03-21-17 |
Warriors v. Mavs +5.5 |
Top |
112-87 |
Loss |
-115 |
8 h 58 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Situational Game of the Month on Dallas Mavericks +5.5
The Key: The Dallas Mavericks are 8-4 SU & 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games overall. They are still trying to earn a playoff spot in the West and continue to fight. Now they catch the Golden State Warriors in a good spot. The Warriors will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after winning in Oklahoma City last night. Look for Steve Kerr to limit his star players' minutes here. The Warriors are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 0 days rest. The Warriors are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. The Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Dallas is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 home games. The Mavericks are 21-7 ATS revenging a same season loss this season. Take Dallas.
|
03-20-17 |
Nuggets +9 v. Rockets |
|
124-125 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 58 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Denver Nuggets +9
The Key: The Denver Nuggets will be hungry for revenge from a 105-109 home loss to Houston on Saturday night. Now they get their shot at the Rockets just two days later and are catching a whopping 9 points in the rematch. The Nuggets are 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games with all four of their wins coming by 13 points or more. Denver is 6-0 ATS in its last six Monday games. Houston is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games following an ATS win. Take Denver.
|
03-19-17 |
Suns v. Pistons UNDER 212 |
|
95-112 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 16 m |
Show
|
6* Sunday NBA *Total* Annihilator on Suns/Pistons UNDER 212
The Key: The Phoenix Suns are completely depleted right now. They are without two of their best guards in Eric Bledsoe and Brandon Knight. Both Tyson Chandler and Dragan Bender are out for the season as well, while Devin Booker and Leandro Barbosa are battling injuries themselves. It's no surprise that the UNDER is 5-0 in Suns' last five games coming in. The UNDER is 4-1 in Pistons' last five games as well. They have been held to just 84.7 points per game in their last three games. The UNDER is 5-0 in Pistons last five home games. Take the UNDER.
|
03-18-17 |
Kings v. Thunder -12.5 |
|
94-110 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 54 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Oklahoma City Thunder -12.5
The Key: The Oklahoma City Thunder certainly won the trade deadline when they traded for Taj Gibson and Doug McDermott. These two are starting to gel with their new teammates as the Thunder have gone 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games, winning by 10 against San Antonio, 8 against Utah, 18 at Brooklyn and 21 at Toronto. Now they play arguably the least-talented team in the entire NBA in the Sacramento Kings without DeMarcus Cousins. The Kings have won back-to-back games against disinterested Orlando and Phoenix, which has them overvalued coming into this game. The Thunder will put them away early and hold on for the cover with ease as 12.5-point favorites here. OKC is 25-9 SU & 23-10 ATS at home this season. The Thunder are 7-0 ATS in home games after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games this season. The Kings are 25-55-2 ATS in their last 82 games playing on 2 days rest. Take Oklahoma City.
|
03-17-17 |
Wolves v. Heat -4.5 |
|
105-123 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 50 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Miami Heat -4.5
The Key: The Miami Heat continue to get no respect in the market place despite the tremendous run they've been on. They are 22-5 SU & 23-4 ATS in their last 27 games overall. They have covered six straight coming in. They will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days here and will be fresh and ready to go. The Timberwolves will be playing their 5th game in 8 days. They are 0-3 SU & 1-2 ATS in their last 3 road games, losing by 7 at San Antonio, by 7 at Milwaukee and by 13 at Boston. The Timberwolves are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 vs. Eastern Conference opponents. The Heat are 11-1-1 ATS in their last 13 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Take Miami.
|
03-16-17 |
Thunder v. Raptors -2.5 |
|
123-102 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 33 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Toronto Raptors -2.5
The Key: I like this short price for the Raptors at home here Thursday. They will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days after having the past two days off following a 100-78 beat down of the Mavericks on Monday. The Raptors are 22-11 at home this season, while the Thunder are just 13-20 SU & 14-19 ATS on the road. Oklahoma City is 2-10 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams who score 106-plus points per game this season. The Raptors are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 2 days rest. The Thunder are 1-6 ATS in the last seven meetings. Take Toronto.
|
03-15-17 |
Mavs +7 v. Wizards |
|
112-107 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 2 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Dallas Mavericks +7
The Key: The Washington Wizards return home following a 5-game road trip. I always like fading teams who are coming off a long road trip because there are so many distractions at home when they get back. And the Wizards will also be playing their 6th game in 9 days here, so they are running on fumes. The Mavericks have had the Wizards' number, going 12-1 SU in the last 13 meetings, and 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Take Dallas.
|
03-14-17 |
Blazers v. Pelicans -4 |
|
77-100 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 56 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New Orleans Pelicans -4
The Key: The New Orleans Pelicans will be fresh tonight. This will be just their 2nd game in 6 days. The Portland Trail Blazers will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days. The Pelicans have gone 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Home-court advantage has been big in this series as the home team is 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Take New Orleans.
|
03-13-17 |
Clippers v. Jazz UNDER 201.5 |
Top |
108-114 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 27 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Total of the Month on Clippers/Jazz UNDER 201.5
The Key: You don't have to dig too deep to find that this total has been inflated. Just look at the first two meetings of the season between the Jazz and Clippers. The Clippers won both meetings, 88-75 at home for 163 combined points, and 88-72 on the road for 160 combined points. Now the total has been set at 201.5 for the 3rd meeting here tonight. The Jazz only allow 93.9 points per game at home this season and play at the slowest pace in the NBA. They will control the tempo at home tonight. The Clippers are 8-1 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season. The UNDER is 16-5 in Jazz last 21 games following a loss. Take the UNDER.
|
03-12-17 |
Cavs v. Rockets -6 |
|
112-117 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 8 m |
Show
|
6* Cavs/Rockets ESPN *CA$H COW* on Houston -6
The Key: The Cleveland Cavaliers will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days here. The had to fly to Detroit, Orlando and now Houston over this span. The Cavaliers have not hesitated to rest starters in these situations, and we may catch a break and have them rest either Lebron or Kyrie, or both. Either way, I still like the Rockets here because they had yesterday off. And the Cavaliers are 0-8 ATS in road games when playing back-to-back days this season. They are also 1-10 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Houston. Take Houston.
|
03-11-17 |
Wizards v. Blazers -4.5 |
|
125-124 |
Loss |
-115 |
10 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* Wizards/Blazers NBA *BAILOUT* on Portland -4.5
The Key: The Washington Wizards have to be out of gas. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, their 4th road game in 5 days, and their 8th game in 12 days overall. The Portland Trail Blazers will take advantage and run them out of the gym tonight. This will be just the 3rd game in 7 days for the Blazers. They are coming on strong in going 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Washington is 31-54 ATS in its last 85 when playing its 3rd game in 4 days. The home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The Wizards are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 trips to Portland. Take Portland.
|
03-10-17 |
Wizards v. Kings +8 |
|
130-122 |
Push |
0 |
10 h 11 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Sacramento Kings +8
The Key: The home team has dominated this series between Washington and Sacramento. In fact, the home team has not only gone 7-0 straight up in the last 7 meetings, but also 7-0 against the spread. And the Wizards haven't done well in the road favorite role, either. Washington is 0-7 against the spread in its last 7 road games when facing a team with a losing home record. Take Sacramento.
|
03-09-17 |
Clippers v. Grizzlies -2.5 |
|
114-98 |
Loss |
-103 |
8 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Memphis Grizzlies -2.5
The Key: The Memphis Grizzlies are hungry for a victory after losing 3 in a row coming into this game. Now they've had two days off since their upset home loss to Brooklyn on Monday. The Clippers don't have the same luxury. They'll be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days here. This situation couldn't favor the Grizzlies more, and I expect them to roll at home tonight. The Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest. The Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. The Grizzlies are 13-5 ATS in the last 18 meetings. Take Memphis.
|
03-08-17 |
Jazz v. Rockets -7 |
|
115-108 |
Loss |
-107 |
8 h 18 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Houston Rockets -7
The Key: The Utah Jazz are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. They lost by 27 at home to Minnesota, only won by 1 at Sacramento and narrowly beat the Pelicans by 5 at home. They also lost by 3 at Oklahoma City and beat lowly Brooklyn by 15 at home. This team is not playing well at all right now, and now they have to take a step up in class and face the Rockets. The Jazz have some serious injury concerns as both Derrick Favors and Shelvin Mack are out, while George Hill and Joe Johnson are questionable. Utah is 0-7 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. It is losing by 11.1 points per game on average in this situation. Take Houston.
