Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-22-21 | Celtics +8 v. Nets | 93-104 | Loss | -104 | 32 h 43 m | Show | |
Brooklyn is hot entering the postseason, but they won five straight against a pretty easy schedule. We just don’t think this team has what it takes to win a championship this season. This team has been a very bad bet most of the season, especially when laying big points. They have dealt with so many injuries and roster changes this season that this new team hasn’t had the chance to build chemistry. Boston has been a big disappointment this season. But this is a whole new season, and you can throw out the previous struggles. They played one of their best games in a long time in the play-in game against a Washington team that had been playing extremely well. We expect a competitive game here. |
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05-22-21 | Mavs v. Clippers -5 | Top | 113-103 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 19 m | Show |
This is what the Clippers played the season for. All the load management, different rotations and team building was intended to be in a good place for the postseason. And we think the Clippers are in a very good place. This team didn’t care about regular season records. All they care about is winning a championship. And this team looks much better than the one we saw flame out of the playoffs last season. Paul George was having some mental issues last season in the bubble but he has been great this season, and this team is pretty much fully healthy here for Game 1. A healthy and motivated Clippers team is on a different level than this Mavs squad, and we think this line is short on Saturday. |
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05-21-21 | Grizzlies v. Warriors -4.5 | Top | 117-112 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
Home teams have been dominant in this play in tournament, and we expect that trend to continue on Friday in the final play in game. The postseason is when stars shine the brightest, and although Ja Morant is a rising star, the Warriors have two established stars, including one of the best to ever play the game. We have seen time and time again that Steph Curry elevates his game to a different level when things matter the most, and the stakes couldn’t be higher here. He also makes everyone around him better when he brings his A Game, and we expect to see his best tonight. The Grizzlies wouldn’t have made the postseason in a normal format. This team is on the rise for sure, but we think they are a season away from being a true threat. With Curry, the Warriors can beat any team in the postseason if he elevates his game. Golden State has been a great bet lately as they are 6-0 ATS in their last six games. They are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against Memphis when playing in the Bay Area. The Warriors scored a double digit win in this same arena against the Grizzlies on May 16. We think there is a great chance they score a comfortable win tonight by 7+ points. |
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05-19-21 | Warriors +5 v. Lakers | Top | 100-103 | Win | 100 | 48 h 4 m | Show |
This game features two of the most clutch players of all time facing off in an unprecedented game of two recent championship teams playing for the right to make the playoffs. But Steph Curry has been in fine form for a long time, while LeBron has been oft injured and is just getting back into rhythm for the postseason. This team just doesn’t have a lot of chemistry right now. They won five straight to end the regular season, but they covered only two of those games and they faces teams with questionable motivation while LA had all the motivation. But they will face an extremely motivated Golden State team tonight, and the Warriors are playing well and have covered six straight games. We had the Warriors as slight favorites here and we think it’s their game to lose. |
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05-19-21 | Spurs v. Grizzlies -3.5 | 96-100 | Win | 100 | 46 h 34 m | Show | |
Memphis won the last two meetings in blowout fashion. This seems like a team on the way up, while the Spurs seem to be on the way to irrelevance after being one of the best teams in the NBA for the last couple decades. Memphis has won five of six entering the play-in tourney. They are in good form. The playoffs are all about stars, and Ja Morant is the best player on the court here. The Grizzlies were one of the best ATS teams in the NBA this season, and we think they are undervalued here once again. They are a bit better on both sides of the ball and they have all the momentum heading into this matchup. |
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05-18-21 | Wizards v. Celtics UNDER 233 | 100-118 | Win | 100 | 23 h 5 m | Show | |
Just think this season is a wash for the Celtics. Jaylen Brown went down for the season. That seemed to take the air out of this Celtics team that looked off anyways. They have dealt with many injuries all season and never got to develop the necessary chemistry needed for a championship run. They lost five of six games to close out the season, and they didn’t reach the century mark on offense in three of those games. They are banged up heading into this game with key players nursing a variety of injuries. The Wizards got off to a slow start this season, but they have been playing as well as anyone in the NBA lately. They have been a covering machine as they have covered the majority of their games over the last month or so. They are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 road games. They are 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings. The last five meetings have all gone under the posted number. |
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05-18-21 | Wizards +2 v. Celtics | Top | 100-118 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 6 m | Show |
Just think this season is a wash for the Celtics. Jaylen Brown went down for the season. That seemed to take the air out of this Celtics team that looked off anyways. They have dealt with many injuries all season and never got to develop the necessary chemistry needed for a championship run. They lost five of six games to close out the season, and they didn’t reach the century mark on offense in three of those games. They are banged up heading into this game with key players nursing a variety of injuries. The Wizards got off to a slow start this season, but they have been playing as well as anyone in the NBA lately. They have been a covering machine as they have covered the majority of their games over the last month or so. They are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 road games. They are 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings. The last five meetings have all gone under the posted number. |
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05-18-21 | Hornets v. Pacers -3 | 117-144 | Win | 100 | 21 h 37 m | Show | |
We think this line is short. We were expecting a bigger number and think there’s decent value here tonight. The Hornets are backing into the play-in tournament and they have lost five straight. This play-in is new and we don’t have many trends to rely on, but this tournament seems built for teams that are in good form, and the Hornets don’t seem to be that team. The Pacers have been playing a lot better and have won three of five, and they have been a hot ATS team as they are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games. Indiana has all the postseason experience here and this is a new ballgame for the Hornets. We think the Pacers will win comfortably here. |
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05-18-21 | Hornets v. Pacers OVER 227 | 117-144 | Win | 100 | 21 h 37 m | Show | |
We think this line is short. We were expecting a bigger number and think there’s decent value here tonight. The Hornets are backing into the play-in tournament and they have lost five straight. This play-in is new and we don’t have many trends to rely on, but this tournament seems built for teams that are in good form, and the Hornets don’t seem to be that team. The Pacers have been playing a lot better and have won three of five, and they have been a hot ATS team as they are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games. Indiana has all the postseason experience here and this is a new ballgame for the Hornets. We think the Pacers will win comfortably here. |
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05-16-21 | Nuggets v. Blazers -9 | Top | 116-132 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
Maybe both teams want the Blazers to win here? The Clippers sure looked like they tanked their last game to avoid the Lakers potentially in the first round or closer down the road. Now the Blazers are in that position. They have a chance to knock LA into the play in tourney. Denver doesn’t have any incentive to win and let the Lakers into the top 6 seeds. We see Portland going all out here and the Nuggets focusing on their first-round opponent, which could possibly be these Blazers, so why would they want to give too much away? |
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05-16-21 | Celtics v. Knicks UNDER 211.5 | 92-96 | Win | 100 | 1 h 49 m | Show | |
Boston is solidified in their play-in tourney position and we think this is a throwaway game for them. We don’t see starters getting too many minutes. The Knicks have been the top defensive team all season and we think they will want to finish the regular season with a strong defensive performance against a bitter rival. The under is 4-1 in their last five and they have been excellent on the defensive and. The under is 5-1 in the last six meetings, and we expect that trend to continue here on Sunday. |
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05-15-21 | Celtics v. Wolves -5 | 124-108 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 60 m | Show | |
The Celtics have lost four straight. This team will not have many starters in the game today because of injuries or rest. This looks like a team that just wants to focus on the play in tourney next week. Minnesota got off to a real bad start to the season and a lot of that had to do with injuries. But this team has played a lot better down the stretch and has the look of a team that wants to end the season on a positive note. We don’t think Boston cares much about this game as they have their sights set on next week. |
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05-14-21 | Nuggets v. Pistons +8.5 | Top | 104-91 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
Despite a 20-50 record, the Pistons are 35-33-2 against the spread. They get too many points on a regular basis. This team is building something good, and the players play hard and play until the final buzzer. Do they get blown out from time to time? Sure. There is a lot of developing talent on this team. But they get an A most nights for hustle, and this has the look of a team that wants to finish the season on a positive note. This team is 26-16-1 ATS when getting five or more points this season, so they are a pretty safe bet as a big underdog. Denver has been overrated by the oddsmakers as they are 1-4 ATS in their last five. This team is pretty secure in their postseason positioning and we just think they have their eyes towards the playoffs now and they aren’t going all out here in Detroit. The Pistons have covered in five of seven meetings. We expect a close game here, and a SU win by the home team wouldn’t be shocking. |
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05-13-21 | Blazers +4.5 v. Suns | 117-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Portland is one of the main teams that need a win tonight. There are three teams trying to stay out of the play-in tournament – Portland, LA Lakers and Dallas – and right now the Blazers are on the right side of the standings. A win here would go a long way to securing their spot. They have been road warriors lately, covering in six of their last seven road games. The Suns are pretty secure in their playoff seeding and this game has no real importance to them compared to Portland. We think the road team will pull out all the stops to win this one. |
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05-13-21 | Clippers -8 v. Hornets | Top | 113-90 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
We were really impressed by the Clippers last win over Toronto. This has the look of a team that is getting healthy at the right time and wants to build some momentum heading into the playoffs. Ibaka is the only main player that will be out tonight. The Clippers have had a real light schedule down the stretch, so they should have plenty of energy here. And they have covered in four of the last five meetings. |
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05-12-21 | Celtics -7 v. Cavs | 94-102 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
Boston has lost three straight, but that has been against much tougher competition then they will see tonight. This has all the signs of a Get Right game against the Cavs, and we think Boston will be primed for a big win. They probably can’t avoid the play-in tourney, but they can at least build some momentum for the postseason, and that is much needed right now. Cleveland is 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven home games despite some generous lines from the oddsmakers, and we think the road team has a great chance for a double digit win. |
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05-12-21 | Wizards +6.5 v. Hawks | 116-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
These teams played in Washington on Monday and the Hawks won by one point. It’s tough to beat the same team twice in a row, and we think the Wizards have a great chance to win this one. The points are an added bonus. Beal should play here. Washington has been playing as well as any team in the East since a slow start. They are one of the best ATS teams in the NBA this season. And we think they are getting too many points once again. |
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05-11-21 | Knicks v. Lakers UNDER 214 | 99-101 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
These are the Top 2 defensive teams in the NBA. This game should have a playoff atmosphere. We think these top defenses will be on display tonight. The Lakers are getting LeBron back likely tonight, but he will probably be rusty after missing some games. They are desperate and in must-win mode since they are as of now in the play in tournament. They will want to do their best to move up and avoid that. This is a major rivalry for the Knicks. Everything about this matchup tells us these two teams will likely go all out on defense, and we think this total is too high for two Top 2 defenses. |
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05-11-21 | Magic v. Bucks -13 | Top | 102-114 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
The Magic have suffered two 30+-point losses in their last three games. This team is so wracked with injuries they are fielding a G League-level team right now. And this team stunk before all the injuries. Those big losses were to Minnesota and Boston, one team that stinks and one that is not playing well. The Bucks are in on a back-to-back, and they suffered one of their worst losses of the season last night in San Antonio. They lost by 20+ in what was obviously an off game. We like to back a good team after an embarrassing loss like that as they normally give a lot better effort in their next game. Even on a B2B they should have enough energy to beat this Magic team without breaking too much of a sweat. The Magic haven’t covered in the last six games in this series, and we think they run into a buzzsaw tonight against a Bucks team that will want to remove the bad taste their loss from last night left them. |
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05-10-21 | Bucks v. Spurs OVER 233.5 | Top | 125-146 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
The Bucks have been playing some ridiculously high scoring games lately. They have combined for 269 points or more in two straight games. Their offense is clicking very well and they are content to light up the scoreboard instead of bore down on defense. The Spurs are real close to missing the playoffs as they sit in the No. 10 spot in the West. They need a win here. They have not played well recently but we expect them to be competitive here in a must-win game. They should be able to score on the Bucks and we doubt this one will be a blowout so both teams should get their points. The over has cashed in this series for years as these teams don’t meet often, but the over is a perfect 6-0 in the last six meetings. We expect a barnburner tonight. |
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05-09-21 | Wolves v. Magic +8 | Top | 128-96 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
As bad as the Magic have been playing, the Wolves are not in a position of power to be laying more than seven on the road to anyone. This is the biggest favorite they have been all season. The Wolves have lost three straight and didn’t cover in any of those games. The Magic have won and covered in three of their last six games, so they aren’t playing that bad right now overall. There is more talent on the Wolves side for sure, but we think this is an inflated number. |
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05-07-21 | Spurs -4 v. Kings | 113-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Popovich has the Spurs playing well down the stretch. They haven’t had much to show for it in the W/L column as they lost two crucial games in OT. They are coming off a blowout loss vs. Utah and we always like to back a solid team after an embarrassing loss. The Spurs are barely clinging on to the No. 10 spot in the West and the last spot in the play-in tournament. Sacramento is still alive, but barely. Sacramento has seen some mild success lately. But we just don’t believe in this team in a must-win game against a more talented Spurs squad and one that is better coached. |
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05-07-21 | Nuggets v. Jazz -4 | 120-127 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
Both teams are dealing with injuries but we think the Jazz are the better team and they have better weathered their injury status. We are very impressed with their last two games as they swept a desperate Spurs team that is fighting for their playoff lives. We expected this number to come out closer to 6, and with a lean to Utah at that number, so we are going with the value here tonight. |
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05-07-21 | Celtics -4 v. Bulls | Top | 99-121 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
Boston is rested. They had the night off Thursday, and before their 36-point domination of Orlando last time out, they had two days off before that. The Bulls are coming in on a back-to-back. They won last night but had dropped four straight before that, so they aren’t in great form right now. The Bulls are the more desperate team. They are four games out of the last spot in the playoff play-in, with six games left. They are done. And they have been playing like it. They are here in the spot out of the playoffs because they aren’t a very good team. Boston has a lot to play for as they are on the bubble of the play in tourney, but they are currently No. 6. They control their own destiny to avoid the play in. And most importantly, they have been a great bet in this series as they are 4-1 ATS in their last five in Chicago and 12-3 ATS overall in the last 15 meetings. The Bulls got a rare win in this series last month, but we don’t see it happening twice in a row. |
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05-06-21 | Lakers v. Clippers -8 | Top | 94-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
The Clippers have been one of the best ATS teams in the league all season and the Lakers one of the worst. The Clippers haven’t been covering lately but they are as healthy right now as they have been in a long time, and they face their biggest rival tonight. The Lakers don’t really think of this as a big rivalry for them, but the Clippers do. That’s why the Clippers are 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. The Clippers didn’t play well last time out vs. the Raptors but still won. We think they were looking ahead to this game a bit. We expect their best performance tonight in what should have a playoff atmosphere. But the Clippers are healthy and the Lakers aren’t, with LeBron and several key players out tonight. |
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05-05-21 | Spurs +6.5 v. Jazz | 94-126 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
The Spurs lost to the Jazz on Monday here in Utah. They were down big in the first half but played much better in the second and kept the score respectable even though they missed the cover. But this game becomes a lot more important for San Antonio. They are two games in front of New Orleans for the last spot in the play in tourney. They need to get a win. They have lost four straight against a very tough schedule but they went to OT at Boston and vs Philly even though they couldn’t pull out the win in either of those games. The Jazz have covered in only two of their last six. They already beat the Spurs on Monday and they don’t have a lot of motivation for seeding as they seem locked into a Top 2 spot. Have to thing that Popovich, one of the best coaches in the history of the game, will have his team motivated here in this rematch. The Jazz have covered in only one of their last six home games, so they have been overrated by the oddsmakers and are missing some of their Top Guns again for this matchup. |
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05-05-21 | Wizards +3.5 v. Bucks | 134-135 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
The Wizards are the last team in for the play in tourney in the East so it’s imperative that they keep winning. They have been playing like a legit playoff team after a slow start to the season, and the oddsmakers continue to undervalue this squad. They have won seven of 10 so they are in good form. They have covered in 14 of their last 17 games, so they are not being lined correctly. The Bucks come in on a back-to-back and playing their third game in four nights. They just had a doubleheader against Brooklyn, a team they will likely cross paths with in the playoffs. They probably won’t take this game as seriously. And the Bucks haven’t been blowing teams out of the water lately. We think the Wizards will be hyped to compete here and expect them to cover. |
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05-04-21 | Raptors v. Clippers -9.5 | Top | 100-105 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
The Clippers are the healthiest they have been in awhile, and their two stars are expected to play tonight. They have lost three straight and they are desperate for a win right now. They have had two nights off to regroup and should be ready here. As of right now they are set to play the Lakers in the first round. They won’t say it, but they don’t want it. They will probably do their best to move up in the seeding, and they don’t have many chances to do it left. We think they give their best effort tonight and win this one by double digits. |
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05-04-21 | Warriors v. Pelicans -2 | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
These teams played last night and the Warriors blew out the Pelicans. But it’s very hard to beat a team twice in two nights, especially on their home court. New Orleans is out of the playoff picture as things stand now. Every game is a playoff game for them if they wish to compete in the play-in tourney. Last night the Warriors jumped out to a big lead but New Orleans played with them all the rest of the game, and we expect a more complete performance from them tonight. |
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05-03-21 | Nuggets v. Lakers UNDER 215.5 | 89-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a battle of two Top 10 defenses and we expect a low-scoring game. But we think Denver will have the stronger motivation tonight when it comes to the ATS angle. These are possible first-round opponents in the postseason. The Lakers right now are trying to get AD and LeBron back into playing shape. All they care about is to be healthy and in a good headspace come playoffs. They don’t care much about this game. The Nuggets will want to prove something, we expect, and they should bring a lot of energy here. Denver is one of the hottest teams in the league right now and they are coming off a win against the Clippers that was very impressive. |
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05-03-21 | Nuggets -3.5 v. Lakers | 89-93 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a battle of two Top 10 defenses and we expect a low-scoring game. But we think Denver will have the stronger motivation tonight when it comes to the ATS angle. These are possible first-round opponents in the postseason. The Lakers right now are trying to get AD and LeBron back into playing shape. All they care about is to be healthy and in a good headspace come playoffs. They don’t care much about this game. The Nuggets will want to prove something, we expect, and they should bring a lot of energy here. Denver is one of the hottest teams in the league right now and they are coming off a win against the Clippers that was very impressive. |
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05-03-21 | Magic v. Pistons -1.5 | 119-112 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
Orlando won last time out and they have won two of three. We just think they are satisfied and the Pistons, losers of two straight, will be the more motivated team here, especially at home. Both of these teams are dealing with long injury lists. But the Magic don’t handle success well and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five after an ATS win. The Pistons are also 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. We think the home team will show some motivation here in an easily winnable game. |
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04-30-21 | Spurs v. Celtics -4.5 | 140-143 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
The Celtics have had players in and out of the lineup all season, so it has been hard to get a read on this team. They should be pretty healthy tonight with the exception of Walker. We think this team is ready to make a move approaching the playoffs. We had this line at 6.5 with a lean to the Celtics at that number, and we think they are a bit undervalued tonight. We expect a comfortable 7+-point win. |
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04-29-21 | Pelicans v. Thunder OVER 231 | 109-95 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
OKC’s offense has been playing pretty well. They put up 119 on offense in a win last time out over Boston, a solid defensive team. That was the second time in four games they put up 115+. We think they will be able to score against the Pels. New Orleans plays fast and with not much defense. They will get their points for sure against an OKC team that is playing out the string with not much D. We think OKC will be able to get enough points to make up the rest of this total. |
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04-29-21 | Mavs v. Pistons UNDER 214.5 | 115-105 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
Both teams are dealing with a bunch of injuries right now and both teams have been trending to the under. We think this game will be somewhat of a slog. Detroit has gone under three straight games. Their defense has played well, and their offense has struggled. They have scored 100 or fewer points in three of six games. Dallas has an excellent defense, and we just don’t see the Pistons doing anything special on offense tonight. |
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04-29-21 | Nets -8 v. Pacers | 130-113 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
