Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-13-23 | Bruins +110 v. Devils | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
10* Bruins (UNDERDOG OF YEAR) We feel we're getting great line value here on the superior team, despite it being on the road. Boston and New Jersey face off for the first time this season and we like the Bruins to send a message here. Boston is off the 5-2 home win over Arizona and it's won four of its last five. New Jersey had its three game win streak come to an end in a 4-1 loss at Edmonton, and now in its first game back after that four-game Western swing, we're expecting a classic "letdown." If recent history is any precedence, then Boston has to be loving its chances, as it's 8-1-1 the last ten in this series. As stated off the top, this play is all about perceived value; the play is indeed on Boston! AAA Sports |
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12-12-23 | Warriors v. Suns -3 | Top | 116-119 | Push | 0 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
10* Suns (PACIFIC DIVISION GOY) After going just 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in their last five, we like the Suns to dig deep here and not only win this game, but also to do it in blowout fashion. They beat Golden State here 123-115 back in November and we're predicting a similar final outcome here as well. Both teams have had a few days off, but the Suns have hit a favorable part of their schedule, with three more very winnable home games after this. We're expecting Phoenix to shake off its recent slump. The Warriors were last in action four days ago as well, but they fell 138-136 in OT to the Thunder. KD is supposed to play here, but whether he does or not, this one sets up great situationally for Phoenix in our opinion; lay the short points, the play is indeed on the Suns! AAA Sports |
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12-12-23 | Flyers v. Predators -123 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
10* Predators (ASSASSIN) Philadelphia has been playing great. It's 15-10-2-0 overall, including 9-4-1-0 on the road. However, after four straight wins, including two in OT vs. Pittsburgh, and then two straight on the road vs. Arizona and Colorado, and with a night off before finally returning home for two games starting with the Capitals, not only do we feel this is a natural letdown spot for this overachieving Flyers teams, but also a "look ahead." So that = "trap game." Nashville has won four of its last five, is 15-13-0-0 overall and 9-6-0-0 at home. Look for the Predators to take advantage of home ice as we take advantage of this great price; the play is Nashville! AAA Sports |
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12-12-23 | IUPU-Indianapolis +24 v. Minnesota | Top | 65-101 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
10* IUPUI (ATS SUPER SHOCKER) Are we suggesting that IUPUI will win this game outright?! Of course not. We just love the way this one sets up for the visiting side, as we anticipate that Minnesota will take the foot off the gas in the second half, allowing the 3-7 Jaguars more than enough room to sneak in through the back door down the stretch. The Gophers have gone 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS over their last four, but with the X-Mas break on the horizon, we feel they'll get caught looking past their lowly opponent here. Minnesota is 7-1 at home and is 9-1 ATS overall this year. But now it's for sure the Gophers who are overvalued here. Looking at the offensive and defensive numbers doesn't tell the whole story here. The situational factors working in favor of the visiting side tip the scales in the Jaguars favor; grab the points, the play is indeed on IUPUI! AAA Sports |
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12-11-23 | Blazers +13.5 v. Clippers | Top | 127-132 | Win | 100 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
10* Blazers (ASSASSIN) We love the way this one sets up for the Blazers from a situational stand-point. Portland is 6-15 overall, including only 4-9 on the road, but they're 8-5 ATS away from friendly confines. The Clippers are 11-10 overall, including 7-3 SU at home, but they're just 5-5 ATS in LA. Portland is coming off three straight SU losses, but that's significant to note as the Blazers are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 after three or more straight losses in a row. They play with revenge after a 123-111 loss as a 9.5 point dog here back in October as well, and note that Portland is in fact 3-1 ATS in its last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. The Clippers have won three in a row, but with the Kings coming to town tomorrow night, this one sets up as a potential "trap" game with the "letdown/look-ahead" factors both in full effect; grab the points, the play is Portland! AAA Sports |
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12-11-23 | Packers v. Giants UNDER 37 | 22-24 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 14 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Packers/Giants. Green Bay is 6-6 and New York is 4-8. The Giants have won two in a row and they'll be eager to extend that streak here against the rookie Jordan Love, who has been on fire for the visiting side. The Packers have won three straight and four of their last five including a convincing 27-19 home win over the Chiefs last weekend. We think most impressive though was the Packers defense. The last thing New York can do here is to turn this into a "track meet" with Love. With both sides looking to limit mistakes on the national stage, look for field position to play a big part in the final outcome of this one and for this total to ultimatley stay well "under" the number once it's all said and done. AAA Sports |
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12-11-23 | Titans +14 v. Dolphins | 28-27 | Win | 100 | 30 h 14 m | Show | |
8* Titans. The Titans are off a 31-28 OT loss at home to Indianapolis, while Miami cruised to a 45-15 win over the Commanders. The Titans looked decent offensively last week, and defensively they're still conceding just 21.3 PPG. Miami has won three straight, but with a home divisional contest vs. the Jets, followed by a game vs. the Cowboys and Ravens, this sets up as a classic "trap" for the home side in our opinion. No outright, but look for Tennessee to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is the Titans! AAA Sports |
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12-11-23 | Titans v. Dolphins UNDER 46.5 | 28-27 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 14 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Titans/Dolphins. We're making a play on the Titans and grabbing the points in this one, as well as also expecting this contest to be a lower-scoring defensive affair. Tennessee's defense is conceding just 21.3 PPG. We're also expecting the home side to take the foot off the gas in the second half as it gets caught looking ahead. Field position will be crucial in the end in deciding this contest; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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12-11-23 | Coyotes v. Sabres -122 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
10* Sabres (NON-CONF GOY) We love the way this one sets up for Buffalo. Arizona is 13-11-2-0 overall, including 5-6-2-0 on the road, while the Sabres are 11-14-2-1 overall, including 5-7-0-1 at home. After a 5-game win streak, the Coyotes though are now coming off B2B losses, and with a much more high-profile game tomorrow night in Pittsburgh, we believe the visitors get caught looking ahead. It's essentially a "trap game" here for the Coyotes in our opinion, despite the back-to-back losses. The Sabres have lost four of their last five, including a 3-2 shootout loss here to the Habs last time out. They hit the road for three straight tough road games after this (Colorado, Vegas and a rematch with the Coyotes), putting added importance onto tonight's outcome. Considering all of the different situational factors working in favor of Buffalo, we do in fact consider this to be the very definition of "great line value;" the play is indeed on Buffalo! AAA Sports |
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12-10-23 | Eagles v. Cowboys UNDER 52 | Top | 13-33 | Win | 100 | 79 h 48 m | Show |
10* UNDER Eagles/Cowboys (NFC EAST TOY) These two teams are steaming towards the finish line. Philadelphia is 10-2, including 5-1 on the road, while Dallas is 9-3, including 6-0 at home. Dallas has seen the total go "over" in five of its last six after last week's 41-35 victory over Seattle. The Cowboys play with revenge as well after a 28-23 loss at Philadelphia back in November, and note that Dallas has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS divisional road loss vs. an opponent. Philadephia's five-game win streak was snapped in last week's listless 42-19 loss at San Francisco, so we just feel that Philly will be extra cautious and we expect it to double down on the defensive end in this difficult road venue. Look for the rematch to be decided by field position and ultimately expect this total to stay well "under" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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12-10-23 | Bills +2 v. Chiefs | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 72 h 33 m | Show |
10* Bills (UNDERDOG OF MONTH) While clearly the outright win is a very real possibility, in the end our official call will be to grab as many points as you can. Buffalo is 6-6 and KC is 8-4. The Bills are off the 37-34 OT loss at Philadelphia, but had the last week off to regroup and prepare for this one. It was a back-and-forth start for the Bills, but the bye week came at a great time. KC has been playing terribly in losing two of its last three, including a 27-17 setback at Green Bay as a six-point favorite last week. No one is fearing this Chiefs' offense right now, and now the defense also looks shaky. As stated off the top, we firmly believe the outright upset is a possibility, but in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with Buffalo! AAA Sports |
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12-10-23 | Broncos v. Chargers OVER 43.5 | Top | 24-7 | Loss | -115 | 71 h 18 m | Show |
10* OVER Broncos/Chargers (AFC WEST TOM) Denver is 6-6 now after falling 22-17 at Houston last weekend. Previous to that Denver had won six straight. The Broncos now face divisional opponent LA, which snapped a three game slide with a 6-0 win at new England last time out. That however is very significant to note here as the Chargers have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after a SU/ATS road win in which they shutout their opponent. It's a super important divisional game and we're fully expecting this sense of intense competition to translate into offensive production on the field of play; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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12-10-23 | Devils v. Oilers -148 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