|
03-08-17 |
Pistons v. Pacers -4 |
Top |
98-115 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 18 m |
Show
|
7* Pistons/Pacers ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Indiana -4
The Key: The Indiana Pacers are 21-10 at home this season and own one of the better home-court advantages in the NBA. The Detroit Pistons are just 11-20 SU & 12-19 ATS on the road this season. I think this is a very short price to be laying with the Pacers tonight. The Pacers own the Pistons, going a perfect 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. They won 105-84 in their lone home meeting with the Pistons this season. Look for them to win and cover their 6th in a row against Detroit. Take Indiana.
|
03-06-17 |
Rockets v. Spurs UNDER 222 |
Top |
110-112 |
Push |
0 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Western Conference Total of the Year on Rockets/Spurs UNDER 222
The Key: Oddsmakers have really inflated this total tonight between the Rockets and Spurs when you consider how the first 3 meetings this season went down. The UNDER is 3-0 in the first 3 meetings with combined scores of 200, 206 and 202 points. The highest total set for any of those games was 213.5, and now the total has been set all the way up at 222 for the 4th and final meeting. There is a ton of value with the UNDER to say the least in this game, especially with the way the Spurs play and will control the tempo at home. The Spurs and their last 3 opponents have combined for 199, 199 and 187 points. And the last 2 games both went into overtime against the Pelicans and Timberwolves, so they were even more low-scoring than those scores indicate. The UNDER is 7-2 in Spurs last 9 games overall. Bets on the UNDER on all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (HOUSTON) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG in the 2nd half of the season are 32-6 over the last 5 seasons. Take the UNDER.
|
03-05-17 |
Warriors v. Knicks +10.5 |
Top |
112-105 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 21 m |
Show
|
7* Warriors/Knicks ABC *HEAVY HITTER* on New York +10.5
The Key: The Golden State Warriors are way overvalued in the betting markets right now. They are 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall and come in on their first two-game losing streak of the season. The culprit for this skid is the fact that Kevin Durant was lost with a knee injury, and they have dropped the two games since his absence. Now they'll be playing their 4th straight road game and are being asked to lay 10.5 points on the road to the New York Knicks. The Knicks haven't quit as their are 2-3 since the break with two of their losses coming by a combined 4 points, and the other being a double-digit loss on the road at Cleveland. New York is 12-2 ATS in home games off a division game over the last 2 seasons. The Warriors are 7-21 ATS in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Golden State is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 Sunday games. The Knicks are 19-10 ATS off an ATS loss this season. Take New York.
|
03-04-17 |
Raptors v. Bucks +2 |
|
94-101 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 18 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Milwaukee Bucks +2
The Key: Both the Toronto Raptors and Milwaukee Bucks will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back here. The difference is pretty simple, though. Milwaukee will be staying at home after beating the Clippers 112-101 at home last night. Toronto is the one that has to travel all the way from Washington DC after a 114-106 road win over the Wizards last night. And the Raptors will be playing their 5th game in 7 days here, so they won't have much left in the tank, especially with Kyle Lowry out with injury making them short-handed at the PG position. Take Milwaukee.
|
03-03-17 |
Celtics v. Lakers +8 |
Top |
115-95 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
|
7* Celtics/Lakers NBA *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles +8
The Key: The Boston Celtics are in a massive letdown spot here Friday night. They are coming off their biggest win of the season, a 103-99 home victory over the Cleveland Cavaliers on Wednesday night. Now the Celtics will be feeling 'fat and happy' following that victory, and I don't expect them to give the Los Angeles Lakers their full focus. That's going to make it difficult to cover this 8-point spread on the road. The Lakers have taken this rivalry very seriously, going 5-3 SU & 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. These teams just played on February 3rd with the Celtics winning 113-107 as 11-point favorites, which also places the Lakers in revenge mode. This is just a great situation here to back the home dog. Take Los Angeles.
|
03-01-17 |
Rockets v. Clippers -1.5 |
Top |
122-103 |
Loss |
-107 |
11 h 17 m |
Show
|
7* Rockets/Clippers ESPN *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles -1.5
The Key: Chris Paul just returned to the lineup recently and should be at full strength now. The Clippers have had the past two days off following their win over Charlotte on Sunday. This extra practice time will help Paul and company gel as a team and get ready for this stretch run. I like them laying a small number here at home to the rival Rockets, who lost at home to the Pacers on Monday despite being 10-point favorites. The Clippers are 19-9 at home this season. The Rockets are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 1 days rest. The home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Take Los Angeles.
|
02-28-17 |
Jazz v. Thunder +1.5 |
|
106-109 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Oklahoma City Thunder +1.5
The Key: The Utah Jazz are playing well have won and covered 3 in a row coming in. But that has them getting too much respect from the books, and now they find themselves in the role of road favorites here against the Thunder. Oklahoma City is 22-8 at home this season. The Thunder have really owned the Jazz, going 5-1 SU & 4-2 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Dating back further, the Thunder are 10-0 straight up & 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 home meetings with Utah. The Jazz are 2-14 ATS in their last 16 vs. Western Conference opponents. Take Oklahoma City.
|
02-27-17 |
Pacers +11 v. Rockets |
|
117-108 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 43 m |
Show
|
6* Pacers/Rockets TNT *CA$H COW* on Indiana +11
The Key: This line is an overreaction from each team's last game. The Rockets are coming off 2 blowout victories with a 30-point win at New Orleans and a 12-point home win over Minnesota. Indiana is coming off an 18-point loss at Miami. Now the Pacers find themselves in the rare role of double-digit underdogs. The Pacers are 12-1 ATS in road games off a blowout loss by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons. This trend just goes to show how resilient they have been when trying to bounce back from a bad loss. Take Indiana.
|
02-26-17 |
Celtics -1.5 v. Pistons |
|
104-98 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Boston Celtics -1.5
The Key: I like this situation for the Boston Celtics, who are coming off 2 consecutive losses and will be hungry for a victory tonight in Detroit. The Celtics are 10-2 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less this season. Boston is 15-7-2 ATS in its last 24 road games overall. The Pistons are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win. The Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Detroit. The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take Boston.
|
02-25-17 |
Pacers +4.5 v. Heat |
|
95-113 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 55 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Indiana Pacers +4.5
The Key: The Indiana Pacers are ready to make a run after the All-Star Break. They had lost 6 in a row coming into the break due to playing 6 games in 9 days and running out of gas. They thumped Memphis 102-92 last night and had a 21-point lead going into the 4th quarter, so they were able to give their starters plenty of rest. I think they'll be ready to go against Miami, which is overvalued right now due to winning 15 of its last 17 games coming in. Bets against any team (MIAMI) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, playing on back-to-back days are 85-45 ATS since 1996. Take Indiana.
|
02-24-17 |
Jazz v. Bucks +3 |
|
109-95 |
Loss |
-107 |
8 h 49 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Milwaukee Bucks +3
The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks are ready to make a playoff push. They sit at 25-30 on the season and just 1.5 games out of the 8th seed. They got it together before the break by going 3-0 in their last 3 games winning by 16 at Indiana, by 13 at home against Detroit and by 4 at Brooklyn. Indiana is the 6th seed and Detroit is the 8th right now, so those were 2 huge wins. Now they host the Utah Jazz, who have lost 3 of their last 4 games. The Jazz are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games. The home team is 14-5 ATS in the last 19 meetings. Take Milwaukee.
|
02-23-17 |
Clippers +12.5 v. Warriors |
Top |
113-123 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 13 m |
Show
|
7* Clippers/Warriors TNT *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles +12.5
The Key: The Los Angeles Clippers are sick and tired of losing to the Golden State Warriors. They have lost all 3 meetings this season and 9 straight meetings overall. But the Clippers went 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games heading into the break to build up some momentum. Now they are expected to have Chris Paul back tonight. I think the Warriors will be good fade material in their first game back from the break here because they had four players participate in All-Star Weekend and they won't be fully focused, especially after already beating the Clippers 3 times this season. The Clippers are 28-14 ATS revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points over the last 2 seasons. The Clippers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Take Los Angeles.
|
02-16-17 |
Wizards -2.5 v. Pacers |
|
111-98 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 7 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Washington Wizards -2.5
The Key: The Washington Wizards are 17-3 in their last 20 games overall and look to go into the All-Star Break with momentum with another victory over Indiana Thursday. I like their chances of picking up another win here against a Pacers team that is running on fumes right now. The Pacers will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days. They have lost to the Spurs and Cavs in their last two games and won't be able to put up much of a fight here against the Wizards. They are certainly worn down right now as indicated by the fact that they are riding a 5-game losing streak. The Wizards come in on 2 days rest and are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 when playing on 2 days rest. The Wizards are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Pacers are 9-23-1 ATS in their last 33 games playing on 0 days rest. Take Washington.
|
02-15-17 |
Hawks v. Clippers -3 |
|
84-99 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 30 m |
Show
|
6* Hawks/Clippers Non-Conference *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles -3
The Key: The Clippers continue to play well even without Chris Paul because they have more depth this season than they had last year, and Blake Griffin has been in prime form. They have gone 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games despite playing all 3 on the road, which includes an 88-72 win at Utah as 8-point dogs last time out. Now the Clippers return home where they are 17-8 on the season. I think they make easy work of the Atlanta Hawks, who are one of the most overrated teams in the NBA. They are actually getting outscored on the season despite their 32-23 record and have simply been fortunate in close games. I don't expect this one to be close, however. The Clippers are 10-2 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 ATS this season. The Clippers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest. Take Los Angeles.
|
02-13-17 |
Pistons v. Bucks -3 |
Top |
89-102 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Situational Game of the Month on Milwaukee Bucks -3
The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks are not getting any respect from oddsmakers right now due to having lost 12 of their last 15 games coming into tonight. But they have won 2 of their last 4 in blowout fashion with a 25-point win at Phoenix and a 16-point win at Indiana, so the signs of a turnaround are there. But this is more of a fade of the Pistons, who will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 16-point comeback in the 4th quarter last night to beat the Raptors 102-101. It's going to be tough to follow up that performance, especially with as much effort as they put into the final period. The Pistons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. The Pistons are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up win. Bets against all teams with a line of +3 to -3 like Detroit who are revenging a loss vs. opponent while also off a road win by 3 points or less are 41-14 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Milwaukee.
|
02-11-17 |
Suns +14 v. Rockets |
|
102-133 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 39 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Phoenix Suns +14
The Key: One of the best-kept secrets in the NBA is that the Suns actually perform very well ATS when playing on zero or little rest. That's because they have one of the deepest benches in the league. The Suns are 11-3 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season. They just thumped the Bulls 115-97 at home last night while playing 12 players. They won't be phased by this back-to-back situation because of their deep bench. And the Suns are going to want some revenge here after losing their first 2 meetings of the season to the Rockets by 14 and 16 points. I don't expect the Rockets to be too concerned here with beating the Suns by a margin having already done it twice this year. Look for this game to be much closer than expected. The Rockets are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 Saturday games. The Suns are 22-8 ATS in the last 30 meetings in Houston. Take Phoenix.
|
02-10-17 |
Warriors v. Grizzlies +8 |
Top |
122-107 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 23 m |
Show
|
7* Warriors/Grizzlies Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Memphis +8
The Key: This is a classic case of the Golden State Warriors being overvalued. They come in off a blowout win over the Bulls, who were without both Jimmy Butler and Dwyane Wade. The Warriors could be caught looking ahead to Kevin Durant's return to Oklahoma City Saturday against the Thunder here. Plus, Memphis has already proven it can beat Golden State, going 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS against them this season. The Grizzlies won 110-89 as 13-point home dogs, and 128-119 as 13.5-point road dogs. Now they are catching 8 points here, which is simply too much in a game that they could win outright. The Grizzlies have won 3 straight with an 8 point win at Minnesota, a 15-point home win over San Antonio and a 19-point home win over Phoenix. The Grizzlies are the best team in the NBA defensively, holding those 3 opponents to just 88 points per game. The Grizzlies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Take Memphis.
|
02-09-17 |
Jazz v. Mavs +4 |
|
105-112 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 23 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Dallas Mavericks +4
The Key: After going 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall, the Utah Jazz are now overvalued. And the Jazz are in a difficult situation tonight. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days. The Mavericks will be ready for them as they come in playing their best basketball of the season. Dallas is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games overall, yet it continues to get no respect from oddsmakers here as 4-point home dogs. Utah is 5-14 ATS when playing its 3rd game in 4 days this season. The Jazz are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games. The Jazz are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest. The Mavericks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games. Take Dallas.
|
02-08-17 |
Bulls +14 v. Warriors |
Top |
92-123 |
Loss |
-103 |
9 h 43 m |
Show
|
7* Bulls/Warriors ESPN *BAILOUT* on Chicago +14
The Key: The Chicago Bulls have a way of playing to their competition. They beat teams they're not expected to, and they lost to teams they shouldn't. The Bulls are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. I think they'll put up a great effort tonight against the Golden State Warriors and easily stay within this 14-point spread. The Bulls are 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. They beat the 76ers by 13 at home, went on the road and upset the Thunder by 28 as 2.5-point dogs, only lost by 4 at Houston as 10-point dogs, and upset the Kings by 5 as 4.5-point road dogs. They will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days, so they are fresh right now. Take Chicago.
|
02-07-17 |
Blazers -2 v. Mavs |
Top |
114-113 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 55 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Portland Trail Blazers -2
The Key: The Portland Trail Blazers were upset at home by the Dallas Mavericks this past Friday by a final of 104-108. Now I expect them to return the favor just 4 days later as they get their shot at revenge in Dallas here Tuesday night. The Mavericks will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a loss in Denver last night. Playing in the altitude last night will also have them extra tired in this back-to-back situation. Look for the Blazers to take advantage. The road team has gone 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this series. Take Portland.
|
02-06-17 |
Mavs v. Nuggets -3.5 |
Top |
87-110 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 50 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Denver Nuggets -3.5
The Key: The Denver Nuggets have shown what they're capable of when healthy. They are 8-5 in their last 13 games overall and most of their losses during this stretch can be attributed to an injury or two. But they are almost fully healthy now and should make easy work of the Dallas Mavericks tonight. The Mavs come in overvalued after a season-high 4-game winning streak. That streak comes to an end tonight against the Nuggets. Bets against teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset win as a road underdog, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing against a team with a losing record are 34-12 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Denver.
|
02-05-17 |
Blazers v. Thunder -4.5 |
|
99-105 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Oklahoma City Thunder -4.5
The Key: For starters, the Blazers are 8-18 on the road this season, while the Thunder are 17-7 at home. This is a very small number being asked of the Thunder to cover today and I think this is a great price because of it. That's especially the case with how important home-court advantage has been in this series. The home team is 7-0 SU in ther last 7 meetings. The Thunder have won their last 3 home meetings with the Blazers by 36, 16 and 11 points, or by an average of 21 points per game. Take Oklahoma City.
|
02-04-17 |
76ers v. Heat -8.5 |
|
102-125 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 25 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Miami Heat -8.5
The Key: The Miami Heat are 9-0 SU & 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Normally I'd look to fade teams on runs like this, but not the Heat here. They have had two days off since throttling Atlanta 116-93 at home on Wednesday. And they have not only been winning during this streak, they've been blowing teams out on the regular. Their last 4 wins have come by 12, 13, 8 and 23 points. Philadelphia is 1-4 in its last 5 games overall with the 3 road games during this stretch resulting in blowout losses by 13, 18 and 16 points. And the 76ers are without Joel Embiid tonight, and they could be without two other key players in Nerlens Noel and Robert Covington, who are both questionable after sitting out their last game against the Spurs. Miami is 10-1 ATS off a home win this season. The Heat are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. Take Miami.
|
02-03-17 |
Grizzlies v. Thunder +1 |
Top |
102-114 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 47 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Oklahoma City Thunder +1
The Key: Off 3 straight losses to the Cavs, Spurs and Bulls, the Thunder will be hungry for a victory tonight. These 3 losses have them undervalued as they are now home dogs to the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies come in overvalued due to 3 straight road wins over the Jazz, Suns and Nuggets. The only impressive win in there was the Jazz, but the win over the Nuggets last time out came against a very injury-ravaged team. And it's unlikely the Grizzlies will be able to win a 4th consecutive road game here tonight. The Thunder are 16-7 at home. The home team is 7-1 SU in the last 8 meetings. The home team is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The Grizzlies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 trips to Oklahoma City. The Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. Take Oklahoma City.
|
02-02-17 |
Warriors v. Clippers +8 |
Top |
133-120 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 1 m |
Show
|
7* Warriors/Clippers TNT *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles +8
The Key: The Los Angeles Clippers are in about as tough a spot as they've been in all season here tonight. They will be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 4th game in 5 days. They will be playing on their 9th straight different court as they haven't been able to stay in the same city here over the past few weeks. I think they run out of gas tonight against the Clippers. I also like this revenge spot for the Clippers, who were embarrassed by the Warriors 98-144 on the road on January 28th just a few days ago. Look for the fresher Clippers to be the more hungry team here and to give the Warriors a run for their money, possibly pulling off the upset. Los Angeles is 13-4 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. The Warriors are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest. Take Los Angeles.
