11-28-14 |
Arizona State +2.5 v. Arizona |
|
35-42 |
Loss |
-110 |
43 h 13 m |
Show
|
|
11-28-14 |
Nebraska v. Iowa |
|
37-34 |
Loss |
-106 |
63 h 0 m |
Show
|
|
11-27-14 |
TCU -6.5 v. Texas |
|
48-10 |
Win
|
100 |
47 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
11-22-14 |
Oklahoma State v. Baylor -28.5 |
|
28-49 |
Loss |
-109 |
45 h 17 m |
Show
|
|
11-22-14 |
Missouri +3.5 v. Tennessee |
Top |
29-21 |
Win
|
100 |
45 h 12 m |
Show
|
|
11-22-14 |
Texas Tech v. Iowa State -1 |
|
34-31 |
Loss |
-105 |
41 h 50 m |
Show
|
|
11-22-14 |
Wisconsin v. Iowa +10.5 |
|
26-24 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 60 m |
Show
|
|
11-22-14 |
Washington State v. Arizona State -15 |
|
31-52 |
Win
|
100 |
38 h 23 m |
Show
|
|
11-22-14 |
Minnesota +10.5 v. Nebraska |
|
28-24 |
Win
|
100 |
37 h 27 m |
Show
|
|
11-20-14 |
North Carolina v. Duke -6 |
|
45-20 |
Loss |
-106 |
45 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
11-15-14 |
LSU +2.5 v. Arkansas |
|
0-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
70 h 9 m |
Show
|
|
11-15-14 |
Florida State -1.5 v. Miami (Fla) |
|
30-26 |
Win
|
100 |
70 h 56 m |
Show
|
|
11-15-14 |
Missouri +4.5 v. Texas A&M |
|
34-27 |
Win
|
100 |
70 h 58 m |
Show
|
|
11-15-14 |
Auburn +2.5 v. Georgia |
|
7-34 |
Loss |
-106 |
70 h 49 m |
Show
|
|
11-15-14 |
Utah +7.5 v. Stanford |
|
20-17 |
Win
|
100 |
92 h 31 m |
Show
|
|
11-15-14 |
Mississippi State +8.5 v. Alabama |
|
20-25 |
Win
|
100 |
89 h 10 m |
Show
|
|
11-15-14 |
Washington v. Arizona -9 |
|
26-27 |
Loss |
-103 |
65 h 21 m |
Show
|
|
11-15-14 |
South Carolina v. Florida -6.5 |
|
23-20 |
Loss |
-102 |
86 h 28 m |
Show
|
|
11-15-14 |
Iowa -3 v. Illinois |
|
30-14 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 28 m |
Show
|
|
11-15-14 |
Virginia Tech v. Duke -4.5 |
Top |
17-16 |
Loss |
-110 |
86 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
11-15-14 |
Nebraska +6.5 v. Wisconsin |
Top |
24-59 |
Loss |
-110 |
86 h 45 m |
Show
|
|
11-08-14 |
Ohio State v. Michigan State -3.5 |
|
49-37 |
Loss |
-102 |
9 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
11-08-14 |
Alabama v. LSU +7 |
|
20-13 |
Push |
0 |
9 h 23 m |
Show
|
|
11-08-14 |
Kansas State +6.5 v. TCU |
|
20-41 |
Loss |
-115 |
70 h 25 m |
Show
|
|
11-08-14 |
Notre Dame v. Arizona State -2.5 |
|
31-55 |
Win
|
100 |
66 h 33 m |
Show
|
|
11-08-14 |
Duke -3 v. Syracuse |
Top |
27-10 |
Win
|
100 |
87 h 6 m |
Show
|
|
11-08-14 |
Baylor +6 v. Oklahoma |
|
48-14 |
Win
|
100 |
87 h 49 m |
Show
|
|
11-01-14 |
Utah v. Arizona State -6 |
|
16-19 |
Loss |
-110 |
73 h 37 m |
Show
|
|
11-01-14 |
Arizona +7 v. UCLA |
|
7-17 |
Loss |
-120 |
72 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
11-01-14 |
Oklahoma State v. Kansas State -14 |
|
14-48 |
Win
|
100 |
70 h 51 m |
Show
|
|
11-01-14 |
Arkansas v. Mississippi State -10 |
|
10-17 |
Loss |
-115 |
69 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
11-01-14 |
USC -6.5 v. Washington State |
|
44-17 |
Win
|
100 |
67 h 49 m |
Show
|
|
11-01-14 |
Kentucky v. Missouri -6.5 |
|
10-20 |
Win
|
100 |
66 h 27 m |
Show
|
|
11-01-14 |
Virginia v. Georgia Tech -3.5 |
|
10-35 |
Win
|
100 |
66 h 8 m |
Show
|
|
11-01-14 |
TCU -5.5 v. West Virginia |
|
31-30 |
Loss |
-110 |
66 h 0 m |
Show
|
|
11-01-14 |
Duke +4.5 v. Pittsburgh |
|
51-48 |
Win
|
100 |
90 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
11-01-14 |
Northwestern v. Iowa -4 |
|
7-48 |
Win
|
100 |
89 h 26 m |
Show
|
|
10-30-14 |
Florida State -3.5 v. Louisville |
|
42-31 |
Win
|
100 |
49 h 9 m |
Show
|
|
10-25-14 |
Arizona State -3.5 v. Washington |
Top |
24-10 |
Win
|
100 |
72 h 38 m |
Show
|
5* Top Play! Arizona State has been one of the biggest surprises of the season, especially considering star QB Taylor Kelly was injured a month ago. He'll be back on the field this week, though, to help the Sun Devils continue on their quest towards a PAC-12 title. The Sun Devils have flat out dominated this series, going 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games at Washington and showing a 9-1-1 record ATS in their last 11 meetings overall. With Kelly back in the fold, and the recent struggles of the Huskies, I have ASU by double digits on the road this weekend!