8* Oilers (SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION) We base our picks on many different things. This one is based upon "perceived value." We actually believe that the Oilers should/could in fact be much larger favorites in this spot. This is a great situational play, as the Devils come in extremely fatigued at the end of a long West-coast trip, including a 4-2 win at Calgary just last night. Would anyone fault the Devils having a bit of a mental letdown here after sweeping the first three games of the road trip, and which will be followed with three whole days off before a very important home game vs. conference rival Boston?! The Oilers poor start to the season has them playing "catch up," but they've looked great of late winning six in a row. Look for the home side to take advantage of the home ice and this situation and to ultimately find a way to get the job done at the end of the night; lay the price with confidence, the play is Edmonton! AAA Sports |
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12-10-23 | Texans v. Jets +3.5 | Top | 6-30 | Win | 100 | 67 h 21 m | Show |
10* Jets (ASSASSIN) Houston appears to be the "flavor of the week" right now and we think it's now getting a little TOO much repsect here from the oddsmakers on the road. The Jets have lost five straight SU/ATS, but that's significant for us to take note of here, as NY has in fact gone 7-3 ATS in its last ten after five or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Houston has won four of its last five, including a 22-17 victory at home over Denver. The Texans are just 2-3 SU on the road though. With a game at division rival Tennessee the following week, the possibility of getting caught "looking ahead" is also there for the visiting side; we love how this one sets up for New York! AAA Sports |
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12-09-23 | Cal-Irvine v. San Diego State -9.5 | Top | 62-63 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 25 m | Show |
10* SDSU (ASSASSIN) We base our picks on many different things. This particular one is a great "situational" play in our opinion. And it's also backed up by a couple of rock solid ATS stats to support our theory here. UC Irvine is 6-3 this year, but just 1-3 on the road. SDSU is 7-2 this season, including 3-0 at home. The Aztecs won't be taking anything for granted here after their six-game win streak was snapped in a 79-73 loss at Grand Canyon as 2.5-point favorites last time out. SDSU has lost five straight ATS, but note that the Aztecs are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after five or more straight ATS losses in a row. The Anteaters have zero momentum off B2B losses and they'll get no respite here either; lay the points, the play is SDSU! AAA Sports |
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12-09-23 | Pacers v. Lakers OVER 240 | Top | 109-123 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 41 m | Show |
10* OVER (TOP TOTAL) The In-Season Tournament Final is being played at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. The Lakers made no doubt about moving into the Final with a resounding 133-89 win over New Orleans last time out. We fully believe that LBJ and company will be able to duplicate that offensive output here vs. this porous Pacers' defense. Indiana got to this point, not because of its lock-down defensive play, but because of its high-octane offense that pushes the pace from start to finish. And if Indiana is going to pull off another upset, it'll be out to do what it does best, and that's keeping the foot on the gas from start to finish. Everything points to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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12-09-23 | Golden Knights v. Stars -138 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -138 | 26 h 44 m | Show |
10* Dallas (WEST-CONF NON-DIV GOY) Two really good teams going head-to-head here and honestly it would not be difficult to write a convincing argument for either team to come out on top in this one. But at this price, we love the way this one sets up for the home side. Dallas plays with revenge after a 2-1 OT loss here to the Golden Knights on November 22nd, and they've been near-perfect in this spot of late by going 4-1 in their last fivein trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Vegas has a much more "winnable" game at home the following night vs. the Sharks, so the possibility of getting caught "looking ahead" is also there as well. Dallas just snapped a two-game slide with a 5-4 shootout win in the Nation's capital and everything points to the home side earning the revenge from the earlier loss; lay the price, the play is the Stars! AAA Sports |
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12-09-23 | Army v. Navy OVER 27.5 | Top | 17-11 | Win | 100 | 50 h 12 m | Show |
10* OVER Army/Navy (NON-CONF TOM) This game features two above average defenses, and two offenses which will run, run again, and then run some more! That said, we still feel that this total is ridiculous, as we're anticipating this competitive affair to translate into some offensive production on the field of play, which makes the "over" the correct call as far as the total is concerned. Last year Army came from behind to win 17-14 as a 3-point dog. Navy and Army have split the last four games, but we believe that good field position, set up by turnovers, will also help in contributing with this one going "over" the total once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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12-09-23 | Charlotte v. Duke -15.5 | 56-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
8* Duke (BLOCKBUSTER) Both teams enter 5-3 SU. Charlotte is 5-3 ATS, while Duke is 3-5 ATS. This will be the 49ers first true road game of the year and we feel they're going to stumble. The Blue Devils are 4-1 at home this year, but they're off the 72-68 road loss at Georgia Tech in their first conference action, as 12.5-point favs in that one. Duke has lost three straight ATS, but note that the Blue Devils are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. Charlottes off the rocking chair 85-62 win over Stetson, but everything points to a predictable letdown in our opinion; lay the points, the play is indeed on the Blue Devils! AAA Sports |
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12-08-23 | Wild v. Oilers -175 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
6* Oilers (BIG-CHALK DESTRUCTION) We base our picks on many different things. We play underdogs, totals, and we're also not afraid to fire on chalk when/if we feel that our "play on" side should/could in fact be a much larger favorite. And that's definitely the case here with Edmonton in our estimatoin, as the Oilers are red hot right now, having won five in a row. They play with revenge after a 7-4 loss at Minnesota in late October and they catch the Wild on the second game of the B2B, as they're in Vancouver on Thursday. All things considered, we do indeed feel that this line should be a lot larger/bigger; lay the price with confidence, the play is the Oilers! AAA Sports |
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12-08-23 | Hawks +7.5 v. 76ers | Top | 114-125 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 13 m | Show |
10* Hawks (EAST-CONF GOM) Atlanta is 9-11, including 6-5 on the road, while Philadelphia is 13-7 overall, including 7-3 at home. ATL has lost two straight, and five straight ATS, but that's significant to note as the Hawks are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after five or more straight ATS losses in a row. The Hawks play with revenge here as well after a 126-116 loss at home back in mid-November, and that's also important to note here as Atlanta is 3-1 ATS in its last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Hard to say anything negative about Philly, but this is just a bad spot for the home side; grab the points the play is Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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12-08-23 | Army v. Harvard -13.5 | Top | 64-70 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 44 m | Show |
10* Harvard (BLOOD-BATH) Harvard's up-tempo pace will prove to be too much for Army to keep up to down the stretch in this one. The Black Knights are just 2-7, while the Crimson are 6-3. Army is 0-4 SU on the road, while Harvard is 3-0 at home. The Crimson are 0-3 ATS in their last three, but that's significant to note as they're 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. We believe that the numbers/trends all overwhelmingly point the Crimson as the correct call as far as the side is concerned in this matchup; lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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12-07-23 | Wild v. Canucks -117 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
10* Canucks (ASSASSIN) We think the home side is undervalued here. Minnesota is 9-10-2-2 overall, including just 4-6-0-2 on the road. Vancouver is 16-9-1-0 overall, including 8-3-0-1 at home. Off a rare 6-5 home loss here to New Jersey, we like the Canucks to bounce back in the first meeting of the year with the Wild. Minnesota has won four straight, but off the 5-2 win at Calgary, an imminent letdown feels imminent here. And with a tough game at Edmonton tomorrow night, everything points to the visitors getting caught "looking ahead." Great value here on the hungry and talented home side; the play is Vancouver! AAA Sports |
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12-07-23 | Patriots v. Steelers -5.5 | Top | 21-18 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 57 m | Show |
10* Steelers (AFC GOW) New England is 2-10, while Pittsburgh is 7-5. Pittsburgh has been trading wins/losses over its last four games and off the listless 24-10 loss at home to Arizona, we're expecting this pattern to continue. New England is just in shambles and the issues are greater than just the players on the field or the "X's" and "O's." With the loss of RB Rhamondre Stevenson, the Pats offense is a complete bust. Over their last three games the Pats have scored a combined 13 points, getting shutout twice already this season. Mitch Trubisky is the best player on the field of play in this one, so just take that into consideration. Either way, Pittsburgh's defense, which concedes 19.1 PPG, will be able to deliver the victory here in our opinion; so lay the points with confidence, the play is indeed on Pittsburgh! AAA Sports |
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12-07-23 | IUPU-Indianapolis +5.5 v. Eastern Illinois | Top | 58-75 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 12 m | Show |