|
02-01-17 |
Hornets +15.5 v. Warriors |
Top |
111-126 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 32 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month on Charlotte Hornets +15.5
The Key: The Charlotte Hornets and Golden State Warriors just played a week ago on January 25th. The Hornets blew a 5-point lead going into the 4th quarter and lost that game 103-113 at home as Stephen Curry went off int he 4th quarter. But now the Hornets will be out for revenge in the rematch a week later, and we are getting a great price on them as 15.5-point dogs. Bets on road dogs after allowing 105 points or more in 3 straight games against an opponent off a win by 6 points or less are 35-4 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Charlotte.
|
01-31-17 |
Kings v. Rockets -11.5 |
|
83-105 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 59 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Houston Rockets -11.5
The Key: The Sacramento Kings are running on fumes right now. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 4th road game in 5 days. They aren't going to have much left in the tank for Houston tonight, which is not a good thing with the way the Rockets like to push the tempo. And they're going to be up against a hungry Houston squad that has lost 3 of their last 4 coming in. The Kings have not fared well at all in their last 3 meetings with the Rockets, 2 of which have come this season. They lost by 34 in Houston, by 13 at home, and by 35 in Houston in those 3 meetings. Look for another lopsided affair in this game as the Rockets get back on track and take advantage of an extremely tired Kings squad. The Rockets are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up loss. The Rockets are 18-6 ATS in the last 24 meetings, and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home meetings. Take Houston.
|
01-30-17 |
Grizzlies -3.5 v. Suns |
Top |
115-96 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 50 m |
Show
|
7* Grizzlies/Suns TNT *BAILOUT* on Memphis -3.5
The Key: The Memphis Grizzlies beat Toronto at home, only lost by 3 at Portland and upset Utah by 7 as 7.5-point dogs in their last 3 games overall. That's a very tough stretch, and the Grizzlies nearly went 3-0. Now they take on one of the worst teams in the NBA in the Phoenix Suns, who have lost 3 straight to the Timberwolves and Nuggets (twice) coming in. The Grizzlies are 13-3 ATS after playing a game as a road underdog this season. The Grizzlies are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 vs. Western Conference. The Suns are 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 vs. Western Conference. Take Memphis.
|
01-29-17 |
Thunder v. Cavs -7 |
|
91-107 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 30 m |
Show
|
6* Thunder/Cavs ABC *CA$H COW* on Cleveland -7
The Key: I'm seeing value on the Cleveland Cavs for once today because they have been so abysmal at the pay window of late. The Cavs are just 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The Thunder are starting to get too much respect from the books after covering 3 straight and going 8-3 ATS in their last 11 contests. But now the Thunder are without one of their best players for over a month on Enes Kanter, who broke his arm punching a chair in their last game. Kanter is a huge loss for them because he's instant offense and averages 14.4 PPG. The Cavs are 20-5 at home this season and this is a relatively small spread for them to have to cover compared to most games. Bets on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CLEVELAND) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games are 36-9 ATS since 1996. Take Cleveland.
|
01-27-17 |
Wizards v. Hawks -3 |
Top |
112-86 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 1 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Atlanta Hawks -3
The Key: The Washington Wizards have been playing great basketball over the past month. But now it's to the point where they are getting too much respect from oddsmakers and it's time to fade them. I think this is a great price on Atlanta as only 3-point home favorites now. After all, the Hawks have been playing just as good, winning 12 of their last 15 games coming in. Yet, they aren't getting the respect they deserve. And the Wizards are coming off a huge win over the Celtics in which they wore black to the game, signifying the Celtics' funerals. They put a lot into that game and won't be nearly as focused for the Hawks here. The Wizards are just 6-14 on the road this season. Washington is 7-20 ATS in its last 27 road games after scoring 120 points or more. Take Atlanta.
|
01-26-17 |
Pacers v. Wolves -3 |
|
109-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 2 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Minnesota Timberwolves -3
The Key: The Minnesota Timberwolves have won 6 of their last 8 games overall. They are finally starting to play up to their potential right now and certainly are worth a bet as only 3-point home favorites tonight over the Indiana Pacers. The Timberwolves are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Pacers are not only 6-16 SU but also 6-16 ATS on the road this season. Indiana has gone 1-10 ATS in their 11 road games this season against good free throw shooting teams that make at least 76% of their attempts. Take Minnesota.
|
01-25-17 |
Raptors v. Grizzlies -5.5 |
|
99-101 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 31 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Memphis Grizzlies -5.5
The Key: The Toronto Raptors have lost 4 straight games for the first time since March of 2015. They lost on the road to the 76ers, lost by 35 at Charlotte, lost by 12 at home to Phoenix, and fell to the Spurs last night who were playing without several key players, including star Kawhi Leonard. Now they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 6th game in 9 days. They are expected to be without leading scorer DeMar DeRozan again tonight as well. Now they have to play a Memphis Grizzlies team that has been sitting there waiting for them. The Grizzlies have had 3 days off since a home loss to Houston on Saturday. Memphis is 8-1 ATS revenging a same season loss this season. After losing 105-120 in Toronto on November 30, look for the Grizzlies to avenge that defeat and take advantage of this fatigued Raptors squad tonight. Take Memphis.
|
01-24-17 |
Spurs v. Raptors +3.5 |
Top |
108-106 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 43 m |
Show
|
7* Spurs/Raptors NBA TV *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto +3.5
The Key: The Toronto Raptors are in the midst of their first 3-game losing streak since November of 2015. I look for them to end this skid tonight with an upset home victory over the San Antonio Spurs in an inspired effort. The Spurs will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back here after a win in Brooklyn last night. They have all kinds of injuries right now as Manu Ginobli, Tony Parker and Pau Gasol are expected to sit, while Kawhi Leonard is questionable. That's not good news for them to be short-handed when this will also be their 3rd game in 4 days. The home team is 6-0 SU in the last 6 meetings between these teams with the Raptors pulling off the upset in their 2 home meetings as underdogs during this stretch. Take Toronto.
|
01-23-17 |
Warriors v. Heat +12 |
Top |
102-105 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 6 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Miami Heat +12
The Key: The Golden State Warriors have covered 5 straight games coming into this showdown with the Miami Heat. However, they are now getting way too much respect from oddsmakers. This will be a tough situation for the Warriors as they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days. They pulled away from the Magic in the second half yesterday after being tied at halftime. I think they'll struggle to win by a margin against the Miami Heat, who have won 3 straight with home victories over the Rockets. Mavs and Bucks. The Heat are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 meetings with the Warriors, which were all decided by 12 points or less despite two of those coming on the road, including a 95-107 road loss at 14.5-point dogs on January 10th. The Warriors are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. The Warriors are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Take Miami.
|
01-22-17 |
Lakers +6 v. Mavs |
|
73-122 |
Loss |
-103 |
4 h 39 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Los Angeles Lakers +6
The Key: I like the spot for the Los Angeles Lakers. They will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days here. They are coming off a 108-96 home win over the Pacers on Friday and will certainly be fresh for this game. The Mavericks will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days after an overtime home loss to the Jazz on Friday that followed up a trip to Miami on Thursday. The Lakers will also be in revenge mode here after losing each of their first 2 meetings this season at home to the Mavs. Take Los Angeles.
|
01-21-17 |
Rockets v. Grizzlies +1 |
|
119-95 |
Loss |
-105 |
17 h 5 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Memphis Grizzlies +1
The Key: Talk about a tough situation for Houston here. The Rockets will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, their 4th game in 5 days and their 11th game in 17 days. And they just played the Warriors last night and lost, so they'll likely suffer a hangover effect from that defeat and not get up to face the Grizzlies. Memphis will also be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back here, but this will be just its 3rd game in 6 days. And the Grizzlies made easy work of the Kings 107-91 last night, so they should still be fresh for this game. The Grizzlies clearly have the Rockets figured out as they won 115-109 at home and 110-105 on the road in their first 2 meetings this year. They are as well-equipped to stop the Rockets as any team in the NBA because they actually play defense. The Rockets are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 Saturday games. The Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games. The Rockets are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Memphis. Take Memphis.
