Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-11-24 | 49ers v. Chiefs UNDER 47.5 | Top | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 270 h 42 m | Show |
10* UNDER 49ers/Chiefs (TOM) Two great offenses. Two great defenses. Honestly, it would not be difficult for us to write a convincing argument for this to be a high-scoring game, but for a number of different reasons we are expecting Super Bowl 58 to be a very defensive affair. San Francisco averages 28.9 PPG, which ranks third, while allowing 17.5, which ranks third as well. Kansas City only averages 21.8 PPG though, which is 15th overall. The big news for the Chiefs in the postseason and throughout the regular season as well though has been their tough defensive play, as they enter the big game conceding 17.3, ranked second in the league. Despite having Patrick Mahomes under center, the last thing that KC wants to do here is to turn this into a "track meet" with the hungry 49ers. Instead they'll look to suffocate this offense and control the clock. Mahomes won't feel nearly as much pressure as his counterpart and should expertly be able to "control" the pace of this one. In our opinion Super Bowl 58 will be decided in the trenches and by field position and in a contest like that, the "under" becomes the savvy call as far as the total is concerned! AAA Sports |
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01-28-24 | Lions v. 49ers -7 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 5 m | Show |
10* 49ers (BLOCKBUSTER) It's been an unreal year for the Lions this season. We think that for the most part they've overachieved now to this point. But for the 49ers, they were fully expected to be here before the season started. As great as Jared Goff and Detroit has been at times this year, this is just a bad matchup for the Lions. This San Francisco defense is tailor-made for this type of offense. And the Lions have struggled to contain strong run games this year, which also plays directly into the home side's hands. We're not only expecting San Francisco to win this game, we're looking for it to do so in blowout fashion; lay the points, the play is indeed on San Francisco! AAA Sports |
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01-28-24 | Chiefs v. Ravens UNDER 44.5 | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 96 h 37 m | Show |
10* Chiefs/Ravens UNDER (BLOCKBUSTER) Although this game definitely features two of the best QB's on Earth right now, we're expecting this contest to be won in the trenches and by field position. Whichever team establishes the run and looks after the football is going to come out on top. Each offense will be doing its best to limit the time the other unit is on the field, and that means establishing the run game throughout. The Chiefs beat the Fish 26-7 in the Wildcard at home, before holding on for the 27-24 win at Buffalo last weekend. We're anticipating more of a defensive lower-scoring battle like the Chiefs participated in the Wildcard. Baltimore held the Texans to just ten points, and the Chiefs' sub-par offense could be in trouble on the road here as well. In our opinion, this number is indeed high, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-21-24 | Chiefs v. Bills UNDER 45.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER Chiefs/Bills (BLOOD-BATH) These teams played in Kansas City back on December 10th and the Bills won a tight and lower-scoring battle by a score of 20-17. Will the Chiefs get their revenge here, or will the Bills take advantage of home field and pull out another win and cover? We're not 100% sure WHO will win and cover in this game, but we're for sure absolutely expecting another lower-scoring battle. Note that KC has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. We're expecting this one to be decided in the trenches and by field position and in a contest like that, the "under" is almost always the correct call as far as the total is concerned, and that's the case here in this divisional round matchup; in our estimation, this number is a little high, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-21-24 | Bucs v. Lions -6.5 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 97 h 25 m | Show |
10* Lions (DIV. RND GOY) At this point of the season, the oddsmakers lines are sharper than ever. There's only a few games left and their entire attention can be put onto these lines. It gets tougher and tougher to find any true value at this point, but in our opinion the home field advantage simply can't be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in the outcome of this contest. Both starting QB's got huge monkeys off their backs, but we just don't trust this Bucs offense on the road. The Lions are sitting pretty and poised to move on to the Conference Championship game and we're FULLY expecting the home side to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion; lay the points, the play is Detroit! AAA Sports |
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01-20-24 | Packers v. 49ers -9.5 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 40 m | Show |
10* 49ers (BLOCKBUSTER) Green Bay managed the huge upset win at Dallas, but we're fully expecting Jordan Love and the visitors to predictably stumble here. Love's numbers in all indoor games are just crazy, but he's very average whenever he plays outdoors. Love destroyed the Cowboys great defense, but now they face another really difficult test here on the road. Green Bay's defense was poor and its going to have its hands full here vs. this well-rested and explosive home side; lay the points, the play is San Francisco! AAA Sports |
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01-20-24 | Texans v. Ravens OVER 43.5 | Top | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 76 h 27 m | Show |
10* OVER Texans/Ravens (DIV. RND TOY) With nearly 65% of the early public money on the Texans, most everyone here feels that CJ Stroud and company can keep the offensive momentum rolling here vs. this difficult Ravens defense. And why not though, as the Browns had the No. 1 defense in the league and were just torched for 45 points. And for Baltimore, it has had the advantage of having a week off to heal up. We're expecting LaMar Jackson to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. We base our picks on many different things, this particular one sets up really from a "situational" stand point in our opinion. Everything does indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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01-15-24 | Eagles v. Bucs OVER 43 | Top | 9-32 | Loss | -108 | 30 h 17 m | Show |
10* OVER Eagles/Bucs (BLOCKBUSTER) Both teams struggled down the stretch of the regular season after great starts. Regardless, here we are and in our opinion, everything points to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later. This playoffs has so far been anything but predictable. The Browns had the best defense in the league and they just gave up 45 points to the Texans, while the Dolphins leds the league in total offense, and only managed 7 points vs. a sub-par Chiefs' defense. And we absolutely believe that the oddsmakers are wrong in this case as well. Philadelphia held Tampa to just 11 points in a low-scoring win here earlier in the year, but note that Tampa has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in five of its last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. This number is a little low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-14-24 | Rams +3 v. Lions | Top | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 76 h 44 m | Show |
10* Rams (WC GOY) There are a lot of story lines going on in this Wildcard game, but the bottom line is that we feel that this one will be decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, and in a case like that, we're grabbing the points. That said, Matt Stafford is in his old stomping grounds here and we like the Super Bowl winning QB to put on a show here. The Lions have been questionable on the defensive end since November, giving up 38, 26, 28, 29 and 28 points over their final five games. The only loss LA has had since Week 11 was an OT road affair to the #1 seed in the AFC. The Rams are 3-1 the L4 in this series and in our opinion their offense and defense are in fact superior here; grab the points, the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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01-13-24 | Dolphins +4.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 7-26 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 8 m | Show |
10* Dolphins (BLOCKBUSTER) These teams are familiar with each other and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. These teams met in Germany this season and KC won by a score of 21-14. Note that Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponnet. With the expected return of key players Jaylen Waddle and Raheem Mostert, we do in fact think that the Fish have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. The Dolphins have had their fair share of adversity this season, but so to has Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. With the cold temperatures playing a role in the outcome of this game and eliminating the crowd a lot in this one, we feel that the Chiefs' advantage diminishes in that department for sure. There's something "off" this year with Mahomes and the Chiefs. They looked REALLY bad at times this year. The Dolphins stumbled, but have all the pieces in place to pull off the outright; that said, let's grab the points with Miami! AAA Sports |
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01-13-24 | Browns v. Texans UNDER 44.5 | Top | 14-45 | Loss | -109 | 97 h 50 m | Show |
10* Browns/Texans UNDER (WILDCARD RND TOY) They say defense wins championships, and in our estimation the team that plays the best on that side of the field and wins the war in the trenches and the field position battle will be the one that comes out on top. These teams will look to establish the run throughout as to limit the mistakes their QB's can make in this pressure packed situation. The Texans won the AFC South at 10-7, while Cleveland was second in the AFC North. This is the second meeting between the teams in the last three weeks, with the Browns getting the better of the Texans by a score of 36-22 on Christmas Eve. Note though that Houston has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponent. CJ Stroud didn't play in that game and while he'll be back in this one, as stated off the top, we're absolutely expecting each side to try and use the run game to set up the pass. These teams didn't get here because of their explosive offenses and unbelievable QB's. They got here because of their great defensive play. And that's what we're expecting, a lower-scoring defensive battle; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-08-24 | Washington v. Michigan UNDER 57 | Top | 13-34 | Win | 100 | 30 h 3 m | Show |
10* UNDER Washington/Michigan (TOW) We think the time off between games will be detrimental to these offenses, and beneficial to the defenses early on. Note that when these teams met in 2021, the combined to score just 41 points. The Wolverines will be content throughout to let the clock run on offense as they use the run to set up the pass. This Michigan defense just held Alabama to 288 total yards of offnse in the win over the Rose Bowl and we're anticipating Michael Penix Jr. to have a hell of a time in this one as well. Everything points to this total being just a bit TOO high, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-07-24 | Bills v. Dolphins +3 | Top | 21-14 | Loss | -118 | 27 h 8 m | Show |
10* Dolphins (AFC EAST GOM) Miami hammered the Jets 30-0 and then beat Dallas at home 22-20 on X-Mas Eve, but it fell flat last week in Baltimore, getting run over by a score of 56-19. The Dolphins not only look to atone for that setback, but they also play with the added incentive of revenge here after falling 48-20 at Buffalo on October 1st (and note that the Fish are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS divisional road loss vs. an opponent.) The Bills have won four straight, but we now finally predict that they'll come up short here in this difficult road venue. Miami is the more motivated team here on several different accounts and we expect it to hold on to the top spot in the AFC East; grab the points, the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
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01-06-24 | Texans v. Colts | Top | 23-19 | Win | 100 | 50 h 29 m | Show |
10* Texans (AFC GOW) Houston is 9-7 straight up and third in the AFC South, while Indianapolis is 9-7 as well and second in the AFC South after holding the tie-breaker with Houston when the Colts won 31-20 on the road at the start of the season back on September 17th. The winner gets into the playoffs and the loser goes home empty handed. This one is for ALL THE MARBLES! So where does the value lie here? The oddsmakers are at least trying their best to lead us to believe that these teams are evenly matched with a spread like this, and obviously, they really are. Their offensive and defensive numbers are similar and their win/loss records are identical. But all that said, we think this one sets up well for the Texans to exact a little revenge, as note that they're 3-1 against the spread in their last four in trying to avenge a straight up and against the spread divisional home loss vs. an opponent. The Texans have also won each of their last seven road games against AFC South opponents and they have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as road underdogs against AFC South opponents as well. The Colts on the other hand have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games at Lucas Oil Stadium following a home win. We're going with Houston to get the job done at the end of the night! AAA Sports |
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01-01-24 | Liberty v. Oregon OVER 65.5 | Top | 6-45 | Loss | -110 | 333 h 16 m | Show |
10* OVER Liberty/Oregon (BOWL TOY) We're expecting very little defense to be played here in the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl in what sets up to be an interesting matchup between two teams that have somethng to prove. Liberty finished 13-0, capped off by a 49-35 win over New Mexico State in the Conference USA Championship Game. Clearly, the Flames will be out to prove to the nation that they should have been part of the College Football championship. Oregon went 11-2 and lost 34-31 to Washington in the final PAC 12 Championship Game. The Ducks averaged 44.2 PPG, while allowing just 17.3, but with the Flames pushing the pace like we anticipate, despite being such big underdogs, everything definitely points to a high-paced, wide-open "shootout," rather than a grind-it-out defensive affair. Liberty averaged 40.8 PPG, while allowing 22.7 and while these are admittedly two very good defensive teams, we're anticipating plenty of offensive fireworks; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-01-24 | Wisconsin +7.5 v. LSU | Top | 31-35 | Win | 100 | 333 h 60 m | Show |
10* Wisconsin (BOWL GOY) Wisconsin finished 7-5, while LSU was 9-3. We're not calling for an outright win or anything, but all signs definitely point to a much more competitive bowl game here than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. The Badgers won 28-14 at Minnesota as 2.5-point favorites in their final regular season game. LSU fell 42-28 at Alabama on November 4th, but then rattled off three straight wins to close out the year, including 42-30 over Texas A&M. LSU averaged 46.4 PPG, which was No. 1 in the country. It also had 14 turnovers on the year, which ranked third. The offense had to be good though, as the defense was pretty terrible allowing 27.8 PPG. With many players transfering into the portal, LSU will have plenty of holes to fill on both sides of the ball. The Badgers only averaged 22.8 PPG, but they didn't usually have to be fantastic offensively, with the defense conceding just 18.9 PPG. Look for the longer lay off to throw a further "monkey wrench" into LSU's normally efficient offense; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Badgers! AAA Sports |
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12-31-23 | Packers v. Vikings | Top | 33-10 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
10* Vikings (ASSASSIN) We think that home field advantage at this time of year will be the difference-maker for the Vikes today. Both teams are 7-8. Minnesota comes in as the "hungrier" team though after back-to-back competitive losses at the Bengals and to the Lions last week, who clinched the division on their home field. Clearly, they won't be happy about that at all. They beat Green Bay on the road 24-10 at the start of the year, and we're predicting a similar final score here as well. The Packers broke a two-game slide to save their season with a come from behind 33-30 win at lowly Carolina last weekend, but everything points to a predictable letdown here now in Minnesota. Both teams are dealing with plenty of injuries, but we like the Vikes to finally settle down here at home and get handle on their recent turnover issue; lay the short points, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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12-31-23 | Bengals v. Chiefs -6 | Top | 17-25 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
10* Chiefs (AFC GOW) Clearly, this is a big game for both teams, but a lot more so for Kansas City, which has lost five of its last eight, including a 20-14 setback here last weekend to the Raiders as 11-point favorites. Note though that the Chiefs are a near-perfect 7-1 ATS in their last eight after a SU/ATS home loss as a double-digit favorite. They barely squeaked by the Bengals 23-20 in last year's Playoffs, covering the 2-point spread, but now they face a Cincinnati team without Joe Burrow and off a poor 34-11 loss at Pittsburgh as a three-point favorite. Look for Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid to come out with a game-plan here to get back on track vs. this toothless Bengals' team; lay the points with confidence, the play is Kansas City! AAA Sports |
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12-30-23 | Lions +5.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 31 h 36 m | Show |
10* Lions (BLOOD-BATH) Despite just clinching the NFC North, we're not expecting the Lions to take anything for granted here and taking into account the current form of the Cowboys, we feel that the visitors do in fact have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. The Cowboys are 7-0 at home, but it's been against really weak competition, or teams dealing with major issues at the time. It's a "Fugazi" that home record. The time to play your best football of the year is right now and of course the Cowboys are regressing right on cue after back-to-back losses to Buffalo and Miami. The Lions are off back-to-back wins, including a 30-24 victory at Minnesota last weekend and they have even bigger plans for the rest of the regular season; as stated off the top, we feel an outright victory is a very real possibility, but in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can, the play is Detroit! AAA Sports |
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12-30-23 | Toledo v. Wyoming UNDER 44.5 | Top | 15-16 | Win | 100 | 288 h 49 m | Show |
10* Toledo/Wyoming UNDER (BOWL TOM) This is the Arizona Bowl and we're anticipating a very defensive affair, and will therefore be hammering the "under" on this one. Wyoming's offense ranks 24th worst, averaging only 324.8 YPG and 26.1 points. But what the Cowboys lack on the offensive end, they more than make up for it on the defensive end by conceding only 22.9 points. Toledo is averaging 33.6 PPG, while allowing only 20.6. The Rockets are now faced with a similar tough defensive unit here. DeQuan Finn is a talented QB for the Rockets, but both teams are going to have to deal with several opt-outs and transfters before this game takes place. Look for the longer lay off to throw a "monkey wrench" into each team's offensive rythym and expect these talented defenses to be the "main storylines" in tomorrows summaries of this contest; this number is high, the play is on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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12-30-23 | Ole Miss +4 v. Penn State | Top | 38-25 | Win | 100 | 284 h 48 m | Show |
10* Ole Miss (BOWL GOM) This is the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl between Ole Miss and Penn State. Ole Miss finished 10-2, while PSU finished 10-2 as well. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. These teams are hoping to take the next step in their respective conferences next season. James Franklin and Penn State won 11 games last year, but we don't expect "lightning to strike twice" this time around. Ole Miss though is looking for its first 11-win season in school history. SEC QB Jaxson Dart is a difference-maker here, as his stats were among the best in the SEC. Penn State is extremely talented defensively, but the Ole Miss offense is extremely efficient. It's a battle of strength vs. strength and while the outright win isn't out of the question, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with Ole Miss! AAA Sports |
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12-29-23 | Missouri v. Ohio State -4.5 | Top | 14-3 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
10* Ohio State (BLOCKBUSTER) The knock against Ohio State here is that it's down to its second string QB, which is true, but we in fact think that helps the Buckeyes here. The Tigers are missing two key defensive players in Ennis Rakestraw and linebacker Ty’Ron Hopper, and when those two players were missing earlier in the year, Missouri allowed 267 yards rushing. Which doesn't bode well facing this Ohio State offense and QB Devin Brown, who was in a battle for the No. 1 spot with Kyle McCord before the season started and before he got injured. Brown was 12 of 22 for 197 yards, two TD's and an INT this year, but he'll know that this is a "try-out" for him to be the No. 1 guy next year, as McCord has already left. The Buckeyes only allow 260 yards per game. Look for the Buckeyes to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover and lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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12-28-23 | Arizona -2 v. Oklahoma | Top | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
10* WILDCATS (BOWL WINNER) Arizona is 9-3 and the Sooners are 10-2. Oklahoma will be without start QB Dillon Gabriel though, as well as their offensive coordinator and a slew of other offensive starters. Because of this fact, and this fact alone, we're going to take the Wildcats here. They have a great QB in Noah Fiftia, who had to step in for an injured Jay de Laura. The Wildcats losses were all close. This is a good, motivated and well-coached team that we're expecting to take advantage of the situation presented to them; lay the short points, the play is indeed on Arizona! AAA Sports |
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12-28-23 | Jets v. Browns UNDER 34.5 | Top | 20-37 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jets/Browns (TOW) This is an important game for both teams. To us, this is a great "situational" play on the "under." New York is 6-9 and hasn't thrown in the towel yet after a 30-28 win over Washington on X-Mas Eve. The 30 points scored is an outlier for sure though, as NY combined for just 14 points over its previous three games. Now on the road in this difficult venue, we can expect a return to form on the offensive end here, which is obviously really terrible. Cleveland is 10-5 and getting unreal play from veteran Joe Flacco, but after three straight SU/ATS victories in a row, soring 87 points in the process, we feel that the "short week" will benefit these defenses a lot more. This number is high, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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12-27-23 | Texas A&M +3.5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 23-31 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
10* Texas A&M (BLOCKBUSTER) Texas A&M finished 7-5, while Oklahoma State was 9-4. Both teams have plenty of transfers and opt outs for this one, and it really does level the playing field here. This one is going to come down to the wire and whichever team has it hands on the ball last is going to come out on top. Texas A&M turns to Jaylen Henderson under center and he averaged 234.7 yards per game over his final three games and had two TD's. The Aggies have a great defense as well that allows just 21.3 PPG. Oklahoma State has seven players opting out. The Cowboys rank dead last in the Big 12 on the defensive end, allowing 441.5 yards per game; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Aggies! AAA Sports |
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12-26-23 | Kansas v. UNLV +13.5 | Top | 49-36 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
10* UNLV (ROUT) UNLV is one of the bigger dogs during the entire Bowl season, but we think this spread is a little TOO large. Kansas finished 8-4, while UNLV was 9-4, finishing in a tie for first place in the MWC. The Jayhawks beat Cincinnati 49-16 back on November 25th. Jason Bean replaced Jaylon Daniels at QB during the season and threw for 1,681 yards and a 12:4 TD:INT. Overall the Jayhawks finished averaging 33.6 PPG, while conceding 25.8. UNLV is lead by QB Jayden Maiava, who finished with 2,794 passing yards and a 14:8 TD:INT. The Rebels averaged 34.3 PPG, while conceding 27. The Rebels are also 6-0 ATS on the road this year and while we're stopping short in calling for an outright upset, everything points to this contest being MUCH more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points the play is UNLV! AAA Sports |
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12-26-23 | Texas State -3.5 v. Rice | Top | 45-21 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
10* Texas State (ROUT) We think the 7-5 Texas State Bobcat's up-tempo offense will be too much for the 6-6 Rice Owls to keep up with. This is a big game for Texas State, making its first ever bowl appearance, and it won't be taking anything for granted. CJ Kinne has transformed the Bobcats into a good team. QB TJ Finley, wh ohas experience at LSU and Auburn is a difference-maker in this one. The Owls aren't the best at creating take-aways on defense and we have a hard time seeing their QB AJ Padgett keeping pace. Look for Texas State to push the pace behind Finley and for Kinne to continue this great overall season and turnaround for Texas State! AAA Sports |
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12-25-23 | Ravens v. 49ers OVER 46 | Top | 33-19 | Win | 100 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
10* OVER Ravens/49ers (NON-CONF TOW) Is this a possible Super Bowl preview here in Prime Time on X-Mas day?! Very possibly! Who knows for sure, but each side enters at 11-3. Each has dealt with injury issues this year and some off-field adversity. The Ravens are 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS on the road, while the 49ers are 5-1 SU and 3-3 ATS at home. These teams are very evenly matched for the most part, and we feel this line is very sharp. We're going to steer clear of choosing a side, and instead focus on the total. The 49ers just annihilated the Cardinals 45-29 and there's no reason not to think they can't carry over that offensive momentum here. The Ravens have won four straight, which included a 37-31 OT win over NFC West LA Rams just two weeks ago, and we're expecting a similar wide-open offensive battle here on the West Coast on X-Mas day as well; this number is a little low in our opinion, the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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12-25-23 | Giants v. Eagles -13.5 | Top | 25-33 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
10* Eagles (NFC EAST GOW) We base our picks on many different things, but this particular one is based on some very strong ATS trends that support our overall theory that Philadelphia is going to have no mercy on its overmatched opponent today. Philadelphia is 10-4, but it's lost three straight, both SU and ATS. That however is significant for us to take note of here, as the Eagles are a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in their last six after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. This is the first meeting of the year between the division foes. Philly then has a home game here next week vs. the Cards, followed by the regular season finale at the Giants. Clearly, there's no reason Philly can't now end the season on a three-game win streak, and that's what we're expecting, starting with a convincing blowout here at home; lay the points, the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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12-24-23 | Patriots +7 v. Broncos | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
10* Patriots (AFC NON-DIV GOM) We're expecting a much tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting, as we look for New England to try and do everything it can to play "spoiler" here. The Pats are 3-11 and the Broncos are 7-7. The Pats beat the Steelers, then promptly lost 27-17 to a desperate Chiefs team last week. QB Bailey Zapp was 23 of 31 for 180 yards and a TD and we feel he can be effective here today as well. New England still concedes only 21.4 PPG. The Broncos are off a 42-17 loss to the Lions and have struggled with consistency from game-to-game all season long. Russell Wilson is the better QB here for sure in this matchup, but we think that Bill Belichick and his defense will be "hanging around late;" grab the points, the play is indeed on New England! AAA Sports |
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12-24-23 | Seahawks v. Titans +3.5 | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
10* Titans (ASSASSIN) We're not expecting Tennessee to just roll over here and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. Seattle is 7-7 and third in the NFC West, while Tennessee is 5-9, and looking to play spoiler and salvage pride after having already been eliminated. The Hawks are 20th in total offense and 28th in total defense. Seattle is really banged up coming into this game as well, including to QB Geno Smith. The Titans average 293.7 YPG, while allowing 339.3. Injuries have also been a concern for the Titans all year. Obviously its "next man up" for both teams. But Tennessee and its coaches are playing for their jobs and everything points to this one "coming down to the wire." As such, we're grabbing the points; the play is on Tennessee! AAA Sports |
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12-23-23 | Bengals v. Steelers +3 | Top | 11-34 | Win | 100 | 24 h 42 m | Show |
10* Pittsburgh (AFC NORTH GOY) They say that divisional contests are always the most important and that they almost always mean the most to the home side, and that's definitely the case here in our opinion, and while we clearly wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend to grab as many points as you can with the Steelers. The Bengals are 8-6 and the Steelers are 7-7. The Bengals have won three straight with Jake Browning, but note that Cincinnati is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten in after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. Pittsburgh turns to Mason Rudolph to snap the three-game slide. With nearly 75% of the public money on the visitors, we're going the other way here and expecting Rudolph to step up and deliver the goods in this spot; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Steelers! AAA Sports |
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12-23-23 | Arkansas State -140 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 19-21 | Loss | -140 | 20 h 31 m | Show |
10* Arkansas State (ATS BLOOD-BATH) Both teams enter at 6-6, but we feel this is a matchup that favors Arkansas State. The RedWolves return to a bowl game for the first time since 2019. In the end Arkansas State finished 6-5-1 ATS this year. Good news for the RedWolves is that their entire starting offense will be available in this one, including Jaylen Rayn, who had 2,300 passing yards and a 15:6 TD/INT. NIU won its final two games to become eligible, but overall the Huskies finished the year 5-7 ATS. Rocky Lombardi will be under center and he threw for 2,074 yards and had a 10:5 TD/INT. We feel this one will be decided by the men under center ultimately and that's why we're backing Arkansas State; so lay the short points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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12-22-23 | Central Florida v. Georgia Tech UNDER 67 | Top | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 25 h 37 m | Show |
10* UNDER Georgia Tech/UCF. Both teams finished 6-6. Both teams are among the best in the nation on the offensive side of the ball, and each is among the worst on the defensive. All of these team's regular season numbers would clearly point to this being a high-scoring affair, and the general betting public would agree, as this O/U line jumped nearly six points from where it opened originally. Now, though, we feel its much TOO high. We liked the "under" on the original line, but now we definitely think this is too many points for these teams to go over. The longer lay-off will prove detrimental to each team's offense and beneficial for the defensive units in our estimation. A LOT of things have to go right for this total to go "over" the number, and we just don't see it happening; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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12-21-23 | Saints +4 v. Rams | Top | 22-30 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 54 m | Show |
10* Saints (ASSASSIN) With nearly 80% of the public money on the Rams, we're going full on contrarian here and going the other way. This is an important game for both 7-7 teams. The Saints have won two straight, while LA has won four of its last five. New Orleans is now tied for the lead in the NFC South. The bottom line here is the Saints' defense is legit, allowing just 248 total yards per game over their last two games and 19.1 PPG overall this season. They have 30 INT's and 30 sacks already, which is fifth in each category. The offense hasn't been shabby either, Derek Carr averaging 26 PPG over their last two, and 22.1 overall. The Rams have allowed just 21.2 PPG over thier last five games. Overall LA averages 23.4 PPG this season. Both teams enter with momentum. Last year the Saints won this game by a score of 27-20 at home. While we feel an outright is possible, our official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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12-21-23 | Syracuse v. South Florida UNDER 56.5 | Top | 0-45 | Win | 100 | 29 h 48 m | Show |
10* UNDER USF/Cuse (BOWL WINNER) This is a great situational play. Syracuse is the favorite here, but it's already undergone big changes since ending the regular season, including firing its head coach Nunzio Campanile, who will be replaced by Fran Brown. Both teams finished 6-6, but now Cuse will be using a new man under center for this bowl game in Braden Davis, who played in two games this season and has one pass and rushed the ball twice. That means that running the ball is paramount for the Orange, and they'll be leaning heavily on LeQuint Allen, who had 1,062 rushing yards and nine TD's. USF is led by QB Byrum Brown, who has 3,078 yards passing and a 23:11 TD:INT. The defense catches a break here this week, but expect Brown to be under pressure from the Orange who concede 23.8 PPG and ranked 75th against the pass. Expect the longer lay-off and the changes to the line-ups to help in contributing to the Boca Raton Bowl staying well "under" the number once it's all said and done this year! AAA Sports |
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12-19-23 | UTSA v. Marshall UNDER 51.5 | Top | 35-17 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
10* UNDER UTSA/Marshall (TOP TOTAL) UTSA is strong against the run, and Marshall is going to have to be forced to go to the run early and often with QB Cam Fancher out, and redshirt freshman Cole Pennington taking over. He'll be handing the ball to Rasheen Ali, who had over 1,000 yards rushing. Marshall only averages 23 PPG. UTSA averages 31.7, but it'll have its hands full here with this aggressive Herd defense. With each team putting an added emphasis on establishing the run throughout on this one like we expect, all signs point to this total staying UNDER the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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12-18-23 | Eagles v. Seahawks +3 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 31 h 14 m | Show |
10* Seahawks (ATS BLOOD-BATH) This is a big game for each team, but more so for the home side we'll argue. While we clearly feel the outright win is a very real possibility, our official call will be to grab as many points as you can. The Eagles are 10-3 and the Seahawks are 6-7. Philly is 5-2 away from friendly confines, but we think the Eagles are ripe for the picking after B2B losses, including a humbling 33-13 setback at division rival Dallas last weekend. With nearly 70% of the early public money on the visitors as well, we're natually going to gravitate towards the underdog anyways. But this is it for the Hawks essentially, almost in a "do or die" situation here. As stated off the top, a great situational play here on the desperate home side; grab the points the play is indeed on Seattle! AAA Sports |
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12-17-23 | Ravens v. Jaguars UNDER 42 | Top | 23-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
10* UNDER Ravens/Jags (SUPER TOTAL) This total opened at 44, and it's since dropped. But it's not dropped nearly enough in our estimation, as we're expecting a very lower-scoring defensive "war of attrition." Baltimore if 10-3, including 4-1 on the road, while Jacksonville is 8-5, including 2-4 at home. Baltimore has won three straight, while Jacksonville has lost two straight. But after last week's 37-31 OT win over the Rams, we're expecting a more conservative game-plan from the Ravens here on the road. Overall the Ravens average 27.8 PPG, while allowing 16.8. The Jags have a QB issue right now with Trevor Lawrence injured. Backup Joe Flacco looked decent last week, but as we say, the QB situation isn't the greatest right now for the home side. Jacksonville averages 24 PPG, while allowing 22.3. With both teams coming off high-scoring affairs, in our opinion everything points to a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring battle this time around, where field position and taking care of the football will become the deciding factors on who comes out on top; this number is a little high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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12-17-23 | 49ers v. Cardinals +12.5 | Top | 45-29 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 8 m | Show |
10* Cardinals (NFC WEST GOY) Are we suggesting an outright victory?! Of course not! But in a contest that we see a lot more competitive than what this spread is suggesting, we're going to recommend to grab the points. San Francisco is 10-3, including 5-2 on the road, but with a home date vs. the Ravens on X-Mas Day, there's no question that this sets up as a "look-ahead" spot. But how could it also not be a "letdown" spot after five straight SU wins? That includes an important win over Seattle last week. Can anyone say "Trap game?!" Arizona snapped a two-game slide with a spirited 24-10 road win at Pittsburgh last weekend and there's no reason not to think that the team won't bring that same "spoiler mentality" to this one as well. Outright win?! As we stated off the top, we're not calling for that, but the overall situation, numbers and trends are all pointing to this one being a "nail-biter;" grab the points, the play is Arizona. AAA Sports |
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12-16-23 | California +3.5 v. Texas Tech | Top | 14-34 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 5 m | Show |
10* Cal (BLOWOUT) Both teams enter the Independence Bowl at 6-6 and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. This game features plenty of absences via the transfer portal and opt outs, and because of that, these teams are more evenly matched than ever in our estimation. Cal goes with QB Fernand Mendoza under center, while Texas Tech QB Behren Morton. The Bears though have overall looked more solid offense down the stretch and Texas Tech has already struggled in this spot this season, going just 1-3 SU/ATS as a road favorite. Granted, this is a neutral site game, but it doesn't matter. While we feel the outright win is possible, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with Cal! AAA Sports |
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12-16-23 | Broncos v. Lions -4 | Top | 17-42 | Win | 100 | 78 h 43 m | Show |
10* Lions (NON-CONF GOW) Denver is 7-6 now, including 3-3 on the road, while Detroit is 9-4 overall, including 4-2 at home. The Broncos got back on track last week with a 24-7 win over the Chargers, but that was without Justin Herbert in the line-up. Detroit comes in as the hungrier team here after dropping two of its last three, including a listless 28-13 setback at Chicago as a three-point favorite last weekend (note though that the Lions are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after a SU/ATS road loss as favorites.) With two of their next three to close out the year on the road, this puts added emphasis onto this game for Detroit as well. The overall situation, and also the trends all points to Detroit as the correct call here on Saturday night! AAA Sports |
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12-14-23 | Chargers v. Raiders OVER 34 | Top | 21-63 | Win | 100 | 31 h 35 m | Show |
10* Chargers/Raiders OVER (AFC TOW) LA is 5-8 and it's lost its starting QB for the remainder of the year. Last week the Chargers fell 24-7 at home to Denver. Las Vegas is 5-8 and it's coming off a 3-0 home loss to Minnesota last Sunday. LA has lost four of its last five and it's averaged just 7.7 PPG over its last three. Overall though the Chargers average 21.7 PPG. The problem is, the defense is also conceding 21.7 PPG as well. Look for Easton Stick to be given the green light here and to improve upon his numbers from last week vs. Denver, where he finished 13 of 24 for 179 yards. The Raiders are only averaging 15.5 PPG, while allowing 19.9. Last week QB Aidan O'Connel went 21 of 32 for 171 yards. So far he's average 195 yards passing as a starter and has a 4:7 TD:INT. The Raiders though have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten though off a SU/ATS shutout home loss. Yes, these teams are messes, but the overall situation finally points to more of a wide-open offensive affair; this number is indeed a little low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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12-10-23 | Eagles v. Cowboys UNDER 52 | Top | 13-33 | Win | 100 | 79 h 48 m | Show |
10* UNDER Eagles/Cowboys (NFC EAST TOY) These two teams are steaming towards the finish line. Philadelphia is 10-2, including 5-1 on the road, while Dallas is 9-3, including 6-0 at home. Dallas has seen the total go "over" in five of its last six after last week's 41-35 victory over Seattle. The Cowboys play with revenge as well after a 28-23 loss at Philadelphia back in November, and note that Dallas has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS divisional road loss vs. an opponent. Philadephia's five-game win streak was snapped in last week's listless 42-19 loss at San Francisco, so we just feel that Philly will be extra cautious and we expect it to double down on the defensive end in this difficult road venue. Look for the rematch to be decided by field position and ultimately expect this total to stay well "under" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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12-10-23 | Bills +2 v. Chiefs | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 72 h 33 m | Show |
10* Bills (UNDERDOG OF MONTH) While clearly the outright win is a very real possibility, in the end our official call will be to grab as many points as you can. Buffalo is 6-6 and KC is 8-4. The Bills are off the 37-34 OT loss at Philadelphia, but had the last week off to regroup and prepare for this one. It was a back-and-forth start for the Bills, but the bye week came at a great time. KC has been playing terribly in losing two of its last three, including a 27-17 setback at Green Bay as a six-point favorite last week. No one is fearing this Chiefs' offense right now, and now the defense also looks shaky. As stated off the top, we firmly believe the outright upset is a possibility, but in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with Buffalo! AAA Sports |
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12-10-23 | Broncos v. Chargers OVER 43.5 | Top | 24-7 | Loss | -115 | 71 h 18 m | Show |
10* OVER Broncos/Chargers (AFC WEST TOM) Denver is 6-6 now after falling 22-17 at Houston last weekend. Previous to that Denver had won six straight. The Broncos now face divisional opponent LA, which snapped a three game slide with a 6-0 win at new England last time out. That however is very significant to note here as the Chargers have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after a SU/ATS road win in which they shutout their opponent. It's a super important divisional game and we're fully expecting this sense of intense competition to translate into offensive production on the field of play; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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12-10-23 | Texans v. Jets +3.5 | Top | 6-30 | Win | 100 | 67 h 21 m | Show |
10* Jets (ASSASSIN) Houston appears to be the "flavor of the week" right now and we think it's now getting a little TOO much repsect here from the oddsmakers on the road. The Jets have lost five straight SU/ATS, but that's significant for us to take note of here, as NY has in fact gone 7-3 ATS in its last ten after five or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Houston has won four of its last five, including a 22-17 victory at home over Denver. The Texans are just 2-3 SU on the road though. With a game at division rival Tennessee the following week, the possibility of getting caught "looking ahead" is also there for the visiting side; we love how this one sets up for New York! AAA Sports |
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12-09-23 | Army v. Navy OVER 27.5 | Top | 17-11 | Win | 100 | 50 h 12 m | Show |
10* OVER Army/Navy (NON-CONF TOM) This game features two above average defenses, and two offenses which will run, run again, and then run some more! That said, we still feel that this total is ridiculous, as we're anticipating this competitive affair to translate into some offensive production on the field of play, which makes the "over" the correct call as far as the total is concerned. Last year Army came from behind to win 17-14 as a 3-point dog. Navy and Army have split the last four games, but we believe that good field position, set up by turnovers, will also help in contributing with this one going "over" the total once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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12-07-23 | Patriots v. Steelers -5.5 | Top | 21-18 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 57 m | Show |
10* Steelers (AFC GOW) New England is 2-10, while Pittsburgh is 7-5. Pittsburgh has been trading wins/losses over its last four games and off the listless 24-10 loss at home to Arizona, we're expecting this pattern to continue. New England is just in shambles and the issues are greater than just the players on the field or the "X's" and "O's." With the loss of RB Rhamondre Stevenson, the Pats offense is a complete bust. Over their last three games the Pats have scored a combined 13 points, getting shutout twice already this season. Mitch Trubisky is the best player on the field of play in this one, so just take that into consideration. Either way, Pittsburgh's defense, which concedes 19.1 PPG, will be able to deliver the victory here in our opinion; so lay the points with confidence, the play is indeed on Pittsburgh! AAA Sports |
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12-04-23 | Bengals +10 v. Jaguars | Top | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 33 h 35 m | Show |
10* Bengals (ASSASSIN) The Bengals are 5-7 and they come to town with Jake Browning under center. Are we calling for an outright upset?! No, we're not. But we do think the Bengals won't smiply "roll over" here. Instead, we're expecting this team to give its best shot over four quarters and to give the home side everything it can handle. Jacksonville is back on track at 8-3 and B2B victories, but note that Trevor Lawrence and company are just 3-6 ATS in their last nine after three or more ATS victories in a row. We're not counting out the Bengals quite yet. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is indeed on Cincinnati! AAA Sports |
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12-03-23 | Chiefs v. Packers +6 | Top | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 53 h 10 m | Show |
10* Packers (NON-CONF GOM) The Chiefs are 8-3, including 4-1 on the road. Green Bay is 5-6, including 3-2 at home. We think that the Chiefs will have their hands full and while we'll stop short in calling for an outright upset, in a contest that we see coming down to the wire, we're grabbing the points. The Chiefs offense is going in reverse, as they've averaged just 19.5 PPG over their last five games. The Chiefs have been held together by their tough defense which concedes just 16.5 PPG. Green Bay though has looked great of late, winning three of its last four, behind some great offensive play from QB Jordan Love. The defense has been sharp too, allowing just 20.4 PPG this year. With a home game vs. the Bills up next, look for the visitors to get caught "looking ahead" here as well; grab the points, the play is Green Bay! AAA Sports |
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12-03-23 | Lions v. Saints +4.5 | Top | 33-28 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
10* Saints (ASSASSIN) New Orleans isn't out of the fight yet. The Saints though have lost two straight SU and three straight ATS after last week's 24-15 divisional loss to the Falcons. Detroit was last seen losing 29-22 to Green Bay on Thanksgiving. We'll point out though that the Saints have responded well in this spot for bettors, going a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last five after three or more ATS losses in a row. In the loss to the Falcons, the Saints actually outgained Atlanta. Derek Carr was 24 for 38 for 304 passing yards. Despite some injuries, we're looking for the hungry home side to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover; so grab the points, the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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12-02-23 | SMU v. Tulane -3 | Top | 26-14 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 40 m | Show |
10* Tulane (AAC GOM) Tulane is 11-1 and SMU is 10-2. Tulane is looking to beceome the third program to repeat as AAC Champions. SMU stands in the way. When these teams played last year though, the Green Wave rolled to an immense 59-24 victory and we're expecting a similar blowout here. SMU has been playing some great football, winning eight in a row. But in the only two AAC teams they faced during that stretch, the Mustangs went 0-2 ATS. The fact that Tulane has been here and done this already really does matter; lay the points, the play is the Green Wave! AAA Sports |
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12-02-23 | Miami-OH v. Toledo OVER 44 | Top | 23-14 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 14 m | Show |
10* OVER Toledo/Miami Ohio (MAC TOM) Pretty low total here, and we think it is in fact MUCH too low. Miami Ohio is 10-2 and Toledo is 11-1. These teams played in Week 8 and Toledo won 21-17 as a 2.5-point favorite. Note though that the RedHawks have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. a conference opponent. Miami Ohio saw the total go "under" in three straight to end the regular season, which is also significant to note here, as the RedHawks have seen the total go "over" in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Toledo has scored a combined 144 points over its last four games and we're expecting that offensive momentum to get carried over here as well; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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12-01-23 | New Mexico State +10.5 v. Liberty | Top | 35-49 | Loss | -110 | 102 h 38 m | Show |
10* New Mexico State (CONF. USA GOM) The Aggies finished 10-3. The Flames finished a perfect 12-0. One of New Mexico State's losses came in Week 2 vs. Liberty, falling 33-17 as a 9.5-point underdog. The Aggies though got progressively better as the season went on, posting eight straight victories to close the season, including three straight as an underdog, which includes road wins at WKU and Auburn as a 25-point dog. New Mexico State is also 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. No matter what your schedule is, going 12-0 is unbelievably impressive. We have all the possible respect you can have for Liberty and its perfect season. But that now said, the Flames' didn't face murderer's row or anything this season. There were no massive double-digit underdog road wins vs. Power 5 Conferences or anything. Throw in the revenge-factor and everything points to, at the very least, a comfortable ATS cover for the Aggies! AAA Sports |
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11-30-23 | Seahawks v. Cowboys UNDER 47.5 | Top | 35-41 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 35 m | Show |
10* UNDER Hawks/Cowboys (TOW) Dallas is 8-3 and it's won three in a row, scoring 127 points in that span. Clearly, if Seattle is going to have any chance in this game, then it's going to have to control the ball while on offense so as to limit the amount of time that Dak Prescott and company are on the field of play. We just think that on the short week, we're going to see a more conservative game plan from Dallas as well here as it looks to dictate the tempo. Dallas gets caught looking ahead here as well to its game vs. division rival Philly here the following week, while the visiting side does the same with a rematch vs. the 49ers. Normally high-scoring teams, expect this Thursday night matchup to go the other way; this number is a bit high in our estimation, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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11-27-23 | Bears +3 v. Vikings | Top | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 31 h 44 m | Show |
10* Bears (NFC NORTH GOY) The Bears play with revenge here after falling 19-13 at home back in Week 6. They were a 3-point dog in that one, and they're a 3-point dog here. But now they catch the Vikes at the exact correct time in our estimation. Note that the Bears are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a dog vs. an opponent as well. The Bears lost 31-26 at Detroit last weekend, but covered with the 7.5-point spread. Minnesota is coming off a close-but-no-cigar 21-20 loss at Denver and we think it's ripe for an upset here; that said, let's grab the points, the play is Chicago! AAA Sports |
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11-26-23 | Ravens v. Chargers +3 | Top | 20-10 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
10* Chargers (ASSASSIN) Baltimore is 8-3, but we think it'll have its hands full here with this now desperate 4-6 LA side. The Ravens are off the 34-20 win over the Bengals, but with their bye week next week, all signs point to this team getting caught "looking ahead" in our opinion, as that's then followed by a fairly easy home game vs. the hapless Rams. the Chargers are for sure desperate here after two straight losses, but we think they catch the Ravens at a great time here, a late night West Coast game on the national stage and while we do absolutely believe the outright victory is a possibility, the official call is to grab as many points as you can; the play is indeed on LA! AAA Sports |
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11-26-23 | Bucs v. Colts OVER 45.5 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
10* OVER Bucs/Colts (NON-CONF TOW) Both teams have been involved in lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting a bit of a shootout here between these non-conference opponents on Sunday afternoon. Tampa has lost five of its last six. This is a big game obviously. It's off the 27-14 road loss at San Francisco. The Colts have won two in a row, including a 10-6 victory over New Enland two weeks ago (note thought that the Colts have seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four coming off their bye week.) Both teams are still in the mix for a Wildcard, but each needs to start stringing some wins together. With each pushing the pace like we anticipate and opening things up on the offensive end, look for this total to indeed eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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11-26-23 | Jaguars v. Texans +1.5 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
10* Texans (UNDERDOG OF WEEK) Jacksonville is 7-3 SU/ATS, including 3-0 SU/ATS on the road. Houston is 6-4 SU, including 4-1 SU at home. It's 2-3 ATS in front of the home town crowd, but while we'll still be grabbing the points, we're expecting the home side to in fact find a way to win this one outright. Jacksonville bounced back with a 34-14 win over Tennessee at home last week after falling 34-3 at home to the 49ers. While only 1-2 ATS in its last three, Houston though is 3-0 SU. That includes an impressive win on the road at the Bengals as a dog. It's Houston which is still flying under the radar here, as we expect the Jags to finally take a step back on the road this season; grab the points, the play is Houston! AAA Sports |
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11-25-23 | Colorado v. Utah UNDER 48.5 | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 24 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER Buffs/Utes (PAC 12 TOW) Here's a great "situational" play on the "under." Colorado is 4-7 and won't be moving onto a bowl. Last week the Buffs fell 56-14 at WSU and we have a hard time seeing the visitors even matching that pathethic offensive output. Utah is 7-4 and off B2B losses in which it has conceded 77 points. Now back at home, the last time it was here Utah won 55-3 over ASU. Expect another stellar defensive performance from the home side and for the visitors to simply "go through the motions;" this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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11-25-23 | Georgia State v. Old Dominion OVER 52.5 | Top | 24-25 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 25 m | Show |
10* OVER Georgia State/ODU (SUN BELT TOY) This is a huge game for ODU, which is 5-6 so far this season. Georgia State is 6-5, but four straight losses, the Panthers will be eager to return to form here and actually improve their bowl berth with a victory here. This is a great "situational" play, as ODU saved its season in last week's 20-17 win at Georgia Southern, but while the Monarchs have now seen the total go "under" in three straight, note that they've seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row; with each team pushing the pace like we anticipate, all signs point to this total eclipsing the posted number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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11-25-23 | Northern Illinois -19 v. Kent State | Top | 37-27 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 10 m | Show |
10* Northern Illinois FIRST HALF (MAC GOW) If you can't get a FIRST HALF line, we also like NIU for the entire game. This is a great "situational" play in our opinion, and at this time of year, we're basing our picks off of "situations" in College Football. There's no need to overthink this one. The primary reason we like NIU is that we expect it to risk life and limb here to secure its sixth victory of the season, and thus become "eligible." Kent State is just 1-10 and a complete disaster. It won't win this game and we're not expecting the Flashes to put up any sort of fight whatsoever. We expect NIU to really push the pace in the FIRST HALF, but as we said off the top, if you can't find a FIRST HALF line, we also like the HUSKIES for the FULL GAME! AAA Sports |
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11-24-23 | UTSA +4 v. Tulane | Top | 16-29 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 35 m | Show |
10* UTSA (UNDERDOG OF THE YEAR) When betting College Football at this time of year, it's really important to first look at each team's record, because that plays a big part in their motivation. For example, Iowa is 9-2 in Nebraska this weekend, but the Hawekeyes are already playing in the Big Ten Championship game against either Michigan or Ohio State. So do the Hawkeyes really care if they win or lose against the 5-6 Huskers? Nebraska though will be risking life and limb of course to try and pull off the victory. But these two teams here in Tulane, along with SMU, are tied for first place in the AAC, so this is a really big game obvoiusly for each side here despite each already being eligible. In fact the winner of this game will almost assuredly go on to play in the AAC title game. The Green Wave average 33.1 points per game and it's been their offense which has led the charge this season. The Roadrunners are the exact opposite, as they've been getting the job done with a fantastic defense that allows just 18.5 points per game. They say "defense wins championships," and that's the angle we're going with here for sure; grab the points, the play is UTSA! AAA Sports |
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11-24-23 | Utah State -6 v. New Mexico | Top | 44-41 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 2 m | Show |
10* Utah State (MOUNTAIN WEST GOW) The Utah State Aggies are 5-6 and the New Mexico Lobos are 4-7. With a win Utah State will become "eligible," and with a victory, New Mexico will win on Senior's Day. The Lobos can only play spoiler here and we don't think that'll be enough of a motivating factor to get the job done here. Utah State is off a 45-10 loss to Boise State, wile the Lobos are off a satisfying 25-17 victory over Fresno State. If recent history is any precedence, then the Aggies have to be loving their chances as Utah State has won the last two head-to-head matchups by a combined score of 62-20. Jalen Royals is one of the best offensive players in the country and we believe the dynamic WR will be a difference-maker for the visiting side; lay the points, the play is Utah State! AAA Sports |
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11-24-23 | Iowa v. Nebraska -2 | Top | 13-10 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 38 m | Show |
10* Nebraska (BIG TEN GOW) No need to overthink this one. Iowa is already in the Big Ten Championship game and it'll just be going through the motions here and trying not to sustain any serious injuries before a date with either Michigan or Ohio State. Nebraska is 5-6 and needs one more win here on Senior Night to become eligible. The Huskers have gone 0-3 SU/ATS in their last three, but note that Nebraska is 3-1 ATS in its last four after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. In what we expect will be a rout from start to finish, lay the points the with confidence; the play is Nebraska! AAA Sports |
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11-23-23 | 49ers v. Seahawks +6.5 | Top | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 51 m | Show |
10* Seahawks. Seattle has been trading wins and losses over its last four games. It fell 17-16 at the Rams last week. It's the first game of the year vs. the 49ers, who have gotten back on track with B2B wins and once look pretty dominant. With a game at Philadelphia after this, followed by a home re-match vs. the Hawks, we say that San Fran gets caught "looking ahead." Seattle is 4-1 SU at home. San Fran is just 2-3 ATS on the road. We're not calling for an outright upset, but all signs point to this one being much more competitive than what this spread would suggest; grab the points, the play is San Francisco! AAA Sports |
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11-23-23 | Commanders +11.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 10-45 | Loss | -111 | 72 h 1 m | Show |
10* Commanders. As mentioned in the play on Green Bay, we're going "contrarian" here on Thanksgiving, taking all three dogs. Washington is 4-7 and it's lost two straight after an upset 31-19 setback to the Giants. Previous to that they fell short in a competitive 29-26 loss at Seattle as a six-point dog. We like the Commanders to bounce back here with their effort though after they got caught looking ahead to this one. These teams play in the Nation's capital in the final regular season game and we like the visitors to keep this one a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Dallas has always had a way of playing down to the level of its competition in big moments, and we say that pattern of futility continues here on the short week. No outright, but way closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Washington! AAA Sports |
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11-23-23 | Packers +8 v. Lions | Top | 29-22 | Win | 100 | 68 h 1 m | Show |
10* Packers. We're going contrarian here. While the majority of the public goes one way on this early game on Thanksgiving, we're going the other. In fact, that's the theme of this three-game report, a Thanksgiving Contraian 3-Pak! Cleary, Detroit is the better team. After three straight wins, it's now in lines for its fourth. It beat Green Bay 34-20 back in September, but we're expecting a much better fight from their division rival here on the National Stage. Detroit was "lucky" to move past Chicago 31-26 last weekend. It plays its next two on the road, so it could be caught "looking ahead" here as well. Green Bay plays with revenge and it comes in off a huge 23-20 home win over the Chargers as three-point dogs. Everything points to a much tigher battle than what this line is suggesting in our opinion; grab the points, the play is indeed on Green Bay! AAA Sports |
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11-21-23 | Eastern Michigan +6.5 v. Buffalo | Top | 24-11 | Win | 100 | 29 h 15 m | Show |
10* EMU (MAC DOMINATION) This is a FANTASTIC "situational" play in our opinion. EMU is 0-5 SU on the road and it's a big dog here, but at 5-6, the Eagles still have one more opportunity to try and punch their ticket to "eligibility." Despite being 0-5 SU on the road, EMU is a competitive 3-2 ATS away from friendly confines. they kep their hopes alive with a huge 30-27 OT win over Akron last week, and we're expecting another all-out effort here in Buffalo as well. The Bulls have lost three straight SU/ATS, including a 23-10 setback at Miami Ohio last week. Playing spoiler can only go so far, and we think that the Eagles' determination will prove to be the difference; grab the points,teh play is EMU. AAA Sports |
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11-20-23 | Eagles +2.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 31 h 58 m | Show |
10* Eagles (BLOOD-BATH) The Eagles play with revenge after losing to the Chiefs in the Super Bowl last year. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. If you're betting on this game, then you know the cast of characters on each side and you're also very familiar with each team's strengths and weaknesses. Despite the Chiefs being the defending champs though, Philadelphia "feels" like the more complete team to us at this point of the season. Honestly, it would not be difficult to write a convincing argument for either of these sides to take this one. We think the revenge factor will prove to be the difference-maker; grab the points, the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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11-19-23 | Jets v. Bills OVER 39 | Top | 6-32 | Loss | -115 | 74 h 28 m | Show |
10* OVER Jets/Bills (AFC EAST TOY) It's a big game for each side, and while both have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, including in their first meeting of the year back in Week 1 when the Jets upset the Bills at home by a score of 22-16 in OT. The Jets are 4-5 and the Bills are 5-5 and there are plenty of implications on the line for each team. Note though that the Bills have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS divisional loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The Bills have lost two in a row after last week's 24-22 setback to the Broncos, and they've seen the total go "under" in three straight, but note that Buffalo has also seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight UNDERS in a row. We're expecting a battle here, but one that flies OVER the number as the game comes down the stretch! AAA Sports |
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11-19-23 | Bucs +12.5 v. 49ers | Top | 14-27 | Loss | -109 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
10* Bucs (ASSASSIN) Tampa isn't going to win this game outright, but it also won't be rolling over. Yes, the 49ers looked sharp in last week's 34-3 win over Jacksonville, bouncing back from three straight losses after their bye week, but we're expecting them to get caught "looking ahead" here to their divisional matchup in Seattle next week. And that's then followed by a game at Philadelphia, followed by two more straight divisional matchups. This really does feel like a "trap" for San Francisco. Tampa broke a four-game slide last week as well with a 20-6 home win over Tennessee. The Bucs have now covered in three straight, and we're expecting that trend to follow through one more time in this favorable "spot" as well; a great situational play on Tampa Bay! AAA Sports |
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11-18-23 | Georgia State v. LSU UNDER 73 | Top | 14-56 | Win | 100 | 54 h 23 m | Show |
10* Georgia State/LSU UNDER (NON-CONF TOY) LSU and Jayden Daniels are 7-3. They've seen the total go "over" the number in all ten games. Daniels is brilliant, but now here favored at home in a massive way over lowly 6-4 Georgia State, which became bowl eligible and then immediately lost three straight. No need to overthink this one, as this is a great "situational" play. Georgia State will just be going through the motions here and will be looking to avoid any serious injuries. One game after falling 42-28 to Alabama, LSU bounced back with last week's 52-35 win over Florida, but with Texas A&M up next to close out the season, we believe the home side will take the foot off the gas in the second half; this number is finally a bit TOO high here for the Tigers, so the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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11-18-23 | Texas State v. Arkansas State +4 | Top | 31-77 | Win | 100 | 26 h 41 m | Show |
10* Arkansas State (SUN BELT GOM) Texas State is now 6-4 after last week's 31-23 upset loss at Coastal Carolina as a three-point favorite. The Bobcats are once again going to have their hands full here vs. the 5-5 Arkansas State Red Wolves, who had their two-game win streak snapped in last week's 21-14 loss at South Alabama as a 15.5-point dog. The Red Wolves will be looking to pull off the outright upset here, but really the oddsmakers have been underestimating this team for a while now, entering having covered the spread in three straight. And that's the case once again here in our opinion, as we feel an outright upset is in fact a very real possibility; that said, let's grab the points with Arkansas State! AAA Sports |
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11-18-23 | Tulane v. Florida Atlantic +9.5 | Top | 24-8 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 58 m | Show |
10* FAU (AAC GOM) Tulane is 9-1 and has big aspirations here, but FAU won't be rolling over, coming into this contest 4-6, needing to sweep its final two games to become "eligible." Clealry the odds are against it, but we think the Owls will, at the very least, keep this one competitive enough down the stretch to comfortably sneak in through the back door with the large spread that they've been afforded. Tulane is really in unchartered territory here atop the AAC. Tulane has a way of letting teams hang around late. The Green Wave also have some injuries in the receiving corps. When you add up all of these factors, eveything points to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Florida Atlantic! AAA Sports |
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11-17-23 | Colorado v. Washington State -4 | Top | 14-56 | Win | 100 | 34 h 11 m | Show |
10* WSU (PAC 12 GOM) We say that home field advantage proves to be a difference-maker here. Both teams are 4-6 with two games remaining to try and become eligible. Colorado has lost four straight, but it's 3-1 ATS in that span, most recently falling 34-31 to Arizona as an 8-point dog. After four straight wins to open the year, WSU has now lost six straight. It's lost three straight ATS, but note that the Cougars are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. Colorado has been downright terrible of late though, now allowing 33.9 PPG. The Cougars have only been slightly better by allowing 30.9, but again, the home-field advantage simply can not be ignored as a very real deciding factor in our opinion. Everyone and their grand-mother wants to beat Coach Prime, and that includes WSU; lay the points, the play is the Cougars! AAA Sports |
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11-16-23 | Bengals v. Ravens UNDER 46 | Top | 20-34 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 60 m | Show |
10* UNDER Bengals/Ravens (TOTAL BLOWOUT) The Bengals are 5-4 and the Ravens are 7-3. Cincinnati got caught looking ahead to this one in last week's 30-27 home loss to Houston as a 5.5-point favorite, snapping a four-game win streak. Baltimore's four-game win streak was also snapped in last week's 33-31 home loss to Cleveland as a six-point favorite. The Bengals play with revenge after a 27-24 loss at home to Baltimore, and note that Cinncy has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. a divisional opponent. Expect the short week to also help in contributing to a lower-scoring defensive battle; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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11-16-23 | Boston College +3 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 16-24 | Loss | -107 | 26 h 34 m | Show |
10* Boston College (ACC GOW) Pittsburgh is terrible. It's going through its worst season in 30 years. Pitt is 2-8 and can't even play spoiler here, as BC is 6-4. The Eagles lost badly to Virginia Tech last weekend, one week after punching their ticket. But BC has great numbers against bad teams and we can't see the Panthers putting up much of a fight here on Thursday night. While BC stumbled last week, expect an immediate response here in this favorable matchup on Thursday night; clearly the outright win is a possibility, but in the end let's grab the points with Boston College! AAA Sports |
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11-15-23 | Central Michigan +11.5 v. Ohio | Top | 20-34 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 18 m | Show |
10* CMU (MAC GOY) We've reached the point of the season where the win/loss record for teams really matters. CMU is 5-5 and it has two games left in which to try and become eligible. Ohio is 7-3 and it's already eligible, although now looking to improve its bowl berth. Still lots to play for for the Bobcats, but it's all hands on deck for CMU here, which has a home game vs. 9-1 Toledo next week, a contest in which it'll be another large dog. It's now or never, do or die essentially and while that may not translate into a SU win for the Chips here on Wednesday night, we do fully expect that effort be more than enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Central Michigan! AAA Sports |
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11-14-23 | Toledo v. Bowling Green UNDER 52.5 | Top | 32-31 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 12 m | Show |
10* UNDER Toledo/Bowling Green. Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Toledo is 9-1 and looking to close out the regular season strong before Conference Tournament. BGSU is eligible at 6-4, but it'll also be looking to improve its berth with another win here and a possible upset. BGSU has seen the total go "over" three straight games after its fourth straight win in last week's 49-19 win at Kent State, but note that the Green Falcons have in fact seen the total go "under" in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Toledo is off a 49-23 win over EMU, but with the home side looking to control the pace of this one, rather than turn it into a shootout, we say that the overall situation, combined with the trends all point to the "under" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned! AAA Sports |
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11-13-23 | Broncos +7 v. Bills | Top | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 31 h 59 m | Show |
10* Broncos (ASSASSIN) Denver is 3-5. It went into its bye week last week off two straight victories, including an impressive 24-9 win over Kansas City. With a week off to prepare, we think that the Broncos are poised for another big performance. Buffalo is just 5-4 and it's been more "miss" than "hit" of late, coming offa 24-18 loss at Cincinnati last weekend. Buffalo has lost five straight ATS, but with over 65% of the public money backing the home side, we are definitely going to play contrarian here and grab up all these points; and that's the play, Denver! AAA Sports |
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11-12-23 | Jets v. Raiders OVER 36.5 | Top | 12-16 | Loss | -108 | 31 h 13 m | Show |
10* OVER Jets/Raiders (AFC NON-DIVISIONAL TOY) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games to open the season, but we're expecting a much faster-paced, and ultimately higher-scoring outcome than what this O/U line is suggesting. This is a big game for both teams and we expect this to translate into offensive production on the field of play. The Jets had won three straight before last week's 27-6 setback at home to the Chargers, but note that NY has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last nine off a SU/ATS home loss as an underdog in its previous outing. Las Vegas snapped a two-game slide with a 30-6 win over New York, and we think it can match that offensive out put this week as well. These teams haven't played since 2020, and in that game they combined 59 points. We see a similar final combined score here this time around as well, as the overall situation combined with the numbers/trends do indeed point to the "over" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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11-12-23 | 49ers -3 v. Jaguars | Top | 34-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 9 m | Show |
10* 49ers (ASSASSIN) At the start of the season we believed that Jacksonville was really undervalued, but now we think the Jags are getting a little too much respect here vs. an underachieving 49ers team that's off three staight SU/ATS losses in a row. Note that San Fran is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. San Fran comes out of its bye week, and there are now no excuses. The Jags come in complacent off their sixth straight win, a 20-10 victory over a listless Pittsburgh side. Look for the "hungrier" team to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish here and to not only win this game, but do so in blowout fashion; lay the points, the play is San Francisco. AAA Sports |
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11-11-23 | Texas v. TCU +10 | Top | 29-26 | Win | 100 | 98 h 30 m | Show |
10* TCU (BIG 12 GOM) Will 8-1 Texas get caught "looking past" 4-5 TCU on the road here? Probably not. But that said, we're expecting a battle until the final moments and because of that, we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. It's three straight winnable games to close out the year for the Longhorns, but no such luxury for the Horned Frogs, who have lost two straight and who are running out of chances to become eligible, with a game vs. Baylor next week, followed by a contest at Oklahoma to close things off. The Longhorns looked shaky in last week's 33-30 OT win over K-State, and we feel they're holding on here. Backup quarterback Maalik Murphy has now started two games in place of the injured Quinn Ewers and he hasn't been great. They won't need or want to rush back Ewers and if he does play here, it will be as a game manager to get back into the "groove" of live-action play. No matter which way you cut it, we say this is a few too many points to be giving; so grab the points, the play is indeed on TCU. AAA Sports |
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11-11-23 | Memphis v. Charlotte +11 | Top | 44-38 | Win | 100 | 24 h 38 m | Show |
10* Charlotte (SHOCKER) At this time of year, we're always looking for great "situational" plays. This one falls directly into the "great situational play" category. Memphis is 7-2 and 3-0 on the road, but 3-6 Charlotte won't be rolling over today. And why's that you ask? The 3-6 49ers only have three games left to become eligible. Last week Memphis held on for a 59-50 shootoutwin over USF, but with a home game vs SMU up next, we're expecting the visiting side to take the foot off the gas in the second half. Charlotte came from behind to bea Tulsa 33-26 in OT in its most recent action, and we're expecting it to be competitive here as well; grab the points, the play is indeed on Charlotte! AAA Sports |
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11-10-23 | Wyoming +5.5 v. UNLV | Top | 14-34 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 7 m | Show |
10* Wyoming (MW GOY) Both teams are already eligible, but each now has bigger aspirations moving forward. Wyoming is 6-3, while UNLV is 7-2. Wyoming is led by 10th year head coach Craig Bohl. Last week the Cowboys beat Colorado State 24-15 for the Bronze Boot int he annual Border War. QB Andrew Peasley had 140 yards passing, while Harrison Waylee had 128 rushing. The Rebels are enjoying a great year under first year coach Barry Odom, who smashed New Mexico last week by a score of 56-14; QB Jayden Maiava had three TD passes. Wyoming's dual threat QB is going to keep his team in this one late; grab the points the play is on the Cowboys! AAA Sports |
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11-09-23 | Panthers +3.5 v. Bears | Top | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 28 h 59 m | Show |
10* Carolina (ASSASSIN) Carolina is 1-7 and Chicago is 2-7. These teams stink, but in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. Carolina comes in off a 27-13 loss to Indianapolis, while Chicago comes in off a second straight loss, this time in a 24-17 setback at New Orleans. Both teams have struggled in every facet of the game, but this in our opinion is a great "situational" play. Bryce Young is the best player on the field and we feel he'll bounce back here on prime-time; grab the points, the play is the Panthers! AAA Sports |
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11-09-23 | Virginia v. Louisville -20 | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 56 m | Show |
10* Louisville (ACC GOW) Typically we don't side with the public. We're contrarian at heart, but of course, that's not always the case. And of course, the public does indeed win nearly 50 percent of the time anyways. For sure here we're not expecting any upsets as we think 8-1 Louisville will keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in this favorable matchup vs. 2-7 Virginia. Virginia somehow did mange to upset a ranked UNC team on the road and then it forced overtime vs. Miami the following the week, but the Cavaliers definitely came crashing back to reality in the 45-17 home loss to Georgia Tech allowing 515 yards of offense in the humbling setback. The Cavaliers are a great defensive team on the College Basketball court, but they're terrible on the gridiron (they allow 32.4 points per game, which is last in the conference.) Virginia also only managed 351 yards of offense against a Georgia Tech defense which is conceding an average of 455.2 yards per game (overall the Cavaliers only average 23.1 points per game this season. The Cardinals do have the dissapointing loss to Pitt, but last week they blew out Virginia Tech 34-3, and that gave them consecutive wins by at least 20. We think they're going to win in similar fashion to what we saw last weekend. The Cardinals limit their opponents to just 88.8 yards per game rushing and overall they allow just 16.3 points per game (while the offense is averaging 32.9.) We think Louisville will run up the score here and keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is Louisville! AAA Sports |
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11-08-23 | Bowling Green -9.5 v. Kent State | Top | 49-19 | Win | 100 | 28 h 33 m | Show |
10* Bowling Green (ASSASSIN) Typically we're contrarian. When the public all goes one way, we almost always go the other. But...not ALWAYS. And that's the case here this week on Wednesday night with 5-4 Bowling Green travelling to Ohio on Wednesday to take on the 1-8 Golden Flashes. Kent State would love to play spoiler, but we just don't see the Green Falcons leaving anything to chance this weekend and we're expecting them to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. The Flashes are 0-5 in conference play and there's no way Bowling Green wants to be the one that actually loses to this terrible team. The Falcons come in with a TON of momentum as well: after losing each of their first two conference games, they've now posted three straight wins, including last week's 24-21 victory over Ball State in which Connor Bazelak had 128 yards passing and two touchdowns. The defense though stole the show in allowing just 283 total yards of offense. Kent State is off the tight 31-27 road loss at Akrkon and we think it's definitely thrown in the towel at this point. The defense gave up 393 yards, including 298 through the air and that doesn't bode well now facing Bowling Green's offense, which is firing on all cylinders by averaring just under 30 points per game over their last three games. That momentum carries over here in this favorable spot; lay the points, the play is Bowling Green! AAA Sports |
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11-07-23 | Ohio v. Buffalo OVER 43 | Top | 20-10 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 20 m | Show |
10* OVER Ohio/Buffalo (MAC TOW) Ohio is 6-3, while Buffalo is 3-6. The Bulls would have to improbably run the table to become eligible. Likely won't happen obviously, but Buffalo won't go down without a fight. Ohio is 6-3, but the Bobcats have bigger aspirations than just becoming "eligible." One week after doing just that, Ohio fell flat in last week's 30-16 home loss to Miami Ohio as a 7.5-point favorite. But that's signficant to note here as the Bobcats have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite in their previous game. With each team pushing the pace like we anticipate, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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11-06-23 | Chargers v. Jets +4 | Top | 27-6 | Loss | -120 | 31 h 15 m | Show |
10* Jets (BLOOD-BATH) In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has it hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. The Jets believe they can beat anyone right now and the Chargers are going to have their hands full in our estimation. LA is just 3-4 overall, including 1-2 on the road. New York is 4-3 overall, including 2-2 SU at home and 3-1 ATS. The Jets have extreme momentum right now after three straight SU/ATS victories in a row, against quality teams and in difficult situations. The Chargers lost two straight before last week's 30-13 home win over Chicago, but with a home game vs. Detroit next week, we feel the visitors will also get caught "looking ahead" here; a great "situational" play on New York! AAA Sports |
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11-05-23 | Bills +2.5 v. Bengals | Top | 18-24 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 33 m | Show |
10* Bills (UNDERDOG GOY) After a dreadful start, the Bengals are suddenly the hottest team in the league after three straight victories and covers (4-3 overall)?! We think they're now overvalued here big time though (note that Cinncy is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row.) Buffalo is 5-3 after last week's 24-18 tougher-than-expected victory against Tampa. But when you look a little closer at the Bucs, they really are one of the better defensive teams. The same can't really be said about the Bengals. They did score the 31-17 upset win at San Francisco, but something is "fishy" with that 49ers offense all of a sudden, so we'll caution in reading too much into that victory. Buffalo has two favorable home games after this, so a three-game win streak is a very realistic goal for this hungry visiting side. And that's how we see this one playing out, the Bengals finally taking a step back here and the Bills finally taking a step forward; grab the points, the play is Buffalo! AAA Sports |
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11-05-23 | Rams v. Packers -3 | Top | 3-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 18 m | Show |
10* Packers (BLOOD-BATH) It's a big game for both of these NFC opponents, but more so for the 2-5 Packers in our opinion. LA is 3-5. The Rams have lost two straight, last week falling 43-20 at Dallas, and we think they'll have difficulty containing this now desperate home side. The only win in LA's last four games came against Arizona. At home. This is a look ahead spot as well for the Rams, who have a bye next week, followed by b2b divisional contests. It's been four straight SU/ATS losses for the Packers, and that's why nearly 80% of the early public money is all over LA here. The good news for Packers fans? There is still time to try and turn things around. It's now or never, do or die for Green Bay in our opinion and we're expecting it to step up and play like that; lay the points the play is indeed on Green Bay! AAA Sports |
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11-05-23 | Seahawks +6 v. Ravens | Top | 3-37 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 52 m | Show |
10* Seahawks (NON-CONF GOM) Two good non-conference opponents collide in Baltimore on Sunday afternoon, and in our opinion, everything points to this one coming down to whichever of these talented sides has its hands on the ball last. Despite going 0-3 ATS in its L3, Seattle is 2-1 SU in that span, beating Arizona and Cleveland. The Hawks are 2-1 on the road as well. The Ravens are off three straight wins, but with B2B divisional home games starting next week, not only does this set up as as "letdown" spot for the Ravens in our opinion, but also a "look-ahead" position (and when you add those two factors together, you get "trap game.") This spread is definitely "off." Grab the points, the play is Seattle! AAA Sports |
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11-04-23 | UCLA v. Arizona OVER 51 | Top | 10-27 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 41 m | Show |
10* OVER UCLA/Arizona. The UCLA Bruins are 6-2 and the Arizona Wildcats are 5-3. UCLA is off a 28-16 win over Colorado and it's now seen the total go "under" the number in two straight. The Wildcats are looking to become eligible here, as they're now on the cusp with five wins. They've won two straight and in fact over their last three games their offense has been "firing on all cylinders," posting a combined 112 points over those three outings (going 2-1.) The last time these teams played was last November and Arizona won 34-28, which would have sailed well "over" the posted number in this season's contest, but which stayed well below the total of 77.5 in that one last year. But that was then and this is now and when you add up all of the situational factors listed above, and taking into account all of the lower-scoring games these teams have been involved in of late, then this important Week 10 total is now for sure a little low; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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11-04-23 | Illinois +2 v. Minnesota | Top | 27-26 | Win | 100 | 25 h 23 m | Show |
10* Illinois (BIG TEN GOM) The 3-5 Illini are running out of time to become "eligible," while the 5-3 Gophers are just one win away from punching their ticket. One week after upsetting Maryland 27-24, Illinois lost 25-21 at home to Wisconsin. That was two weeks ago. With time to prepare for this one, I expect the Illini to find a way to come out on top here against the less-than-impressive Terps. Minnesota is off B2B wins, but with a game at 2-6 Purdue next week, they still have time to recover and earn a bowl if they happen to stumble here. No such luxury for Illinois though. This line is "fishy," but we're ALL over it; while the outright is possible, the official call is to grab as many points as you can with Illinois! AAA Sports |
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11-03-23 | Boston College v. Syracuse -2.5 | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 35 m | Show |
10* Syracuse (ASSASSIN) Boston College has definitely been playing well, as it's now 5-3 after winning four straight. Most recently the Eagles beat UConn 21-14 as 14.5-point favorites, so didn't come close to covering the spread. Clearly, BC will be looking to keep the good times rolling needing just the one more win to become bowl eligible. But it's Syracuse that comes in super desperate now to snap a four game straight up and against the spread slide. After four straight wins to open the season, the Orange have now dropped four straight. But all four losses were against really good competition and in every case they were the underdog, losing to Clemson, North Carolina, Florida State and Virginia Tech (and the last three were all on the road.) Now back home and desperate to snap the slide, Syracuse is finally favored here, but not nearly by enough in our estimation. Boston College's four-game win streak has come against much more suspect competition, including Virginia, Army, Georgia Tech and UConn last week. Look for the more motivated home side to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover; the play is indeed on Syracuse! AAA Sports |
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11-02-23 | Titans +3 v. Steelers | Top | 16-20 | Loss | -120 | 28 h 12 m | Show |
10* Titans (AFC NON-DIV GOY) Pittsburgh is 4-3 after a listless 20-10 home loss to Jacksonville last week, while Tennessee snapped a two-game slide with an impressive 28-23 home win over Atlanta as a 2.5-point underdog. These teams are suddenly moving in opposite directions and now here on the short week, we're expecting those trends to continue here on Thursday night. Will Levis was 19 for 29 for 238 yards and four TD's for Tennessee last week. Zero INT's. Derrick Henry was rumbling as well for 101 yards on 22 carries. And WR DeAndre Hopkins caught four passes for 128 yards and three TD's. The Steelers lost starting QB Kenny Pickett to injury in their loss last week and Mitch Trubisky came in and finished 15 of 27 for 138 yards, one TD and two INT's. He was also sacked twice. As good as Pittsburgh's defense is, we're expecting the now "firing on all cylinders" visiting side to continue that progression here on the road; grab the points, the play is Tennessee! AAA Sports |
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11-02-23 | Wake Forest +12.5 v. Duke | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
10* Wake Forest (ACC GOM) Duke is 5-3 and needing just one more win to become "eligible." Wake Forest is 4-4 and is a big underdog here. The Deacons won't be rolling over though. That said, we're not calling for the outright upset or anything, but we're definitley expecting the visiting side to keep this one tight down the stretch. Wake Forest has dropped three of its last four and is coming in under the radar here. Duke is reeling and has lost back-to-back games. Desmon Claiborne, Mitch Griffis and company will have some opportunities here on the road, especially in the second half in our estimation. Wake only allows 25.6 PPG and as we said off the top, we're not calling for an outright upset, but this one is definitely going to be a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Wake Forest! AAA Sports |