Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-11-17 | Red Sox v. Yankees UNDER 9.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
40* AL EAST TOTAL NO BRAINER (Under 9.5) I'm expecting a playoff type atmosphere in New York when the Red Sox and Yankees continue their historic rivalry. Boston currently leads NY by 4.5-games in the AL East standings, so this is a massive series for the Yankees. This starting pitching matchup might not look like one that's going to lead to a low scoring game, but Red Sox starter Eduardo Rodriguez has seen the UNDER go 13-2 when his team is listed as a dog and a perfect 11-0 when his team is coming off 3 straight wins. UNDER is also 12-4 in Yankees 16 games against a winning team in the 2nd half of this season. Give me the UNDER 9.5! |
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08-05-17 | Brewers v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 105 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
50* MLB INTERLEAGUE TOTAL OF THE YEAR (Under 8.5) I don't see either offense doing much in this one. Milwaukee will give the rock to Zach Davies, who is a perfect 6-0 with a 2.80 ERA in 11 road starts this season. He's also throwing the best he has all year, posting a 1.25 ERA and 1.015 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Rays will give the ball to Alex Cobb. He's off a bad start, but that was on the road against the Astros. Nothing to get concerned about given how loaded that Houston lineup is. Prior to that he had allowed just 5 runs in his previous 4 starts and it was his first loss since the first week of July. I'll take my chances he bounces back here, as he owns a 2.58 ERA and 0.941 WHIP in 9 home starts. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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08-04-17 | Mariners v. Royals UNDER 8.5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Under 8.5) I look for both offenses to struggle to score in this one. This is no where close to the conditions you would expect for early August in KC, as temps are considerably cooler than normal. That makes this pitchers park that much harder to score. Seattle sends out one of the hottest starters in the game in James Paxton, who has a 0.45 ERA in his last 3 starts and has not allowed more than 2 earned run in 6 straight starts. Royals will send out Jason Hammel, who has also turned it on of late, posting a 3.32 ERA and very strong 0.947 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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07-29-17 | Diamondbacks v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | Top | 7-1 | Push | 0 | 20 h 26 m | Show |
50* NATIONAL LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE YEAR (Under 8) I easily cashed in on the UNDER in Friday's series opener between the Cardinals and Diamondbacks. I don't see either offense bouncing back with a good showing on Saturday, as we have another oustanding pitching matchup going. St Louis will send out Mike Leake, who after a rough stretch bounced back in a big way in his last outing, cooling off a Rockies offense that was on fire, limiting them to a mere 4 hits (no walks) over 7 shutout innings. Clearly he figured something out and I'll take my chances he carries it over to this outing, which is also at home. On the flip side, Arizona sends out ace Zach Greinke, who is 12-4 with a 2.92 ERA and 1.021 WHIP in 20 starts this season and owns a 2.25 ERA in his last 3 outings. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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07-25-17 | Red Sox v. Mariners UNDER 8 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 8) This game has a pitchers duel written all over it. Seattle will send out veteran ace Felix Hernandez, who has regained his dominant form and owns a 1.00 ERA over his last 3 starts. Last time out, he allowed just 1 run on 3 hits in 7 innings against the Yankees. Boston's offense is struggling, so he should be able to keep them in check. Red Sox counter with Drew Pomeranz, who has a 2.89 ERA in his last 3 starts and 1.00 ERA in 3 career outings against the Mariners. GIve me the UNDER 8! |
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07-21-17 | White Sox v. Royals OVER 10.5 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Over 10.5) You almost never see a total with the Royals in double-digits, regardless of how bad the starters are. The fact that tonight's total is 10.5 should tell you something. It all comes down the heat index expected to be at 103 when this game starts. The ball flys in these condidtions and pitchers fatigue quickly. We had almost identical conditions yesterday in KC as they combined for 20 runs with the Tigers and that was with arguably both teams starting their best starters in Fulmer and Duffy. Tonight it's James Shields and Ian Kennedy. Easy to see Shields getting exposed and while Kennedy has been solid of late, he is 0-4 with a 4.40 ERA in 8 home start. Give me the OVER 10.5! |
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07-19-17 | Rays v. A's UNDER 8 | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 25 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 8) Offense figures to be extremely hard to come by in this one. If you haven't had a chance to watch Tampa Bay rookie Jacob Faria, you are missing out. He's now 4-0 with a 2.00 ERA in 7 starts since being called up on 6/7. He's pitched at least 6 innigns in every outing and allowed 1 run or less in 5 of the 7, giving up 2 and 3 in the other two outings. Oakland has the red-hot Sonny Gray on the mound, who has been lights out of late. Gray has a 1.35 ERA over his last 3 starts, a stretch in which he's allowed a mere 7 hits and 4 walks over 20 innings of work. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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07-15-17 | Rangers v. Royals UNDER 9 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UNDER 9) These two teams combined for 8 runs and finished UNDER the total of 9.5 in yesterday's series opener. I expect an even lower scoring contest in Game 2. Texas will send out Cole Hamels, who really pitched well going into the break, allowing just 2 runs on 5 hits over his final two starts, which spanned an impressive 14 1/3 innings. KC will send out their ace in Danny Duffy, who had some tough luck going into the break, but all of that came on the road. Duffy owns a 2.75 ERA in 5 home starts all of which have finished UNDER the total. Give me the UNDER 9! |
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07-14-17 | Indians v. A's UNDER 8 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
40* MLB BLOCKBUSTER TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (Under 8) I’m not seeing a lot of offense being generated by either team in tonight’s game between the Indians and A’s. Cleveland sends out Carlos Carrasco, who has earned his paycheck with a 7-1 record and 2.38 ERA in 9 road starts this season. He will go up against Oakland ace Sonny Gray, who was dealing before the break with a 1.71 ERA and 0.619 WHIP in his final 3 starts. Offenses tend to be a bit sluggish out of the break and UNDER is 11-1 in Carrasco’s last 12 road starts when Indians are a favorite of -100 to -150. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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07-04-17 | Blue Jays v. Yankees UNDER 9.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UNDER 9.5) I was on the UNDER in yesterday's game and suffered a bad break and ended up pushing on the total of 9. The game was 2-1 going into the bottom of the 8th before the Yankees scored 4 to take a 6-1 lead. Still in good shape, the Yankees allowed the Blue Jays to score 2 runs in the top of the 9th. I like the value again here with the total and the UNDER in Tuesday's afternoon slate that has two more quality starters in great form going. Toronto sends out J.A. Happ who has a 2.75 ERA in his last 3 starts and New York counters with C.C. Sabathia, who has a 0.49 ERA and .764 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Give me the UNDER 9.5! |
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07-03-17 | Blue Jays v. Yankees UNDER 9 | Top | 3-6 | Push | 0 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
50* AL EAST TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 9) The books have set the mark too high here for Monday's series opener between the Yankees and Blue Jays. Toronto is sending out their most consistent starter in Marcus Stroman, who is coming off a great start against the Orioles, allowing just 5 hits over 7 2/3 shutout innings. Stroman owns a 2.91 ERA in 10 career starts against the Yankees and a 2.73 ERA in 10 starts in night games. Yankees will send out their ace Masahiro Tanaka, who has pitched very well in his last two starts, giving up just 2 runs on 9 hits with 14 strikeouts in 14 innings of work. I like his chances of keeping it going against a Toronto team in which he owns a 2.65 ERA in 11 starts against. Give me the UNDER 9! |
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07-02-17 | Nationals v. Cardinals UNDER 7.5 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 7.5) I don't see much offense taking place in this one. Two of the best starters in the game will sqaure off on Sunday Night Baseball, as the Cardinals Carlos Martinez takes on the Nationals Max Scherzer. Martinez has a 2.88 ERA on the season with a sensational 1.85 ERA in 8 home starts. Scherzer has a 2.06 ERA on the season, a 1.62 ERA in 9 road starts and 0.82 ERA in his last 3 starts. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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06-29-17 | Mets v. Marlins UNDER 9.5 | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
40* MLB TOTAL NO BRAINER (Under 9.5) UNDER here is worth a look, especially given it's almost 10 runs. The Marlins will send out one of the more underrated starters right now in Jose Urena. He's 6-2 with a 3.60 ERA in 10 starts, but owns a 3.00 ERA at home and is only getting better with a 1.50 ERA and 0.944 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Mets counter with Seth Lugo, who while he has struggled of late, owns a respectable 3.72 ERA and this Miami offense isn't one to put up a big number. THe Marlins are only scoring 4.4 runs/game at home. UNDER is also a perfect 9-0 in the Marlins last 9 home games when revenging a loss of 6 runs or more. Give me the UNDER 9.5! |
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06-28-17 | Cardinals v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
50* NL OVER/UNDER TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Over 9.5) I expect runs to come early and often here when the Diamondbacks host the Cardinals. St. Louis will give the ball to Adam Wainright, who has an atrocious 9.48 ERA and 1.914 WHIP in 7 road starts. In his last 2 road starts, he's allowed 9 earned runs in each. I just don't see him keeping this Arizona offense in check. The Dbacks are averaging 6.3 runs/game at home and have scored 12 runs on 20 hits over their last 2 games. St Louis is also on fire at the plate, as they have scored at least 5 runs (21 total) in each of their last 3 games. The ball flies out of Chase Field and these two should easily reach double-digits. Give me the OVER 9.5! |
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06-26-17 | Twins v. Red Sox UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
50* AL OVER/UNDER TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 8.5) Books have set the bar way too high on the total for Monday's clash between the Red Sox and Twins. Boston will send out Chris Sale, who has a 2.85 ERA and 0.904 WHIP in 15 starts, as well as a 2.45 ERA and 0.838 WHIP in 7 home starts. Minnesota will give the rock to Jose Berrios, who has been equally as effective as Sale, but just isn't the known commodity. Berrios is 7-1 with a 2.67 ERA and 0.907 WHIP in 8 starts. He's got a 2.84 ERA in 4 road outings and 2.53 ERA in his last 3. On top of the strong pitching matchup, both offenses are struggling right now. Red Sox are hitting just .252 over their last 7 games and Minnesota is even in their last 7 at .239. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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06-25-17 | Blue Jays v. Royals UNDER 9 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 27 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 9) I think we are getting a ton of value here on the UNDER at 9. The numbers don't look great on paper for today's starters, but both are trending in the right direction. Toronto's Francisco Liriano wasn't great in his last start, but it was on the road against a good Texas lineup. Liriano had been throwing it well prior to that in his 3 starts since returning from the DL. I like his chances of rebounding here against an average Royals lineup. On the flip side, KC sends out the surging Jason Hammel, who after a rough start has found his form. Hammel has a 1.74 ERA and 0.968 WHIP in his last 3 starts. I like his chances of keeping it rolling. Give me the UNDER 9! |
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06-22-17 | Angels v. Yankees OVER 9 | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Over 9) New York might eclipse this total on their own. The Yankees put up 8 runs in yesterday's contest and will be facing Angels starter Jesse Chavez, who owns a 6.27 ERA in 7 road starts. Keep in mind that New York on the season is averaging 6.5 runs/game at home. While the Yankees have a top notch starter going in Luis Severino, he allowed 4 runs in his last start and figures to give up at least 2 here, which should be more than enough to push us past the total. Give me the OVER 9! |
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06-20-17 | White Sox v. Twins UNDER 9.5 | 7-9 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER NO BRAINER (Under 9.5) I don't think either of these teams are going to be doing much offensively in this one. Minnesota sends out Ervin Santana, who is 8-4 with a 2.56 ERA and 0.947 WHIP in 14 starts. Santana is comign off a rough outing, where he allowed 5 runs on 9 hits in 5 innings to the Mariners. It was the 4th time that Santana has allowed 5 or more runs. In each of the previous 3 times, he came back in his next start and didn't allow a run, twice throwing a complete game shutout. White Sox are sending out Derek Holland, who has really pitched well outside of a couple outings. In his last 10 starts, he's given up 3 or fewer runs 8 times. He's catching the Twins at the right time, as Minnesota has totaled just 8 runs in their last 4 games combined. Give me the UNDER 9.5! |
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06-18-17 | Royals v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 8.5) I don't expect a lot of offense in the series finale this afternoon between the Royals and Angels. Kansas City will be sending out Jason Vargas, who has a 2.10 ERA in 13 starts with a 2.45 ERA in 6 road starts and 1.29 ERA in his last 3 outings. Los Angeles will send out J.C. Ramirez, who pitched well in his last outing and has given up 2 or less earned runs in 4 of his last 6 start. He's also facing a Royals offense that has gone cold the last two games, including a mere 2 hits in getting shutout yesterday. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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06-17-17 | Marlins v. Braves UNDER 9 | Top | 7-8 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
50* MLB NL EAST TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 9) This is simply too big of a number to pass up on the total and it staying under the mark given the matchup. These two combined for just 5 runs in the Marlins 5-0 win last night and the Braves managed just 4 hits. Keep in mind that just recently Atlanta went on a stretch where they scored 9 runs in 5 games, scoring exactly 1 run in 3 straight. When they struggle it can be ugly offensively. Jeff Locke of the Marlins is more than capable of keeping them in check. Atlanta will send out the vastly underrated Jaime Garcia, who has pitched much better than his 2-5 record would lead on. Garcia has a 3.16 ERA in 12 starts overall, 2.48 ERA in 4 starts at home and 2.08 ERA in his last 3 outings. Give me the UNDER 9! |
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06-16-17 | Cardinals v. Orioles OVER 9 | 11-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Over 9) I look for a lot of runs to be scored in tonight's matchup between the Cardinals and Orioles. St Louis is sending out Carlos Martinez, who just hasn't been able to make it click on the road. Martinez is 1-4 with a 5.10 ERA and 1.400 WHIP in 5 road starts. Baltimore should be able to put up a decent number here. St Louis also figures to score early and often. The Cardinals are red-hot right now with a .283 team average over their last 7 games. They will be facing the struggling Kevin Gausman, who has a 6.49 ERA in 14 starts and 7.63 ERA over his last 3 outings. Give me the OVER 9! |
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06-10-17 | Blue Jays v. Mariners UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
50* AMERICAN LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 8.5) I'll gladly take the UNDER at 8.5 in tonight's showdown between the Blue Jays and Mariners. This has the making of a great pitching matchup with Marcus Stroman of the Blue Jays against Ariel Miranda of the Mariners. Stroman is 4-0 with a 3.34 ERA in 5 road starts and Miranda is 3-1 with a 2.02 ERA in 5 home starts. Both of these pitched well against the opponent in an earlier series between these two teams in May. Stroman allowed just 2 runs in 6 innings, while Miranda gave up 1 run in 5 innings. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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06-06-17 | Marlins v. Cubs UNDER 7.5 | 2-10 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Under 7.5) The wind will be blowing straight in from left field at close to 15 mph and that's a good sign that the offenses are going to struggle in this one. I also think we have a great pitching matchup here with Miami's Jeff Locke facing off against the Cubs Jake Arrieta. Locke was senational in his first start of 2017, allowing just 1 run on 3 hits with 7 strikeouts in 5 2/3 innings against the Diamondbacks. Arrieta on the other hand is starting to show signs of returning to that Cy Young form, as he has a 2.50 ERA in his last 3 starts. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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06-05-17 | Giants v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Under 8.5) I just feel the books have completely missed the mark here with this total and there's just too much value on the under. The value is coming from the fact that Giants starter Jeff Samardzija is 1-7 with a 4.62 ERA in 11 starts. However, Samardzija has pitched much better than those numbers would suggest and comes in with a 2.84 ERA in his last 3 starts. Milwaukee counters with Junior Guerra, who I also feel is underrated. This guy went 9-3 with a 2.81 ERA in 20 starts last year and has a 1.84 ERA in 3 starts this season (didn't make a start from 4/4 to 5/25 because of injury). It's also no secret the Giants offense is far from potent and the Brewers haven't exactly been crushing the ball of late, scoring just 3.9 runs/game and hitting .213 as a team over their last 7 games. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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06-02-17 | Twins v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | 11-5 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Under 8.5) Without Trout in the lineup, it's going to be hard for the Angels to do a lot offensively and that's certainly been the case of late, as they have scored 3 or fewer in 4 of hteir last 5. So while Twins starter Kyle Gibson has some pretty poor numbers, this is an offense he can keep in check. As for Minnesota's offense, I don't see them doing much here either, as LA sends out J.C. Ramirez, who has a 2.67 ERA in 4 home starts and 1.74 ERA in his last 3 outings overall. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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05-31-17 | Brewers v. Mets UNDER 7.5 | 7-1 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Under 7.5) Two starters here that are throwing the ball extremely well and I believe it's going to be tough for either offense to get anything going in this one. Milwaukee will send out Junior Guerra, who was sharp in his first start back from the DL, allowing just 1 run on 3 hits in 5 2/3 innings against a good Arizona offense. Mets will send out Jacob deGrom, who has a 2.11 ERA and 1.078 WHIP in his last 3 starts and has a 2.19 ERA in 4 home starts. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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05-23-17 | Twins v. Orioles UNDER 9 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
40* MLB BLOCKBUSTER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (UNDER 9) I believe we are seeing a bit of an overreaction here on the total based on the poor outings by both of today's starters. Minnesota's Ervin Santana gave up 5 runs in his last start at home against the Rockies and Baltimore's Dylan Bundy allowed 6 runs at Detroit. Even with those poor performances, Santana has a 2.07 ERA in 9 starts and Bundy has a 2.97 ERA in 9 starts. That speaks volumes to how good both of these starters have been this year. Both of these guys also have a history of bouncing back after a poor start. Santana hasn't allowed more than 3 earned runs in consecutive starts over his last 27 outings and Bundy has not allowed more than 3 earned runs in his young career as a starter. Give me the UNDER 9! |
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05-22-17 | Tigers v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UNDER 8.5) Under is worth a good look here, as I don't see a lot of runs being scored in this one. Detroit sends out last year's AL Rookie of the Year, Michael Fulmer, who has continued to throw the ball extremely well. Fulmer enters what will be his 9th start of the season with a sensational 2.72 ERA. He's also stepped up when taking the mound on an opposing team's field, posting a 2.25 ERA in 4 road starts. Houston will give the ball to Brad Peacock, who is making the move from the bullpen to the rotation. He's been excellent out of the pen, posting a 1.10 ERA with 22 stikeouts in 16 1/3 innings of work. He's not going to go deep in this one, but that's no problem, as Houston has an outstanding pen that can take care of the rest. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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05-20-17 | Rangers v. Tigers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-9 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UNDER 8.5) I'll gladly play the UNDER at this number in today's game between the Tigers and Rangers. Texas comes in having won 10 straight and are putting up a bunch of runs during this stretch. I believe that's leading to a higher total than what we would normally see in a game with this good of a pitching matchup. Detroit is sending out their ace and in Justin Verlander, who has been lights out at home this season, posting a 0.86 ERA in 3 starts. Texas will counter with A.J. Griffin, who is 4-0 with a 1.38 ERA in 4 road starts and has a 2.37 ERA over his last 3 outings overall. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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05-19-17 | Royals v. Twins UNDER 8 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 105 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
50* MLB AL CENTRAL TOTAL OF THE MONTH (UNDER 8) I love the value here with the total in this one. While most of the midwest is starting to heat up, it's going to be a chilly 54 degrees when this game tips off and only going to get colder as it goes. Not to mention winds are going to be blowing in from left center at close to 10 mph the entire game. Then we factor in that Minnesota is starting a lefty and the Royals are scoring only 2.8 runs/game against left-handed starters. They are also hitting just .210 as a team on the road. Minnesota's offense is in a slump, averaging just 3.0 runs/game over their last 7 and will be facing a red-hot Nate Karns, who has a 2.08 ERA in his last 3 starts (22 strikeouts in his last two outings). Give me the UNDER! |
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05-12-17 | Rays v. Red Sox UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
50* AL East Total of the Month (Under 8.5) While temps are starting to heat up across the country, it's going to feel like an early April game tonight when the Red Sox host the Rays, as temps are going to be at 50 degrees to start and only get colder from there. Also a slight wind coming in from right. About as good as conditions as you are going to get for a pitcher at Fenway. On top of that we got two starters here that are peaking right now. Tampa's Alex Cobb has a 1.89 ERA in his last 3 starts and Boston's Rick Porcello has a 2.29 ERA in his last 3 starts. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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05-11-17 | Tigers v. Angels UNDER 7.5 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 7.5) Two under the radar starters take the mound tonight in LA and I think we are getting a great price and number at 7.5 with even money. Detroit is sending out Michael Fulmer, who isn't experiencing any sort of sophomore slump, going 3-1 with a 2.77 ERA and 1.051 WHIP in his first 6 starts. As for the Angels, they send out J.C. Ramirez, who despite a 1-2 record has a solid 3.45 ERA in 5 starts. Most importantly here is the 1.47 ERA in his last 3 outings and sensational 0.69 ERA in his two starts at home. Not to mention we are getting both offenses coming off a game in which they scored 1 earned on 5 or fewer hits. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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05-09-17 | Indians v. Blue Jays UNDER 8 | Top | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8) UNDER is worth a look here in today's AL showdown between the Blue Jays and Indians. This isn't your same high-powered Toronto offense from previous seasons, at least not yet, as they are averaging 3.8 runs/game on the season and a mere 3.1 runs/game at home. Won't be easy getting it figured out against the Indians' Carlos Carrasco, who has a 2.18 ERA in 6 starts overall and 1.83 ERA in 3 outings on the road. Mike Bolsinger will make his first start with Toronto this season and I like his chances of throwing well. He posted a 1.46 ERA in Triple-A to start the year and has 18 strikeouts in his 12 1/3 innings of work. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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05-08-17 | Rangers v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 105 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
50* Interleague Total of the Month (Under 7.5) I love getting more than 7 runs on the total with a Padres home game, especially in night games. The ball just doesn't carry in San Diego at night and today's game the wind will be blowing in from left center at close to 10 mph when it starts, plus it's only going to be in the low 60's. On top of all that, I like this pitching matchup. Cahill for the Padres loves pitching at Petco, as he has a 0.69 ERA and ridiculous 0.538 WHIP in 2 home starts this season. Martinez doesn't have great numbers, but that's because of one bad start on the road against the high-powered Astros lineup. Prior to that he's allowed 4 earned runs over 11 1/3 innings in two starts. He'll benefit from pitching at Petco as well and the Padres are scoring only 3.2 runs/game at home on the season. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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05-07-17 | Astros v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
40* MLB Over/Under Total No Brainer (Under 8.5) UNDER is worth a look here in Sunday's series finale between the Angels and Astros. Neither offense is going to come into this one feeling all that great, as the two teams combined or just 3 runs in last night's matchup. I also like this starting pitching matchup, even though the overall numbers of both starters isn't great. Angels starter Matt Shoemaker has a 2.98 ERA in 8 career starts against the Astros and Houston starter Michael Fiers has limited the Angels to 3 runs or less over at least 6 innings in 4 of his 5 starts against them. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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05-06-17 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies UNDER 11.5 | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
40* MLB Over/Under Total Knockout (Under 11.5) Most are going to see these two high-powered offenses facing off in hitter friendly Coors Field and want to take the over, but I feel the value here is with the under given the massive total of 11.5. These two have played 4 times already this season and 3 of the 4 finished under the mark set by the books. Arizona's Pat Corbin has been straight dealing to start off 2017, posting a 2.55 ERA in 6 starts. It hasn't been a great start for Rockies starter Tyler Anderson, but I believe he's a lot better than what he's shown. UNDER is 7-0 in the Dbacks last 7 road games after allowing 4 runs or less in 3 straight games. Give me the UNDER 11.5! |
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05-05-17 | Brewers v. Pirates OVER 8 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Over 8) I just think the total here is too good to pass up on. The Pirates and Brewers should have no problem combining for at least 8 runs tonight. Keep in mind these two have a history of high-scoring games in Pittsburgh, as 11 of the last 18 have gone OVER the total. The biggest thing here is we have two starters who are struggling right now. Milwaukee's Jimmy Nelson has a 8.62 ERA in his last 3 starts and the Pirates' Chad Kuhl has a 10.03 ERA in his last 3 starts. Give me the OVER 8! |
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05-03-17 | Indians v. Tigers UNDER 7.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 7.5) I like the pitching matchup here and feel we are getting a favorable number on this total given that conditions aren't ideal for a high scoring game. Temps are going to be in the mid to low 50s for most of the game and the wind will be blowing straight in from center. Cleveland sends out Carlos Carrasco, who has a 2.04 ERA and 0.792 WHIP in 5 starts. Detroit will give the ball to Matt Boyd, who has a 2.08 ERA and 0.923 WHIP at home this season. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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05-02-17 | White Sox v. Royals UNDER 8 | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
40* MLB Blockbuster Total Knockout (Under 8) I look for a low scoring affair here between the Royals and White Sox. I believe we are catching a big total here due to Quintana's poor numbers overall in 2017 and the fact that Kansas City starter Danny Duffy allowed 6 runs at Chicago back on 4/25. Quintana really pitched well against the Royals in that earlier series and there's a good chance he turns in another strong start. This KC offense is struggling to start 2017, averaging just 2.9 runs/game and hitting a mere .214 as a team. Even with that poor start against the White Sox, Duffy owns a 2.81 ERA in 5 starts and a 1.29 ERA at home. I look for Duffy to get revenge on this Chicago lineup, which is scoring 3.4 runs and hitting only .218 on the road this season. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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05-02-17 | A's v. Twins UNDER 8 | Top | 1-9 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
50* MLB AL Over/Under Total of the Month (Under 8) Love the pitching matchup tonight in Minnesota, as the Twins host the A's. Minnesota will give the ball to Ervin Santana, who had an epic April, where he went 4-0 with a 0.77 ERA and 0.657 WHIP in 5 starts. That includes a complete game shutout against the White Sox at home. I see no reason to think this will be the start he struggles with. Oakland has scored 2 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 7 games. A's are sending out Sonny Gray, who is the ace of the staff when healthy. This will be Gray's first start of 2017 at the big league level. Gray dominated in his rehab starts and I look for a strong outing here. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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04-26-17 | Astros v. Indians OVER 9 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
40* MLB Over/Under Total No Brainer (OVER 9) I'm expecting a lot of offense from both sides in this one, as conditions should heavily favor the hitters tonight. Winds will be blowing straight out to left at close to 15 mph. Houston will send out Lance McCullers, who owns a respectable 3.37 ERA in 4 starts, but 3 of those were at home and his lone road outing saw him give up 5 runs on 8 hits in just 4 1/3 innings to the A's. Cleveland is sending out Trevor Bauer, who has a 6.35 ERA in 3 starts and was awful in his lone start at home, giving up 6 runs on 8 hits to the Tigers. OVER is also 32-18 in Houston's last 50 road games when listed as a favorite of -150 or less. and 14-4 in Cleveland's last 18 home games after a loss by 2 runs or less. |
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04-24-17 | Royals v. White Sox UNDER 7.5 | 1-12 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
40* MLB Over/Under Total Knockout (UNDER 7.5) I think we are getting a great number here to back the under in today's total between the White Sox and Royals. Two underrated pitchers will be on the mound in this one. Chicago gives the ball to Miguel Gonzalez, who is 2-0 with a 2.84 ERA in 3 starts and fresh off an outing at New York where he held the Yankees to just 1 run on 4 hits in 8.3 innings. KC will send out Jason Vargas, who is 3-0 with a 0.44 ERA and 0.774 WHIP in 3 starts. He's allowed just 1 run over 20 and 2/3 innings of work this season. Add in we have two below average offensive teams here and the value is clearly with a low-scoring game. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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04-19-17 | Diamondbacks v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
40* MLB Over/Under Total Knockout (DBacks/Padres U 7.5) The UNDER is always something I look at with games in San Diego, especially at night when the ball really doesn't travel well. Tonight the wind will be blowing in from left, only making it that much harder to score. I also think we have a very underrated pitching matchup here with Greinke going up against Chacin. UNDER is 15-5 in Arizona's last 20 road games and 10-4 in their alst 14 road games against a right-handed starter. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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04-13-17 | White Sox v. Indians UNDER 8.5 | Top | 10-4 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 8.5) This isn't going to look like a pitching matchup that would result in a low scoring game, but the total is high enough and the conditions are favoring the under to make this a strong play. The temperature for this game is barely more than 50 degrees and the wind will be blowing straight in from right field. The ball simply isn't going to carry well. On top of that, we have two offenses that aren't swinging the bats well. The White Sox have scored a total of 4 runs in their last 3 games and the Indians have managed just 5 in their last 3. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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04-12-17 | Diamondbacks v. Giants OVER 8.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
40* MLB Late Night Total Bailout (OVER 8.5) I'm expecting a lot of offensive fireworks to take place tonight. AT&T Park is known for being a pitchers park, but tonight the wind will be blowing out to left field at close to 20 mph. I believe it's going to favor both offenses, especially with the starting pitching matchup we have going. Arizona will send out Shelby Miller, who gave up 3 runs on 5 hits and 3 walks in 5.3 innings at home. Giants will give the ball to Matt Cain, who allowed 4 runs on 6 hits and 3 walks in just 4.3 innings. Neither team has a great bullpen, which should have runs coming early and often. Give me the OVER 8.5! |
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04-12-17 | Cardinals v. Nationals UNDER 7.5 | 6-1 | Win | 105 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
40* MLB Over/Under Total Knockout (UNDER 7.5) These two teams combined for 20 runs in Game 1 of the series and 11 more in Game 2, both going well over the total. Each of those games had prime hitting conditions with the wind blowing out. This time it will be blowing in from left field. Not only that, but we have two starters facing off that were both sensational in their first outing of the season. Cardinals' Mike Leake allowed just 1 run in 8 innings and the Nationals' Max Scherzer gave up only 2 runs in 6 2/3 innings. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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04-10-17 | Reds v. Pirates UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
50* NL Central Total of the Month (Pirates/Reds UNDER 8.5) This won't look like a big time pitching matchup to a lot of people, but these are two young studs that will be big names for years to come. Cincinnati's Brandon Finnegan is one of the few bright spots on this roster and he was excellent in his first start at home against the Phillies, giving up just 1 hits with 9 strikeouts in 7 shutout innings. He's faced these Pirates three times in his career already and has allowed just 3 earned runs in 13 1/3 innings of work (2.03 ERA). Pittsburgh will send out rookie Tyler Glasnow, who has ace-like stuff. PNC Park is a pitchers park and these are two average offenses. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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04-06-17 | Cubs v. Cardinals OVER 7.5 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 0 m | Show | |
40* MLB Big Money Total Crusher (OVER 7.5) Not a lot of offense in the first two games of this series. Both teams have scored exactly 5 runs in the first two games combined. I believe there's a decent chance both teams could eclipse the 5 run mark in this one. The first two games of this series featured big time pitching matchups with Lester vs Martinez and Arrieta vs Wainwright. I see a significant drop off here in terms of the starting pitching matchup with Lackey vs Lynn. These are two elite offenses that can produce up and down the order. Conditions here are also supporting a high-scoring game, as the wind will be blowing out strong to right. Give me the OVER 7.5! |
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04-05-17 | Padres v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
40* MLB Late Night Total Crusher (UNDER 7.5) This total has jumped from 7 to 7.5 and I just think there's too much value to pass up. The Dodgers exploded for 14 runs in their opener and the expectation is they are going to keep putting up big numbers. The ball just doesn't travel well at night at Dodgers Stadium. I also think the Padres could struggle to score more than a couple runs here against the likes of Rich Hill. San Diego gives the ball to Cahill and he's better than he gets credit for and won't be intimidated by the Dodgers lineup. UNDER is 13-3 in Hill's 16 night starts over the last 3 seasons and 11-2 in his last 13 starts as a favorite. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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10-17-16 | Indians v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Over 8.5) After watching just 5 total runs scored in the first 2 games of the series, most are going to be looking to jump on the UNDER again in Game 3. Not me. With the series shifting to Toronto, I'm expecting to see a lot more offense, especially with the pitching matchup we have here. Cleveland gives the rock to Trevor Bauer who wasn't sharp in his first postseason start, giving up 3 runs on 6 hits in 4 2/3 innings, including 2 home runs. Toronto counters with Marcus Stroman, who has been prone to some tough outings at home, where he's got a 4.50 ERA over 17 starts. OVER is 12-2 in Toronto's last 14 home games after 2 straight losses by 2 runs or less. Give me the OVER 8.5! |
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10-14-16 | Blue Jays v. Indians UNDER 7.5 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
50* ALCS Vegas Total of the Month (Under 7.5) It's no secret that the Blue Jays have a great offense, but the Indians have a great counter to those big bats in Game 1 with former Cy Young winner Corey Kluber, who thrived in the pressure of postseason baseball in his first start of the playoffs. Kluber held the potent Red Sox offense to just 3 hits over 7 shutout innings at home. On the other side of this is Toronto's Marco Estrada, who also stepped up to the challenge of pitching in the playoffs, allowing just 1 run on 4 hits at Texas, improving him to 7-2 with a 3.19 ERA over 15 road starts. Keep in mind both offenses have been sitting around waiting for this series to start and that's not a good thing as it throws off the timing. I think both offenses struggle to get anything going in this one. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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10-13-16 | Dodgers v. Nationals UNDER 7 | 4-3 | Push | 0 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
40* MLB Blockbuster Total No Brainer (UNDER 7) My money is on the UNDER in Game 5 tonight between the Dodgers and Nationals. Both starters in this one didn't have their best stuff when they pitched earlier in the series, but both have been excellent for the most part this season. Rich Hill for the Dodgers has a 2.35 ERA and 1.029 WHIP in 21 starts and has been outstanding on the road, going 8-2 with a 2.31 ERA in 11 road starts. Max Scherzer for the Nationals is one of the elite pitchers in the game today. He's 20-8 with a 3.03 ERA and 0.964 WHIP in 35 starts and has a 2.75 ERA in 16 home starts. Not only do we have two strong starters, but conditions are ideal for a low-scoring game. Both teams are going to be feeling the pressure of Game 5 and wind will be blowing in from left field around 10-15 mph, which will help both these starters keep the ball in the park. Give me the UDNER 7! |
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09-28-16 | Twins v. Royals UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
50* AL Central Total of the Month (Under 8.5) The books have set the bar too high for Wednesday's total between the Twins and Royals. Kauffman Stadium is more of a pitchers park and even more so in spots like tonight when the wind will be blowing in over 10 mph from left field. More than anything, we have two starters on the mound who are throwing the ball well. Minnesota gives the rock to Ervin Santana, who has a 1.50 ERA and 1.111 WHIP in his last 3 starts, while Vargas has allowed just 3 runs on 4 hits in 7 innings over his last 2 starts. While Vargas doesn't figure to go deep into this game, KC has an excellent bullpen. On top of that, the Twins offense has been in a funk for quite some time. Minnesota has scored 3 or fewer runs in 10 straight games. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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09-21-16 | Nationals v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Nationals/Marlins Under 7.5) The books have set the bar too high for Wednesday's NL East matchup between the Nationals and Marlins. Washington will send out their ace Max Scherzer, who has been on his game for almost a month now. Scherzer hasn't allowed more than 2 earned runs in 5 straight starts and during this stretch has allowed a total of just 6 runs. Miami counters with Tom Koehler, who has a solid 3.37 ERA in his last 3 starts and has allowed just 4 runs in 3 starts against the Nationals this season. Koehler is also catching Washington at a good time, as they Nats were just shutout yesterday and have scored 3 or less in 4 straight and 8 of their last 10. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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09-20-16 | Tigers v. Twins UNDER 9.5 | Top | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Tigers/Twins UNDER 9.5) The books have set the total too high for tonight's AL Central clash between the Twins and Tigers. We are seeing an inflated line here, due to the fact that OVER has gone 50-23 in Minnesota's home games this season. I see plenty of reason to go against that trend with today's starting pitching matchup. The Twins give the ball to Hector Santiago, who has been throwing as well as anyone of late. Santiago has a 2.41 ERA and 1.285 WHIP in his last 3 starts and has allowed a total of 5 runs over his last 4 starts. Detroit counters with Matt Boyd, who did just give up 7 runs in 3 2/3 innigns at home to the Twins in his last start, but I'm not reading into one bad start. Prior to that outing, Boyd had given up 3 or fewer earned runs in each of his previous 10 starts, which included two starts against Minnesota. He's also facing a Twins offense that is struggling coming into this series, as they managed just 4 runs in their 3-game series against the Mets over the weekend. Give me the UNDER 9.5! |
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09-15-16 | Yankees v. Red Sox UNDER 9 | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -122 | 21 h 39 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 9) I'll gladly lay a little extra juice here to back the UNDER at 9 for Thursday's AL East showdown between the Yankees and Red Sox. Both of these teams were shutout on Wednesday and I don't see the offenses coming to life in the series opener. Boston will give the ball to Eduardo Rodriguez, who is in prime form with a 3.26 ERA and 0.879 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's had all kinds of success against the Yankees this season. He's faced them twice an allowed 2 runs on 7 hits in 14 innings. New York counters with Masahiro Tanaka, who has been a rock all season for the Yankees. Tanaka is 13-4 with a 3.09 in 29 starts overall, has a 2.27 ERA in 14 road starts and a 2.41 ERA in his last 3 outings. Hi too has pitched some of his best baseball in this series. In his two starts against the Red Sox this season, he's allowed 3 runs on 9 hits in 12 2/3 innings. Give me the UNDER 9! |
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09-10-16 | Dodgers v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
40* MLB Blockbuster Total Knockout (Dodgers/Marlins Under 7.5) The books have set the total too high for Saturday's NL showdown between the Dodgers and Marlins. This one has a pitchers duel written all over it. Los Angeles will give the rock to Rich Hill, who has been one of the best pitchers in baseball when he's healthy enough to toe the rubber. Hill is 11-3 with a 1.94 ERA in 16 starts and is a perfect 7-0 with a 1.41 ERA in 7 road starts. He's yet to allow a run since being traded to the Dodgers. Miami counters with Tom Koehler, who a more than capable starter. He comes in off a dominant outing at Cleveland, holding the Indians to just 3 hits over 6 shutout innings. More importantly, he's owned the Dodgers in his career with a 2.94 ERA in 6 starts. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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09-06-16 | Mets v. Reds UNDER 9 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 105 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 9) The books have set the total too high for tonight's NL matchup between the Reds and Mets. I know that Great American Ballpark is a great hitters park, but we have two pitchers who are more than capable of shutting down the opposing offenses in this one. Cincinnati's Brandon Finnegan has been lights out of late, posting a 1.80 ERA and 0.650 WHIP in his last 3 starts. During this stretch Finnegan has racked up an impressive 29 strikeouts in 20 innings. Mets will counter with Rafael Montero, who despite some control problems, threw 5 scoreless innings in 2016 debut last week. Montero should be able to keep the Reds in check. Cincinnati has scored 2 or less runs in 2 straight and 6 of their last 8. Give me the UNDER 9! |
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09-02-16 | Cardinals v. Reds UNDER 8.5 | 2-3 | Win | 102 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
40* MLB Over/Under Total Destroyer (Cardinals/Reds UNDER 8.5) The books have set the total too high for tonight's NL Central matchup between the Reds and Cardinals. Cincinnati will send out one of the most underrated starters in the game in Anthony DeSclafani, who is 8-2 with a 2.96 ERA in 15 starts. He was absolutely dominant in his last outing, allowing just 4 hits in a complete game shutout at Arizona, which is no easy place to pitch. Now he faces a slumping Cardinals offense that has scored just 3 runs on 10 hits in their last two games combined. I also don't see the Reds doing a lot of scoring in this one. St Louis sends out 22-year-old prospect Alex Reyes, who has the makings of a future ace. He made his MLB debut last week in Oakland and looked the part. He did have some control problems with 4 walks, but only allowed 2 hits in 4 2/3 innings of work. Cincinnati's offense has scored 2 or less runs in 4 straight games, so they clearly aren't clicking at the plate right now. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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08-29-16 | Cardinals v. Brewers UNDER 8 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
50* National League Total of the Month (Under 8) The books have set the bar too high for Monday's matchup between the Cardinals and Brewers. St Louis will send out Carlos Martinez, who has a 2.14 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's also 7-1 with a 2.36 ERA in 11 road starts and 3-1 with a 1.67 ERA in 6 career starts against Milwaukee. The Brewers counter with Zach Davies, who has a strong 3.70 ERA in 15 home starts and is coming off a gem at home against the Rockies last time out, allowing just 1 run on 5 hits in 6 innings. Davies has faced the Cardinals once in his career, that coming earlier this season. He was dominant in that outing, giving up just 3 hits over 8 shutout innings. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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08-27-16 | Royals v. Red Sox UNDER 8 | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 8) The books have set the total too high, creating great value here on the UNDER in today's game between the Red Sox and Royals. This game means a lot to both teams and we have two of the better AL starters on the mound. Boston will send out David Price, who has been lights out of late with a 1.63 ERA and 0.864 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Kansas City counters with Danny Duffy, who has been even better in his last 3 starts, posting a 1.16 ERA and 0.943 WHIP. Duffy is also 5-1 with a 2.08 ERA in 8 road starts. It's also worth noting that the wind will be blowing in from right field, so that should neglect any cheap home runs. UNDER is 10-1 in Duffy's last 11 starts as a road underdog and 15-3 in Prices last 18 home starts against an NL Central opponent. Take the UNDER! |
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08-21-16 | Rangers v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-8 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 49 m | Show |
50* MLB Situational Total of the Month (UNDER 8.5) The books have set the bar too high for Sunday's contest between the Rays and Rangers. Today's starters are Martin Perez and Drew Smyly. Both don't have great overall numbers for the season, but each comes into this matchup in prime form. Perez has given up just 2 earned runs in his last 2 starts, which has spanned 12 1/3 innings. Smyly has been even better, allowing only 5 earned runs in his last 3 starts, which covers 20 innings. The Rays offense hasn't been great at home and the Rangers are nearly as potent at the plate on the road. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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08-19-16 | Nationals v. Braves UNDER 7.5 | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 7.5) The books have set the total too high for Friday's NL East showdown between the Nationals and Braves. We have two starters who are both rolling at the moment. Washington's Tanner Roark has a 1.77 ERA and 1.181 WHIP in his last 3 starts, while Atlanta's Julio Teheran has a 1.69 ERA and 0.937 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Roark owns a 1.77 ERA in 9 career starts against the Braves, while Teheran hasn't allowed more than 3 earned runs in 6 career home starts against the Nationals. UNDER is 22-9 in Washington's last 31 road games with a hot bullpen that as a WHIP under 1.000 in their last 5 games and 11-3 in Teheran's last 14 starts after a loss. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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08-18-16 | Astros v. Orioles UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-13 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Over/Under Game of the Month (UNDER 8.5) The books have set the total too high for Thursday's matchup between the Orioles and Astros. Houston will send out youngster Joe Musgrove, who has been sensational in his first two starts. Musgrove allowed just 1 run on 5 hits in 7 innings at home against the Rangers and then allowed a mere 2 runs in 7 innings at Toronto. I'll take my chances on him shutting down another AL power tonight. Baltimore counters with Kevin Gausman. While he's 3-10 with a 4.04 ERA in 21 starts, he's been a completely different pitcher at home, where he's 3-1 with a 2.39 ERA and 1.044 WHIP in 8 starts. UNDER is a perfect 8-0 in Gausman's 8 starts this season with a total of 8 to 8.5 runs and 13-3 in the Orioles last 16 after scoring 1 run or less in their previous game. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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08-17-16 | Royals v. Tigers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 8.5) The books have set the total too high for Wednesday's AL Central showdown between the Tigers and Royals. Detroit comes in struggling at the plate, scoring just 3.1 runs/game and hitting .241 as a team over their last 7 games. KC on the other hand is hitting just .248 as a team on the road this season. The Tigers will send out Anibal Sanchez. While he's coming off an ugly start at Texas, he was dominant in his previous two starts at home, giving up just 2 runs in 14 innings of work. Most importantly, he's got a 2.76 ERA in 11 career starts against the Royals. KC counters with the red-hot Yordano Ventura, who has a 2.89 ERA in his last 3 starts. Ventura has also pitched very well against Detroit, posting a 3.28 ERA in 8 career starts. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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08-15-16 | Blue Jays v. Yankees OVER 9.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
50* MLB AL East Game of the Month (OVER 9.5) The books have set the mark to low for today's total between the Yankees and Blue Jays. Both offenses should have no problem putting up a big number in this one. New York sends out Chad Green, who has a 7.50 ERA and 1.722 WHIP in 3 starts. Toronto counters with R.A. Dickey, who has a 4.48 ERA and 1.332 WHIP in 24 starts. Dickey has also been torched in his last two outings at Yankees Stadium, giving up 9 runs on 12 hits and 4 walks in 14 1/3 innings. OVER is 4-0 in Green's last 4 starts and 4-1 in Dickey's last 5 starts. Give me the OVER 9.5! |
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08-13-16 | Royals v. Twins UNDER 9.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Over 9.5) The books have set the total too low for today's showdown between the Royals and Twins. Both of these teams are poised for a big day at the plate given the starting pitching matchup. Kansas City will send out Dillon Gee, who has a 6.07 ERA and 1.725 WHIP in 8 start. Minnesota counters with Tyler Duffey, who has a 5.93 ERA and 1.485 WHIP in 19 starts and has an ugly 7.22 ERA in 10 starts at home. OVER is 15-3 in the Twins 18 home games this season when listed as a favorite of -110 or more, 12-2 in their last 14 with a tired bullpen that has thrown 13+ innings in the last 3 games and 17-2 in their last 19 after playing 5 or more games at home. Give me the OVER 9.5! |
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08-12-16 | Angels v. Indians UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-13 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 8.5) The books have set the total too high here for Friday's series matchup between the Indians and Angels. Cleveland will send out Carlos Carrasco, who has a strong 3.17 ERA and 1.094 WHIP in 17 starts. He's also got a 2.05 ERA and 0.773 WHIP in 3 career starts against the Angels and is coming in off a strong outing in his last start. LA counters here with Tyler Skaggs, who has pitched well in his 3 starts since joining the rotation, giving up just 4 runs over 17 2/3 innings of work. UNDER is 11-3 in the Angels last 14 after playing 6 or more straight games on the road and 4-0 in Carrasco's last 4 starts against the AL West. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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08-10-16 | Reds v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 8) The books have set the total too high for Wednesday's NL Central clash between the Cardinals and Reds. This game has a pitchers duel written all over it. Cincinnati will send out talented youngster Anthony Desclafani, who is 6-0 with a 2.94 ERA and 1.188 WHIP in 11 starts this season. Desclafani has owned the Cardinals, going 3-0 with a 1.42 ERA in 3 career starts. St Louis will counter here with Jamie Garcia, who has pitched his best at home this season and is coming off a great start at home against the Braves, allowing just 3 hits with 11 strikeouts in 8 shutout innings. UNDNER is 14-4 Garcia's last 18 home starts with a total of 7 to 8.5 an 12-2 in his last 14 home starts as a favorite of -150 or more. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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08-07-16 | Orioles v. White Sox UNDER 9.5 | Top | 10-2 | Loss | -114 | 2 h 12 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 9.5) The books have set the total way too high for Sunday's series finale between the White Sox and Orioles. Baltimore will send out talented youngster Dylan Bundy, who has been getting better and better with each start. In his last outing, Bundy gave up just 1 hit in 7 innings. Chicago counters with veteran James Shields. He wasn't sharp in his last outing, but has been throwing the ball really well of late. Shields has given up 2 or less earned runs in 6 of his last 7 starts. Give me the UNDER 9.5! |
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08-02-16 | A's v. Angels UNDER 8 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
50* MLB AL West Total of the Month (Under 8) The books have set to the total too high for tonight's matchup between the A's and Angels. The ball doesn't carry near as well at night in LA and we have two red-hot pitchers facing off in this one. Oakland's Sean Manaea has a 1.25 ERA and 0.969 WHIP in his last 3 starts, while the Angel's Matt Shoemaker has a 2.91 ERA and 0.969 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Shoemaker has also owned the A's in two starts against them this year, giving up just 1 earned run on 7 hits in 12 innings of work. Both of these teams have struggled offensively against right-handed starters. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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08-01-16 | Brewers v. Padres UNDER 8 | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER) The books have set the mark too high for Monday's showdown between the Padres and Brewers. The starting pitching matchup might not look like much on paper, but you have to keep in mind of where the game is being played. PETCO is one of the strongest pitcher parks int he big leagues and the wind will be blowing in from left. Milwaukee's Jimmy Nelson is more than capable of throwing a gem against this San Diego team that has been as active as any team during the trade deadline. Padres starter Jared Cosart came over in the Miami deal and this is a great chance for him to prove himself after spending most of the season in Triple A. He's facing a Milwaukee team that I could easily see not showing up for this game. The Brewers just played 10 straight at home, which they capped off with a 3-game sweep of division rival Pittsburgh. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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07-31-16 | Red Sox v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8.5) The books have set the total too high for today's showdown between the Angels and Red Sox. Each of the first two games in this series have gone UNDER the mark set by the books and I expect that trend to continue. Boston will send out knuckleballer Steven Wright, who is 12-5 with a 3.12 ERA in 20 starts. He did have a poor showing last time out, but that's going to happen for a knuckleballer. He's got a 2.13 ERA in 9 road starts and is primed for a bounce back outing. Angels will counter with Tyler Skaggs, who was dominant in his first start of the season, allowing just 3 hits and walking only 1 in 7 shutout innings against the Royals. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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07-30-16 | Red Sox v. Angels UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
50* MLB AL Total of the Month (UNDER 8.5) The books have set the bar too high for Saturday's total between the Red Sox and Angels. Boston will send out the underrated Drew Pomeranz, who has a 2.84 ERA and 1.126 WHIP in 19 starts, as well as a 2.32 ERA and 1.031 WHIP in 9 road starts. After struggling in his first start with the Red Sox, Pomeranz was dominant in his last outing against Detroit. The Angels counter with Hector Santiago, who is on quite a roll at the moment. Santiago has a 2.60 ERA in his last 3 starts and has allowed a mere 5 runs total in his last 5 outings. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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07-29-16 | Pirates v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 8.5) The books have made a huge mistake here and set the total way too high for Friday's series opener between the Pirates and Brewers. We have two young starters on the mound in this one that are more than capable of shutting down the opposition. Milwaukee's Junior Guerra continues to be way undervalued due to pitching on a bad team. Guerra is 6-2 with a 2.85 ERA and 1.088 WHIP in 15 starts and has an even better 2.42 ERA in 8 home starts. Pittsburgh counters with Steven Brault, who was sharp in his brief debut at St Louis, allowing just 1 earned run on 4 hits in 4 innings. While he might not go deep in this game, Pittsburgh's bullpen has a 2.92 ERA in 48 road games and will be rested after having yesterday off. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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07-28-16 | Phillies v. Braves OVER 7.5 | Top | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (OVER 7.5) The books have made a mistake here and set the bar too low for today's total between the Phillies and Braves. Both of these teams are coming off a strong showing at the plate yesterday. While Philadelphia only scored 1 run, they put up double-digit hits. Atlanta on the other hand scored 9 runs on 16 hits against the Twins. The key here is the pitching matchup. Neither starter is any good and both come in having struggled of late. Phillies send out Aaron Nola, who is 5-9 with a 4.92 ERA in 19 starts and has a 6.60 ERA in his last 3 outings. Braves counter with Matt Wisler, who is 4-10 with a 4.97 ERA in 19 starts and has a 9.98 ERA in his last 3 outings. Give me the OVER 7.5! |
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07-27-16 | Rockies v. Orioles UNDER 9 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 9) Two future aces take the mound in Wednesday's contest between the Rockies and Orioles. Colorado will send out Jon Gray, who has been lights out of late, posting a 1.33 ERA and 0.984 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Baltimore counters with former top 5 pick Dylan Bundy, who is coming off a dominant outing in his home debut, allowing 0 earned runs on 5 hits and no walks in 5 innings of a 5-1 win over the Indians. UNDER is 31-19 in the Rockies last 50 road games and 4-0 in Gray's last 4 starts. UNDER is also 8-0 in the Orioles last 8 against a team with a losing record and 7-0 in their last 7 home games. Give me the UNDER 9! |
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07-26-16 | Cubs v. White Sox UNDER 9 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 108 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 9) I think we are getting big time value here on the UNDER at 9 runs in Tuesday's matchup between the Cubs and White Sox. We have two under the radar starters taking the mound in this one. The Cubs' Kyle Hendricks owns a sensational 2.23 ERA and 1.037 WHIP in 18 starts and has not given up an earned run in 3 straight outings. White Sox's James Shields is 4-12 with a ugly 4.99 ERA in 20 starts, but has been throwing like an ace of late. Shields has a 2.08 ERA and 0.923 WHIP in his last 3 starts and has given up 2 earned runs or less in each of his last 5 outings. UNDER is 20-8 in Hendrick's last 28 starts in night games and 15-3 in the White Sox last 18 home games after 2 or more consecutive wins. Give me the UNDER 9! |
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07-24-16 | Phillies v. Pirates UNDER 8 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -125 | 3 h 55 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8) I'll gladly back the UNDER here with the total sitting at 8 runs in Sunday's matchup between the Pirates and Phillies. We have two future aces facing off in this one, as Philadelphia sends out Vincent Velasquez against Pittsburgh's Jameson Taillon. Both come into this game in great form. Velasquez has a 2.37 ERA over his last 3 starts and Taillon has allowed just 1 run in each of his last two starts. UNDER is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams and 5-0 in the Phillies last 5 following a loss. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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07-23-16 | Indians v. Orioles UNDER 9 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 101 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Over/Under Game of the Month (Under 9) I really like the value here with the UNDER on tonight's high total of 9 between the Indians and Orioles. This is a much better pitching matchup than the books are giving credit for. Cleveland will send out Josh Tomlin, who continues to get no respect. Tomlin is now 10-2 with a 3.34 ERA in 17 starts and has a 2.44 ERA in 9 road starts. Baltimore counters with Kevin Gausman, who has pitched much better than his 1-7 record would indicate, especially at home, where he has a 2.79 ERA in 6 starts. In his last two home starts, Gausman has allowed 1 run on 11 hits in 13 2/3 innings of work. Indian's offense not near as potent on the road and are coming off a poor showing last night, scoring just 1 run. Give me the UNDER 9! |
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07-22-16 | Dodgers v. Cardinals UNDER 8 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8) We have two NL playoff contenders facing off tonight with the Dodgers and Cardinals and I look for a low scoring affair in this one. LA will give the ball to Brandon McCarthy, who has been lights out since joining the rotation earlier this month. In 3 starts, he's posted a 1.69 ERA and 0.750 WHIP. All 3 of those starts have seen the game go UNDER the total and I like the chances of that streak continuing here. St Louis counters with Michael Wacha, who is poised for a strong outing. Wacha hasn't been great, but at the same time he's not allowed more than 3 earned runs in 7 straight starts. He's also got a really strong 2.08 ERA in 5 career starts against the Dodgers. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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07-17-16 | Blue Jays v. A's UNDER 8 | Top | 5-3 | Push | 0 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8) The books have set the total too high for Sunday's showdown between the Blue Jays and A's. Two strong starters are one the mound in Oakland, as the A's send out Rich Hill against Toronto's J.A. Happ. Hill is 9-3 with a 2.25 ERA in 13 starts and Happ is 12-3 with a 3.36 ERA in 18 starts. UNDER is 12-1 in Hill's last 13 starts in July and 18-9 in the Blue Jays last 27 against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.200. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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07-16-16 | Orioles v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 19 h 45 m | Show |
50* AL East Game of the Month (Under 8.5) The books have set the total too high for Saturday's contest between the Orioles and Rays. We have two strong starters on the mound who both were in prime form going into the All-Star break. Baltimore's Chris Tillman is 12-2 with a 3.41 ERA in 19 starts and has a 2.89 ERA over his last 3 outings. Tampa Bay will send out Matt Moore, who has a strong 3.57 ERA in 11 home starts and a 1.83 ERA over his last 3. UNDER is 11-1 this season when the Rays are listed as a home underdog of +100 to +125. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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07-15-16 | Indians v. Twins UNDER 8.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8.5) The books have set the total way too high for Friday's matchup between the Indians and Twins. Both of these teams will send out starters who were straight dealing going into the All-Star break. Cleveland's Carlos Carrasco posted a 1.59 ERA and 1.059 WHIP over his last 3 starts and has a 1.81 ERA in 6 road outings this season. Minnesota's Ervin Santana had a 1.33 ERA and 0.787 WHIP in his last 3 starts, including a complete game shutout in his last outing at home against the A's. Santana has also allowed just 2 runs total in his last two starts against the Indians. Take the UNDER! |
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07-09-16 | Padres v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8.5) Love the value here we are getting with the total for Saturday's matchup between the Dodgers and Padres sitting at 8.5. Los Angeles will send out Brandon McCarthy, who was sensational in his first outing of the season, giving up just 2 hits and 1 walk with 8 strikeouts over 5 shutout innings. Even if he doesn't pitch deep into the game, the Dodgers back him up with a bullpen that has a 2.24 ERA at home on the season. The Padres will send out Luis Perdomo, who is poised for a strong outing. Perdomo has a 5.82 ERA in his last 3 starts, but those have come in 3 hitters parks against the Orioles, Reds and Diamondbacks. This will be the first time the Dodgers have seen him as a starter and that should work to his advantage. Padres hitting just .234 against right-handed starters and LA hitting just .234 at home. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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07-08-16 | Diamondbacks v. Giants OVER 7.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
50* NL West Play of the Month (Under 7.5) Giants' AT&T Park is considered a pitchers park, but the hitters figure to do some damage in this one. The wind will be blowing straight out to right center and we have two starters who are struggling heading into the All-Star break. San Francisco's Jeff Samardzija has a 8.82 ERA and 1.592 WHIP over his last 3 starts and Arizona's Pat Corbin has a 5.63 ERA and 1.876 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Adding even more value here is the fact that the hitters for both teams just saw both of these starters this past Saturday. It's also worth noting that the OVER is 5-1 in Samardzija's 6 home starts. Give me the OVER 7.5! |
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07-07-16 | A's v. Astros UNDER 8 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8) I believe we are getting a great number here to back the UNDER in today's matchup between the Astros and A's. Houston will send out Doug Fister, who is coming off a couple of poor starts, but has owned Oakland this season. He's faced them twice and allowed a total of 1 run on 11 hits in 12 2/3 innings of work. Fister is also facing an A's team that was just shutout yesterday and hitting a mere .217 over their last 7 games. Oakland counters with Rich Hill, who didn't miss a beat in his first start after coming back from the DL. Hill is 8-3 with a 2.31 ERA in 12 starts and has a dominant 1.40 ERA in 6 road starts. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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07-02-16 | White Sox v. Astros UNDER 8 | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8) Love the value here with the total going under the posted mark of 8 for today's afternoon matchup between the Astros and White Sox. Chicago will have their ace Chris Sale on the mound, who is 6-1 with a 1.99 ERA in 8 road starts and 4-1 with a 0.66 ERA over 5 career starts against the Astros. Houston will send out underrated starter Doug Fister, who has a 3.36 ERA in 15 starts. Both teams have struggled offensively in day games. Houston is hitting just .235 as a team and the White Sox are hitting just .243. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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07-01-16 | Reds v. Nationals UNDER 9 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
50* NL Total of the Month (UNDER 9) I believe we are catching an inflated total here. Cincinnati and Washington combined for 17 runs yesterday with the Nationals doing the heavy lifting with 13 runs of their own. I don't think Washington is going to have as easy time scoring runs here against the Reds Anthony Desclafani. He's quietly posted a 1.52 ERA in 4 starts and is coming off his best outing, allowing just 5 hits over 8 scoreless innings against the Padres at home. I don't see Cincinnati doing a whole lot offensively either. The Nationals send out underrated starter Tanner Roark, who has a 2.96 ERA in 16 starts overall and a 2.25 ERA in 7 starts at home. Give me the UNDER 9! |
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06-30-16 | Dodgers v. Brewers UNDER 8 | Top | 8-1 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 22 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8) I really like the value here on the total in today's matchup between the Dodgers and Brewers. This is a getaway game for both teams, as LA will be headed back home after a 7-game road trip and Milwaukee is heading to St Louis after playing their previous 6 at home. I don't look for either team to be all that focused on the game today and even if they were runs figure to be hard to come by. Dodgers will send out Kenta Maeda, who has a 2.91 ERA and 1.108 WHIP in 15 starts, including a 2.79 ERA and 0.957 WHIP in 7 road starts. Brewers will counter with Zach Davies, who has a 3.11 ERA at home and 2.00 ERA over his last 3 outings. It's also worth noting that today's umpire is Tom Hallion. He's been behind the plate 14 times this season and 11 of those have gone UNDER the total. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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06-27-16 | Mets v. Nationals UNDER 7.5 | Top | 4-11 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 7.5) Love the value we are getting here with the total sitting at 7.5 runs for today's matchup between the Nationals and Mets. Both of these teams are really struggling offensively at the moment. The Mets are averaging 2.9 runs/game and hitting a mere 1.94 as a team over their last 7 games. Washington isn't much better. They too are averaging just 2.9 runs/game and hitting only .248 as a team over their last 7. Both teams will send out quality starters. New York gives the ball to Noah Syndergaard, who is 8-2 with a 2.10 ERA in 14 starts. The Nationals counter with Joe Ross, who is 6-4 with a 3.21 ERA in 14 starts. Syndergaard has a 1.33 ERA in 4 career starts against Washington and Ross has a 2.84 ERA in 2 starts against the Mets. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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06-26-16 | Indians v. Tigers UNDER 8 | Top | 9-3 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 41 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8) Oddsmakers have simply set the total too high for Sunday's game between the Tigers and Indians. Detroit will send out Justin Verlander, who has been sensation after a rocky start to the year. Verlander has a 3.05 ERA in his last 3 starts. He's pitching into the 7th of each of his last 9 starts, in which he allowed 3 or less runs 7 times. Cleveland will counter with Josh Tomlin, who continues to be undervalued. Tomlin is 8-1 with a 3.32 ERA in 13 starts. He's been at his best at home, where his ERA is just 2.63. He's faced the Tigers twice already this season and was dominant in both outings. Both teams are going to struggle to score runs in this one. Give me the UNDER 8! |
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06-22-16 | Royals v. Mets UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 26 m | Show |
50* MLB Early Bird Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 6.5) I've got no problem playing the Under with the low total of 6.5 in today's afternoon matchup between the Royals and Mets. Both of these offenses come in struggling at the plate. The Royals have scored just 3 runs in their last 2 games and the Mets have scored just 2 in their last 2. It's hard to imagine either offense getting on track with the starting pitching matchup we have going in this one. New York will give the ball to Noah Syndergaard, who is 7-2 with a 1.93 ERA and 0.976 WHIP in 13 starts. He allowed 2 or less runs in 8 straight starts. KC will counter with Danny Duffy, who has a solid 3.25 ERA in 7 starts, including a 1.08 ERA in 3 starts on the road and a 0.00 ERA in 3 day starts. Give me the UNDER 6.5! |
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06-19-16 | Reds v. Astros UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 7 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 8.5) I really like the UNDER in today's series finale between the Reds and Astros. Cincinnati will be sending out Brandon Finnegan, who has been lights out of late. Finnegan has a 1.86 ERA in his last 3 starts and also owns a 2.98 ERA in 7 road starts. Houston counters with Michael Fiers, who is also in good form with a 3.44 ERA and 1.146 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Fiers has also been at his best at home, where he has a 3.67 ERA in 7 starts (4.78 ERA overall). UNDER is 9-1 in Houston's last 10 overall and 10-4 in their last 14 interleague home games against a left-handed starter. Give me the UNDER 8.5! |
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06-17-16 | Giants v. Rays UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 7.5) I really like the value we are getting here with the total sitting at 7.5 in today's showdown between Chris Archer of the Rays and Jeff Samardzija of the Giants. Archer has had a disappointing overall season so far in 2016, as he's just 4-8 with a 4.61 ERA in 14 starts. However, he's been dominant at home, where his ERA is just 2.33. In his last start, at home, he held the Astros to just 3 runs on 6 hits with 8 strikeouts in 7 2/3 innings of work. Samardzija was able to bounce back from a couple of poor outings with a solid showing in his last start against the Dodgers and comes in with a respectable 3.36 ERA in 13 starts. I'll take my chances on him keeping a Tampa Bay offense that is scoring just 3.5 runs/game and hitting .224 as a team at home in check. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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06-16-16 | Tigers v. Royals UNDER 7.5 | Top | 10-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 7.5) The UNDER is worth a look here in Thursday's matchup between the Tigers and Royals. Detroit's Justin Verlander has been pitching like an ace over his last 7 starts. During this stretch, he's only given up a mere 30 hits with 57 strikeouts in 51 1/3 innings. He's enjoyed facing KC over his career, as he's 20-8 with a 3.21 ERA in 38 career starts against them. The Royals will send out Danny Duffy, who has a 2.45 ERA and 0.982 WHIP over his last 3 starts and was dominant in his last outing, giving up just 3 hits with 10 strikeouts in 6 scoreless innings. Duffy has a 2.95 ERA in 11 career starts against the Tigers. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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06-13-16 | Cubs v. Nationals UNDER 7 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 108 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Under 7) Washington will have their ace Max Scherzer on the mound, while the Cubs send out one of the most underrated starters in baseball in Kyle Hendricks. In fact, most would be surprised to see that Hendricks has the better overall numbers in this matchup. He's got a 2.77 ERA and 0.922 WHIP in 11 starts. Scherzer has a 3.57 ERA and 1.053 WHIP in 13 starts. However, Scherzer has been throwing like a Cy Young candidate of late, posting a 2.86 ERA and 0.909 WHIP in his last 3 starts. I look for both offenses to struggle to score in this one. Give me the UNDER 7! |
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06-07-16 | G2 New York Mets v. G2 Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 7.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 7.5) I'm expecting a pitchers duel in the nightcap of today's double-header between the Mets and Pirates. New York will give the ball to Jacob deGrom, who has a 2.62 ERA in 9 starts and is in good form with a 2.84 ERA in his last 3 starts. The Pirates counter with Juan Nicasio. He's got a less than impressive 4.25 ERA overall, but has a dominant 2.54 ERA in 5 home starts. Look for both teams to rest some regulars in this one, making it that much easier on these two starters. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |
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05-27-16 | Astros v. Angels OVER 7.5 | 2-7 | Win | 102 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
40* MLB Late Night Total Annihilator (OVER 7.5) I really like the OVER in tonight's contest between the Astros and Angels. Houston's Michael Fiers comes in with a solid 3.37 ERA over his last 3 starts, but all 3 of those outings came at home. He's not been so good on the road, where he has a 5.25 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 2 starts. LA will send out Matt Shoemaker, who is coming off a rare good start last time out against the Orioles. Even after throwing 7 scoreless innings against Baltimore, Shoemaker still has an awful 8.31 ERA and 1.731 WHIP at home. Give me the OVER 7.5! |
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05-22-16 | Nationals v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -122 | 3 h 7 m | Show |
50* MLB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UNDER 7.5) The UNDER is worth a look here, as we should have a low-scoring game this afternoon between the Nationals and Marlins. Washington will send out Max Scherzer, who is looking more and more like his old self with each start. Scherzer followed up his 20 strikeout performance with another great outing, allowing just 2 runs on 3 hits with 10 K's in 6 1/3 innings at New York. Miami will counter with Adam Conley, who has a respectable 3.40 ERA in 8 starts and a 2.94 ERA over his last 3. UNDER is 9-1-2 in Scherzer's last 12 starts during game 3 of a series and 16-5 in Washington's last 21 road games against a team with a losing home record. Give me the UNDER 7.5! |