04-23-23 |
Nuggets v. Wolves UNDER 225.5 |
Top |
108-114 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 60 m |
Show
|
This is a 5* play on Under. I bet the under in Game 1 of this series, and I said the following before the game: “Minnesota is coming off back to back unders in both of their play-in games, and they held the Thunder to just 95 points in their last game. The Nuggets own an elite defense, and they are particularly good at home. The under is 11-2 in the Nuggets last 13 overall, and they have failed to reach the total in five straight home games.” We have since seen Game 2 and Game 3 go over the total, but with the Wolves facing elimination in Game 4, I expect to see more of a defensive battle here. The under is 12-4 in Nuggets last 16 overall, and the Timberwolves have gone under in 12 of their last 17 home games. GL, Jesse Schule
|
04-22-23 |
Grizzlies v. Lakers -175 |
|
101-111 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 28 m |
Show
|
This is a 2* play on LAL. The Grizzlies were the best home team in the NBA during the regular season, with a record of 35-6. They struggled on the road, and that doesn't bode well for them in Game 3 in LA. There is the potential for Ja Morant to attempt to play through pain despite a hand injury, which might be counter-productive for the Grizz. He's not the only player nursing an injury for the Grizzlies, and the veteran Lakers appear to be the healthier of the two teams. The home team is 8-2 straight up in the last 10 head to head meetings, and Memphis has lost four of their last five at LA. The Grizzlies are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 road games versus a team with a winning home record. GL, Jesse Schule
|
04-22-23 |
76ers -130 v. Nets |
|
96-88 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 46 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on PHI. So Joel Embiid is sitting out Game 4 due to knee soreness, and the line has dropped to almost a pickem. Philly has won eight of their last 10 without Embiid in the lineup, and they should feel an increased sense of urgency to prevent the Nets from extending this series, which would put more mileage on a banged up Joel Embiid. The Nets might not have much fight in them, coming off consecutive heart breaking losses. Historically teams down 0-3 do not perform well when facing elimination. Teams with a 3-0 series lead are 53-22 straight up in Game 4 dating back to 2022. I think Philly puts the Nets out of their misery here. GL, Jesse Schule
|
04-21-23 |
Cavs v. Knicks -115 |
|
79-99 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 39 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on the Knicks. The series heads back to New York tied 1-1, and the home team looks like the play in Game 3. The Knicks won both home games during the regular season series, and they are 4-1 SU in the last five head to head meetings. They covered in all four wins during that span. The crowd is going to be mental at the Garden, and the Knicks should feed off that especially early in the game. If this game is close at the half the Cavs can consider themselves fortunate. GL, Jesse Schule
|
04-20-23 |
Suns v. Clippers +130 |
|
129-124 |
Loss |
-100 |
20 h 54 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on LAC. I had the Clippers in Game 1, and I picked them to win the series. While the Suns won and covered in Game 2, I didn't find it very convincing. They still have a glaring lack of depth on the bench, and Cameron Payne remains questionable. Kawhi Leonard averaged 23 points per per game during the regular season, but he's totalled 69 in two playoff games so far. He's been the best player in this series so far, and another strong performance is expected in Game 3. The Clippers should get off to a strong start in LA. GL, Jesse Schule
|
04-20-23 |
Kings v. Warriors -5.5 |
|
97-114 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 4 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on GSW. The Warriors are down 0-2 in the series, which might not be a huge surprise considering their road record during the regular season. They were 33-8 at home, and they are 4-0 straight up in their last four home games against the Kings. They are 39-16-1 ATS in their last 56 home games. It's do or die for the defending champs, and I expect them to jump out to an early lead here. They are 11-1 straight up in their last 12 home playoff games. Expect the champs to come up big in Game 3. GL, Jesse Schule
|
04-19-23 |
Wolves v. Nuggets UNDER 223.5 |
|
113-122 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 44 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on Under. I had the under in Game 1 and here is what I said prior to the game: "Minnesota is coming off back to back unders in both of their play-in games, and they held the Thunder to just 95 points in their last game. The Nuggets own an elite defense, and they are particularly good at home. The under is 11-2 in the Nuggets last 13 overall, and they have failed to reach the total in five straight home games." I expect more of the same here in Game 2. GL, Jesse Schule
|
04-18-23 |
Knicks v. Cavs UNDER 214.5 |
|
90-107 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 42 m |
Show
|
This is a 2* play on Under. I had the under in Game 1 and here is what I said prior to the game: "The Cleveland Cavs owned the #1 defense in the NBA during the regular season, and they host a New York Knickerbockers team that was also above average defensively. When these teams played in December, it was one of the lowest scoring games all year. The Knicks won 92-81 at The Garden, and I wouldn't be surprised if we see another defensive clinic here in Cleveland in Game 1. The under is 6-1 in the Knicks last seven Conference Quarterfinals games, and the Cavs have failed to reach the total in four of their last five home games. The under is 6-2 in the Cavaliers last eight Conference Quarterfinals games." I am expecting more of the same in Game 2. GL, Jesse Schule
|
04-17-23 |
Warriors v. Kings UNDER 240 |
|
106-114 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 58 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on Under. Game 1 went over the total, but with 5:48 remaining in the 4th quarter the score was tied at 105-105. At that point it could have gone either way, but an outburst of offense pushed the total over the number of 238.5. Now the total for Game 2 is even higher, despite an increase in desperation for the Warriors to tighten up their defense. Keep in mind that 20 of Golden State's last 23 Playoff games have seen fewer than 238 combined points, and three of the four regular season meetings fell short of that number. GL, Jesse Schule
|
04-16-23 |
Wolves v. Nuggets UNDER 224.5 |
|
80-109 |
Win
|
100 |
39 h 27 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on Under. Minnesota is coming off back to back unders in both of their play-in games, and they held the Thunder to just 95 points in their last game. The Nuggets own an elite defense, and they are particularly good at home. The under is 11-2 in the Nuggets last 13 overall, and they have failed to reach the total in five straight home games. GL, Jesse Schule
|
04-16-23 |
Heat v. Bucks UNDER 219.5 |
|
130-117 |
Loss |
-115 |
34 h 6 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on Under. The Miami Heat owned the #1 scoring defense in the NBA this season, and in their play-in game against the Knicks they allowed just 91 points in a home win over Chicago. The Bulls were held to a single point in the last 3:47 of the game. The Bucks have failed to reach the total in five straight first round playoff games, and we should expect points to be hard to come by in Game 1 in Milwaukee. GL, Jesse Schule
|
04-16-23 |
Lakers v. Grizzlies -160 |
Top |
128-112 |
Loss |
-160 |
99 h 44 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on MEM. The Grizzlies were 35-6 on their home court, giving them the best home record in the NBA. The home team has won all three meetings between these teams this year, and Memphis won at home by a score of 121-109 in February. The Lakers looked good in the second half after trailing 60-49 at halftime. If they play like that here in Memphis, they will have a much tougher time coming back in the second half. Watching them blow a three point lead with just 1 second on the clock was a little alarming. This looks like a let down spot for the Lakers, and I like Memphis to win big. GL, Jesse Schule
|
04-15-23 |
Knicks v. Cavs UNDER 217 |
|
101-97 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 41 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on Under. The Cleveland Cavs owned the #1 defense in the NBA during the regular season, and they host a New York Knickerbockers team that was also above average defensively. When these teams played in December, it was one of the lowest scoring games all year. The Knicks won 92-81 at The Garden, and I wouldn't be surprised if we see another defensive clinic here in Cleveland in Game 1. The under is 6-1 in the Knicks last seven Conference Quarterfinals games, and the Cavs have failed to reach the total in four of their last five home games. The under is 6-2 in the Cavaliers last eight Conference Quarterfinals games. GL, Jesse Schule
|
04-14-23 |
Thunder v. Wolves UNDER 229 |
|
95-120 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 46 m |
