Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-05-17 | Chiefs v. Cowboys -2 | 17-28 | Win | 100 | 47 h 6 m | Show | |
The issue of Ezekiel Elliott’s looming suspension has not been a distraction for the Cowboys. They took care of business in road wins against the 49ers and Redskins all the while not hitting a top gear. Kansas City is a dangerous team but has hit the typical mid-season wall showcased by past Andy Reid teams. Dallas has not had many big tests this season against stiff competition aside from Denver/Green Bay. Look for the Cowboys to pass this time and get the ATS cover. |
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11-05-17 | Bucs +7 v. Saints | 10-30 | Loss | -115 | 44 h 32 m | Show | |
Perhaps no team has sunken quicker from an ATS standpoint than the Buccaneers, nor has a team rose as quick as the Saints. That pushes forth the first re-upped Saints home value spread in a couple of seasons. While the Saints offense has been in-tune there his a history of the Buccaneers causing issues for Drew Brees. They’ve had an ability to read his over the middle pass routes and I expect the same Sunday. While the Buccaneers offense will likely continue to have it’s woes look for the defense to hold fort. Grab the Bucs. |
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11-05-17 | Colts +6.5 v. Texans | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 44 h 31 m | Show | |
How disheartened will the Colts be after hearing the news of Andrew Luck out for the season? It’ll likely have a small psychological impact but not as big as the other side with the Texans. Keep in mind this is a Texans team that has had complete disarray at the quarterback position since Matt Schaub was demoted. Look for a deflated home effort and for the Colts defense to capitalize off of Tom Savage and the Texans. |
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10-29-17 | Falcons v. Jets +6 | 25-20 | Win | 100 | 38 h 47 m | Show | |
The Jets have lost consecutive heart breakers after surrendering steep leads. They’ll face a desperate Atlanta Falcons team that faced the same opponents in the Dolphins and Patriots. As odd as that is, the fact of the matter is the Falcons have lost their team identity offensively. This has caused a young defense to suffer. Look for the Jets to attack the Falcons defense and cover as five point home dogs. |
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10-29-17 | Raiders v. Bills -2.5 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 38 h 47 m | Show | |
At 4-2 Buffalo may be the least talked about team with an above .500 record in football. All of their wins and losses have been close results. Yet, they know how to pull finish games especially at home where they boast a 3-0 record. Sunday is expected to be 48 degrees with rain. Take the Bills to continue to protect their home field. |
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10-23-17 | Redskins +5 v. Eagles | 24-34 | Loss | -113 | 71 h 15 m | Show | |
Consecutive dominant wins by the Eagles has pushed their ATS value to a season-high. A combination of variables leads me to side with Washington here. One, week one’s road win by Philadelphia skews this line a tad. Also, the Redskins have not exhibited solid second half football that’s plagued them in recent matchups against Kansas City and San Francisco. Teams with Thursday game rest have been strong ATS the following week, but look for this game to reverse the course. Grab Washington. |
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10-22-17 | Bengals v. Steelers -5 | 14-29 | Win | 100 | 43 h 10 m | Show | |
Oddsmakers sometimes have to shift line value for the downright obvious reasons. Here the Steelers are taking on a team in the Bengals coming off a bye week. Their defense has been a factor in years past at limiting Big Ben and covering against the Steelers. Even though the Steelers offense isn’t scoring at the volume of years past, they’re finding a balance. Grab the Steelers to cover Sunday. |
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10-22-17 | Titans -5.5 v. Browns | 12-9 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 45 m | Show | |
What I’ve seen in Vegas is the knack for bettors to continue to chase the Browns. Last week oddsmakers did a great job in inflating a line that did not matter against the Texans. This week they’ve done so again but the attraction lies with the Browns as a home dog. Unfortunately Cleveland catches a Titans team blossoming with confidence and is an untimely matchup. Grab the Titans. |
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10-16-17 | Colts v. Titans -7.5 | 22-36 | Win | 100 | 27 h 40 m | Show | |
I had this game as my third play on the NFL board via 5dimes early line of 7.5. That’s what we have here and will look for the Titans to respond with Mariota back under center. In all phases the Titans have under achieved since their blowout win over the Jaguars in week two. Indianapolis just doesn’t have the personnel to keep up with a Titans team that is far better than their play/record indicates. |
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10-15-17 | Bears +7 v. Ravens | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 34 h 37 m | Show | |
The Bears played about as ugly as one team can on Monday night, and now will travel on the road to Baltimore. It’s safe to say that the Ravens veteran defense will be primed for the miscues that Mitch Trubisky showcased Monday. Still, the Ravens have not been consistent enough offensively to warrant this spread. Grab Chicago to keep covering within the number. |
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10-15-17 | Packers v. Vikings +3 | 10-23 | Win | 101 | 34 h 36 m | Show | |
The Vikings injuries continue to mount. After losing rookie running back Dalvin Cook they’ll now be without Sam Bradford and Stefon Diggs. That’s going to put a high burden on the shoulder of Case Keenum who has not looked comfortable in recent outings. Off of Green Bay’s stout win look for the Vikings experience defensively against Aaron Rodgers to shine. Back the home Vikings to cover the field goal here. |
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10-09-17 | Vikings v. Bears +3 | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 73 h 28 m | Show | |
My theory on backup quarterbacks is they show their true colors after two starts. Ideally Minnesota never wanted to be in the situation of having to start Case Keenum. After a great performance against the Bucs he did not show the merit in a winnable game against the Lions. With Dalvin Cook’s season ending injury it appears the Vikings may be rushing back Sam Bradford. The Bears get a fresh start by starting Mitchell Trubisky. He won’t be the center piece Monday but expect the Bears defense to carry over the Lions game plan on a week ago. |
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10-08-17 | Packers +2.5 v. Cowboys | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 45 h 23 m | Show | |
The Packers continue to face familiar opponents. In week two they met the Atlanta Falcons for the third time in a year in Atlanta, and will now travel to Dallas for the third time in a season and a half. Green Bay’s issues with their running game will put a high burden on Aaron Rodgers shoulders, but not to the degree that Dak Prescott is facing. Dallas seems to be stuck in a play call shield as they try to reconfigure what worked last season and isn’t this. That bodes to the strength of the veteran on field Packers team as well as the sideline experience coaching wise. Grab Green Bay. |
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10-08-17 | 49ers v. Colts | 23-26 | Win | 100 | 42 h 49 m | Show | |
The Colts have shown very little offensively but are growing more and more comfortable with Jacoby Brissett. San Francisco has gained in ATS value with three straight covers against Seattle, LA, and Arizona. While they have been covering games it’s obvious the same play call connection between Coach Shanahan and Brian Hoyer is missing. Grab the Colts off their late Sunday night performance in Seattle. |
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10-01-17 | Raiders v. Broncos -3 | 10-16 | Win | 100 | 45 h 22 m | Show | |
