03-31-16 |
Celtics +3.5 v. Blazers |
Top |
109-116 |
Loss |
-108 |
11 h 7 m |
Show
|
7* Celtics/Blazers Non-Conference *BAILOUT* on Boston +3.5
The Key: The Boston Celtics come in fresh and ready to go tonight. They have had two days off, and now they are looking for a strong finish to the season to try and secure home-court advantage in the first round. The Celtics are currently in 4th place, tied with 5th place Charlotte and 6th place Miami at 43-31. They are also one game behind 3rd place Atlanta. So, essentially there's one game separating the 3-6 seeds. The Celtics want home court in that first round. Bets on road dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points who score 103 or more points on the season, after trailing in their previous game by 15 points or more at the half are 38-13 ATS since 1996. The Celtics are 10-1 ATS vs. teams who win 51% to 60% of their games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Take Boston.
|
03-30-16 |
Warriors v. Jazz +4 |
Top |
103-96 |
Loss |
-104 |
9 h 52 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Situational GAME OF THE WEEK on Utah Jazz +4
The Key: The Utah Jazz have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games overall to put themselves in position to make the playoffs. They are clinging on to the one of the final two spots in the West, only one game ahead of 9th place Dallas, though. They still have work to do, and now they're next victim will be the Golden State Warriors. This is an awful spot for the Warriors, who will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days. They are struggling to live up to expectations here of late as they've gone just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Utah lost by 3 at home to Golden State in its last meeting. Bets on underdogs who are revenging a loss where opponent score 110 or more points, off two straight covers as a favorite are 32-8 ATS over the last 5 years. Take Utah.
|
03-30-16 |
Suns +7 v. Bucks |
|
94-105 |
Loss |
-102 |
8 h 52 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Phoenix Suns +7
The Key: With the way the Bucks are playing right now they should not be 7-point favorites against anyone. They are 0-5 in their last 5 games overall and clearly appear to be giving up on the season. They lost by 24 points to the Hornets at home in their last game, which is evidence of that. The Suns actually continue to play out the string and be competitive. They are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games overall, and they've only lost twice by more than 7 points during this stretch. Phoenix is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games following a loss. Milwaukee is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 home games. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and the Suns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 visits to Milwaukee. Take Phoenix.
|
03-29-16 |
Wizards +13 v. Warriors |
|
94-102 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 0 m |
Show
|
6* Wizards/Warriors TNT *BAILOUT* on Washington +13
The Key: The Washington Wizards are fighting for their playoff lives as they are currently tied with the Chicago Bulls for 9th place in the East. They trail the Detroit Pistons by 2.5 games and the Indiana Pacers by 3 games for the final two playoff spots. They will be giving max effort tonight to beat the Warriors, and I believe it will be good enough to cover this massive 13-point spread. The Warriors have consistently been overvalued here of late as they chase down the Bulls' record. They are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games with only one of their wins coming by more than 12 points. They only beat the 76ers by 12 as 22-point favorites at home last time out. Bets on dogs of 10 or more points after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last 3 games, with a winning percentage between 40% and 49% on the season are 29-8 ATS over the last 5 years. Take Washington.
|
03-29-16 |
Rockets +2 v. Cavs |
Top |
106-100 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 40 m |
Show
|
7* Rockets/Cavs TNT GAME OF THE MONTH on Houston +2
The Key: The Cleveland Cavaliers are more worried about being healthy and rested going into the playoffs than getting the No. 1 seed in the East. That's why they are resting Lebron James tonight. They should not be favored without James against a Houston Rockets team that is fighting for their playoff lives. The Rockets are tied for 8th place with the Mavericks in the West. Houston is 14-3 ATS on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons, and 37-15 ATS in its last 52 Tuesday games overall. The Rockets are 84-54 ATS in their last 138 road games off a loss by 6 points or less. Cleveland is 27-38 ATS as a favorite this season. The Cavaliers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. Take Houston.
|
03-28-16 |
Celtics +4 v. Clippers |
|
90-114 |
Loss |
-102 |
10 h 9 m |
Show
|
6* Celtics/Clippers NBA *BAILOUT* on Boston +4
The Key: The motivational edge is clearly with the Celtics in this game. They are the No. 4 seed in the East right now, but only 0.5 games behind No. 3 Atlanta and 0.5 games ahead of No. 5 Miami. They need to keep winning to assure they get home court in the 1st round. The Clippers have lost 5 of their last 8 and are having a hard time focusing right now. You can pretty much pencil them in the the No. 4 seed in the West because they aren't going to catch the Thunder, and the Grizzlies aren't catching them. Los Angeles is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games overall and 0-7 ATS in its last 7 against a team with a winning record. Boston is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 road games as a dog in the 3.5 to 6 price range. Take Boston.
|
03-28-16 |
Thunder v. Raptors +2.5 |
Top |
119-100 |
Loss |
-109 |
7 h 8 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Toronto Raptors +2.5
The Key: The motivational edge is clearly with the Raptors in this game. They are chasing down the Cavaliers for home-court advantage in the Eastern Conference as they currently sit 2.5 games back. You can pretty much pencil in the Thunder for the No. 3 seed in the West because they have a huge lead on the Clippers and can't catch the Spurs. The Raptors have a tremendous home-court advantage this season as they are 28-8 at home. They are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home games against teams who outscore the opposition by 3 or more points per game. The Thunder are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 road games after covering the spread as a favorite of 10 or more points in their previous game. Take Toronto.
|
03-27-16 |
Rockets v. Pacers -2 |
|
101-104 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 42 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Indiana Pacers -2
The Key: The Indiana Pacers are currently the #7 seed in the East. They are just 2 games ahead of 9th place Chicago. After missing the playoffs by 1 game last year, they are not going to let it happen again. I really like the Pacers here as only 2-point favorites over the Rockets. The Pacers are 22-13 at home this season, while the Rockets are just 16-21 on the road. Indiana is 9-1 ATS after allowing 60 points or more in the first half of last game this season. The Rockets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win. The favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Rockets are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 visits to the Pacers. Take Indiana.
|
03-26-16 |
Hawks v. Pistons -1.5 |
|
112-95 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 55 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on Detroit Pistons -1.5
The Key: The Detroit Pistons are rolling right now and taking advantage of a long homestand. They are 5-0 in their last five games overall and still have three more games on this homestand. Now it's revenge time against the Hawks, who they lost to 114-118 to start this homestand on March 16 just 10 days ago. The Pistons are 24-12 at home this season and have one of the most underrated home-court advantages in the league. They are 22-12 ATS at home as well and should be more than just a 1.5-point favorite here. Detroit is 37-18-2 ATS in its last 57 home games overall. Both teams played yesterday, but the Pistons are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest. Take Detroit.
|
03-25-16 |
Wolves v. Wizards -7.5 |
|
132-129 |
Loss |
-101 |
6 h 9 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on Washington Wizards -7.5
The Key: Sitting in 10th place in the East, 2.5 games behind the No. 8 Pistons, the Wizards cannot afford to lose many more games going forward. They will give the Minnesota Timberwolves their full attention. Washington has won 5 of its last 6 games coming in with 4 of those wins coming by 10 points or more. Home-court advantage has been huge in this series. The home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Better yet, the Wizards are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home meetings with Minnesota. Take Washington.
|
03-24-16 |
Bulls -5.5 v. Knicks |
|
94-106 |
Loss |
-102 |
8 h 51 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Chicago Bulls -5.5
The Key: This is a home-and-home situation where the Chicago Bulls actually lost at home to the New York Knicks last night. Now, the Bulls sit in 9th place in the Eastern Conference needing to make up some ground. They will come out determined tonight and will take down the Knicks, who won't be as interested since they are out of the playoff hunt and just beat the Bulls last night. New York is 3-11 ATS as a home dog of 6 points or less this season. Bets on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points when revenging a loss vs. opponent against an opponent after a road game where both teams scored 100 points or more are 60-26 ATS since 1996. Take Chicago.
|
03-23-16 |
Clippers +10 v. Warriors |
Top |
98-114 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 12 m |
Show
|
7* Clippers/Warriors ESPN GAME OF THE MONTH on Los Angeles +10
The Key: The Los Angeles Clippers are desperate for a win after losing four of their last five coming in. They now take on a team that has beaten them five straight times in the Warriors, but not once were the Clippers overwhelmed. In fact, all 5 losses came by 8 points or less, and now they're getting 10 points here. This is too much, especially with the injuries the Warriors are dealing with to Andrew Bogut, Andre Iguodala and Festus Ezeli. The Warriors have not played well of late with an 8-point loss at San Antonio and a 5-point win at Minnesota in their last two games. Bets on road underdogs who allowed 105 points or more in 3 straight games against opponent off a win by 6 points or less are 29-8 ATS over the last 5 years. Take Los Angeles.