The Nets have been a bad bet all season. But they seem to be coming together as we head towards the postseason. They have won and covered three straight. That includes wins over Boston and Phoenix, so they haven’t played creampuffs. The Pacers are banged up and they are coming off a home blowout to Portland. They face a big step up in competition here against one of the NBA title favorites. We think the Nets have a great chance for a double digit win. |
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04-28-21 | Jazz v. Kings +8.5 | 154-105 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
The Jazz are coming off two straight losses to the Timberwolves. We could forgive one loss. But two straight tells us this team is not playing well right now. Sacramento has won two of three and they are playing well right now. They have covered their last four games as a listed underdog. We just expect a close game here and we think this spread is inflated a bit since the Jazz are a much more popular team with bettors. |
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04-28-21 | Lakers v. Wizards UNDER 229 | 107-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
The Lakers have been playing in a bunch of low scoring games lately and the Wizards have been playing in a bunch of high scoring games, so something has gotta give here. But the Lakers are one of the best defensive teams in the league and we think they will keep the score down tonight. We don’t think they want a shootout here as a lower score gives them the best chance to win. The Wizards offense tends to struggle against the best defensive teams, and this is an inflated total tonight. |
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04-28-21 | Hornets v. Celtics -6 | 111-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Boston could have all their best players back here and the Hornets will be missing top players tonight. Boston has not been playing great as they have lost three straight, including a blowout to these Hornets. That sets up a solid revenge scenario and we think a healthy Boston team is in a good shape to get it tonight. Boston is 7-1-0 ATS in the last eight meetings at home. Both teams are on a back-to-back but Boston is at home for both games, so that’s a distinct advantage. |
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04-27-21 | Bucks v. Hornets OVER 223.5 | 114-104 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
The Hornets have improved offensively in all of their last three games, culminating in scoring 125 last time out in a win over Boston. The Bucks are coming off an “off” offensive game, but they have scored 124 or more in three of their last four. We don’t see them having any problems scoring tonight, and the Hornets should be able to effectively make up the rest of the points to easily get this one over the posted number. |
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04-27-21 | Thunder v. Celtics -11 | Top | 119-115 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
Boston is coming in off two straight losses, so this is a “get right” game for them. And they are playing just the right team to get back on track against. The Thunder have a rag tag group of players competing right now. They have been just god awful on defense as they have given up 119 or more in four straight games. We think Boston will put up a monster number on offense here and they should have no problem covering this big number. The Celtics are resting a couple key players, but that is why we are getting a value number here on Tuesday. |
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04-26-21 | Clippers -1.5 v. Pelicans | 103-120 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
The Clippers have shown this season that they can put the players they have available to them on the court and have great success. They have been one of the best ATS bets in the NBA because of their depth and they have great chemistry together. They have missing players tonight, like always, but this team seems very dialed in right now and they seem intent on getting a high seed for the postseason. They are well rested and going up against a Pelicans team that hasn’t been playing their best lately. |
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04-26-21 | Jazz -9.5 v. Wolves | Top | 104-105 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
When you are one of the best teams in the NBA and you lose to the Wolves, you know you had an off game. That’s what happened to the Jazz on Saturday as they played very poorly at home and lost straight up. Now this is a quick turnaround rematch, and we just don’t see anything other than the Jazz brining their A Game. Utah is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings here in Minnesota. This is a team that can beat bad opponents by double digits without breaking a sweat. We think that loss on Saturday is a wake up call for Utah and they will put their best foot forward tonight. |
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04-26-21 | Lakers v. Magic +10.5 | 114-103 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
It’s tough to take a flyer on the Magic with the way they have been playing recently, but we don’t think the Lakers should be heavy favorites like this on the road against anyone. This team has lost four of five and covered in only one of those games. They are dealing with injuries and they are working Anthony Davis back into the mix with limited minutes. They take the best shot from opponents on a nightly basis. Orlando needs a competitive game and they should be hyped up for this one. They have covered in six of the last seven meetings with the Lakers. |
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04-25-21 | Grizzlies v. Blazers -4 | 120-113 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
These teams played Friday and the Grizzlies won a close one. When teams play in consecutive games like this you have to take a serious look at the team that lost the last matchup. The Blazers were playing their third game in four nights during that matchup and we think they will be more fresh after being off Saturday. |
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04-23-21 | Grizzlies v. Blazers -3 | 130-128 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
Portland has won three of the last four meetings. They have lost three straight but they have had a really tough schedule. We think they are the better team here and we expect them to bring their A Game to stop the losing streak. This line seems more than fair for the home team as we had this one handicapped at 5, with a lean to Portland at that number. We think the Blazers pull away in the fourth for a comfortable win. |
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04-22-21 | Pistons +9 v. Spurs | 91-106 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
The Pistons are 25-10-1 ATS when getting five or more points this season. They covered last night as a big underdog (barely) and we don’t think a back-to-back will affect this team all too much as they are young. They play hard every night, and last night was an indication they play to the final buzzer. The Spurs aren’t a very good team this season and we just don’t think the big spread is justified here. The Pistons hung with the Mavs last night and now they take a big step down in talent level. |
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04-22-21 | Pelicans v. Magic +9 | 135-100 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
The Pelicans have lost four straight and haven’t covered in any of those games. They have been horrible on the road this season and have one less win on the road than the sorry Magic have at home. We just think this is a very public number for what should be a close game and a winnable one for the home team. The Pelicans are 10-20 ATS when laying points this season and 1-6 ATS when laying 7.5 or more. This has been one of the worst bets in the NBA this season. New Orleans hasn’t covered in any of the last five meetings. |
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04-22-21 | 76ers v. Bucks -8 | 117-124 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
We think this ECF possible preview will have some defensive and playoff intensity. It could also be a blowout, which would bode well for the under in our opinion. The Sixers are coming in on a back-to-back after a grueling game against the Suns last night. This will be their third game in four nights. The Bucks have been off for two nights. At this point in the season rest is so crucial, and the better team has the huge rest advantage here. We see the Sixers really struggling on offense here tonight. |
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04-21-21 | Wolves v. Kings -4.5 | 125-128 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
We like to go with the losing team when these teams play back-to-back matchups. It’s hard to beat the same team twice on consecutive nights, and especially when the losing team is at home. Minnesota hasn’t won back-to-back games since way back at the beginning of the season in December. The Kings were kind of embarrassed last night as it was a close game and then the Wolves dominated late. We think they will play better here tonight in the rematch. |
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04-21-21 | Pistons +10.5 v. Mavs | 117-127 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