Both Oakland and Denver are coming off shaky week three performances. Denver’s continued distrust with quarterback Trevor Semien on the road impacted their chance to win against Buffalo. While Oakland will assuredly come out the gate with a stronger performance, this is a game that will be swung and won in the fourth quarter. Throughout his young career Raiders quarterback Derek Carr has been one of the best quarterbacks to ride against when poor performances rear their head. Expect Carr’s turnover issues from last week to continue. |
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10-01-17 | Rams +6.5 v. Cowboys | 35-30 | Win | 100 | 42 h 47 m | Show | |
There is no doubt that Dallas has played a tough schedule to start the season. The same can not be said for the Rams. LA’s two wins have come against Indianapolis and San Francisco, which are a combined 1-5. Washington’s strong showing on the road in LA only benefits the attraction on Dallas here. With confidence and returning home for the first time since week one oddsmakers have baited this line a tad. Grab the Rams here to have an impactful game plan on both sides of the football to gain the cover. |
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10-01-17 | Steelers v. Ravens +3 | 26-9 | Loss | -100 | 42 h 47 m | Show | |
Coach John Harbaugh has to be displeased with the Ravens efforts over the last six quarters of football. While the Ravens defeated the Browns in week two by fourteen points, the win was masked by red zone issues and five Browns turnovers. Jacksonville used that film to their advantage and continued to rack up yards on Baltimore’s defense for 410 yards. Yet, Baltimore’s defense has always had an ability to perform well against Pittsburgh as well as veteran quarterback Joe Flacco. Grab the value here on the home Ravens. |
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09-24-17 | Giants v. Eagles -6 | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 43 m | Show | |
The Eagles played well in a loss to the Chiefs. Though it stands as a loss and puts them at 1-1, I believe they’re being downgraded in terms of the number. A win in Kansas City may have pushed this line north of 7.5-8 against the Giants. New York has a laundry list of issues that will continue to grow on Sunday. Grab the value on a Philadelphia team that is poised for an aggressive home division win. |
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09-24-17 | Dolphins v. Jets +6 | 6-20 | Win | 100 | 40 h 42 m | Show | |
A problematic week one performance at home by the Jets against Buffalo compounded last week with an embarrassing loss to the Raiders. On the opposite side the Dolphins gutted out a win over the Chargers on the road. With both teams traveling from California to New York, this has created an arguable point spread. While the fish should be favored a six point line is a bit of a stretch. Grab the points here. |
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09-24-17 | Saints +5.5 v. Panthers | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 40 h 42 m | Show | |
Over the last several years the Saints have underachieved drastically. That isn’t a doubt, but they’ve also been a team to rise to the occasion in must-win situations. On the road after two abysmal performances this stands as a situation for a team to rise to the occasion. Carolina is 2-0 with both wins by six points or more, yet they haven’t been able to click on all cylinders. Expect that to occur again and the Saints to hang around. |
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09-17-17 | Redskins v. Rams -2.5 | 27-20 | Loss | -120 | 44 h 46 m | Show | |
A small line lies with the Rams as they take on Kirk Cousins and the Washington Redskins Sunday. Unlike the majority of NFL teams it appears that a home crowd edge is not there for the Rams. Illustrating that fact was the media’s drawn out attention to the Rams cheap ticket prices and empty stadium in their week one 46-9 victory. Sidestep the crowd issues and grab the value on a Rams team oddsmakers will be chasing a new number on similar to the Cowboys/Vikings of last season. |
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09-17-17 | Eagles +6 v. Chiefs | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 21 m | Show | |
A blowout victory on the road and ten days to prep for the Philadelphia Eagles are obvious swaying factors for the Chiefs. Yet, these are two teams that will be fully prepared based on the familiarity of Doug Pederson and Andy Reid’s prior history. While the Patriots lacked the skillset at wide receiver and speed on defense to negate the Chiefs, the Eagles flourish in that department. This is a classic reactionary point spread based on the Chiefs week one dominance and the Eagles opening the season with consecutive road games. Grab Philadelphia. |
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09-17-17 | Cardinals v. Colts +7 | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 40 h 21 m | Show | |
The Arizona Cardinals may have received what the doctor ordered in a week two matchup against the Colts. For three quarters the Cardinals looked in position to defeat a sound Detroit Lions team. It appears oddsmakers handicapped that performance over the Cardinals fourth quarter. Yet, not closing out games has been a continuous repetitive issue for the Cardinals. Although the Colts game plan won’t be high end, look for the Cardinals to defeat themselves again. Grab the points here. |
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09-11-17 | Chargers v. Broncos -3 | 21-24 | Push | 0 | 75 h 52 m | Show | |
San Diego has always had a style of play that has been a thorn to the Denver Broncos. Adding to that notion is how difficult a week one game against a division opponent can be. While the Chargers have upgraded talent that is on par with the Broncos they have been an unstable franchise. Over the last five years the Broncos have won in week one and covered all matchups but a .5 hook loss to the Colts SNF in 2014. Cimini’s Take: Denver |
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09-10-17 | Seahawks v. Packers -3 | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 45 h 57 m | Show | |
Russ Wilson is healthy and the Seahawks are back to being loaded on defense. On the other side Green Bay has kept their usual ways of development intact. Hardly any off-season signings were completed and their former starting tailback signed with the Seahawks. Week one is about finding the value on final drive teams, and Aaron $$ has displayed time and time again the ability to thrive in close games. Grab the Packers to finish this one late. |
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09-10-17 | Panthers v. 49ers +6 | 23-3 | Loss | -120 | 45 h 56 m | Show | |
New regimes for the 49ers have not gone well over the last couple of seasons. Yet the big change for the 49ers was bringing in journeyman Brian Hoyer. The future is a work in progress but his stability is enough against a Carolina team that is still getting glory off of their 2015 season. Keep in mind new coach Kyle Shanahan has a history against the Panthers from his Falcons days, including the only team to upset the Panthers in 2015. Fresh on people’s minds was the beat down week two performance the Panthers put on the 49ers in San Francisco last season. Expect a different outcome as the Panthers continue to get in their own way. |
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02-05-17 | Patriots -3 v. Falcons | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 83 h 55 m | Show | |
Sunday is where a two week layoff of preparation will be all the difference to side with the Patriots. While the Falcons are the hottest team, the Patriots just know how to win games. Not only is that trait a huge factor, but the Patriots also have experience of playing against the ultra hot NFC Super Bowl opponent (Giants twice) and losing. Matchups are everything and the Falcons are the NFC opponent the Patriots wanted. Taking the Falcons out of their game plan with methodical drives against an over rated defense, will force the pressure on a short attack Falcons offense. Grab the Patriots. |
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01-15-17 | Packers v. Cowboys -5.5 | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
