11-15-21 |
Bulls v. Lakers |
|
121-103 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 2 m |
Show
|
I will take the Bulls again here tonight. They had a great win last night vs the Clippers and the Lakers won also which is why I believe the Bulls have good value here. This team just clicks well together and I think they are hungry.
|
11-15-21 |
Providence +5.5 v. Wisconsin |
|
63-58 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 42 m |
Show
|
Boy do the Badgers have a lot to replace only returning 1 starter that being Davison. That simply doesn't worry me at all. Providence will have the best players by far on the court in Reeves and Watson. They have a lot back from a team that did under achieve but injuries played a role last year for that. I think they are live here to win this outright
|
11-15-21 |
Oregon State -2 v. Tulsa |
|
58-64 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 40 m |
Show
|
I might be missing something here with Oregon St but I love them tonight. They lost at Iowa St and while that doesn't look good in comparison to last season I think Iowa St is so much improved so I won't knock them. This team damn near made the final 4 last season. They return 3 starters and I love a bounce back win for them tonight in a short number.
|
11-15-21 |
Rams v. 49ers +4 |
|
10-31 |
Win
|
100 |
82 h 53 m |
Show
|
I will take the 49ers here. This team had two huge fumbles last week from their TE and WR that really flipped the game vs the Cardinals. The Rams I know dominated the stats against the Titans but their OL has me worried here. Stafford hardly had anytime and I also wonder if the OBJ situation will serve as a distraction. The Rams will be one of the most public plays of the week and the books know it. This game goes down to the wire.
|
11-15-21 |
Nuggets v. Mavs -4 |
|
101-111 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 26 m |
Show
|
I'm going to lay it here with the Mavs as they will be looking for revenge tonight. The Nuggets handed the Mavs their worst loss of the season so you know the Mavs will be motivated a little more than normal tonight. Nuggets are hot and playing well but all those games are at home. I think Mavs make a statement tonight
|
11-15-21 |
Furman +6.5 v. Belmont |
|
89-95 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 15 m |
Show
|
Under the radar big game for small schools. Both of these teams have very solid units and Belmont is for sure more of a household name. I think both of these teams are even so the value here lies with Furman and the points. Furman with a very impressive road win @ Louisville also
|
11-15-21 |
Celtics -2 v. Cavs |
|
98-92 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 41 m |
Show
|
Weird situation here with these two teams just meeting. The Cavs came out on top Saturday night winning by 2. The Celtics blew a huge 14 point lead at half and were out rebounded by 20. They also really struggled from deep only hitting 6 threes. I love the bounce back game from them tonight.
|
11-15-21 |
Illinois v. Marquette +8.5 |
|
66-67 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 46 m |
Show
|
Yes, Illinois is a very good team we all know that. I just think the preseason love is too much here saying for them to win by double digits essentially on the road? Illinois lost Ayo which I think we will see that be bigger as the season goes on. There is no hiding that Maruqette lost a fair amount of talent from that team. The thing though is Shaka hit a homer in the off season with transfers. So while a lot of newcomers yes, the talent is still there and deep.
|
11-14-21 |
Bulls +4 v. Clippers |
|
100-90 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 10 m |
Show
|
Bulls had a little humbling last game vs the Warriors as they were blown out. This Bulls team is legit and I believe a lot better spot here tonight with the Clippers playing last night. Still no Kawhi for LA. Love a great bounce back spot for Chicago tonight
|
11-14-21 |
Chiefs -2.5 v. Raiders |
|
41-14 |
Win
|
100 |
132 h 43 m |
Show
|
I love the Chiefs here in this game. I was against the Raiders last week as I felt that everything going on within the team would be a distraction and I believe that was true. I think they are a play against for the remainder of the season. Yes, the Raiders have played the Chiefs hard in the past but also remember that those lines were a lot bigger. We are getting a discount simply because once against the. Chiefs don't cover the game. Mahomes in Prime Time I think we get a big effort
|
11-14-21 |
Bucks v. Hawks -1.5 |
|
100-120 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 42 m |
Show
|
There is literally no great reason to take the Hawks. Whenever I see a very fishy line especially in the NBA sometimes you just have to go with it. The Hawks haven't played great so far and the Bucks are on their 5th straight road game. My faith is in the odds makers with this line.
|
11-14-21 |
Seahawks +3.5 v. Packers |
|
0-17 |
Loss |
-112 |
105 h 40 m |
Show
|
I will take the 3.5 here with Seattle. You better believe that the Seahawks will be the most motivated team here as they still feel there is a chance for them to make the playoffs. Their all everyone in Russell Wilson returns and the Packers are still facing questions regarding Rodgers. The Packers to me simply dont pass the eye test. I think they are very much overrated and a large part of their numbers is because of how easy their schedule has been so far.
|
11-14-21 |
Vikings +3 v. Chargers |
|
27-20 |
Win
|
100 |
104 h 24 m |
Show
|
I was hoping for a 3 and got it here with the Vikings. No one in the NFL this season has played more close games than the Minnesota Vikings. I still believe this is a good team and trust that they can get back on the right path. The Chargers still have major issues against the run and I believe Cook won't have an issue. The Chargers were laying a short number to Philly and were in a dog fight as they kicked the game winner as time expired. Vikings just took a very good Ravens team to OT and in fact should have won blowing a 24 pt lead in the 2nd half. Overall the better team is the Vikings give me the points.
