Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-21-16 | Monmouth v. Manhattan OVER 152 | Top | 71-78 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 23 m | Show |
Monmouth @ Manhattan 8:00 PM ET Play On: Over 152.0 (10*) Monmouth has scored 81 points or more in each of their previous six games. They don’t figure to be slowed down against a weak defensive team like Manhattan who’s allowed their opponents to shoot 47.3% from the field this season. Monmouth has shot a blistering 47.3% from beyond the three point line during its last five games, and converted on an excellent 78.3% of their free throws while average 90.0 points per contest. Manhattan has also shot very well from long distance in their last five contests, converting on 41.3% from three point range. We’ll see a lot of points in this entertaining contest tonight. Play on over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-16-16 | Nets v. Hawks OVER 205.5 | Top | 86-114 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
Brooklyn Nets @ Atlanta Hawks 7:35 PM ET Play On: Over 205.5 (10*) Brooklyn has seen each of their previous two games go over the total, and there was a combined average of 217.0 points scored per contest. The Nets have allowed 103 points or more in each of their previous four games, and opponents have shot a red-hot 48.9% from the field during those contests. Brooklyn has been far from a good three point shooting team this season. However, that’s not been the case during its previous five games. During that stretch, they’ve connected on a stellar 39.2% of their long distance attempts. Atlanta has gone 12-2 over the total in their last fourteen games. As a matter of fact, each Atlanta’s previous six home games have gone over the total, and there was a combined average of 215.2 points scored per contest. Play on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play selection. |
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01-09-16 | Bulls v. Hawks OVER 207 | Top | 105-120 | Win | 100 | 2 h 36 m | Show |
Both of these teams have shown a liking to play at a quick offensive pace in recent games. Chicago has averaged 87.6 field goal attempts per game during its last eleven contests, and Atlanta 90.5 per outing over their previous four. Chicago has scored 102 points or more in each of their last nine games. The Bulls are 8-3 over the total in its last eleven overall, and 4-1 surpassing the number during their previous five road games. Atlanta has gone 10-1 over the total in its last eleven contests, and that includes 4-0 (219.0 PPG) during its previous four. They’ve also exceeded the number in each of their past five home games, and there was a combined average of 213.2 points scored per contest. Play on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play selection. |
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01-08-16 | Cavs v. Wolves UNDER 196.5 | Top | 125-99 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 49 m | Show |
Cleveland went over the total for the first time in eight away games during Wednesday’s 121-115 win at Washington. Despite going over the total in each of their previous two outings, they’re 9-3 under the number during its last twelve overall. Minnesota has scored less than 100 points in nine straight games, and averaged just 89.7 points scored per contest during that stretch. They’ve also allowed 95 or less in each of their last three home games. Minnesota has gone 16-3 under the total at home this season, and that includes 6-0 (180.2 PPG) during its last six. They’re also 8-0 under the total (188.7 PPG) at home this season versus non-conference opponents. Play on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play selection. |
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01-06-16 | Cavs v. Wizards OVER 201 | Top | 121-115 | Win | 100 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
Considering both teams have played the majority of their recent games under the total, the line movement on this total is extremely fishy. This total opened at 198.0 and currently (3:10 PM ET) sits at 201.0. For lack of a better phrase, if it walks and talks like a duck, then it’s certainly a duck. Cleveland snapped a string of seven consecutive contests going under the total with a 122-100 home win over Toronto on Monday. Washington has gone under the total in each of their previous four games. However, we must keep in mind that they average 102.1 points scored per game at home. Contrarily, the Wizards are a terrible defensive team which has allowed an average of 103.7 points per game. Play on over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-05-16 | Bucks v. Bulls OVER 202 | Top | 106-117 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
Milwaukee has gone 6-0 over the total this year when facing Central Division opponents, and there’s been a combined average of 211.2 points scored per game. Milwaukee is 3-1 over the total in its previous four, and 5-2 during their previous seven games overall. They’ve allowed 100 points or more in six of its last seven, and scored 98 or more in six of their previous nine games. Chicago has gone over the total in four of its previous five, and seven of their last nine games. The Bulls have scored 102 points or more in each of their previous six contests. Play on over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-30-15 | Nets v. Magic OVER 198.5 | Top | 93-100 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
Brooklyn has seen each of its previous four games go over the total. There was a combined average of 216.3 points scored per game in those contests. During their last three outings, Brooklyn has converted on a very good 39% of their three points attempts, and opponents are at 40.7% against them during that same time period. The Nets have allowed 100 points or more in their last nine, and eleven of its previous twelve games. Orlando has scored 100 points or more in each of their previous eight games. They’ve been red-hot from beyond the three point line, converting on an excellent 43% of those attempts during its last five games. Both of these teams like to play at a fairly brisk offensive pace, evidenced by each of them averaging 86 field goal attempts per game. I like this contest to be a high scoring affair, and advise going over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-23-15 | Oklahoma v. Hawaii OVER 148.5 | Top | 84-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
Oklahoma is a dynamic offensive team that averages 87.8 points per game, shoots 48.8% from the field, and converts on an off the charts 47.2 % of their three point on the way to an 9-0 start. Sooners games have averaged a combined 132 field goal attempts per contest, and that’s an extremely fast pace. Hawaii is averaging 80.2 points per game and shooting a red-hot 49.7% from the floor this season. They’ve been very adept at forcing turnovers and turning them into outnumbered offensive opportunities. As a matter of fact, they’ve forced 19 turnovers or more in each of their previous three games. Play on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-17-15 | Thunder v. Cavs UNDER 205 | Top | 100-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 60 m | Show |
Oklahoma City has gone 10-1 under the total in their previous eleven games, and that includes in each of its last four. The Thunder has scored 104 points or more in their last two games. They’ve gone a perfect 11-0 under (196.5 PPG) the total this season following two straight games in which they scored 100 points or more. Oklahoma City has allowed less than 100 points in ten of their previous eleven, and each of its last seven games. Cleveland has gone 6-2 under the total in their previous eight, and allowed just 92.7 points per game during those contests. The Cavaliers have held their previous two opponents to 76 and 77 points while limiting them to a combined 35.2% shooting from the field. Play on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-16-15 | Illinois State v. Illinois-Chicago UNDER 144.5 | Top | 72-60 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
Illinois State is averaging 65.2 points scored per game, and is shooting only 40.2% from the field. The Cardinals are converting on a terrible 31.1% of their three point attempts, and a pathetic 58.4% of their free throws. Illinois State has gone 3-0 under the total during their last three outings, and there was a combined average of 132.3 points scored per game. Illinois-Chicago has gone 4-1 under the total versus Division-1 opponents this season. They average 68.9 points scored per game, and have shot a dismal 38.8% from the field thus far. Similar to their opponent (Illinois State) tonight, they’ve displayed terrible three-point (30.7%) and free throw (61.0%) shooting. Play on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager. |
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12-12-15 | Wizards v. Mavs OVER 207 | Top | 114-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Washington has gone 5-1 over the total in their last six games, and scored 103 points or more on each of those occasions. The Wizards have been terrible defensively during its previous five contests, allowing 108.2 points per game, and opponents have shot a sizzling 51.4% from the field. They’ve allowed 103 points or more in each of its last six games. Dallas has averaged a healthy 105.2 points per game during its previous five contests. They’re coming off a 98-95 home loss to Atlanta in their previous game. Any road team (Wizards) with a total of 200.0 to 209.5, coming off three straight games in which they allowed 100 points or more, versus an opponent (Mavericks) coming off a loss by 6 points or less, resulted in those games going 36-11 (76.6%) over the total during the past five seasons. The average total in those 47 games was 204.5, and there was a combined average of 214.0 points scored per contest. Those games went over the total by 7.0 points or more an extremely high 69.8% of the time. Play on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play selection. |
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12-10-15 | 76ers v. Nets OVER 197 | Top | 91-100 | Loss | -107 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
The early movement on this total has raised a red flag to me. The game opened with a total of 195.5 in this contest, and has since moved to 197.0, despite 92% of early wagers being placed on going under the number. This is a classic case of reverse line movement, and surely indicates sharp money has been bet on this game going over the total. Considering the offensive struggles of both teams this season, a contrarian betting approach is in order. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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12-07-15 | Oklahoma v. Villanova UNDER 146 | Top | 78-55 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
Villanova has gone under the total in four of its last five games, and allowed an average of 55.2 points per game in those contests. The Wildcats have held opponents to just 34.5% shooting from the field this season. Oklahoma has gone 6-0 under the total during the past two seasons when facing an opponent with a field goal percentage defense of less than 40%. The Sooners defense has been a key component to their 5-0 start to the season, holding opponents to a meager 32.5% shooting from the floor. Play on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play selection. |
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11-25-15 | Nets v. Thunder UNDER 211.5 | Top | 99-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
Brooklyn has allowed 101 points or more in each of their previous three games. They’ve gone 20-7 (74.1%) under the total during the past two seasons following two straight games in which they allowed 100 points or more. Brooklyn has also gone 6-1 under the total in their previous seven away games. Oklahoma City will be facing an opponent (Brooklyn) on Wednesday that has a 3-11 (.214) record. The Thunder has gone 14-4 (77.8%) under the total during the past three seasons when facing an opponent with a winning percentage of .250 or less. The Thunder is coming off a 111-89 win as a 2.5 point underdog at Utah in their previous game. Brooklyn defeated Boston 111-101 as a 5.5 point home underdog in their last outing. Any team (Oklahoma City) with a total of 210.0 or more, coming off a straight up underdog win, versus an opponent (Brooklyn) coming off a home underdog straight up win, resulted in those games going 22-3 (88%) under the total since 1996. The average total in those 25 contests was 216.0, and there was a combined average of 205.7 points scored per game. In addition, 17 of those 25 games (68%) went under the total by 7.0 points or more. Play on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-07-15 | Warriors v. Kings OVER 219.5 | Top | 103-94 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
Golden State is literally off and running once again. They’re 6-0 to start the season, averaging 117.8 points per game, shooting 48.2% from the field, and have converted on a superb 42.0% of their three point attempts. Sacramento is a dismal 1-5 to start thus far, and the majority of their issues have come on the defensive side of the floor. The Kings are allowing 112.1 points per game, and their opponents are shooting a sizzling 50.1% from the field. Opponents have also averaged 30 free throw attempts per game against Sacramento. On a positive note, the Kings are averaging 106.8 points scored and 91 field goal attempts per game. Any road team (Golden State) with a total of 210.0 or more, possessing a winning percentage of .750 or better, and is facing an opponent (Sacramento) with a losing record, resulted in those games going 26-5 (83.9%) over the total since 1996. The average total in those 31 games was 217.7, and the average combined points scored totaled 229.1. Play on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-04-15 | Blazers v. Jazz UNDER 189.5 | Top | 108-92 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
Utah has been terrific defensively in their first three games. They’re allowing a paltry 79.7 points per game and holding opponents to just 37.2% shooting from the field. Even more impressive, opponents facing the Jazz this season are average a mere 69 field goal attempts and 8 offensive rebounds per game. Although Portland’s scoring defense doesn’t show it, they’ve played solid defense, and have gone under the total in three of their first four games. The Blazers have held opponents to 42.1% shooting from the floor, and that includes 30.1% from beyond the three point line. Play on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-03-15 | Magic v. Pelicans OVER 204.5 | Top | 103-94 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
Talk about a couple of up tempo teams, Orlando averages a mammoth 99 field goal attempts per game, and New Orleans is at a well above NBA standard of 91 per contest. New Orleans is coming off a 134-120 home loss to Golden State in their previous game. Orlando comes off a 92-87 loss at Chicago in their last contest, and covered as an 8.0 point underdog. Any team (Orlando) with a total of 200.0 or more, coming off a straight up loss and covered as an underdog, versus an opponent (New Orleans) coming off a home loss, resulted in those games going 50-22 (69.4%) over the total during the past five seasons. The average total in those games was 207.0, and the combined average points scored was 214.0 per game. There were 56.9% of those 72 games that went over the total by 7.0 points or more. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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05-24-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 190 | Top | 111-114 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