In years past Dallas would be due for a let down. We've seen it time and time again. Yet, Jerry Jones entrusted his Coach in Jason Garrett and built a solid team to be primed for Sunday. While Green Bay's amazing run has been a showcase, they've done it against one-dimensional teams. Dallas has in-line running back depth, a multi-dimensional quarterback, and a confident defense. Back the Cowboys here to end the Packers run. |
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01-14-17 | Seahawks +5 v. Falcons | 20-36 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
By no means has Seattle made anything look pretty and easy. Even their cover and win last week at home by Detroit looked subpar. During the regular season Atlanta, felt like they let one slip away in Seattle. With the bye week to prepare one would believe the Falcons as the side here. Instead, I expect the Seahawks to continue to elevate the brand of football we typically see from them in the playoffs. Grab the Seahawks. |
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01-08-17 | Giants v. Packers -5 | 13-38 | Win | 100 | 39 h 7 m | Show | |
Five year gaps from a major playoff run can deter bettors. Both the Giants and Packers are in that realm from their Super Bowl runs years back. While the Packers strength of schedule to get into the playoffs was subpar, there is no doubting they're playing a peak level of football. In my view there is not a player-coach combo that when at their peak excels better than Aaron Rodgers and Mike McCarthy. Both are there while the Giants have shown to many issues all season long to have faith in their 11-5 record. Grab the Packers. |
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01-07-17 | Lions v. Seahawks -8 | 6-26 | Win | 100 | 19 h 42 m | Show | |
While the Seattle Seahawks have done little to warrant the big spreads they've had all season, Saturday will be a time I back them. Detroit comes in with a topsy turvy style of play on both sides of the football. While they manage first halves decently, second halves have been a disaster from game management, turnovers, and overall play. This may truly be Seattle's last chance to shine with the key veterans amongst Pete Carroll. They won't take the Lions lightly after a near scare last year on MNF. |
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01-01-17 | Panthers +3.5 v. Bucs | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
One of the memorable games this season in prime time was witnessing the Panthers botch a one-sided MNF game against the Buccaneers. With a chance to put the dagger kill shot on a worn down Buccaneers team, backup Derek Anderson threw an awful red zone pick. That game seemed to fuel the Buccaneers as they rolled to an 8-5 record. Yet two consecutive losses have derailed the Buccaneers chances, even though they still have a window of opportunity Sunday.This is a spot where you can ride against the motivation factor for the Buccaneers and take a Panthers team that let one slip away earlier this season. Grab the Panthers. |
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12-25-16 | Broncos +3.5 v. Chiefs | 10-33 | Loss | -115 | 45 h 21 m | Show | |
Folks, saw the Denver Broncos cave on their home field and are now in a similar position as a year ago. With two games left they could possibly find themselves on the outside looking in for the playoffs. Making matters worse is they'll face a Chiefs team coming off a home loss and one that is in better shape to control their playoff destiny. Still, besides the Chiefs dominance over the Raiders they've failed to exhibit quality dominating football. Even in a must-win home spot, look for similar issues to arise. |
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12-24-16 | 49ers v. Rams -4.5 | 22-21 | Loss | -113 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
To start the NFL season perhaps there wasn't an uglier performance than the one the Rams had against the San Francisco 49ers. In the game the road favorites were defeated handily, in a game that was sign of things to come under Jeff Fisher. Now both the 49ers and Rams have two different quarterbacks under center, with the Rams inputting rookie Jared Goff. Goff hasn't been stellar by any means but has delivered timely throws and shown he is on the cusp of a breakout game. This is a change over game that few teams get for motivation into next season. Having been embarrassed 28-0 in week one on MNF combined with a fresh new look quarterback and interim coach, leads to the ATS cover for the Rams. |
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12-24-16 | Falcons -3 v. Panthers | 33-16 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
This time a year ago the Falcons were playing the spoiler and knocked off the undefeated Panthers. Now, they aim to be the main reason the Panthers avoid finishing the season at .500. Though the Panthers have shown that they're not mailing it in with two straight victories, the fact of the matter is they're a shell of what they were a season ago. Solid game plans against Ron Rivera's former team in the Chargers (defensive coordinator) and the Redskins have overvalued the Panthers here. The fact of the matter is Matt Ryan has been a comfortable quarterback against the Panthers. In his last three games he has thrown for 1,033 yards with five touchdowns and two interceptions against the Panthers. That should be enough for a division foe such as Atlanta to exploit even on the road. |
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12-18-16 | Bucs v. Cowboys -7 | 20-26 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 40 m | Show | |
A year ago at home, Buccaneers quarterback Jameis Winston suffered one of his worst visual performances in a 10-6 win against Dallas. That loss for the Cowboys was a microcosm of the need to upgrade the running back (McFadden 17 carries for 32 yards) and quarterback (Cassel 186 yards, 1 pick) position. Keep in mind this Bucs team has traveled on the road to KC and San Diego, and played two tough home games against the Seahawks/Saints over the last month. Dallas on the other hand had the benefit of consecutive Thursday games followed by a divisional game on the road. Sometimes teams peak at the late stages of a season only to fizzle out of the playoff hunt. Tampa Bay will be that team. |
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12-18-16 | Patriots -3 v. Broncos | 16-3 | Win | 100 | 22 h 36 m | Show | |
The Patriots have taken advantage of an easy schedule over the last month to jump out to an 11-2 record. Denver on the other hand has been topsy turvy with inconsistent play lurking one week to the next via special teams, offense, or defense. To beat New England even at home you need to be able to depend on all three phases. While the Patriots defense isn't elite, they'll be the difference on the road to out duel a former top defense of the Broncos. |
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12-18-16 | Eagles +6 v. Ravens | 26-27 | Win | 100 | 18 h 11 m | Show | |
Not many teams have tail spun as negatively as the Eagles have. They've lost four straight with a defense that looks defeated, and an offense struggling with a rookie quarterback. Opposite the Ravens are in a must win situation to keep pace with the Steelers and remain in the wild card hunt. With rookie quarterback Carson Wentz struggles it's hard to see him getting out of it on the road. Yet, with his rookie expectations toned down I believe he can finish the season strong. Grab the value here on the Ravens. |
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12-11-16 | Cowboys v. Giants +3.5 | 7-10 | Win | 100 | 46 h 37 m | Show | |
I'll lean to the side of the Giants who have not been a strong team all season ATS at home. They're coming off a poor performance which could have been much worse than the score indicated against Pittsburgh. Dallas on the other hand has played consecutive Thursday games and remains unbeaten since week one. Rust showed in both their Thursday wins and I believe it carries over to Sunday night. Dallas may escape with another win but the Giants get the cover. |
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12-11-16 | Saints v. Bucs -2.5 | 11-16 | Win | 100 | 42 h 32 m | Show | |