|
01-20-17 |
Jazz -6 v. Mavs |
Top |
112-107 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 12 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Utah Jazz -6
The Key: The Utah Jazz have played since Monday, so they have had 3 days off to rest and ready ready for the Mavericks tonight. Dallas hasn't had the same luxury as this will be the 2nd of a back-to-back and its 3rd game in 4 days here tonight. The Mavs lost 95-99 in Miami last night, and they won't have much left in the tank for the Jazz here Friday. I look for the Jazz to continue to roll because of it after going 9-3 in their last 12 games and 4-0 in their last 4 contests coming in. Dallas has gone just 2-11 ATS in its last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take Utah.
|
01-19-17 |
Wolves v. Clippers |
Top |
104-101 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 4 m |
Show
|
7* T'Wolves/Clippers TNT *BAILOUT* on Minnesota PK
The Key: The Minnesota Timberwolves are playing up to their potential now as they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. I look for them to take advantage of a short-handed Clippers team that is now without both Chris Paul and Blake Griffin. It's well documented that they have been terrible without Paul, and that is amplified when either Griffin or DeAndre Jordan are also out. Minnesota is 26-11 ATS in road games revenging a loss vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons. The Timberwolves are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. The road team is 23-7-1 ATS in the last 31 meetings. Take Minnesota.
|
01-18-17 |
Thunder +13.5 v. Warriors |
Top |
100-121 |
Loss |
-103 |
8 h 15 m |
Show
|
7* OKC/GS ESPN *BAILOUT* on Oklahoma City +13.5
The Key: This is a great spot to fade the Golden State Warriors. They are coming off an emotional 126-91 win over Cleveland in which they put everything into that game to end a 4-game losing streak to the defending champs. I don't expect them to show up nearly as focused for the Thunder, who will be hungry after losing badly to the Clippers last time out. They'll also be out for revenge from an earlier blowout loss at Golden State in their first meeting this season. OKC is 8-1 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games this season. Bets on road dogs of 10 or more points after a blowout loss by 15 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are 29-9 ATS since 1996. Take Oklahoma City.
|
01-17-17 |
Nuggets v. Lakers +1 |
|
127-121 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 46 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Los Angeles Lakers +1
The Key: The Los Angeles Lakers are 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. But that makes them a 'play on' team today because the Lakers have gone 21-8 ATS in their last 29 home games when entering on at least a 4-game losing streak. The Nuggets played yesterday in a home win over the Magic. But the Nuggets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 during the 2nd of a back-to-back. This is a great situation for the Lakers to get a win Tuesday. Take Los Angeles.
|
01-16-17 |
Thunder v. Clippers UNDER 215.5 |
Top |
98-120 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 28 m |
Show
|
7* Thunder/Clippers TNT *BAILOUT* on UNDER 215.5
The Key: This is an inflated total tonight between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Los Angeles Clippers. These are two of the better defensive teams in the NBA. The Clippers rank 6th in the league in defensive efficiency, while the Thunder are 8th in the same category. These teams have already played 3 times this season and this will be their 4th and final meeting, so they are obviously familiar with one another. They have averaged just 196 combined points in those 3 meetings. OKC is 11-0 UNDER offf 3 straight games with 55 or more rebounds this season. The UNDER is 6-0 in Clippers last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The UNDER is 6-1 in Clippers last 7 home games. The UNDER is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles. Take the UNDER.
|
01-15-17 |
Wolves v. Mavs -1.5 |
|
87-98 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Dallas Mavericks -1.5
The Key: The Mavericks are well-rested and ready to go. They will be playing just their 2nd game in 6 days here after their trip to Mexico City and win over Phoenix. And they want revenge from a 92-101 loss to the Timberwolves on January 9th. So they obviously don't have to wait long to exact that revenge here as they face them less than a week later. The Timberwolves are starting to get too much credit from the books because they have won 3 straight while going 4-0 ATS in their last 4. The Mavs basically just have to win this game at home to cover. The Timberwolves are 5-13 SU & 6-12 ATS in their 18 road games this year. The Timberwolves are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Take Dallas.
|
01-14-17 |
Lakers v. Clippers UNDER 216.5 |
|
97-113 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 50 m |
Show
|
6* Saturday NBA *Total* Annihilator on Lakers/Clippers UNDER 216.5
The Key: It's clear that when you look at the series history between the Lakers and Clippers that this total has been set too high Saturday. The UNDER is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings and they haven't combined for more than 213 points in any of those 8 contests. They have averaged just 192.1 combined points per game in their last 8 meetings. Enough said. Take the UNDER.
|
01-13-17 |
Magic +7.5 v. Blazers |
Top |
115-109 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 14 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Orlando Magic +7.5
The Key: We are getting a great price on the Orlando Magic today because they have lost 6 of their last 7 games. I think they have a great shot to pull off the upset here against a Blazers team in a bad situation. The Blazers put a lot into their win over the Cavaliers on Wednesday, and I think they come out flat here tonight against a Magic team that will want this game more. The Magic will be the fresher team as this will be their 2nd game in 5 days, while the Blazers will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and 6th game in 10 days. Orlando is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 road games against Northwest opponents. Portland is just 7-19 ATS in its last 26 games following a straight up win. Take Orlando.
|
01-12-17 |
Mavs -2 v. Suns |
|
113-108 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 16 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Dallas Mavericks -2
The Key: I like this situation for the Mavs. They will be hungry for a win after losing 3 straight. And adding to that hunger is the fact that they just lost to the Suns 7 days ago 95-102, so they'll be in revenge mode here. The Mavs had won 4 straight over the Suns prior to that defeat by 13, 10, 16 and 3 points. Phoenix is 1-10 ATS in road games when playing only its 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons. Dallas is 25-11 ATS after losing 3 of its last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. The Mavericks are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss. The Suns are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 vs. Western Conference. The Suns are 18-37 ATS in their last 55 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Take Dallas.
|
01-11-17 |
Grizzlies +5 v. Thunder |
Top |
95-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 36 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Memphis Grizzlies +5
The Key: I like catching 5 points here with the Memphis Grizzlies as this is clearly the value side tonight. The Grizzlies thumped the Thunder 114-80 as 1.5-point home favorites on December 29th. Now they're catching 5 points in the rematch. Certainly the Thunder will be hungry for revenge, but I think it is adjusted too much. The Grizzlies rank 2nd in the NBA in defensive efficiency and they have the formula to stop Russell Westbrook with one of the best PG defenders in the NBA in Mike Conley. He frustrated Westbrook so much so that he was ejected with two technical fouls in their recent meeting. The Grizzlies are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 vs. Western Conference. Take Memphis.
|
01-10-17 |
Pistons v. Kings -2 |
|
94-100 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 39 m |
Show
|
6* Pistons/Kings Tuesday NBA *BAILOUT* on Sacramento -2
The Key: The Kings come in hungry for a victory after losing 5 of their last 6 contests. They have played a very tough schedule here of late, but it lightens up tonight against the Pistons, and I look for them to take advantage. The Pistons are just 8-12 SU & 8-12 ATS on the road this year. The Kings are 8-0 ATS after playing a game as a home underdog this season. The Pistons are 8-19 ATS in their last 27 road games against Western Conference teams. The Pistons are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win. The Kings are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss, and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games off a loss by more than 10 points. Take Sacramento.
|
01-09-17 |
Thunder v. Bulls -1 |
|
109-94 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 57 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Chicago Bulls -1
The Key: The Chicago Bulls have really started playing up to their potential here of late since benching Rajon Rondo. They have gone 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games overall with a 118-111 win over Charlotte, a 106-94 win at Cleveland and a 123-118 victory over Toronto. Now they take on Russell Westbrook and the Oklahoma City Thunder at home here tonight. The Bulls are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning record, so they have upped their level of play against the better teams in this league. The Thunder are 1-9 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Oklahoma City is 1-10 ATS in road games vs. Central Division opponents over the last 3 years. Take Chicago.
|
01-08-17 |
Rockets -2.5 v. Raptors |
Top |
129-122 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 10 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston Rockets -2.5
The Key: The Toronto Raptors just played an overtime game in Chicago last night. They won't have much left to give in this 2nd of a back-to-back Sunday. Now they have to face the hottest team in the NBA in the Houston Rockets, who are 18-2 in their last 20 games overall. The Rockets will run them out of the building here. The Rockets are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 road games. Take Houston.
|
01-07-17 |
Raptors -2 v. Bulls |
|
118-123 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 44 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Toronto Raptors -2
The Key: The Chicago Bulls are coming off their biggest win of the season, a 106-94 road win at Cleveland. But keep him mind that Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love both sat out that game. Still, they are feeling good about themselves for beating Lebron James. I think they have a letdown here in their next game against the Toronto Raptors, who may well be the best team in the East. They are 24-11 on the season, but they will be focused here after dropping 3 of their last 5 games coming in. Chicago is 4-14 ATS off a road win by 10 points or more over the last 3 years. The Raptors are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 vs. Eastern Conference. The Bulls are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win. Take Toronto.