10* IUPUI (MID-MAJOR MAULING) We base our picks on many different things. We've always believed that being flexible with your approach is the best way to secure profits over the long-term, rather than following just one single handicapping methodology/strategy. And so with that in mind, we think this one sets up really well for IUPUI from a "situational" standpoint. The Jaguars are 3-6, while Eastern Illinois is 4-5. The Jaguars have faced a few good teams. One of their three wins came as an underdog a Valparaiso at the start of the year. The other two came over lower-tiered competition. In every loss they've been the underdog, and they've faced some good teams. Eastern Illinois has also faced some stiff competition, but ultimately we feel these teams are extremely evenly matched. So in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is IUPUI! AAA Sports |
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12-06-23 | Golden Knights v. Blues OVER 5.5 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
10* OVER Knights/Blues (WEST-CONF NON-DIV TOY) This one sets up really well to be a high-scoring affair from a situational stand-point. The defending champs are 16-5-4-1 overall, including 7-3-2-1 on the road. They come to St. Louis off a 2-1 OT home loss to these very Blues on Monday night. Now the venue shifts and the Golden Knights are playing with revenge and we think we're going to see a completely different pace to this rematch, one that flies well "over" the number once it's all said and done. For one, the Knights have actually seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. St. Louis is 13-10-0-1, including 7-3 at home, so the Blues definitely already play better at home anyways. This one is just a common sense play for us; as primarily situational handicappers, the rematch here sets up to be a much more wide-open game, and because of that we're banking on this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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12-06-23 | DePaul +19.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 64-89 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
10* DePaul (ASSASSIN) We're not calling for an outright upset or anything, but we just like the way this one sets up for the now desperate visiting side to keep it close enough to cover with the points. The Blue Demons are 1-6, and the Aggies are 6-2. Texas A&M is ranked 21st, but it's now lost two of its last three, including a 59-47 loss to Virginia last time out. DePaul isn't a great team and we're not trying to make excuses for it as it's lost four in a row. But it was an underdog in three of those games. The Aggies are kind of a one man team. Henry Coleman III had 16 points and 14 rebounds in their most recent loss, but the rest of the team combined to go just 9 of 42 from the floor (which is just 21.4 percent.) This is the Blue Demons first true road game of the year, which can't be a bad thing considering how terrible the start of the season has been. In the 99-80 loss to Iowa State, Jeremiah Oden made six of seven from three-point range and finished with 25 points. As stated off the top, we're not going to call for an outright upset here or anything, but we think the Blue Demons have been improving of late, while the Aggies are going in reverse. Grab the points, the play is DePaul! AAA Sports |
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12-06-23 | Jazz v. Mavs -8.5 | Top | 97-147 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
10* Dallas (WEST-CONF NON-DIV GOM) Dallas is 11-8, including 5-4 at home, while Utah is 7-13, including 1-9 on the road. Dallas has lost three of its last four, so it won't be taking anything for granted here. It hits the road for two straight after this as well, putting added importance onto this contest for Luka and company to get things turned around here at home tonight. Utah broke a two-game slide with a 118-113 OT win over Portland, but everything points to another letdown here in our opinion vs. this well-rested and focused home side; lay the points, the play is on the Mavericks! AAA Sports |
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12-05-23 | Seton Hall +11.5 v. Baylor | Top | 60-78 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
10* Seton Hall (NON-CONF GOY) Outright victory?! We're definitely not calling for that, but we do also definitely believe that this is WAY too many points for the home side to be giving up, as this one sets up well from a situational stand point for the visitors in our opinion. Seton Hall is 5-2, while Baylor is 8-0. The Pirates are off the 88-75 win over Northeastern, stopping a two-game slide which came against USC and Iowa in tournament action. Note that while Seton Hall is 0-3 ATS in its last three, the Pirates are in fact a near-perfect 4-1 ATS for bettors after three or more ATS losses in a row. Baylor is rolling, but with big upcoming games vs. Michigan State and Duke before X-Mas, we're expecting the home side to take the foot off the gas here in the second half. The overall situation, combined with the above supporting O/U ATS trends does indeed make Seton Hall our CBB NON-CONFERENCE GOY! AAA Sports |
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12-05-23 | Knicks v. Bucks UNDER 226.5 | Top | 122-146 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
10* UNDER Knicks/Bucks (EAST-CONF NON DIV TOM) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're definitely expecting a really defensive battle here on Tuesday night. The Knicks are 12-7, including 6-4 on the road, while the Bucks are 14-6, including 9-1 at home. The Knicks are off three straight wins, which is significant to note here as NY has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after three or more SU victories in a row. Milwaukee is off the 132-121 win over ATL, and it's now seen the total go OVER in three straight, which is also important to take note of, as the Bucks have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. When these teams played here back in early November, the Bucks won 110-115; we're expecting an even tighter defensive battle this time around, making the "under" the correct call as far as the total is concerned! AAA Sports |
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12-05-23 | Kings v. Blue Jackets OVER 6 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
10* Kings/Jackets OVER (NON-CONF TOM) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games, but we're expecting this non-conference contest to be less intense defensively, and therefore we're predicting that this total eclipses the posted number sooner, rather than later. The Kings are 14-4-1-2, including 9-0 on the road, while Columbus is 8-14-3-1 overal, including 6-7-1-0 at home. LA has seen the total go "under" in three straight after its most recent 4-1 win at Colorado, while Columbus has seen the total go "undeR' in three straight as well after its most recent 3-1 loss at Boston. With each team though now pushing the pace like we're expecting, all signs point to this total flying well "over" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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12-04-23 | Bengals +10 v. Jaguars | Top | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 33 h 35 m | Show |
10* Bengals (ASSASSIN) The Bengals are 5-7 and they come to town with Jake Browning under center. Are we calling for an outright upset?! No, we're not. But we do think the Bengals won't smiply "roll over" here. Instead, we're expecting this team to give its best shot over four quarters and to give the home side everything it can handle. Jacksonville is back on track at 8-3 and B2B victories, but note that Trevor Lawrence and company are just 3-6 ATS in their last nine after three or more ATS victories in a row. We're not counting out the Bengals quite yet. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is indeed on Cincinnati! AAA Sports |
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12-04-23 | Stars v. Lightning +102 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 102 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
10* Lightning (NON-CONF GOW) Here is a great situational play. These teams are playing their second straight, and Tampa is looking to respond after a disastroust 8-1 loss at Dallas two nights ago. The Lightning will be risking life and limb here to get off the schneid after four straight losses. Dallas has a tough upcoming schedule with road games in Florida and Washington and we believe it not only has a letdown, but it also gets caught "looking ahead." Great value on the revenge-minded home side; the play is Tampa! AAA Sports |
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12-04-23 | Iowa v. Purdue UNDER 163.5 | Top | 68-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER Iowa/Purdue (BIG TEN TOM) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games to open the season, but we're expecting a much more defensive affair here on Monday. Iowa is 5-2 and Purdue is 7-1. Purdue is coming off its first loss of the year in a 92-88 loss in OT vs. Northwestern on Friday and we're expecting it to be a bit fatigued here, and to double down defensively. The Hawkeyes are off the high-scoring 103-78 win over North Florida, but with the home side looking to control the pace of this one after the loss last time out, everything points to this being much more of a defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe with this large total; this number is indeed high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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12-03-23 | Chiefs v. Packers +6 | Top | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 53 h 10 m | Show |
10* Packers (NON-CONF GOM) The Chiefs are 8-3, including 4-1 on the road. Green Bay is 5-6, including 3-2 at home. We think that the Chiefs will have their hands full and while we'll stop short in calling for an outright upset, in a contest that we see coming down to the wire, we're grabbing the points. The Chiefs offense is going in reverse, as they've averaged just 19.5 PPG over their last five games. The Chiefs have been held together by their tough defense which concedes just 16.5 PPG. Green Bay though has looked great of late, winning three of its last four, behind some great offensive play from QB Jordan Love. The defense has been sharp too, allowing just 20.4 PPG this year. With a home game vs. the Bills up next, look for the visitors to get caught "looking ahead" here as well; grab the points, the play is Green Bay! AAA Sports |
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12-03-23 | Minnesota v. Ohio State -12.5 | Top | 74-84 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
10* Ohio State (BIG TEN GOM) Minnesota is 5-2 and Ohio State is 6-1. The Gophers are off the 97-64 win over New Orleans, while the Buckeyes beat CMU by a score of 88-61 in their most recent action. This is the first of two meetings between the schools and we think that Ohio State will take full advantage of the home court. Both teams have looked good to this point, but now the real competition gets underway. The Gophers have had a lot of turnover though from last year's team that won this game outright 70-67 as 14-point dogs. Ohio State's depth and incredible defensive play turns out to be the difference this year though; lay the points, the play is the Buckeyes! AAA Sports |
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12-03-23 | Lions v. Saints +4.5 | Top | 33-28 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
