Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-30-18 | 76ers -3 v. Celtics | Top | 101-117 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Monday Star Attraction. Philadelphia is coming off a 4-1 series win over Miami and it dominated with three of those wins coming by 13, 20 and 27 points and this team is peaking at the right time. The Sixers have now won 20 of their last 21 games while going back, they are 31-6 over their last 37 games so this is a very dangerous team for the teams ahead of them in the standings. Philadelphia had the most efficient starting five in the NBA this season and while Boston got the best of Philadelphia during the regular season as it won three of four meetings, the last one came in mid-January and both teams are much different since then. The Celtics survived a hard-fought series against Milwaukee with the home team winning all seven games. Boston is an elite defensive team however Philadelphia will be a much harder team to defend than Milwaukee. Philadelphia uses constant movement offensively, has an inside game to complement their outside shooters and it hits the offensive boards hard, something Milwaukee did not do. The Jaylen Brown injury for Boston is significant as it was able to produce without him against the Bucks, but it will be a much bigger challenge in this matchup as he is listed as doubtful for tonight. coming off a big win is no issue for the Sixers as they are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a double-digit win and they have a great situation on their side where we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are revenging a straight up loss as a favorite going up against an opponent after a cover as a double-digit favorite. This situation is 33-8 ATS (80.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (555) Philadelphia 76ers |
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04-29-18 | Jazz +11.5 v. Rockets | Top | 96-110 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Houston cruised in its first-round series against Minnesota as it lost just the one game on the road and while the opponent now may not seem like a big roadblock heading toward the faceoff against Golden St., it is not going to be easy. Everyone expected Houston to be here but not the same group expected Utah to be here, but this is a sneaky Jazz team that plays the patented playoff basketball. The Jazz won 29 of their last 35 games in the regular season, with the league's best defense (by a wide margin) and the 11th ranked offense over that time. The loss of Ricky Rubio is not ideal for sure but that only gives Donovan Mitchell the opportunity to step up even more. Rubio played only seven minutes on Friday before leaving with a hamstring injury, so Mitchell took over with 38 points and these opportunities look to be right in his wheelhouse. The Houston offense has been the focal point for most of the season, but it is the only team in the playoffs that is getting outshot on the season and no one is paying attention to that. The Jazz took 75 percent of their shots from the restricted area or three-point range and only the Rockets (81 percent) had a higher rate in the first round. Houston took all four meetings this season against Utah by double-digits but three of those took place in 2017 when Utah was a different team while the final game in February was closer than the final score indicated. Here, we play on double-digit road underdogs that are revenging a home loss after a cover as a double-digit favorite. This situation is 40-18 (69 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (553) Utah Jazz |
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04-28-18 | Bucks v. Celtics -4.5 | Top | 96-112 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. The home team has held serve in all six games of this series thus far and we expect that to continue through the final game. Typically, this could be a good contrarian play to back the Bucks but there is too much going on the Celtics side especially with Milwaukee coming off a hot shooting night. The last game played here on Sunday was a very similar setup with the Bucks coming off a game where they shot 52.1 percent from the floor which was over 10 percent better than the Celtics. Boston locked down on defense which we anticipate happening again tonight as Boston looks to improve upon its 30-14 home record. Three-point shooting has been a main ingredient to the success of the home team in this series as Milwaukee shoots 7.6 percent better at home than on the road while the Celtics are almost identical with a 7.3 percent differential favoring the home floor. During the regular season, the Celtics were No. 1 in the league allowing teams to shoot just 33.9 percent from long range and after allowing the Bucks to hit just 27.3 percent at home in Game Five, we will another strong defensive effort. While history cannot dictate future outcomes, it is important to note how big home court is in series elimination games as there have been just 26 Game Seven road winners in 128 games in NBA playoff history with the home team winning close to 80 percent of the time. Boston has lost 10 games this season by double-digits where it has had a chance for payback. It has gone 9-0 ATS in the previous nine opportunities with the tenth being tonight. 10* (702) Boston Celtics |
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04-27-18 | Cavs v. Pacers -1 | Top | 87-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. The Pacers came through on Wednesday as they rallied from a 12-point deficit and had a chance to pull off the upset but a no call on a goaltend by LeBron James set up the game winning possession for the Cavaliers. James finished with a 44-10-8 line and was 15-15 from the free throw line and yet it still took a last second shot to win which shows how dependent Cleveland is on just one player and that is not a good sign in the postseason. As mentioned on Wednesday, this has been an Indiana dominated series based on the fact the Cavaliers have not run away with any game. Cleveland and Indiana have played nine times this season with five of those games resulting in wins by the Pacers, three of those games resulting in wins by the Cavaliers by three, three and four points and the final game resulting in a Cleveland win by seven points. Indiana has covered four of the five games in this series and it could be five-for-five, but it blew a golden opportunity in Game Four at home to take a 3-1 series lead so now it needs to take care of business at home to extend. The Cavaliers are 11-22 ATS this season against teams shooting 46 percent or better from the floor and we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 (that are allowing 103 or more ppg, after a win by three points or less. This situation is 94-49 ATS (65.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (512) Indiana Pacers |
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04-26-18 | Celtics +5 v. Bucks | Top | 86-97 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. We won with Boston on Tuesday in the pivotal Game Five as the Celtics grabbed a 3-2 series lead heading back to Milwaukee. The key to the victory was defense. The Bucks shot 54.2 percent from the floor heading into Game Five and over the last three decades, only three other teams shot better through the first four games of a playoff series. On Tuesday, they hit only 36.7 percent of their shots and it was no coincidence. The return of Marcus Smart was the main cause as his offensive line was average but there was the defense on Khris Middleton, who had shot the lights out in the four previous games but was held to 23 points on 21 shots. Semi Ojeleye was inserted into the starting lineup not for his offense as his strength and positioning kept Giannis Antetokounmpo off balance as he was unable to drive and was held to just 16 points on 10 shots. That defense will be important again tonight. Boston went 17-13 while Smart was sidelined with his hand and thumb injury and it is 41-16 with him in the lineup. The Celtics have covered four of the five games in this series which has extended the recent situations as Boston is now 28-14 ATS against winning teams while Milwaukee is 8-18 ATS in its last 26 games against teams with a winning record. Additionally, the Bucks are 4-15 ATS as home favorites of six points or less this season. 10* (501) Boston Celtics |
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04-25-18 | Jazz v. Thunder -3.5 | Top | 99-107 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Wednesday Supreme Annihilator. Oklahoma City closed the regular season strong by going 11-5 over their final 16 games with all five losses all coming by four points or less and it then took Game One of this series against Utah. It has been all downhill since then as the Thunder have dropped the last three games to fall behind 3-1 and now must reel off their own three-game winning streak to win this series and they are more than capable of doing that. Russell Westbrook is unfairly taking the blame for this meltdown and while his shots have not been falling, he is doing the other things which he has done all season. Carmelo Anthony is doing nothing for Oklahoma City yet is not taking nearly as much flack despite going 17-46 (37 percent) from the floor including 4-19 (21 percent) from long range and grabbing a total of just 19 rebounds and handing out zero assists during this three-game slide. The due factor is never part of backing a team since there is no substance behind it but Anthony is due more than anybody which would be an added bonus. Westbrook and Paul George can take over a game and we expect that here as the Thunder are not prepared to go home yet. We are seeing a reverse line move in this one as this game opened at -3 and has gone to -3.5 despite a huge percentage of the money coming in on the Jazz. 10* (716) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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04-25-18 | Pacers +6.5 v. Cavs | Top | 95-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Wednesday Star Attraction. The Pacers let one get away on Sunday and according to some of the media gasbags, they lost their chance to win this series which is the furthest from the truth. Cleveland and Indiana have played eight times this season with five of those games resulting in wins by the Pacers, two of those games resulting in wins by the Cavaliers by three and four points and the final game resulting in a Cleveland win by seven points. Clearly, the Cavaliers are again overpriced as Indiana has shown all season that it can play with and beat Cleveland, but this number is priced on home team public action. This is a situation where most of the betting tickets are on the Pacers by a 2-1 margin but the money on the Indiana side is 90 percent, indicating the smart money is on the Pacers side. While Cleveland has struggled with Indiana this season except for one win by seven points, it has struggled in this situation all season against most teams. The Cavaliers are 11-21 ATS this season against teams shooting 46 percent or better from the floor while going 3-16 ATS as home favorites between 6.5 and 12 points. Indiana meanwhile is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games against winning teams and it has covered six straight games following a loss. Additionally, we play on road teams allowing 103 or more ppg, after trailing their last two games by double-digits at halftime. This situation is 150-89 ATS (62.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (711) Indiana Pacers |
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04-24-18 | Bucks v. Celtics -3 | Top | 87-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. The home team has held serve through the first four games of this series and we expect that to continue Tuesday. The Celtics are 29-14 at home while the Bucks are five games under .500 and on the season, Boston is 14-7 ATS at home against winning teams. One key factor Boston has dominated in this series is the offensive glass. The Celtics have won the offensive rebounding battle against the Bucks in all four games and by a combined 53-21. This sets up a lot more second chance opportunities where they need to continue to take advantage of. During the regular season, the Celtics were No. 1 in the league allowing teams to shoot just 33.9 percent from long range. In the playoffs, they are dead last, allowing the Bucks to shoot 43.6 percent. Milwaukee was no where near that percentage during the regular season, so we can expect some regression. On the flip side, Boston is shooting below its average from beyond the arc and the last two games have been especially bad, so the return home will help. Boston is 18-4 ATS this season revenging a loss where the opponent scored 100 or more points while Milwaukee is just 18-30 ATS in its last 48 games coming off a home win. Additionally, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 100 points or more two straight games going up against an opponent after a win by three points or less. This situation is 61-27 ATS (69.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (702) Boston Celtics |
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04-23-18 | Rockets -6 v. Wolves | Top | 119-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. We were on the Timberwolves on Saturday as they cut the Houston deficit in this series in half, but we are expecting the Rockets to respond and retake control. Part of the reason for backing the Timberwolves in Game Three was the fact it was the first home playoff game in Minnesota is 13 years and while letdown may be the wrong term here, there is little chance there is as much energy as there was on Saturday night. As mentioned, the Rockets were unconscious in the first two games of this series from long range, going a combined 38-82 (46.3 percent) but they were just 5-41 (36.6 percent) in Game Three and we expect a reversal of that especially from James Harden who is 4-18 over the last two games from behind the arc. A turnaround on defense can also be expected as Minnesota shot 50 percent from the floor and put up 121 points in Game Three, but the Timberwolves averaged 91.5 ppg in the first two games and shot just 38.8 percent from the field in Game Two. Houston dominated this series during the regular season as well and the loss on Saturday was just the third over the last 23 meetings. The Rockets have been excellent at payback as they are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games revenging a loss while going 18-7 ATS in their last 25 road games after allowing 115 points or more. Meanwhile, Minnesota is 13-26 ATS in its last 39 games after scoring 115 or more points in its previous game. 10* (509) Houston Rockets |
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04-22-18 | Cavs +1 v. Pacers | Top | 104-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the Cleveland CAVALIERS for our NBA Sunday Supreme Annihilator. The Cavaliers are once again in a hole as they lost Game Three and as the series goes on, the games following a loss become that much more important. This series has been made up of runs by both sides as the Pacers had it in Game One, the Cavaliers had it in Game Two, and they shared it in Game Three, with Indiana having it last to take the series lead. Cleveland has been down 3-1 before and came back to win but that is not an ideal situation but the pressure here is on Indiana as a 2-2 series going back to Cleveland puts the Pacers in a bad spot. The Cleveland defense has stepped it up in this series and it is the offense that has looked uneven as LeBron James has been the only consistent threat thus far. There is concern that point guard George Hill could mis this game but that would not be a bad thing as he brings nothing to the table. He is averaging 8.7ppg and 1.7 apg in this series which are horrible for a point guard and when he was out earlier in the season, Cleveland went 4-1 with the lone loss coming by two points at Philadelphia. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are allowing 103 or more ppg, after a win by three points or less. This situation is 93-49 ATS (65.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (507) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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04-22-18 | Raptors v. Wizards +2.5 | Top | 98-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. We saw how good Washington can be when both John Wall and Bradley Beal are playing well together, and more importantly, on the floor together. They scored a combined 56 points on 52.4 percent shooting on Friday after both sat out for long stretches in Game Two because of foul trouble. The home floor energized the entire team in Game Three and we expect that to carry over where the Wizards are now 4-1 ATS in their last five games at home. Toronto can take over this series with a win and while its 24-17 road record looks good, it is skewed. Going back to December 26, the Raptors are 14-10 in their last 24 road games which is respectable, but they are 11-1 in that stretch against non-playoff teams while going 3-9 against teams that are still playing. Following the Friday loss, the Raptors are 6-11 ATS on the road against teams with a winning record including 1-5 ATS in their last six games. Meanwhile, the Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a winning road record and they have a situation on their side as we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 that have covered six or seven of their last eight games, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 76-39 ATS (66.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (506) Washington Wizards |