|
01-06-17 |
Cavs v. Nets +13.5 |
Top |
116-108 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 40 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Brooklyn Nets +13.5
The Key: The Brooklyn Nets will be amped up to face the defending champion Cleveland Cavaliers tonight. And they catch the Cavs at a good time as they are as banged-up as they have been all season. Both Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love sat out last game and are questionable to return tonight. Lebron James is dealing with an ankle injury, and JR Smith remains out. It's no wonder they lost at home to the Bulls 94-106 last time out. Now they're being asked to go on the road and beat the Nets by 14-plus points to cover this number. The Nets upset the Cavs 104-95 as 9.5-point home dogs in the last meeting in Brooklyn. The Cavs are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games after four straight games where they forced 14 or fewer turnovers. The Cavaliers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home. Cleveland is 16-33-2 ATS in its last 51 games vs. a team with a losing record. The Nets are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Take Brooklyn.
|
01-05-17 |
Jazz v. Raptors -4.5 |
Top |
93-101 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 18 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto Raptors -4.5
The Key: The Toronto Raptors just finished a brutal road trip in which they lost three of their final four games, including two to the Warriors and Spurs. Now they'll be hungry to get back in the win column as they return home to face the Utah Jazz tonight. The Raptors are 11-5 at home this season and outscoring their opponents by nearly 12 points per game. The Jazz are still without starting point guard George Hill and will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days here after losing to the Celtics 104-115 on Tuesday. The Raptors are 6-1 SU and a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings with the Jazz. Look for the one-sided nature of this series to continue Thursday night. Take Toronto.
|
01-04-17 |
Heat v. Kings -8 |
|
107-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Sacramento Kings -8
The Key: The Miami Heat are in a very tough situation here. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days. They have now lost 6 in a row and are starting to wear down. They have been crushed by injuries too as Hassan Whiteside, Justise Winslow and Josh McRoberts will miss tonight's game. Not to mention, James Johnson, Dion Waiters, Tyler Johnson and Goran Dragic are all dealing with injuries right now. The Kings played last night as well, but they had two days off before that game and will be the fresher team by far. They won 120-113 in Denver last night. And that makes them fit into a nice trend this season in which they've gone 7-0 ATS in their following game after allowing 110 points or more this year. Take Sacramento.
|
01-03-17 |
Jazz v. Celtics -5.5 |
Top |
104-115 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 3 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Boston Celtics -5.5
The Key: The Utah Jazz are in a tough situation here as they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days. They were tied with the Nets on the road last night at the end of 3 quarters before outscoring them 31-19 in the 4th to pull away for a 12-point win. Now they won't have much left in the tank to face the Boston Celtics, who haven't played since Friday, giving them 3 days off in between games. The Jazz are 10-23 ATS in their last 33 games as road underdogs. The Jazz are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Celtics are 7-2-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings, including 5-0-2 ATS in their last 7 home meetings. Take Boston.
|
01-02-17 |
Wizards +9.5 v. Rockets |
|
91-101 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 55 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Washington Wizards +9.5
The Key: The Houston Rockets have won 15 of their last 17 games overall, and as a result backers are paying a premium to bet on them moving forward. They failed to cover as 12.5-point favorites in a 7-point home win over the Knicks last time out, and now they're being asked to lay 9.5 points to the Washington Wizards. The Wizards will stay within the number tonight and have a chance to win this game in the closing minutes. They have turned the corner but don't get any respect from oddsmakers. The Wizards are 7-2 SU & 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. They have scored at least 105 points in 8 of those 9 games, so they have the firepower to keep up with the Rockets. A whopping 9 straight meetings between the Wizards and Rockets have been decided by 8 points or fewer. The road team has won 5 straight meetings outright, and the road team is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Take Washington.
|
12-31-16 |
Clippers v. Thunder -5.5 |
|
88-114 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5
The Key: The effects of missing Blake Griffin and Chris Paul are starting to show for the Clippers. They are 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Now they're in a brutal situation as they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days. Making matters worse is that they got in a shootout with the Rockets last night, who put up 140 points on them. That makes this back-to-back even tougher. The Thunder had yesterday off and will be hungry to bounce back from a bad loss in Memphis on Thursday in which Russell Westbrook was ejected. The Clippers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Thunder are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. The Thunder are 27-10-2 ATS in their last 39 Saturday games. Take Oklahoma City.
|
12-30-16 |
Nets +8 v. Wizards |
|
95-118 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 4 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Brooklyn Nets +8
The Key: It's time to fade the Washington Wizards, who are 8-3 SU & 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Now they find themselves laying a big number here against the Brooklyn Nets. You can count on three fingers how many times the Wizards have won a game by more than 7 points this season. That's right, in their 31 games, they have only won by 8 or more 3 times. The Nets are playing well right now themselves as they beat the Hornets 120-118 as 7-point dogs and then only lost 99-101 at Chicago as 9.5-point dogs in their last two games. Washington is 10-26 ATS off a win by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons. Star SG Bradley Beal is doubtful to play for the Wizards tonight. The Nets are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Brooklyn is 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on 1 days rest. The Nets are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. Take Brooklyn.
|
12-29-16 |
Raptors v. Suns +9 |
Top |
91-99 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 23 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month on Phoenix Suns +9
The Key: The Toronto Raptors are in a bad spot here. They will be playing their 4th straight road game, the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days. And they are coming off a 111-121 loss to Golden State last night. They rallied from 25 down in the first quarter and got within 5 in the 4th, using a ton of energy to make that comeback. Now they won't be nearly as excited to face the Suns tonight on the road. The Suns are also playing the 2nd of a back-to-back off a loss to the Spurs last night. But this is one of the deepest teams in the NBA and they can handle these back-to-backs better than most. All they have to do is stay within single-digits for us to get the cover, and I don't think that's asking too much given the tough spot for the Raptors. Phoenix is 15-4 ATS in home games off a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 years. The Suns are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS loss. The Suns are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings with the Raptors. Take Phoenix.
|
12-28-16 |
Wolves v. Nuggets -3.5 |
|
103-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 2 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Denver Nuggets -3.5
The Key: The Denver Nuggets just recently got fully healthy and are playing up to their full potential because of it. They are 4-2 in their last 6 games overall with three double-digit home victories. They blew an 8-point lead in the final two minutes to Atlanta, otherwise they'd be 5-1 during this stretch. This is a pretty short number when you consider the Minnesota Timberwolves are 5-10 SU & 5-10 ATS on the road this season. The Nuggets score 112.6 points per game at home, while the T'Wolves give up 107.2 points per game on the road. Minnesota is 3-14 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. The Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Take Denver.
|
12-26-16 |
Grizzlies v. Magic +2.5 |
|
102-112 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Orlando Magic +2.5
The Key: These teams just played earlier this month with Memphis erasing a double-digit lead in the 4th quarter to beat the Magic 95-94 at home. The Magic have not forgotten, and they've played much better since that defeat. They've gone 7-6 SU & 8-5 ATS in their 13 games since. The home team has won 4 straight meetings between these teams now. The Magic won 119-107 at home last year against the Grizzlies. Orlando is 13-3 ATS versus good defensive teams who allow a shooting percentage of 43% or less over the last 3 seasons. The Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest. The Magic are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 2 days rest. The Magic are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Take Orlando.
|
12-25-16 |
Bulls +9 v. Spurs |
|
100-119 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 55 m |
Show
|
6* Bulls/Spurs Christmas Day *CA$H COW* on Chicago +9
The Key: The San Antonio Spurs aren't putting teams away at home this season. They are only outscoring their opponents by 3.0 points per game on average at home. The Chicago Bulls are the type of team that plays well against good teams, and poorly against bad teams. That is indicated by the fact that they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600. They are also 18-8 ATS against teams who have at least a +3 PPG differential on the season over the last 2 years. The Bulls have covered 4 of their last 5 meetings with the Spurs, including an outright upset in their first meeting this season. Take Chicago.
|
12-23-16 |
Warriors v. Pistons +6.5 |
|
119-113 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 51 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Detroit Pistons +6.5
The Key: This is a great spot to fade the Golden State Warriors. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after a come-from-behind 117-101 victory over the Nets last night. They were down 11 points at halftime and had to exert a ton of effort in the 2nd half to get the win. Now they have a huge game on deck against Cleveland on Christmas Day, and you know they're going to want revenge against the defending champs. I fully expect them to have a flat effort here as they look ahead to that game. Expect the Pistons to put their best foot forward to try and end a 4-game losing streak, which has them undervalued. And the Pistons beat the Warriors 113-95 as 7-point home dogs last year. The Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. Take Detroit.
|
12-22-16 |
Warriors v. Nets +15.5 |
|
117-101 |
Loss |
-102 |
6 h 56 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Brooklyn Nets +15.5
The Key: The Golden State Warriors come in overvalued off 5 straight victories, including two blowout home wins over the Jazz and Blazers. But they have struggled on the road recently, going 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games with their largest victory coming by 8 points. The Nets are fully healthy now and will be amped up to face the Warriors at home. All they have to do is stay within 15 points to cover this massive spread, and I think they are more than capable of that. The Warriors are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The Nets are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss. The Warriors are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 trips to Brooklyn. Take Brooklyn.
|
12-21-16 |
Thunder -2 v. Pelicans |
|
121-110 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 15 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Oklahoma City Thunder -2
The Key: This is a good spot to back the Oklahoma City Thunder, who will be hungry for a win after losing 3 of their last 4 games coming in. They will be playing just their 4th game in 9 days here and will be ready to go. The same cannot be said for the Pelicans, who will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 8th game in 12 days after a win in Philadelphia last night. The Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing record. The Pelicans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Thunder are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings in New Orleans. Take Oklahoma City.
|
12-20-16 |
Spurs +1 v. Rockets |
Top |
102-100 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 48 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on San Antonio Spurs +1
The Key: The Houston Rockets have won 10 in a row and are starting to get a lot of love from oddsmakers. But they just lost starting center Clint Capela, who averages 12 points, 8 boards and nearly 2 blocks per game, to a broken leg. Look for the Spurs to capitalize on his absence and for LaMarcus Aldridge and Pau Gasol to dominate inside. The Spurs will get a ton of layups in this game with no resistance since Capela is no longer in there. San Antonio has won 4 of its last 5 meetings with Houston. The Rockets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on 2 days rest. Take San Antonio.
|
12-19-16 |
Mavs v. Nuggets -8 |
|
107-117 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 36 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Denver Nuggets -8
The Key: The Denver Nuggets are finally fully healthy and playing up to their potential now. They have won their last two games by double-digits over both Portland (132-120) and New York (127-114). I think they make it 3 straight double-digits wins against a Dallas Mavericks team in a bad spot tonight. The Mavs will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 7th game in 11 days. They have plenty of injuries and are short-handed, making this spot even tougher. Plus they have to play in the altitude in Denver tonight, only worsening matters further. I don't expect much of an effort from them here tonight. The Nuggets are 38-16-1 ATS in their last 55 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Denver is 19-6-1 ATS in its last 26 games after scoring more than 125 points in its previous game. Take Denver.
|
12-18-16 |
Nets v. 76ers -2.5 |
|
107-108 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 57 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Philadelphia 76ers -2.5
The Key: I like this spot for the 76ers, who will only be playing their 4th game in 10 days. They are rested and just returned Nerlens Noel to the lineup last time out against the Lakers, though he only played 8 minutes and voiced his frustration. After he and coach Brett Brown hashed things out, I expect a big performance from Noel here. He and Joel Embiid will dominate the paint in what will be a sign of things to come for years moving forward. This is a very winnable game for the 76ers against the Brooklyn Nets, who are just 7-18 on the season, including 1-11 in road games. They are giving up a ridiculous 118.5 points per game on the road this year. The Nets are 6-14-2 ATS in their last 22 road games. The 76ers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home. The 76ers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss. Take Philadelphia.
|
12-17-16 |
Lakers +16 v. Cavs |
|
108-119 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 15 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles Lakers +16
The Key: The Lakers finally ended an 8-game losing streak that prompted Luke Walton to call his players 'soft' heading into the Philadelphia game last night. His players responded well with a 100-89 road win over the 76ers. Now the Lakers will be amped up for a showdown with the defending champion Cavaliers, who are laying too many points here with this 16-point spread. The Lakers are as healthy as they have been all season, and they have the depth to play well again despite this being the 2nd of a back-to-back. Cleveland is 2-12 ATS after covering 5 or 6 of its last 7 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Bets on underdogs who have failed to cover 12 or more of their last 15 against opponent who covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread coming in are 81-38 ATS since 1996. Take Los Angeles.
|
12-16-16 |
Bucks v. Bulls -5 |
Top |
95-69 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 37 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *Situational* Game of the Month on Chicago Bulls -5
The Key: I like this situation here for the Chicago Bulls. They lost 97-108 in Milwaukee last night. Fortunately, they only have to wait 24 hours for their chance at revenge. And they get the Bucks at home tonight. Look for a hungry effort from them to get the win and cover here. The Bucks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest. Milwaukee is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 road games. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Bulls are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home meetings with the Bucks. Take Chicago.
|
12-15-16 |
Pacers v. Pelicans -2.5 |
|
95-102 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 52 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New Orleans Pelicans -2.5
The Key: The Pelicans are in a great situation here. They are getting healthier and nearly beat the Warriors on Tuesday at home. Now I expect them to beat a gassed Indiana Pacers team here tonight. The Pacers are on the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days. They lost in Miami last night, and they'll lose in New Orleans tonight. The Pacers are just 3-9 SU & 3-9 ATS on the road this year. They are allowing 113.6 PPG away from home on the season. Indiana is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 Thursday games. Take New Orleans.
|
12-14-16 |
Pistons v. Mavs +5.5 |
Top |
95-85 |
Loss |
-108 |
7 h 53 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Dallas Mavericks +5.5
The Key: The Dallas Mavericks are getting healthier and starting to play a lot more competitive basketball. They are coming off a 20-point home win over the Denver Nuggets. They have gone 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games overall. They are lacking respect from oddsmakers tonight once again as 5.5-point dogs. Detroit should not be favored in this game after losing 79-97 to the 76ers last time out. The Pistons also shouldn't be favored considering they are 5-9 SU & 5-9 ATS on the road this season. The Mavs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games. Take Dallas.
|
12-13-16 |
Thunder +1.5 v. Blazers |
|
95-114 |
Loss |
-108 |
10 h 52 m |
Show
|
6* Thunder/Blazers ESPN National TV *Annihilator* on Oklahoma City +1.5
The Key: The Portland Trail Blazers put a lot into their game against the Clippers last night. They wound up losing 120-121 in an absolute shootout. Now the Blazers are gassed as they will be playing their 5th game in 7 days here. That fatigue has clealry shown as the Blazers have lost 4 straight coming in. The Thunder are rested and will be playing just their 3rd game in 8 days. And the Thunder are playing very well, going 7-1 SU & 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Blazers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest. Take Oklahoma City.
|
12-12-16 |
Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 212 |
|
100-122 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* Monday NBA *Total* Annihilator on Bucks/Raptors UNDER 212
The Key: Just looking at the head-to-head history between the Bucks and Raptors shows that the books have inflated this 212-point total. Each of the last 13 meetings between Toronto and Milwaukee have seen 210 or fewer combined points. That equates to a 13-0 angle backing the UNDER in this game. You have to go all the way back to 2013 to find the last time they combined for more than 212 points. Take the UNDER.
|
12-11-16 |
Celtics v. Thunder UNDER 207 |
|
96-99 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* Sunday NBA *Total* Annihilator on Celtics/Thunder UNDER 207
The Key: The Celtics are without Isaiah Thomas right now and it really makes them a much less efficient offensive team. That was evident last time out as they scored just 94 points on 37.3% shooting against the Raptors. It does make the Celtics a better defensive team without him in there because elite PG defender Marcus Smart has to play more minutes. The Celtics only allowed 87 points and 37% shooting to the Magic and 101 points and 41.5% shooting to the Raptors in their last two games without Thomas. Smart should make things difficult for Russell Westbrook, just at Patrick Beverly did on Friday when the Rockets beat the Thunder 102-99. The UNDER is 22-7 in Celtics last 29 games playing on 1 days rest. The UNDER is 12-5 in Celtics last 17 overall. The UNDER is 6-1 in Celtics last 7 vs. Western Conference. The UNDER is 5-1 in Thunder last 6 overall. Take the UNDER.
|
12-10-16 |
Bucks v. Wizards -4 |
|
105-110 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on Washington Wizards -4
The Key: John Wall called out his teammates for their lack of effort following a 116-124 home loss to Orlando on Tuesday in which Wall scored 52 points, yet they still lost. These players seemed to respond well, allowing a season-low 85 points to the Nuggets on Thursday in a 92-85 victory. I look for them to build some momentum here with another win and cover as 4-point favorites over the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks are in a much tougher spot as they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after a 110-114 home loss to Atlanta last night. The Bucks have only played 7 road games all season and have gone 3-4, scoring just 94.7 points per game on the highway this year. Milwaukee is 4-16 ATS after having won 5 or 6 of its last 7 games over the last 3 seasons. The bucks are 7-21 ATS after playing a game as a favorite over the last 2 years. The Bucks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. The favorite is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The Wizards have won 7 of their last 9 meetings with the Bucks, including 4 straight home meetings all by an average of 14.5 points per game. Take Washington.
|
12-10-16 |
Blazers -1 v. Pacers |
Top |
111-118 |
Loss |
-108 |
8 h 37 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Portland Trail Blazers -1
The Key: We'll fade the Indiana Pacers tonight because they are a very tired team. They are coming off a 5-game road trip that concluded with a 103-111 loss at Dallas last night. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days now. After blowing a big lead at Memphis on Thursday to lose by 2, the Blazers will come back hungry here for a win. Indiana is 3-13 ATS after scoring 100 points or more in 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons. The Pacers are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games playing on 0 days rest. The Blazers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings, winning by 22, 9, 13 and 10 points. They are 5-0 straight up in the last 5 meetings as well. Take Portland.
|
12-09-16 |
Raptors v. Celtics -1.5 |
Top |
101-94 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston Celtics -1.5
The Key: We're going to fade the Toronto Raptors tonight in this tough spot for them. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 8 days. They just beat the Timberwolves 124-110 at home last night. But now they have to go on the road and take on a very tough Boston Celtics team that is coming off a 117-87 road win at Orlando despite playing without Isaiah Thomas. They will likely be without Thomas again, and that's the reason they are only 1.5-point favorites here, which has only added to the value. Bets against any team in a game involving two teams who score at least 102 points per game, after scoring 110 points or more in 4 straight games are 36-12 ATS since 1996. The Raptors are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 trips to Boston. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take Boston.
|
12-08-16 |
Spurs v. Bulls +4.5 |
|
91-95 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 36 m |
Show
|
6* Spurs/Bulls TNT National TV *Annihilator* on Chicago Bulls +4.5
The Key: The San Antonio Spurs are getting way too much credit from oddsmakers because of their 13-0 road record this season. But the Bulls are the value play here because they have lost 3 straight coming in and will be hungry for a victory and to end this Spurs streak. The Bulls have actually won their last 2 home meetings with the Spurs outright as underdogs, winning 92-89 as 4.5-point dogs last year, and 104-81 as 5.5-point dogs the year before. The Spurs are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 Thursday games. The Bulls are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 Thursday games. The Bulls are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Take Chicago.
|
12-07-16 |
Heat v. Hawks -8.5 |
Top |
95-103 |
Loss |
-108 |
6 h 52 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Atlanta Hawks -8.5
The Key: There's a good reason the Atlanta Hawks are favored by 8.5 tonight despite losing 7 straight and 10 of their last 11 overall. It's because they will be hungry for a victory to end the skid, and they are fully healthy now, which wasn't the case during the losing streak. And also because the Miami Heat are not healthy and in a tough spot. The Heat are playing the 2nd of a back-to-back here after losing at home to the Knicks 103-114 last night. They are expected to be without several key players in Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Luke Babbitt, James Johnson, Dion Waiters and Chris Bosh. The Hawks are 30-15 ATS in their last 45 home games following 5 or more straight losses. Take Atlanta.
|
12-07-16 |
Celtics v. Magic |
|
117-87 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Boston Celtics PK
The Key: The Orlando Magic will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back here and their 5th game in 7 days. That's one of the toughest situations you will find in the NBA. The Boston Celtics should take advantage here despite likely being without the services of Isaiah Thomas. The Magic won't have anything left in the tank here, especially after playing in a 124-116 shootout in Washington last night. The Celtics are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Magic are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games. Orlando is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 Wednesday games. Take Boston.
|
12-06-16 |
Spurs v. Wolves +4.5 |
Top |
105-91 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 17 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Minnesota Timberwolves +4.5
The Key: The San Antonio Spurs will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after their 97-96 win in Milwaukee last night kept their road record a perfect 12-0 on the season. But I believe that perfect record comes to an end tonight against the Minnesota Timberwolves, who have had 2 days off since beating the Hornets in overtime on Saturday. I'll take these young rested Timberwolves against the veteran Spurs on no rest every time. The Spurs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. a team with a team with a winning percentage below .500. Take Minnesota.
|
12-05-16 |
Celtics +5.5 v. Rockets |
|
106-107 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 11 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Boston Celtics +5.5
The Key: This is a great situation to fade the Houston Rockets. They are coming off a 4-1 road trip and this will be their first game back home. Players get distracted with duties at home in their first game back from a long road trip. We saw that last night with the Clippers losing outright to the Pacers as 12.5-point favorites (we had the Pacers) as they returned from a long trip themselves. I think the Celtics win this game outright as they catch the Rockets in a flat spot, especially off back-to-back road wins over the Warriors and Nuggets. The road team is 4-1 SU in the last 5 meetings, including a 111-95 Celtics win as 4.5-point dogs in Houston last season. The Celtics are 18-4 ATS in road games vs. teams who score at least 103 points per game over the last 3 seasons. The Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 2 days rest. Take Boston.
|
12-04-16 |
Pacers +12.5 v. Clippers |
|
111-102 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
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6* Pacers/Clippers NBA *BAILOUT* on Indiana +12.5
The Key: I always like fading teams off a long road trip in their first game back home. The Los Angeles Clippers just completed a 6-game road trip with back-to-back wins over the Cavs and Pelicans on consecutive nights. Now they've only been home for one day, and players usually have a bunch of family priorities when they get back from these long trips. Their focus isn't on basketball. The Clippers are going to need to be focused to cover this huge 12.5-point spread against the Pacers. The Pacers will be fresh and ready to go as they're working on 3 days rest right now having last played on Wednesday. Indiana is 21-7 ATS when playing 4 or fewer games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons. The Pacers are 19-6-2 ATS in their last 27 games playing on 3 or more days rest. The Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference. The Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Los Angeles. Take Indiana.
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12-03-16 |
Suns +16 v. Warriors |
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109-138 |
Loss |
-102 |
11 h 59 m |
Show
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6* Suns/Warriors NBA *BAILOUT* on Phoenix +16
The Key: The Phoenix Suns are once again catching too many points against the Golden State Warriors. The Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings with the Warriors, losing all 4 meetings by 8, 7, 6 and 13 points. They have already faced the Warriors twice this season, so it's not like Golden State is going to be all that motivated to beat them for a 3rd time. And it's going to take a motivated Warriors team to cover this massive 16-point spread. The Suns are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Take Phoenix.
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12-02-16 |
Rockets v. Nuggets -4 |
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128-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 2 m |
Show
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6* Rockets/Nuggets ESPN National TV *Annihilator* on Denver -4
The Key: The Rockets just played a double-OT thriller in Golden State last night and pulled off the upset as double-digit underdogs. They aren't going to have much left to give tonight here on the road against the Denver Nuggets a night later. While Houston should have an off game because of the circumstances, Denver should be primed for once of its best games of the season as it will be excited to play on National TV on ESPN. Plus the Nuggets have lost 3 of their last 4 and need a win here. Denver has won 3 straight meetings with Houston while covering the spread in all three. The Nuggets are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing at least 105 points in 5 straight games coming in. Take Denver.
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12-02-16 |
Clippers v. Pelicans +5.5 |
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114-96 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 32 m |
Show
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6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New Orleans Pelicans +5.5
The Key: The Los Angeles Clippers are coming off a huge road win over the Cleveland Cavaliers last night. Now they're in a prime letdown spot here against the New Orleans Pelicans, and they're a tired team playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after losing in double-OT to Brooklyn on Tuesday as well. The Pelicans are 5-2 SU & 5-2 ATS since Jrue Holiday returned to the lineup. Four of those wins have come by 12 points or more as well. They are playing their best ball of the season and are primed to upset the Clippers here, especially since they've had 2 days off in between games. New Orleans is 26-12 ATS as a home dog over the last 3 seasons. The Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Clippers are 10-24 ATS in the last 34 meetings and 5-16 ATS in the last 21 road meetings. Take New Orleans.
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