Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-27-12 | Kent State v. Rutgers UNDER 46 | 35-23 | Loss | -105 | 61 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Under Radar Total* The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are unbeaten going into week nine of the college football season. Not many people saw that coming. How have they done it? Rutgers wins with their defense. Rutgers is third in the nation in rushing defense. They allow opponents to run for only 69 yards per game. Rutgers is allowing only 11.3 points per game, which is also third best in the nation. Kent State relies on its ground game, and I don't think they can run very well on this Rutgers defense. The Scarlet Knights offense isn't very good, and this feels like a low scoring game to me. The under is 12-4 in Rutgers last 16 games. Take the under.
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10-27-12 | Texas Tech v. Kansas State OVER 60.5 | 24-55 | Win | 100 | 61 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Play of the Week* The Texas Tech Red Raiders have been extremely impressive over the last few weeks. Texas Tech smashed West Virginia and won on the road at TCU. Kansas State has been the biggest surprise in college football this season. The Wildcats beat West Virginia 55-14 in Morgantown last weekend, and that game was as much of a "statement game" as you'll ever see. Kansas State's running attack is extremely tough to stop, and I don't think Texas Tech has the personnel to slow them down. On the other side, Kansas State's weakness is in the secondary. Seth Doege leads the nation with 28 touchdown passes. The Red Raiders should be able to put quite a few points on the board as well. The over is 6-0 in Kansas State's last 6 home games. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 between these teams. Take the over.
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10-27-12 | Ohio v. Miami (OH) OVER 60.5 | 20-23 | Loss | -105 | 61 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* The Ohio Bobcats are unbeaten and in the top 25. Ohio has a well-balanced offense that has been very consistent this year. The Bobcats major problem right now is their defense is really banged up. Ohio's best pass rushers and their best members of the secondary are out. Miami (Ohio) doesn't have a good running game, but they can throw the football. Opponents have been moving the ball through the air against Ohio of late, and Miami should do the same. Miami's defense is giving up 38 points per game, and the Bobcats will be one of the better offenses they have faced. I expect a high scoring game here. The over is 4-0 in Ohio's last 4 coming off a bye week. Take the over.
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10-27-12 | UCLA v. Arizona State OVER 57.5 | 45-43 | Win | 100 | 39 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB PAC 12 Total* UCLA is a much better team this year thanks in large part to Brett Hundley being under center. Hundley is a terrific dual-threat quarterback who jump starts this offense. Johnathan Franklin is one of the best running backs in the nation. Franklin averages 6.8 yards per carry, and I think he can do a lot of damage against this Arizona State defense. Arizona State's offense is fast-paced now with Todd Graham as their coach. Both of these offenses will be playing uptempo, and I think that will give them both plenty of scoring chances. UCLA averages 32 points per game and Arizona State averages 38. Take the over.
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10-27-12 | Ball State v. Army OVER 66.5 | 30-22 | Loss | -110 | 81 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Ball State Cardinals have completely changed the way they play over the past couple years. Ball State is now a hurry up offense that looks to get as many offensive plays in a game as possible. Army's defense is allowing 38 points per game this year. Army gave up 48 points to a terrible Eastern Michigan offense last weekend. On the other side of the ball, Army is the number one rushing offense in the nation. That will be a problem for a Ball State defense that is 114th in the nation in total defense. Ball State allows 476 yards of offense per game. The over is a perfect 7-0 in Ball State's last 7 road games. The over is 10-1 in Army's last 11 games against the MAC. The over is 4-0 in Army's last 4 games following a loss. Take the over.
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10-20-12 | Marshall v. Southern Mississippi OVER 66.5 | 59-24 | Win | 100 | 120 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Tempo Total* The Marshall Thundering Herd have one of the fastest paced offenses in the nation. Marshall's scoring drives often only last 2 or 3 minutes. Rakeem Cato is a very talented young quarterback for the Thundering Herd. Marshall is averaging 396 passing yards per game this year, which is second in the nation. Southern Miss has defensive problems this year. The Golden Eagles are allowing 36 points per game. On the other side, Marshall's rushing defense is abysmal and Southern Miss can still run the football. The Golden Eagles should be able to rack up some big yardage in this one. The over is 5-1 in Marshall's last 6 road games. Take the over.
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10-20-12 | Cincinnati v. Toledo OVER 64.5 | 23-29 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Cincinnati Bearcats and the Toledo Rockets can both score points in bunches. Cincinnati averages 37 points per game this year. The Bearcats have scored 52 and 49 points in the last two weeks. Toledo's defense is one of the worst in all of football. Toledo is 111th out of 124 teams in the nation in total defense. The Bearcats should pile up the points here. At the same time, Toledo's offense averages 36.4 points per game, and they will be the best offense the Bearcats defense has faced this season. The over is 5-0 in Toledo's last 5 games against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in Cincinnati's last 4 following a win. Take the over and expect a high scoring game.
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10-20-12 | Boston College v. Georgia Tech OVER 61.5 | Top | 17-37 | Loss | -110 | 116 h 50 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB Top Play of the Week* Boston College has a much improved offense compared to a year ago, but their defense is much worse than it was a year ago. The Eagles are averaging 281 passing yards per game this year. On the other side, Boston College is giving up 248 yards per game on the ground. Georgia Tech is third in the nation with 331 rushing yards per game. Army's offense piled up the yards and points against Boston College, and Georgia Tech runs the option even better. Georgia Tech's passing defense has been terrible, so Boston College should pile up the yards here. I don't see either defense slowing down the opposition in this one. The over is 4-0 in Georgia Tech's last 4 games. Look for a very high scoring game. I think this goes way over. Take the over big!
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10-18-12 | Oregon v. Arizona State OVER 68 | 43-21 | Loss | -107 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star Thursday Night Total Domination* The Oregon Ducks are an amazing offensive team. Chip Kelly just continues to plug in athletic players and run this high-powered offense beautifully. Oregon is averaging 52.3 points per game so far this year. Thomas is one of the most dynamic offensive players in football, and Mariota is a terrific quarterback for this system. Arizona State's defense has good numbers this year, which is giving us some value here. Arizona State hasn't faced a good offense yet this year, and I think they'll struggle in a big way here. At the same time, Todd Graham has this offense putting up points. Oregon has given up quite a few yards through the air, and I think the Sun Devils can score quite a few here. The over is 7-0 in Arizona State's last 7 Thursday games. The over is 5-0 in Oregon's last 5 games following an ATS win. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. Take the over.
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10-13-12 | Texas A&M v. Louisiana Tech OVER 79 | 59-57 | Win | 100 | 30 h 6 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Texas A&M Aggies offense is starting to get rolling. Kevin Sumlin's fast-paced offense struggled early in the year, but Johnny Manziel is getting it going of late. Louisiana Tech's defense has been torched through the air this year. The Bulldogs allowed an eye-popping 580 yards through the air in a win at Houston earlier this year. On the other side, the Bulldogs offense is tremendous. Louisiana Tech is averaging 53.2 points per game this year, which is fourth best in the nation. The weakness of the Aggies defense is their secondary, and that will be a big problem this week. The over is 5-0 in LA Tech's last 5 games. Look for a shootout. Take the over.
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10-13-12 | West Virginia v. Texas Tech OVER 78 | 14-49 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 60 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Offensive Explosion* The West Virginia Mountaineers now rival the Oregon Ducks as having the team with the most high-octane offense in the nation. Geno Smith has thrown 24 touchdowns and ZERO interceptions. He is clearly the Heisman front runner for great reason. Texas Tech's pass defense has been ranked at the top of the charts all year, but that will end quickly after this one. The Red Raiders shut down a ton of weak offenses and they'll be torched by West Virginia in this one. On the other side, Texas Tech has a nice quarterback in Seth Doege. West Virginia's defense is nothing special. I think both teams get to 40 points here. Take the over.
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10-13-12 | Maryland v. Virginia UNDER 45.5 | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 85 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Maryland Terrapins have been making progress this year. Randy Edsall's team is making progress because they can play defense. Edsall has instilled his defensive toughness on this team, and it is showing on the field. West Virginia even struggled at times against the Terrapins defense. For the season, Maryland is allowing only 257 yards per game (7th in the nation). Virginia's offense is inconsistent, and I don't expect them to break out of their slump this week. As good as Maryland has been on defense, their offense has been terrible. The Terrapins rank 121st out of 124 teams in the nation in total offense. The under is 8-1 in the Cavs last 9 home games. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. Take the under.
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10-13-12 | Western Michigan v. Ball State OVER 66.5 | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Play of the Week* The Ball State Cardinals have had high scoring games every week this year. Ball State has transitioned to a new fast-pace offense in the past year, and it is paying dividends in a big way now. The Cardinals only scored two touchdowns in 7 trips inside the red zone last weekend, but they'll face a poor defense this week. Western Michigan gave up 35 points against Ball State last year. On the other side, Western Michigan's passing attack is solid and the Cardinals secondary isn't good. Expect both teams to move the ball well through the air in this one. The over is 11-2-1 in Ball State's last 14 home games. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings at Ball State. I think this one gets into the low-mid 70's. Take the over.
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10-13-12 | North Carolina v. Miami (Florida) OVER 68.5 | 18-14 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Value* The North Carolina Tar Heels are getting accustomed to Larry Fedora's uptempo offense, and it is starting to work well. The Tar Heels like to wear defenses down, and that has been exactly what they are doing over the last few weeks. Bryn Renner is a budding star at the quarterback spot. Renner already has 1,600 passing yards this year. Giovanni Bernard piled up a record 262 rushing yards last week against Virginia Tech. The Hokies defense was supposed to be strong, but North Carolina put up 48 points. Miami's defense is very weak. The Hurricanes have allowed 32 points or more against every FBS team they have played this year. Look for a high scoring game here. Take the over.
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10-13-12 | UAB v. Houston OVER 67 | 17-39 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* The Houston Cougars offense took some time to get going this year, but they are rolling once again. It is the passing attack behind David Piland that is really clicking right now. Houston averages 344 passing yards per game. UAB's defense is allowing 33.8 points per game this year. On the other side, Houston's defense is bad once again this season. The Cougars are giving up almost 500 yards of total offense per game. Houston allows 32 points per game. UAB's passing attack has been very good of late. UAB put up 42 points in a loss to Tulsa last week. I don't see many stops in this one. Take the over.
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10-06-12 | Washington v. Oregon OVER 64.5 | 21-52 | Win | 100 | 124 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Late Night Bailout* The Washington Huskies defense was horrible last season. The Huskies defense has been surprisingly decent this year, but they haven't played anyone with even close to the level of offensive talent that Oregon has. The Ducks probably have the most dynamic offense in the nation. Oregon is averaging 52.4 points per game, and I'll be surprised if they don't get close to that level again this week. They just have too many weapons and too much speed for the Huskies defense. Washington has a very good quarterback in Keith Price, and I expect the Huskies to be able to do some scoring of their own in this one too. The over is 20-7 in Oregon's last 27 conference games. Take the over.
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10-06-12 | Georgia Tech v. Clemson OVER 73 | 31-47 | Win | 100 | 18 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets run the triple option as well as anyone, and I don't think Clemson has the personnel to stop the Yellow Jackets running game. At the same time, Georgia Tech's defense simply isn't very good. Clemson has one of the most dynamic offenses in the nation. The Tigers put up 37 points against a great Florida State defense. Clemson has the type of offense that could score 45-50 points in a game like this. Tajh Boyd has his best play maker back this weekend as Sammy Watkins has been cleared to play. Boyd is one of the best quarterbacks in the land, and he should have a great game here. Take the over.
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10-06-12 | Tulsa v. Marshall OVER 67.5 | Top | 45-38 | Win | 100 | 117 h 38 m | Show |
*6 Star College Football Play of the Year!* This one sets up to a be huge play for me. Tulsa's offense averages 42 points per game. The Golden Hurricane average 245 rushing yards per game, which is 12th in the nation. Marshall's weakness as a defense is the front seven, and opponents are averaging 225 rushing yards per game. Overall, the Thundering Herd are allowing a ridiculous 44.4 points per game. On the other side, Marshall ranks third in the nation in passing offense. The Thundering Herd average 395 yards per game through the air thanks to super sophomore Rakeem Cato. Cato leads the nation in passing yards. Tulsa's secondary is definitely the weakness of the defense. UAB threw for 337 yards on Tulsa last weekend. Marshall is putting up 41 points per game this year. Marshall scored 34 points against West Virginia and 41 against a pretty good Purdue defense. Both of these teams are teams I look to play the over with, and I was prepared to play a much higher number than this on the over. My numbers have this game projected at 82 points. Look for a major shootout in this one. Take the over in a very big way!
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10-06-12 | Northern Illinois v. Ball State OVER 67 | Top | 35-23 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 16 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play Total Domination* Ball State has quickly becoming a scoring machine over the past couple years. If you look at Ball State's games this year, the combined score at the end of their games has been: 79, 80, 58, and 88 points. Northern Illinois and Ball State played to a 41-38 final last year. Two years ago the final was 59-21. Northern Illinois has a great play maker at quarterback in Jordan Lynch. Northern Illinois put up 55 points on Central Michigan last weekend. This is one of those games where I think both teams are very capable of putting up 40 points. This is a total I would have played up to 74 points. The over is 6-0-1 in Ball State's last 7 against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in Ball State's last 4 when allowing 40 points or more in the previous game. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams at Ball State. Take the over big!
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10-06-12 | Boston College v. Army OVER 56 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 17 h 39 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Total* Boston College is a completely different team than they were a year ago. Chase Rettig leads an impressive passing attack for the Eagles. Boston College is putting up more than 300 passing yards per game this year. On the other side, Boston College's defense took a big hit when Kuechly graduated after last season. Army is second in the nation in rushing yards, and I think they'll be able to run the ball well against a fairly weak Boston College front seven. Army's defense has given up more than 40 points in three of their five games this year. I think this game gets into the 60's. Take the over.
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09-29-12 | Wisconsin v. Nebraska OVER 50 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 24 h 14 m | Show | |
*3 Star Wisconsin/Nebraska Total Domination* The Wisconsin Badgers dominated the Nebraska Cornuskers 48-17 last year in the Cornhuskers first game in the Big 10. Nebraska will definitely be looking for revenge in this night game in Lincoln. The Nebraska offense has been much better this year as Taylor Martinez has developed his passing game in a big way. Wisconsin's defense is down a bit, and Nebraska should be able to take advantage. At the same time, I expect Wisconsin to be able to run the ball well against Nebraska's relatively weak front seven. This total is too low for me to pass up. The over is 10-4 in Wisconsin's last 14. Take the over.
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09-29-12 | Arizona State v. California OVER 57.5 | 27-17 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden Gem Total* Arizona State's offense is high-octane now with Todd Graham as the head coach. The Sun Devils are all about trying to pick up the tempo of the game and put points on the board in a hurry. I think Cal's games are being lined too low this year because the team had a good defense last year. The Cal defense is nothing like it was a year ago. Arizona State should pick them apart through the air. On the other side, Cal certainly has the ability to put up quite a few points on Arizona State as well. The over is 10-2 in Arizona State's last 12 conference games. Take the over.
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09-29-12 | Clemson v. Boston College OVER 58 | Top | 45-31 | Win | 100 | 117 h 24 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB Total SMASHER* The Clemson Tigers offense is one of the best in the nation. Clemson piled up 37 points against a great Florida State defense last week. Boston College's defense is down quite a bit from a year ago, and Clemson scored 36 on them last season. Boston College does have a much improved passing game this year. The Eagles are putting up 317 passing yards per contest so far this year. Chase Rettig has really stepped up at the quarterback spot. Clemson's defense isn't very good right now, and Boston College should be able to score plenty as well. I think this one gets into the mid 60's or higher. Take the over big.
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09-29-12 | Nevada v. Texas State OVER 62.5 | Top | 34-21 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 12 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB Play of the Week* Nevada's offense is extremely tough to stop every single year, and this year is no different. Chris Ault's Pistol offense is unique and very difficult to scheme against. Stefphon Jefferson leads the nation in rushing right now. Jefferson rushed for 6 touchdowns in last week's game alone! Cody Fajardo is a very underrated quarterback for Nevada, and he should have a field day against a terrible Texas State secondary. On the other side, Nevada's defense is horrible. The Wolfpack are 108th in the nation in total defense, and they are allowing 475 yards per game. Texas State should be able to get on the board plenty of times here too. Don't be surprised if this one goes well over the total. Take the over big!
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09-29-12 | Buffalo v. Connecticut UNDER 44 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 35 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Buffalo Bulls are expected to be without star running back Branden Oliver in this one. Oliver is basically one-man show for the Bulls on a weekly basis, so if he does indeed miss this game the offense (which is already bad), will really be hurting. Buffalo is 112th in the nation in passing. UConn's defense has been spectacular this year. The Huskies are fifth in the nation in total defense. They are third in rushing defense (allowing only 57.5 yards per game). UConn's offense isn't very strong, and they don't really have the type of team to light up the scoreboard against many teams. The under is 9-0 in Buffalo's last 9 games after allowing 200 rushing yards in the previous game. I like the under here.
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09-22-12 | Arizona v. Oregon OVER 75 | Top | 0-49 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 15 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB Top Play Total* I had this game circled before the lines came out this week. This is a game I was willing to play the 'over' on at 80 points, so I like the value here. Arizona's fast-paced offense under Rich Rodriguez should be able to score points. The Wildcats have scored 56 and 59 points in the last two weeks. The Arizona defense is very bad, and Oregon is more than capable of scoring on every possession here. The Ducks have what I believe is the most impressive offense in the nation at this point. Marcus Mariota is the real deal at quarterback, and there isn't a better play maker in the country than D'Anthony Thomas. Oregon has scored at least 42 points in every game this year, and that is with taking the starters out by halftime. The Ducks starters should get more time in this Pac 12 contest. Don't be surprised if Oregon gets 55-60 points here. The tempo of this game should be about as fast as you'll see in college football all year. The over is 23-6-1 in Oregon's last 30 home games. The over is 7-1 in Arizona's last 8 games following a straight up win. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. Take the over big!
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09-22-12 | Air Force v. UNLV OVER 54.5 | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 55 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* Air Force is a unique team because they don't move at a quick pace, but they ran the ball extremely well and they have a bad defense. Air Force is first in the nation in rushing yards per game at 390 yards per contest. UNLV's defense is pathetic against the run. The Falcons ran for 394 yards against UNLV last year, and I expect more of the same this season. The difference in this year's UNLV team is that the offense is a bit better. Cornett is a decent running back, and Nick Sherry gives the team a solid upgrade at the quarterback spot. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. Take the over.
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09-22-12 | Kansas v. Northern Illinois OVER 51 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 49 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* Northern Illinois lost 45-42 in a real shootout last year at Kansas. Both teams offenses have appeared a bit worse so far this year, but this number is far too low. James Sims should be back from a suspension for Kansas, and that will give them a good tailback. Northern Illinois has a great running quarterback in Jordan Lynch. Neither defense has been any good the last couple years (Kansas allowed 37 points per game last year), and I don't think they'll be very good this year either. Look for both offenses to move the ball well in this one. Take the over.
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09-22-12 | Maryland v. West Virginia OVER 62 | 21-31 | Loss | -105 | 44 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The West Virginia Mountaineers have a true Heisman Trophy contender at quarterback in Geno Smith. Smith has as many touchdown passes (9) as he does incompletions so far this year! Dana Holgorsen's offense is perfect for Smith and the Mountaineers two star receivers: Tavon Austin and Stedman Bailey. Maryland's defense has been solid against horrible offenses this year, but this is their first true test. It won't surprise me at all if the Mountaineers put up 50 points or more here. Maryland's running game should bust a couple long plays as well. The over is 4-0 in the Mountaineers last 4 September games. The over is 6-1 in their last 7 home games. The over is 7-1 in Maryland's last 8 non-conference games. Take the over.
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09-15-12 | BYU v. Utah UNDER 46.5 | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 26 h 0 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Late Night BAILOUT* BYU/Utah is known as "The Holy War" rivalry game. It might not be well known all across the country, but this is a very strong rivalry game. BYU was beaten 54-10 by Utah at home last season, and you know that didn't sit well. BYU is a much better team than last year. Utah just lost their starting quarterback. Hays will start for Utah here, and he has never thrown for more than 200 yards in a game. Utah's defensive front is terrific led by Star Lotulelei. BYU ranks in the top 10 in the nation in total defense. The under is 6-1 in Utah's last 7 home games. The under is 8-1 in BYU's last 9 September games. Take the under.
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09-15-12 | Notre Dame v. Michigan State UNDER 44 | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star Notre Dame/MSU Total* The Notre Dame Fighting Irish appear to be a much better team this year under Brian Kelly. Kelly has had some time to get his type of players into the system, and it is working out very well for the defense. Notre Dame allowed just 10 points against Navy and 17 against a solid Purdue offense. Michigan State is one-dimensional on offense right now with Maxwell struggling at quarterback. On the other side, Michigan State's defense is excellent. I think the Spartans have one of the top five defenses in the nation. The Spartans don't have any real weakness on defense. Boise State couldn't get anything going against the Spartans. Opponents are averaging only 225.5 total yards per game against Michigan State. Take the under.
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09-15-12 | Western Kentucky v. Kentucky UNDER 49 | 32-31 | Loss | -109 | 39 h 14 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers program has come a very long ways in the past few years. The primary reason this team is so much better is because of the strength of their defense. Even the best teams in the nation don't put up ridiculous numbers on Western Kentucky. Alabama scored 35 points on them last week, but the Crimson Tide had only 328 total yards of offense. Western Kentucky's offense is poor this year without Rainey at tailback. Kentucky's offense isn't very good either, but they do have an athletic defense. It would surprise me to see either team get above 24 points here. Take the under.
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09-15-12 | Rice v. Louisiana Tech OVER 64 | Top | 37-56 | Win | 100 | 121 h 14 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB Top Play Total* The Lousiana Tech Bulldogs beat Houston 56-49 last week. Houston moved the ball at will against the Bulldogs defense, which was a bit of a surprise to me. Louisiana Tech's offense is clicking from the get go this year, but their defense is a mess. Rice's defense has given up at least 35 points per game for the last three seasons, and this will be one of the best offenses they face this year. Rice has a well-balanced offense that should move the ball very well here. Both teams like to play at a fast pace, and I expect both defenses to be worn out by the end of this one. I think this total should have been set at about 70 points. The over is 62-28 in Rice's last 90 games overall. Take the over big here!
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09-15-12 | Northern Illinois v. Army OVER 50 | 41-40 | Win | 100 | 114 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA Football Under Radar Total* The Northern Illinois Huskies smacked around Army 49-26 last year. Army struggled last week at San Diego State, but I expect Army to be able to run it against the Huskies here. Northern Illinois doesn't have as good of a defensive front as they did a year ago. In addition, Army's defense hasn't shown the ability over the past couple years to stop the run. Northern Illinois has another very good running quarterback this year in Jordan Lynch. Both teams should be able to move the ball well here. The over is 8-0 in Army's last 8 games against the MAC. Take the over.
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09-15-12 | Arkansas State v. Nebraska OVER 66.5 | 13-42 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* Arkansas State is a mid-major team that can put up points in bunches. They scored 34 points in a season-opening loss to Oregon. Ryan Aplin is one of the best dual-threat quarterbacks in the country. Gus Malzahn is the team's new coach, so you know this is an uptempo attack. Nebraska's new offense is all built around going uptempo as well. The Cornhuskers offense has been much improved so far this year, but the defense has been terrible. Both offenses should have their way in this one. I think this line could have easily been above 70. Take the over.
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09-08-12 | Rice v. Kansas OVER 61.5 | 25-24 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Rice Owls and Kansas Jayhawks will battle in a game where defense will likely be optional. Kansas allowed a ridiculous 43.8 points per game in 2011. Rice allowed just over 33 points per game. The Owls defense has been atrocious the last few years, and they show no signs of getting better. Kansas should be better offensively with Crist and Charlie Weis running the show. Still, Kansas is a bad team and Rice should be able to run up the points as well. Rice has more offensive weapons than you might think, and it won't surprise me a bit if they get into the 30's in this one. The over is 21-5 in Rice's last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The over is 4-0 in the Jayhawks last 4 September games. Take the over.
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09-08-12 | Penn State v. Virginia UNDER 44 | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 91 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Penn State Nittany Lions showed their offensive issues last week against Ohio. Still, I do believe the Penn State front seven on defense is pretty good. Virginia is a team that likes to run the ball a lot, and I'm not sure they'll be able to just line up and run on the Nittany Lions. On the other side, Virginia's defense is much improved. Penn State really misses Silas Redd and the passing game is way too inconsistent to be trusted at this point. The under is 7-0 in Virginia's last 7 home games. The under is 12-3-1 in the Nittany Lions last 16. Take the under.
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09-01-12 | Toledo v. Arizona OVER 62 | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star New Era Total* Both of these teams have new coaches this season. Tim Beckman left for Illinois and Mike Stoops was fired. The new big name coach at Arizona is Rich Rodriguez. Even though he didn't succeed at Michigan, I still think he can do a solid job at Arizona, especially on offense. He has a great quarterback for his offense in Scott. Arizona should pile up the points against a Toledo defense that gave up more than 60 points twice last year. Arizona's defense was awful in the secondary as well, and the Rockets can score points in bunches. This one should be a track meet. Take the over.
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09-01-12 | San Diego State v. Washington OVER 56.5 | 12-21 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 35 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The San Diego State Aztecs have an experienced quarterback in Ryan Katz. Katz has had trouble in the past with interceptions, and it wouldn't surprise me if he doesn't get picked a couple times here (which could easily lead to Washington scores). Washington's defense is atrocious, and the Aztecs should find the end zone several times. Washignton's offense is led by Keith Price, who is one of the best quarterbacks in the nation. The Huskies will score a ton of points on nearly everyone this year. I think this total is set quite a bit too low. Take the over.
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09-01-12 | Clemson v. Auburn UNDER 56.5 | 26-19 | Win | 100 | 137 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star Clemson/Auburn Total Domination* The Clemson Tigers were last seen giving up 70 points to West Virginia in the Orange Bowl. That is one of the main reasons we get such a good value on the total here. Auburn's offense is horrendous right now. It will likely be worse than last year after losing Michael Dyer and suspending their star center. Clemson's offense is good, but Auburn should slow them down enough to hold them to field goals a few times. This kind of number simply isn't justified when Auburn is so much stronger defensively than on offense. Take the under.
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09-01-12 | Nevada v. California OVER 55.5 | 31-24 | Loss | -105 | 61 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Play of the Week* The Nevada Wolfpack have a unique Pistol offense that is very tough to stop. Chris Ault has a very good talent base to work with on offense this year. Fajardo will be one of the most improved quarterbacks in the nation. In addition, Nevada has a couple great weapons on the outside. Cal had a good defense last year, but they lost most of their leaders. Nevada scored 52 points last time they met with Cal. On the other side, Nevada's defense is terrible. Cal should be able to move the ball however they want to in this one. This absolutely seems like a game where both teams should get into the 30's. The over is 4-0 in Nevada's last 4 against the PAC 10. The over is 5-1-1 in Cal's last 7 against the MWC. Take the over.
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01-09-12 | Alabama v. LSU UNDER 40.5 | 21-0 | Win | 100 | 21 h 35 m | Show | |
*3 Star BCS Championship Total DOMINATION* It will be a rematch of Alabama vs. LSU in the BCS Championship Game Monday night. I have little doubt that the offenses will have more success than they did last game when it was a 9-6 field goal battle. At the same time, a total of 40.5 with the two best defenses in the country is certainly appealing. Both teams will be looking to establish the run in this one. This should be a game where the clock keeps on ticking the majority of the time. There should be a lot of lining up and trying to pound the running game down the opposition's throat. Alabama allowed 8.8 points per game this year and LSU gave up 10.5 per contest. Neither team has a great quarterback, and both defenses will be stacking the box to guard against the running game. Look for a very hard hitting title game. Take the under.
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01-04-12 | West Virginia v. Clemson OVER 58.5 | 70-33 | Win | 100 | 728 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star Orange Bowl Total Domination* Clemson and West Virginia are two teams who can really put up the points. Both teams have become much more impressive on the offensive side of the football this season. Dana Holgorsen's Mountaineers are a brand new team this year. Geno Smith is picking apart defenses on a consistent basis. On the other side, Tajh Boyd was sensational in his freshman season for the Tigers. Clemson averages 34 points per game, and the Tigers have one of the nation's best play makers in Sammy Watkins. Tavon Austin and the Mountaineers receivers are also capable of making big plays. This game definitely has the potential to be very high scoring. I really like the over in this one.
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01-02-12 | Wisconsin v. Oregon OVER 71.5 | 38-45 | Win | 100 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star Rose Bowl Total Domination* There should be plenty of offensive fireworks in this terrific Rose Bowl matchup. Wisconsin's defense has been vulnerable against the run this year and Oregon has the running backs to take advantage. The Ducks have a quick strike offense that should be better than any offense Wisconsin has seen this year. The Badgers have a great offense as well. Montee Ball racked up the touchdowns this year and he should find plenty of running room against a weak Oregon defense. Russell Wilson was spectacular this year. Look for both teams to move the ball with ease. The over is 8-2 in Wisconsin's last 10 games. Take the over!
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12-30-11 | Rutgers v. Iowa State OVER 44.5 | 27-13 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star Pinstripe Bowl Total Domination* Rutgers has improved its passing game dramatically throughout the year. Iowa State's secondary has been pretty suspect this year. Rutgers has had some trouble stopping the run this year, and the running game is Iowa State's strength. I tend to think that a game like this is a good case of the long layoff helping the offense more than the defense. The over is 4-1 in Rutgers last 5 bowl games. This total is set a little too low. Take the over here.
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12-22-11 | Arizona State v. Boise State OVER 67 | 24-56 | Win | 100 | 390 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star Arizona St/Boise St Total Domination* Arizona State is giving up 38 points per game in their last three games. Boise State averages 43 points per game this year, and I expect Kellen Moore and the veteran laden Broncos offense to be very well-prepared in this one. Boise State's defense hasn't been quite as dominant this year as they have been in the past few seasons. Arizona State's Brock Osweiler is a good quarterback who should be able to spread out the Broncos defense and help the Sun Devils put up quite a few points. The over is 16-5 in Arizona State's last 21. Look for this one to finish over the posted total.
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12-17-11 | Temple v. Wyoming OVER 47 | 37-15 | Win | 100 | 264 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Knockout* Temple does not have a passing game, but they can definitely run the football. Bernard Pierce is one of the best runners in the nation, and Matt Brown is a great backup. Temple has proven that they can run it even when a team knows it is coming. Wyoming ranks 115th out of 120 teams in the nation at stopping the run. I expect them to have trouble all day long. Brett Smith and the Cowboys offense have surprised people all year long, and I think they'll put up more points than most expect in this one. The over is 4-0 in Temple's last 4. Take the over here.
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12-10-11 | Army v. Navy UNDER 57.5 | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 97 h 35 m | Show | |
*3 Star Army/Navy Total DOMINATION* It's the final game of the regular season. These two might not be the best football teams in the land, but they are bitter rivals on the field, and it is always a great game to watch. Army and Navy are full of young guys who fight to the bitter end. The posted total here is set quite high because both defenses have struggled against the run this year, but I think this gives us a nice opportunity to bet on the under. Both of these teams practice every day against the triple option, which gives them an advantage to stopping the opponent in this game. In addition, both of these offenses have struggled mightily in the red zone this year. Don't be surprised if both teams move it between the 20's and then stall out. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Take the under here.
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12-03-11 | Michigan State v. Wisconsin OVER 54.5 | 39-42 | Win | 100 | 43 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star Big Ten Title Total* Michigan State and Wisconsin played that fantastic game in late October, and now we get to see a rematch of that one for the conference title. Wisconsin moved the ball on the ground nicely in East Lansing, and I expect more of the same in this one. Wisconsin's offense may be the most balanced attack in the country. Russell Wilson has put up Heisman Trophy type numbers for the Badgers, and Montee Ball has an amazing 29 touchdowns in 2011. Wisconsin has scored at least 48 points in each of their last four games. Michigan State's offense has improved as the season has moved along. Look for Martin and Cunningham to make plays on the outside. Both defenses are good, but the offenses are even better. The over is 19-6-1 in Wisconsin's last 27 Big Ten conference games. Take the over.
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12-03-11 | Utah State v. New Mexico State OVER 61.5 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 24 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB Top Play Total* Utah State's offense has been a pleasant surprise this year. Utah State has two very nice quarterbacks who are capable of leading the team down the field consistently. New Mexico State's defense is one of the worst in the nation. New Mexico State gives up 38 points per contest. New Mexico State's offense is much better at home. The team averages 29.4 points per game at home, and the over is 4-1 in their 5 home games this year. Utah State gives up 35 points per game on the road. The over is 7-1 in New Mexico State's last 8 home games. The over is 5-2-1 in Utah State's last 8 road games. I expect a lot of points to be scored here. Take the over big.
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11-26-11 | Louisiana-Lafayette v. Arizona OVER 61.5 | 37-45 | Win | 100 | 38 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* Both of these teams have very good passing offenses. Both of these teams also have terrible pass defenses. It's a recipe for a shootout on Saturday in Arizona. The Wildcats have a clear athleticism advantage here, but the Arizona secondary ranks second to last in the nation in pass defense. The over is 6-1 in Lafayette's last 7 non-conference games. The over is 6-2 in Arizona's last 8 games. Look for a lot of completed passes and several big plays here. Take the over in this matchup.
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11-26-11 | Oregon State v. Oregon OVER 63.5 | 21-49 | Win | 100 | 112 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star Pac 12 Total Takedown* Oregon was stunned at home by the USC Trojans last week. The Ducks offense took a little longer than normal to get started, and the defense showed its major flaws in the secondary. Oregon State's defense simply doesn't have the team speed to keep up with the Ducks in this one. Oregon State does move the ball well through the air, and I expect them to have some success there. The over is 20-6-1 in Oregon's last 27 home games. The over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two. Take the over.
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11-26-11 | Virginia Tech v. Virginia UNDER 46 | 38-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
*3 Star Rivalry Totals Play* Virginia Tech and Virginia are bitter rivals. The team's are more similar than most would think this season. The Cavaliers have put together a shocking season behind the play of a solid defense and a decent ground game. The Hokies are built around their defense and run game as well. Look for both teams to try to establish the run, and the clock should be ticking early and often in this game. The under is 12-5-1 in Va. Tech's last 18 games. The under is 6-0 in Virginia's last 6 home games. Take the under.
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11-25-11 | California v. Arizona State OVER 54 | 47-38 | Win | 100 | 20 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Late Night Bailout* Cal's defense is great at home, but they seem to struggle quite a bit on the road. Cal gives up 34 points per game away from home. Arizona State is averaging 40 points per game on offense at home. The Sun Devils defense is terrible against the pass, and Cal should be able to move the ball in this one. Both offense have quite a few talented players at the skill positions. The total here is set quite low, and I was expected a number closer to 60. The over is 7-1 in Arizona State's last 8. Take the over.
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11-25-11 | Pittsburgh v. West Virginia OVER 57 | 20-21 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 6 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Rivalry Total* Pitt and West Virginia have been rivals for years, but since Pitt is getting ready to leave the Big East, they won't be meeting each other annually. The Panthers offense has been inconsistent this year, but West Virginia's defense has given up a ton of big plays this year. On the other side of the ball, Dana Holgorsen has turned West Virginia into a very impressive offensive team. Geno Smith and the offense should carve up a mediocre Pittsburgh defense. The over is 8-1 in the Mountaineers last 9 games. Take the over.
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11-19-11 | USC v. Oregon OVER 67 | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 116 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Top Total* Oregon showed the college football world how good they are last weekend when they took it to Stanford on the road. The Ducks high powered offense got rolling in the second half, and when it is rolling it is a thing of beauty. LaMichael James is back in the lineup and he is a gamebreaker. USC has one of the best passing attacks in the nation, and Oregon ranks 80th in the country in pass defense. The Ducks will have trouble with Matt Barkley and company, but I expect Oregon to put up a big number here as well. Last year's game finished 53-32. Don't be surprised if this game ends up in the upper 70's or so low 80's. Take the over.
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11-19-11 | Vanderbilt v. Tennessee OVER 44 | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 66 h 35 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Knockout* The word around Tennessee is that Tyler Bray will likely be back for the Volunteers in this one. Bray is probably the best quarterback in the SEC, and he will instantly make this Tennessee offense much better again. Vanderbilt has improved as an offense of late. The Commodores should be able to run the ball some against a mediocre front seven for Tennessee. Jordan Rodgers has helped this Vanderbilt offense build some momentum of late. Look for this game to have more scoring than most expect. Take the over.
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11-19-11 | Eastern Michigan v. Kent State UNDER 41 | 22-28 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* Eastern Michigan is a much improved football team this year. Ron English and the Eastern Michigan Eagles have done it by running the football well and controlling the ball. The defense is also much better than it was last year. Kent State ranks 119th out of 120 teams in the country in total offense. The Golden Flashes do have a very good defense, especially against the run. Neither of these offenses can throw the ball much at all, and the defenses should hold up well here. Expect an ugly low scoring game. Take the under.
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11-12-11 | Oregon v. Stanford OVER 65.5 | 53-30 | Win | 100 | 101 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star Oregon/Stanford Total Domination* The Oregon Ducks were in the BCS Championship game last year. Stanford is hoping to make it to the title game this year, but Oregon is standing in the way. The Ducks still have a chance at the title game, but they must win here. Oregon's offense is extremely dangerous, and I think they give Stanford's defense some serious matchup problems. Oregon's offense is built on pure speed, while Stanford is a physical defense that isn't as quick. Oregon's offense is just as good as last year, but their defense isn't as strong. Stanford should be able to move the ball consistently against the Ducks. The over is 15-6 in Oregon's last 21 conference games. The over is 11-3 in Stanford's last 14 home games. The over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings. Take the over.
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11-12-11 | Fresno State v. New Mexico State OVER 64 | 45-48 | Win | 100 | 32 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star Hidden GEM Total* Fresno State has one of the worst defenses in college football. The Bulldogs are giving up 36.2 points per game this year. New Mexico State's offense is much improved this year. The Aggies have topped the 30 point mark in four of their last five games. New Mexico State's defense also gives up 36 points per game. The Aggies are 112th out of 120 teams in the nation in total defense. Fresno State should be able to move it up and down the field consistently here. The over is 4-0 in Fresno State's last 4 road games. The over is 6-0 in New Mexico State's last 10 games. Take the over in this one!
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11-12-11 | Buffalo v. Eastern Michigan OVER 48 | 17-30 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star Under the Radar Totals Winner* Buffalo's offense is slowly improving as the season moves along. Buffalo's strength is the passing game, and Eastern Michigan's secondary struggles. On the other side, Eastern Michigan is a team that runs almost all the time. Buffalo's front seven has been terrible against the run this year. Both offenses should be able to move the ball here. The over is 7-1 in Eastern Michigan's last 8 games against teams with a losing record. The over is 5-1 in the Eagles last 6 conference games. Take the over.
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11-12-11 | West Virginia v. Cincinnati OVER 65.5 | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Knockout* West Virginia's Dan Holsgorsen has changed the way the Mountaineers play. West Virginia's offense is much much better than they have been in recent years, but their defense is also much worse. The Mountaineers last three games have had a total final score of 72, 72, and 73 points. Cincinnati's weakness on defense is their pass defense. On the other hand, Cincinnati averages 39 points per game on offense. Zach Collaros leads an offense that can put points on the board in a hurry either by running or throwing it. The over is 8-0 in West Virginia's last 8 games. Take the over.
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11-12-11 | Nebraska v. Penn State UNDER 43 | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 24 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star Nebraska/Penn State Totals CASH* The Penn State defense is the best in the Big Ten, but the Nittany Lions offense simply isn't very good. The Cornhuskers defense has underachieved this year, but they have been a bit better the last few weeks. Both teams will be looking to run the ball consistently in this one. There will be extra emotions from Penn State in this one, and I think that will show up on the defensive side of the ball. Look for Nebraska's option offense to be slowed down. Taylor Martinez isn't a very adept passer, which means the Nittany Lions should hold down the Huskers offense. Seven of Penn State's last eight games have stayed under this posted total. I like the under here.
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11-08-11 | Northern Illinois v. Bowling Green OVER 65 | 45-14 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Play of the Day* The Northern Illinois Huskies are a terrific running team. They rank ninth in the nation in rushing yards. Bowling Green's rushing defense ranks 93rd in the nation. Northern Illinois averages 41 points per game. The Huskies have also been horrific on the defensive side of the ball, especially on the road. In their five road games they have allowed 45, 49. 48, 30, and 60 points. That is hardly a strong defense, and Bowling Green's offense is pretty good. Expect Matt Schilz and the Falcons to move the ball through the air nicely in this one. The over is 10-4 in Northern Illinois' last 14 games. The over is 6-2 in Bowling Green's last 8 games. Take the over.
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11-08-11 | Western Michigan v. Toledo OVER 68 | 63-66 | Win | 100 | 19 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* Western Michigan and Toledo both have powerful offenses. The Broncos have Alex Carder, one of the MAC's best quarterbacks. Jordan White is one of the best receivers in the nation, and he and Carder have built up trust in each other. Toledo's secondary is the team's biggest weakness, and that should be exposed in a big way by Western Michigan. On the other side, Western Michigan has given up more than 30 points in three of their last five games. The over is 6-1 in Toledo's last 7 home games. The over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two. Take the over.
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11-05-11 | Oregon v. Washington OVER 70.5 | 34-17 | Loss | -110 | 140 h 19 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Late Night BAILOUT* The Oregon Ducks expect to have LaMichael James for this game, and that is huge for this offense. Washington's defense is allowing almost 300 yards per game through the air, and the Huskies allow 33 points per game. Oregon put up 53 points on Washington last year. The Huskies lost Jake Locker, but their offense is actually better this year. Keith Price has been fantastic at the quarterback position, and Chris Polk is one of the best runners in the country. This Oregon offense is just as good as last year, but the Oregon defense is definitely weaker than last season. I expect both teams to move the ball at will in this one. The total is set very high, but I think this has a good chance of topping 80 points. The over is 19-9 in Oregon's last 28. The over is 5-2-1 in the Huskies last 8. Take the over.
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11-05-11 | UTEP v. Rice OVER 58.5 | 37-41 | Win | 100 | 134 h 30 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Rice Owls gave up 73 points to Houston last week. UTEP certainly doesn't have the same offense Houston does, but this Rice defense has a way of making the opposing offense look good. The Owls are giving up 495 yards and 38 points per contest. On the other side, UTEP is giving up 427 yards and 27 points per contest as well. The Rice offense has been improving in the last few weeks, and they should be able to run the ball against the Miners front seven. The books have had a lot of trouble trying to catch up to the Owls in the last few years. The over is 60-24 in the Owls last 84 games overall. Take the over here.
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11-05-11 | Troy v. Navy OVER 58.5 | 14-42 | Loss | -110 | 63 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star Under the Radar Total* Navy has one of the best running games in the country, and they also have a very poor defense. I have played successfully on the 'over' in Navy games several times this year. I think this is another good spot. Troy can move the football quite well through the air. I expect Corey Robinson to have a big game against the Navy secondary. On the other side, Troy's defense simply isn't any good. I don't expect them to be able to slow down the option much at all. Navy averages 36 points per game at home, and Troy gives up 34 per game on the road. Look for a high scoring game here. Take the over.
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11-05-11 | North Carolina v. North Carolina State OVER 55 | 0-13 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 0 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The NC State defense has struggled mightily all year. The Wolfpack are giving up almost 400 yards of offense each game, and that has been to mostly mediocre offenses. Bryn Renner and this North Carolina offense is pretty good. Renner can make all the tough throws, and Giovani Bernard already has 965 yards rushing this year. The Tar Heels should roll up quite a few points here. NC State gets most of their yards through the air, and that just happens to be the Tar Heels defense weakness. North Carolina is 98th in the nation against the pass. The over is 13-4 in NC State's last 17 home games. The over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams. Take the over.
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11-05-11 | Louisville v. West Virginia OVER 49 | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 131 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The West Virginia Mountaineers are a different team now that Dana Holgorsen is at the helm instead of Bill Stewart. The Mountaineers are much better offensively, and they are much weaker on defense. In their last seven games, the lowest total is 59 points. Louisville is certainly a team that has a pretty good defense, but they haven't faced offenses as good as West Virginia's. The Mountaineers defense has allowed 49 and 31 points to mediocre offenses in their last two games. The under is 7-0-1 in the Cardinals last 8. The over is 7-0 in West Virginia's last 7. I think the Mountaineers will dictate the style of play here. Take the over.
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11-01-11 | Northern Illinois v. Toledo OVER 67 | 63-60 | Win | 100 | 42 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star Tuesday Night Total Domination* The Northern Illinois Huskies hung 65 points on the Toledo Rockets last year. Don't think for a minute that Toledo has forgotten that game. Toledo may have the most talented team in the MAC this year, but they are still weak defensively. They have yet to face a team that can run the ball the way Northern Illinois can, and I think the Huskies will roll up a lot of yards again this year. On the other side, Toledo's offense is full of play makers, and they average 36.5 points per contest. Northern Illinois is much worse defensively this year. The Huskies allowed Kansas to score 45 points and Central Michigan to score 48 points. Those two offenses aren't good at all, and Toledo should be able to move the ball at will agaisnt Northern Illinois. The over is 9-4 in Northern Illinois' last 13 games. The over is 5-1 in Toledo's last 6 home games. Take the over.
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10-29-11 | Arizona v. Washington Huskies OVER 69.5 | 31-42 | Win | 100 | 51 h 17 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Late Night Bailout* Arizona's Nick Foles is one of the better quarterbacks in the nation. Foles is completing 71% of his passes and he has 18 touchdowns and just 5 interceptions this year. Keith Price has come in and lit it up as Washington's new quarterback. Price has an amazing 22 touchdowns and just 5 picks. Washington is averaging 35 points per game. Arizona is averaging 30 points per game. Arizona's defense is 114th out of 120 teams in pass defense. Washington is 110th out of 120 in pass defense. This game has shootout written all over it. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. Take the over.
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10-29-11 | Nevada v. New Mexico State OVER 59 | 48-34 | Win | 100 | 68 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Knockout* Nevada runs the Pistol offense, and they generally do it very well. The team had some trouble getting going early this year, but Chris Ault has this offense rolling at this point. They have scored 37. 49, and 45 in the last three games. New Mexico State is giving up 30.3 points per game, and Nevada will be one of the best offenses they have faced this year. New Mexico State's offense is much improved this year, and I expect them to be able to score several times as well. The over is 4-0 in New Mexico State's last 4 games. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 games between these teams. Take the over.
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10-29-11 | South Carolina v. Tennessee UNDER 44 | 14-3 | Win | 100 | 67 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star SEC Total Takedown* South Carolina is a much different team without Marcus Lattimore. Tennessee isn't even close to the same team without Tyler Bray. Both of these teams are missing their most important offensive player. South Carolina's defense has given up 3, 16, 3, and 12 points in their last four games. Tennessee's defense is good against the pass, and South Carolina will likely struggle to run without Lattimore. I expect both offenses to look lost without their key players in this one. This one will likely be an ugly contest. Expect a low scoring affair. Take the under.
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10-29-11 | Hawaii v. Idaho OVER 57 | 16-14 | Loss | -110 | 113 h 0 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Top Total* The Idaho Vandals secondary is horrible, and Hawaii is the perfect team to expose that weakness. Moniz and the Warriors offense should carve up the Idaho secondary all day long. It wouldn't surprise me to see Hawaii put up 40 points in this one. Idaho's offense has been improving a bit of late, and I expect them to be able to move it through the air against a mediocre Hawaii defense. Expect both teams to air it out early and often, which should help give both teams chances to put points up in bunches. I expected this total to be set in the low 60's, so I like the value here. Take the over.
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10-29-11 | Buffalo v. Miami (OH) OVER 48 | 13-41 | Win | 100 | 86 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Buffalo Bulls offense has improved as the season has moved along. Anderson gives the Bulls a solid quarterback that can throw it around. In fact, last week he threw for more than 400 yards against Northern Illinois. Miami (OH) and Buffalo both have poor defenses that give up the big play quite often. A total set this low is generally indicative of two good defenses, but that just isn't the case here. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams at Miami (OH). I expect both teams to get into the mid 20's here. Take the over.
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10-27-11 | Rice v. Houston OVER 70.5 | 34-73 | Win | 100 | 20 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star Thursday Night Total Domination* The Rice Owls defense has been among the worst in the nation in each of the last three years. Rice is allowing 33 points per game this year. Houston has the number one offense in all of college football. The Cougars are first in yards per game and points per game. Houston averages 49 points per game. This is the type of game where I truly expect Houston to score at least 50 points. Case Keenum and his receivers should carve up this Rice secondary. At the same time, Rice has some play makers on offense and the Houston defense simply isn't very good. The over is 38-14 in Rice's last 52 road games. The over is 19-7 in Houston's last 26 games. This combined 57-21 angle strongly supports an over play. Take the over.
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10-22-11 | Tulsa v. Rice OVER 59 | 38-20 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Rice Owls have had a bad defense for several straight years now. Tulsa actually scored 64 points on Rice last season. The Rice Owls defense is 115th out of 120 teams in college football in total defense. Tulsa has a solid balanced offense led by quarterback G.J. Kinne. On the other side of the ball, Tulsa's defense is giving up 32 points per game, and they are awful against the pass. Taylor McHargue is improving as the season moves along, and Rice does have some play makers on the offensive side of the ball. The over is 59-23 in Rice's last 82 games overall. The over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams. Take the over.
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10-22-11 | Army v. Vanderbilt UNDER 45 | Top | 21-44 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 12 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play Total Knockout* Army runs the ball more than any other team in the nation. They are dead last in passing offense in the nation, and that will hurt them against this Vanderbilt defense. The Commodores have a strong front seven with a great group of linebackers that should do well against the triple option. Army won't abandon the run, but I don't think they'll be as successful as usual with the run either. Vanderbilt's offense averages just 21.7 points per game, and they really don't have much firepower. The Commodores will try to run the ball as much as possible in this one as well. The clock should be ticking a lot in this one, and both defenses will stack the box and dare the other team to throw. Two years ago these teams played to 16-13 overtime game. The under is 21-9-1 in Vanderbilt's last 31 home games. Take the under.
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10-22-11 | East Carolina v. Navy OVER 64.5 | Top | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 118 h 44 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play of the Month* East Carolina's run defense is absolutely terrible. They were dead last in the nation in rushing defense last year, and I expect them to finish near the bottom again this year. Navy ran for 521 yards against East Carolina last year on their way to a 76-35 win. Navy's triple option is tough for everyone to stop, and I simply don't think the Pirates have the personnel to stop it at all. On the other side, Navy doesn't typically play teams with a strong passing attack. East Carolina's Dominique Davis is a good passer who should put up big numbers against the Navy secondary. Last year he threw for 5 touchdowns and 413 yards against Navy. I don't see many punts at all in this game. The over is 9-3 in East Carolina's last 12 road games. The over is 6-1 in Navy's last 7 home games. Expect the points to pile up quickly in this one. 5 Star Play Of the Month on the over!
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10-22-11 | Western Michigan v. Eastern Michigan OVER 56 | 10-14 | Loss | -110 | 90 h 33 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* Western Michigan has the MAC's best quarterback in Alex Carder. Carder shredded up this Eastern Michigan defense last year by passing for 349 yards and 4 touchdowns while throwing no interceptions. Eastern Michigan has yet to face a team with a good passing game this year, and I expect their secondary to be picked apart once again. On the other side of the ball, Western Michigan is allowing 217 rushing yards per game. Eastern Michigan runs the ball well (10th in the nation in rushing yards) and I expect them to exploit this weakness in the Broncos defense. The over is 4-0 in Eastern Michigan's last 4 conference games. The over is 4-1 in Western Michigan's last 5 games. Take the over.
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10-22-11 | Wake Forest v. Duke OVER 59 | Top | 24-23 | Loss | -110 | 114 h 44 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play Early Bird Special* Wake Forest is a team that has surprised quite a few people this year. The Deamon Deacons have done it largely because of the impressive play of quarterback Tanner Price. Price has thrown 12 touchdowns and just three picks this season. Three of his receivers already have at least 25 catches. Duke's defense allows 272 yards per game through the air, and I expect Price to find plenty of open receivers. Duke's Sean Renfree is a solid quarterback as well. Duke can move the ball in the air against weak secondaries, and I think Wake Forest fits in that category. Last year when these teams met the final was 54-48. Two years ago the final was 45-34. The last four meetings have all gone safely over the posted total. I expect both teams to air it out early and often in this one. Expect a high scoring affair. 5 Star Top Play on the over in this one.
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10-15-11 | Georgia v. Vanderbilt UNDER 41.5 | 33-28 | Loss | -112 | 65 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Football Total Value* The Georgia Bulldogs have really turned it on since their 0-2 start. Georgia has been doing it with some superb defense. The Bulldogs are allowing just 8.75 points per game in their last four contests. Vanderbilt has a terrible offense that just can't seem to find its way. The Commodores put up 3 points against South Carolina and they were blanked by Alabama. On the other side, Vanderbilt actually has a very good defense. The Commodores are ranked in the top 30 in the nation in every major defensive category. Expect both defenses to flex their muscles here. Take the under.
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10-15-11 | East Carolina v. Memphis OVER 56 | 35-17 | Loss | -106 | 48 h 45 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Knockout* East Carolina's offense was one of the most dynamic in all of college football last year. This year they are averaging just 20 points per game. Dominique Davis and this East Carolina offense might not be quite as good this year, but they are due for a breakout game. What better team to breakout against than a terrible Memphis Tigers team? The Memphis defense is allowing 495 yards and 37 points per game. East Carolina's defense is terrible as well, and even a weak Memphis offense should put up several points on them. The Pirates are allowing 37 points per game as well. I expect this one to get safely over the posted total.
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10-15-11 | Virginia Tech v. Wake Forest OVER 49 | 38-17 | Win | 100 | 43 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* Wake Forest has really put themselves on the map with their win over Florida State last week. This is a Wake Forest team that can really move the football through the air. Virginia Tech has a great run defense, but the secondary is a bit vulnerable. On the other side, Wake Forest's defense isn't ready for the bigtime yet. Logan Thomas is coming off an unreal 23/25 performance against a good Miami defense. Both offenses should have success in this one. The over is 10-3 in Wake Forest's last 13 home games. Take the over in this matchup.
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10-15-11 | UTEP v. Tulane OVER 57 | 44-7 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Top Total* The UTEP Miners picked up a very good quarterback in Nick Lamaison. The Miners passing game has gotten better each game this year. Tulane's secondary simply isn't very good and I expect UTEP to take advantage of that. At the same time, UTEP's defense is very poor. Tulane's Ryan Griffin has improved quite a bit this year, and I expect the Green Wave to put up quite a few points this weekend. UTEP allows 33 points per contest. Tulane's defense allows 34 points per contest. I expect the defenses to make the offenses look good in this one. The over is 5-1 in Tulane's last 6 home games. Take the over.
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10-13-11 | San Diego State v. Air Force OVER 58.5 | 41-27 | Win | 100 | 29 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star Thursday Night Total DOMINATION* The San Diego State Aztecs had a good run defense last year, but the same cannot be said this season. San Diego State is allowing 229 rushing yards per contest this year. Air Force has the #2 rushing attack in the nation, and I expect the Falcons to find lots of room to run in this one. Air Force has a severely undersized defensive front, which makes them extremely vulnerable against the run as well. Ronnie Hillman is a very talented future NFL running back for San Diego State. Hillman and the Aztecs should be able to run all over the Air Force defense. The over is 5-0 in Air Force's last 5 games overall. Expect both offenses to move the ball quite easily in this game. Take the over.
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10-08-11 | Georgia v. Tennessee OVER 57 | 20-12 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 35 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* This will be a battle of the SEC's best two quarterbacks in my opinion. Tyler Bray has helped turn this Tennessee offense into a dangerous one, and Aaron Murray continues to develop in his second year under center. Bray is completing 69% of his passes, and he has thrown 14 touchdowns and just two interceptions this year. Isiah Crowell gives the Bulldogs an impressive runner that takes pressure off Murray and the passing game for Georgia. The over is 8-3 in Georgia's last 11 games. The over is 9-2 in Tennessee's last 11 games. I expect both offenses to put up quite a few points here. Take the over.
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10-08-11 | Louisiana Tech v. Idaho OVER 55 | 24-11 | Loss | -110 | 113 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Top Total* Both of these defenses are terrible against the pass. Idaho is allowing 115th out of 120 teams in the nation against the pass, and Louisiana Tech is 114th against the pass. Expect both teams to be airing it out and putting up some big numbers here. Both teams have been prone to turnovers, which could lead to some defensive touchdowns in this one as well. In the last three meetings between these teams, the final scores have been 46-14, 35-34, and 48-35. I don't see either defense faring well at all in this one. I think this one clears the total quite easily. Take the over.
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10-08-11 | Arizona v. Oregon State OVER 59 | 27-37 | Win | 100 | 44 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Football Totals Takedown* Arizona's defense is extremely young, and they just aren't very good right now. Arizona has given up 38 points per game so far this year. Oregon State isn't very good offensively, but I do think they'll put up some points thanks to an improving passing game. On the other side, Arizona's pass offense is one of the best in the nation. Nick Foles should shred this Oregon State secondary that has been prone to giving up the big play. Both defenses are worse than last season, and I think the offenses will move the ball a lot in this one. Take the over.
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10-08-11 | Boston College v. Clemson UNDER 53 | 14-36 | Win | 100 | 43 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* Boston College is a team that just doesn't have much of an offense at all this year. The star of their offense is running back Montel Harris, and he is expected to miss this game with an injury. Boston College generally stays in the game because of a defense that bends but doesn't break. Clemson is a much improved team this year. The defense showed how great it can be by holding Virginia Tech to just three point in Blacksburg last week. Look for Clemson to shutdown Boston College here. The under is 6-0 in the Eagles last 6 conference games. The under is 8-1 in Clemson's last 9 conference games. Take the under.
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10-08-11 | Illinois v. Indiana UNDER 53.5 | 41-20 | Loss | -105 | 43 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* Illinois has started the season 5-0. The Fighting Illini have done it largely because of a very underrated defense. The defense is allowing just 79 rushing yards per game and 17 points per game. Indiana's defense isn't very good, but they tend to play much better at home. Illinois doesn't have a great passing attack, and the Fighting Illini generally don't blow too many teams out on the road. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. I expect an ugly game that stays under the posted total. Take the under.
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10-06-11 | California v. Oregon OVER 62.5 | 15-43 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 17 m | Show | |
*3 Star Cal/Oregon Total DOMINATION* The Cal Golden Bears are averaging 39.5 points per game this year. Oregon is averaging 52 points per game this year (best in the nation). Both defenses are quite vulnerable. Oregon's defense isn't nearly as good as last year, and Cal should be able to score some points here. At the same time, Oregon's offense is as good as ever. The Ducks absolutely have the ability to put up 50 points or more in this game. Oregon will push the tempo in a big way and get out to a big lead here. I think Cal will find some success through the air in this game, and I expect a very high scoring game. The over is 16-4-1 in Oregon's last 21 home games. Take the over.
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10-01-11 | Hawaii v. Louisiana Tech OVER 58 | 44-26 | Win | 100 | 120 h 0 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Top Total* Hawaii's Bryant Moniz is back for another year. Moniz is a terric quarterback for this pass happy system. He is completing 66% of his passes this year. He also has 11 TD's and just one pick. Louisiana Tech's pass defense isn't very impressive. They allowed 372 yards through the air at home against Central Arkansas earlier this year. The Louisiana Tech offense is averaging 30 points per game, and Hawaii's defense is notoriously bad away from home. The over is 5-2 in Hawaii's last 7 games. The over is 4-1 in La. Tech's last 5 home games. Expect a high scoring game here. Take the over.
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10-01-11 | Duke v. Florida International OVER 57 | 31-27 | Win | 100 | 47 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Value Play* Duke has a solid quarterback in Sean Renfree. Renfree knows the system well and he can pick apart a defense if he is given time to throw. Florida International's defense is no better than average, and their secondary is quite inexperienced. Duke averages 306 passing yards per game, and they should be able to air it out here. Duke's pass defense is poor as well, and TY Hilton and the Florida International offense should find lots of room to operate. The over is 6-1 in Duke's last 7 non-conference games. The over is 4-1 in FIU's last 5 games following a loss. Take the over.
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10-01-11 | Clemson v. Virginia Tech UNDER 51 | 23-3 | Win | 100 | 46 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star Clemson/Va. Tech Total Domination* Frank Beamer and his Virginia Tech team have proven they know how to win football games at home. What is the secret? They run the football and control time of possession. They also play solid defense and make it a sloppy and low scoring game. Clemson's totals have gone over in all four of their games, which gives us a solid value here. I don't think the Tigers will find the offense nearly as easy to come by in this one. Expect Virginia Tech to keep it on the ground often here, which should help keep the clock ticking most of the game. The under is 9-2 in the Hokies last 11 games. Take the under.
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10-01-11 | Baylor v. Kansas State OVER 63.5 | 35-36 | Win | 100 | 112 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* It's hard to overstate just how amazing this Baylor offense has been this year. Baylor ranks second in all of college football in total offense. Robert Griffin III is completing a ridiculous 85 percent of his passes. Griffin is hands down the best dual-threat quarterback in college football. What about his decision making? Griffin has thrown 13 touchdowns and zero interceptions. Kansas State simply won't be able to stop Baylor. At the same time, Baylor's defense is not good at all. Kansas State's Bill Snyder should have Collin Klein and the offense ready with a good game plan for this game. The over is 9-3 in Kansas State's last 12 games. The over is 5-1 in Baylor's last 6. Take the over.
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10-01-11 | Arizona v. USC OVER 57 | 41-48 | Win | 100 | 46 h 10 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Hoops Total Domination* The Arizona Wildcats defense is very young and inexperienced this year. It has definitely shown in the first few games. Arizona has given up at least 37 points in each of their last three contests. The Wildcats secondary will likely be picked apart by Matt Barkley and Robert Woods of USC. Arizona's Nick Foles is a very good quarterback, and I expect Arizona to be able to move the ball well also. USC's secondary has been pretty poor in coverage this year. The over/under was posted at 61 in last year's game, and with a much worse Arizona defense this year, we also get a lower number. Take the over.
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10-01-11 | Kent State v. Ohio UNDER 47 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 45 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* Kent State ranks 119th out of 120 teams in college football in total offense. The Golden Flashes best offensive output was 281 total yards against South Alabama. In their other three contests, they have yet to top 200 yards of total offense. Ohio's defense is near the top of the MAC in most categories, and I don't think Kent State scores much at all here. On the other side, Kent State actually has a decent defense. I expect an ugly game with neither offense getting in a real rhythm. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. Take the under.
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09-29-11 | Houston v. UTEP OVER 64.5 | 49-42 | Win | 100 | 73 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star Thursday Night Total DOMINATION* The Houston Cougars may have the best passing attack in the country. Case Keenum is back healthy and this offense is firing on all cylinders. Houston has scored at least 35 points in every game this year, and they are averaging 44 points per game on the season. This is a passing attack that averages 446 yards per game through the air. UTEP has yet to face a great offense this year, but they gave up 575 yards last week against South Florida. UTEP has a solid passing attack that is generally more productive at home, and Houston's defense is pretty weak. The over is 17-6 in Houston's last 23 games. In the last 4 meetings between these teams the total has finished at 65, 79, 99, and 78 points. I like the over in this one.
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