It's hard not to be distracted by the NFC South which features all teams that grab headlines. The Falcons with Julio Jones and their turn around season, the Saints in the Sean Payton era, and the Panthers weekly episodes. Under the radar have been the Bucs who are quietly battling for the division title. Momentum continues to rise on their side as they won last week in San Diego. At home this will be a matchup that the Bucs need to rely on their defense more than their offense to get the W. Look for that to happen as the Bucs defense over the years has been strong at home against Drew Brees. Grab the Bucs. |
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12-04-16 | Panthers +8.5 v. Seahawks | 7-40 | Loss | -130 | 46 h 33 m | Show | |
Carolina +8.5 The distrust in the Carolina Panthers has finally set in for oddsmakers. Seattle coming off a poor loss is still seen as an overmatch here. I'm not sold on that, as even though the Panthers have under performed they've been in the majority of their games. The notion that Russ Wilson is healthy and should pick apart a poor Panthers defense, should be discounted. Over the years Russ has struggled to move the football against the Panthers defense even during the Seahawks peak period. |
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12-04-16 | Bucs +4 v. Chargers | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 41 h 28 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay +4 The back and forth display all season from the Buccaneers is resembled of a team in transition. Perhaps being in a division with sporadic play throughout has swayed proper views of the Bucs. Dirk Koetter has allowed Jameis Winston to lead on the field with full freedom unlike any other quarterback in football. It's grown confidence of every position on offense, and spiked higher effort from a subpar defense. Look for the Bucs to travel well here and take care of business against the Chargers. |
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12-04-16 | Eagles +2 v. Bengals | 14-32 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 52 m | Show | |
The question for everyone is how far can the Bengals sink before a complete 360 is done from oddsmakers. Yearly the NFL has proven what you saw last year is not the case the following. More than any other team in football the Bengals have got in their own way. This is a stylistic game that favors the Eagles with slight advantages on the sideline, red zone scoring percentages, and big play ability on both sides of the football on third downs. |
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11-27-16 | Jaguars +9 v. Bills | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 16 h 49 m | Show | |
The Jaguars fell far below pre-season expectations, while the Bills have seemingly exceeded. This is a barometer test on both teams, where the oddsmakers have over-adjusted value on the Bills. Look for the Jaguars capable offense to test the Bills poor pass defense and close the gap on a steep point spread. |
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11-27-16 | Cardinals +4.5 v. Falcons | 19-38 | Loss | -107 | 16 h 48 m | Show | |
Issues with special teams and imbalance offensively have caught up to the Arizona Cardinals. Still, over the years Matt Ryan has had issues facing this Cardinals team. In 2013, Ryan threw four interceptions against Arizona and an abysmal five interceptions against them in 2012. With Ryan's value sky-high currently and the Cardinals inability to cover spreads this seems to be a great spot to grab Atlanta. Instead, grab the Cardinals to get back to .500. |
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11-24-16 | Redskins +7 v. Cowboys | 26-31 | Win | 100 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
Washington +7 This is a great spread on two teams obviously playing at peak levels. Can Washington's pour defense handle the potent Cowboys? It'll be a tough task but during a short week one they can accomplish. Amidst the Cowboys headline play has been how under rated Washington has been offensively. They've answered the bell each time when needed recently having won or tied in seven of their last eight games. Take the points here. |
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11-24-16 | Vikings v. Lions -1 | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
Detroit After defeating the Arizona Cardinals at home all figures to be well with the Vikings, correct? Not necessarily. Positive signs have been shown with the Vikings offense as they've moved the football two weeks in a row against the Cardinals-Redskins. Throughout that process the defense has slid. This is a game where Jim Bob Cooter can exploit the Vikings defense with his short quick passing game. Grab the Lions. |
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11-20-16 | Packers +3 v. Redskins | 24-42 | Loss | -120 | 52 h 2 m | Show | |
Packers +3 This is the same spot the Packers were in last season as the entered the playoffs. Odds were against them as small dogs on the road against the Redskins. Though the Packers personnel seems a bit more behind than last season, there is still plenty of time to phase to a higher level. Oddsmakers have kept the Redskins as small home favorites all season long that can't be ignored here. Grab the Packers to right the ship just as they did last January. |
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11-20-16 | Patriots -11 v. 49ers | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 48 h 55 m | Show | |
Patriots -11 New England travels across the country after a prime time SNF home loss to the Seahawks. They'll also be without Brady's favorite target in Rob Gronkowski. Yet, the 49ers are in mirage territory as offensively they've shown signs in consecutive weeks against the Saints/Cardinals. Even though the Patriots offense may not be 100 percent in sync expect the Patriots defensively to push forth the debate once again on Kaepernick/Gabbert in San Francisco. |
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11-20-16 | Bucs v. Chiefs -7.5 | 19-17 | Loss | -100 | 45 h 32 m | Show | |
Chiefs -7.5 Of all the issues teams have dealt with, Kansas City's Andy Reid does not get enough praise for keeping his Chiefs from faltering. They've dealt with numerous running back injuries, Alex Smith missed time, and the defense is not as strong as last year. Yet, the Chiefs know how to win and Sunday they should be able to exhibit a higher level of separation in the win department. Grab the Chiefs to take over a Buccaneers team that is as one-dimensional as any team in the NFL offensively. |
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11-14-16 | Bengals -1 v. Giants | 20-21 | Loss | -108 | 70 h 57 m | Show | |
Cincinnati Is there a team more devalued below .500 than the Bengals? In a typical tough AFC North they're just a 1.5 back of the first place Ravens. Off a bye week this is a do or die scenario for the Bengals. Cincinnati's come to the notion that they no longer can trust their defense to win games, and has full confidence in Andy Dalton. Look for the Bengals to break through offensively and put together touchdowns versus field goals. They'll win for the second time at Met Life Stadium this season (week one vs NYJ). |
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11-13-16 | Seahawks +7.5 v. Patriots | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 46 h 58 m | Show | |
Seattle Attraction of the Patriots has not stopped and why not with the special play of Tom Brady? Seattle has had it's issues against the number, only covering once in the last six weeks. Defensively they've also shown to be prone against the big play. That figures to be a disadvantage for a Patriots team that defeated a more dominant defense in the Super Bowl two seasons ago. Yet, this is a spot where the Seahawks can pose a challenge on the road for a complete game of four quarters. Grab Seattle. |
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11-13-16 | Vikings +2.5 v. Redskins | 20-26 | Loss | -105 | 38 h 28 m | Show | |
