Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-09-16 | Suns -1.5 v. Pelicans | 121-100 | Win | 100 | 19 h 15 m | Show | |
Phoenix (701) As you look around the NBA perhaps no team is as decimated with injuries as the New Orleans Pelicans. In fact, nine players fill the injury report. Yet, the Pelicans are getting solid contributions from unheralded players such as Tim Frazier, Dante Cunningham, and Alexis Anjinca. Their recent surge included last night's win over the Lakers as well as a spirited effort in a fifteen point loss to the Celtics. Yet, the Suns have the better depth and are playing with poise under interim Coach Earl Watson. Thursday, they landed just their eighth road win of the season with superb effort as five players contributed in double-figures. Look for another road victory to happen as the Suns boast an interior(Chandler/Len/PJ Tucker) and backcourt advantage(Booker/Goodwin) that should overwhelm the Pelicans. Grab the Suns. |
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04-08-16 | Bucks v. Celtics -10.5 | 109-124 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
512 Boston Injuries continue to pile up for the Milwaukee Bucks. They'll be without Jerryd Bayless and forward Khris Middleton tonight against the Celtics. That's troublesome as the Bucks have struggled with floor spacing due to the lack of point guard contributions. Remember point guard Michael Carter-Williams is already out for the season with a hip injury. Over the Bucks last two games they're just six for twenty three from three point range. At point guard they've had to use rookie Rashad Vaughn, who did not play that role in college at UNLV. Current backup Tyler Ennis still seems to be adjusting to the NBA level. Boston seemed to have a hangover effect from their recent West Coast road trip when they nearly lost Wednesday as fifteen point favorites against the Pelicans. That won't be the case tonight as the Celtics should cruise here. |
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04-08-16 | Wizards v. Pistons -5.5 | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
Detroit 508 Tonight the Detroit Pistons will look to avoid a four-game sweep at the hands of the Washington Wizards. In fact, their last meeting on March 14th was the Pistons worst loss of the season in a 124-81 beat down. Yet, Detroit is coming off an efficient game Wednesday in which six players scored in double figures. Essentially the Pistons have clinched the eighth seed in the East with a 2.5 game lead with three games left. Look for the Wizards recent five game West Coast trip to also be a factor here tonight. Grab the Pistons to prevent a season sweep and avenge March's embarrassing 43 point loss. |
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04-07-16 | Raptors v. Hawks -7 | 87-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
Atlanta Hawks 704 -6.5 An adage in sports is not to buy-in to what you last saw of a team. Last Wednesday-March 30th the Hawks were blitzed by the Toronto Raptors in an eight point 105-97 road loss. Inexplicably the Hawks got off to such a poor start that they trailed by twenty two points at the end of three quarters. Statistically the Hawks did not shoot poorly as they shot 44.6% from the field. They were defeated in the x-factor categories. Eighteen turnovers did them in as well as a free throws made disadvantage as the Raptors made thirteen more. I anticipate this faring much differently as the Toronto is 22-16 on the road versus 30-9 at home. Also, the Hawks are in need of a win as they're in a tight playoff race with the Celtics, Heat, and Hornets. All are separated by one game with the Hawks currently in the third spot. A loss tonight could potentially drop the Hawks down to the sixth spot. Grab the Hawks to ride their balanced rotational attack with Al Horford, Paul Millsap, and Jeff Teague and avenge last Wednesday's loss. |
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04-06-16 | Hornets -5 v. Knicks | 111-97 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
Charlotte 509 Today's lone isolation ATS play comes between the Hornets and Knicks. The Hornets are coming off a tough road loss in which they shot the ball poorly against the Raptors. Yet, I think they'll respond in a big way on the road in MSG against a Knicks team that has over achieved down the stretch. Look for the Hornets to get shots to fall Wednesday and hurdle the Knicks with ease. |
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04-05-16 | Cavs v. Bucks +6.5 | 109-80 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Play NBA Milwaukee (712) Lets face it there are five games remaining on the season for the Cavaliers. All may seem well with the fact that the Cavs have won eleven of their last fourteen, but it's apparent Lebron James may be in for his toughest playoff run yet. In their latest victory over the Hornets the Cavs received over 25 points from James, JR Smith, and K Love on 50 percent or better shooting. Yet, as has been the case in several instances the Cavs let a near 20 point lead evaporate. Milwaukee is a battling team and should give the Cavs a worthwhile game |
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04-05-16 | Pelicans v. 76ers -2.5 | 93-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
Play Philadelphia 76ers (702) To conclude the season the 76ers have exhibited pride in comebacks recently against the Pacers and Hornets. Both times they fell short but I believe there is hunger from the team to reach double digit wins. This is their best shot against a Pelicans team decimated by injuries. Grab the 76ers young lineup in a peculiar spot as a favorite to win. |
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04-03-16 | Bulls +2.5 v. Bucks | 102-98 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
04/03 04:05 PM NBA (515) CHICAGO BULLS VS (516) MILWAUKEE BUCKS (04/03 10:51 AM) edit
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04-03-16 | Thunder -3 v. Rockets | 110-118 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 48 m | Show | |
04/03 12:35 PM NBA (507) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS (508) HOUSTON ROCKETS (04/03 10:51 AM) edit
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04-03-16 | Wizards v. Clippers -6 | 109-114 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 47 m | Show | |
04/03 12:35 PM NBA (509) WASHINGTON WIZARDS VS (510) LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS (04/03 10:50 AM) edit
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04-01-16 | Heat -6.5 v. Kings | 112-106 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
Miami -6.5 Friday in the NBA Association we'll look for the Heat to bounce back on the road against Sacramento. The Heat lost against an emotional Lakers team amidst a team rift and the conclusion of Kobe Bryant's career. Out in Sacramento there is also a rift occurring but it's one that does not bode well for the home team. Team chemistry has been long gone and George Karl appears to be on the hot seat yet again. Grab the Heat to take care of business Friday in Sacramento.. |
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04-01-16 | Nets +5.5 v. Knicks | 91-105 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
04/01 04:35 PM NBA (503) BROOKLYN NETS VS (504) NEW YORK KNICKS (04/01 PM) edit
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03-29-16 | Nets +6.5 v. Magic | 105-139 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
Nets +6.5 Victor Oladipo's return to the lineup has inflated tonight's spread on the Magic's side. Brooklyn did play last night against Miami but I like the way the Nets are evaluating their roster. Eleven players played ten minutes or greater as interim Coach Tony Brown looks for the talent the Nets will keep next season. I can't back a team that's lost ten of thirteen ATS in this spot. Grab the Nets |
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03-28-16 | Kings +11 v. Blazers | 93-105 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
Sacramento +11 Sacramento plays in their third straight game tonight as they travel to Portland. The Kings have won two consecutive games by double digit fashion against the Mavericks and Suns. There's obvious ATS value here as the Kings likely would be 8.5 point dogs on a normal night. Due to the Trailblazers bench shooting woes with Crabbe/Henderson I'll grab the Kings. |
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03-28-16 | Suns +7 v. Wolves | 116-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
Phoenix +7 Monday, we'll grab the Phoenix Suns on the road against the Timberwolves. Minnesota's youth is truly shining as of late but I like the grit the young Suns have showcased. Their record may be poor but they're not playing with tank mode in mind like some other teams are. Grab the Suns in a value spot of seven points. |
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03-28-16 | Thunder -2.5 v. Raptors | 119-100 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
OKC -2.5 Toronto is one of the few teams I usually veer from going against on their home floor. Yet, OKC is playing at an elite enough level that I am willing to back them as a small favorite here. They'll need to be ready for a few solid runs from the Raptors but I expect their depth to match the home team. Grab OKC. |
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03-28-16 | Nets v. Heat -9.5 | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
Miami -9.5 On the season the Nets and Heat have played three close games against each other. So you'd figure the Nets would give the Heat another close game late in the season. Not exactly. The Nets are too reliant on young players and D-League call ups compared to other season matchups. Don't fall for the line trap here. Grab the Heat. |
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03-23-16 | Mavs +6 v. Blazers | 103-109 | Push | 0 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
Play Dallas +6.5 Dallas defeated the Trailblazers in overtime on their home floor a few nights ago and tonight they're catching 6.5. That's a head scratcher to me as the Mavericks have faced possibly the toughest schedule of any team over the last two weeks. Games against the Cavs, Warriors, OKC, etc. I think their veteran team is blossoming at the right time and will give the Blazers another good game in Portland. |
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03-23-16 | Lakers +5.5 v. Suns | 107-119 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
Play Lakers +5.5 The Lakers grabbed us an ATS win last night and we'll look for them to repeat against the Suns. Phoenix has grabbed some ATS value after impressive performances as steep underdogs over the last three weeks. The return of Brandon Knight and boosted play of guard Devin Booker has helped. Yet it doesn't take away the fact that the Suns have a poor front line and are prone to poor defense. The Lakers aren't much better but this is a rare spot where I'll back a team playing on consecutive nights. I like the offensive fire power the Lakers have showcased and believe they can build a sustainable early lead against the Suns. |
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03-23-16 | Knicks v. Bulls -8.5 | 115-107 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
Play Bulls -8.5 Chicago's Fred Hoiberg has tweaked the starting lineup numerous times due to Bulls injuries. Depth has grown for the Bulls bench as a result of the plethora of injuries on the season. Confidence with young players such as Bobby Portis, McDermott, and others is there with consistency to spell the veteran Bulls. Tonight they should pile on a Knicks team that lacks depth and is changing over for next year. |
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03-22-16 | Grizzlies v. Lakers +3 | 100-107 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
Lakers +3 Today we'll grab the Lakers as slight home underdogs against the Grizzlies. The Lakers took a beating against the Grizzlies a few weeks back on the road and at home. Yet, I believe today they'll respond with better offense against a Grizzlies team with a completely different nucleus of players. Grab the Lakers at home tonight |
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03-22-16 | Rockets +9.5 v. Thunder | 107-111 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
Houston +10 Earlier in the season we had a heart breaking push on the Rockets against the Thunder in the +8 range. Tonight they're getting an extra two points on the road as the Thunder are in the midst of one of their better stretches of the season. Yet I can't pass up the value here on the Rockets who are in need of a competitive game. Grab Houston. |
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03-22-16 | Heat -9 v. Pelicans | 113-99 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
Miami -9 Tonight the Heat are steep favorites against the Pelicans. New Orleans have done a great job without Anthony Davis and are coming off solid outings against the Kings and Clippers. Yet tonight will be a challenge against the Heat. Miami's been winning ugly before sparking in a key blowout win over the Cavaliers. I like the momentum they are showcasing which should carry over against an over valued Pelicans team. |
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03-22-16 | Hornets -6 v. Nets | 105-100 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
Charlotte -6 Charlotte won in comeback fashion last night over the Spurs from a steep deficit. In the game the starters struggled on the offensive end. Luckily Jeremy Lin picked up the slack for the Bobcats. Tonight we should see the starters back in gear against a Nets team that has lost the ebb and flow once showcased three weeks ago. |
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03-18-16 | Warriors v. Mavs +9.5 | 130-112 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
Dallas +9.5 No one knows what to make of the Mavericks veteran team. A lot likely will change with the team this offseason but they're still showcasing heart on any given night. I like the fact that they did not let up on the road down 18 multiple times to the Cavs. Many people would see that as an extreme disadvantage against the hot shooting Warriors but I see it as an opportunity back on their home floor. Grab the value here with the Mavericks. |
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03-18-16 | Kings v. Pistons -7 | 108-115 | Push | 0 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
Detroit -7 Detroit's rusty play lately presents value on their home floor against a team performing as poorly as anyone in the Sacramento Kings. Detroit's faced some tough defensive teams as of late which has attributed too poorer defense on their part. Tonight they'll get easy shots and poor shot attempts/turnovers from the Kings. Grab Detroit. |
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03-17-16 | Nuggets v. Hawks -7.5 | 98-116 | Win | 100 | 5 h 33 m | Show | |
Atlanta -7.5 We'll grab the Hawks today against a Denver team that has had a few days off since losing to Miami. They did perform well in that game but played against a lackluster Heat team as Joe Johnson has hurt their defense and it was D Wade's returning game. |
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03-16-16 | Pelicans v. Kings -4 | 123-108 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
Sacramento -4 The Kings have had a down period but today we'll grab them against the Pelicans at home. Expect little defense and lots of scoring as neither team is a defensive juggernaut. Yet, I expect the Kings to regain some of the form we saw from them before the All-Star break. Rudy Gay is bound to get back on track tonight. |
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03-16-16 | Mavs v. Cavs -9.5 | 98-99 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
03/16 04:05 PM NBA (603) DALLAS MAVERICKS VS (604) CLEVELAND CAVALIERS (03/16 11:47 AM) edit
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03-14-16 | Pistons +1.5 v. Wizards | 81-124 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 43 m | Show | |
Detroit Pistons +1.5 Detroit's one of those teams that when you want to discount they're going to show up in a big way. I believe they'll do that today after laying a dud a couple of times in the past week. Stanley Johnson is back and I like the backcourt advantage the Pistons have with Jackson/Pope over a tiresome Wizards John Wall led team. Grab Detroit |
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03-14-16 | Nuggets v. Heat -6.5 | 119-124 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 13 m | Show | |
Miami Heat -6.5 The Heat been an up and down team but still are playing well even in losses. They return home today against a Denver team that has reshuffled pieces since the All-Star break. Young players such as Gary Harris and rookie Mudiay should struggle against the hustle extended depth of the Heat. Grab Miami |
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03-13-16 | Pacers v. Hawks -4.5 | 75-104 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
Atlanta -4 In the last matchup of the Hawks and Pacers we grabbed a slight backdoor cover on the Hawks in thrilling fashion. The Pacers controlled the game the majority of the way before slipping in the last three minutes. Even though the Pacers are playing better than what we saw originally post All-Star break I'm still leery of backing them here. Both teams are coming off games yesterday and I believe the Hawks are worthy backing on their home floor again. Grab the Hawks. |
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03-12-16 | Heat v. Raptors -5.5 | 104-112 | Win | 100 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
Toronto -5.5 Toronto looks to creep closer to the Cavaliers as the top seed in the East with today's game against the Heat. I believe they will get closer as they've been a juggernaut offensively on their home floor. Don't forget Miami added Joe Johnson to the starting lineup recently, which has benefitted the Heat. Yet, there comes a time where the offense bogs down with new personnel and I believe we'll see that happen today. Toronto is a dangerous spurt team similar to Golden State. Look for two to three surges to be too much for the Heat. |
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03-11-16 | Pistons v. Hornets -4 | 103-118 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
Charlotte -4 The Hornets continue to be over looked but I'll jump in on them tonight against the Pistons. Detroit has been a bit back and forth since the All-Star break as they try to identify as a team. Charlotte's depth and home court edge should be enough to get us this posting victory ATS. |
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03-06-16 | Suns v. Grizzlies -10.5 | 109-100 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
Memphis -10.5 In the NBA we'll grab Memphis who takes on Phoenix as an eleven point favorite. Memphis is one of the few teams in the NBA that has shown consistency to bring an A effort against the bottom feeders of the NBA. They've dismantled teams such as Philadelphia and the Lakers. Their offense is growing which should allow them to grab an early lead and run away with Sunday's matchup. |
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03-05-16 | Pistons v. Knicks +5.5 | 89-102 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
Knicks +5.5 The Knicks showed some heart for the first time in quite a bit last night in a close loss to the Celtics. At home today against a much improved Pistons team you'd figure a let down would be in-store. Instead I'll grab the Knicks as the Pistons are still in a transitional phase with newcomer Tobias Harris and the losses of veterans Ilyasova/Jennings and Stanley Johnson's injury. Play the Knicks plus five. |
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02-28-16 | Raptors -1.5 v. Pistons | 101-114 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
Toronto -1.5 Detroit was sharp last night for us but today I see the value shifted against them in favor of Toronto. Toronto is playing as fluid of basketball as any team in the NBA with Kyle Lowry and Demar Derozan at the top of their game. Detroit's flaws have been stopping guard penetration and scoring. Toronto has had great success against Detroit over recent years and I see that continuing today. Grab the Raptors |
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02-27-16 | Pistons +1 v. Bucks | 102-91 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
Detroit +1 Milwaukee has been a juggernaut ATS and has the mold of one of the best young teams in the NBA. Yet Detroit's addition of Tobias Harris just is a different animal to contain as the Pistons look like a team on the cusp. The Bucks are a team reliant on attacking the basket for points and I believe the Pistons can contain half court settings and get some easy transition baskets. Grab Detroit. |
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02-27-16 | Blazers v. Bulls +5 | 103-95 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
Chicago +5 Portland has caught the attention of the betting world with some eye catching blowout wins over Cleveland and Golden State and other head scratchers like a loss to the Rockets the other night. Chicago is a team that played Portland against their strengths a few months back in a win at Portland. Though Chicago has injuries they're more than capable of winning this game with offense and doing enough defensively. I'll take the five here with the Bulls. |
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02-27-16 | Heat v. Celtics -5.5 | 89-101 | Win | 100 | 2 h 45 m | Show | |
Boston Celtics -5.5 The Celtics face a Miami Heat team that's been a force post All-Star break. Yet all the Heat games were at home. On the road today against Boston I think we'll see a Celtics team showcase their upper echelon capabilities. Depth is a huge question mark for the Heat which leads me to believe a poor second half stretch should do the job for the Celtics. |
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02-25-16 | Warriors -8.5 v. Magic | 130-114 | Win | 100 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
Golden State -8.5 We'll grab the Warriors as they continue on their east coast trip. They've had some close calls against the Heat and Hawks but tonight I believe they'll open things up early against the Magic. Orlando's added some new pieces and does have size but there still one of the more poorer teams defensively. A couple surges by the Warriors should be enough to get this cover. |
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02-24-16 | Lakers +8 v. Grizzlies | 119-128 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
Play Lakers +8 The lone play in both college or NBA Wednesday will be the Lakers plus eight. While the Lakers play and record has been pathetic this season, they've quietly been an under the radar team ATS as of late. They're come from behind ATS cover the other night may leave bettors in position to pounce against them today against Memphis. Yet, I like the way their youth is playing and don't believe the veteran Grizzlies are worthy of such points at this juncture. Grab the Lakers plus eight. |
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02-22-16 | Pacers +2 v. Heat | 93-101 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Indiana +2 Indiana and Miami have been the best series to watch this season from an ATS and overall fan of the game. Each time it seems the other team is able to stage a comeback from a deficit. In the last game Miami erased an 18 point late third quarter deficit to force overtime and win. Tonight though I see a game that may actually play to the onset of first quarter action. Miami likely will be without D Wade for a third straight game and that's too much to overcome against a tall defensive Pacers team. Miami can get away with playing great defense in certain instances but Indiana has too much familiarity with their lineup. Grab Indiana. |
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02-21-16 | Celtics -2 v. Nuggets | 121-101 | Win | 100 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
Boston Celtics -2 About a month ago we had the Celtics at home against the Nuggets in what was a poor back door loss. Boston blew a 20 point fourth quarter lead to allow two chippies in the final minute for an eight point win on a 9.5 point spread. We'll go with them here on the road as I believe we'll see a better defensive effort than what we saw from the Celtics in that home game. Too much value here against a Denver club that overachieved leading up to the All Star break. |
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02-10-16 | Rockets +5.5 v. Blazers | 103-116 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
Rockets- +5.5 You'd expect the Rockets to have the tired legs after playing last night against Golden State but I expect it to be the Trailblazers. Portland played a long overtime grind out affair against the Grizzlies. Both Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum shot below 50% and attempted over 20 shots. Their shots were crafty off the dribble and dribble drive attempts. Unlike the Rockets who shot in an open court contest all night long against the Warriors. Also the Rockets laid a dud just a few nights before against this Trailblazers team. We'll grab the value here in the Rockets. |
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02-10-16 | Clippers v. Celtics | 134-139 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
Clippers- Pick Boston's coming off a loss last night against the Milwaukee Bucks in which they erased an 18 point fourth quarter deficit to tie the game at 109. Two sequences of highs and lows then occurred. A lay in by Greg Monroe with one second left made it 111-109 before Boston tied it again with two free throws. Then a mental error by Marcus Smart drew two free throws to give the Bucks the victory. That's as mentally taxing of a loss a team can sustain and this is coming before an elongated All Star break. The Clippers on the other hand got away with a win against the hapless 76ers. But in watching that game it was not the effort. Shots just were not falling as customarily for the Clippers. They have their legs back underneath them and I expect the Clippers to come out strong and hold on for a road win against the Celtics. |
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02-10-16 | Hornets v. Pacers -3.5 | 117-95 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
Pacers -3.5 Though I was very impressed with the Bobcats performance against the Bulls, the Bulls were without their main players and the bench of Hinrich/Brooks/McDermott isn't as stellar as in years past. I do believe eventually the Bobcats will see some rust from Kidd-Gilchrist and tonight could be that night against the physical size/strength of the Pacers. George Hill and Paul George are matchup nightmares for the undersized Bobcats. Grab the Pacers at home to show their home court connection tonight. |
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02-09-16 | Celtics v. Bucks +4.5 | 111-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
Bucks +4.5 The Bucks did come up short on their west coast trip but showed some grit in close games against the Kings, Jazz, and other opponents. This is a great opportunity for them to capitalize at home before the break against an over achieving Boston Celtics team. Boston's offense has been proficient but their defense as a whole has faltered as of late. At home with young talent we'll grab the Bucks Tuesday. |
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02-08-16 | Bulls +6 v. Hornets | 91-108 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 5 m | Show | |
Bulls +6--Analysis to Follow We're grabbing the Bulls at +6 Monday as the lone ATS play of the day. I see high value on a team that's lost three of their last four games, has two players out (Butler, Mirotic), and is wrapping up the last game of a seven game road trip. This is the fourth matchup between the two teams and although the Hornets are the healthier team---both know each others offensive/defensive sets well. In the other three matchups the Bulls were favored in all by 3.5, 5.5, and 6.5 points. We'll grab the line reversal here on the Bulls. |
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02-08-16 | Clippers -9 v. 76ers | 98-92 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
Play Clippers -9 The notion here would be to grab the 76ers with rationale that the Clippers are due for a let down on their current road trip. Instead, I see this is as one of the best bargains of value ATS this NBA season. The 76ers have lured bettors with covers and close calls recently including a come from behind finish against the Warriors. Yet, the Clippers depth is perfect for this road spot. Jamal Crawford is excelling at the moment along with JJ Redick, CP3, and DeAndre Jordan. The bench is also contributing high value with Paul Pierce, Lance Stephenson, and Wesley Johnson. Grab the Clippers who will remain focused with eyes on rest during All Star break. |
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02-06-16 | Thunder +8 v. Warriors | 108-116 | Push | 0 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
OKC +8 When the Warriors and Thunder meet in the western conference finals/quarterfinals you will not catch an eight point spread in the playoffs. Yet, it's here in the regular season and we'll jump all over it. Yes, Golden State has been dominant but the Thunder can obviously do the same amount of scoring when they want. Defensively, the Thunder play under their capabilities on a nightly basis but in this level of a game I expect to see a better effort. Grab the Thunder. |
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02-05-16 | Clippers -4.5 v. Magic | 107-93 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
Clippers -4.5 The lone play for Friday will come with the Clippers. First the Clippers are gaining value here based on an early Eastern start time in Orlando. Secondly, they just suffered a loss to the Timberwolves who had lost eleven straight prior. But I will not over value that loss as the Timberwolves had been competitive against OKC, Cleveland, Utah, and against a few other opponents. Orlando has rose their play recently with a win against Boston and a nice effort as steep dogs against OKC. Yet, they're defensive issues will come to the forefront tonight. The Clippers should be able to churn an octane performance and score in the 115-125 range. Grab the Clippers |
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02-01-16 | Bucks +4 v. Kings | 104-111 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Milwaukee Bucks +4 Jason Kidd and the Bucks head to Sacramento Monday night to start a new road trip. This is a matchup of young lineups that will merit my attention ATS. I've been impressed with Milwaukee's in-game coaching from Jason Kidd. Sacramento just does not put teams away especially at home. The Bucks are getting better as each game goes on and I believe Kidd will make the proper in-game adjustments to have the Bucks in this. Grab Milwaukee |
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02-01-16 | Bulls v. Jazz -4.5 | 96-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
Utah Jazz -4.5 While some may want to latch onto the Bulls for value Monday I will not. Utah has caught my eye as they continue to get better overall. They're in the hunt currently for the last seed in the West. Now healthy with Derrick Favors back, they also have young pieces that have seen the green light of the NBA. Trey Burke, Rodney Hood, and Rudy Gobert have all raised their level of play in the month of January to go along with budding star Gordon Hayward. The Jazz home court altitude hindering the Bulls will be an angle by handicappers but I just see it as a good matchup for the Jazz. Grab Utah. |
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02-01-16 | Cavs v. Pacers +4.5 | 111-106 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Indiana Pacers +4.5 Cleveland's surge before the All-Star break has paved the way for LeBron and company to hit their stroll. Yet I can't ignore the fact that the Cavaliers where facing a deficit deep into the second quarter against the Suns and blown out by the Warriors. Indiana has value Monday at home as they've been a strong home team all season. Grab the Pacers |
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01-29-16 | Wolves +8.5 v. Jazz | 90-103 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
Timberwolves +8.5 This game keeps rising on the number as the Jazz look to give payback to the Timberwolves from a 94-80 loss December 30th. I'll gladly take the points here as people ignore standout details. Yes, Derrick Favors returned Monday but rust is evident after nearly a month off with a back injury. The rising play of Rodney Hood and Gordon Hayward has taking the eyes off a Jazz offense that still struggles at times. Minnesota's youth is relentless and will apply pressure to this Jazz offense. Grab the Twolves plus the points. |
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01-29-16 | Rockets +7.5 v. Thunder | 108-116 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Rockets +7.5 The Rockets may have been defeated by the Spurs in blowout fashion but they've steadily been playing better basketball as of late. OKC on the other hand has made some lineup adjustments with Dion Waiters in the starting lineup and is coming off a road trip of wins against the Knicks/Timberwolves. Yet I am not impressed with how they've looked defensively and believe the value lies here with the Rockets. |
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01-27-16 | Thunder v. Wolves +7 | 126-123 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Minnesota +7 OKC is coming off an incredible come from behind win against the Knicks. Rather than see it as an igniting point I'll take the value on the young Timberwolves who have performed better in recent games against the Mavericks and Cavaliers. OKC is still lackluster defensively which does not bode well on the road in back to back games. |
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01-27-16 | Clippers v. Hawks -5 | 85-83 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Atlanta Hawks -5 The Clippers bounced back nicely from a blowout defeat to the Raptors to win with defense against the Pacers. Yet there certainly a team wearing down a bit before All Star break. Doc Rivers did not want to have to utilize Paul Pierce as much as he had and the wear/tear is showing. The Clippers needed a come from behind effort against a tired Miami Heat team, were blown out by the Cavs, and blown out by the Raptors. The Hawks should be able to handle the Clippers tonight. |
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01-27-16 | Nuggets v. Celtics -9.5 | 103-111 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
Boston -9.5 After slumping for a stretch it appears the Celtics have regained their stride. They're playing with balanced energy and seem to have been ignited by their win against the Bulls as they torched the Wizards on their home floor the other night. Denver has played a bit over their heads and I see the Celtics handling them with ease tonight. |
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01-26-16 | Wizards v. Raptors -7.5 | 89-106 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
Raptors -7.5 Initially you'd expect a professional franchise team to respond after a 25 point home loss last night to the Celtics. Yet, the Wizards have lost three of four at home and now head on the road to face a surging Raptors team. Quietly the Raptors feature eight players that average 20 minutes or more---7 scored in double digits in their latest win vs the Clippers. These teams are playing at a different level than three weeks ago when the Raptors utilized a strong third quarter to win 97-88 at Washington. While there may be perceived road value here I expect a Raptors blowout. |
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01-23-16 | Pacers v. Kings -3 | 97-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
Play Sacramento -3 After a thrilling victory against the Hawks one would believe the Kings would have a let down at home against the Pacers. As you look around the NBA we're starting to see a lot of teams wearing down before the All Star Break. I believe the Pacers are one as they've had a few key injuries and remember Paul George is coming off a full year without basketball. Value here lies with the Kings. |
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01-23-16 | Bucks +6 v. Pelicans | 99-116 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Play Milwaukee +6 One of the teams surging right now are the Pelicans. You have to wonder how long can they sustain this type of offense. After demolishing a strong defensive team in the Pistons you'd figure they'd do the same against a Bucks team as just a one-point differential favorite of -6 instead of -5. Yet, the Bucks are improving by the day and have a young deep rotation that should give the Pelicans a tall task today. |
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01-22-16 | Thunder -5.5 v. Mavs | 109-106 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City -5.5 The Thunder are on the ascent and as well as the Mavericks have played you have to believe a bit of a wall is coming for them. They patched through the first few weeks of the season with an unhealthy roster before getting Matthews/Parsons in the lineup. They've shown the ability to play as a veteran team but I like the team balance and chemistry of OKC to get the job done on the road tonight. |
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01-22-16 | Hornets +5 v. Magic | 120-116 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
Play Charlotte Bobcats +5 It's highly evident that the Charlotte Bobcats are exceeding their ceiling of play as Kemba Walker continues to exhibit a dominating showcase and that the Magic are under achieving. Yet one can not ignore the lack of offensive from the Magic. They're struggling in all phases. Rather than latch onto a team in the Magic that are due for a win we'll grab the value of +5 with a confident Hornets club. |
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01-21-16 | Grizzlies -1.5 v. Nuggets | 102-101 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Memphis -1.5 Tonight we'll look for the Grizzlies to handle the Nuggets in the altitude. I believe the Grizzlies have a bad taste in their mouth the last time they were in altitude and lost in overtime against the Jazz. The Nuggets who are playing their sixth straight home game have gained ATS support here as a result. Yet I don't expect the easy looks at the basket they've been getting from non-defensive teams such as OKC, Golden State, and others to be the case tonight against a hungry Grizzlies team. Grab the Grizzlies. |
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01-18-16 | Warriors v. Cavs -3 | 132-98 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
Cavs -3 Seeing the Cavs as a favorite against a Warriors team they struggled with in last year's post season and on Christmas Day is a bit of a head scratcher. But as I stated a week ago the Cavaliers are playing a different elevated brand of basketball that hasn't been seen since Lebron returned. Couple that with the Warriors tired legs and recent losses and I do believe we have enough advantage to make a play on the Cavs tonight. |
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01-18-16 | Magic +8 v. Hawks | 81-98 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
Magic +8 The Magic have been a thorn for backers over the last two weeks but now is a good time to get a return on investments with them. They grabbed us a cover in Europe in an overtime loss to the Raptors and I see them doing so again today. Atlanta is still probing for the right mix of minutes with Korver struggling and youth playing well with Hardaway Jr, Schroeder, and Bazemore. Orlando's interior defense should keep them in this game and I expect their offense to continue to move upward from what we saw against Toronto. |
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01-18-16 | Jazz +2.5 v. Hornets | 119-124 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 36 m | Show | |
Utah +2.5 Utah has had their issues on the road but I think today is a good spot to grab them against a Bobcats team that's started to falter. Perhaps they were playing over their heads with key production from young players and veterans. Utah has showed better balance offensively lately and should be able to disrupt the Bobcats offensively enough to win this. |
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01-16-16 | Bucks +6 v. Hornets | 105-92 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Milwaukee +6 Milwaukee once again has value here as oddsmakers and bettors have no faith. They got us a few nights ago against the Bulls as they erased an eight point deficit at home. Yesterday they prevailed against the Hawks and today they get to face a Bobcats team that has been wildly inconsistent for the last two weeks. This is strictly a value play as until the Bobcats show stability I'll continue to play reasonable numbers against them. Grab the Bucks |
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01-15-16 | Heat -2.5 v. Nuggets | 98-95 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Miami -2.5 The Heat are nearing the end of their road trip against the Denver Nuggets. Denver defeated the Warriors as 9.5 point underdogs and the Heat blew a first half lead for the second consecutive game. Against Utah they lost as the Jazz clamped down defensively in the altitude. Against the Clippers the Heat lost against prolific offense in the second half. This time around against the Nuggets the Heat should be able to control the pace of play for four quarters and pull off the win. |
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01-14-16 | Cavs +7 v. Spurs | 95-99 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
Cleveland +7 The Spurs are surging with plenty of double digit wins to make bettors happy. Yet tonight they're facing a focused and determined Cavs team. Since Kyrie Irving has returned they've looked better than they have ever before since Lebron returned to Cleveland last season. We took the value a few nights ago on the Mavs +6 and can not overlook tonight's value on the Cavs. Grab Cleveland |
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01-14-16 | Raptors v. Magic +4.5 | 106-103 | Win | 100 | 2 h 45 m | Show | |
Orlando +4.5 Orlando finally has value after a horrific stretch of play against the Cavs, Wizards, etc. They've been rested and I believe they're ready to pose a challenge ATS and against a Raptors team that has been wildly inconsistent. Expect a competitive game wire to wire in England |
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01-13-16 | Jazz v. Blazers -2.5 | 85-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
Portland -2.5 Portland is getting value tonight in my opinion from one of the toughest schedules a team has had to face over the last week and a half. Utah took care of business against the Heat Saturday but I'll devalue that. For the majority of the game the Heat were in control before running out of gas defensively and offensively. Utah's lineup does not have the firepower to match the potent Trailblazers for four quarters. Grab the Blazers |
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01-12-16 | Cavs v. Mavs +6 | 110-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
Dallas +6 It's been a handful of games since the Cavs have been truly challenged by a capable opponent. They've had an easy road against teams such as the Timberwolves, Magic, and others. Dallas has finally hit their stride offensively with Matthews and Parsons performing well along with point guard Williams. They'll be up for the challenge tonight against the Cavs. |
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01-12-16 | Bulls -3 v. Bucks | 101-106 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Chicago -3 Sometimes facing the right opponent at the wrong time can lead to improper judging of a team. The Bulls have lost consecutive games in torching fashion against the Hawks and Wizards. Atlanta had their number last season and carried it over and Washington as I stated last night are finding their edge. Tonight look for the Bulls to respond on the road against the young Bucs. |
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01-12-16 | Rockets v. Grizzlies -1.5 | 107-91 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Memphis -1.5 Memphis achieved an incredible come back against the Celtics the other night. Rather than discount that win I'll stamp it with approval into tonight's matchup against the Rockets. Even though Houston had a great win against the Pacers I'm not sold on the quality of basketball I've witnessed from them. There are still too many issues and I do not like the play I'm seeing from veterans Howard, Brewer, Terry, or guard Beverly. Grab the Grizzlies to hold their home court tonight and continue to gain momentum. |
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01-12-16 | Suns +10 v. Pacers | 97-116 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
Phoenix +10 Phoenix has been horrendous but gets a favorable road spot tonight after three days rest against Indiana. Indiana is coming off four consecutive road games in which they exerted a high level of energy. One they let an 18-point lead against the Heat slip away and another against the Pelicans they fought back from a fourteen point deficit. This led to a fatigued effort against Houston in which the defense surrendered 107 points. Grab the Suns who should have enough offense to hang in this one. |
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01-11-16 | Wizards +8 v. Bulls | 114-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Wizards +8 Odds are inflated Monday with Chicago losing to Atlanta to end their seven game win streak. Quietly the Wizards are finding confidence as Bradley Beal misses time with an injury. John Wall's play is entering a phase of brilliance that I think carries over on the road against the Bulls tonight. Grab the Wizards +8. |
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01-09-16 | Heat -1.5 v. Jazz | 83-98 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
Play Miami Heat -1.5 The Heat are rising to the occasion and playing some of the best basketball in the NBA in my opinion currently. As stated in ATS wins the last two weeks D Wade wants this Heat team to get on a roll before All Star break. He has delivered his part and did so with absentee play from his supporting cast last night. Utah is just a mess offensively which bodes to the Heat's advantage. Expect a better effort from the Heat supporting cast and continued solid defense. Grab the Heat. |
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01-09-16 | Wizards +3 v. Magic | 105-99 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
Wizards +3 The Magic and Wizards both played last night with the Wizards losing soundly to the Raptors and Magic defeating the Nets. The Magic's win ended a four game losing streak that started with a loss to the Wizards. Yet as I profiled in the Magic's loss to the Wizards no team in basketball looks as tired as the Magic. Last night they were able to win with 83 points and shooting below 40 percent from the field. The Wizards are playing better than they were in the prior matchup and have found a balanced lineup with Temple, Dudley, and others while Bradley Beal is out. Grab the Wizards |
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01-08-16 | Warriors v. Blazers +10 | 128-108 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Play Portland Trailblazers +10 If you recall a couple of seasons ago as the Warriors were growing, they had some classic games against the Trailblazers. Big leads never were protected in this matchup. The Warriors small ball lineup should aid the Trailblazers who have an explosive offense at home. Grab the Blazers plus ten points. |
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01-08-16 | Heat -5 v. Suns | 103-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Play Miami -5 Miami is one of those teams that you can sense has upward capability in its near future. With as bad as the Suns have played defensively that should only aid in the Heat's advantages tonight down in Phoenix. Lastly, I've said it before but Phoenix is one of the poorest home teams on Friday nights for whatever reason over the last five-six years. |
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01-08-16 | Raptors -2 v. Wizards | 97-88 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Play Toronto -2 I tabbed the Raptors as a devalued team ATS but won't shift to an overreaction as a two point road favorite against the Wizards. Washington has grabbed us a couple of slim covers including last week against the Raptors and a few nights ago against Cleveland. Besides a Raptors fourth quarter offensive lull they had full control of that game. I expect a better sense of play from the Raptors second unit this time around. Grab Toronto -2. |
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01-07-16 | Jazz +9 v. Rockets | 94-103 | Push | 0 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Utah +9 There's prime value on Utah tonight who seem to play up for competition one night and off the grid the next. After being dominated by the Spurs it'd seem like they're set for another downfall in Texas to Houston. Instead expect the Jazz to be able to hang with the Rockets who allow leads to slip just as fast as they got them. Grab the Jazz +9. |
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01-06-16 | Cavs v. Wizards +7 | 121-115 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
Wizards +7 The Cavaliers have had their way post Christmas since a blowout loss to the Trail Blazers. They've been able to cover as of late including a game we were on against the Orlando Magic. Yet, playing on the road is a different story for the Cavaliers. With Irving back the second unit is still trying to mesh together. Those 12-15 minutes of bench play are key if you expect to win on the road, which the Cavs have been a meager 8-8. Grab the value on the Wizards similar to what we had on the Suns against the Cavs. |
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01-05-16 | Kings +5.5 v. Mavs | 116-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Play Sacramento Kings +5.5 After a solid road win against the Thunder last night the Kings find themselves as 5.5 point road dogs tonight against Dallas. I don't anticipate the Kings running out of gas here. They're one of the hottest offensive teams in the NBA right now and scored over 140 points Saturday against the Suns. Don't look for the Kings momentum to end here. Grab the 5.5 tonight. |
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01-05-16 | Knicks v. Hawks -8 | 107-101 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
Play Atlanta Hawks -8 One of the more curious swings of momentum came via the Hawks come from behind win against the Knicks recently. They turned it on and showcased just how much head and shoulders above they are than the Knicks. I'll give credit to the Knicks and their improvement but team's with true team ball and balance give them trouble. Atlanta learned their mistake from falling behind last time and will emphasize a hot start tonight. Hawks win by double digits. |
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01-04-16 | Grizzlies -1 v. Blazers | 91-78 | Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
Add Memphis -1 We'll add Memphis to the card tonight. Playing at Portland is a tough battle for any team. After Memphis loss to the Jazz in overtime a few nights ago I saw a veteran team filled with dejection. I think this is a crucial period for a team that's been intact for awhile---if they fall apart expect trades. The young Blazers have had issues against defensive teams that are physical with them (Bulls/Pistons). Grab the Grizzlies to be aggressive early and defeat the Blazers on the road. |
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01-04-16 | Pacers v. Heat -1.5 | 100-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
Miami -1.5 The Pacers have had the Heats number this season but I look for things to fare differently tonight. Miami has played with the veteran uplift prototypical to days Lebron James was there. With Wade healthy he has proclaimed he wants to see the Heat answer strong before the All Star break. Grab the Heat tonight to clear the hurdle of the Pacers finally. |
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01-02-16 | Nuggets +15 v. Warriors | 108-111 | Win | 100 | 4 h 19 m | Show | |
Play Denver +15 Now is the time that I believe we can start grabbing value against the Warriors as double digit favorites at home. Sure they're going to pack fire power and great support but teams do not cover mid teen spreads with consistency. Denver has the ability to score and should stay in this game even if Steph Curry returns to the floor tonight. Grab the Nuggets. |
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01-02-16 | Magic v. Cavs -8.5 | 79-104 | Win | 100 | 1 h 18 m | Show | |
Play Cleveland -8.5 Currently I do not believe there is a more tired team in the NBA than the Orlando Magic. For a team that relies on defense and interior scoring that is troublesome. Their defense has waned in the second halves in losses to Miami and the Wizards in recent games. Outside shooting is not their strength which I believe will lead to the Cavs packing their defense inside. Grab the Cavs today. |
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01-01-16 | Hornets +6.5 v. Raptors | 94-104 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
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12-30-15 | Jazz +2 v. Wolves | 80-94 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
Play Utah Jazz +2 The Jazz nearly lost to the 76ers a few nights back, so it's safe to say they're in trouble on the road against the Timberwolves, right? Not necessarily. The Jazz and Twolves matchup well with both teams boasting youth. But the mix of the Jazz youth is gelling better in my opinion than the Twolves. Minnesota has lost four games in a row and is having a tough time allocating the proper minutes to veterans Kevin Garnett and Tayshaun Prince while giving it's stock piled youth experience. Grab the Jazz who have leverage with a rotation that should take advantage of bench minutes of the Twolves. |
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12-30-15 | Wizards +7 v. Raptors | 91-94 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
Play Washington +7 The Toronto Raptors are one of the teams I've tabbed as vulnerable over the next week to two. They're a team reliant on Derozan and Lowry to do a bulk of their scoring, and have seen dips in the play of role players such as Cory Joseph, Luis Scola, and others. Therefore their typical strong home value has come down a bit. Washington is coming off a blowout loss at home to a Clippers team without Blake Griffin. Lets grab the value on the Wizards to respond on the road and cover 7. |
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12-29-15 | Hawks +3 v. Rockets | 121-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
Atlanta +3 The Hawks have value in my eyes on Tuesday as they've been a bit sluggish post holiday. They trailed by double digits to the Knicks before coming back and lost last night on the road to Indiana. Yet I'm impressed with the defense they showcased in the Knicks comeback as well as holding the Pacers to 93 points on their home floor last night. The offense will come and should tonight against a lax Rockets team defensively who allowed the Pelicans to surge back in the final six minutes the other night. Grab the Hawks on the road Tuesday. |
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12-28-15 | Cavs v. Suns +8.5 | 101-97 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
Phoenix Suns +8.5 The Suns suddenly continue to lose and fell to a new low by losing to the 76ers in their latest game. Yet the Cavs have lost in back to back games on Christmas Day to the Warriors and in blowout fashion to the Trailblazers. Their defense is below average currently which can not sustain with a mediocre offense. We'll grab the value off the Suns loss to the 76ers. |
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12-28-15 | Pelicans v. Magic -4.5 | 89-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Orlando Magic -4.5 We swayed from our backing of the Magic against the Heat but have been backing them for the past two weeks. We will in this spot after they blew a double digit lead to the Heat on the 26th. I'll expect the Pelicans to have a bit of tired legs after back to back games against the Heat/Rockets and now on the road against the Magic. Orlando had a meltdown defensively against the Heat that should turn around tonight against the perimeter oriented Pelicans. |
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12-28-15 | Clippers +1.5 v. Wizards | 108-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
LA Clippers +1.5 With Blake Griffin out the Clippers rose to the occasion in a come from behind win over the Jazz. Paul Pierce solidified why he should be a first ballot hall of famer in that win. This exact scenario is why the Clippers added proper depth with Pierce, Wesley J, Stephenson, etc. That combined with improved defense from the guard position leads me to believe they'll continue their road trip success tonight against the Wizards. |
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12-26-15 | Heat +4 v. Magic | 108-101 | Win | 100 | 18 h 17 m | Show | |
Play Miami +4 Post Christmas Day there is a pretty hefty slate of games in the NBA. Instead of predicting how a team will react post holiday, I'll focus on one team that played on Christmas Day in the Miami Heat. They're getting 4 to take on the Orlando Magic who have been a surprise this season. Yet, I like the veteran nature of the Miami Heat with Deng, Wade, Bosh, Green, Dragic, and others to come ready to play on a short trek up to Orlando. Grab the Miami Heat plus 4. |