Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-06-23 | Raptors +7.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 113-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show |
10* Raptors (GOW) Denver is heavily favored here by the oddsmakers, and nearly 80% of the early money is also on the Nuggets. However, I like the hungry Raptors to, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Denver has won three straight SU/ATS, but note that the Nuggets are just 1-3 ATS in their last four after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. Toronto is fifth right now at 32-33. It's coming off a 116-109 OT win at Washington. I think Toronto is the much "hungrier" team in this non-conference matchup. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Toronto! AAA Sports |
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03-05-23 | Knicks v. Celtics -5 | 131-129 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
8* play on Celtics. New York has won and covered in eight straight, and because of that fact, I believe the oddsmakers are now overvaluing the Knicks in this spot. All good things come to an end eventually, and New York's great surge here is about to come to an end vs. this revenge-minded Celtics side that fell 109-94 to the Knicks in New York at the end of the February. Note that Boston is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. Boston is just 1-2 in its last three. It's lost three straight ATS. It's coming off a poor 115-105 loss to Brooklyn as a ten-point favorite. Time to finally annihlate the Knicks today; lay the points, the play is Boston! AAA Sports |
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03-05-23 | Chattanooga v. Wofford UNDER 152.5 | Top | 74-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
10* UNDER Chattanooga/Wofford (SOUTHERN TOY) Chattanooga has won the first two rounds to advance here to face Wofford in the Southern Tournament. While the Mocs both won and covered in each, both of those contests went well "over" the number. Now with tthe stiff competition here, I'm expecting a much more defensive affair finally. Wofford got by UNCG 67-66 yesterday in a lower-scoring defensive battle, and that's what Im predicting here as well. While their last game against each other in the regular season went "over" the number, expect the rematch here in the conference tournament to be tighter, and ultimatley lower-scoring; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-05-23 | Hornets +8 v. Nets | 86-102 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
8* play on Hornets. Here's a great spot for the Hornets to exact a little revenge from a previous loss to the Nets. Brooklyn is coming off a 115-105 upset win at Boston as a ten-point dog and I say is now primed for a predictable "letdown" after that emotional win. With a five game road trip upcoming starting in Houston, it's also a "look-ahead" spot. The Hornets play with revenge after a 123-106 loss to Brooklyn on December 31st. This is just too many points for this patchwork Brooklyn team to cover vs. this focussed and revenge-minded visiting side; grab the points, thep lay is Charlotte! AAA Sports |
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03-05-23 | Pacers v. Bulls -6 | 125-122 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
8* play on Chicago. Chicago has lost two of its last three. It's now lost three straight ATS after a 125-104 setback to Phoenix at home as a 3.5-point dog last time out. The Bulls though are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. They play with revenge as well after a 117-113 setback to the Pacers in mid-February. Note that Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. The Pacers have Philly at home tomorrow night, and I say they get caught "looking ahead." Lay the points, the play is Chicago! AAA Sports |
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03-05-23 | Manchester United v. Liverpool UNDER 3 | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -122 | 22 h 14 m | Show |
10* UNDER Manchester United/Liverpool (BLOOD-BATH) Liverpool was expected to be a challenger again before the season started, while Manchester United was supposed to struggle, but the opposite is the case as we head into the final third of the campaign. Man U is in third, while Liverpool is in sixth. Now Liverpool will look to make a move in the EPL and it'll be feeling confident after a win over Newcastle last week. Man U won the reverse fixture 2-0 in August and Liverpool is going to have difficulty scoring again here in my opinion. Look for this one to be a "war of attrition" and play the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-04-23 | Idaho +4.5 v. Northern Arizona | Top | 76-87 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
10* Idaho (BIG SKY TOURNEY GOY) We have two really bad teams going head-to-head here in the opener of the Big Sky Tourney. Idaho finished 10-21, while Northern Arizona was 9-22. This is a neutral site affair, so neither team enjoys an advantage as far as that's concerned tonight. These teams offensive and defensive numbers are similar, but Idaho has done really well in this spot for bettors in the past, and I expect that to again be the case today, as note that the Vandals are 5-1 ATS in their last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss in which it was a favorite vs. an opponent. And Idaho does indeed play with revenge here after falling 72-50 to Northern Arizona at home as a 2.5-point favorite in mid-February. With that loss still fresh at the front of their minds, look for the Vandals to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to earn the comfortable cover; grab the points, the play is Idaho! AAA Sports |
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03-04-23 | Raptors -115 v. Wizards | Top | 116-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
10* Raptors (ASSASSIN) The immediate "revenge" factor will turn out to the difference in this one. These teams played here in the Nation's capital just two nights ago and the Wizards won by a score of 119-108 as two-point underdogs. Note though that Toronto is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss as a favorite against an opponent. With Milwaukee coming to town on Saturday, I say that the Wizards get caught "looking ahead" as well; clearly the outright win is a very real possibility, but the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Raptors! AAA Sports |
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03-04-23 | Troy State +3 v. James Madison | Top | 72-75 | Push | 0 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
10* Troy (SUNBELT TOURNEY GOY) I love the way this one sets up for the Trojans in the opener of the Sunbelt Tournament. Troy finished 20-12, while James Madison was 21-10. The Dukes did finish 11-3 at home, but note that this one is at a neutral location. Troy actually got past the first round by defeating Arkansas State by a score of 63-59, winning but not covering the 8-point spread. James Madison earned a bye, but it hasn't played since February 24th. I say that "rest" leads to "rust." Most importantly here for me though on this play is that the Trojans play with revenge here after falling 89-87 i OT to the Dukes as one-point favorites at home in January, which is crucial for us here, as note that Troy is a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in its last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Clearly the outright is a possibility, but the official call will be to grab the points; the play is Troy! AAA Sports |
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03-04-23 | Elon +2 v. William & Mary | 51-73 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
8* Elon (TOURNEY BLOWOUT) It's the opener of the CAA Tournament and I like the way this one sets up for Elon, which plays with the immediate "revenge factor." Both teams struggled this year. Elon fiished just 8-23l while William & Mary was 12-19. While the Tribe did finish 11-5 at home, note that this is at a neutral location. Elon averages 65.9 PPG, while allowing 71.6, while William & Mary averages 67.7 PPG, while allowing 70.2. Elon won the first matchup of the year by a score of 66-55, but then the Tribe bounced back with the 73-60 win at home as a one-point dog on February 23rd. That however works in our favor here, as note that Elon is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss to a conference opponent; the play is Elon! AAA Sports |
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03-04-23 | West Ham United v. Brighton & Hove Albion -130 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 39 m | Show |
10* Brighton (EPL GOW) Brighton is enjoying a decent season, and it's pushing for its first-ever taste of European Football. Brighton will be feeling especially ready to get back onto the pitch today after a 1-0 defeat to Fulham in its latest EPL action, a game in which it created plenty of opportunities, but somehow came up empty-handed. West Ham has struggled, and now sits outside the safe zone. Last weekend they earned a much-needed 4-0 win over Nottingham Forest, but then it fell 3-1 to Manchester United in the last 16 of the FA Cup on Thursday. Brighton though has won three of its last four home games and I'm expecting the hosts to dig deep and deliver in regulation here after last week's disappointing result; lay the price, the play is Brighton! AAA Sports |
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03-03-23 | Jets v. Oilers -147 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
10* Oilers (BLOOD-BATH) Both teams are really in need of a victory. For me, "home ice" is going to be the difference here. This is the opener of a home and home set between these teams, as they'll be in Winnipeg tomorrow night. The Jets have been terrible of late, losers of four straight and six of their last seven. But Edmonton just snapped a two-game slide with a 5-2 win here over the Leafs. The Oilers also play with revenge after a 2-1 loss to the Jets here on December 31st. That's significant to note though as the Oilers are 4-1 in their last five in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite against an opponent. This will be a public play, which means the faster you can bet this one, the better; the play is on the Oilers! AAA Sports |
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03-03-23 | Knicks v. Heat +2.5 | Top | 122-120 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
10* Heat (ASSASSIN) After seven straight SU/ATS wins in a row, I believe the Knicks will finally have their hands full here with this Heat team that's going to be playing with desperation. They also play with revenge after falling 106-104 at New York at the start of February. That's important to note here as the Heat are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as a favorite against an opponent. The Knicks have Boston up next, while the Heat have hit a very favorable part of their schedule. I look for the home side to dig deep, to stop its slide and to avenge the earlier setback; the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
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03-03-23 | North Dakota v. Denver UNDER 150.5 | Top | 83-68 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