|
03-21-16 |
Kings v. Bulls -7.5 |
|
102-109 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 58 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Chicago Bulls -7.5
The Key: The Chicago Bulls are clinging on to the 8th seed in the East by mere percentage points over Detroit. They gotta keep winning, and they're doing a good job of it since Jimmy Butler returned, winning 3 of their last 4 coming in. Now they catch the Sacramento Kings in a very tough spot. The Kings will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days. They will have nothing left to give tonight against a Bulls team that desperately needs this win. The Kings are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. The Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Take Chicago.
|
03-20-16 |
Jazz v. Bucks UNDER 192 |
|
94-85 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 40 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *TOTAL* Annihilator on Jazz/Bucks UNDER 192
The Key: When the Jazz and Bucks get together, the end result is usually a low-scoring affair. That will be the case again tonight when these teams meet up in Milwaukee. Both teams are fighting to stay alive in their respective playoff races, which will add to the defensive intensity. The last two meetings between these teams have seen 157 and 165 combined points. That's an average of 161 combined points per game, which is 31 points below this 192-point total today. The UNDER is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 games overall. The UNDER is 14-3 in Bucks last 17 games following a win. The UNDER is 6-1 in Bucks last 7 Sunday games. Take the UNDER.
|
03-19-16 |
Warriors v. Spurs -3 |
|
79-87 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 30 m |
Show
|
6* Warriors/Spurs ABC National TV *Annihilator* on San Antonio -3
The Key: I have a feeling the San Antonio Spurs are going to want to make a statement tonight against the Golden State Warriors. They want to show the Warriors that they mean business if these teams were to meet in the playoffs, especially after getting embarrassed 90-120 at Golden State in their last meeting. The Spurs didn't have Tim Duncan in that game, but it might not have mattered. However, the Warriors are now without Andre Iguodala and Andrew Bogut, two key pieces whose absences are bigger than most realize, especially defensively. The Spurs are 34-0 at home this season, and they aren't about to lose their first game tonight. Take San Antonio.
|
03-16-16 |
Bulls +5.5 v. Wizards |
Top |
96-117 |
Loss |
-113 |
7 h 22 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago Bulls +5.5
The Key: Getting a healthy Jimmy Butler back in the lineup last time out helped the Bulls to a big road win over the Toronto Raptors. There is a good chance Derrick Rose returns tonight, too, and the Bulls are going to be a very dangerous team going forward with these two. Washington has lost 5 of its last 6 with three losses by 16 points or more. The Wizards are coming off a blowout win over the Pistons, but they are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a win by 10 points or more. The underdog is 25-10 ATS in the last 35 meetings in this series. The road team is also 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings. Take Chicago.
|
03-15-16 |
Raptors -2 v. Bucks |
Top |
107-89 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 13 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto Raptors -2
The Key: The Toronto Raptors are 23-6 in their last 29 games overall. Off a loss to the Bulls last night, I expect Toronto to come back focused tonight to take care of business against the Milwaukee Bucks, who are just 28-39 on the season. The Raptors have owned the Bucks, going 9-1 in their last 10 meetings with them. The Bucks are 2-15 ATS in their last 17 home games when coming off two or more straight wins. Take Toronto.
|
03-14-16 |
Wolves v. Suns UNDER 222 |
Top |
104-107 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 18 m |
Show
|
7* NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Timberwolves/Suns UNDER 222
The Key: It's pretty easy to see that this total has been inflated when you look at recent meetings between the Timberwolves and Suns. The UNDER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings and none of those five games saw more than 220 combined points. They have averaged a combined 209 points per game in those five contests. As you can see, that's 13 points fewer than the 222-point total set today. Minnesota is 21-3 UNDER in its last 24 road games off an upset win over a division opponent. Phoenix is 9-1 UNDER in March home games over the last two seasons. Take the UNDER.
|
03-12-16 |
Wizards +1 v. Nuggets |
|
100-116 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 55 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Washington Wizards +1
The Key: The Washington Wizards have lost four straight and are now 30-34 on the season. They need to get it together in a hurry if they want to make the playoffs. A date with the lowly Denver Nuggets should help their cause tonight. Washington is 15-7 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season. Denver is 15-28 ATS in its last 43 games games against a team with a losing record. The Wizards are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Take Washington.
|
03-11-16 |
Wolves v. Thunder -12.5 |
|
99-96 |
Loss |
-104 |
7 h 57 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Western Conference *CA$H COW* on Oklahoma City Thunder -12.5
The Key: The Oklahoma City Thunder have won 10 straight meetings with the Minnesota Timberwolves. They have won 12 straight home meetings with the Timberwolves as well. Most have come via blowout, too, as they last two home meetings have resulted in 20 and 14-point victories. The Timberwolves are giving up 112.6 points per game in their last 16 games and have lost 17 of 19 games away from Minnesota. Minnesota is 2-14 ATS off a blowout loss by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Take Oklahoma City.
|
03-10-16 |
Cavs v. Lakers OVER 209 |
|
120-108 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 23 m |
Show
|
6* Cavs/Lakers TNT *BAILOUT* on OVER 209
The Key: The Cleveland Cavaliers have really gotten going offensively here of late. They have scored 100-plus points in five straight games, and that trend will continue against one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA in the Lakers. Los Angeles has also shown some life offensively in averaging 109.5 points per game in its last two. But the Lakers have allowed 101-plus points in 9 of their last 11 games and yield 106.9 points per game on the season. The Cavs and Lakers have combined for at least 211 points in 5 straight meetings with the OVER going 5-0. They have combined for 231, 225, 211, 227 and 238 points in those five. Take the OVER.
|
03-09-16 |
Pistons v. Mavs -2 |
|
102-96 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 5 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Dallas Mavericks -2
The Key: The Mavs are coming off 3 straight losses, while the Pistons have won 5 of their last 7. This recent poor play by the Mavs and recent solid play by the Pistons has made the oddsmakers set this line lower than it should be with the Mavs only 2-point home favorites. But the Pistons are still just 13-20 on the road this season. They shouldn't be getting this kind of respect from oddsmakers given that poor road record. Also, the Mavs have lost lost 4 straight games all season. They will give a big effort tonight to get back in the win column while also covering this generous 2-point spread. The Mavericks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Take Dallas.
|
03-08-16 |
Magic -3 v. Lakers |
Top |
98-107 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 7 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Orlando Magic -3
The Key: The Los Angeles Lakers are in a massive letdown spot here Tuesday. They are coming off a win over the Warriors as 18-point home dogs, and now they're not going to be motivated at all to face the Orlando Magic off such a huge victory. The Magic had two days off before losing by 6 to the Warriors last night, so they will get back at it tonight and won't be as tired as most teams on a back-to-back. The Magic are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games off a loss. Orlando is 20-6 ATS in its last 26 road games vs. Western Conference foes. Los Angeles is 11-24 ATS in its last 25 games following a ATS win. Take Orlando.
|
03-06-16 |
Rockets v. Raptors UNDER 214 |
|
113-107 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 34 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Raptors/Rockets Under 214
The Key: Expect the Raptors to control the pace and slow this game down despite Houston's tendency to run the court on offense and try to force turnovers on defense. The Rockets are on their second road game in a row after playing in Chicago Saturday and should fall into the Raptors more methodical pace. Take the Under.
|
03-05-16 |
Celtics v. Cavs -7.5 |
|
103-120 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 1 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on Cleveland Cavaliers -7.5 The Key: The Cleveland Cavaliers want revenge from a last-second loss to the Celtics in which it appeared they had the game in hand late. They will have the game in hand this time around, and by 8 or more points to cover this 7.5-point spread. The Cavaliers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Take Cleveland.
|
03-04-16 |
Jazz v. Grizzlies UNDER 193 |
|
88-94 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 24 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *TOTAL* Annihilator on Jazz/Grizzlies UNDER 193
The Key: It's hard not to like the UNDER in this game when you look at recent meetings. The Jazz and Grizzlies have combined for 190 or fewer points in 8 consecutive meetings. They've averaged 179.6 points in those 8 meetings. That's 13.4 points fewer than tonight's posted total of 193, and it's an 8-0 angle when you consider this 193-point total. Take the UNDER.
|
03-03-16 |
Suns v. Heat -13.5 |
|
92-108 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 53 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Thursday Night *CA$H COW* on Miami Heat -13.5
The Key: The Miami Heat have gone 6-1 ATS in seven games since the All-Star Break. They have won their last two games by 17 points over the Knicks and by 18 over the Bulls. Now they're up against the Phoenix Suns, who are 1-14 in their last 15 games with six straight road losses by double-digits. That includes a 34-point loss at Charlotte and a 40-point loss at the LA Clippers in their last two road games. Miami is 11-0 SU in its last 11 meetings with Phoenix, including a perfect 7-0 ATS in its last seven meetings. Take Miami.
|
03-02-16 |
Wizards -2.5 v. Wolves |
|
104-98 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 24 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Washington Wizards -2.5
The Key: The Washington Wizards have won three straight games all by 8-plus points to make a run at one of the final playoff spots in the Eastern Conference. This team has a ton to play for right now, and it's nice to see them finally play up to their potential now that their backs are up against the wall. Now they get to face another poor team in Minnesota, which is just 19-41 on the season and coming off a 27-point loss at Dallas. The Timberwolves are 2-13 ATS off a blowout loss by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Minnesota is 1-9 ATS after covering the spread in 3 of its last 4 games this season. The Timberwolves are 1-12 ATS in home games vs. poor defensive teams who allow 46% shooting or worse over the last 2 seasons. Take Washington.
|
03-01-16 |
Hawks +10 v. Warriors |
|
105-109 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 46 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Atlanta Hawks +10
The Key: It's looking more and more like the Golden State Warriors are going to rest Steph Curry tonight. That's going to make their job a lot more difficult in putting away Atlanta by double-digits if he does indeed rest. But either way, this is a bad spot for the Warriors. They are primed for a letdown after their huge overtime win over the Thunder on National TV Saturday night, which had the sports world buzzing with Curry's unreal performance. But the Hawks are no pushovers, and they are going to want revenge from a 92-102 home loss to the Warriors on February 22 just over a week ago. Atlanta has posted back-to-back blowout victories since with a 15-point win over the Bulls and an 11-point win over the Hornets. The Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Take Atlanta.
|
02-29-16 |
Thunder v. Kings UNDER 227.5 |
|
131-116 |
Loss |
-101 |
8 h 19 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Monday *TOTAL* Annihilator on Thunder/Kings UNDER 227.5
The Key: The Sacramento Kings are really banged up right now with DeMarcus Cousins, Rudy Gay and Rajon Rondo all nursing injuries. They have managed just an average of 99.5 points per game int heir last two games and will find it hard to score on Oklahoma City as well. When looking at recent meetings, it's easy to seotal has been set way too high tonight. In fact, the Thunder and Kings have combined for 220 or fewer points in 13 straight meetings. That's a 13-0 angle when factoring in this 227.5-point total set. Take the UNDER.
|
02-28-16 |
Wolves v. Mavs -6.5 |
|
101-128 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 1 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Western Conference *CA$H COW* on Dallas Mavericks -6.5
The Key: The Dallas Mavericks are coming off a character-building 122-116 overtime victory over the underrated Denver Nuggets. They trailed by 25 points in the first half, fought back and took the lead in the 4th quarter, only to fall back behind by 14 points. But they fought back again to tie it and force overtime, only to eventually win in the extra session. This team will be full of confidence now coming into this game against Minnesota. This is a tough spot for the Timberwolves, who are coming off a road win at New Orleans last night, so they'll be playing 2nd of a back-to-back. The Mavs own the Timberwolves, going 5-0 SU & 4-1 TS in the last 5 meetings, winning by an average of 12.2 points per game in the process. The Timberwolves are 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 Sunday games. The Mavericks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Sunday games. Take Dallas.
|
02-28-16 |
Hornets v. Hawks -4 |
Top |
76-87 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 31 m |
Show
|
7* NBA GAME OF THE MONTH on Atlanta Hawks -4
The Key: After losing 3 straight, the Hawks got back on track with a 103-88 home victory over the Bulls last time out. Now they get to face the red-hot Hornets, who are getting too much respect from oddsmakers here due to winning 6 of their last 7 games overall. But the Hornets are set up for failure here as this will be their 6th consecutive road games, and they are certainly tired with all that travel. The home team is 6-1 SU in the last 7 meetings and 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Atlanta has won 3 straight home meetings with Charlotte by an average of 19 points per game. Take Atlanta.
|
02-27-16 |
Spurs v. Rockets +6 |
|
104-94 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 47 m |
Show
|
6* Spurs/Rockets Western Conference *CA$H COW* on Houston +6
The Key: The Houston Rockets have come out of the All-Star break guns-a-blazing and trying to prove their naysayers wrong. They have gone 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS with their only loss coming in overtime at Utah. They won in Phoenix by 16 and put a halt to the red-hot Blazers with 14-point road win as 4-point dogs last time out. Now they get to play their first home game since the break. Home-court advantage has been huge between the Rockets and Spurs as the home team is 8-1 SU in the last 9 meetings with the only loss coming by 1 point. Take Houston.
|
02-26-16 |
Hornets v. Pacers OVER 204 |
Top |
96-95 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 9 m |
Show
|
7* NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Hornets/Pacers OVER 204
The Key: These teams recently played on February 10 with the Hornets winning 117-95 for 212 combined points. I look for another shootout tonight between the Pacers and Hornets that easily exceeds this 204-point total. The Pacers have topped 100 points in 8 of their last 12 games overall. The Hornets have topped 100 points in 7 of their last 9 games overall. Indiana is 9-1 OVER revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Charlotte is 17-7 OVER as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. The OVER is 6-1 in Pacers last 7 home games. The OVER is 8-2 in Pacers last 10 vs Eastern Conference. Take the OVER.
|
02-25-16 |
Warriors v. Magic +8.5 |
Top |
130-114 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 33 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE YEAR on Orlando Magic +8.5
The Key: The Golden State Warriors aren't going to have much left in the tank tonight. They played in a hard-fought 118-112 win at Miami last night that took a lot out of them. This will now be their 5th road games in 7 days. The Magic are going to bring more energy to this game. They are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall and fighting to try and get into playoff contention. They have gone 4-2 SU in their last 6 games with their two losses coming to San Antonio and Indiana by a combined 5 points. They only lost by 1 to Golden State as 14.5-point road dogs in their last meeting. The Magic are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Take Orlando.
|
02-24-16 |
Knicks v. Pacers -7.5 |
|
105-108 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on Indiana Pacers -7.5
The Key: The Indiana Pacers are 17-9 at home this season. They have played three straight road games coming out of the break, winning at Oklahoma City and Orlando, and losing in overtime at Miami. New York is 2-12 in its last 14 games, and with an 11-point road loss to Brooklyn and a 27-point home loss to Toronto out of the break, it's clear that the Knicks aren't playing with any fire right now. Now they have to take on an Pacers team that has won 7 of the last 8 meetings, including the last four by an average of 16.5 points per game. They have won their last two home meetings with the Knicks by 23 and 21 points, respectively. The Pacers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home meetings with New York. Take Indiana.
|
02-23-16 |
Kings v. Nuggets -1 |
Top |
114-110 |
Loss |
-107 |
8 h 49 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Situational GAME OF THE MONTH on Denver Nuggets -1
The Key: The Denver Nuggets want revenge from a 110-116 loss at Sacramento on February 19, which was their first game back from the break. I expect them to get it tonight at home against the Kings this time around, and as only 1-point favorites, so they essentially just have to win the game to cover. Bets on home teams with a line of +3 to -3 who have failed to cover the spread in 2 of their last 3 and are playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 26-7 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Denver.
|
02-22-16 |
Pistons +9 v. Cavs |
|
96-88 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 31 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Detroit Pistons +9
The Key: I really like this situation for the Pistons. We are buying low on the Pistons, who have lost 5 straight games while failing to cover the spread in 5 straight as well. We are selling high on the Cavaliers, who are coming off five straight victories, including a 23-point win at Oklahoma City yesterday. That win over the Thunder on National TV sets the Cavs up for a letdown here today. After all, the Cavs are 6-15-2 ATS in their last 23 vs. a team with a losing record. Detroit is 17-6 ATS in its last 23 off an upset loss as a favorite. Take Detroit.
|
02-21-16 |
Grizzlies +7.5 v. Raptors |
|
85-98 |
Loss |
-107 |
6 h 5 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Memphis Grizzlies +7.5
The Key: Everyone is writing the Grizzlies off now that Mark Gasol may be out for the season, but this team is having none of it. The Grizzlies came out of the All-Star Break with a win over the Timberwolves, and now I look for them to give the Raptors a run for their money tonight as 7.5-point dogs. The Grizzlies are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference. The Grizzlies are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Take this combined 15-0 angle backing the Grizzlies straight to the bank. Take Memphis.
|
02-19-16 |
Hornets v. Bucks +1.5 |
|
98-95 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 32 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on Milwaukee Bucks +1.5
The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks won their final two games before the All-Star Break and need more where that came from if they want to make a run at the playoffs and get back like last year. They have the talent to do so, and it starts with tonight's home game against the Charlotte Hornets. The Hornets made a move to acquire Courtney Lee from the Grizzlies, but he won't be playing tonight, and they'll be short-handed after trading away starter PJ Hairston. Milwaukee has won 15 of its last 19 home meetings with Charlotte. The Bucks are 10-1 ATS in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season. Milwaukee is 13-2 ATS versus teams who average 83 or more shots per game this season. Take Milwaukee.
|
02-19-16 |
Pacers +8.5 v. Thunder |
Top |
101-98 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 32 m |
Show
|
7* Pacers/Thunder ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Indiana +8.5
The Key: The Indiana Pacers won 5 of their final 8 games heading into the All-Star Break with two of their losses coming by 5 points to Cleveland and 6 points at Atlanta. I believe they are catching too many points tonight on the road against the Oklahoma City Thunder, who have been overvalued all season. The Thunder are just 21-32 ATS in all games this season. Oklahoma City is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games after outrebounding its last opponent by 15 or more. Indiana is 8-1 ATS versus teams who average 56 or more rebounds per game this season. The Pacers are 18-6 ATS vs. teams with winning records this season. The Pacers are 19-7-2 ATS in their last 28 games playing on 3 or more days rest. The Thunder are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win. Take Indiana.
|
02-18-16 |
Jazz v. Wizards UNDER 198 |
Top |
89-103 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 40 m |
Show
|
7* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Jazz/Wizards UNDER 198
The Key: The Utah Jazz play at the league's slowest pace by a wide margin, averaging just 92.9 possessions per game. They win their games with defense as they rank 14th in defensive efficiency and only yielding 96.4 points per game on the season. Washington and Utah are used to low-scoring games. IN their two meetings last season, they combined for 172 points in Utah and 177 points in Washington. As you can see, those two outputs were 26 and 21 points less than this 198-point total. The UNDER is 11-3 in Jazz last 14 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. The UNDER is 11-4 in Wizards last 15 home games. The UNDER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Washington. Take the UNDER.
|
02-11-16 |
Wizards v. Bucks -1 |
|
92-99 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 32 m |
Show
|
6* Wizards/Bucks Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on Milwaukee -1
The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks have been a sneaky good home team this season. They've gone 14-8 SU & 13-9 ATS at home, but unfortunately they've played a road-heavy schedule up to this point. They are going to be a great team to back going forward. The Bucks come in well-rested and ready to go as this will be just their 2nd game in 6 days, and knowing that the All-Star Break starts tomorrow, I look for them to put their best foot forward tonight. That's especially the case considering they want revenge on the Wizards after losing each of their first 3 meetings this season, including two by exactly 5 points. They don't want to get swept. Washington is 0-7 ATS off a road win where it scored at least 110 points this season. Milwaukee is 9-1 ATS in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of its last 6 games this season. Take Milwaukee.
|
02-10-16 |
Jazz v. Pelicans -2.5 |
Top |
96-100 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 47 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Situational GAME OF THE MONTH on New Orleans Pelicans -2.5
The Key: This is an excellent opportunity to fade the Utah Jazz. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after their 121-119 (OT) win at Dallas last night. Since the Jazz were forced to go an extra five minutes with OT, they will be even more tired than they normally would in a back-to-back situation. Look for the New Orleans Pelicans to run them out of the gym tonight. The Pelicans are 13-12 at home this season, while the Jazz are 9-15 on the road. The home team is 8-3 SU in the last 11 meetings. The Jazz are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Northwest opponents. Take New Orleans.
|
02-10-16 |
Hornets v. Pacers -3 |
|
117-95 |
Loss |
-108 |
6 h 47 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on Indiana Pacers -3
The Key: The Indiana Pacers have been a tremendous home team this season. They are 17-8 at home and have won 5 of their last 7 games overall coming in. The Charlotte Hornets are just 7-17 on the road, yet they are only 3.5-point underdogs in this game. Furthermore, the Pacers are 12-0 in their last 12 home meetings with the Hornets, including a 93-74 win in their last home meeting. They are holding the Hornets to an average of 87.4 points per game during this 12-0 run. Take Indiana.
|
02-09-16 |
Jazz v. Mavs -1.5 |
Top |
121-119 |
Loss |
-103 |
7 h 30 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Dallas Mavericks -1.5
The Key: The Utah Jazz are simply getting too much respect from oddsmakers right now due to their 6-game winning streak. However, you have to consider that five of those wins have come at home against suspect opponents, and the only road win came at Phoenix, which is playing worse than anyone in the NBA right now. Now the Jazz must go up against a Mavericks team that has had their number to say the least. The Mavs have won 9 of their last 10 meetings with the Jazz. They are 10-0 in their last 10 home meetings, and 22-2 in their last 24 home meetings dating back further. Take Dallas.
|
02-08-16 |
Thunder v. Suns UNDER 215.5 |
|
122-106 |
Loss |
-102 |
8 h 45 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *Total* Annihilator on Thunder/Suns UNDER 215.5
The Key: The Phoenix Suns are a mess right now, having lost 13 of their last 14 games overall. Their biggest problem is that they are getting no offensive production due to injuries to three of their best scorers. Eric Bledson, Brandon Knight and TJ Warren are all out. The Suns have scored 98 or fewer points in 11 of their last 14 games. Knowing that fact alone, it's easy to see why there is value with the UNDER 215.5 points in this game against the Thunder Monday night. The Suns are 9-1 UNDER off 2 or more consecutive home losses over the last 2 seasons. Take the UNDER.
|
02-06-16 |
Blazers v. Rockets -5 |
|
96-79 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 58 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Houston Rockets -5
The Key: The Portland Trail Blazers are overvalued right now because they have won five of their last six games overall. But they are coming off a 7-game homestand, which was the biggest reason for their success. Now the Blazers have to hit the road, where there are just 9-16 away from home this season. They should be much heavier than only 5-point road dogs to the Houston Rockets here. Houston is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 home games off a road win. The 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Rockets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Take Houston.
|
02-05-16 |
Bucks v. Jazz UNDER 189.5 |
|
81-84 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 5 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *Total* Annihilator on Bucks/Jazz UNDER 189.5
The Key: The Utah Jazz and Milwaukee Bucks really prefer to play at a slow tempo. The Jazz rank dead last in the NBA in pace at 93.0 possessions per game. The Bucks rank 25th in pace at 96.1 possessions per game. We saw this on display when these teams last got together. The Jazz beat the Bucks 82-75 at home for 157 combined points. While I don't expect this game to be that low scoring, I do see it easily going under this 189.5-point total. The UNDER is 6-1 in Bucks last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The UNDER is 7-2 in Bucks last 9 road games overall. The UNDER is 25-11-1 in Jazz last 37 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The UNDER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Utah. Take the UNDER.
|
02-05-16 |
Celtics v. Cavs -7 |
Top |
104-103 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 35 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland Cavaliers -7
The Key: The Cleveland Cavaliers had won 5 straight games with 4 of those wins coming by at least 8 points prior to their loss at Charlotte on Wednesday. That was only a small blip on the radar, and I look for them to get back on track with a win going away tonight at home against the Boston Celtics. The Cavaliers are 19-3 at home this season and have one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA. They also create matchup problems for the Celtics, which has been evident in recent meetings. The Cavs are 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with the Celtics. In fact, all 5 victories have come by at least 8 points. Cleveland is 10-3-1 ATS in its last 14 vs. a team with a winning record. Boston is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Take Cleveland.
|
02-04-16 |
Knicks +4.5 v. Pistons |
|
105-111 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 42 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New York Knicks +4.5
The Key: This is a bad spot for the Detroit Pistons. They are coming off a hard-fought 95-102 road loss at the Boston Celtics last night. So not only will they be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, they'll also be playing their 5th game in 7 days. They are simply running on fumes right now and won't have much left to give against the Knicks, who had yesterday off and will be playing just their 2nd game in 4 days. New York is 9-1 ATS vs. teams who outrebound their opponents by 3-plus boards per game this season. The Knicks are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 1 days rest. The Knicks are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 meetings with the Pistons. Take New York.
|
02-03-16 |
Heat v. Mavs -3.5 |
|
93-90 |
Loss |
-104 |
7 h 17 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Dallas Mavericks -3.5
The Key: The Miami Heat are in a tough spot tonight. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after losing 102-115 at Houston last night. They will also be playing their 13th road game in their past 15 games, so they have been on the road a ton here of late. The Dallas Mavericks check in on one days' rest and will be motivated for a victory following their 97-112 loss at Atlanta on Monday. The Mavs are 15-8 SU & 16-7 ATS at home this season, while the Heat are just 11-13 on the road. Miami is 3-15 ATS after covering 3 of its last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Dallas is 7-0 ATS in home games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. The Heat are 7-18 ATS in their last 25 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Mavericks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Dallas is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 home games. Take Dallas.
|
02-03-16 |
Pelicans +13.5 v. Spurs |
Top |
97-110 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 17 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on New Orleans Pelicans +13.5
The Key: The New Orleans Pelicans haven't been 13.5-point underdogs or more the entire season. That fact alone shows that there's value with the Pelicans tonight, especially with the way they have been playing. They are 7-3 in their last 10 games overall and have been competitive in 12 of their last 13 games, only once losing by more than 5 points during that stretch. Adding to my love for the Pelicans tonight is the fact that they are 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings with the San Antonio Spurs. They may not pull off the upset tonight, but they certainly aren't going to lose by more than 13.5 points. Take New Orleans.
|
02-02-16 |
Raptors v. Suns +9.5 |
Top |
104-97 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 47 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Phoenix Suns +9.5
The Key: The Toronto Raptors are in a tough spot here tonight. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after losing 93-112 at Denver last night. That loss snapped an 11-game winning streak which has had them overvalued for a few games now. The Raptors are 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games overall and they are once again laying too many points to the Phoenix Suns here. Yes, the Suns are struggling and injured, but they have played tough at home. They only lost by 3 to Indiana as 5.5-point dogs and upset Atlanta by 3 as 10-point dogs in two of their last three home games. They have only lost one of their last 11 home games by double-digits, which was against the Spurs. That's a 10-1 angle supporting the Suns. Take Phoenix.
|
02-01-16 |
Wizards +9.5 v. Thunder |
Top |
98-114 |
Loss |
-106 |
6 h 4 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington Wizards +9.5
The Key: The Washington Wizards are one of those rare teams that plays better on the road than at home. They are 10-15 at home compared to 11-9 on the road this season. They just upset the Houston Rockets on the road in their last game on Saturday night, and I look for them to give the Oklahoma City Thunder a run for their money tonight. The Thunder have been overvalued quite a bit recently. They are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. They won 4 of the 5, but all 4 wins came by 8 points or less over Dallas (by 3), New York (by 6), Minnesota (by 3) and Houston (by 8). I look for the Wizards to stay within double-digits tonight as well. Washington is 12-4 ATS as an underdog if 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Oklahoma City is 0-7 ATS vs. good 3-point shooting teams who make 36% or more of their shots this season. The Thunder are 1-11 ATS vs. teams who allow 46% or better shooting to their opponents this season. Take Washington.
|
01-31-16 |
Warriors v. Knicks +10.5 |
Top |
116-95 |
Loss |
-109 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
7* Warriors/Knicks Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on New York +10.5
The Key: I'll gladly fade the Golden State Warriors tonight. They are overvalued due to having the best record in the NBA. They needed a last-second 3-pointer to beat the lowly 76ers on the road 108-105 last night. Now, they'll be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, putting them in a tough rest situation. The New York Knicks have been undervalued all season and continue to be as double-digit dogs here. They are 29-20 ATS in all lined games this season and on the verge of making the playoffs in the East. New York is 7-0 ATS when playing against a team with a winning percentage of greater than 70% this season. Golden State is 3-13 ATS when playing against a losing team in the 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Take New York.
|
01-30-16 |
Spurs v. Cavs +2 |
|
103-117 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 42 m |
Show
|
6* Spurs/Cavs ABC National TV *Annihilator* on Cleveland +2
The Key: A lot has been made of the Cavs' poor record against the elite teams in the Western Conference this season. They are 0-3 against the Spurs and Warriors, and they certainly want to help their reputation with a win Saturday. They already nearly beat the Spurs in a 95-99 road loss at 6-point dogs on January 14. Now they get their chance at revenge just two weeks later, but the difference is that they'll be at home this time around. The Cavs are 18-3 at home this season, while all seven of the Spurs' losses this year have come on the road. The Spurs were torched 90-120 at Golden State in their last road game. They're still expected to be without Tim Duncan Saturday, which is a big blow. The Cavaliers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Take Cleveland.
|
01-29-16 |
Nets v. Mavs -8.5 |
Top |
79-91 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 32 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Dallas Mavericks -8.5
The Key: The Dallas Mavericks are in need of a win after losing 3 of their last 4. Their 3 losses during this stretch have come against the Thunder, Rockets and Warriors. Now the schedule softens up as they host the Nets and look to improve upon their 14-7 ATS record in home games this year. I expect the Mavs to roll by double-digits against a Nets team that is just 2-11 SU & 2-10-1 ATS in its last 13 games overall. The Nets have lost 7 of their last 9 games by at least 12 points, so they have been blown out on the regular. The Mavs are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring 105 points or more. Take Dallas.
|
01-28-16 |
Knicks +10 v. Raptors |
Top |
93-103 |
Push |
0 |
7 h 53 m |
Show
|
7* Knicks/Raptors TNT National TV *Annihilator* on New York +10
The Key: The Toronto Raptors have won 9 straight games coming into this showdown with the New York Knicks. As a result, they are more overvalued than they've been at any other point this season. They have no business laying 10 points to the New York Knicks tonight. The Knicks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 1 days' rest and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs. teams who win at least 60% of their games. The Raptors are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games. The Knicks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings with the Raptors. Take New York.
|
01-27-16 |
Rockets +10 v. Spurs |
Top |
99-130 |
Loss |
-102 |
7 h 19 m |
Show
|
7* Rockets/Spurs ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston +10
The Key: The San Antonio Spurs are coming off a deflating 90-120 loss at Golden State on Monday. I fully expect them to suffer a hangover from that defeat as it was their biggest game of the season. They are still expected to be without Tim Duncan, which is a huge blow. Now they have to take on a Rockets team that is playing its best ball of the season coming in. The Rockets should not be 10-point dogs in this game considering they have gone 9-3 in their last 12 games overall. Houston always plays San Antonio tough, going 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. The Rockets are 40-20 ATS in their last 60 games off a road win by 3 points or less. Take Houston.
|
01-26-16 |
Clippers v. Pacers +1.5 |
Top |
91-89 |
Loss |
-109 |
6 h 4 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Indiana Pacers +1.5
The Key: It's safe to say that the Indiana Pacers won't be lacking any motivation tonight when they host the Los Angeles Clippers. That's because they have lost 5 of their last 6 games overall, which isn't surprising considering 5 of their last 6 games were on the road. Now they have had 2 days off since a loss to the Kings on Saturday. That's important because the Pacers are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 2 days' rest. The Pacers are 13-6 at home this season and 13-5 in their last 18 home meetings with the Los Angeles Clippers. I really like getting them as home underdogs tonight in a game I have them winning outright with ease. Take Indiana.
|
01-25-16 |
Spurs v. Warriors -5 |
Top |
90-120 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 44 m |
Show
|
7* Spurs/Warriors Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Golden State -5
The Key: The Golden State Warriors are already the best team in the NBA at 40-4. They are also healthy coming into this huge showdown with the San Antonio Spurs tonight. The same cannot be said for the Spurs, who are expected to be without Tim Duncan due to a knee injury. LaMarcus Aldridge is also battling a back injury that kept him out last game, though he's expected to play tonight. I just don't give the Spurs much of a chance at all in this game without Duncan. The Warriors are 20-0 at home this season, outscoring opponents by 15.8 points per game. All six of the Spurs' losses have come on the road this year. Golden State is 20-7 ATS when playing on two days' rest over the last three seasons. Bets against road underdogs who score 99+ points/game on the season against opponent after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half are 54-14 ATS over the last 5 years. Take Golden State.
|
01-23-16 |
Pacers v. Kings -3 |
|
97-108 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 49 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Sacramento Kings -3
The Key: The Sacramento Kings have won a season-high four straight games while going a perfect 4-0 ATS in the process to grab ahold of the 8th and final playoff spot in the Western Conference. They have gone on the road and beaten the Jazz, Clippers and Lakers, while also topping the Hawks at home during this stretch. Look for them to get their 5th straight win tonight as only 3-point home favorites over the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 110-122 loss at Golden State last night. After playing the defending champs, they won't be able to get up for the Kings one night later. The Pacers are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 0 days rest. Indiana is 1-8 ATS revenging a home loss against an opponent this season. The Kings have won three straight meetings with the Pacers. Take Sacramento.
|
01-22-16 |
Clippers v. Knicks +2 |
|
116-88 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 19 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New York Knicks +2
The Key: This is a very tough spot for the Los Angeles Clippers. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after losing to the Cleveland Cavaliers 102-115 on the road last night. Now they have to travel out for New York. After facing the top team in the Eastern Conference in the Cavs, the Clippers will have a very hard time getting motivated to face the Knicks. But these Knicks have been playing about as well as anyone in the Eastern Conference over the last few weeks. They are 7-3 SU & 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. All three losses came on the road to the Spurs by 1, the Nets by 6 and the Grizzlies by 8. The Knicks are 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. New York is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 vs. a team that wins more than 60% of his games. Take New York.
|
01-22-16 |
Hornets v. Magic -4 |
Top |
120-116 |
Loss |
-108 |
8 h 49 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Orlando Magic -4
The Key: The Orlando Magic are desperate for a victory tonight after losing 8 of their last 9 games overall to fall below .500 at 20-21 on the season. It's safe to say that they'll be extremely hungry for a win tonight given the situation. They should be able to get it against a Charlotte Hornets team that has struggled just as much, going 2-10 in their last 12 games overall. The Hornets have a plethora of injuries as they are missing three starters in Al Jefferson, Nicolas Batum and Cody Zeller, so it's understandable that they are struggling right now. They may also be without Jeremy Lamb, who is questionable after missing the last five games. The Hornets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games. The Magic are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Friday games. Take Orlando.
|
01-21-16 |
Pistons v. Pelicans -2 |
Top |
99-115 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 45 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New Orleans Pelicans -2
The Key: The New Orleans Pelicans have won 3 of their last 4 games coming into this one. Now that they're healthy, they have been playing better and will be motivated to make a push for that final playoff spot in the Western Conference. I love getting them as only 2-point home favorites here against the Detroit Pistons. The Pistons will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a draining 123-114 win at Houston last night. They won't have much left in the tank here, while the Pelicans had yesterday off and will be the fresher team. The Pelicans are 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings with the Pistons, and 6-0 SU in their last 6 home meetings with Detroit as well. This has simply been a bad matchup for the Pistons in recent years. Take New Orleans.
|
01-20-16 |
Hornets +10 v. Thunder |
|
95-109 |
Loss |
-115 |
6 h 16 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Charlotte Hornets +10
The Key: This is an awful spot for the Oklahoma City Thunder, who will be playing the second of a back-to-back after beating Denver 110-104 on the road last night. They will also be playing their 6th game in 9 days tonight. The Hornets are getting healthier and playing better of late as a result. They've gone 3-1 ATS in their last three games overall with a 23-point win over Atlanta and a 5-point win over Utah highlighted. Bets on road underdogs after allowing 105 points or more in 3 straight games against opponent off a win by 6 points or less are 26-5 ATS over the last 5 seasons. The Thunder are 5-15 ATS vs. teams with losing records this season. Take Charlotte.
|
01-20-16 |
Warriors v. Bulls UNDER 215 |
Top |
125-94 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 16 m |
Show
|
7* Warriors/Bulls ESPN *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 215
The Key: The oddsmakers have set a very big total for this game between the Warriors and Bulls tonight. I believe the value to be on the UNDER at 215 points in this one. For starters, this game will be played on National TV, so the defensive intensity will be higher than normal. Both teams are coming off high-scoring games that have inflated this total with the Warriors scoring 132 against Cleveland and the Bulls scoring 111 against Detroit. But the real key here is that the Bulls and Warriors have combined for 214 or fewer points at the end of regulation in 13 straight meetings. That's a 13-0 system backing the UNDER when factoring in this total set of 215. Take the UNDER.
|
01-19-16 |
Bucks +5 v. Heat |
Top |
91-79 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 3 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Milwaukee Bucks +5
The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks have really picked up their play here of late. They have gone 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. They have beaten the likes of Dallas, Chicago and Atlanta during this stretch, while also winning on the road in Charlotte by 13 points. This is a team to be reckoned with going forward. The Miami Heat are not playing well at all as they've lost 4 of their last 5 games. Yes, they are coming off a 6-game road trip, so that has a lot to do with it. But that first home game back from a long road trip is always a difficult spot. Players are more concerned about family obligations when they get back from the trip rather than playing basketball. The Heat are 7-22 ATS in their last 29 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Milwaukee has Miami's number, going 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The Bucks are 17-4 ATS after playing a game as a road underdog this season. Take Milwaukee.
|
01-18-16 |
Warriors v. Cavs UNDER 209 |
Top |
132-98 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 2 m |
Show
|
7* Warriors/Cavs TNT *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 209
The Key: Oddsmakers have set the bar too high tonight in this NBA Finals rematch between the Golden State Warriors and Cleveland Cavaliers. It's clear that the intensity level will be very high in this game, and that will favor the defenses. These teams are obviously familiar with one another after playing in the NBA Finals last season and once already this year, so that also favors the defenses. The first meeting between these teams on Christmas Day was very low-scoring as well. The Warriors beat the Cavs 89-83 for 172 combined points. They have combined for 208 or fewer points in all 7 meetings since Game 1 of the NBA Finals, and 195 or fewer points in five of those. Cleveland is 12-0 UNDER off a non-conference game this season. Take the UNDER.
|
01-17-16 |
Heat v. Thunder -9.5 |
Top |
74-99 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 39 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Oklahoma City Thunder -9.5
The Key: The Oklahoma City Thunder are absolutely rolling right now and should continue their solid play Sunday with a double-digit victory over the Miami Heat. They are 5-1 in their last six games overall with three wins by 18, 19 and 20 points. Those three blowout wins all came at home. Now they get to face a Heat team that is banged up right now. The Heat are without starting PG Goran Dragic, and they could be without Dwyane Wade, who is listed as questionable. The Thunder won their last home meeting with the Heat 93-75 as 4-point favorites. Miami is 4-17 ATS in its last 21 games off a road win. The Heat are 14-38-2 ATS in their last 54 games following a straight up win. Take Oklahoma City.
|
01-16-16 |
Nets v. Hawks UNDER 205.5 |
|
86-114 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 32 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *Total* Annihilator on Nets/Hawks UNDER 205.5
The Key: Based on the recent history between the Nets and Hawks, it's clear that oddsmakers have inflated this total tonight. Both teams are coming off high-scoring games last night, but the Hawks only went over the total against the Bucks due to overtime. Those two high scoring games have forced oddsmakers to inflate this total as well. The UNDER is 3-0 in the last 3 meetings with combined scores of 178, 188 and 198 points. That's an average of 188.0 combined points per game, which is 17.5 points less than this 205.5-point total. Take the UNDER.
|
01-15-16 |
Mavs -1.5 v. Bulls |
Top |
83-77 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 49 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Situational GAME OF THE YEAR on Dallas Mavericks -1.5
The Key: The Chicago Bulls could not be in a worse spot tonight. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 4th game in 5 days. They went to overtime against the 76ers last night before pulling out a 115-111 victory. I don't see them having much left to give tonight against the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavs will be the more energized team in this one considering they've had essentially two days' rest in between games. Rick Carlisle rested his starters against the Thunder on Wednesday, and now those starters should respond by out-hussling the Bulls for four quarters. The Mavs are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after trailing their previous game by 15 points or more at the half. The Bulls are 8-24 ATS in their last 32 games following a road win. Take Dallas.
|
01-14-16 |
Cavs v. Spurs -5.5 |
|
95-99 |
Loss |
-105 |
16 h 38 m |
Show
|
6* Cavs/Spurs TNT National TV *Annihilator* on San Antonio -5.5
The Key: The San Antonio Spurs are the best home team in the NBA. They are 22-0 SU & 16-6 ATS at home this season, outscoring opponents by a ridiculous 16.1 points per game. I look for them to continue to roll tonight as reasonable 5.5-point home favorites over the Cleveland Cavaliers. Cleveland will be playing its 5th road games on a 6-game trip, making this a very tough spot. The Spurs are 16-3 ATS in their last 19 home games after playing a game as a road favorite. Cleveland is 4-16 ATS in its last 16 road games vs. good rebounding teams who outrebound their opponents by 3 or more boards per game. The Spurs are 10-1 ATS versus teams who make 36% or more of their 3-point attempts this season. The Cavs are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Spurs are 44-19 ATS in their last 63 games overall, including 25-9 ATS in their last 34 home games. Take San Antonio.
|
01-13-16 |
Wolves v. Rockets OVER 204.5 |
Top |
104-107 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 1 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Western Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH on T'Wolves/Rockets OVER 204.5
The Key: When the Timberwolves and Rockets get together, it usually results in a high-scoring affair. In fact, the OVER is 6-0 in the last six meetings between these teams with six straight combined scores of 214 or more points. They have combined for 230, 215, 226, 214, 222 and 235 points in their last 6 meetings, respectively. That's an average of 223.7 combined points per game, which is 19.2 points more than this posted total of 204.5. Take the OVER.
|
01-12-16 |
Cavs v. Mavs OVER 198 |
Top |
110-107 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 0 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Cavs/Mavs OVER 198
The Key: With Kyrie Irving back in the lineup, the Cleveland Cavaliers are hitting on all cylinders offensively. They have scored 104, 122, 121, 125 and 95 points in their last 5 games overall. That 95-point effort was the result of a poor shooting night in which they shot just 38.9% against the 76ers, but that's not likely to happen again. The Mavs have scored at least 100 points in 6 of their last 10 games coming in. Recent meetings between these teams indicate that this total has been set too low. The Mavs and Cavs have combined for at least 199 points in 4 straight meetings. They are averaging 212.5 combined points/game over their last 4 meetings. That's 14.5 points more than this 198-point total. Take the OVER.
|
01-12-16 |
Celtics -1 v. Knicks |
|
114-120 |
Loss |
-109 |
6 h 50 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Boston Celtics -1
The Key: The Boston Celtics have lost 5 of their last 6 games. They clearly want a win to end this skid, especially after blowing a 20-point lead in a loss at Memphis on Sunday. They now get to take on a hot Knicks team that has gone 4-1 in its last 5 games, but one that is getting too much respect from the books now. The Celtics are 4-0 in their last four meetings with the Knicks with an average victory of 11.3 points per game. Boston is 13-1 ATS in its last 14 road games after two straight games where it allowed at least 100 points. Take Boston.
|
01-11-16 |
Wizards +8 v. Bulls |
|
114-100 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 17 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Washington Wizards +8
The Key: One of these teams has struggled of late while the other is rolling. That has forced the oddsmakers to shade the line toward the team that is rolling, creating some value on the team that is struggling. The Wizards have lost 5 of their last 7 games, while the Bulls have won 6 of their last 7. The Bulls may win again tonight, but asking them to do so by 8-plus points is asking too much. The Wizards have actually played their best basketball on the road this season as they are 8-8 SU & 9-7 ATS. They just won 105-99 at Orlando, and I like them to stay with the Bulls tonight, possibly pulling off the upset. After all, the Wizards are 6-3 SU & 6-3 ATS in their last 9 meetings with the Bulls, so they clearly match up well with them. The Wizards are 41-23 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons. The Bulls are 3-11 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season. The Wizards are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 vs. Eastern Conference teams and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games. The Wizards are also 8-1 ATS in their last 9 trips to Chicago. Take Washington.
|
01-09-16 |
Bulls v. Hawks -2 |
|
105-120 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 38 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Atlanta Hawks -2
The Key: The Atlanta Hawks are coming off a stretch in which they lost 3 of 4 games, but they rebounded with a 126-98 win at Philadelphia. This recent stretch has them undervalued right now. Conversely, the Bulls are 6-0 in their last 6 games overall, which has them overvalued. I think we are getting the Hawks at a discount tonight as a result. Chicago is 4-16 ATS in its last 20 Saturday games. The Bulls are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS win. The favorite is 35-16 ATS in the last 51 meetings. Take Atlanta.
|
01-08-16 |
Heat v. Suns +5 |
|
103-95 |
Loss |
-102 |
8 h 6 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Phoenix Suns +5
The Key: The betting public wants nothing to do with the Phoenix Suns right now because they have lost 9 of their last 10 games overall. The oddsmakers have been forced to tack on a few extra points for the Suns tonight. Asking the Heat to go on the road and beat the Suns by 6 or more points to cover this spread tonight is asking a little too much. The Suns will be motivated to end a 10-game losing streak to the Heat, and they'll also be motivated to beat their former teammate, Goran Dragic. The Heat are just 6-6 on the road this season, where they're scoring only 93.0 points per game. Miami is 1-14 ATS after covering 3 of its last 4 games against the spread over the last two seasons. Take Phoenix.
|
01-08-16 |
Nuggets v. Grizzlies UNDER 192.5 |
Top |
84-91 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 36 m |
Show
|
7* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Nuggets/Grizzlies UNDER 192.5
The Key: The Grizzlies have been playing in some very low-scoring games over the past month-plus. They have scored fewer than 100 points in 15 of their last 18, and they've allowed 100 or fewer in 12 of their last 13. The Grizzlies are still a great defensive team, but they are now offensively-challenged because both PG Mike Conley and SG Courtney Lee are nursing injuries that will likely keep them out tonight. The Nuggets and Grizzlies have played in very low scoring affairs in their last two meetings with combined scores of 173 and 168 points. The UNDER is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. The Nuggets are 10-1 to the UNDER in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record. Take the UNDER.
|
01-07-16 |
Celtics +6 v. Bulls |
|
92-101 |
Loss |
-103 |
6 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* Celtics/Bulls NBA on TNT *CA$H COW* on Boston +6
The Key: The Boston Celtics have clearly been road warriors this season. They have gone 10-6 on the road this season, which includes an 11-5 ATS mark. They have been even better on the road here of late, going 7-2 SU in their last nine road games with two 3-point losses to San Antonio and Detroit. I look for them to stay within 6 points of the Bulls on the road tonight, possibly pulling off the upset. The Bulls are getting a lot of respect from oddsmakers right now due to their 5-game winning streak coming in. It's time to fade them as a result. Boston has gone 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points. The Celtics are 39-19 ATS in their last 58 road games overall. Take Boston.
|
01-06-16 |
Mavs v. Pelicans -5.5 |
|
100-91 |
Loss |
-101 |
6 h 29 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New Orleans Pelicans -5.5
The Key: The Dallas Mavericks are in an awful spot tonight. They are coming off a double-overtime game against Sacramento last night in which they won on a buzzer-beater by Deron Williams, 117-116. Now they are in a huge letdown spot here, and they are also fatigued as this will be the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 4th game in 6 days. New Orleans has had 3 days off in between games since a 105-98 road win over these same Mavericks on Saturday. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. New Orleans is 29-14 ATS in its last 43 games after failing to cover the spread in 2 of its last 3 games coming in. Take New Orleans.
|
01-05-16 |
Warriors v. Lakers +13 |
Top |
109-88 |
Loss |
-102 |
9 h 22 m |
Show
|
7* Warriors/Lakers Western Conference *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles +13
The Key: The Golden State Warriors are clearly overvalued right now due to their 32-2 start to the season. They have failed to cover the spread in back-to-back games with a 3-point home win over the Nuggets and a 10-point home win over the Hornets. Now they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after beating Charlotte at home last night. The Lakers are undervalued due to their 8-27 start, but they have been playing much better of late. They have won three straight with an 8-point win at Boston, a 9-point home win over Philadelphia, and a 20-point home win over Phoenix. They have gone 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Warriors are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Take Los Angeles.
|
01-04-16 |
Celtics -7.5 v. Nets |
Top |
103-94 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 59 m |
Show
|
7* Monday Night NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston Celtics -7.5
The Key: The Boston Celtics want revenge from two straight losses to the Nets this season, including a 3-point loss on Saturday night. Brooklyn PG Jarrett Jack suffered a torn ACL in that game and will miss the rest of the season, which is a big blow to this team. Boston is 16-4 ATS in road games when playing with double revenge over the last two seasons. The Celtics are 41-15 ATS in road games revenging a loss with Brad Stevens as their head coach. Boston is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 road games after giving up 100-plus points in two straight games. Take Boston.
|
01-02-16 |
Rockets +12 v. Spurs |
|
103-121 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* Rockets/Spurs Western Conference *CA$H COW* on Houston +12
The Key: The San Antonio Spurs are clearly overvalued right now. The betting public is all over this team because they have gone 28-6 SU & 23-11 ATS on the season. The Houston Rockets are 16-18 SU & 13-21 ATS, so the betting public wants nothing to do with them. But the Rockets match up well with the Spurs as they've had the upper-hand in this series of late. They have gone 7-3 SU in the last 10 meetings with their three losses coming by 1, 12 and 4 points. The Rockets haven't lost by more than 12 to the Spurs in any of the last 12 meetings. Take Houston.
|
12-31-15 |
Clippers v. Pelicans -3 |
|
95-89 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 27 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New Orleans Pelicans -3
The Key: This is strictly a fade of the Los Angeles Clippers tonight. They are worn down as this will be their 5th game in 7 days, all of which have come on the road. They played a high-scoring affair in a 122-117 win at Charlotte last night, so they will also be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back. The Pelicans have played better of late with 3 wins in their last 5 games and one of their losses coming in overtime on the road to the Miami Heat. The home team has gone 6-0 straight up in the last 6 meetings between these teams. Take New Orleans.
|
12-30-15 |
Warriors v. Mavs +4 |
|
91-114 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 20 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Dallas Mavericks +4
The Key: This is a great spot to fade the Golden State Warriors considering how banged up their are right now. They are likely to be without MVP Steph Curry, who had an MRI today on his leg and should be given the night off. Harrison Barnes and Leandro Barbose remain out, Festus Ezeli is questionable, and Draymond Green is expected to play through an ankle injury. The Warriors are ripe for the picking tonight, and I look for the Mavericks to knock them off. The Mavs are playing their best basketball of the season right now as they are 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall with their only loss coming by 4 points at Toronto. The Mavs are 4-0 in their last four home games, and they haven't lost any of their last 12 home games by more than 4 points, making for a perfect 12-0 angle backing them tonight. Take Dallas.
|
12-29-15 |
Heat v. Grizzlies -4.5 |
|
90-99 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 30 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Memphis Grizzlies -4.5
The Key: I'll gladly fade the Miami Heat tonight given this awful spot for them. The Heat will be playing their 4th game in 5 days off their 105-111 loss to the Brooklyn Nets last night. They'll have nothing left to give against Memphis, which will be playing just its 3rd game in 7 days. The Grizzlies want revenge from a 97-100 loss at Miami on December 13 in which they blew a 16-point 3rd quarter lead and watched the Heat score the final 11 points of the game. They have won four straight home meetings with the Heat. Miami is 0-7 ATS vs. teams who force 16 or more turnovers per game this season. Memphis is 19-9 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Take Memphis.
|
12-28-15 |
Nets +8.5 v. Heat |
|
111-105 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 6 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Brooklyn Nets +8.5
The Key: The Nets have lost 7 of their last 8 games and are catching too many points tonight as a result. The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last 2 games and are laying too many points now. I like the Nets here as 8.5-point dogs. This team has been getting too many points on the road all season, as they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games. The last 4 meetings between the Nets and Heat have all been decided by 6 points or less. There's a good chance this one will be as well. Take Brooklyn.
|
12-26-15 |
Heat v. Magic -4 |
|
108-101 |
Loss |
-107 |
9 h 57 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Orlando Magic -4
The Key: The Miami Heat will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after needing overtime to beat the New Orleans Pelicans on Christmas Day. They won't have a lot left in the tank for the Orlando Magic, who come in playing as well as anyone in the Eastern Conference. The Magic have won five of their last six games overall with their only loss coming by 3 points to Atlanta. Four of their five wins came by 8 points or more. They have had two days off as they last played on Wednesday, so they will be the fresher team. The Magic are 20-8 ATS in all games this season as they've been undervalued all year. They're 10-5 SU & 10-5 ATS in all home games. The Heat are just 4-5 SU & 4-5 ATS on the road. The Heat are 13-36-2 ATS in their last 51 games following a straight up win. The Magic are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win. Take Orlando.
|
12-25-15 |
Cavs +7 v. Warriors |
Top |
83-89 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 39 m |
Show
|
7* Cavs/Warriors XMas Day *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland +7
The Key: The Cleveland Cavaliers are fully healthy for the first time this season. That's a far cry from what they were when they lost to the Warriors 4-2 in the NBA Finals. They somehow managed to make a series out of it despite playing without Kevin Love and Kyrie Irving. But both players are healthy coming into this rematch, and the Cavs are simply going to want this one more than the Warriors. The Cavs are also playing well coming in, winning 6 straight with a pair of double-digit road wins over the Magic and Celtics in their two road games during this stretch. The Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. Take Cleveland.
|
12-23-15 |
Rockets v. Magic +1 |
|
101-104 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 13 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Orlando Magic +1
The Key: The Orlando Magic are playing their best basketball of the season entering this home game against the Houston Rockets. They have won 10 of their last 14 games overall with three of their four losses coming by 3 points or less. They have also gone a sensational 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 contests. With how well they are playing right now, they should not be home underdogs to the Houston Rockets, who clearly have something wrong as they are just 15-14 and fired their head coach early on. The Magic are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 meetings with the Rockets. That includes a 5-1 ATS record in their last six home meetings. Take Orlando.
|
12-22-15 |
Mavs +4 v. Raptors |
|
99-103 |
Push |
0 |
15 h 40 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Dallas Mavericks +4
The Key: I really like backing the Dallas Mavericks as road underdogs. Year after year, they always seem to play their best basketball on the road, while consistently being overvalued as home favorites. That has been the case again this season as they are 8-7 SU & 9-6 ATS on the road. The Mavs have had three days of rest to get ready for the Raptors, and they certainly want to avenge a 91-102 home loss to them in their first meeting this season. Bets on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Mavericks, revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, playing with 3 or more days rest are 49-23 ATS over the last 5 seasons. The Mavericks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 3 or more days rest. The Raptors are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take Dallas.
|
12-21-15 |
Magic v. Knicks UNDER 196.5 |
|
107-99 |
Loss |
-102 |
6 h 19 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Eastern Conference *TOTAL* Annihilator on Magic/Knicks UNDER 196.5
The Key: When you look at recent meetings between the Knicks and Magic, it's easy to see why I like the UNDER here. They have combined for 191, 159 and 172 points in their last three meetings. That's an average of 174.0 points per game and 22.5 points less than this 196.5-point total. Both teams prefer to slow down the tempo as the Magic rank 19th in pace while the Knicks are 23rd. Both teams struggle offensively as the Magic are 19th in offensive efficiency while the Knicks are 21st. Both teams are improved defensively this season as the Magic rank 8th in defensive efficiency while the Knicks rank 16th. Orlando is 8-0 UNDER in road games off a close loss by 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons. The Magic are 8-0 UNDER in road games off a home loss to a division opponent over the last 3 years. Take the UNDER.
|
12-20-15 |
Wolves +1.5 v. Nets |
|
100-85 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 42 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Minnesota Timberwolves +1.5
The Key: The Timberwolves had lost eight of nine games before finally snapping out of it with a 99-95 home win over the Kings on Friday. This stretch has them undervalued right now as they should not be underdogs to the Brooklyn Nets. But all 8 of those losses came by 12 points or less, including 7 by 8 points or fewer. They were competitive in every game, but just had some bad fortune in close games. The Nets are 7-19 on the season and have lost four straight coming in. They have all kinds of injury issues right now as Shane Larkin, Rondae-Hollis Jefferson and Sergey Karasev are all out. The Timberwolves have played their best ball on the road this season as they are 6-6 SU & 9-3 ATS in road games. They are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games overall. The Timberwolves are 16-6-1 ATS in their last 23 meetings with the Nets. Minnesota is 8-1 ATS in road games after playing a game as an underdog this season. Take Minnesota.
|
12-19-15 |
Clippers v. Rockets -1 |
|
97-107 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 54 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Houston Rockets -1
The Key: The Los Angeles Clippers are coming off a draining 8-point loss at San Antonio last night. They will now be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 7th game in 11 days. The Houston Rockets had yesterday off following a 107-87 road win over the Los Angeles Lakers Thursday. The Rockets are playing much better now as they've won 8 of their last 12 games overall and were competitive in all four of their losses. The Rockets have won four straight meetings with the Clippers heading in, including home wins by 13 and 21 points. The Rockets are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games off a road win by 10 points or more. Houston is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 home games off a road win. Take Houston.
|
12-18-15 |
Nuggets v. Jazz -5 |
Top |
88-97 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 28 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Utah Jazz -5
The Key: The Utah Jazz have lost four straight coming in and desperately need a win. But two of those losses came to Oklahoma City and another to San Antonio, which are two of the best teams in the NBA. Now they get to a cupcake in Denver. The Nuggets have played better of late, winning five of their last six, but four of those wins have come against Minnesota (twice), Philadelphia and Houston. Four of them have also come by 6 points or less, so they've been fortunate in close games. The Jazz have won each of their last two meetings with the Nuggets in blowout fashion with a 12-point road win this season and a 14-point home win in their final meeting last year. Utah is 8-1 ATS after playing a game as a home favorite this season. The Nuggets are 4-15 ATS in their last 19 games playing on 2 days rest. The Jazz are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest. The Jazz are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Take Utah.
|
12-18-15 |
Kings v. Wolves +2.5 |
|
95-99 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Minnesota Timberwolves +2.5
The Key: The Minnesota Timberwolves have lost 8 of their last 9 games coming in an are in desperate need of a victory. But it's not like they haven't been competitive as they could have won all nine of those games. The eight losses have come by 8, 3, 6, 4, 3, 7, 12 and 5 points, so they have been in every game, but they just haven't been able to finish the deal. The Kings are road favorites here because they come in having won 3 straight. HOwever, all three wins came at home over Utah, New York and Houston. The Kings are a great home team, but they are a terrible road game. The Kings are just 2-8 on the road this season, giving up 112.5 points per game away from home. The Kings are 21-47-2 ATS in their last 70 games playing on 2 days rest. Sacramento is 7-20 ATS in its last 27 games following an ATS win. Take Minnesota.
|
12-17-15 |
Rockets v. Lakers +6 |
|
107-87 |
Loss |
-105 |
14 h 17 m |
Show
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6* Rockets/Lakers TNT *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles +6
The Key: After a brutal 8-game road trip in which the Lakers played 8 games in 12 days, they finally had some rest before returning home to face the Bucks two nights ago. They had two days off prior to that game, and then promptly put together their best performance of the season in a 113-95 home win as 3.5-point underdogs. They had seven different players score in double-digits and had 26 assists on their 41 made field goals. Look for them to build off of that win and play well tonight as 6-point home dogs against the Rockets. The Lakers want revenge from an ugly loss at Houston on December 12 less than a week ago. That was the 8th game on that 8-game road trip, and they were playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after playing in San Antonio the previous night. They had nothing left in the tank, but now they are rejuvenated and will put forth a much better effort tonight. The Lakers are only getting outscored by 2.7 points per game at home this year, while the Rockets are getting outscored by 4.0 points per game on the road. The Rockets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. Take Los Angeles.
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