The Pistons have been a great underdog play this season. They are 24-10-1 ATS when getting five or more points. This is a bad team but a young one that plays hard every night. The average bettors isn’t going to go anywhere near them, but they have shown value all season long in the underdog role, and Dallas is just 6-10 ATS when laying more than five points, so they haven’t been a profitable favorite. Also, should Dallas be laying this many points when they have lost four of five, and the one win was that miracle shot at the buzzer vs. Memphis? |
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04-21-21 | Bulls -2.5 v. Cavs | 105-121 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
These teams have similar records, but the Bulls are a way better ATS team. They are coming off a big win over Boston that should really help with the confidence of this young team. This team can be streaky, and we think that win may springboard them to some short-term success. The Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a road favorite. They are 15-6 ATS in the last 21 meetings in this series. The Bulls seem like the more motivated and confident team here tonight. |
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04-20-21 | Clippers -7 v. Blazers | 113-112 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
The Clippers are getting healthy and should have their best two players back for this matchup, LA is one of the best ATS teams in the league. They win and cover games like this. Portland is once again banged up, and we think they could face a buzzsaw tonight. LA is 4-0-1 ATS in their last five road games and they have been getting the job done away from home. LA has covered in all of the last five meetings. |
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04-20-21 | Wolves v. Kings -3 | Top | 134-120 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
The Kings have not been good lately, but they are still better than the Wolves. They are coming off a big win at Dallas, and this is a chance to start a rare winning streak. We think they will be up to the task. The Kings have been a disappointment, but they have had a much better season than Minnesota. The Wolves don’t play well on the road against bad teams as they are 0-4 ATS in their last four in this situation. This is also a revenge game as the Kings lost in Minnesota earlier this month. |
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04-20-21 | Magic v. Hawks OVER 217.5 | 96-112 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
The Magic are trending to the over, and that’s the way we will go with them again. They have faced low totals a lot recently since this team has a history of lousy offense and decent defense. This team has been dealing with a lot of injuries that have disrupted the defense, and at this point in the season they are going nowhere so hard to commit the energy to D on a nightly basis. Their offense has been decent lately, and we think they can score enough against Atlanta to get this one over the posted number. |
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04-20-21 | Hornets v. Knicks -5.5 | 97-109 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
Have to go with the hot Knicks here. New York has won six straight and they have covered in nine straight games. The number here has not been adjusted enough, in our opinion, as this team is seemingly flying under the radar right now. Charlotte is coming off a big win against Portland, but this team has been inconsistent and has lost four of five overall. We will go with the momentum here against what we feel is a short line. |
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04-19-21 | Bulls v. Celtics -6 | Top | 102-96 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Boston has some players questionable for Monday and this line could move if some of those players were given the green light. We won’t be scared off by the line movement in that event. We think Boston has a great chance to win this one by double digits. This team has never been about individual players. They play great team basketball, and when they are playing well the system works even with some parts missing. The Bulls will be without LaVine again, and that hurts as he is one of their best players and this team isn’t deep. They snapped a five-game losing streak last time out with a win over Cleveland, but that’s nothing to write home about. That was their only cover in the last six games. Boston is playing their best basketball of the season and they have done it against a really difficult schedule. We don’t think they will overlook this opponent since every win matters after their slow start. When this team is playing well they have been one of the best ATS teams the past several years. This boils down to great coaching. Boston is 12-2 ATS in the last 14 meetings and we expect them to get a very easy win tonight. And don’t forget, even though the Bulls were off last night, this is their third game in four nights as they had a B2B in that Cleveland game. |
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04-17-21 | Spurs v. Suns OVER 227 | 111-85 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
We were on the Blazers/Spurs OVER last night, and Damian Lillard was a late scratch and his loss changed the complexity of that game. The Spurs got up to a big lead and kind of coasted from that point (they let the Blazers back in it and lost by one). But the Spurs have been an over team as of late as seven of their last nine games have gone over the posted number. They face a rested a very good Suns offense tonight, and we don’t see them slowing them down. And the Spurs offense has been playing well lately, so we think they get their points as well. The over is 7-1 in the Suns last eight home games. |
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04-17-21 | Warriors v. Celtics -4.5 | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
The Celtics are back! They have won five straight and the slow start to the season is seemingly in the rearview mirror. This line to us says that the bookies don’t believe in Boston, but we do. Golden State has won four straight. But they aren’t “back,” they are just hot right now. When playing well the Celtics are one of the best teams in the NBA. Can’t say that about the Warriors with the current lineup. And they have had a very easy schedule lately while the Celtics have won three difficult road games in a row. Boston always plays well in this series (9-3-1 ATS in last 13), and we expect them to get a comfortable win here tonight. |
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04-17-21 | Pistons v. Wizards -4.5 | 100-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
These teams have a similar record, but the Wizards are a much better team. Detroit has been overachieving, while the Wizards got off to a real slow start because of injuries and team chemistry. Detroit is probably a bit fresher tonight with both teams coming in on a B2B. They rested a few players on the first end of a B2B. But because they rested those players, we think management sent a clear message of tanking, and we don’t think the Pistons will be too motivated here. Washington has been playing very well lately, and we don’t think they will pass up the opportunity for what should be an easy win. |
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04-16-21 | Blazers v. Spurs OVER 234 | Top | 107-106 | Loss | -111 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
We think the sky is the limit for this total. This should be a close game and both teams will get their points. Overtime is always a possibility, but we don’t think we will need the extra five minutes to cash this ticket. The Blazers average about 115 points per game. We aren’t worried about their offense. They are healthy now and they have scored 115 or more in four of their last six games. Most of those point totals were against better defensive teams than the Spurs. The over is 4-0 in the Blazers last four as a road favorite and 5-0 against a team with a losing record. So the question is if the Spurs can score enough to get this one over the total. We think so. They have scored 119 or more in three of their last four games. Their offense is playing very well at the moment. They have done this against some pretty solid defensive teams, and on the road no less. They have gone over in four straight and seven out of eight. Portland has the No. 26 defense for points allowed. They allow 115 a game. We think the Spurs can score more than that tonight. Betting the over when these teams meet has been one of the strongest bets in the NBA for years. The over is 36-17 in the last 53 meetings. It is also 7-1 in the last eight meetings in San Antonio. We expect a barnburner tonight! |
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04-15-21 | Celtics -6 v. Lakers | Top | 121-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
The Lakers are a bit of “fool’s gold” here as they have won four of seven but those wins were over Charlotte, Toronto, Sacramento and Brooklyn. Only one real quality win among those teams, and Brooklyn is a “work in progress” right now as this team is tinkering with a lot trying to have chemistry and stability once the playoffs start next month. And even the Lakers called that game the best win of the season. The Celtics have won six of seven. They DO have some quality wins there as they won in Portland and Denver in their last two. They also beat the Knicks, who are playing well now. This team is pretty healthy and has shrugged of their slow start. And this team has been one of the safest bets in the NBA the last few years as they normally have a great ATS mark. We think they hold the Lakers to a real low point total tonight. |
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04-14-21 | Pacers -4.5 v. Rockets | 132-124 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
The Pacers have been playing well. They lost a tough one to the Clippers last night and enter on a back-to-back. They had won their previous three games. They actually played really well last night but the Clippers brought their A Game. But they drop way down in talent tonight against the Rockets, and this should be an easy win for the road team. The Pacers have been really good on offense lately and we think they will be able to put up enough points to win this comfortably tonight. |
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04-14-21 | Clippers v. Pistons +8 | 100-98 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
We think revenge is an overrated handicapping angle, but we do think it applies in certain instances. When the previous game was a blowout (embarrassing) or if the game was recent. The game against the Clippers at Staples Center was the last game for Detroit. They hung with LA and easily covered the spread. They were in position for the win most of the game. Now they are at home and facing a Clippers team on a back-to-back and missing a couple key players. The Pistons are 8-1 ATS in their last nine against teams with a winning percentage above .600. They get up for big games, and we expect a close game tonight. |
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04-14-21 | Magic +9.5 v. Bulls | Top | 115-106 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
The Magic have been playing like dog poop lately, to be blunt. But there’s no way the Bulls should be laying this many points to any team. This is the most points the Bulls have given up all season. They have lost three straight games. They are back at home after a long road trip and have been on the road mostly for several weeks. This first game home is often tricky for the home team as the players have personal business to attend to and their minds might not be in the game. Orlando is 4-1 ATS in their last five as a road underdog. They are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games against a team with a winning percentage less than .400. |
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04-13-21 | Thunder +17.5 v. Jazz | 96-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
The Thunder are coming off a string of blowout losses and playing with a rag-tag group of young players. But we think this is a good spot for them to be competitive. The Jazz are coming in on a back-to-back. They lost to the Wizards at home last night and didn’t look great in doing so. The Thunder have had two nights off so they have a huge rest advantage. The Thunder have covered in all of their last five games in Utah. With this big of a spread, even with a blowout we can still cash this ticket. |
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04-13-21 | Clippers v. Pacers OVER 232 | 126-115 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
The Pacers have won three straight. They are playing really good basketball right now and shooting the ball extremely well. They have shot the ball better than 50% in two of their last three games. The Pacers got off to a slow start to the season and they are in No. 9 place in the Eastern Conference playoff race. They need to keep winning to avoid dropping out of play-in contention. The Clippers have been playing well. This seems like the type of game where they may slip up, however. They have been at home for a long time. This is their first road game since March 25. They are without three key players tonight in Kawhi, Pat Bev and Ibaka. The public is all over the Clippers in this one and we think the bookies have set the number to make LA appealing. We expect a high scoring game here and we think the Pacers have a great chance to win outright. |
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04-13-21 | Clippers v. Pacers +3 | Top | 126-115 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
The Pacers have won three straight. They are playing really good basketball right now and shooting the ball extremely well. They have shot the ball better than 50% in two of their last three games. The Pacers got off to a slow start to the season and they are in No. 9 place in the Eastern Conference playoff race. They need to keep winning to avoid dropping out of play-in contention. The Clippers have been playing well. This seems like the type of game where they may slip up, however. They have been at home for a long time. This is their first road game since March 25. They are without three key players tonight in Kawhi, Pat Bev and Ibaka. The public is all over the Clippers in this one and we think the bookies have set the number to make LA appealing. We expect a high scoring game here and we think the Pacers have a great chance to win outright. |
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04-12-21 | Nuggets -4.5 v. Warriors | 107-116 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
The Warriors have not done well in the underdog role as they have covered only one of their last eight games as a listed underdog. We think they are in over their heads in this one also. Denver is coming in on a back-to-back, and they lost in embarrassing fashion on Sunday to the Celtics. That game was early, so we think there is significant time for rest. They completely fell apart late in that game and they will want to rebound here. We think they bring their A Game in a very winnable game. The Nuggets have rebounded well after recent losses as they have covered in all four games after a straight up loss. |
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04-12-21 | Lakers v. Knicks OVER 205.5 | Top | 96-111 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
The Lakers seemed hopeless once LeBron and AD went down. But things are looking up for this team. The role players on this squad have stepped up in a big way. They had one of their most impressive wins of the season last time out as they blew out Brooklyn on the road. They scored 126 in that win. Their offense has been coming together, and there is reason for optimism as they have a timetable now for the return of their two stars. After a big string of unders, they have gone over in three straight games. We think this total is too low tonight. The Knicks have the No. 1 defense in the NBA. They, however, played a very hard-fought, back-and-forth game on Sunday against the Raptors. Just not sure if they are going to have the energy to play shut down defense tonight. The Knicks are also trending to the over with three of their last five going over the posted number. The over is 6-2 in the last eight meetings. We think this will be a close game, like the oddsmakers, and we expect both teams to get their points here. And overtime is always a possibility with such a small spread. We don’t think we will need the extra five minutes to cash this ticket, however. |
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04-11-21 | Raptors v. Knicks -3 | 96-102 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
New York has been a covering machine lately as they have covered four straight. They were off yesterday while the Raptors played. Toronto got the cover on Saturday, but that was just their second cover in nine games. They are one of the worst ATS teams in the NBA this season and the Knicks one of the best. New York is getting it done on the strength of their No. 1 defense. The Knicks have thrived in this situation as a home favorite as they are 8-1 ATS in their last nine in this role. |
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04-11-21 | Bulls -4 v. Wolves | 117-121 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
The Bulls are quietly playing well. They have covered in five of their last six games. Both these teams aren’t very good. But Chicago seems to have a bright future while the Wolves seem to be going nowhere fast. Despite some very favorable lines, the Wolves have one of the worst ATS marks in the NBA. This line looks short to us. The Bulls are around .500 on the road this season so they play well away from home. They are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games against a team with a losing home record, so they play well against the teams they should. |
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04-11-21 | Pelicans -6.5 v. Cavs | 116-109 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
The Cavs are on a back-to-back here. They didn’t look good yesterday in getting spanked by Toronto by 20 points. The Raptors had been struggling before that game. The Pelicans have been inconsistent but this looks like an easy win for them. They were off Saturday, so they have the rest advantage. They are coming off a confidence-inspiring win against Philly. They have also covered in four of the last five meetings in this series. We think the rested team takes advantage of the situation for a comfortable win. |
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04-11-21 | Celtics v. Nuggets UNDER 221.5 | 105-87 | Win | 100 | 3 h 37 m | Show | |
The under has cashed in seven of the last eight games for Boston. We think this one has a great chance to go under as well. Tatum for Boston is questionable here and he is coming off a 50+-point game. Fournier is out here for sure. Boston will struggle to score. But they have been playing some very solid defense lately and we think they will rely on the defense to stay competitive here. This series has a strong history for the under as the last four meetings have all gone under the posted number. |
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04-10-21 | Wizards +12 v. Suns | 106-134 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Seven of the last nine games for Washington have gone under the posted total. They are playing better defense, and their offense hasn’t been consistent. They face a Top 5 defense tonight in the Suns. We think this could be a letdown spot for Phoenix here as they are coming off huge games with WC playoff implications against the Jazz and Clippers. We don’t see them playing with their usual gusto here. And we think the Wizards will be competitive as they have covered every game on this road trip. |
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04-10-21 | Wizards v. Suns UNDER 228.5 | 106-134 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
Seven of the last nine games for Washington have gone under the posted total. They are playing better defense, and their offense hasn’t been consistent. They face a Top 5 defense tonight in the Suns. We think this could be a letdown spot for Phoenix here as they are coming off huge games with WC playoff implications against the Jazz and Clippers. We don’t see them playing with their usual gusto here. And we think the Wizards will be competitive as they have covered every game on this road trip. |
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04-10-21 | Lakers +11 v. Nets | 126-101 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
The Lakers have covered in three of four and this team is underrated by the oddsmakers right now. They are highly motivated as their playoff hopes are slipping as they lose and fall down the standings. They need to compete until their stars are back. And this team assembled a roster with more depth than last season. The Nets are 7-21 ATS as a favorite of five or more this season, so they normally play down to the level of their competition. |
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04-09-21 | Rockets +13.5 v. Clippers | Top | 109-126 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 24 m | Show |
This is a bad spot for the Clippers, who are coming in on a back-to-back after facing the Suns on Thursday. They have faced a who’s who of teams that will be in the WCF in recent games: Phoenix, Portland, LA Lakers and Denver. Throw in a recent game against potential Finals opponent Milwaukee, and we don’t think this Houston team is going to move the meter for the Clippers. They probably won’t have the energy to give 100% here even if they were inclined to, which we don’t think they will be. And who know who will take the court for LA as they often have a scratch in back-to-backs. Houston was off on Thursday. They have been playing much better lately and are coming off a win over Dallas and an easy cover against Phoenix. They are 3-0 ATS when getting this range of points as an underdog and 5-0 ATS on the road against above-.500 opponents. |
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04-09-21 | Wolves v. Celtics -8.5 | 136-145 | Win | 100 | 25 h 54 m | Show | |
Boston has been playing well lately and they have won three of four overall. They have been particularly good when a big favorite as they are 3-0 ATS in their last three when laying six or more points. That means they are taking care of business when they need to, and they are facing an overmatched opponent here tonight. Boston can’t afford to take any “lesser” teams for granted because of their average record this season, so we think they bring their A Game for a very winnable game. Minnesota hasn’t covered in Boston in seven years. |
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04-08-21 | Suns v. Clippers -6 | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
We are going to fade the Suns here, who played an amazing game against Utah last night that they won in OT. They played very hard in that game and left everything on the court. Don’t know how much they will have left in the tank here for the Clippers, who are playing as well as any team in the NBA right now and are relatively healthy. The Suns rarely play to expectations in this series as they are 1-8 ATS in the last 9 meetings away from home and 3-10 ATS overall in the last 13 meetings. |
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04-08-21 | Blazers +6 v. Jazz | 103-122 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
We think the Blazers are catching the Jazz at the right time here, off their epic game against the Suns on Wednesday. Utah lost in OT and both clubs gave it everything they had. The Blazers were off last night and they had a two-day rest before their last game, so they should be very well rested tonight compared to the home team. The Jazz have covered only one of their last five games, so they aren’t in top form right now. We expect a close game here and we think the Blazers have a great chance for the outright win in a clear letdown spot for Utah. |
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04-08-21 | Lakers +9.5 v. Heat | 104-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
Just not a believer in the Heat as this big of a favorite. The Lakers have seemingly figured out a way to play together recently as they have won two of three as they wait for their stars to come back. The Heat have won four of five but those were against a lousy bunch of teams. The Lakers are in danger of dropping down the standings and out of the playoff race if they aren’t competitive. They need to play hard in games like this and give themselves a chance to win. We had this game handicapped on the other side of the key NBA betting number of 7, so we think there’s nice value here. |
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04-07-21 | Knicks v. Celtics UNDER 209.5 | 99-101 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a meeting of two Top 10 defenses. The Knicks are by far the best defensive team in the NBA and this squad is a total throwback to the era when defenses ruled the court. They play with a lot of intensity on that side of the ball nearly every game. Six straight Celtics games have gone under the posted number. The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings and 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Boston. This is a big rivalry game and we expect both defenses to play hard here. |
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04-07-21 | Pelicans +9 v. Nets | 111-139 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
The Nets are 6-21 ATS this season when laying five or more points. This is one of the most overrated teams by the oddsmakers this season and this team is definitely a work in progress and we won’t see their true celling until the postseason. The Nets are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall, and we think this will be another close one. The Pelicans are inconsistent but can play with anyone when they are on, and they will probably be highly motivated tonight for this matchup. |
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04-07-21 | Wizards v. Magic UNDER 222.5 | Top | 131-116 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
The Wizards are trending to the under with all four of their recent games going under the posted total. They will probably be without NBA scoring leader Bradley Beal tonight. They have some other key players questionable as well. They have scored more than 106 points only once in their last six games. They have scored 91 or fewer in two of their last three games. The Magic have a ton of injury issues, too, and we don’t know where the offense will come from with this team, which is No. 29 in the NBA for scoring offense. We don’t see either team doing anything special on offense. The under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings in Orlando. |
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04-06-21 | Blazers v. Clippers -5.5 | 116-133 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
The Clippers have been somewhat streaky and they followed up a big win streak with a couple losses. But they had their big blowout win over the Lakers last time out and now we think they will continue the streak with a comfortable win here. Portland has been playing well but it could be Fool’s Gold as they have had a very easy schedule lately. They will take a big step up in competition here. The Clippers have covered in all four of the last four meetings and we think they are the much stronger team in this matchup. |
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04-06-21 | 76ers -1.5 v. Celtics | 106-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
Looks like the Celtics could be making a move. They had two easy opponents, but their last two games were blowout wins and covers. Boston usually brings their A Game against top opponents, and especially against Philly at home where they are 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings. Boston has had a strange and underachieving season so far, but this team looks to turn it on as we head towards the playoffs, and we had them handicapped as a slight favorite here. |
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04-06-21 | Lakers v. Raptors +1 | 110-101 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
We like what we have seen from Toronto lately. They had that monster win over the Warriors a couple games ago and then they came back with a big rally to beat Washington last night. They come in on a back-to-back here, but they have had a lot of success over the Lakers in the past and are 4-0 in the last four meetings at home and 19-7-1 in the last 27 meetings overall. The Lakers are just a poor team with their stars out and we expect the Raptors to win this one comfortably as they need every win they can get now. |
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04-05-21 | Suns v. Rockets UNDER 222 | 133-130 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
This series has a strong history of the under, with 7 of 10 meetings going under the posted total. Houston is on a back-to-back here, and they are 4-1 to the under in their last five with no rest. Phoenix is one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, and we just don’t see Houston doing anything on offense here. We think the rested Suns will hold the Rockets around the century mark on offense, and the Rockets will have to rely on defense here if they want to stay competitive. |
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04-05-21 | Wizards v. Raptors -4.5 | Top | 101-103 | Loss | -113 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
We have been patiently waiting for the Raptors to turn the corner. This team has a solid roster and there is no reason this team shouldn’t be making a playoff push. Well, with that game last time out, the dominating win over Golden State that was one of the biggest wins of the season in the NBA, maybe now is the time they start to turn it on. Sometimes all you are missing in the NBA is confidence, and they should have plenty of that after dismantling the Warriors. The Wizards are going nowhere fast, and who know which games they choose to give max effort in. We get the feeling Toronto will be the more motivated team tonight. |
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04-03-21 | Magic v. Jazz UNDER 217.5 | Top | 91-137 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
Orlando’s offense isn’t anything to write home about. They really struggle to put points on the board on a nightly basis. But they have been playing very good defense lately and they give a lot of effort on that end. Both teams have been trending to the under lately, and we think this game can go one of two ways. If Orlando is competitive here it will be on the strength of their defense. If it’s a blowout, the No. 5-ranked Jazz defense will probably keep the Magic under the century mark, which has been a pretty common occurrence for this team. Either scenario puts us in a good spot to cash this ticket. |
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04-03-21 | UCLA +14.5 v. Gonzaga | 90-93 | Win | 100 | 51 h 13 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #803 UCLA over Gonzaga (8:34p.m., Saturday, April 3 CBS) Just cannot justify laying this many points in a Final Four game. Gonzaga is loaded on offense but USC had numerous chances to cover tonight’s posted number in the Elite 8 and UCLA plays at a much slower pace. Gonzaga may jump out early but UCLA has came back in numerous tournament games this year. UCLA is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games. The Bruins find a way to keep this deficit around 8-10 points and we collect with the underdog. |
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04-03-21 | Houston v. Baylor -5 | Top | 59-78 | Win | 100 | 48 h 55 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #802 Baylor over Houston (5:14p.m., Saturday, April 3 CBS) Baylor cleared a major hurdle by getting to the Final Four and expect them to play a more relaxed game against Houston. The Cougars are an outstanding defensive team, but I just do not believe that they will be able to match Baylor’s high-powered offense to keep the deficit in single digits. Baylor is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 neutral site games when they are the favorite. Houston got all that they could handle from Rutgers in the round of 32 and I see do not believe they can keep up in scoring with the Bears. |
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04-02-21 | Hornets v. Pacers UNDER 219.5 | Top | 114-97 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
Both teams scored under 90 points in their last outing. We are willing to bet that the poor shooting and lethargic play carries over into this matchup. The Hornets have been an ATS covering machine lately, and that has been on the strength of their defense as their offense has been inconsistent. Seven of their last eight games have gone under the posted total, and the under is 26-7 in the last 33 meetings in Indiana. We think this is another total that has been posted too high and we had this one penciled in at 214. |
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04-01-21 | Magic +9 v. Pelicans | Top | 115-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
The Magic are playing well. They are coming off a confidence-boosting win in LA against the Clippers and they have covered in seven of their last nine games overall. This young team plays solid defense and lately they have been able to put together enough offense to stay competitive. The Pelicans have Zion and Ball on the injury report tonight. If one or both can’t go that will help us a lot. We think Orlando can keep this close regardless of the status of those players. The Pelicans have not been good as a big favorite this season. They are 1-5 ATS when laying 7.5 or more points. They could be in a letdown spot after one of their biggest wins of the season against Boston. They are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a winning percentage below .400. Orlando has also covered in all of the last four meetings. We expect a close game here. |
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03-31-21 | Knicks v. Wolves UNDER 218.5 | 101-102 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a revenge game for New York and their coach, who was fired from the Wolves. The Knicks have totally bought into his defensive philosophy and they have the best D in the NBA. They have gone under in six of their last seven games overall and held six of their last seven opponents to 102 or fewer points. Minnesota is probably the worst team in the NBA and New York will be very motivated to play shut down defense here. Both teams are among the worst offenses in the league, but we think there’s a great chance that New York holds Minnesota under the century mark tonight. |
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03-31-21 | Raptors v. Thunder UNDER 223 | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Toronto should be a lot better defensively than they have been. They were pretty much embarrassed in their last game by the Pistons, who scored 118 on them. We were on Toronto in that one and stated it was a must win game as the playoffs are quickly slipping away. But now this is REALLY a must win game. OKC doesn’t have a very good offense, and we see the Raptors really giving full effort on defense here in this one. As long as the road team doesn’t put up a monster number on offense, we think this one will easily go under. |
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03-31-21 | Blazers v. Pistons OVER 221 | 124-101 | Win | 101 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
The Blazers have been playing real well on offense and they should be able to put up a huge point total here. They scored 122 in Toronto and 125 in Miami in recent games. Portland has the No. 27-ranked defense in the NBA, so Detroit should get their points, especially at home. Both teams are trending to the over with the Blazers going over in three straight and Detroit in three of four. Detroit scored 118 last time out so we think they can put up a respectable number here. Seven of the last 10 meetings in Detroit have gone over the posted total. |
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03-30-21 | Magic v. Clippers UNDER 215.5 | 103-96 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
We expect a down game from the Clippers here. They are missing some starters and are coming in on a back-to-back after playing their best game of the season as they dominated the Bucks last night here at Staples. After that performance, how do they get hyped to play the Bucks? Paul George was out last night and he could miss this game, and will they wit Kawhi in a game where they can probably win with the bench? Orlando isn’t a high-scoring team but they have been playing pretty good defense. We don’t see the Clippers putting up a strong effort here and we think this will be a low scoring game. |
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03-30-21 | USC v. Gonzaga -8 | 66-85 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #658 Gonzaga over Southern Cal (7:15p.m., Tuesday, March 30 TBS) We saw last night that the better team jumped out big early in both games and expect Gonzaga to do that on Tuesday as well. The Bulldogs are the best team in the country, and they have the tools to combat the Trojans on defense and I just do not believe USC can keep up in scoring. USC has covered every NCAA Tournament games under Andy Enfield and that streak will end tonight. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports |