Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-20-22 | Toronto +6 v. Winnipeg | Top | 24-23 | Win | 100 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
CFL Sunday 10* Top Play Toronto Argonauts +6 vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 6 ET in Saskatchewan - A lot of things have to go right to win the Grey Cup. Then, to win two in a row, the odds are even slimmer. As for getting a trifecta of Grey Cup Championship titles the odds are even slimmer yet. All the pressure is on Winnipeg here as the Blue Bombers are going for the 3-peat after winning it all in 2019 and 2021 - there was no 2020 season due to covid. That said, underdog Toronto is not really being given a chance here by most pundits. That is the part of the reason the line has moved toward Winnipeg also. I have a strong feeling the Argonauts get the shocking upset here but I will grab the points as added insurance. Toronto was 6-3 in road games this season and the Blue Bombers were 7-2 away from home. This game is being played at Mosaic Stadium in Regina SK so it is a neutral site game. Granted Regina much closer to Winnipeg than it is to Toronto but you can bank on Riders fans being in attendance for this one and so plenty of fans will be cheering AGAINST the Blue Bombers in this one. History buffs will be glad to know that Toronto has won the Grey Cup EACH of the last SIX times they have reached the big game. The loss before that was by just 2 points and that was preceded by a 1-point win. Excellent line value here and there are many intangibles for liking the underdog Argos including RB Andrew Harris, a sure Hall of Famer, going against his former team and ready to show he still "has it" on the biggest of stages in the CFL. There are also still some questions about how healthy Winnipeg QB Zach Collaros is here as well. 10* TORONTO +6 |
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11-20-22 | Bengals -3.5 v. Steelers | Top | 37-30 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Cincinnati Bengals -3.5 @ Pittsburgh Steelers @ 4:25 ET - The Steelers got back TJ Watt and they dominated the Saints last week. However, this is not the Saints. This is a Bengals team that is coming off their bye week, playing with revenge, has won 5 of 7 games and that also gets back a key defensive player this week. DJ Reader is expected back for Cincinnati and he is a key for their run defense. Bengals already are having a solid season even with him missing time and now if the Steelers struggle to run the ball, a lot of pressure is going to be on inexperienced Pittsburgh QB Kenny Pickett. The rookie was sacked 6 times last week and with an angry Cincy team in town, things will not get any easier in this one for Pickett. The Steelers won the first meeting in Cincinnati in overtime but that was a turnover-fueled win as the Bengals had a massive yardage edge in that game. Also, a big reason Cincy is now so hot is because Joe Burrow is again playing like a star and then, as an added bonus, Joe Mixon was running great again in most recent game against Carolina. If the Bengals establish the run again here look out. The fact is that Cincinnati has won 5 of 7 thanks in part to scoring an average of 32.2 points per game in those 5 wins. As for the Steelers, they averaging only 14.6 ppg scored last 8 games since that OT win over Bengals to open the season and they have never scored more than 20 points in regulation time of any game this season. Pittsburgh just will not be able to keep up here and I expect a road rout to result. 10* CINCINNATI -3.5 |
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11-20-22 | Eagles -6.5 v. Colts | Top | 17-16 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Eagles -6.5 @ Indianapolis Colts @ 1 ET - The Colts are now coached by Jeff Saturday instead of Frank Reich. Saturday had no head coaching experience other than the high school level and was an ESPN analyst prior to being hired by the Colts before the game at Las Vegas last week. I know they beat the Raiders but, just barely, and that is a Las Vegas team with a weak defense and that, with that defeat, is now 2-7 on the season. Now Indianapolis faces an team that is angry off its first loss of the season. So they go from facing a Raiders team that is now 2-7 to facing an Eagles team that was 8-0 heading into last week's action. This is going to be a huge test for the Colts and their very green head coach. I like Saturday. So this is nothing personal. He was a great player and seems like a great guy. I just think this is a virtually unheard of jump to a head coaching spot and even though he has delegated some things like play-calling, etc to others this is still a major undertaking. He survived, barely, against the Raiders in his first game on the sidelines but this is a different animal this week. The Eagles do have some injuries issues on both sides of the ball but they are still the vastly superior team in this match-up and they will win this one in a road rout. The Colts 5 losses have been by an average margin of 13 points. 6 of last 7 Eagles wins by 8 or more points. 10* PHILADELPHIA -6.5 |
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11-19-22 | Oklahoma State v. Oklahoma -7 | Top | 13-28 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
Saturday CFB 10* Top Play Oklahoma Sooners -7 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys @ 7:30 ET - 5-4 team is favored by a full TD over a 7-3 team in a rivalry game. Looks funny, right? Don't let the line fool you. The Sooners being at home for this is big. QB Dillon Gabriel has been much better at home than on the road this season. Gabriel and the entire offense had a rough game at West Virginia last week and it was a 2nd straight 3-point loss for the Sooners. Keep in mind, all five of their wins this season have been by a double digit margin. Oklahoma is going to take advantage of Oklahoma State quarterback Spencer Sanders not being 100 percent. I know he came in last week to lead the Cowboys to the win versus Iowa State but he started the game on the bench for a reason. Also, that was at home against the Cyclones and now he is on the road and he and OSU now face their biggest rivals and those rivals are having a challenging season and have revenge on their minds. In other words, this is essentially Oklahoma's Championship Game if you will! They want revenge after the Cowboys snuck out the win in last season's meeting! That ended a streak of 6 straight wins for the Sooners in this series. Look for OU to get back to the winning side of things here. At home this season they have scored an average of 40 points per game! Oklahoma State has scored an average of only 12 points in their last 3 games heading into this one. The Cowboys have lost their last two road games by an average margin of 34.5 points. Another ugly defeat for OSU on the road is in the forecast here! 10* OKLAHOMA -7 |
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11-19-22 | Wolves +2.5 v. 76ers | Top | 112-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
NBA Saturday 10* Top Play Minnesota Timberwolves +2.5 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:40 ET - Horrible spot for Philly. 2nd night of a B2B and off a hard-fought win versus Bucks last night. Already without Harden, Harris missed last night's game plus Maxey got hurt during the game. Embiid has been red hot for the Sixers but how will he be handled in the 2nd night of a B2B? The fact is that, all the way around, this is a tough spot for the 76ers and Minnesota has a big rest edge. The Timberwolves have disappointed so far this season as they have had some issues adjusting to the new roster they have after the big off-season changes. But this is still a solid Wolves team and they have the talent and the situational edges to get a big road win here. 10* MINNESOTA +2.5 |
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11-19-22 | Washington State -3.5 v. Arizona | Top | 31-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play Washington State Cougars -3.5 @ Arizona Wildcats @ 2 ET - The Cougars have rival Washington on deck but the Wildcats have rival Arizona on deck so that is a wash. Washington State has 4 losses this season but 3 of the losses were to ranked teams! The other loss was at Oregon State but the Cougars did outgain the Beavers in that one so the final score was deceiving. The point is that this Washington State team is quite solid and they certainly have a much better defense than Arizona. The Wildcats are off a huge upset at UCLA as a nearly 3 TD underdog so this is a beautiful set-up for a letdown for Arizona. The Cats had lost 4 straight games prior to beating the Bruins. Arizona has not won B2B games all season. All 6 of their losses by at least 8 points and the average margin of defeat is 18.3 points! I know they shocked UCLA last week but, prior to that, Arizona's only 2 losses since winning their season opener were against an FCS school and a Colorado team that has played like an FCS school this season! In their 4 defeats prior to beating the Bruins, Arizona allowed 45 points or more in all 4 losses! The Cougars, on the other hand, have allowed only 19.3 points per game last 6 games. We get a favorable line because they are on the road and I won't hesitate to back the much better team here and much better defense at a very fair number here! 10* WASHINGTON STATE -3.5 |
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11-18-22 | San Diego State v. New Mexico +14.5 | Top | 34-10 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 4 m | Show |
CFB Friday 10* Top Play New Mexico Lobos +14.5 vs San Diego State Aztecs @ 9:45 ET - Yes the Lobos offense has been ugly. But this New Mexico defense is solid and there are situational aspects to this play that make it very unlikely the Aztecs will win this by more than a 2-TD margin so I am happy to grab the 14 plus the hook here in a game I expect to be decided by just a 1-score margin. San Diego State is hot and has won 4 of 5 but note this team is just 1-3 on the road this season. Their lone road win was by 16 points at Nevada but was helped by turnovers too. The Aztecs offense has been better since they switched to Mayden at QB but he threw for only 156 yards against the Wolf Pack. Also, he threw 2 interceptions in his other road start. Being successful on the road is not easy and I expect Mayden and the Aztecs to have some struggles here against a respectable Lobos defense that will be fired up here. This is the bowl game for New Mexico if you will. This is their home finale and has ended up being their biggest game of the season in an otherwise disappointing campaign. New Mexico Defensive Coordinator Rocky Long was the head coach at San Diego State for many years. Long will have his Lobos defense fired up for this one and I expect a tight low-scoring game here which should mean an easy cover for us. San Diego State off big game win versus San Jose State last week plus have another tough big game against Air Force on deck. This is a flat spot situation for the Aztecs whereas the fired up Lobos are fully focused here and want to get the shocker in their home finale. 10* NEW MEXICO +14.5 |
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11-18-22 | Bucks v. 76ers -1.5 | Top | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -1.5 -115 or money line -125 vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 7:40 ET - The Bucks have lost 3 of 5 and one of the two wins was in double-OT versus OKC. To say the least, Milwaukee has not been overly impressive. For sure the Bucks have had the Sixers number often in recent meetings but this Milwaukee team is still missing key guys and this looks like the perfect spot for the 76ers to finally exact some revenge. Embiid is back for Philly and they have won 3 of last 4 including all 3 home games. Also, he has averaged 40 points and 11 rebounds per game during this stretch and the Sixers are well rested heading into this one. Embiid also had 7 blocks in most recent game as he was dominant. He and the 76ers want this game badly because, as noted above, the Bucks have had their number. It is time for some payback here. The Bucks are in a shorter rest situation too in comparison with the Sixers. Home team should pull away and get revenge for the 2 point home loss to the Bucks that began Milwaukee's season. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -115 or -125 |
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11-17-22 | Furman +3 v. Penn State | Top | 68-73 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Furman Paladins +3 or +3.5 vs Penn State Nittany Lions @ 11:30 AM ET - This is the beauty of College Hoops. To Joe Public, everyone knows about Penn State as they have had a great football program through the years and are well-known in College sports. Conversely, few people know about Furman. But the Paladins are a solid College Hoops program. This line opened up nearly in a pick'em range but has shot up to as high as 3.5 on Penn State. I love fading line moves like this. Yes the Nittany Lions just beat Butler but the Bulldogs lost the game by 6 but were outscored by 15 points from deep. Poor 3-point shooting for Butler was the difference in the game. The Bulldogs had more shots from the field and more than twice as many free throw attempts yet the Nittany Lions got the win. Penn State was a little fortunate is my point. In this match-up the Paladins will find a way in their home state of South Carolina for this tournament in Charleston. Mike Bothwell continues to be a star for Furman and they just beat a solid Belmont team. Last year the Paladins looked like they were going to the Big Dance when they had a 2 point lead with under 4 seconds to go in the game but then lost on a desperation moon-shot 3-pointer miracle shot. Furman is on a mission this season. They have won both their games to start this season and are a very determined team. Penn State is solid but the Paladins are the better team in this match-up and so the fact we get a hungry underdog in their home state (yes they are 200 miles away but this is still their home state) is a value I will not pass up on. 10* FURMAN +3 or +3.5 |
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11-16-22 | Bulls +4 v. Pelicans | Top | 110-124 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Chicago Bulls +4 @ New Orleans Pelicans @ 8:10 ET - The Bulls are off back to back losses for the 4th time already this season. The good news for Chicago fans - and for us tonight - is that the Bulls are a PERFECT 3-0 this season when they enter a game off consecutive losses. As for the Pelicans, they are off B2B wins for just the 2nd time this season. They have yet to win 3 straight and I don't see that changing here. They managed to pull away from the Grizzlies in the 4th quarter last night. However, the Bulls will prove to be more determined tonight plus this is second night of back to back for New Orleans plus Zach Williamson missed last night's game and is hurting right now. The Bulls were up by 4 with about 5 minutes to go when these teams met in Chicago last week but the Pelicans rallied and ended up winning the game by 4. This is a revenge spot for the Bulls and I look for them to get it. Grab the points for the added insurance. 10* CHICAGO +4 |
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11-15-22 | Grizzlies +1.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 102-113 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Memphis Grizzlies +1.5 @ New Orleans Pelicans @ 7:30 ET - Ja Morant is expected back for Memphis tonight. Not only are the Grizzlies 9-3 this season in games in which he has played, they are also 3-0 this season when off a loss in which they scored less than 107 points! The Pelicans are off a win versus Houston but are 0-5 this season when off a win in which they scored less than 125 points! That sets this up as a double perfect year to date spot and I really like having this strong Grizzlies team hungry off a loss and catching a New Orleans team off a win but against one of the worst teams in the league this season as they hosted Houston. 10* MEMPHIS +1.5 |
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11-15-22 | Appalachian State +6.5 v. Louisville | Top | 61-60 | Win | 100 | 16 h 15 m | Show |
CBB Tuesday 10* Top Play Appalachian State Mountaineers +6.5 @ Louisville Cardinals @ 6 ET - The Cardinals are 0-2 this season. Both losses were by a single point but Louisville was favored in each game by about the same amount they are for this one. I don't expect this one to end well for them either. They have a new coach this season and are a program that use to be so strong but now has won just 13 games each of the past two seasons. Like the Mountaineers, they lost a lot of starters from last season and had to reload the roster. The difference though is I really like the additions Appalachian State made in the transfer department entering this season. Also, the Mountaineers are already 2-0 this season and they just won a game in OT in which they had to hit a late 3 just to force OT. App St is feeling it right now as a result. Confidence is building. Granted they did not play tough teams, especially in their season opening blowout win but the Cards played two game they were supposed to win also and yet lost them both. Louisville will be in a dogfight just to win this game let alone cover the spread. 10* APPALACHIAN STATE +6.5 |
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11-14-22 | Spurs +8 v. Warriors | Top | 95-132 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 4 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play San Antonio Spurs +8 @ Golden State Warriors @ 10:10 ET - Spurs off upset win over Bucks and Warriors off upset loss at Sacramento last night. Looks easy to just play GS, right? Not in today's NBA. These guys are paid so many millions and are athletes in elite shape but they can't dare play in a B2B situation, right? At least according to Golden State head coach Steve Kerr, that seems to be the case. Hard to say who will be on the floor for the Warriors tonight and I am sure at least some of the key pieces will be sitting because of how Kerr has handled these B2B spots recently. One thing I do know is the pesky Spurs will come into this one hungry and playing with confidence after knocking off the Bucks. San Antonio should field their normal roster and though they are still rebuilding and are young, they are well-coached and the Spurs have given Warriors good games in recent meetings. Look for this to be another tight one. 10* SAN ANTONIO +8 |
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11-14-22 | Commanders v. Eagles -10.5 | Top | 32-21 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 42 m | Show |
NFL Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Eagles -10.5 vs Washington Commanders @ 8:15 ET - I do not normally like to lay big lines but I feel we have a lot of line value here. I like the fact that the Eagles are off a non-covering win last Thursday at Houston against the Texans. This is helping to give us some line value here. I know the Texans are not a very good team but still that game was at Houston and the Eagles were favored by 14. If you look at the lines for next Sunday's games the Eagles are favored by about the same as the 10.5 here versus Washington even though they are at Indianapolis next week! So the point is that, at home and playing with extra rest, this is a value spot in a game the Eagles should win by at least two touchdowns! The Commanders have played two divisional games so far and lose them both by at least 15 points! Also, Washington allowed 30.5 ppg in their first two road games this season. I know they then beat the Bears in Chicago but they were very fortunate in that one as they were outstatted by nearly a 2 to 1 ratio 391 yards to 214 yards! Yes they beat the Colts on the road but that is truly the one "feather in the cap" the Commanders have in terms of a truly successful road effort this season. That said, the Eagles are not the Colts! Philly is undefeated and showing no signs of slowing down and they have not had B2B ATS losses this season! Look for a big home win and cover here as the Commanders just don't have the offense to keep up here and I am sure the Eagles defense is going to "bring it" in a home game in which they are hosting a divisional foe. 10* PHILADELPHIA -10.5 |
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11-13-22 | BC +4 v. Winnipeg | Top | 20-28 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
CFL Sunday 10* Top Play BC Lions +4 or +4.5 @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 4:30 ET - It will be very cold in Winnipeg - as you would expect for November - and so there is a lot of talk of whether or not the Lions can handle that. BC plays their home games in a dome. However, it is not as if their roster is loaded with players who have not played cold weather football. It is also not as if Winnipeg has played a ton of cold weather football this season either. It is just now getting cold in Canada and both teams will be prepared for it. That aside, I feel all the pressure is on Winnipeg here. The Blue Bombers are trying to make it a 3-peat. They have won the Grey Cup each of the last two seasons so certainly they have post-season experience and know how to handle all the various playoff pressure scenarios. However, they had a bye last week and also had a bye right before the final game of the regular season for them which was also essentially a bye because it was a meaningless game for both the Bombers and the Lions when they met in Week 21. So, considering all these factors, I like the fact that BC has played more meaningful football recently as they just faced Calgary last week to open up the post-season in a win or go home game! Now the Lions have an "us and against the world" mentality and they know they are the big dogs here and everyone expects Winnipeg to advance for another Grey Cup. Don't be surprised when this one turns into an upset. Lions now have Rourke back under center and they are a high quality team even without WR Whitehead. They beat a great Calgary team last week and keep the momentum going here. I look for the Lions to advance to their first Grey Cup since, ironically, they beat the Blue Bombers to win it all about a decade ago in 2011! Grab the points here. 10* BC +4 or +4.5 |
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11-13-22 | Cowboys v. Packers +4 | Top | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Green Bay Packers +4 vs Dallas Cowboys @ 4:25 ET - Dallas is off their bye week. Prior to that, lets take a look at their last 5 games. 4 of the games were against teams that currently have a losing record. The combined record of those teams is now 12-22 on the season. The other game was against the Eagles and Dallas lost by double digits. The point is that Cowboys are over-rated here. This line is saying that Dallas would be a 7 point favorite on a neutral field. I am not buying that. Green Bay has been turnover prone and has had issues for sure. But note that this Packers team has had only 3 home games this season. They won 2 of the 3. The one they lost was after they came back from the UK. No, that is not an automatic excuse to lose a game but it is not a normal scheduling spot especially when you are not afforded a bye week after going to the UK. The fact is that Green Bay can, and will, respond here. Their loss to Detroit was turnover-driven. I feel that road loss to the Lions will prove to be rock bottom for the Pack. I know it is not easy to call a "bottom" for a team or a market (stocks for example) but the fact is I sense it strongly here. Green Bay is much better than they have shown this season and here is their chance at home to get back on track and make a statement against a Cowboys team they have beaten in 8 of last 9 meetings. The fact we are getting sizable points here to work with as an underdog is an added bonus. Keep in mind the Packers first 5 losses this season were to teams that currently have a combined 29-13 record. The loss to the Lions was the first shocker so to speak and I believe it will serve to be a wake-up call. Green Bay might be destined to battle for the final wild card spot now in the NFC post-season race. But the Packers are still very much alive in that race as the current spot-holder is only at .500 on the season. Pack get back on track here and Cowboys struggles in bigger games - they are known for disappointing in spots like this - continues here. 10* GREEN BAY +4 |
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11-13-22 | Vikings v. Bills -6.5 | 33-30 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
NFL Sunday 8* Buffalo Bills -6.5 vs Minnesota Vikings @ 1 ET - I am expecting Josh Allen to play here and, either way, Buffalo to roll at home. The only road game that the Vikings have had this season that is comparable to this is they played at Philly this season. They lost that game by 17 points. Buffalo is 6-2 this season and the Vikes now a surprising 7-1 but the Bills are most definitely the stronger team and we have line value here. Without a doubt this line would be above a TD if not for the Allen injury. As we have reached gameday now it looks more and more likely that he will go and the Bills are angry off a loss. Buffalo has won all 3 home games by a double digit margin this season. The average margin of victory in those games was 26 points! 8* BUFFALO -6.5 |
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11-13-22 | Thunder +5.5 v. Knicks | Top | 145-135 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Oklahoma City Thunder +5.5 @ New York Knicks @ 12:10 ET - The Thunder and Knicks each off big wins Friday. The thing is that Oklahoma City knows they need to get their road game going better. They have struggled away from home this season. Sometimes these early starts on a Sunday can be tough on teams and they can be sluggish. That makes it harder for a favorite to pull away and cover the spread and this one is in the half-dozen range. Plus I like the motivation factor for OKC wanting to improve their road play. Look for them to be the more focused club in this one and the Knicks have not won B2B games in two weeks so I am going to challenge them here and I like having the points on our side with a team I feel has a great shot to win outright given the intangibles of this one. Thunder have been scrappy early this season and just took the Bucks to double OT recently too. 10* OKLAHOMA CITY +5.5 |
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11-13-22 | Seahawks v. Bucs -2.5 | 16-21 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
NFL Sunday 8* Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5 vs Seattle Seahawks @ 9:30 AM ET (Munich, Germany) - The Seahawks have played 5 games away from Seattle and allowed 31 ppg! The Bucs have played 4 games away from Tampa and have allowed 13.5 ppg! Fade the masses as the Hawks are the hot ATS team and TB has been cold ATS but the better defense and stronger passing attack on offense will key the victory here. Buccaneers D has been getting healthier again of late too. 8* TAMPA BAY -2.5 |
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11-12-22 | Kansas State v. Baylor -2.5 | Top | 31-3 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play Baylor Bears -2.5 vs Kansas State Wildcats @ 7 ET - The Bears opened up favored at 3.5 and even as high as -5 at some of the earliest posting shops. Baylor is down to a 2.5 as of game day very early morning. Everyone is seeing that a ranked team is getting points here and everyone sees the stats that Bears were fortunate to beat Sooners at Oklahoma last week. Also, everyone sees that Wildcats deserved better at home against Texas last week. However, this is just all leading to exceptional line value here with a Baylor team that plays different when at home and is catching Kansas State off 3 straight emotional games and that is on the road for the first time in 3 weeks! The Wildcats had a chance to knock off undefeated TCU and did not then they won a huge home game against Oklahoma but fell short against Texas. That is 3 straight very big games for the Cats. Note that they have averaged scoring just 19 points per game last two road games and could be emotionally spent here. Also, the Bears have won 4 straight meetings with Kansas State! The Bears have one home loss this season but they outgained Oklahoma State by nearly 100 yards in the surprising defeat. Their other 3 home games have been won by a combined score of 146 to 40. That includes a Big 12 win over an improved Kansas team in which the Bears had 28 first downs compared to just 11 for the Jayhawks! Remember Baylor is coming off a huge season last year and yes they have regressed a little but this is still a very strong, very well-coached team, that loves to play in Waco and will be riled up for a huge win here over the Wildcats. Fade the line move as the Bears improve to 11-1 their last 12 home games! They are strong here and I do not trust this Kansas State team on the road off of 3 straight huge games. This is a tough spot for them and they will struggle to keep up with the strong offense that the Bears have. 10* BAYLOR -2.5 |
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11-12-22 | Maryland v. Penn State -10.5 | Top | 0-30 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play Penn State Nittany Lions -10.5 vs Maryland Terrapins @ 3:30 ET - Maryland just got blasted at Wisconsin and has failed to cover 4 straight games. Not only is this a B2B road game situation for the Terrapins, they will be facing a very motivated Nittany Lions team. Yes, Penn State did win at Maryland last season but they also have not forgotten the Terps last visit to State College. That was in the pandemic-impacted 2020 season and the Nittany Lions lost 35-19 despite having nearly twice as many first downs in the game. PSU was about a 4 TD favorite in that game but was done in by a 3-0 turnover deficit and got embarrassed at home. The Lions will be ready for payback here and, with this line dropping a little bit, I feel we have excellent value here. The average margin of victory in Penn State's last 6 wins is 25.5 points. All 6 were by a double digit margin. The Nittany Lions most recent home game was a loss to Ohio State and, as noted above, they did lose to Maryland last time they met here. Those two factors mean that the Nittany Lions will be very focused here. Insuring that focus is the fact they have Rutgers (1-4 in Big Ten action) on deck. Lay it and look for the hosts to pull away as this game gets into the 2nd half. 10* PENN STATE -10.5 |
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11-12-22 | CS U Craiova v. Rapid Bucuresti | Top | 2-2 | Push | 0 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play Rapid Goal Line PK +100/+105 vs Universitatea Craiova @ 1:30 ET - Both clubs had been playing well but Rapid is off a loss to rival FCSB last week and then lost in Cupa action in mid-week to a very strong Farul club. Both defeats were by a 2-goal margin. That sets this one up well for a home victory. I really like the way Rapid has been playing and like having them here off those defeats. Rapid has been playing a very tough schedule of late and will make the most of this home match against Universitatea Craiova. Yes the visitors have won 9 of 16 this season but the hosts have lost just 5 of 17 matches. I feel we have good value on the goal line here as the pick'em in this case turns a draw into a push at the betting window. Rapid is undefeated (6-0-2) at home this season. Universitatea Craiova has won last two matches away from home but this was preceded by 3 straight losses as travelers in league action! 10* RAPID Goal Line PK +100/+105 |
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11-11-22 | Suns -7.5 v. Magic | Top | 97-114 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns -7 @ Orlando Magic @ 7 ET - The Suns recently lost Cameron Johnson to injury but then, even without Chris Paul, they knocked off the Timberwolves at Minnesota by a double digit margin. Not only have the Suns won 7 of 9, all 7 of the victories have been by at least 9 points. That said, and especially with Paul likely coming back tonight, I am not going to hesitate to lay the 7 points here with one of the best teams in the NBA against one of the worst. Even if Paul is not back, note that Payne had a huge game filling in for him against the T-wolves. Also, Orlando is off a rare win as Mavericks shot horrific in that game and the Magic stole it even though they were without Banchero. He has an ankle injury so he could miss again here. Ankle sprains are not easy to come back from and he already missed one game and would not surprise me if they hold him out since next game not until Monday. So he can rest up some more this would be the logical thing to do. Even the Magic must know this is not likely to be a winnable game but Monday they host a bad Charlotte team. Will see how smart Orlando management is on this one but Banchero should not play. Either way I look for the better team to win and to continue their trend of winning games by at least 9 points. Note that the Magic were 2-9 this season before they got the shocking upset over Dallas. Lightning will not strike twice. 10* PHOENIX -7 |
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11-10-22 | Falcons v. Panthers +2.5 | Top | 15-25 | Win | 100 | 17 h 12 m | Show |
NFL Thursday 10* Top Play Carolina Panthers +2.5 vs Atlanta Falcons @ 8:15 ET - Could be some rainy plus possibly windy and ugly weather in Carolina tonight. The hurricane that moved into Florida is bringing rain up to the Charlotte region and it is expected to be here for the entirety of this game. Look for the ugliness to help the home dog Panthers as they have the better defense in this match-up. Yes they just got throttled at Cincinnati but they are 2-3 at home this season including 2-0 in divisional home games. Carolina won those two home games versus the Bucs and Saints by a combined score of 43 to 17. I look for them to step here at home again. As for the Falcons, they are just 1-3 on the road this season and have allowed 27.5 points per game on the road this year. There is a reason that Atlanta is such a small favorite here over a team that is 2-7 on the season! Don't let the line fool you. The home dog is the play here. 10* CAROLINA +2.5 |
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11-10-22 | Southern Illinois v. Oklahoma State -8 | Top | 61-60 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
CBB Thursday 10* Top Play Oklahoma State Cowboys -8 vs Southern Illinois Salukis @ 8 ET - Both teams off wins but OSU was rather unimpressive in theirs while S Ill rolled on the scoreboard in theirs. I love spots like this because it creates solid line value. The Salukis actually won by 31 points but had 9 less shot attempts from the field than Little Rock did. How is that possible? Well Southern Illinois shot lights out while struggled badly including 3 of 18 from 3 point land and 8 of 18 from the free throw line! Southern Illinois was great from the field in this game and also were able to dominate the glass against Little Rock. So the key here is that none of those things are likely to be repeated here. Now the Salukis are on the road and facing a Big 12 program and Stillwater is not an easy place to play. Look for the Cowboys, with a talented backcourt and strong team depth, to roll to a win by double digits at home in this one. OSU is off a disappointing campaign so they are hungry to make amends this season. The fact the Cowboys only won their opener by 11 against UT Arlington even though they were favored by 21 only strengthens this spot. Oklahoma State should shoot much better than 6 of 25 from 3-point land in this one! 10* OKLAHOMA STATE -8 |
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11-10-22 | Tulsa v. Memphis -6.5 | Top | 10-26 | Win | 100 | 16 h 45 m | Show |
CFB Thursday 10* Top Play Memphis Tigers -6.5 vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane @ 7:30 ET - Tulsa has QB issues. Brin has been hurting and, even if he plays, he has been throwing too many picks lately. The other option for the Golden Hurricane QB is Braxton but he is a freshman and would be making a road start here against an angry Memphis team that has lost 4 straight games and is ready for a huge bounce back here. The Tigers are much better than their record shows and this is their final AAC home game of the season. In a primetime situation on a Thursday night, I look for Memphis to put on a show in this one! Beautiful weather expected for this one and the Tigers can put up huge points at home in this one. I just don't think, even though Memphis D is not a strength, that Tulsa can keep up here given their QB situation. The Golden Hurricane have just 3 wins this season and they have come against a Northern Illinois team that entered this week with a 2-7 record. Also an FCS school, Jacksonville State, and a Temple team that is 1-4 in conference games this season. Tulsa's last 5 losses all by at least 8 points and the average margin of defeat has been 15 points. As for Memphis, yes they have been losing but they faced some tough match-ups and lost some tight games too. The Tigers will take advantage here of taking a step down in level of opposition. Keep in mind, Memphis lost by a single point then lost a game in 4-OT, then lost B2B games against teams that were ranked in Top 25. The Tigers 4 wins this season all by double digit margins and average margin of victory was 17 points. Getting them at under a TD here is a great bargain price. Look for huge home win in a statement game for the Tigers. 10* MEMPHIS -6.5 |
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11-10-22 | Mavs -3.5 v. Wizards | Top | 105-113 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks -3.5 @ Washington Wizards @ 7:10 ET - Yes this is a back to back for Dallas and we did lose with them last night. However, the Mavericks had a simply awful shooting night and that was the difference in the game. I certainly do not expect a repeat of that here. That said, some perfect trends in play here too. Dallas is 3-0 this season when off a SU loss and all 3 wins have been by at least 4 points. The line on this game is 3 or 3.5 and I feel we can lay it with confidence. That's because Washington is off a win and they are 0-3 last 3 times they were off a SU victory this season. All 3 losses were by a double digit margin including the most recent one coming by 42 points in a blowout defeat. Double perfect trends here favoring the Mavs. Lay it. 10* DALLAS -3.5 |
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11-09-22 | Kent State -2.5 v. Bowling Green | Top | 40-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 56 m | Show |
CFB Wednesday 10* Top Play Kent State Golden Flashes -2.5 @ Bowling Green Falcons @ 7 ET - Love the set-up and the motivational/pressure factors in this one plus the line. Why would Kent State be favored by 2.5 on the road when they are 3-6 on the season and Bowling Green is having a winning season including 4-1 in MAC play? Exactly! Don't let the line fool you here. The Golden Flashes have played the much tougher schedule overall as well as within the MAC. The Falcons are over-rated right now. Kent State certainly has the much better offense in this match-up with Schlee back under center. Also, all the pressure is on Bowling Green here. With Ohio University's win last night, BG needs a win here to maintain a tie atop the MAC East standings and plus Buffalo (in action tonight) is in the mix as well. That said, Falcons are feeling pressure while Golden Flashes looking to play the role of spoiler. Kent State has won 4 straight meetings and by a combined score of 186 to 92. All 4 wins have been by at least 7 points so were are testing a 100% streak here and the Golden Flashes have truly dominated this period as they have doubled up the Falcons in total points the past 4 years. Kent State averaging 28 points scored in their 5 MAC games but is off a tight loss last week. Bowling Green is on a 3-game winning streak but has scored an average of only 18 points last 4 MAC games! The Falcons have not had a 4-game winning streak since the 2015 season! They are over-rated right now and playing with pressure they are not use to. The Golden Flashes take advantage. 10* KENT STATE -2.5 |
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11-09-22 | Davidson -3.5 v. Wright State | Top | 102-97 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
CBB Wednesday 10* Top Play Davidson Wildcats -3.5 @ Wright State Raiders @ 7 ET - The Wildcats have the stronger backcourt in this match-up. That is important early in the season. I like the Raiders frontcourt but have some concerns about their guard play and feel they could struggle a bit early on this season. Yes Davidson has a new coach but he has been the assistant there for years under his father and he himself was a strong scorer for this program about two decades ago. The point is that he is experienced in the program and had been working with his Dad here for about two decades and I think Davidson is going to be rock solid yet again this season. Yes they lost some of their playing rotation from last season but so too did Wright State. The Wildcats are a fantastic program and remember that the Raiders did start off slow out of the gates last season in non-conference action too. Look for that to be the case again this season as they go through some early-season growing pains in the backcourt in particular. 10* DAVIDSON -3.5 |
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11-09-22 | Mavs -6 v. Magic | Top | 87-94 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks -6 @ Orlando Magic @ 5:30 ET - The Magic are tied with Rockets for worst record in the NBA and just let Houston score a ton of points against them and shoot lights out from the field. The point is that Orlando, other than rookie forward Paolo Banchero, is really having a rough start to this season. Making matters even worse here is that if Banchero even plays in this game he could be limited by an ankle sprain. I am away that Hardaway could miss this game for Mavericks but his injury seems less serious and is not an ankle. Don't be surprised if he plays and is very effective. Even if he does not play, the other guys who would get a lot of minutes in his absence are Finney-Smith and Josh Green and they are coming off huge games as is Luka Doncic as he continues to dominate. The Magic have one OT loss in last 8 defeats but the other 7 were are all by at least 6 points. Dallas has a lot of tight wins this season but they have won 4 straight games and that includes 9 point win over Orlando. I really believe Banchero could miss this game but, even if he plays, he will not be himself 100% and that is a key detriment for the Magic. By the way, Mavs have allowed just 102 ppg last 4 games while Orlando, not including OT points, has allowed 120.4 points last 5 games. Big difference in terms of level of defense when comparing these two teams. 10* DALLAS -6 |
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11-07-22 | Ravens v. Saints +1.5 | Top | 27-13 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 60 m | Show |
NFL Monday 10* Top Play New Orleans Saints +1.5 vs Baltimore Ravens @ 8:15 ET - Ravens off B2B wins but were on a 3-9 SU run dating back to last season prior to getting these consecutive wins. Also, even though they have extra rest since they had the Thursday night game last week, it is still not easy to go on the road again and win B2B road games. Since Dalton has taken over at QB for the Saints, they have averaged 30 points per game last 5 games. Ravens have averaged 22 points per game last 5 games. The Ravens do have a bye on deck but have covered just once the last seven times they have a bye week on deck. The Saints have the much better passing offense in this match-up plus the Ravens pass defense has been an issue this season as they rank as one of the worst. New Orleans defense builds off last week's strong performance. Also, Saints let a receiver go back to the practice squad which means they are now expecting more from some of the guys that had been banged up. Strong team effort gets the home win as confidence is building with Dalton under center for the Saints. 10* NEW ORLEANS +1.5 |
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11-07-22 | La Salle +15 v. Villanova | Top | 68-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
CBB Monday 10* Top Play La Salle Explorers +15 @ Villanova Wildcats @ 6:30 ET - This is an intriguing match-up because it is an all-Philly game and, as always, the little brother wants to prove they can compete with the big brother. What has added to the intrigue here is La Salle has Fran Duphy (a 1970 Explorers graduate) and his 30 years of head coaching experience patrolling the sideline. At the same time, Villanova no longer has Jay Wright on the sideline and it will be strange to see the Wildcats without Wright patrolling the sideline. Kyle Neptune has only one year of head coaching experience. To his credit, Neptune has experience within the Wildcats program and helped recruit a lot of this current roster. Still I like the head coaching edge of Dunphy over Neptune and also note that guard play is so key early in the season in particular. It helps teams get comfortable in the early going of the season when teams are still trying to work out the kinks. That said, I like the depth of the Explorers in terms of their backcourt and will note that Villanova lost a lot from last year's backcourt. Of course Nova still the better team and should win this by a range of 7 to 9 points but I would not be surprised to see the Explorers, led by Dunphy, to hang around in this Philly battle much longer than many expect and it should not be a blowout as a result. 10* LA SALLE +15 |
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11-06-22 | Hamilton +2 v. Montreal | Top | 17-28 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
CFL 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats +1.5 @ Montreal Alouettes @ 1 ET - Montreal has the home field edge here but there is a reason this line is practically a pick'em even though Hamilton was 2-7 SU on the road this season! Keep in mind the Ti-Cats are loaded with experience from key playoff runs in recent seasons plus they were the hotter team down the stretch this season. Montreal faded a bit late in terms of level of play and I am taking the team that is peaking at the right time to get the job done Sunday in the opener of the post-season. 10* HAMILTON +1.5 |
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11-06-22 | Vikings -3 v. Commanders | Top | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Minnesota Vikings -3 @ Washington Commanders @ 1 ET - The Vikings are 6-1 this season. Their only loss was to Philadelphia. Yes, to the now 8-0 Eagles. The point is that Minnesota is winning every game they are supposed to win. However, because the Vikes are on a 2-4 ATS run, the betting markets are not exactly enamored with them. Yes the Commanders have won 3 straight games but they were severely outstatted by the Bears in the victory that started this win streak. They then beat a Packers team that is now on a 4-game losing streak and has been the most disappointing team in the NFL compared to expectations for the season. Then they beat a Colts team that has been another significant under-achiever this season. Truly, other than a solid game in a loss against the Titans (but they caught Tennessee in 2nd straight road game off key divisional win), the Commanders have not impressed this season. They have been blown out by the tough teams they faced (Cowboys and Eagles). Their other 5 games besides the 3 that I just mentioned were against teams with a combined record of 12-26-1 this season. So the Vikings at just -3 in this game basically just have to win the game for us to get the money. This is, like I said, a Minny team that has only one loss this season and it was to the still-undefeated Eagles. I really like Minnesota here because they just had a bye week two weeks ago. Washington still has not had a bye. They are playing for a 9th straight week. They have not played in the same city twice in consecutive weeks this season. It has been home/road/home/road, etc all season long. The Commanders need a bye. They are not getting it yet and I see the better team prevailing here and covering along the way. One final note of importance, the Commanders Super Bowl is next week. That's right, a chance to knock off the undefeated division rival Eagles. Set-ups don't get much better than this one in my opinion. Vikings all day! 10* MINNESOTA -3 |
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11-05-22 | Oklahoma State +1.5 v. Kansas | Top | 16-37 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
Saturday CFB 10* Top Play Oklahoma State Cowboys +1.5 @ Kansas Jayhawks @ 3:30 ET - I know there are major questions at quarterback for both teams entering this one. I know the markets have moved toward Kansas in this game. I am happy to grab the extra value on a well-coached Oklahoma State team that is off a thoroughly embarrassing 48-0 loss last week. Keep in mind, the Cowboys have beaten the Jayhawks 12 straight times. Also, OSU was 6-1 SU and ATS prior to that loss last week to the Wildcats. The only loss that Okla St had suffered this season, prior to last week, was a defeat in double-OT. In other words, I feel we have seen a severe over-reaction to last week's result and we are getting value with a Cowboys team that is sure to come out angry and focused for this game. I know Jayhawks are better than past teams but their defense has been very bad too. Though Kansas enters this game off a bye, they had lost 3 straight games and by an average margin of 10 points per defeat before that week off. Lets not forget that OSU was a top ten team entering last week's game. They should bounce back strong here no matter the QB situation for either side. I know the emotion that Cowboys are going to bring to this team under coach Gundy! Look for the 12-0 run in favor of the Cowboys in meetings between these foes to make it 13 in a row! 10* OKLAHOMA STATE +1.5 |
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11-05-22 | Penn State -13.5 v. Indiana | Top | 45-14 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
Saturday CFB 10* Penn State Nittany Lions -13.5 @ Indiana Hoosiers @ 3:30 ET - Looks like most of the weather is going to move through before this game gets underway so this one is a go for me after having to wait it out a bit. Penn State should roll to a huge win here just like they did after losing badly at Michigan last month. The Nittany Lions turned around and rolled the Gophers. Yes this time the Lions are on the road and Indiana is off a bye week but this Hoosiers team has lost 5 straight games. This included a loss to Rutgers in their most recent game and they lost WR Cam Camper to a season-ending ACL injury in that one too! Sean Clifford had huge numbers for PSU versus Ohio State last week but also had turnover problems. He has been challenged by his head coach as a result of that and I expect he and this Penn State offense to attack a bad Hoosiers defense all day long in this one! On the other side of the ball, the Indiana offense has struggled in recent games and losing their top WR certainly will not help matters. The Hoosiers already have 3 losses by 14 or more points and this one should fall into this category as well. Be warned that there is a chance that Lions could start a little slow out of the gate, though I am not expecting that, but the Lions will come ROARING back either way as they are just too much for this bad Hoosiers team. 10* PENN STATE -13.5 |
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11-04-22 | Warriors v. Pelicans -4 | Top | 105-114 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Friday 10* Top Play New Orleans Pelicans -4 vs Golden State Warriors @ 8:40 ET - The Pelicans are off an unbelieve, inexcusable OT loss at Los Angeles when they missed 2 free throws with under 2 seconds to go in the game. That then allowed the Lakers get off a 3 at the buzzer which did go in to force OT. After LA won the game in OT you know New Orleans is going to be extremely fired up here. Not only that, the Pelicans are getting back Brandon Ingram and Herbert Jones for this game. Those reinforcements will help and what also helps is they are catching the Warriors in a back to back. Golden State has been getting good production from their starting five. But the Warriors bench has struggled and that means if the Warriors starters are worn out from the B2B than this one sets up to be very tough sledding for GS. Look for NO to take advantage. the Pelicans will run them right out of the arena and Golden State has been struggling defensively so this sets up for a big-time home blowout here. 10* NEW ORLEANS -4 |
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11-04-22 | Sabres +1.5 v. Hurricanes | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -140 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
NHL Friday 10* Top Play Buffalo Sabres Puck Line +1.5 goals -140 @ Carolina Hurricanes @ 7:05 ET - This is an excellent situational spot that favors the road dog. I was really tempted to take Buffalo at big plus money on the money line but we'll go the safer route in case Carolina claws their way back to win this game late or in OT or SO and it ends up being a one-goal game. The key here is that the Sabres should get the jump on the Hurricanes off a huge win at Tampa Bay last night. Carolina got the tying goal in the 3rd period and then won the game in the shootout. Beating Vasilevskiy and the Lightning in Tampa is a big deal and I could see the Canes being flat here for this one and they are in the 2nd day of a B2B. By the way Carolina at -1.5 goals on the puck line would be 0-7 last 7 games as they have 4 wins by 1 goal (and only one of those wins was in regulation!) and they have 3 losses in this stretch. As for the Sabres at +1.5 goals on the season they would be 9-1 (90%) as they are 7-3 on the season and only 1 of their losses was by more than 1 goal. So here were are testing a spot for Buffalo that is 90% this season and also testing a go-against situation fading the Hurricanes that has worked in 7 straight games for a 100% run which favors the Sabres here as well. 10* BUFFALO +1.5 goals -140 |