10* Saints (ASSASSIN) New Orleans isn't out of the fight yet. The Saints though have lost two straight SU and three straight ATS after last week's 24-15 divisional loss to the Falcons. Detroit was last seen losing 29-22 to Green Bay on Thanksgiving. We'll point out though that the Saints have responded well in this spot for bettors, going a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last five after three or more ATS losses in a row. In the loss to the Falcons, the Saints actually outgained Atlanta. Derek Carr was 24 for 38 for 304 passing yards. Despite some injuries, we're looking for the hungry home side to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover; so grab the points, the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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12-02-23 | Blazers v. Jazz OVER 221 | Top | 113-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
10* OVER Blazers/Jazz (NORTHWEST DIV. TOY) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but the situation and the numbers/trends now all point finally to a higher-scoring affair in our opinion. Portland is 6-12 after back-to-back wins. It's seen the total go "under" in four straight. They beat the Jazz 121-105 as 3.5-point dogs back in November. Note that Utah has seen the total go "over" in five of its last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. The Jazz are off back-to-back losses so will be pushing the pace, as they've now seen the total go "under" the number in six straight. Regardless, tonight's O/U line is now a few points TOO low, as we're anticipating this contest to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later; the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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12-02-23 | Bruins v. Maple Leafs -102 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
10* Leafs (ASSASSIN) "Revenge" is a powerful motivating factor for teams. Sometimes it can be overrated, other times though it plays a crucial role in the outcome. It can also be an important tool for handicappers to utilize when it comes to assessing the motivation levels of a team. This particular play is based primarily on the "revenge" factor, with Toronto falling 3-2 in a shootout in Boston back in early November. Off b2b wins, we're looking for the Leafs to exact some revenge here at home; great line value here on Toronto! AAA Sports |
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12-02-23 | Wisc-Milwaukee -2.5 v. Green Bay | Top | 58-70 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
10* Milwaukee (HORIZON LEAGUE GOY) The Panthers are 3-4 after a 90-84 setback to Southern Miss last time out. Note that Milwaukee though is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. They sit in sixth in the Horizon League, while the 3-4 Phoenix are in eighth. They're coming off a listless 75-71 loss to Purdue Fort Wayne. After four straight covers though, we feel the oddsmakers are giving the home side too much respect in this one. These teams played last February, and it was a nail-biter until the end, with Green Bay coming out on top 80-79. Now favored here because of their superior offense, look for the Panthers to exact a little revenge and lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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12-02-23 | SMU v. Tulane -3 | Top | 26-14 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 40 m | Show |
10* Tulane (AAC GOM) Tulane is 11-1 and SMU is 10-2. Tulane is looking to beceome the third program to repeat as AAC Champions. SMU stands in the way. When these teams played last year though, the Green Wave rolled to an immense 59-24 victory and we're expecting a similar blowout here. SMU has been playing some great football, winning eight in a row. But in the only two AAC teams they faced during that stretch, the Mustangs went 0-2 ATS. The fact that Tulane has been here and done this already really does matter; lay the points, the play is the Green Wave! AAA Sports |
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12-02-23 | Furman +8 v. Princeton | 69-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
8* Furman (BLOOD-BATH) The 4-3 Paladins come in under the radar here in our estimation. Furman is off the 86-78 win over South Carolina State. Overall the Paladins average 84.1 PPG so far, while allowing 80.1. Princeton is off an 85-71 win at Bucknell, the first time this year the that Tigers haven't covered the spread. And now here as well I believe they're overvalued, as the Paladins matchup well with this team and they're high-scoring and efficent offense will prove to be the difference-maker. We're not calling for the outright upset or anything, but all signs point to a comfortable cover; grab the points, the play is Furman! AAA Sports |
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12-02-23 | Miami-OH v. Toledo OVER 44 | Top | 23-14 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 14 m | Show |
10* OVER Toledo/Miami Ohio (MAC TOM) Pretty low total here, and we think it is in fact MUCH too low. Miami Ohio is 10-2 and Toledo is 11-1. These teams played in Week 8 and Toledo won 21-17 as a 2.5-point favorite. Note though that the RedHawks have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. a conference opponent. Miami Ohio saw the total go "under" in three straight to end the regular season, which is also significant to note here, as the RedHawks have seen the total go "over" in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Toledo has scored a combined 144 points over its last four games and we're expecting that offensive momentum to get carried over here as well; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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12-02-23 | Sheffield United v. Burnley -120 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 39 m | Show |
10* Burnley (EPL GOM) Both teams are coming off home losses in their most recent EPL action. Sheffield United though has struggled with consistency away from from friendly confines this year and we can't understate how important we feel that the home field advantage will prove in this one. Burnely is just 1-11 and has yet to win at home. That's going to change here though against 1-2-10 Sheffield. The Blades are terrible and Burnely will be risking life and limb to snap this brutal slide; lay the price, the play is indeed on Burnley! AAA Sports |
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12-01-23 | Fresno State +15.5 v. BYU | Top | 56-85 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
10* Fresno State (UNDERDOG OF MONTH) Fresno State is 3-3 SU and 1-4 ATS. BYU is 6-0 SU/ATS. We're not calling for an outright upset or anything, but we do now definitely think that the Cougars are getting TOO much respect from the oddsmakers here, as we look for the Bulldogs to comfortably cover with the large spread they've been afforded. Fresno State is off the 69-65 loss to UC Santa Barbara. So far the Bulldogs are averaging 73.2 PPG. BYU is off a 95-86 win over NC State. Overall BYU is averaging 92.3 PPG. Clearly, BYU is the better team here, but this is definitely a few too many points to be giving up. Fresno State has poor defense, but look for its above-average offense to keep it competitive late; grab the points, the play is indeed on Fresno State! AAA Sports |
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12-01-23 | Knicks +2.5 v. Raptors | Top | 119-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
10* Knicks (ATLANTIC DIVISION GOM) This is the first game of the season between these Atlantic Division foes, and we think the hungry visiting side is the correct call in this matchup tonight. New York is 11-7, including 5-4 on the road, while Toronto is 9-10, including 6-4 at home. The Raptors just snapped a three-game slide with a win over Phoenix and after this game it has five nights off before a home game vs. the Heat. New York is off back-to-back wins, including a 118-112 victory at home over Detroit last night. The Knicks have a few days off after this before a home game vs. the Bucks. New York is a bad matchup for the Raptors and we expect it to draw "first blood" in the season series; grab the points, the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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12-01-23 | New Mexico State +10.5 v. Liberty | Top | 35-49 | Loss | -110 | 102 h 38 m | Show |
10* New Mexico State (CONF. USA GOM) The Aggies finished 10-3. The Flames finished a perfect 12-0. One of New Mexico State's losses came in Week 2 vs. Liberty, falling 33-17 as a 9.5-point underdog. The Aggies though got progressively better as the season went on, posting eight straight victories to close the season, including three straight as an underdog, which includes road wins at WKU and Auburn as a 25-point dog. New Mexico State is also 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. No matter what your schedule is, going 12-0 is unbelievably impressive. We have all the possible respect you can have for Liberty and its perfect season. But that now said, the Flames' didn't face murderer's row or anything this season. There were no massive double-digit underdog road wins vs. Power 5 Conferences or anything. Throw in the revenge-factor and everything points to, at the very least, a comfortable ATS cover for the Aggies! AAA Sports |
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11-30-23 | Capitals v. Ducks +103 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
10* Ducks (BLOOD-BATH) We base our picks on many different things, and this particular one is based on "common sense." We're contrarians, but we're also "situational" cappers. This one sets up well for the hungry Ducks, whose great start to the season is now a distant memory. Anaheim has now lost seven in a row. But as we say, they catch the Capitals at a great time, as they're off a highly-satifsying 2-1 upset win as a massive dog in LA just last night. Can anyone say "letdown" spot?! Especially with a much more high-profile game in Las Vegas vs. the defending champs up next; great line value here, the play is indeed on Anaheim! AAA Sports |
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11-30-23 | Golden Knights v. Canucks -120 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 23 m | Show |
10* Canucks (ASSASSIN) We have two really good teams here, but we love the way this one sets up for Vancouver from a situational stand point. Las Vegas has lost three straight and we think it'll just go through the motions here as it looks to regroup at home vs. the Capitals later in the week. The Canucks are just completely undervalued here, and that's why the value lies with the favorite in this one. Vancouver hits the road after this for a tough game in Calgary, putting added importance onto this contest as well. This is the first game of the year between the clubs, and we're expecting the home side to take advantage; the play is indeed on Vancouver! AAA Sports |
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11-30-23 | Seahawks v. Cowboys UNDER 47.5 | Top | 35-41 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 35 m | Show |
