Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-08-24 | Purdue +7 v. Connecticut | Top | 60-75 | Loss | -112 | 16 h 36 m | Show |
At 9:20 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers + the points over the Connecticut Huskies. Similar to the 2021 championship game between Baylor and Gonzaga, which pitted the top two teams in the country, this is the match-up that most basketball aficionados wanted to see. Connecticut is the defending champion, and has gone 11-0 SU/ATS in the NCAA Tournament the past two seasons. And Purdue has Zach Edey, the best NCAA Basketball player for the past two seasons. There's no doubt that UConn is the better team, with its five starters all projected to go among the top 44 players drafted in the upcoming NBA draft (with Donovan Clingan projected at #14, and Stephon Castle at #8). But I believe Purdue is uniquely positioned to give the Huskies a supreme battle. The Boilers combine the interior play of 7'4" Edey with outside marksmen that ranked #2 (of 362 NCAA teams) in three-point FG percentage this season, at 40.8%. Dating back to 1991, this is the 18th NCAA Tournament game between two #1 seeds. The underdog has gone 10-7 in the prior match-ups, including a perfect 4-0 ATS when getting 7+ points. Also, Purdue has generally delivered as an underdog, as it's 9-2-1 ATS its last 12 when getting 1.5 (or more) points. The Boilermakers fall into 48-11, 20-2, 26-5 and 88-48 ATS systems of mine, and we'll grab the points with Matt Painter's men. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-06-24 | NC State +9.5 v. Purdue | Top | 50-63 | Loss | -120 | 77 h 21 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack + the points over Purdue. The Wolfpack have been the best point spread team in this tournament, as they've covered the point spread by an average of 13.37 ppg. Even better, the Wolfpack have won nine straight games, including a perfect 7-0 SU/ATS as an underdog. And those included ACC Tourney victories over Duke (as an 11-point underdog), and North Carolina (as a 10-point dog). They blew out Marquette and Duke (again), as 7.5-point underdogs in each game, last weekend in the Sweet 16/Elite 8 Rounds to reach this semi-final game. It's true that Purdue was my preseason pick (at 15-1 odds) to win the Championship. And Purdue was also the team I selected to win this tournament in my March Madness bracket. But the last thing I want to do is lay points to this NC State club. For technical support, consider that teams seeded #4 (or worse), off 4+ wins, have gone 15-0 ATS their last 15 as underdogs vs. top-3-seeded teams at the Sweet 16 Round forward. Take North Carolina St. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-04-24 | Indiana State -2.5 v. Seton Hall | Top | 77-79 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 59 m | Show |
At 7 pm, on Thursday, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Indiana St. Sycamores minus the points over Seton Hall. We played on both the Pirates and Sycamores in their respective semi-final games, and got the $$$ with each. We will roll with Indiana St. in this championship game, as it will be playing in front of a very home-friendly crowd in Indianapolis -- just 84 miles from Terre Haute. Indiana St. erupted for 100 points on Tuesday night vs. Utah, and that bodes well for it in this title game, as it has gone 60-31-2 ATS following a victory where it scored more than 78 points. Meanwhile, the Pirates have played much better at home this season than away from home, as they've covered the spread by 3.67 ppg at home, but have failed to cover by 1.88 ppg away from home, going 6-10 ATS. We'll lay the points with Indiana St. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-02-24 | Georgia v. Seton Hall -4 | Top | 67-84 | Win | 100 | 41 h 47 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Seton Hall Pirates minus the points over Georgia. The Pirates' last game was a 23-point blowout of UNLV, as a 6.5-point cover. And that 23-point win was the biggest margin of victory by any team so far in this NIT Tournament. And its 16.5-point cover was the 2nd biggest point spread margin. We'll ride the Pirates off that huge game, as they're 27-4 ATS following a game where they covered the spread by 12+ points, if they were matched up against a foe off a SU win in their current game (including a perfect 10-0 ATS as a favorite). Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-02-24 | Utah v. Indiana State -2.5 | Top | 90-100 | Win | 100 | 38 h 9 m | Show |
At 7 pm, in the NIT Tournament, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Indiana State Sycamores minus the points over the Utah Utes. This game will be played at Hinkle Fieldhouse, on the campus of Butler University, in Indianapolis -- just 84 miles from Terre Haute. So, expect a crowd squarely in the Sycamores' corner. We'll lay the points with Indiana St, and go against a Utah team which has had its problems away from home. The Utes earned their trip to the NIT semifinals with 3 home wins, and they covered the spread in each by 11.5, 4 and 1.5 points. For the season, Utah went 18-2 SU and 14-6 ATS at home, and covered the point spread by an average of 6.17 ppg. Unfortunately, it was a completely different story away from Salt Lake City, as Utah went 4-12 SU, 5-11 ATS, and FAILED to cover the point spread by an average of 4.73 ppg. And Utah's road travails haven't been just this season. Dating back to 2019, they're 17-51 SU and 21-46-1 ATS away from home, and failed to cover by an average of 4.59 ppg. Indiana State, meanwhile, has held its own away from home, with a 15-5 SU record, and a 10-10 ATS record. And it's covered the spread, on average, by 1.21 ppg away from home. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-31-24 | NC State v. Duke -7 | Top | 76-64 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over NC State. The Blue Devils sent #1-seeded Houston packing on Friday night. And teams that eliminated #1 seeds have gone on to a sweet 18-6 ATS record in the Elite 8 Round. Over the first three rounds of the tourney, the Blue Devils have covered the spread by an average of 14.83 ppg. I won't step in front of Duke here, and especially not when it's playing with revenge from a 74-69 defeat in the ACC Tournament. Key stat: NC State is a woeful 1-7 ATS when installed as an underdog vs. an opponent it upset in the season's prior meeting. Lay the points with the Blue Devils. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-30-24 | Illinois +8.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 52-77 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini + the points over the Connecticut Huskies. Admittedly, the Huskies are deserving of their #1 ranking. They've won and covered all three NCAA Tourney games, including a 30-point blowout of San Diego State on Thursday. But top-3-seeded favorites of more than 5 points have gone 0-10 ATS at the Sweet 16 Round forward, off a cover by more than 7 points, if they were matched up against a foe off an upset win. That certainly doesn't bode well for UConn this evening against an excellent Illinois team checking in off an upset win over the Big 12 Tourney champs, Iowa St. The Illini, for their part, won the Big 10 Conference tournament, and have now won 10 of 11 games, including their last seven in a row. And they've covered 5 straight. Here, they've been installed as a huge underdog vs. the defending champion Huskies. And we'll happily grab the points, as top-3-seeded teams have gone a perfect 7-0 ATS as underdogs of 8+ points, dating back to March 28, 1998. Moreover, since the Big 10 started its post-season tourney, its champs have been terrific as underdogs in the NCAA Tournament, as they've gone 10-5 ATS, including a perfect 3-0 ATS in the Elite 8 Round. Likewise, the Illini have been stellar as underdogs this season, going 5-1-1 ATS. And they're 21-10-1 ATS their last 32 as underdogs, including a perfect 6-0-1 ATS when getting 6 or more points. Finally, this season, the Illini have gone 14-4 ATS away from home, and have covered the spread in those 18 games by an average of 6 ppg (UConn has not done as well away from home, as it's covered the spread by an average of 2.43 ppg). Take the Illini. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-29-24 | Gonzaga v. Purdue -5 | Top | 68-80 | Win | 100 | 82 h 45 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, on Friday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Gonzaga. The Boilermakers were my preseason Futures pick to win the NCAA Title (at 15-1 odds), and they've done nothing to reduce my confidence. We played on the Boilers in their opening round game vs. Grambling, and got the $$$ in their 28-point win, but we stayed on the sidelines in their 39-point blowout win over Utah St. We'll jump back in and lay the points with Purdue against Gonzaga, as NCAA teams that won their first two tourney games by a combined 55+ points have covered 67% since 1990 in the Tournament's Sweet 16 Round. Gonzaga also won its two tourney games in blowout fashion by 21 points each. Unfortunately, it's an ugly 1-10-1 ATS its last 12 games after back-to-back wins by 15+ points. These two teams met earlier this season, and Purdue handed the Zags a 10-point loss, 73-63. The Boilers are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games, while Gonzaga is 19-31-1 ATS in its last 51 non-conference games, including 0-11 ATS vs. non-conference foes on 2-game or better) ATS win streaks. Take the Boilermakers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-28-24 | San Diego State +11 v. Connecticut | Top | 52-82 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 44 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, on Thursday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the San Diego St. Aztecs + the points over Connecticut. This is a rematch of last year's championship game, won by UConn, 76-59. Both teams come into this game off big wins. UConn defeated Northwestern, 75-58, while San Diego State blew out Yale, 85-57. We'll take Brian Dutcher's men as double-digit dogs, as the Aztecs are a spectacular 102-49-2 ATS off a win by 14+ points, if they weren't favored by more than 10 points, including 46-15-1 ATS vs. foes with a W/L percentage > .750. And they're 44-22-1 ATS after scoring 85+ points. Finally, the Aztecs are 56-29-2 ATS on neutral courts, or at home, when playing with revenge. Take San Diego St. + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-27-24 | UNLV v. Seton Hall -4.5 | Top | 68-91 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
At 7 pm, on Wednesday, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Seton Hall Pirates minus the points over UNLV. Since its founding in 1999, the Mountain West Conference teams have had stark results in post-season tournaments depending on whether they were playing at home, or away from home. At home, the Mountain West has been great vs. non-conference foes, as its teams have gone 32-20 ATS. But away from home, it's been a different story, as the Mountain West has gone 50-92-2 ATS. The Big East Conference has also dominated the Mountain West in the post-season, going 12-3 ATS. Lay the points with Seton Hall. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-27-24 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Norfolk State +1.5 | Top | 67-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
At 7 pm, in the CIT Tournament championship game, our selection is on the Norfolk State Spartans + the points over Purdue-Fort Wayne. The Spartans will play at home in this Title game, and have been installed as an underdog vs. the Mastodons. Fort Wayne is a wallet-breaking 14-22-2 ATS its last 38 as road favorites. And it's 1-10 ATS its last 11 as a road favorite vs. a foe off a straight-up win. Finally, the Mastodons are 0-4 ATS on the road in the post-season when not getting more than 5 points. Take the points with Norfolk in this CIT Tournament title game. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-25-24 | Chicago State +5.5 v. Fairfield | Top | 74-77 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Chicago State Cougars + the points over Fairfield. The Cougars come into this game off an upset win over UC San Diego, as a 10-point underdog. We'll take the Cougars this afternoon and fade a Stags team which has gone 30-45 ATS its last 75 as a favorite. And when matched up against a foe off a SU win, the Stags have gone 28-53-2 ATS their last 83, including 5-11-1 ATS in the post-season. Take Chicago State + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-24-24 | Yale v. San Diego State -5 | Top | 57-85 | Win | 100 | 16 h 41 m | Show |
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the San Diego State Aztecs minus the points over Yale. We played on the Bulldogs Friday vs. Auburn, and were rewarded with 78-76 win, as a 14.5-point underdog. Unfortunately for Yale, it's not getting double-digits today. And teams seeded 13 thru 16 have cashed just 24.2% in the 2nd round of the NCAA Tournament when priced from +4.5 to +9 points. We'll fade the Bulldogs, and lay the points with SDSU. |
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03-24-24 | Northwestern +14.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 58-75 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
At 7:45 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats + the points over Connecticut. Chris Collins' men have been installed as a double-digit dog vs. the defending champion Huskies. We'll grab the points, as NCAA tourney teams not seeded #16 have gone 65-43 ATS vs. foes off back to back ATS wins. Additionally, the Wildcats are 17-6 ATS their last 23 as an underdog. Take Northwestern. |
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03-24-24 | Grand Canyon v. Alabama -5.5 | Top | 61-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Grand Canyon. The Crimson Tide have been great over the last couple of seasons as a favorite, and horrible as an underdog. When laying points, 'Bama is 29-16-2 ATS its last 47. But in the underdog role, it's failed miserably, going 1-9 SU and 2-8 ATS its last 10. The good news, then, for Nate Oats men is that they're favored this evening vs. the Antelopes. Take the Crimson Tide. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-24-24 | Evansville +2.5 v. Quinnipiac | Top | 64-63 | Win | 100 | 51 h 37 m | Show |
At 5:30 pm, in the CBI Tournament, our selection is on the Evansville Purple Aces + the points over Quinnipiac. The Bobcats lost to St. Peters, 62-60, in the Metro Atlantic Tourney, and finished with a 24-9 record. Unfortunately, for the Bobcats, they're a wallet-busting 17-34-2 ATS as a favorite following a straight-up loss. And they're a poor 4-13 ATS in post-season games when they've owned a win percentage > .450. Meanwhile, Evansville has gone 9-2-1 ATS its last 12 non-conference games. And Missouri Valley teams have been strong in the CBI Tourney, going 19-11 ATS. Grab the points with Evansville. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-24-24 | Minnesota v. Indiana State -7.5 | Top | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 46 h 8 m | Show |
At 2 pm, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Indiana St. Sycamores minus the points over Minnesota. After narrowly missing the NCAA Tournament, the Sycamores showed they wanted to win this NIT Tourney with a strong victory (101-92) over SMU, on Wednesday. Indiana State is back home for this game against the Gophers. And Indiana State is 22-2 SU and 20-4 ATS at home off a straight-up win. Lay the points. |