Show
|
This is a 3* play on Under. So this number opened at 227 and has since been bet up. I will fade the public here with a play on the under, and here is why: First off the Wolves have averaged well below 117 points per game in their last five overall. They only barely scored 100 in regulation and OT at LA in their last game. Minnesota won the last meeting at Oklahoma City in December by a score of 112-110. Four of the last five head to head meetings have gone under. The Thunder have failed to reach the total in four of their last five road games, and the under is 12-4 in the Wolves last 16 home games. I don't expect to see any easy buckets in an elimination game. GL, Jesse Schule
|
04-11-23 |
Hawks v. Heat UNDER 227 |
|
116-105 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 11 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on Under. The last time these teams played the total went over the number in a 130-128 Miami win. This game was the second of a two game series in Miami, which is somewhat of an anomaly. The under had cashed in eight of the previous nine head to head meetings. Miami owns the 2nd best scoring defense in the NBA, one of only two teams to allow less than 110 points per game. Last year only one of six Play-in games saw more than 225 combined points. The under is 36-16 in the last 52 meetings in Miami. I will bet on the defense to be the story here in Miami. The Hawks played in seven post-season games last year, and only one of those saw more than 225 combined points. GL, Jesse Schule
|
04-07-23 |
Magic v. Nets -10.5 |
|
84-101 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 4 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on BKN. The Nets are sitting in sixth place in the East, just a game in front of the Miami Heat. With both teams playing tonight, there is little margin for error. The Magic are expected to roll out their backups, resting their starters in what is a meaningless game for them. The Nets are coming off a 15-point win at Detroit, and they figure to roll here at home in a game with massive playoff implications.. GL, Jesse Schule
|
04-06-23 |
Nuggets v. Suns -6.5 |
|
115-119 |
Loss |
-110 |
22 h 20 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on PHX. Denver has already locked up the best record in the West, and home court advantage until the Finals. They have nothing to prove here in Phoenix, so we expect Jamal Murray and Joker to be rested. The Suns have won six straight, and they are still developing chemistry with KD. The Nuggets are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in this series. The Suns average margin of victory on their current win streak is greater than 13 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule
|
04-02-23 |
Jazz v. Nets -8.5 |
|
110-111 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 49 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on BKN. So who won the Kyrie Irving trade?? I guess it's pretty clear that Brooklyn is on the better end of that deal. The Mavs have dropped out of the playoffs, while the Nets are not only in the playoffs, it looks like they can also avoid the play in. A home game against a Utah team that is without at least three starters should be a blowout. The Nets have covered in six straight, and they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games. GL, Jesse Schule
|
04-01-23 |
Clippers v. Pelicans -145 |
Top |
114-122 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 1 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on the PELICANS. This is the second game of a back to back for the Clippers, and Kawhi Leonard played last night. We will see if any Clippers will be rested for load management tonight. The Pelicans have won six of their last seven overall, and they are 8-1 straight up in their last nine versus the Clippers. The Clippers are 6-22 ATS in the last 28 meetings in New Orleans. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-31-23 |
Lakers v. Wolves UNDER 232.5 |
|
123-111 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 2 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on Under. This is a big game in Minnesota tonight as the Lakers and the T-Wolves battle for a play-in spot. Just a half game separates these teams, and the winner will be closer to clinching home court in the play-in while the loser will be in danger of dropping out entirely. The total of 232.5 looks a little high, as eight of the last 10 meetings have fallen short of that number. They have gone under in each of the last five meetings in Minnesota, and the under is 6-0 in the last six meetings overall. The under is 9-3-1 in the Timberwolves last 13 home games. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-28-23 |
Magic v. Grizzlies -7 |
|
108-113 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 18 m |
Show
|
This is 4* play on Memphis. So the Grizzlies own the best home record in the NBA, and now Ja Morant is back and coming off a 27-point performance in a win over Atlanta. A home game against Orlando looks like a good spot to back one of the hottest teams in the NBA. This is a let down spot for the Magic, coming off three straight home wins. The Magic are 13-24 on the road, and they lost their last game in Memphis by 28 points last March. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-27-23 |
Pelicans -8.5 v. Blazers |
|
124-90 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 35 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on N.O. The Pelicans are as healthy as they have been all season, and they come into Portland as winners of four straight. They beat the Clippers by 20 on Saturday, and now they catch the Blazers who are playing on back to back nights after losing at home to Oklahoma City Sunday. The Blazers are banged up, with the majority of their starting lineup sidelined by injury. Damian Lillard has already packed it in for the season, and the lineup is likely to consist of 2nd and 3rd stringers tonight. The Pelicans have won five of the last six meetings, and all five of those wins came by double digits. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-26-23 |
Grizzlies -135 v. Hawks |
|
123-119 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 33 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on the Grizzlies. The Hawks play the second game of a back to back after rallying to beat Indiana on Saturday. Trey Young was tossed for throwing a ball at an official, and will likely be serving a suspension here in today's game. The Grizzlies are coming in as winners of eight of their last nine overall, and Ja Morant will be playing his third game back for Memphis. This looks like a let down spot for the Hawks, and the Grizz could lay the smack down here. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-25-23 |
Pacers +10.5 v. Hawks |
|
130-143 |
Loss |
-115 |
15 h 26 m |
Show
|
This is a 2* play on Indiana. The Hawks host the Pacers and both Tre Young and DeAndre Hunter are questionable to play on Saturday. The line indicates they will both be in the lineup, but regardless it seems like 10.5 points is a bit much. The Pacers have covered in three of their last four versus Atlanta, and they lost 131-128 in their last game at Atlanta. The Pacers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall, while the Hawks have failed to cover in seven of their last eight after a two day layoff. I'll take the points here with a Pacers team that is technically still alive in the playoff hunt. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-23-23 |
Thunder v. Clippers UNDER 232.5 |
|
105-127 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 10 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on Under. The Clippers just lost 101-100 to Oklahoma City on Monday, and this is a spot where I usually look to take the team with revenge in the second game of a two game series. In this spot though I am focused on the total. LA didn't just lose the game, they lost Paul George to a knee injury that will keep him out for several weeks. Despite the 201 total points scored in the first game, and the fact that these teams haven't combined to score 230 points in any of the last 10 meetings, we see the total listed over 230. The under is 30-10 in the Clippers last 40 home games, and they have gone under in seven of their last nine home games versus the Thunder. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-20-23 |
Mavs v. Grizzlies -120 |
|
108-112 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 2 m |
Show
|
This is a 2* play on Memphis. The Grizzlies will miss Ja Morant, but here in this game against the Mavs it might be no Ja, no problem. It looks like Luka is still out, and Kyrie is doubtful to play. The Mavericks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five when coming off a win. The Mavs are just 14-21 SU on the road, while the Grizzlies are 29-5 at home. The Grizzlies are 42-18-1 ATS in their last 61 home games. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-19-23 |
Pelicans -4.5 v. Rockets |
|
117-107 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 30 m |
Show
|