Minnesota +3 Watching the Vikings unravel to three consecutive losses was foreseeable. Teams have forced Sam Bradford to make decisions as the running game continues to suffer. Losing offensive coordinator Norv Turner has only compounded matters. Traveling on the road against a strong offensive team in the Redskins spells trouble. Yet, Bradford has experience as an Eagle against the Redskins and should be able to game manage here efficiently. Grab the Vikings |
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11-06-16 | Colts v. Packers -7 | 31-26 | Loss | -115 | 45 h 12 m | Show | |
Typically you won't see a team favored by a high amount after a loss but that's the case here with the Packers. Indianapolis just has not answered the bell when facing teams that are not subpar record wise as was the case against the Texans, Broncos, and Chiefs. Throughout all of Green Bay's issues with injuries they've developed their offense. The Colts have also received stellar play from Andrew Luck even in losses which further devalues them with an expected rise in turnovers. |
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11-06-16 | Panthers v. Rams +3 | 13-10 | Push | 0 | 45 h 52 m | Show | |
Both the Panthers wins this season have come against NFC West opponents in the 49ers and Cardinals. You'd expect that to continue against a Rams team that has shown no signs of turning the page lately. Still, the Panthers execution on both sides of the football devalues them in my opinion on the road. Look for the Rams to implement safe short throws similar to the Saints/Falcons which the Panthers have struggled to defend. Grab the Rams. |
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10-30-16 | Eagles +4 v. Cowboys | 23-29 | Loss | -106 | 50 h 43 m | Show | |
Philadelphia The Cowboys are coming off a bye week in which momentum is on their side. Yet, they've played close games in their division this season against the Redskins and Giants. There's also reason to believe Dak Prescott may not be able to shield the pressure of the Romo whispers further. Philadelphia is a team that can win in various ways and has scored an unconventional touchdown in three consecutive weeks. Grab the Eagles here. |
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10-30-16 | Lions +2.5 v. Texans | 13-20 | Loss | -108 | 42 h 13 m | Show | |
Detroit +2.5 Is there a reason why Houston is favored here? The home angle is one. Another may be Detroit's way of playing in close games. Can Matthew Stafford deliver the same theatrics on the road? I believe so as the offense has continued to rise on a week to week basis, especially with the implementation of Golden Tate. Grab the Lions here. |
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10-23-16 | Patriots v. Steelers +7 | 27-16 | Loss | -106 | 45 h 31 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh +7.5 This is an interesting point spread as it's the same as last year's opening game when New England was at home. Obviously with Landry Jones inserted many people would expect the type of rust he showed in starts last season. Yet, I believe Jones is more prepared this season and can spark an offense that was completely out of sync last week against Miami. The biggest outlier here is the fact that this may be week seven but it's week three for Tom Brady. The Steelers defense should be in mid-season mode to get after Tom. |
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10-23-16 | Bills v. Dolphins +3 | 25-28 | Win | 100 | 41 h 18 m | Show | |
Miami +3 There's no denying that the Bills have dominated the Dolphins in the regular season for a long time. In fact, Ryan Tannehill may perform his worst on an annual basis in terms of turnovers against the Bills. Still, I like the vibe coming from Miami as they have gutted it out by going with young players that have hunger to be on the field. That says a lot and a big win over the Steelers is where you would expect a momentum builder. Buffalo is at it's peak value currently ATS. Will go opposite here with the Fish. |
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10-23-16 | Saints v. Chiefs -6 | 21-27 | Push | 0 | 41 h 17 m | Show | |
Kansas City -6 The Saints come back win over the Chargers and win holding off the Panthers do not have oddsmakers fooled here. It doesn't with me either. New Orleans quick passes do work for two to three quarters. It's the fourth quarter where defenses can clamp down which forces three and outs. When you can't keep the clock moving on the road it spells disaster. Grab the Chiefs balance to cash as touchdown favorites. |
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10-17-16 | Jets +8 v. Cardinals | 3-28 | Loss | -130 | 72 h 37 m | Show | |
NY Jets I'm one to wait until a full board is finalized before posting plays. Even though this line has crept down I still see value here as I envisioned this line at 6.5-7 originally. Sometimes teams just don't have favorable schedule on a week to week basis. Arizona is one of them as the Jets have been horrible against the number in losses to the Bengals, Steelers, Chiefs, and Seahawks. Furthermore, their loss last week against the Steelers forced oddsmakers hands on a steep spread near ten. Frankly, Arizona has not found the identity rhythm typical of a Bruce Arians offense. They went to the ground game to defeat the 49ers and defeated a 49ers offense that was in need of a change. The same can be said for the Jets offense but Fitzpatrick is one of those quarterbacks that keeps his job when you expect him to falter. Grab the value here on the Jets. |
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10-16-16 | Colts v. Texans -2.5 | 23-26 | Win | 100 | 48 h 37 m | Show | |
Houston Perhaps no team in football has had a no-budge in oddsmakers line judgement over the last 2-3 years than the Indianapolis Colts. Playing in close games with a below .500 record has helped that from happening. The boomerang factor here has also been the Texans slump in recent losses in horrid fashion to the Vikings and Patriots. Yet, I see this game as a tide changer for a Colts organization that has not made the necessary changes to avoid the season they're on track for. Grab the Texans as Brock Osweiler's game management ways are a perfect negator to the Colts style of play. |
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10-16-16 | Chiefs v. Raiders +1.5 | 26-10 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 12 m | Show | |
Oakland Raiders There are compound factors in this AFC West matchup to expect the Chiefs to get back on track after their bye week. They showcases last year the ability to get rolling and also had Oakland's number in the process. In both wins over the Raiders, quarterback Derek Carr was the main culprit in the loss. In their home loss last year up 20-14, Carr threw three fourth quarter interceptions that resulted in a fourteen point loss. Also factored in here is the fact the Raiders could easily be 1-4 versus their 4-1 record. All four of their wins have been by seven points or less and three by three points or less. The culture has changed in Oakland. Take the value of a pick 'em for the Raiders to get to 5-1. |
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10-16-16 | Panthers -1 v. Saints | 38-41 | Loss | -125 | 40 h 8 m | Show | |
Carolina The notion here is that the Panthers are nothing of their form from a season ago. That's certainly correct. Also factored in is expected rust plus added pressure on Cam Newton to dig his Panthers out of a hole. That should be troublesome against the Saints who are coming off a bye week, especially after playing the Panthers tough for three quarters at home last year. Yet, like most teams have done this season the Panthers should be able to attack the Saints and better their offensive output. Look for the Panthers defense to make the extra play or two that's been lacking to get the Panthers back on the winning track. |
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10-10-16 | Bucs +4.5 v. Panthers | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 70 h 38 m | Show | |
TB Buccaneers One thing that can't evaporate with a team is injuries. Carolina is banged up and likely will be without Cam Newton Monday. Sure, Derek Anderson came in and did some nice things in relief against the Falcons. Yet, in a divisional game the Buccaneers should be prepared to have a detailed scouting report for Anderson unlike against the Broncos. This is also a game where Jameis Winston should not have to force the football early. Limiting the turnovers on the road will be the emphasis for the Buccaneers and executed properly. Grab the Buccaneers on a spread that is more fitted for last year's 15-1 team and not this year's team. |
