Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-02-23 | USC v. Gonzaga UNDER 154.5 | 76-89 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Gonzaga ranks 220th in the country in possessions per game, and they play solid defense allowing under 65 points per game. USC is coming off a 106-78 win over Eastern Washington, but we should see a lot more defense here in this game. Gonzaga is 3-6 ATS in their nine overall, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last six games overall. The last time these teams played head to head Gonzaga won 85-66 falling a half point short of the total of 151.5. The number is a little higher here this time, and I don't think this is the same high flying Gonzaga team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-02-23 | Illinois v. Rutgers UNDER 138.5 | 76-58 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4% play on Under. These two teams have gone under in each of the last two head to head meetings, and three of the last four meetings have gone under 138 points. The total of 138 is higher than the number listed in each of the the last four meetings. Rutgers has gone under in five of their last six overall, and the under is 8-3 in their last 11 BIG10 games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-01-23 | Knicks v. Raptors UNDER 217 | 119-106 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the under. This matchup features two of the top 10 defensive teams in the NBA. In fact the Knicks rank 1st in the NBA in opponents scoring average allowing 105 points per game. The Raptors have failed to reach the total in each of their last three games, and this looks like a matchup where both teams are content to play at a slow pace. A few weeks ago an article was published in The Athleitc titled: "Toronto Raptors are slow, stingy and soft on glass" ... noting that they ranked 28th in the NBA in pace of play. I suspect that one of these teams will fail to score 100 points in this game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-29-23 | Rockets v. Nuggets UNDER 216.5 | 124-134 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. The Rockets lost a tough one last night in Dallas, but they could catch a break in their second game of a back to back at Denver. The Nuggets are banged up, and it remains to be seen how much of their starting lineup can play. Ime Udoka has done a helluva job making this team competitive, and the Rockets currently rank #1 in the NBA in opponents scoring average. The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Denver's last 15 games against an opponent in the Western Conference conference, and they are trending 13-7 overall to the under. Houston has gone under in seven of their last nine overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-23 | Chargers v. Packers UNDER 44 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 156 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Chargers look like one of the best teams in the NFL on paper, but their coach leaves a lot of points on the table and it often ends up costing them in close games. Scoring on the road in Green Bay might be a challenge. The Packers quietly rank 11th overall in scoring defense. The problem for Green Bay is that their offense stinks, and they have a ton of injuries at skill positions. Look for another low score here at Lambeau. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-23 | Howard v. Rutgers UNDER 143 | 63-85 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. I bet under in Rutgers home win over Georgetown, and here is what I said before that game: "Rutgers is damn near a double digit favorite at home against Georgetown, and they have yet to score 70 points this season. They have held their opponents to an average of 57 points while winning two of three. There plenty of strong defensive teams in the BIG10, but Rutgers ranked 1st in opponent scoring average last season allowing 61 points per game. They ranked just 10th in scoring averaging 68.4 points per game. In their only Div 1 game so far, Georgetown lost 68-67 to Holy Cross. It seems reasonable to expect a low score here at Rutgers." They beat the Hoyas 71-60. That was the highest score of any of the Scarlet Knights four games this year, and now they face a Howard team coming off a 64-53 win over Boston University. The Bisons might be lucky to score 60 here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-15-23 | Georgetown v. Rutgers UNDER 136.5 | 60-71 | Win | 100 | 19 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Rutgers is damn near a double digit favorite at home against Georgetown, and they have yet to score 70 points this season. They have held their opponents to an average of 57 points while winning two of three. There plenty of strong defensive teams in the BIG10, but Rutgers ranked 1st in opponent scoring average last season allowing 61 points per game. They ranked just 10th in scoring averaging 68.4 points per game. In their only Div 1 game so far, Georgetown lost 68-67 to Holy Cross. It seems reasonable to expect a low score here at Rutgers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-23 | 49ers v. Jaguars UNDER 45 | Top | 34-3 | Win | 100 | 155 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. San Francisco comes out of the bye week looking to get back on track. The defense should be in good shape with Chase Young making his debut. They have allowed just 16.5 points per game on the road this season. The offense is still a question with a pair of starters out on the offensive line. Brock Purdy has thrown five picks in his last three starts, and the Niners scored 17 in all three of those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-23 | Tennessee v. Missouri UNDER 59 | 7-36 | Win | 100 | 96 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Vols aren't the offensive juggernaut they were a year ago, but they have been pretty solid defensively. They might not see the best of this Missouri offense, as star wide receiver Luther Burden was injured last week in the loss to Georgia. Brady Cook was sacked three times, throwing for 212 yards a TD and a pair of INTs on 14-of-30 passing in the loss to Georgia last week. The Tigers have gone under this number in four of their last six home games. Tennessee has failed to reach the total in two of their three road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-23 | Utah v. Washington UNDER 52.5 | 28-35 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. After the Huskies beat Oregon at home a few weeks ago, they followed up with a 15-7 win over Arizona State. It's fair to say that they suffered a let down, and this looks like another let down spot coming off a 52-42 win over USC. The Utah Utes are a tough opponent, and the weather here in Washington could give them a boost. If the wind and rain in the forecast puts the damper on the passing game, the Huskies could be in four a fight. Utah has a Top 10 scoring defense allowing just 15.9 points per game. This game could be a low scoring battle. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-23 | Texas Tech v. Kansas OVER 61 | 16-13 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Jayhawks are 5-0 at home and they have scored an average of 42 points in those games. They host Texas Tech Saturday, and the Red Raiders have owned them over the years. Texas Tech has won nine of the last 10 head to head meetings, and they scored 40+ in each of the last two meetings. The Red Raiders have been a better team with Behren Morton at QB. They are 4-2 in the games he has played, and 0-3 in the rest. The total here should probably be a bit higher. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-23 | Temple v. South Florida OVER 67 | 23-27 | Loss | -125 | 71 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. These teams are among the fastest (pace of play) in the country. South Florida lay a half a hundred on Memphis last week, and still lost by a score of 59-50. It was the third time in their last four games that they scored 50+. They have scored 40 or more in six of their last seven. They host Temple in a revenge game after losing 54-28 at Temple last season. Temple QB EJ Warner has thrown for 400+ yards in back to back games, and has nine TDs in those contests. This game has shootout written all over it. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-07-23 | Jets v. Blues UNDER 6 | 5-2 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So 20% of all the goals scored in the NHL come on the power play. That could be significant here as these two teams have two of the worst power plays in the NHL. The Blues rank dead last in the NHL scoring on just 3.7 percent of their chances, and the Jets are ranked 23rd. This combined with the fact that both these teams have top tier goaltenders could well result in a low scoring game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-04-23 | Calgary v. BC OVER 49.5 | Top | 30-41 | Win | 100 | 87 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play Over. We often see low scores in the CFL playoffs, but most of the games are outdoors in the winter weather. BC plays in a dome, and we have a matchup between two of the league's top passing offenses. Vernon Adams was the league's leading passer, while Jake Maier was 3rd in the CFL in passing. The Lions were great defensively early in the season, but they have not stopped anybody in the final few weeks of the season. They gave up 41 in a loss to Calgary in their final home game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-04-23 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State OVER 61.5 | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. The Sooners are banged up, and star linebacker Danny Strutsman is questionable for the last edition of Bedlam. The Cowboys offense has been firing on all cylinders, but during their winning streak they continue to give up a ton of yards and a ton of points. The long term forecast was calling for high winds and nasty weather, and that may have kept this total a little lower than expected. The latest news out of Stillwater is that weather will not be a concern. They don't call it Bedlam for nothing, we expect a shootout in Oklahoma. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-03-23 | Mavs v. Nuggets UNDER 227 | 114-125 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Nuggets have gone under this number in all of their games this season, and they have gone over this number just once in their last eight games versus Dallas. Opponents have averaged just 103.6 points per game so far, and the Nuggets did rank in the Top 10 in opponent scoring average last season. Dallas is 4-0 and the Mavs have averaged 222.5 points in those games. They have had a soft schedule so far, and this Game at Denver should be a far bigger challenge for them. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-30-23 | Jazz v. Nuggets UNDER 231 | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 18 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. These teams went under in three of four meetings last season, and the total for tonight's game is far higher than it was in any of those games. Denver ranked 5th in opponent's scoring average last season, and three games in they rank 5th in that category so far this year. The Jazz have gone over in each of their first three games, but they faced opponents that were willing to pay at their desired pace. On the road at Denver, we expect the Nuggets to dictate the pace and style of this game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-27-23 | Blues v. Canucks UNDER 6.5 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Blues are coming off a 3-0 shutout win over Calgary, and they have gone under in five of their six games this season. They will be starting a hot goaltender tonight in Vancouver, either the backup coming off a shutout or Jordan Binnington, who is 2-1-1 with 1.69 GAA. The Canucks are also in good shape with both their netminders, ranking 7th in the league in GAA. History tells us we can expect a low scoring game, as the under is 19-6-3 in the last 28 meetings in Vancouver. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-26-23 | Maple Leafs v. Stars UNDER 6.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Under. The Dallas Stars host the Toronto Maple Leafs tonight, and these teams have a history of playing low scoring games. Four of the last five head to head meetings have gone under the total. The Stars are riding a hot goaltender, as Jake Oettinger is 3-0-1 with a 1.44 GAA in four starts. All four of those games went under the total. Toronto also has a hot goaltender, Joseph Woll is 2-1 with a 1.44 GAA. We could see a low scoring affair here in Texas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-26-23 | 76ers v. Bucks UNDER 227 | 117-118 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. |
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10-25-23 | Mavs v. Spurs OVER 229.5 | 126-119 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Spurs ranked dead last in the NBA in opponents scoring average, allowing over 121 points per game. They have gone over in six straight versus Texas rivals Dallas, and during that span they have done plenty of scoring in their own right. San Antonio scored an average of 123 points in their last six meetings versus the Mavs. San Antonio did plenty of scoring in the pre-season, with 120 or more in three of their five games. We might see another shootout in Texas tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-21-23 | Tennessee v. Alabama UNDER 48 | 20-34 | Loss | -110 | 144 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. I bet the under in the Vols home game against Texas A&M. Here is what I said prior to the game: "The Vols ran for 238 yards and three TDs in a win over South Carolina two weeks ago, but they face a much tougher Aggies defense this week. Texas A&M held Alabama to just 23 rushing yards last week, but Jalen Milroe and Jermaine Burton lit them up. Joe Milton hasn't been lighting anybody up this season, and he won't have his top WR Bru McCoy for the rest of the season. This game should be a defensive battle, and we should expect a low score. Both these teams have held opponents to fewer than 20 points per game." Alabama should be able to dominate this game on the ground, and the Vols are going to struggle to score. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-20-23 | Calgary v. BC OVER 49.5 | 41-16 | Win | 100 | 19 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. This is a big game for both teams, as BC is still in the hunt for first place in the West, and Calgary needs a win just to make the playoffs. The Lions have gone over the total in six straight, and one of the reasons for that has been a lackluster defense. The Lions have allowed opponents to average over 30 points per game in their last six overall. Five of those games were wins, so they are clearly scoring more than their share as well. Calgary gets WR1 (Beggleton) back for tonight's game. We should see both teams score plenty. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-20-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 18 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. We saw a pitcher's duel in Game 3 in Arizona on Thursday, but with both teams turning to the back end of the rotation I would expect a slugfest in Game 4. Joe Mantiply will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's been lit up in two appearances versus Philly. The Phillies tagged him for seven runs on nine hits over 3 1/3 innings in those games. The Phillies hand the ball to Cristopher Sanchez, who hasn't pitched in three weeks. He was 2-2 with a 5.26 in eight starts during the regular season. This game has "slugfest" written all over it. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-19-23 | Astros v. Rangers OVER 9.5 | Top | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. We expected Max Scherzer to struggle last night coming off a long layoff, and he got tagged for five runs on five hits in four innings. Both starters tonight are coming off an extended layoff, and this is the bottom of the barrel as far as the rotation is concerned. Jose Urquidy will toe the slab for Houston, and he's failed to reach the fifth inning in seven of his last nine appearances. Andrew Heaney hasn't pitched in two weeks, and he allowed three runs on five hits and four walks in 4 2/3 innings in a 13-6 loss in his last home start versus the Astros. Another shootout seems likely in Game 4 in Texas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-18-23 | Astros v. Rangers OVER 9 | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Both these teams turn to the back end of the rotation here in this hitter's park in Game 3 of the ALCS. Max Scherzer will toe the rubber for the Rangers, but he hasn't started in the majors in over a month. Expect him to be on a short leash here in his return from injury. The Astros hand the ball to Cristian Javier, who was rocked for eight runs on nine hits in 4 1/3 innings in his last start in Texas. Scherzer's last home start came against Houston, and he gave up seven runs on six hits and two walks in just three innings in a 12-3 loss last month. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-14-23 | NC State v. Duke UNDER 48.5 | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 145 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Blue Devils have had a week off to recover from their heartbreaking loss to Notre Dame, and now they host NC State without starting QB Riley Leonard. We are likely to see freshman Henry Belin IV at QB, and that should mean a conservative game plan relying heavily on the running game and the defense. Duke ranks 4th nationally in scoring defense, and the Wolfpack are starting a backup quarterback who threw three INTs in his debut against Marshall last week. I expect MJ Morris to struggle against this Duke defense. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-14-23 | UCLA v. Oregon State UNDER 54.5 | 24-36 | Loss | -115 | 57 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Bruins couldn't get anything going on offense when they played on the road at Utah, and a trip to Corvallis might just be a recurring nightmare for UCLA. That same Utah team that UCLA had so much trouble with, was held to seven points in a crushing 21-7 loss at Corvallis a week later. Far more significant than the results versus a common opponent, are the similarities in playing in such a hostile environment. The Beavers are 16-4 ATS in their last 20 home games, and they have held opponents to single digits in all three of their home games this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-14-23 | Texas A&M v. Tennessee UNDER 55.5 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 52 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Vols ran for 238 yards and three TDs in a win over South Carolina two weeks ago, but they face a much tougher Aggies defense this week. Texas A&M held Alabama to just 23 rushing yards last week, but Jalen Milroe and Jermaine Burton lit them up. Joe Milton hasn't been lighting anybody up this season, and he won't have his top WR Bru McCoy for the rest of the season. This game should be a defensive battle, and we should expect a low score. Both these teams have held opponents to fewer than 20 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-12-23 | Red Wings v. Devils OVER 6.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. We don't want to overreact to the pre-season, but the Devils did score an NHL best 30 goals in just seven games. The Red Wings weren't far off, tallying 29 in eight games. The Devils offense should pick up where it did last season, leading the Metropolitan Division in scoring. Neither of these teams have great goaltending, and the defense should be a bit sloppy early in the season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-08-23 | Newcastle United v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 43 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. There are only four teams in the Premier League that have both scored 10 or more goals and conceded 10 or more goals through their first seven matches. One of those teams is West Ham, and they host a Newcastle side that ranks second in the Premier League in scoring with 18 goals. Both teams have scored in each of the last five head to head meetings between these teams. The most recent meeting was a 5-1 away win for Newcastle in April of 2023. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-07-23 | Oregon State v. California UNDER 52 | 52-40 | Loss | -117 | 66 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Oregon State Beavers offense is heavily reliant on their running game, ranking 16th nationally averaging 206 yards per game. California ranks even higher, averaging 212 yards per game. Both teams are pretty solid on defense, so we should expect this game to be rock fight. The Golden Bears have gone under in all three of their home games so far, and with both teams looking to establish the run we could see a low score here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-06-23 | Winnipeg v. BC OVER 50.5 | Top | 34-26 | Win | 100 | 17 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Over. These two teams rank 2nd and 3rd in scoring in the CFL, and we should see plenty of scoring in an indoor game in BC tonight. The lions have gone over in four straight, and Winnipeg has gone over in eight of their last 10. The BC defense has looked suspect, allowing 29.4 points per game in their last five overall. Winnipeg QB Zach Collaros leads the CFL with 30 TD passes so far, while BC QB Vernon Adams Jr. leads the league in passing averaging 308 yards per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-04-23 | Diamondbacks v. Brewers UNDER 7.5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The D'Backs won 6-3 in Game 1, and it was the only game that went over on yesterday's card. It looks like Game 2 could be a potential pitcher's duel. Zach Gallen will toe the slab for Arizona, and he owns the Brewers. He's 2-0 with a 0.64 ERA in two starts versus the Brew Crew this season, and the Brewers lineup is hitting .171 over a combined 70 at bats against him. The Brewers hand the ball to Freddy Peralta, and he's allowed just two runs on four hits, striking out 19 over 12 1/3 innings in his last two home starts. The Brewers went under in five of their final six home games during the regular season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-30-23 | Washington v. Arizona OVER 68.5 | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 143 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Huskies are the #1 passing offense in the country, and they are averaging over 49 points per game. The Huskies beat Arizona by a score of 49-39 last year, and the total for that game was 71.5. A lower number here, but I don't see how Washington scores less than 50. Both these teams want to play fast and air it out, and another high score should be expected. Last week the Bears scored 32 against Washington, I think we can count on Arizona scoring 20-30 here at home. Looking at 55-24 Huskies ... GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-30-23 | Alabama v. Mississippi State UNDER 49 | 40-17 | Loss | -110 | 142 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Alabama is coming off a dominant effort on defense, holding Ole Miss to just 10 points in a 24-10 home win. Nick Saban came in with a plan, and he executed with precision. He utilized the skill set of Jalen Milroe as a dual threat, as he ran the ball almost as much as he threw it. Overall Alabama ran 21 passing plays and 45 running plays. They head to Starkeville this week, and they beat the Bulldogs by a score of 30-6 last year. That was with Bryce Young at QB for Alabama, and Will Rogers in the Air Raid. The Bulldogs have abandoned the Air Raid, leaning more on their run game. These teams have gone under in five straight head to head meetings, and I expect that trend to continue here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-30-23 | South Florida v. Navy UNDER 53.5 | 44-30 | Loss | -110 | 136 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The new rules in college football season don't seem to have had a significant effect on totals for most teams, but the exception might be the likes of service academies and the likes of Iowa, Nebrasksa. This total sits at 53.5, and Navy has yet to play a game that has seen that much scoring. Early weather forecasts are calling for wind and rain in Anapolis on Saturday. Perfect conditions for a traditional ground and pound game with long slow drives that chew up the clock and result in a low scoring battle. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-26-23 | Diamondbacks v. White Sox OVER 9.5 | 15-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Arizona will play Game 1 at Chicago Tuesday, and this should be a slugfest. Zach Davies will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's 1-1 with an 8.10 ERA in five road starts. The White Sox hand the ball to Jose Urena, who is 0-3 with an 8.68 ERA in four home starts. Tim Anderson is swinging a hot bat, hitting .368 over the last two weeks. He's 2-for-2 with a home run lifetime versus Davies. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-23-23 | Ole Miss v. Alabama UNDER 57 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 111 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Crimson Tide have plenty of problems, but the defense isn't one one of them. Ole Miss comes in with a 3-0 record, but I think it's important have a closer look at those wins. Surely wins over Mercer and Georgia Tech can't be considered an indication that this team can upset Alabama. There is a double digit win over Tulane that you might think they can hang their hat on, but the Green Wave didn't have their starting QB in that game. The Rebels held a 27-20 lead with two minutes remaining in that game, however a comedy of errors saw them score 10 unanswered points in the final 1:53 seconds. I still think Alabama will win this game, but in order to do so they are going to need to slow the game down, play conservative, run the ball and lean on their defense. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-22-23 | BC v. Edmonton Elks OVER 50 | 37-29 | Win | 100 | 58 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Over. The Lions QB Vernon Adams Jr. leads the CFL in passing yards per game by a wide margin, and he ranks second in the league with 23 TDs in 11 starts. The Edmonton Elks are clearly not the same team with Trey Ford at QB. They are coming off a 36-27 road win at Saskatchewan, and they have scored 30+ in two of their last three games. The longest home losing streak in North American professional sports is now over, and Edmonton has won three of their last four games. Both teams should do plenty of scoring here, pushing the total over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-20-23 | Pirates v. Cubs UNDER 8.5 | 13-7 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Cubs are in the middle of a heated battle for a Wild Card spot in the National League, and we can expect a pitcher's duel here tonight at Wrigley. Mitch Keller will toe the slab for the Pirates, and he's 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA in his last four starts. The Cubs hand the ball to Justin Steele, who is 12-2 with a 2.18 ERA in 17 home starts. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-19-23 | White Sox v. Nationals OVER 9.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. We aren't exactly expecting a pitcher's duel here in Washington tonight. Jose Urena will toe the slab for Chicago, and he's 0-6 with an 8.48 ERA in seven starts. He got torched for six runs on seven hits in 6 1/3 innings in a loss to the Twins his last time out. The Nats hand the ball to rookie Jackson Rutledge, who is making his second major league start. He allowed seven runs on 10 hits in 3 1/3 innings in his debut last week. This game has slugdest written all over it. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-18-23 | Twins v. Reds OVER 9.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. So the Twins will win the Central, so at this point this team is just going through the motions. You wouldn't expect them to want their starters going deep into games at this point in the season. Joe Ryan will toe the slab for the Twins, and he's only logged more than five innings in one of his last five starts. The Reds hand the ball to rookie right-hander Connor Phillips. He's allowed eight runs on 10 hits over 8 2/3 innings in two starts in the major leagues. Warm air and wind blowing out in Cincinnati is bad news for pitchers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-17-23 | Jets v. Cowboys UNDER 44.5 | 10-30 | Win | 100 | 137 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So the Cowboys defense shut out the Giants in New York in Week 1, and the Jets made Josh Allen look like Ryan Leaf. With Zach Wilson taking over at QB for the Jets, we expect them to be quite conservative on offense. The Cowboys are looking to ride Tony Pollard and their defense, so we could see a low scoring defensive battle here in this one. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-16-23 | TCU v. Houston UNDER 64.5 | 36-13 | Win | 100 | 104 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Bettors are still adjusting to the new rules regarding clock stoppages in college football, and bookmakers have scrambled to adjust the totals. Most opening numbers have been bet down, and I believe it's for very good reason. A source told me that teams are running on average 4-5 fewer plays since the rule change. That's nine plays between them throughout the course of a game. Ask yourself how many points would be scored, and how much time would be added if you had an additional nine plays. We saw the total go over in TCU's Week 1 loss to Colorado, and we saw Houston play a defensive battle versus UTSA in Week 1. The 1st half under hit in the Horned Frogs season opener, and I think the rule changes are leading to lower scores across the board in the first half of games. The public is betting the over in this game, but keep in mind TCU lost OC Garrett Riley and Max Duggan. Donovan Smith hasn't looked particular good replacing Clayton Tune at QB for Houston. This number appears to be a wee bit inflated. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-16-23 | Syracuse v. Purdue UNDER 57.5 | 35-20 | Win | 100 | 73 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Bettors are still adjusting to the new rules regarding clock stoppages in college football, and bookmakers have scrambled to adjust the totals. Most opening numbers have been bet down, and I believe it's for very good reason. A source told me that teams are running on average 4-5 fewer plays since the rule change. That's nine plays between them throughout the course of a game. Ask yourself how many points would be scored, and how much time would be added if you had an additional nine plays. The Orange have allowed just seven point in their first two games, but they face a far tougher test here at Purdue. Both these teams lean heavily on the run, which should result in a lot of clock killing drives. This number appears to be a bit inflated. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-16-23 | Tennessee v. Florida UNDER 59 | Top | 16-29 | Win | 100 | 103 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 4* play on Under. Bettors are still adjusting to the new rules regarding clock stoppages in college football, and bookmakers have scrambled to adjust the totals. Most opening numbers have been bet down, and I believe it's for very good reason. A source told me that teams are running on average 4-5 fewer plays since the rule change. That's nine plays between them throughout the course of a game. Ask yourself how many points would be scored, and how much time would be added if you had an additional nine plays. We saw the total go over in last year's game at Tennessee, the Vols winning 38-33. The rules aren't the only thing that has changed since then, as both teams have a downgrade at QB this season. So far we have seen both teams running the ball, and this game could see plenty of ground and pound. This number appears to be a bit inflated. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-16-23 | Minnesota v. North Carolina UNDER 50 | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 97 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Bettors are still adjusting to the new rules regarding clock stoppages in college football, and bookmakers have scrambled to adjust the totals. Most opening numbers have been bet down, and I believe it's for very good reason. A source told me that teams are running on average 4-5 fewer plays since the rule change. That's nine plays between them throughout the course of a game. Ask yourself how many points would be scored, and how much time would be added if you had an additional nine plays. We saw the total go under in both the Gophers first two games, allowing a combined 16 points in wins over Nebraska and Eastern Michigan. Tar Heels QB faces his toughest test yet, and he's struggled throwing for as many picks (2) as TDs (2). Minnesota will pound the rock, kill the clock and this game will be over before there is enough time to put up a combined 50 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-15-23 | Edmonton Elks v. Saskatchewan OVER 46 | 36-27 | Win | 100 | 67 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Edmonton Elks are a different team since Tre Ford took over at QB. Edmonton has won three of their last four games, averaging over 27 points per game during that span. The Riders have had some success at home, upsetting the BC Lions and the Winnipeg Blue Bombers in their last two home games. Saskatchewan ranks dead last in the CFL in scoring defense, and the Elks aren't far behind. Expect both teams to put points on the board here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-09-23 | Texas v. Alabama UNDER 54.5 | 34-24 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Nick Saban's Crimson Tide have been the most dominant team in college football for over a decade, but the air of invincibility might be fading a little. Last year the Tide lost at Tennessee and LSU, and they really should have lost at Texas as well. Aided by a handful of blown calls by the officials, Alabama kicked a game winning field goal to win 20-19 in the final seconds. Texas returns nine starters on offense including QB Quinn Ewers. The Longhorns defense ranked 1st nationally in QB pressures last season, and they face Jalen Milroe who is making just his third start. His only start last year was a 24-20 home win over Texas A&M. Texas has the more experienced QB, and they should have the athletes on both sides of the ball to push Alabama to the brink just like they did last year. We should expect another low scorer here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-09-23 | Saskatchewan v. Winnipeg OVER 47.5 | 6-51 | Win | 100 | 71 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Here is what I said about these two teams last week: The injury report includes a handful of linebackers, defensive backs and defensive linemen for both teams. That isn't great for a Riders team that ranks dead last in the CFL in scoring defense allowing 27.2 points per game. The Riders though come off a bye week, and their last game was an upset win at home versus BC by a score of 34-29. The Lions had the top scoring defense in the CFL in the first two months of the season, but rookie QB Jake Dolegala lit them up for 239 yards and three TDs. The Bombers come in with the league's top scoring offense, averaging over 30 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-09-23 | Texas A&M v. Miami-FL UNDER 52 | 33-48 | Loss | -114 | 96 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. These teams played last season at College Station, and the Aggies won by a score of 17-9. With a new QB and Bobby Petrino coming in as offensive coordinator, Texas A&M might be a lot better on offense. Playing on the road at Miami doesn't figure to be a picnic though. The Canes were dominant in a win over Miami-Oh in Week 1. While the new rules regarding clock stoppages didn't really result in any clear under trend after the first week of college football, it did seem to effect some teams more than others. Neither of these two teams play particularly fast, so we could see a lot of time coming off the clock during extended drives. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-09-23 | Utah v. Baylor UNDER 47 | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 71 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. You don't want to overreact to Week 1 results. Utah won convincingly at home over the Florida Gators and Baylor got lit up in a 42-31 home loss to Texas State. Utah won without Cam Rising, and Bryson Barnes was solid throwing for 159 yards and a TD on 12-of-18 passing. Nate Johnson came in at QB and ran for 45 yards and a TD on six carries. Baylor struggled on defense last season, and it looks like that has carried over into 2023. The Bears were 0-5 versus Top 25 teams, and the average margin of victory in those games was 11 points. The Bears lost starting QB Blake Shapen in Week 1, and Sawyer Robertson threw for 113 yards and an INT on 6-of-12 passing against Texas State. With or without Cam Rising the Utes have mismatches all over the field. The total in the Utes Week 1 game against FLA got bet down to 43.5. Should expect another low score here as both teams likely using backup QBs. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-03-23 | Winnipeg v. Saskatchewan OVER 47 | 30-32 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on Over. The injury report includes a handful of linebackers, defensive backs and defensive linemen for both teams. That isn't great for a Riders team that ranks dead last in the CFL in scoring defense allowing 27.2 points per game. The Riders though come off a bye week, and their last game was an upset win at home versus BC by a score of 34-29. The Lions had the top scoring defense in the CFL in the first two months of the season, but rookie QB Jake Dolegala lit them up for 239 yards and three TDs. The Bombers come in with the league's top scoring offense, averaging over 30 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-02-23 | Washington State v. Colorado State UNDER 55.5 | 50-24 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Bettors are still adjusting to the new rules regarding clock stoppages in college football, and bookmakers have scrambled to adjust the totals. Most opening numbers have been bet down, and I believe it's for very good reason. A source told me that teams are running on average 4-5 fewer plays since the rule change. That's nine plays between them throughout the course of a game. Ask yourself how many points would be scored, and how much time would be added if you had an additional nine plays. Here we have a case where money is actually coming in on the over, and I think this presents an opportunity. The Cougars beat the Rams by a score of 38-7 last year, failing to reach the total of 51.5. Now we have a higher number, despite the fact that the Cougars lost their top four receivers, and their QB was sacked a PAC12 worst 46 times. Rams QB Clay Millen was sacked 53 times in just 10 games last year. These teams want to play fast and chuck it around the yard, but they can't do that if they can't keep their QB upright. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-02-23 | UTSA v. Houston UNDER 60 | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 42 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Bettors are still adjusting to the new rules regarding clock stoppages in college football, and bookmakers have scrambled to adjust the totals. Most opening numbers have been bet down, and I believe it's for very good reason. A source told me that teams are running on average 4-5 fewer plays since the rule change. That's nine plays between them throughout the course of a game. Ask yourself how many points would be scored, and how much time would be added if you had an additional nine plays. Here we have a case where money is actually coming in on the over, and I think this presents an opportunity. While most people remember that Houston won 37-35 in overtime at UTSA last year, perhaps they forgot that the two teams combined to score just 48 points in regulation. The Cougars will have a new quarterback who is more of a dual threat than his predecessor, and star wide receiver Tank Dell is gone. I'll roll the dice that both these teams won't have time to score 30 before the clock runs out. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-02-23 | Colorado v. TCU UNDER 64 | 45-42 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Bettors are still adjusting to the new rules regarding clock stoppages in college football, and bookmakers have scrambled to adjust the totals. Most opening numbers have been bet down, and I believe it's for very good reason. A source told me that teams are running on average 4-5 fewer plays since the rule change. That's nine plays between them throughout the course of a game. Ask yourself how many points would be scored, and how much time would be added if you had an additional nine plays. Here we have a case where money is actually coming in on the over, and I think this presents an opportunity. I understand that Colorado has a new offensive coordinator, who is famous for the "Flash Fast Offense", but can he get everyone on the same page in Week 1? Can the offensive line hold up? Or will they be punting back to TCU who also have a new offensive coordinator, and will the Horned Frogs lean on their running game as they did last year, rushing for 275 yards and four TDs on 30 carries in a 38-13 win at Colorado? GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-30-23 | Brewers v. Cubs UNDER 7.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Under. After a 1-0 win over Milwaukee in Game 2, we might expect another pitcher's duel in Game 3 in Chicago today. Kyle Hendricks will toe the slab for the Cubs, and he's owned the Brewers. Milwaukee's lineup is batting .203 with 39 strikeouts and just 27 hits over a combined 133 at bats versus the former Cy Young winner. The Brewers hand the ball to Brandon Woodruff, who is 3-1 with a 2.65 ERA in six starts so far in 2023. The wind was blowing in yesterday, and it's expected to be the same story this afternoon. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-25-23 | Luton Town v. Chelsea OVER 3 | 0-3 | Push | 0 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Chelsea is coming off a 1-1 draw versus Liverpool, in a match that had two goals disallowed by VAR. They host Luton Town, and these teams have a history of playing high scoring games. Last year Chelsea won 3-2 in an FA Cup match versus Luton Town. Neither team looks particularly good defensively, Luton conceding four goals in one match and Chelsea allowing four goals in two matches. Expect a 3-1 scoreline here with the home team prevailing. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-18-23 | Winnipeg v. Calgary OVER 47 | 19-18 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Bombers come into Calgary as the highest scoring team in the CFL, and they have the league's leading passer. Jake Maier is 2nd in the CFL in passing, and we should expect these teams to air it out here in Calgary tonight. Zach Collaros is banged up, and it might have to be Dru Brown, but the backup threw for 307 yards and four TDS on 17-of-24 passing after replacing Collaros last week. Calgary isn't exactly a defensive powerhouse, so expect the Bombers to move the ball regardless of who is under center. Winnipeg has gone over in five of their last six road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-17-23 | Edmonton Elks v. Hamilton UNDER 45 | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 32 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Hamilton Ticats are down to their 3rd string QB after injuries to Bo Levi Mitchell and Matthew Shiltz. Taylor Powell has averaged 138 yards per game with just one TD and three INTs since taking over. Hamilton has averaged just 20 points per game, and only the Edmonton Elks have scored fewer. The Elks have averaged fewer than 17 points per game. Trey Ford made his debut last week, throwing for 189 yards, a TD and an INT on 12-of-16 passing. The Elks ran the ball for 173 yards on 21 carries. Both these teams will likely want to establish the run, and we should not be surprised to see a low scoring game between the two worst offensive teams in the league. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-14-23 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies OVER 10.5 | 4-6 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Rockies are going through the motions after dealing players at the deadline, and winning is no longer a priority. Chris Flexen will toe the rubber for the Rockies in Game 1 versus Arizona, and his numbers indicate he has no business being in the major leagues. He's 1-1 with an 8.56 ERA in three starts for Colorado. The D'Backs scheduled starter is Merrill Kelly, but he was pulled from his last start due to injury. Kelly has been great on the road and great against the Rockies, but given the health concerns I would expect him to log a lot of innings here, if he starts. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-13-23 | Yankees v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | 7-8 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. We are looking for a pitcher's duel in Miami on Sunday. Gerrit Cole will toe the slab for the Yankees, and he's been dominant all year. He's 6-1 with a 2.78 ERA in a dozen starts in day games this season. The Marlins hand the ball to Eury Perez, who is 3-1 with a 1.10 ERA in six home starts. The Yankees rank 24th in MLB in scoring since the All Star break, while Miami ranks 29th. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-12-23 | West Ham United v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 2.5 | 1-1 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. AFC Bournemouth conceded 71 goals in the Premier League last year, only two teams conceded more. Both those teams (Leeds and Southampton) were relegated to the Championship. Bournemouth has faced West Ham five times since 2019 and four of those games went over the total. West Ham played three friendly matches prior to the start of the season, and all three of those went over the total. New rules in the Premier League allow for more added time at the end of the first half as well as past the 90th minute. The offside rule has also been relaxed, which will undoubtedly lead to more goals. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-11-23 | Manchester City v. Burnley OVER 3 | 3-0 | Push | 0 | 15 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on over. So Man City was clinging to a 1-0 lead over Arsenal in the Community Shield, but the Gunners were given an incredible amount of extra time to get the equalizer, and then went on to win on penalties. The Premier League is emphasizing more added time this season, and they have also relaxed offside rules. These new rules will certainly lead to more scoring. Arsenal was unlucky not convert on any of their chances in the first half versus City, and Phil Foden was inches away from making the score 2-0. This match features the Premier League scoring leaders from 2022, and a newly promoted Burnley team that scored a league best 87 goals in the Championship last year. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-08-23 | Royals v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Red Sox won Game 1 by a score of 6-2. I expect to see more scoring here in Game 1 versus the Royals. Brady Singer will toe the rubber for the Royals, and he's 2-4 with a 6.91 ERA in eight starts on the road. The Red Sox hand the ball to Kutter Crawford, who is 0-2 with a 6.03 ERA in nine appearances at home. The warm air and wind blowing out at Fenway may carry a well hit ball out of the park tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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08-05-23 | Mariners v. Angels OVER 8.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -125 | 17 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Angels have lost the first two games in this home series versus Seattle, and they are an underdog in Game 3. We might expect another slugfest tonight. George Kirby will toe the slab for Seattle, and he was rocked in his only other start versus LA this year. He gave up four runs on nine hits in 4 1/3 innings in a loss. The Angels hand the ball to Tyler Anderson, who's 4.98 ERA and 1.53 WHIP inspire little confidence. The warm air and wind blowout out is expected to make for hitter friendly conditions. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-29-23 | Reds v. Dodgers OVER 10 | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. |
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07-29-23 | Angels v. Blue Jays OVER 9.5 | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Jays won Game 1 by a score of 4-1, but we could see a slugfest in Game 2. Alek Manoah will toe the slab for Toronto, and he's struggling to stay in the major leagues. Since his return from the minors, he's 1-1 with a 5.02 ERA. The Angels hand the ball to Reid Detmers, who is 0-4 with a 5.71 ERA in seven road starts. The over is 7-3 in Manoah's last 10 starts. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-25-23 | Atlanta United v. Inter Miami OVER 2.5 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Messi has arrived in Miami, and it didn't take long for him to make his mark. A converted free kick was the game winner as he came off the bench against Cruz Azul in the League Cup. He will be the team captain and may even start against Atlanta tonight. As much as Messi adds excitement and should help Miami score goals, it's unlikely he can change the fact that they have conceded nine goals in their last five matches. They rank near the bottom of MLS in goals against, and the addition of Messi won't improve their defense. Miami has gone over in three of their last four versus Atlanta. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-23-23 | Blue Jays v. Mariners OVER 8.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. We saw a slugfest in Seattle on Saturday, and another high score is possible given the pitching matchup on Sunday. Alek Manoah is back in the majors, but he still can't throw strikes. He walked five in a loss to San Diego his last time out. The Mariners hand the ball to Bryan Woo, who is also coming off a bad start. He gave up seven runs on eight hits and three walks in 3 1/3 innings in a home loss to Minnesota. The Mariners have gone over in four of their last five when Woo starts. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-21-23 | Toronto v. Hamilton OVER 50 | 31-15 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Toronto Argos are 1st in the CFL in scoring averaging 39 points per game. They should be able to pile on the points here in Hamilton, against the worst defense in the CFL. Hamilton has allowed a CFL worst 33 points per game. Scoring is up in the CFL here in July, with all four games going over last week. History says we can expect another high score in Hamilton, as the over is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings. The Als have gone over in six of their last eight in Steel Town. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-21-23 | Orioles v. Rays UNDER 8 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Tampa Rays are in second place in the AL East, a game back of Baltimore. This would have been unthinkable earlier this season, but the Rays have hit a wall. Given the magnitude of this game, and the fact that Tampa is struggling at the plate, we expect a pitcher's duel today. Kyle Bradish will toe the slab for Baltimore, and he's 3-1 with a 1.03 ERA his last four starts. He went five innings, allowing two runs on four hits and striking out eight in a no decision at Tampa earlier this season. Zach Eflin is 9-1 with a 2.34 ERA in 10 home starts. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-15-23 | Winnipeg v. Ottawa UNDER 44.5 | 28-31 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Gonna keep this simple...say what you want about the Ottawa Redblacks, but the fact is that they have allowed fewer points than any other team in the CFL. They have a problem at quarterback though, with their fourth string quarterback set to start Saturday's game. His last meaningful football game was at the 2021 Idaho Potato Bowl. He faces a Bombers team that has held it's last two opponents to a combined 14 points. Ottawa has gone under in 20 of their last 28 overall, and they have gone under in four straight versus the Bombers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-14-23 | Toronto v. Montreal OVER 48 | 35-27 | Win | 100 | 15 h 35 m | Show | |
This is 4* play on Over. The Toronto Argos lead the CFL in scoring, and they scored 30+ points in their last two games versus Montreal. The Als are coming off a 35-19 loss at BC, and they play on short rest here against an Argos team that is coming off a bye week. Montreal should score some points here at home, but I don't like their chances of stopping the defending champs. The over is 7-3 in the Alouettes last 10 games in July. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-09-23 | Mets v. Padres UNDER 8 | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Padres won 3-1 on Saturday, and we can expect another pitcher's duel on Sunday. Max Scherzer will toe the slab for the Mets, and he's owned San Diego. The Padres lineup is batting a combined .163 with 71 strikeouts and 31 hits over 190 at bats versus the veteran right-hander. The Padres hand the ball to Joe Musgrove, and the Mets haven't had much success against him either. New York's lineup has hit .194 over a combined 102 at bats versus Musgrove. The under is 5-1 in the last six head to head meetings GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-07-23 | Rockies v. Giants OVER 9.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. It's a windy day in San Francisco, and with 30 MPH wind blowing out and two struggling pitchers on the hill I expect to see plenty of runs. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-07-23 | Calgary v. Winnipeg OVER 46.5 | 11-24 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Bombers scored 40+ points in their first two games of the season, but they also gave up 58 points in those games. They will host Calgary tonight, and the Stampeders are coming off a 29-26 loss to Saskatchewan. The last two head to head meetings between these teams have gone well over the total, and we expect another high scoring game here in Week 5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-07-23 | Blue Jays v. Tigers OVER 9 | 12-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Tigers scored nine runs in a home win over Oakland yesterday, and we should expect another slugfest in the Motor City here tonight. Alek Manoah will toe the slab for Toronto, and he's back in the majors after a stint in the minors. Not Triple-A, but the Florida Complex League (don't ask). He got absolutely torched giving up 11 runs in 2 2/3 innings against kids. The Tigers aren't exactly sending Cy Young material out to the mound today either. Alex Faedo hasn't pitched since May, and he posted an ERA of 6.06 in three home starts. The over is 18-7-1 in the Tigers last 26 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-06-23 | Edmonton Elks v. Saskatchewan OVER 43.5 | 11-12 | Loss | -107 | 20 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Elks are 0-4, and they are coming off a blowout loss at Ottawa last week. As bad as things look for Edmonton, I think last week's game was closer than the score would indicate. The Elks did play a close game against the Riders in Week 1, losing by a score of 17-13. The Riders currently have 13 players on their injured lists, including starting centre Peter Godber and receivers Jake Weineke, Derel Walker, Brayden Lenius, Juwan Brescacin and Kian Schaffer-Baker. Saskatchewan is looking to snap a seven game home losing streak, and asking them to cover eight points might be asking too much. The road team is 5-1 straight up in the last six head to head meetings, and last year Edmonton won by a score of 26-24. The over is 11-5 in the Roughriders last 16 games following a bye week. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-04-23 | Mets v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | Top | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. The D'Backs sit first place in the NL West and they rank in the top 5 in the majors in scoring. Given the starting pitchers scheduled for today's games, we should expect fireworks on the 4th of July. Zack Davies will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's 0-3 with a 7.33 ERA in six home starts. The Mets lineup has owned Davies, batting a combined .329 over 79 at bats. The Mets hand the ball to Kodia Senga, who is coming off three straight losses. The over is 9-3-1 in the Diamondbacks last 13 during game 1 of a series. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-02-23 | Diamondbacks v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. We should be in for a pitcher's duel in LA on Sunday afternoon. Zac Gallen will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's 10-2 with a 3.02 ERA in 17 starts. He's 3-0 with a 3.69 ERA in his last five starts. The Halos hand the ball to Reid Detmers, who is riding a hot streak of his own. He's 1-0 with a 1.05 ERA in his last four starts. The under is 9-3 in Angels last 12 overall, and they have failed to reach the number in six of their last eight home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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07-02-23 | Philadelphia v. Atlanta United OVER 2.75 | 0-2 | Loss | -123 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. |
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07-02-23 | Nationals v. Phillies OVER 9 | 5-4 | Push | 0 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Nats lost Game 2 by a score of 19-4, and we expect another slugfest on Sunday. Ranger Saurez will toe the slab for Philly, and he's 0-1 with a 5.21 ERA in four home starts. The Nats hand the ball to Trevor Williams, and he hasn't fooled Philly in recent meetings. He allowed four runs on six hits in 5 2/3 innings in a loss to Philly earlier this season. The Phillies lineup is batting .312 over a combined 112 at bats versus Williams. The over is 22-8-2 in the last 32 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-27-23 | Marlins v. Red Sox OVER 9 | 10-1 | Win | 100 | 27 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Red Sox host the Marlins in Interleague play Tuesday, and I think we can expect plenty of scoring. Sandy Alcantara will toe the slab for the Fish, and he's struggled this season. He's been torched for 10 runs on 10 hits in 12 ⅓ innings in his last two starts. The Red Sox hand the ball to Gattett Whitlock, who has solid numbers overall. The over is 18-7-2 in the Red Sox last 27 games following an off day, and they have gone over in seven of their last nine home games. Take over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-26-23 | Fever v. Aces OVER 171.5 | 80-88 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Las Vegas are in a league of their own, with a 12-1 record in this season. They lead the WNBA in scoring averaging over 93 points per game. They are coming off a 101-88 home win over Indiana, and the bookmakers have not adjusted the total here for the second game of this series. These teams played three games in 2022, and all three of those games went under. The total in those games was far higher than it is in tonight's game. Indiana is one of just three teams that score 80+ points, and allow over 80 points per game. The over is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings in Las Vegas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-25-23 | Rangers v. Yankees UNDER 7.5 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Under. Runs have been hard to come by at Yankee Stadium lately, with the total going under in 10 of the last 12 in the Bronx. Nate Eovaldi will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and the former Yankee is having a career year. He's 6-1 with a 2.37 ERA in nine starts on the road. The Yankees hand the ball to Gerrit Cole, who was waving his finger at the Mariners in his last start. He's 5-1 with a 2.60 ERA in 10 home starts. The under is 19-7-2 in the last 28 meetings, and they have gone under in five straight in New York. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-24-23 | Mercury v. Storm OVER 158 | 74-97 | Win | 100 | 19 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Seattle Storm only have three wins this season, but one of them came against the Phoenix Mercury. They host the Mercury Satruday, and Phoenix is coming off four straight losses, but they didn't have Britney Griner in those games. Griner is expected to return tonight, and that should effect the scoring for the visitors. While the last game between these teams fell short of the number, Griner only played nine minutes in that contest. Four of the previous five meetings had gone over the total. Tonight's number is also five points lower than it was in the last meeting. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-24-23 | Houston Dynamo v. Austin OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 4* play on Over. Don't look now but the Houston Dynamos are starting to live up to their name. They are one of the hottest teams in MLS, winning four straight and scoring a total of 13 goals in those games. Austin F.C. comes into this Texas showdown off a 3-0 win over Dallas, and they have gone over in five straight matches overall. Get ready for another shootout in Texas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-24-23 | Astros v. Dodgers OVER 8.5 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 15 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Dodgers have gone under in three straight, and their bullpen has been excellent during that span. That's just a small sample size though, and in hitter friendly conditions in LA with two rookie starters, I like the over in Game 2. The over is 7-1-1 in the Dodgers last nine in Game 2 of a series. Bobby Miller looked sharp in his first four starts for the Dodgers, but the rookie was rocked for seven runs on seven hits and three walks in a 15-0 loss to the Giants in his last start. Ronel Blanco is also coming off a rough outing, giving up five runs on seven hits and two walks in 5 2/3 innings in a 9-7 loss to Cincinnati. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-22-23 | BC v. Winnipeg UNDER 49 | Top | 30-6 | Win | 100 | 65 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. In the first two weeks of the season, only two of eight games saw more than 46 combined points. Of course both of those games were blowout wins for the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. The BC Lions might make life a little more difficult for the Bombers. BC comes in allowing just 7.5 points per game, fresh off a shutout win over Edmonton. The Lions have gone under in five straight road games, and the under is 15-6 in the Bombers last 21 home games. These teams have failed to reach the total in four straight meetings in Winnipeg. Both teams are banged up, with several key offensive players expected to miss this week's game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-18-23 | Hamilton v. Toronto UNDER 47 | 14-32 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Low scores at the beginning of the season are nothing new in the CFL, so it comes as no surprise that five of seven games have failed to reach the total so far. One of the two games that did go over the number was the Ticats loss to Winnipeg in Week 1. Hamilton scored 31 points in that game, but most of that scoring came in garbage time. They trailed 29-4 at halftime, and Bo Levi Mitchell threw for just 200 yards, 1 TD and 2 INT on 17-of-33 passing in the loss. Mitchell has the lowest completion percentage in the CFL after Week 1. The under is 16-7 in the Tiger-Cats last 23 games in June, and the under is 17-4 in the Argonauts last 21 games in June. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-18-23 | Giants v. Dodgers OVER 8 | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The conditions at Dodger Stadium have been advantageous to hitters this week, and that may continue here today. Tony Gonsolin will toe the slab for LA, and he's been solid as always. He's 3-0 with a 1.66 ERA in four home starts, but he normally only goes five innings. Plenty of damage can be done in the later innings against this Dodgers bullpen. The Giants hand the ball to Logan Webb, who has been hit hard by LA. The Dodgers lineup is batting a combined .320 over 125 at bats versus Webb. The over is 5-0-1 in the last six meetings in Los Angeles. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-18-23 | Guardians v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | 12-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The D'Backs have won the first two games of this home series versus Cleveland, and we are expecting a slugfest in Game 3. Zach Davies will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's 0-2 with a 7.71 ERA in four home starts. Cleveland will hand the ball to Tanner Bibee, who is 0-1 with a 5.75 ERA in four road starts. The over is 5-1-2 in the Diamondbacks last eight games versus a right-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-17-23 | Portland v. San Jose UNDER 2.5 | 0-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Portland Timber have scored just two goals in their last five matches, playing to a scoreless draw twice during that span. The San Jose Earthquakes have scored just five goals in their last five matches, and they have a couple of draws during that span. The draw looks likely in this game, whether scoreless or 1-1. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-17-23 | Reds v. Astros OVER 8 | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The D'Backs won a low scoring game with their ace on the mound in Game 1, but today's pitching matchup might allow more scoring. Shane Beiber will toe the slab for Cleveland, and he's not the same guy that won a Cy Young a few year back. He's 1-2 with a 4.35 ERA in eight starts on the road this season. The D'Backs hand the ball to Tommy Henry, who is 2-0 with a 4.70 ERA in his last five starts. Needless to say, he's been getting plenty of run support. The over is 33-16-1 in Diamondbacks last 50 interleague games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-17-23 | Orioles v. Cubs OVER 7.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The wind is blowing in at Wrigley, and we see a low total for this game. As of midnight before day the weather report calls for light winds, and I am not sure the low number is justified. Justin Steele will toe the slab for Chicago, and he has nice stats on the season. He was winless in his last four starts, and spent a few weeks on the DL with a sore elbow. Who knows what we can expect from him today. The Orioles hand the ball to Kyle Gibson, who is 4-0 with a 2.61 ERA in his last five starts. His batter versus pitcher stats here are alarming. The Cubs lineup has hit a combined .365 over 89 at bats versus Gibson. The Cubs have gone over in five straight overall, and six of their last eight versus a right-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-14-23 | Blue Jays v. Orioles OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. We saw a slugfest at Camden Yards last night, and I expect more of the same here tonight. Jose Berrios will toe the slab for Toronto, and as good as he's been of late, I can't overlook a career full of dramatic split stats that suggest he struggles on the road. The Orioles lineup is hitting .318 over a combined 110 at bats against Berrios. The Orioles hand the ball to Kyle Bradish, who has also been looking sharp in recent starts. With him I can't overlook the fact that the Jays are batting a combined .384 against in him in 73 at bats. The over is 18-5-3 in the last 26 meetings in Baltimore. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-13-23 | Panthers v. Golden Knights UNDER 6 | 3-9 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
This is 4* play on Under. It's Deja Vu all over again! I said prior to last night's NBA Finals game that the under was 8-2 in the final game of the NBA Finals over the last 10 years. History tells us that the final game of the NHL Finals has gone under in 9-of-10 over the last 10 years. The under is 10-3 in the Panthers last 13 overall, and goals will be hard to come by in this elimination game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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06-12-23 | Heat v. Nuggets UNDER 209.5 | 89-94 | Win | 100 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Finals are expected to come to a conclusion tonight, and if that's the case there is a trend of low scores in closeout games in the NBA Finals over the last 10 seasons. The under is 8-2 in the last 10 closeout games in the Finals, and the majority of those games went under 200 combined points. The Heat have failed to score 100 points in three of four games in this series, and they are averaging 99 points per game in their last eight in the playoffs. Seven of those games went under the total. GL, Jesse Schule |