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11-02-22 | Wizards v. 76ers -7.5 | Top | 121-111 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -7.5 vs Washington Wizards @ 6:10 ET - The Wizards have not been traveling far but still they are bouncing around quite a bit right now. Washington was at home than on the road at Boston then at home versus 76ers and now on the road at Philly to face the Sixers again. This is also a 4 games in 6 days situation for Washington so this is all part of their toughest test so far this season in terms of scheduling. I like the fact that the Sixers, even without Embiid, were able to win by 7 on the road at Washington Monday. This is a Philly team that is finally starting to find its footing. The 76ers have won 3 straight games on the road and also won their last home game by 14 points. I look for them to build their run to 4 straight wins even if Embiid is not back tonight. But I do expect him back and also want to note that even though they are not stars, Kispert and Wright being out for the Wizards is still taking away a couple guys that average about 24 minutes a game. They are rotation players that Washington wants to use as part of the core group for the team! As for the Sixers, the only current "injury" situation was Embiid's illness and I would be surprised if he misses tonight's game. Look for the Wizards to run out of gas as this game goes on and the deeper Sixers again take advantage just like they did Monday with their big 3rd quarter in DC leading to solid win. 10* PHILADELPHIA -7.5 |
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11-01-22 | Wolves +5.5 v. Suns | Top | 107-116 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 6 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Minnesota Timberwolves +5 or +5.5 @ Phoenix Suns @ 10 ET - When something looks too good to be true it usually is. Keep in mind, Phoenix is 4-0 at home this season and the Suns enter this game on a 4-game winning streak in which all 4 wins were by a double digit margin. That said, how can the Suns have opened up as only a 4-point favorite at home? Exactly! Sure enough this line is already up to as high as a 5.5 in some spots and I love being a contrarian in situations like this. Minnesota went out and made the big move for Gobert in the off-season because they want to be a force to be reckoned with. To prove they have indeed arrived in the Western Conference, the Wolves must prove they can compete with one of the best teams in the West (and in all of NBA) in the form of the Suns. I feel Minny is going to be extra hungry here as a result and I love having the handful of points being offered here too as an outright upset would not surprise me in the least. If the Wolves do fall short, look for it to be by the slimmest of margins. 10* MINNESOTA +5 or +5.5 |
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10-31-22 | Bengals v. Browns +3 | Top | 13-32 | Win | 100 | 15 h 12 m | Show |
NFL Monday 10* Top Play Cleveland Browns +3.5 vs Cincinnati Bengals @ 8:15 ET - Waiting has paid off as we are starting to see +3.5 show up on this game for Cleveland and I love the home dog in this spot. Cincinnati, and deservedly so, is receiving high praise for their defense. But note that the Browns are off a great defensive effort at Baltimore and held the Ravens to just 254 yards but lost the game due to losing the turnover battle. Yes Cleveland is an ugly 2-5 on the season but 4 of their 5 losses have been by 3 or less points. Again, another reason I love the fact we can now get 3 plus the hook in this one with the Browns. As for the Bengals, they are 4-3 on the season but their wins are against teams that are a combined 17-15 on the season. They also have lost to a Pittsburgh team that is 2-6 this season. I am not saying that Cincinnati is not the better team in comparison with the Browns. I am just saying that this is a tough spot for them here in my opinion as Cleveland has won 7 of the last 8 meetings and gives them a lot of trouble. Also, the Browns back home off a tight road loss while Bengals on the road after a blowout road win. These set ups often work out well for the hosts and particularly when they are a home dog! The Browns have been just as solid as Bengals in terms of pass defense and they also are the much better rushing team on offense. 10* CLEVELAND +3.5 |
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10-31-22 | 76ers -4 v. Wizards | Top | 118-111 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -4 @ Washington Wizards @ 7:10 ET - The Wizards are playing in a B2B for the first time this season and yesterday's game was on the road at Boston. This is also a 3 games in 4 days situation for Washington so it is their toughest test so far this season in terms of scheduling. Yes, the Wizards get the benefit of being at home for this one but that is also helping to keep this line very manageable on a Philly team that is finally starting to find its footing. The 76ers have won B2B games on the road and will be hosting the Wizards on Wednesday so they are fully focused on Washington here and I look for them to build their run to 3 straight wins! Look for the Wizards to run out of gas as this game goes on and the rested Sixers take advantage. 10* PHILADELPHIA -4 |
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10-30-22 | Warriors v. Pistons +8 | Top | 114-128 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
NBA Sunday 10* Top Play Detroit Pistons +8 vs Golden State Warriors @ 6 ET - Back to back spot for Warriors who are winless on the road this season and they went into overtime at Charlotte last night so not a good situation here. Not only could Steph Curry and company need a little extra rest tonight, Jordan Poole is dealing with an ankle injury. The Pistons are off to a rough start to this season but they will take advantage of facing Golden State in a tough situation for the Warriors. You also know the home team will be up about having Curry and Company in town for this one. 10* DETROIT +8 |
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10-30-22 | Titans v. Texans | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Tennessee Titans Pick or +1 @ Houston Texans @ 4:05 ET - The Titans Ryan Tannehill is out for this game. Malik Willis gets the start. I know he is an NFL rookie. I know he did not look good in preseason. But he started his college career at an SEC school, Auburn, and then went to Liberty so he could get playing time. He is a true dual-threat QB and in his two seasons at Liberty he threw for 47 touchdowns and ran for 27 touchdowns! He is not facing a great defense here. Also, unlike preseason, he is working with all the starting talent around him. This Titans team is first in the AFC South and this Texans teams is dead last in the division and one of the worst teams teams in the league. I think this is a classic case of value being created by an injury situation. Tennessee is the much better team and now is not even favored here and they have a strong ground game and will do damage on the ground here. The only team in the AFC with fewer losses than the Titans is the Bills. The Texans are tied with the Lions as the only teams in the NFL that have only 1 win on the season. There is simply a much bigger disparity between these teams than what this line is reflecting and we can take advantage of the added value. Houston's only win this season was against (now 2-5) Jacksonville. Tennessee has a game at Kansas City on deck so they know they need this game against the Texans. The Titans want to maintain their hold on the top spot of the division and next week's game at KC will be tough. Look for them to be fully focused here and everyone dialed in on offense to help Willis along and the result will be a surprisingly solid win here! 10* TENNESSEE Pick or +1 |
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10-30-22 | Bears +10 v. Cowboys | 29-49 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
NFL Sunday 8* Chicago Bears +10 @ Dallas Cowboys @ 1 ET - The Cowboys did beat Detroit 24-6 last week but they were down at the half and, with THREE minutes to go in the ENTIRE GAME, Dallas was up only 10-6. They scored 2 late touchdowns to make for a deceiving final score in their win over the Lions. As for the Bears beating the Patriots, Chicago had 24 first downs and the Pats had just 12. That was a dominating win and was at New England. I am not here to tell you that Chicago wins this game outright. I just feel that the Bears getting double digits is far too much. Dak Prescott is still coming back from a thumb injury. The Bears confidence is growing and remember they should have beaten Washington 2 weeks ago as they had a huge yardage edge in that game. We are getting value with a solid defensive team that also can get yardage on the ground because Fields is a very dangerous QB with his legs too. This can give a solid Cowboys D some issues and this game will be decided by just 1 score in my opinion. 8* CHICAGO +10 |
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10-30-22 | Broncos +2 v. Jaguars | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 2 h 4 m | Show | |
NFL Sunday 8* Denver Broncos +2.5 vs Jacksonville Jaguars @ 9:30 AM ET at Wembley Stadium in London, UK - Getting 2.5 points with the Broncos is a great value here. They have the much better defense in this match-up. I know their offense has been bad but Denver's Russell Wilson took a week off to rest up and the Broncos have a bye on deck so he can go all out here. I have a feeling that Wilson is going to end up being the star of this game. Keep in mind, the Jaguars are on a 3-14 ATS run. I know Denver has been bad too but I trust their defense in this match-up and feel the Broncos offense is going to be better in this one because of the Wilson situation. They will be rejuvenated here and two of Bronco's recent losses in OT and they are catching a Jacksonville team that has lost 4 straight games by an average of 7 points apiece. 8* DENVER +2.5 |
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10-29-22 | Oklahoma State +1.5 v. Kansas State | 0-48 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
CFB Saturday 8* Oklahoma State Cowboys +1.5 @ Kansas State Wildcats @ 3:30 ET - The Cowboys have been a covering machine this season and they enter this game red hot ATS. Not only that, Kansas State is off a loss at TCU plus won their prior game by just a single point and already lost a home game versus Tulane this season too. Also, the Wildcats are hosting an OSU team that has performed well as a Big 12 road dog under Gundy and I love the fact the line has flipped here. The Cowboys have gone from being the favorite to the dog in this one. Kansas State did beat Oklahoma by a TD this season but that win is looking less impressive now that the Sooners have struggled so much this season. The point is that I am not a believer in the Cats being a very solid 5-2 team. The Cowboys, in my opinion, are a very strong 6-1 team that suffered it's only loss this season in double OT! OSU is off big win versus Texas but Cowboys do NOT have a penchant for letdowns under Gundy. His team will be ready here and having a veteran QB like Spencer Sanders is a HUGE plus as well! 8* OKLAHOMA STATE +1.5 |
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10-29-22 | Ohio State v. Penn State +15.5 | Top | 44-31 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play Penn State Nittany Lions +15.5 vs Ohio State Buckeyes @ Noon ET - Remember when Penn State was so awful against Michigan and got blasted by the Wolverines? Yes? Well, so does everyone else and that is impacting this line. You know who remembers it the most? These Nittany Lions! They are at home and with a chance to make up for that embarrassment. They know they are better than that. They are not Ohio State and they are HIGHLY unlikely to beat the Buckeyes here. However, in my opinion, they also are HIGHLY unlikely to lose this game by more than 2 TDs. In fact, I expect this game to be decided by a single score as PSU has something to prove here and is capable of playing tough hard-nosed football against a very strong OSU team here. 10* PENN STATE +15.5 |
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10-29-22 | Petrolul 52 v. Voluntari | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -135 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play FC Voluntari Goal Line PK -130 vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ Noon ET - We could take plus money on the money line here but then if the match ends in a draw we lose our bet. By playing the goal line at a pick'em, a draw is a push with our bet. I do expect a win here or I would not be betting it, but I will have the added insurance of playing this on the goal line. This is great spot for FC Voluntari as they are off an ugly 3-0 loss on their home pitch. They are ready to bounce back strong here and they will take advantage of a Petrolul Ploiesti that has lost 3 straight road matches by a combined score of 5 to 2. Note that FC Voluntari, prior to ugly loss last week, was on a 5-match unbeaten streak which including winning both home matches by a combined score of 4 to 1. The home/road dichotomy here is a big difference maker. 10* FC Voluntari PK -130 |
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10-28-22 | East Carolina v. BYU -3 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 33 m | Show |
Friday CFB 10* Top Play BYU Cougars -3 vs East Carolina Pirates @ 8 ET - This is as much a play against East Carolina as it is a play on BYU and, trust me, the Pirates are solid and respectable team. But I think the difference in the current level of these two programs is not being properly estimated by the betting markets here. Not only that, traveling West for a weekday game is not easy and is not something the Pirates are really use to either. They have been particularly spoiled by their early season schedule. That, to me, is one of the biggest keys here. I personally do not feel the AAC is a very strong conference. Yes, Cincinnati and UCF have had their moments in recent seasons but this is still not a Power 5 Conference like the SEC or Big 12 or Big Ten or ACC or Pac-12. So far this season East Carolina's toughest game had been versus NC State and though they fell just short that tight loss is becoming less impressive with each successive ATS loss that the Wolfpack continue to suffer. Now credit must be given for the Pirates beating UCF last week but that was a turnover-fueled win as the yardage and first downs were about equal. Plus East Carolina was at home for that one and the 21-point margin of victory is serving to give us line value here. BYU is an independent but has played a ton of tough match-ups. Tough game have included facing Baylor and Oregon and Notre Dame and Arkansas. Look for the battle-tested Cougars to bounce back and respond after an embarrassing loss at Liberty last week as they take advantage of home field here and stop their 3-game losing streak! 10* BYU -3 |
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10-27-22 | Ravens +2 v. Bucs | Top | 27-22 | Win | 100 | 18 h 46 m | Show |
NFL Thursday 10* Top Play Baltimore Ravens +2 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ 8:15 ET - The Bucs have lost 4 of 5 games. Most concerning too is that their last 3 games have been against teams with a combined record of 7-14 this season. None of those teams have a winning record. Tampa Bay beat just one of them, Atlanta, but did not cover and TB enters this game on an 0-5 ATS run. In fact, 5 of Tampa's 6 games (since beating Dallas in season opener) have seen them face teams that currently have a losing record. The record of those 5 teams is now a combined 12-23. Consider that and now consider that the Buccaneers have lost 4 of 5 games! This team is just not the team it use to be. Keep in mind, former head coach Bruce Arians is now a senior football consultant for the Bucs. That is is not the same as being the guy patrolling the sidelines and calling the shots. That guy is Todd Bowles who should have stuck to just being a defensive coordinator (which he absolutely has excelled at). As an NFL head coach though, Bowles now has a combined record of 17-38 dating back to the 2016 season. John Harbaugh has a 47-25 record as head coach of the Ravens dating back to the 2018 season. Baltimore's defense was struggling earlier this season but they have started to turn the corner ever since a solid effort in the tight loss to the Bills. The Ravens offense is one of the better ones in the league in terms of points scored and is led by dual-threat QB Lamar Jackson. With the Bucs offense a shell of its former self, I have no hesitation in grabbing the points for a strong play with the road dog in this one Thursday. 10* BALTIMORE +2 |
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10-27-22 | Mavs v. Nets +2.5 | Top | 129-125 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 4 m | Show |
NBA Thursday 10* Top Play Brooklyn Nets +2.5 vs Dallas Mavericks @ 7:40 ET - I know the Nets are in a back to back spot here so many are jumping on the Mavericks. I get it. But this Brooklyn team from top to bottom is very angry and fired up and I am expecting a huge effort from them tonight as result. Last night frustrations boiled over in the loss at Milwaukee and head coach Steve Nash was dealt his first ever ejection as a head coach! That is how intense the situation was for the Nets last night. Now they are back home and ready to put the frustration to work for them in a positive way here and I fully expect a positive result to follow! Keep in mind that Dallas, just like Brooklyn, is off to a slow start. The Mavericks also have just 1 win on the season. By the way the home team is a perfect 3-0 in Dallas games this season and the home team is a perfect 3-0 in the Nets last 3 games. Look for this double perfect trending to continue here with another home win but I will grab the generous points being offered here as added insurance. I do expect the outright win though. 10* BROOKLYN +2.5 |
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10-26-22 | 76ers v. Raptors | Top | 109-119 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 0 m | Show |
NBA Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers PICK (-110) @ Toronto Raptors @ 7:40 ET - I know Toronto wants revenge for the post-season exit at the hands of the Sixers in the spring. However, I look at the Philly starters and bench and compare to the Raptors starters and bench and to me it sure seems the 76ers are the much stronger and deeper team. This is currently even a magnified issues because Philadelphia is the healthier team. For Toronto, Otto Porter has yet to suit up this season and is doubtful for this game and the Raptors were hoping the new acquisition could be a solid contributor for them. Also, Scottie Barnes is listed as questionable for this contest. Even if he does play his ankle is unlikely to be 100% and he may not be able to play up to his full potential in this one. Again, if he even sees the floor! Yes, Toronto is off a big win at Miami but the Raptors rallied in the 4th quarter for the victory as they trailed heading to final stanza. Also, the Heat shot horribly from distance in that game. The fact the Raptors outscored the Heat by six 3-pointers (18 points) from beyond the arc was absolutely the difference in that win. As for the Sixers, they just got their first win of the season against Indiana. Getting that win over the Pacers is just what the doctor ordered! Philly will finally have some confidence back after a frustrating 0-3 start to the season. Look for the Sixers to look like a different team tonight and they have the better shooters in this match-up too and I just don't see the Raptors as being able to keep up in this one. 10* PHILADELPHIA PICK (-110) |
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10-25-22 | Warriors v. Suns -2.5 | Top | 105-134 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show |
NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns -2.5 vs Golden State Warriors @ 10 ET - The Suns have played the tougher schedule so far with a pair of a road games and their only home game was against at tough Mavericks team. Now Phoenix is at home facing the Warriors in a huge match-up. For Golden State, this is their first road trip of the new season. I feel this is a significant edge for the Suns in this spot and we are getting a bargain price with this line at -2.5 for Phoenix at home. The Warriors were great at home last season but only 22-19 on the road. The Suns were 32-9 both home and away last season! Amazingly only ONE of their 64 victories had a margin of victory under 3 points! Even in the post-season all 7 of their wins were by at least 3 points. So I have no hesitation in laying the points here considering that 70 of the 71 wins that Phoenix had last season were by at least 3 points! Also, the Suns are very hungry entering this season after losing in the 2nd round of the post-season to the Mavericks in 7 games. 10* PHOENIX -2.5 |
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10-24-22 | Bears +9 v. Patriots | Top | 33-14 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show |
Monday NFL 10* Top Play Chicago Bears +9 @ New England Patriots @ 8:15 ET - First off I like the fact the Bears have extra rest since they last played Thursday. Secondly I definitely like the fact that Chicago lost that game despite having a huge yardage edge of nearly a 2 to 1 ratio over the Commanders. Thirdly, and the biggest key here, is that even though New England is 3-3 this season one should take a look at their schedule! The Patriots are 3-3 but the 3 wins have come against team that are 5-15 on the season. Now, of course, one could argue that the Bears are also a bad team and I certainly understand that sentiment. However, I have a strong feeling that the Pats are entering this game overconfident off B2B wins and facing a 2-4 Bears team. New England will end up surprised that this Chicago defense is quite solid. The Bears have lost 3 straight games but all were by 8 or less points. Chicago has a high compete level and they have a solid rushing offense and a strong pass defense. Oftentimes teams like this make the best big road dogs! By the way, Chicago has lost the money ATS just once in last 8 games against AFC opponents. The Patriots can improve to 4-3 with a win here and that would put them just behind the 5-2 Jets and 5-1 Bills in the AFC East but those 5-2 Jets are on deck for the Pats too. Could New England get caught looking ahead here? I do feel that New England will circle the wagons in time to win this game Monday but I don't see them covering this inflated spread. Bears will be in this game all the way and have a legitimate shot at the outright upset. 10* CHICAGO +9 |
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10-24-22 | Celtics v. Bulls +4.5 | Top | 102-120 | Win | 100 | 15 h 23 m | Show |
NBA Monday 10* Top Play Chicago Bulls +4.5 or +5 vs Boston Celtics @ 8:10 ET - This is a great spot for the Bulls. They are off an embarrassing home loss to the Cavaliers in which they actually were about equal in shot attempts from the field plus had more free throw attempts yet lost the game by 32 points! So what happened? The Cavaliers shot a ridiculous percentage from 3-point land and had a hot shooting night overall. After getting embarrassed like this on their home floor I am sure Chicago is going to respond here. Remember the Bulls prior game was a road loss but just by 2 points and they opened the season on the road with a solid win at Miami also. Yes the Celtics are 3-0 this season but the teams they beat are a combined 1-8 so far. So maybe Boston caught the right teams at the right time but that is not the case here. I look for an angry Bulls team to be relentless at both ends of the floor tonight. 10* CHICAGO +4.5 or +5 |
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10-24-22 | Steaua Bucharesti v. Sepsi | Top | 1-0 | Win | 107 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play FCSB Goal Line 0 (pick) +105 @ Sepsi @ 2 ET - FCSB was #2 in the table last season and #1 in the table the season before that. Yes, this team is currently down in the table this season but they are on a mission to move back up. For one thing, some of the clubs have played as many as 15 matches now but FCSB has only played 12 so they can still make a big move up the table. In fact, they can jump all the way to #6 in the table and move just in front of Sepsi with a win here. That is what I am fully expecting here but 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have ended in a draw and I like the value of the goal line here of having FCSB at a Pick +105 so if the match ends in a draw we get a push and get our money back. But I am absolutely expecting a win here. FCSB has won all 3 league matches this season and by a combined score of 7 to 3. Sepsi is off B2B losses against CFR Cluj and Farul Constanta. Those are two of the top clubs in the league but still FCSB has been right up there at the top with CFR Cluj in each of the past two seasons so truly this is another top club for Sepsi to deal with. That said, these hosts have scored just 1 goal in last two matches combined while FCSB has scored at least 2 goals in EACH of last 3 matches in league action. Look for the road team to continue their strong push. 10* FCSB Goal Line 0 (pick) +105 |
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10-23-22 | Steelers v. Dolphins -7 | Top | 10-16 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Miami Dolphins -7 vs Pittsburgh Steelers @ 8:20 ET - Yes the Steelers just beat the Bucs but they were outgained in that game. The Dolphins lost to the Vikings but actually outgained Minnesota by over 200 yards in that game and had twice as many first downs. Miami was done in by turnovers in that one. The Dolphins get back Tagovailoa for this one at QB and still have Bridgewater and Thompson available to back him up. The Steelers welcome back Pickett at QB this week but he has struggled so far this season with a poor TD-INT ratio. Also, his back-up is Trubisky and he is not known for striking fear into opposing defenses. The Steelers are still in rebuild mode here and flukes like the upset win over TB will happen from time to time but Pittsburgh generally a different team on the road. Couple that with the fact that the Dolphins are starting a stretch in which their 5 opponents - including Steelers - have a combined record of 8-19-1, you know Miami realizes they can still salvage their season. They started 3-0 then went 0-3 and now they get back on track in a big way to improve to 4-3. Look for them to be revitalized with the return of their starting QB and playing at home in SNF. Miami has lost the money just 3 times the last 15 times they have been a home favorite. Dolphins roll by 7 or more in this one! 10* MIAMI -7 |
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10-23-22 | Colts +2.5 v. Titans | Top | 10-19 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Indianapolis Colts +2.5 @ Tennessee Titans @ 1 ET - The Colts seek revenge for the first meeting and actually outgained the Titans by over 120 yards in that one and held Tennessee to just 243 yards in the upset loss due to turnovers. With Matt Ryan off a huge game in which he threw for nearly 400 yards and 3 touchdowns with no interceptions, I love this spot with the Colts! Ryan had a bad game recently in the OT win at Denver two weeks ago but Indy is actually 3-1 the last 4 games and in his 3 games besides the Broncos game he has averaged 322 yards passing and thrown for 7 TDs against just 1 INT. I think Indy is quietly starting to turn their season around and, statistically they are much better than the Titans on both sides of the ball but Tennessee has been more fortunate because the Colts had some turnover issues this season. So we get some built-in line value here and I will not pass it up. Indy has the much better passing attack and much better pass defense and that will key the road win here. 10* INDIANAPOLIS +2.5 |
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10-23-22 | Newcastle United +0.5 v. Tottenham Hotspur | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
Sunday EPL 10* Newcastle United Goal Line +0.5 -120 @ Tottenham @ 11:30 AM ET - Even though Newcastle is hurt some by the Joelinton injury, Tottenham is hurt even more coming into this match as Richarlison (calf) and Dejan Kulusevski (hamstring) are both expected to miss this one and that really hurts the hosts. I also feel strongly that disappointment is setting in at Tottenham after their 2-0 loss to Manchester United. I know the Hotspur are undefeated at home this season but situationally and, with the injuries, Newcastle is the play here. In recent seasons Newcastle was known for playing very poorly on the road and only being tough at home. That is not the case at all this season and the visitors are one of only 3 clubs in the league that has just 1 loss on the campaign. The only other two are Arsenal and Manchester City. That is pretty elite company for sure and the fact is Newcastle has been "kings of the draw" this season with 6 already in 11 matches. That said, I love having half-goal with the visitors here at a very fair price. Tottenham has even been tinkering with formations because of the absences or Richarlison and Kulusevski. The Hotspur just not the same club without those guys and the visitors are the ones entereding this match with momentum off a 1-0 win versus Everton. 10* NEWCASTLE UNITED +0.5 -120 |
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10-22-22 | Flyers +1.5 v. Predators | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 16 m | Show |
NHL Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Puck Line +1.5 goals -130 @ Nashville Predators @ 8:05 ET - This is the front end of a B2B for the Flyers as they host the Sharks tomorrow in Philly. However, even if Felix Sandstrom gets the start in goal he did look quite good in the 4-3 loss to Panthers in Florida earlier this week. If it is Carter Hart, he is undefeated this season and has not allowed more than 2 goals in any start! Either way, I do like the fact the Flyers are 3-1 on the season and the one loss was by just a single goal. As for the Predators, they are 2-3-1 on the season and their only two wins were in Europe against a San Jose team that has proven to be off to a rough start this season. So the Predators have not won since returning to North America and they only have 1 win by a multi-goal margin in 6 games this season. So if you take the 4 Flyers games and 6 Preds games this season only 1 of the 10 have been a result that would give us a loss with Philly +1.5 goals! So 90% odds on the cover here based on ytd results. Again, that is just purely statistical but you get my point and I just really like the way this Flyers team is playing under Tortorella and they catch Nashville slumping here. 10* PHILADELPHIA +1.5 goals -130 |
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10-22-22 | Minnesota v. Penn State -4.5 | Top | 17-45 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play Penn State Nittany Lions -4.5 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers @ 7:30 ET - Penn State is certainly no powerhouse this season but the same holds true for Minnesota and yet if you factor in the home field edge for this one it is almost as if the line would be a pick'em on a neutral field and I disagree with that assessment and feel we have excellent line value here! Minnesota is 4-2 this season but the wins were against New Mexico State, Western Illinois, Colorado and Michigan State. Well NM St and Colorado are very bad football teams. Michigan St is having a down season and W. Ill is an FCS school. The Golden Gophers opened the season 4-0 but against those teams. They have since been absolutely been dominated by an Illinois team that is playing very well but is certainly no Michigan (that is who PSU just lost to) and and the Golden Gophers also lost at home by double digits to a Boilermakers team that Penn State defeated earlier this season at Purdue! Also, even though Auburn is down this season the Tigers are an SEC program and PSU crushed them by 29 points. Their schedule has been tougher than that of Minny. I know they have Ohio State on deck but they won't look past this game and they are angry after being completely manhandled at the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball against the Wolverines. So this game means more to them than you might think and, after first loss of the season, the Nittany Lions bounce back and also send over-rated Minny to 3rd straight loss! 10* PENN STATE -4.5 |
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10-22-22 | Calgary v. Saskatchewan +2.5 | Top | 32-21 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 45 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Saskatchewan Roughriders +2.5 vs Calgary Stampeders @ 7 ET - Yes the Roughriders have been slumping but they are at home and off a bye week and, before the bye week, they fought hard at Hamilton in a tight loss. Calgary saw BC win last night to end their hopes of hosting the Lions in the playoffs. The Stampeders really do not have anything to play for here now. They just want to stay healthy as they are effectively locked into their playoff seeding. That said, even though Saskatchewan has struggled they are the play here. They are making a QB switch and they have the motivational edges and the home field edge and I just can't see Calgary putting up much of a fight in this one given the situation. 10* SASKATCHEWAN +2.5 |
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10-22-22 | Texas v. Oklahoma State +6 | Top | 34-41 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Oklahoma State Cowboys +6 vs Texas Longhorns @ 3:30 ET - Stillwater is not an easy place to play. I know the Cowboys are going to be fired up after they let their game slip away at TCU last week. Yes that was a 2OT loss so you might think that OSU will have trouble bouncing back this week or could be spent physically and emotionally. However, the key is that this game is at home. If it was in Austin, I probably would not trust Oklahoma State here but being at home and angry off the loss to the Horned Frogs and getting 6 points here...it just all adds up to a lot of value. UT is absolutely a much better team under the new coaching regime. However, Texas has only played one true road game (the OU game was neutral site of course) and they lost outright at Texas Tech as a 7 point dog and they had to rally just to send that game to OT. By the way, that same Red Raiders team lost to this same Cowboys team by double digits! Love the home dog value here. When coach Gundy is off a loss he has only lost the money ATS 5 times the last 20 games. Also, the Cowboys have covered 9 of last 11 ATS as an underdog in conference action. 10* OKLAHOMA STATE +6 |
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10-21-22 | BC v. Edmonton Elks +7 | Top | 31-14 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 11 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play Edmonton Elks +7 vs BC Lions @ 9:30 ET - BC is off big win versus Winnipeg last week. But the Lions scored 40 points on only 266 yards of offense! The key was 2 Blue Bombers interceptions and they also turned the ball over once on downs. BC clinched a playoff spot with that win but they actually were outgained by over 100 yards in that game. The Lions are still motivated to win this game because of playoff hosting scenarios, etc. But the Elks have not won at home all season long and this is their season finale. Edmonton really wants this game badly after falling just short when they hosted Toronto last week. The yardage was roughly equal in that game and the Elks are even hungrier this week as a result of falling just short against the Argonauts. Perhaps the hosts will indeed finish the season with an 0-9 record at home but I do see them getting at least a cover here and certainly would not be surprised to see the outright upset given the situation as the Lions are over-rated here plus could be a little flat in this game after knocking off the top team in the league last week. 10* EDMONTON +7 |
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10-20-22 | Bucks v. 76ers -4 | 90-88 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
NBA Thursday 8* Philadelphia 76ers -4 vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 7:30 ET - 76ers lost their season opener at Boston because the Celtics shot a robust 56% from the field! Look for Philly to be much better on the defensive end here at home and off a loss and plus they catch the Bucks playing their first game of the season. Milwaukee could be a little slow out of the gate this season and adding to the slowness is the fact that Middleton and Connaughton both going to miss some time early this season. The Sixers will take advantage here and are in bounce back mode here. Also, though Milwaukee has mostly still had the 76ers number, Philly has not forgotten when Giannis Antetokounmpo sat down in the middle of the Philadelphia court after knocking down a clutch basket in OT. Yes that was the season before last but Philly does not forget. The Bucks have mostly still had Philly's number since then but with Giannis Antetokounmpo playing this one without a couple of key Milwaukee teammates! He and the Bucks will get no mercy from the Sixers here that is for sure and that is why I am not hesitating in laying the points here. 8* PHILADELPHIA -4 |
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10-18-22 | 76ers +2.5 v. Celtics | 117-126 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 1 m | Show | |
NBA Tuesday 8* Philadelphia 76ers +2.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 7:30 ET - This rivalry goes way back and, in fact, these teams have met 457 times heading into this season opener. Why I am mentioning the 457? Because that 457th meeting was the biggest margin of victory ever for the Celtics over the Sixers and it happened in Philly. The 76ers got embarrassed on their home court by a score of 135 to 87. This game today will mean a little something extra as a result as that was actually also one of the worst losses for the Sixers in their entire franchise history. That said, they will be seeking payback here and the last time these teams met in the post-season, Boston delivered a 4-game sweep. The Sixers have been trying to work their way back to being one of the NBA's best teams and they have been getting there for sure. I like the way this roster has been built and the chemistry this team has now. Look for Philly to step up big in this one. 8* PHILADELPHIA +2.5 |
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10-16-22 | Cowboys v. Eagles -6 | Top | 17-26 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Eagles -6 or -6.5 vs Dallas Cowboys @ 8:20 ET - The Cowboys are expected to again be without QB Dak Prescott. Even though QB Cooper Rush has been a solid game manager for Dallas so far this season, the Cowboys still have an offense that ranks as one of the worst in the NFL. They are fortunate to be 4-1 this season. The Eagles are NOT fortunate to be 5-0 this season. They have dominated for long stretches in games and are fully deserving of their undefeated record. They have one of the most balanced offensive attacks in the league and a solid defense that ranks well against both the run and the pass. The Cowboys are lacking a bit in terms of run defense and the Eagles had the #1 rushing attack last season and are again near the top of the league so far this season. Philly has hopes of getting to the Super Bowl this season but, until then, this is their Super Bowl. Indeed the Eagles, and the entire city of Philadelphia hates the Cowboys more than any other team in the NFL. They want revenge here for the fact they have lost 3 straight to Dallas by an average margin of 22 points per game. Keep in mind, last year's ugly loss to the Cowboys in Philly was after the Eagles clinched playoffs so they weren't playing for anything. This time they are playing for plenty and Philadelphia is 6-0 / 100% ATS the last 6 times they have been a home favorite. Dallas beat the Rams last week but were very fortunate as they were outgained by 100 yards. Now they go from the west coast to the east coast for this one and the Philly fans will be rabid for this one. What a time in Philly for the fans. Phillies going to NLCS, Flyers have started season 2-0 under new head coach, Sixers again considered an NBA title contender coming into season, and the Eagles are the only undefeated team in the NFL. I only mention that because the passion and energy of the crowd tonight will perhaps be about the highest level you will have ever seen in a regular season NFL game in Philadelphia. I am 100% serious about that and you have the hated Cowboys in town and the Eagles currently firing on all cylinders and the likely QB match-up is early season MVP candidate Jalen Hurts over Cowboys QB Cooper Rush. I am not disrespecting Rush but just saying he was undrafted out of Central Michigan. The Eagles Hurts was a star at Alabama and Oklahoma - traditionally two of the best programs in College Football. Again, I respect what Rush has done with the Cowboys as a game manager but this will be his toughest test yet and if Prescott does play I would expect plenty of rust. Dak was very limited in practice and I really think they are going to wait on him and let the thumb heal more. 10* PHILADELPHIA -6 or -6.5 |
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10-16-22 | Yankees v. Guardians +1.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 58 m | Show |
Sunday MLB 10* Top Play Cleveland Guardians Run Line +1.5 -115 vs New York Yankees @ 7:07 ET - All the momentum and the home field edge with Guardians here. Each and every season it seems Yankees find a way to disappoint their huge fan base. They had a great regular season but they have now had B2B gut-wrenching losses! They lost 4-2 in Game 2 in New York in 10 innings. Then they took a 5-3 lead to bottom of 9th yesterday at Cleveland but still lost. I know Cole is a fantastic pitcher but Cleveland had a few chances in that Game One 4-1 loss and I feel they will be even better here against him. The Guardians confidence is sky high right now and of course now they get Cole at home. I also expect Quantrill to be even better here because he is at home for this one. He was 9-0 with a 3.28 ERA in the regular season in home starts! Cole had a solid, yet modest, 3.81 ERA in road outings this season. Also, he allowed 14 runs (13 earned) and 7 homers over his last 4 road starts and those outings averaged only 5 and 2/3 per start. Anyway I am going with action on pitchers as the Guardians wrapped up the regular season on a 24-6 run and 2 of those 6 losses were by just 1 run so I like the very strong odds on at least a run line cover though I do feel Cleveland will win outright here to advance to ALCS. Guardians already 3-0 in home games in this post-season. 10* CLEVELAND run line +1.5 -115 |
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10-16-22 | Vikings v. Dolphins +3 | 24-16 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
NFL Sunday 8* Miami Dolphins +3 vs Minnesota Vikings @ 1 ET - I am a contrarian and it is something that has served me well in the NFL through the years. In this case, the Vikings have been rolling and this line has flipped from Miami being a small favorite to Minnesota being now favored by a field goal on game day. Now of course part of the reason for the move is that Tagovailoa is still out for this game and Bridgewater is expected to only be the back-up for this game. That means Skylar Thompson gets the start. What everyone is looking at with him is that he struggled last week on the road but I want to mention a couple of key factors with him. This guy had a phenomenal preseason and, even though that is only preseason, it still shows he can move a team down the field. Now this week he got full reps with the first string all week long and will be fully prepared for this start here and this is a home start. Keep in mind, he played his college career at Kansas State which means he faced some tough teams during his college career. This is not some guy coming out of a small college where you have concerns about the level of competition. I really like Thompson to surprise in this game and feel we have phenomenal value here with the home dog. If this game was at Minnesota, no I would not play it. But this is an entirely different situation. On that note, Dolphins on a 9-3 ATS run as a home dog. Overall, Miami on a 10-4 ATS run entering this one and Vikings on a 2-6 ATS run entering this one. Dolphins also have covered 8 of last 12 versus NFC foes. 8* MIAMI +3 |
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10-15-22 | Oklahoma State +4 v. TCU | Top | 40-43 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play Oklahoma State Cowboys +4 @ TCU Horned Frogs @ 3:30 ET - The whole world seems to be lining up on TCU in this revenge spot here. Revenge is over-played for sure in sports! It is a factor for sure but it is often over-valued. The result is you often can get value on the other side by playing against the revenging team. This is one of those cases. You don't think Oklahoma State is motivated too? Remember both these teams come in undefeated. The Cowboys want to stay that way just as bad as the Horned Frogs do. Also, the last 6 times that OSU has been in a game where both they and their opponent were ranked the Cowboys have won 5 of the 6 games and, keep in mind, we're getting 4 points to work with here too! I love the line value in this one because both defenses, deservedly, are much maligned BUT the Cowboys lead the Big 12 with 3.2 sacks per game. Also, Oklahoma State is leading the NATION (FBS) in tackles for a loss with 10.2 per game. So look for both teams to certainly enjoy some success on offense in this one but look for OSU to be the team making the key defensive plays that will be the difference in this game. Last, but certainly not least, note that Spencer Sanders rates the QB edge over Max Duggan in this game. I know both have strong career numbers and Duggan is also having a strong season again but how did he lose the starting job to Chandler Morris coming into this season. The coach saw something there, right? The only reason Duggan is back in there is Morris got hurt. Now I am most definitely NOT saying Duggan is not a good QB, I am just saying that there is a reason all that transpired and now, in the biggest of games, who would you rather be counting on? Sanders or Duggan? To me we have big edges in this game. 10* OKLAHOMA STATE +4 |
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10-15-22 | NC State +3 v. Syracuse | 9-24 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
CFB Saturday 8* NC State Wolfpack +3 @ Syracuse Orange @ 3:30 ET - Like the fact that the Wolfpack already have a loss and that it came against a powerful Clemson team. I also like the fact they have a bye week on deck. Conversely, the Orange are undefeated but most of their schedule has been weak. I know Syracuse is off a bye week but they have a huge game at that same Clemson team on deck! The Orange two toughest games recently have been versus Purdue and Virginia. They hung on for the win in each but each were by 3 or less points. I like the fact we are getting the full field goal here and I love the scheduling situation. Yes the Orange will be focused her but they can't help but to be thinking "if we can just win this then we face Clemson as an undefeated team". I think Syracuse gets caught over-thinking it whereas this very strong NC State team already has that first blemish as noted above. So you have a situation where the Wolfpack are playing with less pressure and after their bye week they have a lousy Virginia Tech team on deck. So this means that NC State is fully focused here and I look for the Orange to finally get "peeled" for the first time this season! 8* NC State +3 |
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10-14-22 | Hamilton +7.5 v. Calgary | Top | 35-32 | Win | 100 | 17 h 28 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats +7.5 @ Calgary Stampeders @ 9:30 ET - Just too many points here. Yes, this game holds importance for the Stampeders too but the Tiger-Cats are fighting for their playoff lives. They are chasing Saskatchewan who is idle this week and Hamilton can tie them up in the standings with a win here. The Roughriders also have the tougher end to their season with their final 2 games in comparison with the Ti-Cats. Now, I am not saying that means Hamilton wins this game outright but I am saying they are going hard for it and they are healthier than they have been in quite some time. I look for them to give Calgary all they can handle here and this game will end up being decided by just a one-score margin in my opinion. Yes the Stamps are off a bye week that was preceded by a 29-2 win over Toronto but that final score in the victory over the Argonauts did not correlate to the boxscore so don't let the final score fool you. We are getting line value here because of that final score and this one will go down to the wire in my opinion so huge value with the points. QB Dane Evans off a bad game for the Tiger-Cats but yet they still got the comeback win over the Riders last week so that says a lot too. Evans had been playing better so I look for a big bounce back here. 10* HAMILTON +7.5 |
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10-13-22 | Temple v. Central Florida -23 | 13-70 | Win | 100 | 19 h 49 m | Show | |
CFB Thursday 8* Central Florida Knights -23 vs Temple Owls @ 7 ET - This line was as high as 28 but is now down to 23 and I love fading line moves. The fact is the Owls just can not score points. They are 2-3 this season but the 2 wins were against a bad FCS team (Lafayette - PA) and an annually horrible FBS team (Massachusetts). You can practically throw the stats from those 2 games out the window. In their other 3 games, all losses, Temple has scored an average of just 6 points per game! I know it looks like they held Memphis in check in their 24-3 loss before a bye week last week. However, the Tigers had a big game on deck versus the Cougars and they were sleepwalking through the first half before they woke up and dominated the 2nd half. With UCF at home and off a big 2nd half versus SMU last week, I don't think we'll see sleepwalking here. Look for the Knights to be ready from the opening kick and they should win this one in a blowout. Of course Central Florida is going to win this game SU and that is worth noting as the Knights are scoring an average of 41 points per game in their 4 victories. So if Temple hits their average here of 6 points or even if fortunate enough to reach their highest point total (14) they have had in any loss this season, that still puts UCF with an ATS win even if the Knights just hit their scoring average. But truly this looks like a game that the Knights should even score closer to 50 than 40. Blowout time! 8* Central Florida -23 |
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10-12-22 | Padres +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 54 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play San Diego Padres +1.5 -130 @ Los Angeles Dodgers @ 8:37 ET - Action on pitchers. Of course the Dodgers are a great team and Kershaw is a fantastic pitcher. However, Darvish is a solid pitcher in his own right and he is off the great start versus the Mets which is part of the reason San Diego advanced to this NLDS. Darvish also had some solid outings versus the Dodgers this season and I expect another solid outing from him here. I like the Padres no matter the starting pitchers here as I am looking for a big bounce back here. In last night's loss San Diego did have more hits than Los Angeles but the difference in the 5-3 loss was LA went 3 for 8 with runners in scoring position while San Diego went 0 for 4 with runners in scoring position. Dodgers actually were on a 5-6 run last 11 home games prior to last night's win. In fact, in last dozen home games prior to last night's win only 5 of the 12 games were Dodgers wins by 2 or more runs. Like the value of the +1.5 with San Diego in this one. Prior to an ugly regular season loss in their season finale, the Padres were on an 11-6 run in which only 2 of the 6 losses were by more than a single run. That means that at +1.5 runs San Diego was 15-2 in those 17 games. This is going to be another tight game tonight and the +1.5 runs could prove invaluable in this one but an outright upset for the road team also would not surprise me in the least here. 10* SAN DIEGO +1.5 |
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10-12-22 | UL-Lafayette v. Marshall -10 | 23-13 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 32 m | Show | |
CFB Wednesday 8* Marshall Thundering Herd -10 vs UL-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns @ 7:30 ET - Both teams have been solid defensively but have struggled offensively. However, the more I dug into this match-up it is a game in which the home team has a much better shot at getting the offense going. The Thundering Herd are at home and have the better weapons on offense. I also like the revenge aspect here as Marshall lost to Louisiana in their bowl match-up last year in December. Both teams did not play on Saturday of course because of this being a Wednesday game. Look for the Thundering Herd to benefit more from the time off as they have the better coaching and will be very prepared for this home game after some recent disappointment. This is a Marshall team that was able to rise up and beat Notre Dame earlier this season. The Thundering Herd were a 3 TD underdog in that one so it shows what this team is capable of. The Ragin Cajuns were favored by double digits in each of their two road games this season and yet lost both outright against weaker competition. I think this is the right spot for the Thundering Herd to have one of their best games of the season and for the Louisiana road struggles to again be a major issue. 8* MARSHALL -10 |
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10-11-22 | Phillies +1.5 v. Braves | Top | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