|
10-25-14 |
Ohio State -13.5 v. Penn State |
|
31-24 |
Loss |
-115 |
69 h 2 m |
Show
|
After a strong non-conference start, the Nittany Lions have been terrible in Big Ten play. Just 1-2, with a shaky 3 point home win over Rutgers, the Lions were outscored by an average of 14 ppg against Northwestern and Michigan. Neither of them are Ohio State and the Buckeyes seem to just be hitting their stride. Since their only loss to Virginia Tech, the Bucks have rolled off four straight wins, scoring over 50 pts in each contest and winning by an average of nearly 40 ppg! The Buckeyes are 35-15-1 ATS in their last 51 road games and they've beat the spread in 4 of their last 5 games against Penn State, winning by an average of 25 ppg.
|
10-25-14 |
Alabama -17 v. Tennessee |
|
34-20 |
Loss |
-110 |
69 h 44 m |
Show
|
Alabama woke up last week with a huge game against Arkansas. This week, they face off against an even worse team in Tennessee. The Vols are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 conference games and only 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Tide are on a 6 game win streak ATS in their last 6 series meetings in Knoxville. Bama has won their last 7 games SU against the Vols by an average of 25 ppg. That has been strong enough to cover 6 of the 7 games and we'll watch both of those streaks continue Saturday night for Saban's crew.
|
10-25-14 |
Ole Miss -3.5 v. LSU |
|
7-10 |
Loss |
-100 |
69 h 49 m |
Show
|
The Rebels have won 9 straight meetings ATS in Baton Rouge! Overall, in the series, the Rebels are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 meetings with LSU. The Rebels are now 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games and 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 games overall. Mississippi's defense is outstanding and they will shut down the Tiger's rushing attack and force LSU out of the comfort zone and into passing the ball. QB Anthony Jennings does not have what it takes to beat this Rebel defense through the air, even in Death Valley at night.
|
10-25-14 |
Arizona -2.5 v. Washington State |
Top |
59-37 |
Win
|
100 |
68 h 17 m |
Show
|
5* Top Play! Even without RB Nick Wilson, the Wildcats proved they can still move the ball as they did enough to beat the Trojans a week ago. The Cougars defense is absolutely dreadful, giving up 35 ppg and 44 ppg in conference play. Arizona's passing attack will march up and down the field all night long. The Cats win this by double digits and add to their 5-1 record over the last 6 years vs. Washington State.
|
10-25-14 |
Mississippi State -13.5 v. Kentucky |
|
45-31 |
Win
|
100 |
67 h 31 m |
Show
|
Mississippi State comes in fresh, after getting a well deserved week of last Saturday. The Bulldogs are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall and currently own a perfect 7-0 record ATS in conference play dating back to last season. Also, the Bulldogs have covered 4 straight contests at Kentucky and the road team is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings. The Wildcats are just 5-15 ATS in their last 20 SEC games and they won't improve upon that as they play the conference's elite team of the year.
|
10-25-14 |
Michigan v. Michigan State -17 |
|
11-35 |
Win
|
100 |
66 h 26 m |
Show
|
Michigan State has covered the number in each of the last 6 games in this intra-state rivalry. The Spartans are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games overall while the Wolverines are just 10-23-1 ATS in their last 34 road games. The Spartans would love nothing more than to kick the Wolverines while they're down, and they're most definitely down. Spartans win by 20+.
|
10-25-14 |
Minnesota -6.5 v. Illinois |
|
24-28 |
Loss |
-106 |
86 h 23 m |
Show
|
In this series, the road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings and Minnesota has actually won 4 straight ATS in Champaign. The Golden Gophers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 Big Ten games while the Fighting Illini are just 5-15 ATS in their last 20 conference games. The Illini are also only 8-20 ATS in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and the Gophers are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Minnesota comes in off a bye and currently leads the Big Ten West. No way they fall to the inferior Illini Saturday afternoon.
|
10-25-14 |
Texas v. Kansas State -9.5 |
|
0-23 |
Win
|
100 |
86 h 18 m |
Show
|
Against Texas, the Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and they're 6-1 ATS in the last 7 overall vs. the Longhorns. The Wildcats are 36-16-1 ATS in their last 53 conference games and 37-16 ATS in their last 53 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. They have been consistently beating the number and that continues this week. Texas has only played halfway decent once this year, in their game of the year against the Sooners where they still lost by a TD. K-State, especially at home, will have more offense than Texas can handle and they win by at least 2 TD's!
|
10-18-14 |
Notre Dame +12 v. Florida State |
|
27-31 |
Win
|
100 |
70 h 57 m |
Show
|
No way this line should be near this large as Florida State is not nearly the team they were last year. The Seminoles are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as the public has continually backed the them and allowed lines to be over inflated. The fact that Notre Dame flat out didn't show up against North Carolina only helps us this week. The Irish have one of the best defenses in the country but they allowed UNC to put 43 on the board, at home, last week. They were not at all focused and were very lucky to walk away with a win. They will be ready to go this week and will be back to making things difficult for the Noles. I see a game in the mid twenties and most definitely a one-score decision.
|
10-18-14 |
Iowa State +13 v. Texas |
|
45-48 |
Win
|
100 |
70 h 38 m |
Show
|
Texas played Oklahoma very tough last week, but still lost. Can they recover and get spirits back up to play lowly Iowa State. Past history says no. The Longhorns are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a losing record and they're only 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a win ATS. The Cyclones, on the other hand, are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and they come into this series with an edge as the road team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings of the UT/ISU series. Iowa State's defense will give them plenty of chances, but Texas' offense hasn't proven to me that they can blow anyone out. The Cyclones have enough offensive playmakers to put points on the board against a mediocre Texas defense. While they don't win many SU, Iowa State typically is just pesky enough to make it interesting and cover. Texas wins by a TD.
|
10-18-14 |
Missouri +6 v. Florida |
|
42-13 |
Win
|
100 |
69 h 8 m |
Show
|
Missouri was downright awful last week, but Florida has been stagnant and defeated for a few years now. The Tigers will bounce back in a strong way and I think they have a very good shot to win this game outright and keep hopes alive for winning the SEC East. The Tigers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs. a team with a winning record. The Gators are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 against a team with a winning record. Laying 6 points is far too many for a Florida team that is averaging just 24 ppg in SEC action.
|
10-18-14 |
Tennessee v. Ole Miss -16.5 |
|
3-34 |
Win
|
100 |
69 h 50 m |
Show
|
A bit of a let down spot for the Rebels coming in off of 2 straight huge games, but they know they still have a long way to go to get to their end goal and I think they'll still be playing at a very high level, especially with the motivation and support as they get back in front of their home crowd. The Rebels are 3-0-1 ATS in their 4 home games this season and the Vols are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Tennessee is also only 7-18-1 overall ATS against a team with a winning record and they've lost 4 of their last 5 games ATS against Ole Miss.
|
10-18-14 |
Georgia Tech -2 v. North Carolina |
|
43-48 |
Loss |
-105 |
69 h 40 m |
Show
|
North Carolina has absolutely no defense. Thanks to turnovers and Notre Dame looking ahead to Florida State, the Tar Heels were in it right til the end last week, but you won't see that happen against a disciplined Georgia Tech team this week. Tech suffered their first loss of the season last week and they'll be desperate to bounce back and keep their ACC title chances alive. This season, Georgia Tech is a 2-0 ATS on the road while North Carolina is 0-3 ATS at home. The Yellow Jackets have a streak of 5 straight wins ATS over UNC as they have scored an average of 37 ppg and won by an average of 11 ppg. I look for that to continue Saturday night, in fact with Tech winning by double digits yet again.
|
10-18-14 |
Michigan State -15.5 v. Indiana |
|
56-17 |
Win
|
100 |
66 h 52 m |
Show
|
5* Top Play! The Spartans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings at Indiana and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings overall with the Hoosiers. Also, the Spartans are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 road games and the Hoosiers are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against a team with a winning record. Without starting QB Nate Sudfeld, Indiana's chances against anyone are going to be very slim. Facing the Spartans without Sudfeld will prove to be downright ugly. The Spartans are the best defense the Hoosiers will face all year and Freshman Chris Covington will be making his first career start at QB. The Hoosiers primarily want to run the ball, but that would be no easy task against this Michigan State defense even if they were at full strength. Add the fact that they have no passing game to fear and it will make star RB Tevin Coleman's afternoon miserable. Michigan State has been scoring points in bunches on their own and they will be facing one of the Big Ten's worst defenses. They'll put 50 on the board and win this one by 4 or 5 scores.
|
10-18-14 |
UCLA v. California +7 |
|
36-34 |
Win
|
100 |
66 h 37 m |
Show
|
I've got this as a pick-em, so getting 7 points is a definite win. After back to back loses, UCLA's chances at a National Championship are over, so it will be interesting to see how motivated they are to show up this week. California, on the other hand, is having one of their best seasons in years and are definitely a team on the upswing in the PAC-12 under head coach Sonny Dykes. In the series, the underdog is 12-5-1 ATS in the last 18 meetings and Cal has won 6 of the last 8 games ATS on their home turf. While Cal will likely give up a bunch of points, the Golden Bears prolific offense will more than do their part in keeping the pace. Very high-scoring, back and forth affair that stays close throughout.
|
10-18-14 |
Virginia v. Duke -2.5 |
|
13-20 |
Win
|
100 |
63 h 0 m |
Show
|
Duke has won 7 straight home games SU and they own a 15-5-1 record ATS in their last 21 home games. Also, the Blue Devils are 7-1 ATS over their last 8 games against a team with a winning record and 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall. Very impressive streaks and only the tip of the iceberg when reviewing the series history between Duke and Virginia. Duke is 6-1 ATS in both the last 7 games overall and the last 7 meetings on their home turf. I expect this to be a back and forth game but in the end I believe Virginia's lack of a true road test (only 1 game on the road so far) gives Duke the advantage and they win a close one.
|
10-18-14 |
Kansas State +7.5 v. Oklahoma |
|
31-30 |
Win
|
100 |
63 h 52 m |
Show
|
The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 series meetings and the Wildcats are 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 games at Oklahoma. Also, the underdog is 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 contests. The Wildcats have obviously had success playing at Oklahoma, but it goes further than that, as K-State is 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 road games overall. The Cats are straight road warriors and the way they've played this year laying over a TD is simply too many points.
|
10-18-14 |
Iowa +5 v. Maryland |
|
31-38 |
Loss |
-109 |
63 h 42 m |
Show
|
Iowa has covered in 8 straight road games, including a 6-0 record in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record! The Hawkeyes have also won 6 of their last 7 road games SU so there's a very good shot they take this one on the ML. Maryland comes into their first ever meeting with Iowa with a 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. Maryland's defense has been very porous, especially against the run, and I look for Iowa to take advantage of that as they've gotten their offense going in their last couple of games.
|
10-18-14 |
Baylor -8 v. West Virginia |
|
27-41 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 14 m |
Show
|
Baylor is 4-1-1 ATS this season and the Bears are 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall. The Mountaineers are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games and only 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall. Also, the Bears are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games against a team with a winning record while the Mountaineers are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Expect a lot of points, but Baylor's defense is better than advertised and they get enough stops to come away with a two score win.
|
10-16-14 |
Virginia Tech v. Pittsburgh -1 |
|
16-21 |
Win
|
100 |
45 h 24 m |
Show
|
In the series, the home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the Hokies are just 1-6 ATS in the last 7 contests. Also, the Hokies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games at Pitt and they are just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games overall. Pitt has hit a bit of a slump since their hot start, but they are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and I look for them to pick up some steam after having a week off.
|
10-11-14 |
USC v. Arizona +3 |
|
28-26 |
Win
|
100 |
73 h 30 m |
Show
|
USC has lost 2 of 3 and have struggled to stop a potent offense, such as the Wildcats. Arizona is on top of the world after their upset of Oregon last week, and after playing last Thursday night they've had a long week to prepare for USC. I would normally be leery of playing on a team coming off of a huge upset, but there will be no problem with them getting motivated for another big game as the Trojans come to town. In the series, the underdog is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings, with USC covering the number in just 2 of those last 9 contests. I've got Arizona winning this one outright!
|
10-11-14 |
Ole Miss +2 v. Texas A&M |
|
35-20 |
Win
|
100 |
72 h 16 m |
Show
|
Huge games for each team, both coming off equally big games last week. Texas A&M has the home field advantage on their side, but Mississippi has the motivation of a National Championship in their sites. Besides the emotions of the contest, the Rebels simply have the better defense. For the second straight week, A&M was shut out until late in the game. It took a late comeback, and eventually Overtime, to beat Arkansas two weeks ago and last week vs. Mississippi State they didn't turn it on until it was waaaay too late. This week, they will struggle to move the ball again once they face off against a real defense. I expect the Rebels to win a close one in College Station.
|
10-11-14 |
Alabama -8.5 v. Arkansas |
|
14-13 |
Loss |
-110 |
45 h 12 m |
Show
|
Alabama is coming in off a loss and will be looking to take out some frustration. The Crimson Tide have won 7 straight games against Arkansas, beating them by an average of 28 ppg! The Tide are also 5-2 ATS over that stretch so this obviously won't be the first time they've taken it to the Hogs. Arkansas loves to run the ball and Alabama's defense thrives on stopping the run. Arkansas will be forced to put the ball in the air and they simply cannot win that way. The Tide blow out the Razorbacks again this year.
|
10-11-14 |
Oklahoma State -20.5 v. Kansas |
|
27-20 |
Loss |
-110 |
66 h 45 m |
Show
|
The Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings at Kansas and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings overall. Also, the Jayhawks are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games while the Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Kansas is scoring just 2 TD's per game, while the Cowboys put nearly 40 on the board every time out. Okie State will up their average this week against a terrible Kansas defense and roll to a very easy win.
|
10-11-14 |
North Carolina v. Notre Dame -16.5 |
|
43-50 |
Loss |
-108 |
66 h 55 m |
Show
|
The Irish are playing very well on both sides of the ball, but the defense will be the biggest key against North Carolina. The Tar Heels are averaging 36 ppg this year and have shown the potential to score in bunches. But, just last week, they were held to 17 points against Virginia Tech. Most of their points have come in garbage time, or against a low level defense. The Irish will be the best defense UNC has faced, and probably will face all season. On the other side of the ball, the Tar Heels are dreadful. They're allowing 42 ppg, with the lowlight coming in a 70 point disaster against East Carolina. UNC has been outscored by 20 ppg over their last, and only 3 games against Power 5 conference schools. Notre Dame's offense will run wild and name the score against UNC. The Tar Heels are just 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and only 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games.
|
10-11-14 |
Toledo v. Iowa State -3 |
|
30-37 |
Win
|
100 |
66 h 38 m |
Show
|
The Cyclones don't win many games, but this is one they definitely get. They have played well at home, going 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Toledo is just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 overall, and also are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Iowa State has enough offensive playmakers to overpower a Rockets' defense that has already given up over 50 ppg to Missouri and Cincinnati.
|
10-11-14 |
Boston College v. NC State -3 |
|
30-14 |
Loss |
-110 |
65 h 28 m |
Show
|
In the series, the favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the home team is a perfect 10-0 ATS dating back to 2005. Boston College is just 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games while the Wolfpack are 17-4-1 ATS in their last 22 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. We saw NC State get blown out last week, but we also saw how well the Pack played Florida State at home a couple weeks ago. The Wolfpack, at home, are a different bunch and they've proven over time that they are very tough to beat in this spot.
|
10-11-14 |
TCU v. Baylor -7 |
|
58-61 |
Loss |
-119 |
17 h 49 m |
Show
|
TCU had a great upset over Oklahoma last week, but can they follow that feat up on the road this week at Baylor? I don't think so. TCU did a great job taking advantage of the Sooners key mistakes, but Baylor is too explosive to let that happen to them. Baylor owns a 20-5-1 record ATS in their last 26 games and they are 22-4 ATS in their last 26 home games. After playing their last 3 games away from home, you can bet that the Bears are itching to get back to their brand new home digs to play their conference home opener. Speaking of, the Bears are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 Big 12 games. To further enhance all of that dominance, we find the Bears with an 8-2 record ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and also have them going 10-2 ATS in their last 12 overall against a team with a winning record. So, you can see they haven't run these book crushing numbers up against nobody's, they've beaten all comers alike. Take the Bears to bring the Horned Frogs back to Earth this Saturday afternoon.
|
10-11-14 |
Duke v. Georgia Tech -3 |
|
31-25 |
Loss |
-114 |
63 h 8 m |
Show
|
The Blue Devils are showing a 1-4 record ATS in their last 5 games at Georgia Tech. Overall, the Yellow Jackets are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings with Duke, all as the favorite as they are again this week. Even as Duke has built their program to a respectable level over the last few years, Tech has won the last 3 meetings by an average of 20 ppg! I've got Georgia Tech as a 10 point favorite. We'll take the free TD and roll with the Rambling Wreck Saturday afternoon!
|
10-11-14 |
Indiana v. Iowa -3 |
|
29-45 |
Win
|
100 |
63 h 43 m |
Show
|
The Hoosiers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games and only 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Also, the Hoosiers are just 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 conference games while the Hawkeyes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 contests against Big Ten foes. This game will be won or lost with the run game. The Hoosiers are a top 10 team in rushing while Iowa has a top 10 rushing defense. When in doubt, take the home team and the defense. In this case, we get the Hawkeyes with both, and only have to lay a FG.
|
10-09-14 |
BYU v. Central Florida -2.5 |
|
24-31 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 17 m |
Show
|
The Knights are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against a team with a winning record and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games. The Cougars, on the other hand, are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games and only 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Knights have a huge home field advantage and the Cougars are sure to still be reeling after the loss of do everything QB Taysom Hill. Not only is that a huge emotional hit, the Cougars will continue to struggle to replace his productivity, showing that in a loss after Hill exited last Friday's game against Utah State. I'm not so sure BYU was the better team before Hill's injury last week, but without him, I love UCF to get the home win!
|
10-04-14 |
Utah v. UCLA -13 |
|
30-28 |
Loss |
-110 |
71 h 16 m |
Show
|
Utah was a darling pick by many over the first few weeks, and they do have a 3-1 record ATS, but a win over Michigan doesn't mean anything and after losing to Washington State last week it appears the Utes are more hype than substance. UCLA really fired up the offense in last week's blowout over previously unbeaten Arizona State. The Bruins have QB Brett Hundley back healthy, and after playing last Thursday night they had a long week to prepare for Utah. The Bruins are 5-2 ATS over their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record and 14-4 ATS in their last 18 home games against a team with a winning road record.
|
10-04-14 |
NC State +14.5 v. Clemson |
|
0-41 |
Loss |
-112 |
65 h 21 m |
Show
|
NC State showed their 4-0 start was no fluke with the way they played against the #1 Seminoles last week. The Wolfpack look to continue to show what they're made of against another ACC power this weekend at Clemson. ATS, the Wolfpack have had a lot of success against the Tigers over the years, going 4-0 ATS most recently and also covering the number in their last 4 trips to Clemson. Over the last 10 meetings with Clemson, the Pack have been outscored by less than 10 ppg, covering 6 of 10 times. Also, we find another nice trend in the Pack's favor, as in the series, the road team is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 meetings. This game is decided by a TD or less, let alone the 2 TD's we're being spotted.
|
10-04-14 |
Baylor -14.5 v. Texas |
|
28-7 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 3 m |
Show
|
|
10-04-14 |
Oklahoma -4.5 v. TCU |
Top |
33-37 |
Loss |
-115 |
65 h 8 m |
Show
|
5* Top Play! Oklahoma should be favored by over a TD. To have to lay only 4.5 is a steal. OU's offense and defense have both played spectacularly thus far. They are rolling up 45 ppg with 495 ypg and giving up under 220 ypg while allowing under 17 ppg. TCU has put up very impressive numbers, too, but they've played a trio of nobodies, which leaves a lot of question marks. Not only do we not know how good they really are, but it will surely take time for the Horned Frogs to play up to the competition level that the Sooners will bring. The Sooners are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall, while the Horned Frogs are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games and a paltry 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record! OU by double digits Saturday afternoon!
|
10-04-14 |
Florida +3 v. Tennessee |
|
10-9 |
Win
|
100 |
63 h 45 m |
Show
|
I'm showing that this line should be a pick em, and with the long time success that Florida has had against Tennessee, and the fact they're getting 3 points, I'm backing them as an underdog. The Gators have been the Vols in 9 straight meetings and they're 11-5-2 ATS in the last 18 games. Also, the Gators are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings at Tennessee and the road team is 5-0-1 ATS in the series' last 6 contests. The Volunteers, on the other hand, are just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games and 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 vs. a team with a winning record.
|
10-04-14 |
Iowa State v. Oklahoma State -17 |
|
20-37 |
Push |
0 |
63 h 45 m |
Show
|
In the series, the home team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings and the favorite is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings. The Cowboys have covered in 4 of their last 5 meetings with the Cyclones, winning those 4 games by an average of 30 ppg! Okie State is currently 24-8 ATS in their last 32 home games vs. a team with a losing road record while the Cyclones are only 3-7-2 ATS in their last 12 games against a team with a winning record. The Cowboys keep rolling Saturday against an Iowa State defense that is giving up 300 ypg through the air.
|
10-04-14 |
Texas A&M v. Mississippi State -2 |
|
31-48 |
Win
|
100 |
62 h 15 m |
Show
|
Texas A&M struggled last week and trailed Arkansas by two TD's in the 4th quarter. Once they got it rolling, they pulled it out, but that's still a bad Arkansas team. Mississippi State had a great win at LSU two weeks ago, but can they back it up against another great SEC team? I'm saying yes, especially at home. The Bulldogs are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning road record while the Aggies are 16-38-1 ATS in their last 55 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. I'm showing the Bulldogs should be about a 2 point dog, but the way they are playing now, and the fact they're running a streak showing an 8-1 record ATS in their last 9 games, I'm willing to side with them as a slight chalk. The Bulldogs extend that overall clip to 9 of their last 10 ATS on Saturday afternoon!
|
10-02-14 |
Arizona +24 v. Oregon |
|
31-24 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 5 m |
Show
|
Arizona is too good offensively to get blown out, even by Oregon. They will give up a ton of points but they'll be able to keep pace pretty well. Oregon is obviously the better team, especially at home, but the Cats score around 30 points and cover the large number in primetime Thursday night action.
|
09-27-14 |
Oregon State v. USC -9 |
|
10-35 |
Win
|
100 |
71 h 24 m |
Show
|
In the series, the home team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings and USC has won 22 straight home games against Oregon State. The Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Oregon State hasn't played anyone this season, while USC has already had a couple tests and they'll be foaming at the mouth to get back on the field to make up for an embarrassing loss at Boston College two weeks ago. The Beavers will be slow to play up to the competition in their first real test of the season, and by the time they acclimate themselves USC will already be on their way to a double digit victory.
|
09-27-14 |
Baylor -21 v. Iowa State |
|
49-28 |
Push |
0 |
70 h 45 m |
Show
|
Baylor put up over 700 yards and 71 points on Iowa State last year and QB Bryce Petty is fully healed and rested after having last week off. This year, Iowa State has given up nearly 30 ppg. and have already lost at home to North Dakota State by 20 points. Something tells me the Bears offense won't have much trouble duplicating those numbers. The Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings with the Cyclones and they are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 conference games. The Bears are also 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games overall while the Cyclones are only 3-7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
|
09-27-14 |
Duke +7 v. Miami (Fla) |
Top |
10-22 |
Loss |
-105 |
69 h 7 m |
Show
|
5* Top Play! This looks to be a great game that goes down to the wire. I see two evenly matched teams, so a 7 point spread is far too large. Have to take the underdog Blue Devils and their 12 game regular season win streak. Duke is very balanced offensively and will give a below average Hurricane defense problems all night long. The Blue Devils are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games and 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall. After losing at Nebraska last week, the Canes are now just 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and they're only 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games overall. Miami has also been dreadful against the ACC, going 1-7 ATS last season, including an 18 point loss to Duke.
|
09-27-14 |
Florida State v. NC State +19 |
|
56-41 |
Win
|
100 |
66 h 57 m |
Show
|
NC State has beaten Florida State in 3 of the last 4 meetings in Raleigh. The Wolfpack are 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6 home games against the Noles and 13-3-1 in the last 17 meetings overall. Also, the Wolfpack are 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record while the Seminoles are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games.
|
09-27-14 |
Arkansas v. Texas A&M -9.5 |
|
28-35 |
Loss |
-104 |
66 h 45 m |
Show
|
Arkansas has only played one opponent of any substance, and they were blown out by Auburn. Texas A&M has rolled everyone they've played, including a very impressive win at South Carolina in the season opener. Their offense has been outstanding, while Arkansas defense has continued to preform below average.
|
09-27-14 |
Northwestern v. Penn State -10 |
|
29-6 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 46 m |
Show
|
The Nittany Lions are 5-0 ATS in their most recent meetings with Northwestern, winning all 5 by double digits and by an average of over 16 ppg. Also, the home team is 10-4 ATS in the series, with Penn State going 6-1 ATS in the last 7 games played at Happy Valley. The Wildcats are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Big Ten games and they are just 1-12 ATS in their last 13 games overall! The Cats' defense hasn't stopped anyone and Saturday they'll be up against one of the best QB's in the nation. As good as Christian Hackenburg has been, the Lions defense has been the story of the young season, giving up just 11 ppg and being among the best in the nation in yards allowed. Northwestern doesn't have enough offense firepower to stick with Penn State for 4 quarters.
|
09-25-14 |
UCLA v. Arizona State +4.5 |
|
62-27 |
Loss |
-112 |
48 h 49 m |
Show
|
UCLA has yet to play up to their high preseason expectations, and it's showing in the books as they are 0-3 ATS this season. It won't get any easier this week as conference play starts on the road and they'll be without star QB Brett Hundley. Arizona State is also likely to be without starting QB Taylor Kelly, but the Sun Devils have a very strong rushing attack to lean on in his absence. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 series meetings. I've got the Sun Devils winning this one straight up, but I'll take the 4.5 points just to be on the safe side.
|
09-25-14 |
Texas Tech v. Oklahoma State -13.5 |
|
35-45 |
Loss |
-109 |
46 h 39 m |
Show
|
Oklahoma State has won 5 straight against Texas Tech by an average of 28 ppg. A few of those wins were against much better Tech teams that what they're fielding this season. The Red Raiders were just blown out by Arkansas and they are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on the road games and only 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Cowboys have been killing the number as they are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games and 35-17 ATS in their last 52 overall.
|
09-20-14 |
Miami (Fla) v. Nebraska -7 |
Top |
31-41 |
Win
|
100 |
94 h 50 m |
Show
|
5* Top Play! There is a lot of talent on this Nebraska team, and they've shown that in 2 of their 3 wins. The thing is, the Huskers are still not getting any respect due to a bad performance in week 2 against McNeese State. Great news for us, as we get them at a great value against Miami Saturday evening. The Hurricanes take a Freshman QB on the road into hostile territory, and I don't expect that to go well for them. The Canes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games and also just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record. Meanwhile, the Huskers are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take Nebraska and the home field chalk Saturday!
|
09-20-14 |
Oklahoma -7 v. West Virginia |
|
45-33 |
Win
|
100 |
93 h 15 m |
Show
|
Alabama outrushed West Virginia by 260 yards in Week 1 and the Sooners were +316 on the ground against the Mountaineers last year, so it's safe to say we'll see a similar gameplan from Oklahoma again this weekend. ATS, the Sooners are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games, including a perfect 4-0 record on the road. The Mountaineers, on the other hand, are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games and only 4-15 ATS in their last 19 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. OU wins this one by 2 or 3 scores!
|
09-20-14 |
Northern Illinois +14.5 v. Arkansas |
|
14-52 |
Loss |
-106 |
93 h 59 m |
Show
|
Northern Illinois has won 17 straight road games SU and they are 20-8-2 ATS in their last 30 road games. The Huskies are also a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games against SEC competition. The Razorbacks are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games and only 5-13 ATS against a team with a winning record. Arkansas finally broke through with a good win against Texas Tech last week but I'm not ready to jump on the bandwagon just yet. Northern Illinois has built a solid program over the years and I have this one essentially as a pick-em, and think the Huskies have a shot to win this one outright.
|
09-20-14 |
Mississippi State v. LSU -9 |
|
34-29 |
Loss |
-106 |
45 h 2 m |
Show
|
After rolling up a 33 point victory in last season's meeting in Starkville, the last 10 games of this series have now been decided by an average of 26 ppg! Overall, LSU has won 14 straight and 21 of the last 22 contests with Mississippi State, and the Tigers are a phenomenal 13-3 ATS over the last 16 meetings! The Bulldogs are an improved club, so I wouldn't bet on LSU to win by 33 again, but I do have them winning by 14-20.
|
09-20-14 |
Indiana v. Missouri -13 |
Top |
31-27 |
Loss |
-111 |
90 h 55 m |
Show
|
5* Top Play! The Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games overall. The Hoosiers are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games and only 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Hoosiers are also just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Missouri is off to another great start, scoring over 40 ppg and winning by 20 or more in all three games.
|
09-20-14 |
Iowa +7 v. Pittsburgh |
|
24-20 |
Win
|
100 |
87 h 34 m |
Show
|
Everyone is down on Iowa after a bad loss at home to Iowa State last week. While they haven't looked good, I think they have the weapons to turn it around. This is also a good matchup for the Hawkeyes, as their defense is made to stop the run. Iowa is one of a handful of a teams that has still not allowed a rushing TD this season. The Hawkeyes are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games, including a 4-0 record in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Look for a close, low scoring game where Iowa has a chance at an upset.
|
09-18-14 |
Auburn -8.5 v. Kansas State |
|
20-14 |
Loss |
-110 |
46 h 48 m |
Show
|
The Tigers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning record and they are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games overall. The Wildcats are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. They don't have the defense to keep up with Auburn. They will be able to score some points and hang around for awhile, but eventually the Tigers depth will wear them down and they'll fall at home by double digits.
|
09-13-14 |
Nebraska -10.5 v. Fresno State |
Top |
55-19 |
Win
|
100 |
72 h 9 m |
Show
|
5* Top Play! I've got Nebraska by 3 TD's in this game. The Cornhuskers looked terrible last week, but they'll use that as a bit of a wake up call. Look for them to be focused and ready to go as they get away from home and all of the fans that have been patting them on the back after the woodshed beating they gave Florida Atlantic in their first game. The Huskers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and they have far more talent and playmakers than a Fresno State program that is down. The Bulldogs are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. Fresno State has already been blown out twice by PAC-12 teams this year. Somewhat understandable playing at the Coliseum, but there's no excuse to let Utah embarrass you by 30+.
|
09-13-14 |
Penn State -3 v. Rutgers |
|
13-10 |
Push |
0 |
70 h 2 m |
Show
|
Like it or not, Penn State became eligible for post season play this week. That alone is sure to give them an extra boost this week as they now have even more to play for. With Rutgers new to the Big Ten, this has potential to be a good Northeastern rivalry. With Penn State's scholarship reductions and bowl bans, now would be the time for the Scarlet Knights to get them, but Penn State is still simply the better team. The Nittany Lions have the better defense and I see that as the difference in the game. Add in QB Christian Hackenberg controlling the offense and the Lions are the clear and easy pick.
|
09-13-14 |
Tennessee v. Oklahoma -20 |
|
10-34 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 33 m |
Show
|
The Sooners have won 4 straight games ATS vs. teams with a winning record and they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Sooners are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games, while the Volunteers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games. Also, the Vols are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and only 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games overall against a team with a winning record.
|
09-13-14 |
Purdue +29 v. Notre Dame |
|
14-30 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 56 m |
Show
|
Notre Dame has won 6 straight and 8 of 10 against Purdue, but none of those wins were enough to cover our spread on Saturday. The Boilermakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Notre Dame, all as an underdog. Honestly, Purdue is terrible, but this is a big rivalry game and they'll be up and ready to go against the Irish. Also, Notre Dame's blow out win over Michigan last week looked worse than it really was. Statistically that was a much closer game than it appeared. Give the Irish credit for turning Michigan turnovers into points and taking advantage of the Wolverines mistakes, but Michigan made Notre Dame look much better than they really are. Notre Dame definitely wins this game, and by 3 or 4 scores, but I don't see them getting enough breaks to see a final spread like we saw last week.
|
09-13-14 |
Georgia -5.5 v. South Carolina |
|
35-38 |
Loss |
-109 |
69 h 45 m |
Show
|
Georgia demoralized a good Clemson defense in their opener and after a week off they'll now head to South Carolina for a huge battle in the SEC East. The Bulldogs offense was dominant and South Carolina's defense has struggled in their first two games this season. RB Todd Gurley will run all over the Gamecocks and lead Georgia to a big road win.
|
09-13-14 |
Minnesota +14 v. TCU |
Top |
7-30 |
Loss |
-110 |
66 h 14 m |
Show
|
5* Top Play! Minnesota has a history of starting strong and fading once Big Ten play starts. So, playing TCU in a non-conference affair is right up their alley. The Golden Gophers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games. Also, Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and have also won 5 of their last 6 games ATS vs. a team with a winning record. TCU, on the other hand, is just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games and they show a very dismal 1-8 record ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. TCU should eventually get this W, but they'll be lucky to win by a TD, and they surely won't cover the 2 TD's they're laying.
|
09-13-14 |
Iowa State +10.5 v. Iowa |
|
20-17 |
Win
|
100 |
66 h 52 m |
Show
|
Iowa has the superior talent, but they have suffered a couple of key injuries and they have underperformed to start the season. Also, in this intra-state rivalry game, it's infrequent we've seen the score get too far out of hand. As the case is this week, Iowa State is nearly always the underdog and they are 12-4 ATS in the last 16 series meetings, including a 7-1 record ATS in games played at Iowa. Iowa wins by less than a TD on Saturday.
|