The Atlanta Hawks were averaging 86.7 field goal attempts per game in the first two rounds of the 2015 NBA Playoffs. The Hawks are a team that prefers a faster pace, and they’ve been stymied in that regard by Cleveland in the first two games. Atlanta had just 77 field goal attempts in Game 1 and 79 in Friday’s Game 2. The Hawks were a very good three-point shooting team during the regular season, evidenced by their 37.2% success rate in that regard. They’ve not only been well below that percentage (32.6%) in the playoffs, but were a dismal 10-for-49 (20.4%) during the first two games of the Eastern Conference Finals. On a positive note, they’ve held the opposition to 92.8 points per game, and 41.1% shooting from the field during their previous five playoff contests. The Cleveland Cavaliers have been terrific defensively during these 2015 playoffs, and especially so during their previous five games. During that five game stretch they’ve allowed 85.6 points per game. The only flaw they’ve displayed against the Hawks was their free throw shooting. The Cavaliers have gone a poor 29-for-46 (63%) in the first two games of the series. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection. |
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05-15-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Memphis Grizzlies OVER 193 | Top | 108-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
It took the Warriors until Game 4 of this series to finally figure out how to get open looks from beyond the three-point line. However, once they did, boy did the flood gates open up. They’ve made exactly fourteen three-point shots in each of the last two games, and converted on a sizzling hot 44.4% of those attempts. The Grizzlies defensive numbers may be a bit askew since they’re very adept at slowing the pace of games down to their liking. Considering each of the first five games of this series has gone under the total, the general public will unlikely be lining up to wager on going over the total in this contest. Especially in light of the fact that Memphis has gone 23-2 under the total in their previous twenty five games played at home. Both of these teams were precisely 8-for-10 from the free throw line in Game 5. That’s well below the season average of 23 attempts per game for Memphis and 21 by Golden State. There’s a high probability will see that particular facet of Game 6 return to more of the norm than what we witnessed in Game 5. I’m going to take more of a contrarian approach in terms of my selection on this total. NBA Totals Super Angle Any road team (Golden State) that’s playing in game 42 of the season or beyond with a total of 190.0 to 199.5, possessing a defensive field goal percentage of 43.5% to 45.5%, and has held each of their previous five opponents to 42% or less shooting from the field, versus a team (Memphis) with a field goal percentage defense of 43.5% to 45.5%, resulted in that road team going 49-23 (68.1%) over the total since 1996. The average total in those 72-games was 193.5, and the average points scored combined was 200.0 per contest. This exact scenario also saw 55.1% of those 75-games go over the total by 7.0 points or more. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection. |
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05-12-15 | Chicago Bulls v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 191 | Top | 101-106 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
Chicago has also held nine of their last fourteen opponents to less than 40% shooting from the floor. Putting their defensive playoff numbers into perspective, they’re allowing 91.1 points per game, and holding opponents to a paltry 39.6% shooting from the field. Cleveland has held Chicago to an average of just 90.3 points per contest, and a paltry 38.0% shooting from the field during the last three games of this series. Cleveland has gone 11-2 under the total during the 2014-2015 NBA campaign as a home favorite of 5.5 or less. With all things being considered, I like this contest to be a low scoring game. Play on Chicago and Cleveland to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection. |
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05-11-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 195.5 | Top | 101-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
The Memphis Grizzlies have gone a remarkable 22-2 under the total in their last twenty-four games at home. They’ve also seen all three games of this series sty under the total with an average of just 187.7 points combined being scored per contest. The Warriors thrive on playing up tempo basketball and are averaging a very high 87 field goal attempts per game this season. However, in the first three games of this series, it’s been Memphis that’s controlled the pace. Golden State has averaged only 75 field goal attempts per game in this series. The Warriors are also averaging just 93.3 points per game in the series, and that’s well below its season average of 109.3. Memphis has held each of their previous nine opponents at home to 93-points or less. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection. |
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05-09-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 197 | Top | 89-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
The Memphis Grizzlies have gone an incredible 21-2 under the total in their last twenty-three home games. They’ve allowed 93-points or less in each of their previous eight on their home floor. The Grizzlies are extremely good at slowing down the pace of a game to their liking, and despite all their recent success have scored less than 100-points in 19 of their last 26-games. They’ve held the high flying Golden State Warriors to an average of 75.5 field goal attempts per game in this series, and that’s well below their average of 87 per contest. It may be a bit of a surprise to know that the offensively explosive Warriors have gone under the total in five of six games during the 2015 NBA Playoffs. Golden State has also gone under the number in six of the last eight on the road. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection. |
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05-08-15 | Houston Rockets v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 216.5 | Top | 99-124 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
The First two games of this series have gone over the total, and as a result the totals have gone from 212.0 in Game 1 to 214.5 in Game 2, and in Game 3 the opening number was 217.0. It must be noted, in Game 2, these teams combined to attempt an astronomical 96 free throws, and made 67 of those tries. Those are just unfathomable numbers. The Houston Rockets accounted for 64 of those free throw attempts, and some in part had to do with intentional fouls on Dwight Howard, and he cooperated with the Clippers strategy by going a dismal 8-for-21. In the opening game of the series, there weren’t anywhere the amount of free throws, but there was a combined 24 made three-pointers. The teams combined to score 122-points in the second half of that opening game, including an enormous 71 scored by the Clippers. All in all there were some extraordinary things which occurred in the first two games. Any road team (Houston) with a total of 210.0 or more, possessing a +3.0 or more point per game differential on the season, and they’re coming off two games in a row in which there were a combined 215-points or more scored, resulted in that road team going under the total in 28 of those 38-games (73.7%) since the start of the 2011-2012 NBA campaign. Play on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play selection. |
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05-05-15 | Washington Wizards v. Atlanta Hawks OVER 200.5 | Top | 90-106 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 7 m | Show |
Despite the game going over the number in Game 1, both teams combined to shoot only 39.7% from the field. However, there were a plethora of three-point attempts in the contest with Atlanta going 13-for-38 from long distance, and the Wizards 9-for-25. The pace of the game was extremely fast. Washington had 91 field goal attempts in Game 1, and Atlanta had 98. You would be hard pressed to find numbers like that in a game that even went overtime. Finally, there wasn’t a ton of free throws, but the teams combined to go a stellar 30-for-36 (83.3%) from the charity stripe. The Washington Wizards have gone over the total in the last four, and seven of their previous eight games. The Wizards have converted on a sizzling 42.6% of their three-point attempts in their five playoff games. Washington is averaging 27 free throw attempts per game during the playoffs, and that’s considerably higher than their season average of 22. The Atlanta Hawks are averaging an extremely high 32 three-point attempts per game during these playoffs, and that’s exceedingly more than their season average of 27.Atlanta is converting on an outstanding 38% of their three-point attempts at home this season. The Washington Wizards have scored 104-points or more in each of their previous four games, and average 99.1 points per game scored this season. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing an average of 97.1 points per game. Any team (Washington) that’s playing in the second half of the season with a total of 190.0 to 199.5, and they average 98 or more points scored per game, versus an opponent which allows an average of 92 to 98 points per game, resulted in that team going 63-27 (70.7%) over the total since 1996. Play on Washington and Atlanta to go over the total for a 5* selection. |
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05-04-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Houston Rockets UNDER 212 | Top | 117-101 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
These teams saw all four of their regular season meetings stay under the total. The average combined points scored in those contest was 201.3 per game. · The Houston Rockets went under the total of 221.5 by a large margin of 24.5 points in their 103-94 series clinching win over the Dallas Mavericks in their previous game. · The Rockets have a cumulative winning percentage in the playoffs and regular season of .690. · The Los Angeles Clippers have a cumulative winning percentage of .674. · The total in this contest is 212.0. Any team with a total of 210.0 or more that went under the total by 24.0 or more in their previous game, and they have a winning percentage of .600 to .750, versus an opponent with a winning record, resulted in that team going 28-7 (80%) under the total since 1996. As a matter of fact, 68.6% of those 35-games went under the total by 7.0 points or more. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection. |
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04-30-15 | Chicago Bulls v. Milwaukee Bucks OVER 187 | Top | 120-66 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
The general public has overwhelming wagered on the under in this contest, and did so early in the process to boot. Granted, both of these teams are very good defensively, and the total has been set accordingly. It's never as easy as it seems, and this is one of those cases. |
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04-27-15 | Atlanta Hawks v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 197 | Top | 115-120 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 10 m | Show |
The Atlanta Hawks have allowed 92-points or less in each of their previous four games. However, they also shot less than 40% from the floor in three of those four contests. Atlanta has gone under the total in nine of ten games on the road during the last two seasons following a straight up favorite loss. |
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04-21-15 | Dallas Mavericks v. Houston Rockets OVER 215 | Top | 99-111 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
Both of these teams have spent the last few weeks playing on the high side of the total. Dallas has gone over the total in their last seven and nine of their previous ten. Houston has seen six of their last seven go over the total. Both of these teams are deadly perimeter shooting teams, and are coming off a highly entertaining series opener won by Houston 118-108. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection. |
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04-14-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Phoenix Suns UNDER 207 | Top | 112-101 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
The Clippers have seen each of their previous five contests go under the total, and there was a combined average of 196.2 points scored per game. Their play on the defensive play of the floor has been a huge part in those recent games playing on the low side of the number. The Clippers have allowed 91.8 points per game and held opponents to just 39.8% shooting from the field in those contests. |
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04-13-15 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Sacramento Kings OVER 208.5 | Top | 92-102 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
The Los Angeles Lakers enter tonight having gone over the total in six of their last nine games. The Lakers have allowed 105-points or more in eight of those previous nine contests. They’ve also been able to score 100-points or more in each of the last four games. The Lakers have gone over the total in ten of fourteen this season versus division opponents, and those contests averaged a combined 215.1 points scored per game. |
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04-10-15 | Indiana Pacers v. Detroit Pistons OVER 196 | Top | 107-103 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
The Detroit Pistons have seen each of their last eight games at home go over the total. The Pistons are averaging a very respectable 100.8 points per game at home this season, and have also shot a robust 38.9% from beyond the three point line when facing an opponent from within their own division like they will be tonight. |
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04-04-15 | Wisconsin v. Kentucky UNDER 132 | Top | 71-64 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 33 m | Show |
The Wisconsin Badgers advanced to the "Final Four" with an 85-78 win over Arizona. The Badgers will enter Saturday's contest averaging 72.8 points per game on the season. They'll be facing a Kentucky team which allows just 53.9 points per game. The combination of this data creates a highly profitable college basketball totals betting system. |
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04-03-15 | Toronto Raptors v. Brooklyn Nets OVER 206 | Top | 109-114 | Win | 100 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
The Toronto Raptors have gone over the total in each of the last five, and eight of their previous nine games on the road. The Brooklyn Nets have gone over the total in the last three, seven of the last 10, and nine of their previous thirteen games overall. Both teams enter tonight shooting terrific from the floor, and from beyond the three-point line in each of their previous five games. |
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03-31-15 | Tennessee-Martin v. Evansville OVER 149 | Top | 66-79 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 11 m | Show |
UT-Martin is a very good three-point shooting team which converts on 39% of their attempts. They've played all three of their CIT games on the road, have averaged 78.0 points per game, and averaged 62 field goal attempts per contest which constitutes a brisk tempo. |
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03-30-15 | Phoenix Suns v. Portland Trail Blazers UNDER 199.5 | Top | 86-109 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
The Phoenix Suns have gone under the total in the last four, and eleven of their previous twelve games. Those previous twelve games have averaged a combined 188.8 points scored per contest. The Suns have held eight of their previous eleven opponents to 98-points or less. Phoenix will be facing a Portland team that's converting on 36.2% of their three-point attempts this season. The Suns have seen fifteen of nineteen games this season stay under the total versus opponents that convert on 36% or better of their three-point attempts. |
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03-27-15 | UCLA v. Gonzaga OVER 144.5 | Top | 62-74 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
Gonzaga has seen each of their previous five games go over the total, shot an outstanding 54.3% from the field during that time, and saw an average of 155.2 points combined score per contest. This is nothing new for the Bulldogs who average 80.4 points per game and shoots a sizzling 50.7% from the field this season. They're also one of the premier three-point shooting teams in the country that converts on a terrific 40.8% of its attempts from long distance. |
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03-26-15 | North Carolina v. Wisconsin OVER 144.5 | Top | 72-79 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show |
I wouldn't consider either of these teams to be great defensively. The points per game allowed by Wisconsin is impressive, but very deceiving, and is mostly due to the slower pace they've been afforded to play at with big leads on many occasions this season. North Carolina loves an up tempo game, evidenced by their average of 61 field goal attempts per game. Wisconsin has scored 71-points or more in each of their previous seven contests, and has averaged a robust 75.4 points per game during that time. North Carolina has been a dynamic offensive team this season that averages 77.9 points per game. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection. |
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03-19-15 | Northeastern v. Notre Dame OVER 140.5 | Top | 65-69 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
Both of these teams are terrific shooting teams. Northeastern has shot 48.6% from the field and has converted a stellar 38.4% of their three-point attempts this season. As a matter of fact, the Huskies have shot a sizzling 53.3% from the field over their previous seven games. Notre Dame is averaging 78.8 points per game, shot 51% from the field, and converted on an outstanding 39.2% of their three-point shots this season. "The Fighting Irish" have shot an even better 52.3% from the field over their previous five games, and three of those games were versus nationally ranked opponents. This one has the look of a high scoring game and that's just where my money will go. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection. |
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03-17-15 | Ole Miss v. BYU OVER 158 | Top | 94-90 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show |
The total is the high for good reason. Both of these teams love playing up tempo basketball with Ole Miss averaging 58 field goal attempts per game and BYU 60 per outing. BYU averages a robust 83.6 points per game and converts on a stellar 38.8% of their free throw attempts. Ole Miss averages 72.6 points per game and converts on a terrific 77.8% of their free throw attempts. This should be a close, and wildly entertaining basketball game. It's very rare that I go over the number with a college basketball total this high, but this is one of those occasions. Play on this game to go over the total as a 5* selection. |
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03-15-15 | Denver Nuggets v. New Orleans Pelicans OVER 208 | Top | 118-111 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
The Denver Nuggets have scored 100-points or more in each of their previous seven contests, and have averaged a robust 107.4 points per game during that time. They've also shot 50% or better from the field in three of their previous five game. The Nuggets have allowed 102-points or more in four of the last five contests. |
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02-24-15 | UNLV v. Utah State OVER 132.5 | Top | 65-83 | Win | 100 | 4 h 22 m | Show |
The first time these teams met this season UNLV was a 79-77 home winner, and that contest sailed over the total of 125.5. Utah State has seen each of their last five games go over the total, and they've shot a sizzling hot 52.2% from the field in that stretch. The Aggies are an excellent three-point shooting team, converting on 39.7% of their attempts on the season, and an even better 41.0% at home. UNLV has seen each of their previous four games on the road go over the total with an average of 147.3 points combined being scored per game. The Rebels have also allowed opponents to shoot 38.3% from beyond the three-point line this season. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection. |
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02-24-15 | Toronto Raptors v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 204.5 | Top | 92-99 | Win | 100 | 3 h 28 m | Show |
This total opened at 205.0 and was more based on each team's entire body of work as opposed to their recent performance lines. Dallas has gone under the total in each of their previous four games, and those contests averaged a combined 186.5 points. The Toronto Raptors have gone under the total in four of their last five, and those games averaged a combined 182.6 points per game scored. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection. |
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02-19-15 | Central Florida v. Tulane UNDER 125.5 | Top | 69-55 | Win | 100 | 4 h 50 m | Show |
Tulane has seen each of its previous seven games go under the total. As a matter of fact, that last six of those games have averaged just a combined 108.8 points per contest being scored. The Green Wave have scored 55-points or less in each of the last six, and UCF has scored only an average of 59.2 points per game during their last five games. This one has all the ear marks of a game that will be played on the low side of the ledger, and that's just the direction I'm headed. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection. |
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02-12-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 198 | Top | 98-113 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
There is no analysis today due to time constraints. |
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02-10-15 | Alabama v. Mississippi State OVER 121 | Top | 55-51 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
Mississippi State has seen 7 of their 10-games versus SEC opponents go over the total this season, and those contests averaged 132.9 points scored per outing. The Bulldogs are coming off a 61-41 loss at Arkansas, and that ended a stretch of five games in a row going over the total. Alabama's last four road games have averaged 143.5 points per contest. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection. |
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02-09-15 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 208 | Top | 115-98 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
Tonight will be the finale of a grueling eight game in thirteen day road trip for the Clippers. They will also be playing in their fourth game in the last five days. NBA history has shown that teams playing through a rigorous stretch such as the one the Clippers are in, see their offensive production, and shooting efficiency take a noticeable dip in comparison to season averages. |
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02-06-15 | Utah Jazz v. Phoenix Suns UNDER 203.5 | Top | 93-100 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
Neither one of these teams are well rested going into tonight's game. This will be the third game in four days for Utah, and Phoenix is coming off a 108-87 blowout loss at Portland last night. The Suns have now gone under the total in six consecutive games in a row, and have averaged going below the number by 13.4 points per contest during that time span. The Suns are averaging a robust 106.3 points per game this season. However, the Jazz have gone under the total in all seven of their games thi season when facing an opponent that averages 103 or more points per game. Play on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play selection. |
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02-03-15 | Denver Nuggets v. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 191.5 | Top | 98-105 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 42 m | Show |
Philadelphia has gone under the total in 15 of their last 17-games. They've eclipsed the 100-point plateau just once since scoring 115-points at Memphis on December 15th. This is also a very weary 76ers team that will be playing their 4th in 5-days and 13th game over the last 20-days. Their tired legs have really taken a toll on their shooting performances. Philadelphia has shot less than 40% from the field in seven of their previous nine games. They've also allowed less than 100-points in their last five, and seven of the last eight overall. |
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02-02-15 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 206.5 | Top | 94-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
These are a couple of very weary teams heading into tonight's game. Dallas will be playing their 3rd game in four days, and their 5th in the last seven days. Minnesota will also be playing their 3rd game in four days. More often than not, tired legs will go hand in hand with poor shooting from the field. Dallas has gone under the total in the last three, seven of the last nine, and eleven of their previous fifteen games. Minnesota has scored 94-points or less in six of their last eight games, and has allowed 105-points or less in eight of its last nine. Play on this game going under the total as a 10* Top Play selection. |
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01-31-15 | Charlotte Hornets v. Denver Nuggets OVER 193 | Top | 104-86 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
Denver has gone over the total in four of their last five games at home with an average combined total score of 215.6 points per contest. Charlotte has seen five of their last six games on the road go over the total with an average combined total points scored of 196.2 points per contest. The Hornets have also gone over the total in twelve of fourteen games the past two seasons when the total is 190.0 to 194.0. Those fourteen contests averaged 204.4 combined points scored per game. |
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01-30-15 | Dallas Mavericks v. Miami Heat UNDER 190.5 | Top | 93-72 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show |
The Heat went over the total in their last game and it broke a streak of twelve consecutive unders in a row. Unfortunately for Miami, that game resulted in a 109-102 home loss to the Milwaukee Bucks. The heat have gone under the total in 18 of 24 this season following a loss. They'll be facing a Dallas team tonight that's averaging 107.2 points per game. However, Miami has seen 10 of 12 stay under the total this season when facing an opponent that allows 103-points or more per contest. |
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01-25-15 | Indiana Pacers v. Orlando Magic OVER 208 | Top | 106-99 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
Any home team (Orlando) with a total of 200.0 or more, coming off three consecutive games in which they allowed 105-points or more, versus an opponent coming off a loss by 3-points or less, has seen that home team go over the total in 36 of 49-games (73.5%) since 1996. The average combined total points scored in those contests was 219.5. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection. |
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01-22-15 | Alabama v. Arkansas OVER 143.5 | Top | 91-93 | Win | 100 | 3 h 43 m | Show |
No analysis tonight due to time constraints. |
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01-21-15 | Memphis v. Tulsa UNDER 128.5 | Top | 55-73 | Win | 100 | 3 h 29 m | Show |
Any home team (Tulsa) with a total of 120.0 to 129.5, playing in game 15 of the season or beyond, they've allowed 65-points or less in each of their previous five games, and both teams in the contest allow an average of 63-points or less per game, has seen that home team go under the total 38 of 52-games (73.1%) since 1997. The average total in those games was 124.4, and the average combined score was 117.7 points. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* selection. |
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01-17-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Houston Rockets UNDER 214.5 | Top | 131-106 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
The Rockets are coming off a win versus Oklahoma City on Thursday. They've seen 11 of 12 go under the total at home this season following a win, and those games averaged 188.1 points scored. |
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01-16-15 | Detroit Pistons v. Indiana Pacers OVER 196 | Top | 98-96 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 33 m | Show |
Any team (Detroit) which has won 8 or more of their previous 10-games, and has a losing record on the season, has seen that team go over the total in 79 of those 113-games (69.9%) since 1996. The average total in those games was 196.9, and the average points scored were 204.1. Those 113-games saw 57.1% of them go over the total by 7.0 points or more. Play on this game to go over the total as a 5* selection. |
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01-13-15 | Golden State Warriors v. Utah Jazz UNDER 203 | Top | 116-105 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
Both of these teams have been solid defensively in each of their previous 5-games. During that the Warriors have held opponents to 40.0% shooting from the field, and the Jazz allowed opponents to shoot just 41.7% from the floor. As a matter of fact, Utah has gone under the total in the last 3, and 10 of their previous 11-games. The Jazz have allowed 97-points or less in 6 of their last 7-games. These teams met twice in Utah a season ago, and both contests easily went under the total. In their one encounter this season, the Warriors were a 101-88 winner at home, and that game went under the total of 207.5. |
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01-10-15 | Utah Jazz v. Houston Rockets UNDER 196 | Top | 82-97 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
Houston has gone under the total in 14 of their 18-games at home this season, and the average points scored by both teams combined in those contests was 191.4. The Utah Jazz have gone under the total in their last 6-games on the road, and 9 of the last 10 overall. |
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01-09-15 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 207 | Top | 94-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
The Cleveland Cavaliers have gone under the total in 7 of the last 9, and 9 of their last 12-games overall. The Cavaliers will continue to be without their leading scorer Lebron James. They've really struggled offensively of late, averaging 89.2 points, and shooting a horrible 38.6% from the field in their last 5-games. They will be facing a Golden State team which receives a lot of acclaim for their exciting style of up tempo play and superb three-point shooting. However, this is a vastly underrated defensive Warriors team as well. |
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01-08-15 | Stanford v. UCLA UNDER 131.5 | Top | 81-86 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
Stanford has allowed 60-points or less in their previous three games, and each of those contests went under the total with an average of 122.7 points scored. As a matter of fact, their last game on Sunday night versus Washington went under the number despite going overtime. UCLA has seen a combined 118-points or less scored in each of their last three games. The Bruins have gone under the total in their last four games overall with an average of 115.3 points combined being scored. |
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01-05-15 | Dallas Mavericks v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 206 | Top | 96-88 | Win | 100 | 5 h 25 m | Show |
Dallas @ Brooklyn 7:35 PM ET |
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01-02-15 | Indiana Pacers v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 195.5 | Top | 94-91 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
The Bucks have gone under the total in their last 4 with an average of only 183.3 points per game. They've also allowed an average of 87.3 points per contest during that time. The Pacers have allowed 96-points or less in 6 of the last 7 and 8 of their previous 10-games. Any road team with a total of 190.0 to 199.5 Which has been the spread by 30-points or more during their previous five games, versus an opponent that's beat the spread by 42 or more during their past seven games, has seen that road team go under the total in 34 of those 47-games (72.3%) since 1996. The average score combined in those contests was 186.7 points. |
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12-29-14 | Washington Wizards v. Houston Rockets UNDER 198.5 | Top | 104-103 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
Washington @ Houston 8:05 PM ET |
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12-27-14 | New York Knicks v. Sacramento Kings OVER 199.5 | Top | 129-135 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
New York @ Sacramento 10:05 PM ET |
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12-15-14 | Detroit Pistons v. Los Angeles Clippers OVER 204 | Top | 91-113 | Push | 0 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
Detroit @ LA Clippers 10:35 PM ET |
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12-13-14 | Purdue v. Vanderbilt UNDER 128.5 | Top | 71-81 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
Purdue @ Vanderbilt 9:00 PM ET |
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12-02-14 | Boston Celtics v. Atlanta Hawks OVER 211.5 | Top | 105-109 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
Boston @ Atlanta 7:35 PM ET |
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11-24-14 | Phoenix Suns v. Toronto Raptors UNDER 208 | Top | 100-104 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show |
Phoenix @ Toronto 7:35 PM ET |
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11-19-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Denver Nuggets OVER 198 | Top | 100-107 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
Oklahoma City @ Denver 9:05 PM ET |
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11-08-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Houston Rockets UNDER 206 | Top | 98-87 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
Golden State @ Houston 8:05 PM ET |
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11-06-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Houston Rockets UNDER 198 | Top | 81-98 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show |
San Antonio @ Houston 8:05 PM ET |
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06-05-14 | Miami Heat v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 201.5 | Top | 95-110 | Loss | -150 | 52 h 8 m | Show |
Miami @ San Antonio 9:05 PM ET |
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05-20-14 | Miami Heat v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 185 | Top | 87-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
Miami @ Indiana 8:35 PM ET |
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05-15-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 213 | Top | 104-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
Oklahoma City @ LA Clippers 10:35 PM ET Play On: Under 213.0 (10*) Any Game 5 to a Game 7 of a playoff series that involves 2-teams with a .664 or better winning percentage, and the total is 201.0 or more, has gone under the total in 21 of those 25-games (84%) during the previous 25 seasons. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play. |
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05-13-14 | LA CLIPPERS GM5 v. OKLAHOMA CITY GM5 UNDER 214 | Top | 104-105 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
LA Clippers @ Oklahoma Thunder 9:35 PM ET |
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05-12-14 | SAN ANTONIO GM4 v. PORTLAND GM4 UNDER 211 | Top | 92-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
San Antonio @ Portland 10:35 PM ET Play On: Under 210.5 (10*) The oddsmakers have adjusted this total a bit compared to the last 2-games. The number opened at 212.0 and is down to 210.5 despite the public overwhelmingly wagering on this to be a high scoring affair. You can't blame the public opinion in that regards considering the high scoring nature of the last 2-games. Portland knows they have to clamp down defensively if they're to have any chance of winning a game in this series. The Blazers have also averaged just 97.8 points, and shot a cool 42% from the field over their last 5-games. Both of those numbers are well below their season averages. San Antonio has gone under the total in 17 of 20-games during the past 2 seasons after shooting 47% or better from the field in each of their previous 4-games. Any home team with a total of 210.0 or more that's playing with same season revenge stemming from a loss in which they allowed 100-points or more, versus an opponent that's coming off a straight up underdog win by 10-points or more, has seen 30 of those 37-games (81.1%) go under the total during the last 18 seasons. Play on is game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play selection. |
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04-30-14 | Portland Trailblazers v. Houston Rockets OVER 213.5 | Top | 98-108 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
Portland @ Houston 9:35 PM ET |
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04-26-14 | Miami Heat v. Charlotte Bobcats OVER 187.5 | Top | 98-85 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
Miami @ Charlotte 7:05 PM ET |
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04-24-14 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Golden State Warriors OVER 212 | Top | 98-96 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
LA Clippers @ Golden State 10:35 PM ET |
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04-23-14 | Portland Trailblazers v. Houston Rockets OVER 214.5 | Top | 112-105 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
Portland @ Houston 10:35 PM ET |
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04-04-14 | New Orleans Pelicans v. Utah Jazz OVER 196 | Top | 96-100 | Push | 0 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
New Orleans has gone over the total in 15 of their 18-games this season versus opponents that have a -3.0 or worse point per game differential. The average combined total score in those 18-games was 210.4 points. The Pelicans have scored 98-points or more in 10 of their last 11-games overall, and have gone over the total in 12 of their last 15 contests. They've also allowed 102-points or more in 10 of those last 15-games.
Utah has gone over the total in 9 of 10-games this season versus an opponent that has a field goal percentage defense of 46% or more on the season, and the average combined total score in those 10-games was 208.4 points. The Jazz have allowed their last 5 opponents to score an average of 103.0 points and shoot a sizzling 50.9% from the field. The Jazz have seen all 3 of their games versus the Pelicans this season go over the total with an average total score of 205.3 points. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Best Bet selection. |
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03-31-14 | Washington Wizards v. Charlotte Bobcats OVER 193.5 | Top | 94-100 | Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
Charlotte has gone over the total in 4 of their last 5-games with an average combined total score of 210.4. They will be facing a Washington team who's seen 15 of 21 road games go over the total this season versus an opponent with a losing record, and the average combined total score in those 21 contests was 204.1 points. The Wizards have scored 101-points or more in 7 of their last 9-games.
Any team (Charlotte) with a total of between 190.0 to 199.5 that's playing in game 42 of the season or beyond, they're averaging between 92 to 98-points per game, and they've allowed 102-points or more in each of their previous 2-games, versus an opponent that allows an average of between 98 to 102-points per contest, has seen 23 of those 27-games (85.2%) go over the total during the past 18 seasons. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Best Bet selection. |
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03-21-14 | Mercer v. Duke OVER 140 | Top | 78-71 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
Both of these teams not only like to hoist up three-point shots but they're extremely efficient in making them. Duke is converting on 39% of their long range bombs While mercer connects 38% of the time. These clubs average a combined 43 three-point attempts per game. Putting that into perspective, that's better than 1 attempt per minute. Mercer averages 79.3 points per game while Duke puts up 78.6 per contest. Both teams attempt an average of 58 field goal attempts per contest which translated to a pretty good pace to the game. Play on this game to go over the total as a 10* Best Bet selection.
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03-15-14 | Connecticut v. Louisville UNDER 136 | Top | 61-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
Louisville has absolutely locked down defensively over their last 3-games allowing just 48.0 points per game, and held those 3 opponents to a combined 32.4% shooting from the field. They do come off a high scoring game in the semifinals of the tournament with a 94-65 win over Houston last night. However, the Cardinals have gone under the total in 10 of 12-games the last 3 seasons after seeing a combined 155-points more scored in their previous game.
The Huskies of Connecticut have been absolutely brilliant defensively in the first 2-games of the conference tournament. They held Memphis and Cincinnati to an average of just 54.5 points and an excellent 32.4% shooting from the field. The Huskies enter today's game having gone under the total in the last 8, and 12 of their last 13-games. They've gone under the total in 7 of 8-games this season following a game they allowed 64-points or less, and the average combined score in those 8-games was 122.6 points. Any neutral court team (Louisville) that's coming off 2 straight wins with each coming by 20-points or more, versus an opponent that scored 60-points or less in their previous game, has seen 52 of those 76-games (68.4%) go under the total in the last 17 seasons. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Best Bet selection. |
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03-07-14 | Eastern Kentucky v. Murray State UNDER 147.5 | Top | 86-83 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
The number moving from its opener of 149.5 to 147.0 does make a whole lot of sense, and consequently raises a red flag. Nether one of these clubs are very good defensively, and both are fairly explosive offensively. This is one of those typical scenarios where if it looks to good to be true it normally is. The contrarian approach is the best approach here. Everything we've seen leading up to this matchup points to a high scoring game, and the public will believe they're getting an absolute steal with this relatively low now with all considered. I truly believe it's a trap, and am playing on the low side of the number.
Any neutral court team (Eastern Kentucky) that has a field goal percentage defense of 45% or more on the season! and they're facing an opponent that's shot 47% or better from the field in each of their last 4-games, has seen 41 of those 52-games (78.8%) go under the total in the last 17 seasons. Play on this game to go under the total. |
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03-06-14 | Middle Tenn. St. v. UAB UNDER 134.5 | Top | 55-53 | Win | 100 | 4 h 59 m | Show |
UAB has gone under the total in their last 4-games with an average combined total score of 126.5. The Blazers have also shot a dismal 36.5% from the field over their last 5-games. They've also held their less 4 opponents to 39% or less shooting from the field in each of those contests. Middle Tennessee has also gone under the number in their last 4-games with an average combined total score of 107.3. This is one of those rare times where I question the books posting of this number, and believe it to be conservatively between 6 to 7-points too high.
Any road team with a total of between 130.0 to 139.5 that has seen their last 2-games have both teams score 65-points or less in each contest, versus an opponent who in their last 2-games has seen both teams score 70-points or less in each, has seen 22 of those 28-games (78.6%) go under the total in the last 17 seasons. Play on this game to go under the total as a Best Bet selection. |
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03-05-14 | San Diego State v. UNLV UNDER 129 | Top | 73-64 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
These are two very good defensive teams. The Aztecs are #4 nationally in scoring defense allowing just 57.2 points per game, and are 9th in field goal percentage defense at 38.3% on the season. San Diego St. has gone under the total in 18 of 24-games this season in which there was a posted total. The Rebels are 30th national in field goal percentage defense at 39.9%, and allow just 65.1 points per contest. Considering the high scoring nature in recent games for both of these clubs, it comes as no surprise to me that the general public has overwhelmingly sided with the game going over the total at this point. I look for more of a low scoring game similar to the first time these teams met. San Diego St. won that contest 63-52, and both teams shot horrible from the field.
Any team (UNLV) with a total of 129.5 or less that's gone over the total by 12-points or more in each of their last 3-games, and is playing in the month of March, has seen 28 of those 36-games (77.8%) go under the total in the last 17 seasons. Play on this game to go under the total. |
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02-25-14 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Indiana Pacers OVER 206 | Top | 98-118 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show |
The Lakers have scored 101-points or more in each of their last 4-games. They've also scored 99-points or more in each of their last 10 road games, and have gone over the total in 8 of those 10 contests. The Lakers are coming off a narrow loss to the Nets in their previous game. Los Angeles has gone over the total in 18 of their 23-games in the last 2 seasons following a loss by 6-points or less. The Pacers have seen 20 of their 29 home games go over the total in the last 2 seasons when playing in the 2nd half of their schedule.
Any team that's playing 5-games or less in the last 14 days, and has a winning percentage of .750 or better, versus an opponent with a winning percentage of between .250 to .400, has gone over the total in 28 of those 36-games (77.8%) in the last 18 seasons. Play on this game to go over the total as a Best Bet selection. |
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02-22-14 | Indiana Pacers v. Milwaukee Bucks OVER 188.5 | Top | 110-100 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
Any road team with a total of between 180.0 to 189.5 that's played 6-games or less in the last 14-days, and has a winning percentage of .750 or better, versus an opponent with a losing record, has gone over the total in 36 of those 47-games (76.6%) in the last 18 seasons.
Any team (Indiana) with a total of between 180.0 to 189.5 that's coming off a road favorite straight up loss by 10-points or more, and they have a winning record on the season, has gone over the total in 22 of those 26-games (84.6%) in the last 5 seasons. Play on this game to go over the total as a Best Bet selection. |