MLB Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line +1.5 -130 @ Atlanta Braves @ 1:07 ET - Phillies have a great shot at stealing Game 1 of this series but, even if they do not, a 1-run loss would be the most likely type of defeat they suffer. Suarez was great against the Braves late in the season. In his last 3 starts against them he allowed a total of only 1 earned run. As for Fried, in his last 3 starts against the Phillies this season he allowed a total of 6 earned runs. The Atlanta lefty allowed 9 hits in 6 innings in one of those starts and allowed 2 homers in another one of the starts versus Philadelphia. Regardless of the starting pitching match-up here, I like the fact the Phillies are rolling with confidence right now after their big comeback win in Game 1 of the Cardinals series and then getting a shutout win in Game 2 at St Louis. Could the time off for Braves hurt them here? They have, of course, not played a game in nearly a week. Of Atlanta's last 15 games of the regular season only 6 (40%) were wins by 2 or more runs. 10* PHILADELPHIA +1.5 -130 |
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10-09-22 | Cowboys v. Rams -5 | Top | 22-10 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Los Angeles Rams -5 vs Dallas Cowboys @ 4:25 ET - This is a contrarian play so this write-up will be rather short. Everyone will want the Cowboys here as they have 3 straight and plus they catch the Rams on a short week off Monday Night Football at San Francisco. Also, everyone has watched LA struggle versus Buffalo and the 49ers in primetime games. So again, the favoritism has been toward Dallas here which is why the line has moved their way. Let us not forget however, the Rams did not even leave the state of California for the Monday Night Game. They also are angry off that loss. Dallas is off B2B divisional wins and has huge divisional game against currently undefeated Eagles in Philly on deck. The Cowboys also traveling west for this one which often does not go well for them. I know Stafford is having a rough start to the season and the offensive line struggled badly against the Niners last week. But I am here to tell you that Los Angeles is going to dig deep for this game and Prescott is still not coming back for this game. It is still Cooper Rush at QB. No offense to Rush but I don't think the Bengals are very good this season and the Commanders certainly are not and the Giants are a team that has not won more than 6 games in about 6 years. So he is going to get tested by an angry Rams defense in this one. I look for LA to really come together strong for this one and get a convincing win. The numbers and trends and stats will not support that. But the NFL is about much more than what people perceive from those things. Rams step up big here and still are well-coached and they do not want to drop below .500 on the season. Look for them to pull away as this game goes on. 10* LOS ANGELES RAMS -5 |
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10-09-22 | Seahawks v. Saints -4.5 | 32-39 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
NFL Sunday 8* New Orleans Saints -4.5 vs Seattle Seahawks @ 1 ET - This Seahawks is one of the worst teams in the league. They have a horrid defense. I know this team is 2-2 this season but they never should have beaten the Broncos in week 1 as anyone who watched the game knows. It was a fluke win. Then they lost their next two games by a combined score 54 to 30. Then last week they did get the win but allowed 45 points. This Saints team can play defense. Also, Dalton looked solid at QB last week in the loss at London versus Vikings. Dalton played just fine and now New Orleans gets RB Kamara back this week. Also they have a rookie WR who has been excelling and showed good chemistry with Dalton last week and that helps alleviate the concern of WR Michael Thomas again being out this week. Better defense, at home and off a loss and note Seahawks allowing an average of 36 points per game in road games this season and playing the 2nd game of a B2B away from Seattle. Saints have had only one home game and it was against a tough Bucs team. They are going to take advantage of their first home game against a weak foe and then they win this convincingly. 8* NEW ORLEANS -4.5 |
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10-09-22 | Giants v. Packers -8 | 27-22 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
NFL Sunday 8* Green Bay Packers -8 vs New York Giants @ 9:30 AM ET (London) - The Packers outgained the Patriots by 162 yards last week. Yes was OT win but Green Bay was better than final score indicated. The Pack, based on yardage stats, the better team on both sides of the ball in comparison with the Giants. I know New York has a good record so far this season but I feel a regression is coming. Lets not forget the Giants have not won more than 6 games in a season in many years. New York has been fortunate to win some tight games this season but this one unlikely to be tight. Green Bay just too much for New York. The Giants toughest match-up this season, based on current records, was Dallas and they lost to Cowboys despite being at home and despite the Boys being without Prescott at QB. The Packers, in my opinion, have faced the tougher schedule including Vikings and Buccaneers. Green Bay is a team many consider to be a threat for the Super Bowl this season. The Giants are not expected to be a playoff team and the Packers also have the edge in pass protection here. Look for the favorite to pull away as this game goes on and win this by double digits. 8* GREEN BAY -8 |
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10-08-22 | Iowa +4 v. Illinois | Top | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
Saturday CFB 10* Top Play Iowa Hawkeyes +4 @ Illinois @ 7:30 ET - Love this spot for an underdog upset but happy to grab the points here too. Illinois just won their Game of the Year. The reason I say that is their head coach, Brett Bielema used to coach the Badgers. The Illini just went to Madison last week and beat Wisconsin convincingly on their home turf. Now watch this over-rated Illini bunch come out flat as a pancake for this game. First off, give credit for the win over Wiscy but Badgers nowhere near the team they use to be. Then look at who else this Illinois team has played this season. Wyoming is bad this season, Virginia is bad this season, the Indiana team that the Illini lost to just lost B2B games to Cincy and Nebraska by a combined score of 80 to 45. The other win Illinois has was over an FCS school. Now, I do know that Iowa is off a tough physical battle with Michigan last week. But I also know the Hawkeyes have a bye week on deck and they will go all out here coming off a loss. There is no quit in this physical Iowa team and they will be inspired to go hard for the win in conference action. They did throw for over 200 yards against the Wolverines in a game in which the stats were nearly equal. That is impressive as Michigan is one of the top teams in the country. Look for the Hawkeyes to be able to run and pass better than you would expect against this over-rated Illini defense that could come out flat here too. Iowa hungry off a loss and lets not forget the allowed an average of only 6 points per game first 4 games! That did include a 3 point loss to a solid Iowa State team. The Hawkeyes have only lost once in last 14 meetings with Illini and that includes 8-0 SU last 8. I fully expect that streak to reach 9 here but am happy to take the 4 points as added insurance too. 10* IOWA +4 |
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10-08-22 | North Carolina v. Miami-FL -3.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
Saturday CFB 10* Top Play Miami Hurricanes -3.5 vs North Carolina @ 4 ET - Remember when everyone was so down on Notre Dame earlier this season? You might be asking what that has to do with this play but, quite a lot actually, and I will explain. The Fighting Irish were on an 0-2 ATS run and 1-2 SU run and off a non-covering win versus Cal after an embarrassing loss to Marshall. Their next game was AT this North Carolina team. Even at Chapel Hill, the Tar Heels got embarrassed. The game was 38-20 entering the 4th quarter and, for the game the Irish outgained UNC 576 to 367. Keep in mind the game was 38-14 before UNC gained 230 yards and scored 18 points over the final 20 minutes of the game after it was already out of hand. The point is that the Tar Heels had one test this season and they failed miserably. Now they are on the road and facing a similar foe. This Hurricanes team is angry and off a bye week. Miami should have beat Texas A & M a few weeks ago - we had the Canes there and they dominated everything but the scoreboard. Then, after that demoralizing loss, Miami came out flat and lost to Middle Tennessee State two weeks ago as a big favorite. Then the bye week last week and now you have an angry Hurricanes team that, by the way, is playing their first ACC game of the season. They are the only team in ACC without a conference game yet. They can still, in theory, go undefeated in ACC. Of course I am not saying they will but the point is that this is the ideal perfect fresh start situation for Miami. Similar to Notre Dame, this Hurricanes defense will give the Tar Heels offense some trouble. As for the UNC defense, it is atrocious and will not be able to stop Miami. The Heels just dominated Virginia Tech but the Hokies are a very bad football team this season. Prior to that, UNC had allowed 40 points per game this season! The Hurricanes open up their ACC season with a big win here as the situation, the home field, and the much better defense all add up to a huge win. 10* MIAMI -3.5 |
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10-07-22 | Saskatchewan v. Hamilton -2 | Top | 14-18 | Win | 100 | 32 h 4 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats -2 vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 7:30 ET - The Tiger-Cats are off a bye week. That was preceded by a loss at Montreal but they outgained the Alouettes in that game but turned the ball over twice - once on downs and once on a fumble. Prior to that loss they had a big home win over a strong Winnipeg team. That victory brought Hamilton to 4-1 last 5 home games. Conversely, this Roughriders team is on a 4-game losing streak. I know Saskatchewan is trying to make the playoffs but the Ti-Cats still have hope too and the Riders are known for being a bad road team. We have solid line value here with the home team at a short number and I am looking for another strong game from Tiger-Cats QB Dane Evans as he has been in fine form recently. 10* HAMILTON -2 |
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10-07-22 | Nebraska -3 v. Rutgers | Top | 14-13 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 29 m | Show |
CFB Friday 10* Top Play Nebraska Cornhuskers -3 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights @ 7 ET - Rutgers has lost 20 straight Big Ten home games and Nebraska is favored by only 3 points. There is your write-up. All kidding aside the fact is we certainly have history on our side here and I also like the fact that the Scarlet Knights have a big mess at the QB spot. I know they had some good defensive numbers before facing Ohio State last week and most certainly the Cornhuskers are nowhere close to the level of the Buckeyes. However, Rutgers played bad teams in the form of Boston College, Wagner, Temple and also an Iowa team known for its defense not its offense. The point is that the Scarlet Knights defense will be challenged a bit by a pretty solid Nebraska offense here. The other key is that the Huskers defense woke up after the firing of their defensive coordinator and they played very strong against Indiana last week. I know this is a road game on the east coast and it is hard to trust the Cornhuskers on the road but I feel strongly that last week's game against the Hoosiers is a sign of things to come. Also, how can anyone trust a Rutgers team that has lost 20 straight home games in conference action and that has a messed up quarterback situation with injuries, etc? I sure can not! Go Big Red! 10* NEBRASKA -3 |
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10-03-22 | Rams +2 v. 49ers | Top | 9-24 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 25 m | Show |
NFL Monday 10* Top Play Los Angeles Rams +1.5 or +2 @ San Francisco 49ers @ 8:15 ET - Motivation is so important when professional players are paid many millions to play the sport they love. Guys still sometimes don't have it. They come to the game not fully prepared mentally and they pay for it. That is what happened when the defending Super Bowl Champs opened the season against the Bills and got thoroughly embarrassed on national TV with the whole world watching. Los Angeles got caught still celebrating the Super Bowl victory and thinking a little too much of themselves entering the new season. What does that have to do with this game you might ask? A helluva lot! This is the Rams first chance since then to redeem themselves on the big stage. No one likes to be embarrassed. This is Monday Night Football. It is a division rival. The defending champs will bring their "A game". Now I am not here to tell you this Rams team is as good as last year because they are not. However, they are still better than the 49ers. Yes San Francisco has a great defense but the Rams have a solid defense too, to say the least. Also, LA is particularly strong against the run and the Niners are not a good passing attack (as per usual). So this is where the final key comes in. Rams QB Stafford and the overall LA passing attack ranks the edge over the Niners in that department for sure AND it was Stafford that got embarrassed too with a rough game against Buffalo on opening night. Redemption time here and I know some will point to the revenge angle here for Niners from last year's playoff loss. But these teams just plain don't like each other AND the Rams had actually lost 6 IN A ROW to the Niners before that playoff win. So there is still some payback to be served here and SF has scored less points this season than LA has the past two weeks. Stafford stats the past two weeks are 45 of 61 for 521 yards and 3 td vs 2 int. Garoppolo only 31 of 50 for just 365 yards with 2 td vs 1 int. Also Jimmy G got sacked 4 times last week. Stafford just once each of past two weeks. The Rams ability to move the ball better through the air is the difference in this game. The motivation because of getting drilled on opening night of season on national TV is the other as they show the world the Rams are still a force to be reckoned with by delivering a Monday night bounce back and improve to 3-1 while trying to bury the rival Niners and knock them down to 1-3 on the young season. 10* LOS ANGELES RAMS +1.5 or +2 |
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10-03-22 | Universitatea Cluj v. Botosani | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 8* FC Botosani Goal Line PK +100 vs Universitatea Cluj @ 11 AM ET - FC Botosani will respond here on their home pitch after getting drilled 7-0 on the road in their most recent match. To put that in proper perspective as to how bad that loss was, their opponent today has scored only 7 goals this entire season in 11 matches! Indeed, Universitatea Cluj is the lowest-scoring team in the league this season and I am very comfortable with the goal line in this one. It means Universitatea Cluj has to win the match for us to lose our bet. A draw here and we get our money back. Note that Universitatea Cluj has only won 2 matches in their 11 so far this season. As for FC Botosani, prior to last week's ugly loss their goal differential was 0 as they had 9 for and 9 against and they had only 3 losses in 9 matches at that time on the season. The hosts are sure to respond this week! 8* FC Botosani |
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10-02-22 | Broncos +3 v. Raiders | Top | 23-32 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Denver Broncos +2.5 or +3 @ Las Vegas Raiders @ 4:25 ET - The betting markets still don't believe in Denver. The Broncos should be 3-0 this season already. They absolutely dominated the Seahawks in Week 1 but were handed a tough loss despite a massive yardage edge. The Raiders, on the other hand, continue to get the respect of the markets despite being 0-3 on the season. They were chasing for the entirety of the game at Tennessee last week as they got down to the Titans and that had to try to battle back but it was too little too late. It takes awhile for a new coach, Josh McDaniels, to get his team all on the same page and Las Vegas is now 0-3 both SU and ATS this season. I know the Broncos have not scored well this season but this offense can still produce and has Russell Wilson at the controls. Their offense is also more well-balanced than a Raiders offense that relies so heavily on the pass. Also, the Broncos are, without question, the much tougher defense. That sets this one up well for an upset victory but I am happy to grab the 2.5 or 3 points being offered in this one as of very early Sunday morning. Another key for me here is that the Broncos have lost 4 straight in this series. They want this game and they have the QB now, in Wilson, to get the job done and lead them to victory on the road here. Raiders have failed to cover 7 of the last 10 times they have been a home favorite. 10* DENVER +2.5 or +3 |
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10-02-22 | Phillies -1.5 v. Nationals | Top | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
MLB Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -135 @ Washington Nationals @ 1:35 ET - Action on pitchers. The expected pitching match-up certainly favors the Phillies in a big way but there is also no getting around the fact that Philly has huge overall team edges in this match-up with Washington. They did drop Game 1 of yesterday's double-header but bounced back with a big win in Game 2. The Nationals are a horrible 17-55 in divisional games this season. The Phillies are 52-28 against teams with a losing record this season. Also, they are 27-17 against left-handed starters and the expected starter here is Corbin for the Nationals. He has had absolutely no success this season against the Phillies and been hit very hard in all 3 outings against them. The Nationals are going to struggle against Phillies expected starter Wheeler. He looks great since returning to the rotation and when he is on like this he is tough to beat. Also he dominated Washington in his only start against them this season. More of the same expected here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -135 |
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10-02-22 | Jaguars v. Eagles -6.5 | 21-29 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
NFL Sunday 8* Philadelphia Eagles -6.5 vs Jacksonville Jaguars @ 1 ET - Coming into this season the Jaguars were expected to notch about 6 wins and the Eagles about 10 wins. Now with the Jags off to a surprising start the betting markets have over-reacted and you have this game priced in a way that indicates Eagles would only be favored by a FG over Jacksonville on a neutral field. I am not buying it! This Eagles team is for real and was forecast to reach double digits in wins for a reason. Jalen Hurts put in a lot of off-season work and it has paid major dividends for him and for these Eagles. Now they are at home and laying less than 7 against a Jags team that is a perennial loser. I am not saying the Jaguars with Lawrence at QB and Pederson at head coach deserve respect. They absolutely do merit respect. But they are still not the same talent level right now as this Eagles team. Philly has a game out West at Arizona after this. They know they must make the most of this home game. They got 9 QB sacks last week. The Jags have been great in pass protection so far but this is a different animal they are facing this week! Also, remember all the turnovers the Eagles generated in their only other home game this season versus the Vikings! Jacksonville has covered just 3 of last 11 overall and 3 of last 11 when in road dog role too. Also, Jaguars incredible 4-30 ATS against NFC teams long-term. The Eagles have covered 5 in a row as a home favorite and I love the line value here. 8* PHILADELPHIA -6.5 |
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10-02-22 | Vikings v. Saints +3.5 | 28-25 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
NFL Sunday 8* New Orleans Saints +3.5 vs Minnesota Vikings @ 9:30 AM ET in London - I am well aware of the QB situation for the Saints but with Winston having some turnover issues the fact that Dalton and Hill will be the QB options for New Orleans here may not be such a bad thing. Also, the Saints outgained the Panthers substantially last week at Carolina including by nearly 200 yards through the air but they were done in by turnovers. The Vikings hung on to beat Detroit last week but they did lose the stats battle there. Remember their last road game was at Philly and they got destroyed by the Eagles. I have a strong feeling the Saints win this one outright given all of the above. Statistically, they are the better team on both offense and defense so far this season but have been done in by turnovers. Watch Dalton and Hill both produce well for the Saints offense in this one. Grabbing the generous points here. 8* NEW ORLEANS +3.5 |
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10-01-22 | LSU -8 v. Auburn | Top | 21-17 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
CFB Saturday 10* Top Play LSU Tigers -8 @ Auburn @ 7 ET - Laying 8 points on the road when in a rivalry game with a history of home team dominance? Must be crazy, right? No, in this case it makes all the sense in the world. LSU has Jayden Daniels at QB and his lower back strain is a minor one and he left last week's game because it was a blowout moreso than it being an injury concern. As for Auburn, the QB situation is much different and is ultra concerning. They ended up being down to their 4th string QB last week and barely got a win versus Missouri last week. Auburn's TJ Finley is listed as doubtful but likely to miss this game and was unable to practice. With Zach Calzada now out for the season, that means Robby Ashford gets the call here. He has 1 TD and 2 INT so far this season and now faces the toughest defense yet. I do not expect this to go well for Auburn given their injury situation at QB and LSU is also 3-1 just like Auburn. But LSU comes in rolling off 3 straight wins and their only loss was by a single point in week 1. Auburn comes in struggling with a blowout loss to Penn State two weeks ago and a nail-biter win last week. LSU has double revenge for home loss last season in this match-up and for ugly loss here at Auburn two years ago. This one is going to go a lot different for sure. Road rout here. 10* LSU -8 |
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10-01-22 | Montreal v. Edmonton Elks +3.5 | Top | 25-18 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Edmonton Elks +3.5 vs Montreal Alouettes @ 4 ET - The Elks should win this outright but I am grabbing the value of the 3.5 points here. However, the fact is that Edmonton is hungry for their first home win of the season and this is the perfect spot to get it. The Elks catch Montreal off a big home win over Hamilton. That divisional win could leave them a little flat here plus Edmonton has the rest edge since they are off a bye week. Additionally, Edmonton has been playing better of late. Getting solid QB play from Cornelius and now they get a top WR back from injury this week too. Montreal, on the other hand, will still be without their star RB Stanback here. On defense the Elks also are fired up off a huge performance piling up sacks versus Saskatchewan two weeks ago. Now fresher legs off the bye and note the Als are 2-4 on the road this season while the hosts here have a sweet 3-1 record versus East Division teams this season. Lot to like with the home team in a great spot here. 10* EDMONTON +3.5 |
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10-01-22 | Oklahoma State +2.5 v. Baylor | 36-25 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
CFB Saturday 8* Oklahoma State Cowboys +2.5 @ Baylor Bears @ 3:30 ET - This is a tough spot for Baylor in my opinion. They started the season at home, then went all the way to Utah to face BYU, then home again, then north Iowa to face Iowa State, and now back home again. They face a talented Oklahoma State team that is coming off a bye week. Not only that, they have revenge on their minds from last year's Big 12 Championship Game loss to Baylor. They actually won the yardage battle by about 100 yards in that one but were done in by turnovers and they failed to win despite being favored by nearly a TD. That said, how do they do as a road dog? The last 7 times they have not lost the money a single time! One push and 6 covers as an away puppy and given they have the scheduling edge and the revenge, love the Cowboys in this spot. 8* OKLAHOMA STATE +2.5 |
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09-30-22 | Ottawa +7 v. BC | Top | 19-34 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 37 m | Show |
CFL Friday 10* Top Play Ottawa Redblacks +7 @ BC Lions @ 10:30 ET - Surprisingly, the Redblacks are 3-3 SU on the road this season which is nearly as good as the 4-3 home record that BC has. Both teams off bad losses last week but I think we have excellent value here with the big points with Ottawa. The Redblacks had 5 interceptions in last week's ugly home loss to Toronto so they managed to lose by 30 points despite having a yardage edge of 80 in the game! Unheard of variance between the scoreboard and the statsheet. That said, another key is that of course BC has been a different team since their star QB Nathan Rourke got hurt. This week they will be without one of their best wide receivers too as Bryan Burnham is out. He had been strong for the Lions in recent weeks so this certainly will further hurt a passing game that is not the same without Rourke at the controls. BC barely snuck by the Redblacks when these teams met in Ottawa and I am forecasting another tight game here which means the points are ultra-valuable in this one! 10* OTTAWA +7 |
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09-30-22 | Washington -2.5 v. UCLA | Top | 32-40 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 30 m | Show |
CFB Friday 10* Top Play Washington Huskies -2.5 @ UCLA Bruins @ 10:30 ET - I know the Huskies are certainly not known for being Pac-12 road warriors but they are every bit deserving of their #15 ranking on the season. On that note, UCLA is 0-12 SU the last 12 times they have faced a team that is ranked #15 or higher and many of those games were at home just like this one is. Also, the Bruins also lost all 12 of those games by at least 3 points. So, with us laying 2.5 points, this is indeed a 12-0 / 100% SPOT in favor of the Huskies! Look for that streak to reach 13 in a row here. The Bruins did beat a #16 LSU team last year so I do want to note that but this other streak has been triple checked and I like it a lot! UCLA known for struggling to seal the deal in the biggest games. What I really like here is the way former Indiana QB Pennix has thrived in Washington. This is his 5th year so he is loaded with experience. Thompson-Robinson certainly commands respect for the Bruins as well but I feel we have the better overall team in this match-up. The Huskies have faced tougher teams the past two weeks with games against Michigan State and Stanford. Those match-ups certainly tougher than the Bruins facing South Alabama and Colorado. The fact is the Buffaloes are one of the worst teams in the Pac-12 while the Jaguars are a Sun Belt team who, by the way, nearly had the Bruins beat here at UCLA in that match-up! The hosts had to rally to win the game in the 4th quarter. So UCLA won the game by 1 point in a game in which the yardage was nearly equal and in which the Bruins trailed by 8 points going to the 4th quarter. Huskies have faced the tougher schedule and have looked better in doing so. I know those games have been at home but the Huskies can win on the road too and they are loaded with confidence right now. 10* WASHINGTON -2.5 |
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09-28-22 | Phillies -1.5 v. Cubs | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 57 m | Show |
MLB Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -110 @ Chicago Cubs @ 7:40 ET - The Phillies off a tight 2-1 loss but should bounce back here. I am going with action on pitchers as I look for a Philadelphia bounce back either way but I will mention that the expected starters are Aaron Nola and Hayden Wesneski. Note that Nola has been dominant for much of this season and has a 2.08 ERA this month plus his road ERA is lower than his home ERA this year. As for Wesneski, I know he has impressive numbers for far but he struggled in his lone start against a better team, the Giants, while feasting on bad teams like the Reds and Pirates and a Rockies team that can not hit on the road. So the point is that he is due for a reality check here. His stuff is not overpowering and he had a rather high ERA in the minors this season. In other words, he is a little over-rated right now and the struggles will come in this game against a tough Phillies lineup. Philadelphia has had only one losing streak last longer than 3 games since the All Star Break. The Phillies have gone 4-1 the last 5 times they have entered a game on a 3-game losing streak. The visitors respond big here and win this by a multi-run margin. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -110 |
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09-26-22 | Cowboys +1 v. Giants | Top | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 19 h 7 m | Show |
NFL Monday 10* Top Play Dallas Cowboys +1 @ New York Giants @ 8:15 - It is hard to stay undefeated in the NFL for very long. This is the final game of week 3 and only the Dolphins in AFC and Eagles in NFC are 3-0 teams. The point is that the Giants have a chance here too as they are 2-0 but it shows you how odds are stacked against this happening considering there are 32 teams in the league and all but 3 of them have at least 1 loss on the year. Aside from the "odds factor" here, I am playing Dallas in this one because their defense really impressed in the week 2 win over the Bengals and I also liked what I saw from Cooper Rush at QB. Yes it has hurt the Cowboys that they are without QB Dak Prescott but they still are a very talented team that annually is a threat for double digit wins in recent years. Conversely, the Giants have annually been a threat for double digits losses for half a decade now. New York has played better than expected and is 2-0 to start the season but I still don't trust QB Daniel Jones. After a good rookie season he had nearly as many INTs as TDs the past two seasons combined. I know he is off to a good start this season but he is going to face a tough challenge here with the way Dallas can get after the QB. I expect the Cowboys to win this game in the trenches on both sides of the ball. Also, Cowboys have won 9 of last 10 games against Giants. Also, Dallas has covered 6 straight games in divisional action. The Cowboys, long-term, on a very strong ATS run and that opening game primetime embarrassing loss to Tampa Bay has them primed for a much better effort on the road in this primetime affair. They can know up the Giants for a tie for 2nd place in the division with a win here. Yes it is early in the season but you can bet the Cowboys are very hungry here while Giants dealing with a little extra pressure to remain unbeaten and they are at home and facing a nemesis and coming off B2B dramatic tight wins. 10* DALLAS +1 |
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09-25-22 | 49ers v. Broncos +2 | Top | 10-11 | Win | 100 | 16 h 25 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Denver Broncos +1.5 vs San Francisco 49ers @ 8:20 ET - The 49ers have a good defense no doubt but San Francisco has seen bad offenses so far this season. Bears one of worst offenses in league and that opening week game at Chicago was played in rainy conditions. Then in week 2 the Niners faced a bad Seahawks offense. Seattle, like Chicago, will likely end up being one of the worst teams in the league this season. Now I know what your thinking...the Broncos lost to that bad Seattle team in week 1. However, Denver outgained the Seahawks by 180 yards and that was simply a bad beat for people that backed them - just like I did win week 1. That was a Monday night game and a big one for Russell Wilson in his return to Seattle. So the Broncos QB and the entire Denver team had a bit of a lackluster effort against a bad Texans team ad playing playing on a short week last week. Trust me, they'll now be ready for this primetime affair and they are not getting nearly enough respect from the oddsmakers. The Broncos also have a good defense just like the Niners do. The difference is the 49ers lost QB Trey Lance to a season-ending injury and Jimmy G was the back-up for a reason. He gets the start again here and the SF offense just is not that good no matter who is at QB. The Broncos have the better weapons and they have the better QB in Wilson. Add it all up plus the home dog value here and I am all over this one! 10* DENVER +1.5 |
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09-25-22 | Chiefs v. Colts +5.5 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Indianapolis Colts +5.5 vs Kansas City Chiefs @ 1 ET - Being a contrarian in the NFL has served me very well through the years. I love this spot for the Colts. They just lost at Jacksonville in embarrassing 24-0 fashion. This was after an embarrassing tie at Houston in which they outgained the Texans by over 200 yards but still did not win the game. Now Indianapolis plays their first home game of the season and they are catching 5.5 points against a Chiefs team off a very lucky win. Kansas City got the non-covering win versus the Chargers last week but were outgained, even though at home, by nearly 100 yards! The Chiefs truly only won that game because of a 99-yard interception return that was essentially a 14-point swing on the scoreboard. Now we get line value this week as a result. The 2-0 Chiefs at the 0-2 Colts. Looks like a no-brainer, right? No, this is the NFL and "on any given Sunday" holds very true in many games each and every week. The Colts are much better than they have shown so far and the Chiefs piled up yardage against a bad Cardinals defense in week 1 but then struggled quite a bit against a real defense in the form of the Chargers last week. Keep in mind, statistically the Colts have been much better on both sides of the ball then the point totals show. Grab the home dog and I am expecting an outright upset here but will grab the points. 10* INDIANAPOLIS +5.5 |
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09-24-22 | Calgary +1 v. BC | Top | 25-11 | Win | 100 | 23 h 54 m | Show |
CFL Saturday 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders +1 @ BC Lions @ 10 PM ET - Yes the Lions managed to sneak past the Stampeders last week but it was in OT and BC still has not won a game in regulation time since week 11 and we are now in week 15. Calgary is 5-2 on the road this season and the only two losses away from home were at Winnipeg. Of course the Blue Bombers have been the best team in the league this season so no shame in those two defeats and one of the losses was by just a 2-point margin. The Stamps QB Maier had 3 touchdown passes last week while the Lions Adams did not have a single one. Yes, BC is a quality football team but they are not the same team without Rourke at QB. He was lost to a season-ending injury about a month ago and the Lions have struggled since then. After the Lions clawed their way to a tight OT victory last week at Calgary, look for the Stampeders to return the favor at BC! Note that the Stamps are 8-0 this season against teams not named Winnipeg or BC. The Lions have beaten them twice but by a total of just 3 points. There is a reason this game is priced at nearly a pick'em even though the Stampeders are on the road. This time the Stamps get over the hump and beat BC as I liked what I saw last week despite them falling just short on the scoreboard. Payback time in a key game for the visitors here. 10* CALGARY +1 |