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03-24-24 | Presbyterian +8.5 v. Montana | Top | 79-82 | Win | 100 | 46 h 38 m | Show |
At 1:00 pm, in the CBI Tournament, our selection is on the Presbyterian Blue Hose + the points over Montana. Presbyterian played very well down the stretch, going 9-3-1 ATS their last 13 games. The Grizzlies certainly had a good season, with a 21-10 record. However, the Blue Hose has gone 25-16-3 ATS their last 44 vs. winning opponents, including a perfect 10-0 ATS when priced from +7.5 to +11.5. Take Presbyterian + the points. |
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03-23-24 | Oregon v. Creighton -4.5 | Top | 73-86 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Creighton Bluejays minus the points over Oregon. The Ducks exploded for 87 points in their 87-73 win over South Carolina. And that was the most points Oregon has scored in its last 20 games. But off that win, we'll fade the Ducks, as they're 8-19 ATS off a high-scoring win, in which they tallied 85+ points. And they're also 4-13 ATS as an underdog, priced from +2 to +8, off a SU win. Meanwhile, Creighton is a stellar 37-14 ATS as a favorite of 8 or less points vs. non-conference foes off a win. Lay the points with the Bluejays. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-23-24 | Washington State +7 v. Iowa State | Top | 56-67 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars + the points over Iowa State. We played on Wazzu on Thursday, and got the $$$ when the Cougars upset Drake. They'll try to make it two-upsets-in-a-row this evening when they take on the Big 12 champion Cyclones. Iowa State comes into this game off four SU/ATS wins. Unfortunately, it's a dreadful 7-23-2 ATS away from home when on a 4-game (or better) ATS win streak, including 1-11-1 ATS when priced from +2.5 to -7.5 points, and 0-12-2 ATS their last 14 when matched up against a foe off an ATS win. Even worse for Iowa State: Pac-12 teams are 38-20 ATS their last 58 as underdogs in the NCAA Tournament (and 8-0 ATS their last 8 as underdogs vs. the Big 12 in the Tourney). Finally, the Cougars fall into several of my favorites systems, with records of 34-5, 65-23 and 98-50 ATS. Take Washington State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-23-24 | Delaware State +12.5 v. Seattle University | Top | 66-79 | Loss | -109 | 27 h 54 m | Show |
At 5:30 pm, in the CBI Tournament, our selection is on the Delaware St. Hornets + the points over Seattle. The Redhawks are a soft 11-17 ATS their last 28 when laying 6+ points, and they're 2-9 ATS away from home vs. foes with a worse W/L record. We'll fade Seattle, and grab the points with Delaware St., which is 5-0 its last five neutral court games. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-23-24 | Bradley v. Cincinnati -5 | Top | 57-74 | Win | 100 | 23 h 55 m | Show |
At 2 pm, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over Bradley. The Braves won their first-round NIT game, 74-62, vs. Loyola-Chicago. But that game was at home, where Bradley has gone 31-11-1 ATS its last 43 (and 69-37-5 ATS its last 111). On the road, the Braves have been brutal, going 55-87-2 ATS their last 144, including 12-28 ATS off a double-digit win. Take Cincinnati minus the points. |
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03-23-24 | North Texas v. Seton Hall -3.5 | Top | 58-72 | Win | 100 | 20 h 25 m | Show |
At 11:30 am (note the early start), in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Seton Hall Pirates minus the points over North Texas. The Pirates won, but failed to cover the spread, on Wednesday vs. St. Joseph's. And that was the 3rd straight ATS loss for Seton Hall. The good news for the Pirates, here, is that they're a solid 43-22 ATS after 3 ATS losses in their 3 previous games. Take the Pirates. |
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03-22-24 | Longwood v. Houston -23.5 | Top | 46-86 | Win | 100 | 40 h 5 m | Show |
At 9:20 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Longwood. The Cougars were blown out in the Big 12 title game, 69-41, by Iowa State. I expect Kelvin Sampson's men to bounce back in a strong way on Friday night, as they're 14-5 ATS off a double-digit loss. And they're also 38-15-2 ATS vs. foes off back to back ATS wins, provided the Cougars were not off back to back ATS wins, themselves. Take Houston. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-22-24 | Grambling State v. Purdue -27 | Top | 50-78 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
At 7:25 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Grambling. The Tigers upset Montana St, 88-81, as a 4.5-point underdog in the First Four round game, in Dayton. But Grambling's task will be much more difficult today, as it will have to take on Zach Edey & Co. Purdue was our preseason pick (at 15-1 odds) to win the National Championship, and they'll start their title trek today in Indianapolis, just 71 miles from Mackey Arena. Gainbridge Fieldhouse will no doubt be on the side of the #1-seeded Boilermakers this evening, and we will lay the points. Matt Painter's men lost to Wisconsin, 76-75, in the Big 10 Tournament. But under Painter, the Boilermakers have gone 82-54-6 ATS off a SU/ATS loss, including a spectacular 15-2 ATS in the post-season. And Grambling is 1-7 ATS off an upset win, when facing a winning foe. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-22-24 | Yale +13 v. Auburn | Top | 78-76 | Win | 100 | 35 h 50 m | Show |
At 4:15 pm, our selection is on the Yale Bulldogs + the points over Auburn. The Bulldogs hit a buzzer-beater to defeat Brown in the Ivy League championship game, but failed to cover the 8-point spread. We'll take Yale to get the $$$ on Friday afternoon, as it's 37-17 ATS away from home off a point spread loss, including 4-1 ATS in the post-season. Grab the points. |
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03-22-24 | New Mexico v. Clemson +2.5 | Top | 56-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers + the points over New Mexico. The Lobos won the Mountain West Conference Tournament with a 68-61 upset win over San Diego State. And that was New Mexico's 4th straight win (and 6th straight cover). The Lobos needed every one of those 4 wins, as they would not have qualified for the NCAA Tourney had they not won the Mountain West title. Today, they'll face a Clemson team looking to bounce back off a 76-55 loss to Boston College in the ACC Tourney. We'll fade New Mexico, as Mountain West teams are a woeful 10-34-1 ATS in the NCAA Tourney vs. a foe off a SU loss, including 2-13-1 ATS if our Mountain West team was off a SU win. Moreover, ACC Conference teams have gone 58-34-1 ATS away from home off a loss by more than 10 points, if they were an underdog of less than 3 points. And ACC teams have also gone 96-69-2 ATS off an upset loss, if they also lost two games back, and were matched up against a foe off a SU/ATS win (including 19-8 ATS vs. non-conference foes). Grab the points with Clemson. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-22-24 | UAB v. San Diego State -7 | Top | 65-69 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 3 m | Show |
At 1:45 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the San Diego State Aztecs minus the points over UAB. Last year, Brian Dutcher's men lost in the championship game to Connecticut. The Aztecs will try to make another run to the Final Four this season, and their first game will be against the Blazers, who won the AAC Tourney with an 85-69 triumph over Temple. San Diego State is an awesome 99-56 ATS when favored (or PK) vs. a foe off a win by more than 8 points. Lay the points with the Aztecs. |
