Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-12-23 | Chiefs +2 v. Eagles | Top | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 31 h 35 m | Show |
Kansas City vs. Philadelphia 6:30 ET Chiefs (+) over Eagles- Let us hope that out boy MVP Patrick Mahomes is as healthy as the KC brass are telling us he is. There have been things said that leads me to think that they are not been completely forthright. I like the Chiefs here especially with the public (so far) and for the most part backing the Eagles. The part that I don’t get is why is everybody (well it seems that everybody) is willing to play against the leagues MVP and best player. I guess when it comes down to it the number for the Philadelphia defense are the dominate factor, ranking No. 1 against the pass and leading the league in sacks. No matter here. Take KANSAS CITY! |
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01-29-23 | 49ers +2.5 v. Eagles | 7-31 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 10 m | Show | |
San Francisco at Philadelphia 3:00 ET 49ers (+) over Eagles- Well, I believe that the two best teams in the NFC made it into the Championship game which has the No. 1 seed hosting No. 2. The storyline here is has multiple facets as the emergence of quarterbacks Jalen Hurts who many believe had this kind of potential and Brock Prudy that he was the least respected player drafted. You guys don’t need me to guide you in this game if you or even I can figure out who will win the turnover battle. San Fran is 15-0 in their last 15 games when they have either won or tied the turnover battle. Niners enter this contest riding a 12-game win streak and are 20-6 ATS in January while the Eagles are 1-6 ATS in January. Look for a purdy win...take SAN FRANCISCO! |
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01-22-23 | Cowboys +4.5 v. 49ers | Top | 12-19 | Loss | -120 | 19 h 16 m | Show |
Dallas at San Francisco 6:30 ET Cowboys (+) over 49ers- How bout dem Cowboys...a huge win for Dallas last week over the offensively limited Buccaneers and now it is off to the Bay area in what NFC fans consider a classic match-up. San Francisco brings the No. 1 defense against the NFL inception leader in Zak Prescott who has thrown 16 to the opposition while missing five and a half games. After last weeks win I was sure that I would be on the 49ers but the odds maker has deemed this the bogus line on the week.The price here is ridiculously low for the two teams resume and looks way too inviting for the favorite. Cowboys 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 road games and the road team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings. Take DALLAS! |
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01-22-23 | Bengals v. Bills -5.5 | 27-10 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 29 m | Show | |
Cincinnati at Buffalo 3:00 ET Bills (-) over Bengals- One of the most surprising aspects of the Bengals season is that they were the Super Bowl loser and had the best point spread record (13-4) in the NFL this season. Cincinnati was so lucky to survive a flawed Ravens team last week when we all saw it the game swung 14 points on one play. Usually, it is said that one play among all the plays in a game will not be the difference...HA. The Bengals are without three offensive line starters and although Joe Burrow has been able to withstand numerous sacks in the past it all will take its toll sooner or later. They were out-gained in both of their last two games by Baltimore and have been behind in yardage to opponents in 11 of their 16 games. Take BUFFALO! |
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01-21-23 | Giants v. Eagles -7 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 29 h 33 m | Show |
New York at Philadelphia 8:15 ET Eagles (-) over Giants- The Giants actually looked like a real football team in their win at Minnesota last Sunday as Danny Dimes delivered his best game in his four year career. His most important contribution was the 80 yards rushing on seven attempts that kept New York’s drives alive. Playing against the Vikings defense was a treat that the Giants won’t see again. Ole Danny Dimes will have to deal with the NFL’s No. 1 passing defense and the No. 2 defense overall allowing just 301 YPG. New York’s defense who people are raving about their improvement is still ranked No. 25 allowing 358 YPG while the Eagles offense is No. 3 overall gaining 390 YPG. Hurts will be back after four weeks (all non-covers). This time they hold court. Take PHILADELPHIA! NOTE: Originally this game was posted in error with the Giants as the side...They are NOT. |
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01-16-23 | Cowboys -2.5 v. Bucs | 31-14 | Win | 100 | 19 h 24 m | Show | |
Dallas at Tampa Bay 8:15 ET Cowboys (-) over Buccaneers- Other than Aaron Rodgers no other quarterback has taken the verbal beating that the Cowboys Dak Prescott has incurred this week after his pitiful 14-for-37 for 128 yard performance with one interception against at Washington in their season final. Just throw that game out as Dallas knew Philadelphia would handle the Giants easily and they just went through the motions an never real put forth an effort. If the NFL ever cared about a team laying down it was that one as the Boys has 64 rushing yards and just 182 total yards the lowest in the league this season. but, believe it or not Tampa Bay who has the worst rushing game in the NFL averaged just 12 more yards per game than that output. Tom Brady is 7-0 lifetime against Dallas including a win to opening season. Despite have the No. 2 rated passing game behind Mahomes the Buccaneers will not be able to overcome the coach of Todd Bowles and OC Byron Leftwich who blame their inefficiency on injuries. It’s a poor cobbler who blames his tools. I should note that Prescott missed five games and still led the league in interceptions.You will see a different Cowboys club Monday night as this is one game he will not miss. Take DALLAS! |
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01-15-23 | Ravens +9.5 v. Bengals | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 20 h 56 m | Show |
Baltimore at Cincinnati 8:15 ET Ravens (+) over Bengals- Will he or will he not...nah no way that Lamar Jackson plays and that means that Baltimore will rely on their No. 4 starter a quarterback. Anthony Brown will most likely get the start as back-up No. 3 Tyler Huntley was limited in practice thru Thursday. Brown made his first career start last week against these same Bengals and was 19-of-44 for 286 but had a pair of interceptions and a lost fumble. having seen the Cincy defense as fresh as last week should be helpful. Ravens defense isn’t what is once was but is still No. 10 allowing just 324 YPG. but still No. 3 against the run allowing just 92 YPG while Bengals run game is ranked near the bottom at 29 and the Ravens even without Jackson are No. 2 in rushing at 160 YPG. Play BALTIMORE! |
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01-15-23 | Giants v. Vikings -3 | 31-24 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 22 m | Show | |
New York Giants at Minnesota 4:40 ET Really now Giants Vikings- Really now, I haven’t hear one person this week say that they like the Vikings in this game. In Las Vegas it seems everyone is enamored by the Giants and are predicting an outright win but with just 3-points to work with that is not such a stretch.No one believes that Minnesota is as good as their 13-4 record would indicate. These two played one of the most exciting game of the season on Christmas eve as the Vikings pulled out a 27-24 win as Greg Joseph made a 61-yard field goal as time expired. A little clash of trends to fog your head has the Giants 7-0 ATS after a SU loss and the road team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings but...the favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Do what you want...Take MINNESOTA |
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01-15-23 | Dolphins v. Bills -13.5 | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
Miami at Buffalo 1:00 ET Bills (-) over Dolphins- Man if you don’t like the Bills to win here you must be stuck on the 1972 undefeated Dolphins. Miami is a shipwreck with 25-year old rookie Skylar Thompson at quarterback who completed 20-of 31 passes against the Jets last week but just for 152 yards as the Dolphins failed to score a touchdown. The Bills split the series each winning at home but Miami was 2-0 ATS. Josh Allen Buffalo’s most valuable asset has 400 passing yards in the loss and threw four TDS in the victory and he is 8-2 against Miami. The Dolphins who started the season 8-3 have not won a playoff game since 2000 and that stat will remain. Take BUFFALO! |
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01-14-23 | Chargers v. Jaguars +2.5 | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 30 h 24 m | Show | |
LA Chargers at Jacksonville 8:15 ET Jaguars (+) over Chargers- With the way Jacksonville finished the season winning their last five and 6-of-7 that the public would side with the Jaguars. Not-so from what I have seen so far as the Chargers and Herbert is what the public likes. Sure why not they have great tam colors and no matter which uniform they decide to wear (except of course that deep navy they sometimes wear) they are always pleasing to the eye. Okay, enough that. The Jaguars trek to the playoffs was so unlikely as they have had coaching issues and were only 4-29 the last two seasons and started this year 2-6 so they were 6-35 before their flash finish. Trevor Lawrence is of course the key to the Jags moving forward and will key personnel hurting for LA and a home field the improbable may happen. The Chargers are 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings including 5-0 ATS at Jacksonville. But, the lone Jaguars win and cover came in week 3 when the Jags pounded a wounded Chargers club 38-10 with Lawrence throwing three TDS. Jax 5-1-1 ATS versus the AFC. Take JACKSONVILLE! |
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01-14-23 | Seahawks +10 v. 49ers | Top | 23-41 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 45 m | Show |
Seattle at San Francisco 4:30 ET Seahawks (+) over 49ers- Here we go with my nominee for MVP Geno Smith leading the upstart Seahawks in the Wildcard weekend against the NFL’s most dominating defense owned by San Francisco. The 49ers defeated Seattle twice 2-13 (-5) and 27-7 (-8.5) holding the Seahawks to a total 493 yards combined in both games. On the season they allow just 300. which is truly amazing when you think of today’s NFL offenses. The Niners also come with the No. 5 offense even with their season long quarterback issues thy have the No. 8ranked rushing attack while the Seattle rush defense is ranked 30 out of 32 allowing 150 yard on the ground per week. But, sometimes the numbers just don’t pan out. QB Brock Purdy who every knows was the final pick in the 2022 draft has been excellent at protecting the ball while throwing multiple touchdown passes in six straight games (how bout dat). Here’s some fun stuff. Hawks are 6-2 ATS in eight Wild Card games and despite their two losses this season the Seahawks are 15-7-1 ATS in the last 23 meetings. But the balance the stats SF is 8-0 ATS against the NFC West this season...they finish 8-1 ATS. Take SEATTLE! |
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01-08-23 | Lions +5 v. Packers | 20-16 | Win | 100 | 23 h 8 m | Show | |
Detroit at Green Bay 8:20 ET Lions (+) over Packers-Now it is the Packers who are hot and the Lions have won seven of nine after a 1-6 start and Green Bay has had to win their last four to get into this contest which is actually a play-in game. Detroit behind Jared Goff has the No. 4 offense in the entire NFL and are averaging 384 YPG while the packers have been in and out and are ranked No. 16 as Goff has out-performed Rodgers. The Lions have come on strong and are 12-2 ATS versus the NFC North and they are 8-1 ATS overall last nine and they are 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Take DETROIT! |
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01-08-23 | Chargers v. Broncos -3 | Top | 28-31 | Push | 0 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
LA Chargers at Denver 4:25 ET Bronco (-) over Chargers- This one belongs in the you have got to be kidding me category. Think about it, think about what we have seen out of Denver and Russell Wilson and then think of what we have seen Justin Herbert do. Now, think of how many points LA is favored by over the 4-12 Broncos whose offense is so inept they set an NFL record for fewest points by a team after 10 games and they still scored just 16 PPG. Chargers are locked-in there playoff spot and will be resting. Well, one thing is that The Broncos have always played the Chargers tough as they are 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings and they are 5-1 ATS in six meetings at home.Take DENVER! |
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01-08-23 | Giants v. Eagles -15 | Top | 16-22 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 30 m | Show |
New York Giants at Philadelphia 4:25 ET Eagles (-) over Giants- Oh man what a slaughter...a massacre, a killing, a brutal murder that is only a few of the terms that will be used when describing the final result of this contest. There will be no contest! I don’t care who is the Eagles quarterback because their defense will disassemble New York offense especially with the limited time that’s gong to be given to the starters for New York. A win for Philadelphia will assure them the No. 1 seed and a bye week. After two losses they are ready to re-establish their NFC dominance. Take PHILADELPHIA! |
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01-08-23 | Browns +2.5 v. Steelers | 14-28 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 31 m | Show | |
Cleveland at Pittsburgh 1:00 ET Browns (+) over Steelers- If turn-about is fair play then this one should work out just fine. It was in the final Monday Night game last season when the favored Browns when into to Pittsburgh and were eliminated from the payoffs and Mike Tomlin insured himself another winning season. This time around the Browns are already out of the post season and Pittsburgh needs a win here to have a shot. This to me makes the line very shallow as the home team is motivated incentive and a reason to play. Pittsburgh needs to win and for the Patriots to lose to Buffalo (very possible) and for the Jets to beat Miami also very possible. The Steelers have won three straight to get into this position as most thought (as did I ) that they were dead in the water a month ago. Kenny Pickett the Pitt rookie has out preformed veteran Deshaun Watson who has led the browns on just three TD drives in five starts. So, he better be ready for the Steel Curtain (sorry guys not even close) but it will be Mick Chubb who has averaged 147.3 yards rushing. Take CLEVELAND |
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01-08-23 | Jets +3.5 v. Dolphins | 6-11 | Loss | -120 | 16 h 23 m | Show | |
New York Jets at Miami 1:00 ET Jets over Dolphins- Both of these clubs thought that they were going to the playoffs at the halfway point...Ha it is a long season and both the Jets and Dolphins failed miserably in the second half. After a 5-2 start New York won just two of their next nine games. As for Miami they started 3-0 lost three straight and then won five straight before December and were 8-3 but haven’t won since dropping their last five games. Both clubs are short on quarterbacks and are using their fourth different starter of the season. For Miami it will be back to their third stringer Skyer Thompson who has yet to win a game. The Jets will not be playing Zach Wilson at QB under any circumstances and with Mike White once again is play hurt and will be sidelined with a rib injury. Jets have the No. 3 overall defense allowing just 311.6 YPG, while Miami’s offense is ranked No. 6 gaining 368 YPG (note: most of those yards came when Tua was leading the charge). Take NEW YORK! |
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01-08-23 | Bucs v. Falcons -3.5 | Top | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 16 h 11 m | Show |
Tampa Bay at Atlanta 1:00 ET Falcons (-) over Buccaneers- Who’s favored here...and Tom Brady says that the Buccaneers will go all out here, although they are locked into their playoff spot. I personally like him but I don’t believe him, yes he is right that they need to work but gee it’s week 18 and they can’t fix it in one week. Think of it Atlanta is favored and not just by a field goal. Tampa Bay is a sucker play and don’t fall for it. Bet no them the first week of the playoffs if you want but NOT here. Take ATLANTA! |
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01-07-23 | Chiefs -8 v. Raiders | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 22 h 54 m | Show |
Kansas City at Las Vegas 4:30 ET Chiefs (-) over Raiders- Oh my how the Raiders supporters are rallying around Jarrett Stidham because of the 500 yards of offense that Las Vegas accumulated against the NFL top defense owned by San Francisco. The Niners thought that they would cruise through Las Vegas but this is the NFL and for the most part you have to earn your wins and they did in the end as the new Tom Brady is emerging. Unlike SF, KC has something to play for, a number one seed and a first round bye in the playoffs. The Chiefs have defeated the Raiders 9-of-10 including a come-from-behind 30-29 win on a Monday night after trailing 17-0 in October. Mahomes eats up the Riders throwing 26 TD passes and only three INTs. That was Stidman’s first start anywhere since 2018 when Auburn played Purdue in the Music City Bowl. And guess what, he was limited in practice this week because of a sore elbow. Take KANSAS CITY! |
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01-01-23 | Panthers v. Bucs -3.5 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show | |
Carolina at Tampa Bay 1:00 ET Buccaneers (-) over Panthers- When you ranked dead last in rushing in the NFL averaging at only 77 yards per game you have no business playing for the division title, but somehow Tampa Bay with Tom Brady at QB they can accomplish that feat with a win at home today. The Buc’s have been burning their backers money the entire season and have covered just once in their last 13 games covering 3 1/2 months. After a horrid start Carolina has gone 5-5 under Steve Wilks and can win the division with a victory here and again next week at New Orleans (Not gonna happen). The Panthers have covered just once in their last five trips to Tampa Bay and the favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last is meetings. Take TAMPA BAY! |
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01-01-23 | Colts +5.5 v. Giants | 10-38 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 47 m | Show | |
Indianapolis at New York Giants 1:00 ET Colts (+) over NY Giants- Man what great memories of the Baltimore Colts with Johnny Unitas, Lenny Moore and their own marching band. I was nine years old an in attendance of that 1958 NFL Championship game that went into overtime (1st ever) with the Colts Allen Ameche scoring a touchdown to cover as 3.5-point favorites.It is said Baltimore owner Carroll Rosenberg instructed coach Beeb Embank to pass on the field goal to score the TD to win 23-17. Now-a-days he would only have to call one of the NFL advertising sponsors to get down. Take INDIANAPOLIS! |
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01-01-23 | Browns +2.5 v. Commanders | Top | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 15 h 49 m | Show |
Cleveland at Washington 1:00 ET Browns (+) over Commies- This line looks a bit short to me when you consider where these two teams are and who is going to play. Let me start with Washington who despite not winning a game in a month still controls their own destiny as they must of course win here and then at Dallas next week. For Cleveland there is no such pressure as they have been eliminated from playoff competition. But we will have everybody’s favorite human being Deshaun Watson at QB once again and he is 2-2 in his four starts and is off a Christmas Day performance that looked like he wanted to be somewhere else completing just 15 of 31 passes for 135 yard, no TDS and 1 INT. Carson Wentz was a starter when these guys were called Redskins (How dare they) and now he is back as the original starter in the most important game of the season against a non-play off, sub. 500 team and they are favored by less that a field goal. I don’t buy it and neither should you. Take CLEVELAND! 2 |
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01-01-23 | Saints +5.5 v. Eagles | Top | 20-10 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
New Orleans at Philadelphia Saints (+) over Eagles- If Philadelphia wins they lock up the number 1 seed in the NFL and if the Saints fail they will be eliminated from the post season. All things being even both side had the same talent the same situation you would have to say the team getting disqualified is greater motivation. That being said even with Gardner Minshew leading the charge the Eagles are stronger. The Saints defense has stepped it up the last eight games and are allowing just 15.6 points per game over that span. They have won their last two and will be entering this contest with a lot of confidence and a lot to play for. The Saints are 40-19 ATS in their last 59 road games while the Eagles are 1-4 ATS against teams with losing records. Take NEW ORLEANS! |
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12-26-22 | Chargers v. Colts +4 | Top | 20-3 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 56 m | Show |
LA Chargers at Indianapolis 8:15 ET Colts (+) over Chargers- These Colts have been something else this season and what else I couldn’t tell you other than we’ve don’t pretty well betting on and against them. Indy has lost four straight including losing the biggest lead in NFL history. Now, don’t you think that would embarrass you. The Chargers have been even better to us as we have no problems fading Herbert in the right spots and this is one of them. Indianapolis has changed quarterbacks once again and this time it will be Super Bowl MVP Nick Foles who with any luck won’t have to face Joey Bosa who does not appear to be ready. The Chargers are 1-3-1 ATS after a SU win and the underdog is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Colts 5-0 ATS after allowing 30 points or more. Take INDIANAPOLIS! |
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12-25-22 | Bucs v. Cardinals +8 | Top | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 16 h 1 m | Show |
Tampa Bay at Arizona 8:15 ET Cardinals (+) over Buccaneers- Tampa Bay leads the NFC South with a 6-8 record and is looking to back into a playoff spot by winning the division with a less than .500 record. With Carolina and New Orleans at 6-9 but holding the tie-breaking edge, so it just adds pressure on an already flawed team. Arizona is already out of the playoff picture and will have former Penn State QB 26-year old first time-starter Trace McSorely under center while the GOAT Tom Brady has started 330 times. Bucs are 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall and are dead last in rushing. Cardinals 4-0 ATS in the four meetings. Take ARIZONA! |
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12-25-22 | Broncos -2.5 v. Rams | Top | 14-51 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
Denver at LA Rams 4:30 ET Broncos (-) over Rams- This has got to be the ‘You have got to be kidding’ game of the week. With both these teams at 4-10 there really shouldn’t be much interest in the match-up except that the Super Bowl Champs are a home underdog to one of the worst offensive teams ever to grace the NFL averaging 15.6 points. With 12 different offensive line-ups and leading the league in sacks allowed and by now have just given up while Hackett’s Broncos are fighting for his job. Take DENVER! |
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12-24-22 | Raiders +2 v. Steelers | 10-13 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
Las Vegas at Pittsburgh 8:15 ET Raiders (+) over Steelers- This would have been an emotional day as it was with the anniversary of Franco Harris’s Immaculate Reception and now with his passing just day’s before he was to be honored it should have a strong impact. Las Vegas after horrid start to the season have won 4-of-5 and have blown leads of 13 points or more four this season. Trubisky will sit if Pickett clears protocol and they are just 4-11 after a SU win and the Raiders are 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings. Take LAS VEGAS! |
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12-24-22 | Eagles v. Cowboys -4 | 34-40 | Win | 100 | 18 h 56 m | Show | |
Philadelphia at Dallas 4:25 ET Cowboys (-) over Eagles- The soaring Eagles are 13-1 on the season and a perfect 7-0 SU on the road but just 2-5 ATS because they have been favored. Hurts is out and a Gardner Minshew will run the show and he has been more than capable in his limited play although he was 7-13 as a starter at Jacksonville. He had 186 yards 2 TD’s and an interception against the Cowboys last year in a loss. Dak Prescott was out in the first meeting and will look to raise he stock against one of the top defenses in the NFL. So...lay it! Take DALLAS! |
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12-24-22 | Bengals v. Patriots +3 | Top | 22-18 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 5 m | Show |
Cincinnati at New England 1:00 ET Patriots (+) over Bengals- How can anyone possibly play on the Patriots and against the Bengals after what we all witnessed last week. New England was in a dead heat with Las Vegas as time was expiring and for some reason decided that they had to win the game on the final play and second to Franco’s catch this could be the wildest final play of all time. Cincinnati meanwhile came from 17-0 and forced five straight turnover to defeat megabucks Tampa Bay. With the jets loss Thursday Cincy has clinched a playoff spot and will be care free and easy...nothing comes easy in the NFL. Take NEW ENGLAND! |
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12-24-22 | Lions v. Panthers +2.5 | Top | 23-37 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
Detroit at Carolina 1:00 ET Panthers ()+) over Lions- Here me roar... the Lions are lining up their pray and have the Panthers in sight alone with a possible wild card spot. Since blowing a huge lead to the Dolphins on October 30 Detroit has won six of seven games and have gone 7-0 ATS over that span. Carolina who is still just one-game off the lead in the NFL South was completely shut down at Pittsburgh last week and will atone for that with an all out effort here. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and the underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last eight meetings. Panthers 4-0 ATS last four versus the NFC. Take CAROLINA! |
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12-19-22 | Rams v. Packers -7 | Top | 12-24 | Win | 100 | 24 h 2 m | Show |
LA Rams at Green Bay 8:20 ET Packers (-) over Rams- Never before has a defending Super Bowl Champion (4-9) won only four games after 13 weeks of play and never before has Aaron Rogers with and his Packers so inept. Green Bay who has dominated the NFL North with during Rodgers’ rein with occasional pressure from the Vikings. As it is the Packers have won seven of the last eight meetings going 8-0 ATS with Rogers tossing 20 TD passes and only three interceptions. The Rams are 31st on offense ahead of only Houston averaging 283 YPG and are 1-4 ATS after a SU win. That’s enough for me. Take GREEN BAY! |
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12-18-22 | Giants v. Commanders -4.5 | Top | 20-12 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
New York Giants at Washington 8:20 ET Commies (-) over Giants- the Giants have on once in six weeks and from what I see out there most expect them to come to life here in Washington a team that they played to a 20-20 tie two weeks ago in New York where the Giants blew a 10-point fourth quarter lead. The former Skins held Barkley in check in the first meeting and this time the league’s No. 4 defense will squash Danny Jones. The Dores are 6-1 ATS in their last seven overall and take control here. Take WASHINGTON! |
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12-18-22 | Bengals v. Bucs +4 | Top | 34-23 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 53 m | Show |
Cincinnati at Tampa Bay 4:25 ET Buccaneers (+) over Bengals- Man, Tom Brady once again an underdog at home up against the NFL’s points spread leader Cincinnati at 10-3 ATS while Tampa Bay is dead last at 3-8-1 ATS. You know what has been said for eons and that is out with the old and in with the new as Joe Burrow takes over the mantle as the NFL’s winner! Yeah, it might seem that way but The Buc’s Tom Brady actually leads the NFL in competitions and yardage so the problem falls elsewhere. Burrow mentioned this week that this is just another game but I don’t believe Tampa Bay is approaching it the same way. The Bucs are desperate for a win as their playoff spot slips away. take TAMPA BAY! |
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12-18-22 | Titans +3 v. Chargers | Top | 14-17 | Push | 0 | 22 h 30 m | Show |
Tennessee at LA Chargers 4:25 ET Titans (+) over Chargers- We were winners with and against both these clubs last weeks as our Vegas Insider jaguars won outright over Tennessee and the Chargers cleaned house with our Sunday Night Stand alone winner over Miami. So, what I am trying to get to is that I believe that i have a really good feel for what is going on and I can see th Titans being a bully to a banged up team that rose to the occasion on national TV and now will revert to form. The Titans are 14-5 ATS on the road against winning teams and th Chargers are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 home games against teams with winning records. Take TENNESSEE! |
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12-18-22 | Eagles v. Bears +9 | 25-20 | Win | 100 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
Philadelphia at Chicago 1:00 ET Bears (+) over Eagles- Okay, I must admit that while they were undergraduates I hardly expected for these two No. 1 quarterback draft picks to emerge as they have. Philadelphia’s Jalen Hurts has taken over the MVP talk on all media outlets and his adversary for Chicago Justin Fields is setting NFL rushing records for QB’s in every start. The Eagles have soared over their last three opponents covering while having a 575 yards gained advantage and that’s pretty dominating. Meanwhile, the Bears have lost their last six and nine of 10 but the have the No. 1 rushing team in the NFL with 189 YPG most provided by QB Fields. Oh, did I fail to mention that that behind that same guy Chicago is dead last in passing.Eagles are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight rod games and the Bears have been so terrible that I can’t even find a positive trend...honest. The positive thing will come with the results. Take CHICAGO! |
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12-18-22 | Cowboys v. Jaguars +4 | 34-40 | Win | 100 | 18 h 17 m | Show | |
Dallas at Jacksonville 1:00 ET Jaguars (+) over Cowboys- At this point of the season it appears like Dallas can do just about whatever they want. The didn’t want to crush the Texans last week and were on cruise control until the final four minutes when they turned it on and posted an uninspiring 27-23 victory. When we saw from Vegas Insider winner Jacksonville last week may have been the blooming of Trevor Lawrence as he delivered the type of performance that we have expected. As quick as the cowboys look at home they seem to lose something when playing on natural grass where they are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10. The dog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Take JACKSONVILLE! |
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12-17-22 | Colts +4 v. Vikings | Top | 36-39 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
Indianapolis at Minnesota 1:00 ET Colts (+) over Vikings- Minnesota is in the same spot this week as last when what they need is one victory to clinch the division and a playoff. They are coming off a 34-23 loss at Detroit and are hosting the leagues’ second worst scoring team averaging 16.1 PPG who lost to Dallas 54-19 on December 4. In that contest the Cowboys scored 33 unanswered fourth quarter points and the Colts have had two weeks to regroup and wash away the stench they carried after that game.The Vikings are not respected by the odds makers so I why should I. Take INDIANAPOLIS! |
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12-15-22 | 49ers v. Seahawks +3.5 | Top | 21-13 | Loss | -115 | 32 h 39 m | Show |
San Francisco at Seattle 8:15 ET Seahawks (+) over 49ers- Maybe the Niners don’t really need a quarterback with experience as they are able to post wins because the the NFL toughest and No. 1 overall defense. San Fran already posted a win over the Seahawks in September and Seattle has dropped their last two games and needs a win in the worst way to right the ship. The 49ers have nothing but positive stats except for one and this trend is way vital. They are just 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Seattle and 6-15-1 ATS in the last 22 meetings overall. Take SEATTLE! |
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12-12-22 | Patriots v. Cardinals +2 | Top | 27-13 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
New England at Arizona 8:15 ET Cardinals over Patriots- Arizona as we might remember start the 2021 season with seven straight wins and it has been all downhill since. The Cardinals are 4-8 and with five games remaining are 3-games behind the conference leader. Cliff Kingsbury the Red Birds leader is on the hot seat here as the disappointment of the season falls on him and the best shortstop in the NFL Kyler Murray as he has thrown for less than 200 yard in each of the past two games. New England has lost their last two and are having problems at the quarterback position as well as Mac Jones has fallen short of a solid rookie season. In need it’s... ARIZONA! |
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12-11-22 | Dolphins v. Chargers +3.5 | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 28 h 2 m | Show |
Miami at LA Chargers 8:20 ET Chargers (+) over Dolphins- I have it on good authority that the Chargers are coming to play this week against the favored Dolphins. Los Angeles (I still have trouble with that) is truly banged up and always do enough to lose but with an excuse be it coaching, penalties or player miscues the always seem to disappoint. Miami was man-handed by the 49ers last week and stayed in southern Cal as opposed to returning round trip to and from Miami. Charger defense has allowed 150 or more yards rushing six straight games but no to worry Miami only averages 89 YRP ranking No. 28. Running the ball is where LA need to shine as they try to recover from an 86 yard performance against Vegas last week and are 9-3 ATS the week after gaining less than 90 yards on the ground. So, it all comes out that that home team gets the Money going 7-3 ATS last 10 meetings. Take LA CHARGERS! |
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12-11-22 | Chiefs v. Broncos +9 | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 23 h 25 m | Show | |
Kansas City at Denver 4:05 ET Broncos (+) over Chiefs- This is a grand match up to the point that the NFL moved it out of the Prime time position. Kansas City has the Number One offense in the NFL in multiple categories including points scored with 29.2 PPG. Denver can boost of the No. 3 defense in yards allowed and No. 2 in points allowed at 17. The Chiefs have won 13 straight in the series and are 7-1 ATS in their last eight trips to Denver while the Broncos (+6) who lost 10-9 last week are 0-7 ATS after a point spread win as well as 1-4 TAS last five at home. But, the Chiefs are in the point spread doldrums and will do just enough to get by. In spite of all that I have given you...take DENVER! |
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12-11-22 | Jaguars +3.5 v. Titans | 36-22 | Win | 100 | 20 h 15 m | Show | |
Jacksonville at Tennessee 1:00 ET Jaguars (+) over Titans- Why does it seem that every week I am looking to play on the Jaguars and against the Titans. Honestly probably more successful against Tennessee but Jacksonville was a huge winner for us over the Ravens two weeks ago. Shiny Jacksonville quarterback Trevor Lawrence has had limited practice time this week and is questionable and C.J. Beathard would lead the charge if the ‘big-guy’ can’t make it. With such a drop off in possible QB usage I have to believe that Lawrence will start and the Titans are in for a battle if the Jaguars can bite the leg of Derek Henry. Coming off their worst game of the year the Jaguars surprise in the division game. take JACKSONVILLE! |
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12-11-22 | Browns +6 v. Bengals | Top | 10-23 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 30 m | Show |
Cleveland at Cincinnati 1:00 ET Browns (+) over Bengals- I love just about everything about this match up as the AFC defending Champs are off a huge victory over Kansas City last week as Joe Burrow remains undefeated against Patrick Mahomes. But, one team who Burrow has yet to beat on the field is the Browns. Cleveland finally has their starting quarterback in Deshaun Watson who was less then stellar last week against Houston. With the rust being played out I expect a bit of improvement from Watson and a letdown by the Bengals. Take CLEVELAND! |
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12-08-22 | Raiders v. Rams +6 | Top | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 31 h 9 m | Show |
Las Vegas at LA Rams 8:15 ET Rams (+) over Raiders- I just love it and if ‘we’ lose this match-up I will have more than egg on my face. Los Angeles is having the worst season after a Super Bowl victory. We all expect a down fall after winning the Big-One but injuries and down play have a decimated roster have been the major factor. Las Vegas on the other hand was so over-rated that they had to tank the first half of the year and then when the public soured on them they started to win. So now, the public is back and they are ready to tank again. PS...2nd worst defense in NFL. Take LA RAMS! |
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12-05-22 | Saints v. Bucs -3 | Top | 16-17 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
New Orleans at Tampa Bay 8:15 ET Saints (-) over Buccaneers- Over the years it has been a losing proposition to fade Tom Brady as he in the greatest winner in NFL history. But, under the current circumstances with limited offensive talent to work with and a head coach that has never been successful as a head coach in his prior experiences. The Buccaneers at 5-6 are in perfect position leading the NFC South by two-games in the loss column over all other division clubs. New Orleans has lost their last two getting shut out by the 49ers last week and have averaged just 250 YPG their last three contests. The Saints are 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings including 4-0 ATS in their last four at Tampa Bay. Bucs 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine home games. But guess what, I am not fading Tom Brady tonight. This is not the same Saints team that was led by Sean Payton. Take TAMPA BAY! |
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12-04-22 | Chiefs v. Bengals +2.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 24 h 25 m | Show | |
Kansas City at Cincinnati 4:25 ET Bengals (+) over Bengals- All that I’ve heard all week is how Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs are looking to extract a measure of revenge against the Bengals who knocked Kansas City out of the playoffs after trailing by double-digits. Kansas City has won five straight and Mahomes leads the NFL with 3,585 yards and 29 TD passes while Cincinnati has won their last two and after an 0-2 start they are 7-2. Here’s the dilio, KC is 0-7-1 ATS in their last eight games versus the AFC and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five trips to the Queen City. Bengals 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games. take CINCINNATI! |
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12-04-22 | Dolphins v. 49ers -4 | 17-33 | Win | 100 | 24 h 2 m | Show | |
Miami at San Francisco 4;25 ET 49ers(-) over Dolphins- Hey, ya know what I just Heard on Las Vegas radio (no not Brittany pears) but that Miami’s offense in a fraud...personally I don’t think so but they make a good point which I shall share with you all. It was pointed out to me that the Dolphins have been lucky enough to have played against some of the NFL’s worst defenses including games against the Lions, Texans, Bears, Browns and Ravens. They will see a different animal on the West coast as the Niners rank No. 1 in total defense allowing just 281 YPG and are 7-2 ATS last nine home games and Fins 0-3-1 ATS against teams with winning home records. Take SAN FRANCISCO! |
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12-04-22 | Jets +3 v. Vikings | 22-27 | Loss | -114 | 21 h 13 m | Show | |
New York Jets at Minnesota 1:00 ET Jets (+) over Vikings- Believe it or not but Minnesota can clinch the NFC North with a win here and a Jacksonville win at Detroit. Seems silly at this point of the season but the division is that weak. That won’t matter here as the Vikings will have to wait a week at least. New York has found the magic elixir and his name is Mike White who has replaced Zach Wilson leading the Jets to a season high 466 yards of offense against the Bears last week. The club has responded to the change and now believe that with their defense (Ranked No. 5) they can make the playoffs and cause some damage. Like what they do against the Vikings. Take the NEW YORK J-E-T-S! |
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12-04-22 | Titans v. Eagles -4 | 10-35 | Win | 100 | 21 h 4 m | Show | |
Tennessee at Philadelphia 1:00 ET Eagles (-) over Titans- I am a bit surprised at what I am seeing surrounding this game as I expected people to gravitate to the high flying eagles especially after them beating the packers without much difficulty and the Titans falling tat home to Cincinnati. Philadelphia has incentive as a win clinches the division along the best record currently in the NFC. Tennessee is have problems in the red-zone as their one sided offense meets resistance closer to the goal. Eagles No. 2 on defense allowing just 304 YPG and are No. 4 on offense averaging 382 YPG. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings and the beat goes on...take PHILADELPHIA! |
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12-04-22 | Jaguars +1 v. Lions | Top | 14-40 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 49 m | Show |
Jacksonville at Detroit 1:00 ET Jaguars (+) over Lions- Here I am thinking that Detroit is that hot team and now the book-makers do this. What you ask? Well, the Lions and Jaguars have the same record (4-7) and the Lions had won three straight until Thanksgiving against the Bills but have covered four in-a-row while Jacksonville is off their thrilling come-from-behind win over the Ravens winning for only the 2nd time in their last eight games. I though I saw something in the Jags last week that make me believe that they are getting better and by the looks of this line so do the odds-makers. Take JACKSONVILLE! |
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12-01-22 | Bills v. Patriots +5 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 6 m | Show |
Buffalo at New England 8:15 ET Patriots (+) over Bills- Is Buffalo just slogging their way their the season before they start to show some real stuff that is expected of them or is what you see is what you get. Or can they be the most overrated team in the NFL and just don’t measure up to other expectations. are No. 2 in totals gaining 416 a game and they are No. 3 in passing with Josh Allen leading the way. The Bills Josh Allen is their leading rushing with Singletary close behind but, Allen has been involved in over 500 plays between his passing and running and that much usage with take its toll especially in the NFL. The Patriots are not in Buffalo’s class and the Bills are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four trips to Bean-town but they are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five road games and the Pats are 7-3 ATS at home and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall. Belichick will find a way to steal this one. Take NEW ENGLAND! |
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11-28-22 | Steelers +3 v. Colts | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 15 h 20 m | Show |
Pittsburgh at Indianapolis 8:15 ET Steelers (+) over Colts- Wait a second...Indy is the home team. Not paying too close attention until the weekend and I had thought because of the meager line that the game was in Pittsburgh. So what they bookie is saying is that the Steelers would be favored at a neutral site. Everybody is pulling for Jeff Saturday and well this Monday after defeating the Raiders in Las Vegas and battling the Eagles to the final gun in the City of Brotherly Love (that is a frickin’ joke) the return home with a Dickens thought of Great Expectations. Too bad the odds-makers sees disappointment in store for Colts fans. Take PITTSBURGH! |
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11-27-22 | Raiders +4 v. Seahawks | 40-34 | Win | 100 | 23 h 34 m | Show | |
Las Vegas at Seattle 4:05 ET Raiders (+) over Seahawks- What a great season it has been for the Raider haters as Vegas suckered the locals into a win total that was 7.5 and they bought into it, but, the sentiment has switched off as Las Vegas has taken down it’s backers 7-of-10 times. Watching them recover and get a gift win at Denver has lifted their spirits and confidence. Seattle has been great running off a 5-game SU and ATS winning streak before being exposed in Germany two weeks ago. Rust shows here as Raiders surprise. Take LAS VEGAS! |
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11-27-22 | Chargers v. Cardinals +3 | Top | 25-24 | Win | 100 | 23 h 33 m | Show |
LA Chargers at Arizona 4:05 ET Cardinals (+) over Chargers- Like I said the Chargers do just enough to get you beat as they covered their last two against the points but lost both games outright to the Chiefs and Niners. Arizona on the other hand after starting, oh what was it 6-0 or 7-0 last season has been one the the worsts covers in the NFL. Coaching has been called into question along with a shortstop playing QB who refuses film study and would rather just wing it. But that will work against these guys because they know how to lose. Take ARIZONA! |
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11-27-22 | Ravens v. Jaguars +3.5 | 27-28 | Win | 100 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
Baltimore at Jacksonville 1:00 ET Jaguars (+) over Ravens- We know what the Ravens are now for and they are living up to that expectation and even more. Baltimore’s defense is among the leaders in all defensive stats, as they are 2nd in forced turnovers, 3rd in fewest rushing yards allowed and 3rd best in third-down stoppage. Jackson leads the NFL in YPA with 6.9 and that helps the weakness in other parts of his game. Stats are great and I have a few for you. The Ravens are is 0-4-1 ATS in their last five visits to Jacksonville and the home teams is 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Take JACKSONVILLE! |
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11-27-22 | Bucs v. Browns +3.5 | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 20 h 32 m | Show |
Tampa Bay at Cleveland 1:00 ET Browns (+) over Buccaneers- Poor Tommy-boy is taking the heat from every where except at home where it is now peaceful and his number and play are as good as ever. To me the problems start with head coaching along with injuries and a receivers corps that lead the NFL in dropped passes. The Bucs are 0-7-1 ATS as the sod seems to slow them down while the Browns without Watson at QB average over 150 yards on the ground and will dictate the tempo. Take CLEVELAND! |
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11-24-22 | Patriots +2.5 v. Vikings | Top | 26-33 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 17 m | Show |
New England at Minnesota 8:20 ET Patriots (+) over Vikings- How can I possibly consider New England in this spot and make you all sick after a great dinner and days winning picks. Having used a Dallas as a Megabucks winner against Minnesota I was so looking to rebounding with them on Thanksgiving, closing the day a perfect 3-0. Yeah, well wishful thinking! But, now with the hapless offense that the Patriots bring into this fray and the bookies making the Vikings just a field goal it makes believe it’s way too low and why. It is because Minny isn’t as good as their record of is it the that Bill Belichick will devise some sort of game plan to disrupt the Vikes offense. Don’t don’t Jones looks like Wilson of the Jets and yet the line says lay the field goal...oh yeah, maybe someone else. If I get beat I get best. but this number is silly. Take NEW ENGLAND! |
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11-24-22 | Giants v. Cowboys -10 | 20-28 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 28 m | Show | |
NY Giants at Dallas 4:30 ET Giants (+) over Cowboys- At first glance I loved the Giants as I could see a bounce back for them and after Dallas’ 40-3 Megabucks win over Minnesota that they would come back toward the middle. But, that was when I thought the line would give the Giants a fighting chance...but it doesn’t. As a 9-point favorite it has become too inviting to jump on the Giants while laying close to double-digits is no bargain in this NFL. Dallas will return home after a bye and a pair of road games to play at home for the for first time since Oct. 30. Cowboys defense No. 1 against the pass and Danny Turnover Jones will cough it up more than once. Boys 22-7 against NFC East and New York is 3-7 against NFC East and 2-9 ATS in last 11 visits to Big D. Take DALLAS! |
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11-24-22 | Bills -9.5 v. Lions | 28-25 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 26 m | Show | |
Buffalo at Detroit 12:30 ET Bills (-) over Lions- Oh, how the mighty have fallen, ha but believe me not too far. Buffalo who was expected to breeze through the AFC East have had a few disappointing outings but have still won 7-of-10. The Lions have come roaring back into the media speak as they have won and cover three straight after four straight ATS and SU losses. Bills remained in Detroit after their win over the Browns are will be comfortable playing on Thanksgiving with their No. 2 offense averaging 417.4 YPG against the prides No. 32 defense surrendering 416 YPG. That is enough for me. Take BUFFALO! |
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11-21-22 | 49ers -7.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 38-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 27 m | Show |
San Francisco vs Arizona 8:15 ET 49ers (-) over Cardinals- Basically the question is..do I believe that the Cardinals can defeating the defending Super Bowl champion LA Rams one week and then San Francisco the next. No, I don’t think they can or will do it. The birds will have an injured wing against the No. 1 49ers defense with tight end Ertz out and Hopkins among six other starter not practicing this week. Niners’ McCaffrey getting comfortable and receiving more reps. Arizona 2-9 ATS on Monday nights and Mexico won’t help. Take SAN FRANCISCO! |
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11-20-22 | Chiefs v. Chargers +5.5 | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 28 h 55 m | Show | |
Kansas City at LA Chargers 5:20 ET Chiefs (-) over Chargers- It seems like it is always the same old story concerning the Chargers be it in San Diego or LA or the moon they do just enough to get beat. Kansas City can coast with their lead and talent and should play to their level of their competition meaning play down here. It’s only half way till the playoffs and the Chiefs have been there before. LA is a desperate mode after loss to Niners. Take Los Angeles! |
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11-20-22 | Commanders v. Texans +3 | 23-10 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 22 m | Show | |
Washington at Houston 1:00 ET Texans (+) over Commies- Yes, that household name Taylor Heincke is making his case for Carson Wentz’ job and he has earned it. A real gutsy play that does what ever he can to win, he stands up to the rush and takes the hit to complete the play. The Commanders have won 3-of-4 since he took over at QB that loss of course was to Minnesota after leading by 10 points in the fourth. Coming off their Monday upset of Philadelphia the Commies might get caught here as they are 3-9 ATS when playing on a Sunday after a Monday night game. Texans are 4-1 ATS after a loss. Take HOUSTON! |
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11-20-22 | Bears v. Falcons -2.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
Chicago at Atlanta 1:00 ET Falcons (-) over Bears- With Justin Fields running wild out of te quarterback position the Bears have emerged as the NFL’s No. 1 rushing team with 201.7 YPG. Atlanta runs the ball better from the running back position averaging 160 yards rushing good for fourth in the league. Here’s the rub with both these teams is the Chicago is dead last in passing yards with just 128.1 per game while the Falcons are not much better ranked 30th with 157 per. The Dirty-Birds are 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS since defeating the Niners five weeks ago. With the only guy that can throw the ball playing for the home team I’ll play the Falcons. Take ATLANTA! |
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11-20-22 | Lions +3 v. Giants | Top | 31-18 | Win | 100 | 20 h 57 m | Show |
Detroit at New York Giants 1:00 ET Lions (+) over Giants- Has there been a bigger turn around than what is going on with New York Giants (Green slim fans claim it’s the J-E-T-S) who are 7-2 and gaining attention. A healthy Saquon Barley has been the key as his 931 rushing yards lead the NFL and Danny ‘Dimes’ turnover improvement has kept the Jints alive. ones season high passing yards is 217 and winning with so few yards passing will be difficult to continue. Detroit is playing with confidence after their rally against the Bears for their second straight win. There offense has picked up the last three games with just one turnover. The road team is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings. Take DETROIT! |
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11-17-22 | Titans +3.5 v. Packers | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 24 h 53 m | Show | |
Tennessee at Green Bay 8:15 ET Titans (+) over Packers- Green Bay ended their five-game losing streak with an improbable come-from-behind win over Dallas Sunday, Trailing 28-14 in the 4th quarter the Cowboys lost for the first time after 195 wins when having a 14-point final period lead when the Packers rallied. The Pack have won 2-of-3 meetings including a 40-14 home romp last season in week 16. The Titans Travis Henry is a load and saw his steak of 5-games with 100 yards rushing end last week against Denver but Green Bay’s defense allows 4.8 yards per carry. He should have a field day and Aaron will pull a Derek Carr and cry about something after this one is final. Take TENNESSEE! |