Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-22-23 | Mariners v. Rangers OVER 9.5 | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
It's a heck of a race in the AL West with Houston leading by a half game over the Rangers and Mariners. That makes this series between these two teams very big. Tampa Bay has the top AL Wildcard locked up, but Toronto, Texas and Seattle are all a half game within each other for that 2nd and final wildcard spot. Bryce Miller starts for the Mariners with a 8-5 record in 23 starts and a 3.88 ERA. He's a bit worse on the road with a 3-3 record and 4.59 ERA. The Rangers will counter with Dane Dunning who is 8-6 in his 23 starts and a 3.70 ERA. He has a 4.14 ERA and a 1-2 record over his last seven starts. I'm taking the OVER between these two playoff battling teams. |
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09-21-23 | Giants v. 49ers OVER 43.5 | 12-30 | Loss | -113 | 21 h 38 m | Show | |
The Ny Giants made a big comeback last week to pull out the win at Arizona, 31-28. The Giants did fail to cover the 5-point line and easily went over the 40-point total. The Giants had 438 total yards after that poor week one performance against Dallas where they got just 171 total yards. Daniel Jones rebounded from his 104 yards and two INT's vs the Cowboys with 321 yards and 2 TD's against Arizona. Now the Giants have to face another good defensive team in the 49ers. The 49ers are 2-0 S/U and 1-0-1 ATS. They have had a very balanced offense with 173.5 rushing yards per game and 204.5 passing. They won both their road games thus far with a win at Pitt in week one, 30-7, and then last week at the Rams, 30-23, pushing last week's line. The defense has allowed just 41 yards on the ground and 198 through the air thus far. Could be another rough outing for the Giants defense here tonight. The Giants are last in the league in scoring defense as they have allowed 34 ppg. San Francisco is 3rd in the NFL in rushing and should have another field day on Thursday. The Giants can ill afford to fall behind 0-20 at half like they did last week. I expect Daniel Jones to have to throw a lot in this game and the 49ers to get plenty of points. I'll take OVER. |
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09-21-23 | Braves v. Nationals OVER 9 | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 48 m | Show | |
The Braves and Nationals begin their last set against each other this season with Thursday's contest at Washington. The Braves lost on Wednesday at home to Philadelphia in 10 innings, 5-6. The Braves have now lost five of their last six games. The only thing the Braves have left to play for is home field advantage and they lead the Dodgers by four games. Thing is, do you want home field? The winner likely plays a very dangerous Philadelphia team if they win their Wild Card series. The Nats are playing out the season and would like nothing more than to beat the best of the N.L. Washington has won three of their last four games. They will start Jake Irvin today who his 3-6 in his 23 starts with a 4.41 ERA. The Braves counter with Max Fried who is 7-1 in his 13 starts with a 2.64 ERA. That number has been a bit higher in his last seven starts with a 3.40 ERA. Even though Fried is a very good pitcher, his games have gone over in four straight and six of the last seven. I'll take OVER here on Thursday. The Nationals won at home over the White Sox on Wednesday, 13-3. |
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09-18-23 | Browns v. Steelers UNDER 38.5 | 22-26 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 1 m | Show | |
Cleveland opened last week with a big AFC win over in-state rivals Cincinnati, 24-3. The Browns covered the pick'em line and went under the 46.5 point total. Cleveland had 206 yards on the ground and 144 passing yards for 350 total yards. Best news was they held the Bengals to just 142 total yards. Deshaun Watson was 16-of29 for 154 yards with one TD and one INT. Nick Chubb rushed for 106 yards and a 5.9 rypa average. Pittsburgh was manhandled last week at home by San Francisco, 7-30. They failed to cover the 1-point dog line and went under the 41.5-point total. They had just 239 total yards with 41 rushing yards. They allowed 391 yards to the 49ers. Kenny Pickett was 31-of46 for 232 yards with one TD and NO INT's. Since the Steelers played from behind they didn't get to establish much on the ground with Najee Harris having just 31 yards. The Steelers defense looked horrible last week and they are much better then showed. The Browns will be a daunting task on the ground, but I look for the Steelers defense to show much better here on Monday. Add to that a very good Browns defense and I'll take the UNDER. |
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09-18-23 | Saints v. Panthers UNDER 39.5 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 22 h 4 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints look to improve to 2-0 with this second Monday Night football game at Carolina. The Saints did just enough to beat the Tennessee Titans last week, 16-15. They failed to cover the 3-point home line and went under the 41.5 total line. The Saints had 69 rushing yards and 282 yards passing. They held the Titans to 47 yards rushing and 181 yard passing. New QB Derek Carr was efficient with a 23-of-33 performance with one TD and one INT. Jamaal Williams led a trio of rushers with 45 yards though he did fumble one time. Carolina went to Atlanta last week and came up short to the Falcons, 10-24. They failed to cover the 3.5-point dog line and went under the 40.5 total. They did rush for 154 yards but had only 127 yards passing. The defense was very good, holding Atlanta to 130 yards rushing and 91 passing yards. New QB Bryce Young was 20-of-38 for 146 yards though he did have two INT's. Miles Sanders led the rushing attack with 72 yards though he also turned the ball over once. Both teams flashed some very good defense and not a lot of offense. I'll take the UNDER tonight. |
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09-18-23 | White Sox v. Nationals OVER 9 | 6-1 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 18 m | Show | |
Washington coming off a win in 10 innings at Milwaukee on Sunday, 2-1. The White Sox were shut out at home on Sunday by the Twins, 0-4. Both teams officially eliminated from the playoffs, just looking to play out the season now. The Sox will start Mike Clevinger who is 7-8 in his 21 starts with a 3.61 ERA. The Nats will start Joan Adon tonight who is 2-2 in his seven starts with a 6.00 ERA. Both teams should score some runs with the Nationals pitching Adon. I'll take the OVER on Monday. |
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09-17-23 | Dolphins v. Patriots UNDER 46.5 | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 26 h 58 m | Show | |
AFC matchup here on Sunday has the New England Patriots hosting the Miami Dolphins. The Patriots came from behind last week, but came up just short in their loss at home to Philadelphia Eagles, 20-25, as a 3.5-point dog. The Pats had 76 yards rushing and 306 yards passing. The defense was very good, allowing 97 rushing and 154 passing to a very good Eagles offense. QB Mac Jones was 35-for-54 for 316 yards, three TD's and one INT. The rushing game was not much, but they were playing from way behind for a good portion of the game. Ezikiel Elliot led with 29 yards while Stevenson chipped-in another 25 yards. The Miami Dolphins won a shootout last week at the LA Chargers, 36-34, covering the three-point dog line. They had 70 yards rushing and 466 yards passing. Tua Tagovailoa was 28-for-45 for 466 yards, three TD's and one INT. Raheem Mostert rushed for 37 yards and one TD. The home team has won five of the last meetings between these AFC rivals. Miami had the second fewest rushing attempts last year and again this year had just 20 attempts in their opener at the Chargers. IF Tua can remain healthy that might not be terrible, but you hate to see so much put on the QB. The Pats defense will once again be very good as it was last week. It's the offense that has to find some improvement. THey were forced to throw more last week as they trailed throughout. I look for the Patriots to turn to the rushing game more here in week two as they try and take pressure off Jones. The Miami rush defense isn't great and that should provide better opportunities for the Patriots rushers. If the Pats can establish the rush, keep the Miami offense off the field then this one should be a good under play. |
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09-17-23 | 49ers v. Rams UNDER 45.5 | 30-23 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 43 m | Show | |
NFC West clash here on Sunday has both teams looking to start the season 2-0. The San Francisco 49ers were dominant in their win last week at Pittsburgh, 30-7. They held the Steelers to just 41 total rushing yards and 198 passing yards. The defense also had a pair of interceptions. Brock Purdy played in his first game since that playoff injury against the Eagles. He was 19-for-29 for 220 yards and two TD's and no INT's. Chrisitan McCaffrey was great, rushing for 152 yards and a touchdown while Brandon Aiyuk led the receivers with 129 yards and a pair of TD's. The Rams trailed at halftime last week at Seattle, 7-13. However, a big second half rally and a shutout of the Seattle offense led to an easy win, 30-13. The Rams had 426 yards of offense to just 180 by the Seahawks. Matthew Stafford was 24-of-38 for 334 yards. Kyren Williams led the rushing attack with 52 yards and a pair of TD's. I see this 49ers team as one of the teams to beat this year with their balanced offense and dominating defense. Not sure the Rams can find the same offensive success they had last week. But if both defenses play like they did last week this one will be an UNDER. Take UNDER. |
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09-17-23 | Bears v. Bucs UNDER 41.5 | 17-27 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 37 m | Show | |
NFC matchup here on Sunday has the Bucs hosting the Bears. The Chicago Bears looked bad last week in their loss to Green Bay. The Bears had a -2 turnover ratio and were outgained 329-311 yards by the Packers. Justin Fields was 24-for-37 for 216 yards, one TD and one INT. The rushing game was horrible with Khalil Herbert leading the team with just 27 yards on the ground. Tampa Bay came away with the win as a dog last week at Minnesota, 20-17. The win came despite having just 242 total yards of offense. They did hold the Vikings to just 41 yards rushing though they allowed 328 yards through the air. Baker Mayfield was 21-of34 for 173 yards and a pair of TD's. Rachaad White led the rushing with 39 yards. Both these teams had issues with their offense and both had trouble moving the ball on the ground. I look for both to continue that trend this week as the Bears rushing attack will have little success against this Bucs defense. Play UNDER. |
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09-17-23 | Packers v. Falcons UNDER 40.5 | 24-25 | Loss | -117 | 19 h 37 m | Show | |
The Green Bay Packers post Aaron Rodgers era began on a positive note last week with a win at the Chicago Bears, 38-20. The Packers had just 92 rushing yards and 237 passing yards for a total of 329 total yards. They held the Bears to 122 yards rushing and 189 yards passing for 311 total yards. Jordan Love was efficient at QB, going 15-for-27 for 245 yards and three TD's. Aaron Jones led the team in rushing with 41 yards and a TD. The Atlanta Falcons won at home last week against Carolina, 24-10, despite just 221 total yards of offense. They held the Panthers to 10 points on 281 yards of offense. Desmond Ridder was 15-for-18 for 115 yards and one TD. Tyler Allgeier led the team in rushing with 75 yards and a pair of TD's. Both teams looking to start the season 2-0 and I look for a lot of ball control in this one. Neither team piled up the yards last week and we can see the Falcons will be carful with their young QB. I'll take the UNDER in this one. |
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09-13-23 | Royals v. White Sox OVER 9 | 7-1 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
Two teams not going anywhere this postseason meet for the final time as the White Sox host the Royals. The Royals took game one of the series 11-10 and then lost yesterday, 2-6. The Royals called up Steven Cruz from Triple-A Omaha to start tonight's contest. Cruz likely just an opener here today. Cruz has been on the big club before, giving up four runs in five innings in late August. Don't expect Cruz more than an inning or two. The Bullpen has a 5.30 ERA so that isn't great news either. The Sox will stick with a conventional starter in Mike Clevinger who is 7-7 in his 20 starts with a respectable 3.64 ERA. I expect the Royals to all quite a bit of runs here today. Take the OVER. |
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09-12-23 | Cardinals v. Orioles OVER 10 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 45 m | Show |
These teams playing the second of their set here on Tuesday after the Orioles took game one on Monday, 11-5. The Cardinals had gone over in six straight before a couple of Unders vs the Reds. The Overs got back on track last night with 16 total runs scored. Adam Wainwright has had a tough year for the Cardinals at 3-11 with a 8.19 ERA. Hard to believe he's been even worse of late, going 0-7 in his last seven starts with a 9.74 ERA. John Means will make his first start for the Orioles after joining the team in Boston over the weekend. Means makes his first MLB start in nearly 17 months here on Tuesday. Means, a one time All-Star, was runner up to rookie of the year in 2019. This will be a big test for the young pitcher to see if he's making it back from his long recovery from surgery. For me, I'll wait and see. But no matter what, Wainwright has been horrible and I'll take the OVER here on Tuesday. |
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09-11-23 | Padres v. Dodgers OVER 9.5 | 11-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
The San Diego Padres visit Chavez Ravine to face the LA Dodgers in what many thought would be a late season battle for the NL West. But a poor season by the Padres have them 21 games back of the Dodgers. They have also lost two straight games. The Dodgers were red hot out of the All-Star break, but have cooled down a bit, going 4-6 in their last 10 games. They have a comfortable 13-game lead over Arizona though in the division. The Padres will start Pedro Avila who is 1-2 in his four starts with a 3.50 ERA. He has two starts on the road and is 0-1 with a 6.48 ERA. The Dodgers will start Gavin Stone who will make his fourth start today. He's had issues in his prior three, allowing 16 total runs for a 14.40 ERA. Walks have also been a issue with seven free passes in just 10 innings. Two good hitting teams and two suspect pitchers on the hill. I'll take OVER tonight. |
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09-11-23 | Bills v. Jets UNDER 46.5 | 16-22 | Win | 100 | 114 h 20 m | Show | |
Great way to finish week one of the NFL with this AFC East clash between Buffalo and the Jets. The Jets were good last year and then they go out and get Aaron Rodgers this year to bolster an offense to go with that outstanding defense. The AFC East should be interesting with Buffalo, the Jets, Dolphins and Pats. The Bills and Jets both won two preseason games with the Jets having the extra Hall of Fame game. The Bills won their third straight division title last year and made the postseason for the fourth consecutive season. The Bills will once again be one of the favorites to win the Super Bowl. The Jets hope bringing in Rodgers will get them into the postseason for the first time since 2010. Allen Lazard and Randall Cobb also reunite with Rodgers on the Jets. The Jets were fourth in scoring defense last year and total defense. This matchup should feature two of the premier defenses in the AFC. The line is too close for me, but the total I do like and will go with the UNDER. |
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09-10-23 | Texans v. Ravens UNDER 43.5 | 9-25 | Win | 100 | 93 h 45 m | Show | |
The Baltimore Ravens long string of preseason wins came to an end this year as they actually went just 1-2. They scored 68 points while allowing 74 in the preseason. Meanwhile, Houston was 2-1 in the preseason scoring just 40 points while allowing 50 points. Houston made a big change, bring in DeMeco Ryan to coach the team after winning just eight games over their last three seasons. Also taking over at QB is C.J. Stroud, the Ohio State star QB. On the defensive side of the ball they bring in Alabama pass rusher Will Anderson Jr, who should also make a big impact. The Ravens won 10 games last year and double digits in four of the last five seasons. QB Lamar Jackson has a new contract in hand and they bring in Odel Beckham Jr as one of his targets along with Nelson Agholor. The defense was third in scoring defense last year and returns most of that unit this year. The Ravens were leaders in a number of defensive categories last year. I'm going to take the under here as the Texans likely will take some time to get the offense in sync and this is not the defense to start out again. Play UNDER. |
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09-10-23 | Panthers v. Falcons UNDER 39.5 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 93 h 45 m | Show | |
NFC South action here on Sunday has Atlanta hosting Carolina. The Panthers didn't win a preseason game and only scored 36 points in their three games. The Falcons were 1-1-1 in preseason and scored just 32 points and allowed just 40 points. Atlanta has seen five of their last six regular season games. Not a lot to go on the first game of the season so I will take into consideration in these early games. But if the preseason is any indication, both these teams will struggle to put points on the board. QB Bryce Young takes over for Carolina and while he may prove to be the future, there could be a rough learning curve for the rookie. I'll stick with the UNDER here in game one. |
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09-09-23 | Cardinals v. Reds OVER 10.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 33 m | Show | |
The St Louis Cardinals continue their torrid tear with the bats. The Cardinals just came off a 3-game set vs the Braves where they scored 26 runs and went over all three games. They opened vs the Reds on Friday and it was another hit fest with nine more runs and another over. That put a dent into the Reds playoff hopes as they are close to Milwaukee in the NL Central and within a game of the NL Wildcard. The Cardinals will start Zack Thompson here on Saturday with a 2-2 record with a 3.60 ERA. The Reds will start Carson Spiers who has no record after one start and a 6.75 ERA. Don't really care who pitches here on Saturday, I'm sticking with the hot bats of the Cardinals and taking the OVER. |
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09-09-23 | Western Michigan v. Syracuse OVER 56.5 | 7-48 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
Western Michigan heads to Syracuse to take on the Orange from the JMA Wireless Dome. Western opened the season with a win over St Francis PA, 35-17 while Syracuse routed Colgate, 65-0. The Western Michigan Broncos have a very good rushing attack, gaining 339 yards on the ground last week. They are ranked 7th in the nation in rushing. Syracuse ranked 5th in scoring after 65 point performance last week. They also had 677 yards of total offense. QB Garrett Shrader passed for 257 yards and four TD's. Both these teams looked great on offense last week against inferior opponents. I expect one of them will show it was the real deal and put up plenty of points again here on Saturday. Take the OVER. |
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09-08-23 | Cardinals v. Reds OVER 10 | Top | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
The Cincinnati Reds have won seven of their last 10 games and still within striking distance of 1st place Milwaukee in the NL Central. The Reds trail by just two games. They are also in the hunt in the NL Wildcard race, just a half game back in those standings. So every game is big for the Reds. They face a Cardinals team that just took two of three games from the Braves and scored 26 runs in the three game set. The Cards have also gone over in five straight games, scoring at least five runs in each of those. The Cardinals start Drew Rom today who is 0-2 in his three starts with a 7.24 ERA. The Reds will start Andrew Abbott who is 8-4 in 17 starts with a 3.22 ERA. Not quite so good lately, going 2-2 in his last seven starts with a 5.67 ERA. I'm sticking with the OVER in these Cardinals games as they continue to hit the ball well with little pitching on the other end. Play OVER. |
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09-07-23 | Lions v. Chiefs OVER 54.5 | 21-20 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 14 m | Show | |
The start of the NFL Season and a great game on tap as the Kansas City Chiefs host the Detroit Lions. Detroit had one of their best seasons in memory, finishing at 9-8. However, they missed the playoffs for the sixth straight year. Detroit improved though last year under Dan Campbell, winning eight of their final 10 games. Gone are RB's Jamaal Williams, D'Andre Swift and Justin Jackson. Coming in is 1st round pick Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery. The Lions were 8th in passing last year and 11th in rushing, averaging 26.6 ppg. Kansas City begins defense of their Super Bowl Championship. They were 14-3 in the regular season last year and beat the Eagles in the Super Bowl. They were first in the NFL in passing offense with 297.8 ypg. They were also first in scoring offense with 29.2 ppg. They will have some early issue on the defensive line with Chris Jones holding out. Expect the Lions to throw a lot in this game and with the high scoring Chiefs on the other side I'm taking the OVER here in game one of the season. |
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09-07-23 | Cardinals v. Braves OVER 10.5 | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
Yikes! What in the world is going on with the Braves. Did they change uniforms with the A's or something?? The Braves have gotten their butts kicked the last two nights by the Cardinals. Both games the Braves were North of a two dollar favorite and they gave up 10 runs on Tuesday and 11 runs on Wednesday. They fell way behind in both games and never came close. Even their Ace, Striker, was rocked last night in a 6-11 loss after the Cards jumped out to a 5-0 lead. Today they start Max Fried who is 6-1 with a 2.52 ERA. Adam Wainwright will start for the Cardinals with a 3-10 record and 8.10 ERA. The way this series is going, I won't be surprised at all by the Cardinals scoring big again here tonight. I'll just play the OVER. |
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09-06-23 | White Sox v. Royals OVER 9.5 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Wild game between these two teams on Tuesday as the Royals rallied in the bottom of the 9th inning for two runs to beat the White Sox, 7-6. The Sox jumped out to a 5-0 lead in the 2nd inning but couldn't hold on as the Royals chipped away and finally won. Neither team going anywhere this postseason so these games are just for enjoyment right now. That doesn't mean there isn't money to be made. The White Sox start Touki Toussaint who is 2-7 in his 11 starts with a 5.54 ERA. He's been slightly worse on the road with a 2-3 record and 6.35 ERA. It's been a rough season for Royals starter Jordan Lyles. Lyles is 4-15 in 26 starts with a 6.17 ERA. He's been slightly better at home where he is 2-6 with a 4.81 ERA. Either way, two bad pitchers on two bad teams with bad bullpens. I'll take the OVER and let them score at will today. |
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09-02-23 | West Virginia v. Penn State UNDER 50.5 | 15-38 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 56 m | Show | |
West Virginia looking to improve on a 2022 season that saw the Mountaineers win only five games. This team looks to be a run first type offense again with a very good backfield. They still have questions to answer at the QB position though. The defense also needs to improve as they allowed 32 ppg last season. Meanwhile Penn State comes into the season with high expectations. They rank in the top 10 preseason polls and won 11 games last season. They also have 14 returning starters including their QB Drew Allar and top running back. This was one of the best defensive teams last season. They have depth on defense and look to use their defense to lead the way. That's what I look for here in week 1 for the Nittany Lions. I expect them to shut down this West Virginia offense. The home crowd will be up for this one and inspire a great effort from the Penn State defense. I'm not going to lay the big number, but rather take the UNDER in this game. |
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09-01-23 | Red Sox v. Royals OVER 9.5 | 2-13 | Win | 100 | 21 h 55 m | Show | |
Both these clubs had Monday off as they begin this set from Kansas City. The Red Sox have no shot in the AL East as they trail by 14 1/2 games. The Wildcard isn't too easy either as they trail by 6.5 games. The Royals are one of the two AL teams already eliminated from the playoffs. James Paxton will start for the Red Sox with a 7-4 record in his 18 starts and a 3.99 ERA. He's been worse of late, going 2-2 in his last seven starts and a 4.80 ERA. He's also allowed 10 runs over his last two starts (8 1/3 innings). Jordan Lyles will start for the Royals with a 3-15 record and a 6.39 ERA. He's also been worse of late, going 2-4 in his last seven starts with a 7.71 ERA. I like this game to go OVER here on Friday. |
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08-29-23 | Astros v. Red Sox OVER 10 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
It's a tight race in the AL West as one game separates the top three teams. One of those are the Houston Astros, who are 1 game back of the Seattle Mariners. The Mariners have surged into first place thanks to a 9-1 run. Meanwhile, Texas has been struggling to 2-8 their last 10 and Houston 5-5. The Red Sox are in 4th in the AL East, 13.5-games back of the Orioles. The Sox still have a shot at a AL Wildcard as they are 4.5-games back with four teams ahead of them. Houston will start J.P. France today. France is 8-5 in his 18 starts with a 3.62 ERA. He's coming off a horrible start, where he allowed 11 hits and 10 runs over just 2 1/3 innings to the Red Sox. Now he has to face them again here today. Boston will start Brayan Bellow who is 10-7 with a 3.56 ERA in 22 starts. He's been slightly higher with the ERA in his last seven starts, having a 4.46 mark. Both these teams can score as they both average five runs per game. The Houston bullpen has been bad of late, posting a 6.37 ERA in his last seven games. Boston has been even worse, allowing a 7.07 ERA over their last seven games. Two struggling pens and two very good scoring teams. I'll take the OVER today. |
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08-28-23 | Yankees v. Tigers OVER 8.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
It's been a long time since the Yankees have been this far under .500 at this juncture of the season. Yet, here they sit at 62-67, 19 games back in the AL East. They have lost eight of their last 10 games and have the only negative run differential in the division at -20 runs. Detroit sits third in the AL Central, 7.5 games back of the Minnesota Twins in the AL Central. They can pretty much forget the AL Wildcard as they are 14 games back in that race. The Yankees will start Luis Severino today with a 3-7 record and a 6.97 ERA. He's been horrible on the road, posting a 0-5 record in eight starts and a 9.08 ERA. Reese Olson will toe the rubber for the Tigers with his 2-5 record in 12 starts and a 6.11 ERA. He's allowed 10 runs over his last two starts (7 2/3 innings). With these two starters on the hill today I'll be on the OVER. |
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08-27-23 | Rockies v. Orioles OVER 9 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -111 | 2 h 19 m | Show |
Interleague action has the Colorado Rockies playing on the East Coast at Baltimore. The Rockies have lost six games after dropping the first two of this series at the Orioles. The Orioles have taken both the first two games by the same score, 5-4. The Rockies have been a good over team, with a 8-1-1 O/U mark their last 10 games. The Rockies will start Ty Blach here today who is 1-1 in his six starts with a 3.25 ERA. The Orioles continue to lead the AL East by three games over the Rays. Baltimore has won four straight and seven of their last eight games. They are also 6-3-1 O/U in their last 10 games. Jack Flaherty makes his first start since Aug 15th. He is 8-8 in his 23 starts with a 4.73 ERA. He is coming off a bad start on the 15th where he allowed seven runs over three innings to the Padres. I like this one to go over today. Play OVER. |
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08-26-23 | Guardians v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | 3-8 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 1 m | Show | |
The Guardians are losing ground in the AL Central as the now trail the Twins by six games. The news is even worse in the Wildcard as they are 11.5-games back. As for the Jays, they are in the race for the Wildcard, just 2.5 games back despite losing three straight games. The Guardians will start Logan T. Allen who is 6-6 in his 19 starts with a 3.31 ERA. He's been very good of late, allowing five total runs over his last four starts (23 innings). The Jays will start Hyun-Jin Ryu who is 2-1 in his four games since coming off the DL. Ryu had a rough outing in his first start, allowing four runs over five innings. However, Ryu has gotten his form back since then, allowing no runs over his lat three starts (14 innings). Both starters are very good and I'll be on the UNDER here today. Play UNDER. |
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08-25-23 | Guardians v. Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Guardians have lost two straight games and six of their last 10 to drop six games back of the Minnesota Twins in the AL Central. The Toronto Blue Jays are 3rd in the AL East with a 70-58 record and have also lost two straight games as these teams begin their new set here on Friday. The Jays are just 1.5 games back in the AL Wildcard race and right now that looks their best avenue to make the postseason. The Guardians will start Tanner Bibee today who is 9-3 in hi 20 starts with a 3.01 ERA. He's been even better of late, going 4-1 in his last seven games with a 2.47 ERA. The Jays will start Chris Bassitt today who is 12-6 with a 3.92 ERA. He's also been good his last seven starts with a 4-1 record and 3.21 ERA. Two very good starters here today should keep this game lower scoring. Play the UNDER. |
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08-22-23 | Reds v. Angels OVER 9 | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
This game scratched from Monday because of lingering effects of tropical storm Hillary. They get it underway here tonight. The Cincinnati Reds have lost two straight games and six of their last 10 as they play today in this Interleague game at the LA Angels. The Reds are four games back of the Brewers in the NL Central and now trail the Cubs by one game for 2nd place. The Reds are just one game back in the NL Wildcard race. However, there are six teams all within 1 game of those top two spots. The LA Angels were buyers instead of sellers at the trade deadline as they were within striking distance of a playoff spot. That has change though as they are now in 4th in the AL West, 11.5-games back of the Rangers and 8.5 games back in the AL Wildcard race. The Reds will start Graham Ashcraft today who is 6-8 in his 23 starts with a 4.89 ERA. One of those players the Angels picked up was today's starter Lucas Giolito who has not done well in his short stint with the Halos. Overall he's 7-9 in his 25 starts with a 4.44 ERA. Last seven games he's 1-4 with a 7.12 ERA. I'll take the OVER here today. |
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08-21-23 | Red Sox v. Astros OVER 8.5 | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
The Boston Red Sox look to keep their modest 3-game win streak going here today as they start a set at the Houston Astros. The Sox have also won seven of their last 10 starts and have a plus 36 run differential. While the Red Sox are 11-games back of the Orioles, they are just 3-games back in the AL Wildcard race. The Astros have lost three straight and missed a great opportunity to retake first place in the AL West. The Astros trail the Rangers by just 2.5-games but gained only a half game during the Rangers four-game losing streak. Good news is that Houston holds the 2nd AL Wildcard spot, a half game lead over Seattle. James Paxton starts for the Red Sox today with his 7-3 record in 16 starts and a 3.34 ERA. Those numbers are up of late with a 3-2 record in his last seven starts and a 4.21 ERA. The Astros will start Cristian Javier today who is 8-2 in his 23 starts and a 4.49 ERA. Like the Sox starter, his numbers get worse of late with a 1-1 record in his last seven starts and a 6.37 ERA. I'll take the OVER here today. |
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08-20-23 | Mets v. Cardinals OVER 10 | Top | 3-7 | Push | 0 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
Two teams that this time of the year are usually figuring in the playoff picture just playing out the rest of the season at this point. The Mets are 58-66 and 23 games back in the AL East. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are in last in the AL Central. The Mets will start Carlos Carrasco today who is 3-6 on the season with a 6.40 ERA. He's been even worse lf late, going 1-3 in his last seven starts with a 7.18 ERA. The Cardinals will start Dakota Hudson who is 3-0 in his four starts with a 4.15 ERA. Not a lot to see on Hudson, though the team has won all four of his starts. I'm taking the OVER in this one on Sunday. |
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08-17-23 | Mets v. Cardinals OVER 10 | 4-2 | Loss | -130 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Two teams not heading to the postseason meet here tonight as the St Louis Cardinals host the NY Mets. The Mets are 23.5-games back in the NL East while the Cardinals are in last in the NL Central, 11 games back. The Mets coming off a 2-1 series win over the Pirates and scored 19 runs in the three game set. Jose Quintana starts today with a 0-4 record and 3.03 ERA in his five starts. The Cardinals took two of three at home over the A's, scoring 13 runs in the first two games before getting shutout in game three, 0-8. Adam Wainwright will get the start today with a 3-7 record in his 15 starts and a very high 8.77 ERA. That number is horrible over his last seven starts, as he is 0-6 with a 14.87 ERA. I'm taking these two teams to score plenty of runs and go OVER the total. |
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08-16-23 | Brewers v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
The Red-hot LA Dodgers look to run away with the NL West as they now lead the Giants by nine games after a 9-1 run. They beat the Milwaukee Brewers in game one of this series last night, 6-2. The Brewers are 3.5-games in first place in the NL Central. Wade Miley starts today for the Brewers and he's been one of their best this year. Miley is 6-2 in his 15 starts with a 2.90 ERA. He's been better of late, going 3-0 in his last seven starts with a 2.00 ERA. He's also allowed just two total runs over his last three starts (16 innings). Clayton Kershaw makes his second start since coming off the DL. He pitched well in his return to the rotation, going five innings vs the Rockies and allowing just three hits and one run. That win made Kershaw 10-4 on the season with a 2.51 ERA. He's been great at home with a 4-1 record in seven starts and a 1.71 ERA. I like both these pitchers and I'll take the UNDER here tonight at Chavez Ravine. |
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08-14-23 | Pirates v. Mets OVER 8.5 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 11.5 games back in the NL Central behind Milwaukee Brewers. The news is a bit better in the NL Wildcard race as they sit 8.5-games back. However, with seven teams to climb over that doesn't look good either. The Mets cleaned house before the trade deadline as they sit 22.5 games back of the Braves in the NL East. They have also lost seven of their last 10 games. Little bit of question who the Pirates start today, but for it doesn't matter. I'm taking the over no matter who starts. Quinn Priester looks to be the likely candidate. Priester is 2-1 in five starts with a 8.75 ERA. Carlos Carrasco will start for the Mets with a 3-6 record in his 17 starts and a 6.42 ERA. Either way, either starter, take the OVER. |
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08-12-23 | A's v. Nationals OVER 9.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
A battle of last place teams here on Saturday has the AL West last place Oakland A's taking on the NL East last place Washington Nationals. The Nationals have a bullpen that has allowed a 5.01 ERA this year. That doesn't bode well for starter Jake Irvin. Irvin is 3-5 on the season with a 5.04 ERA. Irvin has gone into the 6th inning twice in his last six starts. The A's bullpen isn't any better with a 5.48 ERA and a road mark of 6.28. Luis Medina will start for the A's with a 2-7 record and 5.55 ERA. Two average to poor starters and neither backed up with a good pen. I'll take the OVER here today. |
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08-10-23 | Royals v. Red Sox OVER 10.5 | 0-2 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
Two last place teams face off here today as the last place AL East Red Sox host the last place AL Central Royals. Boston has won two of the three games in this series after Wednesday's 4-3 win. The Sox will start James Paxton who is 6-3 in his 14 starts with a 3.60 ERA. The Royals made a early Thursday pitching change to Austin Cox. Cox is 0-1 in his two starts with a 7.55 ERA. Cox has allowed seven runs in his 8 2/3 innings but has six walks against just six KO's. Cox hasn't made it out of the fifth inning in either start. That likely means the Royals will rely on their pen a lot here today and that has not been good. The pen has a 8.10 ERA over their last seven games and a 5.26 ERA on the season. The Boston bullpen isn't much better, especially lately where they have a 9.00 ERA over the last seven games. This one has all the appearances of an over play today. Play OVER. |
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08-09-23 | Cubs v. Mets OVER 9 | 3-4 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
The Chicago Cubs beat the Mets on Tuesday 3-2, snapping a three game over run. They are 59-55 and in 2nd in the NL Central, just 1.5-games back of the Brewers. They are also the only team in the division with a positive run differential (+67). The Mets are just playing out the season as they are 21-games back in the NL East and 7.5 games back in the Wild Card. They have eight teams ahead of them in the Wild Card. And, they cleaned the roster of high priced talent at the trade deadline. Kyle Hendricks starts today for the Cubs with a 4-6 record and 4.21 ERA. That number goes up of late with a 1-3 record in his last seven starts and a 5.44 ERA. He is coming off a game vs the Braves where he went just four innings and gave up eight hits and seven runs. The Mets start David Peterson who is 2-7 in his 12 starts with a 6.12 ERA. Peterson has pitched better of late, going 1-4 in his recent seven starts and a 5.12 ERA. However, neither pitcher all that good and I'll take the OVER here today. |
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08-08-23 | Braves v. Pirates OVER 10 | Top | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
The Braves and Pirates play game two of this set here on Tuesday as the Bucs took Monday's game from the Braves, 7-6. The Braves have a huge cushion in the AL East as they lead by 10-games over the Phillies. The Braves also have the second best run differential in baseball at +162. The Bucs are fourth in the NL Central, nine games back of the Brewers. They are also 7.5-games back in the NL Wild Card race with a lot of teams in front of them. The Braves will start Yonny Chirinos today who is 2-2 in his six starts with a 6.67 ERA. The Bucs will counter with Mitch Keller who is 9-8 in his 23 starts and a 4.35 ERA. He's been worse of late, going 1-5 in his last seven starts and a 6.58 ERA. He's allowed 24 runs over his last four starts 21 2/3 innings. Don't expect either of pitchers to be around long. I'm taking the OVER. |
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08-06-23 | Dodgers v. Padres OVER 9 | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
The Dodgers and Padres have split the first two games of this four game set from San Diego. The Dodgers used a big, late rally on Friday to win and the Padres returned the favor on Saturday. The Padres trailed 1-3 in the eighth inning before scoring seven runs to win the game, 8-3. That snapped a five-game winning streak by the Dodgers over the Padres. The Padres are now three-games back in the NL Wild Card race. The Dodgers will start newly acquired Lance Lynn. Lynn makes his second start for the Dodgers after beating Oakland in his LA debut, 7-3 for the win. The Padres will also show off their new arm in Rich Hill. Hill brings a 7-10 record over to the Padres with a 4.84 ERA. Both games have been high scoring with 15 runs on Friday and 11 runs on Saturday. The Dodgers have gone over in four straight games while the Padres have seen two of their last three go over. I don't think either of these pitchers will go much past five in this one. I'll take the OVER. |
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08-04-23 | Rockies v. Cardinals OVER 9.5 | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 19 h 52 m | Show | |
The Rockies travel to St Louis to being this set with the Cardinals. The Rockies have lost two straight games and are in last place in the NL West. They also have the worst run differential (-160) in the National league. The St Louis Cardinals are also in last place in the NL Central. They will send Adam Wainwright to the hill today. Wainwright is 3-5 with a 7.18 ERA in 13 starts. He's 1-4 in his last seven starts with a 8.42 ERA. The Rockies will star Chris Flexen who is 0-5 this year with a 10.71 ERA. Two bad pitchers on two last place teams. That's a recipe for a lot of runs here on Friday. Play the OVER. |
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08-03-23 | Diamondbacks v. Giants OVER 8.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -119 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
NL West clash here has the 3rd place Arizona Diamondbacks taking on the 2nd place SF Giants. The Giants have taken the first two games in this series with excellent pitching. The Giants have won six of their last 10 while the D'backs have lost seven of their last 10. Arizona starts Brandon Pfaadt today who is 0-4 in his eight starts with a 8.19 ERA. The Giants start Scott Alexander who is 0-1 in his three starts with a 5.39 ERA. While the first two games have been of a pitching duel, I look for tonight's to have plenty of runs. Take the OVER. |
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07-27-23 | Fever v. Sparks OVER 160 | 68-81 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
The Indiana Fever are next to last overall in the WNBA with a 6-17 record. They have lost two straight games and nine of their last 10 games. They also allow the 2nd most points in the WNBA (85.9 ppg). The LA Sparks are in 9th in the WNBA, one game back in the playoff picture. THey have a 8-15 record and trail 8th place Chicago by one game. The Sparks won their last game but have lost eight of the last 10. The Fever have been a very good road over team, going 11-5 O/U in their last 16 road games. They are also 4-1 O/U in their last five games vs the Western Conference and 8-3 O/U in their last 11 with one day rest. The Sparks are 16-6 O/U in their last 22 vs a team with a losing record and 4-0 O/U in their last four games playing on one day rest. I'm taking the OVER here today. |
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07-24-23 | Reds v. Brewers OVER 9 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -119 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
NL Central clash here today has the top two teams in the division playing for first place. The Milwaukee Brewers are in 1st place, but only by a half game over the Reds. The Reds have won five straight games to pull within a half game. Still, both teams have run differentials in the negative values. The Reds will start Graham Ashcraft here today. Ashcraft is 5-7 in his 18 starts with a 5.76 ERA. The Brewers start Colin Rea with a 5-4 record in his 16 starts and a 4.57 ERA. Both teams can hit the ball and neither pitcher is all that good. I'll take the OVER here today. |
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07-23-23 | Ottawa v. Calgary OVER 44.5 | 43-41 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
CFL Action here on Sunday has the East division Ottawa Redblacks vs the West division Calgary Stampeeders. Ottawa is 2-3 overall and tied for 2nd in the division, but well behind undefeated Toronto which is 5-0. Calgary is also 2-3 and in fourth place in the West. Ottawa is a rushing team led by their QB Dustin Crum who leads with 201 yards and three touchdowns. Calgary also a rushing team as they average 96.2 yards per game. Both teams pretty even with an edge to the home club. But for me I'll just take the over here today. Play OVER. |
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07-17-23 | Dodgers v. Orioles OVER 9 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
The Dodgers dropped their third game vs the Mets on Sunday in extra innings, 1-2, snapping their six-game winning streak. The streak did put the Dodgers back into first place with a 1.5-game lead over the Giants and 2-games over Arizona. The Orioles are still chasing Tampa Bay in the AL East, now just one-game back of the Rays. The O's are the top AL Wild Card team too, holding a nice six-game cushion. LA will start Emmet Sheehan today who is 2-0 in his four starts with a 4.35 ERA. That number goes up in his one road start to 5.40 ERA. The O's start Grayson Rodriguez today who is 2-2 in his 10 starts with a 7.35 ERA. That number is 9.56 ERA in his five home starts. I look for plenty of runs to be scored here today. Play the OVER. |
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07-12-23 | Aces v. Sparks UNDER 170 | 97-78 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
No doubt the LV Aces are the best team in the WNBA and defending Champion. They look like the team that will repeat this year. They score a lot of points, 93.9 ppg to be exact. They are 9-1 in their last 10 games and 18-2 overall. The LA Sparks are just 7-12 overall and 2-8 in their last 10 games. They average just 78.5 ppg while allowing 81.4 ppg. The Aces play back-to-back after last night's game. While you would expect a team that scores right at 94 ppg to be a good over play, they are just 1-4 O/U in their last five times on no rest. They are also 2-6 O/U their last eight vs the Western Conference. LA has had two days off and they are 1-5 O/U in their last six times with 2 days of rest and 2-5 O/U in their last seven home games. I'm taking the UNDER here tonight. |
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07-11-23 | National League v. American League UNDER 7.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
This series has been a under series for a long time now. The Oddsmaker has dropped this number to 7.5 under knowing just that. So there isn't a lot of value left in the number since you don't find many games under at least a 7 any more. Last year the AL won 3-2, going UNDER. In 2021 the AL won 5-2 with the UNDER or some pushes. No game was played in the 2020 Covid year. In fact, only the 2018 game (14 runs) and the 2014 (8 runs) and 2015 game (9 runs) have really been higher scoring games. Five of the last six games would have gone under this posted total tonight. For me, not a lot of value in any of the lines, but for fun we'll take the UNDER tonight. Play UNDER. |
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07-06-23 | Rangers v. Red Sox UNDER 10 | 6-10 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
The Texas Rangers and Boston Red Sox have split the first two games of this series with the Rangers taking game one and the Sox taking game two yesterday, 4-2. Both gams have gone under. The Rangers lead in the AL West has dropped to 2-games over the surging Houston Astros. The Red Sox have climbed over the .500 mark in the AL East at 44-43. Every team in the AL East has a winning record and plus run differential. The Rangers will start Nathan Eovaldi today who is 10-3 in his 17 starts with a 2.64 ERA. He's coming off a very nice start over Houston where he allowed no runs over seven innings for the win. Kutter Crawford will toe the rubber for the Red Sox with his 3-3 record in eight starrts and 5.30 ERA. If you throw out the seven runs in his first start, he hasn't allowed more then four runs in any start. Moreover, he's allowed two runs or fewer in five of those eight starts. I'm going to take UNDER here today with two above average pitchers. Play UNDER. |
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07-05-23 | Pirates v. Dodgers OVER 9 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
The Pirates and Dodgers have split the first two games of this series from LA with the Dodgers taking game one and the Pirates game two on Tuesday, 9-7. The Dodgers are back in 2nd place in the NL West, 2.5-games back of the Diamondbacks. Despite going just 5-5, the Dodgers have gained some ground thanks to a 4-6 run by the Diamondbacks. The Pirates have passed the Cubs in the NL Central as they moved into third place, 6.5-games back of the Reds. Osvaldo Bido will get his fifth start of the season here on Wednesday. Bido is 0-1 with a 4.74 ERA. The Dodgers will counter with Bobby Miller who is 4-1 in his seven starts and a 4.23 ERA. That number goes up a bit at home to 5.81. Neither pitcher all that great with the ERA and for me that's an OVER play here on Wednesday. |
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07-05-23 | Rangers v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
The 1st Place Texas Rangers are 51-35 and have 4-6 over their last 10 games. They won yesterday over the Red Sox, 6-2. The Rangers have the best run differential in baseball at +159 runs. The Red Sox are 43-43 and in last in the AL East. They have lost six of their last 10 and like every other team in the AL East, they have a positive run differential. The Rangers will start Jon Gray tonight with his 6-4 record in 15 starts and a 3.21 ERA. His road numbers are even better at 4-1 in seven starts with a 1.99 ERA. Brayan Bello will start today for the Sox. Bello is 5-5 with a 3.08 ERA. He's been excellent of late, allowing just three total runs over his last three starts (20 2/3 innings). I like both these pitchers tonight and will go with the UNDER. |
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06-30-23 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays UNDER 9 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
Reason: The Boston Red Sox have dropped four straight and six of their last 10 to fall below the .500 mark at 40-41. They are the only team in the AL East to fall below .500. Though all five teams still have positive run differentials. The Blue Jays are just one spot ahead of the Sox at 44-37 and 10 back of the Rays. They are coming off a win over the Giants on Thursday, 2-1. The Sox will James Paxton who is 3-1 in his eight starts with a 3.19 ERA. Jose Berrios will start for the Blue Jays with a 8-5 record in his 16 starts and a 3.60 ERA. That number goes down at home where he is 4-1 in six starts and a 2.48 ERA. Both pitchers are solid here today and I'll be on the UNDER in this one. |
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06-28-23 | Reds v. Orioles OVER 9.5 | Top | 11-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
The Cincinnati Reds took Tuesday's contest from the Baltimore Orioles even with a slight rain delay, 3-1. The Reds continue to hold onto 1st place in the NL Central with a 42-38 record and 1/2 game lead over the Brewers. The Reds are the only 1st place team in baseball with a negative run differential as their sits at -20 runs. The AL East 2nd place Orioles have a +30 run differential as they chase first place Tampa Bay. Good news is they sit atop the Wild Card standings in the AL with a 5.5-game lead over the Yankees and Angels. The Reds will start Luke Weaver here today. Weaver is 1-2 in his 12 starts with a lofty 6.86 ERA. Moreover, he's allowed 10 runs over his last 8 1/3 innings. The O's will counter with Kyle Gibson who is 8-5 in his 16 starts and a 4.30 ERA. Gibson has allowed eight runs over his last nine innings. I look for a lot of runs scored in this matchup. I'll be on the OVER. |
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06-23-23 | Brewers v. Guardians UNDER 8 | 7-1 | Push | 0 | 17 h 52 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Brewers held 1st place for most of the season in the NL Central. However, a 11-game win streak by the Reds now has them 1.5 games back of Cincinnati. The Brewers hope to get back to their winning ways with Wade Miley taking the hill today. Miley is 4-2 in his nine starts with a 3.28 ERA. Miley has allowed just one run over his last two starts. Meanwhile, the Cleveland Guardians have closed to just one-game of the Twins in the AL Central. The Guardians have won four straight games. Shane Bieber will toe the rubber today for the Guardians. Bieber is 5-4 in his 15 starts with a 3.50 ERA. He had his one-run streak of 12 2/3 innings busted last start after allowing five runs over 7 1/3 innings. Despite the poor outing, I still like this game UNDER today. I expect both pitchers to put up good numbers. Take UNDER. |
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06-22-23 | BC v. Winnipeg OVER 49 | 30-6 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
I fully expect to see a high scoring game here tonight. The defenses shouldn't really be much of a showing. Winnipeg has scored 40 points or more in back-to-back games and their defense has not been good. Both these teams are 2-0. The BC Lions have the second highest scoring offense behind Winnipeg. And while their defense is much better than Winnipeg, the Blue Bombers 87 points thus far will be too overwhelming. Lets take the over tonight and enjoy the show. Play OVER. |
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06-13-23 | Guardians v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
The Cleveland Guardians are in 2nd place in the AL Central with a 31-34 record, 1.5 games back of first place Minnesota. The Guardians beat Houston on Sunday, 5-0, taking two of three games against the Astros. Cleveland will start Tanner Bibee tonight who is 2-1 with a 3.04 ERA. Bibee has allowed more than three runs in just one of his last eight starts this season. The San Diego Padres look to move up the ranks in the NL West as they sit in 4th place right now with a 31-34 record. The Padres start Joe Musgrove tonight. Musgrove is 3-2 in his eight starts with a 4.36 ERA. He's been better at home with a 3.00 ERA in three starts. Musgrove has been especially good of late, allowing just three total runs over his last three starts (17 1/3 innings) with 17 KO's and just four walks. Both pitchers looking very good. For me, I'll take this game UNDER the total. |
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06-12-23 | Heat v. Nuggets OVER 209.5 | Top | 89-94 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
The Denver Nuggets on the verge of winning their first ever NBA Championship here tonight on their home court. After the teams split the first two games in Denver, the Nuggets took the next two in Miami, 109-94 and 108-95. Some good news for the Heat is that guard Tyler Herro will play tonight as he's nursing a hand injury. Denver is the best team offensively in the playoffs and that has showed. But I do believe the coach and management of the Heat are too good to let this team just give up. That's why I'm looking at the over here tonight. Only one game of the four has gone over and that was the Heat win in game two in Denver, 111-108. The Heat shot great from the 3-point line, 48.6% and that's what I believe they have to do again here tonight. They can't go toe-to-toe with this Denver team. They have to outscore them as they did in game two hitting nearly 50% from the 3-point line. They need to do that here again. If they can get near that 50% from 3-point, this game goes over. It's all up to the Heat in this one since I believe Denver will get their points as they have done all series long. Take the OVER tonight in game 5. |
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06-07-23 | Nuggets v. Heat UNDER 214.5 | Top | 109-94 | Win | 100 | 33 h 52 m | Show |
I had the over in game 2, but today I'm taking a look at the UNDER. I fully expected the Heat to come out big in game 2 after that lackluster performance in game 1. They did just that, using a huge fourth quarter to not only cover the 8.5-point dog line, but win straight up. They also just made it over the total. Both teams shot very well in game 2, Miami hitting 48.7% from the field and a blistering 48.6% from 3-point. The Nuggets were 52% from the field and 39.3% from 3-points. Despite all that great shooting, they just got the over. Game one went under, not even getting close to the 219 total. Game 2 going over by just three points. Tonight, I expect these teams to slow back down and even if they don't I don't believe they can make the over. Miami has gone under in five of their last six playoff games. Denver is 3-5 O/U in their last eight playoff games. Take the UNDER in game three tonight. |
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06-04-23 | Heat v. Nuggets OVER 215.5 | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 33 h 35 m | Show | |
No big surprise in game one of the NBA Finals. I was loaded on the Nuggets with them in the game, first quarter and first half - sweeping the board. I expected that Boston series to take a toll on the Heat and for them to come out flat in game one. Plus it takes time to get used to the altitude in Denver. Miami also shot just 40.6% from the field compare do Denver's 50.6% and they had almost no free throws. I expect to see much better from the Heat tonight. They should be better acclimated to the thin air and that Boston series out of their system. With a better Miami game and the Denver's top offensive unit, I look for this game to go OVER the total here in game two. |
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05-30-23 | Royals v. Cardinals UNDER 9 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
No matter what the standings for these teams it's always a rivalry when Kansas City and St Louis matchup. The Royals are in last the AL Central while the Cardinals are in last in the NL Central. The Royals start Zack Greinke who is 1-5 on the season with a 4.55 ERA. He's been much better of late, allowing three earned runs over his last two starts. Miles Mikolas starts for the Cardinals with a 3-1 record and 4.23 ERA. He's allowed five total runs over his last four starts. Both pitchers pitching well and I will take the UNDER here today. |
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05-28-23 | Dodgers v. Rays OVER 9 | 10-11 | Win | 100 | 2 h 4 m | Show | |
Game three between these teams here on Sunday as the teams have split the first two games. The Rays took Friday's game, 9-3 and the Dodgers took Saturday's, 6-5. Both games have gone over. For the Dodgers, they have gone over in six of their last seven games. LA starts Gavin Stone for just the third time here today. Stone has no record but a lofty 10.13 ERA. The Rays have gone over in eight straight games. They will start Josh Fleming here today. Fleming has no record after two starts with a 5.63 ERA. Not much to know about Fleming, but Stone has not been good. I'm taking the over here today. |
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05-27-23 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 210.5 | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
Game 6 of the NBA East Finals as the Heat now lead 3-2 over the Celtics. Don't tell the Celtics that no team has every come from an 0-3 deficit to win. After losing the first three games, Boston has won the last two, in easy fashion. They won game four, 116-99 and then game 5 110-97. A win here in game 6 by the Celtics and they likely will break that NBA curse of being down 0-3 in a series. If I'm the Miami Heat coaches, I will be drilling into my players that this is the game to win. They can't afford to lose and expect to go back to Boston and take game seven. That all being said, I'll take Miami here plus the points at home to finish this series. I'll also take the UNDER as I don't see the Heat winning a shootout. I look for the two to go hand in hand tonight. Take Heat and UNDER. |
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05-25-23 | Orioles v. Yankees OVER 9 | 3-1 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
We had a winner with the Orioles on Wednesday as they came from behind to get this key AL East win. The AL East is the best division in baseball as it's the only one with all teams above .500 and all teams in the plus run differential. The Rays jumped out to that huge lead, but have seen it dwindle to jus three games over the Orioles and six over the Yankees. These teams have split the first two games of this series, with the Yankees taking game one and the Orioles game two yesterday. Tonight, Kyle Gibson will start for the O's. Gibson is 5-3 on the season with a 4.27 ERA. He's been slightly worse on the road with a 5.09 ERA. The Yankees will counter with Clarke Schmidt who is only 2-4 in his 10 starts with a 6.00 ERA. Both pitchers have been very inconsistent and considering both have excellent hitting teams, I'll take the OVER. |
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05-25-23 | Blue Jays v. Rays OVER 8.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 2 h 14 m | Show | |
Another key AFC East clash as the best division in baseball has their top team, the Tampa Bay Rays, taking on Toronto. The Rays once had a huge lead in the East, but it's gone down to just 3-games over Baltimore. The Blue Jays are in last place, but still have a winning record. They are 9.5-games back and need this head-to-head wins to cut into that lead. The Blue Jays have lost two of the first three games in this series, despite outscoring the Rays by a 27-14 margin. Ok, 20 of those runs came in a 20-1 lopsided win. All three games have gone over and in fact, the last five games have gone over for the Jays. Alek Manoah will start today for the Jays with a 1-4 mark in his 10 starts and a 5.15 ERA. The Rays will counter with Zach Eflin who is 6-1 with a 3.45 ERA in his eight starts. I look for both teams to get plenty of runs here tonight. I'll be on the OVER. |
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05-17-23 | Diamondbacks v. A's OVER 9 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
Arizona continues to hold onto second place in the NL West, three games back of the Dodgers. They have leveled off though, going 5-5 their last 10 games and losing on Tuesday to Oakland, 8-9. The teams have split their first two games of this series with the D'backs winning on Monday, 5-2. The Oakland A's finally got to the double digits in wins with their win on Tuesday. Still, they have the worst record in baseball at 10-34 and worst run differential in baseball at -159 runs. Ryne Nelson will start for the D'backs today with his 1-2 record in eight starts. He also has a 6.20 ERA and 1.549 WHIP. The A's counter with Luis Medina, who is 0-2 with a 8.18 ERA. Neither pitcher is very good and considering how many runs the A's allow, I'll be on the OVER here today. |
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05-14-23 | Rangers v. A's OVER 9 | 11-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
The Texas Rangers got back on the winning track with their win on Saturday over the A's, 5-0. They have taken two of the first three in this series as the play the set final here on Sunday. Andrew Heaney will start today for the Rangers with a 2-3 record in his seven starts. Heaney has a 5.25 ERA and a 2.31 road ERA. Drew Rucinski will get the start for the A's. Rucinski is 0-3 in his three starts with a 8.16 ERA. Two poor pitchers here today. For me, that means just one play, take the OVER. |
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05-12-23 | Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 220.5 | Top | 101-122 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
It's game six of the NBA Western Semifinals as the Warriors take on the Lakers from LA. The Warriors face elimination again here today. They faced elimination in game five and beat the Lakers at home, 121-106. Now they have to win game six in LA to return home for a game seven. Problem is that they have lost both games in LA by 97-127 and 101-104 scores. Two of the last three games have also gone UNDER. These teams have also gone under in their last four meetings in LA. Lakers forward Anthony Davis has been upgraded to probable for this game with a head injury. I like this game to go under tonight. They seem to play tighter in LA and I look for that again here tonight. Play the UNDER. |
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05-12-23 | Cubs v. Twins UNDER 8 | 6-2 | Push | 0 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
The Cubs and Twins open this series here tonight in Minnesota. The Cubs are coming off a series loss to the Cardinals, losing two of three games. They did take the finale on Wednesday, 10-4. The Cards are still in last place in the NL Central with a 13-25 record, eight back of the Pirates. They have also lost seven of their last 10 games. Drew Smyly gets the start today for the Cubs with a 3-1 record in his seven starts and a 3.05 ERA> Smyly has been very good of late, allowing two runs or fewer in each of his last six starts. The Twins have won two straight and are 21-17 and in 1st place in the AL Central. The Twins took two of three from the San Diego Padres. All three Padre games went UNDER. In fact, the Twins have now gone under in six straight games. The bullpen and starters have been solid, with the pen holding a 3.56 ERA. I like this one to be another low scoring clash. I'll take the UNDER. |
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05-11-23 | Padres v. Twins UNDER 8 | Top | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
Both these teams took of Wednesday after playing game on Tuesday with the Padres winning that one, 6-1. The Padres got back above the .500 mark with a 19-18 record, 3.5-games back of the Dodgers in the NL West. The Twins are in 1st place in the AL Central at 20-17 and the only team in the division with a winning record and positive run differential (+22). The Padres will start Yu Darvish who is 2-2 in his six starts with a 3.19 ERA. Darvish has pitched well, allowing one run in three of his last four starts. The Twins counter with Bailey Ober who is 2-0 in three starts with a 0.98 ERA. He's only allowed two total runs in 18 2/3 innings. Two very good pitchers here today. I'll play the UNDER. |
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05-10-23 | Dodgers v. Brewers UNDER 8 | 8-1 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
The LA Dodgers and Brewers have split the first two games of this series with Milwaukee taking Monday's game, 9-3 and the Dodgers taking Tuesday's game, 6-2. The Dodgers have won eight of their last 10 games and sit in first in the NL West with a 22-15 record. The Brewers are in 2nd in the NL Central with a 20-16 record. Clayton Kershaw looks to rebound from his sub-par performance last time out vs the Padres. He gave up five runs over 4 2/3 innings to take the loss. Kershaw was the player of the Month in April with a 5-1 record. Overall he's 5-2 now with a very good 2.53 ERA. Kershaw might be out to prove something here today after the Padres scoreboard made fun of him after his loss showing him with tears streaming down his face. Bold statement for a team that the Dodgers have owned over recent times and something for the bulletin board when the Padres visit LA this weekend. The Brewers will counter with Wade Miley here today who is 3-1 in his six starts with a 2.31 era. He's been even better at home with a 2-0 mark in three starts and a 1.59 ERA. This one has all the markings of a fine pitcher's duel. For me I'll take the UNDER. |
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05-10-23 | Tigers v. Guardians UNDER 7.5 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
The Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Guardians continue their series here on Wednesday after the Guardians took Tuesday's game, 2-0. Cleveland is 17-19 and in 2nd place in the AL Central. The only team in the division with a winning record and positive run differential is first place Minnesota at 19-17. Runs have been at a premium for this Guardian team, as they have scored three runs or fewer in seven of their last eight games. Peyton Battenfield will make his fifth start today for Cleveland. Battenfield is 0-3 with a 3.22 ERA and has received just one run of support in his last five starts. The Tigers are 16-19 and in third place in the AL Central. The Tigers will start Eduardo Rodriguez who is 3-2 with a 1.81 ERA in his seven starts. Like his counterpart today, runs have been hard to get when he starts as the Tigers have three runs or fewer in six of his seven starts. Both pitchers are good and both offenses are poor. I'll take the UNDER here today. |
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05-06-23 | Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 228.5 | 97-127 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Reason: The Lakers escaped from Golden State with a split in the first two games and now have home court on their side. The Lakers took game one of this best of seven series, 117-112 as a 4.5-point dog. The Warriors came roaring back in game two with a blowout win, 127-100 as a 7-point favorite. Now the venue moves back to LA for game three. So far both games have gone over, but that wasn't the case for the Lakers in their first round games. They were 2-4 O/Un in their six games with the Grizzlies. The Warriors were 3-4 O/U in their first series with the Kings. Today's total is right at 228. While this season both teams look to be over plays, they haven't looked like that so far in the playoffs. I'm taking tonight's game UNDER the total. |
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05-04-23 | Pirates v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
The Pittsburgh Pirates still surprising many with their first place in the NL Central. They have a great run differential of +45 and while they lost on Wednesday to the Rays they are 7-3 their last 10 games. Vincent Velasquez will start today for the Bucs. Velasquez is 4-2 in his six starts with a 3.06 ERA. He's actually been better on the road with a 3-1 record and 2.38 ERA. In addition, he's allowed no runs over his last two starts (13 innings). The Rays continue to just win. They are now 24-6 and have won seven of their last 10 games. They have the best run differential in baseball with a +106 runs. Zach Eflin looks to improve to 4-0 on the season today. Eflin has a 3.00 ERA in his four starts and has allowed over two runs just one time and that was three runs to the A's. I like both pitchers a lot here and will take the UNDER. |
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05-03-23 | Giants v. Astros UNDER 7.5 | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 5 m | Show | |
The Houston Astros are in 2nd place in the AL West with a 16-14 record, 2.5-games back of the Rangers. The Astros have won six of their last 10 games, but lost on Tuesday to the Giants, 0-2. The teams have split their first two games of this series with the rubber game here today. Framber Valdez will start for the Astros today. Valdez is 2-3 in his six starts but has a very good 2.54 ERA. He's been even better at home with a 2.16 ERA though he has a 0-3 record at home in four starts. The Giants are 12-17 and in fourth place in the NL West. They will start Logan Webb here today. Webb is 1-5 in his six starts with a 4.82 ERA. Webb started the season with four straight games where he allowed four run in each game. However, he's gotten much better of late, allowing just two runs in each of his last two games. I'll be on the UNDER here today as both pitchers look to be in much better form. Play UNDER. |
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04-27-23 | Celtics v. Hawks OVER 230.5 | 128-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
Game six of this best of seven series sees the Boston Celtics looking to close out and move on to the Conference Semi-finals. The Celtics lost their last game, that being played at Boston, 117-119, as a 13-point favorite. Now they return to Atlanta where they split the prior two games. The last three games of the series have gone OVER with 236, 250 and 252 being scored respectfully. That's what I'm looking at again here tonight, the over. Atlanta games at home this season have averaged 237.7 ppg. Meanwhile, the Celtics road games have averaged 233.8 per game. The Celtics have also gone over in seven of their last eight road games. Atlanta is 7-2-1 O/U in their last 10 games and 5-0 O/U in their last five home games. Both teams look like they want to take this one over tonight and that's what I will go with. Play the OVER. |
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04-25-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets OVER 220.5 | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks face elimination tonight as the face the Celtics in game five. The Hawks trail one game to three after losing on Sunday at home, 121-129. The last two games in Boston have gone over with 240 and 255 respectively scored. The Hawks have a 6-2-1 Ov/Un record in their last nine games. They are also 41-18-1 Ov/Un in their last 60 conference quarterfinal games. The Celtics are playing on one day rest and when they have done that recently, they have gone over five straight times. They are also 15-7 Ov/Un in their last 22 home games vs a team with a road winning % of 40% or less. The Hawks games have averaged 234.9 ppg on the road this year. Meanwhile, the Celtics average 120.3 ppg at home this year. With tonight's game being at home for Boston, I like this game to go over. |
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04-25-23 | Hawks v. Celtics OVER 230.5 | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks face elimination tonight as the face the Celtics in game five. The Hawks trail one game to three after losing on Sunday at home, 121-129. The last two games in Boston have gone over with 240 and 255 respectively scored. The Hawks have a 6-2-1 Ov/Un record in their last nine games. They are also 41-18-1 Ov/Un in their last 60 conference quarterfinal games. The Celtics are playing on one day rest and when they have done that recently, they have gone over five straight times. They are also 15-7 Ov/Un in their last 22 home games vs a team with a road winning % of 40% or less. The Hawks games have averaged 234.9 ppg on the road this year. Meanwhile, the Celtics average 120.3 ppg at home this year. With tonight's game being at home for Boston, I like this game to go over. |
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04-18-23 | Knicks v. Cavs UNDER 215 | 90-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
The NY Knicks look to take a commanding lead in this best of seven series after taking game one at Cleveland, 101-97. The Knicks were a 5-point dog and won straight-up. The difference was on the boards where the Knicks grabbed 51 rebounds to the Cavs 38. The game easily went under the 216 total. The Knicks have now gone under 16 of 21 times in the conference quarterfinals. This really a must win game for the Cavs who have already lost home court and can ill afford to go back to NY down 0-2. The Cavs have gone under in three straight and six of their last eight games. I look for this pace to be slow like the last game. I'm on the UNDER. |
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04-17-23 | Warriors v. Kings UNDER 240 | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
Great game one between these teams with the Sacramento Kings coming out on top, 126-123. as a 1-point dog. That win snapped a Kings three game losing streak. The Kings are also 1-3-1 O/U in their last five games. They are also 2-5 O/U in their last seven games playing on one day rest. The loss for the Warriors snapped a three game winning streak. Golden State is now 4-5 O/U in their last nine games. They are also 5-15-1 O/U in their last 21 games vs a team with a winning record. These teams are 1-3-1 O/U in their last five meetings in Sacramento. Very high total here tonight, and with the teams going over in game one I'll take UNDER here tonight. |
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04-15-23 | Hawks v. Celtics OVER 231 | 99-112 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks had to win their play-In game on Tuesday vs the Heat to advance here today. They won 116-105 as a 5.5-point dog. That broke a two-game losing streak, including a loss at Boston last Sunday on closing day, 114-120 with the game going over. They are 4-0-1 O/U their last five games. They are also 20-6 O/U in their last 26 games following a ATS win. The Celtics haven't played since last Sunday when they beat the Hawks. They finished the season winning three straight and eight of their last 10. The Celtics have also gone over in five of their last seven games. With all the rest these teams have had recently they should be ready to push the pace here today. I'll take the OVER. |
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04-10-23 | Nationals v. Angels OVER 9.5 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
The 3-7 Washington Nationals will travel to the LA Angels tonight. The Angels are 5-4 and tied for first in the AL West. The Angels lost a shootout on Sunday to the Blue Jays, 11-12. The Halos scored 27 runs in their four game set with Toronto, but could only get a split of the four game series. The Angels have also been a good over team, going 5-3-1 in their nine games. Jose Suarez gets his second start tonight. Suarez went just 4 1/3 innings vs Seattle in his season debut, allowing eight hits and seven runs and was collared with the loss. The Nationals split their last series at Colorado, scoring 23 runs over the last three games. They have also gone over in five of their last six games. Their bullpen has been bad, posting a 5.45 ERA and a 6.94 road ERA. Pat Corbin gets the start after going 0-2 in his first two games. Corbin has an 8.00 ERA after two games with a 2.22 WHIP. This has all the markings of another big scoring game. Take the OVER. |
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04-04-23 | Braves v. Cardinals OVER 10 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
The Atlanta Braves off to a 3-1 start after four games. The Braves took two of three from the Nationals to open the season. They opened this set with the Cardinals winning last night, 8-4. Dylan Dodd will toe the rubber for the first time this season. In fact, he makes his major league debut here tonight. Meanwhile the Cardinals are 2-2 to start the season. They took two of three from the Blue Jays to open the season and lost the opener here last night. They have gone over in three of their four games thus far. They have also scored at least four runs in each game. Steven Matz will make his first start this year. Matz was 5-3 with a 5.25 ERA last year. Neither pitcher all that great here today and the way both teams have been hitting, this looks like an over to me. |
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04-01-23 | Florida Atlantic v. San Diego State UNDER 132 | 71-72 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 9 m | Show | |
IT's been quite the run for Conference USA this postseason. First Charlotte wins the CBI tournament and then UAB and North Texas played for the NIT FInals, both from Conference USA. Now, Florida Atlantic looks to keep their Cinderella run going here on Saturday vs San Diego State. Really both these teams not expected to be in the Final Four. Florida Atlantic was great all year while San Diego State is a big, strong and experienced team. FAU Owls are 35-3 overall and you have to go back to Feb 16 for their last loss. They have also gone 8-3 ATS their last 11 games. SDG State Aztecs are 31-6 and have covered six straight games. The Aztecs have gone under in 12 straight games and 14 of the last 15 games. That's because of this defense and slower game they play. FAU has gone under in five of their last seven games and six of their last eight on a neutral court. I love this game to go UNDER here on Saturday. |
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04-01-23 | Braves v. Nationals OVER 8 | 7-1 | Push | 0 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
The Braves opened their season on Thursday with a convincing win over the Nationals, 7-2. I had them on the Run line in that opening game. They took off yesterday and resume here today against the Nat. They will start Spencer Strider, who was 11-5 last year with a 2.67 ERA. The Nationals will start Josiah Gray, who was 7-10 last year with a 5.02 ERA. Braves expected to contend for the division title again this year. I expect the Braves to get plenty of runs again here today. I'll take the OVER. |
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03-29-23 | Kings v. Blazers OVER 235 | 120-80 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
The Sacramento Kings have a solid hold on the third spot in the West with their 45-30 record. They are three games back of 2nd place Memphis and three games ahead of fourth place Phoenix. The Kings are the highest scoring team in the NBA with a 121.0 ppg average. In fact, no other team in the NBA averages over the 120 mark. The Kings are coming off a loss at home to Minnesota, 115-119, as a 6.5-point favorite. They have gone under two straight games after a four game OVER run. The Kings are 8-3-1 Ov/Un in their last 12 with one day rest. They are also 16-7 Ov/Un in their last 24 overall. The Portland Trailblazers are on the verge of elimination from the playoffs as they sit in 13th place in the West and 4.5 games back of the Thunder. They have lost three straight and nine of their last 10 games. They are also 5-5 O/U during that span. They are 12-5 O/U their last 17 vs a team with a winning road record. These teams have gone over in five of their last seven meetings and six of the last seven in Portland. I'll be on the OVER here tonight. |
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03-24-23 | Thunder v. Lakers OVER 232.5 | 111-116 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
The Thunder play the second of a back-to-back set here tonight and will remain at the Staple's Center as they faced the Clippers last night and the Lakers tonight. The Thunder are tied with the Mavericks, Lakers and Pelicans all holding onto three of the final playoff spots. The Jazz are just a half game back. The West is all bunched at for those final spots with just two-games separating seven teams. The Thunder lost last night to the Clippers, 105-127, as a 4-point dog. They allowed 56% from the field and 48.6% from 3-point arc to the Clippers. That makes them 5-2 S/U and ATS their last seven games. They have also gone over in three of their last four games. The Thunder have now gone 10-4-1 Ov/Un in their last 15 games. The Lakers have won two straight games and Six of their last nine. They are coming off a Wednesday win over the Suns, 122-111, as a 1-point favorite. The teams have gone over in nine of their last 13 meetings. I look for another over here tonight. |
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03-19-23 | St. Mary's v. Connecticut UNDER 126.5 | 55-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
2nd Round NCAA Tournament action has Saint Mary's taking on U Conn. St Mary's lost in their West Coast tournament to rivals Gonzaga, 51-77, as a 2-point dog. They opened NCAA play with a 1st round win over VCU, 63-51, as a 4.5-point favorite. The Gaels are usually known for their defense. They have allowed just 59.7 ppg on the season and 62.3 on neutral sites. After losing their conference tourney matchup to Marquette, Cincinnati opened NCAA play with a win over Iona, 87-63, as a 9-point favorite. They have gone under in three of their last four games. With St Mary's going under in eight of their last 11 NCAA games and the Huskies playing mostly unders in the postseason, I'll take under here on Sunday. |
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03-18-23 | Celtics v. Jazz OVER 231.5 | 117-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Boston is in 2nd place in the Eastern Conference, 1.5-games back of first place Milwaukee. The Celtics are the highest scoring team in the East with a 117.6 ppg average. The Celtics have won two straight games and three of four on this four game road stint. They have also gone over in four of their last seven games. The Celtics had to play last night at Portland and won that game 126-112, covering and going over. Now they play back-to-back in which they are 18-7-1 O/U their last 26 games with no rest. The Celtics are also 20-9-1 O/U their last 30 road games. Utah is tied for the last playoff spot in the West with the LA Lakers at 33-36. The Jazz have lost four of their last 10 games. They also allow 117.2 ppg this season (Only two teams allow more). The Jazz have ton over in three straight games and five of their last six. They are also 8-3 O/U in their last 11 home games. These teams have also gone over in nine of the last 12 meetings. I'll be on the OVER here tonight. |
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03-14-23 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi v. SE Missouri State OVER 155.5 | 75-71 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
NCAA Tournament begins here on Tuesday with a pair of play-in games. Texas A&M Corpus Christi takes on Se Missouri State in the early game. A&M Islanders finished the season strong, winning four straight games and 12 of their last 13 games. They also went over in four of the last five games. This team averaged over 80 ppg on the season too. The Islanders are 12-4 O/U in their last 16 games following an ATS win. SE Missout State Redhawks finished on a four game win and cover streak. They went over in three of those four games and six of their last seven games. The Redhawks are 13-3 O/U their last 16 games following an ATS win. They are also 21-7 O/U in their last 28 overall games. Both these teams can score and have done well for over bettors. I'll take the over here on Tuesday. |
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03-12-23 | Wizards v. 76ers OVER 227 | 93-112 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference clash here on Sunday has Philadelphia hosting Washington. Washington is tied for 10th and the last playoff spot with Chicago as both are 31-36 on the season. The Wizards are coming off a loss at home to Atlanta, 107-114, as a 2-point dog with the game going UNDER. That broke a string where the Wizards have gone 5-0-1 O/U in their last six games. They are also 47-20-1 ATS in their last 68 games vs a team with a 60% or better win percentage. Philly is in third place in the East, 3.5-games back of first place Milwaukee and 2-games back of 2nd place Boston. Philly has won four straight games and gone over in four of their last five games. The Sixers are 11-5-1 O/U in their last 17 home games and 17-7-1 O/U in their last 25 games on one day rest. These teams have gone over in seven of their last nine meetings and 10 of the last 14 in Philly. I'm on the OVER here today. |
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03-09-23 | Warriors v. Grizzlies UNDER 235.5 | 110-131 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
Western Conference action here tonight has the 5th place Golden State Warriors taking on the 3rd place Memphis Grizzlies. The Warriors look to snap a two game losing streak here tonight. They are coming off a loss at Oklahoma City, 128-137, as a 3.5-point favorite. While that game went over, that snapped a seven game UNDER streak by the Warriors. In fact, they have gone under in their last eight of 10 road games vs a team with a winning straight up record. The Grizzlies look to snap a 3-game losing streak here tonight. They are also on a decent under streak with a 1-6-1 O/U their last eight games. They are also 2-9 O/U in their last 11 games playing on one day rest. These teams have gone under in four of their last five meetings and 15 of the last 22 meetings in Memphis. I'll take the UNDER tonight. |
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03-08-23 | Thunder v. Suns OVER 233 | 101-132 | Push | 0 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
Western Conference clash here on Wednesday has the 4th place Phoenix Suns taking on the 11th place Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder are 31-34 overall and have won three straight games both S/U and ATS. The Thunder have also gone over in five straight and 6-0-1 O/U in their last seven games. They are also 4-1 O/U in their last five road games. The Phoenix Suns are 36-29 overall on the season. They have won and covered three straight games. They are also 4-2 O/U in their last six games. They are also 7-3 O/U in their last 10 games vs a team with a losing record. Plus the Suns have gone over in four of their last five home games. I look for a lot of points in this one tonight. Take the OVER. |
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02-27-23 | Heat v. 76ers UNDER 216.5 | 101-99 | Win | 100 | 22 h 41 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference clash here on Monday has 3rd place Philadelphia hosting 7th place Miami. Philadelphia is 39-20 and four games back of 1st place Boston. They have won seven of their last 10 games. Miami has won just four of their last 10 games and lost four straight. Miami does lead the SouthEast division, but that isn't saying much since no other team in the division has a record above the .500 mark. Miami doesn't score a lot, with just 108 their top mark over their last six outings and two games under 100 points. They are 13-18 O/U in their 31 road games this year, averaging 107.5 ppg. Philly had their five game win and spread streak snapped last game with a loss to the top team in the East, Boston, 107-110. Philly led a lot of that game to lose in a wild finish that saw Philly hit a 3/4 court length shot but time has just expired. These teams have gone under in eight of their last 11 meetings. Philly has gone under in their last two games. Your free play for Monday is on the UNDER. |
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02-26-23 | Lakers v. Mavs OVER 235.5 | 111-108 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
The Lakers still sitting on the outside of the Western conference playoff picture as they sit 13th right now with a 28-32 record. However, they are just 1.5-games back of 10th place New Orleans. The Mavericks are in 6th place with their 32-29 record, with just 3.5 games separating 6th from 13th place in the West. The Lakers have won and covered two straight games after beating New Orleans and then last time over Golden State, 124-111, as a 6-point favorite. The Lakers have been a decent over team on the road, going 18-13 Ov/Un with an average score of 236.8 ppg. Dallas is coming off a win over their instate rivals, San Antonio, 142-116, as a 14-point favorite. The Mavs have now gone over in four of their last five games and scored at least 121 points in five of the last seven games. These teams have gone over in five of the las seven meeting in Dallas. I'll be on the OVER here today. |
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02-24-23 | Cavs v. Hawks OVER 227.5 | 119-136 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
Eastern Clash here today has Atlanta Hawks hosting the Cleveland Cavaliers. Cleveland is 4th in the East with a 38-24 overall record. Atlanta is 8th in the East with a 29-30 overall record. The Cavs have lost two straight. They started the second half of the season with a loss yesterday to Denver, 1-9-115, as a 3-point dog. Now they play tonight at Atlanta. They have seen their last two games go over and are 3-1-1 O/U in their last five. The Hawks have lost two straight games as they play their first game of the 2nd half of the season tonight. These teams have a 31-15 O/U mark the last 46 times they have met. I will be on the over here tonight. |
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02-23-23 | Spurs v. Mavs OVER 239 | 116-142 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
Texas rivalry here tonight has Dallas hosting San Antonio. Dallas is 6th in the West as we start the second half of the season. San Antonio is next to last in the West with a 14-45 record. They also have the worst point differential in the West with a -10.2 mark. The Spurs have been really bad, losing 14 straight games as we play tonight. They have only covered two of those games, going 2-12 ATS. They are coming off a loss at Charlotte, 110-120, as a 5-point dog. They also allow a whopping 124.1 ppg on the road this year. They have also gone OVER in their last six road games vs a team with a home win percentage of 60% or better. The Mavs look to snap a three-game losing streak here tonight. They are coming off a loss at Denver, 109-118, as a 5-point dog. They have gone over in three of their last four games and five of their last seven games. I'm going to pass on a side tonight and look at taking the OVER. |
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02-16-23 | Wizards v. Wolves OVER 234.5 | 114-106 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
The Washington Wizards are 27-30 overall on the season and 28-28-1 ATS. They are 3rd in the SouthEast division. The Wizards are coming off a win at Portland, 126-101 at Portland. They have gone over in two of their last three games. The Wizards have scored at least 126 points in each of their last three games. The Wizards are 5-0 O/U in their last five games vs a team with a winning straight up record. The Minnesota Timberwolves are 31-29 overall and 28-302 vs the spread. They have gone over in four straight and five of their last six games. They average 115.9 ppg but also allow 115.8 ppg on the season. These teams have gone over in their last four games at Minnesota. They are also 16-5 O/U in the last 21 meetings. I'm taking OVER today. |
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02-12-23 | Chiefs v. Eagles UNDER 51 | Top | 38-35 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 26 m | Show |
I look at the defenses to be the superior units in this game, especially the Philly defense which has been great. However, it's offenses which win Super Bowls. I also like Andy Reid who has been here many times and knows how to coach in the Super Bowl. Philly has a young coach and young team making their first appearance in some time. You can make a argument for just about any side or total in this contest. For me, I'm looking at a very good Philly defense to keep the score low. Plus, You have Jalen Hurts with that aching throwing shoulder. He hasn't been called on to make many throws the last two games, both of which dominated by the Philly defense. So we'll have to see if that changes much here on Sunday. I'm taking the UNDER in the Super Bowl and going against the historic trends of overs. I look for defense to be the units that take more over in this contest. So lets take the UNDER in the Super Bowl. |
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02-06-23 | Clippers v. Nets OVER 220 | 124-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
The LA Clippers have been playing very well, winning seven of their last nine games. They have been on the road for five games, going 3-2 S/U and 4-1 ATS. They are coming off a win over the Knicks, 134-128, as a 2.5-point favorite. They play the final game of their road sweep here tonight before returning to the Staples Center. The Clippers have been a very good over team, with a 17-6 Ov/Un record their last 23 road games. They are also 5-2 O/U in their last seven overall games and 15-7-1 O/U their last 23 vs a team with a winning home record. The Nets rebounded from their loss at Boston on Wednesday with a win over the Wizards, 125-123, as a 1.5-point dog. It was their second straight over game and fifth in their last six games. They are also 5-3 S/U in their last eight games. The Nets have gone over in five of their last six games and are 3-1-1 O/U in their last five playing on one day rest. Both teams are playing well, but I'll just stick with the OVER here tonight. |
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02-04-23 | Virginia v. Virginia Tech UNDER 129.5 | 68-74 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 51 m | Show | |
ACC action early on Saturday has a pair of rivals facing off as Virginia Tech host Virginia. Virginia looks headed to another NCAA tournament with a nifty 17-3 overall record. The Cavs are also 9-2 in conference play and a half game behind ACC leading Clemson. Tech is going to need a big last push if they hope to make the Big Dance as they sit 13-9 overall and just 3-8 in conference play. Virginia has won seven straight games and is 4-3 Over/UNDER in that span. One of those is also against Tech back on Jan 18th in which they won at VT 76-68, as a 5-point favorite. Virginia Tech is coming off a loss at Miami, 83-92, as a 3.5-point dog. The Hokies are just 2-8 S/U and ATS in their last 10 games. The Hokies have gone under in five of their last six games when playing a team with a winning record. Same for the Cavs, they have also gone under in five of their last six vs a winning team. While these teams went over last time at Virginia, I'm taking them under here today. Play the UNDER. |