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03-21-24 | Drake v. Washington State +2 | Top | 61-66 | Win | 100 | 39 h 59 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars + the points over Drake. The Bulldogs have struggled in non-conference games, as they've gone 12-24 ATS their last 36. Even worse: they're 1-11 ATS in non-conference tournaments. In contrast, the Cougars are 18-9 ATS in non-conference tourneys. Take Washington St. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-21-24 | NC State v. Texas Tech -5 | Top | 80-67 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 45 m | Show |
At 9:40 pm our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over NC State. Not since Xavier won the Atlantic 10 Tournament as a #10-seed in 2006 had such an improbable champion as NC State won its conference tournament. But the Wolfpack did the near-impossible by winning five straight ACC games as the #10 seed to earn the title. Unfortunately, teams that won their conference title games as underdogs of +6 (or more) points have not done well in their initial NCAA tourney game when not getting 17+ points, as they've covered just 36.1% since 1990. Take Texas Tech minus the points. |
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03-21-24 | St. Peter's v. Tennessee -21 | Top | 49-83 | Win | 100 | 38 h 10 m | Show |
At 9:20 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over St. Peter's. After winning seven straight games (6-1 ATS), the Vols had a disappointing end to their season with back-to-back upset losses to Kentucky (85-81) and Mississippi St (73-56). The good news for Tennessee is that it's a solid 47-17 ATS following 2+ losses, when matched up against a .571 (or better) foe. Take the Volunteers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-21-24 | South Dakota State +16.5 v. Iowa State | Top | 65-82 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 23 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the South Dakota St. Jackrabbits + the points over Iowa St. The Jackrabbits have been one of the best point spread teams, and they've been especially good against elite opponents, as they've gone 29-11 ATS vs. .777 (or better) teams with scoring margins > 8.0 ppg. We'll take South Dakota State + the double-digits, and look for a bit of a letdown by Iowa State following its 28-point upset win over Houston to win the Big 12 title. Unfortunately for the Cyclones, teams that win their conference tourney title game by double-digits as an underdog have generally underperformed in their initial NCAA Tourney game with a 39% ATS mark. Take the Jackrabbits. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-21-24 | Oakland v. Kentucky -13.5 | Top | 80-76 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 56 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Oakland. The Wildcats were upset by Auburn in the SEC Tourney. We'll lay the points with Kentucky on Thursday night, as it has gone 18-2 ATS its last 18 (and 40-14 ATS its last 54) as favorites of 15 or less points vs. .585 (or better) foes when Kentucky was off an upset loss. Take the Wildcats. |
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03-21-24 | Oakland v. Kentucky UNDER 162.5 | Top | 80-76 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats and Oakland Golden Grizzlies to go Under the total. The Grizzlies defeated Wisconsin-Milwaukee, 83-76, in the Horizon League title game to reach the NCAA Tournament. But off that high-scoring win, we'll look for a lower-scoring game this evening. Indeed, Oakland is 39-16 Under away from home following a game where it scored > 75 points, if the o/u line was 146+ points. Additionally, the Wildcats also come into this game off a high-scoring affair, as they lost, 97-87, to Texas A&M in the SEC Tournament. And NCAA post-season games have gone under 61.9% if the line was 150+ points, and each team scored > 80 in its previous game. Take Kentucky/Oakland Under the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-21-24 | Oregon v. South Carolina -1 | Top | 87-73 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 56 m | Show |
At 4:00 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks minus the points over Oregon. The Gamecocks (along with Iowa State) had the best ATS record (23-10 ATS) of any team which qualified for the NCAA Tournament this season. In contrast, Oregon was tied for the fifth-worst (15-18 ATS). Notwithstanding its Pac-10 Title, Oregon was 3-10 ATS down the stretch. We'll take South Carolina, as it's 11-0 ATS in non-conference tournaments when not laying 3+ points. And the Ducks are a dreadful 24-41 ATS their last 65 off a SU win. Take the Gamecocks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-21-24 | Morehead State v. Illinois UNDER 148 | Top | 69-85 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 12 m | Show |
At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Illinois/Morehead State game. The Illini have played their last 7 non-conference tournament games UNDER the total, while the Eagles have gone 6-3 UNDER their last nine post-season games. We'll look for a low-scoring game here, as the UNDER falls into a 19-2 Totals system of mine. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-21-24 | Wagner v. North Carolina -24 | Top | 62-90 | Win | 100 | 32 h 34 m | Show |
At 2:45 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Wagner. North Carolina was stunned by NC State in the ACC Championship game, 84-76. We'll take the Tar Heels to bounce back from that upset loss, as they're an awesome 74-39-4 ATS off a SU loss, if they were favored by 4+ points in their current game. Lay the points. |
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03-21-24 | Duquesne v. BYU -9.5 | Top | 71-67 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 27 m | Show |
At 12:40 pm, our selection is on the BYU Cougars minus the points over Duquesne. It's been 47 years since the Dukes last qualified for the NCAA Tourney, but Keith Dambrot's men upset VCU in the Atlantic 10 Title game to punch their ticket. Their Cinderella story will likely end Thursday against a very good BYU team, which is 26-11 ATS its last 37 as a favorite (including 11-2 ATS vs. non-conference foes). Lay the points with the Cougars. |
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03-20-24 | Colorado -2.5 v. Boise State | Top | 60-53 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Buffaloes minus the points over Boise State. The Buffaloes had won eight straight games (6-2 ATS) before losing to Oregon in the Pac-12 Championship game. We'll take Colorado to resume its winning ways tonight as it plays with revenge from a 68-55 upset loss to the Broncos last season. And NCAA Tourney teams have cashed 68.7% vs. non-conference foes when they were playing with revenge from an upset defeat. Take Colorado. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-20-24 | Alabama A&M +12.5 v. Austin Peay | Top | 81-71 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
At 8 pm, in the College Insider Tournament, our selection is on the Alabama A&M Bulldogs + the points over Austin Peay. The Governors have been installed as a huge favorite here, at home, vs. the Bulldogs. But the Governors are a wallet-busting 17-31-1 ATS when laying 11 or more points. Take Alabama A&M. |
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03-20-24 | UNLV v. Princeton UNDER 139.5 | Top | 84-77 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Princeton/UNLV game. The Tigers come into this game off back to back high-scoring affairs. They defeated Penn, 105-83, at the end of the regular season, and then fell to Brown, 90-81, in the Ivy League Tournament. We'll look for a lower scoring game tonight, as teams have gone under 58.9% in non-conference post-season tourneys following back to back games where they scored 75+ points, that also went over the total. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-20-24 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Bowling Green -1 | Top | 77-75 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
At 7 pm, in the College Insider Tournament, our selection is on the Bowling Green Falcons over IUPU-Fort Wayne. The Mastodons will play at Bowling Green in this opening round game, and we'll take the homestanding Falcons. Fort Wayne has covered just six of its last 19 post-season games. And it's also 12-20-1 ATS on the road vs. non-conference foes. Take Bowling Green. |
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03-20-24 | Abilene Christian +6 v. Tarleton State | Top | 59-86 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
At 7 pm, in the College Insider Tournament, our selection is on the Abilene Christian Wildcats + the points over Tarleton St. These two team have already met twice this season, as members of the Western Athletic Conference. The Texans took both meetings, including a 76-73 upset win in Abilene last month. We'll take the revenge-minded Wildcats this evening, as they've covered 60 percent when playing with revenge from an upset loss earlier in the season, while the Texans have covered just 37% vs. foes it upset in the season's prior meeting. Additionally, the Wildcats fall into a 40-9 ATS tourney system of mine. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-19-24 | Kansas State v. Iowa -5 | Top | 82-91 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes minus the points over Kansas St. The Hawkeyes have been dominant at home, going 47-28-4 ATS their last 79 against all opposition, and 49-23-1 their last 73 vs. non-conference foes (including 9-1 ATS off a loss by 9+ points). Meanwhile, the Wildcats have stumbled badly vs. non-conference foes when priced from +3 to +7.5, as they've gone 8-23 ATS, including 0-5 ATS vs. foes off a SU/ATS loss. Take Iowa. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-19-24 | South Florida v. UCF -5 | Top | 83-77 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Central Florida Knights minus the points over South Florida. After winning 15 straight games, the Bulls ended their season by losing two of their final three games, including a 93-83 upset loss (as the AAC Tourney's #1 seed) to UAB. We'll fade South Florida in this NIT Tournament game, as teams off double-digit upset losses, as #1-seeds, in their conference tourney, have covered just 39% in the NIT since 1990. Additionally, the Bulls are a poor 4-16-1 ATS off a double-digit upset loss to a conference foe, while Central Florida is 14-3 ATS off a SU loss. Take the Knights. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-17-24 | Brown v. Yale -7.5 | Top | 61-62 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Yale Bulldogs minus the points over Brown. These two teams met at the end of the regular season, and Brown upset Yale, 84-81, as a double-digit road underdog. Revenge, however, is sweet. And it's especially sweet in a conference championship game. We'll lay the points with the Bulldogs, as NCAA teams have cashed 68.9% since 1990 in conference championship games when playing with revenge from a loss as a 7-point (or greater) favorite. Additionally, the Bulldogs are 12-0 ATS their last 12 (and 20-2 ATS their last 22) as a revenge-minded favorite vs. a foe off a SU/ATS win. Take Yale. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-16-24 | Texas-Arlington v. Grand Canyon -6 | Top | 74-89 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Grand Canyon Antelopes minus the points over Texas Arlington. The #1-seeded Antelopes are on a 4-game SU/ATS win streak. And they're also 9-2 ATS their last 11 post-season games. Additionally, the favorite has gone 10-2 ATS in the WAC Conference championship games since 2011. We'll lay the points with Bryce Drew's men tonight. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-16-24 | NC State v. North Carolina -9 | Top | 84-76 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over NC State. The Wolfpack are a mere 21-14 this season, and were seeded 10th in the tourney. Yet, they've reached the title game, and will punch a ticket to the NCAA Tourney with an upset win. However, this is usually where Cinderella gets her glass slipper smashed. Indeed, .600 (or worse) teams have gone 9-27-2 ATS in the championship game of conference tourneys when matched up against .715 (or better) foes, including 1-10 ATS if their foe was off an ATS loss. Lay the points with the Tar Heels. |
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03-16-24 | Marquette v. Connecticut -9 | Top | 57-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies minus the points over Marquette. The Golden Eagles will try to defeat UConn for the first time this season in 3 meetings. UConn won the two regular season meetings by 28 and 7 points. We'll take UConn to get the sweep, and lay the points this evening. For technical support, consider that .750 (or better) teams playing with double-revenge (like Marquette) have covered just 40% in conference tourney championship games since 1997. Take UConn minus the points. |
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03-16-24 | New Mexico v. San Diego State -2 | Top | 68-61 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the San Diego St. Aztecs minus the points over New Mexico. The Lobos blew out Colorado St., 74-61, last night. Unfortunately, the Aztecs have gone 99-55 ATS as a favorite (or PK) vs. foes off a win by more than 8 points. SDSU also won a blowout yesterday, 86-70, vs. Utah State. And SDSU is 99-46-2 ATS off a win by more than 13 points when it wasn't laying double-digits. Take SDSU. |
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03-16-24 | Nebraska v. Illinois -4.5 | Top | 87-98 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini minus the points over Nebraska. The 'Huskers blew out Indiana yesterday, 93-66. But off that huge 27-point win, we'll fade Nebraska in this semi-final game, as it's 45-85 ATS as an underdog (or PK) following a win, in which it covered the spread by more than 3 points. Illinois has dominated Nebraska, as it's won eight straight in this series. Take the Illini. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-16-24 | Texas A&M v. Florida -2.5 | Top | 90-95 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over Texas A&M. The Gators have excelled as a favorite in the post-season, and especially when favored by less than 9 points following an ATS win, as they've gone 34-13-1 ATS in that situation. Meanwhile, the Aggies have struggled in the post-season off an upset win, as they've gone 6-10 ATS. Lay the points with the Gators. |
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03-16-24 | Cornell v. Yale -1.5 | Top | 57-69 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Yale Bulldogs minus the points over Cornell. The Bulldogs suffered a home loss to Brown, 84-81, to end their regular season. But Yale's a solid 15-9 ATS in Ivy League games off an upset loss. Even better: Yale plays with revenge from a 65-62 loss at Cornell last month. And the Bulldogs are 11-0 ATS their last 11 (and 19-2 ATS their last 21) as a revenge-minded favorite vs. a foe off a SU/ATS win. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-15-24 | Texas-Arlington v. Tarleton State -1 | Top | 87-84 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Tarleton St. Texans over Texas Arlington. The Mavericks blew out SF Austin, 109-78, yesterday, for their 7th straight win (and 5th straight cover). Unfortunately, underdogs with a winning record, that scored 109+ in their previous game, have gone 148-208 ATS away from home. Additionally, the Mavericks also fall into a negative 28% ATS system of mine. Take Tarleton St. minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-15-24 | Baylor v. Iowa State | Top | 62-76 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones minus the points over Baylor. The Cyclones lost to the Bears in Waco earlier this season by two points, 70-68. We'll lay the points with ISU, as it's 60-36-2 ATS when playing with revenge from a road loss earlier in the season. Take the Cyclones. |
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03-15-24 | Ohio v. Akron -1.5 | Top | 62-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Akron Zips minus the points over Ohio. The Bobcats blew out Western Michigan, 82-55, on Thursday. But that blowout win has triggered a negative 39-98 ATS system of mine. Even worse: it was Ohio's 3rd straight double-digit win. But it's a wallet-busting 6-23 ATS off three straight double-digit wins. Lay the points with Akron. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-15-24 | Wichita State v. UAB -5.5 | Top | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the UAB Blazers minus the points over Wichita St. The Blazers are a solid 12-5 ATS in conference play this season, and will look to avenge an 8-point loss to the Shockers last month. UAB falls into a 332-205 ATS revenge system of mine, and it's also 50-32-1 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, including 23-11 ATS as a favorite. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-15-24 | East Carolina v. South Florida -7 | Top | 59-81 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the South Florida Bulls minus the points over East Carolina. South Florida's 15-game win streak was snapped last Saturday at Tulsa, when it was upset, 76-70, by the Golden Hurricane. We'll take the Bulls to bounce back off that upset defeat, as it's 16-9 ATS off a SU loss. Take South Florida. |
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03-14-24 | Cal-Riverside v. Long Beach State -3.5 | Top | 67-86 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Long Beach State Beach minus the points over Cal Riverside. The Beach will look to snap a 5-game losing streak tonight. I like their chances, as they're 62-41 ATS away from home off back to back losses, and 70-40 ATS away from home off a double-digit loss. Take Long Beach State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-14-24 | Cincinnati v. Baylor -6.5 | Top | 56-68 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Cincinnati. The Bearcats blew out Kansas, 72-52, last night. We'll take Baylor, as Cincy is a soft 41-69-5 ATS off a double-digit conference win, including 7-26-3 ATS their last 36 if their previous game was against a .620 (or better) opponent. Take Baylor. |
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03-14-24 | Boston College v. Virginia -5 | Top | 60-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over Boston College. The Cavaliers blew out Georgia Tech, 72-57, to end their regular season. Virginia is an awesome 76-48-4 ATS in ACC Conference games off a double-digit win. Lay the points. |
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03-14-24 | Stanford v. Washington State -8.5 | Top | 62-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars minus the points over Stanford. The Cardinal rose from the dead last night, and stormed back from an 18-point deficit to down the Cal Bears in overtime, 87-76. Tonight, they'll play Wazzu, which checks in off an upset loss to rival, Washington. Stanford is a wallet-busting 0-9 ATS in the post-season as an underdog, when playing a foe off a loss. Take Washington State minus the points. |
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03-14-24 | Duquesne v. Dayton -6.5 | Top | 65-57 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Dayton Flyers minus the points over Duquesne. The Flyers failed to cover vs. Virginia Commonwealth last week, as they won, 91-86, as an 8-point favorite. The good news for Dayton, here, is that it's 11-2 ATS off a point spread loss. Take the Flyers minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-14-24 | NC State v. Duke -11.5 | Top | 74-69 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over NC State. Duke was upset at home by its rival, North Carolina, last weekend. We'll take Duke to bounce back this evening, as ACC Conference teams have gone 23-2 ATS in the ACC Tourney off an upset home loss, when not favored by more than 12. Lay the points with Duke. |
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03-14-24 | Kansas State v. Iowa State -7.5 | Top | 57-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Iowa St. Cyclones minus the points over Kansas St. The Cyclones have been one of the best point spread teams this season going 20-10 ATS. One of their losses was against this K-State team five days ago, when the Wildcats pulled off a 65-58 upset in Ames. We'll take Iowa State, as it's 69-47 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season. |
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03-14-24 | Ole Miss +4.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 71-80 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi Rebels + the points over Texas A&M. The Rebels were blown out by the Aggies, 86-60, last Saturday. We'll take Ole Miss to avenge that defeat, as SEC teams off a loss, have cashed 61.4 percent since 1990 when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 16 points against a foe off back to back wins. Take the Rebels. |
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03-14-24 | Ohio State v. Iowa +2.5 | Top | 90-78 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes + the points over Ohio State. The Buckeyes enter this Big 10 Tourney game off back to back blowouts over Michigan (84-61) and Rutgers (73-51). We'll fade the Buckeyes here, as Iowa has cashed 77% since 1990 vs. Big 10 foes off back to back wins by 20+ points. Take the Hawkeyes. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-14-24 | Morgan State v. Howard -4.5 | Top | 65-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Howard Bison minus the points over Morgan St. The Bears have won and covered their last two games. But they're a poor 21-37 ATS off back to back wins. Take Howard minus the points. |
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03-14-24 | St Bonaventure v. Loyola-Chicago -2.5 | Top | 75-74 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers minus the points over St. Bonaventure. The Bonnies won their tourney game vs. La Salle yesterday, 75-73. Unfortunately, the Bonnies are a brutal 3-12 ATS away from home off a conference win. We'll lay the points with the Ramblers, as they're 13-5 ATS vs. conference foes this season, and 9-3 ATS their last 12 post-season games. Take Loyola. |
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03-14-24 | Miami-OH v. Akron -8 | Top | 63-75 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Akron Zips minus the points over Miami-Ohio. The Zips went into Kalamazoo last Friday, and were upset by the Broncos, 90-84, as an 8.5-point road favorite. We'll take Akron to bounce back off that loss, as it's 59-37 ATS its last 96 off an upset defeat. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-14-24 | USC v. Arizona -8.5 | Top | 49-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over USC. The Trojans upset Arizona, 78-65, last Saturday, as an 8-point home underdog. We'll take Arizona to avenge that defeat, as it's cashed 80% since 1990 when playing with revenge from a double-digit upset road loss. Lay the points. |
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03-14-24 | St. Joe's v. Richmond -3.5 | Top | 66-61 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 24 m | Show |
At 11:30 am, our selection is on the Richmond Spiders minus the points over St. Joe's. Richmond has been terrific "in Vegas" this season, as it's gone 21-9 ATS, including a perfect 8-0 ATS off a point spread loss. With Richmond, indeed, off an ATS loss in its last game (at George Mason), we'll lay the points with the Spiders this morning. |
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03-13-24 | Boston College v. Clemson -7 | Top | 76-55 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers minus the points over Boston College. The Eagles upset Miami yesterday, 81-65, while Clemson enters off a SU/ATS loss at Wake Forest to end its regular season. We'll fade BC, as teams off an upset tourney win, in which they covered by 10+ points, have proceeded to cover just 42% in their next game, if their opponent was off an ATS loss. Take Clemson minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-13-24 | California Baptist +5 v. Utah Valley | Top | 74-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Cal Baptist Lancers + the points over Utah Valley St. The Lancers lost by 23 points at home to the Wolverines last month. And they also enter off back to back losses to end their season. We'll take the Lancers + the points, as revenge-minded teams have gone 47-24-2 ATS in the WAC Conference Tournament, if they were off a loss to end the season. Grab the points. |
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03-13-24 | CS Bakersfield +2.5 v. Cal-Riverside | Top | 78-83 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Cal Bakersfield Roadrunners + the points over Cal Riverside. The Highlanders enter tonight's game off an upset win at UCSB. But Riverside is a woeful 10-39-2 ATS after winning away from home as a dog. Take Bakersfield. |
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03-13-24 | Michigan +7 v. Penn State | Top | 57-66 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines + the points over Penn St. Michigan has lost its last eight games, and will look to avenge a 6-point loss to the Nitts back in January. We'll take the Wolverines + the points, revenge-minded Big 10 teams have gone 155-118-5 ATS in the conference tournament, including 22-9 ATS vs. foes with a losing record. Take Michigan. |
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03-13-24 | Iona v. Fairfield -4.5 | Top | 63-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Fairfield Stags minus the points over Iona. The Gaels defeated Fairfield twice this season. But since the last victory, on February 2, they've gone 2-10 ATS to end their season. Fairfield falls into a 71-27 ATS revenge system of mine, and we'll lay the points tonight. |
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03-13-24 | Lehigh v. Colgate -8 | Top | 55-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Colgate Raiders minus the points over Lehigh. The Raiders have dominated Patriot League foes, as they're 83-57 ATS their last 140. And Colgate also falls into a 60-35 ATS tourney system of mine which plays on certain teams in championship games off an ATS loss. Lay the points. |
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03-13-24 | Vanderbilt v. Arkansas -5.5 | Top | 85-90 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
At 7 pm our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Vanderbilt. The Razorbacks ended their season on a 6-1 ATS run. Their lone point spread loss was to these Commodores in Fayetteville, on February 27. Arkansas was favored by 10.5, yet lost outright, 85-82. We'll take the Razorbacks in the revenge role tonight, as they fall into a 330-203 ATS revenge system of mine. Lay the points. |
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03-13-24 | Canisius v. Quinnipiac -6 | Top | 52-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Quinnipiac Bobcats minus the points over Canisius. The Bobcats enter this evening's game on a 4-game win streak. We'll take Quinnipiac, as it's 10-2 ATS off 4+ wins, and falls into a 96-37-2 ATS tourney system of mine. Take the Bobcats minus the points. |
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03-13-24 | Coppin State +14 v. Norfolk State | Top | 51-75 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Coppin State Eagles + the points over Norfolk St. The Spartans are on a 2-game win streak. But they're an awful 0-12 ATS off back to back wins, when not getting 6+ points. Take the Eagles + the points. |
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03-13-24 | La Salle v. St Bonaventure -8.5 | Top | 73-75 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on the St. Bonaventure Bonnies minus the points over La Salle. The Bonnies were upset in each of their two previous games. And they were big favorites in both of those games (-9 at George Washington, and -11 vs. St. Louis). We'll take the Bonnies to bounce back as teams off back to back losses as favorites of 9+ points have covered 67% in the post-season. Lay the points with St. Bonaventure. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-13-24 | San Jose State +14.5 v. Colorado State | Top | 62-72 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the San Jose St. Spartans + the points over Colorado St. The Spartans lost by 20 points a week ago to Utah State. We'll take the Spartans to rebound off that loss, as they're 9-0 ATS their last nine as an underdog of more than 12 points off a defeat by 15+ points. Take San Jose. |
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03-13-24 | Notre Dame v. Wake Forest -9.5 | Top | 59-72 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons minus the points over Notre Dame. The Deacons will look to avenge a 5-point loss to the Irish last month. Wake Forest is 15-6 ATS as a favorite this season. And it's 13-5-1 ATS at home, and on neutral courts when playing with same-season revenge. Take Wake Forest. |
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03-13-24 | Fresno State +6.5 v. Wyoming | Top | 77-73 | Win | 100 | 3 h 27 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Fresno State Bulldogs + the points over Wyoming. These two teams played four days ago in Fresno, and the Cowboys upset Wyoming 86-47, as a 1.5-point road underdog. We'll take the Bulldogs to avenge that defeat, as post-season rematches between teams that met in their previous game, have been covered 59% by teams that failed to cover the prior game by 10+ points. Take Fresno. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-12-24 | Gonzaga -3.5 v. St. Mary's | Top | 60-69 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs minus the points over St. Mary's. These two teams met 10 days ago. We played on Gonzaga as a road underdog, and were rewarded with a 70-57 upset win. We'll take Gonzaga against today, as it has dominated the WCC Tourney, and especially against the better teams, as it has gone 21-2 SU and 17-5-1 ATS vs. .690 (or better) foes. And in West Coast Conference title games, it has gone 19-5 SU and 15-9 ATS, including 14-6 ATS when not laying 12+ points. Take Gonzaga. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-12-24 | CS Sacramento v. Montana State -4.5 | Top | 71-74 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Montana St. Bobcats minus the points over Sacramento St. The Hornets upset the Bobcats, 66-63, as a 7.5-point road underdog, last month. We'll take the Bobcats to avenge that defeat, as tourney favorites have gone 110-81 ATS away from home since 1993 if they were playing with revenge from a home loss as a favorite of more than 7 points. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-12-24 | Stony Brook v. College of Charleston -9.5 | Top | 79-82 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Charleston Cougars minus the points over Stony Brook. The Seawolves are 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS their last seven. We'll fade them in this CAA Championship game, as they fall into a negative 87-140-4 ATS system of mine based on their point spread win streak. Additionally, the Cougars failed to get the $$$ last night, as they only won by 5, as a 6.5-point favorite. But CAA teams off an ATS loss have gone 72-54-5 ATS in the Tourney vs. conference foes off an ATS win. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-12-24 | Miami-FL -2 v. Boston College | Top | 65-81 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Florida Hurricanes minus the points over Boston College. The Eagles defeated the Hurricanes less than a week ago, 67-57, as a 5.5-point road underdog. We'll lay the points with Miami in this revenge game, as ACC Conference teams have cashed 75.7% when playing with revenge from an upset home loss earlier in the season, if they weren't favored by 3+ points. Even better: in the NCAA Conference Tourneys, favorites have cashed 59.8% if they were off a SU loss, and playing with revenge from an upset home defeat earlier in the season. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-12-24 | Canisius v. Mt. St. Mary's -4 | Top | 77-61 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
At 5:15 pm, our selection is on the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers minus the points over Canisius. The Griffins defeated the Mountaineers earlier this month, 61-56, as a 2-point favorite. But that game was at home, where the Griffins have gone 10-5 ATS their last 15. Away from home has been a different story, as Canisius is 2-9 ATS its last 11. Take Mount St. Mary's. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-12-24 | West Virginia +10.5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 85-90 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers + the points over Cincinnati. These teams are playing back to back games. On Saturday, the Bearcats blew out WVU, 92-56. That game meant relatively little. Today's game means more. We'll grab the double-digits with the revenge-minded Mountaineers, as Cincy is a wallet-lightening 13-27 ATS off a win by 28+ points, including 0-7 ATS its last seven. Additionally, the Mountaineers fall into a 900-674-34 ATS system of mine. Take West Virginia. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-12-24 | Oklahoma State +5 v. UCF | Top | 62-77 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 20 m | Show |
At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma St. Cowboys plus the points over Central Florida. In the Big 12 Conference Tournament, underdogs of more than 2 points have cashed 63.9% if they weren't off back to back wins (and 43-17 (71.6%) ATS if they lost each meeting during the season to their opponent). Grab the points with Okie State. |
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03-12-24 | Davidson -3.5 v. Fordham | Top | 63-71 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 20 m | Show |
At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Davidson Wildcats minus the points over Fordham. The Rams lost both meetings to the Wildcats this season. Will the 3rd time be the charm? It's not likely, as the Rams are 0-15 SU and 3-11-1 ATS in the post-season when playing with revenge, including 0-3 SU/ATS when playing with double-revenge. Take Davidson. |
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03-11-24 | San Francisco +8 v. Gonzaga | Top | 77-89 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 43 m | Show |
At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco Dons + the points over Gonzaga. The Dons have cashed their last 4 post-season games, and are 10-2 ATS in the post-season, dating back to 2020. And they're also 13-7 ATS their last 20 as an underdog, and 9-2 ATS their last 11 when playing with revenge from 2 losses earlier in the season. Take San Francisco + the points. |
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03-11-24 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Northern Kentucky -1 | Top | 82-75 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Northern Kentucky Norse minus the points over Wisconsin-Milwaukee. The Norse lost the previous meeting to the Panthers, 73-72. We'll take Northern Kentucky tonight, as it is 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS when playing with revenge in the post-season. Additionally, the Norse are 25-14 ATS, including 9-1 ATS when priced from +3 to -2 points. Take Northern Kentucky. |
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03-11-24 | Santa Clara v. St. Mary's -9 | Top | 65-79 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the St Mary's Gaels minus the points over Santa Clara. The Gaels were blown out by Gonzaga to end their regular season. We'll take the Gaels to bounce back on Monday night, as West Coast Conference favorites (or PK'em teams) have cashed 29 of 44 in the post-season off a loss when playing an opponent off an ATS win. And St. Mary's also falls into several of my favorite tourney systems, with records of 121-65, 221-136 and 47-21 ATS. Lay the points with the Gaels. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-11-24 | Montana State v. Weber State -6 | Top | 91-82 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Weber St. Wildcats minus the points over Montana St. The Wildcats lost to the Bobcats, 76-64, to end their regular season. They'll get a second crack tonight, and we'll take the Wildcats in the revenge role. Indeed, Big Sky conference favorites have cashed 60% in the Big Sky tournament when playing with revenge. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-10-24 | Nebraska-Omaha +2.5 v. North Dakota | Top | 73-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska-Omaha Mavericks + the points over North Dakota. The Mavs were blown out, 88-61, in their final regular season game at St. Thomas. We'll take Omaha to bounce back off that loss, as they are a solid 23-12 ATS off a loss by 22+ points, while the Fighting Hawks are a poor 8-17 ATS vs. foes off a double-digit loss. Omaha also falls into a 43-10 and 55-23 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off losses in Tourney games. Grab the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-10-24 | CS Sacramento v. Eastern Washington -12.5 | Top | 74-69 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Washington Eagles minus the points over Sacramento State. The Eagles ended their regular season vs. the Hornets, and won that game, 91-88. They'll look to extend their win streak in this series to 5 games, and I think they will get it, as they fall into a 101-74 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams in Tourney games that are playing back to back games against the same opponent. Additionally, the Eagles fall into a solid 272-185 ATS tourney system of mine. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-10-24 | Austin Peay v. Stetson -3.5 | Top | 91-94 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Stetson Hatters minus the points over Austin Peay. The Hatters eked out an 83-82 regular season win vs. the Governors, back on January 25. We'll lay the points with Stetson in this Atlantic Sun Tourney championship game, as the Hatters will have the benefit of playing at home, and fall into a 59-34 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home teams in title games. And Stetson also falls into a 99-54-4 ATS tourney system of mine. Take the Hatters. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |