Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-31-20 | Nevada v. New Mexico UNDER 147.5 | 68-54 | Win | 100 | 23 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. Nevada has played strong defense so far this season, and in two games in the Mountain West they held their opponent to fewer than 70 points in each contest. The Lobos have played twice in the league and have failed to score 54 points in both of those games. The under is 6-1-1 in the Lobos last eight overall, and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-29-20 | West Ham United v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | 0-0 | Loss | -101 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Over. Southampton has scored 25 goals in just 15 matches, and West Ham has scored 23 goals in 15 matches. Neither side is particularly strong defensively, and history tells us that we can expect plenty of scoring when these teams meet. Four of the last five meetings have seen at least three goals combined, with the most recent meeting ending in a 3-1 victory for the Hammers at home. West Ham has conceded five goals in their last two matches, and we should expect both teams to score here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-28-20 | Bills v. Patriots UNDER 46.5 | 38-9 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. Despite it being December in the Northeast, the total for Monday's Bills versus Patriots game is higher than it has been in each of the last five meetings between these teams. The state of the New England offense under Cam Newton doesn't inspire a lot of confidence that the Patriots are going to put up a lot of points. The Bills defense looks solid, holding three of their last four opponents to fewer than 20 points. New England has gone under in four straight home games, and the under is 14-6 in the Patriots last 20 games in December. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-27-20 | Titans v. Packers UNDER 54.5 | 14-40 | Win | 100 | 27 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. At first glance, you would expect a high score between the Titans and the Green Bay Packers. Give it a little more thought though, and it might be a little optimistic to expect them to score a combined 55 points in the snow here on Sunday night. Tennessee has seen three of their last four road games fall short of that number, and Green Bay has gone under in four of their last five at Lambeau. The under is 7-0 in the Packers last seven games in December. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-27-20 | UC-Santa Barbara v. Cal-Irvine OVER 135 | 56-75 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. These two teams have historically played low scoring games, but because of that we see a low total for tonight's contest. The low number doesn't really reflect what we've seen from these teams so far this season. The Ant Eaters are averaging just under 90 points per game, and they rank 5th in the Big West with a field goal percentage of .484. They have also hit more than 70 percent of their free throws. The Gauchos rank second in the Big West in scoring, and they have a field goal percentage of .542. The over is 4-1 in the Anteaters last five overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-27-20 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | 2-2 | Win | 101 | 17 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5. West Ham United is sitting right in the middle of the Premier League table (10th), even though they have scored 21 goals in 14 matches. Their defense has been below average, conceding 19 goals so far this season. They host Brighton Hove Albion Sunday, and these two teams have played to a draw in each of the last three meetings. Both teams have scored six goals in their last three head to head matches, an average of four goals per match. The Hammers don't often play low scoring games, with four of their last five going over a total of 2.5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-26-20 | Chelsea v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 62 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over 2.5. Arsenal has struggled of late, losing back to back games by a combined score of 6-2. They will be tested here on Boxing Day, hosting a Chelsea team that has scored 29 goals in just 14 matches. These teams have a history of playing high scoring games, with each of the last four meetings going over the total. Chelsea has the second best goal differential in the Premier League (+15). GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-24-20 | Hawaii v. Houston OVER 59.5 | Top | 28-14 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. Hawaii and Houston are each very capable of scoring points, but both teams have allowed opponents to average more than they have scored. We should expect plenty of scoring in this Christmas Eve Bowl game. The over is 9-1 in the Rainbow Warriors last 10 games on grass, and the over is 4-1 in the Rainbow Warriors last five Bowl games. The Cougars have gone over in five of their last six Bowl games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-23-20 | Wizards v. 76ers UNDER 229 | 107-113 | Win | 100 | 19 h 28 m | Show | |
8* |
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12-22-20 | West Virginia v. Kansas UNDER 140.5 | 65-79 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Kansas Jayhawks are 7-1 and ranked #3 overall. They have been strong defensively, allowing just 59.3 points per game at home. They host West Virginia tonight, and this will be the third meeting between these teams in 2020. The previous two games each went under the total, with Kansas winning 63-50 at home, and 58-49 at West Virginia. The under is 21-10-1 in Mountaineers last 32 overall, and the under is 5-0 in Jayhawks last five overall. The total for tonight's game is far higher than it was the last time these teams played last February. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-21-20 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. Missouri State UNDER 146 | 77-85 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. These teams played last season and the Trojans won by a score of 67-66. The total for that game was set at 140, and the total in the previous five meetings was lower than 130. This appears to be an inflated number based on season averages on both offense and defense. The Missouri State Bears have held four of their last five opponents to fewer than 70 points, and I expect them make life difficult for the Trojans. Little Rock shot just 3-of-14 from beyond the arc in last year's game against the Bears. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-18-20 | Davidson v. Rhode Island UNDER 140 | 67-58 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Davidson Wildcats are coming off a loss to Charlotte, in a game that they scored just 52 points on 34 percent shooting. They will be at Rhode Island Friday, taking on a Rams team that is coming off back to back losses averaging 63.5 points in those games. The last meeting between these two teams went to overtime, which pushed the total over the number. They came up short of the number in five of the previous six meetings. The under is 8-1 in Wildcats last nine games following a double-digit loss at home, and the under is 10-3 in the Rams last 13 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-18-20 | Borussia Dortmund v. Union Berlin OVER 2.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Borrussia Dortmund and Union Berlin have each scored 25 goals in 12 matches so far. Dortmund has not posted a clean sheet in any of their last six matches, while Berlin has conceded 10 goals in their last five matches. These two teams have played high scoring games in recent meetings, with each of the last three head to head matches seeing at least four goals. The last time Dortmund played at Berlin, they lost by a score of 3-1. I expect a similar score here this time around. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-15-20 | Borussia Dortmund v. SV Werder Bremen OVER 2.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Borrussia Dortmund hasn't posted a clean sheet in any of their last five matches, and they are coming off a 5-1 loss to Stuttgart. They might be in for another high scoring game versus Werder Bremen this Tuesday, and Bremen has conceded 19 goals in 11 matches this season. These two teams have played high scoring games in four of the last five meetings. Dortmund has scored at least twice in each of their last five versus Bremen. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-13-20 | Texans v. Bears OVER 44.5 | 7-36 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Texans will go as far as Deshaun Watson can take them, and he's thrown for almost 1000 yards with six TDs and one INT while winning two of his last three starts. All three of those games went over 45 points, as the Texans have a below average defense and almost no running game. The Bears offense has been one of the league's worst, and has shown only minimal improvements since turning back to Mitch Trubisky. The over is 6-1 in the Texans last seven road games, and the over is 5-2 in the Bears last seven games following an ATS loss. Even the bad news Bears should be able to score on the Texans. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-20 | Marquette v. UCLA OVER 139 | 60-69 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The UCLA Bruins opened the season with a 73-58 loss to San Diego State. They shot below 40% in the loss, but they have since won four in a row, averaging 86 points. They host Marquette on Friday night, and the Golden Eagles are off to a good start despite the loss of Markus Howard. The over is 8-3 in the Golden Eagles last 11 road games, and the over is 16-7 in the Bruins last 23 games following an ATS win. Marquette is averaging 77 points per game after winning four of five. We should see a close game with both teams scoring 70+ points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-20 | Arizona State v. Arizona UNDER 57 | 70-7 | Loss | -117 | 22 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The winless Arizona State Sun Devils will be a double digit favorite against the 0-4 Arizona Wildcats Friday, and both these teams have struggled on offense. The Wildcats have scored just a combined 23 points in back to back losses to UCLA and Colorado. Backup QB Will Plumber has thrown for 305 yards with no TDs and three INTs since starter Grant Gunnell was injured. The under is 6-1 in the Wildcats last seven games overall, and they have gone under in four of their last five as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-07-20 | Morehead State v. Eastern Kentucky OVER 145.5 | 68-71 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Eastern Kentucky Colonels are 3-1, and their lone loss came in a 99-96 loss to Xavier. They have averaged 83 points per game so far, and they will be a double digit favorite here against Morehead State. The Eagles are coming off a 77-44 loss to Ohio State, and the over is 8-3 in the Eagles last 11 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. These two teams played twice already in 2020, and both of those games saw more than 145 combined points. The total for this game is lower than it was in those previous meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-05-20 | South Carolina v. Houston UNDER 141 | Top | 67-77 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Houston Cougars are ranked #10 overall, and they play a very strong defense. They have allowed just 52 points per game so far, and last year they were one of the top defensive teams in the AAC. The under is 21-7-1 in the Cougars last 29 home games, and the under is 21-8 in Cougars last 29 overall. The Gamecocks are 1-1, and neither of those two games saw more than 140 combined points. They are coming off a 69-58 win over Tulsa, and a similar score is expected here against Houston. The Cougars have also failed to reach the total in eight of their last nine Saturday games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-04-20 | North Dakota v. Minnesota UNDER 149 | 67-76 | Win | 100 | 20 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. Minnesota looks impressive after three games, and they are a huge favorite against North Dakota. These teams met earlier last season, and the Gophers won that game of 79-56. The total for that game was listed at 138, more than 10 points lower than this year's meeting. This number looks a little inflated and I am making a value play by fading the big number. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-03-20 | Minnesota United v. Sporting KC UNDER 3 | 3-0 | Push | 0 | 19 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. |
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12-02-20 | Montana State v. Pacific UNDER 137 | 70-74 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Pacific Tigers have a win and a loss so far, and they went under in both of those games. A combination of strong defense and not so strong offense seems to be a recipe for low scoring games. Hitting less than half of their free throws certainly has been a factor. Montana State scored 91 points in a win over UNLV in their opener, but they have gone under in nine of their last 11 after scoring 90 or more points. The under is 7-1 in the Tigers last eight games following an ATS loss, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-02-20 | Paris Saint-Germain v. Manchester United OVER 2.75 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. PSG has been dropping points in recent matches in the French league, coming off a draw versus Bordeaux and a loss to Montpellier. They also conceded five goals in those two matches, and they have conceded eight goals in their last five matches in all competitions. Manchester United has won four of their last five Premier League matches, scoring 12 goals in those games. Recent head to head meetings between these teams have also been high scoring, with United winning 2-1 and 3-1 in the last two matches. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-30-20 | Pacific v. Nevada UNDER 150 | 58-70 | Win | 100 | 22 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Nevada Wolfpack have played excellent defense during a 2-0 start, holding their opponents to an average of just 57 points. A home game against Pacific should be a defensive battle, as the Tigers can also play strong defense. The under is 12-5 in the Tigers last 17 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Wolfpack's last two games against teams from the WCC were losses to St. Mary's (68-63) and to BYU (75-42). Nevada has failed to reach the total in five straight against teams with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-29-20 | Oakland v. Michigan OVER 148.5 | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Wolverines shot over 54 percent in a 96-82 win over Bowling Green in their first game of the season, and they might shoot out the lights again tonight against Oakland. The Golden Grizzlies are 0-3, and they have given up an average of 85 points in those losses. These two teams haven't played since 2011, but Michigan won that game by a score of 90-80. The over is 5-1 in the Wolverines last six overall, and the over is 11-4 in the Golden Grizzlies last 15 Sunday games. I expect this non-conference game to be another shootout. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-28-20 | Nevada v. Hawaii OVER 59.5 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -105 | 143 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. Nevada comes into Hawaii with a 5-0 record, and they are averaging over 32 points per game. They rank 4th nationally in passing, averaging 364 yards per game. They match up against a Hawaii defense that has allowed 30+ points in four straight games. Nevada quarterback Carson Strong is completing over 70 percent of his passes so far with 14 TDS and two INTs. These teams have gone under in seven straight head to head meetings, but the total for tonight's game is far lower than it was in the last three meetings. The over is 6-1 in the Rainbow Warriors last seven home games, and the over is 21-8 in the Rainbow Warriors last 29 games as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-28-20 | LSU v. St. Louis UNDER 147 | 81-85 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Bilikens won 15 of their 18 home games last season, and they are bringing back all their starters from last season. They host LSU Saturday, and the Tigers lost six of 10 road games last season, and they also bring back the majority of their starters. The Billikens are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 Saturday games, and 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. The under is 19-7-1 in Billikens last 27 Saturday games, and they allowed just 52 points in their win over SIU on Thursday. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-28-20 | Leeds United v. Everton OVER 3 | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Everton will host Leeds Saturday, and they will have to manage without several key defenders. Left back Lucas Digne, right back JonJoe Kenny and captain Seamus Coleman are all dealing with injuries. This could be a problem against Leeds, despite the fact that the newly promoted side has just win in their last five matches. It's not for lack of scoring, Leeds has scored 17 goals in nine matches, just two fewer than Everton. Neither side has been great defensively. Only three teams in the Premier League have conceded more goals than Everton, and Leeds is one of those three. Everton hasn't posted a clean sheet since beating Spurs 1-0 in their season opener. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-27-20 | Iowa State v. Texas UNDER 60.5 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 107 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. Texas has won three straight since losing to Oklahoma in the Red River Rivalry, and both home games during that span have been low scoring. They host Iowa State Friday, and the total here seems far too high considering these teams have a history of playing low scoring games. Each of the last five head to head meetings have gone under, and not one of those games saw 45 combined points. The under is 15-5-1 in Cyclones last 21 road games, and the under is 22-4 in the Longhorns last 26 home games versus a team with a winning road. The under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Texas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-26-20 | Purdue v. Clemson UNDER 131.5 | 70-81 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. |
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11-26-20 | Texans v. Lions OVER 50.5 | 41-25 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Texans defense has been downright awful this season, and only the Seattle Seahawks have allowed more passing yards than Houston. Opponents are averaging over 411 passing yards per game, and here they are in Detroit, playing in a dome against a team that can't run the ball to save their lives. Mathew Stafford wasn't sharp playing hurt against Carolina last week, but I expect him to go off here at home against the Texans. Both these teams are rather pass happy, and each should do their fair share of scoring. There is just something about the Lions on Thanksgiving. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-21-20 | Kentucky v. Alabama UNDER 58 | 3-63 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. Alabama has been explosive on offense this season, and their defense has looked a little shaky at times. That's likely why the total for this game is far higher than it was in any of the previous four meetings between these teams. None of those games saw enough combined points to go over this inflated number. Kentucky doesn't have the high powered offense that posed problems for Nick Saban's team earlier this year. After a 41-0 shutout win over Mississippi State, I expect a similar score here at home against the Wildcats. The under is 18-5 in the Wildcats last 23 conference games, and the under is 20-8 in their last 28 road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-20 | Northern Illinois v. Ball State UNDER 62 | 25-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Northern Illinois Huskies scored just 10 points in a home loss to Central Michigan last week, and poor quarterback play has limited the Huskies offense. Ross Bowers have just one TD pass in two starts so far, and he's completing just 55% of his pass attempts. Drew Pitt hasn't exactly been lighting it up for Ball State, with two TDs and two picks in two games so far. These two teams have failed to reach the total in three of the last four meetings, and the total for tonight's game is more than five points higher than it was in any of those previous contests. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-20 | Oregon State v. Washington UNDER 52.5 | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 26 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Oregon State Beavers lost their season opener at home to Washington State, and things won't get any easier this week on the road at Washington. It will be a cold and wet Winter night at Husky Stadium, where history hasn't been kind to them. They have lost five straight at Washington, and they are 1-9 straight up in the last 10 head to head meetings. Last year the Huskies won at Corvallis by a score of 19-7. The under is 8-3 in the Huskies last 11 conference games, and they have gone under in four of their last five as a home favorite. The under is 5-1 in the Huskies last six games in the month of November. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-20 | Wisconsin v. Michigan UNDER 54.5 | Top | 49-11 | Loss | -108 | 93 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. How bad are the Wolverines, and how good are the Badgers? Well my guess is that Michigan isn't quite as bad as they have looked so far, and Wisconsin is getting way too much credit for beating up on Illinois in their only game of the season. Starting QB Graham Mertz threw for 248 yards and five TDs on 20-of-21 passing in his first college start, but before we hand him the Heisman we should consider the opposition. Since losing to Wisconsin, Illinois lost to unranked Purdue, and was blown out by Minnesota. The Purdue QB also put up huge numbers against Illinois, throwing for 371 yards on 83 percent passing with a pair of TDs. Mertz is set to be eligible to play after recovering from Covid, but he wouldn't have had any practice over the last two weeks. His backup is also recovering from Covid, which could set up a chance for the third stringer to come into play. The listed total was well below 50 in each of the last four head to head meetings, and they didn't score more than 51 points combined in any of those games. I expect another close, low scoring game between two conference rivals. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-20 | Northwestern v. Purdue UNDER 51.5 | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 27 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. Northwestern has been dominant defensively, holding opponents to just 12 points per game during a 3-0 start. They will be a slight favorite on the road against Purdue, and the Boilermakers are also undefeated. History favors the Wildcats, who have covered in five straight at Purdue. The road team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight head to head meetings. They have failed to reach the total in five of their last six road games, and when these teams played last year the bookmakers set the total at just 39. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-13-20 | Iowa v. Minnesota UNDER 58 | 35-7 | Win | 100 | 24 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. Despite losing two of their first three games, Iowa has one of the best defenses in the country. They have allowed an average of just 17 points per game so far, and last week they had three INTs against Michigan State. Minnesota QB Tanner Morgan has failed to impress so far this season, throwing for just 600 yards, with three TDs and two INTs. Historically these teams play low scoring games, and seven of the last eight meetings have seen listed totals under 50. The under is 9-3 in the Hawkeyes last 12 conference games, and 10-4-1 in their last 15 games overall. Last year the Hawkeyes won by a score of 23-19. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-10-20 | Miami-OH v. Buffalo UNDER 57.5 | 10-42 | Win | 100 | 23 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Buffalo Bills scored a whopping 49 points in a win over Northern Illinois in their season opener, despite only converting on 3-of-9 third downs. They ran the ball twice as often as the threw it, and they totaled just 357 yards of offense. Almost half their points came directly as a result of five Huskies turnovers. They host Miami-Ohio this week, and the Red Hawks won their first game at home versus Ball State. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, especially in Buffalo. With the weather forecast calling for bone-chilling cold temperatures, it might be hard to pile on the points. The total for this game is exactly 10-points higher than it was when the Red Hawks won last year by a score of 34-20. The Redhawks have gone under in six of their last eight overall, and in six straight when coming off a win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-08-20 | Liverpool v. Manchester City OVER 3 | 1-1 | Loss | -135 | 42 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. Manchester City and Liverpool have been the top two teams in the Premier League for the last several seasons, and they meet in Manchester on Sunday. Both teams are on a roll, each undefeated in their last five matches in all competitions. City is coming off a 3-0 win over Olympiakos in the Champions League mid week, while Liverpool won 5-0 at Atalanta. These teams played twice last season, both matches going over with four goals combined. Liverpool allowed just 33 goals in 38 matches last season (less than a goal per game), but they have allowed 15 goals in seven matches so far this season (more than two goals per game). I expect to see some goals here in this match. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-07-20 | Bayern Munich v. Borussia Dortmund OVER 3.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. Bayern Munich is still the top dog in Germany, sitting top of the Bundesliga with a +15 goal differential after just six matches. They have scored 15 goals in their last four matches, and they lead the Bundesliga in scoring with 24 goals. Borrussia Dortmund is second in the league in scoring, but with only 13 goals (11 fewer than Bayern). If Bayern has a weakness it's their defense, and that should lead to a high scoring affair between the top two teams in Germany. The last time these two teams faced each other, the final score was 3-2 for Bayern. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-31-20 | Houston Dynamo v. FC Dallas UNDER 3.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Both the Houston Dynamo and FC Dallas rank near the bottom of MLS in scoring, and recent head to head meetings have been low scoring. Dallas has failed to score a goal in two of it's last three versus Houston, and the Dynamo have scored just three goals in the last three head to head matches. Dallas has gone under in each of it's last five MLS matches, while Houston has gone under in six of it's last eight overall. It's tough to see these teams combining to score more than three goals. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-30-20 | Hawaii v. Wyoming UNDER 60.5 | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Wyomng Cowboys lost 37-34 in overtime at Nevada in Week 1, but that game started out slow with a 10-10 tie at halftime. Levi Williams threw for just 227 yards on 16-of-31 passing with a TD and an INT. The running game was far better, with 128 yards on 35 carries, and two TDs (both by Williams). Hawaii also leaned on it's running game in Week 1, rushing for 323 yards and four TDs in a 34-19 win over Fresno State. With freezing temperatures in Laramie, expect both teams to look to pound the rock here tonight. The under is 6-2 in the Cowboys last eight games overall, and they have gone under in four of their last five at home. The under is 19-7 in the Cowboys last 26 conference games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-27-20 | Inter Milan v. Shakhtar Donetsk OVER 3 | 0-0 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Inter Milan will face Shaktar Donetsk in Champions League play on Tuesday, and the Italian side won by a score of 5-0 at home in the first leg. Shaktar has since won 3-2 at Real Madrid, and between these two teams they have scored a ton of goals in this competition. Inter is coming off a 2-2 draw versus German side Borrussia Monchengladbach, and they have scored 13 goals in five matches in Series A. Shaktar has scored a dozen goals in their last five matches overall, and I fancy them to score a goal or two here in this revenge fixture. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-25-20 | Dodgers v. Rays OVER 7.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. |
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10-24-20 | Justin Gaethje v. Khabib Nurmagomedov UNDER 4.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 69 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. Khabib will look for the submission in this fight, while Gaethje will certainly be looking for a knockout. Gaethje has had 11 consecutive fights ending in a knockout, and when he has lost, he has been knocked out. I don't really expect an upset here, but whoever wins I think it's happening in the first four rounds. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-24-20 | Chelsea v. Manchester United OVER 2.75 | 0-0 | Loss | -125 | 35 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5. Manchester United will play at Old Trafford this weekend, and we are expecting to see plenty of goals. Manchester United has scored nine goals in their last four Premier League matches. Chelsea has scored 13 goals in their last five Premier League matches. Chelsea spent a small fortune in the off season acquiring Timo Werner, Kai Havertz and Hakim Ziyech. Scoring goals hasn't been a problem for Chelsea, but defending has been an issue. They conceded three goals in a 3-3 draw versus Southampton in their last league match. The Red Devils have gone over in five straight matches in all competitions. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-23-20 | Dodgers v. Rays OVER 7.5 | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 46 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Over. We saw another slugfest in Game 2 of the World Series in Texas. The Dodgers and the Rays combined to hit five home runs, scoring a total of 10 runs combined. We expect more of the same in this hitter's park in Game 3. Walker Buehler will toe the slab for LA, and he's coming off a flawless performance in a win over San Diego. Charlie Morton is also coming off back to back starts with no runs scored. Neither of these starters are expected to go the distnance, so both teams should get a solid crack at the opposing bullpen. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-23-20 | Illinois v. Wisconsin UNDER 51.5 | 7-45 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Badgers might have revenge on the mind when they host Illinois in their 2020 season opener, after losing 24-23 at Illinois last year. Wisconsin held a 13-7 lead at halftime in that game, and we might expect another slow start for both these offenses this time around. The Badgers have to replace leading rusher Jonathan Taylor, and their anchor on the offensive line. Illinois has a formidable defense that ranked fourth nationally in forced turnovers in 2019. The under is 5-0 in the Badgers last five games in October, and it looks like another cold and wet night in Madison. Illinois has gone under in five of their last six road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-21-20 | Rays v. Dodgers OVER 8 | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Dodgers powered past Tampa by a score of 8-3 in Game 1, and we continue to see balls leave the yard in Texas. The pitching matchup for Game 2 features a pair of starters who have been hit relatively hard of late. Blake Snell will toe the rubber for the Rays, and he's given up seven runs on 15 hits in 14 innings in his last three starts. The Dodgers hand they ball to Tony Gonsolin, who has allowed 11 runs on 12 hits over 12 1/3 innings in his last three appearances. These two teams have gone over in five straight meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-20-20 | Sevilla v. Chelsea OVER 2.5 | 0-0 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Chelsea has stacked their squad with offensive firepower, and after spending a fortune in the transfer market they have certainly scored their fair share of goals. They gave scored 13 times in five matches, but they have also conceded nine goals. Sevilla has been solid on both sides of the ball, and they won last year's Europa League Cup with wins over Manchester United (2-1) and Inter Milan (3-2). I expect to see at least three goals here at Stamford Bridge. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-17-20 | Georgia v. Alabama OVER 56 | 24-41 | Win | 100 | 48 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on over. The Crimson Tide scored 63 points in a win over Ole Miss last week, but the focus was on the 48 points that their defense allowed. We have rarely seen anyone come close to scoring 50 on Alabama in the Nick Saban era, but Ole Miss was torching them with big plays last week. They host Georgia in what is the SEC's Game of the Year on Saturday, and I don't think the Bulldogs offense will present the same challenges as Ole Miss. Stetson Bennett has been solid for Georgia, but with a pedestrian 63% completion percentage and five TDs in three starts. He doesn't really look like a guy who can take advantage of a suspect Alabama secondary. Alabama beat Georgia 35-28 in the SEC Championship Game in 2018 (most recent meeting) and UGA has lost five straight against the Tide dating back to 2007. Five of the last six meetings have gone over the total. GL Jesse Schule |
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10-17-20 | Duke v. NC State OVER 59.5 | 20-31 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 55 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-17-20 | Liverpool v. Everton OVER 3 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. The Merseyside Derby has been very one-sided for decades, but this Saturday's match between Liverpool and Everton is a little different. So far it's Everton sitting top of the table in the Premier League, and they have scored 12 goals in just four matches. The defending champions have struggled on defense so far, allowing 11 goals in four matches. They haven't had any trouble scoring goals, with 11 in four matches. I am going to go out on a limb and predict an exact score of 2-2. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-13-20 | Braves v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. Game 1 of this series was a pitcher's duel between Walker Buehler and Max Fried, but Game 2 features a pair of average starters in a hitter's park, and the total looks a little low. Tony Gonsolin will fill in for scheduled starter Clayton Kershaw, and the 26 year old will be making his first appearance of the post-season. He allowed six runs on 10 hits over 11 innings in his last two starts. The Braves hand the ball to Ian Anderson who hasn't allowed a run in the post-season. He did allow six runs on 11 hits over 10 1/3 innings in his last two regular season starts. The over is 12-5-1 in Braves last 18 playoff games as an underdog. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-10-20 | Mississippi State v. Kentucky UNDER 58 | 2-24 | Win | 100 | 24 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Under. Mike Leach made plenty of noise in his first game in the SEC, beating the LSU Tigers in Baton Rouge by a score of 44-34. KJ Costello threw for 623 yards and five TDs on 36-of-60 passing in the win. They came crashing back down to earth last week in a home loss to Arkansas, and Costello threw for 313 yards and was picked off three times with just one TD pass. It won't get any easier on the road in a rain storm in Lexington this week. The Wildcats are 0-2, and desperate to turn things around. The under is 14-4 in the Wildcats last 18 conference games, and these teams have failed to reach the total in four of the last five head to head meetings. I expect the Wildcats to establish the run and try to keep the ball out of the hands of this Air Raid offense. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-10-20 | Florida v. Texas A&M OVER 57.5 | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 19 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Gators are off to an impressive start, with a pair of double digit wins and scoring a combined 89 points. As well as they have played on offense, their defense has allowed 35 to Ole Miss and 24 to South Carolina. Kyle Trask is an early Heisman Favorite with 10 TDs and just on INT so far. The Aggies opened the season with a lackluster win over Vanderbilt, and then Alabama dropped 52 on them last week. The over is 12-3-1 in the Gators last 16 road games, and the over is 8-1 in their last nine games as a road favorite. The Aggies have gone over in four straight as a home underdog, and I expect another high score here this week. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-08-20 | Bucs v. Bears OVER 44.5 | 19-20 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Over. Nick Foles was the savior for the Eagles when Carson Wentz was injured a couple years ago, beating Tom Brady and the Patriots in a high scoring Super Bowl slugfest. His tenure in Jacksonville wasn't quite as successful, eventually losing the job to Gardiner Minshew. He looked like vintage Nick Foles in Chicago's win over Atlanta, but regressed back to bad Nick Foles in their loss against the Colts. The Bears have one of the least talented backfields in the NFL, which is one reason why they ran the ball just 16 times and attempted 42 passes last week. Foles threw for 249 yards with a TD and an INT in a losing effort. He faces a Bucs defense that ranks 2nd in the NFL in opponent rushing yards, and has five INTs in their first four games. Foles got the better of Brady the last time these veterans faced off, but he's facing an uphill battle here tonight. My money is on the Bucs in a high scoring game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-08-20 | Rays v. Yankees OVER 9 | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Yankees are a team designed to win games with their bats, and they haven't disappointed. The bats have scored 18 runs in the first three games, but the pitching staff hasn't been doing it's job. They turn to the back of the rotation tonight, and we have every reason to expect the same result. The last time Jordan Montgomery faced the Rays he failed to complete an inning, allowing four runs on five hits. The Rays look like they will use an opener and lean on their bullpen. The Yankees have gone over in six straight playoff games. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-08-20 | A's v. Astros OVER 9 | 6-11 | Win | 100 | 2 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Over. To say that the ball has been carrying well at Dodgers Stadium would be an understatement. Neither pitcher today inspires much confidence that they can reverse the trend of home runs in this series. Greinke allowed five runs on eight hits including a pair of home runs in five innings in his last start in this ballpark. Frankie Montas allowed five runs on seven hits including three home runs in four innings in his last start at Chavez Ravine. We saw five home runs in the first five innings in LA yesterday. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-05-20 | Falcons v. Packers OVER 56.5 | 16-30 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The 3-0 Packers and the 0-3 Falcons might be more similar than they are different. They are both averaging 30 or more points per game, and they have both allowed opponents to score more than 28 points per game. The bookmakers are expecting to see another high scoring affair here in Green Bay on Monday night, but the Packers are going to be shorthanded without their two top wide receivers. This presents an opportunity for Marquez Vadles-Scantling and Aaron Jones to play a bigger role in the passing game. I am expecting both teams to get their share of points, and Valdes-Scantling and Jones to fill the stat sheet. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-05-20 | Patriots v. Chiefs OVER 49 | 10-26 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The knee jerk reaction to the news that Cam Newton tested positive for Covid-19 has pushed the line for this game up by 4-5 points. I am not sure we should count out the Patriots, and history tells us that Bill Belichick might just have a few tricks up his sleeve. Most of you probably remember that Jimmy Garroppolo and Jacoby Brissett stepped in back in 2016, helping New England win three of their first four games despite Tom Brady's absence. But many of you may have forgotten that Belichick won 11 games with Matt Cassell back in 2008. The Chiefs strength is their pass defense, and the strategy for beating Kansas City remains the same. Pound away with the run, and try to keep the ball out of the hands of Patrick Mahomes. I expect the Patriots to make a game of it. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-03-20 | North Carolina v. Boston College UNDER 54 | 26-22 | Win | 100 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. North Carolina hasn't played since opening the season with a 31-6 win over Syracuse three weeks ago. That game was even closer than the final score would indicate. The Tar Heels scored just 10 points in the first three quarters of that game. They will be a double digit road favorite at Boston College, an the Eagles are off to an impressive start. Boston College won 26-6 on the road at Duke in Week 1, and followed up with a 24-21 win over Texas State. Boston college has failed to reach the total in five straight overall, and they have gone over in four straight as an underdog. The Tar heels have gone under in four of their last five as a favorite. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-03-20 | Manchester City v. Leeds United OVER 3.5 | 1-1 | Loss | -104 | 3 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5. Leeds United has had no trouble scoring goals since their return to the Premier League, finding the back of the net eight times in three matches. They haven't had much success stopping opponents from scoring, allowing seven goals in those games. Manchester City has also struggled on defense, coming off an ugly 5-2 loss to Leicester City. This will be just the third Premier League match of the season for City, and they have gone over in four straight matches in all competitions. The over is also 4-1 in their last five matches versus Leeds. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-02-20 | Heat v. Lakers OVER 216 | 114-124 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Over. What did we learn in Game 1? We learned that the Heat simply can't stop LeBron James and Anthony Davis. If they play the same style, they will lose the next three games and go out in a sweep. The only way the Heat can have a chance at beating LA is to completely change their strategy. The need to accept the fact that their best effort on defense isn't going to be good enough, and put all their efforts into outscoring LA. That means more three point shooting, a faster pace, and more minutes for their young shooters who are a liability on defense. Both these teams have gone over in four of their last five overall, yet this total has been bet down a few points since it opened. I'll go with the over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-02-20 | Cardinals v. Padres OVER 9 | 0-4 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. |
