Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-19-18 | Warriors v. Spurs +3.5 | Top | 110-97 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Golden St. has dominated the first two games of this series, winning by 21 and 15 points and it is a big public consensus again tonight as not many are giving the Spurs any chance in this series to win a game. This is the game to win as San Antonio heads home where it is 33-8 on the season including 11 straight wins. This recent winning streak includes victories against eight current playoff teams although the win over Golden St. does come with an asterisk as none of the big four played, but all the others were legit. The Spurs offense will have to get better and it has been much more efficient at home this season and they have been a great bounce back team as they are 18-5 ATS in their last 23 home games after three straight games where they shot 42 percent or worse from the floor. Despite the two recent covers, Golden St. is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 games against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 while going 3-11 ATS in its 14 games this season coming off two or more consecutive home wins. Additionally, we play on home teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 where the line is +3 to -3, coming off two or more consecutive road losses, playing a winning team. This situation is 80-42 ATS (65.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (528) San Antonio Spurs |
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04-18-18 | Pacers v. Cavs -7.5 | Top | 97-100 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the Cleveland CAVALIERS for our NBA Wednesday Supreme Annihilator. We won with Indiana on Sunday in a wire-to-wire victory, but we will be backing the Cavaliers tonight in a bounce back situation. This goes along with the bounce angle, or zig-zag theory, in the NBA playoffs which has been an up and down philosophy over the years. The theory is to back the team that lost the previous game and while it was highly successful years ago, linesmakers have adjusted more recently so these zig-zag spots have to be chosen more carefully. One of those is tonight. The loser of Game One is just 1-4 ATS in Game Two thus far but tonight we have a situation that involves reverse line movement. As of Wednesday morning, over 60 percent of tickets and money are on the Pacers, yet the line is moving the other way and backing the lesser bet team has paid off in the postseason despite what may seem like a bad line. Since 2005, playoff favorites receiving 40 percent or fewer of spread tickets have gone 31-17-2 ATS (64.6%) when there is reverse line movement, which is the case for Cleveland. The Cavaliers cannot shoot any worse than they did in Game One as they shot 38.5 percent from the floor including a ridiculous 25 percent from outside of five feet. You will hear some media talking about how Indiana shot lights out but that was not the case it shot below its season average and that was against what is considered a bad defense. It comes down to Cleveland shooting tonight. Additionally, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off two or more consecutive home losses, in April games. This situation is 37-11 ATS (77.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (518) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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04-17-18 | Wizards +7.5 v. Raptors | Top | 119-130 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Washington played Toronto tough for three quarters but a flagrant foul by Mike Scott early in the fourth quarter gave the Raptors a spark which led to a 7-0 run that eventually put the game away. The win snapped a 10-game losing streak of series opening losses so while that gives Toronto some positive momentum, the Wizards are in a good spot to keep another game close and this time throughout the entire contest. A big key for Washington is John Wall as he put up decent numbers in Game One, but he needs to be more efficient. He needed 20 field-goal attempts to get his 23 points, and his 15 assists came attached to five turnovers. One of the biggest differences in Game One was the shooting from the perimeter, as the Raptors doubled the Wizards with a franchise playoff best 16 made three-pointers on 30 attempts. We expect that percentage to come down in Game Two. Despite the win and cover, the Raptors are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a losing road record. Additionally, we play on road underdogs after failing to cover five or six of their last seven games against the spread going up against an opponent after having covered two of their last three games against the spread. This situation is 178-114 (61 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (705) Washington Wizards |
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04-15-18 | Pacers +7 v. Cavs | Top | 98-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Sunday Star Attraction. Many are predicting the Cavaliers to once again make it our of the east and while that is not a bold statement, the gap between the Cavaliers and every other team has shrunk. They are laying a number they do not deserve to be laying as the power rankings do not call for it and neither does the Cleveland history from this season as it is 3-14 ATS as a home favorite between 6.5 and 12 points. The Cavaliers have 19 wins over top 16 teams in the league and that is tied for third fewest among all playoff teams (Indiana has 21). The Pacers bring some momentum into the postseason as they have won seven of their last 10 which includes the season ending loss where the starter sat and going back, they are 14-7 since the start of March and 18-9 since mid-February. Indiana held its own against the Cavaliers this season, winning three of the four meetings which could make this a very interesting series and one that will not be as easy as some may think and a lot of that will come down to the poor Cleveland defense. Here, we play against home favorites after allowing 100 points or more in five straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 59-26 (69.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (511) Indiana Pacers |
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04-14-18 | Pelicans v. Blazers -5.5 | Top | 97-95 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. We won with the Blazers in their final regular season game as they were able to lock down the No. 3 seed in the Western Conference but more importantly, they put an end to their four-game losing streak. It was a difficult stretch leading up to Wednesday as seven of their previous nine games were on the road where they finished 21-20 on the season. Portland has to take advantage of its home floor and it has been hot, covering 20 of their last 27 home games. Additionally, they are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games against teams allowing 106 or more ppg with the average scoring margin being more than 10 ppg. New Orleans won its final five games of the regular season to nail down a playoff spot. Three of those games were on the road and while a win over Golden St. was good, the Warriors have not been the same team. The Pelicans lost their previous three road games against playoff teams and while the road has been good overall, they are just 7-22 ATS in their last 29 road games coming off a double-digit win. They fall into a negative situation where we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a divisional win by 20 points or more going up against an opponent off a home win. This situation is 33-12 ATS (73.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (508) Portland Trailblazers |
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04-11-18 | Jazz v. Blazers -3.5 | Top | 93-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. Several games tonight have playoff implications but only four of those involve both teams playing for something. This is one of those as Portland and Utah are playing for seeding and while it is more important for Utah since a loss and a win by Oklahoma City drops it into fifth place, we feel it is bigger for the Blazers just from a mental standpoint. They have lost their last four games although all of those were on the road including the final three against playoff teams. It was not that long ago that the Blazers won 13 consecutive games so ending the regular season on a 4-8 run is the last thing they want. They are 27-13 at home and the Blazers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning straight up record. This is a huge game for the Jazz as mentioned but they could not be in a worse spot due to who they are playing and coming off a 40-point win over the Warriors last night. Utah has won six straight games to get into this position, but this is the first back-to-back over this stretch. While the Jazz are 7-0 in the second of a back-to-back at home, they are just 3-5 on the road and they have failed to cover their last four games playing with no rest. Additionally, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are revenging a home loss of 10 points or more, off a home win by 10 points or more. This situation is 114-62 ATS (64.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (720) Portland Trailblazers |
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04-10-18 | Celtics v. Wizards -7 | Top | 101-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. There are two teams in action tonight that are playing for something as Philadelphia needs to win to move back a game in front of Cleveland for the No. 3 seed while Washington is looking to get out of the No. 8 spot. The Wizards are a half-game behind Miami and a win here and tomorrow against Atlanta could vault them up as the Heat face Toronto in their final game. The No. 7 spot is big as that teams would face Boston in the first round with the Celtics being the weakest of the top four teams with home court advantage. Washington could use some momentum as well as it has lost four straight games, all of which took place since John Wall returned but that is a bit skewed as he rested in two of those and the other two were on the road in Cleveland and Houston. Boston is playing out the string of the regular season as it remains without Kyrie Irving and Marcus Smart and it comes into tonight losers of three of its last four games. This is an instance where we are seeing reverse line movement as the public is on Boston and it is the biggest road consensus of the night, yet we are seeing the number move the other way. Going back, Washington is 83-53 ATS in its last 136 games coming off an upset loss as a favorite. 10* (506) Washington Wizards |
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04-09-18 | Pelicans v. Clippers +7.5 | Top | 113-100 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Monday Star Attraction. The Western Conference playoff race is going to come down to the final day of the regular season as five teams are fighting for four spots while only the top two seeds know their positioning. This is obviously a must win game for New Orleans which is currently tied for fifth place with San Antonio and Oklahoma City, but a must win is hardly a guarantee let alone a cover. These must win teams have their prices severely inflated due to the situation as four other teams that need to win are favored by double-digits while the Pelicans are heavy road favorites. To their credit, they have been solid as road favorites this season but 10 of 12 wins have come against teams with losing records. The Clippers are missing the playoffs for the first time in seven years following their loss to Denver on Saturday. While they may be feeling the letdown from that, what makes this play a special one is the fact that it is a nationally televised game so there is no way they will lie down. They fall into a successful situation as well as we play against road favorites after a win by six points or less going up against an opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more in four straight games. This situation is 48-24 ATS (66.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (718) Los Angeles Clippers |
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04-08-18 | Pacers -2.5 v. Hornets | Top | 123-117 | Win | 100 | 3 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. The Pacers are in fifth place in the Eastern Conference with no chance to move down but they still have a shot at the No. 4 spot which would be huge. Right now, they would face the Cavaliers in the first round without home court advantage, but flipping is ideal and while the chances are slim, they are still there. Indiana is coming off one of its worst games offensively as it scored just 73 points against the Raptors on Friday, so of for nothing else, it wants to get back in the groove as this is one of the best offenses in the NBA. The Pacers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games following a loss by 15 or more points. Charlotte meanwhile is coming off one its best games offensively as it put up 137 points against Orlando on Friday. That snapped a four-game slide, but this is a team playing for nothing at this point. Charlotte is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games when playing against a team with a winning record and it falls into a negative situation where we play against home underdogs after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half. This situation is 85-38 ATS (69.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (503) Indiana Pacers |
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04-06-18 | Cavs v. 76ers -3.5 | Top | 130-132 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. The Cavaliers won a huge game last night as they came back from 16 points down in the final quarter to move into sole possession of third place in the Eastern Conference. While that is the main story, Cleveland was down by 17 points at one point which no one will talk about, but it needs to be brought up, especially in the second game of a back-to-back. The Sixers have won 12 straight games which put them into a tie for third place at the time before last night and now they host their biggest game of the season. A win here leapfrogs them over Cleveland into the No. 3 spot with a very favorable schedule in their remaining three games so that means hosting a first round series. The Sixers have beaten a lot of bad teams during this winning streak, but they also have their share of quality wins and Cleveland has played the third easiest schedule in the league. The Sixers are 16-4 ATS in their last 20 games against teams allowing 106 or more ppg and they fall into a situation where we play against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 where the line is +3 to -3 after successfully covering the spread in three or more consecutive games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 41-18 ATS (69.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (508) Philadelphia 76ers |
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04-05-18 | Warriors v. Pacers +3 | Top | 106-126 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Golden St. has won three straight games as it is getting healthier heading into the playoffs starting next week. Staying healthy is the concern now with four regular season games remaining as the Warriors are locked into the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference, so the effort could be lacking while the starting players minutes could be knocked down some. Indiana is still playing for something as it is currently in the fifth spot in the Eastern Conference, two games behind Philadelphia for the fourth spot. If the Pacers stay here and the Sixers move ahead of the Cavaliers, a first round series against Cleveland looms so Indiana wants to get out of this spot and it will likely mean winning out. The Pacers are 26-13 at home and going back, they are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games following a road trip of seven or more days. Meanwhile, the Warriors are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning straight up record and they fall into a negative situation where we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after a win by six points or less going up against an opponent after a loss by six points or less. This situation is 54-23 ATS (70.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (702) Indiana Pacers |
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04-04-18 | Grizzlies +13.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 95-123 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. It has been a rough stretch for the Pelicans which have dropped four straight games to remain in eighth place in the Western Conference and while they have been unable to move up, more importantly they have allowed the Nuggets and Clippers to cut the gap to a half-game and a game and a half respectively. This has turned into a must win game for New Orleans, but it has not turned into a must win game that needs to be won by double-digits. It has been a brutal season for Memphis and based on the overall record and what has been at stake, the pointspreads have been overinflated which is the case here as well. The Grizzlies are 7-3 ATS this season as double-digit underdogs and have covered four straight games against winning teams. Additionally, two situations are in play. First, we play against home favorites after three straight losses by six points or less. This situation is 47-20 (70.1 percent) since 1996. Second, we play on underdogs of 10 or more points that average between 98 and 102 going up against teams allowing 102 ppg, after allowing 105 points or more. This situation is 41-14 (74.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (509) Memphis Grizzlies |
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04-03-18 | Spurs v. Clippers +2 | Top | 110-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. The Western Conference playoff race is wide open as four games separate fourth place and tenth place with this game featuring both teams on each end of that group. San Antonio has won eight of its last 10 games to take over fourth place, but it has to be noted that those eight wins came at home and the two losses came on the road. The Spurs are 14-24 on the road but they come in as road favorites despite that. The Clippers are two games out of eighth place with five games remaining with two of those games coming against teams they will have to pass, Denver and New Orleans. That gives them a great opportunity to make a move but cannot afford to lose more ground before then. Four of the last five games are at home where they are 21-16 and they fall into the same situation as the other game where we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 having covered six or seven of their last eight games against the spread, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 74-38 ATS (66.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (726) Los Angeles Clippers |
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04-03-18 | Celtics v. Bucks -1 | Top | 102-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. Boston heads back on the road following a six-game winning streak and two-day layoff as it looks to close the gap with the Raptors which play in Cleveland tonight. The winning streak has been impressive with four victories coming against current playoff teams and all of this has been done without their best player Kyrie Irving. While going after first place is important, this game is much more important for the Bucks. Milwaukee is currently sitting in eighth place in the Eastern Conference and it can all but lock up a playoff spot with a victory as it leads ninth place Detroit by four games with five games left for each team. The Bucks are 23-15 at home and going back, they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Milwaukee falls into a great situation where we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 having covered six or seven of their last eight games against the spread, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 74-38 ATS (66.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (712) Milwaukee Bucks |
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04-01-18 | Pistons -1 v. Nets | Top | 108-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. The Pistons are hanging on by a thread for their playoff lives as they have won four straight games and with the Miami loss last night, they are four and a half games out of the eighth spot in the Eastern Conference. Detroit won against the Knicks last night and while this is a back-to-back, there is no travel involved which makes it a lot easier. The Pistons have struggled on the road for the most part this season but that has mostly been against the top teams which is not the case tonight. We played against Brooklyn last night and it defeated the Heat in overtime for its third straight win over Miami. It also accomplished the Florida sweep as it defeated Orlando three nights earlier. The Nets are tied for the third worst record in the Eastern Conference and seventh overall and they have not won three straight games all season, going 0-5 the five previous times they won consecutive games. They are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 home games against teams with a losing road record while the Pistons are 6-0 ATS in their last six games against teams with a losing straight up record. Additionally, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a road win by three points or less, playing on back-to-back days. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (515) Detroit Pistons |
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03-31-18 | Nets v. Heat -7.5 | Top | 110-109 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. Miami has won two straight games to remain in a tie for seventh place in the Eastern Conference and this is the spot it wants to head into the postseason. Avoiding eighth place would mean missing Toronto and playing Boston which is a preferred matchup against the banged-up Celtics. This is the second of five straight games against four of the five worst teams in the conference before closing the season against Oklahoma City and Toronto. The Heat have covered seven of their last eight home games. Brooklyn is coming off a win as it defeated Orlando on Wednesday and you have to go all the way back to January 31st to find the last time the Nets defeated a playoff bound team. The last time they defeated a playoff bound team on the road was back on December 29th and it happened to come in this building which is the first of two straight wins over the Heat and bring into play a huge situation. We play on home teams that are revenging two consecutive losses as a favorite, off two or more consecutive home wins. This situation is 39-14 ATS (73.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (808) Miami Heat |
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03-28-18 | Cavs v. Hornets | Top | 118-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND CAVALIERS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. Cleveland had its five-game winning streak snapped in Miami last night and it was not pretty as the Cavaliers managed a mere 79 points on 36.5 percent shooting. It was their lowest scoring output on the season with their previous low being 88 points and after Tuesday, we can expect a full effort tonight. Cleveland will likely be without Kevin Love who left last night with concussion-like symptoms but if he is able to come back and play, that will be an added bonus, and all other starters were held below their normal minute-load so the back-to-back will not be as bad. Charlotte is 5.5 games out of the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference, so it is holding out hope of a miracle run to end the season. The Hornets have won four straight games, but those games were against the Nets, Grizzlies, Mavericks and Knicks which are four of the eight worst teams in the league. Since January 20, Charlotte owns just two wins over teams with winning records, going 2-14 over that stretch. While Cleveland has struggled in this price range, the Hornets have been horrible by going 3-16 ATS as underdogs of fewer than five points. This includes a 1-7 straight up and ATS record as home underdogs where they have gone 2-13 ATS the last two years. 10* (505) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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03-27-18 | Blazers v. Pelicans -1 | Top | 107-103 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. New Orleans got a much-needed break as it has had two days off following a stretch of six games in eight days and it is the only team in the league that will have to play three straight games. This was due to a makeup game against Indiana that got sandwiched in on Wednesday. The Pelicans did go 4-2 over this stretch with the two losses coming against the Rockets and they are now tied for fifth place in the Western Conference. This is a big matchup as they can close the gap to a game and a half behind Portland for third place. The Blazers ran off 13 straight wins before losing consecutive games at home against Houston and Boston but did bounce back on Sunday with a win at Oklahoma City. They have been solid on the road with a 20-15 record but have won only nine of 22 games as road underdogs. New Orleans has covered five straight home games and it falls into a positive situation where we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 100 points or more two straight games going up against an opponent after a win by three points or less. This situation is 59-26 ATS (69.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (766) New Orleans Pelicans |
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03-24-18 | Wolves +7.5 v. 76ers | Top | 108-120 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. The Sixers have moved into the No. 4 spot in the Eastern Conference thanks to five straight wins. However, those five wins came against four of the six worst teams in the Eastern Conference and the second worst team in the Western Conference. Going back further, Philadelphia 10-0 in its last 10 games against non-playoff teams while going 1-5 against teams currently in a playoff position since February 23. The Sixers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning straight up record. The Timberwolves have won two in a row to move ahead of Utah for seventh place in the Western Conference and they are just a game and a half out of fourth place. Minnesota has played the fourth toughest schedule in the NBA and it has played exceptional against the top half of the league as its 23 wins are third most in the league behind Houston and Golden St. Going back, the Timberwolves are 21-9 in their last 30 games as road underdogs between 6.5 and 12 points while going 10-2 ATS this season revenging a loss as a favorite. Additionally, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are revenging a home loss, off a road win. This situation is 90-49 ATS (64.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (501) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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03-23-18 | Jazz v. Spurs -3 | Top | 120-124 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. After sitting on the outside of the Western Conference playoffs for a short amount of time, San Antonio has regrouped with five straight wins to move back up to the No. 6 spot. The Spurs are just 2.5 games out of the No. 3 spot but at the same time, they are just three games out of being back on the outside so finishing this homestand a perfect 6-0 is huge. One of the teams on their tail is Utah as it trails San Antonio by two games following a win in Dallas last night. The Jazz have won 10 of their last 11 games so they are clearly playing at a high level and will have the attention of the Spurs. Adding to that is the fact that Utah has won the first three meetings so revenge is in play as the Spurs look to avoid getting swept by Utah for the first time since 2009-10 and just the third time ever. Utah has been solid this season when playing with no rest as it is 10-4 but most of that success has come at home where it is 7-0 in the second of a back-to-back set. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off two or more consecutive home wins, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .501 and .600. This situation is 61-30 ATS (67 percent) since 1996. Additionally, the Spurs are 11-3 ATS this season at home coming off a home win. 10* (866) San Antonio Spurs |
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03-22-18 | Hawks v. Kings -2.5 | Top | 90-105 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Atlanta is coming off a rare road win at it upset Utah on Tuesday as a 14-point underdog. That was just the sixth road victory for the Hawks this season and they have yet to win consecutive road games this season. Those follow up road losses have come by an average of 8.4 ppg and they have won consecutive games of any kind only three times all season, going 3-17 after a victory. Sacramento is coming off a loss against Detroit at home on Monday but the Kings have been playing decent down the stretch, going 5-6 over their last 11 games. Five of those defeats have come against teams that are currently in playoff spots with Detroit being the exception. The difference in that game against the Pistons was free throws as Sacramento was outscored 18-4 from the charity stripe. The Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning percentage below .400 while the Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against teams with a losing straight up record. Additionally, we play on favorites that are revenging a loss of 10 points or more against opponent off a road win. This situation is 114-66 ATS (63.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (812) Sacramento Kings |
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03-21-18 | Nuggets v. Bulls +9 | Top | 135-102 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. We are catching another situation tonight where we have a line that is overinflated due to the tanking theory as Denver is favored by a huge amount despite possessing only 11 road wins this season. It will be argued that the Nuggets are clearly the better team and while that is the case, they have been priced at this number on two other occasions and lost both games outright at Memphis and at Sacramento. Denver is coming off a double-overtime loss at Miami last time out and has lost four straight on the highway with three of those coming against non-playoff teams. Chicago has dropped two straight games and going back, it is 4-6 in its last 10 home games. Three of those losses came against the Cavaliers, Clippers and Sixers and the Bulls covered all those games. They are a respectable 11-8 ATS at home against teams with a winning record while Denver is 3-11 ATS on the road against teams with a losing record. Additionally, the Nuggets are 4-13 ATS this season after scoring 120 or more points. Chicago is getting the most points at home since December and they have played home games against Toronto (twice), Houston, Golden St., Boston and Cleveland which shows how inflated it is tonight. 10* (762) Chicago Bulls |
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03-20-18 | Raptors v. Magic +10 | Top | 93-86 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. We played on Orlando last week as it defeated Milwaukee at home with the bet partly based on the tanking theory. All this talk about tanking is laughable at times. Franchises can set teams up to not survive late in the season, but players are not tanking for their team to get better draft positions. They are playing for their own careers and contracts so backing teams or fading teams because of tanking is absurd. The Magic lost their most recent game against Boston on Friday but now have extra rest and they will be getting Aaron Gordon back tonight. Orlando is 14-7 ATS when getting eight or more points. The Raptors had their 11-game winning streak snapped on Sunday against Oklahoma City and while many will call for a bounce back here, they are being asked to lay way too many points. This is the most Toronto has been favored by on the road, a point more than the last meeting here in February which it won and that sets up a slid revenge situation. We play on home teams with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 that are revenging a home loss of 10 points or more, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 36-13 (73.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (652) Orlando Magic |
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03-19-18 | Nuggets +1.5 v. Heat | Top | 141-149 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. This line came out late because of the questionable status of Heat center Hassan Whiteside but he has recent been downgraded to out with a hip injury. We are expecting a huge bounce back effort from Denver tonight after Saturday night's loss to the Grizzlies, which entered that game with the worst record in the NBA and riding a 19-game losing streak. The Nuggets are still sitting in ninth place in the Western Conference playoff standings as they trail Minnesota by a game and a half, but they are only two games out of fifth place. Motivation is big in this league as egos can get in the way and that embarrassing loss against Memphis will have Denver up for redemption. The Nuggets are 7-2-2 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Miami is coming off a 1-2 roadtrip but it did defeat the Lakers in the finale to remain in eighth place in the Eastern Conference. With Detroit sitting six and a half games behind the Heat, there is not as much of a sense of urgency. In addition to Whiteside being out, Dwyane Wade remains out with a hamstring issue. Denver falls into a strong situation as we play against home teams in a game involving two teams that are +/- 3 ppg in scoring differential.), after a win by three points or less. This situation is 61-34 ATS (64.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (607) Denver Nuggets |
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03-18-18 | Blazers v. Clippers -2 | Top | 122-109 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Portland won last night against Detroit to make it 12 straight wins for the Blazers and they remain in third place in the Western Conference playoff standings. While the winning streak has been impressive, nine of the wins have come at home while two road wins came at teams not contending for a playoff spot. The only impressive road win was at Utah as the Blazers are now 18-15 on the highway. The Clippers are coming off a three-game roadtrip where they dropped the final two games against the Rockets and Thunder as an emotional game against Houston was followed by a letdown performance in Oklahoma City the following night. Los Angeles is still in the hunt for a playoff spot as it is a game and a half behind New Orleans for the eighth and final spot. The Clippers are 20-14 at home including wins in five of their last seven games here. Going back, they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a loss and fall into a contrarian situation where we play against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 where the line is +3 to -3 after successfully covering the spread in three or more consecutive games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 40-16 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (708) Los Angeles Clippers |
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03-17-18 | Mavs v. Nets -2.5 | Top | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. Both Dallas and Brooklyn played last night, and the results were somewhat similar with both losing close games against much better opposition. We give the edge tonight to Brooklyn which heads home following a tough loss to the Sixers last night after blowing a 13-point lead. The Nets have had their issues playing with no rest this season, but the venue has played a big role as they are 0-10 in the second of back-to-back games on the road but when they are home, they are a perfect 3-0 straight up and against the number. Dallas put together a solid effort last night as it took Toronto to overtime before losing by seven points. This came after a win in News York against the Knicks on Tuesday and because of this good start to the roadtrip, we can expect a letdown tonight as there is little reason to get up for this one. Coming off a near win against the best team in the Eastern Conference makes it worse as the Mavericks are 6-17 ATS in their last 23 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400 and the small price does not help as they are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games when the line is +3 to -3. Meanwhile, the Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last five games coming off a loss. 10* (508) Brooklyn Nets |
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03-16-18 | Kings +10.5 v. Warriors | Top | 98-93 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. This line came out late due to the questionable status of Kevin Durant who could be out with a rib injury, but we are banking on him playing. If he does not go, that is a bonus, but we will not know this until later tonight, so the best option is to bet this now in case he does sit which will bring the line down. The Warriors will get Draymond Green back, but they are still without Steph Curry and Klay Thompson and there will not be much motivation to win this one going away. Sacramento is coming off an overtime win over Miami and it has gone 4-4 in its last eight games so do not talk to the Kings about tanking. We played on them in their last road game at Oklahoma City which resulted in an easy cover and we should expect a similar effort here. The Kings have covered eight of their last 11 road games while the Warriors are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win and 14-30 ATS in their last 44 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. The Kings are backed by a strong situation where we play on underdogs of 10 or more points that are averaging between 98 and 102 ppg going up against a team allowing 102 or more ppg, after allowing 105 points or more. This situation is 41-12 ATS (77.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (809) Sacramento Kings |
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03-15-18 | Raptors -4 v. Pacers | Top | 106-99 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Toronto and Indiana are the two hottest teams in the Eastern Conference with the Raptors riding a nine-game winning streak while the Pacers have been victories in three straight games. Toronto has a 4.5-game lead over Boston in the Atlantic Division and it became the third team behind Houston and Golden St. to hit the 50-win mark. While the Raptors possess the best home record in the NBA, they are 10 games over .500 on the road and have covered six of their last seven games on the highway. Indiana has taken over first place in the Central Division which has put it in third place in the Eastern Conference. The Pacers have won six of their last seven games and while some of those victories have been solid, this has been a tough situation this season as they are 4-9 as home underdogs and the favorite has gone 28-7 in 35 home games. Two situations back the Raptors. First, we play against road favorites that are coming off a divisional win by 10 points or more playing their 3rd road game in five days. This situation is 25-3 ATS (89.3 percent) since 1996. Second, we play against underdogs with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 that are coming or more consecutive wins as a road underdog, playing a winning team. This situation is 36-13 ATS (73.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (701) Toronto Raptors |
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03-14-18 | Bucks v. Magic +8.5 | Top | 117-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. All this talk about tanking is laughable at times. Franchises can set teams up to not survive late in the season, but players are not tanking for their team to get better draft positions. They are playing for their own careers and contracts so backing teams or fading teams because of tanking is absurd. Orlando is coming off a 36-point loss in San Antonio last night to conclude a 0-5 roadtrip as the home team got the calls with the Magic going to the free throw line only nine times compared to 23 times for the Spurs. Orlando now heads home where it has played much better including wins in two straight games and while it is under .500, it is getting outscored by just 2.8 ppg. The Magic have covered five straight games playing with no rest while winning and covering both games this season when going from the road to home on back-to-back nights. Milwaukee has won two straight games to remain in seventh place in the Eastern Conference. But it is bunched as only four games separate third and eighth place. The Bucks are just 15-17 on the road and on the season, they are 0-4 ATS when laying eight or more points. Orlando meanwhile is 13-7 ATS as an underdog of eight or more points. With these teams having played here a month ago and Milwaukee being favored by five points, we are clearing seeing an overinflated line this time around which squarely puts the value on the Magic. 10* (602) Orlando Magic |
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03-13-18 | Raptors v. Nets +9 | Top | 116-102 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS as part of our NBA Tuesday Trifecta. Toronto is playing some of the best basketball in the league as its current eight-game winning streak is the second longest in the NBA right now behind Portland and this includes a win over Houston, which snapped the Rockets 16-game winning streak. The Raptors struggled in the first meeting here in January as it took overtime to win and that was also part of a winning streak. The Nets lost to Philadelphia on Sunday to fall to 1-5 in their last six games with the other four losses coming on the road. Brooklyn has been surprisingly strong against top competition here as it is 7-0 ATS in its last seven home games against teams with a winning road record and overall, it is 9-1 ATS in 10 games this season when playing against teams with a winning percentage of .700 or better. These are part of their success when getting inflated lines as the Nets are 23-7 in their 30 games when receiving six or more points and they are catching a bucket more than that first meeting here against Toronto. They fall into a great situation where we play on teams coming off a home divisional loss going up against an opponent off a divisional win. This situation is 52-23 ATS (69.3 percent) over the last 5 seasons. 10* (526) Brooklyn Nets |
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03-13-18 | Mavs v. Knicks +2 | Top | 110-97 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS as part of our NBA Tuesday Trifecta. This line came out late due to the questionable status of Knicks Enes Kanter. It has been a rough stretch for the Knicks as they have lost seven straight games and are now 1-15 over their last 16 games. You can argue they are tanking but the schedule has been unfavorable as of those 16 games, 14 were against teams currently residing in a playoff spot and the two exceptions resulted in three-point losses. Eight of the Knicks last 12 games have come on the road and the four home games were against Toronto, Boston, Golden St. and Washington. Dallas has been struggling just as much as it has lost 18 of its last 24 games since mid-January including dropping 10 of 11 games on the road. The lone win came at Sacramento where the Kings managed just six free throw attempts. The Mavericks are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400 while the Knicks are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Additionally, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are revenging a loss against opponent off a divisional loss. This situation is 44-21 ATS (67.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (528) New York Knicks |
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03-13-18 | Pacers v. 76ers -5.5 | Top | 101-98 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS as part of our NBA Tuesday Trifecta. The Sixers are back home following a four-game roadtrip where they split while seven of their last eight games have been on the highway. This starts the stretch where seven of their last nine games are at home and they must take advantage where they have been successful this season. Philadelphia is just one of two teams in the Eastern Conference that has fewer than 10 losses on its home floor and going back to January 15th, the Sixers have won 11 straight home games. They are just two games out of third place in the Eastern Conference which is currently held by Indiana, making this a huge game. The Pacers are coming off a win at Boston on Sunday and have won three straight road games where they are .500 on the season. Philadelphia is 13-4 ATS as a home favorite of six points or less this season while going 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games after a double-digit win. The Sixers have covered nine of their last 10 home games following four or more road games and they falls into a successful situation where we play against teams coming off a road win by three points or less, playing their sixth or more game in 10 days. This situation is 96-56 ATS (63.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (524) Philadelphia 76ers |
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03-12-18 | Kings +12.5 v. Thunder | Top | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. The Thunder defeated San Antonio on Saturday to make it two straight wins to move into sixth place in the Western Conference, but the inconsistencies of this team cannot be ignored. They have covered just two of their last nine games following a victory and their 20 conference losses are tied for the most of all current playoffs teams in the west. One of those losses came against the Kings and Sacramento has played them tough all season as it has covered the first three meetings. The Kings are coming off a loss last night in Denver and they have gone 4-2 ATS this season in the second of back-to-back road games playing with no rest. Additionally, they are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss. Oklahoma City is 9-20 ATS this season when favored by six or more points while going 8-23 ATS this season against teams that allow 46 percent shooting or higher. The Kings fall into a solid situation as we play on double-digit underdogs that are averaging between 98 and 102 ppg going up against teams allowing 102 ppg or more, after a loss by 10 points or more. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (503) Sacramento Kings |
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03-11-18 | Pacers v. Celtics -6.5 | Top | 99-97 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Sunday Supreme Annihilator. The Celtics concluded a 2-1 roadtrip with a victory over Minnesota on Thursday and they return home to improve upon their 23-11 record here. Boston remains two and a half games behind Toronto in the Eastern Conference, where the Raptors have won seven straight, and look to keep pace with the Raptors facing the lowly Knicks today. With the latest win over Minnesota, the Celtics are 18-9 ATS against teams with a winning record. Indiana went 2-1 on its recent homestand where it has been great all season, but the Pacers are a game under .500 on the road and they come into today having played the easiest schedule in the league. They have only seven wins against top ten teams and have failed to cover four of their last five games following a double-digit win. Indiana won the most recent meeting last month here in Boston and the Celtics are 13-2 ATS revenging a loss this season. Additionally, Boston falls into a solid situation where we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season that have a scoring differential between +3 to +7 ppg going up against a team with a scoring differential between +3 and -3, after scoring 105 points or more two straight games. This situation is 94-54 ATS (63.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (814) Boston Celtics |
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03-10-18 | Magic +11.5 v. Clippers | Top | 105-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. The Magic are coming off a loss last night in Sacramento which was their third straight loss to start this five-game roadtrip. They are catching a huge number tonight and this is the most points they have seen since covering 13 points in Houston back on January 30 and this includes road games at Oklahoma City and Utah which are both higher ranked than the Clippers. While the losses have been mounting, Orlando has been competitive as seven of their last 10 losses have come by seven points or less. The Magic are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games following a loss while going a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last four games playing with no rest. The Clippers are coming off a win over Cleveland last night which puts them in a prime letdown spot tonight. It was a taxing victory as all five starters played at least 32 minutes, three went over 37 minutes, so this back-to-back should be a difficult one. They are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games when their starting five combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day\ and they fall into a negative situation where we play against favorites of 10 or more points after a home game where both teams scored 100 or more points, playing on back-to-back days. This situation is 28-6 ATS (82.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (509) Orlando Magic |
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03-09-18 | Wizards -3 v. Pelicans | Top | 116-97 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. New Orleans has reeled off 10 straight wins which has tied a franchise record but that will come to an end tonight. The Pelicans have gotten into the playoff race where they currently are in fourth place in the Western Conference, but they are now without Anthony Davis for at least one game who hurt his ankle in their last game against the Kings. Seven of the wins during this streak have come against teams not in playoff positions, one came against the short-handed Spurs and the other two came in overtime. The Pelicans have covered just nine of their last 13 home games. Washington is holding its own without John Wall and it is coming off a win against Miami two nights ago which snapped a three-game losing streak against Indiana, Toronto and Golden St. The Wizards have a winning record on the road and they are 11-3 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. They fall into a solid situation where we play against home underdogs after successfully covering the spread in two or more consecutive games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 66-33 ATS (66.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (811) Washington Wizards |
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03-08-18 | Celtics v. Wolves +2.5 | Top | 117-109 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Thursday Star Attraction. The Timberwolves head home following a pair of road losses to end their three-game roadtrip and have fallen into a tie for fifth place in the Western Conference. Minnesota is 25-7 at home including a 15-1 run since December 18th with that lone defeat coming against Houston, the hottest team in the league. The home dominance is part of the home/road splits for the Timberwolves as the venue has played a huge role in their games since the start of the new year as the home team is 26-3 in their 29 games. The Timberwolves are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games while going 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a winning road record. Boston is 1-1 on this current three-game roadtrip, winning at Chicago on Monday after a loss at Houston on Saturday. The Celtics are expected to get Kyrie Irving back tonight after he missed the Bulls game and while they are 5-1 in their last six games, none of the wins have come against a team that will be in the playoffs. Boston is just 11-10 in its last 21 games with only three wins against playoff contenders and it falls into a negative situation where we play against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 where the line is +3 to -3 after successfully covering the spread in three or more consecutive games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 40-14 ATS (74.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (656) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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03-07-18 | Rockets v. Bucks +6 | Top | 110-99 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. We won with Milwaukee in its last home game on Sunday as it defeated Philadelphia as a home underdog and it is back home as an even bigger underdog. The Bucks improved to 20-13 at home and after suffering a loss at Indiana the next night, they remain in seventh place in the Eastern Conference but are still just 3.5 games out of the No. 3 spot. They have played up and down to the competition this season which is both good and bad as it shows inconsistency, but they have 10 wins against top ten teams, one of just seven teams in the entire league possessing double-digit wins against such teams. The Bucks are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Houston has won 16 straight games which is the main reason for the size of this line and of those 16 wins, nine have come as a road favorite while covering eight of those. This is a different scenario however as the Rockets are coming off a win last night in Oklahoma City in the much-hyped game and are going to Toronto on Friday to face the best team in the Eastern Conference. This puts the Rockets in a tough spot and they fall into a negative situation where we play against road favorites with a winning percentage of .750 or better after having covered four of their last five games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 71-37 ATS (65.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (566) Milwaukee Bucks |
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03-06-18 | 76ers -1.5 v. Hornets | Top | 128-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. We played against the Sixers on Sunday as they were overpriced road favorites but now they are underpriced which is an unusual move within just two games. They closed as a 1.5-point chalk at Milwaukee, which is four games over .500 and now they are favored by that same amount against Charlotte which is eight games under .500. Philadelphia is two games behind Indiana for the fourth spot in the Eastern Conference and while it has been a below average road team, the spot is ideal. Charlotte is coming off a 0-3 roadtrip which is playing into this line as well and the Hornets are now six games out of the final playoff spot in the conference. They are still three games over .500 at home but five games under .500 as an underdog and going back, Charlotte is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games as a home underdog. The Sixers meanwhile are 20-5 ATS in their last 25 games in the second half of the season against teams that are averaging 106 or more ppg. Additionally, we play against home teams in the second half of the season where the line is +3 to -3 in a game involving two teams with +/- 3 ppg scoring differential, after allowing 100 points or more two straight games. This situation is 142-92 ATS (60.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (501) Philadelphia 76ers |
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03-05-18 | Pistons +7 v. Cavs | Top | 90-112 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Monday Star Attraction. Cleveland has covered only six games at home this season which is the fewest in the NBA by a significant amount, yet it continues to be overpriced simply because of the Cleveland name. The Cavaliers have dropped their last two games at home outright and are now 21-11 while possessing a dreadful 6-25-1 ATS record at home which includes a 2-13 ATS mark as home favorites between 6.5 and 12 points. Cleveland is 4-4 since revamping its roster at the trade deadline and while many said they hit the jackpot after wins over Boston and Oklahoma City, this team is not in a good place. Detroit has been playing poorly as well with losses in five of its last six games including two straight which were on the road as they lost at Orlando in overtime which put it in a bad spot the next night in Miami. The Pistons have gone from a playoff team to a team that is now four games out of the final spot in the Eastern Conference. The Pistons have profited this season as road underdogs and they are an exceptional 10-2 ATS this season as underdogs of six points or more. Additionally, we play on road underdogs failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of their last 15 games, with a winning percentage of between .450 and .550. This situation is 31-10 ATS (75.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (701) Detroit Pistons |
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03-05-18 | Bucks +3 v. Pacers | Top | 89-92 | Push | 0 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. We won with the Bucks last night against the Sixers as they were an underpriced home underdog and while this could typically be a play against spot, it is a good one that favors Milwaukee. The win snapped a four-game losing streak and kept pace with the Pacers, which own the No. 4 spot in the Eastern Conference, as it remains two games behind Indiana for that coveted seed. That fourth game of that recent Bucks losing streak was a home loss against the Pacers so that is fresh in their memory. Indiana is also coming off a win last night as it won in Washington to make it two straight victories as underdogs which puts it in a precarious spot tonight. While the Pacers have been average when playing with no rest, Milwaukee is 9-4 straight up and 9-3-1 ATS in the second of back-to-back games. The Bucks have two situations on their side. First, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 coming off a road win by three points or less, playing on back-to-back days. This situation is 27-5 (84.4 percent) over the last five seasons. Second, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 100 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after a win by three points or less. This situation is 57-24 ATS (70.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (703) Milwaukee Bucks |
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03-04-18 | 76ers v. Bucks +2 | Top | 110-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. The Bucks are in a skid as they have dropped four straight games to fall into seventh place in the Eastern Conference standings. Three of the losses have come at home and overall, Milwaukee has dropped four straight home games which is a reason it is a home underdog tonight. The Bucks are still 19-13 at home and going back, they are 19-6 ATS in their last 25 home games after two or more consecutive losses. The Sixers have won two straight games including a win over Cleveland in their last road game. Philadelphia is 14-17 on the road for the season so this is an aggressive line that has been put out considering the Sixers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight road games while going just 3-6 ATS this season as road favorites. Milwaukee has a solid situation on its side as well as we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are revenging a loss going up against an opponent off a divisional loss. This situation is 42-21 ATS (66.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (810) Milwaukee Bucks |
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03-03-18 | Celtics +9 v. Rockets | Top | 120-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Saturday Star Attraction. Houston is riding a 14-game winning streak as the offense continues to dismantle opposing defense. The Rockets now face their biggest test during this run as they will be facing the top defense in the league as Boston is ranked No. 1 in defensive efficiency. While Houston is 24-6 at home this season, it is just 12-17-1 against the number and the Rockets are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Boston has won four straight games and while those victories have come against some poor opposition, it has held its own against top level competition. Boston is 10-4 against teams ranked in the top ten in power rankings this season and those four losses are the fewest of any team in the league. The Celtics are 20-8 on the road, covering 19 of those games while going 7-2 ATS as a road underdog. The only other two times they were getting more than six points resulted in a win at Oklahoma City and a four-point loss at Golden St. the Celtics are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 10* (507) Boston Celtics |
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03-02-18 | Mavs v. Bulls +1.5 | Top | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Dallas hits the road following a two-game homestand where it defeated Indiana in an upset and then lost to Oklahoma City in overtime by a point on Wednesday. The Mavericks are 7-23 on the road including a 1-9 run over their last 10 games with the only victory coming at Sacramento which is 9-20 at home, the second worst home record in the NBA. The fact Dallas is favored makes little sense as it has been a road favorite four times, losing three of those outright and on the season, Dallas is 2-10 ATS against teams that are outscored by their opponents by three or more ppg while going 0-9 ATS in its last nine road games when the line is +3 to -3. The Bulls have lost five straight games including the last three on the road by 18, 17 and 15 points but a return home will steer the Bulls right. They are 13-17 at home which is nothing to brag about but good enough to not be tabbed a home underdog. Chicago is 10-0 ATS in its last 10 home games after two straight double-digit losses and it falls into a great situation where we play on underdogs that have failed to cover the spread in 12 or more of the last 15 games going up against an opponent after having covered three of their last four against the spread. This situation is 65-25 ATS (72.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (808) Chicago Bulls |
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03-02-18 | Raptors v. Wizards +3 | Top | 102-95 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Friday Star Attraction. Despite a loss against Golden St. in its last games, Washington is 10-4 over its last 14 games, all which John Wall has been absent for. The Wizards are holding down the No. 4 spot in the Eastern Conference and are just a half-game behind Cleveland following the Cavaliers loss last night. They are 18-12 at home which is the same record that Toronto has on the road and Washington is 16-7-1 ATS as an underdog this season, winning 14 of those games outright including four of six games at home. Additionally, it is 15-10 ATS this season following a loss while going 4-0 ATS in its last four games against teams with a winning straight up record. Toronto is holding down the top spot in the Eastern Conference by a half-game over Boston as it has won two straight games. Those came against Detroit and Orlando and this has been the story most of the season as the Raptors have taken care of the poor teams but struggled against the better squads. They have been below average against teams with a winning record as they are 9-15 ATS including a 2-7 ATS mark in their last nine. Also, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 having covered six or seven of their last eight against the spread, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 71-33 ATS (68.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (812) Washington Wizards |
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03-01-18 | Wolves v. Blazers -5 | Top | 99-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. So far, so good for Minnesota in its time without Jimmy Butler as it has won both games since he went down with a knee injury. However, those wins came against Chicago and Sacramento and while the latter was on the road, the Timberwolves are still just 13-19 on the road. The venue has played a huge role in their games since the start of the new year as the home team is 24-3 in their 27 games. The offense has not missed a beat, scoring 122 and 118 points in the last two games but those came against the No. 30 and No. 25 defenses in efficiency and going back, Minnesota is 5-17 ATS in its last 22 games after scoring 110 points or more two straight games. The challenge will be tougher tonight as the Blazers are ranked No. 8 in defensive efficiency including No. 1 over their last three games. Portland has won four straight games and while you can say the Blazers have benefitted from a soft recent schedule with wins over Phoenix and Sacramento, the two wins prior to that were against Utah on the road and at home against Golden St. They are 18-11 at home while covering seven of their last eight. Additionally, Portland falls into a solid situation where we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after leading their last three games by five or more points at the half going against an opponent after scoring 115 points or more. This situation is 24-8 ATS (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (508) Portland Trailblazers |
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02-28-18 | Hornets v. Celtics -7.5 | Top | 106-134 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. We played against Charlotte last night and it was able to pull away in the second half for a two-bucket cover over the Bulls. The Hornets have now won five straight games and while a win at Washington was impressive, the other four came against non-playoff teams and they take a big step up in competition here. Charlotte is just 10-18 on the road and it has struggles this season when getting points, winning just six of 28 games as an underdog while going 7-18-3 ATS as an underdog. Boston is coming off a win, non-cover against Memphis which was its third straight victory to remain a half-game behind Toronto for first place in the Atlantic Division and the Eastern Conference. This is a good sign following a three-game losing streak prior to the break and while the three recent wins have come against losing teams, the Hornets fall into that group. Boston is 26-8 against teams outside the top 16 while covering five of its last six games against teams with a losing record and going back, the Celtics are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. The Hornets fall into a negative situation as we play against teams that are revenging a home loss of 10 points or more, after a cover as a double-digit favorite. This situation is 53-19 ATS (73.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (708) Boston Celtics |
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02-27-18 | Wizards v. Bucks -3 | Top | 107-104 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. The Bucks are coming off a loss against New Orleans on Sunday to make it two straight losses at home. Milwaukee is 19-11 here on the season and needs to bounce back in a spot where it can gain ground in the Eastern Conference as it sits in sixth place, just two games behind Washington for fourth place. The Bucks have covered seven of their last 10 games within the conference and with the road team winning the first three games of this season series, we expect the home team to finally break through. Washington defeated Philadelphia on Sunday and will go against the Wizards tonight after backing them in that game. They have been more than capable on the road with three straight wins, but focus could be a big issue here. While all games are important at this point in the season, Washington hosts Golden St. tomorrow night which is a game it has had circled in welcoming the defending champions. The Bucks fall into a situation where we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after a loss by three points or less going up against an opponent after scoring 105 points or more. This situation is 56-30 ATS (65.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (508) Milwaukee Bucks |
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02-27-18 | Bulls +10.5 v. Hornets | Top | 103-118 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Tuesday Ultimate Underdog. Charlotte has no business laying double-digits and it has done so once this season when it put down 10.5 points against Sacramento and failed to cover that number. The Hornets are 27-33 and while still in playoff contention, they are four games out of the final spot in the Eastern Conference despite a recent four-game winning streak which is helping with this line tonight. going back, Charlotte is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 games after covering the spread in three or more consecutive games. Chicago has lost four straight games and there has been talk of tanking which we cannot buy into with this being a young team with players trying to prove their worth. Despite being 7-23 on the road, the Bulls are over .500 against the number so they have been a lot of inflation in their numbers. They are a very respectable 7-4 ATS double-digit underdogs and those 11 games were all against teams currently in playoff spots. Here, we play against home favorites of 10 or more points in the second half of the season that are averaging 102 or more ppg going up against teams allowing 102 or more ppg, after a win by 15 points or more. This situation is 57-24 ATS (70.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (501) Chicago Bulls |
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02-26-18 | Rockets v. Jazz +2.5 | Top | 96-85 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ for our NBA Monday Enforcer. With the victory last night, Houston once again has sole possession of first place in the Western Conference following its 12th straight victory. The Rockets are surely becoming a threat to Golden St., but this is a prime example of an overreaction. Because of the winning streak and a short line for a team that is 15.5 games better than the opponent, the public is all over Houston tonight. Utah had an 11-game winning streak snapped against Portland on Friday but bounced back with a win over Dallas on Saturday. The Jazz have gotten themselves in the playoff picture as they are two games out of the eighth and final spot in the Western Conference. They are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after two or more consecutive wins, playing on back-to-back days. This situation is 78-39 ATS (66.7 percent) over the last five seasons. Additionally, Houston is 2-6 ATS this season when playing with no rest while going 11-22 ATS in its last 33 games after successfully covering the spread in two or more consecutive games. Meanwhile Utah is 8-0 ATS in its last eight home games after failing to cover the spread in four or more consecutive games. 10* (718) Utah Jazz |
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02-25-18 | 76ers v. Wizards -2 | Top | 94-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Philadelphia has come out of the break with a pair of wins but those were against Chicago and Orlando, two of the worst teams in the Eastern Conference. Going back further, the Sixers have won seven straight games which started with a 13-point win at home against Washington and that puts the Wizards in a solid revenge situation explained later. Six of those seven wins have come at home where Philadelphia is 19-10 but comes into this game two games under .500 on the road. Washington upset Cleveland in its first game after the break but lost by 17 points at home against Charlotte the next night. The Wizards have held their own without John Wall as they are 8-3 in the 11 games since he has been out and going back, Washington is 8-0 ATS in its last eight home games coming off a loss by 10 points or more as a favorite. Two situations are in play here. First, we play on home teams revenging a road loss of 10 points or more, off a loss by 15 points or more as a favorite. This situation is 80-39 ATS (67.2 percent) since 1996. Second, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after two or more consecutive wins, playing on back-to-back days. This situation is 77-39 ATS (66.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (810) Washington Wizards |
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02-24-18 | Lakers v. Kings +2 | Top | 113-108 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. The Kings came out of the break with a strong effort against Oklahoma City only to fall short as they lost on a last second three-pointer. Going back, they have covered four straight games including a pair of competitive losses on the road at Minnesota and Houston. Sacramento is tied with five other teams for the fewest wins in the league with 18 and while it has struggled as a home underdog, this is the smallest number it has gotten at home all season which tells a lot. Sacramento is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog. The Lakers are coming off a blowout win at home against Dallas last night and while it marked the return on Lonzo Ball, he will not play tonight as he will rest. Los Angeles has been a road favorite twice this season, losing both times outright by 11 points here in Sacramento and by 22 points in Orlando. The Lakers have also struggled playing with no rest, going just 2-7 which includes a 1-5 record when the second game is on the road. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after a loss by three points or less going up against an opponent after scoring 105 points or more. This situation is 56-29 ATS (65.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (516) Sacramento Kings |
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02-23-18 | Spurs v. Nuggets -3 | Top | 119-122 | Push | 0 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS as part of our NBA Ultimate Trifecta. San Antonio closed the schedule before the All-Star Break with a loss at Denver and their first game out of it comes in the same venue. The Spurs are still an exceptional home team, but they are just 13-18 on the road and the last time they beat a team with a winning record was back on December 20th in a victory over Portland. Since then, their six road wins have come against the Kings (twice), Knicks, Nets, Grizzlies and Suns, none of which are sniffing the playoffs. LaMarcus Aldridge missed the meeting last week and while he will be back tonight, his return is not worth a four-point line swing. Denver has won three straight games and six of its last seven to remain in sixth place in the Western Conference, but it is just a game and a half away from ninth place so keeping up its home dominance is a must. The Nuggets are 23-7 at home thanks to an offense that is averaging 110.5 ppg, seventh highest in the NBA. They are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning straight up record while the Spurs are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (816) Denver Nuggets |
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02-23-18 | Bucks +7.5 v. Raptors | Top | 122-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS as part of our NBA Ultimate Trifecta. Toronto rolled into the All-Star Break with a seven-game winning streak and it owns the best home record in the league at 24-4. That is being taken into consideration in this line and the Raptors have been below average against the better teams as they are 9-14 ATS against teams with a winning record including a 2-6 ATS mark in their last eight. Toronto has a two-game lead over Boston in the Eastern Conference and while it deserves to be where it is, the Raptors are overvalued in this particular matchup. The Bucks won five of their last seven games before the break including three of four on the road and while those three wins came against below average teams, the Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Milwaukee has not been an underdog this big in over a month and that was without Giannis and it has been an underdog of five or more points only six times and in the five games Giannis played, the Bucks are 4-1 ATS including an ATS winner in Toronto on January 1st that ended up going to overtime. 10* (807) Milwaukee Bucks |
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02-23-18 | Hawks v. Pacers -7.5 | Top | 93-116 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS as part of our NBA Ultimate Trifecta. This line came out late due to the questionable status of Hawks point guard Dennis Schroder, but he has been upgraded to probable which is actually a good thing as it is keeping this line within reason. Indiana won nine of its last 12 games prior to the break and with the Cleveland loss last night, the Pacers are just a game and a half back in the Central Division. They are currently in fifth place in the Eastern Conference, a game behind Washington and with their 20-11 home record, they need to take these very winnable games. Atlanta dropped two straight games and four of its last five prior to the break and remains on the road where it is just 5-24, the worst road record in the NBA. The offense remains abysmal as the Hawks have shot under 44 percent in six of their last eight games including five straight on the road. The Pacers are 16-6 ATS as favorites of fewer than 8.5 points while going 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games against teams with a losing road record. Additionally, we play against underdogs that are revenging a loss of 10 points or more, off two road covers where the team lost straight up as an underdog. This situation is 62-30 ATS (67.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (804) Indiana Pacers |
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02-22-18 | 76ers v. Bulls +6.5 | Top | 116-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. The All-Star Break came at a bad time for Philadelphia as the Sixers were riding a five-game winning streak prior to the time off. That can take away some positive momentum and that streak may have been skewed to begin with as all those games were at home where the Sixers are 18-10 compared to just 12-15 on the road. They have won just three of eight games as road favorites and are laying an exceptionally big number tonight. Additionally, the Sixers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. The Bulls closed the first half with a loss against Toronto to fall to 2-2 on their current homestand which includes an impressive win over Minnesota. They are three games under .500 at home, the same as the Sixers on the road, and they have been better of late, going 11-8 in their last 19 home games. Chicago falls into a great contrarian situation as we play on home underdogs failing to cover the spread in eight or more of their last 10 games going up against an opponent after having covered five or six of their last seven games. This situation is 82-42 (66.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (558) Chicago Bulls |
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02-14-18 | Raptors v. Bulls +6.5 | Top | 122-98 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. Toronto is coming off a win last night against Miami at home by three points after nearly blowing a 17-point lead to extend its winning streak to six games. The Raptors are now a game ahead of Boston for first place in the Eastern Conference, but we can see a less than focused effort tonight as they are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a losing home record. Chicago is 2-1 on its current homestand as it is now a respectable 13-15 at home including an 11-7 record in its last 18 home games. The Bulls have lost the first three games of this season series to revenge is in play to avoid the sweep. Chicago is 14-5 ATS this season following a win and going back, it is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 games in the second half of the season against teams outscoring their opponents by three or more ppg. Additionally, we play on home underdogs that have failed to cover the spread in eight or more of their last 10 going up against an opponent after having covered five or six of their last seven games against the spread. This situation is 82-41 ATS (66.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (712) Chicago Bulls |
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02-13-18 | Rockets v. Wolves +3 | Top | 126-108 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Minnesota enters tonight on a three-game ATS losing skid, but we expect the outright win tonight meaning we get the cover as well. The Timberwolves defeated Sacramento in their last game on Sunday and while they did not cover, they were favored by 13 points and they have struggled as big favorites this season. Now they come in as home underdogs, a role they have been in three times this season, against Oklahoma City, Cleveland and Toronto and they won all three outright. The road team has only won once in Minnesota games in 2018 and that was when the Timberwolves beat the Clippers in Los Angeles as the home team is 21-1 in 22 games. Houston is riding an eight-game winning streak following a pair of home wins and while road wins during this streak include Cleveland an San Antonio, those two teams are not nearly on the same level as Minnesota presently. The Rockets are 9-4 ATS on the road against losing teams but just 5-7 ATS on the highway against teams with a winning record. Minnesota has covered 10 of its last 11 home games while going 5-0 ATS in its last five home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (506) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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02-12-18 | Pelicans v. Pistons -2 | Top | 118-103 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. The Pistons got off to a great start with the newly acquired Blake Griffin as they won their first four games, part of a five-game winning streak, but they have dropped their last two games including a game at Atlanta yesterday. Detroit is back under .500 and is now two games behind Philadelphia for the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. The Pistons are back home where they are 18-11 on the season and they have had better success against the Western Conference, winning 11 of 20 games while going 12-7-1 ATS in those games. Detroit closes the first half with Atlanta on Wednesday making this an important two-game run before the break. New Orleans is coming off a win in overtime at Brooklyn on Saturday which snapped a three-game losing streak. The Pelicans have struggled since DeMarcus Cousins was lost for the season as they are just 2-5 in seven games. The still have hold on the eighth spot in the Western Conference but are just a half-game ahead of the Clippers and they are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a losing straight up record. 10* (704) Detroit Pistons |
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02-11-18 | Jazz v. Blazers -3.5 | Top | 115-96 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
The hottest team in the NBA is a team that not many would guess as the Jazz have won eight straight games and are now just two games out of the eighth spot in the Western Conference. Utah is still just 11-19 on the road despite the recent surge and this is not a good spot tonight as it has won just six games as a road underdog. Portland is just two games behind Minnesota in the Northwest Division and for the fourth spot in the Western Conference. The Blazers have won two straight games following a three-game losing streak on the east coast. The recent schedule has been tough as seven of their last 10 games have been on the road and this is the first of consecutive home games for the first time in three weeks. Portland has Golden St. on deck so this is a big win situation but there will be no looking forward as that game is not until Wednesday, the final game before the All-Star Break. The Blazers have won nine straight home games and are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five at the Moda Center. 10* (816) Portland Trailblazers |
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02-10-18 | Bucks -4.5 v. Magic | Top | 111-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
We played against Milwaukee last night as they lost to Miami for the third time since January 14th but have gone 8-2 against everyone else over that stretch, both losses coming on the road against winning teams. They are in good position to get a bounce back victory tonight to potentially move into fourth place in the Eastern Conference depending on the Washington outcome. Milwaukee is just 12-15 on the road but 11 of those losses have come against teams .500 or better and the Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games against teams with a losing home record. Orlando has won three straight games including a win over Atlanta in its first game since trading Elfrid Payton but the task will be a lot tougher tonight. The Magic are still without leading scorer Aaron Gordon which presents a tough matchup with the Bucks. Orlando is just 6-12 ATS this season when getting fewer than six points and it has covered only five times at home against teams with a winning record. Additionally, the Magic are 19-39 ATS in their last 58 games following a straight up win. 10* (503) Milwaukee Bucks |
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02-09-18 | Bucks v. Heat -1.5 | Top | 85-91 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
We lost with Miami on Wednesday against the Rockets as it played as expected and while in had one more field goal and one more three-pointers, it was outscored 21-10 from the free throw line with nearly half of those points coming from James Harden. The Heat let the league hear about it so do not be surprised if they get some calls their way tonight. Miami has dropped five straight games to remain two games behind Washington in the Southeast Division and it is now in seventh place in the Eastern Conference. 11 of their last 16 games have been on the road and this is just the second time in 2018 that is has been able to play three straight games at home. Milwaukee has been rolling since it made a coaching change as it has won seven of eight games including three straight, the last two coming on the road. All three road wins during this streak have come against teams that are all at least six games out of the Eastern Conference playoffs. The Bucks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning straight up record while the Heat are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (810) Miami Heat |
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02-07-18 | Rockets v. Heat +5 | Top | 109-101 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
The Rockets won their fifth consecutive game last night in Brooklyn but overall, this current streak has not been great. They have defeated three of the worst teams in the NBA, a shorthanded Spurs team and a Cleveland team that is having major issues. Houston has been solid on the road this season, but the schedule has had a lot to do with that. Only nine of their 26 road games have come against that are currently sitting in a playoff spot and they have covered just four of those games. This has led to a schedule that is ranked No. 25 in the league and the Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games against teams with a winning home record. Miami meanwhile has dropped four straight games to fall two games behind Washington in the Southeast Division and it is now in seventh place in the Eastern Conference. 11 of their last 15 games have been on the road so it has been a tough stretch over the last month. A home loss against Orlando last time out was inexcusable but this has been an issue this season as the Heat have played up or down to the competition and we have definitely seen this of late as the Heat are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (704) Miami Heat |
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02-06-18 | Grizzlies +3 v. Hawks | Top | 82-108 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
Memphis looks to close out its four-game roadtrip by not going 0-4 and it is in a good spot to end it with a victory. The Grizzlies have struggled on the road this season as they have lost six straight games but the last five have come against teams sitting in current playoff spots and the other coming against the Clippers, which are just a half-game out in the Western Conference. Overall, Memphis has played the No. 8 ranked schedule in the NBA and going back, the Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. Atlanta is in the rare role of favorite tonight and is has been average, going 4-3 straight up and ATS when laying chalk. The Hawks are coming off a win in their last game, a three-point win on the road against the Knicks but winning streaks have been few and far between this season as they are just 2-13 straight up following a victory. The Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last four games when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. 10* (507) Memphis Grizzlies |
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02-04-18 | Hawks v. Knicks -5 | Top | 99-96 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 45 m | Show |
The Kicks are back home for an extended period for the first time since early December as they are playing the first of two home games. The last time New York has enjoyed back-to-back home games was December 10th and 12th as the recent schedule has been brutal. 19 of the last 26 games have been on the road including nine of the last 10 games. The Knicks lost in Milwaukee on Friday to fall to 7-21 on the road but they are 16-9 at home and have taken care of business when they had to as they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Additionally, they have covered five of their last six games following a loss. Atlanta has lost two straight and five of its last six games including a nine-point loss in Boston Friday night. The road has been a real problem as the Hawks are just 4-21 away from home which is the worst road record in the NBA. Only two of their last 11 games have been away from home so they have had the opposite type of schedule as New York. Atlanta has done surprisingly well against the Western Conference but has failed to cover its last eight games against teams from the Eastern Conference. 10* (802) New York Knicks |
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02-03-18 | Jazz v. Spurs -6 | Top | 120-111 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
Utah has won and covered four straight games, three of which have come on the road and the other coming in a home blowout victory over Golden St. The Jazz took care of business last night in Phoenix as they have scored 129 points in two straight games, but the offense will face more of a challenge tonight. Utah is still just 8-19 on the road despite the three straight wins and it has won just once in five tries when playing with no rest on the highway. That lone win came against Orlando while the losses were against Phoenix, Oklahoma City, Cleveland and Golden St., those last three being the caliber of competition they will face tonight. San Antonio fell to 22-5 at home with a loss against Houston on Thursday and they have yet to lose consecutive home games this season, winning the four follow up games by an average of 18.3 ppg. The Spurs managed just 91 points against the Rockets and since early December, they gone over 100 points in nine of 11 games after being held to fewer than 100 points in their previous game. They have averaged 109.1 ppg in those nine games while winning and covering eight of those. Additionally, the Spurs are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up loss and have covered four straight games following a double-digit loss. 10* (514) San Antonio Spurs |
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02-02-18 | Blazers v. Raptors -4 | Top | 105-130 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
Toronto returns home following a loss in Washington last night against the short-handed Wizards. The Raptors are in a good bounce back spot as this is the third time this season they have returned home following a road loss in their previous game and they took care of business the first two times. They are 19-4 at home including a 4-1 record over their last five home games and while the record is 1-4 in those games against the number, they were favored by at least six points in all those games. This is the start of an important four-game homestand as they try to close the two-game gap between them and Boston. Portland has won four straight and seven of its last eight games, but the schedule has been in its favor. Five of those games were at home and the only road game against a winning team resulted in a loss. The Blazers are 9-18 against teams ranked within the top 16 and that record is significant. The nine wins are tied for the seventh fewest wins against such teams and they are one of only three teams ranked No. 23 or better than have single-digit wins against the top 16. And those 18 losses are tied for 10th most in the league. The Blazers are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (806) Toronto Raptors |
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02-01-18 | Bucks v. Wolves -5.5 | Top | 89-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
This was a late line release due to the uncertainty of Bucks point guard Eric Bledsoe who was injured last game and is likely out for tonight with an ankle injury. The Bucks are now 4-0 since Jason Kidd was fired and Joe Prunty took over the coaching duties but they very well could have gone 4-0 with Kidd as those victories came against the Suns, Nets, Bulls and Sixers and three of those games were at home on top of it. They are just 2.5 games behind Cleveland in the Central Division which is also good for third place in the Eastern Conference, but Milwaukee is three games under .500 on the road and while it has thrived as a road favorite, it has won just six of 17 games as a road underdog. Minnesota has been up and down of late but a lot of this is because of venue. During the month of January, the Timberwolves went 9-8 with the home team going 16-1 in those games, the lone road victory coming by Minnesota in a win at the Clippers. Going back, the Timberwolves have won 10 straight home games to improve to 20-6 and they are currently on an eight-game cover streak as well. Minnesota has 18 wins against teams ranked within the top 16 of the league which is second most in the NBA behind 22 wins for Golden St. 10* (508) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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01-31-18 | Knicks v. Celtics -8 | Top | 73-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
The Knicks closed their seven-game roadtrip with a win at Phoenix and then backed it up with a victory over Brooklyn in their short return home. Those of course are two of the worst teams in the NBA and that has been the story this season for New York as it 14-13 against teams ranked outside the top 16 while going just 3-12 against the top 10. This does include a home upset over the Celtics back in December, so Boston will not be taking this team lightly, but things have been different for New York away from home. The Knicks have struggled on the road as they are 7-19 and only two of those wins have come against teams that are currently sitting in a playoff spot. Overall, they are 2-11 on the highway against playoff teams and of those 11 losses, 10 have come by double-digits and the 11 defeats have been by an average of 15 ppg. Boston is coming off a 2-2 roadtrip as it won the finale in Denver in the final seconds and that could be the spark the Celtics need as it has been a rough couple of weeks. Prior to the roadtrip, Boston had dropped three straight home games to fall to 18-8 at home and there will be plenty of motivation to put a halt to that skid, especially with revenge in play. The Celtics are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. 10* (712) Boston Celtics |
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01-29-18 | Celtics +1.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 111-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
Boston put together a seven-game winning streak, but it has gone through a lull since the middle of the month as it has lost five of its last six games including a couple questionable defeats against the Magic and Lakers. This is the final game of a four-game roadtrip and the Celtics can salvage a split with a win tonight before heading home for a three-game homestand. Boston is 16-7 on the road and has covered six of seven games as a road underdog while going 9-1 ATS overall when getting points. Additionally, the Celtics are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Denver is on a three-game winning streak and it has had a very easy schedule this month as only three of 13 games have come against teams currently in a playoff position and the Nuggets went 1-2 in those games, losing to San Antonio and Golden St. Denver is just 5-10 against the NBA top ten and those five wins are tied for second fewest of all teams ranked within the top 16. The Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. 10* (711) Boston Celtics |
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01-27-18 | Hornets v. Heat -4.5 | Top | 91-95 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
Charlotte is coming off a win last night to conclude its five-game homestand where it went 3-2 with the last two wins coming against Sacramento and Atlanta, the last place teams in their respective conferences. The Hornets have won three straight road games but all of those came against teams with a losing record and they have struggled against better competition, going just 5-16 as underdogs and this number is right in the wheelhouse as Charlotte is 2-10 ATS when getting fewer than five points. Miami is coming off a loss on Thursday against the hapless Kings as the offense managed a mere 88 points against the third worst defense in the NBA. The Heat remain a game ahead of Washington in the Southeast Division and they are in fourth place in the Eastern Conference, so they can ill afford to lose games against teams they should not be losing to. Going back, the Hornets are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points while the Heat are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss. 10* (508) Miami Heat |
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01-26-18 | Lakers v. Bulls -4 | Top | 108-103 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
The Lakers are tied for the second hottest team in the Western Conference over their last 10 games as they have won seven of their last 10 with the last five coming as underdogs. Six of those wins were at home however and the only road victory was in overtime against Dallas, the third worst team in the NBA. Overall. Los Angeles is 6-15 on the road and two of the other wins came at Phoenix which owns the worst home record in the league. Additionally, the Lakers are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 road games against teams with a losing home record. Chicago returns home following a 1-2 roadtrip and it has been playing very well here for over six weeks as the Bulls are 9-4 over their last 13 home games since December 9 with three of those losses coming against Golden St., Houston and Toronto and the other coming against Portland in overtime. Going back further, their last 12 losses overall have all been against teams currently residing in a playoff position. Their two wins against top ten teams are the fewest in the NBA and against every other game against teams outside the top ten, the Bulls are 16-14. It makes sense that they are 8-0-1 ATS in their last nine games against teams with a losing straight up record. 10* (814) Chicago Bulls |
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01-24-18 | Jazz v. Pistons -2 | Top | 98-95 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
If the season ended today, the Pistons would be heading home for the postseason as they are a game behind the Sixers for the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. Luckily for Detroit, the season is just over half done so there is plenty of time to get things back on track as the recent 0-5 run is not a true indication of this team. We played on the Pistons in their last game on Sunday and it was another frustrating result as they shot just 31 percent from long range and went to the free throw line only 17 times as they ruined a super 21:6 A/TO ratio. That was the third straight loss for Detroit as home, but it had won 11 of its previous 13 games as a home favorite and with this short price, a win likely means a cover as well. The Pistons are 11-3 ATS this season against teams from the Western Conference. Utah is coming off a loss at Atlanta on Monday to fall to 5-19 on the highway, winning just three of 15 games as an underdog. Going back, the Jazz are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. One player who will be out to prove a point is Pistons center Andre Drummond who made it publicly known that he was not happy about the All-Star Game snub so Rudy Gobert could be in for a long night. 10* (706) Detroit Pistons |
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01-23-18 | Celtics -4.5 v. Lakers | Top | 107-108 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
Boston starts a four-game roadtrip tonight in Los Angeles to face the Lakers before taking on the Clippers tomorrow but there will be no lookahead for the Celtics as this is the easiest game of the four where they will be out to snap a three-game losing streak. All three of those losses came at home and they were not good losses with a defeat against New Orleans in overtime being the toughest game with the other two coming against Orlando and Philadelphia which are a combined 17-31 on the road. Boston has been solid on the road this season with a 15-5 record including a 12-3 record as a road favorite. The Celtics are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. The Lakers are playing some good basketball right now even with Lonzo Ball on the bench as he remains out with a sprained knee. Los Angeles has won two straight games and six of its last eight but only one of those came against a quality team and that was against a short-handed Spurs team. The Lakers have been decent against the bottom part of the league as they are 11-7 against teams outside the top 16 but just 6-22 against the top 16 including a 4-14 record against the top ten. 10* (509) Boston Celtics |
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01-21-18 | Nets v. Pistons -6 | Top | 101-100 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
Detroit is now on the outside looking in as it has fallen into ninth place in the Eastern Conference following its fourth consecutive loss on Friday at home against Washington. The Pistons have lost two straight games at home after a 13-5 start that included wins over Houston and San Antonio in their previous two home games. This is an important stretch for Detroit as this is part of a stretch where 10 of 11 games are at home so this is where the Pistons need to make a significant move. Going back, the Pistons are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a double-digit loss at home. Brooklyn welcomed back the return of D'Angelo Russell who missed over two months of games because of a knee injury although his contributions in its win over Miami was insignificant. He played only 14 minutes, and had just one point and his minutes will be restricted again today as he is projected for 17 minutes. The Nets snapped a three-game slide with that victory and while they have been better, they are just 2-6 in their last eight games. The last road win came in Atlanta where it was getting three points and now it is getting only three points more against a substantially better team than the Hawks. 10* (806) Detroit Pistons |
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01-20-18 | Raptors v. Wolves -3.5 | Top | 109-115 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
Minnesota went 0-2 on its recent roadtrip as it heads back home to get back into the win column. This is a big game for the Timberwolves, which are 18-6 at home, as they remain a game behind San Antonio for third place in the Western Conference. They are a game under .500 on the road and making this one bigger is the fact that five of their next six game are on the road. The home/road splits for Minnesota have been pretty clear as the home team is 10-0 in the Timberwolves last 10 games. Toronto won but did not cover for us last night as these teams continue to blow double-digit leads. The Raptors improved to 17-3 at home and while they have been solid on the road, they are in a bad spot tonight. they are 3-3 playing with no rest and this is the first instance of the season where they go from home to away in back-to-back nights. Of their 14 road wins, nine have come against teams with losing records and of the five road wins against winning teams, four of those were against teams three games over .500 or worse. Going back, the Raptors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record while Minnesota has covered six straight home games. 10* (516) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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01-19-18 | Spurs v. Raptors -5 | Top | 83-86 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
The Spurs conclude their three-game roadtrip where they split their first two games against the Hawks and Nets. San Antonio is just 11-14 on the road and of those 11 wins, only two have been against teams that are in current playoff positions. The Spurs are shorthanded again as three of their four leading scorers are sitting out Friday and this is not the spot for that to be the case. Currently, the Spurs play the third slowest pace in the NBA while the Raptors play the ninth fastest. Which team dictates the pace will have the clear edge and that typically goes to the home teams and with three players being out and a shorter bench than normal, the Raptors should try to consistently play with pace. Toronto defeated Detroit on Wednesday to snap a two-game slide and it will be up for a solid effort tonight. The Raptors have the second-best NBA home record this season with a 16-3 record at the Air Canada Centre and will be out to avenge four straight losses to the Spurs and this is the best tine to do so. The Raptors were without Jonas Valanciunas in the first meeting this season and it showed as they were outrebounded 55-34 in the contest. San Antonio is 1-5 ATS this season as an underdog of three or more points while the Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (802) Toronto Raptors |
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01-18-18 | Magic v. Cavs -10.5 | Top | 103-104 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
Laying double-digits in the NBA is not recommended on a regular basis but there are situations where it is warranted, and this is one of those. Cleveland has lost four straight games after a home loss against Golden St. and there have been speculations about the locker room falling apart and head coach Tyrone Lue having lost his team. Neither of those are correct but one thing is for sure, the Cavaliers need to start winning again even though this midseason skid seems to take place every year. Cleveland won the last meeting in Orlando earlier this month, but it has not forgotten the 21-point loss the Magic handed them on this floor earlier in the season and the Cavaliers will be out to make up for that. 10 of their last 13 games have been on the road so the schedule has been demanding and prior to the loss to the Warriors, Cleveland was 13-0 in its last 13 home games. Orlando is coming off an upset win over Minnesota in its last game and while the spot here is typically a very good one, this one is unique in what it is heading in to. The public is on the Magic here based on the Cavaliers 0-11 ATS record at home against losing teams and 0-11 ATS record as double-digit favorites so we are bucking those in one of the top contrarian situations you will come across. 10* (502) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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01-17-18 | Jazz v. Kings +4 | Top | 120-105 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
Utah hits the road following a home loss against Indiana on Monday and it has been a struggle since starting the season 13-11 as the Jazz are 4-15 over their last 19 games. That certainly raises a question mark about them being favored in this spot despite facing one of the worst teams in the NBA. The thing about it is, Utah is part of that group as well as it is just four games better than the Kings and it is four games worse in the home/road splits. The Jazz are just 4-18 on the road including a 2-11 record in their last 13 roadies. Additionally, the Jazz are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games against teams with a losing home record and this season, they are 1-3 straight up and ATS as road favorites. Sacramento has dropped five straight games although it is coming off one of its best defensive efforts of the season against the Thunder. This is a young but talented roster that has shown signs of what it is capable of as it owns impressive home wins over Cleveland, Denver, Portland and Oklahoma City. These teams are very even in terms of the level of competition as their strength of schedules are nearly the same while both teams are 5-8 against teams ranked outside the top 16. 10* (718) Sacramento Kings |
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01-17-18 | Wizards +1.5 v. Hornets | Top | 109-133 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
The Wizards concluded a disappointing 2-3 homestand with a loss against Milwaukee on Monday and remains a half-game behind Miami in the Southeast Division. It was the sixth straight non-cover for the Wizards, so we have a solid contrarian angle which opens value in the number as this is a game they would typically be favored in. Washington has played down to the competition in many instances this season so while facing a sub-.500 team brings some concerns, it is an underdog which is more important. The Wizards are 11-3 ATS as underdogs this season, winning nine of those games outright. Washington is still a top ten team in the latest power rankings and that spells trouble for Charlotte which is just 4-13 against top ten teams this season. Those four victories are tied for fourth fewest amongst all teams in the NBA. The home floor has been nothing special for the Hornets which are 11-12 both straight up and against the number. The Hornets are coming off a win at Detroit on Monday and putting together winning streaks has been a real issue as they have won consecutive games only once since November 22. They are 1-8 in their last nine games following a win while going 1-6-1 ATS in those games. 10* (701) Washington Wizards |
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01-16-18 | Wolves v. Magic +8 | Top | 102-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
Minnesota hits the road following a perfect 5-0 homestand to increase its lead to 4.5 games over Oklahoma City in the Northwest Division while moving into a tie with San Antonio for third place in the Western Conference. The Timberwolves have been dominant at home with an 18-6 record, but they have been average on the road as they are 11-10 and while they do own some wins over poor teams, they have typically struggled in this spot as they are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of less than .400. Additionally, Minnesota has a big game at Houston Thursday night so a lookahead aspect comes into play as well. Orlando is going through a poor stretch as it has dropped seven straight games but has been competitive as five of those losses have been by fewer points than what it is getting tonight. The Magic have won just three times in 22 tries as road underdogs but have won four games as home underdogs so they have clearly been better on their home floor. The Magic have had three days off since their last game which can help shake off the sting of this recent drought. 10* (502) Orlando Magic |
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01-15-18 | Knicks v. Nets -2.5 | Top | 119-104 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 55 m | Show |
Both New York and Brooklyn are coming off overtime losses in their last game, but the Nets have the edge of an extra day off. The Knicks are coming off a tough loss yesterday as they fell in overtime to the Pelicans to fall to 15-9 at home. The road has been a different story as New York is just 4-15 on the highway and the spot today is even worse because of the game yesterday. The Knicks are 0-6 this season playing with no rest on the road. The Nets are the second most profitable team in the NBA this season and while a lot of that is due to big underdog numbers, they are 5-1 ATS this season when favored by fewer than four points. They are coming off an overtime loss in Washington where they rallied back from a 23-point deficit in a game they never even led. Brooklyn is on a roll with eight covers over its last nine games and it will be out for double-revenge today following a pair of losses to the Knicks earlier in the season. 10* (710) Brooklyn Nets |
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01-14-18 | Pacers v. Suns +4 | Top | 120-97 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
Phoenix was supposed to be one of the worst teams in the NBA this season, but it has been far from it. The Suns will not be challenging for the division or sniffing the playoffs this season but having one of the youngest rosters in the league, they are looking good for the future. Phoenix is 7-6 since mid-December with three of those losses coming against three of the best teams in the league in Minnesota, San Antonio and Houston. Overall, the Suns have struggled against the top teams which comes as no surprise, but against teams ranked outside the top 16, they are 11-7 and that is where the Pacers reside. They overcame a 22-point deficit against the Cavaliers in their last game to pull off the miracle upset on Friday and now they are in a tough spot in a letdown situation coupled with travel and being a road favorite. While Indiana has been above average at home, it is just 8-10 on the road and of its last six road wins, only one has come against a team with a better record than Phoenix. The Suns are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss. 10* (806) Phoenix Suns |
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01-13-18 | Nets v. Wizards -9.5 | Top | 113-119 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
We played on Washington two games back and it ended up losing outright to Utah, but it was able to bounce back last night with a win against Orlando although it was a closer than expected game and the Wizards failed to cover again. They have now gone four straight games without covering as they continue to play down to the competition. Last night for example, they entered the fourth quarter tied with the Magic which should not be the deal considering they are 12.5 games better. While Washington may be considered to be in a similar spot tonight against a below average team, the situation is different. The Wizards have faced Brooklyn twice this season and they lost both games outright including the last one three days before Christmas by 35 points, so payback is in store. The Nets are coming off a win in Atlanta last night to improve to 7-13 on the road. They have not won consecutive road games this season and are 0-4 in the second of back-to-back road games playing with no rest. Washington meanwhile is 4-2 straight up and ATS when playing with no rest and having no travel here is a big advantage. 10* (508) Washington Wizards |
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01-12-18 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets -7.5 | Top | 78-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
Denver has lost three straight games including an embarrassing home loss against Atlanta on Wednesday, just the fourth road win for the Hawks this season, to fall into the No. 7 spot in the Western Conference. It was a rare home loss for the Nuggets which had won 13 of their previous 16 games at home and they have not dropped consecutive home games this season, winning their four games following a loss by an average of 18.5 ppg. With a game at San Antonio tomorrow night, the Nuggets know this is a huge game. Memphis is coming off a win over New Orleans on Wednesday which snapped a two-game slide and it has been an awful stretch for the Grizzlies which are just 6-23 over their last 29 games. Memphis has not won consecutive games since October as it has dropped eight straight games following a victory. On the season, Memphis is 0-7 on the road following a win in its previous game and those losses have been by an average of 10.6 ppg. The Nuggets are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game while the Grizzlies are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. 10* (816) Denver Nuggets |
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01-12-18 | Jazz v. Hornets -4 | Top | 88-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
We played against Utah on Wednesday and while it was a win for the Jazz, it was more of a loss for Washington which again played down to its competition to fall to 11-10 against teams ranked outside the top 16. Despite the victory, Utah is still just 4-13 over its last 17 games while sitting at 4-17 on the road which remains the worst road record in the Western Conference. The Jazz have not won consecutive games since the start of December and they have lost their last four games following a win by an average of 9.8 ppg. The Jazz are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games against teams with a losing home record. It has been an even worst season for Charlotte as it is now 15-24 following a loss against Dallas on Wednesday. That loss put the Hornets a game under .500 at home and it has been a rough stretch since head coach Steve Clifford had to take a leave of absence for health reasons. He is coming back next week, and the Hornets should get a boost of motivation knowing he is back and going back, the Hornets are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. 10* (804) Charlotte Hornets |
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01-10-18 | Pistons v. Nets +2.5 | Top | 114-80 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
Detroit is coming off a loss in its last game on the road at New Orleans which comes as no surprise as it has lost five straight road games and over the last 10 Pistons games, the home team is a perfect 10-0. This is not because the road games have been against powerful teams and the home games have come against scrubs as they have lost to the likes of Dallas, Orlando and Philadelphia while producing home wins over San Antonio and Houston. This has been an ongoing situation for the underachieving Pistons as they are 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. The Nets have lost their last two games, both coming at home, but they were quality losses as they fell to Boston by a bucket and to Toronto by one points in overtime. Brooklyn has gone 3-2 in its last five home games and while those losses were impressive, two of the wins were as well as they came against Washington and Minnesota which are a combined 16 games over .500. This has been a calling card this season as the Nets are 8-2 ATS at home against winning teams and overall, they are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (708) Brooklyn Nets |
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01-10-18 | Heat v. Pacers -4.5 | Top | 114-106 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
Miami handed Toronto just its second home loss of the season as Wayne Ellington scored the decisive basket with 0.3 seconds remaining to give the Heat a dramatic 90-89 victory over the Raptors. That was the fifth straight win overall and third straight road win for Miami but not the third straight road win in succession as it was just their third road game since December 20. This has not been a good situation this season as Miami is 0-2 straight up and ATS in its two instances of playing the second of back-to-back road games with no rest. Those losses came by 17 and 29 points. Indiana has won its last two games following a five-game losing streak which included two home losses where it is 13-9 on the season. This has been a great price range this season for the Pacers as they are 10-3 ATS as favorites of fewer than nine points. Miami has lost 10 straight meetings in this series in Indianapolis and will likely be without Tyler Johnson once again and now James Johnson who was involved in a fight last night with Serge Ibaka. Going back, the 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win. 10* (702) Indiana Pacers |
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01-10-18 | Jazz v. Wizards -7.5 | Top | 107-104 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
Washington is playing with revenge as it suffered a 47-point loss in Utah last month which was its worst loss since 1970-71 so there will be plenty of added motivation tonight. While losing that bad is never a good thing, it could have woken up the Wizards as since that defeat, they have gone 11-5 and while they are coming off a loss against Milwaukee last time out, Washington has won its last four games following a loss, the last three coming by double-digits. The Wizards did not have John Wall in that first meeting and will get Otto Porter back tonight after he missed the last game against the Bucks. It has been a struggle for Utah this season as off-season defections and injuries have sent the Jazz into last place in the Northwestern Division. Utah is 3-13 in its last 16 games while possessing the worst road record in the Western Conference at 3-17. Utah is 3-9 ATS this season as an underdog of five or more points while going 0-5 ATS in its last five road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Meanwhile, the Wizards are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss. 10* (704) Washington Wizards |
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01-09-18 | Blazers v. Thunder -8 | Top | 117-106 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
Portland heads to Oklahoma City riding a two-game winning streak including a last second victory over San Antonio on Sunday. C.J. McCollum drove the lane and had his running shot bounce on the rim a total of seven times before going in to provide the Blazers with a 111-110 lead with 5.9 seconds to go. They have been a much better team on the road but are in a tough spot tonight with Damian Lillard rules out with a calf injury. He has missed six of the last eight games and they are 2-2 in four road games with the wins coming over the Bulls and Lakers, so the challenge will be difficult tonight. Oklahoma City is coming off a loss in Phoenix on Sunday to snap a two-game winning streak and the Thunder will be out to make up for that as well as put an end to a two-game home losing streak that came just before their three-game roadtrip. Oklahoma City is 14-6 at home after a shaky start and going back, the Thunder are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a winning road record. Meanwhile, the Blazers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (504) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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01-05-18 | Hornets v. Lakers +2.5 | Top | 108-94 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
The Lakers are having a rough time of it as a 133-96 loss to the Thunder on Wednesday marked their eighth straight loss and 11th in 12 games, a streak that has dropped the Lakers from just outside the Western Conference playoff hunt to the second-worst record in the entire NBA, only one game better than the hapless Hawks. Kyle Kuzma called his teammates out afterward and that is a thing that can help immediately as hurt egos go a long way and now is the time to back Los Angeles. To the Lakers credit, the recent has been brutal as they have played the Warriors, Rockets and Timberwolves twice apiece, as well as the Cavaliers, Blazers and Thunder over their last 12 games. They have covered four of their last five games against the Eastern Conference. Charlotte is coming off a blowout win over Sacramento to improve to 2-1 on this roadtrip with the other win coming against Golden St. and while that was impressive, the Hornets are still a dreadful 4-13 on the road. They have won only one of three games as road favorites and the Hornets are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a losing straight up record. 10* (820) Los Angeles Lakers |
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01-05-18 | Raptors v. Bucks +1 | Top | 129-110 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
Toronto has been the best home team in the NBA this season but has not been nearly dominant on the road as it is 12-9 and while that may seem impressive still, digging deeper shows it really is not. Only three of those 12 road wins have come against winning teams and two of those were against New Orleans and Portland which are each just one game over .500. The Raptors have played a relatively easy schedule, ranked No. 24 in the NBA, and they possess just two wins over top ten team which is second fewest in the league ahead of only Chicago and its one victory over the top ten. Milwaukee is on the cusp of the top ten as it has been playing well as after a 4-6 start, it has gone 16-10 over its last 26 games. The Bucks have won three of their last four games with the lone loss coming against Toronto in overtime so there will be added motivation. Milwaukee has gone 11-3 in its last 14 home games and sits just four games behind Cleveland in the Central Division. The Bucks are 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning straight up record while the Raptors are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (808) Milwaukee Bucks |
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01-03-18 | Pelicans +1.5 v. Jazz | Top | 108-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
New Orleans is coming off a pair of losses at home, to the Knicks and Mavericks no less, to drop back down to .500 on the season. The Pelicans have fallen into the No. 8 spot in the Western Conference and while it is too early to worry about playoff positioning, they cannot spiral out of the picture. New Orleans is 9-9 on the road and these are the positions it has thrived in as the Pelicans are 6-0 ATS this season on the road against teams with a losing record. In the first meeting in Salt Lake City this season, the Pelicans had a 16-point advantage over the Jazz early in the third quarter, but New Orleans managed to let a double-digit lead completely evaporate and were forced to take home the disappointing loss. Utah is coming off an upset win over Cleveland in its last game as the Cavaliers gave that game away by missing 13 of their first 14 shots in the third quarter, allowing the Jazz to open the quarter with a 23-3 run that put them ahead for good. Despite their big win over Cleveland, the Jazz have lost 10 of its last 12 after going through a brutal stretch in December that dropped them down to No. 10 in the Western Conference standings. Look for New Orleans to pace this game up which would give it a big advantage and come away with the needed victory. 10* (721) New Orleans Pelicans |
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12-30-17 | Spurs v. Pistons +4.5 | Top | 79-93 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
The Pistons are coming off an embarrassing loss at Orlando on Thursday as they fell by 13 points against the short-handed Magic. That snapped a two-game winning streak and losing to the lesser teams has been a problem this season. Detroit is 10-4 ATS this season against teams with a winning record and it will look to improve upon its 11-5 home record. Additionally, the Pistons are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. The Spurs meanwhile have won three straight games but those came against the Kings, Nets and Knicks and of their last seven wins, only one has come against a winning team and that was a two-point victory at Portland. San Antonio is just 8-9 on the road let it is laying points against a team with a winning record. These teams met in San Antonio earlier this month and the Spurs are now laying more points on the road than they did at home. The return of Kawhi Leonard and the absence of Reggie Jackson for the Pistons has a lot to do with that, but the value is still with the home side tonight. 10* (506) Detroit Pistons |
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12-29-17 | Pacers +2.5 v. Bulls | Top | 107-119 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
Indiana lost its second consecutive game on Wednesday as it fell at home to Dallas as it caught a hot shooting Dallas team in a no rest, back-to-back spot. The Pacers have not lost three straight games since early November as they are now 3-0 following consecutive losses since November 8 ad on the season, they are 11-5 ATS following a loss including covering seven of the last nine. Indiana has 13 losses against top 16 teams, but it is 12-3 against the rest of the league. The Bulls have been a money-making machine of late as they have covered 11 of their last 12 games and the value of their lines are starting to shift in the opposite direction. Chicago has been favored four times this entire season, Atlanta, Phoenix, Orlando and New York, all of which have losing records, so this will be the first time the Bulls have been favored against a winning team. The Bulls are just 5-14 against the top 16 of the NBA. Victor Oladipo has already been ruled out of this game after being a game-time decision on Wednesday and the early decision for this one helps the Pacers getting ready. 10* (805) Indiana Pacers |
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12-27-17 | Mavs v. Pacers -5 | Top | 98-94 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
Waiting on injury information for this game, Victor Oladipo is listed as questionable with a knee injury. He has been off the court only once this season and that resulted in a home loss albeit it was against Boston. The recommendation is to wait until his status is updated and play it if he is in and optional to play if he is not although the line will reflect it so there will be value so it should be played either way. The Pacers are coming off a blowout loss in Detroit in a game that was never close as they did not lead while the Pistons led by as many as 27 points. Indiana is 8-2 ATS as a favorite of less than nine points while going 11-4 ATS following a loss. We won with Dallas last night as it defeated Toronto outright as a home dog making this a prime to against spot. The Mavericks are just 2-7 following a win and 1-5 when playing with no rest including 0-5 when the second of the back-to-back is on the road. Dallas has lost eight straight road games and is 2-14 on the season on the highway. 10* (704) Indiana Pacers |
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12-26-17 | Raptors v. Mavs +6 | Top | 93-98 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
Toronto has won six straight games and 12 of its last 13 to take over the top spot in the Eastern Conference. The Raptors are coming off a pair of divisional wins over Philadelphia including the last one at home where they are now 12-1 on the season. They hit the road where they are 11-7 and they are in a tough spot here as they have a game at resurgent Oklahoma City tomorrow so the lookahead possibility is there. Dallas is one of two teams in the NBA with single-digit wins yet it is not near the bottom of the power rankings showing the season has been better than the record shows. The Mavericks have played a tough schedule and like Toronto, they have been much better at home than on the road. They are playing better after a 2-14 start and have won four of their last five home games. Going back, the Mavericks are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (502) Dallas Mavericks |
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12-23-17 | Thunder v. Jazz -1 | Top | 103-89 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
Oklahoma City is coming off a last second victory last night as Russel Westbrook hit a three-pointer in the final seconds to avoid overtime against the hapless Hawks. That concluded a 3-0 homestand for the Thunder which hit the road tonight where they are just 5-10 on the season. They lost by 15 points against the Knicks in their last road game and this will be the second time this season playing with no rest and going from home to the road. The first instance resulted in a 16-point loss at Dallas and going back, the Thunder are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a losing straight up record. Utah snapped a three-game losing streak with an 11-point win over San Antonio at home on Thursday to improve to 6-1 in its last seven home games. It was one of its best defensive performances this month and the Jazz have been solid at home on that side of the ball, allowing just 94.8 ppg. This is a good spot to keep it going as the Jazz are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. 10* (518) Utah Jazz |
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12-22-17 | Knicks v. Pistons -6 | Top | 101-104 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
The Knicks picked up another win last night as they defeated Boston to make it five wins over their last six games despite Kristaps Porzingis going a dreadful 0-11 from the floor after missing the previous two games. This will be the third occasion this season that New York has played a road game after a home game with no rest and it went 0-2 both straight up and against the number in both of those games, losing by 13 and 18 points. The Knicks have won just twice on the road this season while going 2-8 straight up and 3-7 ATS as road underdogs. Detroit has had an up and down season as a great start was followed up by a seven-game losing streak, but it has won three of its last four games since then. The last game resulted in a loss at Dallas on Wednesday and it heads back home looking for win No. 10 on its new floor and the situation definitely calls for it. Going back, the Pistons are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. 10* (802) Detroit Pistons |
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12-20-17 | Spurs v. Blazers -2 | Top | 93-91 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
The Spurs take a two-game winning streak into Portland with both of those wins coming at home where they have won 10 straight games. The road has been a different story for San Antonio as it has lost eight of its last 12 games on the highway. The only victories over this stretch have come against Dallas, Phoenix, Memphis and Charlotte which are a combined 45 games under .500. The Spurs have welcomed back Kawhi Leonard but have brought him back slowly as he is averaging just 16 minutes per game. He will not be in the lineup tonight and because of his lack of production, it is not a real big deal. Portland is coming off a five-game roadtrip where it went a respectable 3-2 and heads home where it looks to break a four-game home losing streak which dates back over a month. The Blazers have covered six straight games yet are laying a short price here because it is the name of the Spurs and not the way they have been on the road. 10* (720) Portland Trailblazers |