Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-02-13 | Wake Forest v. Syracuse UNDER 51.5 | 0-13 | Win | 100 | 35 h 60 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Wake Forest Demon Deacons have shown a ton of fight the last few weeks. Jim Grobe's team is much better defensively now than they were early in the year. Syracuse has tons of issues on offense, and Wake Forest's offense is one-dimensional. Wake Forest is averaging only 96 yards per game on the ground. Wake's defense is giving up just 20.8 points per game. I expected to see a total in the mid 40's in this one. The under is 6-0 in Wake Forest's last 6 games on turf. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 games after gaining less than 100 yards on the ground in the last game. The under is 9-1 in Wake Forest's last 10 conference games. A 19-1 angle here. Take the under.
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11-02-13 | Temple v. Rutgers OVER 53 | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Temple Owls have found a bit of a spark in young quarterback P.J. Walker. Walker threw 4 touchdowns and no picks in the team's 59-49 loss last weekend. Rutgers was overrated from day one this year, and the Scarlet Knights defense isn't even close to what it used to be. Oddsmakers are putting out totals that are too low for this group right now. Rutgers offense isn't any good, but they don't have to be to score a lot on a pathetic Temple defense. The Owls are giving up 516 yards per game this season. This total is set quite a bit too low. Take advantage and bet the over.
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11-02-13 | Southern Mississippi v. Marshall OVER 56.5 | 13-61 | Win | 100 | 23 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Marshall Thundering Herd lost a heart breaker last week at MTSU. Marshall is one of the most talented teams in Conference USA, and they get a perfect chance to bounce back in a big way this week. Southern Miss has lost 19 games in a row! The Golden Eagles are giving up more than 40 points per game this year. It wouldn't surprise me at all if Marshall gets to the posted total by themselves in this one. Rakeem Cato and the Thundering Herd offense will look great in this one. I had this number at 64 points. Look for this one to sail over the total. Take the over.
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10-26-13 | Colorado State v. Hawaii OVER 56.5 | Top | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 108 h 32 m | Show |
*5 Star CFB TOP Play Late Night BAILOUT* The Hawaii Warriors offense really struggled early in the year, but they have been getting it together of late. Hawaii has no running game, but their passing game has gotten much better. Sean Schroeder has been a nice spark for the passing attack. Hawaii has scored 37, 27, and 37 points in their last three games. Colorado State is their opponent this week, and the Rams are 119th in the nation in pass defense. Hawaii is 122nd in the nation in pass defense. The Rams are coming off a momentum-building 52-22 shellacking of rival Wyoming. Both aerial attacks should get going here against two bad secondaries. The over is 5-0 in the Warriors last 5 October games. The over is 8-2 in their last 10 home games. The over is 3-0-1 in Colorado State's last 4 after scoring 30 points or more in the previous game. The over is 4-0 in the Rams last 4 after putting up 450 yards or more of offense. A 20-2 angle backs this. Take the over big!
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10-26-13 | Stanford v. Oregon State OVER 55 | 20-12 | Loss | -110 | 105 h 60 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Stanford/Oregon State Total DOMINATION* The Stanford Cardinal and Oregon State Beavers meet in a key Pac-12 matchup Saturday night in Corvallis. I really like what I've seen out of this Oregon State offense this year. The Beavers are first in the nation in passing yards per game. What's the weakness of the Stanford defense? Their secondary. Brandin Cooks and Sean Mannion should carve up this secondary. Stanford will be able to score too. Oregon State is giving up 28.4 points per game so far this year.
The over is 9-0 in Oregon State's last 9 against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing less than 20 points in a game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after giving up less than 100 rushing yards. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after putting up 450 yards or more in the previous game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 home games against a team with a winning road record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining less than 100 rushing yards in their last game. The over is 4-0 in Stanford's last 4 after allowing less than 100 rushing yards in their last game. A 34-0 angle in all backs the over. Take the over. |
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10-26-13 | Fresno State v. San Diego State OVER 61.5 | Top | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 105 h 46 m | Show |
*5 Star TOP Play Total CRUSHER* The Fresno State Bulldogs have one of the best offenses in the country. Derek Carr is a great drop back passer, and I don't see SDSU being able to get pressure on him with their weak front seven and poor pass rush. Carr has lots of weapons and this Bulldogs offense is top ten in the nation in passing. Fresno State has allowed 37 points or more on three occasions already this year, so their defense isn't nearly as good as the offense. San Diego State's offense has been much better on their home field this year, and the Aztecs should get plenty of scoring chances here. Look for big plays from star running back Donnel Pumphrey. I made this total 70 points.
The over is 8-2 in Fresno State's last 10 games after gaining 450 yards or more in their last game. The over is 7-1 in San Diego State's last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take the over big in this one! |
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10-26-13 | Penn State v. Ohio State OVER 56.5 | Top | 14-63 | Win | 100 | 102 h 17 m | Show |
*5 Star TOP Big 10 Total of the Year* The Ohio State Buckeyes are rolling right along on offense this year. Braxton Miller is clearly much better than he was a year ago, and the Buckeyes are playing at a faster pace. On the other side, the Buckeyes defense is significantly weaker than we are used to seeing. Their biggest weakness is the secondary. Penn State's Christian Hackenburg should find plenty of open receivers against this Buckeyes secondary. At the same time, the Nittany Lions aren't the same defensive team they used to be either. Ohio State's offense should have its way here. I had this one lined at 65 points, so I love the value on the over.
The over is 5-0 in Penn State's last 5 October games. The over is 8-0 in Penn State's last 8 following an ATS win. The over is 8-0 in the Nittany Lions last 8 against a team with a winning record. A 21-0 angle backs this play. Take the over big! |
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10-26-13 | South Alabama v. Texas State UNDER 51.5 | 31-33 | Loss | -110 | 102 h 29 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Total Value* Texas State is great at forcing a low scoring game. The Bobcats have a strong rushing defense, and their offense is very poor. Texas State often struggles to put together scoring drives. South Alabama is one of the most improved teams in the country. The Jaguars usually score a decent amount, but I see them struggling on the road here. My numbers had this total at 45 points. The Bobcats aren't an easy team to beat at home, and this one should end up being a hard fought battle in the trenches. Texas State slows this game down and controls the clock. I like the value here. Take the under.
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10-26-13 | Georgia State v. Louisiana Monroe UNDER 49 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 102 h 13 m | Show |
*5 Star CFB TOP Play Under Radar Total* The Georgia State Panthers have actually improved quite a bit this year. This is a team that has been shocking people by covering the spread. Their defense isn't good, but they are serviceable. Louisiana-Monroe's offense is really lacking play makers right now. The Warhawks last three games have finished at 45, 41, and 35 points total. Monroe's defense is one of the best in the Sun Belt. Georgia State averages just 16.6 points per game on offense. The under is 4-0 in Georgia State's last 4 road games. The under is 6-1 in Monroe's last 7 following a bye week. The under is 4-1 in their last 5 overall. Take the under big here.
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10-26-13 | Troy v. Western Kentucky OVER 59.5 | 32-26 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Troy Trojans have a way of making games very high scoring. Troy throws the ball early and often and they have a terrible defense. Western Kentucky likes to push the tempo and run a bunch of plays under new coach Bobby Petrino. Antonio Andrews is the best back in the Sun Belt, and he should have a big game for the Hilltoppers here. Western Kentucky's defense was top notch last year, but they are inexperienced and shaky this season. With both teams running a lot of plays, I like the over. I had this number set at 66 myself. Look for both teams to find the end zone several times in this contest. Take the over.
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10-26-13 | Eastern Michigan v. Northern Illinois OVER 65.5 | 20-59 | Win | 100 | 48 h 53 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Eastern Michigan Eagles have one of the worst rushing defenses in the nation. With a horrible rushing defense, heading to Northern Illinois to face Jordan Lynch and the Huskies is the last place you want to be going. Eastern Michigan is giving up 42.3 points per game, and Northern Illinois will be the best rushing attack they have faced this year. While Northern Illinois has an elite offense, their defense isn't good at all. The Huskies are 100th in the nation in total defense, and Eastern Michigan should get scoring opportunities here. This one gets ugly in a hurry, but both offenses should score plenty. Take the over.
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10-26-13 | Western Michigan v. UMass UNDER 47 | 31-30 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 18 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB 100% Angle Total* These are two of the worst teams in the nation. I certainly wouldn't want to wager on who is going to win this mess of a game, but I don't mind taking advantage of the fact that it should be an ugly low scoring game all the way. UMass hasn't scored more than 17 points in a game all year. Western Michigan's top offensive output is 20 points. This one has a 17-14 ugly game written all over it. Both defenses have looked better in recent weeks, but the offenses are a disaster.
The under is 7-0 in UMass' last 7 games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining less than 170 passing yards in their last game. It is 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 following a loss of 20 points or more. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 games on turf. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring less than 20 points. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards on the ground. The under is 4-0 in Western Michigan's last 4 following a double digit loss at home. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 450 yards or more in the previous game. In all, a 51-0 angle backs this play! Take the under. |
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10-26-13 | Pittsburgh v. Navy OVER 49.5 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -105 | 97 h 35 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* The Pittsburgh Panthers have performed a little better offensively than most people expected (myself included). Navy's defense isn't any good, and the Panthers should be able to overpower the small Navy defensive front. Navy's offense is really hard to prepare for, and the Panthers defense has been disappointing this year. Pitt lacks play makers at linebacker, and that really is the key to stopping the Navy triple option attack. The posted total here opened more than 10 points off my projected total here (60 points). This line has slowly been moving up this week, but I'd play this one up to 55 points. Take the over big.
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10-19-13 | Oregon State v. California OVER 71 | 49-17 | Loss | -110 | 125 h 26 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Late Night BAILOUT* The Oregon State Beavers and Cal Bears are two teams who don't even attempt to run the football. Both teams are terrible at running, but they can both air it out. Expect this to be a game where both quarterbacks get 50 pass attempts or more. A ton of passing attempts for good offenses against terrible defenses means a lot of points. Brandin Cooks has 63 receptions and 11 touchdowns already this year for Oregon State, and Cal doesn't have anyone who can even come close to slowing him down. Jared Goff and the Bears put up 34 points at home against an Ohio State defense that is much better than Oregon State's. The line is high here for a reason. This should be a real shootout.
The over is 4-0 in Oregon State's last 4 road games. The over is 7-0 in their last 7 following a SU win. The over is 7-0 in their last 7 conference games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS win. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after gaining 450 yards or more in their previous game. The over is 4-0-1 in Cal's last 5 home games. The over is 5-0-1 in the Bears last 6 after scoring 20 points or less in their previous game. A 37-0 angle backs this play. Take the over. |
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10-19-13 | UNLV v. Fresno State OVER 71.5 | 14-38 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 17 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The UNLV Rebels have picked up the tempo in a big way on offense. UNLV ran 113 offensive plays last week. That set a new school record and a new Mountain West Conference record. It was only two plays away from the NCAA record set by Houston last year. Fresno State is regularly running more than 100 plays per game this year. This is going to be a fast-paced game and both offenses are very good. Fresno State has scored at least 40 points in their last 10 regular season games. UNLV's offense is firing on all cylinders with Herring now at quarterback. On the other side, both of these defenses will be completely overmatched. Fresno is giving up 33.4 per game on defense, and they have allowed 40 or more twice at home this year. UNLV has given up more than 50 twice this season already.
The over is 6-0 in Fresno's last 6 following a bye week. The over is 4-0 in Fresno's last 4 conference games. The over is 4-0-1 in UNLV's last 5 after giving up more than 280 passing yards. The over is 6-1 in UNLV's last 7 overall. The over is 6-1 in UNLV's last 7 following an ATS loss. Take the over. A 26-2 angle here. Take the over. |
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10-19-13 | Florida State v. Clemson OVER 62 | Top | 51-14 | Win | 100 | 123 h 27 m | Show |
*5 Star FSU/Clemson TOP Total* The Florida State Seminoles offense has been firing on all cylinders with Jameis Winston at quarterback. Winston is completing 73% of his passes this year. Florida State is 4th in the nation in total offense, and they are averaging 53.6 points per game. Clemson has a terrific offense led by quarterback Tajh Boyd. Boyd is now a senior and he knows this offense extremely well. Sammy Watkins is one of the best receivers in the country, and he is capable of taking it the distance any time he touches it. These defenses have impressive stats, but they haven't faced an offense even close to as good as their opponent this week. Last year's game was 49-37 and there was a total of 1,096 yards in that game.
The over is 5-0 in the Seminoles last 5 games overall. The over is 6-0 in the Seminoles last 6 games following a win by 20 points or more. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS win. The over is 2-0 in the last 2 meetings between these teams. Take the over big! |
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10-19-13 | Nevada v. Boise State OVER 67 | 17-34 | Loss | -109 | 76 h 8 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB 100% Angle Total* The Nevada Wolfpack have an awful defense, but they can definitely score points. Cody Fajardo is the same type of quarterback as Colin Kaepernick, and he'll be able to move this offense against a less than stellar Boise State defense. Boise State has picked up the pace in a big way of late on offense. Both of these teams rank in the top 10 in the nation in terms of plays per game. Lots of plays should equal lots of chances to score points here. Boise State could put up 45 or 50 here, and Nevada should get more than 20.
The over is 4-0 in Nevada's last 4 road games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 October games. The over is 5-0 in Boise State's last 5 games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 home games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. A 22-0 angle backs this play. Take the over. |
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10-19-13 | USC v. Notre Dame OVER 47 | 10-14 | Loss | -110 | 122 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The USC Trojans offense has looked much better in the past couple games. It's big for them to have Silas Redd back in the lineup. Marqise Lee is expected to play this weekend as well. In their last two games, USC has scored 41 and 38 points. Notre Dame's defense hasn't been nearly as good as expected this year. It looks like they miss Teo even more than expected. USC's defense has been susceptible against the pass this year, and Tommy Rees is getting more comfortable at QB for the Fighting Irish. This was primarily a numbers play for me since I made this total 55. Look for this one to get over the posted total. Take the over.
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10-19-13 | Washington v. Arizona State OVER 66 | 24-53 | Win | 100 | 121 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Washington Huskies had to play at Stanford and home against Oregon the last two weeks. The schedule makers must not be fans of Washington. I like the Huskies team a lot, but this is a really tough spot for them. I think that shows up most on the defensive side of the football this week. Washington's defense will be gassed in the hot Arizona weather after two long weeks before this one. Todd Graham's offense is very fast-paced and Taylor Kelly is making great decisions for the Sun Devils. Keith Price and Bishop Sankey lead a very good Washington offense who should score plenty in this one as well. Look for a high scoring contest. Take the over.
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10-19-13 | Akron v. Miami (OH) UNDER 45 | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 43 h 52 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Miami (Ohio) Redhawks are one of the very worst teams in college football this year. Akron hasn't won a road game in their last 30 tries. This game has ugly written all over it. Miami hasn't scored more than 14 points in a game all year, and I don't see any reason to believe they'll do it in this game either. Akron nearly took down Michigan and Northern Illinois this year, so the Zips are much better than they have been. The defenses will be ahead of the offenses in this one. This looks like one of those 20-14 ugly games that are terrible to watch, but I don't mind cashing in a bet on ugly football.
The under is 8-0 in Akron's last 8 road games. The under is 7-0 in Akron's last 7 October games. The under is 5-0 in Miami's last 5 home games against a team with a losing road record. A 20-0 angle backs this one. Take the under. |
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10-12-13 | Colorado v. Arizona State OVER 64 | 13-54 | Win | 100 | 105 h 38 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Late Night BAILOUT* The Colorado Buffaloes are a more competitive team this year under Coach Mike MacIntyre, but the Buffs still have an awful defense. Colorado is giving up 38 points per game so far this year. Arizona State's offense is high-octane and they can really score in bunches on their home field. Taylor Kelly should be able to pick apart this Colorado secondary. It wouldn't surprise me a bit to see Arizona State score more than 50 points in this game. Colorado's passing attack is much improved this year, and due to the pace of the game, the Buffs should get plenty of chances to score here.
The over is 4-0 in Colorado's last 4 road games. The over is 4-0 in Arizona State's last 4 home games. The over is 6-0 in Arizona State's last 6 after gaining at least 280 yards through the air in their previous game. The over is 7-1 in the Sun Devils last 8 October games. A 21-1 angle backs this play. Take the over. |
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10-12-13 | Hawaii v. UNLV OVER 54.5 | 37-39 | Win | 100 | 67 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* Hawaii coach Norm Chow is slowly helping this Hawaii offense progress as season moves along. The Warriors are picking up the tempo a bit and airing it out often. UNLV's pass defense hasn't been tested all season, but that will change here. UNLV has won three games in a row, and the Rebels offense is much improved. Caleb Herring hasn't turned the ball over since taking over as the team's starting quarterback. Both of these defenses are way below average, and the offenses have been clicking well in the last couple weeks. I had this total projected at 60 points. Take the over in this one.
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10-12-13 | New Mexico v. Wyoming OVER 66 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 121 h 10 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* Who do you think is the number one rushing team in the country? Most fans would probably guess Navy, Army, Air Force, Georgia Tech, or maybe Oregon. All of those guesses are wrong. New Mexico comes into this game with the top ranked rushing attack in the nation. Bob Davie has really done a good job getting this team to buy into his system. The Lobos have a great runner in Kasey Carrier, and he should rack up the yards here against an undersized defensive front for Wyoming. Brett Smith is a superb quarterback for Wyoming. New Mexico's defense is still a mess. The Lobos are giving up 36 points per game. Wyoming is averaging 38 points per game. This one has shootout written all over it. Take the over.
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10-12-13 | Kent State v. Ball State OVER 60 | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -115 | 120 h 50 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play of Week* The Kent State Golden Flashes are a totally different team with Dri Archer in the backfield. Archer came back last week, and the team put up 24 points and moved the ball well all game against a good Northern Illinois team. Ball State is led by the best quarterback in the MAC, Keith Wenning, and he can do it all. Wenning had a great game and led the Cardinals to a big win at Virginia last week (48 points on the road at an ACC school). Ball State is 12th in the nation in passing. Kent State's is ranked 113th in the nation in total defense this year. At the same time, the Cardinals defense is 106th in the nation at stopping the run. Archer and the Golden Flashes running game should rack up the yards here. In last year's game, the final score was 45-43. Expect another high scoring contest here. The over is 17-8 in Ball State's last 25 conference games. Take the over big!
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10-12-13 | Navy v. Duke OVER 58.5 | 7-35 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Value* The Navy Midshipmen are all about the running game on the offensive side of the ball. Past history between these two teams tells me that Duke isn't good at all at stopping the triple option. Duke couldn't stop Georgia Tech's triple option last month, and I don't think they'll stop Navy here. Duke has improved over the last few weeks offensively, and the Blue Devils should be able to move the ball consistently against an undersized Navy defense that isn't very good against the run or the pass. The over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. I had this number at 63 points. Take the over.
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10-12-13 | Missouri v. Georgia OVER 63.5 | 41-26 | Win | 100 | 47 h 8 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Missouri Tigers are one of the most improved teams in college football. James Franklin and Henry Josey were both banged up last year, and now that they are healthy this is a completely different offense. The Tigers have been piling up the yards. Missouri ranks in the top ten nationally in total offense. Missouri's one weakness as a team right now is the secondary. The Tigers secondary ranks 114th in the nation in pass defense. Georgia has a ton of injured players, and their defense isn't any good right now, but the Bulldogs can still air it out with quarterback Aaron Murray at the helm. Both teams should put up a lot of points here.
The over is 4-0 in the Tigers last 4 road games. The over is 4-0 in Missouri's last 4 road games against a team with a winning home record. The over is 7-0 in the Bulldogs last 7 games overall. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 home games. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in Georgia's last 4 against the SEC. In all, a 30-0 angle backs this play. Take the over. |
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10-10-13 | San Diego State v. Air Force OVER 51 | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The San Diego State Aztecs offense has come alive in the past three weeks. The Aztecs have scored 30, 26, and 51 points in their last three games. They should have plenty of success here against an Air Force defense that is among the worst in the country. Air Force is allowing 39.8 points per game this year. The Falcons are undersized on the defensive front, and San Diego State should be able to run all over Air Force. At the same time, Air Force's triple option is tough to defend, and San Diego State had a short week to prepare. Last year's game was low scoring between these two, but that was the exception rather than the rule. These teams have played a lot of high scoring games. The over is 5-0 in Air Force's last 5 conference games. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two at Air Force. Take the over. *Note- This line has moved since I locked it in early in the week. I would play this one up to, but not above 56 points. Thank you.*
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10-05-13 | West Virginia v. Baylor OVER 64 | 42-73 | Win | 100 | 104 h 43 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The West Virginia Mountaineers and Baylor Bears will get together Saturday night. Last year, these teams played to a 70-63 final. West Virginia's offense isn't as good as last year, but their defense is just as bad. Baylor's offense is even better than last season. The Bears are averaging a ridiculous 751 yards of offense and 69.7 points per game so far this year. It wouldn't shock me if Baylor put up 60 points in this game by themselves. The posted total here looks far too low. West Virginia likes to play at a fast pace, and Baylor will be glad to run a ton of plays. I made the total in this one 79 points, so I love the value on the over.
The over is 12-0 in Baylor's last 12 games following a win of 20 points or more. The over is 7-0 in Baylor's last 7 after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in the previous game. The over is 6-0 in Baylor's last 6 after allowing less than 20 points in their last game. The over is 3-0-1 in the Bears last 4 following a bye week. The over is 4-0 in the Bears last 4 after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. A 32-0 angle backs this play. Take the over. *Note- This line has been all over the place this week. I would play this one up to 69 points for 4 stars and for 3 stars up to 74 points. Thank you.* |
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10-05-13 | New Mexico State v. New Mexico OVER 59 | 17-66 | Win | 100 | 49 h 22 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* The New Mexico Lobos are great at running the football. They are awful at everything on the defensive end. New Mexico State is one of the worst teams in all of football, and they are particularly weak when it comes to stopping the run. New Mexico State is allowing 301 yards per game on the ground which is by far and away dead last in the nation. The Lobos should find running room all day long. New Mexico State allows 45.4 points per game defensively. New Mexico allows 40.2 points per game. Both these teams are bad, but they should both score a ton of points here.
The over is 4-0 in the Aggies last 4 road games. The over is 8-1 in the Aggies last 9 games overall. The over is 7-1 in the Aggies last 8 non-conference games. The over is 7-1 in the Aggies last 8 following a loss. In all, a 26-3 angle backs this play. Take the over. |
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10-05-13 | Fresno State v. Idaho OVER 65 | 61-14 | Win | 100 | 69 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Fresno State Bulldogs have one of the best offenses in college football. Derek Carr is a terrific quarterback who can make all the throws necessary. Idaho's defense won't have a chance to slow down this Bulldogs high-powered offense. At the same time, Fresno State's defense has been terrible this year. Fresno State is giving up 38.2 points per game. Idaho has scored 71 points in two home games this year. The Vandals should be able to put plenty on the board here. Fresno should comfortably put up at least 45-50 points here. The over is 8-2 in Idaho's last 10 games against a team with a winning record. Take the over.
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10-05-13 | East Carolina v. Middle Tenn State OVER 61 | 24-17 | Loss | -111 | 51 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The East Carolina Pirates got their offense going in a big way last week against North Carolina. The Pirates racked up 55 points against an ACC defense. East Carolina has a rising star in quarterback Shane Carden. Middle Tennessee State hasn't shown the ability to stop anyone with a decent offense all year. The Blue Raiders offense is much more dangerous at home. East Carolina is going to score a lot of points here, so if MTSU is going to stay in this one they'll have to be ready offensively. The over is 14-2 in the Pirates last 16 games following a win by more than 20 points. The over is 5-0 in MTSU's last 5 after scoring less than 20 points in the previous game. Take the over.
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10-05-13 | Northern Illinois v. Kent State OVER 62.5 | 38-24 | Loss | -106 | 44 h 19 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Under Radar Total* The Northern Illinois Huskies are once again the team to beat in the MAC. Northern Illinois is piling up the points on a weekly basis. NIU is averaging 43.2 points per game. Kent State's defense is inexperienced this year, and the Golden Flashes will have trouble slowing down Jordan Lynch and company. Kent State's offense is much better now that Dri Archer is back in the lineup. Archer is the most electrifying player in the MAC. Northern Illinois has given up a bunch of points to everyone this year. Even Eastern Illinois racked up almost 600 yards and 39 points on NIU. The over is 4-0 in NIU's first 4 games this year. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games on turf. The over is 4-1 in Kent State's last 5 following a win. Take the over here.
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10-05-13 | Texas San Antonio Roadrunners v. Marshall OVER 64.5 | Top | 10-34 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 30 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB TOP Total of Week* The Marshall Thundering Herd have a real weapon in quarterback Rakeem Cato. Cato has all the tools to be a good NFL quarterback in the future. He can absolutely pick apart lesser defenses like UTSA. UTSA has been stout against the run of late, but they don't have a good secondary. Marshall is the perfect team to expose UTSA's weakness in the secondary. UTSA's offense has looked very good this year. Marshall's defense is almost as bad as their offense is good. Both teams like to play fast and this one has high scoring game written all over it.
The over is 5-0 in Marshall's last 5 October games. The over is 6-0 in Marshall's last 6 games following a loss. The over is 5-0 in Marshall's last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. The over is 4-0 in Marshall's last 4 home games against a team with a losing road record. A 20-0 angle backs this play. Take the over big! |
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10-03-13 | UCLA v. Utah OVER 57.5 | Top | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 76 h 34 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play Total TAKEDOWN* The UCLA Bruins and Utah Utes meet on Thursday night in a game televised by Fox Sports 1. UCLA had a bye week last week, so they'll be very fresh. The Bruins have one of the nation's best dual-threat quarterbacks in Brett Hundley. Hundley is a rising star in college football, and he is putting up some huge numbers this year. The Bruins offense is second in the nation in total offense at 614 yards per game. They are averaging 52 points per game. Utah changed their strategy in the offseason. The Utes now play an uptempo style employed by Dennis Erickson. Travis Wilson is a 6'7 quarterback who is getting this offense moving up and down the field consistently this season. The Utes have scored 148 points in their three home games this year. Both of these defenses lost their top players from last year, and I see the makings of a real shootout in this one. I made this one 68 points.
The over is 6-0 in UCLA's last 6 Pac-12 games. The over is 5-0 in UCLA's last 5 after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. The over is 4-0 in Utah's last 4 following a win. I recommend a 5 star play up to 61 points. I would play it for 4 stars up to 63 and 3 stars up to 64 points. Take the over big! |
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09-28-13 | UNLV v. New Mexico OVER 54 | 56-42 | Win | 100 | 127 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Under Radar Total* The UNLV Rebels have actually won two straight games for the first time in a very long time. UNLV still isn't a good team at all. They beat up on a short-handed Central Michigan team and FCS Western Illinois. The Rebels run defense is atrocious. New Mexico can't throw the ball, but Bob Davie's team can definitely run with the best of them. The Lobos are averaging 267 yards per game on the ground. Earlier this year, UNLV allowed 397 yards on the ground in a single game against Arizona. New Mexico's defense is one of the worst in the country, and they won't be able to stop anyone all season long. Both of these teams are giving up about 35 points per game. I like the value here. Take the over.
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09-28-13 | Air Force v. Nevada OVER 58.5 | 42-45 | Win | 100 | 41 h 33 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The Air Force Falcons can run the football extremely well, but they can't stop anyone this year. Their defense is about as bad as you'll find anywhere. Air Force is undersized along the defensive front and their secondary isn't even as good as normal. Air Force will have a new quarterback here, but as long as he is decent in the triple option, this team will get some points against Nevada's horrible rushing defense. Air Force is allowing 41 points per game this year. Nevada is giving up 34 points per game this year. The over is 5-0 in Air Force's last 5 games in September. The over is 4-0 in Air Force's last 4 conference games. Take the over.
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09-28-13 | Arizona v. Washington OVER 63.5 | 13-31 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Arizona Wildcats are much improved this season. Rich Rodriguez has one of the best running attacks in the country, and they should be able to move the football against everyone on their schedule. Steve Sarkisian has his most talented offense since he has been in Washington. Sarkisian decided to push the tempo on offense this year, and it has been paying off. Keith Price and Bishop Sankey are a terrific tandem in the backfield. Washington is averaging 629 yards per game this year. Arizona's defense hasn't faced a decent offense yet, and they will get chewed up here. The over is 6-0 in Arizona's last 6 against a team with a winning record. The over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two. The over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings at Washington between these teams. Take the over.
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09-28-13 | Army v. Louisiana Tech UNDER 52 | 35-16 | Win | 100 | 123 h 56 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are a completely team different team this year. Louisiana Tech had a high flying offense last year, but this season their offense is terrible. Louisiana Tech's strength is their defensive line, which will help them in this game against an Army team that runs the ball on nearly every play. Louisiana Tech hasn't been able to score on questionable defenses such as Tulane and Kansas in recent weeks, and I don't expect them to put up all that many here either. The clock should be rolling through much of this game. The under is 4-0 in Army's last 4 neutral site games. The under is 4-0 in Army's last 4 games following a game where they allowed 200 yards on the ground. The under is 4-0 in LA Tech's last 4 games overall. Take the under.
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09-28-13 | UTEP v. Colorado State OVER 52 | 42-59 | Win | 100 | 25 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The UTEP Miners have a solid quarterback in Texas A&M transfer Jamiell Showers. Showers nearly beat out Johnny Manziel at Texas A&M before last season, but ended up transferring to UTEP. He has faced some good defenses this year, but I expect him to be able to put up big numbers against a Colorado State secondary that was torched by Colorado in game one. On the other side, UTEP's front seven is their weakness and the Rams should be able to exploit that. Colorado State has been much better offensively at home over the past few years. This total is set too low for two defenses that are below average. Take the over.
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09-28-13 | Oklahoma v. Notre Dame UNDER 51 | 35-21 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Oklahoma/Notre Dame Total* The Oklahoma Sooners and Notre Dame Fighting Irish will do battle in South Bend on Saturday. Oklahoma lost 30-13 to Notre Dame in Norman last year, and you better believe they'll want revenge here. The Sooners defense has been very good this year, and Notre Dame's offense has been very underwhelming. Notre Dame can't run the ball much at all, and the Sooners pass rush should get to Tommy Rees often. Notre Dame's defensive front is one of the best in the nation, and I don't expect this Oklahoma team to be able to run consistently on them. There should be a lot of field goals here as both defenses buckle down in the red zone. The under is 22-7 in Notre Dame's last 29 home games. Take the under.
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09-28-13 | Navy v. Western Kentucky OVER 58 | Top | 7-19 | Loss | -110 | 110 h 47 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play of the Month* The Navy Midshipmen can run the football against just about anyone. It doesn't matter if their opponent knows the run is coming, because they can't stop it. Western Kentucky's weakness on defense is stopping the run. The Hilltoppers have been giving up running yards by the bunches. Opponents are running for 195 yards per game against them. Western Kentucky's offense is top-notch, and they have one of the most underrated runners in the country in Antonio Andrews. Andrews has already run for 6 TD's this year. Navy's defense isn't good, and I expect both teams to get huge chunks of yardage in this one. The over is 7-1 in the Hilltoppers last 8 home games. I expect a game that gets into the mid 60's at a minimum. Take the over in a big way here!
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09-21-13 | Texas State v. Texas Tech OVER 57.5 | 7-33 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* Texas State and Texas Tech will get together this weekend. Texas State is going to be outmanned in a big way here. The Bobcats gave up 58 points to Texas Tech last year, and I could certainly see Tech topping 50 points once again in this one. Texas State's offense is slowly improving, and the Red Raiders defense doesn't normally shut too many opponents down. This total is several points lower than my numbers had it (62). Expect the Red Raiders high powered offense to do whatever they want in this one. The pace alone should allow for plenty of scoring opportunities. Take the over.
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09-21-13 | Louisiana-Lafayette v. Akron UNDER 64.5 | 35-30 | Loss | -110 | 111 h 10 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns will be at Akron this week. Akron nearly upset the Wolverines in Ann Arbor last weekend in what would have been the biggest upset of the year. The Zips have to be a little down after their near upset from last week, and I think Lafayette shuts them down nicely here. Akron's defense is much improved from a year ago, but their offense doesn't have many play makers. Lafayette is a team that can put up big points, but the total is set too high here. I made this one 60 points, so I see plenty of value. The under is 9-1 in Akron's last 10. The under is 6-0 in Akron's last 6 after accumulating 280 yards or more through the air in the previous game. The under is 4-0 in Lafayette's last 4 following a win of 20 points or more. A 19-1 angle in all. Take the under.
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09-21-13 | Michigan State v. Notre Dame UNDER 42.5 | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 38 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Michigan State/Notre Dame Total Domination* The Michigan State Spartans offense is awful, but their defense is one of the top five in the nation. Michigan State's defense doesn't have a weakness. They have a lot of strength on the defensive line and speed and athleticism at the back of the defense. Notre Dame's defensive front is one of the best in the country. The Fighting Irish defense didn't look good at Michigan, but they should look very good here against a weak Michigan State offense. Last year's game between these two finished at 20-3, and I think both offenses are worse this season.
The under is 5-0 in MSU's last 5 following a win of 20 points or more. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 40 points or more. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 road games against a team with a winning home record. The under is 6-1-1 in Michigan State's last 8 non-conference games. An 18-1 angle backs this play. Take the under. |
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09-14-13 | Oregon State v. Utah OVER 57.5 | 51-48 | Win | 100 | 30 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Utah Utes are a completely different team than they were a year ago. Wilson has matured a great deal as a quarterback, and Utah's offense is playing uptempo thanks to help from Dennis Erickson. Utah put up 30 points against a very good Utah State defense before putting up 70 point in a glorified scrimmage last week. Oregon State's defense isn't as good as last year, as evidenced by their allowing 49 points and more than 600 yards against FCS school Eastern Washington. Utah's defense isn't as good this year either. This number should be in the 60's.
The over is 6-0 in Oregon State's last 6 against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 conference games. The over is 4-0 in Utah's last 4 following a game where they gained at least 200 yards on the ground. The over is 6-1 in Utah's last 7 home games. A 20-1 angle backs this. Take the over. |
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09-14-13 | Vanderbilt v. South Carolina UNDER 49.5 | 25-35 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 13 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB SEC Total* The Vanderbilt Commodores are a team that gets very little respect heading into the season every single year, but the Commodores have proven they are a reputable team now. Vanderbilt still remembers their 17-13 questionable loss against South Carolina to start the season out last year. Vanderbilt coach James Franklin has proven to be a great motivator, and I expect this team to be ready for this game. On the other side, South Carolina's defense will just be too much for Vandy's offense. It's hard to imagine Vanderbilt getting any kind of a running game going here. Look for a lot of field goals and defense in this game. Take the under.
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09-14-13 | Iowa v. Iowa State UNDER 49 | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 29 h 1 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* Iowa and Iowa State meet in the battle for bragging right in the state of Iowa on Saturday. Neither of these teams are very good this year, but that won't change how hard these teams fight to win this game. Both defenses are far ahead of the offenses here. The under is on a huge roll in this series. The under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these teams. The one game that went over only went over because the game went into triple overtime. Don't expect big plays or lots of scoring here. Look for hard nosed defenses that fight for every inch of the field. It won't be pretty, but we don't need it to be pretty to cash in the under. The under is 8-1 in Iowa State's last 9 against the Big Ten. The under is 4-0 in Iowa's last 4 on grass. The under is 3-0-1 in Iowa's last 4 road games against a team with a losing record. The under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings. In all, 22-2 angle backs this. Take the under.
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09-14-13 | Ball State v. North Texas OVER 57.5 | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 24 h 35 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Ball State Cardinals are a team that I believe a lot of people will know more about by the end of the year. This has been a team on the rise the last couple years, and they should be one of the top teams in the MAC this year. Wenning is a very versatile quarterback who makes this offense tick. The Cardinals offense has done whatever it pleases in the first two games of this year. Their fast paced style forces some very high scoring games. This number was knocked down during the week to the point where I felt it is too good of a value to pass up. I made this total 62 points. North Texas should be able to run the ball well and score plenty against a suspect Ball State defensive front. Take the over.
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09-14-13 | Bowling Green v. Indiana OVER 62 | 10-42 | Loss | -106 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Bowling Green Falcons have found a new starting quarterback that has kick started their offense in a big way. Matt Schilz was replaced by Matt Johnson, and the offense has benefited right away. The Falcons defense has been very good against the run, but I don't think they'll be able to stop an Indiana passing attack that is very potent. Kevin Wilson has this Indiana offense playing as fast as just about anyone in the country right now. Indiana's defense is terrible, and the Hoosiers have been giving up yards by the bunches for several years in a row. The over is 4-0 in Indiana's last 4 September games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games after throwing for at least 280 yards in the previous game. The over is 6-1 in their last 7 home games. The over is backed by a 14-1 winning angle. Take the over.
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09-12-13 | Tulane v. Louisiana Tech OVER 57 | 24-15 | Loss | -109 | 29 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Thursday Night Total Domination* The Tulane Green Wave upgraded their offense in a big way by getting Nick Montana as their quarterback. Orleans Darkwa is an underrated running back for the team, and I expect a nice season from him. Louisiana Tech has a solid quarterback in Scotty Young. Skip Holtz won't move the team quite as quickly as last year, but the Bulldogs are still going to be an uptempo team. Tulane allowed 41 points to a bad South Alabama team last weekend. Louisiana Tech gave up 40 to NC State in their opener. It won't surprise me a bit if both teams get well into the 30's in this one. The over is 11-3 in Louisiana Tech's last 14 games overall. The over is 21-8 in their last 29 home games. I made this total 62 points, so I see plenty of value on this one. Take the over.
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09-07-13 | Notre Dame v. Michigan UNDER 51 | 30-41 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Notre Dame/Michigan Total Domination* The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have the best defensive line in the nation. Michigan is struggling on the offensive front right now. The Wolverines will likely have a hard time protecting Devin Gardner. On the other side, Notre Dame's offense is far from a finished product right now. They will miss Eifert at tight end, and they have no clear cut leader at the running back spot. Michigan's defense has been very good ever since Brady Hoke came to campus. Last year's game finished in a 13-6 final. While I don't expect that low of a total here, I do think the value is with the under. The under is 6-0 in Notre Dame's last 6 following a win of 20 points or more. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 against the Big Ten. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 after gaining 280 yards or more passing in the previous game. The under is 4-0 in Michigan's last 4 games after scoring 40 points or more in the previous game. A 20-0 angle backs the under. Take the under.
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09-07-13 | Navy v. Indiana OVER 66 | 41-35 | Win | 100 | 112 h 55 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Total Takedown* The Indiana Hoosiers offense is a well-oiled machine this year. Indiana is going to score a bunch of points on Big Ten defenses this year, and they are definitely going to score a ton of points on weaker teams in their non-conference schedule. Last week, Indiana poured on 73 points against Indiana State. Navy's defense isn't quite that bad, but they certainly aren't good. Navy allowed 50 points at Notre Dame last year and 41 at Troy. I could see Indiana putting up 45 or 50 here. Indiana's defense is still a major problem, and the Midshipmen should run the ball well here. Take the over.
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09-07-13 | Duke v. Memphis OVER 49.5 | 28-14 | Loss | -110 | 88 h 57 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Totals Bookie SMASHER* The Duke Blue Devils defense may have looked good last week, but we all know that isn't going to stick around for long. Duke's offense is much improved over the last few years, but they still have a bad defense. The Blue Devils face a much improved Memphis team who I believe should be able to put up quite a few points in this game. Memphis does have some problems in the secondary on defense, and Duke has the right personnel to exploit those issues. I expected a line in the upper 50's here. Quite a bit of value on this one. Take the over.
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09-07-13 | Utah State v. Air Force UNDER 59 | 52-20 | Loss | -106 | 25 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Air Force Falcons are notorious for running the football constantly and completely abandoning the throw. Utah State's front seven on defense is extremely good, probably as good as anyone in the Mountain West Conference. Air Force won't stop trying to run the ball, but I don't think they'll be getting big chunks of yardage either. Utah State's offense is good, but they haven't been as good away from home the past couple years. Air Force has the best defense they have had in several years, and their secondary is extremely good. Both teams should be running the ball a lot here. This number is too high. Take the under.
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09-07-13 | Western Kentucky v. Tennessee OVER 55 | 20-52 | Win | 100 | 106 h 20 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are a brand new team this year with Bobby Petrino as their new head coach this season. Petrino is an offensive mastermind, and he has a lot of talent to work with here. Antonio Andrews is one of the top runners in the nation, and he should have a good game against a Tennessee defense that is less than stellar. Doughty is the new quarterback for the Hilltoppers, and he is a big upgrade from last year. Tennessee has a great running game, and Western Kentucky is inexperienced on the defensive line. I think this game gets into the 60's. Take the over here.
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09-07-13 | Florida v. Miami (Florida) UNDER 48 | 16-21 | Win | 100 | 21 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Florida/Miami Total Domination* The Florida Gators have one of the top five defensive lines in college football, and they may have the single best secondary in the nation. The Gators offense still needs a lot of work, but I don't see them getting beaten up by many people this year thanks to their terrific defense. Florida will run the ball a lot, and Miami is sure to try to run it early and often with Duke Johnson as well. Miami is much better when they establish Johnson first and then try to have Morris throw the ball around a little. The clock should keep ticking during this one. Expect a close game all the way to the end. The under is 43-19-1 in Miami's last 63 home games. Take the under.
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08-31-13 | Northwestern v. California OVER 57 | Top | 44-30 | Win | 100 | 67 h 47 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play of the Week* The Cal Golden Bears are in for a long season. I like Sonny Dykes, and I think he was a great hire, but he inherited a team with very little talent that needs built from the ground up. Cal is going to push the tempo and try to run Dykes' patented offense this year, which should create a lot of extra possessions for both teams in this one. Northwestern's defense is improved, but they aren't a shut down defense. Venric Mark and the Wildcats defense are very good, and the Cal defense simply doesn't have the firepower to stop them. Look for Northwestern to score quickly here, and Cal is going to keep running plays without using up the clock. These are huge benefits to the over. I had this number pegged at 65 points, so I see a lot of value on the over. The over is 20-8-1 in the Bears last 29 non-conference games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 against the Big 10. Take the over big!
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08-31-13 | Nevada v. UCLA Bruins OVER 65.5 | 20-58 | Win | 100 | 66 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB West Coast Total* The Nevada Wolfpack return a terrific quarterback in Cody Fajardo. Fajardo had a brilliant season a year ago, and he has a lot on his shoulders this year as Chris Ault is gone as head coach at Nevada. Look for Nevada to open it up and throw a lot here. Jim Mora Jr. did a good job with the UCLA Bruins last year, but this defense lost a lot of talent from last season. The Bruins secondary is the weakness of their defense and I expect that to be exploited on Saturday night. Nevada had a bad defense last year, and they should be even worse this year. Brett Hundley is going to have a sensational season for the Bruins, and I expect him to light up this Wolfpack defense on Saturday. The over is 5-1 in Nevada's last 6 against the Pac 12. The over is 6-1 in the Bruins last 7 games. Take the over.
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08-31-13 | LSU v. TCU UNDER 50 | 37-27 | Loss | -106 | 51 h 47 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB LSU/TCU Total CRUSHER* The TCU Tigers went 7-6 overall last year and just 4-5 in the Big 12. That made some think the team can't compete with top teams, but that isn't the case at all. TCU still finished with the top defense in the Big 12, and that was with some significant injuries. The Horned Frogs should be much better this year with a much healthier team. At the same time, LSU isn't getting enough respect ahead of the 2013 season. Les Miles' team is stacked on defense yet again, and the Tigers could easily be a top ten team once again. Expect both of these defenses to flex their muscles in a big way here. I see a lot of field goals instead of touchdowns. This number is a few points too high. Take the under.
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08-31-13 | Miami (OH) v. Marshall OVER 67.5 | 14-52 | Loss | -110 | 268 h 26 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Marshall Thundering Herd have one of the most prolific offenses in the nation. They also have one of the worst defenses in the country. How bad was the Marshall defense last year? They allowed at least 51 points in five different games. Miami (Ohio) doesn't necessarily have a terrific offense, but a terrific offense isn't needed to score points against Marshall. On the other side, Rakeem Cato is one of the most talented quarterbacks in the nation and he put up video game stats last year. I expect more of the same from him this season. Cato is athletic and has a big arm. Marshall has a ton of weapons around him, and the Redhawks from Miami have seen their defense go downhill quickly the past few years. The scoreboard should be lighting up in this one. Expect lots of quick strike scores from both teams. The over is 8-1 in Marshall's last 9 games overall. Take the over.
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08-31-13 | UAB v. Troy OVER 63 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 48 h 20 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Troy Trojans offense is all about moving quickly and not letting the defense get set. UAB runs the same type of hurry up offense. When these two teams get together, there are going to be a ton of plays ran. Combine that with the fact that both of these defenses are very weak, and we have a recipe for a very high scoring game here. Last year's contest between these two finished at 68 points, and I think this total should have been right around that number. Instead, we got a solid amount of line value with the over. The over is 4-0 in Troy's last 4 home games. The over is 5-1 in UAB's last 6 against the Sun Belt. The over is 6-1 in Troy's last 7 games overall. Take the over in this one.
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01-04-13 | Texas A&M v. Oklahoma OVER 72 | 41-13 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star Cotton Bowl Total Domination* Johnny Manziel and the Texas A&M Aggies have been one of the hottest teams in the nation down the stretch, but it won't be easy for them in this game. Oklahoma's offense has really heated up as the season moved along. Landry Jones is looking much more comfortable again and the Aggies pass defense hasn't been good this year (remember they gave up 57 points to Louisiana Tech). Whoever wins this game is going to have to score a lot of points. Texas A&M went for 527 total yards of offense last year against Oklahoma, and they are much better offensively this season. The Sooners defense is only mediocre. Look for a shootout. The over is 11-2 in Oklahoma's last 13 on turf. Take the over.
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01-02-13 | Louisville v. Florida UNDER 45.5 | 33-23 | Loss | -105 | 667 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star Sugar Bowl Super Total* The Louisville Cardinals are in the Sugar Bowl as a representative of the Big East. No one in the Big East was very good, and that includes the Cardinals. Louisville is a little fortunate that they drew the Florida Gators in this game. Florida is a very good team, but they have struggled with lesser opponents this year. They should have lost to Louisiana-Lafayette, and the Gators weak offense gives lesser opponents a chance to hang around. Florida's defense is giving up just 12.9 points per game, and they played plenty of teams with a much better offense than Louisville. Louisville's defense is the strength of their team. This one should be a defensive battle. The under is 6-1 in Florida's last 7 games non-conference games. The under is 9-4 in Florida's last 13 games overall.
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01-01-13 | Nebraska v. Georgia OVER 59.5 | 31-45 | Win | 100 | 256 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star Capital One Bowl Totals Cash* The Nebraska Cornhuskers are one of the most overrated teams in the nation in my opinion. They have ten wins, but those wins came against the extremely weak Big 10. Nebraska was crushed by Ohio State, Wisconsin, and UCLA in their three losses. The Cornhuskers have up more than 50 points in all three of those games. Nebraska's defense is no longer a strength, but now it's a major weakness. Georgia's pass defense is solid, but their front seven has struggled against the run. Look for both running attacks to have a lot of success here. Todd Gurley should have a huge game against the Huskers, and Taylor Martinez should lead the Huskers offense to quite a few points too. The over is 3-0-1 in Nebraska's last 4 against a team with a winning record. The over is 8-3 in Georgia's last 11 non-conference games. Take the over.
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01-01-13 | Michigan v. South Carolina UNDER 48 | 28-33 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 0 m | Show | |
*3 Star Outback Bowl Total Domination* The South Carolina Gamecocks have some serious injury problems. Without Marcus Lattimore, this offense isn't nearly as dangerous. A couple of Lattimore's backups have been dinged up lately as well. Connor Shaw has matured this year, but he'll be up against a tremendous Michigan secondary. The Wolverines rank second in the nation in pass defense. Look for Michigan to stack the box and dare South Carolina to beat them with the pass. Michigan's offense has been less dynamic this year than it was a year ago. Denard Robinson still isn't completely healthy, and that hurts this team's big play ability. South Carolina's defense is one of the best in the nation, and they can rush the passer extremely well. The under is 4-0 in South Carolina's last 4 bowl games. The under is 12-5 in Michigan's last 17 against teams with a winning record. Take the under.
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12-31-12 | Clemson v. LSU OVER 58.5 | 25-24 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star Chick-Fil-A Bowl Total Domination* The Clemson Tigers gave up 70 points in a BCS bowl last year. Clemson's defense may be a little better this year, but this unit still isn't good at all. LSU's offense has gotten quite a bit better late in the year as Mettenberger has become more confident in his ability as a passer. LSU should control the line of scrimmage here as well. Clemson does have a high-powered offense, and even though LSU's defense is good, it's hard to imagine Clemson not putting up a decent amount of points. The over is 6-1 in LSU's last 7 games on turf. Take the over.
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12-29-12 | West Virginia v. Syracuse OVER 73 | 14-38 | Loss | -110 | 159 h 39 m | Show | |
*3 Star Pinstripe Bowl Total Domination* The West Virginia Mountaineers certainly have one of the best offenses in the nation. Geno Smith is perfect for Holsgorsen's offense, and Stedman Bailey and Tavon Austin are terrific wideouts. Syracuse hasn't been very good against the pass this year, so what should make us think they'll do well against such a terrific passing attack? On the other side, West Virginia may have the worst secondary in college football. They allow 323 passing yards per game. Syracuse's Ryan Nassib is an underrated quarterback, and I think he'll pick the Mountaineers apart. The over is 6-2 in West Virginia's last 8 bowl games. The over is 8-1 in Syracuse's last 9 non-conference games. The over is 5-0-1 in Syracuse's last 6 games overall. Take the over.
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12-29-12 | Air Force v. Rice OVER 61 | 14-33 | Loss | -105 | 562 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Rice Owls have improved quite a bit this year, but they still have a very weak defense. Air Force is a very difficult team to prepare for because of their option attack running game. The Falcons run the football well even when the other team knows the run is coming. Rice has struggled badly against the run this year. In their loss to UCLA, the Bruins riddled them on the ground. Air Force may be very good at running the ball, but they aren't good at all at stopping the run. The Falcons allow almost 200 yards per game on the ground. The over is an impressive 67-33 in the Rice Owls last 100 games. The oddsmakers just can't catch up to Rice. Expect both teams to have a big game offensively. Take the over.
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12-27-12 | Cincinnati v. Duke OVER 58.5 | Top | 48-34 | Win | 100 | 257 h 28 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Bowl Play of the Season* The Duke Blue Devils aren't used to being in a bowl game, but this year's squad earned it. Sean Renfree is terrific for the Duke offense. He is a senior quarterback who makes good decisions with the football, and he is great in the short passing game. Duke's offense is good this season, but their defense is still very weak. Cincinnati inserted a new starting quarterback a few weeks ago, and he has helped the Bearcats offense become more consistent. Cincinnati is a run first team, and Duke's defense cannot stop the run. The over is 6-1-1 in Duke's last 8 games overall. The over is 7-0-1 in Duke's last 8 against a team with a winning record. Take the over big.
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12-20-12 | BYU v. San Diego State UNDER 49 | 23-6 | Win | 100 | 354 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star BYU/San Diego State Total Domination* The BYU Cougars and San Diego State Aztecs are both pretty good football teams, and for both of them it starts with good defense. BYU ranks third in the entire nation in total defense. They are second in the country in rushing defense. San Diego State really can't move the ball much at all through the air. If they are unable to run against BYU, they probably won't put up many points here. BYU's offense is far from dynamic, and San Diego State has a couple future NFL stars on their defense. The under is 11-2 in BYU's last 13 against a team with a winning record. Take the under.
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12-08-12 | Navy v. Army UNDER 56.5 | 17-13 | Win | 100 | 86 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star Navy/Army Total Domination* The Navy and Army game should be never be overlooked as a major rivalry. These two teams have a ton of respect for each other, but they also want to beat each other very badly. The defenses have a key advantage in this game. Both offenses run a very similar triple option. This means both defenses are seeing something in the game that they see every single day in practice. It's no coincidence that the 'under' has been on a nice run when these two teams get together. The under is a perfect 6-0 in their last 6 meetings. The under is 8-0 in Navy's last 8 games on turf. The under is 5-0 in Navy's last 5 December games. The under is 7-0 in Army's last 7 December games. Take the under here!
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12-01-12 | Alabama v. Georgia UNDER 50.5 | 32-28 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star Alabama/Georgia Total Domination* The SEC is going to be back in the BCS title game once again this year. Who will be playing for that title? Most assume it will be Alabama, but Georgia is better than many believe. The strength of both teams is their defense. Georgia likes to run the football with Marshall and Gurley, but Alabama's run defense is extremely good. Aaron Murray has been shaky in big games. Georgia's defense has been amazing of late. The Bulldogs have allowed 14 points or less in four straight games. The under is 6-0 in Georgia's last 6 games. The under is 5-0 in Georgia's last 5 conference games. Look for both defenses to play well. Take the under.
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12-01-12 | Oklahoma State v. Baylor OVER 81.5 | 34-41 | Loss | -110 | 129 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* This will be the highest 'over' I have ever recommended, but I still believe this is a good value. Baylor is a perfect over team because they have a prolific passing offense and a horrible defense. Baylor is second in the nation in total offense, and second to last in the nation in total defense. Oklahoma State averages 45.6 points per game, and they have allowed more than 40 points four times this year. Don't expect to see any defense played in this game. It should be a lot of passing and missed tackles by the secondary. The over is 4-0 in the Cowboys last 4. The over is 21-4-1 in Baylor's last 26 games. Take the over. **I recommend a play on this one all the way up to 88 points**
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11-24-12 | Vanderbilt v. Wake Forest UNDER 47.5 | 55-21 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 17 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Vanderbilt Commodores are only giving up 175 yards per game through the air. This is one of the best secondaries in the country. Wake Forest's offense is brutally bad, and they especially can't do anything on the ground. Look for Vanderbilt to make life miserable for Wake Forest's offense in this one. Wake Forest's defense has been much better at home. This being the team's last home game of the year, I think the Demon Deacons defense shows up better than expected here. Neither team is likely to put up many points. The under is 6-0 in Wake Forest's last 6 games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 against the SEC. The under is 14-3 in Wake Forest's last 17 November games. Take the under.
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11-24-12 | Connecticut v. Louisville UNDER 45.5 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 20 h 17 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The UConn Huskies have one of the best defenses in the country, but their terrible offense holds them back quite a bit. UConn only allows 296 yards per game, which puts them at ninth best in the nation in total defense. Five of their last six opponents have failed to reach 20 points. Louisville's offense is pretty good, but I don't think they'll move it too easily against UConn. On the other side, Louisville's pass defense has been stellar. UConn has almost no running game, so it is hard to imagine them getting many points in this one. The under is 5-1 in UConn's last 6 games. Take the under.
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11-17-12 | Kansas State v. Baylor OVER 74 | 24-52 | Win | 100 | 43 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Star Kansas State/Baylor Total* The Baylor Bears are just 4-5 on the season, but they get to host Kansas State in a huge game Saturday night in Waco. The Bears would love nothing more than to end Kansas State's perfect season. Baylor can put up points with the best of them, but they also give up points like nobody's business. Baylor is second in the nation in total offense (averaging 564 yards per game). On the other side of the ball, Baylor is dead last in total defense in the nation. Opponents are averaging 520 yards per game. Kansas State's defensive weakness is their secondary, and Baylor will exploit that. Collin Klein and the Wildcats should run all over Baylor's terrible defense. Look for big points here. The over is 23-5-1 in Baylor's last 29 games. Take the over.
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11-17-12 | East Carolina v. Tulane OVER 60.5 | 28-23 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total SMACKDOWN* The Tulane Green Wave couldn't put up any points earlier in the season, but now they have their starting quarterback back in the lineup. Ryan Griffin is a pretty good quarterback, and the team has been moving the ball well with him under center. East Carolina has been bad defensively for several years now. The Pirates offense hasn't been terrific, but everyone has been able to move the ball against Tulane's horrific defense. Both of these teams move quickly, so the tempo should be conducive for a high scoring game. The over is 4-0 in Tulane's last 4 home games. The over is 9-1 in Tulane's last 10 November games. The over is 8-1 in East Carolina's last 9 November games. Take the over.
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11-17-12 | Wake Forest v. Notre Dame UNDER 42.5 | 0-38 | Win | 100 | 39 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star Wake Forest/Notre Dame Total* The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have a ton to play for right now. Not many could have expected that Notre Dame would get through their tough first ten games on the schedule without a blemish. Indeed, the Fighting Irish have done it with a terrific defense. Manti Te'o has been the best defensive player in the nation this year, and it is Senior Day for him in this one. Wake Forest's offense hasn't been able to score much on anyone, and I think they'll struggle to get past 10 points or so in this one. Notre Dame's offense is still raw, and Wake Forest's running defense is better this year. This looks like a low scoring contest. The under is 5-0 in Wake Forest's last 5 games. The under is 6-0 in Notre Dame's last 6 following an ATS loss. Take the under.
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11-17-12 | Duke v. Georgia Tech OVER 67.5 | 24-42 | Loss | -105 | 39 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Duke Blue Devils are a much improved team this year. Duke's Sean Renfree is a nice veteran quarterback who can throw the football around pretty well. Georgia Tech's defense has given up at least 41 points in 4 of their last 6 games. Georgia Tech's option offense is nearly unstoppable for most defenses, and Duke struggles to stop the run almost every week. Georgia Tech piled up 68 points against North Carolina last weekend. Last year, these two teams played to a 38-31 final. The over is 7-0-1 in Duke's last 8 conference games. The over is 9-0 in Georgia Tech's last 9 following an ATS win. The over is 6-0 in Georgia Tech's last 6 when playing a team with a winning record. Take the over.
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11-17-12 | Houston v. Marshall OVER 74.5 | 41-44 | Win | 100 | 67 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Marshall Thundering Herd offense is prolific this year. Rakeem Cato leads the entire nation in passing yards. Marshall also plays at as fast of a tempo as anyone in football right now. They'll get plenty of plays, and against a Houston defense that ranks 110th in the nation in pass defense, they should get a ton of yards. On the other side, Marshall's defense is terrible. Houston averages 475 yards per game on offense. Marshall is giving up 41.1 points per game this year. This one has the makings of a major shootout. The over is 4-0 in Marshall's last 4 following a straight up loss. The over is 6-1 in their last 7 games overall. Take the over.
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11-17-12 | Central Florida v. Tulsa UNDER 56.5 | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 39 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Under Radar Total* Tulsa has a good offense, but the Golden Hurricane offense revolves around running the ball and eating up clock. UCF has one of the best defenses in Conference USA, and I think Tulsa will struggle to pound it down their throats in this one. On the other side, UCF's offense just isn't as dynamic as most in this conference. The Knights are inconsistent and often can't finish off drives. The under is a perfect 5-0 in Tulsa's last 5 home games. The under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings between these two. Look for a lot of running the ball from both teams, and the clock will tick away quickly here. Take the under.
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11-17-12 | Rutgers v. Cincinnati UNDER 48 | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 35 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Cincinnati Bearcats have changed starting quarterbacks. Munchie Legeuax is out because of turnover problems and Brendon Kay is in. Kay looked good last week, but he'll face a much better defense this week. Rutgers and Cincinnati are both terrific at stopping the run. Both of these offenses revolve around running the football. I think both teams will try to run the ball early and often, but I don't see them having very much success. Cincinnati gives up 18.8 points per game, while Rutgers gives up only 13.4 points per game. Look for a low scoring game here. Take the under.
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11-17-12 | Kent State v. Bowling Green UNDER 47 | 31-24 | Loss | -105 | 35 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star MAC Total Takedown* The Bowling Green Falcons have been absolutely dominating on defense of late. Bowling Green is allowing just 15.1 points per game this year. How good has this unit been of late? No team has scored more than 14 points on Bowling Green in their last six games. Kent State's offense revolves around the run, and Bowling Green is great on the defensive line. Bowling Green's offense isn't very good, and Kent State is better than average defensively, especially against the run. It's hard to imagine either team lighting up the scoreboard int his one. The under is 7-0 in Bowling Green's last 7 home games. The under is 6-0 in the Falcons last 6 conference games. Take the under.
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11-10-12 | Fresno State v. Nevada OVER 69 | 52-36 | Win | 100 | 49 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Late Night BAILOUT* The Fresno State Bulldogs and the Nevada Wolfpack both have a very explosive offense. Fresno State has stars at quarterback and running back with Derek Carr and Robbie Rouse. Carr is second in the nation in passing yards so far this season. Nevada always has one of the best ground games in the nation, and this year is no different. With Stephfon Jefferson leading the way, Nevada is averaging 261 yards per game on the ground. Both defenses are suspect against high-powered attacks. Last year's meeting between these two finished in a 45-38 final score. The over is 4-0 in Fresno State's last 4 following a bye week. The over is 5-2 in Nevada's last 7 home games. Take the over.
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11-10-12 | Utah v. Washington Huskies UNDER 47.5 | Top | 15-34 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 42 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB Top Play of the Week* The Utah Utes and Washington Huskies have been two pretty similar teams this year. Both of them have been very disappointing on the offensive side of the ball, but they have both been very good defensively. Three of Washington's last four games have finished at a total of 38 points or less (including their game against USC). Utah has scored a total of 28 points in their last three road games combined. Both of these offenses have serious trouble putting together long drives. This will likely be a game where both teams settle for quite a few field goals. The under is 4-0 in Utah's lats 4 road games. The under is 6-0 in Washington's last 6 home games. Take the under big!
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11-10-12 | Louisiana Tech v. Texas State Bobcats OVER 70.5 | 62-55 | Win | 100 | 119 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Under Radar Total* The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs have one of the most potent offenses in the nation. How good are they? They are third in the nation in yards per game at 571 per contest. They are second in the country in points per game with 52.4 per contest. They are top 12 in both rushing and passing yards. Texas State's defense allows 479 yards per game, and I suspect they are going to have a very long night in this one. On the other side, Louisiana Tech's defense is bad. They are second worst in the nation against the pass. Texas State should be able to put up some points at home here. The over is 8-1 in La. Tech's last 9 games overall. Take the over.
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11-10-12 | South Alabama Jaguars v. North Texas UNDER 50 | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 43 h 53 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Bookie SMASHER* South Alabama has fought hard in their first year of existence as an FBS level football program. The Jaguars don't have much of an offense at all, but their defense is very solid. They have been in almost all of their games this year because of their defense. North Texas has a dinged up quarterback and a disappointing running game. The Mean Green defense is quite a bit better than it was a year ago. There is no reason to believe that either of these inefficient offenses will suddenly break out and put up a big number in this game. The under is 4-0 in North Texas' last 4 games following a straight up loss. Take the under.
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11-10-12 | Navy v. Troy OVER 58.5 | 31-41 | Win | 100 | 116 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Bookie CRUSHER* The Navy Midshipmen can run the ball with the best of them, and Troy hasn't proven they are capable of stopping the run. Look for Navy to run the ball over and over again, and I don't expect Troy to have any answers for it. Last year, Navy piled up 42 points against Troy. On the other side, the Navy defense has struggled against good offenses this year. Troy actually has the 14th ranked offense in the nation. They are more balanced this year on offense, and the Trojans are scoring 30.1 points per game. The over is 4-0 in Troy's last 4 contests. Look for both offenses to have their way here. Take the over.
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11-10-12 | Air Force v. San Diego State OVER 57.5 | 9-28 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* Air Force is an interesting team because they run the football about as well as anyone, but they can't stop the run at all. This often leads to high scoring games for the Falcons. In fact, 5 of their 9 games this year have topped the 60 point mark. San Diego State has gotten very good at running the ball as the year has moved along. I expect the Aztecs to be able to run the ball easily against Air Force's undersized defensive front. The over is 7-2 in Air Force's last 9 games following a straight up loss. The over is 6-1 in San Diego State's last 7 games against a team with a winning record. Take the over.
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11-10-12 | Kent State v. Miami (OH) OVER 55.5 | 48-32 | Win | 100 | 21 h 17 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Kent State Golden Flashes are one of the most improved teams in college football this year. Darrell Hazzell is doing a tremendous job with this team. Kent State is getting it done largely because of their strong rushing attack. Miami's defense has been chewed up on the ground this year. Opponents are averaging 232 yards per game on the ground. Miami is allowing 34.4 points per game. Kent State's defense has struggled against strong passing games. Miami can't run the ball, but they do have a strong passing game. Look for Miami to move it through the air nicely in this one. I think this one gets to at least 60. Take the over.
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11-10-12 | Army v. Rutgers UNDER 52.5 | 7-28 | Win | 100 | 35 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Army Black Knights have the number one running game in the nation, but they can't throw the football at all. In fact, they average just 67 yards per game through the air. One of the team's leading rushers is questionable for this game due to an injury. The Rutgers defense has been awesome against the run this year. Rutgers is fourth in the nation in rushing defense. I think Army will have a lot of trouble scoring points here. The Rutgers offense averages just 26 points per game, and I don't see them putting up a big number here either. The under is 11-2 in Army's last 13 games coming off a bye week. The under is 6-1 in Rutgers last 7 against Independent teams. Look for a low scoring game. Take the under.
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11-10-12 | Wisconsin v. Indiana OVER 55 | 62-14 | Win | 100 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star Big 10 Total* The Wisconsin Badgers will start Curt Phillips at quarterback here. Phillips isn't a very good quarterback, but I'm not sure the team needs a good quarterback to put up points against Indiana. Wisconsin still has a good running game with Montee Ball and James White, and the Hoosiers defensive line has been dominated numerous times this year. Wisconsin scored 83 against Indiana two years ago and 59 last year. While I don't expect that here, I do think they'll score plenty. Indiana's passing attack has been impressive, and Wisconsin's secondary is a bit weak right now. Indiana's offense should move the ball well here too. The over is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings between these two, and it is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings at Indiana. Take the over.
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11-06-12 | Ball State v. Toledo OVER 67.5 | 34-27 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 13 m | Show | |
*3 Star Tuesday Night Total* The Ball State Cardinals have turned into a fast-paced offense that is tough to stop. Keith Wenning is an underrated quarterback who leads this offense very well. Toledo's defense has been torched on a constant basis over the past couple years, and it will likely happen again in this one. Toledo's defense ranks 108th in the nation in total defense. The Rockets offense has been gaining steam of late, and Ball State's defense is one of the worst in the nation. The Cardinals have given up 33.3 points per game so far this year. The over is 4-0 in Toledo's last 4 games after a bye week. The over is 7-1 in Ball State's last 8 road games. Look for a high scoring game. Take the over.
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11-03-12 | Arizona v. UCLA Bruins OVER 70.5 | 10-66 | Win | 100 | 46 h 1 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Late Night BAILOUT* The Arizona Wildcats showed what they can do offensively last week in a win over USC. Matt Scott is the perfect quarterback for Rich Rod's offense. Scott can run when needed, and he can absolutely pick apart a defense with his arm. UCLA's defense has been shaky all year, and I think they'll struggle here. Arizona's defense is slightly better than last year, but UCLA's balanced offense has been scoring a lot of points against everyone. Look for Hundley and Franklin to have a big game here. The over is 4-0 in Ariozna's last 4 games. Take the over.
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11-03-12 | Alabama v. LSU UNDER 41.5 | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 42 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star Alabama/LSU Total Domination* This is the showdown everyone has been looking forward to since last season ended. Oddsmakers are down on LSU right now because the team has struggled a bit of late, but remember this team still has an amazing defense. LSU ranks third in the nation in total defense, and I just don't see Alabama coming into Baton Rouge and piling up the points on this ultra-talented defense. Speaking of talented defenses, Alabama is absolutely stacked on the defensive end. The Crimson Tide are first in almost all the major defensive statistics. LSU is struggling mightily on offense, and it won't surprise me if they can't get above 10 points here. The under is 4-1 in the Tigers last 5 following a bye week. The under is 5-1 in their last 6 following a straight up win. The under was 2-0 in the meetings between these two last year. Take the under.
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11-03-12 | Clemson v. Duke OVER 65.5 | 56-20 | Win | 100 | 43 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Clemson Tigers have one of the best offenses in the nation. Tajh Boyd is a great leader at the quarterback spot, and the Tigers have weapons at all the skill positions. Ellington is a solid running back and Watkins and Hopkins are tremendous on the outside. Duke is a much better team this year, but it is largely because of their offense. The Blue Devils should be able to put points on the board because of their passing game. Renfree is a good quarterback, and the Clemson secondary has struggled all year. Duke has been an 'over' bettors best friend of late. The over is 4-0-1 in the Blue Devils last 5. The over is 6-0-1 in their last 7 conference games. Take the over here.
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11-03-12 | Oregon v. USC OVER 69 | 62-51 | Win | 100 | 29 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star Oregon/USC Total Domination* The Oregon Ducks can score points faster than any other team in the nation. Chip Kelly's offense is tremendous at keeping their opponent off guard. USC gave up 52 points to Oregon two years ago and 35 last year. The weakness of the Oregon defense is their secondary, and Matt Barkley and his terrific group of receivers should be able to exploit that weakness. USC's offense has been really coming into their own over the last couple games. Oregon has been taking their foot off the gas early in PAC 12 games before this one, but they can't afford to do that here. Both offenses should pile up the points. The over is 22-8 in Oregon's last 30 conference games. Take the over.
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11-03-12 | Rice v. Tulane OVER 62.5 | Top | 49-47 | Win | 100 | 109 h 35 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA FB Play of the Week* The Rice Owls have been one of the worst defensive teams in the nation over the last few years, and this year is no different. Rice is giving up 32.3 points per game this year. Tulane's offense was horrible earlier this year, but they now have starting quarterback Ryan Griffin back and it makes a big difference. With Griffin the team put up 55 points last week. Tulane's defense is giving up almost 500 yards of offense per game. Rice has a pretty good offense, and I expect them to move the ball at will in this one. In 4 of their last 7 games, Tulane has allowed at least 41 points. I think this one goes way over the posted total. The over is 43-9 in Rice's last 52 games on turf. Take the over in a big way here.
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10-27-12 | UNLV v. San Diego State OVER 56.5 | 13-24 | Loss | -110 | 89 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* UNLV is a team I like to look at the 'over' with because of their terrible defense and their much improved offense. The Rebels have scored 30 points or more in three of their last five contests. Their defense has allowed at least 30 points in every game against an FBS level opponent this year. San Diego State has really gotten their running game going of late. The Aztecs offensive front should dominate UNLV's weak defensive front in this game. San Diego State's defense has been poor against the pass this year, and UNLV should get some yards there. The over is 6-2 in UNLV's last 8 games. The over is 4-1 in San Diego State's last 5 games. Take the over.
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10-27-12 | Michigan v. Nebraska OVER 57.5 | 9-23 | Loss | -105 | 44 h 2 m | Show | |
*3 Star Michigan/Nebraska Total Domination* The Michigan Wolverines and Nebraska Cornhuskers meet in a crucial Big 10 matchup Saturday night. Michigan is in the driver's seat in the Legends Division, but Nebraska still has a major say. Nebraska's offense is much more potent this year with an improved Taylor Martinez under center. Michigan's secondary is good, but the front seven is questionable. Denard Robinson is in his senior season with the Wolverines, and he has really turned it on over the past few games. Nebraska has struggled against good running games (UCLA and Ohio State) and I think Michigan can run for a big number against the Cornhuskers. Look for both offenses to have quite a bit of success. Take the over.
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