This is a 2* play on NO. So the Pelicans are coming off a 114-112 loss at Houston, and they play the second of a two game series at the Toyota Center. Even after winning three straight home games, the Rockets still have twice as many home losses as they have wins. The Pelicans had won seven of eight straight up versus Houston prior to Friday's game. The Pelicans are 5-1 ATS in their last six versus the Rockets, and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven at Houston. I like the visitors in this revenge spot. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-17-23 |
Grizzlies v. Spurs OVER 231.5 |
|
126-120 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 19 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on Over. The Grizzlies come into San Antonio as a road favorite, but the Spurs have been pretty competitive of late. They are 4-4 straight up in their last eight overall, and they have scored 120+ points in three of their last four overall. The Grizzlies are coming off a 138-119 loss at Miami, and they have gone over in three straight versus the Spurs. The total in this game is lower than it was in each of the last five meetings between these teams. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-13-23 |
Pacers -150 v. Pistons |
|
97-117 |
Loss |
-150 |
9 h 56 m |
Show
|
This is a 2* play on IND. Normally in the second game of a two game series, I would look to back the team playing with revenge in Game 2. That's not going to happen here in Detroit tonight, as this team has a lot more going on. They have four key players out of the lineup, and they are just a half game behind Houston for the race to finish with the worst record in the NBA. The Pistons are tanking, and the Pacers seem to be less concerned about the draft lottery. The Pacers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall, and they have covered in four of their last five on the road. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-11-23 |
Kings v. Suns -145 |
|
128-119 |
Loss |
-145 |
20 h 6 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on PHX. No KD, the Suns are still the better team here. After his injury they went on to win by 30+ in a home game against the scrappy OKC Thunder. They got Chris Paul and Devin Booker back, and Booker scored 44 against the Thunder. The Suns are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall, and they are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. The Suns have won four of five straight up in the last five meetings versus the Kings, and four of those games were in Sacramento. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-10-23 |
Raptors -125 v. Lakers |
|
112-122 |
Loss |
-125 |
12 h 24 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on TOR. The Lakers and the Raptors each have 32 wins, but Toronto comes in as the better team in recent weeks. The Raptors had won eight of 10 before this current road trip. They have dropped three of four games, losing some close contests that ended in controversy. Fred Van Fleet let his emotions get the best of him in a post game press conference, and he was fined $30,000 for remarks about the officials. This Raptors team comes into LA looking to lay the smack down, the Lakers are still banged up. To say that history favors Toronto would be an understatement. The Raptors are 20-6 ATS in the last 26 meetings, and they are 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Los Angeles. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-06-23 |
Raptors v. Nuggets UNDER 227.5 |
|
113-118 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 45 m |
Show
|
This is a 2* play on Under. So the Raptors come in as winners of six of their last eight overall, and they have been getting it done with their defense. Toronto has held their last five opponents well below the NBA average in points per game (110) giving up just 107 ppg during that span. They haven't been scoring though, averaging just over 103 points per game on offense. Denver can play defense as well, and I expect these teams to play hard here tonight. The total of 227.5 is far higher than it has been in any of the last 10 head to head meetings. The last time Toronto played at Denver (March last year) the total was just 221.5. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-05-23 |
Grizzlies v. Clippers -6.5 |
|
129-135 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 43 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on LAC. I gotta fade the Grizzlies in this spot, as this team is in complete shambles. Ja Morant is suspended for not just playing with a gun in a nightclub, but posting it on Intagram like an ever bigger fool. Dillon Brooks and Brandon Clarke are out with injuries, so there goes three of their top five scorers. Additionally leading rebounder Steven Adams hasn't played since January. The Clippers are healthy, but they've lost five straight since bringing in Russ Westbrick. I didn't like the move, and I still don't like it. That said a motivated team at full strength at home looking to break out of a slump should get it done against a shorthanded Memphis team. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-04-23 |
Wolves v. Kings -5.5 |
Top |
138-134 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 47 m |
Show
|
This is a 5* play on SAC. Both these teams are playing the second game of a back to back, but the Kings won at home 128-127 versus the Clippers last night, and they don't have to travel. Minnesota played in LA, and will be playing a fourth straight game on the road tonight. The Kings are a young team that might not mind playing on back to back nights, as evidenced by the fact that they are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games playing the second of a back to back. Minnesota has failed to cover in five of their last six coming off a win. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-03-23 |
Grizzlies v. Nuggets -4.5 |
|
97-113 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 4 m |
Show
|
This is a 2* play on DEN. It's tough to bet against a Denver team that is 28-4 at home, and in a series that has seen the home team win seven of the last eight meetings. The Nuggets are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games, while Memphis has failed to cover in four of their last five on the road. This is a big game between two of the top teams in the West, so both teams should get up for the game. That doesn't bode well for the Grizzlies. GL, Jesse Schule
|
03-01-23 |
Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 225.5 |
|
113-117 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 15 m |
Show
|
This is an 8* play on Under. The Celtics have allowed a whopping 118.8 points per game over their last five overall. That is out of character for this team though, and they still rank among the top teams in the NBA in opponents scoring average. They host the Cavs, who currently rank #1 in the NBA in points allowed (106.5PPG). These teams went over in each of the last two meetings, but both those games went to overtime. The listed total hasn't been higher than 220 in any of the previous five meetings. I expect both teams to bring it on defense here in a battle between two of the top teams in the East. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-28-23 |
Wolves v. Clippers UNDER 233.5 |
|
108-101 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 36 m |
Show
|
This is a 2* play on Under. The Clippers have gone over the total in four straight games, but that is out of character for this team. For the first half of the season they ranked near the bottom of the league in scoring, and one of the top team in opponent scoring. We have a high total in tonight's home game against the Timberwolves, and I expect to see some regression to the mean. The under is 22-7 in the Clippers last 29 home games, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven home games against Minnesota. The number in tonight's game is almost 10 points higher than it was in the last meeting back in January. Neither of these teams scored 100 in the last meeting in LA back in December. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-27-23 |
Magic v. Pelicans -175 |
|
101-93 |
Loss |
-175 |
19 h 23 m |
Show
|
This is a 2* play on N.O. The Pelicans are currently flirting with a play-in spot in the Western Conference, despite battling injuries all season. They are finally getting healthy (with the exception of Zion) and it looks like time for this team to go on a run. The Magic have been covering more games than they have been winning, going 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games. They are still just 10-20 SU on the road, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five overall. This looks like a good spot to back the Pelicans at home, as they should be the more motivated side here. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-26-23 |
Nets v. Hawks -5 |
|
127-129 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 18 m |
Show
|
This is a 2* play on the Hawks. So after firing their coach, the Hawks came out of the All Star break and crushed a very good Cleveland team winning 136-119 at home. The Nets on the other hand lost by 40+ at Chicago. Often when a team gets blown out like that, you want to come back with them in their next game. Perhaps not a team with a completely new starting five that hasn't had time to gel. Not a team that is in the middle of a chaotic rebuild after trading away Kyrie and KD. The Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games versus Brooklyn, and they have covered in seven of the last nine overall meetings. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-25-23 |
Pacers v. Magic -150 |
|
121-108 |
Loss |
-150 |
17 h 30 m |
Show
|
This is a 2* play on ORL. The Magic are just .500 at home, but I gotta love them here against a Pacers team that is 8-20 SU on the road. The home team is 4-1 SU in the last five meetings between these teams, and the Magic won two of three home games during that span. The one loss came in overtime. The Pacers are 1-8 ATS in their last nine road games, and they are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games playing on 1 days rest. The Magic are 18-5 ATS in their last 23 games playing on 1 days rest, and they have covered in eight of their last nine off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-24-23 |
Thunder v. Suns UNDER 232.5 |
|
115-124 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 12 m |
Show
|
This is a 2* play on Under. Six of nine games went under the total in the first day back from the All Star break. One of those was the Thunder losing 120-119 at Utah in overtime. Both teams scored just 106 points in regulation. The Thunder play the second game of a back to back in Phoenix, and the Suns have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven overall. The total of 232.5 is far higher than it has been in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings. None of those games saw a number as high as 225. These two teams haven't scored a combined 230 points in any of the previous four head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-23-23 |
Grizzlies v. 76ers -172 |
|
105-110 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 40 m |
Show
|
This is a 2* play on PHI. The Sixers are 23-8 at home, and the home team has won nine of the last 10 meetings between these teams. The Grizzlies have a losing record on the road, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven road games. The 76ers are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 home games, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games versus Memphis. The Grizzlies are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall, and they are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games playing on 3 or more days rest. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-13-23 |
Pelicans v. Thunder -125 |
|
103-100 |
Loss |
-125 |
19 h 58 m |
Show
|
This is a 3* play on OKC. The Pelicans got some bad news on Zion Williamson recently, and now CJ McCollum is listed as questionable for Monday's game at OKC. The Thunder have been ultra competitive lately, winning three of their last four. They are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall. They have covered in six of their last eight home games, and they are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games versus a team with a losing road record. The Pelicans have failed to cover in five of their last six road games, and they are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 road games against a team with a winning home record. I'll take the home team. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-11-23 |
Pacers v. Wizards -185 |
|
113-127 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 20 m |
Show
|
This is a 3* play on WASH. The Wizards have won seven of their last 10 overall, and they host an Indiana team that has lost seven of their last eight overall. This will be the second game of a back to back for the Pacers, who are coming off a home loss to Phoenix. The Pacers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall, and they have failed to cover in seven of their last eight road games. Washington has covered in four of their last five home games against the Pacers. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-10-23 |
Cavs v. Pelicans +2.5 |
|
118-107 |
Loss |
-110 |
22 h 42 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on N.O. The Pelicans are 20-9 at home, and they are coming off three straight home wins over LA, Atlanta and Sacramento. Sure Zion is on the shelf with an injury, but you would think they would be used to that by now. The good news is that Brandon Ingram is back, and he's averaged over 30 points in his last three starts. He struggled in his first three games back from injury, but he appears to be firing on all cylinders now. The Cavs are mediocre on the road (12-16) and they are 0-4 SU in their last four at New Orleans. The Cavs are coming off a home win over Detroit, and they are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS win. This looks like the wrong team is favored. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-09-23 |
Suns v. Hawks -175 |
|
107-116 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 44 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on ATL. The Suns dealt Cam Johnson, Jae Crowder and Mikal Bridges to Brooklyn for KD, but Durant won't be available for this game at Atlanta. That leaves Phoenix with a thin lineup after two of their top roll players were sent to the Nets. The Hawks on the other hand are at full strength, and they have historically owned the Suns in Atlanta. The Hawks have won and covered in four straight home games in this series. I'll fade the shorthanded Suns in this spot. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-08-23 |
Mavs v. Clippers -185 |
|
110-104 |
Loss |
-185 |
21 h 20 m |
Show
|
This is a 2* play on the Clippers. So no Luka for the Mavs, maybe Kyrie makes his debut. Don't expect Kyrie to come out and lead a shorthanded Mavs team to an upset of the Clippers in LA. Since Kawhi and Paul George have returned to full strength, LA has looked like one of the top teams in the NBA. This should be a double digit win for the Clippers. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-06-23 |
Clippers -6 v. Nets |
|
124-116 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 42 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on LAC. The Clippers are rolling, coming into Brooklyn as winners of seven of their last nine. When both Kawhi and Paul George are healthy, this is still one of the most formidable teams in the NBA. The Nets are moving on from Kyrie Irving, and that will shake up the lineup here tonight. While we aren't sure if Spencer Dinwiddie or Dorian Finley Smith will play, we are sure that Durant, Curry and Simmons will not. The Nets are 17-40-2 ATS in their last 59 home games, and they are likely to struggle to keep up to the Clippers with a bunch of backups. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-05-23 |
Raptors +5 v. Grizzlies |
Top |
106-103 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 7 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on TOR. The Grizzlies are struggling, and they come into tonight's home game versus the Raptors with two starters out, and two more questionable. Toronto has been horrible this season, dealing with their own injuries. The Raptors are 3-3 SU on their current road trip, and one of those losses was a game decided by three points in Utah. History favors the Raptors here in Memphis, where they have covered in five straight. They are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings overall. A shorthanded Grizzlies team has no business being asked to cover a number like this here. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-04-23 |
Hawks v. Nuggets -6.5 |
Top |
108-128 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 12 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on DEN. The Hawks are on a roll, coming off back to back wins over the Suns and the Jazz. They take on the Denver Nuggets tonight, and playing the second game of a back to back at altitude is a tough spot. Denver is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games, 24-4 overall at home, and 14-6 ATS in their last 20 overall. Nikola Jokic will likely not play both games in an upcoming back to back, but it makes more sense to rest him on the back end in Minnesota on Sunday. The Hawks might want to rest some of their starters here in Denver. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-03-23 |
Hornets v. Pistons -125 |
|
112-118 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 0 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on DET. The Pistons aren't favored to win many games, but catching the Hornets on the second game of a back to back is as good a spot as you can get. Detroit has been quite competitive lately, losing by six at Dallas, losing by three versus Houston and winning outright at Brooklyn. The Pistons won at Charlotte in OT earlier this season, and Kelly Oubre Jr. was the Hornets leading scorer in that game. Oubre Jr. is out with a torn ligament in his hand, and Charlotte might be resting or limiting the minutes of some starters for tonight's game. LaMelo Ball was ejected in the 4th quarter last night in Chicago, and he's battled injuries all season long. It might be a good idea to rest him here in Detroit, or at least limit his minutes. GL, Jesse Schule
|
02-01-23 |
Hawks v. Suns -125 |
Top |
132-100 |
Loss |
-125 |
22 h 30 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on PHX. Despite all the injuries and a poor start to the season, the Suns have won six of their last seven, and they are 19-8 at home this season. Both DeAndre Ayton and Chris Paul are back in the lineup, and Ayton is coming off a double-double with 22 points and 13 boards in a win over the Raptors. They host the Atlanta Hawks, and the home team has won nine of the last 10 meetings in this series. The Hawks are 1-5-1 ATS in the last seven meetings in Phoenix. Tre Young is expected to return after missing the last game with sore ankle, but it might not be enough to get a win over a team that has won 51 of it's last 69 home games. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-31-23 |
Clippers -145 v. Bulls |
|
108-103 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 35 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on LAC. The Clippers come into Chicago as short favorites, and they lost their last game 122-99 at Cleveland. Paul George and Kawhi Leonard were out due to load management, but we are expecting both stars to return tonight in Chicago. The Clippers have won five straight when both their stars play, and they were 32-11 when both played during the 2020-2021 season. The Clippers are 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Chicago. The Bulls have a rather pedestrian home record, and I don't think they are good enough to beat a team with two Top 10 players going at full speed. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-30-23 |
Wizards -4.5 v. Spurs |
|
127-106 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 34 m |
Show
|
This is a 2* play on WAS. The Wizards have won five straight, and they are 11-5 in their last 16 overall. They are in San Antonio tonight, and the Spurs have lost five straight and 10 of their last 11. Their last game was a 128-118 OT loss at home versus Phoenix. The Spurs have failed to cover in four straight, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five when coming off a loss. The Wizards have covered in four straight road games, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games versus a team with a losing record. The conclusion is that these two teams are trending in opposite directions, giving us value backing the road favorite. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-28-23 |
Mavs v. Jazz UNDER 232.5 |
|
100-108 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 3 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on Under. The Mavs won in Phoenix without Luka, by a score of 98-85, and we might expect another low score without their leading scorer here in Utah. The Mavericks are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games. They are 6-21-1 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up win. The under is 14-6 in the Jazz last 20 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. These teams have failed to reach the total in each of the last four head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-28-23 |
Wizards v. Pelicans -180 |
|
113-103 |
Loss |
-180 |
18 h 19 m |
Show
|
This is a 2* play on the PELICANS. A few weeks back the Pelicans were the best team in the Western Conference, but injuries have taken their toll. They come into this game looking to snap a six game losing streak, and Brandon Ingram is back. He played 26 minutes in a loss to Minnesota, and we should expect him to be more effective here tonight. The Wizards are 0-4 ATS in the last four meetings in New Orleans, and they have struggled on the road this year. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-28-23 |
Suns -6 v. Spurs |
|
128-118 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 6 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on the SUNS. I had Phoenix in their last game, and it was a disappointing loss to the Mavs. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Suns have been decimated by injuries, but that hasn't prevented them from winning 18 of 25 home games. They host the Dallas Mavericks tonight, and Dallas has lost 15 of 23 road games. The home team is 8-1 SU in the last nine head to head meetings. Chris Paul is back, and he had 11 assists in a blowout win over Charlotte on Tuesday. The Mavs will not have 2nd leading scorer and 2nd leading rebounder Christian Wood. The Suns are expecting their big man back on Thursday. DeAndre Ayton leads the Suns in scoring and rebounding." The Suns are 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings in San Antonio. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-26-23 |
Mavs v. Suns -120 |
Top |
99-95 |
Loss |
-120 |
21 h 6 m |
Show
|
This is a 10* play on Phoenix. The Suns have been decimated by injuries, but that hasn't prevented them from winning 18 of 25 home games. They host the Dallas Mavericks tonight, and Dallas has lost 15 of 23 road games. The home team is 8-1 SU in the last nine head to head meetings. Chris Paul is back, and he had 11 assists in a blowout win over Charlotte on Tuesday. The Mavs will not have 2nd leading scorer and 2nd leading rebounder Christian Wood. The Suns are expecting their big man back on Thursday. DeAndre Ayton leads the Suns in scoring and rebounding. The Mavericks are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 road games, and they are 17-35-2 ATS in their last 54 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-25-23 |
Pacers v. Magic -4.5 |
|
120-126 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 55 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on ORL. The Magic are coming off a blowout win over the Celtics, and they are .500 at home. They host a Pacers team playing the second game of a back to back without their leading scorer. Indiana is 8-16 SU on the road this season, and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games. They Pacers haven't covered any of their games since losing Tyrese Haliburton to a knee injury. The Magic are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games, and they have won three of their last four home games by more than four points. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-24-23 |
Hornets v. Suns -6.5 |
|
97-128 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 55 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on PHX. The Suns are still dealing with more than their share of injuries, but CP3 returned and scored 22 points in a home win over Memphis over the weekend. The Suns are still 17-7 at home, and they have won their last two games versus Charlotte by a combined 65 points. The Hornets are coming off an 18 point loss at Utah, and they are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss. The Hornets are just 8-19 SU on the road, and they should be looking at another double digit loss here in Arizona. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-22-23 |
Pelicans v. Heat -7 |
|
96-100 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 43 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on MIA. So I bet against the Pelicans in their last game, and here is what I said before their loss at Orlando: "The Pelicans are coming off back to back losses, and they have lost five of their last seven overall. They have three starters out of the lineup, including two of their top three scorers. Their last game was a 26 point home loss to the Miami Heat." Now they are on the road in Miami just a few days later, and two of their three top scorers remain sidelined. The Heat are at full strength, despite dealing with a ton of injuries all year. The Heat are 8-1 straight up in their last nine versus New Orleans. The Pelicans have failed to cover in four straight at Miami and they are 5-18 ATS in the last 23 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-21-23 |
Magic v. Wizards -5.5 |
|
118-138 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 25 m |
Show
|
This is a 2* play on WAS. I had Orlando last night, and they won easily over a shorthanded New Orleans team at home. Now the Magic play on the road in the second game of a back to back in Washington. The Wizards have won six straight in this series, and five of those six wins came by 6+ points. The Magic are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. The Magic are 6-16 straight up on the road, and this looks like a tough spot on no rest. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-18-23 |
Pacers v. Thunder -170 |
|
106-126 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 9 m |
Show
|
This is a 2* play on OKC. The Thunder have won five of their last six overall, and they are just two games under .500. They have a winning record at home, and this looks like a good spot to back them as a home favorite. The Pacers are 8-13 on the road, and they have lost four straight. Their leading scorer Tyrese Haliburton is on the shelf with an elbow injury. The Thunder are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 2 days rest, and they have covered in four of their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-16-23 |
Suns v. Grizzlies -9.5 |
|
106-136 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 20 m |
Show
|
This is a 2* play on MEM. The Grizzlies host the Suns Monday, and it's unclear if Ja Morant will suit up and play. The Suns though will certainly be fielding a lineup of second and third string players. Chris Paul, Devin Booker, Cam Johnson, Cam Payne and Jay Crowder are all ruled out. This is a Suns team that is just 7-16 on the road, and they have lost eight of their last nine overall. The Grizzlies are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 home games. Desmond Bane should get his share of points here. He had a game high 25 points against the Pacers on Friday. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-15-23 |
