Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-18-18 | North Texas v. Louisiana Tech -6.5 | Top | 65-66 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
Louisiana Tech finished 14-4 in C-USA last season and was expected to contend again this season, but things have not started very good for the Bulldogs. They are 1-5 in the conference, which is good for last place, and while making excuses about losing typically do not fly, the schedule has not been in their favor. They have played four of the top six teams based on RPI and all four of those games took place on the road. Despite the record, Louisiana Tech is ranked fifth in the conference in RPI which shows how the strength of schedule can play a big role in how teams are ranked. This is the start of a three-game homestand and the start of a six-game stretch where the Bulldogs can easily go 6-0 and push their way to the upper half of the conference. North Texas has been just the opposite as it is 3-2 in C-USA after winning just two conference games last season, but it has played the third easiest conference schedule thus far. The Mean Green opened the season 1-5 on the road, but they have won three in a row however those games were at Rice, UTSA and UTEP, three of the five worst teams in the conference. This line has come down from opening with a lot of that due to the fact the public going against the Bulldogs and their 0-5 ATS run. 10* (528) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs |
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01-18-18 | Magic v. Cavs -10.5 | Top | 103-104 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
Laying double-digits in the NBA is not recommended on a regular basis but there are situations where it is warranted, and this is one of those. Cleveland has lost four straight games after a home loss against Golden St. and there have been speculations about the locker room falling apart and head coach Tyrone Lue having lost his team. Neither of those are correct but one thing is for sure, the Cavaliers need to start winning again even though this midseason skid seems to take place every year. Cleveland won the last meeting in Orlando earlier this month, but it has not forgotten the 21-point loss the Magic handed them on this floor earlier in the season and the Cavaliers will be out to make up for that. 10 of their last 13 games have been on the road so the schedule has been demanding and prior to the loss to the Warriors, Cleveland was 13-0 in its last 13 home games. Orlando is coming off an upset win over Minnesota in its last game and while the spot here is typically a very good one, this one is unique in what it is heading in to. The public is on the Magic here based on the Cavaliers 0-11 ATS record at home against losing teams and 0-11 ATS record as double-digit favorites so we are bucking those in one of the top contrarian situations you will come across. 10* (502) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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01-18-18 | Northeastern v. William & Mary -1 | Top | 90-70 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
William & Mary is coming off a couple firsts in its last game and they were not good ones as the Tribe lost their first conference game of the season after a 5-0 start and they lost their first home game of the season after a 7-0 start. William & Mary has won 20 of its last 22 games inside Kaplan Arena while going back further, the Tribe are 44-8 at home. Over the last two years, they are averaging 92.8 ppg at home, while shooting 54.4 percent from the floor and 45.8 percent from three-point range. This season, the Tribe lead the country in free throw shooting at 81.9 percent, while ranking second in three-point shooting at 44.5 percent and eighth in overall shooting at 51.0 percent. They are 5-1 this season after a game where they scored fewer than 80 points. Northeastern is coming off an overtime win at UNC-Wilmington last Saturday to improve to 4-2 in the CAA and 4-4 on the road. A win over Elon is the only quality conference win and that came at home as going back, the Huskies are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Meanwhile, the Tribe are 19-6-2 ATS in their last 27 games following a double-digit loss at home. 10* (510) William & Mary Tribe |
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01-17-18 | Jazz v. Kings +4 | Top | 120-105 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
Utah hits the road following a home loss against Indiana on Monday and it has been a struggle since starting the season 13-11 as the Jazz are 4-15 over their last 19 games. That certainly raises a question mark about them being favored in this spot despite facing one of the worst teams in the NBA. The thing about it is, Utah is part of that group as well as it is just four games better than the Kings and it is four games worse in the home/road splits. The Jazz are just 4-18 on the road including a 2-11 record in their last 13 roadies. Additionally, the Jazz are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games against teams with a losing home record and this season, they are 1-3 straight up and ATS as road favorites. Sacramento has dropped five straight games although it is coming off one of its best defensive efforts of the season against the Thunder. This is a young but talented roster that has shown signs of what it is capable of as it owns impressive home wins over Cleveland, Denver, Portland and Oklahoma City. These teams are very even in terms of the level of competition as their strength of schedules are nearly the same while both teams are 5-8 against teams ranked outside the top 16. 10* (718) Sacramento Kings |
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01-17-18 | Wizards +1.5 v. Hornets | Top | 109-133 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
The Wizards concluded a disappointing 2-3 homestand with a loss against Milwaukee on Monday and remains a half-game behind Miami in the Southeast Division. It was the sixth straight non-cover for the Wizards, so we have a solid contrarian angle which opens value in the number as this is a game they would typically be favored in. Washington has played down to the competition in many instances this season so while facing a sub-.500 team brings some concerns, it is an underdog which is more important. The Wizards are 11-3 ATS as underdogs this season, winning nine of those games outright. Washington is still a top ten team in the latest power rankings and that spells trouble for Charlotte which is just 4-13 against top ten teams this season. Those four victories are tied for fourth fewest amongst all teams in the NBA. The home floor has been nothing special for the Hornets which are 11-12 both straight up and against the number. The Hornets are coming off a win at Detroit on Monday and putting together winning streaks has been a real issue as they have won consecutive games only once since November 22. They are 1-8 in their last nine games following a win while going 1-6-1 ATS in those games. 10* (701) Washington Wizards |
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01-17-18 | George Mason v. George Washington -5 | Top | 68-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
It has been a rough stretch for George Washington as it has lost four straight games after a 1-0 start in the Atlantic Ten, but it has been a challenging schedule. Three of the four losses came against the top three teams in the conference with Rhode Island, Davidson and Duquesne a combined 13-2. Those three games all came in succession so facing Richmond on the road after that was a spot where the Colonials had very little energy and it showed in the 10-point loss on Saturday. They head back home where they are 8-3 with two of those losses against teams ranked in the top 25 of the RPI. George Mason is coming off a pair of narrow wins at home to move to 3-2 in the conference and those games ended a three-game homestand. This marks the first road game in two weeks for the Patriots which are getting outscored by nearly seven ppg. The Patriots are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a winning home record. This has been a lopsided series as George Washington has won all eight meetings since the Patriots joined the Atlantic Ten and holds an 18-2 advantage in the series history. 10* (740) George Washington Colonials |
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01-17-18 | Iowa v. Rutgers +1 | Top | 64-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Rutgers got off to a solid start this season by going 10-3 in its 13 non-conference games, but it has been a struggle in the conference. It has played the toughest conference schedule of all Big Ten teams and it is the No. 11 ranked conference schedule in the country, so its 1-5 record is not much of a surprise. The Scarlet Knights have played Michigan St. twice, Purdue. Ohio St. and Minnesota. The Scarlet Knights were coming off a brutal overtime loss against Michigan St. on the road and it was tough for them to recover from as they were blown out at home against Ohio St. on Sunday by 20 points. That loss to the Spartans shows what they are capable of and tonight presents a must win spot with a game at Michigan on deck. The Hawkeyes are coming off their first conference win as they defeated Illinois although it took overtime to do so. The Illini are the only remaining winless team in the conference so that win by Iowa was far from impressive and now this is the third straight game for the Hawkeyes where they are just 1-4 on the season. Those four losses have come by an average of 15.3 ppg and the Scarlet Knights are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (742) Rutgers Scarlet Knights |
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01-17-18 | Auburn v. Alabama +2.5 | Top | 71-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
It has been a hell of a turnaround season for Auburn which is just two wins shy from its total from all last season as it is 16-1 and riding a 14-game winning streak. The Tigers are coming off a win at Mississippi St. as they overcame an 11-point halftime lead, and this has been the story this season. Auburn is 4-1 this season in games in which the Tigers have trailed by at least 10 points and this will not last. It will be strength vs. strength and we will back the tough home defense. Alabama ranks as one of the top defenses in the SEC in conference games as coming into the Auburn game, the Crimson Tide leads the conference in blocks (6.8) and steals (8.2), while ranking second in scoring defense (65.2) and field goal percentage defense (.364). Auburn is one of the top offensive teams in the country as it enters the contest leading the SEC in scoring offense (86.5 ppg), scoring margin (+13.9) and free throw percentage (.779). The Tide have won their last two games to improve to 3-2 in the conference and despite a very young roster, they were picked to finish No. 3 in the SEC. Alabama is 7-1 at home this season and the two home conference wins have come by 22 and 14 points. 10* (746) Alabama Crimson Tide |
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01-16-18 | Ole Miss v. Texas A&M -10 | Top | 69-71 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
We played on Texas A&M on Saturday and while it outshot Tennessee 44.4 percent to 41 percent, it failed to win the battle of the small things as it was outscored 20-6 from the free throw line, lost the battle of the offensive boards 13-5 and committed seven more turnovers than the Volunteers. It was the first game in a month where all players were available, and the early season cohesion was not back in place, but we should see that come together tonight heading back to College Station. The Aggies are 0-5 in the SEC after an 11-1 record in non-conference play, so things turned south quickly as injuries and suspensions took their toll, but we will back Texas A&M in its first home game at full strength since December 9. Mississippi improved to 3-2 in the SEC with a home upset over Florida on Saturday which was its first outright win this season as an underdog. The Rebels moved to 9-3 at home but they now hit the road where they are 0-3 and the losses have come by 15, 11 and 19 points. Mississippi has failed to cover in all five games away from home and despite the winning conference record, the Rebels are the second lowest ranked team in the SEC RPI. 10* (546) Texas A&M Aggies |
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01-16-18 | Wolves v. Magic +8 | Top | 102-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
Minnesota hits the road following a perfect 5-0 homestand to increase its lead to 4.5 games over Oklahoma City in the Northwest Division while moving into a tie with San Antonio for third place in the Western Conference. The Timberwolves have been dominant at home with an 18-6 record, but they have been average on the road as they are 11-10 and while they do own some wins over poor teams, they have typically struggled in this spot as they are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of less than .400. Additionally, Minnesota has a big game at Houston Thursday night so a lookahead aspect comes into play as well. Orlando is going through a poor stretch as it has dropped seven straight games but has been competitive as five of those losses have been by fewer points than what it is getting tonight. The Magic have won just three times in 22 tries as road underdogs but have won four games as home underdogs so they have clearly been better on their home floor. The Magic have had three days off since their last game which can help shake off the sting of this recent drought. 10* (502) Orlando Magic |
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01-16-18 | Louisville v. Notre Dame -3 | Top | 82-78 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
Notre Dame is coming off a crushing defeat on Saturday against North Carolina as a last second shot to win the game did not fall and the Irish lost by a point. That was the second straight loss but there is good news on the horizon. They will welcome the return of senior guard Matt Farrell, as the captain missed the last three and a half games while recovering from a sprained left ankle suffered late in the first half Jan. 3 against NC State. Notre Dame went 1-2 in the three full games it played without its second-leading scorer (15.9) and leader in assists (5.0). The Irish have covered five of their last seven games following a straight up loss and have covered all three home games against winning teams. Louisville has won two straight games following a home win over Virginia Tech on Saturday and the Cardinals have also covered their last four games. That is significant enough to keep this line down and Louisville comes in with a 1-3 record on the road. The lone victory came against a rebuilding Florida St. team and much better Cardinals teams have had trouble winning in this building. The Cardinals are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (526) Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
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01-15-18 | Florida State v. Boston College +3.5 | Top | 75-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
As is the case most years, Boston College was picked to finish near the bottom of the ACC, but it has held its own thus far. The Eagles are 2-3 in the conference which matches their ACC wins from all of last season and this includes that standout win over Duke in their conference opener. While they are just 1-3 since then, two losses against Virginia and Clemson, ranked No. 2 and No. 7 in the RPI, came by a combined five points. Boston College is 10-1 at home and it has covered four of its last five games against teams with a winning record. Florida St. is coming off a double-overtime win over Syracuse on Saturday which puts it in a tough situational spot based on the added minutes and travel two days later. The Seminoles are also 2-3 in the conference and are overpriced here. They will be without a big contributor in P.J. Savoy who was hurt in the Syracuse game and while Terance Mann will be back after missing one game, how healthy he is remains in question. 10* (732) Boston College Eagles |
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01-15-18 | Knicks v. Nets -2.5 | Top | 119-104 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 55 m | Show |
Both New York and Brooklyn are coming off overtime losses in their last game, but the Nets have the edge of an extra day off. The Knicks are coming off a tough loss yesterday as they fell in overtime to the Pelicans to fall to 15-9 at home. The road has been a different story as New York is just 4-15 on the highway and the spot today is even worse because of the game yesterday. The Knicks are 0-6 this season playing with no rest on the road. The Nets are the second most profitable team in the NBA this season and while a lot of that is due to big underdog numbers, they are 5-1 ATS this season when favored by fewer than four points. They are coming off an overtime loss in Washington where they rallied back from a 23-point deficit in a game they never even led. Brooklyn is on a roll with eight covers over its last nine games and it will be out for double-revenge today following a pair of losses to the Knicks earlier in the season. 10* (710) Brooklyn Nets |
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01-14-18 | Pacers v. Suns +4 | Top | 120-97 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
Phoenix was supposed to be one of the worst teams in the NBA this season, but it has been far from it. The Suns will not be challenging for the division or sniffing the playoffs this season but having one of the youngest rosters in the league, they are looking good for the future. Phoenix is 7-6 since mid-December with three of those losses coming against three of the best teams in the league in Minnesota, San Antonio and Houston. Overall, the Suns have struggled against the top teams which comes as no surprise, but against teams ranked outside the top 16, they are 11-7 and that is where the Pacers reside. They overcame a 22-point deficit against the Cavaliers in their last game to pull off the miracle upset on Friday and now they are in a tough spot in a letdown situation coupled with travel and being a road favorite. While Indiana has been above average at home, it is just 8-10 on the road and of its last six road wins, only one has come against a team with a better record than Phoenix. The Suns are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss. 10* (806) Phoenix Suns |
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01-14-18 | Indiana State v. Missouri State -10 | Top | 73-76 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
This line may seem high given two teams with identical 3-2 conference records, but this line could be higher as Missouri St. and Indiana St. are not in the same class. Missouri St. was the overwhelming favorite to win the MVC this season and after opening 3-0, things were on pace. However, the Bears have dropped their last two games although those were both on the road and they head back home where they are 7-1. The roster does not look very intimidating with just one double-digit scorer, but Alize Johnson is the leading candidate for MVC Player of the Year as he is averaging 15.2 ppg and 11.4 rpg and he is second on the team with 41 assists. After that, it is all about depth as the Bears have seven players averaging between 6.2 and 9.3 ppg and that can be scary for any opposition. Indiana St. won its last time out with a two-point victory over Northern Iowa to improve to 3-2 in the Valley. The Sycamores are just 8-9 overall and while a win over Indiana to open the season was nice, that is a distant memory because of bad losses to Ball St., North Texas and Elon. One look at the RPI shows Missouri St. sitting at the top and Indiana St. sitting at the bottom, over 100 spots separating the two. 10* (816) Missouri St. Bears |
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01-13-18 | Valparaiso v. Northern Iowa -4 | Top | 76-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTHERN IOWA PANTHERS as part of our CBB ESPN Ultimate Trifecta. After a 0-3 start in its first season in the Missouri Valley Conference, Valparaiso has won two straight games by double-digits, albeit both games being played at home. The Crusaders hit the road again with some positive momentum, but they have really struggled on the highway of late as they have lost six of their last seven games on the road. This move is a big step up from the Horizon where Valparaiso posted the best overall record in its time there but after losing four starters, it was picked to finish sixth in the 10-team conference. It is still without second leading scorer Joe Burton who is serving a suspension. One of the contenders coming into the season was Northern Iowa but it is off to a 0-5 start although that is a bit deceiving. Four of the Panthers losses have come in the final minute including both games played at home. If this sounds familiar, it is as the Panthers started 0-5 in the MVC last season only to go on a 9-1 run over its next 10 games. They are one of the best defensive teams in the country as they are No. 8 in scoring defense at 61.2 ppg. 10* (638) Northern Iowa Panthers |
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01-13-18 | Wichita State v. Tulsa +11.5 | Top | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE as part of our CBB ESPN Ultimate Trifecta. Wichita St. has won six straight games including its first four AAC games in its first year in the conference. They have not been overly impressive however as the last two have come against the worst two teams in the conference while the only other road game resulted in a 10-point win at Connective which is ranked lower on the RPI, yet the Shockers are favored by a higher amount. This is no doubt a very good team, but they have not been dominating as much as people think as they are just 3-4 ATS when laying between 10 and 20 points. Tulsa returns home following a pair of road losses to drop its record to 3-2 in the conference and will get a chance to redeem itself against its biggest rival. This is the first time these two teams have met as members of the AAC, but Tulsa has faced the Shockers more than any other opponent. The Golden Hurricane are 7-1 at home this season while going 12-0 at home during the month of January since joining the AAC. Keeping that alive would be a pressure free cover but the inflated line is on our side. 10* (636) Tulsa Golden Hurricane |
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01-13-18 | Nets v. Wizards -9.5 | Top | 113-119 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
We played on Washington two games back and it ended up losing outright to Utah, but it was able to bounce back last night with a win against Orlando although it was a closer than expected game and the Wizards failed to cover again. They have now gone four straight games without covering as they continue to play down to the competition. Last night for example, they entered the fourth quarter tied with the Magic which should not be the deal considering they are 12.5 games better. While Washington may be considered to be in a similar spot tonight against a below average team, the situation is different. The Wizards have faced Brooklyn twice this season and they lost both games outright including the last one three days before Christmas by 35 points, so payback is in store. The Nets are coming off a win in Atlanta last night to improve to 7-13 on the road. They have not won consecutive road games this season and are 0-4 in the second of back-to-back road games playing with no rest. Washington meanwhile is 4-2 straight up and ATS when playing with no rest and having no travel here is a big advantage. 10* (508) Washington Wizards |
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01-13-18 | Texas A&M +2.5 v. Tennessee | Top | 62-75 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS A&M AGGIES for our CBB Game of the Week. The Aggies opened the season 11-1 after the non-conference part of the schedule but things went sour. There were a couple minor injuries and two suspensions that really hurt the chemistry of this team and Texas A&M dropped its first four SEC games, the last two coming by a single point against LSU and Kentucky. Second leading scorer DJ Hogg missed the missed two SEC games while third leading scorer Admon Gilder missed the first three SEC games, both because of suspensions but both returned against Kentucky and the Aggies nearly pulled off the upset on Tuesday. They are hoping to get Duane Wilson back today who has been out with a minor knee injury. Tennessee has won two straight after dropping its first two SEC games and it heads back home where it is an overwhelmingly public consensus favorite. This is due to the Aggies 0-4 conference record which needs to have an asterisk next to it. The Volunteers are 6-2 at home with one impressive win over Kentucky and the other five against nobody and they have covered just once in their last five games at home. 10* (605) Texas A&M Aggies |
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01-13-18 | Texas v. Oklahoma State -2 | Top | 64-65 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS as part of our CBB ESPN Ultimate Trifecta. Texas is coming off an inspirational win as it defeated TCU in overtime in dedication to guard Andrew Jones who was diagnosed with leukemia earlier in the day and it was an all-out effort for the Longhorns as they handed the Horned Frogs just their third loss of the season. As special as that was, it leads to a massive letdown as going from the euphoria of that victory to a road game three days later is tough to get up for. Oklahoma St. is coming off a loss at Kansas St. the same night to fall to 1-3 in the Big XII. The other two defeats came against Oklahoma and West Virginia, the two top teams in the conference RPI. The 19-game win streak over unranked opponents was snapped in the loss against the Wildcats, but the homecourt win streak over unranked opponents remains intact at 14 games. The Cowboys are 9-2 at home with losses coming against West Virginia and Wichita St. which are a combined 29-3 so those can be forgiven. The Cowboys are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS loss. 10* (604) Oklahoma St. Cowboys |
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01-13-18 | Auburn v. Mississippi State +2 | Top | 76-68 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI ST. BULLDOGS for our CBB Saturday CBB Enforcer. Some expected for Auburn to have a solid season coming off an 18-14 record last year and returning a bulk of its roster but not many saw this coming. The Tigers are off to a 15-1 start including 13 straight victories while starting SEC play at 3-0. The 13-game winning streak is the longest since Dec. 1, 1999 to Jan. 19, 2000 so this is definitely something special. They are 3-0 on the road and because they are ranked and laying a short price, they are one of the biggest public consensus plays of the day as they are the eighth highest road play. While this is a feel-good story, it will not last forever and it heads to one of the toughest environments in college hoops this season and to make it worse, Auburn has a game at rival Alabama on deck. The Bulldogs are 13-3 overall including 1-2 in the conference with both of those losses coming on the road in their last two games. Mississippi St. is 12-0 at home and a win today would make it 14 straight home wins dating back to last season which would tie a program record. The Bulldogs are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up loss. 10* (568) Mississippi St. Bulldogs |
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01-13-18 | Creighton v. Xavier -3.5 | Top | 70-92 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the XAVIER MUSKETEERS for our Saturday CBB Star Attraction. The Big East has three teams ranked in the top ten in the current RPI and one of those iz Xavier, coming in at No. 8. The Musketeers are 15-3 and are coming off a pair of road losses at Providence and Villanova and neither were very pretty, so there will be plenty of motivation this afternoon to get things back to where they were. The Musketeers possess one of the best home court advantages in the nation as they are 239-35 (.872) all-time at Cintas Center, including 11-0 this season. The .872 all-time winning percentage is ranked sixth in the nation. While we think the AP Poll is useless, Xavier has an 8-2 record in games that have involved two AP Top 25 teams at Cintas Center, including wins over Baylor and Cincinnati this season. This is important considering Creighton is ranked in the top 25 yet is sitting at No. 30 in the RPI so this is one of those situations where we get value because of an overrated AP ranked team. The Bluejays are 14-3 including a 4-1 conference record but three of those wins were at home and the only real road test resulted in a loss at Seton Hall. Bad time for them to visit Xavier. 10* (544) Xavier Musketeers |
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01-13-18 | Georgia Tech v. Pittsburgh +5.5 | Top | 69-54 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PANTHERS for our CBB Saturday Ultimate Underdog. We won with Georgia Tech on Wednesday as it defeated an undermanned Notre Dame team to win its third straight game and knock down its fourth straight cover. The Yellow Jackets are now 2-1 in the ACC and 9-7 overall and despite the victory over Notre Dame, they fell in the RPI and are now the lowest ranked ACC team heading into Saturday. Part of the problem has been an easy schedule to go along with a 0-3 record on the road as well as some poor losses including Wofford, Grambling St. and Wright St. And now they come in favored on the road and at a pretty big number. Seeing that Pittsburgh is 0-4 on the road may make the line more sensible but it actually does not. The Panthers have played the second toughest ACC schedule thus far with games against Duke, Virginia Tech, Louisville and Miami and were double-digit underdogs in all four games including two at home. Now they finally catch a break with their first winnable game in three weeks and the Panthers have not lost five consecutive games to open league play since joining the ACC. 10* (554) Pittsburgh Panthers |
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01-12-18 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets -7.5 | Top | 78-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
Denver has lost three straight games including an embarrassing home loss against Atlanta on Wednesday, just the fourth road win for the Hawks this season, to fall into the No. 7 spot in the Western Conference. It was a rare home loss for the Nuggets which had won 13 of their previous 16 games at home and they have not dropped consecutive home games this season, winning their four games following a loss by an average of 18.5 ppg. With a game at San Antonio tomorrow night, the Nuggets know this is a huge game. Memphis is coming off a win over New Orleans on Wednesday which snapped a two-game slide and it has been an awful stretch for the Grizzlies which are just 6-23 over their last 29 games. Memphis has not won consecutive games since October as it has dropped eight straight games following a victory. On the season, Memphis is 0-7 on the road following a win in its previous game and those losses have been by an average of 10.6 ppg. The Nuggets are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game while the Grizzlies are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. 10* (816) Denver Nuggets |
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01-12-18 | Jazz v. Hornets -4 | Top | 88-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
We played against Utah on Wednesday and while it was a win for the Jazz, it was more of a loss for Washington which again played down to its competition to fall to 11-10 against teams ranked outside the top 16. Despite the victory, Utah is still just 4-13 over its last 17 games while sitting at 4-17 on the road which remains the worst road record in the Western Conference. The Jazz have not won consecutive games since the start of December and they have lost their last four games following a win by an average of 9.8 ppg. The Jazz are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games against teams with a losing home record. It has been an even worst season for Charlotte as it is now 15-24 following a loss against Dallas on Wednesday. That loss put the Hornets a game under .500 at home and it has been a rough stretch since head coach Steve Clifford had to take a leave of absence for health reasons. He is coming back next week, and the Hornets should get a boost of motivation knowing he is back and going back, the Hornets are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. 10* (804) Charlotte Hornets |
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01-12-18 | Marquette v. Butler -4.5 | Top | 83-94 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
A four-game winning streak capped off by an eight-point upset win over Villanova is a thing of the past as Butler has dropped its last three games. Two of those were on the road as significant road underdogs and the lone home loss came against Seton Hall which is currently No. 9 in the RPI so none of the defeats have been ones they should not have been. Now comes a game where the Bulldogs can not and should not lose while trying to get back to .500 in the Big East. All six of Butler's losses have come against teams ranked in the KenPom Top 35 (with three of those coming on the road and two others on a neutral court). Marquette is outside that ranking which is a good sign based on the Butler downfalls. The Golden Eagles are coming off a huge win over Seton Hall, something Butler could not do, but that provides us with a good spot for a more lethargic Marquette team coming to town. After covering three straight games, and Butler failing to cover three straight, the line value is on the home side with a very motivated bunch. 10* (822) Butler Bulldogs |
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01-11-18 | Stanford v. Washington State +2.5 | Top | 79-70 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
Stanford hits the road following a pair of home upset victories over UCLA and USC which puts the Cardinal in a tough situation here. This is just the second true road game for Stanford with its first resulting in a loss at Long Beach St. by eight points as a 6.5-point favorite and that was a while back. The Cardinal have played six straight home games with this being the first road game since December 3 and on the season, they are 0-4 in all games away from Maples Pavilion. The Cardinal are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games following three or more consecutive home games. Washington St. is off to a 0-3 start in the Pac 12 with two of those losses coming on the road and the latest coming against rival by just five points. The Cougars still have a winning record on the season thanks to a 6-0 start that included impressive wins over San Diego St. and St. Marys, part of their Wooden Legacy Championship. This is the best three-point shooting team in the conference, not good for Stanford which is one of the worst perimeter defenses in the Pac 12. The Cougars are 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (546) Washington St. Cougars |
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01-11-18 | Northeastern v. College of Charleston -3 | Top | 66-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
College of Charleston, which returned all five starters from the 25-win team from last year, was picked to capture the CAA by a significant amount. The Cougars are just 2-2 in the conference as they opened with a pair of wins at home but suffered two road losses last week, one in overtime at Drexel and the other at Towson in a revenge game for the Tigers. They are back home where they are 7-0 on the season and have won nine straight here with the last loss coming against Northeastern by a point which they have not forgotten. College of Charleston has three of the Top 10 active CAA career scoring leaders in Joe Chealey (1,502), Cameron Johnson (979) and Jarrell Brantley (961). Northeastern comes in with a 3-1 record in the CAA following a 2-1 homestand but two of the three wins came against James Madison which is the worst team in the conference. The Huskies are 3-3 on the road but none are quality wins and going back, they are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (512) College of Charleston Cougars |
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01-11-18 | Marshall v. Charlotte +3 | Top | 91-83 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
Marshall had its three-game winning streak snapped with a 112-87 loss at Western Kentucky last Saturday and that defense has struggled most of the season. The Thundering Herd fell to 1-4 on the road and they are allowing 91.8 ppg on 48.8 percent shooting and this is the game that the Charlotte offense can really get it going. Marshall will be without one of its best players as Ajdin Penava, who is averaging 16.7 ppg and 9.0 rpg, left the last game with an ankle injury. The 49ers have gotten off to a rough start this season, but the schedule has not been in their favor as the early part of the season had games against Oklahoma St., Charleston, Davidson and Wake Forest. Since then, Charlotte has played its last six games on the road so this will be its first home game in over a month. The 49ers are 3-3 on their home floor and while they are 0-3 ATS, those three losses came against much stiffer competition. The Thundering Herd are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a double-digit loss at home while the 49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games following three or more consecutive road games. 10* (516) Charlotte 49ers |
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01-10-18 | Minnesota v. Northwestern -3.5 | Top | 60-83 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
Minnesota was a preseason top 20 team and was picked to finish third in the Big Ten Conference, but things have taken a turn for the worst. Two of the top four scorers are out as the Gophers are without starters Reggie Lynch, who is facing expulsion from sexual assault charges, and Amir Coffey, who is out for a while after suffering a shoulder injury. Jordan Murphy, Nate Mason and Dupree McBrayer combined for 58 points, 14 rebounds, 11 assists and six steals Saturday, but the Gophers still fell 75-71 at home against a shorthanded and rebuilding Indiana team. Minnesota has its five-game winning streak snapped with all those games coming at home and this marks their first road game in four weeks. Northwestern is also off to a disappointing start as it is 10-7 including a 1-3 start in the conference following consecutive 15-point losses. There have been issues on the court but despite the chemistry issues, however, the Wildcats can take solace in the fact that their roster is still complete and physically intact. A pair of player only meetings and intense practices will bring out the real Northwestern team everyone expected. 10* (772) Northwestern Wildcats |
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01-10-18 | Pistons v. Nets +2.5 | Top | 114-80 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
Detroit is coming off a loss in its last game on the road at New Orleans which comes as no surprise as it has lost five straight road games and over the last 10 Pistons games, the home team is a perfect 10-0. This is not because the road games have been against powerful teams and the home games have come against scrubs as they have lost to the likes of Dallas, Orlando and Philadelphia while producing home wins over San Antonio and Houston. This has been an ongoing situation for the underachieving Pistons as they are 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. The Nets have lost their last two games, both coming at home, but they were quality losses as they fell to Boston by a bucket and to Toronto by one points in overtime. Brooklyn has gone 3-2 in its last five home games and while those losses were impressive, two of the wins were as well as they came against Washington and Minnesota which are a combined 16 games over .500. This has been a calling card this season as the Nets are 8-2 ATS at home against winning teams and overall, they are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (708) Brooklyn Nets |
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01-10-18 | Heat v. Pacers -4.5 | Top | 114-106 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
Miami handed Toronto just its second home loss of the season as Wayne Ellington scored the decisive basket with 0.3 seconds remaining to give the Heat a dramatic 90-89 victory over the Raptors. That was the fifth straight win overall and third straight road win for Miami but not the third straight road win in succession as it was just their third road game since December 20. This has not been a good situation this season as Miami is 0-2 straight up and ATS in its two instances of playing the second of back-to-back road games with no rest. Those losses came by 17 and 29 points. Indiana has won its last two games following a five-game losing streak which included two home losses where it is 13-9 on the season. This has been a great price range this season for the Pacers as they are 10-3 ATS as favorites of fewer than nine points. Miami has lost 10 straight meetings in this series in Indianapolis and will likely be without Tyler Johnson once again and now James Johnson who was involved in a fight last night with Serge Ibaka. Going back, the 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win. 10* (702) Indiana Pacers |
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01-10-18 | Jazz v. Wizards -7.5 | Top | 107-104 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
Washington is playing with revenge as it suffered a 47-point loss in Utah last month which was its worst loss since 1970-71 so there will be plenty of added motivation tonight. While losing that bad is never a good thing, it could have woken up the Wizards as since that defeat, they have gone 11-5 and while they are coming off a loss against Milwaukee last time out, Washington has won its last four games following a loss, the last three coming by double-digits. The Wizards did not have John Wall in that first meeting and will get Otto Porter back tonight after he missed the last game against the Bucks. It has been a struggle for Utah this season as off-season defections and injuries have sent the Jazz into last place in the Northwestern Division. Utah is 3-13 in its last 16 games while possessing the worst road record in the Western Conference at 3-17. Utah is 3-9 ATS this season as an underdog of five or more points while going 0-5 ATS in its last five road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Meanwhile, the Wizards are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss. 10* (704) Washington Wizards |
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01-10-18 | St. Joe's v. George Mason +4.5 | Top | 79-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
St. Joseph's is coming off a pair of upsets last week as it defeated VCU and St. Bonaventure as an underdog. And both of those games were at home so now in the rare role going from home underdogs to road favorites next time out. While George Mason is not on the same level as VCU and St. Bonaventure, it is on the same level as St. Joseph's as the difference in the RPI numbers is just 19 spots which is minimal when the total amount of teams in the mix is 351. The Hawks are 7-7 overall including a 1-3 record on the road with the lone victory coming at Illinois-Chicago in overtime. George Mason is coming off its worst loss of the season as it was defeated by 27 points against Davidson on Saturday. The game was over before it started which may not be a bad thing moving forward as losses like that are a lot easier to take than a last second loss and going back, the Patriots are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a double-digit loss at home. 10* (724) George Mason Patriots |
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01-10-18 | Notre Dame v. Georgia Tech -1 | Top | 53-60 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
We played against Notre Dame on Saturday as it traveled to Syracuse and pulled out the victory as it held the Orange to 39.1 percent shooting and 49 points including 21 in the second half. The Irish were able win the battle of the boards including a 17-8 edge on the offensive end while making seven more free throws which was the ultimate difference. Those advantages helped to mask an awful offensive effort as they shot just 30.4 percent themselves which came as no surprise. Notre Dame was without its top two scorers and will be without Bonzie Colson and Matt Farrell again tonight and the challenge on defense will be a lot tougher. Georgia Tech is coming off a non-conference win over Yale on Saturday as it avoided a letdown following a big win over Miami. The Yellow Jackets are 1-1 in the conference and that one loss came against Notre Dame last month so there is instant revenge. Farrell and Colson combined for 32 points and 22 boards so that production will be missed this time around. 10* (736) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets |
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01-09-18 | Boise State v. Fresno State -3 | Top | 70-64 | Loss | -101 | 16 h 58 m | Show |
Both Boise St. and Fresno St. are coming off overtime games on the road with the Bulldogs winning theirs at Colorado St. while the Broncos lost by a point at Wyoming. Fresno St. has the advantage of returning home carrying some positive momentum as it looks to improve upon its 8-2 record at Save Mart Center. The Bulldogs are 3-3 over their last six games and they are 0-5 ATS over that stretch which adds value to the number for tonight as a contrarian angle. Fresno St. ranks second in the MWC in field goal shooting percentage (49.9 percent), three-point field goal percentage (40.7 percent), offensive rebounding percentage (33.1 percent) and steals (128, 7.5 spg). Boise St. had its three-game winning streak snapped with the loss against the Cowboys as it fell to 2-2 on the road. The Broncos will be going up against one of the best backcourts in the conference as four guards for the Bulldogs are averaging double-digits in scoring. Going back, the Bulldogs are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight up win while the Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. 10* (562) Fresno St. Bulldogs |
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01-09-18 | Tennessee v. Vanderbilt +2.5 | Top | 92-84 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
Tennessee is coming off a win over Kentucky on Saturday as it outscored the Wildcats by 19 points in the second half to make it three straight home wins over Kentucky. The Volunteers now hit the road where they lost last time out in overtime against Arkansas and they come in as the favorite with a lot of that based on the win from Saturday. This is an ideal letdown spot and it is very similar to two years ago when Tennessee defeated Kentucky as home and then went on the road and got blown out against Arkansas. It has been an up and down start for Vanderbilt as it is 6-9 overall including a 1-2 record in the SEC. The Commodores are coming off a loss at South Carolina on Saturday and while they are 6-3 at home, all three losses were decided in the final minute, so they have had some unfortunate luck. They have yet to cover a game at home as the Commodores are 0-6 ATS which is another reason the line is what it is. The Vanderbilt defense has picked it up of late, allowing opponents to shoot just 37.9 percent from the floor over its last five games. 10* (558) Vanderbilt Commodores |
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01-09-18 | Blazers v. Thunder -8 | Top | 117-106 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
Portland heads to Oklahoma City riding a two-game winning streak including a last second victory over San Antonio on Sunday. C.J. McCollum drove the lane and had his running shot bounce on the rim a total of seven times before going in to provide the Blazers with a 111-110 lead with 5.9 seconds to go. They have been a much better team on the road but are in a tough spot tonight with Damian Lillard rules out with a calf injury. He has missed six of the last eight games and they are 2-2 in four road games with the wins coming over the Bulls and Lakers, so the challenge will be difficult tonight. Oklahoma City is coming off a loss in Phoenix on Sunday to snap a two-game winning streak and the Thunder will be out to make up for that as well as put an end to a two-game home losing streak that came just before their three-game roadtrip. Oklahoma City is 14-6 at home after a shaky start and going back, the Thunder are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a winning road record. Meanwhile, the Blazers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (504) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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01-09-18 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma -3 | Top | 65-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
Texas Tech has been the big surprise in the Big XII as it is off to a 14-1 start including a perfect 3-0 in the conference. The signature win came at Kansas a week ago and the Red Raiders avoided a letdown by heading home and taking care of business against Kansas St. on Saturday. They came into the season not receiving a single vote in the AP Top 25 and are now up to No. 8 in the nation. As pointed out in the past, the AP Poll is meaningless as that is a public poll and the RPI is the better guide. Texas Tech is No. 20 in the RPI which is still solid but shows how it national ranking is overinflated. Oklahoma is coming off a loss at West Virginia as it committed 17 turnovers, but this is a good bounce back spot. Despite that loss, Oklahoma remains the top team in the Big XII RPI at No. 7 as this offense is one of the best around. The Sooners are averaging 94.4 ppg which is tops in the country and this includes a 101.9 ppg average at home where they are a perfect 7-0. 10* (530) Oklahoma Sooners |
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01-06-18 | Marquette v. Villanova -16 | Top | 90-100 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
After starting the season 13-0, Villanova allowed a season-high 101 points in a loss at Butler and it has had a week to stew over that defeat which is not a good sign for Marquette. Had covered eight of their previous nine games and were dominating in their climb up to going after a second National Championship in three years. Losses have been few and far between for the Wildcats for the last few seasons, but head coach Jay Wrights seems to always push the right buttons as the 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss while going 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a non-cover. After a 19-1 start last season, Villanova went to Marquette and lost by a bucket, so it will be out for payback tonight. The Golden Eagles are 2-1 in the Big East following a 95-90 win at Providence in overtime behind 52 points from Markus Howard. It is safe to say the Villanova defense is going to be all over him tonight and he could be in for a very long night. Marquette is 2-0 on the road but this is the biggest test to date and once Villanova gets off to a quick start here, the Wildcats can cruise to an easy victory. 10* (636) Villanova Wildcats |
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01-06-18 | Tulsa v. Memphis -1.5 | Top | 67-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
We played on Memphis three games back and it suffered its first home loss of the season and that defeat did not go away as the Tigers have opened AAC action with a pair of losses. They lost to Cincinnati and Central Florida as the offense was completely shut down, but both of those games were on the road and Memphis looks to regain its footing as it heads back home in what is the start of a four-game stretch with all four games winnable ones. The Tigers have failed to cover their last five games and that is being taken into consideration with this line that is too short. Tulsa is off to a 3-0 start in the conference, but this is not sustainable. The Golden Hurricane are coming off a big win against Connecticut in overtime on Wednesday and getting back up off that high will be difficult especially with the travel being taken into consideration. Despite the 3-0 record, Tulsa is No. 7 in the conference RPI and it catches a Memphis team at the wrong time. The Tigers are 1-5 ATS as underdogs so they have not stepped up to the opposition, but they are 3-0 ATS when favored by fewer than seven points. 10* (584) Memphis Tigers |
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01-06-18 | Southern Illinois v. Valparaiso -3.5 | Top | 72-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
Valparaiso probably wishes it was still in the Horizon Conference as it has not been a good start in the Missouri Valley Conference, which is a slight bump up in strength. The Crusaders are 0-3 in their first three games in their new conference and they have lost four straight overall while going 1-7 in their last eight games. To their credit, seven of those eight games were on the road and the lone home game came against Missouri St. which is the preseason favorite to win the MVC. While it may be early to throw around the must win tag, but this is a game that Valparaiso needs leading up to another tough three-game stretch after this. After missing time with mono, Tevonn Walker found his groove last game and can take over on offense. Southern Illinois is 2-1 in the conference, but it has been playing over its head as depth issues are going to catch up to the Salukis. Both wins came by a bucket as free throw shooting has become an issue as Southern Illinois was just 16-30 in those two victories. The Salukis have now lost three players for the season and are playing with seven players that get significant minutes. 10* (590) Valparaiso Crusaders |
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01-06-18 | Notre Dame v. Syracuse -6 | Top | 51-49 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
We won with Syracuse last Sunday as it stifled the potent Virginia Tech offense with its patented zone defense, but the Orange came out slow in its next game against Wake Forest and eventually lost by six points. They are back home where they have only lost once and in a great spot to bounce back and shake off that defeat to improve to 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a loss. There is a bit of revenge in play here as well as Syracuse lost in South Bend last season by 18 points. Notre Dame suffered a big loss when forward and leading scorer Bonzie Colson sustained a broken foot against Georgia Tech and he will be out for at least a month. His teammates rallied around him and drilled NC State by 30 points in his first game out but took another bad break as second leading scorer Matt Farrell hurt his ankle and will not be available today. Those two absences account for 37.3 ppg so there are big issues of where the offense will find production today. The Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. 10* (538) Syracuse Orange |
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01-06-18 | LSU v. Texas A&M -8.5 | Top | 69-68 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS A&M AGGIES for our CBB Game of the Week. Texas A&M was rolling along at 10-1 but then came some issues, most notably three-game suspension to leading scorer DJ Hogg and the Aggies dropped two of those three games. Hogg will be reinstated today, and Texas A&M will be out for blood following a 0-2 start in the SEC after losses against Alabama and Florida by 22 and 17 points respectively. When fully available, this is one of the top teams in the country and we will see that on display today. LSU put up a big fight against Kentucky on Wednesday but lost at home by three points and that will be tough to recover from, especially after blowing a five-point halftime lead. While that may look like an impressive game for the Tigers, numerous Kentucky players were playing with the flu, so the Wildcats were far from full strength. LSU has played just one true road game and it heads to College Station at the wrong time. The Aggies are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600 while the Tigers are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (562) Texas A&M Aggies |
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01-06-18 | Florida v. Missouri +1.5 | Top | 77-75 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
The loss of Michael Porter Jr. a game into the season crushed any sort of NCAA Championship hopes that it had coming into the season, but this is still a very good team that has four starters back from last season. The other Porter brother, Jontay, missed some time but came back last game and put up 19 points in the Tigers win over South Carolina to open the SEC at 1-0. Missouri returns home where it is 7-0 on the season and we often talk about AP Poll rankings against RPI rankings and how the former means little, but it is what the public considers. The Tigers are not ranked, ant not even receiving votes for that matter, it in the AP Poll but they are No. 14 in the latest RPI. Then there is the matter of a 39-point loss in Gainesville last season that the returning players have surely not forgotten about. Florida came into the season as a top ten team according to numerous publications, but a 1-4 stretch sent it tumbling out of the rankings and the Gators now sit No. 56 in the RPI. They are coming off a blowout win at Texas A&M, but the Aggies were shorthanded, and that victory has given Florida too much credit with the linesmakers. The Gators are just 2-6 in their last eight games overall while the Tigers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (540) Missouri Tigers |
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01-05-18 | Hornets v. Lakers +2.5 | Top | 108-94 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
The Lakers are having a rough time of it as a 133-96 loss to the Thunder on Wednesday marked their eighth straight loss and 11th in 12 games, a streak that has dropped the Lakers from just outside the Western Conference playoff hunt to the second-worst record in the entire NBA, only one game better than the hapless Hawks. Kyle Kuzma called his teammates out afterward and that is a thing that can help immediately as hurt egos go a long way and now is the time to back Los Angeles. To the Lakers credit, the recent has been brutal as they have played the Warriors, Rockets and Timberwolves twice apiece, as well as the Cavaliers, Blazers and Thunder over their last 12 games. They have covered four of their last five games against the Eastern Conference. Charlotte is coming off a blowout win over Sacramento to improve to 2-1 on this roadtrip with the other win coming against Golden St. and while that was impressive, the Hornets are still a dreadful 4-13 on the road. They have won only one of three games as road favorites and the Hornets are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a losing straight up record. 10* (820) Los Angeles Lakers |
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01-05-18 | Raptors v. Bucks +1 | Top | 129-110 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
Toronto has been the best home team in the NBA this season but has not been nearly dominant on the road as it is 12-9 and while that may seem impressive still, digging deeper shows it really is not. Only three of those 12 road wins have come against winning teams and two of those were against New Orleans and Portland which are each just one game over .500. The Raptors have played a relatively easy schedule, ranked No. 24 in the NBA, and they possess just two wins over top ten team which is second fewest in the league ahead of only Chicago and its one victory over the top ten. Milwaukee is on the cusp of the top ten as it has been playing well as after a 4-6 start, it has gone 16-10 over its last 26 games. The Bucks have won three of their last four games with the lone loss coming against Toronto in overtime so there will be added motivation. Milwaukee has gone 11-3 in its last 14 home games and sits just four games behind Cleveland in the Central Division. The Bucks are 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning straight up record while the Raptors are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (808) Milwaukee Bucks |
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01-05-18 | Wisconsin v. Rutgers +2.5 | Top | 60-64 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
Rutgers is off to a 0-3 start in the Big Ten but tonight is the first opportunity where it can actually win. Those first three games were against Minnesota, Michigan St. and Purdue and those lines were 12.5, 14.5 and 19 respectively so the chances of winning any of those were next to none. While Rutgers won just 15 games last season, it was more than twice as many victories from the previous season. It lost seven Big Ten games by single-digits after losing 15 conference games by double-digits the previous season and it brings back four starters. The Scarlet Knights are 10-6 overall including a 10-4 record at home with one of those losses coming against Michigan St. and the other three came by a combined nine points including a five-point loss to Florida St. Wisconsin has won five straight games including a win over Indiana last time out to improve to 2-1 in the conference. It made another trip to the Sweet 16 last season, but this edition may miss out on all postseason tournaments. The Badgers lost four starters and their current RPI of No. 119 is nothing special. This is their first road game in a month and this is not the easiest of venues for opponents. The Scarlet Knights are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games against teams with a losing road record while the Badgers are 3-9-2 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (828) Rutgers Scarlet Knights |
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01-04-18 | USC v. California +7 | Top | 80-62 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
It has been an up and down start for USC which came into the season as the preseason No. 11 team according to Blue Ribbon but after opening the season 4-0, the Trojans lost three straight games, albeit to three top programs. They rebounded to go 5-1 in their next six games, but the one loss came at home against Princeton and two of the victories were closer than they should have been. Pac 12 play opened with an inexplicable home loss against Washington and while USC bounced back to roll over Washington St. two days later, this team is sill underachieving. The Trojans hit the road for just the second time and they will do so without the services of leading scorer Chimezie Metu for the first half as he is suspended after an altercation against the Cougars and that could prove to be large. Not much was expected from California this season after losing four starters, but it has held its own at 7-7, three losses coming in Maui, and it opened the conference season with a win at Stanford. The Golden Bears have four players averaging double-digits in scoring and possess a strong backcourt that can matchup with the Trojans. 10* (566) California Golden Bears |
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01-04-18 | UTEP v. Southern Miss -2.5 | Top | 75-85 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
The Miners got off to a 1-5 start and then had to deal with the sudden retirement of head coach Tim Floyd which came out of nowhere. UTEP is 5-3 under interim head coach Phil Johnson including a win over Rice in its last game on Saturday but now UTEP hits the road dealing with another issue. Leading scorer Keith Frazier took a leave of absence from the team for personal reasons and while the Miners won their first game without him, beating Rice is no big deal. Additionally, their last nine games were at home and this marks their first road game since November 25 and just the second one on the season. Southern Mississippi is still dealing with scholarship losses as it has only 10 scholarship players, but it is holding its own with a 7-8 record despite losses in four straight games. The Golden Eagles were hammered in their first two conference games but those were against frontrunners Marshall and Western Kentucky and both were on the road. They are 5-0 at home and going back are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (534) Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles |
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01-04-18 | Texas-San Antonio v. Louisiana Tech -7.5 | Top | 78-76 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
The Bulldogs went 23-10 last season including a 14-4 record in C-USA which was good for a second-place finish and after getting ousted in the conference tournament semifinals, they were completely snubbed by all postseason tournaments. They have three starters back this season and are off to a 9-6 start while possessing a strong and deep backcourt led by DaQuan Bracey and NBA prospect Jacobi Boykins. Four of the six losses have come by a total of 10 points and starting off 0-2 in C-USA will have them ready to go tonight. UTSA has split its first two conference games, both coming at home, and it hits the road where it is 1-4 and has been dominated on the glass by 14.8 rpg. Overall, the Roadrunners have played the fourth easiest schedule in the conference at No. 292 and they are catching the Bulldogs at the absolute worst time. This is the first home game for Louisiana Tech since December 12 and the Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. 10* (526) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs |
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01-03-18 | Pelicans +1.5 v. Jazz | Top | 108-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
New Orleans is coming off a pair of losses at home, to the Knicks and Mavericks no less, to drop back down to .500 on the season. The Pelicans have fallen into the No. 8 spot in the Western Conference and while it is too early to worry about playoff positioning, they cannot spiral out of the picture. New Orleans is 9-9 on the road and these are the positions it has thrived in as the Pelicans are 6-0 ATS this season on the road against teams with a losing record. In the first meeting in Salt Lake City this season, the Pelicans had a 16-point advantage over the Jazz early in the third quarter, but New Orleans managed to let a double-digit lead completely evaporate and were forced to take home the disappointing loss. Utah is coming off an upset win over Cleveland in its last game as the Cavaliers gave that game away by missing 13 of their first 14 shots in the third quarter, allowing the Jazz to open the quarter with a 23-3 run that put them ahead for good. Despite their big win over Cleveland, the Jazz have lost 10 of its last 12 after going through a brutal stretch in December that dropped them down to No. 10 in the Western Conference standings. Look for New Orleans to pace this game up which would give it a big advantage and come away with the needed victory. 10* (721) New Orleans Pelicans |
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01-03-18 | Illinois State v. Drake -3.5 | Top | 62-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
Both Drake and Illinois St. have jumped out to 2-0 conference records in the first week of MVC action to sit on top of the league standings. This is the first 2-0 start for the Bulldogs since 2007-08 and while many will call it a fluke, this team will continue to make noise as Drake is the eighth most experienced team in the nation with an average experience of 2.46 years on the court at any given time. Reed Timmer, one of five Drake senior guards, leads the MVC with 18.9 ppg and while the Bulldogs lead the conference in scoring., defense has been the team's catalyst in the last three wins as the Bulldogs have held each of those opponents under 40 percent shooting. Illinois St. comes in extremely shorthanded as the injury list keeps growing. Most recent, leading scorer Keyshawn Evans is out with a knee injury and while the Redbirds won their only game without him so far, it took overtime at home to defeat Indiana St., the lowest ranked team in the RPI in the MVC. The Bulldogs are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (760) Drake Bulldogs |
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01-03-18 | Richmond v. Fordham -1.5 | Top | 65-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
Fordham dropped its conference opener at VCU on Saturday which came after a loss at West Virginia and heads back home to get into the win column. The Rams are not the same pushover team from the past as over the past two years, Fordham has won 15 A-10 games (eight in 2015-2016 and seven in 2016-2017) and those 15 wins is one more than Rams managed over the previous seven years. The Rams are fifth in the conference in scoring defense at 67.6 ppg and are third in the league in three-point field goal percentage defense (.315). Fordham also leads the league in steals with 143 (11.0 spg). Richmond defeated Davidson at home on Saturday as an underdog to pick up just its third win of the season. The Spiders are winless on the road at 0-3 as the defense has struggled, allowing opponent to shoot 50.3 percent from the floor and giving up 79.7 ppg. The Rams have lost three home games by a combined eight points and while the Spiders have won 14 straight meetings in this series, this presents the best opportunity for Fordham to break that streak. 10* (732) Fordham Rams |
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01-03-18 | Clemson v. Boston College +5 | Top | 74-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
Boston College had a five-game winning streak snapped on Sunday, but it was another strong game for the Eagles as they lost in Virginia by just a single point to fall to 1-1 in the ACC. The win was against Duke at home which shows what they are capable of and this is going to be a dangerous team all season. Boston College has already won more games this season than all last season thanks to one of the stronger backcourts in the conference with Jerome Robinson, Ky Bowman and Jordan Chatman all averaging at least 14.6 ppg. Bowman is the only player in the country to average at least 15.9 ppg, 6.8 rpg, and 5.1 apg. Clemson enters the contest ranked No. 25 in the AP Poll thanks to a 12-1 start and that is the reason the Tigers come in as road favorites. They have also covered six straight games so despite Boston College being undefeated at home, Clemson will be the popular play tonight. The Eagles counter the Clemson current ATS run as they are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (742) Boston College Eagles |
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01-02-18 | Arkansas -2 v. Mississippi State | Top | 75-78 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
Arkansas is coming off an overtime win over Tennessee on Saturday to open SEC play with a victory and now it hits the road for just the second time this season. This is a non-issue however, especially laying a short price against an overrated and overvalued team. The Razorbacks entered the AP Poll for the first time this season and for the first time since the end of 2014-15 but this is a poll we do not go by but only compare to a truer set of rankings. Arkansas is No. 4 in the RPI which is tops in the conference and it has played the third toughest schedule in the SEC and despite the rugged slate, the Razorbacks lead the conference in scoring offense (90.4), scoring margin (+15.8), three-point field goal percentage (.409), turnover margin (+5.5) and assist-to-turnover ratio (1.6). Mississippi St. is 11-1 which is the second-best record in the SEC but that is due to playing the easiest schedule and one that is ranked No. 310 in the nation. The signature win was a two-point victory over Dayton at home so clearly there has been little resistance. The Razorbacks have two AP Top 20 wins in the last five games and multiple top 20 wins in the same season for the third time under head coach Mike Anderson. 10* (549) Arkansas Razorbacks |
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01-02-18 | Butler v. Xavier -7 | Top | 79-86 | Push | 0 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
We won with Xavier last week as it won in Marquette and the Musketeers came back with a lethargic effort against DePaul on Saturday which sets up a great opportunity tonight. they are now No. 2 in the overall RPI, one of three teams from the Big East Conference that are ranked within the top ten and seven ranked within the top 50 showing how strong of a conference this is. Xavier has won nine straight games and its only loss this season came against Arizona St. which is No. 6 in the RPI. The other reason this is a great spot is the fact Butler is coming off an upset win over No. 1 Villanova on Saturday as a 5.5-point home underdog. The Bulldogs are now 9-0 at home but they have struggled outside of Indianapolis as they have blowout losses against Maryland, Texas and Purdue while their only two wins away from home came against Georgetown and Ohio St., both in overtime by a combined three points. The Musketeers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600 while the Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (514) Xavier Musketeers |
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12-31-17 | Virginia Tech v. Syracuse -3 | Top | 56-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
Expectations were low heading into the season for Syracuse, but it put together a strong nonconference season at 11-2 with one of those losses coming in overtime against an underrated St. Bonaventure team and the other coming against Kansas. The Orange were picked to finish 11th in the 15-team ACC and while that still may happen, all indications are that this is a team that plans to overachieve all season. They are the only team in the ACC with three players averaging at least 15 ppg but it is the defense that leads the way. Syracuse ranks 22nd in the country in scoring defense, holding teams to just 62.6 ppg. The Orange also ranks 22nd in field-goal percentage defense as opponents have shot just 38.4 percent from the floor. Virginia Tech is one of the highest scoring teams in the country, averaging 91.3 ppg but that has come against a soft schedule that is ranked No. 286 in the nation. The Hokies will have trouble against this zone defense that is long and athletic. The Orange come into this game ranked No. 17 in the RPI so they remain under the radar and the line is dictating that today. 10* (854) Syracuse Orange |
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12-31-17 | Tulsa v. Tulane -2.5 | Top | 65-56 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
Tulane went through a tough 2016-17 season as head coach Mike Dunleavy, yes that Mike Dunleavy, was brought in to rebuild a program in shambles and year one went as planned., The Green Wave won just six games, but progress was made as the roster was overhauled for the future. It is already paying off as they already have four more wins than last season and are coming off a win in their conference opener at Temple. While it may seem strange to hear, Tulane has one of the best backcourts in the conference with Melvin Frazier and Cameron Reynolds who are averaging a combined 34 ppg and they are one and two respectively in rebounding. Tulane is one of seven teams in the AAC with an RPI of 80 or better. Tulsa is not part of that group as the Golden Hurricane hit the road following a 26-point win over East Carolina in their AAC opener. That win does not say much as the Pirates own the sixth worst RPI in the entire country. Tulsa is 0-2 on the road and still without one of its better players as DaQuan Jeffries remains sidelined with a hand injury. 10* (826) Tulane Green Wave |
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12-30-17 | Spurs v. Pistons +4.5 | Top | 79-93 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
The Pistons are coming off an embarrassing loss at Orlando on Thursday as they fell by 13 points against the short-handed Magic. That snapped a two-game winning streak and losing to the lesser teams has been a problem this season. Detroit is 10-4 ATS this season against teams with a winning record and it will look to improve upon its 11-5 home record. Additionally, the Pistons are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. The Spurs meanwhile have won three straight games but those came against the Kings, Nets and Knicks and of their last seven wins, only one has come against a winning team and that was a two-point victory at Portland. San Antonio is just 8-9 on the road let it is laying points against a team with a winning record. These teams met in San Antonio earlier this month and the Spurs are now laying more points on the road than they did at home. The return of Kawhi Leonard and the absence of Reggie Jackson for the Pistons has a lot to do with that, but the value is still with the home side tonight. 10* (506) Detroit Pistons |
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12-30-17 | Texas A&M v. Alabama | Top | 57-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
Texas A&M begins SEC play ranked No. 5 in the latest AP Poll and No. 8 in the RPI so this is a dangerous team. However, it is a dangerous team when fully loaded and that is not the case today. Leading scorer and top three-point shooter D.J. Hogg will miss his second straight game, part of a three-game suspension for a violation of team rules. Another starter, Admon Gilder, who is third on the team in scoring and their best free throw shooter, suffered a knee injury in the last game and is out indefinitely. These are two big losses and in the Aggies only other road game this season, they combined for 24 points, 16 rebounds and seven assists against USC. Alabama opened the year in the top 25 according to Blue Ribbon but it has been a shaky start for the Tide as they are 8-4 including a blowout loss against Texas in their last game. They are No. 33 in the latest RPI as they have played the No. 11 schedule in the country and it should be noted that their other three losses came by a combined 14 points and one of those came at Minnesota when they had to play the last 10 minutes with just three players. Going back, Alabama has covered 10 of its last 11 games following a non-road double-digit loss. 10* (554) Alabama Crimson Tide |
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12-30-17 | Temple +7.5 v. Houston | Top | 73-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
We are going contrarian with Temple as it is catching a bigger than anticipated number. We played on Temple back on November 30 when it defeated South Carolina and since then, the Owls are 0-6-1 ATS which is the worst ATS run in the nation right now. That is playing a big part in this number as is the fact that Temple is 0-3 on the road. The highest ranked team from the AAC is not Wichita St. but Temple which is ranked No. 23 thanks to a 3-1 record against the top 50 while playing the second hardest schedule in the nation. Most will look at the 7-5 record and think the Owls are garbage when in fact they are a very good team. Houston is 11-2 on the season while outscoring opponents by 24 ppg but teams can accomplish that when having played the No. 212 schedule in the country. The Cougars are 6-0 at home and this is not an easy place for opponents to win in but we are not concerned about an outright victory although it would be far from a surprise. The Owls are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a double-digit loss at home while the Cougars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (521) Temple Owls |
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12-30-17 | Oklahoma v. TCU -2 | Top | 90-89 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 41 m | Show |
We have caught another undervalued team as TCU is a short favorite at home. The Horned Frogs are ranked No. 10 in the latest AP Poll which sounds strong on its own but in fact, they are ranked No. 3 in the RPI, the highest among all Big XII teams. TCU actually played a tough nonconference schedule which is very un-TCU like as it is ranked No. 66 compared to being in the late 200s in recent years. While they are off to a 12-0 start this season, the Horned Frogs have won 17 straight games after closing out last season with the NIT Championship. This will be a raucous environment as this is one of the biggest games in recent memory as it is the first time a ranked TCU team has faced a ranked opponent at home since Feb. 21, 1998. Oklahoma comes in at No. 12 in the country which is comparable to its RPI and it is getting a lot of pub thanks to its dynamic freshman Trae Young who is averaging 28.7 ppg and 10.4 apg and this type of publicity only helps in spots like this when backing the opponent. The Sooners will be a tough out, but TCU prevails at home and extends the longest winning streak in the nation. 10* (552) TCU Horned Frogs |
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12-29-17 | Pacers +2.5 v. Bulls | Top | 107-119 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
Indiana lost its second consecutive game on Wednesday as it fell at home to Dallas as it caught a hot shooting Dallas team in a no rest, back-to-back spot. The Pacers have not lost three straight games since early November as they are now 3-0 following consecutive losses since November 8 ad on the season, they are 11-5 ATS following a loss including covering seven of the last nine. Indiana has 13 losses against top 16 teams, but it is 12-3 against the rest of the league. The Bulls have been a money-making machine of late as they have covered 11 of their last 12 games and the value of their lines are starting to shift in the opposite direction. Chicago has been favored four times this entire season, Atlanta, Phoenix, Orlando and New York, all of which have losing records, so this will be the first time the Bulls have been favored against a winning team. The Bulls are just 5-14 against the top 16 of the NBA. Victor Oladipo has already been ruled out of this game after being a game-time decision on Wednesday and the early decision for this one helps the Pacers getting ready. 10* (805) Indiana Pacers |
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12-29-17 | Baylor v. Texas Tech -6.5 | Top | 53-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
We made a point yesterday about how comparing the AP Poll and the RPI can pull out false information where can take advantage. Seton Hall won and covered against overrated Creighton and while it was not the blowout as expected, we got the advantage of a good line based on the AP rankings. In this case Baylor is ranked No. 18 in the country yet its RPI is a very poor 146 and this is one of the biggest discrepancies in the country. The Bears may be 9-2 but they have played the No. 328 ranked schedule in the country while going just 1-2 against the top 50. Texas Tech is ranked higher than its RPI, but it is not close to the valiance of Baylor as the Red Raiders are No. 46 in the RPI. They own impressive wins over Boston College, Northwestern and Nevada with all three of those teams ranked within the top 100. Texas Tech picked up nine of its 11 nonconference wins by 20 or more points and lead the nation with a 23.0 ppg scoring margin. The Red Raiders are 9-0 at home and going back, they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against team with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (832) Texas Tech Red Raiders |
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12-28-17 | LSU v. Memphis +2.5 | Top | 71-61 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
We have a possible false favorite here as LSU and Memphis are real close to each other in the latest RPI which should make the Tigers the favorite based on home court advantage. They are coming off a pair of wins following a loss against Louisville and the latest victories improved them to 9-0 at home. There is plenty of size on this Tigers team, but the strength is in the backcourt where four of their top five scorers occupy. They are led by Jeremiah Martin who has averaged a team-high 18.6 ppg and 4.3 apg while shooting 80.2 percent from the free throw line. There is good news on the injury front as senior Jimario Rivers, who has missed the past two games going through concussion protocol, will return. LSU comes in at 8-3 after winning just 10 games all of last season but the schedule has played a big part of the success this year. A win over Michigan was solid but a 39-point loss to Notre Dame shows there us a lot to be done still. The schedule has also helped in that this is the first true road game of the season for the Tigers which were 1-10 on the road last season. Memphis has covered four straight games against teams above .600. 10* (544) Memphis Tigers |
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12-28-17 | Valparaiso +1 v. Indiana State | Top | 64-73 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
Valparaiso is playing its first game in the Missouri Valley Conference and it is getting its best player back at just the right time. The Crusaders are coming off a brutal five-game roadtrip prior to Christmas where they went 1-4 but four of those games were played without leading scorer Tevonn Walker as he was battling mono. They have had over a week off since that trek and Walker is on track to return tonight to grab that inaugural MVC victory. Valparaiso has finished above .500 in true road games in four of the last five seasons, including a 7-6 mark in such games last year. Indiana St. comes in at 5-7 but to its credit, it has played a relatively tough schedule which included an upset win at Indiana to open the season. However, the Sycamores have been blown out in all other games against above average teams and of the other four victories, two came against non-Division I teams. Indiana St. is the lowest ranked team in the conference RPI and the stats back that up with the biggest disadvantage in this matchup being rebounding margin. Going back, the Sycamores are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (525) Valparaiso Crusaders |
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12-28-17 | Creighton v. Seton Hall -4.5 | Top | 84-90 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
6:30 ET Start. Comparing the AP Poll and the RPI is a great tool in handicapping college hoops because the former is a farce and means nothing while the latter gives a truer indication of where a team stands. Creighton comes in ranked No. 25 in the country in the latest AP Poll and this could be the most flawed ranking in the polls. The Bluejays are ranked No. 50 in the RPI which is 7th in the 10-team Big East and this has a lot to do with a weak schedule played heading into conference action. They come in riding a five-game winning streak, but all those games were at home and the best win of the bunch was against Nebraska which is not saying much. Conversely, Seton Hall is No. 22 in the AP Poll but No. 13 in the RPI so the Pirates are just the opposite when it comes to perception and reality. Seton Hall is 11-2 which includes impressive wins over Louisville, Texas Tech and VCU and this team is loaded with four starters back from its 21-12 season a year ago. The Pirates are outscoring opponents by 19.5 ppg at home and this is the first time since January 21, 2001 that a ranked Seton Hall team is taking on another ranked team (although the other team technically should not be ranked). 10* (516) Seton Hall Pirates |
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12-27-17 | Xavier -3 v. Marquette | Top | 91-87 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
Big East action tips off tonight with three games and we see a good opportunity in one of those. Xavier hits the road ranked No. 2 in the nation in the latest RPI as it is 12-1 with the lone defeat coming against No. 3 Arizona St. in Las Vegas. The Musketeers are 2-0 in true road games with wins over Wisconsin and Northern Iowa. Xavier is second in the Big East and 16th nationally in rebounding margin at +8.9 rpg while Marquette is just +0.4 in that category giving the Musketeers a huge edge on the glass. The Golden Eagles have won four straight games and come in ranked No. 63 in the RPI while going 0-2 against the top 25. While Marquette still possesses some powerful offensive weapons, it lost three 1,000-point scorers from last season and we have seen struggles on offense a few times. The Golden Eagles led the nation in three-point shooting last season, topped by Markus Howard who shot 54.7 percent from long range, but he is down to just 39.1 percent this season. Marquette swept this season series last year and the Musketeers have not forgotten. 10* (727) Xavier Musketeers |
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12-27-17 | Mavs v. Pacers -5 | Top | 98-94 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
Waiting on injury information for this game, Victor Oladipo is listed as questionable with a knee injury. He has been off the court only once this season and that resulted in a home loss albeit it was against Boston. The recommendation is to wait until his status is updated and play it if he is in and optional to play if he is not although the line will reflect it so there will be value so it should be played either way. The Pacers are coming off a blowout loss in Detroit in a game that was never close as they did not lead while the Pistons led by as many as 27 points. Indiana is 8-2 ATS as a favorite of less than nine points while going 11-4 ATS following a loss. We won with Dallas last night as it defeated Toronto outright as a home dog making this a prime to against spot. The Mavericks are just 2-7 following a win and 1-5 when playing with no rest including 0-5 when the second of the back-to-back is on the road. Dallas has lost eight straight road games and is 2-14 on the season on the highway. 10* (704) Indiana Pacers |
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12-26-17 | Raptors v. Mavs +6 | Top | 93-98 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
Toronto has won six straight games and 12 of its last 13 to take over the top spot in the Eastern Conference. The Raptors are coming off a pair of divisional wins over Philadelphia including the last one at home where they are now 12-1 on the season. They hit the road where they are 11-7 and they are in a tough spot here as they have a game at resurgent Oklahoma City tomorrow so the lookahead possibility is there. Dallas is one of two teams in the NBA with single-digit wins yet it is not near the bottom of the power rankings showing the season has been better than the record shows. The Mavericks have played a tough schedule and like Toronto, they have been much better at home than on the road. They are playing better after a 2-14 start and have won four of their last five home games. Going back, the Mavericks are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (502) Dallas Mavericks |
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12-23-17 | Thunder v. Jazz -1 | Top | 103-89 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
Oklahoma City is coming off a last second victory last night as Russel Westbrook hit a three-pointer in the final seconds to avoid overtime against the hapless Hawks. That concluded a 3-0 homestand for the Thunder which hit the road tonight where they are just 5-10 on the season. They lost by 15 points against the Knicks in their last road game and this will be the second time this season playing with no rest and going from home to the road. The first instance resulted in a 16-point loss at Dallas and going back, the Thunder are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a losing straight up record. Utah snapped a three-game losing streak with an 11-point win over San Antonio at home on Thursday to improve to 6-1 in its last seven home games. It was one of its best defensive performances this month and the Jazz have been solid at home on that side of the ball, allowing just 94.8 ppg. This is a good spot to keep it going as the Jazz are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. 10* (518) Utah Jazz |
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12-23-17 | Illinois State v. Evansville +2 | Top | 72-66 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 44 m | Show |
Evansville had a five-game winning streak snapped at Duke as it lost by 64 points so if that does not provide motivation for today, nothing will. A return home held as the Purple Aces are 34-7 at home over the last three seasons including a perfect 8-0 record this season. Evansville leads the nation in three-point shooting percentage, hitting 48.3 percent of its attempts. Additionally, the Purple Aces have connected on 201 out of 261 free throw attempts, 77.0 percent, which ranks 19th in the country. Ryan Taylor could return today which would give the offense an even bigger boost. Illinois St. went 17-1 in the MVC last season enroute to a trip to the NIT where it lost in the second round. At 6-6, the Redbirds are one loss shy of their total defeats from last season as losing four starters from their 28-win team is taking its toll. They have won two games in a row, but they are 1-3 in true road games on the season. The Redbirds are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win while the Purple Aces are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (536) Evansville Purple Aces |
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12-22-17 | Xavier v. Northern Iowa +6.5 | Top | 77-67 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
As a perennial postseason team, it was odd to not see Northern Iowa in any tournament last season but that will change this year. The Panthers have already surpassed half of their win total from last season and they are going to be a contender in the MVC, so this is a team back on the rise. They are coming off a loss against Iowa St. in the Hy-Vee Classic which snapped a three-game winning streak that included a very impressive home win over UNLV as a one-point favorite. Northern Iowa is off to a 6-0 start at home and is now catching a big number because of the opponent name. Xavier is ranked No. 9 in the country following an 11-1 start which has included impressive wins over Cincinnati and Baylor, but this is just the second true road game for the Musketeers. The first one came against a rebuilding Wisconsin team, so this is the first true road test. There is payback in store tonight as well as the Panthers lost twice to Xavier last season including putting up a season low 42 points in a 22-point loss in Cincinnati last November. Too many points tonight. 10* (854) Northern Iowa Panthers |
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12-22-17 | Knicks v. Pistons -6 | Top | 101-104 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
The Knicks picked up another win last night as they defeated Boston to make it five wins over their last six games despite Kristaps Porzingis going a dreadful 0-11 from the floor after missing the previous two games. This will be the third occasion this season that New York has played a road game after a home game with no rest and it went 0-2 both straight up and against the number in both of those games, losing by 13 and 18 points. The Knicks have won just twice on the road this season while going 2-8 straight up and 3-7 ATS as road underdogs. Detroit has had an up and down season as a great start was followed up by a seven-game losing streak, but it has won three of its last four games since then. The last game resulted in a loss at Dallas on Wednesday and it heads back home looking for win No. 10 on its new floor and the situation definitely calls for it. Going back, the Pistons are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. 10* (802) Detroit Pistons |
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12-22-17 | Bradley +8.5 v. Ole Miss | Top | 59-82 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
Bradley has produced double-digit victories in just three of the previous six years, but it has already hit that this season as it is 10-2 following wins in three straight games. It has been a while since the Braves have been conference contenders, but they are expected to make a move this year in the third season under head coach Brian Wardle. All five starters are back from the team that improved by eight wins from the previous season and momentum is rolling right now with their last two wins coming on the road. Mississippi is coming off a win over Texas A&M-CC which stopped the bleeding from a 1-4 run. The Rebels are 6-5 this season against a mediocre schedule and they are expected to finish in the bottom half of the SEC following a trip to the NIT last season. Only one starter is back while one player, Karlis Silins, was supposed to play a big role but has yet to hit the court this season. While three of the losses for the Rebels have been in overtime showing that their record could possibly be better, it also shows that it plays close games and those losses were against South Dakota St., Virginia Tech and Illinois St. 10* (829) Bradley Braves |
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12-21-17 | Gonzaga v. San Diego State +6 | Top | 70-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
San Diego St. missed the postseason last year and is breaking in a new coach, but it has been a seamless transition for head coach Brian Dutcher as he served as an assistant under Steve Fisher for numerous years. The Aztecs are 7-3 following a tough one-point loss to California and hope to get Trey Kell back in at least a limited role but this team is still loaded with 10 other players averaging double-digit minutes as it continues to play a suffocating defense. Offense was the issue for the Aztecs last season, but they are averaging 77.6 ppg which is close to 10 more ppg than last season. Gonzaga has shown that it is vulnerable this season as it got taken to overtime at home against North Dakota before pulling out a six-point victory. This is a much different team than the one from last season that lost two games and nearly won the National Championship. The Bulldogs lost three double-digit scorers as well as some tough defenders and it is showing in their numbers. After not allowing an opponent to shoot 50 percent or better in 64 straight games, they let it happen twice in 11 days this month (and let two other teams shoot 47.3 and 48.3 percent). Additionally, they are allowing 13.4 points more per game than last season and are allowing opponents to shoot nearly 10 percentage points higher from beyond the three-point line. 10* (536) San Diego St. Aztecs |
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12-21-17 | Oregon State v. Kent State +2.5 | Top | 78-79 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
We lost with Kent St. on Monday as it caught a hot shooting Northeastern team. The Golden Flashes shot 51 percent from the floor, but the Huskies hit 56.5 percent of their shots while also going 20-23 from the free throw line giving Kent St. no chance. It is in a good spot to rebound tonight and snap its three-game losing streak. It has certainly been a disappointing start for the Golden Flashes which are 5-6 and have been a solid bounce back team as they 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a double-digit loss at home. Despite an 8-3 record, the Beavers are the third lowest ranked team in the Pac 12 Conference as they do not own a quality win with a schedule that is ranked No. 338 out of 351 Division I teams. They are riding a six-game winning streak but only two of those were by big margins. Oregon St. defeated St. Louis, Jacksonville St., Arkansas-Pine Bluff and Loyola-Marymount by a combined 10 points so those were very unimpressive victories. Another reason the schedule is rated so low is that this is the first true road game for the Beavers. This has typically been a horrible spot as the Beavers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight road games following three or more consecutive home games. This is the second meeting in two years and last season on this very same date, Kent St. lost in Eugene by 19 points so there is revenge in play tonight. 10* (522) Kent St. Golden Flashes |
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12-20-17 | Spurs v. Blazers -2 | Top | 93-91 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
The Spurs take a two-game winning streak into Portland with both of those wins coming at home where they have won 10 straight games. The road has been a different story for San Antonio as it has lost eight of its last 12 games on the highway. The only victories over this stretch have come against Dallas, Phoenix, Memphis and Charlotte which are a combined 45 games under .500. The Spurs have welcomed back Kawhi Leonard but have brought him back slowly as he is averaging just 16 minutes per game. He will not be in the lineup tonight and because of his lack of production, it is not a real big deal. Portland is coming off a five-game roadtrip where it went a respectable 3-2 and heads home where it looks to break a four-game home losing streak which dates back over a month. The Blazers have covered six straight games yet are laying a short price here because it is the name of the Spurs and not the way they have been on the road. 10* (720) Portland Trailblazers |
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12-20-17 | Magic +5 v. Bulls | Top | 94-112 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
The Bulls continue their torrid run as they have won six straight games after starting the season 3-20 but now the markets are catching up. Chicago has been an underdog in each game during the six-game winning streak which can make it more impressive but now we are seeing a massive line swing as the Bulls are favored for just the third time all season and the first time by more than two points. The adjustment is just too much in this spot as we go contrarian with Chicago and also go contrarian with Orlando. The Magic have lost five straight games and will again be without Aaron Gordon, but the rotation is loaded, and the offense should again produce well here. They have struggled to a 3-14 record against teams ranked within the top 16 of the league but are a much more respectable 8-6 against the rest. As good as Chicago has been playing, it has a game at Cleveland tomorrow night so a lookahead is imminent. 10* (713) Orlando Magic |
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12-20-17 | Kings v. Nets -5 | Top | 104-99 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
This is the most Brooklyn has been favored by this season and we will be backing the Nets to snap their three-game losing skid. They have had two days off following that three-in-four situation which came after an impressive 3-1 run over their previous four games. Brooklyn has fared better against the tougher Western Conference this season as it is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games against the west. It has been the opposition for Sacramento as the Kings are 4-10-2 ATS in their last 16 games against teams from the Eastern Conference despite the upset win last night against the Sixers. They caught a break when Joel Embiid was a late scratch so now Sacramento will have to try and refocus, but this has not been an ideal situation. The Kings have won just once in nine games following a win and they are 0-5 this season when playing with no rest. 10* (704) Brooklyn Nets |
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12-20-17 | Towson v. Oakland -3.5 | Top | 86-97 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
Towson opened the season with a three-point loss at Old Dominion but has since reeled off 10 straight victories including a pair of wins in Ireland but now comes a real test in just its third true road game of the season. The Tigers sit atop the Colonial power rankings but that is not saying much in what is a weak group of teams this season and overall, they have played a schedule ranked No. 225 in the country. This is a very talented and deep team and one that will contend in the CAA but we like going against the winning streak as the Tigers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games following three or more consecutive home games. Oakland typically plays a tough early season schedule to get ready for this part of the season and this year is no exception as it has played Syracuse, Kansas and Michigan St. those were all blowout losses, but the experience is huge. Towson will be out for revenge from last season as it lost to Oakland 90-72 in the Vegas 16 Tournament, but road revenge is not a good angle and that game shows how good the Golden Grizzlies matchup with Towson. Going back, they are 28-11-1 ATS in their last 40 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (734) Oakland Golden Grizzlies |
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12-19-17 | Cavs v. Bucks +2 | Top | 116-119 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
The Bucks were expected to challenge Cleveland in the NBA Central Division but that has not been the case as they trail the Cavaliers by 6.5 games following their third consecutive loss on Saturday. They held their own against Houston and return home where they look to bounce back from their ugliest home loss against the Bulls to fall to 9-5 at home. Making the gap even bigger against Cleveland is the fact Milwaukee has lost the first two meetings including a 19-point loss here back in October bringing the revenge factor into play. The Cavaliers have responded from a poor start to the season to go 18-1 over their last 19 games but it has not exactly been against supreme opposition. Overall, the Cavaliers have played the easiest schedule in the NBA and this is now a tough spot with this being the fourth game in six days for Cleveland. Going back, the Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win while the Bucks are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (506) Milwaukee Bucks |
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12-19-17 | Northern Kentucky +13 v. Texas A&M | Top | 58-64 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
Northern Kentucky heads to Texas A&M sporting a 7-4 record with three of those losses coming by a combined five points. The Norse were an NCAA Tournament team last season with a 24-11 record and put up a fight with Kentucky before losing by nine points and the end to last year is important for this year as they have four starters back. This is the biggest test to date for Northern Kentucky, but it matches up well here as it can counter down low with Texas A&M where the Aggies usually have a big edge. Texas A&M is 9-1 with the lone loss coming against Arizona and it has moved up to No. 8 in the latest AP Poll. The public is all over the Aggies here in what is believed to be too short of a price, but it is actually the opposite based on recent happenings. Robert Williams is a beast down low but is on concussion protocol and while he is expected to play, he is not 100 percent. Another starter, Admon Gilder, who is third on the team in scoring and their best free throw shooter, suffered a knee injury in the last game and is out indefinitely. His absence will be costly to a team that is shooting just 63.4 percent from the charity stripe in five home games. Going back, the Norse are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games against teams with a winning home record while the Aggies are 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (523) Northern Kentucky Norse |
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12-19-17 | Buffalo +11 v. Syracuse | Top | 74-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
Syracuse is coming off a huge win against Georgetown on Saturday in overtime and that could spell letdown tonight as focus could be a real issue. The Orange are now 9-1 on the season including other win over Connecticut and Maryland but those are programs in rebuilding mode and while the opponent tonight will not scare many teams because of name, the Bulls will be a tough out. All of Buffalo's losses have all come against solid teams and include a 73-67 loss against No. 20 Cincinnati on a neutral court. Buffalo could be adding another weapon tonight as Wes Clark, a transfer from Missouri, could make his season debut after sitting out the first 10 games because of transfer rules in fall semester grades are posted by tonight. Still, Buffalo has a very balanced offense with five players averaging double-digits in scoring not counting Dontay Caruthers who is out with a stress fracture in his foot. The Bulls are No. 16 in the country in pace so the full court press that Syracuse brought out against Georgetown could be neutralized. The Bulls are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 while the Orange are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. 10* (509) Buffalo Bulls |
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12-18-17 | 76ers -2.5 v. Bulls | Top | 115-117 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
One of the hottest team in the Eastern Conference is no surprise as Cleveland has won five straight games but the fact the Bulls have also won five straight games is a major surprise after a 3-20 start to the season. The Bulls won at Milwaukee on Friday for their fifth straight victory all of which have come as underdogs and while they are underdogs again tonight, they are getting the shortest number during this streak. The recent run is keeping it down as is the fact the Sixers will be shorthanded as Joel Embiid has already been ruled out tonight as he is resting due to a slightly injured back. Philadelphia is coming off a pair of overtime games which could typically be a red flag but those were on Tuesday and Friday so there is no issue with fatigue problems. The Sixers split those two games and they bring in a 7-7 record on the road and it has been a case of winning games they and losing games to the top teams. Five of the road losses have come against Washington, Toronto, Golden St., Boston and Cleveland all of which are either in first or second place in their divisions. Overall, Philadelphia has played the toughest schedule in the NBA and the Sixers are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 road games against teams with a losing home record. 10* (707) Philadelphia 76ers |
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12-18-17 | Northeastern v. Kent State +2 | Top | 81-69 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
Kent St. is back home following a pair of tough road games at Xavier and Wright St. and is in good position to rebound and at a very favorable price. The Golden Flashes are 3-1 at home this season with the lone loss coming against Southeastern Louisiana, a contender in the Southland Conference. Star player Jaylin Walker went 10-20 from the floor in that game but the rest of the team was a dreadful 31 percent. The Golden Flashes have put an exciting product on the floor this season, with a faster style of play than last year's MAC Tournament Championship team as they are averaging 70.6 possessions per game, the fastest Kent St. team on record. Northeastern is riding a four-game winning streak but all those wins came at home where the Huskies are a perfect 5-0 but away from home, they are just 1-4. This is the first time they have been favored on the highway and it is a bit overaggressive as they have failed to cover and of their four lined games on the road. Northeastern is shooting just 37.7 percent on the road as the offense misses T.J. Williams, the 2016-17 CAA Player of the Year. 10* (724) Kent St. Golden Flashes |
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12-16-17 | Bucks +11.5 v. Rockets | Top | 111-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
Milwaukee came up small for us last night, but we will be backing the Bucks tonight as they fall into a great bounce back situation with an overpriced line. They have dropped two straight games after a three-game winning streak and are now sitting at 15-12 overall. Milwaukee is a respectable 6-7 on the road and it is catching double-digits for the first time this season. While it has been an underdog 10 times, it has not been an underdog of more than 4.5 points which shows the overlay in this number. No rest is a non-issue as the Bucks are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games playing with no rest and have won three of four games outright this season. The reason for the big number is the play of the Rockets as they are closing the gap between them and Golden St. and proving to be a threat to the Warriors. They have won 12 straight games but are just 7-4-1 ATS in those games and they are coming off a statement win over San Antonio last night which puts Houston in a letdown spot here. This is the third time this season playing on no rest and the Rockets have gone 2-1 in those games and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games when their starting five combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. 10* (511) Milwaukee Bucks |
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12-16-17 | Cincinnati -3 v. UCLA | Top | 77-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
While we usually turn our heads at road revenge, this is a completely different situation. Cincinnati was 30-5 after a first-round win in the NCAA Tournament last season but got ousted in the second round by UCLA as it lost by 12 points as the Bruins were efficient as they shot 50 percent from the floor, hit 11 three-pointers and committed just three turnovers. That is not Cincinnati basketball and it is showing that this season by allowing opponents to shoot just 36.1 percent from the floor while forcing 16.2 turnovers per game. The Bearcats lost consecutive games against Xavier and Florida bust bounced back with a big win over Mississippi St. last time out to gain momentum heading into today. UCLA is off to a 7-2 start but five of those wins came against nobodies and it has struggled against teams with a pulse. Wins over Georgia Tech and Wisconsin came by three and two points respectively and losses against Creighton and Michigan were big. The Bruins are 5-0 at home but those victories were against those poor teams, so this will be the first true home test of the season. Going back, the Bruins are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning % above .600 and we expect them to struggle again against a team out for serious payback. 10* (545) Cincinnati Bearcats |
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12-16-17 | Oklahoma State +6.5 v. Florida State | Top | 71-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
This is one of those lines that makes you think, as Florida St. is No. 19 in the country thanks to winning and covering every game this season at 9-0 and 7-0 respectively yet is favored at a reasonable price. The public has taken note as the Seminoles are one of the biggest consensus plays of the day but despite that, the line has actually come down, so we take advantage of the reverse line movement. We played against the Cowboys last Saturday as they were getting too much respect at home against Wichita St., but they match up a lot better here. Oklahoma St. is a balanced team with eight players averaging between 7.4 and 12.7 ppg and that can be tough to defend. Florida St. does possess an impressive win over Florida but that is about it as even with that game, it has played a schedule ranked No. 286 in the nation. The Seminoles went 26-9 last season but lost four starters from that team including two that are playing in the NBA so because of that and the soft schedule, it is hard to get a read on a team like this. The talent and athleticism are here once again but the fact of the matter is that Florida St. has not been tested much this season and is laying too much here on a neutral floor. 10* (599) Oklahoma St. Cowboys |
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12-16-17 | Drake +6.5 v. Iowa | Top | 64-90 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
It comes as no surprise that the public is all over Iowa here based on name in this matchup and what many will consider being a short line. The fact is that the Hawkeyes are not a good basketball team and we learned that the hard way a couple weeks back when they lost at home to Penn St. in their conference opener. This is a deep roster that should be producing better results, but they have been unable to make a move while four of their five wins have come in non-lined games. Drake won seven games last season under two different coaches and this season has a new head coach, but this is a team heading in the right direction. The Bulldogs brought back a lot of production and they have been very competitive with a 5-5 start, four of those losses coming by five points or less including defeats against Colorado, Wyoming and Minnesota. This is a deep team as well and has the best player on the court in Reed Timmer who leads the team in all categories. Drake possesses a big edge in the significant free throw shooting category as it is shooting 79.8 percent from the line which is No. 5 in the country, compared to 65.2 percent for Iowa, good for No. 309. 10* (603) Drake Bulldogs |
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12-15-17 | Pelicans v. Nuggets +1 | Top | 111-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
Denver expects to get Nikola Jokic back tonight after missing seven games with a sprained ankle and it could not come at a better time. This line came out late because of his status and the Nuggets will be out to rebound from a poor roadtrip where they went 2-4 to fall to 5-11 on the season away from home. They have been significantly better at home as they are 10-2 which includes seven consecutive wins. They have not been here much over the last month as 10 of the last 13 games have come on the road and Denver has taken care of the teams it should at home as the two losses have come against Washington and Golden St. New Orleans won on Wednesday at home against Milwaukee and while it comes into tonight with a respectable 7-7 record on the road, the situation has had a lot to do with that. The Pelicans have won five of six road games when favored but just 2-6 as road underdogs making the chalk 11-3 in their 14 games away from home. Denver will be out for revenge as well after losing in New Orleans by nine points in the second game of the recent roadtrip. 10* (820) Denver Nuggets |
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12-15-17 | Bulls v. Bucks -8 | Top | 115-109 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
Chicago has won four straight games which is one more victory than it had through its first 23 games as it started 3-20 but the last three have come at home. The Bulls are just 2-12 on the road with one of those wins coming in overtime and on the season, they are getting outscored by over 11 ppg on the highway. This winning streak has coincided with the return of Nikola Mirotic who is averaging 19.5 ppg which leads the team by a comfortable margin, but this will not last. It has been an up and down season for Milwaukee and it has been the former of late as the Bucks have won six of their last eight games although they are coming off a loss against New Orleans last time out on Wednesday. That was on the road however and they are on a four-game home winning streak where they are 9-4 on the season with the four losses coming against Cleveland, Boston, Oklahoma City and Washington. Chicago cannot be lumped into that group and the Bucks playing elite competition has been the problem as they are 3-7 against the top ten of the league while going 12-4 against every other team. 10* (816) Milwaukee Bucks |
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12-15-17 | Dartmouth v. Illinois-Chicago -7 | Top | 60-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
Dartmouth finished in a tie for last place in the Ivy League last season and it is expected to hold down last place again this season. The Big Green are off to a 3-4 start including a win at Maine last Friday but now they face their biggest challenge of the season as they have played a schedule ranked No. 341 out of 351 Division I teams. This is a very young team with nine freshmen and sophomores on the roster and are even worse off now. Dartmouth was expected to have three starters back from last season including preseason All-Conference forward Evan Boudreaux, but he is out for the season as he was ruled ineligible after averaging 17.5 ppg and 9.5 rpg last season. Additionally, Guilien Smith, the only other double-digit returning scorer, is out until January with a broken finger. Illinois-Chicago is off to a disappointing 3-6 start, but the schedule has been challenging. The Flames have a solid nucleus back from a team that improved its record by 12 games last season and they are expected to contend in the Horizon League this season. We are getting value in this line considering they are off to a 0-6 ATS start and going back, the Flames are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games following a double-digit loss at home. 10* (824) Illinois-Chicago Flames |
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12-15-17 | Pistons v. Pacers -4.5 | Top | 104-98 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
We won with Detroit last night and part of the reason for playing the Pistons was because of the schedule it has recently faced. They had lost seven straight games, all against teams currently sitting in playoff positions, so facing the Hawks was a needed break. Now they go back to the tough slate as they are again going up again a playoff contending team and doing so with no rest. Detroit has not covered back-to-back games since last month and the Pistons are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games playing with no rest. Indiana lost its last game in the much-anticipated return of Paul George as it fell to the Thunder despite outshooting Oklahoma City, but the difference was from the charity stripe as the Pacers were outscored 15-4 which is kind of rare for a home team to have such a negative disparity. The loss snapped a four-game home winning streak where they are 10-5 and have won all seven games as a home favorite, covering six of those. The Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss while going 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (802) Indiana Pacers |
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12-14-17 | Santa Clara v. USC -14.5 | Top | 59-82 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
USC opened the season 4-0 but has lost three straight games against some powerful competition so it catches a break tonight and will be fully motivated to put the pedal on the gas. The Trojans made a run in the NCAA Tournament last season and came into the season ranked No. 10 in the AP Poll, but the three losses have dropped them out of the poll. They have four of five starters back and while the offense has struggled of late, they will be playing one of the worst defensive teams in the nation. Santa Clara had a winning record last season as it finished a game over .500 but its season ended in the WCC Semifinals and did not get to play in a postseason tournament. The Broncos have three starters back, but the losses will be hard to replace especially Jared Brownridge who finished his career as the No. leading scorer in program history. Santa Clara is 3-6 to start the season with six games coming at home and the other three on a neutral floor in Seattle making this its first true road game of the season. The only victories came against Division III La Verne University, Arkansas Pine Bluff and Northern Arizona with the last two teams possessing an RPI of No. 344 and No. 277 respectively. 10* (514) USC Trojans |
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12-14-17 | Pistons -3.5 v. Hawks | Top | 105-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
While the term desperate may not quite be the term to use for Detroit right now, this team needs a victory to get its season turned back around. The Pistons have lost seven straight games after a 14-6 start, but the schedule has played a role in that as all seven games came against teams that are currently sitting in a playoff spot. There are no excuses for a losing streak like this, but the toughness of the slate can make a team go in the wrong direction despite being considered a team that is trending up. Detroit has gone 8-2 against teams ranked outside the top 16 so a visit to Atlanta is just what it currently needs. The Hawks have been playing competitively as they have covered four straight games and six of their last seven which is keeping lower that it should be. Atlanta is 1-13 against top 16 teams and it is the only team in the NBA that has fewer than two wins against teams in that group. The Hawks are 3-9 at home and there have been few upsets here as the favorite is 11-1 in those 12 games including Atlanta going 0-8 as a home underdog. The Pistons last game resulted in a 19-point loss to Denver and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. 10* (501) Detroit Pistons |
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12-13-17 | Thunder +1.5 v. Pacers | Top | 100-95 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
It has been a disappointing run of late and a disappointing season overall for the Thunder, but they are in a rare spot tonight where they can break out. Oklahoma City has dropped nine straight games against the number to fall to 7-18-1 ATS on the season and the problem has been when expectations are high. The Thunder are 6-18-1 ATS as favorites while winning just 11 of those games outright but they won and covered their lone game as underdogs, a 17-point victory against Golden St. Going back, the Thunder are 38-18-1 ATS in their last 57 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Pacers have been the beneficiaries of the offseason trade between these two teams as Victor Oladipo has been more productive than Paul George at this point but that is a comparison that is skewed based on what is around each player. The Pacers are 16-11 on the season after four straight wins highlighted by the victory over the Cavaliers that snapped their 13-game winning streak. Indiana is tied with Milwaukee for fourth place in the Eastern Conference, but the success has come within the conference as it is just 5-5 against the west. 10* (705) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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12-13-17 | Villanova v. Temple +9 | Top | 87-67 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
Temple has won two straight games and is now playing its third straight home game after opening the season with six straight games away from home. While the Owls are facing the No. 1 team in the AP Poll, a better indicator of this matchup is looking at the RPI since rankings are meaningless. They come in ranked No. 8 in the most recent RPI while the Wildcats are ranked just slightly ahead at No. 6, so these teams are much closer to each other than what the public is aware of. Temple does have some impressive wins on the resume as it has defeated Clemson, Auburn and South Carolina and most impressive, all were away from home and overall it has played the No. 3 ranked schedule in the nation. We have seen some big upsets this season and Villanova is on alert now in what will be a tough road game for a team that has not played a very tough schedule. A 16-point win over Gonzaga looks impressive but the Bulldogs are not the same team from last season as it is No. 38 in the RPI. While the Wildcats are still extremely talented, the loss of Josh Hart, Kris Jenkins and Darryl Reynolds is tough to make up while on the flip side, Temple has four starters back from last season plus the return of point guard Josh Brown who played only five games last season. 10* (720) Temple Owls |
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12-12-17 | Lakers v. Knicks -3.5 | Top | 109-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
We lost with the Knicks on Sunday as they won but failed to cover by a bucket and we will be going back with them tonight. It has not been a very good run of late for New York which is 3-6 over its last nine games but keep in mind it has not been at full strength as Kristaps Porzingis missed three of those games which all resulted in losses. The Knicks are 12-5 at home and on the season, the home team is 20-6 in their games which makes this spot even better as they are a perfect 7-0 as home favorites and laying a short price here. Going back, they are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with a losing road record. The Lakers have opened their current roadtrip with a pair of victories which is just the third time they have won consecutive games this season. They failed to make it three in a row in the previous two instances and with a game at Cleveland on deck, the focus may not be there tonight. The Lakers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (506) New York Knicks |