10* UNDER North Dakota/Denver (SUMMIT TOURNEY TOY) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late and the last time these teams got together the total flew "over" the posted number, but now finally here in the conference Tournament, I expect a more defensive battle. North Dakota comes into the Tournament at 12-19. It went 2-1 in its final three games, but it's seen the total go "over" in three straight. That's significant to note here though for us because the Fighting Hawks have seen the total go "under" the number four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. North Dakota beat Denver by a score of 86-63 as a three-point favorite on February 9th and the total went "over" the number of 146. The Pioneers finished 15-16. Note that they've seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss against an opponent. Look for this neutral site contest to finally produce more of a defensive affair as well; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-03-23 | AJ Auxerre v. OGC Nice UNDER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
10* UNDER Auxerre/Nice (ASSASSIN) Nice will be looking to go to nine unbeaten here today in Ligue 1 action. They're off a 3-0 win over Monaco, while Auxerre does come to town with some momentum of its own after a 1-0 away win over Lorient. All three of Nice's goals last time out came in the first half. Auxerre will present a much more difficult challenge on the backend today though. This one has all the feelings of a "war of attrition" this afternoon, and because of that, the play here is on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-03-23 | Northern Iowa +10.5 v. Bradley | 66-72 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
8* NORTHERN IOWA (DESTRUCTION) I like Northern Iowa to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Northern Iowa advanced to the second round of the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament by beating Illinois State by a score of 75-62 as a 3.5-point favorite. The Panthers play with revenge here after falling 77-69 to the Braves as three-point dogs back in earl February. Note that Northern Iowa is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as an underdog against an opponent. Bradley received a bye in the first round and while it is indeed 15-1 at home this year, note that this is in a neutral location; grab the points and expect a much tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting! AAA Sports |
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03-02-23 | Clippers -2.5 v. Warriors | Top | 91-115 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 14 m | Show |
10* Clippers (PACIFIC DIVISION GOY) There's no excuses fro the Clippers here, who have lost three straight, both SU and ATS. That's important to note here though, as LA is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Golden State on the other hand has won three straight, both SU and ATS, which is also important to note here, as the Warriors are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. Why/how could the Clippers possibly be favored here on the road in Golden State, a place where the Warriors are 25-7 this year? Obviously, Stephen Curry and several other key players are sidelined with injury. That's all that LA is going to need here to get over the hump and record this victory in my estimation; lay the points, the play is the Clippers! AAA Sports |
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03-02-23 | Louisiana-Monroe +5.5 v. Georgia Southern | Top | 57-66 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
10* UL Monroe (SUNBELT TOURNEY GOY) This is the first round of the Sunbelt Tournament and I really like the way this one sets up for UL Monroe. The Warhawks are just 11-20 this year, while Georgia Southern finished 16-15. UL Monroe enters having lost seven straight SU, and three straight ATS, which is significat to note, as UL Monroe is 4-1 ATS in its last five after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. UL Monroe actually upset Georgia Southern by a score of 72-59 as an 8.5-point underdog in January. Georgia Southern is 16-15 overall, and 12-4 at home, but this is being played at a neutral site. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands in the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is UL Monroe! AAA Sports |
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03-02-23 | Lafayette +3 v. Lehigh | Top | 71-64 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
10* Lafayette (PATRIOT LEAGUE GOY) I love the way this one sets up for Lafayette. The Leopards have lost four straight, but they play with revenge here after a 66-64 loss to Lehigh as a two-point favorite at home on February 4th. That's however crucial to note here, as Lafayette is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against a conference opponent (moves to 4-1 ATS in their last five off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. a conference opponent as well.) Lehigh was 2-1 down the stretch SU, but 3-0 ATS. Note however that the Mountain Hawks are a sub-par 2-5 ATS in their last seven after three or more ATS victories in a row. This is a very evenly matched contest, a sentiment shared here by the oddsmakers. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Lafayette! AAA Sports |
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03-01-23 | Magic v. Bucks OVER 225.5 | Top | 117-139 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
10* OVER Magic/Bucks (EAST-CONF TOY) I love the way this one sets up to be a higher-scoring affair. Orlando is 2-1 in its last three, but it's seen the total go "under" the number in three straight. Note though that the Magic have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The Bucks are 3-1 in their last four. They've seen the total go "under" in two straight. The Bucks have won 15 in a row and I don't expect that streak to end here. That said, look for this contest to fly "over" the posted number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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03-01-23 | Wagner v. Sacred Heart OVER 128.5 | Top | 55-67 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
10* OVER Wagner/Sacred Heart. These teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but now that the conference tournament is here, I'm expecting each to push the pace, as I look for this total to eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch. Wagner has seen the total go "under" in four straight. It's coming in off B2B victories. It plays with revenge though after a 65-56 loss to Sacred Heart on Feburay 2nd, and that's important for us to take note of here, as the Seahawks have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a conference loss against an opponent in which they were held to 59 or less points in. The Pioneers enter the tourney having seen the total go "under" in three straight, and that's significant to note here as wel, as Sacred Heart has seen the total go "over" in five of its last seven after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. This number is now too low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-01-23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Liverpool OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -135 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
10* OVER Wolverhampton/Liverpool (EPL TOY) With the total juiced to the "over," oddsmakers are expecting some offensive fireworks perhaps? I do as well. These are two of the best defensive clubs around, but that's only helped in driving this total down from were it really should be in my opinion. The Reds are off a 0-0 draw with Crystal Palace, and they'll be eager to reverse their offensive fortunes here. Liverpool is still in seventh, but with a lot of ground to make up with a nine-point gap to Tottenham. The Wolves took seven points from four fixtures in February. Wolverhampton is in 15th in the table and just three points clear of the dotted line. Each of these motivated teams pushes the pace and finally finds the back of the net in the end though; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-28-23 | Lakers v. Grizzlies OVER 232 | Top | 109-121 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
10* OVER Lakers/Grizzlies (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to lower-scoring outcomes of late, but I expect that to change here. LA is off three staight wins, most recently coming from behind to knock off the Mavericks on the road by a score of 111-108. Over their L3 the Lakers have combined to score 355 points. I expect this offensive explosion to continue here in Memphis. When these two clubs last played, the Lakers managed the 122-121 win on January 20th as 7-point dogs. That total actually stayed "under" the sky-high total of 244 in that one. Now tonight's total is ten or more points less than that previous matchup. And now it's a little TOO low. Look for a faster-paced, wide-open affair to lead to a high-scoring "over" before it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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02-28-23 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Robert Morris -14 | Top | 64-67 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
10* Robert Morris (HORIZON LEAGUE TOURNEY GOY) The IUPUI Jaguars are just 5-26, but they somehow managed an 81-75 win over Robert Morris just a few nights ago. That was as a ten-point underdog. That's good news for us her though, because Robert Morris is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent. Robert Morris did beat IUPUI here by a score of 77-70 back on January 9th, but while the Colonials were unable to cover the 15-point spread in that one, I expect them to keep the foot on the gas here in this revenge spot and to open up the Conference Tournament. All signs point to a lop-sided destruction here in my opinion; lay the points, the play is Robert Morris! AAA Sports |
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02-28-23 | Torino v. Juventus -130 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
10* Juventus (BLOOD-BATH) This is a big game, as only one point seperates these top-flight opponents. This is the 156th Derby della Mole. Juventus has slipped of late, and has only a slim lead over Torino now. Juventus has still won five of its last six games for the concession of just one breakaway goal. In fact, only Barcelona has achieved more wis without conceding that Juventus. Also note that Juve is unbeaten in the last 17 derbies, with 13 wins in the process. The Granata are in a bit of unfamiliar territory here now and will have to recover from a run of one win from five league and cup games. Torino is going to lack a scoring punch here against Juve's great backfield though; lay the price, the play is Juventus! AAA Sports |
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02-27-23 | CS Sacramento v. Portland State -2.5 | Top | 76-74 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 39 m | Show |