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10-09-16 | Giants v. Packers -7 | 16-23 | Push | 0 | 46 h 38 m | Show | |
GB Packers Coming off a bye week there is obvious boosted line elevation here on the Packers. New York is also a detracted team at this point off an abysmal offensive showcase on the road against the Vikings. Still, the emphasis on the Packers for me here is the Giants defense. They haven't been truly tested this season. In week one the Cowboys played it safe with rookie Dak Prescott. In week two the Saints did not travel well to New York, and in week three Kirk Cousins self errors derailed drives. Last week the Vikings moved the football with ease off of basic designed runs and throws. Many have been waiting for the Packers to showcase a 2014 offensive style. After three weeks of getting back in sync and off a bye, this is a great time to buy the Packers. Lay the seven. |
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10-09-16 | Bills v. Rams | 30-19 | Loss | -109 | 42 h 33 m | Show | |
LA Rams It's not often that a team wins in the fashion that the Rams have the last three weeks and still find themselves not garnering respect. A main reason for that is the fact that the Rams have struggled for standout wins outside their division under Jeff Fisher. Buffalo on the other hand seems to have found the balance offensively and defensively many anticipated to start the season. The Bills defense has wreaked havoc on opposing teams but also played back to back games against vulnerable offenses in Arizona/New England. I'm also leery of the Bills inability to limit penalties which is a cause of concern on the road. Grab the Rams. |
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10-09-16 | Bengals v. Cowboys +2.5 | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 41 h 21 m | Show | |
Dallas Cowboys Coming off a Thursday game the Bengals should be ready to attack two rookies in Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott, correct? Maybe so, but there are carry over issues that suggest otherwise. The Bengals have been a poor third down team and have lacked the ability to finish off drives. If it were not for big plays to AJ Green the Bengals would likely be a 1-3 team. Dallas on the other hand is riding the wave of their youth to perfection. They've also done a superb job at keeping Prescott at bay against the 49ers and Bears. Expect the Cowboys to unveil more wrinkles with Prescott and confidence to continue to grow as they reach unanticipated levels with a 4-1 start. |
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10-03-16 | Giants v. Vikings -4 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 72 h 31 m | Show | |
Minnesota Trading for Sam Bradford was mocked throughout the NFL and amongst football fans. Yet, the Vikings were seeking someone capable of being a true game manager to rely upon their defense. That's exactly what Bradford has done with huge wins against the Packers and Panthers. New York on the other hand could easily be in the same position as the Vikings at 3-0. Yet, they've also been fortunate to not be 0-3 with narrow week one and two wins. There's a personnel disparity between these two teams and it's one-sided with the Vikings. Latch onto Minnesota whose disciplined style on both sides of the football will be too much for the Giants. |
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10-02-16 | Rams +9 v. Cardinals | 17-13 | Win | 100 | 43 h 25 m | Show | |
St. Louis Jeff Fisher may be inching closer and closer to saving his job for another year. His Rams have responded well since a poor opening MNF loss, with consecutive wins as underdogs. This week they'll take on an Arizona Cardinals team that was destroyed by a Bills team that looked like the stronger team. Frankly, Arizona may be over valued based on last season. St. Louis is a team that has done well in Arizona against Palmer. They won outright there last season and the year prior knocked out Palmer with an injury. Even at home this is too steep of a line to back the Cardinals as rusty as they've been. |
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10-02-16 | Broncos v. Bucs +3 | 27-7 | Loss | -109 | 43 h 5 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Suddenly the belief with Denver is that anyone can man this team under center. Heck, they did it with Tebow and a broken down Peyton Manning. Why not believe what you see from Trevor Semien? In my estimation Cincinnati was flat against Denver. They dropped a couple of interception opportunities and played safe football offensively. That's not the style Tampa Bay coach Dirk Koetter will roll with on any given week. Off back to back losses in which there defense has surrendered over 35 points, it would seem like Denver is set to go 4-0. Yet, Jameis Winston's development will be key here. Tampa Bay's defense should also propel forward based on CJ Anderson's poor road statistics of below four yards a carry. |
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09-26-16 | Falcons +3 v. Saints | 45-32 | Win | 100 | 70 h 2 m | Show | |
Scissoring from a home game to Oakland and down to New Orleans is the scenario the Atlanta Falcons are faced with. They'll take on a Saints team that's been in both of their early losses to the Raiders and Giants. Frankly, they're failing to hit that extra level as their team identity remains undefined. Atlanta on the other hand has shifted their offensive game plan to Matt Ryan's strengths. He is spreading the football around and becoming more of a take what the defense gives me quarterback. It's a recipe that bodes well on the road with an improved defense. Grab the Falcons to send the Saints to 0-3. |
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09-25-16 | Bears +7 v. Cowboys | 17-31 | Loss | -121 | 46 h 1 m | Show | |
The Bears may have looked like the worst team in football on MNF. Yet, we've seen time and time again that the NFL is a different league on a week to week basis. Yes, the Cowboys could easily be 2-0, but lets not forget the youth leading the way for them with two rookies in Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott. Elliott fumbled the ball twice last week which surely will be in the back of his mind in a prime time spotlight game. Prescott has shined but is the rookie wall lurking with more film on him? I'll take the Bears to keep this interesting in a bounce back favorable points position off last week's prime time dud. |
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09-18-16 | Packers v. Vikings +2.5 | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 50 h 23 m | Show | |
The Vikings are set to open their new stadium with uncertainty at the quarterback position. Will Sam Bradford or veteran Shaun Hill be the starter? Either way they'll need to combat a Packers team that showed vast strides from the team that lost to the Vikings in week seventeen last season. Yet, I'm still leery of the immense amount of pressure on Aaron Rodgers to deliver on high degree of difficult plays. Balance was a key asset to the Vikings surprise season last year and their week one win last week. Grab the Vikings to open their new stadium in grand fashion. Play Minnesota Vikings |
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09-18-16 | Bengals +3.5 v. Steelers | 16-24 | Loss | -119 | 43 h 43 m | Show | |
In last year's three matchups neither the Steelers nor Bengals had a healthy Ben Roethlisberger or Andy Dalton available. Still, all games were competitive which should be a constant in week two's matchup. One key from the Bengals has been their ability to neutralize Ben Roethlisberger. In the last four games he has faced the Bengals he has thrown four touchdowns to six interceptions. This is a spot where Andy Dalton must show a trend forward as a quarterback instead of scattered ability. This will be another close game in which I'll gravitate towards the Bengals. |
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09-12-16 | Rams -2.5 v. 49ers | 0-28 | Loss | -107 | 77 h 59 m | Show | |
LA Rams The hiring of Chip Kelly and Blaine Gabbert's effectiveness in last year's marginal home win are key angles for the underdog 49ers. Also, the unease of Coach Jeff Fisher's position combined with Case Keenum starting are value detractors on the road. Still, the Rams possess a talent edge on defense and with tail back Todd Gurley to eek out a road win and cover. Expect x-factors of special teams, penalties, and game management to be the main contributors to the Rams win. |
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09-11-16 | Patriots +6.5 v. Cardinals | 23-21 | Win | 100 | 51 h 10 m | Show | |
New England Patriots Were now entering out of bounds territory in terms of the oddsmakers catching up with the Arizona Cardinals home field advantage. Sure, the Patriots will be easing backup Jimmy Garrapulo into the fold, and Gronkowski is stating he is not one hundred percent. Yet, this is a spot that Garrapulo was prepared for a season ago when Brady's suspension was initially over turned. Expect the Patriots vanilla offensive game plan to churn the clock and get the Cardinals out of their rhythm. They're a team that thrives on big plays, an area that started to evaporate towards the end of 2016. |
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09-11-16 | Bills +3.5 v. Ravens | 7-13 | Loss | -115 | 44 h 40 m | Show | |
Buffalo Bills Fixation on a franchise can be a deadly combination ATS. The Ravens seem to be the AFC eyeballed team as the Giants are in the NFC. Rex Ryan may have not had a stellar year one with the Bills but there were positive signs. Instead of envisioning a pairing with his brother hurting the team, improvement should be in line for the defense. Three years ago against the Bills Joe Flacco threw five interceptions in one of his worst starts of his career. This is an older Ravens team, lacking stability defensively. Former Ravens and now Bills quarterback Tyrod Taylor should be able to exploit his former team and get the Bills a cover. |
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01-24-16 | Cardinals +3 v. Panthers | 15-49 | Loss | -105 | 45 h 1 m | Show | |
Play Arizona +3 For the NFC Championship we'll grab the Cardinals plus the points. This game figures to be a dandy as this is the best combined record of an NFC Championship game since 1998 between the Falcons and Vikings. As great of a season as the Panthers have had I believe they're facing the one playoff opponent they likely wanted to avoid. Arizona's ability to spread the football out is a dimension of football that the Panthers have struggled with this season against the Colts, Eagles, Giants, Packers, Saints, and Seahawks last week. Arizona is also prepared to correct the past two seasons---missing the playoffs with an 11-5 record under Carson Palmer/Bruce Arians and last year's 9-1 start thwarted by a season ending injury to Palmer. Also keep in mind last year the Cardinals led 14-13 at half with Ryan Lindley starting against the Panthers in the wild card round. That was done with just 64 offensive yards. Grab Az plus the points. |
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01-16-16 | Packers +7 v. Cardinals | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 30 h 2 m | Show | |
Green Bay +7 This in my opinion is one of the strongest underdog value plays over the last five years in the playoffs. Arizona's rise to an ATS juggernaut has not been seen to this fast of a rise in quite some time. They were right up there with the Patriots week in and week out with public support. For their great games there were too many alarming games of inconsistency. Against the Bengals, Ravens, Rams, Seahawks, and a couple of other games I saw performances that gave the vibe of a team that would crumble in the playoffs. Green Bay on the other hand is at the bottom of the spectrum in terms of perceived value. That will change this weekend as the Packers avenge their loss to the Cardinals with an outright win. |
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01-10-16 | Packers +1 v. Redskins | 35-18 | Win | 102 | 45 h 31 m | Show | |
Play Green Bay +1 The lone premium NFL play will be on the Green Bay Packers +1. As great as Kirk Cousin's second half surge has been it needs to be examined further. His 19 TD's and two interceptions all came against losing opponents. Before that stretch Cousins had thrown 28 touchdowns and 28 interceptions in 22 starts. As poor as Green Bay looked the past two weeks I believe Aaron Rodgers can find a way to deliver a win here similar to wins against the Seahawks and Bears earlier in the season. Look for Rodgers to attack the Redskins 28th rated defense. |
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01-03-16 | Raiders +7 v. Chiefs | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 42 h 30 m | Show | |
Oakland Raiders +7.5 Kansas City finds themselves into the playoffs off of balanced offense and an uncanny ability to score with their defense. Oakland's season took a final dagger when they let a six point lead in the fourth quarter erode against Kansas City. Carr threw three interceptions in that fourth quarter including a pick six. I believe that loss stung the Raiders and that they'll come out ready on both sides of the football in Kansas City. They also have motivation as a team to send out Charles Woodson in style. Grab the Raiders. |
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01-03-16 | Saints +6 v. Falcons | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 39 h 15 m | Show | |
New Orleans Saints +6 The reported rumors of the end of the Payton/Brees era has not effected the quarterback whatsoever. The Saints offense was back in order against the Jaguars and I expect it to have its way against the Falcons as well. Atlanta may have knocked off the undefeated Panthers but there issues are well documented. We'll grab the value of the Saints to close out the regular season. |
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12-28-15 | Bengals +3.5 v. Broncos | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 72 h 10 m | Show | |
Cincinnati Bengals +3.5 The Broncos downfall is one of the more peculiar stories of the season. Their strong defense has somewhat worn down from the lack of offensive support received from quarterbacks Peyton Manning and Brock Osweiler. How will an offense suddenly shift especially in a spot where Osweiler is dinged up and Manning is ready to come back on the field? Even at home and with backup AJ McCarron starting I'll side with the balance of the Bengals here. Grab Cincinnati to solidify their rights to a bye week on the road against the struggling Broncos. |
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12-27-15 | Packers +4.5 v. Cardinals | 8-38 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 3 m | Show | |
Green Bay +4.5 Green Bay is a team in December that I won't fade against. We've been 5-0 for/against them ATS this season backing them against the Vikings, Lions, Cowboys, Seahawks and once against the Broncos. They've been 17-4 since 2011 in the months of December and are getting road value here simply for the fact that the Cardinals have been a dominant team at home. But, with two games left and Arizona up two games on the Packers for a bye there is a chance for the Packers to close out and hurdle the Cardinals with help from Seattle in week seventeen. Get ready for the first playoff atmosphere type game since the Broncos/Patriots a few weeks back. Back Aaron $$ Rodgers and the Packers Sunday who are getting too many points. |
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12-27-15 | Texans -5 v. Titans | 34-6 | Win | 100 | 41 h 38 m | Show | |
Houston -5 The QB carousel of the Texans has been hard to watch over the course of this season. But Brandon Weeden starting in this spot may be the conservative need the Texans need. I feel they've stirred away from the running game a bit over the last six weeks. Weeden showed against the Eagles that he can run a simplistic conservative style with a protected defense. That's the recipe here as the Texans defense led by JJ Watt is on a mission to break their funk of missing out on the playoffs |
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12-26-15 | Redskins v. Eagles -3 | 38-24 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 4 m | Show | |
Philadelphia Eagles -3 Each time I've counted out Philadelphia they've showed the toughness to battle back. We did get a win last week with Arizona against them. Luckily for Philadelphia they still have a fighting chance to win the NFC East and make the playoffs. One of the best first to second half turn around performances that still led to a loss was the Eagles against the Redskins earlier this season. Trailing 13-0 the Eagles came out of the half with a quick surge. They did fall short but look for the strengths they discovered in the second half of that game to come to the forefront here. Grab the Eagles Saturday. |
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12-21-15 | Lions v. Saints -2.5 | 35-27 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
Was going to leave today alone but we'll play the Saints. New Orleans -2.5 The Saints abysmal season has continued to drop their value ATS. Once a guaranteed 6 point or higher favorite at home, they've become normal to be low favorites at home now. That is the case today against a Lions team that has fallen back to Earth after a late October-early November hot streak. I like how the Saints have not mailed in their season and have begun to look like a team that will carry momentum into 2016. While the Lions are who they are. Grab the Saints as a MNF mid-day add. |
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12-20-15 | Cardinals -3.5 v. Eagles | 40-17 | Win | 100 | 47 h 20 m | Show | |
Arizona Cardinals -3.5 Arizona has answered the bell time and time again in big spots ATS. Around a month ago they created distant separation in their division by defeating the Seahawks on the road. This team has thoughts of side stepping woes that caused their team to falter in 2013 and 2014. The Eagles may have won two games in a row but I do not believe their offense is capable of matching Arizona's. We'll grab the Cardinals Sunday night. |
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12-20-15 | Broncos +7 v. Steelers | 27-34 | Push | 0 | 43 h 15 m | Show | |
Denver Broncos +7.5 The Steelers have won with so much ease that it seems like they're the AFC leader en route to a bye week. Yet that's not the case. They're 8-5 and have faced off against backup quarterbacks in consecutive weeks. Brock Osweiler will be the third but the difference for Denver is they have the top defense in the NFL. Look for the Broncos to bring the Steelers offense down to Earth a bit. We'll grab the 7.5. |
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12-20-15 | Chiefs v. Ravens +7 | 34-14 | Loss | -115 | 40 h 50 m | Show | |
Baltimore Ravens +7 Baltimore has had a disastrous season after years of winning football. A losing record may not look good overall but surprisingly they've been a decent ATS team. Getting seven at home against a Chiefs team that is red-hot is all the inflation I need. Look for Baltimore to play another tightly contested game. Win/loss they'll fall within the seven point spread. |
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12-14-15 | Giants v. Dolphins +1.5 | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 56 m | Show | |
12/14 05:30 PM NFL (133) NEW YORK GIANTS VS (134) MIAMI DOLPHINS (12/11 03:26 PM) edit
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12-13-15 | Cowboys v. Packers -6.5 | 7-28 | Win | 100 | 46 h 51 m | Show | |
12/13 01:25 PM NFL (129) DALLAS COWBOYS VS (130) GREEN BAY PACKERS (12/11 03:24 PM) edit
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12-13-15 | Redskins +3.5 v. Bears | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 42 h 27 m | Show | |
12/13 10:00 AM NFL (113) WASHINGTON REDSKINS VS (114) CHICAGO BEARS (12/11 03:31 PM) edit
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12-13-15 | Titans +7 v. Jets | 8-30 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
12/13 10:00 AM NFL (123) TENNESSEE TITANS VS (124) NEW YORK JETS edit
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12-07-15 | Cowboys +4.5 v. Redskins | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 74 h 3 m | Show | |
Dallas +4.5 The Redskins have been as dominant as you can possibly be at home, with all five of their wins coming at home. Their only loss was week one against Miami in what was a winnable game. Yet I like the Cowboys in this spot. For once the high hopes of the Cowboys have darted and been tossed out the window. That takes the pressure off of the team that had no chance with Romo out for practically the entire season. Lets not forget Matt Cassell was also thrown into the fire after being traded by Buffalo with the demotion of Brandon Weeden. Now he's had time to learn the system and also sat on the sideline for nearly two starts. He is use to a backup role and I believe coming off the bench will serve him better this game. I do not expect the Redskins to bypass their typical game managing game plan with Kirk Cousins, especially with the division lead. Look for the Cowboys to grab this cover. |
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12-06-15 | Panthers v. Saints +7 | 41-38 | Win | 100 | 46 h 59 m | Show | |
Saints +7.5 It looks like the oddsmakers have finally set a steep enough line on the undefeated Panthers to back the opposing team. The Saints may have had the best performance by an offense this season against the Carolina Panthers and that came with their backup starting in McCown. They moved the football well all game and had a chance to win late before an interception. Even though Carolina has been winning they've shown blemishes on offense that have been side stepped because of their defense. The defense can't always bail you out. Expect the Saints to battle hard in this one and cover a high number. |
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12-06-15 | Chiefs v. Raiders +3 | 34-20 | Loss | -117 | 46 h 38 m | Show | |
Raiders +3 The Raiders and Chiefs have been two of the toughest teams to figure out this season. Kansas City has stormed back into the AFC playoff picture while the Raiders are a team that has shown poise and unexpected growth. I'm always a believer in the month of December that you can find value ATS pursuing wild card teams. Separating the believers from the non-believers. KC I just can't buy. Their five wins in a row need to be looked at under a microscope. They annihilated a Lions team in Europe that immediately made changes upon coming home. Pittsburgh started third string quarterback Landry Jones and Denver started an obviously hindered Peyton Manning. San Diego has been in landslide mode and Buffalo just didn't have enough on the road in KC. They've also won by opening up the offense for Alex Smith, which has not been his strength over his entire career. Look for Oakland to utilize their home crowd and for Carr to put up solid numbers to pull off the ATS cover. |
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12-03-15 | Packers -3 v. Lions | 27-23 | Win | 102 | 32 h 51 m | Show | |
Green Bay -3 Thursday the Packers travel on the road to try and avenge a home loss to the Lions. Just a little over a month ago the Packers were 6-0 but have stumbled losing four of their last five games. Still at 7-4 the Packers are in prime position to go on a December run with games against the Lions, Cowboys, and Raiders before playoff position games against the Cardinals and Vikings. Look for September and October's normalcy to return from the 0-5 Lions and 6-0 Packers as the Packers start a December run. |
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11-30-15 | Ravens +3 v. Browns | 33-27 | Win | 102 | 75 h 31 m | Show | |
Baltimore +3 Even though Baltimore will be without Joe Flacco the remainder of the season I'm not going to overshadow that for the prime issues surrounding Cleveland. It's never good when you bounce back and forth with quarterbacks because of injuries and off the field issues. Lets not forget the Browns have been in this same position last year with Hoyer/Manziel and the year prior with Weeden/Hoyer. It has to effect a team, especially a defense that's been poor all year. Baltimore may have a lot of losses but they've battled in every game. We'll grab the Ravens Monday. |