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10-01-20 | Reds v. Braves OVER 7.5 | 0-5 | Loss | -125 | 22 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OVER. After a pitcher's duel in Game 1 in Atlanta, I expect more scoring here in Game 2. This is a hitter's park, and five of the final seven games of the regular season in Atlanta saw nine or more runs scored. Ian Anderson will toe the slab for the Braves, and he allowed five runs on nine hits in 8 2/3 innings in his last two appearances at home. The Reds hand the ball to Louis Castillo, who has pitched better at home than he has on the road. He was just 2-5 with a 4.12 ERA in seven starts on the road. Atlanta has hit him hard, batting a combined .388 over 47 at bats in previous meetings. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-28-20 | Lightning v. Stars OVER 5 | 2-0 | Loss | -140 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 5. |
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09-27-20 | Paulo Costa v. Israel Adesanya OVER 2.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -130 | 45 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5 rounds. This historic fight features two undefeated fighters that have never been knocked out. Isreal Adesanya is a technical fighter, that isn't known to be the best finisher. He's seen three of his last four fights go the distance, including three rounds against a 45 year old Anderson Silva. Adensanya is the favorite, but Costa isn't going to be an easy opponent. He's won 13 fights, 11 of those by knockout. His last fight though was a unanimous decision against Yoel Romero. I would be suprised to see either fighter end this fight early. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-26-20 | Georgia Tech v. Syracuse UNDER 52.5 | 20-37 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. Georgia Tech is in their second year since abandoning the Triple-Option offense, and as expected there have been some growing pains. Freshman QB Jeff Sims has thrown twice as many picks (4) as TDs (2) through the first two weeks. The Yellow Jackets come into Syracuse as a rather dubious looking favorite, and the Orange haven't been too bad defensively. In Week 1 they held North Carolina to just 10 points heading into the fourth quarter, before being outscored 21-0 in the final frame. Last week they lost 20-7 at Pittsburgh. The under is 8-3-1 in the Orange's last 12 games as a home underdog. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-22-20 | Marlins v. Braves OVER 9 | 1-11 | Win | 100 | 20 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. |
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09-21-20 | Saints v. Raiders OVER 48.5 | 24-34 | Win | 102 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Raiders offense was firing on all cylinders in Week 1, totaling 34 points on 372 total yards. Josh Jacobs scored three TDs, running for 93 yards on 25 carries. Derek Carr had a clean game, throwing for 239 yards and a TD without turning the ball over. The Raiders won seven games last season, and five of those seven wins came at home. They were not very good defensively, and based on their performance in Week 1 their defense is still a big concern. The Raiders are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as a home underdog, and the over is 16-7 in the Saints last 23 games in September. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-21-20 | Marlins v. Braves OVER 9 | 4-5 | Push | 0 | 18 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. |
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09-20-20 | Liverpool v. Chelsea OVER 3 | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5 goals. |
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09-19-20 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 206 | 117-106 | Win | 100 | 19 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over 206. I bet the under in Game 2, and it just barely hit landing on 207. The Celtics scored 60 points in the first half, and then once again they fell apart late. This is turning out to be a ratings nightmare for the league, and everyone outside of Miami is hoping and praying Boston can come back and make this a series again. A few favorable calls and a few more trips to the free throw line wouldn't be much of a suprise in Game 3. Miami keeps getting their points, and they are now 10-1 in the playoffs. They have averaged 112 points in those games, failing to score 100 or more just once. The over is 26-12 in Miami's last 38 games following a straight up win. These teams have only gone over in one of the last six meetings, when the Heat won in overtime in Game 1. That being said, five of those six games saw more than 206 points. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-19-20 | Boston College v. Duke UNDER 52.5 | 26-6 | Win | 100 | 94 h 13 m | Show | |
5* |
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09-18-20 | Nuggets v. Lakers OVER 211 | Top | 114-126 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Nuggets are a ratings nightmare for the NBA, denying everyone the Clippers vs Lakers Western Conference Final that we waited for all season. Not only did they come back and win three straight after trailing the Clippers 3-1 in the series, they trailed by double digits in Game 7. The Nuggets shot over 49 percent from the field in Game 7 versus the Clippers, but it's hard to imagine they won't be set up for a let down in Game 1 versus the Lakers. After defeating the Jazz in a low scoring Game 7 in the first round, they lost Game 1 of their series versus the Clippers by a score of 120-97. Other than two low scoring Game 7s, Denver has seen 10 of their 12 playoff games go over the total of 210. The Lakers are averaging over 114 points per game in these playoffs, and the over is 20-7-2 in their last 29 meetings versus Denver. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-17-20 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 209.5 | 106-101 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Under. Here is what I said prior to Game 1: "You know the story.. defense wins championships. The Celtics certainly have been playing some defense, allowing the fewest points per game (100) of any team in this year's playoffs. The Heat are right behind them, allowing 103 points per game (2nd) so far this post-season. These teams have a history of battling hard against each other, and seven of the last 10 head to head meetings have gone under the total. The Heat have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 overall, while Boston has gone under in eight of it's last nine overall. Expect no easy buckets in Game 1." A late collapse by the Celtics allowed the Heat to force OT, and the total went well over. I expect a tighter defensive game here in Game 2. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-16-20 | Rangers v. Astros OVER 8.5 | 1-0 | Loss | -117 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. Game 1 of this series was low scoring, with Houston winning by a score of 4-1. We can expect a higher score in Game 2 with both teams turning to the back end of the rotation. Kyle Gibson will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and he's had a brutal season. Gibson has lost five straight starts, and he allowed five or more runs in four of those appearances. The Astros hand the ball to Lance McCullers, who has had his struggles as well. The 26 year old has allowed 11 runs on 15 hits over his last 11 innings pitched. The over is 14-5-1 in the Rangers last 20 games as a road underdog. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-15-20 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 210.5 | 117-114 | Loss | -106 | 34 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. You know the story.. defense wins championships. The Celtics certainly have been playing some defense, allowing the fewest points per game (100) of any team in this year's playoffs. The Heat are right behind them, allowing 103 points per game (2nd) so far this post-season. These teams have a history of battling hard against each other, and seven of the last 10 head to head meetings have gone under the total. The Heat have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 overall, while Boston has gone under in eight of it's last nine overall. Expect no easy buckets in Game 1. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-14-20 | Braves v. Orioles OVER 10 | 1-14 | Win | 100 | 21 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. In case you haven't noticed, scoring is up in major league baseball. Just the other day the Braves scored a record high 29 runs in a win over Miami. Atlanta is now the highest scoring team in baseball this season. Jorge Lopez will toe the slab for the Orioles in Game 1, and he's allowed 11 runs on a dozen hits in his last three appearances. The Braves hand the ball to Touki Toussaint, who has allowed 11 runs on eight hits and nine walks over eight innings in his last three appearances. The over is 10-2-3 in the Braves last 15 overall. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-12-20 | Golden Knights v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 33 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Under. The Stars lead the series 2-1, and we have seen all three games go under the total. Both goalies have recorded shutouts, and another low score is expected in Game 4. Here is what I said prior to Game 2: "The Vegas Golden Knights and the Dallas Stars were each lighting up the scoreboard just last week, but as they have advanced to the conference finals the trend of high scores has faded. The Knights offense cooled off in a big way against Vancouver, and they could only manage 2 goals on 130 shots against Vancouver's backup goaltender Thatcher Demko over a four game span. If you take away the empty net goals they scored in Game 7, they have scored just one goal in their last three games overall. They have gone under in five of their last six Conference Finals games, and the under is 21-7-1 in the Golden Knights last 29 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 days situation." Take Under. GL, Jesse |
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09-12-20 | Tigers v. White Sox OVER 9.5 | 0-14 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Over. The White Sox have won six of their last seven, behind one of the top five offenses in the major leagues. We should expect a high score against the Tigers tonight. Michael Fulmer will toe the slab for the Tigers, and he's been roughed up in most of his appearances this year. Even when he does have a rare strong performance, he hasn't yet pitched into the 4th inning while on a pitch count. The Sox send Reynaldo Lopez to the mound, and he doesn't miss many bats. Lopez has allowed nine runs on 14 hits over 9 2/3 innings this season. This game could go to the bullpens early. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-12-20 | Phillies v. Marlins OVER 9 | 12-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Phillies scored 11 runs in just seven innings in Game 1 of yesterday's double-header. I expect to see plenty of runs here in Saturday's game. Jose Urena will toe the slab for the Marlins, and he's coming off a poor season debut. The 29 year old allowed three runs on four hits in five innings in a no decision at Atlanta. He walked three and had just two srtrikeouts in that game. The Phillies hand the ball to Spencer Howard, who will be looking for his second win of the season. He's allowed six runs on 14 hits over 12 2/3 innings while losing two of his last three starts. Philly has the third best on base percentage in the majors. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-10-20 | Texans v. Chiefs OVER 53.5 | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 152 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Texans were eliminated from last year's playoffs in a 51-31 loss to the Chiefs. They opened up an early 24-0 lead, only to trail 28-21 at halftime. The Chiefs offense is as unstoppable as we have ever seen, and last year they score 40 points in Week 1. They scored 38 points in their first game of the pre-season last year, so expecting them to get off to a slow start might be misguided. The over is 5-0 in the Chiefs last five season openers, and the over is 6-1 in the Chiefs last seven games in September. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-10-20 | Golden Knights v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Under. This series is tied 1-1, and we have seen just four goals in two games. Both goalies have recorded shutouts, and another low score is expected in Game 3. Here is what I said prior to Game 2: "The Vegas Golden Knights and the Dallas Stars were each lighting up the scoreboard just last week, but as they have advanced to the conference finals the trend of high scores has faded. The Knights offense cooled off in a big way against Vancouver, and they could only manage 2 goals on 130 shots against Vancouver's backup goaltender Thatcher Demko over a four game span. If you take away the empty net goals they scored in Game 7, they have scored just one goal in their last three games overall. They have gone under in five of their last six Conference Finals games, and the under is 21-7-1 in the Golden Knights last 29 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 days situation." Take Under. GL, Jesse |
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09-10-20 | Braves v. Nationals OVER 10 | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 16 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the over. The Braves scored a record high 29 runs at home versus Miami on Wednesday, and they rank 3rd in the majors in runs scored. Washington owns the 3rd best team batting average in the majors, and we should expect a slugfest in the nation's capital tonight. Robbie Erlin will toe the slab for Atlanta, and he's still looking for an elusive "W" in 2020. He's been torched for nine runs on 10 hits in eight innings in his last two road starts. The Nats hand the ball to Austin Voth, who has also struggled. The 28 year old has allowed five or more runs in five or fewer innings in four straight starts. He allowed five runs on nine hits in four innings in a home win over the Braves a few weeks ago. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-09-20 | Raptors v. Celtics UNDER 210 | 125-122 | Loss | -103 | 28 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Celtics have the defending champions on the ropes, and given that this is an elimination game for Toronto, we should expect a hard fought defensive battle. Every game in this series so far has gone under, and I don't see either of these teams lossening up the defense in Game 6. I said this prior to Game 3: "The Raptors had a poor showing in Game 1, hitting just 36.9 percent of their shots from the field. After closer examination it was a poor first quarter, and the remainder of the game was nearly even. They improved only slightly in Game 2, hitting 40 percent from the field. I can't see any reason to expect these teams to loosen up the defense in Game 4, we should see another low score. That has been the trend when these teams meet, with seven of the last nine meetings going under. The under is 8-1 in the Celtics last nine overall, and the under is 15-3 in Celtics last 18 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. The under is 12-4 in Raptors last 16 overall, and the under is 17-5-1 in Raptors last 23 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points." Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-08-20 | Stars v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Under. The Vegas Golden Knights and the Dallas Stars were each lighting up the scoreboard just last week, but as they have advanced to the conference finals the trend of high scores has faded. The Knights offense cooled off in a big way against Vancouver, and they could only manage 2 goals on 130 shots against Vancouver's backup goaltender Thatcher Demko over a four game span. If you take away the empty net goals they scored in Game 7, they have scored just one goal in their last three games overall. They have gone under in five of their last six Conference Finals games, and the under is 21-7-1 in the Golden Knights last 29 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 days situation. Take Under. GL, Jesse |
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09-08-20 | Orioles v. Mets OVER 9.5 | 11-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Over. Despite their poor overall record, the Mets lead the league in team batting average (.276), and they have no trouble scoring runs. John Means will toe the slab for Baltimore in Game 1 in New York, and that's good news for the Mets. The left-hander is 0-2 with an 8.31 ERA in his last four starts. The Mets hand the ball to Michael Wacha, who has also had his struggles. He's allowed 15 runs on 23 hits over 15 innings in his last four appearances. The Orioles team batting average of .261 is good enough for 7th overall in the majors. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-08-20 | White Sox v. Pirates OVER 9.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Over. The White Sox are the highest scoring team in the majors, coming into Pittsburgh off a four game sweep at Kansas City. The Pirates offense isn't much to speak of, but they have won three of their last six overall. Dylan Cease will toe the slab for the Sox, and he's been solid for the Southsiders. That said he's allowed at least two runs in four of his last five starts, and he doesn't go deep into games. The Pirates hand the ball to Joe Musgrove, who has been hit hard this season. He's been torched for 10 runs in his last 12 innings pitched, and he's 0-4 on the season. The White Sox are batting a combined .398 over 47 at bats against Musgrove. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-07-20 | Tigers v. Twins OVER 8.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Over. The Tigers beat the Twins by a score of 10-8 on Sunday afternoon, and a Monday matinee might be another slugfest. Michael Fulmer will toe the slab for the Tigers, and he's been limited to no more than three innings in all of his starts this season. He has allowed 10 runs in his last four appearances. The Twins hand the ball to Michael Pineda, who was sharp in his season debut last week. He allowed two runs in the first inning, but then settled down in a win over Chicago. The Tigers have gone over in each of Fulmer's last four starts versus teams with a winning record. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-06-20 | Rockets v. Lakers UNDER 224 | 109-117 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Under. The Rockets shocked the Lakers in Game 1 of the Western Conference Semifinal, but history tells us we can expect them to bounce back in Game 2. They lost Game 1 in their first round series versus Portland, and responded with a strong defensive effort in Game 2, holding the Blazers to just 88 points. The Rockets have a reputation for playing high scoring games, but they have gone under in six of their last seven as an underdog. The under is 11-2 in the Rockets last 13 games playing on 1 days rest. The Lakers have gone under in five of their last six off a double digit home loss. These teams have gone under in four of the last five head to head meetings. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-05-20 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox OVER 10.5 | 8-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Jays have won two of three in this series at Fenway, and both the first two games went over the total. I expect another high score in Game 4 tonight. Ryan Weber will toe the slab for the Sox, and he's coming off a string of poor performances. He allowed three runs on three hits and a walk in just 2 2/3 innings in a loss to Toronto just last week. The Jays hand the ball to Chase Anderson, who has been solid but has poor numbers against Boston. The Red Sox are batting a combined .292 over 62 at bats verssus Anderson. The Red Sox have gone over in five of their last six home games. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-05-20 | Reds v. Pirates OVER 9 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a Free play on Over. The Pirates host the Reds in Game 3 of this home series Saturday, and we expect this game to be a slugfest. Trevor Williams will toe the slab for the home team, and he was roughed up in his last two starts. He gave up 13 runs on 16 hits over 10 innings in losses at Chicago and Milwaukee. He hasn't had a lost of success against the Reds, Cincinnati is batting combined .332 over 127 at bats against him. The Reds hand the ball to Anthony Desclafani, who is also coming in off some poor performances. He's allowed 18 runs on 19 hits over his last 10 innings pitched. The Pirates are batting .388 over a combined 97 at bats versus Desclafani. These two teams have gone over in five of the last seven head to head meetings. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-05-20 | Raptors v. Celtics UNDER 214 | 100-93 | Win | 100 | 15 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. |
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09-04-20 | Bucks v. Heat UNDER 223.5 | 100-115 | Win | 100 | 33 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The #1 seed Milwaukee Bucks find themselves down 0-2 after losing 116-114 in Game 2. The final score soared well past the listed number, but perhaps it was closer than you think. With under two minutes to play in the game, the score was 110-102, and under bettors still had 10 points to work with. They went on to score 18 points in the final minute and 45 seconds, when they could have easily scored 8-10 or even fewer during that span. Despite some excellent defense by Miami, and the Bucks facing a must win situation, the total for Game 3 hasn't come down at all. These teams have failed to reach the total in seven of the last 10 meetings, and the Heat have gone under in four of their last five in the Conference Semifinals. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-03-20 | Raptors v. Celtics UNDER 215.5 | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on Under. |
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09-02-20 | Padres v. Angels OVER 9 | 11-4 | Win | 100 | 19 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Padres lead the major leagues in runs scored, and their potent offense gets a crack as a struggling Angels pitcher tonight. Julio Teheran will toe the slab for LA, and he's winless in five starts. He has been torched for 11 runs on 16 hits in 13 innings in his last three appearances. The Padres hand the ball to Dinelson Lamet, who has solid numbers but has been far from perfect. He's walked six and allowed five runs on seven hits in 10 innings in his last two appearances. The over is 19-6-3 in the Padres last 28 interleague games. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-02-20 | Thunder v. Rockets UNDER 218.5 | 102-104 | Win | 100 | 21 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under in Game 7. We saw some strong defensive play in Game 6, with the Thunder recording the upset by a score of 104-100. Expect more of the same in a winner takes all Game 7. Last night's Game 7 between Utah and Denver ended with a final score of 80-78, going under by more than 60 points. The under is 48-21-1 in the Thunder's last 70 games as an underdog. The under is 9-3 in the Rockets last 12 games following a straight up loss, and they have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 13 overall. We expect every possession to be a war, with no easy buckets. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule |
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09-02-20 | White Sox v. Twins OVER 9 | 1-8 | Push | 0 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Twins will be the favorite at home in Game 3 versus the White Sox, but Chicago is a formidable opponent. The White Sox are batting a major league best .270, and they have won five of their last seven. Reynaldo Lopez will toe the slab for the Sox, and he's struggled of late. Lopez (0-1, 9.00 ERA) has allowed eight runs on 10 hits in eight innings in three appearances. The Twins are batting a combined .304 in 100 at bats against him. The Twins hand the ball to Jose Berrios, who has been rather hit and miss this season. The White Sox torched him for five runs on seven hits in four innings in his season debut last month. These teams have gone over in four of the last five head to head meetings. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule |