been a decent part of the rotation as he is coming off his best August start and is getting huge value tonight. Detroit is back in first place in the American League with a game and a half lead over Toronto with 30 games left. Tarik Skubal will be bringing home another Cy Young award but we have to fade him on the road where he is still solid but the team is not as good backing him up. He has eight wins at home and just three victories on the road and the name is giving us the value on the highway710* (972) Athletics

This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES as part of our MLB Monday Triple Play. San Diego fought back as after getting swept in Los Angeles against the Dodgers, they took two of three to get back into a tie in the National League West. They re-hit the road where they are four games under .500 and this is where the value comes into play. JP Sears had a bad opener with the Padres but we expect the bounce back here. The Mariners are back to two games behind the Astros in the American Lague West following a Sunday win but they have been struggling with a 3-7 record over their last 10 games. Bryace Miller has been in the bottom part of the rotation with his 5.87 ERA and comes in overpriced again despite the return from injury. 10* (975) San Diego Padres

This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Sunday Double Play. Cincinnati has dropped three straight games and now sit 2.5 games behind the Mets for the final Wild Card spot in the National League. They look to avoid the sweep in what is now a big game before having to face the Dodgers starting Monday. Brady Singer has put together four quality outings in his last five starts, allowing one run or less in those four and now faces a Diamondbacks team that is three games behind them. Arizona has won three straight games after a four-game losing streak that included three losses in four games in Colorado. Zac Gallen gets the ball and was one of the most consistent pitchers in baseball in his first six seasons but he has been all over the place this season with a career high 5.28 ERA over his 26 starts, allowing a career high26 home runs. 10* (911) Cincinnati Reds

This is a play on the CHICAGO WHITE SOX as part of our MLB Sunday Double Play. The Twins are coming off a loss after a series opening win and they now sit 11 games under .500 in what remains a lost season after coming in as a contender in the American League Central. Taj Bradley is in town to make his first start with the Twins after coming over from Tampa Bay. He posted a 7.53 ER over his first 14.1 innings with Triple-A St. Paul after a 4.61 ERA in 2 starts with the Rays. The White Sox snapped a three-game slide with the Saturday win and despite this 1-3 record, they have scored 24 runs in three of the games with getting shutout in the other. Yoendrys Gomez is making his third start following a pair of good outings in his first two Major League starts, allowing four runs over 10 combined innings. He got the run support with 22 runs scored in those two outings. 10* (920) Chicago White Sox

This is a play on the ATHLETICS as part of our MLB Saturday Triple Play. This is a play on the ATHLETICS as part of our MLB Saturday Triple Play. 10* (973) Athletics

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS as part of our MLB Saturday Triple Play. This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS as part of our MLB Saturday Triple Play. 10* (955) San Francisco Giants

This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS as part of our MLB Saturday Triple Play. This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS as part of our MLB Saturday Triple Play. 10* (969) Houston Astros

This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. 10* (909) Cincinnati Reds

This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. 10* (912) San Diego Padres

This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. This is a play on the ST. LOUIS CARDINALS as part of our MLB Friday Triple Play. 10* (927) St. Louis Cardinals

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS for our Divisional Game of the Month. We had the Giants last night in an 8-1 loss that was done after the third inning and we are backing them again in a great value spot. They had lost seven straight games before winning their series finale against Tampa Bay on Sunday and the series opener against the Padres and look to avoid the series loss today. I have definitely been against Justin Verlander this season because of the fact he is being priced of his successful seasons long ago but now there is value in a rare buy low spot. He is coming off his best start of the season, allowing only two hits and no walks over seven innings without giving up a run against the Rays. He has been better on the road as he is winless at home with the Giants going 3-9 in his 12 home outings, two of those wins in extra innings. The Padres are now a game back in the National League West with the Rockies helping them out and turn to Dylan Cease who remains overvalued with his 4.61 ERA and coming off another bad outing, walking six to make that total 18 over his last five starts. 10* (957) San Francisco Giants

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. San Diego snapped a four-game losing streak with the 5-1 win on Tuesday to remain two games behind the Dodgers in the National League West. The Padres acquired JP Sears from the Athletics at the trade deadline and he allowed five earned runs on 10 hits over five innings in his first start with San Diego and was then immediately shipped down to Triple-A. He had his moments this season with his former club but including his one start with San Diego, he has posted a career-worst 5.12 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and 101:30 K:BB in 116 innings this season. The Giants had lost seven straight games before winning their series finale against Tampa Bay on Sunday and the series opener against the Padres. They turn to Landen Roupp who has quietly put together a solid season with a 3.45 ERA through 21 starts. He allowed five runs in his most recent start after putting up a 1.42 ERA in his previous five outings including a 0.63 ERA in three road starts. 10* (909) San Francisco Giants

This is a play on the ATHLETICS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. The Athletics came through for us last night with a 6-3 series opening win as the road has been kind where they are now 31-33 compared to a 26-37 record in Sacramento. Their 57 wins are only 12 wins shy of all of last season and are already seven more than all of 2023 so this is a team with a great future despite shipping out two great arms in JP Sears and Mason Miller. J.T. Ginn is coming off a rough outing against Tampa Bay where he allowed five runs in two innings which was his ninth start and fifth since coming out of the bullpen. He has a 6.05 ERA in five home starts but in four road starts, he has a 3.05 ERA and this dichotomy between home and road has been similar for other starters. Minnesota was a contender in the American League Central coming into the year but it has been a lost season as the Twins are nine games under .500. Bailey Ober has a 4.41 ERA in three August starts and remains overpriced at home where he has a 4.57 ERA in 11 home starts including a 6.90 ERA in his last five. 10* (917) Athletics

This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS as part of our MLB Wednesday Triple Play. The Mets took the opener of this series to make it three straight wins and while the National League East is looking dim, they are still sitting in the No. 3 spot in the Wild Card, one game ahead of Cincinnati. Kodai Senga has bounced back with a pair of good starts after allowing 11 runs in three starts after the All Star Break but he has been limited as he has gone just 10 innings combined over the two games. Washington is a respectable 5-5 over its last 10 games and catching great value tonight. Brad Lord has bounced back and forth between the bullpen and the starting rotation and he has found a permanent home in the latter. He started six games in April and May and posted a 7.18 ERA and was relegated to the bullpen where he thrived as he allowed 12 runs in 26 appearances. He got back into the rotation right after the All Star Break and has posted a 2.73 ERA in five outings, allowing three runs or less in all five games including three against the Phillies, Brewers and Astros. 10* (904) Washington Nationals

This is a play on the ATHLETICS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Athletics failed to grab the sweep against the Angels as they lost 11-5 on Sunday and they hit the road where they have actually been not that bad with a 30-33 record compared to a 26-37 record in Sacramento. Their 56 wins are only 13 wins shy of all of last season and are already six more than all of 2023 so this is a team with a great future and part of that is on the hill tonight. Jacob Lopez has been at his best as he has gone four straight starts of allowing no runs, covering 24 innings over this stretch with the Athletics winning all of those games yet the markets will not adjust. Minnesota was a contender in the American League Central coming into the year but it has been a lost season as the Twins are eight games under .500 after salvaging their last two series with a finale win to avoid the sweep. Joe Ryan has been one of the rare positives as he has a 2.72 ERA in 23 starts which is the reason for this number but has been better on the road as the Twins are just 7-5 in his 12 home starts. 10* (969) Athletics

This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. Houston has been shutout in back-to-back games, closing its series with the Orioles with a 12-0 loss on Sunday and opening the Detroit series last night with a 10-0 loss. Many will expect a possible third straight shutout tonight and this is where we go contrarian as we love to back teams off consecutive shutouts especially when they are getting value in a buy low spot and with a quality starter on their own side. Hunter Brown continues to roll along as he has a 2.45 ERA through 24 starts and after allowing 10 runs in his final two starts prior to the All Star Break, he got refreshed and has a 2.57 ERA in his five starts since and comes in with a 2.62 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 13 road starts. Detroit has won five of six games to overtake Toronto for the best record in the American League by a half-game and they turn to Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal who is obviously one of the best in the game but has shown some signs of possible fatigue with a 4.82 ERA over his last three starts. 10* (961) Houston Astros