10* Portland State (BIG SKY GOW) This one really sets up well for Portland State here at home in the final game of the year for both of these teams. Sacramento State is just 13-17 this year, including only 4-10 on the road. Portland State is only 12-17 this year, but a more respectable 6-6 at home. The Vikings plays with revenge here as well after falling 74-63 at the Hornets as 2.5-point dogs back on December 31st. But that's significant to note here as Portland State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent. The home floor advantage, coupled with the "revenge" factor make Portland State the correct call here on Monday! AAA Sports |
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02-27-23 | Pistons v. Hornets OVER 238.5 | Top | 106-117 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 60 m | Show |
10* OVER Pistons/Hornets (NON-CONF TOW) Two bottom-feeding teams go head-to-head here and I'm expecting a wide-open "shootout." Detroit has lost four straight. It's off a 95-91 home loss to Toronto, which is significant to note here for us, as the Pistons have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten off a home loss in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in. Charlotte is playing its best basketball of the season right now, 4-0 SU/ATS in its last four. It's seen the total go "under" in three straight, but note that the Hornets have seen the total go "over" in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Expect a faster-paced game, coupled with poor defensive play, to finally produce a higher-scoring "over" between these clubs! AAA Sports |
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02-27-23 | Sampdoria v. Lazio -235 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
6* Lazio (SITUATIONAL WINNER) Is this a lot to lay? I'd say considering the form of each side, that Lazio is in fact vastly undervalued in this position, and because of that, I have no issues at all in laying this larger price. The Samp have yet to even win in 2023, while Lazio remains in the hunt for Champions League qualification. The Aquile are only behind Barcelona and Juventus in terms of clean sheets kept across the five European Leagues in 2022/23. After a 1-1 draw in August's reverse fixture, I expdect the home side to take nothing for granted today; this is a mismatch of epic proportions for various reasons, so lay the price with confidence! AAA Sports |
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02-26-23 | Wizards v. Bulls OVER 225.5 | Top | 82-102 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
10* OVER Wizards/Bulls (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but I expect these trends to end this afternoon. Washington came out of the break and lost its first game, falling 115-109 at New York. It's now seen the total go "under" in three straight, which is significant for us to note, as the Wizards have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The Bulls though play with revenge after a 100-97 loss to the Wizards in the Nation's capital in January. That's also important for us to take note, as Chicago has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. This number is a little low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-26-23 | Capitals v. Sabres -109 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
10* Sabres (BOB) This is a non-contrarian play, which is not like myself, but the public is correct almost 50% of the time, and in this case, I think the Sabres could/should in fact be much larger favs in this spot. The Capitals finally snapped a six-game slide with a very satisfying 6-3 win over the Rangers just last night. Can anyone say immediate "letdown" spot?! Buffalo is off two straight quality road wins, beating Tampa Bay 6-5 in OT, and then Florida the next night by a score of 3-1. With a night off to prepare for this one, the Sabres will now look to improve upon their 11-15-2-0 home record. All things considered, I believe this to be the very definition of "great line value;" the play is Buffalo! AAA Sports |
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02-26-23 | Belmont v. Northern Iowa UNDER 149.5 | Top | 83-75 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
10* UNDER Belmont/Northern Iowa (MISSOURI VALLEY TOW) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, including in one against each other earlier in the year, but I expect those trends to finally end here this evening. Belmont is 20-10, but just 6-7 on the road, while Northern Iowa is 13-16 overall, but 8-7 at home. The Bruins beat the Panthers by a score of 76-72 in mid-January, and thats significant to note here, because Northern Iowa has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU conference road loss against an opponent. Look for a hard-fought, but ultimately lower-scoring battle in this one; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-25-23 | Brendan Allen v. Andre Muniz -200 | 1-0 | Loss | -200 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
6* Andre Muniz (5* KNOCK-OUT) I think that Andre Muniz should in fact be a much bigger favorite in this favorable matchup. This is a big fight for each fighter, but more so for Muniz, who will earn a fight with a Top 10 opponent with a win today. Muniz is currently on a nine fight win streak. Brendan Allen has won thre in a row. Allen's striking has improved in the UFC, but he doesn't have the power to stand with Muniz. And Muniz is a bit better on the ground as well. Look for Muniz to get his hands on Allen eventually; lay the price, the play is Muniz! AAA Sports |
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02-25-23 | Eastern Washington v. Idaho State +6.5 | Top | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
10* Idaho State (BIG SKY GOM) I love the way this one sets up for the home side. Idaho State snapped a four-game slide with a 65-55 win over Idaho in its most recent action. This is its final home game of the season, so it's senior night. They play with the added incentive of revenge here after falling 81-68 at EWU as ten-point dogs in January. Are the Eagles the better team? Of course! They're 22-7 overall, but with a game at home vs. No. 2 Montana State, I think this is a "trap" game for the visiting side. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Idaho State! AAA Sports |
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02-25-23 | Pelicans v. Knicks OVER 225.5 | Top | 106-128 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
10* OVER Pelicans/Knicks (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but I predict a wide-open "shootoout" here in the Big Apple on Saturday night. The Pelicans went into the All Star break with a 120-102 loss to the Lakers, and they opened up the second half with a 115-110 loss at Toronto. Without Zion Williamson in the line-up, the Pels struggle. That said, note that New Orleans has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The Knicks went into the break with three straight wins, and they opened up the second hal fwith a 115-109 victory in the Nation's capital. These are two teams in need of a victory. Look for this non-conference contest to be less intense defensively, leading to this total eclipsing the posted number sooner, rather than later; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-25-23 | Northeastern +15.5 v. Hofstra | 52-84 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
8* Northeastern (MID-MAJOR MAULING) It's the final game of the regular season for both teams. I'm clearly not predicting an outright upset or anything, but I do expect the Pride to take the foot off the gas in the second half, allowing the revenge-minded Huskies to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Northeastern lost 72-53 at home as an eight-point dog at the start of February, and note that the Huskies have responded well for bettors in this exact spot, going 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. Look for Northeastern to put a good fight here and grab the points! AAA Sports |
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02-25-23 | Nottingham Forest v. West Ham United -130 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 13 m | Show |
10* West Ham United (EPL GOW) This is a big game for West Ham United, which is eager to climb out of the relegation zone. The Hammers are currently sitting in 18th in the table, which is just one point away from safety. Forest is in the 13th place, five points clear. West Ham will be particularly motivated after suffering a 2-0 defeat to Tottenham last weekend, but this is a matchup that favors the Hammers. They own a great home record vs. Forest, having only lost once to the Tricky Trees in ten such instances. They've also won seven of their last eight at home vs. newly promoted sides. Give me the desperate Hammers to dig deep and deliver in this crucial spot! AAA Sports |
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02-24-23 | Nets v. Bulls | Top | 87-131 | Win | 100 | 31 h 53 m | Show |
10* Bulls (TOP REVENGE SIDE OF SEASON) The Bulls are only 26-33, but they're a much more respectable 16-13 at home. They went into the break on a six game SU/ATS losing streak. The All-Star game came at a good time. This Bulls' team definitely has identity issues, but with time off to regroup, in the short term I expect them to come in focused, and here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against. The Nets beat Miami before the break and after the KD trade, but a huge drop off in mental focus moving forward is now expected in my opinion. Most importantly though, as the title of this pick indicates, this selection is primarily based around the "revenge" factors, as note that Chicago lost 116-105 at Brooklyn on February 9th as a three-point favorite, which is indeed signficant for us to note, as the Bulls are a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in their last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss as a favorite vs. an opponent; lay the short points, the play is Chicago! AAA Sports |
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02-24-23 | Xavier v. Seton Hall OVER 140.5 | Top | 82-60 | Win | 100 | 27 h 20 m | Show |
10* OVER Xavier/Seton Hall (BIG EAST TOY) I love the way this end of season matchup sets up to be more of a competitive defensive affair, rather than a high-scoring "shootout." Xavier is 20-8, but just a pedestrian 5-4 on the road, while Seton Hall is 16-12, but a much more respectable 10-4 in front of the home town crowd. The Pirates play with revenge after a 73-70 loss at Xavier as eight-point underdogs on December 20th, which is significant to note, as Seton Hall has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU road loss against an opponent. Xavier is No. 15 in the country, but it'll be desperate to turn things around before the start of the conference tournament, having lost three of its last four, including a tight 64-63 setback to Villanova as a 4.5-point favorite last time out. I have every reason to believe that this will be a faster-paced "shootout," rather than a "clamp-down" defensive affair; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-24-23 | Borussia Monchengladbach v. Mainz OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