Warriors -140 v. Bulls |
|
118-132 |
Loss |
-140 |
12 h 41 m |
Show
|
This is a 2* play on GSW. The Warriors have one of the worst road records in the NBA, but Curry is back and they are finally healthy. They scored 144 points in a win at San Antonio on Friday, and they catch the Bulls at the right time. Chicago has lost three straight, and their last game was a 14-point home loss to Oklahoma City. Golden State is 10-0 straight up in the last 10 meetings, and they have covered the spread in four straight versus Chicago. The Bulls are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a double-digit loss at home. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-14-23 |
Hawks v. Raptors -5.5 |
|
114-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 45 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on TOR. The Raptors have been underachieving, but they come into Saturday's home game against Atlanta as winners of three straight. They have also won three straight home games versus the Hawks, all by a double digit margin. The Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last six versus Atlanta, and the Hawks have failed to cover in five of their last six north of the border. Playing the second game of a back to back in Canada is a tough spot for the visitors. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-08-23 |
Nets -165 v. Heat |
|
102-101 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 35 m |
Show
|
This is a 2* play on BKN. The Nets have won 13 of their last 14 overall, and they are just a small favorite on the road at Miami Sunday. The Heat are returning from a five game road trip, and they are banged up at the moment. They have nine players coming into Sunday's game with an injury designation. Some of these guys will play, but certainly depth will be an issue for Miami. The Nets are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall and they are 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings in Miami. The Heat are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 home games. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-04-23 |
Nets v. Bulls OVER 235 |
|
112-121 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 19 m |
Show
|
This is a 2* play on Over. The Nets come into Chicago as winners of 12 straight overall. They have scored an average of 122 points in their last five games overall. The bookmakers have set the total at a high number, but I am not sure it's high enough. It's still lower than the number of 238 in the Nets last visit to Chicago, and that game went over with Brooklyn winning 138-112. The Bulls come in scoring 121 points per game in their last five overall, unfortunately for them though they have allowed opponents to average 122 points during that span. The Bulls have gone over in five of their last six overall, and six of their last eight at home. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-03-23 |
Wizards v. Bucks -8 |
|
113-123 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 18 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on MIL. This is a revenge game for the Bucks after losing at home to Washington on New Years Day. They were shorthanded in that game, without Giannis, Khris Middleton and Jrue Holiday. We are expecting both Holiday and The Greek Freak to play here on Tuesday. The status of Bradley Beal is still questionable. The Wizards have failed to cover in 15 of their last 20 road games against a team with a winning record. The Bucks are 4-1 SU in their last five home games against Washington, and three of those four wins came by double digits. GL, Jesse Schule
|
01-02-23 |
Hawks v. Warriors -1.5 |
|
141-143 |
Win
|
100 |
26 h 38 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on GSW. Despite the injuries to Andrew Wiggins and Steph Curry, the Warriors have won four straight. Their home record of 16-2 is the best in the NBA. The Hawks are a team that is struggling so badly that their head coach is considering resignation. The Hawks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games, and they also have a pair of starters battling injury (Hunter and Capella). The Warriors are 51-23-3 ATS in their last 77 home games. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-27-22 |
Clippers v. Raptors -5.5 |
|
124-113 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 38 m |
Show
|
This is a 2* play on Toronto. So coming into the second game of a back to back, two days after Christmas and having won in overtime in Detroit, this is a tough spot for the Clippers. It wouldn't be a surprise to see LA either rest some starters or cut back on their minutes. Toronto is coming off back to back big road wins at Cleveland and New York, and they have had a few days off over Christmas. The Clippers are 5-12 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Toronto. There is no doubt this is a let down spot. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-25-22 |
Suns v. Nuggets -160 |
|
125-128 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 44 m |
Show
|
This is a free pick on DEN. So the line indicates that Devin Booker will play, although his status is still in question. Assuming he plays it remains to be seen how effective he might be. Even with Booker the Suns aren't great on the road (5-9). The Suns are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. The Nuggets have the best record in the Western Conference, and they are 11-3 at home. The Joker is gunning for another MVP, and the Suns are soft. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-25-22 |
Grizzlies -175 v. Warriors |
|
109-123 |
Loss |
-175 |
54 h 9 m |
Show
|
This is a 2* play on the Grizz. I bet this game early and got a good line, but I really think the bookmakers can't set this line high enough. Without Steph, Wiggins and Klay, the Warriors have been embarrassed. They have been blown out in five of their last six games. Klay should play on Christmas day, but Draymond is questionable with foot soreness. They face Ja Morant and the Grizzlies, who might be motivated by the fact that the Dubs eliminated them in last year's playoffs. The Grizzlies have the best record in the Western Conference, and Ja Morant looks like an MVP candidate. The Grizzlies are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-25-22 |
Bucks v. Celtics -160 |
|
118-139 |
Win
|
100 |
40 h 60 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on Boston. The Celtics snapped a three game losing skid with a win over Minnesota on Thursday, and that win puts them back in first place overall in the NBA. They host the second place Milwaukee Bucks on Christmas Day, and both teams are sure to bring it! This looks like a tough ask for the Bucks, with this being their fourth straight road game. They are just a game over .500 on the road, and they have lost three of their last four road games. The Bucks are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven road games. They haven't been a great bet in recent meetings versus Boston, going 3-13-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-25-22 |
Lakers v. Mavs -175 |
|
115-124 |
Win
|
100 |
118 h 18 m |
Show
|
This is a 2* play on Dallas. The Lakers are in a tough spot here on Christmas day in Dallas, without Anthony Davis and perhaps a few other role players. The Mavericks are 12-5 straight up at home, and they have won four of the last five head to head meetings. The Lakers have lost five of their last six road games by double digits. This is a chance for Luka Doncic to showcase himself in a home game against LeBron, and I expect him to make the most of it. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-23-22 |
Bucks v. Nets OVER 226.5 |
|
100-118 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 34 m |
Show
|
This is a 2* play on Over. The Bucks come into Brooklyn averaging over 117 points per game in their last five overall, and the Nets have scored 126 points per game during that span. Neither team has been great defensively of late, each allowing 116.6 points per game in their last five. The last time the Bucks played in Brooklyn the betting total was set at 243. The opening number for tonight's game is lower than it was in each of the past five head to head meetings. I expect both teams to score plenty here in this marquee game two days before Christmas. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-19-22 |
Bucks v. Pelicans OVER 227.5 |
|
128-119 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 26 m |
Show
|
This is a 2* play on Over. The Bucks have the best record in the NBA, and they will take on the Pelicans in New Orleans Monday. The Pelicans are just a game back of Memphis for first place in the West. You know both teams will be up for this game, and history tells us that it should be a high scoring affair. The home team has won five of the last six head to head, and the over is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings. The Pelicans have gone over in four of their last five overall, and the over is 17-4 in their last 21 versus teams with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-18-22 |
Warriors v. Raptors -5 |
|
126-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 24 m |
Show
|
This is a 4* play on Toronto. The Warriors are 2-14 on the road, and they come into Toronto with possibly only one healthy starter. Steph Curry is out for at least a few weeks, and Andrew Wiggins is sidelined by a groin injury. Klay and Draymond are also banged up, and we aren't sure if either of them will play. The Raptors will be looking to snap a four game losing skid, and this is as good a spot as any. The Warriors have lost their last two at Toronto by a combined 72 points (no you aren't reading that wrong). History favors the home team as Toronto is 4-1 ATS in their last five home games versus a team with a losing road record. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-17-22 |
Jazz v. Bucks -5 |
|
97-123 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 42 m |
Show
|
This is a 3* play on MIL. The Bucks are just a game back of Boston in the East, but they are coming off a blowout loss at Memphis in their last game. They look to get back on track with a home game against the Jazz Saturday. The Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. Khris Middleton is expected to sit out Saturday, but Jrue Holliday is scheduled to return. This looks like a let down spot for Utah, coming off an overtime win over New Orleans in Salt Lake City. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-16-22 |
Warriors v. 76ers -6.5 |
|
106-118 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 25 m |
Show
|
This is a 2* play on PHI. The Warriors are 2-13 on the road, and losing Steph Curry for up to a month isn't going to help. Curry isn't the only starter sidelined for the Warriors, Andrew Wiggins and Draymond Green are also likely to miss this game on Friday in Philly. The Warriors are 6-18 ATS in their last 24 road games, and they are 3-12 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Philadelphia. The 76ers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. Get this one early because the line movement is expected to be one sided. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-15-22 |
Pelicans -120 v. Jazz |
Top |
129-132 |
Loss |
-120 |
20 h 52 m |
Show
|
This is a 5* play on Pelicans. The Pelicans are tied for first place in the Western Conference, and they are in a revenge spot in the second game of a two game series in Utah. The Pelicans are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss. The Jazz are just 6-11 in their last 17 overall, and they were playing over their heads at the beginning of the year. Zion only played 26 minutes in the first game in Utah, expect him to play more minutes and be a more dominant force here in the rematch. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-13-22 |
Pelicans -125 v. Jazz |
|
100-121 |
Loss |
-125 |
21 h 33 m |
Show
|
This is 2* play on NO. You would have thought the second game of a two game home series versus Phoenix would be a let down spot for the Pelicans. New Orleans now has the best record in the Western Conference, and they have won seven straight and nine of 10. The Jazz haven't played since Saturday, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six when playing on two days rest. This Utah team overachieved early in the season, but they have come crashing down to earth lately. After a 10-3 start, they have since gone 5-11. I don't think it's wise to step in front of the Pelicans here as they look to make it eight straight wins. GL, Jesse Schule
|
12-12-22 |
Nets -5 v. Wizards |
|
112-100 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 39 m |
Show
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This is a 2* play on the Nets. The Nets won six of seven on their recent home stand, and one of those games was a 113-107 win over the Wizards. Bradley Beal scored 25 points on 9-of-20 shooting in that game, but they will have to get points elsewhere tonight. Beal is out with a hamstring injury, and starting PG Monte Morris missed Saturday's game with a groin injury. Washington has lost nine of their last 10 overall, and three straight since the Beal injury. The Wizards are 2-9-2 ATS in their last 13 games overall, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six home games. GL, Jesse Schule
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12-11-22 |
Raptors -6.5 v. Magic |
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99-111 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 33 m |
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This is a 3* play on TOR. The Raptors had covered in six straight at Orlando before losing 113-109 on Friday. For the fourth time this season, Toronto will play back to back games against the same team in the same city. All three previous such situations resulted in a split, the team that won the first game went on to lose the second game. The Raptors are 11-3 ATS in the last 14 meetings against the Magic. Toronto was an eight point favorite in the first game, and that number has come down a bit here in the rematch. I'll back the favorites here in this revenge match. GL, Jesse Schule
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12-10-22 |
Mavs v. Bulls -120 |
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115-144 |
Win
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100 |
20 h 2 m |
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This is a 4* play on CHI. The Mavs lost a heartbreaker by a single point at home versus Milwaukee last night, and they have to try to pick up the pieces and play on the road at Chicago tonight. The home team is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these teams, and the Bulls are 4-1 straight up in the last five meetings. The Mavs have failed to cover in four of their last five when playing the second game of a back to back, and they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Bulls have covered in four of their last five home games versus Dallas. GL, Jesse Schule
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12-09-22 |
Wolves +3 v. Jazz |
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118-108 |
Win
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100 |
19 h 15 m |
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This is a 4* play on MIN. The Wolves will be in Utah tonight, and Rudy Gobert returns to Salt Lake City. Rudy takes on a more prominent role after the injury to Karl Anthony Towns, and he stepped up with 21 rebounds in a win over the Pacers in his last start. The Jazz were not supposed to be a contender in the West after losing Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert, but they got off to a surprising start. They have faded recently, going 3-6 ATS in their last nine games. The Timberwolves are 4-0-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Utah, and the Jazz might not have their leading scorer tonight due to an illness. I'll take the points in this revenge spot. GL, Jesse Schule
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12-08-22 |
Nuggets v. Blazers OVER 225.5 |
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121-120 |
Win
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100 |
20 h 37 m |
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This is a 2* play on Over. The Nuggets have scored an average of 115 points per game this season, while the Blazers are averaging just 110 points per game. These teams just played two weeks ago and the Blazers won 135-110. The total went way over the number, and the over is now 8-2 in the last 10 head to head meetings. The over is 12-4 in the Nuggets last 16 games following an ATS loss, and they have gone over in 10 of their last 14 at Portland. GL, Jesse Schule
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12-07-22 |
Lakers v. Raptors -8 |
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113-126 |
Win
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100 |
17 h 21 m |
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This is a 4* play on TOR. I bet the under in the Lakers loss at Cleveland last night, and here is what I said before that game: "So the Lakers are rolling again coming into Cleveland as winners of eight of their last 10 overall. They have averaged 130 points per game in their last five, but they will be taking on the #1 scoring defense in the NBA here in Cleveland. History suggests we could see a lower scoring battle tonight. The Cavs have gone under five straight overall, and they have held opponents to just 93 points per game during that span. The under is 5-0 in their last five home games." They play their second game of a back to back north of the border, and AD might be out with an illness and you have to think they will be tempted to rest LeBron. GL, Jesse Schule
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12-06-22 |
Lakers v. Cavs UNDER 224.5 |
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102-116 |
Win
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100 |
14 h 36 m |
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This is a 2* play on Under. So the Lakers are rolling again coming into Cleveland as winners of eight of their last 10 overall. They have averaged 130 points per game in their last five, but they will be taking on the #1 scoring defense in the NBA here in Cleveland. History suggests we could see a lower scoring battle tonight. The Cavs have gone under five straight overall, and they have held opponents to just 93 points per game during that span. The under is 5-0 in their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule
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12-05-22 |
Celtics v. Raptors +1.5 |
Top |
116-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 21 m |
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This is a 10* play on the Raptors. Everyone in the NBA knows it's not easy to win in Toronto, and yet the Celtics come into Monday's game as favorites. This is a tough spot for Boston, playing the second game of a back to back off a big win in Brooklyn. Jalen Brown played 40 minutes last night, and Jason Tatum logged 37 minutes. Marcus Smart is out with an injury, and the Raptors are back to full strength. Toronto should get the W here in this spot. GL, Jesse Schule
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12-04-22 |
Grizzlies v. Pistons +7 |
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122-112 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 10 m |
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This is a 2* play on DET. The Grizzlies are just a game out of first in the Southwest, but they have really struggled on the road. They are asked to cover a big number here in the Motor City, but the Pistons are looking pretty good about now. Detroit is 3-3 straight up in their last six overall, but they have covered the spread in six of their last seven. The Pistons are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. The Grizzlies are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 road games. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule
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12-02-22 |
76ers v. Grizzlies -5.5 |
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109-117 |
Win
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100 |
18 h 18 m |
Show
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This is a 2* play on Memphis. The Grizzlies host Philly Friday night, and the Sixers are still banged up. Maxey and Harden are out, and Tobias Harris is questionable with an illness. The Sixers are 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 road games, and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four at Memphis. The Grizzlies are 27-9 ATS in their last 36 home games. The last time Philly played at Memphis they lost by 35 points (126-91). GL, Jesse Schule
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11-30-22 |
Raptors +1.5 v. Pelicans |
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108-126 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 55 m |
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This is a 4* play on Toronto. I had the Raptors in their last game, and I said the following: "The Raptors are 7-2 at home this season, and one of those two losses came against Brooklyn with Fred Van Fleet and Scottie Barnes out of the lineup. Van Fleet returned on Saturday in a 105-100 win over Dallas. Scottie Barnes is back at practice, so he could return tonight to face a Cavs team coming north of the border to play the second game of a back to back." I didn't know that Pascal Siakam was also set to return, but now that Toronto is back to full strength, the rest of the NBA should be put on notice. A Pelicans team with it's two best players banged up appears to be vulnerable. The Pelicans won a close game against the Thunder on Monday, and they are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. GL, Jesse Schule
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11-29-22 |
Clippers +3.5 v. Blazers |
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118-112 |
Win
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100 |
15 h 52 m |
Show
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This is a 2* play on LAC. The Clippers have been hit hard by injuries, with stars Kawhi Leonard and Paul George out of the lineup. Most teams haven't got a shot in hell of competing without their two best players, but perhaps it should surprise nobody that LA is still a .500 team without George and Leonard. They have plenty of depth. with Reggie Jakcson, Norman Powell, Ivica Zubac, and Marcus Morris all stepping up. The same can not be said for the Blazers without Damian Lillard, as they have lost five of their last six overall. The Clippers look good as the dog considered they have won nine of the last 10 versus Portland straight up. GL, Jesse Schule
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11-28-22 |
Cavs v. Raptors -115 |
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88-100 |
Win
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100 |
18 h 38 m |
Show
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This is a 4* play on Toronto. The Raptors are 7-2 at home this season, and one of those two losses came against Brooklyn with Fred Van Fleet and Scottie Barnes out of the lineup. Van Fleet returned on Saturday in a 105-100 win over Dallas. Scottie Barnes is back at practice, so he could return tonight to face a Cavs team coming north of the border to play the second game of a back to back. The home team is 4-1 SU in the last five meetings, and the Cavaliers are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 0 days rest. Cleveland has also failed to cover in six straight road games.
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11-27-22 |
Mavs v. Bucks -6 |
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115-124 |
Win
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100 |
18 h 51 m |
Show
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This is a 5* play on MIL. The Mavs are playing on the road at Milwaukee in the second game of a back to back. Not only are they are on short rest, but Luka Doncic played a season high 43 minutes in a loss north of the border at Toronto last night. The Mavericks are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six in the second game of a back to back. The Bucks are 10-2 straight up at home, and nine of those 10 wins came by more than six points.
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11-26-22 |
Lakers -3 v. Spurs |
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143-138 |
Win
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100 |
13 h 14 m |
Show
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This is a 2* play on LA. The Lakers have only won six games this season, but two of them have come against the Spurs. They come into tonight's game as winners of four of their last five, while the Spurs have lost seven straight. LeBron scored 21 points in 33 minutes in his first game back after missing five games due to injury. These two teams are in the mix for a lottery pick, so it should be quite a battle, but somebody has to win. GL, Jesse Schule
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11-25-22 |
Pelicans v. Grizzlies -140 |
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111-132 |
Win
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100 |
10 h 42 m |
Show
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This is a 3* play on the Grizzlies. New Orleans won't have CJ McCollum in Memphis on Friday, due to health and safety protocols. He leads the team in assists, steals and three-point shooting. The home team has had the advantage in this series, winning eight of the last 10 straight up. The Pelicans are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games versus a team with a winning straight up record, while the Grizzlies are 26-9 ATS in their last 35 home games. Ja Morant scored 34 points against the Kings on Tuesday, and he scored 36 in his last game against the Pelicans 10 days ago. GL, Jesse Schule
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11-22-22 |
Nets -7 v. 76ers |
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106-115 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 10 m |
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This is a 2* play on BKN. So Kyrie is back, and Ben Simmons shot 11-of-13 in a 127-115 win over the undermanned Grizzlies on Sunday. No word on whether Simmons actually attempted a shot that wasn't a dunk, but whatever he was doing he should just keep doing it. The Nets face another shorthanded team in Philly tonight, as the Sixers are down both their star players (Embiid and Harden), and several other role players. Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in their last four versus Philly, and they won their last game at Philly by 29 points. No reason not to expect history to repeat itself here. GL, Jesse Schule
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11-21-22 |
Celtics v. Bulls +6.5 |
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107-121 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 57 m |
Show
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This is 2* play on CHI. The Bulls have played the Celtics twice already this year, winning at home and losing by 4-points in Boston in early November. Chicago is looking to right the ship here at home tonight, coming into this game as losers of four straight and six of their last seven. Half of those six losses came by fewer than six points, and this number looks a little inflated. The Bulls have covered in six of their last seven versus Boston, and the Celtics could be due for a let down here at the end of a road trip. GL, Jesse Schule
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