|
11-14-21 |
Jaguars v. Colts -10 |
|
17-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
101 h 24 m |
Show
|
Let's take the Colts here this weekend against the Jags. So the Jags shocked everyone last week and upset the Bills. I do think that was very fluky as the final score was 6-9. The Colts are literally one of the hottest teams in the league that no one is talking about. They have won 4 of their last 6 games while the two losses both came in OT. They aren't being priced high enough simply because of their record. I think this is a blowout
|
11-14-21 |
Falcons v. Cowboys -9 |
|
3-43 |
Win
|
100 |
101 h 9 m |
Show
|
Now that the Cowboy had their mouths punched I think this week is a great bounce back spot. I'm really not scared laying this number. The Falcons are extremely one dimensional and that will be the difference here. I dont think the Falcons beating a 3rd string QB does anything or should mean much here. Cowboys offense bounces back in a big effort, mind you they are still #1 overall offense in the league.
|
11-14-21 |
Lions +9 v. Steelers |
|
16-16 |
Win
|
100 |
101 h 2 m |
Show
|
The dreaded team without a win. Yes, the Lions here are a play off the bye week. I firmly believe this is a let down spot here for the Steelers following a Monday night win over the Bears. The Steelers were outplayed big time by the Bears and the reason they didn't lose was honestly because of the refs plain and simple. The Steelers have a huge slate of game coming up and this type of team shouldn't be laying more than a TD. In fact they haven't covered a game yet when being favored this year. Love the spot for the Lions expect a big effort.
|
11-13-21 |
Washington State +14 v. Oregon |
|
24-38 |
Push |
0 |
83 h 28 m |
Show
|
I will take Washington St here catching 14 against Oregon. yes, everyone will say that the Ducks have everything to play for since they are in the playoff as of right now. I think Washington St has a ton also as if they win this game they will move to first in the PAC 12 north. The Cougars are much improved and have covered 6 straight games. They are also off their bye week and I love the extra time with how meaningful this one is
|
11-13-21 |
NC State +2 v. Wake Forest |
|
42-45 |
Loss |
-110 |
69 h 7 m |
Show
|
I was against Wake Forest last week in a winner and I really wonder where their heads are following that all out effort last week. Yes Wake Forest controls their own still but who else does as well? Yes, NC St will pass Wake if they win this head to head which I believe they will. Wake has a high powered offense no doubt but wow is their defense extremely bad. NC St is a very well balanced team and even though they aren't a powerhouse on offense they won't have an issue moving it here.
|
11-13-21 |
Arizona State v. Washington +6 |
|
35-30 |
Win
|
100 |
68 h 29 m |
Show
|
So last week Washington was a 7 point dog to Oregon who many know that is in the college football playoff and odds makers are implying that ASU and Oregon are basically the same team? I'm not buying it here. Washington has under achieved off the offensive side of the ball but their defense is legit and I believe they will want to make a bowl game. They played very hard last week in just a 10 point loss to Oregon. I think a great spot to back them here
|
11-13-21 |
Minnesota +5.5 v. Iowa |
|
22-27 |
Win
|
100 |
76 h 4 m |
Show
|
I like the Gophers here. They laid a complete egg last week in losing to Illinois last week. After the hot start Iowa has really cooled off not covering 3 straight games. Iowa is without their starting QB in Petras and most are happy but I still have a lot of questions on exactly how good the back up is? I mean you would trust the coaching staff that the starter is better right? This game means a lot to both here as the winner still could win the West. I will take the points
|
11-13-21 |
West Virginia +7 v. Kansas State |
|
17-34 |
Loss |
-120 |
73 h 2 m |
Show
|
Give me the 7 here with WVU. This has been a series that West Virginia has owned winning 5 straight SU. I think they are undervalued here simply because of last week, but that was Oklahoma St and they are a good team. Kansas St getting a little too much love off 3 straight wins give me all the points here in a close game.
|
11-13-21 |
Michigan v. Penn State +1 |
|
21-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
73 h 58 m |
Show
|
Do I wish this was a night game in Happy Valley, absolutely. However, I still think there is great value here with Penn St at home. This team will be more than up for this game. Reason why I like the line is remember just a few weeks back Michigan at -3 at Nebraska well you're telling me that Penn St is barely better than the Cornhuskers? Not buying it. This Penn St D is nasty and I think will be the biggest difference here in this game.
|
11-13-21 |
Oklahoma v. Baylor +5.5 |
|
14-27 |
Win
|
100 |
73 h 55 m |
Show
|
I still believe that Oklahoma is by far the most overrated team in the country and yes they haven't lost yet. This team just keeps escaping close games. The Sooners defense has been horrible on the road giving up 6.9 yards per play which is beyond pathetic. Baylor losing last week wasn't a complete shock as IMO they were clearly looking ahead here
|
11-13-21 |
Syracuse v. Louisville -3 |
|
3-41 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 39 m |
Show
|
I will roll with Louisville here who I think is a cheap price at home. Just a few weeks ago this team was -3 vs a very good Virginia team. Cuse has played well this season and they are getting respect because they are 8-1 ATS. This has been a series owned by Louisville and I dont expect it to change.