10* OVER Borussia/Mainz (BUNDESLIGA TOW) Each team is coming off a big win in the last round and I expect that momentum to get carried over here. They've combined for five league draws so far this season, and this is expected to be a very competitive affair between two well-matched sides. Mainz is off the 3-2 win over Bayer Leverkusen, while Borrusia Monchengladbach is off a big 3-2 win over Bayern Munich. Expect these offenses to continue to roll on Friday; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-23-23 | UMKC +12 v. South Dakota State | Top | 50-73 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
10* Kansas City (ASSASSIN) I'm not calling for an outright upset or anything, but everything points to this one being a lot closer than what this spread is suggesting in my opinion. Kansas City comes in under the radar here in my opinion. It won't be lacking motivation either after three straight SU/ATS losses in a row (note that the Roos are 4-1 ATS in their last five after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row though.) They play with revenge as well after a 67-66 home loss to South Dakota State on January 30th. The Jack Rabbits are 9-1 at home. I think they go up early and take the foot off the gas at the end of the game. And with 25-4 Oral Roberts coming to town to finish off the regular season, there's no question that this sets up as a classic "look-ahead" for SDSU as well. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Kansas City! AAA Sports |
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02-23-23 | Nuggets v. Cavs -1.5 | Top | 115-109 | Loss | -115 | 78 h 32 m | Show |
10* Cavaliers (NON-CONF GOY) I love the way this one sets up for the Cavaliers from a situational stand point so much, that it's now qualified as my one and only non-conference NBA game of the year. Denver is 41-18, but it's just 14-14 on the road. Cleveland is 38-23 this year, thanks in part to an elite 25-6 home record. The Cavaliers play with revenge here after a 121-108 road loss at Denver on January 6th (note though that Cleveland is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponet.) Look for the break to effect the Nuggets here more as a team than the Cavaliers and lay the short points with confidence; the play is indeed on Cleveland! AAA Sports |
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02-23-23 | Monmouth +3 v. Hampton | Top | 81-86 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
10* Monmouth (CAA GOY) Two terrible teams here, but in a contest that I see being decided by whichever has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. Monmouth is 6-23, while Hampton is 7-22. The Hawks play with revenge here though after an 83-66 setback at home to the Pirates as 2.5-point favorites on January 21st. Note that Monmouth is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite against an opponent. This is also Monmouth's final game of the season, and the Hawks would love nothing more tha to send out the Pirates with a loss in their final home game. Hampton has one more game after this at North Carolina A&T to look ahead to as well. Grab the points, the play is Monmouth! AAA Sports |
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02-22-23 | Charleston Southern +10 v. North Carolina-Asheville | Top | 62-80 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
10* Charleston Southern (BIG SOUTH GOY) I'm not calling for an outright upset or anything, but I think that Charleston Southern will play tougher than expected, and comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. The Buccaneers come in undervalued here after six straight SU/ATS losses in a row (note though that Charleston Southern is still 9-3 in its last 12 after five or more SU/ATS losses in a row.) Not surprisingly the Buccaneers play with "revenge" here after falling 73-63 lto UNC Asheville at home on January 18th as 2.5-point dogs. But that works in our favor here, as they're 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. The Bulldogs have "look ahead" spot here as well, with their final game of the season at No. 1 Longwood on Saturday night. As I said off the top, I'm not expecting an outright win, but everything points to a much more competitive battle than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Charleston Southern! AAA Sports |
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02-21-23 | East Carolina v. Tulsa +1.5 | Top | 62-60 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 12 m | Show |
10* Tulsa (AAC GOM) I base my picks on many different things. This particular one sets up well for Tulsa from a "situational" stand point in my opinion. ECU is the better team. It's 13-13, while Tulsa is only 5-21. However, the Pirates' weakness this season has absolutely been the quality of their play on the road, where they're just 1-7 this year. Tulsa on the other hand has been at its best at home this year, despite the 4-8 record. The Golden Hurricane though have performed well in this spot for bettors, going 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent (lost 76-66 at ECU on January 24th.) With a game vs. conference leading Houston up next for the Pirates as well, this is also a "look-ahead" spot for the visitors. As I said off the top, I love the way this one sets up for the home side from a "situational" stand-point; grab the points the play is Tulsa! AAA Sports |
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02-21-23 | Red Wings v. Capitals -148 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -148 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
10* Capitals (ASSASSIN) Washington did beat Detroit 4-3 at home in November, but I'm throwing the "revenge" factor out the window here today. That was a long time ago, and Washington now comes in desperate to snap a four-game slide, most recently fall 4-1 to Carolina. I say the Capitals haven't forgotten how to play hockey and I expect them to show up here tonight. Detroit just had its five game win streak snapped in a 4-2 loss at Seattle and I say it's primed for another letdown here as well. The fact that the wagers are split 50/50 on this contest says a lot I think. But the public trying to find value on this underdog is the wrong move in my opinion. Look for the Capitals to dig deep here and deliver in front of the home town crowd! AAA Sports |
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02-21-23 | Real Madrid v. Liverpool UNDER 3 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -132 | 23 h 37 m | Show |
10* UNDER Real Madrid/Liverpool (BLOCKBUSTER) This is a repeat of last year's Final. This is the first leg of their last-16 tie. Liverpool is coming off B2B victories over Everton and Newcastle United, meaning that a top-four finish is still in the cards. Liverpools unbeaten streak at Anfield has now reached seven games. Liverpool has always had a hell of a time with Real Madrid though. Real does have shaky European form on the road at times though. Liverpool is winless in six straight in this series. I'm expecting a highly competitive affair, but look for this one to be a "war of attrition." As such, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-20-23 | Mississippi Valley State v. Prairie View A&M UNDER 131 | Top | 65-67 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
10* Mississippi Valley State/Prairie View A&M UNDER (SWAC TOY) The last time these teams played against each other, it ended up being a lower-scoring defensive affair, and for a number of different reasons, that's exactly what I'm expecting in the rematch in this one as well. Prairie View has now seen the total go "over" the number in three straight ater an 82-71 win over Arkansas Pine Bluff in its last outing. Note though that the Panthers have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Mississippi Valley State has seen the total go "over" the number in seven straight now after its 80-62 loss at Texas Southern in its last outing. The Delta Devils also play with revenge here after the 67-60 loss to Prairie View A&M back on January 7th. However, note that the Delta Devils have seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a conference home loss vs. an opponent. For all the reasons listed above, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-20-23 | Islanders v. Penguins -129 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -129 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
10* Pens (METROPOLITAN GOY) Two good teams, but "revenge" is the difference in this one. New York is just 1-4 in its last five. The one win was a come from behind 5-4 home victory over Pittsburgh on Friday. Note that the Pens are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to avenge a conference road loss against an opponent. Pittsburgh is off B2B losses, but it's 15-7-4-0 at home still. New York is just 11-14-2-2 on the road. This will be a popular pick among bettors, but I still really love how this one sets up for the home side; the play is Pittsburgh! AAA Sports |
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02-20-23 | Cremonese v. Torino UNDER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Loss | -135 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
10* UNDER Cremonese/Torino (SERIE-A TOY) Cremonese is winless in Serie A action, and now they visit middle of the table Torino. The hosts though won't be taking anything for granted after a loss at Milan last week. The Grigiorossi will have to rely on a miracle at this point though to save them from an immediate exit back to the second tier. Despite the loss to Milan last week, Torino looked solid defensively in the 1-0 defeat. Expect the home side to control the pace of this one, as I find it difficult to see Cremonese mounting much of an attack today; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-19-23 | East Tennessee State +14.5 v. Furman | Top | 79-83 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
10* East Tennessee State (SOUTHERN GOW) This one ticks all the boxes from a "situational" stand point. No outright upset or anything, but I think that Furman will take the foot off the gas in the second half and allow East Tennessee State to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. ETSU is just 10-18 and 4-8 on the road. It plays with revenge here after falling 70-56 to Furman at home at the start of January. Note though that the Buccaneers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as an underdog against an opponet. We're coming down the home stretch of the regular season. Look for ETSU to keep this one close down the stretch; the play is the Buccaneers! AAA Sports |
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02-19-23 | Predators v. Wild OVER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
10* OVER Preds/Wild (ASSASSIN) This one sets up well to be a higher-scoring "over" in my opinion. The Wild have seen the total go "under" in nine of their last ten, including four straight. Note though that Minnesota has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 still after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. The Wild also play with revenge here after a tight 2-1 loss at Nashville back in November, and that's also significant and beneficial to us here, as the Wild have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a divisional loss against an opponent. Nashville is off a 7-3 win at Florida just last night, and I think it'll keep the foot on the gas here; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-19-23 | Niagara v. Marist UNDER 125 | Top | 52-61 | Win | 100 | 21 h 56 m | Show |