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04-21-18 | Rockets v. Wolves +6.5 | Top | 105-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. Like the Wizards in their series against a No. 1 seed, the Timberwolves have their backs against the wall, but a return home should energize them and get them back into the series. Houston showed its depth in Game One as James Harden scored only 12 points on 2-18 shooting, but the Rockets were still able to win by 20 points. Second chance points were a big part of that game for Houston and that has to change and the one player than can turn that around is Karl Anthony-Towns. He has been held in check as he has scored just 13 points combined but has decent on the boards but can still improve there as well. The Timberwolves are 30-11 at home and while two of those losses came against Houston, the rockets were unconscious in both of those games from long range, going a combined 38-82 (46.3 percent) and we do not see that continuing here. This is the first home playoff game in 13 years for Minnesota so to say it will be a crazy atmosphere is an understatement. The Timberwolves are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 home games while the Rockets have failed to cover their last four road games and are 1-7 ATS in their last eight game against the Western Conference. Here, we play on home underdogs after a game where they failed to cover the spread, playing their third game or less games in 10 days. This situation is 105-65 ATS (61.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (722) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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04-21-18 | 76ers -3 v. Heat | Top | 106-102 | Win | 100 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Saturday Afternoon Dominator. The Sixers had their 17-game winning streak snapped at home in Game Two of this series because of a memorable performance from Dwyane Wade off the bench as he poured in 28 points, the first time he has scored more than 13 points since early March. He did not come close to backing that up in Game Three and no one on this team has the ability to step up right now. With Joel Embiid back on the floor, Philadelphia showed what a dominant team it has become as it shot 50.6 percent from the floor in its 20-point win on Thursday in Game Three. Miami did defeat the Sixers at home twice during the regular season and a main reason for that was the play of Hassan Whiteside, but he has been nonexistent in this series as he has scored a combined 11 points in the three games as he continues to deal with foul troubles and a place in the doghouse with head coach Eric Spoelstra. The Sixers are 22-11 ATS in their last 33 games coming off a road win and 21-11 ATS in their 32 games this season coming off a double-digit win. Additionally, we play against home teams in April games coming off a home loss by 20 or more points. This situation is 41-15 ATS (73.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (717) Philadelphia 76ers |
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04-20-18 | Raptors v. Wizards -1 | Top | 103-122 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Washington has dug itself into a 0-2 hole in this series with tonight being a must win situation. We saw the Spurs and Blazers unable to get back into their respective series, but Washington is in a very doable situation as it heads back home. The Toronto offense has been the story of this series as it has averaged 122 ppg on 52.4 percent shooting which has covered up the fact that Washington has been pretty solid on that side of the ball (109.6 points per 100 possessions, fifth-best out of the 16 playoff teams through two games). This is excellent considering Bradley Beal has been absent through the two games and we should see him get his game going tonight. Letting Toronto win the first two games comfortably was surprising as while the Wizards struggled all season with teams with records under .500, they knocked off nine playoff-bound opponents after the All Star Break. Toronto has been a strong road team this season, but the Wizards are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Additionally, we play on home teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 where the line is +3 to -3 that are coming off two or more consecutive road losses, playing a winning team. This situation is 80-43 ATS (65 percent) since 1996. 10* (714) Washington Wizards |
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04-19-18 | Warriors v. Spurs +3.5 | Top | 110-97 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Golden St. has dominated the first two games of this series, winning by 21 and 15 points and it is a big public consensus again tonight as not many are giving the Spurs any chance in this series to win a game. This is the game to win as San Antonio heads home where it is 33-8 on the season including 11 straight wins. This recent winning streak includes victories against eight current playoff teams although the win over Golden St. does come with an asterisk as none of the big four played, but all the others were legit. The Spurs offense will have to get better and it has been much more efficient at home this season and they have been a great bounce back team as they are 18-5 ATS in their last 23 home games after three straight games where they shot 42 percent or worse from the floor. Despite the two recent covers, Golden St. is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 games against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 while going 3-11 ATS in its 14 games this season coming off two or more consecutive home wins. Additionally, we play on home teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 where the line is +3 to -3, coming off two or more consecutive road losses, playing a winning team. This situation is 80-42 ATS (65.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (528) San Antonio Spurs |
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04-18-18 | Pacers v. Cavs -7.5 | Top | 97-100 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the Cleveland CAVALIERS for our NBA Wednesday Supreme Annihilator. We won with Indiana on Sunday in a wire-to-wire victory, but we will be backing the Cavaliers tonight in a bounce back situation. This goes along with the bounce angle, or zig-zag theory, in the NBA playoffs which has been an up and down philosophy over the years. The theory is to back the team that lost the previous game and while it was highly successful years ago, linesmakers have adjusted more recently so these zig-zag spots have to be chosen more carefully. One of those is tonight. The loser of Game One is just 1-4 ATS in Game Two thus far but tonight we have a situation that involves reverse line movement. As of Wednesday morning, over 60 percent of tickets and money are on the Pacers, yet the line is moving the other way and backing the lesser bet team has paid off in the postseason despite what may seem like a bad line. Since 2005, playoff favorites receiving 40 percent or fewer of spread tickets have gone 31-17-2 ATS (64.6%) when there is reverse line movement, which is the case for Cleveland. The Cavaliers cannot shoot any worse than they did in Game One as they shot 38.5 percent from the floor including a ridiculous 25 percent from outside of five feet. You will hear some media talking about how Indiana shot lights out but that was not the case it shot below its season average and that was against what is considered a bad defense. It comes down to Cleveland shooting tonight. Additionally, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off two or more consecutive home losses, in April games. This situation is 37-11 ATS (77.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (518) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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04-17-18 | Wizards +7.5 v. Raptors | Top | 119-130 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Washington played Toronto tough for three quarters but a flagrant foul by Mike Scott early in the fourth quarter gave the Raptors a spark which led to a 7-0 run that eventually put the game away. The win snapped a 10-game losing streak of series opening losses so while that gives Toronto some positive momentum, the Wizards are in a good spot to keep another game close and this time throughout the entire contest. A big key for Washington is John Wall as he put up decent numbers in Game One, but he needs to be more efficient. He needed 20 field-goal attempts to get his 23 points, and his 15 assists came attached to five turnovers. One of the biggest differences in Game One was the shooting from the perimeter, as the Raptors doubled the Wizards with a franchise playoff best 16 made three-pointers on 30 attempts. We expect that percentage to come down in Game Two. Despite the win and cover, the Raptors are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a losing road record. Additionally, we play on road underdogs after failing to cover five or six of their last seven games against the spread going up against an opponent after having covered two of their last three games against the spread. This situation is 178-114 (61 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (705) Washington Wizards |
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04-15-18 | Pacers +7 v. Cavs | Top | 98-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Sunday Star Attraction. Many are predicting the Cavaliers to once again make it our of the east and while that is not a bold statement, the gap between the Cavaliers and every other team has shrunk. They are laying a number they do not deserve to be laying as the power rankings do not call for it and neither does the Cleveland history from this season as it is 3-14 ATS as a home favorite between 6.5 and 12 points. The Cavaliers have 19 wins over top 16 teams in the league and that is tied for third fewest among all playoff teams (Indiana has 21). The Pacers bring some momentum into the postseason as they have won seven of their last 10 which includes the season ending loss where the starter sat and going back, they are 14-7 since the start of March and 18-9 since mid-February. Indiana held its own against the Cavaliers this season, winning three of the four meetings which could make this a very interesting series and one that will not be as easy as some may think and a lot of that will come down to the poor Cleveland defense. Here, we play against home favorites after allowing 100 points or more in five straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 59-26 (69.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (511) Indiana Pacers |
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04-14-18 | Pelicans v. Blazers -5.5 | Top | 97-95 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. We won with the Blazers in their final regular season game as they were able to lock down the No. 3 seed in the Western Conference but more importantly, they put an end to their four-game losing streak. It was a difficult stretch leading up to Wednesday as seven of their previous nine games were on the road where they finished 21-20 on the season. Portland has to take advantage of its home floor and it has been hot, covering 20 of their last 27 home games. Additionally, they are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games against teams allowing 106 or more ppg with the average scoring margin being more than 10 ppg. New Orleans won its final five games of the regular season to nail down a playoff spot. Three of those games were on the road and while a win over Golden St. was good, the Warriors have not been the same team. The Pelicans lost their previous three road games against playoff teams and while the road has been good overall, they are just 7-22 ATS in their last 29 road games coming off a double-digit win. They fall into a negative situation where we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a divisional win by 20 points or more going up against an opponent off a home win. This situation is 33-12 ATS (73.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (508) Portland Trailblazers |
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04-11-18 | Jazz v. Blazers -3.5 | Top | 93-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. Several games tonight have playoff implications but only four of those involve both teams playing for something. This is one of those as Portland and Utah are playing for seeding and while it is more important for Utah since a loss and a win by Oklahoma City drops it into fifth place, we feel it is bigger for the Blazers just from a mental standpoint. They have lost their last four games although all of those were on the road including the final three against playoff teams. It was not that long ago that the Blazers won 13 consecutive games so ending the regular season on a 4-8 run is the last thing they want. They are 27-13 at home and the Blazers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning straight up record. This is a huge game for the Jazz as mentioned but they could not be in a worse spot due to who they are playing and coming off a 40-point win over the Warriors last night. Utah has won six straight games to get into this position, but this is the first back-to-back over this stretch. While the Jazz are 7-0 in the second of a back-to-back at home, they are just 3-5 on the road and they have failed to cover their last four games playing with no rest. Additionally, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are revenging a home loss of 10 points or more, off a home win by 10 points or more. This situation is 114-62 ATS (64.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (720) Portland Trailblazers |
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04-10-18 | Celtics v. Wizards -7 | Top | 101-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. There are two teams in action tonight that are playing for something as Philadelphia needs to win to move back a game in front of Cleveland for the No. 3 seed while Washington is looking to get out of the No. 8 spot. The Wizards are a half-game behind Miami and a win here and tomorrow against Atlanta could vault them up as the Heat face Toronto in their final game. The No. 7 spot is big as that teams would face Boston in the first round with the Celtics being the weakest of the top four teams with home court advantage. Washington could use some momentum as well as it has lost four straight games, all of which took place since John Wall returned but that is a bit skewed as he rested in two of those and the other two were on the road in Cleveland and Houston. Boston is playing out the string of the regular season as it remains without Kyrie Irving and Marcus Smart and it comes into tonight losers of three of its last four games. This is an instance where we are seeing reverse line movement as the public is on Boston and it is the biggest road consensus of the night, yet we are seeing the number move the other way. Going back, Washington is 83-53 ATS in its last 136 games coming off an upset loss as a favorite. 10* (506) Washington Wizards |
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04-09-18 | Pelicans v. Clippers +7.5 | Top | 113-100 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Monday Star Attraction. The Western Conference playoff race is going to come down to the final day of the regular season as five teams are fighting for four spots while only the top two seeds know their positioning. This is obviously a must win game for New Orleans which is currently tied for fifth place with San Antonio and Oklahoma City, but a must win is hardly a guarantee let alone a cover. These must win teams have their prices severely inflated due to the situation as four other teams that need to win are favored by double-digits while the Pelicans are heavy road favorites. To their credit, they have been solid as road favorites this season but 10 of 12 wins have come against teams with losing records. The Clippers are missing the playoffs for the first time in seven years following their loss to Denver on Saturday. While they may be feeling the letdown from that, what makes this play a special one is the fact that it is a nationally televised game so there is no way they will lie down. They fall into a successful situation as well as we play against road favorites after a win by six points or less going up against an opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more in four straight games. This situation is 48-24 ATS (66.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (718) Los Angeles Clippers |
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04-08-18 | Pacers -2.5 v. Hornets | Top | 123-117 | Win | 100 | 3 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. The Pacers are in fifth place in the Eastern Conference with no chance to move down but they still have a shot at the No. 4 spot which would be huge. Right now, they would face the Cavaliers in the first round without home court advantage, but flipping is ideal and while the chances are slim, they are still there. Indiana is coming off one of its worst games offensively as it scored just 73 points against the Raptors on Friday, so of for nothing else, it wants to get back in the groove as this is one of the best offenses in the NBA. The Pacers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games following a loss by 15 or more points. Charlotte meanwhile is coming off one its best games offensively as it put up 137 points against Orlando on Friday. That snapped a four-game slide, but this is a team playing for nothing at this point. Charlotte is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games when playing against a team with a winning record and it falls into a negative situation where we play against home underdogs after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half. This situation is 85-38 ATS (69.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (503) Indiana Pacers |
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04-06-18 | Cavs v. 76ers -3.5 | Top | 130-132 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. The Cavaliers won a huge game last night as they came back from 16 points down in the final quarter to move into sole possession of third place in the Eastern Conference. While that is the main story, Cleveland was down by 17 points at one point which no one will talk about, but it needs to be brought up, especially in the second game of a back-to-back. The Sixers have won 12 straight games which put them into a tie for third place at the time before last night and now they host their biggest game of the season. A win here leapfrogs them over Cleveland into the No. 3 spot with a very favorable schedule in their remaining three games so that means hosting a first round series. The Sixers have beaten a lot of bad teams during this winning streak, but they also have their share of quality wins and Cleveland has played the third easiest schedule in the league. The Sixers are 16-4 ATS in their last 20 games against teams allowing 106 or more ppg and they fall into a situation where we play against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 where the line is +3 to -3 after successfully covering the spread in three or more consecutive games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 41-18 ATS (69.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (508) Philadelphia 76ers |
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04-05-18 | Warriors v. Pacers +3 | Top | 106-126 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Golden St. has won three straight games as it is getting healthier heading into the playoffs starting next week. Staying healthy is the concern now with four regular season games remaining as the Warriors are locked into the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference, so the effort could be lacking while the starting players minutes could be knocked down some. Indiana is still playing for something as it is currently in the fifth spot in the Eastern Conference, two games behind Philadelphia for the fourth spot. If the Pacers stay here and the Sixers move ahead of the Cavaliers, a first round series against Cleveland looms so Indiana wants to get out of this spot and it will likely mean winning out. The Pacers are 26-13 at home and going back, they are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games following a road trip of seven or more days. Meanwhile, the Warriors are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning straight up record and they fall into a negative situation where we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after a win by six points or less going up against an opponent after a loss by six points or less. This situation is 54-23 ATS (70.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (702) Indiana Pacers |
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04-04-18 | Grizzlies +13.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 95-123 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. It has been a rough stretch for the Pelicans which have dropped four straight games to remain in eighth place in the Western Conference and while they have been unable to move up, more importantly they have allowed the Nuggets and Clippers to cut the gap to a half-game and a game and a half respectively. This has turned into a must win game for New Orleans, but it has not turned into a must win game that needs to be won by double-digits. It has been a brutal season for Memphis and based on the overall record and what has been at stake, the pointspreads have been overinflated which is the case here as well. The Grizzlies are 7-3 ATS this season as double-digit underdogs and have covered four straight games against winning teams. Additionally, two situations are in play. First, we play against home favorites after three straight losses by six points or less. This situation is 47-20 (70.1 percent) since 1996. Second, we play on underdogs of 10 or more points that average between 98 and 102 going up against teams allowing 102 ppg, after allowing 105 points or more. This situation is 41-14 (74.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (509) Memphis Grizzlies |
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04-03-18 | Spurs v. Clippers +2 | Top | 110-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. The Western Conference playoff race is wide open as four games separate fourth place and tenth place with this game featuring both teams on each end of that group. San Antonio has won eight of its last 10 games to take over fourth place, but it has to be noted that those eight wins came at home and the two losses came on the road. The Spurs are 14-24 on the road but they come in as road favorites despite that. The Clippers are two games out of eighth place with five games remaining with two of those games coming against teams they will have to pass, Denver and New Orleans. That gives them a great opportunity to make a move but cannot afford to lose more ground before then. Four of the last five games are at home where they are 21-16 and they fall into the same situation as the other game where we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 having covered six or seven of their last eight games against the spread, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 74-38 ATS (66.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (726) Los Angeles Clippers |
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04-03-18 | Celtics v. Bucks -1 | Top | 102-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. Boston heads back on the road following a six-game winning streak and two-day layoff as it looks to close the gap with the Raptors which play in Cleveland tonight. The winning streak has been impressive with four victories coming against current playoff teams and all of this has been done without their best player Kyrie Irving. While going after first place is important, this game is much more important for the Bucks. Milwaukee is currently sitting in eighth place in the Eastern Conference and it can all but lock up a playoff spot with a victory as it leads ninth place Detroit by four games with five games left for each team. The Bucks are 23-15 at home and going back, they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Milwaukee falls into a great situation where we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 having covered six or seven of their last eight games against the spread, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 74-38 ATS (66.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (712) Milwaukee Bucks |
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04-02-18 | Michigan +7 v. Villanova | Top | 62-79 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the MICHIGAN WOLVERINES for our National Championship Enforcer. Both Michigan and Villanova covered their numbers on Saturday as favorites and with the public flocking to the Wildcats after their dominating performance over Kansas, we are on the underdog tonight as the Wolverines are seeing a 12-point swing on the number. If Villanova goes 18-40 from long range again tonight, it will not lose but we do not anticipate another effort like that. Michigan has the defense to not let that happen and not necessarily for the actual three-point shooting defense but for the way it can attack the offense in allowing fewer attempts. During the Michigan 14-game winning streak, only twice has an opponent attempted more than its average from three-point range and the Wolverines have allowed only 27.8 percent shooting. They had it on display on Saturday as Loyola-Chicago came in averaging 18.4 three-point attempts per game and put up only 10 while making just one of those. Michigan has no issues with playing against teams that are elite as they have covered their last six games against teams with a winning percentage of .800 or better while going 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games against teams that shooting 45 percent or better from the floor. Additionally, they are 6-1 ATS this season as dogs of three or more points. 10* (601) Michigan Wolverines |
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04-01-18 | Pistons -1 v. Nets | Top | 108-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. The Pistons are hanging on by a thread for their playoff lives as they have won four straight games and with the Miami loss last night, they are four and a half games out of the eighth spot in the Eastern Conference. Detroit won against the Knicks last night and while this is a back-to-back, there is no travel involved which makes it a lot easier. The Pistons have struggled on the road for the most part this season but that has mostly been against the top teams which is not the case tonight. We played against Brooklyn last night and it defeated the Heat in overtime for its third straight win over Miami. It also accomplished the Florida sweep as it defeated Orlando three nights earlier. The Nets are tied for the third worst record in the Eastern Conference and seventh overall and they have not won three straight games all season, going 0-5 the five previous times they won consecutive games. They are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 home games against teams with a losing road record while the Pistons are 6-0 ATS in their last six games against teams with a losing straight up record. Additionally, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a road win by three points or less, playing on back-to-back days. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (515) Detroit Pistons |
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03-31-18 | Kansas v. Villanova -5 | Top | 79-95 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the VILLANOVA WILDCATS for our CBB Final Four Enforcer. The only two No. 1 seeds to make it to the Sweet 16 square off in the Final Four and Kansas is the public consensus based on what is considered an inflated line. Typically, a battle between top seeds would have a shorter line but this is a game where Villanova has distinct advantages as we have seen thus far as it has cruised in all four games. Both teams rely on the three-point shot as a big part of their offense as they both shoot over 40 percent from long range. Villanova has a much more diverse offense, so it is the team that can survive a cold spell from outside should it occur. The Wildcats free throw shooting can be a difference as well if it is a close game late as they are hitting 83 percent over their last five games and they are No. 8 in the nation overall. They also have an extra advantage over the Jayhawks from an experience perspective since they already know what kind of pressure comes playing on a big stage like the one they are about to see in San Antonio. Kansas has had a tougher time as it had to deal with a pesky Penn team to open the tournament and it has escaped the last three games with four-point wins in each. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving two teams that are outscoring opponents by eight or more ppg, after allowing 75 points or more three straight games. This situation is 56-21 ATS (72.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (814) Villanova Wildcats |
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03-31-18 | Nets v. Heat -7.5 | Top | 110-109 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. Miami has won two straight games to remain in a tie for seventh place in the Eastern Conference and this is the spot it wants to head into the postseason. Avoiding eighth place would mean missing Toronto and playing Boston which is a preferred matchup against the banged-up Celtics. This is the second of five straight games against four of the five worst teams in the conference before closing the season against Oklahoma City and Toronto. The Heat have covered seven of their last eight home games. Brooklyn is coming off a win as it defeated Orlando on Wednesday and you have to go all the way back to January 31st to find the last time the Nets defeated a playoff bound team. The last time they defeated a playoff bound team on the road was back on December 29th and it happened to come in this building which is the first of two straight wins over the Heat and bring into play a huge situation. We play on home teams that are revenging two consecutive losses as a favorite, off two or more consecutive home wins. This situation is 39-14 ATS (73.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (808) Miami Heat |
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03-31-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Michigan -5.5 | Top | 57-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the MICHIGAN WOLVERINES for our CBB Final Four Supreme Annihilator. We have been on the wrong side of Loyola-Chicago is each of the last two games, but the Cinderella season comes to an end this Saturday as the Ramblers have their worst matchup of the tournament thus far. They have not had to defend a stretch-five player like Michigan 6-foot-11 forward Moe Wagner, a likely NBA future player. Both teams shoot the ball well with excellent ball movement and both play tough defense, but this game comes down to taking care of the ball. Michigan does an excellent job protecting the ball, with the third-lowest turnover rate in the country. Loyola-Chicago can get sloppy at times, as it did in the first half of its Sweet 16 win over Nevada and it ranks 219th in turnover rate. Michigan loves to push the ball off turnovers and this is where it can have a big edge. Overall, the Wolverines have the better numbers in assist/turnover ratio on both ends of the floor. This is also a game where experience can come into play and while the Wolverine players do not have it, it is there on the sidelines. Michigan has arguably the best coach in the country in John Beilein and this is his second Final Four in six years as his team lost to Louisville in the National Championship in 2012-13. Michigan is 10-2 ATS this season against teams shooting 48 percent or better while going 13-5 ATS this season against teams allowing 42 percent shooting or better. 10* (812) Michigan Wolverines |
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03-30-18 | San Francisco v. North Texas -4.5 | Top | 77-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN for our CBB Friday Enforcer. We had North Texas in Game Two of the CBI Championship and we are going to back the Mean Green for the same reasons so pardon the regurgitation of the analysis. In Game One, San Francisco was 12-18 from beyond the arc in the first half and to put that number in perspective, it had 16 made field goals in total through the first half. The Dons are typically not a good three-point shooting team to begin with and overall, they are ranked No. 247 in the country in effective field goal percentage while North Texas is ranked No. 80 in effective field goal defense so we can toss the Monday performances out. In the second game, San Francisco came back to earth as expected as it shot just 42 percent, but a shocker was that North Texas hit just 39.7 percent of its shots including going 2-18 from long range. They dominated the boards however and should again tonight which mean that just an average shooting night means a runaway win. San Francisco is just 4-8 on the road with those four wins coming against four of the bottom five teams from the WCC, none of which had winning records. The Mean Green are 13-6 at home with the four of the losses since December coming by 2, 2, 2 and 3 points and a fifth coming in overtime. 10* (520) North Texas Mean Green |
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03-29-18 | Penn State -4 v. Utah | Top | 82-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS for our NIT Championship Enforcer. We won with Penn St. on Tuesday and we will back the Nittany Lions again here what looks like another very favorable matchup. They rolled over Mississippi St. as the game was never in jeopardy as the Nittany Lions trailed for all of 16 seconds, and then used a 24-0 run to make the game unreachable for the Bulldogs. They are comfortable at MSG as they also played the Big Ten Tournament here and the real edge is in fan support as a Penn St. contingent was present on Tuesday and will definitely be there again tonight. The Utes needed every second of the 40 minutes in order to beat Western Kentucky, who started the game up 18-5. Utah methodically erased the deficit to go onto the half tied, and used the final seconds, and back-to-back turnovers by the Hilltoppers, to finally win the game. A deficit like that here will be deadly as Penn St. will not let them back in the game. Utah is ranked No. 85 in defensive efficiency which is solid, but the Nittany Lions are ranked No. 24 so the clear edge goes to the latter and the 24-0 run that Penn St. had against Mississippi St. showed what that defense is capable of. The Nittany Lions are 10-2 ATS this season after two or more consecutive wins. 10* (711) Penn St. Nittany Lions |
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03-28-18 | San Francisco v. North Texas -3 | Top | 55-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN for our CBB Wednesday Enforcer. San Francisco took Game One of this best-of-three series for the CBI Tournament Championship and now the series heads to Denton for the final two games should the game on Friday be necessary. We expect it to be as North Texas will rebound from the opener on Monday as it did not play great, but the difference was an absolute fluke. San Francisco was 12-18 from beyond the arc in the first half and to put that number in perspective, it had 16 made field goals in total through the first half. The Dons are typically not a good three-point shooting team to begin with and overall, they are ranked No. 247 in the country in effective field goal percentage while North Texas is ranked No. 80 in effective field goal defense so we can toss the Monday performances out. San Francisco is just 4-7 on the road with those four wins coming against four of the bottom five teams from the WCC, none of which had winning records. The Mean Green are 12-6 at home with the four of the losses since December coming by 2, 2, 2 and 3 points and a fifth coming in overtime. San Francisco is 1-8 ATS this season coming off a double-digit win while the Mean Green are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss. 10* (518) North Texas Mean Green |
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03-28-18 | Cavs v. Hornets | Top | 118-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND CAVALIERS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. Cleveland had its five-game winning streak snapped in Miami last night and it was not pretty as the Cavaliers managed a mere 79 points on 36.5 percent shooting. It was their lowest scoring output on the season with their previous low being 88 points and after Tuesday, we can expect a full effort tonight. Cleveland will likely be without Kevin Love who left last night with concussion-like symptoms but if he is able to come back and play, that will be an added bonus, and all other starters were held below their normal minute-load so the back-to-back will not be as bad. Charlotte is 5.5 games out of the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference, so it is holding out hope of a miracle run to end the season. The Hornets have won four straight games, but those games were against the Nets, Grizzlies, Mavericks and Knicks which are four of the eight worst teams in the league. Since January 20, Charlotte owns just two wins over teams with winning records, going 2-14 over that stretch. While Cleveland has struggled in this price range, the Hornets have been horrible by going 3-16 ATS as underdogs of fewer than five points. This includes a 1-7 straight up and ATS record as home underdogs where they have gone 2-13 ATS the last two years. 10* (505) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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03-27-18 | Mississippi State v. Penn State -2.5 | Top | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS for our NIT Tuesday Enforcer. Both Mississippi St. and Penn St. pulled off a pair of road upsets to make it to the NIT Semifinals. After playing a somewhat uninspired game against the Temple Owls, going on the road to beat Notre Dame and withstanding an assault from one of the best offensive teams in the country in Marquette, the Nittany Lions head back to MSG for a chance at an NIT championship. They had a good run here in the Big Ten Tournament with wins over Northwestern and Ohio St. and putting up a good fight against Purdue. Penn St. has shot at least 20 free throw attempts in each of their last five games and is averaging just under 25 attempts per game. while making just over 77 percent of those shots. Mississippi St. has peaked at the right time as well and a win at Louisville by 23 points it its last game was very impressive. The Bulldogs will have a tough time matching up against the Penn St. offense, a team that takes very good care of the ball as it commits just 11.5 tpg. Going back, Mississippi St. is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games after a win by 20 points or more while Penn St. is 11-3 ATS after three straight games committing 14 or less turnovers this season. 10* (780) Penn St. Nittany Lions |
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03-27-18 | Blazers v. Pelicans -1 | Top | 107-103 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. New Orleans got a much-needed break as it has had two days off following a stretch of six games in eight days and it is the only team in the league that will have to play three straight games. This was due to a makeup game against Indiana that got sandwiched in on Wednesday. The Pelicans did go 4-2 over this stretch with the two losses coming against the Rockets and they are now tied for fifth place in the Western Conference. This is a big matchup as they can close the gap to a game and a half behind Portland for third place. The Blazers ran off 13 straight wins before losing consecutive games at home against Houston and Boston but did bounce back on Sunday with a win at Oklahoma City. They have been solid on the road with a 20-15 record but have won only nine of 22 games as road underdogs. New Orleans has covered five straight home games and it falls into a positive situation where we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 100 points or more two straight games going up against an opponent after a win by three points or less. This situation is 59-26 ATS (69.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (766) New Orleans Pelicans |
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03-24-18 | Wolves +7.5 v. 76ers | Top | 108-120 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. The Sixers have moved into the No. 4 spot in the Eastern Conference thanks to five straight wins. However, those five wins came against four of the six worst teams in the Eastern Conference and the second worst team in the Western Conference. Going back further, Philadelphia 10-0 in its last 10 games against non-playoff teams while going 1-5 against teams currently in a playoff position since February 23. The Sixers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning straight up record. The Timberwolves have won two in a row to move ahead of Utah for seventh place in the Western Conference and they are just a game and a half out of fourth place. Minnesota has played the fourth toughest schedule in the NBA and it has played exceptional against the top half of the league as its 23 wins are third most in the league behind Houston and Golden St. Going back, the Timberwolves are 21-9 in their last 30 games as road underdogs between 6.5 and 12 points while going 10-2 ATS this season revenging a loss as a favorite. Additionally, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are revenging a home loss, off a road win. This situation is 90-49 ATS (64.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (501) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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03-24-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Kansas State -1 | Top | 78-62 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS STATE WILDCATS for our CBB Saturday Elite Eight Enforcer. The Loyola-Chicago Cinderella story is a good one as it snuck out its third straight last second victory, this time a one-point win over Nevada. The Ramblers have shot 51 percent through the three games but the defense has been just as much part of the success as they have allowed just 64 ppg. While the Ramblers can dictate the pace on offense with any one of four shooters averaging better than 55 percent from inside the three-point line, Kansas St. has no problem playing at a slow pace. Kansas St. can certainly be considered a Cinderella as well as a No. 9 seed, making this the first ever 9-vs.-11 matchup in the history of the tournament. The Wildcats are not getting the pub though and that seems to be fine with them. They were even dissed by Kentucky following their victory on Thursday as players and coaches left the court without shaking the hands of Kansas St. players. This team is playing with a chip on its shoulder and it is doing so with a stout defense that has allowed 53.3 ppg and two of those games were against teams ranked No. 15 and No. 61 in offensive efficiency. Loyola-Chicago is No. 73 but the Wildcats showed what they are capable of and getting out to a lead will make it much more difficult for the Ramblers to come back from as opposed to the first three games in the tournament. Leading scorer Dean Wade has played only eight minutes in the tournament and the Wildcats have still been able to win and he will likely see more significant action on Saturday. 10* (514) Kansas St. Wildcats |
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03-23-18 | Jazz v. Spurs -3 | Top | 120-124 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. After sitting on the outside of the Western Conference playoffs for a short amount of time, San Antonio has regrouped with five straight wins to move back up to the No. 6 spot. The Spurs are just 2.5 games out of the No. 3 spot but at the same time, they are just three games out of being back on the outside so finishing this homestand a perfect 6-0 is huge. One of the teams on their tail is Utah as it trails San Antonio by two games following a win in Dallas last night. The Jazz have won 10 of their last 11 games so they are clearly playing at a high level and will have the attention of the Spurs. Adding to that is the fact that Utah has won the first three meetings so revenge is in play as the Spurs look to avoid getting swept by Utah for the first time since 2009-10 and just the third time ever. Utah has been solid this season when playing with no rest as it is 10-4 but most of that success has come at home where it is 7-0 in the second of a back-to-back set. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off two or more consecutive home wins, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .501 and .600. This situation is 61-30 ATS (67 percent) since 1996. Additionally, the Spurs are 11-3 ATS this season at home coming off a home win. 10* (866) San Antonio Spurs |
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03-23-18 | West Virginia +5.5 v. Villanova | Top | 78-90 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS for our CBB Friday NCAA Tournament Enforcer. Strength vs. strength will be on display on Friday night as West Virginia brings in its pressing defense going up against the top efficiency offense in the country. The Mountaineers are in the top 10 in the country in turnover margin and forced turnovers (16.5 per game) while also racking up more than eight steals a game and the Wildcats have not seen anything like this. The only Villanova opponent that forced turnovers at that level was St. Johns (16.2 per game) and in n two games, the Wildcats struggled as they won one game by seven points and lost the other by four points. West Virginia is far superior to the Red Storm so we can envision seeing the Wildcats struggle again. The Mountaineers can score, which makes them different than in past years, as they average 80.2 ppg so they have the capability to keep up is Villanova gets hot from the floor. West Virginia is 15-8 ATS against teams shooting 45 percent or better from the floor this season and it falls into a fantastic situation where we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after two consecutive covers as a favorite going up against an opponent after two straight covers as a double digit favorite. This situation is 33-10 ATS (76.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (871) West Virginia Mountaineers |
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03-22-18 | Hawks v. Kings -2.5 | Top | 90-105 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Atlanta is coming off a rare road win at it upset Utah on Tuesday as a 14-point underdog. That was just the sixth road victory for the Hawks this season and they have yet to win consecutive road games this season. Those follow up road losses have come by an average of 8.4 ppg and they have won consecutive games of any kind only three times all season, going 3-17 after a victory. Sacramento is coming off a loss against Detroit at home on Monday but the Kings have been playing decent down the stretch, going 5-6 over their last 11 games. Five of those defeats have come against teams that are currently in playoff spots with Detroit being the exception. The difference in that game against the Pistons was free throws as Sacramento was outscored 18-4 from the charity stripe. The Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning percentage below .400 while the Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against teams with a losing straight up record. Additionally, we play on favorites that are revenging a loss of 10 points or more against opponent off a road win. This situation is 114-66 ATS (63.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (812) Sacramento Kings |
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03-22-18 | Texas A&M +3 v. Michigan | Top | 72-99 | Loss | -109 | 30 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS A&M AGGIES for our CBB Thursday NCAA Tournament Ultimate Underdog. Texas A&M has had the tougher road to the Sweet 16 than Michigan but it has made it look easier. The Aggies beat a very good Providence team and they dominated that game in shooting and rebounding but the Friars kept it close by committing only four turnovers. Against North Carolina, it was a complete domination as the Tar Heels were considered to have the size and rebounding advantage but were outrebounded 47-36. They grab 34 percent of their offensive rebound opportunities and they are the bigger team in this matchup as Robert Williams and Tyler Davis have the advantage down low over both Moritz Wagner and John Teske. Wagner has been prone to foul trouble in recent games and that will kill the Wolverines here. Michigan has not looked good though the first two games for a team that is riding an 11-game winning streak. They started out each game slowly and went through long stretches where they missed wide-open shots. It took a last-second three-pointer to advance over Houston so the Wolverines are fortunate to be here. Michigan is a well-coached team where John Beilein gets the most out of his players but the Aggies are playing their best basketball since December when they were once ranked No. 7 in the country. 10* (817) Texas A&M Aggies |
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03-22-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Nevada -1 | Top | 69-68 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEVADA WOLF PACK for our CBB Thursday NCAA Tournament Enforcer. Two unlikely Sweet 16 teams square off in the first game on Thursday and while Loyola-Chicago is the Cinderella story of this tournament, we are backing Nevada as the better team with more talent from top to bottom. Twins Caleb and Cody Martin starred at Oak Hill Academy, one of the most prestigious prep schools in the country, went to NC State for two years before transferring to Nevada where they have starred. They are two of four transfers from major conference schools with Kendall Stephens, who relocated from Purdue, being the third that averages double-figures in scoring so this team is made up of top level talent. Nevada ranks 16th nationally, fourth among Sweet 16 teams, with 83 ppg and has scored at least 80 points in 21 games, losing only two of those. The Wolf Pack are ranked sixth in the Kenpom adjusted offensive efficiency ratings. The Ramblers possess a stingy defense and they bring in a 12-game winning streak highlighted by two last-second game winning shots to open the NCAA Tournament. The feeling though is that the Nevada 22-point comeback against Cincinnati was more impressive to move forward with. For the first time in the NCAA Tournament, Nevada enjoys a huge edge in size and athleticism which will prove to be the difference. 10* (816) Nevada Wolf Pack |
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03-21-18 | Nuggets v. Bulls +9 | Top | 135-102 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. We are catching another situation tonight where we have a line that is overinflated due to the tanking theory as Denver is favored by a huge amount despite possessing only 11 road wins this season. It will be argued that the Nuggets are clearly the better team and while that is the case, they have been priced at this number on two other occasions and lost both games outright at Memphis and at Sacramento. Denver is coming off a double-overtime loss at Miami last time out and has lost four straight on the highway with three of those coming against non-playoff teams. Chicago has dropped two straight games and going back, it is 4-6 in its last 10 home games. Three of those losses came against the Cavaliers, Clippers and Sixers and the Bulls covered all those games. They are a respectable 11-8 ATS at home against teams with a winning record while Denver is 3-11 ATS on the road against teams with a losing record. Additionally, the Nuggets are 4-13 ATS this season after scoring 120 or more points. Chicago is getting the most points at home since December and they have played home games against Toronto (twice), Houston, Golden St., Boston and Cleveland which shows how inflated it is tonight. 10* (762) Chicago Bulls |
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03-21-18 | Western Kentucky v. Oklahoma State -4.5 | Top | 92-84 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS for our CBB Wednesday NIT Enforcer. Oklahoma St. was dissed by the NCAA Tournament committee and it is out to prove that it belonged. The Cowboys were one of three remaining No. 2 seeds heading into last night but Marquette lost as Tuesday saw both home teams fall, Louisville being the other. This is now guaranteed to be the final home game of the season for the Cowboys and it is a big one. If the Cowboys defeat the Hilltoppers, they will tally their 800th victory in Gallagher-Iba Arena and their 16th home victory this season. That would mark 2017-18 as their winningest home season ever, though it fell short of a spot in the NCAA Tournament. Students are getting in for free making sure the environment will be raucous. Western Kentucky has looked good in the first two rounds of the NIT but it has not been overly impressive. The Hilltoppers defeated Boston College at home but the Eagles came in with just two road wins on the season and while they defeated USC on the road, the Trojans were without their top two scorers as the 29.3 combined ppg from Chimezie Metu and Bennie Boatright were on the bench. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points from a major conference going up against a team from a mid-major conference, off two or more consecutive home wins. This situation is 59-27 ATS (68.6 percent) since 1997. 10* (766) Oklahoma St. Cowboys |
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03-20-18 | Raptors v. Magic +10 | Top | 93-86 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. We played on Orlando last week as it defeated Milwaukee at home with the bet partly based on the tanking theory. All this talk about tanking is laughable at times. Franchises can set teams up to not survive late in the season, but players are not tanking for their team to get better draft positions. They are playing for their own careers and contracts so backing teams or fading teams because of tanking is absurd. The Magic lost their most recent game against Boston on Friday but now have extra rest and they will be getting Aaron Gordon back tonight. Orlando is 14-7 ATS when getting eight or more points. The Raptors had their 11-game winning streak snapped on Sunday against Oklahoma City and while many will call for a bounce back here, they are being asked to lay way too many points. This is the most Toronto has been favored by on the road, a point more than the last meeting here in February which it won and that sets up a slid revenge situation. We play on home teams with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 that are revenging a home loss of 10 points or more, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 36-13 (73.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (652) Orlando Magic |
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03-19-18 | Washington v. St. Mary's -10 | Top | 81-85 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. MARY'S GAELS for our CBB Monday NIT Enforcer. This is not what St. Mary's envisioned toward the end of the season as it finished with a 28-5 record, closed as the No. 25 team in the final AP Poll and No. 42 in the RPI. Yet, the Gaels were not given an at-large berth into the NCAA Tournament because of their strength of schedule which was the lowest in the West Coast Conference. Because of the disappointment in the snub. It was questionable how they would come out in their first game in the NIT and they answered those questions with a 44-point win over Southeastern Louisiana showing they are out to win this thing. Washington caught a break in its first-round game as it was a higher seed than Boise St. but benefitted from playing the game at home as the Broncos facilities were unavailable. The Huskies still had a tough time as they won by just three points and now hit the road where they are 4-5 on the season. Going back, Washington is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games against teams that are outscoring opponents by 12 or more ppg while St. Mary's is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 games coming off a home win by 20 or more points. Additionally, the Gaels fall into a solid situation where we play on home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points after a cover as a double-digit favorite, in March games. This situation is 62-29 ATS (68.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (622) St. Mary's Gaels |
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03-19-18 | Nuggets +1.5 v. Heat | Top | 141-149 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. This line came out late because of the questionable status of Heat center Hassan Whiteside but he has recent been downgraded to out with a hip injury. We are expecting a huge bounce back effort from Denver tonight after Saturday night's loss to the Grizzlies, which entered that game with the worst record in the NBA and riding a 19-game losing streak. The Nuggets are still sitting in ninth place in the Western Conference playoff standings as they trail Minnesota by a game and a half, but they are only two games out of fifth place. Motivation is big in this league as egos can get in the way and that embarrassing loss against Memphis will have Denver up for redemption. The Nuggets are 7-2-2 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Miami is coming off a 1-2 roadtrip but it did defeat the Lakers in the finale to remain in eighth place in the Eastern Conference. With Detroit sitting six and a half games behind the Heat, there is not as much of a sense of urgency. In addition to Whiteside being out, Dwyane Wade remains out with a hamstring issue. Denver falls into a strong situation as we play against home teams in a game involving two teams that are +/- 3 ppg in scoring differential.), after a win by three points or less. This situation is 61-34 ATS (64.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (607) Denver Nuggets |
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03-18-18 | Blazers v. Clippers -2 | Top | 122-109 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Portland won last night against Detroit to make it 12 straight wins for the Blazers and they remain in third place in the Western Conference playoff standings. While the winning streak has been impressive, nine of the wins have come at home while two road wins came at teams not contending for a playoff spot. The only impressive road win was at Utah as the Blazers are now 18-15 on the highway. The Clippers are coming off a three-game roadtrip where they dropped the final two games against the Rockets and Thunder as an emotional game against Houston was followed by a letdown performance in Oklahoma City the following night. Los Angeles is still in the hunt for a playoff spot as it is a game and a half behind New Orleans for the eighth and final spot. The Clippers are 20-14 at home including wins in five of their last seven games here. Going back, they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a loss and fall into a contrarian situation where we play against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 where the line is +3 to -3 after successfully covering the spread in three or more consecutive games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 40-16 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (708) Los Angeles Clippers |
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03-18-18 | Marshall +12.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 71-94 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD for our CBB Sunday Enforcer. The Thundering Herd came through for us on Friday as they pulled off the outright upset over Wichita St. and instead of any sort of letdown, they will use that as confidence moving forward knowing they can beat top-level talent. Marshall missed out last season on the NCAA Tournament as it lost to Middle Tennessee St. in the C-USA Championship, but it ran the table to get to the Big Dance for the first time since 1987. The Thundering Herd had some tough losses this season as five of their 10 losses came by six points or less and they possess one of the most underrated players in the country in Jon Elmore who proved that on Friday. Now the Thundering Herd are playing a higher seed yet are getting more points. West Virginia had no issues with Murray St. and the line is going against it here as the Mountaineers are laying more than they were against the Racers. It has been an up and down season for the Mountaineers after a 15-1 start as they lost eight of their final 15 regular season games when the competition got tougher. Despite a run and gun style that where it would seem fatigue could come into play, Marshall is a perfect 10-0 ATS this season when playing with one day or no rest. Additionally, the Thundering Herd are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. West Virginia is 4-11 ATS this season in its 15 games after a cover. 10* (721) Marshall Thundering Herd |
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03-17-18 | Houston v. Michigan -3 | Top | 63-64 | Loss | -106 | 28 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the MICHIGAN WOLVERINES for our CBB Saturday Enforcer. After a long layoff following winning the Big Ten Tournament., Michigan had the possibility of showing some rust and that was the case as it fell behind 10-0 but ran away with it after that as it defeated Montana 61-47. The defense has picked it up of late as the Wolverines have allowed opponents to shoot just 37.7 percent from the floor over their last five games and two of those games were against Purdue and Michigan St. They have allowed 66 or fewer points in eight of their last nine games and the lone exception was an overtime game. Rob Gray is the real deal as he poured in 39 points including the game-winner over San Diego St. and he has taken this team over offensively, scoring 30 or more points in four of his last eight games but he will have a tougher time here. The Cougars victory was the first one for them since 1984 and it was a nail-biter and while we will not expect a letdown, the matchup will be much more of a challenge. The fact Michigan played poor against the Grizzlies is in our favor as a rebound is expected similar to what happened in the Big Ten Tournament as the Wolverines were horrible against Iowa but came out next game against Nebraska and shot lights out. Michigan is 17-4 ATS this season against teams shooting 45 percent or better from the floor this season while going a perfect 9-0 ATS against teams who make eight or more three-pointers per game. The Wolverines show what they are made of on Saturday. 10* (530) Michigan Wolverines |
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03-17-18 | Mavs v. Nets -2.5 | Top | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. Both Dallas and Brooklyn played last night, and the results were somewhat similar with both losing close games against much better opposition. We give the edge tonight to Brooklyn which heads home following a tough loss to the Sixers last night after blowing a 13-point lead. The Nets have had their issues playing with no rest this season, but the venue has played a big role as they are 0-10 in the second of back-to-back games on the road but when they are home, they are a perfect 3-0 straight up and against the number. Dallas put together a solid effort last night as it took Toronto to overtime before losing by seven points. This came after a win in News York against the Knicks on Tuesday and because of this good start to the roadtrip, we can expect a letdown tonight as there is little reason to get up for this one. Coming off a near win against the best team in the Eastern Conference makes it worse as the Mavericks are 6-17 ATS in their last 23 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400 and the small price does not help as they are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games when the line is +3 to -3. Meanwhile, the Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last five games coming off a loss. 10* (508) Brooklyn Nets |
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03-17-18 | Seton Hall v. Kansas -4.5 | Top | 79-83 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS JAYHAWKS for our CBB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Kansas had a scare for a while again Penn on Thursday before finally pulling away for a 16-point win. This was an example of a lot of games that the Jayhawks played this season as they failed to play a full 40 minutes and clearly came out flat. This game will be different as the matchup is tougher, but the line is taking this into consideration with a low number for a No. 1 seed in the round of 32. While there have been inconsistencies this season, Kansas looks to be peaking at the right time as it blew through the Big XII Tournament with three double-digit wins and then a late surge against the Quakers. The Jayhawks are all about the three-pointer as they make 10.1 per game and shoot 40.3 percent from long range, both tops in the Big XII Conference. The Pirates come off an impressive win over NC State which was considered a sleeper team by some. They were able to take advantage at the free throw line as Seton Hall was 31-39 as it outscored the Wolfpack by 17 points from the charity stripe and we will not see a repeat of that here. The venue and date are huge advantages for Kansas as this one is pretty much a home game for the Jayhawks taking place in Wichita and a late start on St. Patrick's Day will have this environment jazzed up. Here, we play on neutral court teams as a favorite or pickem in a game involving two teams allowing between 67 and 74 ppg, after three straight wins by 10 points or more. This situation is 68-29 ATS (70.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (528) Kansas Jayhawks |
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03-17-18 | Rhode Island +9.5 v. Duke | Top | 62-87 | Loss | -101 | 23 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the RHODE ISLAND RAMS for our CBB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. We are backing Rhode Island again in the round of 32 following an overtime win and cover against Oklahoma. Because of the overtime and because Duke cruised over Iona in its first game, the Rams will be faded by some based on the fatigue factor but after 33 games, fatigue is not an issue. The win over the Sooners should give the Rams a spark of confidence even though the shooting was not great, but they did a great job in taking care of the ball with just six turnovers, something that needs to be repeated against Duke. The Blue Devils pulled away late as they went 13-30 (43 percent) from long range but do not expect to see a repeat of that against the Rams strong perimeter defense. Duke comes in with the No. 6 RPI which is right on track when compared to the seeding, but No. 7 seed Rhode Island has an RPI of No. 13 and that does not correlate with its seeding which shows the Rams are severely underseeded. Rhode Island is 11-4 ATS against teams that shoot 45 percent or better from the floor this season while going 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games after a game committing eight or fewer turnovers. Meanwhile, Duke is 9-19 ATS in its last 28 games as a neutral court favorite of 9.5 to 12 points. The Blue Devils clearly have the better overall roster but because of the slight RPI differences, these teams are not as far off as the line is reflecting which makes the Rams a live dog on Saturday. 10* (523) Rhode Island Rams |
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03-16-18 | Kings +10.5 v. Warriors | Top | 98-93 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. This line came out late due to the questionable status of Kevin Durant who could be out with a rib injury, but we are banking on him playing. If he does not go, that is a bonus, but we will not know this until later tonight, so the best option is to bet this now in case he does sit which will bring the line down. The Warriors will get Draymond Green back, but they are still without Steph Curry and Klay Thompson and there will not be much motivation to win this one going away. Sacramento is coming off an overtime win over Miami and it has gone 4-4 in its last eight games so do not talk to the Kings about tanking. We played on them in their last road game at Oklahoma City which resulted in an easy cover and we should expect a similar effort here. The Kings have covered eight of their last 11 road games while the Warriors are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win and 14-30 ATS in their last 44 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. The Kings are backed by a strong situation where we play on underdogs of 10 or more points that are averaging between 98 and 102 ppg going up against a team allowing 102 or more ppg, after allowing 105 points or more. This situation is 41-12 ATS (77.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (809) Sacramento Kings |
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03-16-18 | College of Charleston +9.5 v. Auburn | Top | 58-62 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLESTON COUGARS for our CBB Game of the Week. Charleston comes from a small conference, but this is a very dangerous team that is playing with a chip on its shoulder. The Cougars finished a game behind UNC-Wilmington last season and eventually lost to the Seahawks in the CAA Championship, so they were out on a mission this season. They returned all five starters and rolled to 26 victories including an overtime win over Northeastern to punch their ticket. The real advantage here for Charleston is the fact it defeated Northeastern three times and the Huskies are very similar to Auburn in style which has actually prompted Tigers head coach Bruce Pearl to focus on those tapes. Auburn got off to a terrific start this season, winning 21 of its first 23 games but the last six weeks have been a struggle as it has gone just 4-5 over its last nine games. The Tigers have been tenacious on defense as they create a ton of turnovers but that does not favor them in this matchup. Charleston turns the ball over just 9.6 times per game, which ranks third in the country, so the Tigers strength is negated here. Auburn was the top seed in the SEC Tournament and were destroyed by Alabama, so the confidence of this team is a big concern as well. Going back, the Cougars are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning straight up record while the Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (893) Charleston Cougars |
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03-16-18 | Texas v. Nevada +1.5 | Top | 83-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEVADA WOLF PACK for our CBB Friday Enforcer. We had Nevada in the MWC Tournament against San Diego St. but clearly caught the Aztecs at the wrong time. There is unfinished business for the Wolf Pack as they will be facing a Big XII team for the second straight season in the NCAA Tournament after getting ousted by Iowa St. last year by 11 points. This team has the experience to compete with anybody and that includes the Big XII. They have never been blown out of the gym and have kept the game close even in losses to teams like Texas Tech and TCU which are both considerably better than Texas which comes in with an RPI of 51 which is more than the Red Raiders and Horned Frogs combined. Meanwhile, Nevada is No. 19 in the RPI and it is now catching a point as of Thursday afternoon so clearly the value is on the Wolf Pack. Texas has five good wins on the season and while every loss came against a team playing in either the NCAA Tournament or NIT, the Longhorns will have trouble matching up here. While they do have an advantage in height down low, the Wolf Pack are long on the perimeter, athletic, experienced, and highly skilled. The loss in the MWC Tournament stings for Nevada but it has thrived in these spots, going 7-0 ATS in its last seven games following a loss as a favorite and 17-3-1 ATS in its last 21 games following any sort of loss. 10* (880) Nevada Wolf Pack |
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03-16-18 | Butler -1.5 v. Arkansas | Top | 79-62 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUTLER BULLDOGS for our Supreme Annihilator. Butler is similar this season to past seasons as it is efficient on offense and takes good care of the ball. The Bulldogs lost to Villanova in the Big East Tournament, but they do have some quality wins this season including a victory against Villanova and they possess five top 50 wins. This team shares the ball very well, led by the backcourt trio of Aaron Thompson, Kamar Baldwin and Paul Jorgensen. One quick look on paper shows that Butler is not very good at defending the perimeter as it allows opponents to shoot 37.4 percent from long range while Arkansas shooting 40.1 percent from behind the arc which is No. 11 in the nation but that is skewed as Arkansas does not take many three-pointers as their three-point rate is just 32 percent which is 303rd in the country. The Razorbacks made a good run in the SEC Tournament to solidify a good seeding but this one of those games where the higher seed is actually the underdog and that is a red flag for Arkansas which has been thinned in the frontcourt with the suspension of forward Dustin Thomas. Butler is a well-coached team which goes back for years and that is a big reason for the success of the Bulldogs in the tournament. On the season, Arkansas is 7-14 ATS against teams outscoring opponents by four or more ppg while going 3-11 ATS against teams that average 77 or more ppg. While it looks like a toss-up, this is a game the Bulldogs should win going away. 10* (871) Butler Bulldogs |
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03-16-18 | Marshall +12 v. Wichita State | Top | 81-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD for our CBB Friday Ultimate Underdog. Marshall missed out last season on the NCAA Tournament as it lost to Middle Tennessee St. in the C-USA Championship, but it ran the table to get to the Big Dance for the first time since 1987. The Thundering Herd had some tough losses this season as five of their 10 losses came by six points or less and they possess one of the most underrated players in the country. Jon Elmore averages 22.8 ppg, 6.0 rpg and 6.9 apg so he can do it all, but he is not the only backcourt producer as C.J. Burks averages 20.5 ppg. Marshall runs and guns more than any team in the country and Wichita St. has been nowhere near what we think they would be defensively this season. Wichita St. had a solid first season in the AAC as it finished tied for second with Houston at 14-4. The two big things for the Shockers that can cause an early exit that hurt them during the season is streak shooting and turnovers and if their shooting is off on Friday, they can lose this game outright. The Shockers have been overvalued quite a bit this season which stems from their dominance in the MVC and while they won a lot, they were not able to cover especially against solid opposition which is the opposite of the Thundering Herd. Wichita St. is 6-16 ATS this season against teams with a winning record while Marshall is 12-7 ATS this season against winning teams. Additionally, Wichita St. is 3-13 ATS against teams who attempt 21 or more three-point shots per game this season. 10* (889) Marshall Thundering Herd |
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03-15-18 | St Bonaventure +5.5 v. Florida | Top | 62-77 | Loss | -108 | 28 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. BONAVENTURE BONNIES for our CBB Thursday Late Night Crusher. We won with the Bonnies in one of the First Four play-in games and we are going right back to them here. St. Bonaventure snuck into the NCAA Tournament as one of the last four teams in, which came as a surprise as the thought was that the Bonnies were securely in, but a few upsets the final two days knocked them down some. The Bonnies have arguably a top-five backcourt in the country in Matt Mobley and Jaylen Adams although that was not on display against the Bruins. They combined to go 6-28 from the floor but it was a clutch shot by Adams late that made a big difference. The fact that those two played so bad and they still defeated UCLA shows how good this team really is. The Bonnies push the ball and that is a style of play that can hurt the Gators on defense. Florida closed the season 3-4 over its last seven games and it had some poor losses along the way against many non-tournament teams. The Gators rely on the three-pointer as they hoist up over 24 per game and the St. Bonaventure guards can also play defense as the Bonnies allow 32.1 percent from long range which is No. 32 in the country. These teams met early last season in Olean and the Bonnies gave Florida all it could as Mobley and Adams combined for 48 points in a seven-point loss and they no doubt have the memories of that and they have the confidence. 10* (739) St. Bonaventure Bonnies |
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03-15-18 | San Diego State +4 v. Houston | Top | 65-67 | Win | 100 | 26 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS for our CBB Thursday Ultimate Underdog. We won with Houston in the AAC Championship game as it lost to Cincinnati by a point. The Cougars have had an excellent season as they are 26-7 and while two of those losses came against Cincinnati and another one against Wichita St., the other four defeats were anything but good and all against non-NCAA Tournament teams. This is a team that could have been a sleeper, but the Cougars got a brutal draw with one of the hottest teams in the country and a potential game against Big Ten Champion Michigan. While we won with the Cougars in their last game, we lost with San Diego St. as the Aztecs won three games in three days against some excellent competition to win the Mountain West Conference Tournament. There was a turning point in the season back in early February when they lost against Nevada by 25 points but since then, they have not lost as they have reeled off nine straight wins. It is important to note that san Diego St. was without senior guard Trey Kell as he missed four games and the Aztecs went 1-3 and his return came right after that Nevada game, so they have not lost since his return. San Diego St. owns a win over Gonzaga which shows it can complete with anyone, as long as it wants to. San Diego St. is 8-2 ATS this season against teams allowing 42 percent or less shooting while going 7-0 ATS in its last seven games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (731) San Diego St. Aztecs |
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03-15-18 | Raptors -4 v. Pacers | Top | 106-99 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Toronto and Indiana are the two hottest teams in the Eastern Conference with the Raptors riding a nine-game winning streak while the Pacers have been victories in three straight games. Toronto has a 4.5-game lead over Boston in the Atlantic Division and it became the third team behind Houston and Golden St. to hit the 50-win mark. While the Raptors possess the best home record in the NBA, they are 10 games over .500 on the road and have covered six of their last seven games on the highway. Indiana has taken over first place in the Central Division which has put it in third place in the Eastern Conference. The Pacers have won six of their last seven games and while some of those victories have been solid, this has been a tough situation this season as they are 4-9 as home underdogs and the favorite has gone 28-7 in 35 home games. Two situations back the Raptors. First, we play against road favorites that are coming off a divisional win by 10 points or more playing their 3rd road game in five days. This situation is 25-3 ATS (89.3 percent) since 1996. Second, we play against underdogs with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 that are coming or more consecutive wins as a road underdog, playing a winning team. This situation is 36-13 ATS (73.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (701) Toronto Raptors |
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03-15-18 | Loyola-Chicago +1.5 v. Miami-FL | Top | 64-62 | Win | 100 | 21 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOYOLA-CHICAGO RAMBLERS for our CBB Thursday Enforcer. Strong guard play and defense are two important factors for teams to have success in the NCAA Tournament and the Ramblers possess both. Their backcourt features three guards averaging double-digits in scoring and while it may have been considered a down year in the Missouri Valley Conference, they rolled through with an 18-3 record. And it cannot be ignored Loyola-Chicago defeated the Gators in Florida and it so with a defense known as the Pack Line Defense, the same that is employed by the Virginia Cavaliers. Going back, the Ramblers are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games in the second half of the season against teams shooting 45 percent or better from the floor and they are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning straight up record. Miami obviously played a much tougher schedule because of the ACC and it closed the regular season with four straight wins before getting bounced by North Carolina in the ACC Tournament by 17 points. Because of the strong schedule, the Hurricanes possess an RPI of 27 which is very solid, but the Ramblers are right behind them at No. 28 and this is a big reason why the line is so low which is putting the public squarely on Miami. The Hurricanes are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning straight up record while going 0-6 in their last six games against teams allowing 42 percent shooting or less. 10* (735) Loyola-Chicago Ramblers |
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03-15-18 | Oklahoma v. Rhode Island -2 | Top | 78-83 | Win | 100 | 19 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the RHODE ISLAND RAMS for our CBB Thursday Afternoon Dominator. We get things going with the first tipoff on Thursday of the NCAA Tournament as we will be backing the Rhode Island Rams. They got off to a 21-3 start including a perfect 13-0 start in the Atlantic Ten and those three non-conference losses came against three other NCAA Tournament teams. Then, things took a turn as they closed the regular season going 2-3 including a bad loss at home against the Hawks by 30 points and then lost the A-10 Championship to Davidson, their second loss to the Wildcats in four games. This typically could be a stretch to fade but this team is too good to end its season right here. Rhode Island has a great backcourt than can neutralize Oklahoma. The Sooners took a lot of heat for getting into the tournament and rightfully so. After a 14-2 start, Oklahoma got waxed by Kansas St. by 18 points which led to a 4-10 finish and it got bounced by Oklahoma St. in the first round of the Big XII Tournament. Trae Young is a star and the Sooners are in the Big Dance because of him as the NCAA wants to showcase these players and not only that, they get the very first game of the day with all eyes watching. We play on favorites averaging between 74 and 78 ppg going up against teams allowing 78 or more ppg, after a loss by three points or less. This situation is 68-26 ATS (72.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (724) Rhode Island Rams |
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03-14-18 | Temple +9.5 v. Penn State | Top | 57-63 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEMPLE OWLS for our NIT Wednesday Ultimate Underdog. This is another play based on skewed seedings when comparing to the real RPI of the teams that are participating in the NIT. Only five teams have a higher RPI than Temple, which possess the No. 48 RPI thanks to playing the seventh toughest schedule in the nation and the toughest schedule within the American. The Owls have three wins over top 25 teams and have come close in others, so they come in with a solid body of work and now it all comes down to motivation. And with these two teams not fans of each other, there will be motivation for sure. Penn St. was a bubble team for the NCAA Tournament but in reality, it was not that close. The Nittany Lions ended up further from the bubble than expected as shown by a No. 4 seed here which is backed up by an RPI of No. 78, 30 spots lower than their opponent here yet are favored by double-digits in some spots. Penn St. had a very strong year but the Big Ten was a weak conference with only four teams getting into the Big Dance. The Nittany Lions will again be without the services of sophomore forward Mike Watkins, whose absence for the better part of the last six games has left a gaping hole in their post presence. The Owls are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning straight up record while going 9-1 ATS in its last 10 road games after scoring 80 points or more. 10* (617) Temple Owls |
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03-14-18 | Bucks v. Magic +8.5 | Top | 117-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. All this talk about tanking is laughable at times. Franchises can set teams up to not survive late in the season, but players are not tanking for their team to get better draft positions. They are playing for their own careers and contracts so backing teams or fading teams because of tanking is absurd. Orlando is coming off a 36-point loss in San Antonio last night to conclude a 0-5 roadtrip as the home team got the calls with the Magic going to the free throw line only nine times compared to 23 times for the Spurs. Orlando now heads home where it has played much better including wins in two straight games and while it is under .500, it is getting outscored by just 2.8 ppg. The Magic have covered five straight games playing with no rest while winning and covering both games this season when going from the road to home on back-to-back nights. Milwaukee has won two straight games to remain in seventh place in the Eastern Conference. But it is bunched as only four games separate third and eighth place. The Bucks are just 15-17 on the road and on the season, they are 0-4 ATS when laying eight or more points. Orlando meanwhile is 13-7 ATS as an underdog of eight or more points. With these teams having played here a month ago and Milwaukee being favored by five points, we are clearing seeing an overinflated line this time around which squarely puts the value on the Magic. 10* (602) Orlando Magic |
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03-14-18 | UL-Lafayette +4.5 v. LSU | Top | 76-84 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISIANA RAGIN' CAJUNS for our NIT Wednesday Enforcer. While many would think this would be a rivalry considering Louisiana and LSU are separated by just 55 miles, that is not the case, but the Cajuns have been trying to make it one. Playing LSU in the NIT, though, means not playing in the much-preferred NCAA Tournament, which 27-6 Sun Belt Conference regular season-champion Lafayette was denied from doing following a SBC semifinal-round loss to Texas-Arlington. Playing the Tigers softens the blow and despite being the class of their conference, the Cajuns are the lower seed. Additionally, they have a No. 62 RPI which is the 11th highest RPI in this tournament and on top of that, it is 28 spots higher than LSU. The Tigers finished tied for ninth in the SEC and while that conference is much stronger than the Sun Belt, this is a very questionable seeding. Based on that, they are the No. 9 - No. 12 team in this tournament, yet of the 32 teams participating, LSU has the 10th lowest RPI. These teams should be flipped so there is a ton of value on the Cajuns and based on the location of this game, their fans will travel as LSU fans are not going to come close to filling this place up. Louisiana is 7-0 ATS in its last seven road games coming off a loss to a conference rival as a favorite while the Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (615) Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns |
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03-13-18 | St Bonaventure +3.5 v. UCLA | Top | 65-58 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. BONAVENTURE BONNIES for our CBB Tuesday First Four Winner. St. Bonaventure snuck into the NCAA Tournament as one of the last four teams in, which came as a surprise as the thought was that the Bonnies were securely in, but a few upsets the final two days knocked them down some. The Bonnies have arguably a top-five backcourt in the country in Matt Mobley and Jaylen Adams. Their problem is injuries to Courtney Stockard and some of their frontcourt players in the Atlantic Ten Tournament hurt them against Davidson. Stockard 12.9 ppg, 6.4 rpg and 2.3 apg and his game really stepped up during their 13-game winning streak before losing to Davidson as he averaged over 15 ppg over that stretch. According to head coach Mark Schmidt on late Monday night, "Hopefully he'll be out there, and he'll be 100 percent." UCLA got in after sitting in the first four out group for most of the latter part of the season as a win over Stanford in the Pac 12 Tournament was apparently good enough. The Bruins finished No. 35 in the RPI which is respectable, but the Bonnies closed with a No. 23 RPI and that is a significant difference and UCLA defeated just two NCAA Tournament teams while St. Bonaventure had four such wins. The Bonnies are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning straight up record while the Bruins are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight up loss. 10* (545) St. Bonaventure Bonnies |
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03-13-18 | Vermont +6 v. Middle Tennessee | Top | 64-91 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the VERMONT CATAMOUNTS for our NIT Tuesday Enforcer. As is the case most years, the NIT is just as much about motivation as it is about talent as some teams that have to play two days after getting their NCAAS Tournament dreams smashed by being left out. Often times, we see teams decline a bid into the NIT, but Middle Tennessee St. accepted the invitation but the amount of effort it will produce is in question. The Blue Raiders lost in the C-USA Tournament but were thought to have a bid locked up into the Big Dance, but it was not invited. Players were crushed, and a picture went viral of senior Nick King sitting in the announcement room by himself an hour after learning the bad news. This team is exceptional, but it is rated only two points higher than Vermont which got upset in the America East Tournament by UMBC by three points. That was just its second conference loss, the other coming by one point and the Catamounts were solid in the non-conference so playing in a weak conference can be discounted. They lost at Kentucky by four points, Bucknell by four points, St. Bonaventure by two points while beating Northern Kentucky. They have had an extra day off and being a small school, they will be ready to keep playing. These two teams are not far apart in the RPI and the projected line is much lower than what we are getting. 10* (551) Vermont Catamounts |
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03-13-18 | Raptors v. Nets +9 | Top | 116-102 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS as part of our NBA Tuesday Trifecta. Toronto is playing some of the best basketball in the league as its current eight-game winning streak is the second longest in the NBA right now behind Portland and this includes a win over Houston, which snapped the Rockets 16-game winning streak. The Raptors struggled in the first meeting here in January as it took overtime to win and that was also part of a winning streak. The Nets lost to Philadelphia on Sunday to fall to 1-5 in their last six games with the other four losses coming on the road. Brooklyn has been surprisingly strong against top competition here as it is 7-0 ATS in its last seven home games against teams with a winning road record and overall, it is 9-1 ATS in 10 games this season when playing against teams with a winning percentage of .700 or better. These are part of their success when getting inflated lines as the Nets are 23-7 in their 30 games when receiving six or more points and they are catching a bucket more than that first meeting here against Toronto. They fall into a great situation where we play on teams coming off a home divisional loss going up against an opponent off a divisional win. This situation is 52-23 ATS (69.3 percent) over the last 5 seasons. 10* (526) Brooklyn Nets |
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03-13-18 | Mavs v. Knicks +2 | Top | 110-97 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS as part of our NBA Tuesday Trifecta. This line came out late due to the questionable status of Knicks Enes Kanter. It has been a rough stretch for the Knicks as they have lost seven straight games and are now 1-15 over their last 16 games. You can argue they are tanking but the schedule has been unfavorable as of those 16 games, 14 were against teams currently residing in a playoff spot and the two exceptions resulted in three-point losses. Eight of the Knicks last 12 games have come on the road and the four home games were against Toronto, Boston, Golden St. and Washington. Dallas has been struggling just as much as it has lost 18 of its last 24 games since mid-January including dropping 10 of 11 games on the road. The lone win came at Sacramento where the Kings managed just six free throw attempts. The Mavericks are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400 while the Knicks are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Additionally, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are revenging a loss against opponent off a divisional loss. This situation is 44-21 ATS (67.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (528) New York Knicks |
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03-13-18 | Pacers v. 76ers -5.5 | Top | 101-98 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS as part of our NBA Tuesday Trifecta. The Sixers are back home following a four-game roadtrip where they split while seven of their last eight games have been on the highway. This starts the stretch where seven of their last nine games are at home and they must take advantage where they have been successful this season. Philadelphia is just one of two teams in the Eastern Conference that has fewer than 10 losses on its home floor and going back to January 15th, the Sixers have won 11 straight home games. They are just two games out of third place in the Eastern Conference which is currently held by Indiana, making this a huge game. The Pacers are coming off a win at Boston on Sunday and have won three straight road games where they are .500 on the season. Philadelphia is 13-4 ATS as a home favorite of six points or less this season while going 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games after a double-digit win. The Sixers have covered nine of their last 10 home games following four or more road games and they falls into a successful situation where we play against teams coming off a road win by three points or less, playing their sixth or more game in 10 days. This situation is 96-56 ATS (63.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (524) Philadelphia 76ers |
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03-13-18 | Northern Kentucky +9 v. Louisville | Top | 58-66 | Win | 100 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTHERN KENTUCKY NORSE for our NIT Tuesday Underdog Shocker. Northern Kentucky won the Horizon League regular season championship but was ousted by lowly Cleveland St. in its first tournament game to lose a chance at the automatic bid into the NCAA Tournament. The good news is that the loss came nine days ago so there has been plenty of time to shake it off knowing they were heading to the NIT anyway. The Norse played well against some teams this season as it lost to Vermont and Memphis by two points each while losing at Texas A&M by only six points. While the Norse are in a good position, Louisville is not as it was disappointed for not making the NCAA Tournament as it was one of the first four teams out and he Cardinals are not accustomed to playing in the NIT, so motivation can be an issue. That is a big factor when looking at NIT games as some teams could care less while other will want to keep playing and prove more to themselves and others. The Cardinals struggled down the stretch, albeit against excellent competition but that loss against Virginia where they blew a four-point lead with a second remaining is still haunting them as it cost them an NCAA Tournament berth. The Norse are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 non-conference games while the Cardinals are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (547) Northern Kentucky Norse |
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03-12-18 | Kings +12.5 v. Thunder | Top | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. The Thunder defeated San Antonio on Saturday to make it two straight wins to move into sixth place in the Western Conference, but the inconsistencies of this team cannot be ignored. They have covered just two of their last nine games following a victory and their 20 conference losses are tied for the most of all current playoffs teams in the west. One of those losses came against the Kings and Sacramento has played them tough all season as it has covered the first three meetings. The Kings are coming off a loss last night in Denver and they have gone 4-2 ATS this season in the second of back-to-back road games playing with no rest. Additionally, they are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss. Oklahoma City is 9-20 ATS this season when favored by six or more points while going 8-23 ATS this season against teams that allow 46 percent shooting or higher. The Kings fall into a solid situation as we play on double-digit underdogs that are averaging between 98 and 102 ppg going up against teams allowing 102 ppg or more, after a loss by 10 points or more. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (503) Sacramento Kings |
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03-11-18 | Pacers v. Celtics -6.5 | Top | 99-97 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Sunday Supreme Annihilator. The Celtics concluded a 2-1 roadtrip with a victory over Minnesota on Thursday and they return home to improve upon their 23-11 record here. Boston remains two and a half games behind Toronto in the Eastern Conference, where the Raptors have won seven straight, and look to keep pace with the Raptors facing the lowly Knicks today. With the latest win over Minnesota, the Celtics are 18-9 ATS against teams with a winning record. Indiana went 2-1 on its recent homestand where it has been great all season, but the Pacers are a game under .500 on the road and they come into today having played the easiest schedule in the league. They have only seven wins against top ten teams and have failed to cover four of their last five games following a double-digit win. Indiana won the most recent meeting last month here in Boston and the Celtics are 13-2 ATS revenging a loss this season. Additionally, Boston falls into a solid situation where we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season that have a scoring differential between +3 to +7 ppg going up against a team with a scoring differential between +3 and -3, after scoring 105 points or more two straight games. This situation is 94-54 ATS (63.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (814) Boston Celtics |
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03-11-18 | Houston +4.5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 55-56 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our CBB AAC Championship Winner. Cincinnati may be the class of the AAC, but Houston is not far behind and it will be out to prove that today. It has not been a good tournament for the Bearcats as they barely beat a short-handed SMU team on Friday, and then needed a massive second-half comeback to defeat an inferior Memphis team on Saturday. They come in with the No. 7 RPI, but Houston is right there at No. 18 and it has proved it belongs. The Cougars have routinely been overlooked as serious competitors despite conference wins over Cincinnati and Wichita St. and victories over NCAA Tournament-bound teams Arkansas and Providence by double-digits. Few teams matchup as evenly with the Bearcats as Houston does. Devin Davis is a formidable interior presence who scored 16 points and grabbed 10 rebounds in the Cougars win over Cincinnati. While Rob Gray struggled with his shooting in that game, he is hot at the right time by scoring 30 or more points in three of his last six games, averaging 24.7 ppg over this stretch. The Cougars are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games against teams with a winning straight up record while the Bearcats are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (827) Houston Cougars |
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03-10-18 | Magic +11.5 v. Clippers | Top | 105-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. The Magic are coming off a loss last night in Sacramento which was their third straight loss to start this five-game roadtrip. They are catching a huge number tonight and this is the most points they have seen since covering 13 points in Houston back on January 30 and this includes road games at Oklahoma City and Utah which are both higher ranked than the Clippers. While the losses have been mounting, Orlando has been competitive as seven of their last 10 losses have come by seven points or less. The Magic are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games following a loss while going a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last four games playing with no rest. The Clippers are coming off a win over Cleveland last night which puts them in a prime letdown spot tonight. It was a taxing victory as all five starters played at least 32 minutes, three went over 37 minutes, so this back-to-back should be a difficult one. They are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games when their starting five combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day\ and they fall into a negative situation where we play against favorites of 10 or more points after a home game where both teams scored 100 or more points, playing on back-to-back days. This situation is 28-6 ATS (82.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (509) Orlando Magic |
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03-10-18 | Providence +13.5 v. Villanova | Top | 66-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the PROVIDENCE FRIARS for our Big East Conference Championship Winner. Providence has advanced to the Big East Championship after a pair of overtime wins as an underdog and while many will be fading the Friars because of that, the momentum will continue tonight. While those wins were upsets, the Friars are ranked No. 34 in the RPI and were an NCAA Tournament team before this tournament began so they fact they are here should come as no surprise. This is an under the radar team that is not getting the credit it deserves as all five starters from the 20-win season from a year ago are back and they are the most experienced team in the conference. While Villanova is the best team in the conference, it has been vulnerable at times and that includes a loss in Providence a month ago. The Wildcats are guaranteed a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament so there is no need to show any sort of domination tonight and they are actually laying more points here than in their first two games against teams ranked lower than Providence in the RPI. 10* (535) Providence Friars |
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03-10-18 | West Virginia +1 v. Kansas | Top | 70-81 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS for our Big XII Conference Championship Winner. Kansas has rolled through its first two games of the tournament but tonight will be a challenge. The Jayhawks are without center Udoka Azubuike and that did not hurt them in the first two games based on the matchups, but his absence will be felt here. He combined for 31 points and 14 rebounds in the first two meetings this season against West Virginia and it is the defense that will be mostly missed. Kansas St. got a 29-point performance from center Makol Mawien yesterday which puts the strong Mountaineer frontcourt in a great spot today. West Virginia had opportunities in those first two meetings as it coughed up an 11-point lead in the final 13 minutes in the first game and then the Mountaineers squandered a 12-point lead with just over 10 minutes left in the second game where they were outscored 35-2 at the free throw line. While revenge is in play, the Mountaineers will be motivated to capture their first ever Big XII Championship especially after losing in the final game the last two seasons. 10* (531) West Virginia Mountaineers |
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03-10-18 | San Diego State v. New Mexico +4 | Top | 82-75 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW MEXICO LOBOS for our Mountain West Conference Championship Winner. We were involved with both of these teams yesterday, winning with the Lobos and losing with the Aztecs and the two hottest teams square off for a trip to the NCAA Tournament. As expected, the New Mexico pace was too much for Utah St. and we will go with that same philosophy tonight as it is more equipped this time of season to outrun the opponent. The Lobos have won seven straight games with the offense scoring 83 or more points in each of the last six games. San Diego St. pulled off the upset last night as Nevada was never in the game, allowing 55 points in the first half and unable to mount any sort of comeback. The Aztecs have now won eight straight games and starting to look like the team of years past, but they are not as strong defensively which will prove to be the difference here. New Mexico nailed 13 three-pointers in the first meeting against San Diego St. and after hitting just 14 combined in the first two games of this tournament, we expect them to heat back up from long range. 10* (534) New Mexico Lobos |
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03-09-18 | Utah State v. New Mexico -3 | Top | 68-83 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW MEXICO LOBOS for our CBB Friday Late Night Crusher. New Mexico won its sixth straight game last night as it defeated Wyoming by 10 points. The victory not only gives New Mexico its highest win total in four years, but it snapped a three-year losing streak in the tournament. The Lobos ran past the Cowboys last night and they will go at a high pace tonight. Their best probability of success when the season started was to run a style that increased their durability and made them stronger at the end of the year when other teams were starting to break down and get fatigued. That was the case last night and will be the case again tonight against Utah St. which is playing its third game in three days. The Aggies upset Boise St. on Thursday as eight-point underdogs and the line is taking that into consideration. Utah St. is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games after two or more straight covers while going 0-7 ATS in its last seven games after shooting 50 percent or better from long range. New Mexico is 8-0 ATS this season after allowing 75 or more points in two straight games and we play against underdogs coming off a conference win as an underdog of six points or more going up against an opponent after scoring 80 points or more in a conference win. This situation is 29-10 ATS (74.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (876) New Mexico Lobos |
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03-09-18 | San Diego State v. Nevada -2.5 | Top | 90-73 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEVADA WOLF PACK for our CBB Friday Late Supreme Annihilator. San Diego St. is the hottest team in the conference with seven consecutive wins following a win over Fresno St. yesterday in the quarters. The Aztecs caught fire at the end of the season after a sluggish start in the conference and their run is keeping this line down. We played on them last Saturday where they defeated Nevada in their final home game of the season which was also a revenge game from a 25-point loss in Reno earlier in the season. San Diego St. is still just 7-8 away from home this season and comes in with a No. 91 RPI which is weak considering the streak it is on. Nevada had a tougher than expected time with UNLV yesterday but that is a huge rivalry, so the Wolf Pack got the best from the Rebels. Nevada is up to 27 wins and sits No. 14 in the RPI so it is assured of an NCAA Tournament berth but there are bigger stakes as it looks for a second straight Mountain West Conference Tournament Championship. The Wolf Pack were forced to lay some big spreads this season based on how good they are, but they were nearly unbeatable as lower favorites as they are 8-1 ATS this season when laying seven points or less. While the Aztecs run is solid, Nevada will show why it is clearly the best team in the conference. 10* (874) Nevada Wolf Pack |
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03-09-18 | Wizards -3 v. Pelicans | Top | 116-97 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. New Orleans has reeled off 10 straight wins which has tied a franchise record but that will come to an end tonight. The Pelicans have gotten into the playoff race where they currently are in fourth place in the Western Conference, but they are now without Anthony Davis for at least one game who hurt his ankle in their last game against the Kings. Seven of the wins during this streak have come against teams not in playoff positions, one came against the short-handed Spurs and the other two came in overtime. The Pelicans have covered just nine of their last 13 home games. Washington is holding its own without John Wall and it is coming off a win against Miami two nights ago which snapped a three-game losing streak against Indiana, Toronto and Golden St. The Wizards have a winning record on the road and they are 11-3 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. They fall into a solid situation where we play against home underdogs after successfully covering the spread in two or more consecutive games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 66-33 ATS (66.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (811) Washington Wizards |
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03-09-18 | Western Kentucky v. Old Dominion +1 | Top | 57-49 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the OLD DOMINION MONARCHS for our CBB Friday Enforcer. We won with Western Kentucky last night as it rolled over UAB, but things will be tougher today against a much better opponent that is seeking some big-time revenge. The Hilltoppers got their own revenge last night as they clobbered the Blazers by 28 points after losing their season finale by 28 points in Birmingham. As mentioned yesterday, Western Kentucky has a very explosive offense that shoots over 50 percent from the floor, but it has a test today going up against the best defense in the conference and one that plans on locking down. Old Dominion snuck by Louisiana Tech yesterday and the No. 2 seed has a cleaner path into the NCAA Tournament with Middle Tennessee St. losing on Thursday. The Monarchs are out for double revenge as they lost both meetings this season including the most recent toward the end of last month at Western Kentucky by 22 points. Those two losses were part of just three conference defeats this season which also snapped a six-game winning streak in this series. Old Dominion was tied with the Blue Raiders for the most wins away from home with 13 and it keeps the momentum going today into the championship game. 10* (856) Old Dominion Monarchs |
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03-09-18 | George Mason v. St. Joe's -6 | Top | 49-68 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. JOSEPH'S HAWKS for our CBB Friday Early Supreme Annihilator. St. Joseph's was able to snag the No. 4 seed in the Atlantic Ten Tournament thanks to wins in three straight and six of its last seven games. It was a rough start for the Hawks in conference play, but it was one that could have been so much better as a 4-7 start included five losses by three points or less and overall, six of their conference losses came by three points or fewer. Two of those came against George Mason by a combined five points so St. Joseph's will not only be playing to advance but playing with double revenge. The Patriots survived a bad Massachusetts team yesterday as they won by five points and while they were favored by just a point and a half, that shows how bad this team is. George Mason is one of five teams with an RPI of 200 or worse so its 10-9 record is deceiving. Over half of those nine conference losses came by 12 points or more and were by an average of 17.6 ppg so the Patriots are capable of big duds. The Hawks are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games away from home coming off a home win while George Mason is 1-9 ATS this season against non-loosing teams. Look for St. Joseph's to get its revenge in a big way today. 10* (832) St. Joseph's Hawks |
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03-09-18 | Memphis v. Tulsa -3 | Top | 67-64 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE for our CBB Friday Afternoon Dominator. We have been high on Tulsa quite a bit this season and we will be backing the Golden Hurricane as this is also a big fade of Memphis. Amid the speculations of head coach Tubby Smith being let go, it was unclear how the Tigers would play yesterday, and it was not good. They shot lights out but there was no effort on defense as they allowed South Florida to shoot 49.1 percent from the floor and that is a Bulls team that is shooting 41.6 percent on the season, No. 319 out of 351 Division I teams. Memphis has been without leading scorer Jeremiah Martin for four games and while it has managed well with a 3-1 record, all four games were against teams that will not be sniffing any postseason tournament. The Tigers lost the last meeting against Tulsa 64-51and going back, it is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points. Tulsa had yesterday off, and it is guaranteed to compete after the AAC Tournament and while winning it may be a stretch, a run is possible. The Golden Hurricane have won eight of their last nine games to climb out of a tie for seventh place into fourth place and they are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games off a double-digit home win. 10* (824) Tulsa Golden Hurricane |
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03-08-18 | UAB v. Western Kentucky -4.5 | Top | 70-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the WESTERN KENTUCKY HILLTOPPERS for our CBB Thursday Enforcer. This is another case of a quick turnaround revenge game as Western Kentucky lost its season finale against UAB by 28 points to end the season on a two-game losing streak. The Hilltoppers went into the final weekend with a chance to win the regular season championship but they lost at Middle Tennessee St. by 18 points which ended the chances and because they had third place locked up, there was no effort going into that UAB game. They had won six straight games prior to that so while momentum was lost, Western Kentucky knows it has team to win this championship. UAB survived Florida Atlantic last night as the Blazers shot 55 percent from the floor but will be presented with a much bigger test defensively. That was their first neutral court win in four tries and going back, UAB is 0-6 ATS in its last six neutral court games as an underdog. The Hilltoppers bring in an explosive offense as they are shooting over 50 percent on the season as they are one of 11 teams in the country that is shooting over 50 percent from the floor and they are tied alongside Arizona and Villanova for most games shooting 55 percent or better this season with 10. Western Kentucky is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 games away from home revenging a double-digit road loss. 10* (748) Western Kentucky Hilltoppers |
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03-08-18 | Celtics v. Wolves +2.5 | Top | 117-109 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Thursday Star Attraction. The Timberwolves head home following a pair of road losses to end their three-game roadtrip and have fallen into a tie for fifth place in the Western Conference. Minnesota is 25-7 at home including a 15-1 run since December 18th with that lone defeat coming against Houston, the hottest team in the league. The home dominance is part of the home/road splits for the Timberwolves as the venue has played a huge role in their games since the start of the new year as the home team is 26-3 in their 29 games. The Timberwolves are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games while going 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a winning road record. Boston is 1-1 on this current three-game roadtrip, winning at Chicago on Monday after a loss at Houston on Saturday. The Celtics are expected to get Kyrie Irving back tonight after he missed the Bulls game and while they are 5-1 in their last six games, none of the wins have come against a team that will be in the playoffs. Boston is just 11-10 in its last 21 games with only three wins against playoff contenders and it falls into a negative situation where we play against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 where the line is +3 to -3 after successfully covering the spread in three or more consecutive games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 40-14 ATS (74.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (656) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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03-08-18 | LSU v. Mississippi State -1.5 | Top | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 25 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS for our CBB Thursday SEC Crusher. This is a quick turnaround revenge game for Mississippi St. which lost at LSU on Saturday by 21 points which put a big hit on its NCAA Tournament consideration. Despite possessing 21 wins, the Bulldogs are on the outside looking in based on their soft non-conference schedule, but they do have solid conference wins over Arkansas, Missouri, Alabama and Texas A&M and a decent run in this tournament could put them back in consideration. Winning away from home has been an issue but one look at the schedule shows it has been a tough slate in the SEC with the only bad loss coming at LSU, making the revenge angle that much stronger. The Tigers have no chance for the NCAA Tournament unless they win the SEC Tournament and they have also struggled away from home with four wins and have lost seven straight away from their home floor. The Bulldogs fall into a phenomenal contrarian situation where we play on teams in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams averaging between 74 and 78 ppg, after scoring 60 points or less two straight games. This situation is 36-9 ATS (80 percent) since 1997. Additionally, LSU is 9-22 ATS in its last 31 games coming off a conference win while Mississippi St. is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games coming off a double-digit road loss. 10* (714) Mississippi St. Bulldogs |
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03-08-18 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas -4.5 | Top | 68-82 | Win | 100 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS JAYHAWKS for our CBB Thursday Supreme Annihilator. Oklahoma St. killed us last night as it likely played its way into the NCAA Tournament with the win over Oklahoma. The cowboys have a quick turnaround as they go from a night game to an afternoon game against a well-rested Kansas team that will be out for some payback. Oklahoma St. is the only team to ever sweep a Bill Self coached Kansas team with the most recent coming in Stillwater by 18 points in the regular season finale. That makes this a quick turnaround revenge spot for Kansas with that recent loss still fresh in its memory. There is a lot at stake for the Jayhawks as well as they are projected as a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament but a loss in the quarters could send them down to a No. 2 seed depending on what happens in the ACC Tournament. They will be without center Udoka Azubuike who suffered a knee injury in that last game against the Cowboys and while his loss will be felt, Oklahoma St. does not have the size to take advantage. We had this line pegged at seven points and Azubuike is not worth a huge swing. The Jayhawks fall into a great situation where we play on neutral court teams that are revenging a straight up loss as a favorite going up against that opponent which is coming off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog. This situation is 43-19 ATS (69.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (704) Kansas Jayhawks |
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03-08-18 | SMU v. Connecticut +2 | Top | 80-73 | Loss | -106 | 18 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the CONNECTICUT HUSKIES for our CBB Thursday False Favorite. If anyone has watched SMU over the last five weeks, it can be argued that the Mustangs have tossed in the towel for the season. They are coming off a loss at South Florida last week which was just the third conference win of the season. SMU has been a disaster since leading scorer Shake Milton went down with a hand injury as it has gone 1-8 with the only victory coming against 4-14 East Carolina which happens to possess the lowest RPI in the conference. After going to the postseason three of the past four seasons, there will be no postseason for the Mustangs this year, so motivation is lacking. Connecticut has had a rough season as well, but this was expected, and it has the psychological edge here. The Huskies finished 7-11 in the AAC but only one of those was a bad loss as 10 of those defeats came against teams that finished .500 or better while the exception was a defeat against 8-10 Temple. Connecticut comes in with the better RPI than SMU and will have the fan support as Huskies fans travel well. They are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 neutral court games as underdogs of three points or less while SMU is 3-10 ATS in its 13 games this season as a favorite of 10 or fewer points. Wrong team is favored here. 10* (670) Connecticut Huskies |
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03-08-18 | Dayton v. VCU -2 | Top | 72-77 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the VCU RAMS for our CBB Thursday Afternoon Dominator. We won with Dayton on Saturday as it was playing its final home game of the season which was a big reason in backing the Flyers. A big reason to fade them here is that they have two wins this season away from home, one at Richmond and one on a neutral court against Ohio. This will be the first time in five years and the second time in 11 years that Dayton will not be going to a postseason tournament while snapping a streak of four straight appearances in the NCAA Tournament. Winning the Atlantic Ten Tournament will change that but that will not be happening. VCU had a better season but it was still a disappointment as the Rams finished 9-9 in the conference and 17-14 overall. They were supposed to contend with Rhode Island for the championship but instead finished in a four-way tie for fifth place as they lost incoming transfer Marcus Evans, who averaged 19.1 ppg at Rice in his last season, before the season even started because of eligibility. VCU did suffer some tough losses as it lost two games by one point, another in overtime and two others by four and five points. The Rams are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games coming off a road win by 20 or more points while the Flyers are 0-11 ATS this season coming off a home win. 10* (678) VCU Rams |
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03-07-18 | Oregon State v. Washington +2 | Top | 69-66 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON HUSKIES for our CBB Wednesday Pac 12 Crusher. It has been an incredible turnaround for Washington as after going 9-22 including just two conference wins last season, the Huskies have won 20 games including a 10-8 record in the Pac 12. They were looking at a spot in the NCAA Tournament but are now on the outside looking in following five losses over their last eight games. Because the Pac 12 is weak, Washington can make a run as it owns wins over three of the four teams that are projected to make it into the Big Dance, UCLA being the lone exception. The Huskies were tied for fourth in the conference in road wins and catch a good first round matchup here. Oregon St. closed the season with a 25-point win at Washington St. after starting the season 0-9 on the road. The Beavers were right behind Washington in terms of turnaround wins from last season as they have 10 more games in the win column. A lot of that had to do with the schedule as Oregon St. played the No. 315 non-conference schedule in the country but still had bad losses along the way. The Huskies closed the season by going 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven games following a loss while Oregon St. is 2-7 ATS in its last nine games following a win. 10* (602) Washington Huskies |
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03-07-18 | Rockets v. Bucks +6 | Top | 110-99 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. We won with Milwaukee in its last home game on Sunday as it defeated Philadelphia as a home underdog and it is back home as an even bigger underdog. The Bucks improved to 20-13 at home and after suffering a loss at Indiana the next night, they remain in seventh place in the Eastern Conference but are still just 3.5 games out of the No. 3 spot. They have played up and down to the competition this season which is both good and bad as it shows inconsistency, but they have 10 wins against top ten teams, one of just seven teams in the entire league possessing double-digit wins against such teams. The Bucks are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Houston has won 16 straight games which is the main reason for the size of this line and of those 16 wins, nine have come as a road favorite while covering eight of those. This is a different scenario however as the Rockets are coming off a win last night in Oklahoma City in the much-hyped game and are going to Toronto on Friday to face the best team in the Eastern Conference. This puts the Rockets in a tough spot and they fall into a negative situation where we play against road favorites with a winning percentage of .750 or better after having covered four of their last five games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 71-37 ATS (65.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (566) Milwaukee Bucks |
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03-07-18 | Vanderbilt v. Georgia -2 | Top | 62-78 | Win | 100 | 28 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the GEORGIA BULLDOGS for our CBB Wednesday Enforcer. The SEC had a terrific season as it is one of three conferences projected to get eight teams into the NCAA Tournament but one of those is not Georgia. It was a disappointing season for the Bulldogs which were expecting bigger things as they brought four starters back including Preseason Player of the Year Yante Maten, but they underachieved within the conference after a 9-2 start. Maten did his part but did not have much help but he is the type of player than can carry a team in tournament play. While Georgia had a few bad losses, five of its 11 conference losses were by five points or less, so it was close to flipping its record. Vanderbilt had a tough season as well as it finished one game worse than the Bulldogs in the SEC, but this was expected as the Commodores were picked to finish No. 11 then in January, they lost Matthew Fisher-Davis for the season with a shoulder injury. Vanderbilt played well at home but won only one game on the road which came at Mississippi in the final game of the season. Do not plan on any momentum to move forward from that win however as Georgia is better equipped to make a run and will be out to avenge a 15-point loss at Vanderbilt a month ago. 10* (622) Georgia Bulldogs |
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03-07-18 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State | Top | 60-71 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our CBB Wednesday Big XII Crusher. Oklahoma is hanging onto its NCAA Tournament berth by a thread and a first round loss could knock the Sooners out, so they need to get by their hated rival and find their early season success. They had a must win in their season finale against Iowa St. and came through with an easy win and while the Cyclones are not a very good team, the confidence was needed after a poor end to the season. Despite sitting on the bubble, Oklahoma still possesses a No. 38 RPI which is very strong compared to a No. 87 RPI for the Cowboys which have moved up into the Last Four Out category thanks to a win over Kansas which gave them the season sweep over the Jayhawks, the first time a team has ever done that to Kansas under Bill Self. Oklahoma St. finished tied with Oklahoma, Baylor and Texas at 8-10 in the Big XII, but is the lowest ranked team of the bunch. These two teams split the season series with Oklahoma winning the first meeting by 20 points and the Cowboys winning the second meeting but needed overtime to secure the two-point win. Here, we play on neutral court teams revenging a straight up loss as a favorite going up against an opponent off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog. This situation is 43-17 ATS (71.07 percent) since 1997. 10* (625) Oklahoma Sooners |
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03-07-18 | Notre Dame -2.5 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 71-65 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH for our CBB Wednesday Star Attraction. Notre Dame entered the season with a special team and one that could have gone down as one of the best in recent program history, but injuries derailed the Irish early and now they need a run. They received a scare yesterday against Pittsburgh, which did not win a single conference game this season, and that served as a wakeup call. As of today, the ACC is expected to get eight teams into the NCAA Tournament and Notre Dame is not in that group because of a 0-7 stretch where Bonzie Colson was out and Matt Farrell missed six of those games. Both are back and healthy and the Irish know what must happen. With Virginia Tech beating Virginia, Clemson and Duke over the last four weeks, the Hokies are safely in the field of 68 so there is not as much urgency on their side. They defeated Notre Dame in the lone meeting this season in South Bend but neither Colson nor Farrell played in that game, so this is a completely different team that Virginia Tech will face. The Irish could not make a shot in the second half yesterday and because of the narrow victory, the public is riding the Hokies, yet the spread is shifting the other way and the reverse line move is something to take into consideration here. 10* (579) Notre Dame Fighting Irish |