|
11-12-21 |
Mavs -2.5 v. Spurs |
|
123-109 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 28 m |
Show
|
Mavs I think come in pretty focused here after a ugly game at the Bulls last time out. This is a rivalry game and I know the mass escaped in the first meeting winning by 1. Mavs are just flat out better across the board here. Like the bounce back
|
11-12-21 |
Kings v. Thunder +4.5 |
|
103-105 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 55 m |
Show
|
The Thunder are a bad team I get it. However, with that being said there will be times to ride them and this is one of them. They have won 3 straight and 4 of their last 6 games. They have also covered 6 of their last 7 as well. Kings on the other hand have lost and failed to cover in 3 straight games.
|
11-12-21 |
Bucks v. Celtics +2 |
|
113-122 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 39 m |
Show
|
I'm going to grab the Celtics here. I had them last game in a winner and I know Giannis is back but Middleton is still out and honestly he means a lot more to this team than what people realize. Celtics are without Brown yes but I think the matchup for them is pretty good here tonight.
|
11-10-21 |
Heat v. Lakers +4 |
|
117-120 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 43 m |
Show
|
I much rather have the Lakers here as the home dog here tonight. Davis is probable and yes LeBron is still out. The Heat have issues of their own though here. Morris and Tucker are out with Bam and Herro being highly questionable. That is a lot of contributors to be out vs a Laker team that will be hungry in this role tonight. Lakers know they haven't played well, I think tonights game has their attention though
|
11-10-21 |
Blazers +5 v. Suns |
|
109-119 |
Loss |
-104 |
11 h 46 m |
Show
|
I had Portland in a losing effort last night at the Clippers. They failed to cover, but I think they are worth back again here tonight at this price. Suns have won 5 straight and covered the last 4 but all have been against bad teams. Ayton is out tonight along with Saric and Shamet. Portland bounces back in a big effort.
|
11-10-21 |
Mavs +3.5 v. Bulls |
|
107-117 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 49 m |
Show
|
I like the plus money here and the points with the Mavs. I do believe in this Bulls yes, however now they are favored over a good Western Conference team and the love might be getting a tad extreme. Bulls off the big win over the Nets and have a 5 game road trip coming up. I think this is a let down spot at home tonight.
|
11-10-21 |
Raptors v. Celtics -2 |
|
88-104 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
|
I like the short number here for the Celtics to get their first home win of the season. yes, I know they are without Brown who is a stud. This teams have already met and the Raptors were 7 point dogs and blew the Celtics out. I love the revenge angle here tonight
|
11-09-21 |
Blazers +3 v. Clippers |
|
109-117 |
Loss |
-108 |
13 h 19 m |
Show
|
I know the Blazers advent won a road game yet this season but I think now is the time to back them. The reason why is because I really love the revenge game here from earlier this season. The Blazers were blown out at the Clippers in the first meeting. I'm putting my trust in Portland here coming off a nice win over the Lakers with two days off here and for that to carry over.
|
11-09-21 |
Kansas -4 v. Michigan State |
|
87-74 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 53 m |
Show
|
This will only go higher. There is a reason that Izzo's team isn't ranked it its because they aren't that good and it might be weird to say but we are seeing them fall off. Kansas on the other hand beats them in overall athletes, depth etc. Kansas rolls
|
11-07-21 |
Titans v. Rams -7.5 |
|
28-16 |
Loss |
-107 |
83 h 40 m |
Show
|
I will lay the number here what most people might think will be square. Here is the thing though that the oddsmakers simply aren't going to make a team as hot as the Titans a huge dog. Henry I would argue means more to their team than anyone else. Throw in the fact the Titans secondary is very banged up and with Stafford he will have an air day. Also, the Titans WR group isn't 100% healthy and with Ramsey on Brown there is anther advantage for the Rams. I think the Rams will put it on them as the Titans simply won't bring enough to the table on offense
|
11-07-21 |
Cardinals v. 49ers +2.5 |
|
31-17 |
Loss |
-100 |
115 h 50 m |
Show
|
I like the Niners here this week. I backed them in the first meeting in a losing effort but that was with trey Lance at QB. The Niners offense did show some things that had been missing last week. The thing about the Cardinals is obviously the health of Kyler Murray but their defense right now doesn't look great. Also remember two weeks ago they were 3 point dogs @ the Browns and now are laying points against a similar team and division rival.
|
11-07-21 |
Browns v. Bengals -2.5 |
Top |
41-16 |
Loss |
-109 |
111 h 24 m |
Show
|
I love the Bengals here this week. Yes, they lost to the Jets and I get it's a terrible loss. I also think we are getting a discount with them here. The Bengals blew an 11 point lead in that game in the in the final 5 minutes. The Browns are a team that seem to have a lot going on right now inside in the franchise. The Browns really are struggling on offense right now failing to score over 20 points in three consecutive home games. Bengals will be motivated and they want to enter their bye week the following week on a very high note.
|
11-07-21 |
Raiders v. Giants +3 |
|
16-23 |
Win
|
100 |
111 h 24 m |
Show
|
I was already leaning the Giants here and yes I know they are on a short week and yes I know the Giants are generally a team you play away from home. I just dont buy into all the Raiders right now and given the situation with what took place with Ruggs following the Gruden thing I think we are seeing a big distraction here from the Raiders. I know the Raiders are off their bye week but I think in this case this is a bad bye week given everything. Giants win this game outright.
|
11-07-21 |
Vikings +6.5 v. Ravens |
|
31-34 |
Win
|
100 |
75 h 24 m |
Show
|
The Vikings aren't getting any respect here following that loss to the Cowboys and a backup QB. The narrative now is that the Vikings are no good and the season is over. I think this is a prime bounce back spot for the Vikings here. The Ravens are off their bye week and that is playing into its also. Here is the main thing though the Ravens, yes Ravens are the worst team in the NFL against the Pass. The Vikings know that and will make that a priority with their two stud WR's.
|
11-06-21 |
Lakers v. Blazers -5.5 |
|
90-105 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 8 m |
Show
|
|
11-06-21 |
Celtics +3 v. Mavs |
|
104-107 |
Push |
0 |
5 h 9 m |
Show
|
|
11-06-21 |
76ers v. Bulls -3.5 |
|
114-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 39 m |
Show
|
|
11-06-21 |
Indiana +20.5 v. Michigan |
|
7-29 |
Loss |
-110 |
93 h 18 m |
Show
|
I think this is now the hardest spot of the year for Michigan. They had their Super Bowl last week vs Sparty and it was an all out effort. That is what we like to call the dream crusher loss and I think it will be hard for them to get up this game. They know Indiana is no good and 20.5 here given the spot is very difficult. Also Penix the Hoosiers QB is suppose to be back this week
|
11-06-21 |
Texas v. Iowa State -6.5 |
|
7-30 |
Win
|
100 |
93 h 14 m |
Show
|
I really believe Texas is now a fade for the rest of the season. This team no doubt is talented, but they can't get it done. This is no 3 straight losses for them and 3 huge games in a row. They are facing Iowa St at the wrong time this week in a night game. I fully expect Breece Hall to control this game for the Cyclones as the Longhorns ranks 118th against the run. Cyclones roll here
|
11-06-21 |
Florida v. South Carolina +18.5 |
|
17-40 |
Win
|
100 |
57 h 43 m |
Show
|
I just simply love the spot here for South Carolina. Florida is coming off their dream crusher loss last week to Georgia. I just believe that type of loss is a difficult one to overcome. That being said they had an all out effort the week before vs LSU also. South Carolina is off their bye week so they will be fresh and ready and I think they keep it close here
|
11-06-21 |
Iowa -12 v. Northwestern |
|
17-12 |
Loss |
-109 |
93 h 47 m |
Show
|
I am going to take Iowa here as I believe this is their buy low spot. They are coming off back to back losses and yes one could say they might think the season is over, but this is quietly a rivalry game. Northwestern is just no good at all at offense ranking 107th overall vs a Iowa defense ranked 9th. This is a big mismatch here and I believe the Hawkeyes blow them out
|
11-06-21 |
Mississippi State v. Arkansas -5 |
|
28-31 |
Loss |
-105 |
53 h 5 m |
Show
|
I have had a pretty good feel for this Miss St team. I had them last week as they beat up Kentucky. I think here is a great spot to back Arkansas now. Everyone is quick to forget how Arkansas jumped out to a hot start. They had 3 tough losses in a row but those were all too good teams in Georgia Ole Miss and Auburn. Arkansas off the bye week, I love the spot here
|
11-06-21 |
Michigan State v. Purdue +3 |
|
29-40 |
Win
|
100 |
89 h 12 m |
Show
|
I will take the points here with Purdue. First, we all know that Sparty will be one of the biggest public plays of the weekend with their win over rival Michigan. They were outgunned by over 150 yards in that game making it pretty misleading. I think following that is very difficult. Also Purdue ranks 16th in the country in passing offense while Sparty against the pass is 127. I think Purdue is prime here for another upset.
|
11-06-21 |
Oklahoma State v. West Virginia +3 |
|
24-3 |
Loss |
-110 |
89 h 58 m |
Show
|
West Virginia no doubt last week benefit big time from so horrible calls in beating Iowa St. Oklahoma St does have a very solid D and suspect at best offense. I think the Cowboys have been pretty luck so far this season winning a lot of close games and the fact they have covered 6 straight here makes me believe they are one valued. WVU playing with confidence and this isn't a let down spot playing another home game.
|
11-06-21 |
Wake Forest v. North Carolina -2 |
|
55-58 |
Win
|
100 |
86 h 47 m |
Show
|
I like UNC here this week. I mean this is just one of those glaring lines that stand out. Here we have a top 10 team undefeated against a 4-4 team and the ranked undefeated team is an underdog. I had UNC in a loss last week but I was impressed and they did have their shot to cover that game. Wakes defense here is no where near as good and I really believe that Howell torches them
|
10-31-21 |
Cowboys v. Vikings +2.5 |
Top |
20-16 |
Loss |
-113 |
82 h 0 m |
Show
|
I love the Vikings here on Sunday night. Both teams are off the bye here and the notion is that Dallas is great and the Vikings have under achieved. Well, the Vikings had two coin flip losses to the Cardinals and Bengals both on the road. How good do those losses look now and in fact they should have won both. The betting public can't get enough of Dallas here since they have covered every game. Cousins is playing awesome and Dak is banged up. This Cowboys secondary I believe will get torched and not create the fluky turnovers that have saved them so far.
|
10-31-21 |
Washington Football Team v. Broncos -3 |
|
10-17 |
Win
|
100 |
78 h 43 m |
Show
|
I love the buy low spot here with Denver. They started the season the 3-0 but now have dropped 4 straight games which is why we are getting a discount here. So trust two weeks ago the Broncos were -5 again the Raiders. So you're telling me Washington is better than the Raiders? Jeduy also returns for Denver which is a major upgrade for them as they had cluster injuries to the WR position. This Washington team is no good.
|
10-31-21 |
Jaguars +3.5 v. Seahawks |
|
7-31 |
Loss |
-120 |
78 h 42 m |
Show
|
I think this is the ultimate flat spot here for the Seahawks. They are off two primetime games in the underdog role which were both big efforts and they lost both but did cover. I just wonder now where their heads could be sitting at 2-5. The Jags I believe are hungry after coming out of their bye week with their first win of the season in London. Seahawks defense is no good here and Lawrence will move the ball.
|
10-31-21 |
Patriots v. Chargers -5 |
|
27-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
78 h 40 m |
Show
|
I love the Chargers here in this game coming off their bye week after they got punched in the mouth entering it bye the Ravens. I think that was a wake up call for them and a great time to get things right. The notion here is that the Patriots are still an average football team and I simply dont buy it. They have 3 wins and 2 are against the Jets and the other one was very lucky beating the Texans another rookie QB after they made a big comeback. I think Herbert and company blow the doors off them here
|
10-31-21 |
Titans v. Colts -1 |
|
34-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
75 h 43 m |
Show
|
I like the Colts here in the rematch game. I'm honestly not surprised they are favored now with they have been playing. The Colts had a tough start going 0-3 but since have been really good and actually should be 4-0. They blew a huge lead on Monday night football two weeks back to the Ravens. This is the week I think the Titans injuries do catch up with them especially in the secondary. They are off two all out games in the beating the Bills and Chiefs. Throw in the revenge factor and I think it's a perfect recipe for the Colts to win
|
10-31-21 |
49ers v. Bears +4 |
|
33-22 |
Loss |
-109 |
75 h 31 m |
Show
|
Give me the Bears here. So San Fran was projected by most to be a playoff team. Well, they started 2-0 by beating the Lions and Eagles well how good do those look now? Exactly those wins mean nothing but here they are still favored on the road. The Bears got beat by the Packers and Bucs their last two games so what they are both playoff teams. Do people forget they went into Vegas and beat the Raiders? Jimmy G brings nothing to the to table and the Bears D will be fine here. Bears had 5 turnovers and I love the bounce back spot for them here
|
10-30-21 |
Heat v. Grizzlies -2.5 |
|
129-103 |
Loss |
-108 |
3 h 17 m |
Show
|
|
10-30-21 |
Jazz v. Bulls +3.5 |
|
99-107 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 16 m |
Show
|
|
10-30-21 |
Spurs +7 v. Bucks |
|
102-93 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 14 m |
Show
|
|
10-30-21 |
Raptors v. Pacers -2.5 |
|
97-94 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 48 m |
Show
|
|
10-30-21 |
Louisville +7 v. NC State |
|
13-28 |
Loss |
-118 |
57 h 27 m |
Show
|
I was against NC St last week as I thought they were overrated and they lost outright at Miami. I think this still holds true here being a 7 point favorite over Louisville. NC St by beating Clemson who now we know isn't that good is still getting respect from that win. Louisville's last two losses have been to Wake by 3 and Virginia by 1. This team is extremely undervalued.
|
10-30-21 |
North Carolina +4 v. Notre Dame |
|
34-44 |
Loss |
-110 |
57 h 22 m |
Show
|
Alright I finally feel now is a good time to back UNC. We all know how much hype this team had around them with Howell being the can't miss QB prospect. Well they have been favored in every game this season and didn't live up to expectations but now are dogs and I will take them here. Notre Dame getting some credit for the USC blowout win is why. ND best player Hamilton their safety a top 5 pick next year is out this game and that is a huge huge loss for them. UNC in this role now yes please.
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10-30-21 |
Boise State v. Colorado State +2.5 |
|
28-19 |
Loss |
-103 |
57 h 48 m |
Show
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I will take the Rams here and the points as we know the betting public will be all over Boise laying a short number here. Boise just isn't the same type of team we are use to seeing. Their defense especially gets gashed on the ground a ton and that is why I think Colorado St wins this game outright. They will control the clock here for the game. I also think this game means a lot more the the Rams players and coaches than it does Boise who is having a down year. Boise has a big look ahead game with Fresno next week also
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10-30-21 |
Purdue v. Nebraska -7.5 |
|
28-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
54 h 40 m |
Show
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I will gladly take Nebraska here in this game. I think the Huskers are in a great bounce back spot here against Purdue. This team for sure wants to make a bowl game and the effort will be here coming off their bye week. Purdue still getting credit for the win at Iowa which is keeping this line lower than it should be. Huskers are 3-1 ATS at home this season. I think Purdue has trouble moving it here against a pretty good Nebraska D.
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10-30-21 |
Miami-FL +9.5 v. Pittsburgh |
|
38-34 |
Win
|
100 |
50 h 27 m |
Show
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I had Miami last week in a winner and I really like them here again this week. This team hasn't quit despite having a very poor start and that is exactly what you are looking for when back a team of this nature. They beat NC St outright last week as a home dog. Pitt is off a big win for them beating Clemson. I think this is the biggest flat spot for them. I think Miami is live here as well.
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10-30-21 |
Texas +3 v. Baylor |
|
24-31 |
Loss |
-107 |
50 h 14 m |
Show
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I will take Texas here and the points. I think we are getting a very good discount here for the fact they have lost back to back games but were very much in both of those games. Texas is off the bye which I think was very much needed following those two games. I know Baylor is as well but I would argue that the bye came at the wrong time as they have been rolling. Texas wins outright.
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10-30-21 |
Iowa v. Wisconsin -3.5 |
|
7-27 |
Win
|
100 |
50 h 12 m |
Show
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I will take the Badgers here. I think Iowa is still a public loved team with their ranking. if you have watched most of their games it has clearly been the defense winning the games. Their offense is horrible and even off a bye I don't expect them to move the ball against the Badgers defense. Badgers still control their own here and I fully expect them to win this game.
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10-29-21 |
Pacers v. Nets -8.5 |
|
98-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 40 m |
Show
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Certain spots to back for the Nets this early in the season and I believe this is one of them. They just lost at home and so far after each of their other two losses they have bounced back with a win and cover. I expect the same here against a injuries Pacers team and they have underachieved big time so far.
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10-29-21 |
Magic +8 v. Raptors |
|
109-110 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 8 m |
Show
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I will take the Magic here against another bottom feeder team in the Eastern Conference. The Raptors are missing Siakam for tonights game which is a huge loss for them. The Magic haven't started the season off to great start but they have also played a tough schedule. They were getting 8 against the Knicks who are clearly way better than the Raptors.
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10-26-21 |
Lakers -4.5 v. Spurs |
|
125-121 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 17 m |
Show
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I'm going to lay it here with the Lakers. I figured they would start out slow and it shouldn't be a surprise. I actually think we will get a better effort now that they are on the road here. Lakers couldbnt have looked any worse their first 3 games. Spurs beating the Magic for their only win means nothing. Lakers wake up tonight and get it done
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10-24-21 |
Colts +4 v. 49ers |
|
30-18 |
Win
|
100 |
58 h 9 m |
Show
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I really like the direction the Colts are heading right now. Went seems to be al to healthier now than the beginning of the season and TY Hilton being back is a huge upgrade for them. I love the way the defense is playing. I dont understand the respect for the Niners here maybe it's because they are coming off a bye. They have shown nothing this season and to be laying more than a FG with zero home field suggests they are clearly better and I dont buy it.
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10-24-21 |
Texans +17 v. Cardinals |
|
5-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
126 h 43 m |
Show
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I will gladly back the Texans here in this game. It's pretty wild to get a team getting 17 in the NFL but it does happen every year. I just literally hate the spot for AZ here. That was an all out effort as a dog to remain undefeated last week @ the Browns. The Cardinals were +3 in turnovers last week and the Texans were -3 in turnovers. In the NFL you just simply can't overcome that. The Cardinals though have a huge and I mean huge look ahead on deck here with the Packers the next game. I also don't think that the Cardinals defense will be getting after Mills like the desperate Colts did. Also, let's say the Cardinals are dominating up 33-10 that means the back door is still wide open. I see the Cardinals starting slow here.
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10-24-21 |
Eagles +3 v. Raiders |
|
22-33 |
Loss |
-107 |
77 h 41 m |
Show
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This is a good matchup here for the Eagles. The Raiders who I backed last week were extra motivated and it showed as they handled their division rival. I think it's fair to say that Denver is clearly overrated from their 3-0 start. I believe you back the Raiders as dogs as 3 of their 4 wins have came in the dog role and fade as favorites as they haven't covered in two games in that role. The Raiders secondary is really banged up and Hurts with weapons on the outside can expose them. The DL for Philly is where they are good and the Raiders OL quite frankly is under par. This game will be very competitive.
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10-24-21 |
Chiefs v. Titans +4.5 |
|
3-27 |
Win
|
100 |
122 h 22 m |
Show
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I will take the Titans here. I was really hoping they would lose on Monday night because that would add more value with them here in this game. This is more of a play against the Chiefs though. I have had a great read on Kansas City this year not missing a side for or against them in any game that I have taken. The Chiefs defense is just bad and last week in a must win game they were trailing at halftime vs Washington. Mahomes is also making some very careless turnovers right now but it isn't being talked about. I'm no fan of the Titans secondary but they did enough against Josh Allen and see no reason why they can't against Mahomes.
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10-24-21 |
Bengals +6.5 v. Ravens |
|
41-17 |
Win
|
100 |
122 h 2 m |
Show
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I will take the Bengals here in this division matchup. This team is very much improved especially on the OL and defense. I dont think anyone had the Bengals D ranking in the top 10 through the first 6 weeks. I have the Ravens last week and I thought it was simply to take them because the Chargers are so bad on the ground. Well Baltimore punched first then the Chargers failed multiple 4th down conversions and it really set them behind all game. let's go back two game to the Monday night game as the Ravens should have lost to the Colts. Went through for nearly 400 yards and I believe that Burrow will be doing the same. The Bengals are 4-2 with their two combined losses being by 3 points each.
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10-24-21 |
Falcons v. Dolphins +3 |
|
30-28 |
Win
|
100 |
74 h 57 m |
Show
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Grab the 3! I can't believe the Falcons are favored here at all. First, the look ahead line here was -2.5 for the Dolphins so what changed? Well the Falcons had a bye and the Jags hit two 50+ yard FG's to beat them. It was also the first game back for Too last week. I think we are seeing a big time overreaction here to the Dolphins losing. Mind you they were missing their 2 best pieces in the secondary and they are back this week.
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10-24-21 |
Jets +7.5 v. Patriots |
|
13-54 |
Loss |
-118 |
74 h 46 m |
Show
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I will take the 7.5 with the Jets here. This line not moving at all tells me all I need to know about this side. This will probably be the #1 pubic play of the week in the Patriots. I think the Jets have actually improved a little. Heres the thing in the first meeting though the Jets out gained the Patriots but the biggest thing was the 4 turnovers for Wilson. I believe he cleans that up the 2nd time around. The Patriots I think are in a bad spot here with the way they lost to Dallas in OT last week.
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10-23-21 |
USC +7 v. Notre Dame |
|
16-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
105 h 17 m |
Show
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I simply dont understand this line. I know that USC has under performed this season no doubt about it, but you're giving me 7? Ok, so ND went off as a dog at Va Tech is there really a gap between Va Tech and USC? I dont think so at all. I know the public is down in USC but this is a rivalry game and they are coming off a bye. After their first two losses this season they have won and covered the next game.
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10-23-21 |
NC State v. Miami-FL +3 |
|
30-31 |
Win
|
100 |
72 h 49 m |
Show
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I really like Miami here Saturday night. Yes, things haven't gone their way to say the least this season we can all agree. I actually think King was overrated at QB and it has become clear to me that they haven't gave up even with him out. So they lose to Michigan St and Bama but mind you they were favored by 6 over Sparty. Now they are catching 3 against NC ST. I get adjustments need to be made but this is too big of one. Miami has still played hard like I mentioned losing by 2 to Virginia and 3 to UNC their last two games.
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10-23-21 |
UTSA v. Louisiana Tech +7 |
|
45-16 |
Loss |
-110 |
105 h 38 m |
Show
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I think we are seeing a highly over valued undefeated UTSA team who has now moved into the rankings. I think most people will just look at the records in blindly take the team who hasn't lost and has covered every week game but 1. The thing is though LA Tech is a quality team and have played really good competition. They lost to Miss St by 1, SMU by 2 and @ NC ST by 7. Clearly in all those games. Just two weeks ago UTSA were 3.5 point dogs on the road to Western Kentucky and now are laying 7 to a better team.
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10-23-21 |
San Diego State v. Air Force -3.5 |
|
20-14 |
Loss |
-104 |
71 h 19 m |
Show
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Here is another game this week where we have the unranked home team favored over the ranked road team. I will always took to the favorite in this situations and this one definitely makes sense. SDSU could have easiest slipped up last Friday at San Jose St winning in double OT. I think Air Force is going to present a different type of challenge with running the ball here. SDSU also made QB change which is very weird timing for this and I dont believe they should have.
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10-23-21 |
Western Kentucky -14.5 v. Florida International |
|
34-19 |
Win
|
100 |
71 h 16 m |
Show
|
When you look at this game from the surface level you see a 2-4 team vs an 0-5 team. There is on glaring difference though and that is WKU has played some great competition. They lost to Indiana by 2 lost to Michigan St by 17 which was a lot closer than the final indicated and UTSA by 6 in a game they put nearly 700 yards of offense. FIU is just a bad team folks and I truly believe WKU will name their score here
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10-23-21 |
BYU -3.5 v. Washington State |
|
21-19 |
Loss |
-110 |
101 h 15 m |
Show
|
I liked BYU early and wish I grabbed a better line but will still play them here. They are coming off two hard losses and I trust them being a good team to really respond and bounce back here. Also, the main thing here is that Wazzu had a big time shake up this week firing their leach coach and others. I believe that serves as a big distraction here for them and not in a good way.
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10-23-21 |
Clemson +3.5 v. Pittsburgh |
|
17-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
101 h 14 m |
Show
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I know I know Clemson has looked bad to say the least so far this season with a very sub par offense. However, it's safe to say that they still have big talent gap here. Plus if this game were played several weeks ago what would this line be? I would say Clemson by double digits. Clemson D is still very very good and I believe will more than keep them in the game. Dabo you better believe he knows he's an underdog here and they will be motivated.
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10-23-21 |
Oklahoma State v. Iowa State -7 |
|
21-24 |
Loss |
-108 |
101 h 10 m |
Show
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I love Iowa St here this weekend. Well for beginners Iowa St is non ranked and favored by over a touchdown vs a top 25 team? Iowa St numbers are extremely good as their two losses they dominated the boxscore and Vegas knows that. Oklahoma St is being so overvalued here with them coming off a Texas road win last week. Iowa St defense will be the difference maker here and I dont expect the Cowboys to score very much at all.
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10-23-21 |
Oregon v. UCLA -1 |
|
34-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
68 h 50 m |
Show
|
Oregon just hasn't been clicking as of late surviving their last 2 games by 7 each game. Here is another classic example of an Oregon team being ranked #10 in the country and are a underdog. I love these types of games. UCLA is much improved this team believes that they can win the South division. I think we see them make a big time statement win here.
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10-23-21 |
Wisconsin -3 v. Purdue |
|
30-13 |
Win
|
100 |
101 h 39 m |
Show
|
This is mostly a spot play here for Wisconsin. Yes, I know the Badgers have been horrible on offense and in large part because of Mertz and how bad he has been. With Purdue beating Iowa last week I think that will have the Badgers full attention here. I think that is a hard game for Purdue to follow up with another performance like that. It's also important to know that Wisky has been favored every game this season well clearly now their lines are finally at an all time low and even vs a lower opponent
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10-22-21 |
Jazz v. Kings +6 |
|
110-101 |
Loss |
-106 |
12 h 14 m |
Show
|
I will take the Kings here. They looked great with a nice road win @ Portland opening the season and just no reason for the Jazz to be laying this many. The Jazz blew out a horrible Thunder team who actually are probably the worst in the league. I put no value or stock into that game. I love what the Kings have in place and this team as a home underdog at full strength in pretty much an auto play.
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10-22-21 |
Hornets v. Cavs +3 |
|
123-112 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 16 m |
Show
|
I really like the Cavs here tonight. I lost with them game 1 at the Grizzlies but it came down to the last minute and they didn't get home. I think they win outright here tonight. The Cavs have a very good young team in place. The Hornets I do like this team but Rozier is very questionable right now and that is a huge loss if he doesn't go. I will take my chances here with the Cavs.
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10-21-21 |
Bucks v. Heat +3 |
|
95-137 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 38 m |
Show
|
Love the Heat here tonight. I think they make a big statement win and there is no doubt the Bucks will be getting a ton of love from the betting public. I really like this Miami roster especially when Oladipo comes back healthy. They are the team from the Eastern Conference not getting any love and I believe are big sleepers.
|
10-20-21 |
Nuggets +6 v. Suns |
|
110-98 |
Win
|
103 |
9 h 10 m |
Show
|
I really like the Nuggets here tonight. I definitely think it will be time to fade the Suns early when they are laying such numbers. I mean at this point last season this game would have been like a PK. I know Murray is out for the Nuggets but there is still enough talent and depth on this team.
|
10-20-21 |
Magic +6.5 v. Spurs |
|
97-123 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 45 m |
Show
|
I know the Magic have som key injures right now but I think the magic still have enough here to get it done tonight. They have a ton of lent and will be lead by rookie Suggs who I think will be awesome all season long. This Spurs team is just down with talent this season. There is no reason for them to be laying such a number out of the gates
|
10-20-21 |
Cavs +7.5 v. Grizzlies |
|
121-132 |
Loss |
-103 |
7 h 26 m |
Show
|
I'm thinking this Cavs team will be live here in the big dog role this season. I love the draft of Mobely to along with Allen who they acquired from the Nets. I do like the Grizzlies team lead by Morant but laying this many out of the gates here is simply too much.
|
10-19-21 |
Warriors +3.5 v. Lakers |
|
121-114 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 16 m |
Show
|
I will take the Warriors who I feel like will be out for revenge all season long. I love Steph for MVP this season. The Lakers will be good of course I just believe it's going to take some time with them to gel. Playing with Westbrook is hard and you have to feel him out.
|
10-17-21 |
Raiders +4 v. Broncos |
|
34-24 |
Win
|
100 |
121 h 49 m |
Show
|
I will gladly take the Raiders here in this game. I am actually shocked at this line. Two weeks ago the Raiders were +3 at the Chargers on MNF and now are +4 @ Denver? So you're telling me Denver is better than the Chargers? I think this is a big time overreaction here to the Gruden situation. I actually think this fires up the Raider team as well. Denver was 3-0 because of their easy schedule and actually won on the road at Pitt which Denver didn't do. I think the Raiders win this outright
|
10-17-21 |
Cowboys v. Patriots +4 |
|
35-29 |
Loss |
-107 |
114 h 36 m |
Show
|
I will take the Patriots here. Yes, the Patriots played bad and maybe weren't so focused last week but it was a hard spot for them coming off that Sunday night performance vs the Bucs. The Patriots have a great defense and we have seen it in effect this season. Here is the things the Cowboys have a horrible defense but they are forcing turnovers making it look like they are well, but they are giving up plenty of yards. This has upset of the week written all over it
|
10-17-21 |
Cardinals v. Browns -2.5 |
|
37-14 |
Loss |
-110 |
142 h 36 m |
Show
|
I love the Browns here this week. The Browns are the only team in football with an offense and defense in the top 5. I think the Browns are literally the perfect matchup here against the Cardinals. The Browns are the #1 ranked rushing team in the league while the Cardinals are ranked 28th against the rush. I think this is the perfect combo to leave Murray and company of the field. Browns win by 7
|
10-17-21 |
Chiefs -6.5 v. Washington Football Team |
|
31-13 |
Win
|
100 |
139 h 33 m |
Show
|
I love the Chiefs here. I have had a pretty good feeling on this Chiefs team and had them in their only cover @ the Eagles a couple weeks. What people are forgetting here is how hard the Chiefs schedule has been to start the season. Let's back them here against a bad team in the league with one of the worst secondaries in football. I think we get a very pissed off Mahomes and company and they look to get right here this week
|
10-17-21 |
Texans +10 v. Colts |
|
3-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
117 h 26 m |
Show
|
I will gladly take the Texans here in this game. First the Colts are coming off a big time devistating loss on Monday night blowing a double digit lead against the Ravens. This is a division game here and I just dont see how the Colts really blow them out. The Texans may not be great but they play hard and actually should have won last week vs the Patriots. At this big number I will take the Texans.
|
10-17-21 |
Bengals -3 v. Lions |
|
34-11 |
Win
|
100 |
117 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
10-17-21 |
Chargers v. Ravens -3 |
|
6-34 |
Win
|
100 |
110 h 7 m |
Show
|
I think the Chargers will be the public dog of the week. The Chargers now are everyone's kind of sexy team and yes they are playing the part very well. Also everyone saw Monday night the Ravens struggle with the Colts and had a crazy comeback OT win. Well here is the thing. You wanna know who the worst team is in the league against the rush? Yup, it's the Chargers. I think the Ravens style and gameplan here they will march up and down the field here. Give me the Ravens
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