10* UNDER Niagara/Marist (MAAC TOY) These teams played to a higher-scoring game earlier in the season, but I expect the rematch to be a tigher, and ultimately lower-scoring contest. Marist won by a score of 66-64 as a 4.5-point underdog back on January 15th. The total snuck "over" the number of 123.5 in that one. Note though that Niagara has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The Purple Eagles only average 65 PPG, while conceding just 58. Marist averages only 62.3 PPG, while allowing 66.7. I don't expect either team to reach its seasonal offensive average in the re-match today, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-19-23 | Hertha Berlin v. Borussia Dortmund OVER 3 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
10* OVER Dortmund/Hertha (BUNDESLIGA TOW) Dortmund is rolling, looking to post a sixth straight Bundesliga victory. Hertha Berlin won't be rolling over though, as its hovering on relegation, and an upset here would be huge. Hertha comes in with momentum as well off a much-needed win over Borussia Monchengladbach last weekend. Dortmund is off a 1-0 win over Chelsea in Champions League play, but we can anticipate a much more wide-open affair here; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-18-23 | Erin Blanchfield v. Jessica Andrade -119 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -119 | 28 h 12 m | Show |
10* Andrade (UFC GOY) I don't expect this one to go the distance in this five round fight, as I think this is a difficult matchup for Blanchfield. Andrade is the former women's strawweight champion. She is fighting at 12, which is what she fought at in a win over Lauren Murphy just last month. She's now won three in a row, I see that momentum carrying over here in this favorable matchup. Blanchfield is 10-1 in her MMA career. She's 4-0 in the UFC and off a win over Molly McCann. She's a grappling specialist. Andrade's only defeats in the last six years though have come against the best of the best in Shevchenko, Zhang Weili, and Rose Namajunas (which was a razor-close split decision). Look for experience to be the difference-maker in this one; the play is Jessica Andrade! AAA Sports |
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02-18-23 | Lafayette v. Army UNDER 132 | Top | 43-53 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
10* UNDER Lafayette/Army (PATRIOT LEAGUE TOY) This one checks all the boxes to be a lower-scoring "under" in the end. Lafayette and Army have already played once this year, and the Lafayette Leopards got killed 82-65 back on January 2nd as a one-point favorite. The total went "over" the number of 133.5 in that one, but note that Lafayette has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite against an opponent. Lafayette is just 9-19 overall, including only 4-13 on the road though. The Army Black Knights are coming in off back-to-back losses. They've been trading high-scoring games with lower-scoring ones over their last six outings, and I expect this pattern to continue here after a 93-86 loss at Colgate in their last outing. I look for the home side to slow this one down, and as a result, everything points to this one staying "under" the number! AAA Sports |
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02-18-23 | Florida v. Arkansas UNDER 138.5 | Top | 65-84 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 26 m | Show |
10* Florida/Arkansas UNDER (SEC TOY) The regular season is amazingly winding down. FLorida is 14-12 overall this season, including just 3-5 on the road. Arkansas is ranked No. 25 in the country at 17-9 overall and 11-2 at home. Florida only averages 71.8 PPG, while allowing just 66.9. Arkansas isn't the highest scoring team either, averaging 73.8 PPG, while alloiwng just 65.6. Arkansas is of B2B SU/ATS losses. It beat Florida 82-74 last season, but while I'm anticipating another highly competitive battle this time, I'm definitely expecting a much lower-scoring final outcome. Florida has seen the total go "over" the number in four straight, but we can expect this end of season conference battle to go well under the number; and that's the play, play on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-18-23 | Fulham v. Brighton & Hove Albion -150 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -150 | 18 h 32 m | Show |
10* Brighton (EPL GOY) I think Brighton is well worth the price of admission in this matchup. Brighton won't be taking anything for granted here after a draw with Crystal Palace last weekend. It was a game that Roberto De Zerbi and the Seagulls dominated from start to finish. They had twice as many shots as the Eagles. They're level on points with Fulham, but have played two less games. Brighton also has two games in hand over fifth-placed Tottenham. It won't be a cakewalk obviously, as Fulham has aspirations to play in Europe as well. They did manage to snap three-match winless streak witha 2-0 win over Nottingham Forest last weekend, but the Seagulls are an entirely different animal here obviously. This is a big time revenge game as well, as Fulham won 2-1 at Craven Cottage in the first half of the season (note that it hasn't completed the double on the Seagulls since 1992 though.) Look for revenge-minded Brighton to find a way to deliver on Saturday morning! AAA Sports |
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02-18-23 | Crystal Palace v. Brentford UNDER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 17 h 19 m | Show |
10* Brentford/Crystal Palace UNDER (EPL TOM) I'm expecting a very defensive affair in this one. Brentford is unbeaten in ten games. It's off a 1-1 draw vs. Arsenal over the weekend. I foresee a similar final combined score here. Palace is winless in its last six games. They're off a 1-1 draw with Brighton, which is actually a really good result. Look for CP to play to to another "war of attrition" here with Brentford as well. Note that two of their last three vs. each other have ended goalless. The reverse fixture this season was a 1-1 tie; all signs point to this one staying "under" the posted number! AAA Sports |
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02-17-23 | Rangers v. Oilers UNDER 7 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -125 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rangers/Oilers (NON-CONF TOM) All signs point (from a situational stand-point), to a lower-scoring "under" in this one. The Rangers have won six straight, and they've seen the total go "over" in five straight. Note though that New York has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last six after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. With a tough game at Calgary tomorrow, I say the Rangers could very easily be caught looking ahead to that contest, and reserve some fuel here for that one. Edmonton has seen the total go "over" in three straight. It's coming off back-to-back disappointing high-scoring losses. Also note, New York plays with revenge after a 4-3 home loss to the Oilers back at the start of the season. In my opinion, we're going to see a highly competitive game, but one that is a defensive affair, rather than a "shootout;" the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-17-23 | Detroit +2 v. Oakland | Top | 96-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
10* Detroit (HORIZON LEAGUE GOY) Detroit is 12-16, and 8-9 in league play after a 76-71 win over Green Bay last time out. On the season the Titans are averaging 76.6 PPG, while allowing 76.1. Oakland is 12-16 and 10-7 in league action after an 85-81 win over IUPUI in its last outing. Overall the Grizzlies average only 73 PPG, while allowing 75.5. Note that this is a revenge game for the Titans after they lost 76-67 at home to Oakland as a four-point fav in January. But that's signficant to note here as Detroit is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. Finally note that Oakland is just 1-4 ATS in it last five at home. I like Detroit here to avenge the earlier loss, but that said, let's grab the points; the play is indeed on Detroit! AAA Sports |
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02-17-23 | Eastern Michigan v. Kent State OVER 147 | Top | 54-81 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 1 m | Show |
10* OVER EMU/Kent (MAC TOW) This one sets up really well to be higher-scoring game from a few different situational stand points. Eastern Michigan is just 6-20, including l2-10 on the road. It has no chance here whatsoever. The Eagles actually average a healthy 73.5 points per game, but they've been downright terrible on the defensive end in conceding 81.7 PPG. Kent averages 75.2 and I look for the 21-5 Golden Flashes to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in this one. Kent only allows 63.9 points per game, but in what I expect to be a really wide-open and faster-paced affair, I am or sure looking for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later. And that's how I envision this game unfolding. Look for Kent to have zero mercy here as it runs up the score, taking advantage of home court as the season starts to wind down; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-16-23 | Canadiens +1.5 v. Hurricanes | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
10* Canadiens puckline (ASSASSIN) A common sense play. I just think that Carolina is over-priced here, as I believe it'll get caught looking past the lowly Canadiens to its Nationally televised outdoor game with Washington on Saturday in Raleigh North Carolina. This is the first game of the season between these clubs, so the "revenge" factor is a non-factor. The Habs are arguably playing their best hockey of the season though as they enter off three straight victories. I see fantastic value here on the Canadiens on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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02-16-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Middle Tennessee UNDER 146 | Top | 70-74 | Win | 100 | 27 h 3 m | Show |
10* FAU/MTSU UNDER (CONF. USA TOY) I base my picks on many different things, but I don't follow any single handicapping methodology and ultimately I feel that being flexible with my approach is the best way to secure profits over the short, mid and long-term. With that in mind, this particular play really sets up well from two different angles, from a situtational angle, but it also has some key ATS trends backing it. FAU is 24-2 and rolling towards the conference tournament. The Owls average 78 PPG, while allowing just 65.5. MTSU has now seen the total go "over" the number in six straight, and that's important to note here, as the Blue Raiders have seen the total go "under" the number in ten of their last 13 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. MTSU also plays with revenge here after an 85-67 loss at FAU in January, which is also important to note, as the Blue Raiders have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent. Expect MTSU to keep the pressure on FAU, but for that to ultimately translate into a lower-scoring defensive battle; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-16-23 | Wichita State v. Temple UNDER 137.5 | Top | 79-65 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wichita State/Temple (AAC TOM) This one sets up well to be a lower-scoring defensive battle from a situational stand point. These are two teams in dire need of a victory here. Wichita State is 13-12, including 5-3 on the road, while Temple is 14-12, including 7-6 at home. The Shockers have played to ten straight "overs," and I believe that fact has now pushed tonight's Over/Under line a few points higher than it normally would/should be. Off a tight 91-89 OT win over SMU, I'm expecting a much slower-pace finally here from the Shockers. Temple has seen the total go "over" in five straight, while also losing three in a row, but SU and ATS. Note though that the Owls have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 afte rplaying to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Each team has taken a step back this year, but look for this highly competitive affair to finally produce a lower-scoring "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-15-23 | Cal-Irvine v. UC-Santa Barbara UNDER 137.5 | Top | 70-59 | Win | 100 | 15 h 0 m | Show |
10* UNDER UC Irvine/UC Santa Barbara (BIG WEST TOM) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. When these teams played in January, the total also went "over" the number in the Gauchos 73-65 victory at the Anteaters. Note though that UC Irvine has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite to an opponent. UC Santa Barbara has now seen the total go "over" the number in six straight games, but that's also significant for us to note, as the Gauchos have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. UC Irvine has actually been trading high-scoring games with low-scoring ones over its last six games, and coming off an 83-64 win over UC Riverside, I expect this pattern to continue here. Two really good teams, but expect this competitive atmosphere to produce a very tight, and ultimately lower-scoring "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-15-23 | Missouri State +9.5 v. Bradley | Top | 54-64 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
10* Missouri State (MISSOURI VALLEY GOY) I like the Missouri State Bears to sneak in under the radar here and to comfortably cover with the large spread that they've been afforded. Missouri State plays with revenge here after falling 58-40 to Bradley back in December. Note that the Bears are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. The Bears have now lost seven straight ATS, despite going 4-3 in that span, including 2-0 in the last two. Bradley has won six straight, including four straight ATS. With a game at 20-8 Southern Illinois on Saturday, not only does this set up as a "letdown" spot for the home side, but also a "look-ahead." When you add up those two factors, you get "trap game." I'm not calling for the outright, but everything points to a battle until the final horn; grab the points, the play is Missouri State! AAA Sports |
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02-15-23 | Bulls v. Pacers OVER 230.5 | Top | 113-117 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
10* OVER Bulls/Pacers (CENTRAL DIVISION TOW) Both teams have been involved in some defensive affairs of late, and the last time they played against each other the total also went "under" the number. However, I believe those low-scoring trends come to an end tonight between two division rivals in need of a victory. Desperation breeds motivation, and I expect this competitive affair to translate into production on the court. Chicago is desperate to break out of its current funk having lost four straight SU and five straight ATS. The Bulls most recently lost 97-89 at Cleveland, before then falling 100-91 to Orlando. Note though that Chicago has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Also in four of its last five after a SU/ATS loss in which it was held to 95 or less points in. The Bulls also play with revenge after falling 116-110 to the Pacers back in January. Indiana has lost five straight, which is also significant to note here, as the Pacers have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 after five or more SU losses in a row. Look for these two hungry sides to push the pace and fight tooth and nail until the final horn; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-14-23 | Wizards v. Blazers UNDER 235.5 | Top | 126-101 | Win | 100 | 16 h 33 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wizards/Blazers (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. This is a great "common sense" play, which is supported by some strong O/U ATS stats. Portland has now seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last ten, including three straight. Note that the Blazers have seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row though. One of those games came two weeks ago in the nation's capital in a 124-116 win as a 4.5-point underdog. Note that Washignton has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. Both teams played just last night as well, so fatigue is now a major factor in the second game of the B2B scenario; considering all of the above info, I'm definitely going with the "under" in this one! AAA Sports |
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02-14-23 | Southern Illinois v. Valparaiso UNDER 132.5 | Top | 66-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
10* UNDER SIU/Valpo (BLOOD-BATH) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. SIU has seen the total go "over" in three straight (note though that the Salukis have seen the total go "under" in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row.) iThe last was an 82-59 loss at Drake. SIU is 19-8, but it only averages 66.4 PPG, ranked among the best on the defensive end in many statistical categories. SIU beat Valpo 77-55 at home back on January 30th and the total went "over" the number of 123.5 in that one. However, today's total is much higher, and it's now a little too high in my opinion. Valpo has also seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponent. For all the reasons listed above, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-14-23 | Bayern Munich v. Paris Saint-Germain OVER 3 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -116 | 20 h 7 m | Show |
10* OVER Bayern/PSG (Champions League TOY) It's the champions of France and Germany colliding here on Tuesday afternoon, and in my opinion everything points to some offensive fireworks. PSG hopes to end its long wait to be named league Champions, while the Germans have aspirations for a seventh crown. PSG won't be lacking motivation after a 3-1 defeat to Monaco on Saturday. The Parisians still have a five-point lead at the top of the Ligue, but a two-game losing streak to face Bayern is obviously not what the doctor ordered. PSG plays much better at home though, having won 12 and drawn three of their 15 home games. Bayern has won three straight across all competitions, and it's been its surging offense that's been responsible. Look for this faster-paced affair to produce plenty of goals; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-13-23 | Red Wings v. Canucks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wings/Canucks (TOW) No need to overthink this one. Vancouver is just 1-3 in its last four. It's coming off four straight "overs" in a row. It is coming off a 5-2 loss at Detroit. Note that the Canucks have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a road loss of three or more goals against an opponent. I look for Vancouver to double down defensively here as it tries to avenge that road setback vs. the Wings. Detroit has won two in a row. It's been trading high-scoring games with lower-scoring ones over its last seven outings, and we can expect that pattern to continue here; all signs point to a much more defensive affair here on the West Coast, so the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-13-23 | West Virginia v. Baylor UNDER 148.5 | Top | 67-79 | Win | 100 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
10* UNDER WVU/Baylor (TOW) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end here in what I anticpate will be a competitive, but ultimlately lower-scoring defensive battle. WVU is just 2-6 on the road. It's coming off a 94-60 loss at Texas. I think the Mountaineers will struggle to score here on the road as well in this difficult venue. Note as well that WVU has seen the total to "over" the number in five straight, which is indeed signifciant to note, as the Mountaineers have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Baylor is 12-2 a thome. It comes in off three straight SU/ATS victories in a row. They're coming off a 72-68 win at TCU and I expect another strong defensive performance here as well at home; this number is a little high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-13-23 | Pelicans v. Thunder UNDER 237 | Top | 103-100 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
10* UNDER Pels/Thunder (TOW) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games, but I believe those trends come to an end here tonight. New Orleans just saw its three-game win streak come to an end in its 118-107 home loss to Cleveland. It's seen the total go OVER in four of its last five. The Pels did beat OKC 128-125 in OT back in December, but note that the Thunder have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five when trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss as a favorite against an opponent. The Thunder are coming off back-to-back high-scoring road victories as underdogs. They've seen the total go OVER in four straight. All of these facts though have only helped in driving tonight's total a few points higher than it normally would/should be. Expect a more defensive affair this time around; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-12-23 | Chiefs v. Eagles -125 | Top | 38-35 | Loss | -125 | 317 h 33 m | Show |
10* GAME OF MONTH on the Eagles MONEY LINE (GOM) The bottom line here with this one, just to cut right to the chase, is that I believe that the Chiefs are a very mediocre team against really good defenses. If you're wagering on this game, then you likely know the cast of characters on each team, both players and coaches. You know the strengths and weaknesses of each team. And if you don't, you just need to go to ESPN or google it and literally millions of "review" articles will get you caught up to speed on how each team got to this point. But as I said, Kansas City was really mediocre this season vs. good pass rushing teams. And the Chiefs' defense isn't instilling the "fear of God" into anyone either. I'm going to bypass the spread, and just play the Eagles to win the Super Bowl straight-up! AAA Sports |
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02-12-23 | Chiefs v. Eagles UNDER 50 | Top | 38-35 | Loss | -110 | 316 h 5 m | Show |
10* UNDER Chiefs/Eagles (TOM) I think this Philadelphia defensive line has a chance to go down as one of the best in history. Especially if the Eagles win this game. The first thing you think about when you think about these two teams is the two men under center. Most would think that with Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts as QB's, that we'd be in store for a high-scoring "shootout," but that's simply not going to be the case in my opinion. Both Hurts and Mahomes have been injured in the Playoffs. They do get two weeks off to prepare, but I believe these underrated defenses will benefit the most with the extra time. Each offense will be committed to the run, as it'll be the only way to keep these aggressive pass rushing units honest. Another big factor here sees two of the league's best "rushing QB's" going head-to-head. When you add it all up, I say this O/U line is a few points higher than it should be; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-12-23 | Wofford +10.5 v. NC-Greensboro | Top | 89-97 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
10* Wofford (Southern GOM) I'm clearly not predicting an outright upset or anything, but I do think the stage is set for a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Wofford is just 13-13 after three straight SU/ATS losses in a row. But that's important for us to note here, as the Terriers are a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last five after three or more straight ATS/SU losses in a row. Wofford also plays with revenge after a 73-64 loss to UNC Greensboro on New Year's Eve. The Spartans are 17-9 and rolling along after winning eight of their last ten, including three straight, both SU and ATS. Note though that UNC Greensboro is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after three or more SU/ATS wins in a row. With a game vs. 18-9, No. 2 Samford on deck up next, not only does this set up as a "letdown" spot for the home side, but also a "look-ahead." When you add those two factors together, you get "TRAP GAME." No outright, but much tighter than expected; grab the points the play is Wofford! AAA Sports |
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02-12-23 | Alexander Volkanovski v. Islam Makhachev OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Push | 0 | 36 h 5 m | Show |
10* OVER (UFC TOY) Two gritty, tough fighters. I don't see this one ending any time soon. If one of these two fighters gets a "KO" or submission, it'll be similar to what we saw with Leon Edwards and Kamaru Usman, right near the end of the fight. Otherwise, the skill and experience each brings to the table is unmatched. Keeping this one simple, as I believe these key factors will indeed see this match go the distance; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-11-23 | Washington v. Washington State UNDER 136.5 | Top | 51-56 | Win | 100 | 16 h 23 m | Show |
10* UNDER Washington/Washington State (PAC 12 TOY) This one sets up really well to be a very defensive affair. Washington is 13-12 overall this year, but just 1-7 on the road. Washington State is only 10-15 this season, but it's 7-3 at home. An interesting matchup, but one that screams defensive battle to me. Washington has lost three straight, and that's important to note here, because the Huskies have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five after three or more straight losses in a row. Washington State has lost two straight on the road. It's seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, and that's also significant for us to note here, as the Cougars have seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last six after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Washington State averages 67.4 PPG, while Washington averages only 69.7. Expect a tight, lower-scoring defensive battle; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-11-23 | Mavs v. Kings -2.5 | Top | 128-133 | Win | 100 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
10* Kings (BEST OF BEST) No need to overanalyze this one, as I believe the immediate "revenge factor" will be all the motivation the Kings need here to win and cover here at home. Dallas is indeed coming off the 122-114 win here last night as a 4.5-point underdog. Note that Sacramento is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. There are a few other situational factors working in favor of the Kings here as well, but the bottom line is that the "revenge" angle will turn out to be the difference-maker in motivation between these clubs tonight; the play is Sacramento! AAA Sports |
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02-11-23 | Devils v. Wild -113 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
10* Wild (ASSASSIN) No need to over think or overanalyze this one. The Devils have been great this year, but after opening up the second half with B2B home wins, I'm expecting a small letdown here in the opener of this tough road swing. Conversely, the Wild have opened the second half with three straight losses, which is important to note for us here, as Minnesota is 7-2 in its last nine after three or more straight losses in a row. Expect the "hungrier" and more desperate home side to find a way to deliver; the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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02-11-23 | Newcastle United -175 v. AFC Bournemouth | 1-1 | Loss | -175 | 20 h 5 m | Show | |
8* Newcastle (BLOOD-BATH) I think Newcastle United is well worth the price of admission in this spot. The Magpies are of a lacklustre 1-1 draw with West Ham, so Newcastle won't be taking anything for granted here. Here's the perfect opponent to get back on track against, as Bournemouth is 19th place in the standings, most recently coming off 1-0 shutout loss to Brighton Hove and Albion last week. Bournemouth is winless in the last six vs. the Magpies, and I expect that string of futility to continue here. This is just a bad matchup for Bournemouth, which is clearly in the wrong place, at the wrong time this weekend; lay the price, the play is Newcastle! AAA Sports |
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02-10-23 | Hornets v. Celtics OVER 229.5 | Top | 116-127 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
10* OVER Hornets/Celtics (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring contests of late, but I believe those trends will end this evening. Charlotte comes in off five straight ATS/SU losses. That's significant to note here though as the Hornets have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after five or more straight losses in a row. The Hornets have also seen the total go "under" in five straight games, and that's important to note as well, as Charlotte has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. The Hornets also play with revenge after falling 130-118 at home to Boston in January. Note as well that Charlotte has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponet. Boston averages 117.4 PPG, ranked fourth overall. It's seen the total go "under" in three straight. This O/U line is now a few points lower than it normally would/should be; the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-10-23 | Kent State v. Buffalo UNDER 151 | Top | 72-65 | Win | 100 | 27 h 36 m | Show |
10* UNDER Kent/Buffalo (MAC TOM) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end here on Friday. Kent is 19-5, but is just 6-5 on the road. Buffalo is only 12-12, but it's a much more respectable 9-3 at home. Kent averages 75.1 PPG, while Buffalo averages 80.2. The last time these teams played though, Kent controlled the action in the 74-68 victory in late January, the total staying well "under" the posted number of 151.5. Expect a similar, lower-scoring defensive battle here as well; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-10-23 | VfL Wolfsburg v. Schalke 04 OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -119 | 20 h 57 m | Show |
10* OVER Wolfsburg/Schalke (Bundesliga TOY) Both teams come in highly motivated for a victory here, and I believe this sense of extreme competition will result in plenty of balls finding the back of the net. Schalke is out to snap a run of five straight winless league matches. The Wolves can empahthize, as they've lost three straight across all competitions. Schalke will finally have an opportunity get some shots on net vs. Wolfsburg after recent 0-0 draws vs. FC Koln and Borussia Monchengladbach. All signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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02-09-23 | Suns v. Hawks -5.5 | Top | 107-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
10* Hawks (ASSASSIN) The Hawks went 1-3 on their road trip. They've gone 0-2 ATS in their last two, but I think a little home-cooking is just what the doctor ordered for ATL tonight. While just 27-28 overall this year, the Hawks are 13-11 at home. Phoenix is 30-26 this season, but only 11-17 on the road. The Suns come in off three straight SU road victories, but with their finale of this trip set in Indiana tomorrow night, I expect Phoenix to get caught in a "trap" here, with a small mental letdown, combined with "looking ahead." Lay the points, the play is Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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02-09-23 | Canucks v. Islanders -210 | 6-5 | Loss | -210 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
6* Islanders (CHOKE-OUT) I'm laying the price here and expecting an absolute beatdown. Vancouver is brutal on the road and it comes out of the all star break with two straight really tough losses, falling 5-4 in OT at Jersey, and the 4-3 at the Rangers just last night. Fatigue's a major issue here. The Isles though have won two straight since the reak, most recently hammering the Kraken 4-0 here two nights ago. New York throttled the Canucks 6-2 in Vancouver earlier in the year, and I'm expecting a similar style lop-sided destruction here as well; lay the price, the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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02-09-23 | UMKC +3.5 v. Western Illinois | Top | 76-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
10* Kansas City (MID-MAJOR MAULING) While I think an outright victory isn't out of the question obviously with a short spread like this, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can. Kansas City is 10-15, while Western Illinois is 15-9. KC had won three straight, but it comes to town having dropped two in a row, both SU and ATS. That includes an 85-57 loss to Oral Roberts last time out. That however is important for us to take note, as the Roos have responded well in this spot for bettors, going a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last five off a SU/ATS loss in which they were held to 59 or less points in. KC not surprisingly plays with revenge here as well after falling 60-52 at home to the Leathernecks back in January. That is also signifcant to note here, as KC is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. Off a 75-72 road upset over Nebraska Omaha, all signs finally point to a letdown here for the home side; grab the points, the play is KC! AAA Sports |
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02-08-23 | Wild v. Stars OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 20 m | Show |
10* OVER Wild/Stars (CENTRAL TOY) Everything points to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later. Minnesota has seen the total go "under" the number in four strraight. It's off a listless 3-2 loss at Arizona as a -233 favorite. I expect a bounce-back performance here in this difficult road venue. The Stars have seen the total go "under" the number in six straight after their 3-2 shootout win over the Ducks to open up the second half. Note though that Dallas has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Most nights these teams play a very trapping, defensive style of hockey, but all signs point to a very wide-open "shootout" here between these divisional foes on Wednesday in my opinion; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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02-08-23 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma State UNDER 135 | Top | 68-71 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
10* UNDER Texas Tech/Oklahoma State. I like the way this one sets up to be a defensive battle. Texas Tech is 2-1 in its last three, but it's coming off an 89-62 loss at Baylor. The Red Raiders have seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, but note that they've seen the total go "under" in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Oklahoma State has won three straight, but SU and ATS. Most recently it was a 79-73 victory over TCU. The Cowboys have now seen the total go "over" in four straight. This is the first meeting of the year between these schools, but last March when they faced off, Oklahoma State won by a score of 52-51. The overall situation, combined with the above listed trends make the "under" the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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02-08-23 | Pistons v. Cavs OVER 222 | Top | 85-113 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
10* OVER Pistons/Cavs (Central TOY) This one sets up realy well to be more of a wide-open "shootout," rather than a slower-paced defensive affair in my opinion. Detroit is just 2-8 in its last ten. It's coming off back-to-back losses. Most recently it was a 111-99 setback to the Celtics. Note though that Detroit has seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten after a SU/ATS loss in which it was held to 99 or less points in. The Pistons also play with revenge after falling 102-94 to the Cavs back in November (however, note that Detroit has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a loss against an opponent in which it was held to 99 or less point in as well.) Cleveland enters off three straight quality wins. I say it keeps the momentum rolling here. It's off a 114-91 win over Washington, but note that the Cavs have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five off a SU/ATS victory in which they held their opponent to 95 or less points in. The situation, combined with these strong trends all point to the "over" as the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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02-07-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets UNDER 235.5 | Top | 112-146 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wolves/Nuggets (BLOOD-BATH) These teams just played against each other and the Wolves won by a score of 128-98. That total "pushed" on that one, but I expect more of a defensive affair here. Note that Denver has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after a SU/ATS loss in which it was held to 99 or fewer points in. Minnesota has now been trading wins/losses over its last five games. I expect a much more defensive battle in the immediate rematch here; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-07-23 | Ducks v. Blackhawks -129 | 3-2 | Loss | -129 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
8* Hawks (DESTRUCTION) I just think a great spot here for the Hawks. The Ducks played and lost 3-2 in a shootout just last night at Dallas, and despite coming in off the All Star break, I believe fatigue will be a major factor here in the second game of the B2B. The Hawks beat the Ducks 3-2 in Anaheim at the start of the season, but I expect a more comfortable victory here at home. With Arizona coming to town on Friday, this is a two-game home stand that Chicago will be digging deep to try and sweep. One game at a time, this line could/should in fact be much larger in my opinion; the value indeed swings to the Blackhawks! AAA Sports |
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02-07-23 | Ohio -3 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 82-76 | Win | 100 | 25 h 25 m | Show |
10* Ohio (MAC GOY) Ohio is 12-11, while NIU is 10-13. Ohio is off a 78-68 win over Miami Ohio and I like the Bobcats to keep the momentum rolling here. Note that Ohio though has lost three against the spread, which is important for us to note, as the Bobcats are in fact a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in their last six after three or more straight ATS setbacks in a row. Jaylin Hunter led the way for Ohio, scoring 23 points. Ohio's offense is the difference-maker for me here, as I just can't see the Huskies keeping pace, as note that the Bobcats average 110.2 points per 100 possessions (77.9 PPG.) NIU looks primed for a letdown after B2B victories, most recently beating Bowling Green 86-78. David Coit led all scorers, dropping 21 points. The Huskies though average only 71.1 PPG. Ohio's weak point is on the defensive end, but that unit catches a break today facing the Huskies; I'm riding with Ohio to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish! AAA Sports |
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02-07-23 | Oilers -151 v. Red Wings | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
8* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the Oilers. I think Edmonton is worth the price of admission in this one. The Oilers have won seven of their last ten. They average 3.7 GPG, ranked No. 1 in the league. Detroit returns to action having gone 5-5 in its last ten. The Oilers average 3.0 GPG, which ranks 24th. This is the first matchup of the season between the clubs but look for the well-rested Oilers and their superior offense to dig deep here and find a way to deliver; the play is indeed on Edmonton! AAA Sports |
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02-07-23 | Juventus -170 v. Salernitana | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 18 m | Show |
10* ASSASSIN Juventus. Salernitana would leapfrog Juventus in the table with a win here, but I don't foresee that happening. After falling 8-2 to Atalanta, Slernitana bounced back with a 2-1 victory at Lecce last weekend. Salernitana earned a controversial 2-2 draw with Juventus earlier in the season, but I don't expect lightning to "strike twice" here. This is a "must win" scenario of Juventus, which has just one point over its last three matches. That includes a 2-0 loss to Monza last weekend. But here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against. Honestly, I believe this line could/should in fact be much larger; lay the price, the play is Juventus! AAA Sports |
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02-06-23 | Weber State v. Northern Colorado +1.5 | Top | 54-88 | Win | 100 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
10* Northern Colorado (BIG SKY GOY) Weber State is the better team, but it won't be in this one tonight. It's 12-11 overall, but just 5-7 on the road. Northern Colorado is 7-16 and only 2-6 at home. Weber State has won four of its last five, but off a tight 72-71 OT win at Idaho State, I expect a slight mental letdown here from the visiting side. The Bears on the other hand play with revenge after falling 81-72 at Weber State as 3.5-point underdogs on December 29th. That's signficiant to note here as UNC is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an oppoent. UNC is off three straight road losses, which is also significant to note as the Bears are 8-2 ATS in their last ten after three or more SU losses in a row. Weber State gets caught looking ahead to its home game vs. 17-8 Montana State on Friday, and UNC rallies to snap the slide and get revenge; the play is Northern Colorado! AAA Sports |
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02-06-23 | Cavs v. Wizards +2.5 | Top | 114-91 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
10* Wizards (EASTERN CONFERENCE GOY) I love the way this one sets up for Washington. I think an outright is possible, but my official call will be to grab as many points as you can. Cleveland is off B2B wins, but off a 122-103 victory at the Pacers just last night, I believe the Cavs come in fatigued here in the second game of the B2B scenario. Cleveland is 33-22 this year, but still just 1l-16 on the road. The Wizards have had big leads in each of their last two losses, so they won't be taking anything for granted here. The Wizards play with the added incentive of revenge as well after falling 117-107 in OT at Cleveland in October. Washington has three straight "winnable" games at home here with Charlotte and Indiana coming to town next. As I said off the top, clearly the outright win is a very real possibility, but let's grab the points; the play is Washington! AAA Sports |
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02-06-23 | Sampdoria v. Monza -132 | Top | 2-2 | Loss | -132 | 21 h 24 m | Show |
10* Monza (Seria A GOY) Two teams moving in opposite directions, I say we're getting great value on Monza. Sampdoria is coming off a fourth straight loss, while Monza is riding high off a win over Juventus, sweeping both games. Samp is coming off a 2-0 loss to Atalanta. It also only has six total goals on the road so far this season. Monza coach Raffaele Palladino should have an almost full squad available to him on Monday. This is going to be a burial and as I said off the top, this line could/should in fact be much larger; the play is Monza! AAA Sports |
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02-05-23 | Nuggets v. Wolves UNDER 230.5 | Top | 98-128 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
10* UNDER Nuggets/Wolves (ASSASSIN) Denver is coming off three straight wins, including a 128-108 victory over ATL just last night. It's seen the total go "over" the number in four straight, but note that the Hawks have seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten still after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Look for Denver to try and slow the pace down throughout here. Minnesota is off the 127-120 home loss as a favorite to Orlando, but note that the Wolves have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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02-05-23 | Houston -10.5 v. Temple | Top | 81-65 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
10* Houston (AAC GOY) I think the "revenge" angle works for Houston here after Temple upset the Cougars 56-55 back on January 22nd as a 15.5-point underdog. Note that Houston is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent; lay the points, the play is Houston! AAA Sports |