10* UNDER Hawks/Cowboys (TOW) Dallas is 8-3 and it's won three in a row, scoring 127 points in that span. Clearly, if Seattle is going to have any chance in this game, then it's going to have to control the ball while on offense so as to limit the amount of time that Dak Prescott and company are on the field of play. We just think that on the short week, we're going to see a more conservative game plan from Dallas as well here as it looks to dictate the tempo. Dallas gets caught looking ahead here as well to its game vs. division rival Philly here the following week, while the visiting side does the same with a rematch vs. the 49ers. Normally high-scoring teams, expect this Thursday night matchup to go the other way; this number is a bit high in our estimation, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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11-30-23 | Bucks v. Bulls +8.5 | Top | 113-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
10* BULLS (CENTRAL DIV GOW) Clearly, the Bulls have issues this year. They're just 5-14. The Bucks haven't been perfect either, but they've looked great overall at 13-5. Chicago is clearly the more desperate team in this fight, as they've lost five straight SU/ATS. Chicago though is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after five or more SU/ATS losses in a row. The Bulls catch Milwaukee off three straight victories, and all signs finally point to a bit of a letdown here on the road in our estimation. Situationally this one definitely sets up well for the home side and that's primarily what we're basing this pick off. No outright, but much closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Chicago! AAA Sports |
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11-30-23 | Illinois State +6.5 v. Illinois-Chicago | Top | 69-64 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
10* Illinois State (MISSOURI VALLEY GOM) In what we feel is an evenly matched contest, we're going to grab the points. Illinois State is 3-3 SU, while UIC is 5-2. The Redbirds have been competitive for the most part, but now returning to conference play here, everything points to a "nail-biter" in our opinion. UIC is 7-0 ATS, but that fact has only helped in driving this spread a little higher than it normally would/should be. We're seeing a lot of the early public money on the home side here, but when comparing these teams numbers, we're expecting a dog-fight until the end (Illinois State won the last matchup 68-62 in OT last season.) Grab the points, the play is Illinois State! AAA Sports |
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11-29-23 | Capitals v. Kings OVER 6 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -106 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
10* OVER Capitals/Kings (NON-CONF TOW) These two teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting a faster-paced affair here in this non-conference contest, one that eclipses the posted number sooner, rather than later. Washington is off B2B losses, falling 5-0 at home to Edmonton, and then 2-1 at San Jose two nights ago (note though that the Caps have seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 11 after a road loss as -225 or higher favorites. LA has won five straight. it's seen the total go "under" in five of its last six. It's off the 4-0 home win here three nights ago over the Habs and they come in well-rested. Expect this faster-paced affair to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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11-29-23 | Jazz v. Grizzlies OVER 223.5 | Top | 91-105 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
10* OVER Jazz/Grizzlies (ASSASSIN) These two teams need victories. We're expecting a very wide-open and faster-pace because of that. Utah is 6-11 and Memphis is just 3-13. The Jazz are just 1-7 on the road. They're coming off B2B home wins over the Pels and they've seen the total go "under" in four straight. That fact though has only helped in driving today's O/U a little lower than normal though in our opinion. And for the Grizz, they have lost four straight and seen the total go "under" in all four. The last time these teams played against each other, Utah won 127-121 here on November 10th; all signs point to a similar final combined score here as well, so the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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11-29-23 | Prairie View A&M v. Tulane -13.5 | Top | 77-98 | Win | 100 | 28 h 43 m | Show |
10* Tulane (BLOOD-BATH) Prairie View A&M is 4-2 overall and 5-0 against the spread, so that now tells us two things looking at these numbers: the Panthers are a pretty good team. They're No. 1 overall in the SWAC and they're coming off three straight road victories as an underdog (and really BIG underdogs in every one of them, most recently they were an 11.5-point dog vs. Eastern Kentucky on the road and won 76-64.) Obviously Prairie View A&M is a pretty good team, not to be overlooked, but at 5-0 against the spread, that now tells us that they're likely going to be really overvalued here moving forward. Tulane is similar in that it's a really good team as well. It's 4-1 in a tough AAC conference and it's also coming in off a big win..beating Cal 84-81. But unlike their opponent today, the Green Wave UP UNTIL THIS POINT have been the overvalued team as they're just 1-4 against the spread. But now the situation has flip-flopped for these teams, and the value now swings the other way. We think Tulane, which now returns home where its already 3-0 this season after two straight Tournament games, is where the value lies; lay the points, the play is Tulane! AAA Sports |
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11-28-23 | Golden Knights v. Oilers -132 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
10* Oilers (WEST-CONF GOW) We're getting a great price on a super hungry home side that can't afford to look past anyone, and which is playing "catch up" after a shaky start to the 2023/24 campaign. They catch the defending champs at the best time as well, losers of four in a row, including a heartbreaking 2-1 OT loss in Calgary just last night. Ths is the first game of the year between the clubs. Edmonton has been playing better of late, winners of two in a row outscoring the Capitals and Ducks by a combined 13-2. Look for the still desperate home side to risk life and limb here and lay this price with confidence; the play is Edmonton! AAA Sports |
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11-28-23 | Rockets v. Mavs OVER 230.5 | Top | 115-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
10* OVER Rockets/Mavericks (ASSASSIN) Two teams in need of a win collide here and we're expecting some offensive fireworks. Dallas is 10-6, but it's now lost three of its last four, including a listless 107-88 setback at the Clippers two nights ago. Note though that Dallas has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after a SU/ATS loss in which it was held to 90 or fewer points in. Houston has been the surprise team of the league so far, going 8-6 to start and and having posted 11 straight ATS covers. Will Houston cover again tonight?! Maybe! But with the home side pushing the pace like we anticipate, all signs do indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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11-28-23 | Missouri +6 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 71-64 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
10* Missouri (NON-CONF GOW) Missouri is 5-2 SU, while Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU. The Tigers though are an unrealistic 0-7 ATS, while the Panthers are an unrealistic 5-1 ATS. Look for these lop-sided trends/numbers to start correcting themselves here immediately tonight. Outright win?! With a smaller spread like this, clearly, anything is possible. But in a contest that we see being decided by whichever of these talented teams has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. On the season Missouri is averaging 75.1 PPG, while allowing 67, while Pittsburgh is averaging 88.2, while conceding 63.2. Of course, the level of competition for each side has to be called into question at this point. Missouri shoots the ball well from three and is going to be able to stretch this Pittsburgh defense; grab the points, the play is the Tigers! AAA Sports |
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11-27-23 | Pelicans -4.5 v. Jazz | Top | 112-114 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
10* WEST-CONF NON-DIV GOY on New Orleans. Here's a great "spot" wager, one so strong that it's qualified as our No. 1 WESTERN-CONFERENCE NON-DIVISIONAL GAME OF THE YEAR. New Orleans is 9-8 after a 105-100 loss here two nights ago. Note though that the Pels have responded well in this spot for bettors by going 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Utah is just 5-11. That victory snapped a four-game slide. But with an upcoming road trip starting at Memphis, not only is this a letdown spot for the home side, but also a look-ahead. And when you add up those two factors together, you get TRAP GAME. This is now a trap for the contented home side, well all signs point to New Orleans keeping the foot on the gas from start to finish in this revenge-scenario; lay the points, the play is indeed on New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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11-27-23 | Bears +3 v. Vikings | Top | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 31 h 44 m | Show |
10* Bears (NFC NORTH GOY) The Bears play with revenge here after falling 19-13 at home back in Week 6. They were a 3-point dog in that one, and they're a 3-point dog here. But now they catch the Vikes at the exact correct time in our estimation. Note that the Bears are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a dog vs. an opponent as well. The Bears lost 31-26 at Detroit last weekend, but covered with the 7.5-point spread. Minnesota is coming off a close-but-no-cigar 21-20 loss at Denver and we think it's ripe for an upset here; that said, let's grab the points, the play is Chicago! AAA Sports |
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11-27-23 | Manhattan v. Fordham -11.5 | Top | 61-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
10* Fordham (MID-MAJOR MAULING) The MAAC takes on the A-10 here. Manhattan got smashed 90-60 on the road by No. 5 UConn last time out and we think the Jaspers will once again have their hands full here vs. the Rams, who are looking to rebound themselves after a competitive 79-72 loss to Kent State. Overall Manhattan is averaging 65.6 PPG, while allowing 75.6, while Fordham is averaging 67 PPG, while allowing 68.8. Of course, both team's numbers are skewed because of the early competition. That said, Fordham's defes is definitely on another level here and we just can't see the offensively-challenged Jaspers keeping pace down the stretch; lay the points with confidence, the play is Fordham! AAA Sports |
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11-26-23 | Ravens v. Chargers +3 | Top | 20-10 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
10* Chargers (ASSASSIN) Baltimore is 8-3, but we think it'll have its hands full here with this now desperate 4-6 LA side. The Ravens are off the 34-20 win over the Bengals, but with their bye week next week, all signs point to this team getting caught "looking ahead" in our opinion, as that's then followed by a fairly easy home game vs. the hapless Rams. the Chargers are for sure desperate here after two straight losses, but we think they catch the Ravens at a great time here, a late night West Coast game on the national stage and while we do absolutely believe the outright victory is a possibility, the official call is to grab as many points as you can; the play is indeed on LA! AAA Sports |
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11-26-23 | Raptors v. Cavs UNDER 221.5 | Top | 102-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
10* UNDER Raptors/Cavs (EAST-CONF NON-DIV TOM) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening for a few different situational reasons. Both teams are 8-8 SU. Toronto has won two straight, while seeing the total go "over" the number in four straight. Note though that despite their most recent 121-108 win over the Bulls, the Raptors have still seen the total go "under" the number in six of their last eight after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Unlike Toronto, Cleveland has now lost two straight after last night's 121-115 home loss to the Lakers. Previous to that the Cavs failed to reach 100 in a 129-96 home setback to Miami. Like the Raptors though, Cleveland has also seen the total go "over" in four straight. With the home side fatigued and hungry to snap the losing streak, we're expecting it to "double down" on the defensive end this evening. This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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11-26-23 | College of Charleston +7.5 v. Kent State | Top | 84-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
10* Charleston (MID-MAJOR MAULING) Charleston is 2-3 SU, but 0-5 ATS. We're expecting the Cougars to battle tough here and, at the very least, post the solid ATS cover this time around. Kent State is 4-2. Charleston is off the 80-72 win over Coastal Carolina, whole the Golden Flashes are off a 79-72 win over Fordham. So far in the early going Charleston is averaging 69.4 PPG, while allowing 74.2. Kent State has averaged 83.6 PPG, while allowing 74.4. The Cougars have only played one true home game. They're battle-tested here and we think completely undervalued in this matchup. We really respect Kent State, but we don't see the Flashes covering this larger number; so grab the points, the play is Charleston! AAA Sports |
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11-26-23 | Bucs v. Colts OVER 45.5 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
10* OVER Bucs/Colts (NON-CONF TOW) Both teams have been involved in lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting a bit of a shootout here between these non-conference opponents on Sunday afternoon. Tampa has lost five of its last six. This is a big game obviously. It's off the 27-14 road loss at San Francisco. The Colts have won two in a row, including a 10-6 victory over New Enland two weeks ago (note thought that the Colts have seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four coming off their bye week.) Both teams are still in the mix for a Wildcard, but each needs to start stringing some wins together. With each pushing the pace like we anticipate and opening things up on the offensive end, look for this total to indeed eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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11-26-23 | Jaguars v. Texans +1.5 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
10* Texans (UNDERDOG OF WEEK) Jacksonville is 7-3 SU/ATS, including 3-0 SU/ATS on the road. Houston is 6-4 SU, including 4-1 SU at home. It's 2-3 ATS in front of the home town crowd, but while we'll still be grabbing the points, we're expecting the home side to in fact find a way to win this one outright. Jacksonville bounced back with a 34-14 win over Tennessee at home last week after falling 34-3 at home to the 49ers. While only 1-2 ATS in its last three, Houston though is 3-0 SU. That includes an impressive win on the road at the Bengals as a dog. It's Houston which is still flying under the radar here, as we expect the Jags to finally take a step back on the road this season; grab the points, the play is Houston! AAA Sports |
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11-25-23 | Mavs v. Clippers OVER 237 | Top | 88-107 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 20 m | Show |
10* OVER Mavericks/Clippers. Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting more of a wide-open affair here tonight. LA has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last nine, including in its 116-106 home loss to the Pelicans just last night. Note though that LA has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. The one time the total went "over" the number in the last eight game was vs. the Mavericks in a 144-126 setback in Dallas a couple of weeks ago. Note as well that the Clippers have seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. Dallas snapped a two-game slide with a 104-101 win at the Lakers last time out, but we're expecting a much faster-pace here now facing the Clippers; this number is a little low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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11-25-23 | Sabres +1.5 v. Devils | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -160 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
10* Sabres PUCKLINE (ASSASSIN) Both teams played just last night. The Devils have taken a big step back in the early going after a great year last season, as they're just 8-9 after last night's 2-1 loss here to Columbus. Buffalo though won its second straight in a 3-2 home win over the Penguins. The Sabres are now 9-9 and they play with revenge after a 5-4 loss here at the end of October. In what we anticipate will be another competitive affair, we're going to lay the price with Buffalo here on the puckline option and grab those extra 1.5 goals in the process! AAA Sports |
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11-25-23 | Colorado v. Utah UNDER 48.5 | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 24 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER Buffs/Utes (PAC 12 TOW) Here's a great "situational" play on the "under." Colorado is 4-7 and won't be moving onto a bowl. Last week the Buffs fell 56-14 at WSU and we have a hard time seeing the visitors even matching that pathethic offensive output. Utah is 7-4 and off B2B losses in which it has conceded 77 points. Now back at home, the last time it was here Utah won 55-3 over ASU. Expect another stellar defensive performance from the home side and for the visitors to simply "go through the motions;" this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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11-25-23 | Tulsa v. Arkansas-Little Rock +4.5 | Top | 82-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
10* UALR (MAULING) It's the AAC traveling to take on the Ohio Valley Conference. The Golden Hurricane are 4-0, while the Trojans are 1-4. In a contest that we see "coming down to the wire" though, we're grabbing the points with the desperate home side here. Tulsa is off the 90-70 win over South Carolina State. The Trojans blew a 17-point lead in their last game and lost 93-90 to Georgia State in overtime. We like the Trojans to bounce back here after that disaster, as they just had a mental-lapse. Look for the tempo the home side sets to be too much for the Golden Hurricane to handle today, and while I do think an outright win is possible, the official call is to grab as many points as you can with UALR! AAA Sports |
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11-25-23 | Georgia State v. Old Dominion OVER 52.5 | Top | 24-25 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 25 m | Show |
10* OVER Georgia State/ODU (SUN BELT TOY) This is a huge game for ODU, which is 5-6 so far this season. Georgia State is 6-5, but four straight losses, the Panthers will be eager to return to form here and actually improve their bowl berth with a victory here. This is a great "situational" play, as ODU saved its season in last week's 20-17 win at Georgia Southern, but while the Monarchs have now seen the total go "under" in three straight, note that they've seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row; with each team pushing the pace like we anticipate, all signs point to this total eclipsing the posted number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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11-25-23 | Northern Illinois -19 v. Kent State | Top | 37-27 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 10 m | Show |
10* Northern Illinois FIRST HALF (MAC GOW) If you can't get a FIRST HALF line, we also like NIU for the entire game. This is a great "situational" play in our opinion, and at this time of year, we're basing our picks off of "situations" in College Football. There's no need to overthink this one. The primary reason we like NIU is that we expect it to risk life and limb here to secure its sixth victory of the season, and thus become "eligible." Kent State is just 1-10 and a complete disaster. It won't win this game and we're not expecting the Flashes to put up any sort of fight whatsoever. We expect NIU to really push the pace in the FIRST HALF, but as we said off the top, if you can't find a FIRST HALF line, we also like the HUSKIES for the FULL GAME! AAA Sports |
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11-24-23 | Pelicans v. Clippers OVER 224 | Top | 116-106 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
10* OVER Pels/Clippers (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we think this one finally sets up as more of an explosive offensive affair. New Orleans is 8-7 and it's now won four of its last five. The Pels have seen the total go "under" the number in there last two games despite scoring 129 and 117 points. The Clippers have now won three in a row. Granted, it was against Houston and San Antonio (twice.) LA though has seen the total go "under" the number in five straight, which is significant to note here for sure, as the Clippers have in fact seen the total "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row; expect a more wide-open affair and for this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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11-24-23 | Avalanche v. Wild +1.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
8* Wild (DESTRUCTION) After five straight losses, we're expecting Minnesota to risk life and limb here to pull off the upset here at home. Note that the Wild are 4-1 in their last five after five or more straight losses in a row. Colorado had its three-game win streak snapped last time out ina 4-3 loss at Nashville, bbut with a home game vs. Calgary tomorrow night, we think the visitors get caught "looking ahead." In a contest that we see "coming down to the wire," we're laying the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance; the play is Minnesota on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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11-24-23 | Merrimack v. Samford -11.5 | Top | 71-79 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
10* Samford (MID-MAJOR MAULING) Samford is 3-2 and Merrimack is 3-1. Samford is known for its tough defensive play, while Samford is known for its high-scoring offensive prowess. It's a classic strength vs. strength here. The Bulldogs are balanced overall, averaging 78.8 PPG, while allowing 72.8. The Warriors average 73.4 PPG, while allowing 70.6. Merrimack's competition to this point though needsd to be called into question. Look for the high-scoring home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and to comfortably pull away for the win and ATS cover; the play is indeed on Samford! AAA Sports |
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11-24-23 | UTSA +4 v. Tulane | Top | 16-29 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 35 m | Show |
10* UTSA (UNDERDOG OF THE YEAR) When betting College Football at this time of year, it's really important to first look at each team's record, because that plays a big part in their motivation. For example, Iowa is 9-2 in Nebraska this weekend, but the Hawekeyes are already playing in the Big Ten Championship game against either Michigan or Ohio State. So do the Hawkeyes really care if they win or lose against the 5-6 Huskers? Nebraska though will be risking life and limb of course to try and pull off the victory. But these two teams here in Tulane, along with SMU, are tied for first place in the AAC, so this is a really big game obvoiusly for each side here despite each already being eligible. In fact the winner of this game will almost assuredly go on to play in the AAC title game. The Green Wave average 33.1 points per game and it's been their offense which has led the charge this season. The Roadrunners are the exact opposite, as they've been getting the job done with a fantastic defense that allows just 18.5 points per game. They say "defense wins championships," and that's the angle we're going with here for sure; grab the points, the play is UTSA! AAA Sports |
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11-24-23 | Utah State -6 v. New Mexico | Top | 44-41 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 2 m | Show |
10* Utah State (MOUNTAIN WEST GOW) The Utah State Aggies are 5-6 and the New Mexico Lobos are 4-7. With a win Utah State will become "eligible," and with a victory, New Mexico will win on Senior's Day. The Lobos can only play spoiler here and we don't think that'll be enough of a motivating factor to get the job done here. Utah State is off a 45-10 loss to Boise State, wile the Lobos are off a satisfying 25-17 victory over Fresno State. If recent history is any precedence, then the Aggies have to be loving their chances as Utah State has won the last two head-to-head matchups by a combined score of 62-20. Jalen Royals is one of the best offensive players in the country and we believe the dynamic WR will be a difference-maker for the visiting side; lay the points, the play is Utah State! AAA Sports |
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11-24-23 | Iowa v. Nebraska -2 | Top | 13-10 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 38 m | Show |
10* Nebraska (BIG TEN GOW) No need to overthink this one. Iowa is already in the Big Ten Championship game and it'll just be going through the motions here and trying not to sustain any serious injuries before a date with either Michigan or Ohio State. Nebraska is 5-6 and needs one more win here on Senior Night to become eligible. The Huskers have gone 0-3 SU/ATS in their last three, but note that Nebraska is 3-1 ATS in its last four after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. In what we expect will be a rout from start to finish, lay the points the with confidence; the play is Nebraska! AAA Sports |
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11-24-23 | BYU v. Arizona State +11.5 | Top | 77-49 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 31 m | Show |
10* Arizona State (NON-CONF GOW) The Sun Devils are 2-1 and on a two-game win streak after a 71-69 victory over UMass Lowell River. BYU is 4-0, most recently off a commanding 93-50 victory over Morgan State. Aside from SDSU, a game the Cougars won 74-65 as two-point favorites, BYU has not played anyone of note. They've been massive double-digit favorites in every other game. This is the "Vegas Showdown" Tournament and we think that the improving underdog side offers great value in this spot to pull off a comfortable ATS cover. Look for ASU to put up a similar fight as to what the Aztecs gave; grab the points, the play is indeed on Arizona State! AAA Sports |
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11-23-23 | 49ers v. Seahawks +6.5 | Top | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 51 m | Show |
10* Seahawks. Seattle has been trading wins and losses over its last four games. It fell 17-16 at the Rams last week. It's the first game of the year vs. the 49ers, who have gotten back on track with B2B wins and once look pretty dominant. With a game at Philadelphia after this, followed by a home re-match vs. the Hawks, we say that San Fran gets caught "looking ahead." Seattle is 4-1 SU at home. San Fran is just 2-3 ATS on the road. We're not calling for an outright upset, but all signs point to this one being much more competitive than what this spread would suggest; grab the points, the play is San Francisco! AAA Sports |
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11-23-23 | Commanders +11.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 10-45 | Loss | -111 | 72 h 1 m | Show |
10* Commanders. As mentioned in the play on Green Bay, we're going "contrarian" here on Thanksgiving, taking all three dogs. Washington is 4-7 and it's lost two straight after an upset 31-19 setback to the Giants. Previous to that they fell short in a competitive 29-26 loss at Seattle as a six-point dog. We like the Commanders to bounce back here with their effort though after they got caught looking ahead to this one. These teams play in the Nation's capital in the final regular season game and we like the visitors to keep this one a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Dallas has always had a way of playing down to the level of its competition in big moments, and we say that pattern of futility continues here on the short week. No outright, but way closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Washington! AAA Sports |
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11-23-23 | Packers +8 v. Lions | Top | 29-22 | Win | 100 | 68 h 1 m | Show |
10* Packers. We're going contrarian here. While the majority of the public goes one way on this early game on Thanksgiving, we're going the other. In fact, that's the theme of this three-game report, a Thanksgiving Contraian 3-Pak! Cleary, Detroit is the better team. After three straight wins, it's now in lines for its fourth. It beat Green Bay 34-20 back in September, but we're expecting a much better fight from their division rival here on the National Stage. Detroit was "lucky" to move past Chicago 31-26 last weekend. It plays its next two on the road, so it could be caught "looking ahead" here as well. Green Bay plays with revenge and it comes in off a huge 23-20 home win over the Chargers as three-point dogs. Everything points to a much tigher battle than what this line is suggesting in our opinion; grab the points, the play is indeed on Green Bay! AAA Sports |
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11-22-23 | Warriors v. Suns UNDER 234 | Top | 115-123 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 38 m | Show |
10* Warriors/Suns UNDER (PACIFIC DIVISION TOY) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Golden State finally snapped a six-game slide with a slim 121-116 victory over Houston last time out. They've seen the total go "over" in three straight, but note that the Warriors have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Phoenix has won four straight and it's seen the total eclipse the posted number in all four games. But after last night's 120-107 win over Portland, we expect the home side to come in with some "heavy legs" here in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. Phoenix won the latest matchup 108-104 and we're expecting a similar lower-scoring, defensive-battle here as well; this nubmer is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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11-22-23 | Golden Knights v. Stars -133 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -133 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
10* Stars (REVENGE BLOOD-BATH) We base our picks on MANY different things. We use many different strategies and we employ them at different times of the season. Some games we look at every angle possible, but othes we keep it simple. This one is based on "revenge." Some times the "revenge" angle can be over-rated, but not in this case. These two teams are both fantastic and it would not be hard to write a convincing argument for either side to win. Dallas does play with revenge here though after a 3-2 shootout loss back in October, and note that the Stars are 5-1 in their last six in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent; overall a fantastic price on the revenge-minded Stars! AAA Sports |
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11-22-23 | Cal-Riverside +4 v. Montana State | Top | 68-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
10* UC Riverside (MID-MAJOR MAULING) UC Riverside is 2-3 SU and 0-4 ATS. We expect the Highlanders to, at the very least, finally get off the schneid here in the ATS department. They're actually coming off a 74-68 win over Wisconsin Green Bay and despite not covering the spread last time out, note that UC Riverside is still a wallet-expanding 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. Montanta State actually lost 54-53 to Wisconsin Green Bay in OT as an 11-point favorite here at home two nights ago. These teams are in fact evenly matched and in a battle that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is UC Riverside! AAA Sports |
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11-21-23 | Pacers v. Hawks UNDER 252.5 | Top | 157-152 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
10* UNDER Pacers/Hawks (EAST-CONF NON-DIV TOY) No need to overthink this one, as we expect a much more defensive affair here finally between two teams that have been playing to a lot of "overs" to open the season. In fact, Indiana has seen the total go 11-1 to the "over." Atlanta is just 6-6 and its lost two straight. It's also seen the total go "over" in three straight, but note that the Hawks have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Expect a bit more of a methodical pace than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; this number is indeed way too high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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11-21-23 | Eastern Michigan +6.5 v. Buffalo | Top | 24-11 | Win | 100 | 29 h 15 m | Show |
10* EMU (MAC DOMINATION) This is a FANTASTIC "situational" play in our opinion. EMU is 0-5 SU on the road and it's a big dog here, but at 5-6, the Eagles still have one more opportunity to try and punch their ticket to "eligibility." Despite being 0-5 SU on the road, EMU is a competitive 3-2 ATS away from friendly confines. they kep their hopes alive with a huge 30-27 OT win over Akron last week, and we're expecting another all-out effort here in Buffalo as well. The Bulls have lost three straight SU/ATS, including a 23-10 setback at Miami Ohio last week. Playing spoiler can only go so far, and we think that the Eagles' determination will prove to be the difference; grab the points,teh play is EMU. AAA Sports |
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11-21-23 | Maryland-Baltimore County v. Maryland -20 | Top | 68-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
10* MARYLAND (ATS CURB-STOMP) Maryland is 1-3, while UMBC is 3-2. The Terps are heavily favored here to snap their three game slide and we think they'll do just that by being merciless here on the Retreivers. Note that Maryland is in fact 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU losses in a row. UMBC now looks primed for a letdown after winning and covering in three straight (note that the Retreivers are in fact just 2-4 ATS in their last six after three or more straight SU victories in a row.) Look for Maryland to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in this one and lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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11-20-23 | Sharks v. Canucks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 60 m | Show |
10* UNDER Sharks/Canucks (TOW) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, including a 10-1 win Vancouver had over San Jose earlier in the season, but all signs finally point to more of a defensive affair here on the West Coast of Canada on Monday in our opinion finally. San Jose broke a three-game slide with a 5-1 win over St. Louis last time out. Note though that the Sharks have seen the total go "under" the number in three of their last four in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. Vancouver has now dropped two straight, so it'll be eager to get back to its winning ways. It's seen the total go "over" the number in five straight, but note that the Canucks have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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11-20-23 | Eagles +2.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 31 h 58 m | Show |
10* Eagles (BLOOD-BATH) The Eagles play with revenge after losing to the Chiefs in the Super Bowl last year. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. If you're betting on this game, then you know the cast of characters on each side and you're also very familiar with each team's strengths and weaknesses. Despite the Chiefs being the defending champs though, Philadelphia "feels" like the more complete team to us at this point of the season. Honestly, it would not be difficult to write a convincing argument for either of these sides to take this one. We think the revenge factor will prove to be the difference-maker; grab the points, the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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11-20-23 | Knicks v. Wolves -3 | Top | 100-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
10* Wolves (NON-CONF GOW) New York is 8-5, including 5-3 on the road. But after three straight SU/ATS road victories, and with four days off after this before game vs. rival Miami, we say this absolutely sets up as a "trap" for the visitors. Minnesota has won eight in a row, but it's lost three straight ATS. Note that the Wolves are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. We expect the visitors to "go through the motions" here; the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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11-20-23 | Wisconsin +3.5 v. Virginia | Top | 65-41 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
10* Wisconsin (TOURNEY GOW) Virginia is 4-0 and Wisconsin is 2-2. The Badgers are off a 76-68 win over Robert Morris, while UVA is off a 63-33 win over Texas Southern. This is UVA's first "real" test though and Wisconsin ultimately has the offensive fire-power to match pace. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Wisconsin! AAA Sports |
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11-20-23 | Louisville v. Indiana -6.5 | 66-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
8* Indiana (ATS BLOWOUT) Indiana is 3-1 SU, but 0-4 ATS. Louisville is 2-2 SU/ATS. This is the consolation game of the Saatva Empire Classic. The Hoosiers are off the 77-57 loss to UConn, but we're expecting them to bounce back here, and keep your eye on Kel'el Ware, who is averaging 16.5 points and 9.5 boards per game. Louisville lost to Texas last time out. The Cardinals are led most night by Tre White with 14.5 PPG. Clearly, Louisville is going to be better than the garbage pile it was last year, but it's still in over its head here in our opinion; lay the points, the play is Indiana! AAA Sports |
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11-19-23 | Thunder v. Blazers +7.5 | Top | 134-91 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
10* Blazers (NORTHWEST DIV. GOM) Here's a great situational wager on Portland. OKC is 9-4 and it's won four in a row, including two straight at Golden State, including last night's 130-123 OT victory. Can anyone say "letdown" spot?! Portland has lost six straight. It's lost three straight ATS, but note that the Blazers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more straight ATS setbacks in a row. With a couple days off after this, followed by a home game vs. the Bulls, this one has "trap" written all over it for the visitors; grab the points, the play is the Blazers! AAA Sports |
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11-19-23 | Sabres v. Blackhawks OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
10* OVER Sabres/Hawks (NON-CONF TOW) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. We like betting on motivated teams when we're betting "overs," and that's the case here for these non-conference sides. Buffalo is just 7-9-1-0 this year, while Chicago is 5-10-0-0. The Sabres will be desperate to snap a three-game slide, but note that Buffalo has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after three or more straight losses in a row. With each team pushing the pace of this one like we anticipate, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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11-19-23 | St. John's +5 v. Utah | Top | 91-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
10* St. John's (ASSASSIN) This is for the third-place in the Charleston Classic. The Red Storm are off an 88-81 loss at Dayton, while the Utes fell 76-66 to Houston on Friday. St. John's is now 2-2 on the year, but battle-tested. They average 74.3 PPG, while allowing 75.8. Utah is averaging 71.5 PPG, while allowing 66.3. The Utes struggled defensively last time out though and we think they'll have their hands full here too in this neutral site affair. We think the Red Storm will do more than enough to, at the very least, post the comfortable cover; grab the points, the play is St. John's! AAA Sports |
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11-19-23 | Jets v. Bills OVER 39 | Top | 6-32 | Loss | -115 | 74 h 28 m | Show |
10* OVER Jets/Bills (AFC EAST TOY) It's a big game for each side, and while both have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, including in their first meeting of the year back in Week 1 when the Jets upset the Bills at home by a score of 22-16 in OT. The Jets are 4-5 and the Bills are 5-5 and there are plenty of implications on the line for each team. Note though that the Bills have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS divisional loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The Bills have lost two in a row after last week's 24-22 setback to the Broncos, and they've seen the total go "under" in three straight, but note that Buffalo has also seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight UNDERS in a row. We're expecting a battle here, but one that flies OVER the number as the game comes down the stretch! AAA Sports |
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11-19-23 | Bucs +12.5 v. 49ers | Top | 14-27 | Loss | -109 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
10* Bucs (ASSASSIN) Tampa isn't going to win this game outright, but it also won't be rolling over. Yes, the 49ers looked sharp in last week's 34-3 win over Jacksonville, bouncing back from three straight losses after their bye week, but we're expecting them to get caught "looking ahead" here to their divisional matchup in Seattle next week. And that's then followed by a game at Philadelphia, followed by two more straight divisional matchups. This really does feel like a "trap" for San Francisco. Tampa broke a four-game slide last week as well with a 20-6 home win over Tennessee. The Bucs have now covered in three straight, and we're expecting that trend to follow through one more time in this favorable "spot" as well; a great situational play on Tampa Bay! AAA Sports |
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11-18-23 | Morgan State +30 v. BYU | 50-93 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
8* Morgan State (ULTIMATE SHOCKER) Outright victory?! Of course not! But we think that this is a great situational play on the underdog. Morgan State is 2-2 and BYU is 3-0. The Cougars have yet to be tested, plaing all three games at home, but with a tournament game vs. Arizona State this week, there's no doubt that BYU gets caught "looking ahead" here. We like the Bears to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Morgan State! AAA Sports |
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11-18-23 | Heat v. Bulls +3.5 | Top | 97-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
10* Bulls (UNDERDOG OF MONTH) Despite having just played and lost 103-97 to Orlando last night, we like the Bulls to bounce back and take the first game of this two-game series here vs. the Heat. Chicago lost both games to orlando and it's now lost three in a row. Note though that the Bulls are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more SU losses in a row. Miami has won seven straight, but we expect it to have its hands full here today vs. this underachieving home side. And while the outright win is obviously poossible, the official call is to grab as many points as you can with Chicago! AAA Sports |