12-08-16 |
Vanderbilt v. Middle Tennessee -2 |
|
48-71 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 31 m |
Show
|
6* Thursday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Middle Tennessee -2
The Key: Middle Tennessee is one of the most underrated teams in the country. This is a squad that went 25-10 last year and upset No. 2 Michigan State in the NCAA Tournament. They brought back their top two scorers from that team in Giddy Potts and Reggie Upshaw. Now they're off to an 8-1 start this season which includes wins over Toledo (twice), Evansville and a 77-62 road win at Ole Miss, which was their most impressive win yet. Vanderbilt is in a rebuilding phase in the 1st year of Bryce Drew after losing its two best players to the NBA. The Commodores are 5-4 this season with losses to Marquette, Bucknell, Butler and Minnesota. The Commodores are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog. The Blue Raiders are 34-15-2 ATS in their last 51 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Middle Tennessee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games as a home favorite of 0.5 to 6.5 points. Take Middle Tennessee.
|
12-07-16 |
Heat v. Hawks -8.5 |
Top |
95-103 |
Loss |
-108 |
6 h 52 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Atlanta Hawks -8.5
The Key: There's a good reason the Atlanta Hawks are favored by 8.5 tonight despite losing 7 straight and 10 of their last 11 overall. It's because they will be hungry for a victory to end the skid, and they are fully healthy now, which wasn't the case during the losing streak. And also because the Miami Heat are not healthy and in a tough spot. The Heat are playing the 2nd of a back-to-back here after losing at home to the Knicks 103-114 last night. They are expected to be without several key players in Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Luke Babbitt, James Johnson, Dion Waiters and Chris Bosh. The Hawks are 30-15 ATS in their last 45 home games following 5 or more straight losses. Take Atlanta.
|
12-07-16 |
George Washington v. Temple -8.5 |
|
66-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 47 m |
Show
|
6* Wednesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Temple -8.5
The Key: The Temple Owls have been one of the most impressive teams in the country in the early going. They are 6-2 on the season with their two losses coming by a combined 8 points. They have outright wins as underdogs over Florida State as 10-point dogs, West Virginia as 12.5-point dogs and St. Joe's as 1.5-point dogs. George Washington is clearly down this season as it lost a lot of talent from last year. The Colonials are just 5-4 SU & 1-6 ATS on the season. They just lost to Florida State by 21 points in their last game, giving these teams a common opponent. And the Colonials are tired right now as this will be their 3rd game in 5 days. The Owls are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. TheOwls are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Take Temple.
|
12-07-16 |
Celtics v. Magic |
|
117-87 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Boston Celtics PK
The Key: The Orlando Magic will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back here and their 5th game in 7 days. That's one of the toughest situations you will find in the NBA. The Boston Celtics should take advantage here despite likely being without the services of Isaiah Thomas. The Magic won't have anything left in the tank here, especially after playing in a 124-116 shootout in Washington last night. The Celtics are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Magic are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games. Orlando is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 Wednesday games. Take Boston.
|
12-06-16 |
Spurs v. Wolves +4.5 |
Top |
105-91 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 17 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Minnesota Timberwolves +4.5
The Key: The San Antonio Spurs will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after their 97-96 win in Milwaukee last night kept their road record a perfect 12-0 on the season. But I believe that perfect record comes to an end tonight against the Minnesota Timberwolves, who have had 2 days off since beating the Hornets in overtime on Saturday. I'll take these young rested Timberwolves against the veteran Spurs on no rest every time. The Spurs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. a team with a team with a winning percentage below .500. Take Minnesota.
|
12-06-16 |
Green Bay +7 v. Central Michigan |
|
97-107 |
Loss |
-115 |
5 h 5 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Wisconsin-Green Bay +7
The Key: Wisconsin-Green Bay and Central Michigan just played less than two weeks ago on November 26th. The Chippewas won 89-77 as 5-point road underdogs over the Phoenix. Now it's time for the Phoenix to return the favor and win on Central Michigan's home court as 7-point dogs in the rematch. The Chippewas made 14-of-36 from 3-point range in the first meeting, and that's not going to happen again. The Phoenix will make the proper adjustments here and will clearly be the more hungry team. Green Bay is 50-23 ATS in its last 73 when revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 points or more. Green Bay is 6-0 ATS in road games vs. teams who average 12 or fewer assists per game over the last 2 seasons. The Phoenix are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 0.5-6.5. The Chippewas are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. Take Green Bay.
|
12-06-16 |
Princeton v. California -2 |
|
51-62 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 5 m |
Show
|
6* Tuesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on California -2
The Key: There is a huge talent gap here between California and Princeton. The Golden Bears should be much bigger than 2-point favorites in this game as a result. But the reason they aren't is because despite the fact that they are 6-1 straight up, they are just 1-6 ATS this season. So bettors have been burnt by them all season. However, they were a double-digit favorite in 6 of those 7 games, and this 2-point spread is by far the smallest price on the Golden Bears yet this season. It's time to back them while they are undervalued. Princeton already has road losses to BYU, Lehigh and VCU and won't be able to compete with Cal here, either. The Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. Take California.
|
12-05-16 |
Wisc-Milwaukee v. Montana State -8 |
|
83-78 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 5 m |
Show
|
6* Monday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Montana State -8
The Key: The Montana State Bobcats are a team on the rise as they are in their 3rd year under Brian Fish. They returned 3 starters from last year, including sophomore sensation Tyler Hall, who averaged 19.2 points as a freshman. Hall has picked up where he left off with 22.6 points per game this season. Zach Green (12.8 PPG, 5.8 RPG) and Quinton Everett (9.9 PPG) are the other returning starters. Harald Frey (11.0 PPG, 4.8 APG) was a big catch for Fish this offseason. The Bobcats boast elite shooters as they are averaging 11 made 3-pointers per game at a 39.8% clip. Montana State is 5-0 at home this season. Wisconsin-Milwaukee had to break in 5 new starters this year and is clearly down. It is just 1-5 on the road this year, losing to Memphis by 14, DePaul by 18, East Tennessee State by 24 and South Dakota State by 23. Wisconsin-Milwaukee is coming off a 69-75 loss at Montana on Saturday and has only had one day to prepare for Montana State. The Bobcats have had three days off since a loss to Utah on Thursday. The Bobcats' only three losses this season have all come on the road, but they were competitive in each one as they lost by 4 at Washington State as 10-point dogs, by 5 at Rice as 10.5-point dogs and by 8 at Utah as 17-point dogs. The Bobcats are 8-1 ATS after allowing 85 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Milwaukee is 3-14 ATS versus good 3-point shooting teams who make 37% or more of their attempts over the last 3 years. Take Montana State.
|
12-05-16 |
Colts v. Jets +1.5 |
Top |
41-10 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 36 m |
Show
|
7* IND/NYJ AFC *HEAVY HITTER* on New York +1.5
The Key: The biggest reason for the Colts having a better record to this point than the Jets is that they have played an easier schedule. They have played the 6th-easiest slate of games this season, while the Jets have played the 5th-hardest. I think we see the Jets rise to the occasion here on Monday Night Football as this may be the last time we get max effort out of them because they are on such a big stage. The Colts have been outgained in 7 of their last 8 games overall and just aren't a very good team, mainly because of their defense that ranks 30th in the league. And that defense has some huge injuries right now as LB Robert Mathis, S Clayton Geathers and CB Patrick Robinson are all expected to miss this game. Not to mention CB Vontae Davis is questionable with a groin injury that has made him ineffective in recent weeks. The Jets' defensive line has a huge advantage against the Colts' offensive line, which has given up 36 sacks this season. The Jets have been a great late-season bet as they are 10-1-2 ATS in their last 13 December games. Take New York.
|
12-05-16 |
Celtics +5.5 v. Rockets |
|
106-107 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 11 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Boston Celtics +5.5
The Key: This is a great situation to fade the Houston Rockets. They are coming off a 4-1 road trip and this will be their first game back home. Players get distracted with duties at home in their first game back from a long road trip. We saw that last night with the Clippers losing outright to the Pacers as 12.5-point favorites (we had the Pacers) as they returned from a long trip themselves. I think the Celtics win this game outright as they catch the Rockets in a flat spot, especially off back-to-back road wins over the Warriors and Nuggets. The road team is 4-1 SU in the last 5 meetings, including a 111-95 Celtics win as 4.5-point dogs in Houston last season. The Celtics are 18-4 ATS in road games vs. teams who score at least 103 points per game over the last 3 seasons. The Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 2 days rest. Take Boston.
|
12-04-16 |
Pacers +12.5 v. Clippers |
|
111-102 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
|
6* Pacers/Clippers NBA *BAILOUT* on Indiana +12.5
The Key: I always like fading teams off a long road trip in their first game back home. The Los Angeles Clippers just completed a 6-game road trip with back-to-back wins over the Cavs and Pelicans on consecutive nights. Now they've only been home for one day, and players usually have a bunch of family priorities when they get back from these long trips. Their focus isn't on basketball. The Clippers are going to need to be focused to cover this huge 12.5-point spread against the Pacers. The Pacers will be fresh and ready to go as they're working on 3 days rest right now having last played on Wednesday. Indiana is 21-7 ATS when playing 4 or fewer games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons. The Pacers are 19-6-2 ATS in their last 27 games playing on 3 or more days rest. The Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference. The Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Los Angeles. Take Indiana.
|
12-04-16 |
Bowling Green +20 v. Cincinnati |
|
56-85 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 51 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Bowling Green +20
The Key: This is a perfect situation to fade the Cincinnati Bearcats. I expect them to be flat in this spot Sunday against Bowling Green. They went on the road and beat Iowa State in overtime on Thursday night. They play Butler this coming weekend in their next game. They could care less about blowing out Bowling Green tonight with this game being in between both of those two huge contests. I look for the Falcons to take them right down to the wire. The Falcons are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after playing their previous 2 games at home. They haven't lost by more than 16 points this season. Take Bowling Green.
|
12-04-16 |
Redskins v. Cardinals -2.5 |
|
23-31 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 51 m |
Show
|
6* Redskins/Cardinals NFC *CA$H COW* on Arizona -2.5
The Key: The Arizona Cardinals are the definition of a team that is better than their 4-6-1 record. The Cardinals actually rank 1st in the NFL in yardage differential while outgaining their opponents by 75.1 yards per game on average. They are 4th in yards per play differential as well, bolstered by their league-best defensive yards per play of just 4.7 allowed. The Cardinals will be giving it their all here as this is their last chance to turn their season around. They may need to run the table to make the playoffs. They are 2 games behind Washington for the final wild card spot in the NFC, and conveniently they play the Redskins here. You'll see some fire from this team Sunday as I expect a blowout. And this is a great matchup for the Cardinals because they are No. 1 in total defense and No. 2 against the pass, allowing just 195.1 passing yards per game. Washington is a pass-heavy team, and Kirk Cousins will have one of his worst performances of the season Sunday. Arizona is 41-22 ATS in its last 63 home games off 2 or more consecutive losses. Bruce Arians is 6-0 ATS against NFC East opponents as the coach of the Cardinals. Take Arizona.
|
12-04-16 |
Rams +13.5 v. Patriots |
Top |
10-26 |
Loss |
-108 |
11 h 16 m |
Show
|
7* NFL Dog of the Year on Los Angeles Rams +13.5
The Key: The fact that the Los Angeles Rams got blown out by the Saints on the road last week has added value to this line. The betting public wants nothing to do with them after that blowout. But they will show up Sunday to face a team the caliber of the Patriots. And the Patriots just aren't the normal Patriots right now. They are without Rob Gronkowski because of a season-ending injury, and Tom Brady missed a lot of practice this week with a knee injury. The Patriots were lucky to win 22-17 over the Jets last week, and they lost their last home game to the Seahawks. They aren't going to win this game by 2 touchdowns, so they shouldn't be 13.5-point favorites in their current state. After all, the Patriots are just 11-25-1 ATS in their last 37 games as double-digit favorites. And Jeff Fisher has been dominant in the underdog role. Fisher is 14-3 ATS off a loss by 14 points or more as the coach of the Rams, and they're coming back to actually win these games 18.9 to 16.1 on average. Take Los Angeles.
|
12-04-16 |
Lions v. Saints OVER 52 |
|
28-13 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 16 m |
Show
|
6* Sunday NFL *Total* Annihilator on Lions/Saints OVER 52
The Key: Expect a good old fashioned shootout in the Superdome Sunday when the New Orleans Saints host the Detroit Lions. The Saints boast the league's No. 1 ranked offense that just put up 49 points on a good Rams defense last week. They still have one of the worst defenses in the NFL, and the Lions have faced the easiest opposing offenses of anyone thus far, so their defensive numbers aren't as bad as they will be in the coming weeks. The Over is 9-2 in Saints last 11 home games. They are combining with their opponents to average 64.7 points per game at home this season. The OVER is 34-14-3 in Lions last 51 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. The OVER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings, which included a 35-27 road victory by Detroit last season and 62 combined points. Take the OVER.
|
12-03-16 |
Suns +16 v. Warriors |
|
109-138 |
Loss |
-102 |
11 h 59 m |
Show
|
6* Suns/Warriors NBA *BAILOUT* on Phoenix +16
The Key: The Phoenix Suns are once again catching too many points against the Golden State Warriors. The Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings with the Warriors, losing all 4 meetings by 8, 7, 6 and 13 points. They have already faced the Warriors twice this season, so it's not like Golden State is going to be all that motivated to beat them for a 3rd time. And it's going to take a motivated Warriors team to cover this massive 16-point spread. The Suns are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Take Phoenix.
|
12-03-16 |
Gonzaga -4.5 v. Arizona |
|
69-62 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 54 m |
Show
|
6* Gonzaga/Arizona ESPN *CA$H COW* on Gonzaga -4.5
The Key: Gonzaga wants this one badly. Arizona has beaten Gonzaga in all 3 meetings each of the past 3 seasons, including a 68-63 win in the 2014 NCAA Tournament. "Like I said, we've got something for them. Send a message Saturday," Gonzaga guard Josh Perkins said after a 97-63 home victory over Mississippi Valley State improved the Bulldogs to 7-0 on Thursday night. "We feel like we owe them some payback. It's been some years building up. Saturday's a time for us to get back at them." There chances at revenge are good. Arizona is expected to have only seven available scholarship players after the team's latest injury. Starting point guard Parker Jackson-Cartwright suffered a high ankle sprain Wednesday in a win over Texas Southern, with coach Sean Miller saying the junior would be out for a "considerable" period of time. Arizona previously lost two players to torn ACLs, an incoming freshman turned pro and sophomore guard Allonzo Trier, the team's top returning scorer at 14.8 points per game, hasn't played yet because of unspecified eligibility issues. It's no surprise the Wildcats are struggling early with narrow wins over Michigan State, CS-Bakersfield and Santa Clara, as well as a loss to Butler. Take Gonzaga.
|
12-03-16 |
UL-Lafayette v. UL-Monroe +6.5 |
|
30-3 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* Saturday NCAAF *UPSET SPECIAL* on Louisiana-Monroe +6.5
The Key: This has been a very closely-contested in-state rivalry. Six of the last 7 meetings between UL-Monroe and UL-Lafayette have been decided by a touchdown or less. Monroe has played pretty well at home this year, beating both South Alabama and Texas State, while only losing to Idaho by 3. That's an Idaho team that is 5-2 in Sen Belt play this year. The Warhawks have been running the ball well in conference play as they average 204.3 rushing yards per game. Lafayette is in a prime letdown spot in this game. It beat Arkansas State 24-19 at home last week, handing the Red Wolves their first conference loss of the season. But the Rajin' Cajuns were thoroughly outplayed in that game as they were outgained by 229 yards. They shouldn't be laying nearly a touchdown on the road to the Warhawks a week later in this clear letdown spot, especially considering the Warhawks have had 2 full weeks to prepare for this game after last playing on November 19. The underdog is 16-2-1 ATS in the last 19 meetings. Take Louisiana-Monroe.
|
12-03-16 |
Oklahoma State +11 v. Oklahoma |
Top |
20-38 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 44 m |
Show
|
7* Okie State/Oklahoma Big 12 *HEAVY HITTER* on Oklahoma State +11
The Key: This is a much more evenly-matched game than this spread would indicate, and thus I find value on the double-digit underdog in this rivalry game with the Big 12 title at stake. Oklahoma State is outscoring teams by 13.2 PPG this season and Oklahoma by 14.8 PPG. The Sooners can't be trusted to cover this big number because they have their worst defense in years. They allow 30.5 points, 443 yards per game and 5.9 yards per play this season. Two of the three meetings between these teams between 2012 and 2014 went to overtime, and the other was decided by 9 points. But the Cowboys will be out for revenge from their 58-23 loss to the Sooners last year. That was closer than the score as the Sooners only outgained the Cowboys by 67 yards. The Cowboys have actually played their best on the road this season as they won 44-20 at Kansas, 43-37 at Kansas State and 31-6 at TCU. They were dogs in those latter two games. The Cowboys are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after rushing for more than 200 yards in their previous game. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Take Oklahoma State.
|
12-03-16 |
Temple v. Navy UNDER 61 |
|
34-10 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* Temple/Navy AAC Championship *CA$H COW* on UNDER 61
The Key: Navy has been putting up video game-type numbers offensively of late against very suspect defenses, which has inflated this total. They scored 75 on SMU just last week to cover the over themselves. But now they'll be up against one of the best defenses they've faced all year. Temple only gives up 17.8 points and 273 yards per game. And the Owls are elite at stopping the run, giving up only 128 rushing yards per game and 3.6 per carry. I don't expect either team to get to 30 points in this game as it's played on the ground as both teams prefer to run the football. Temple averages 42 rushes compared to 27 passes per game. There will be plenty of punts in this game, something that Navy hasn't been accustomed to doing in recent weeks. Navy is 26-10 UNDER in its last 36 vs. teams who possess the ball for 32 or more minutes per game. The UNDER is 4-0 in Owls last 4 games overall. The UNDER is 7-2 in Owls last 9 games vs. a team with a winning record. Each of the last 6 meetings between these teams have seen 60 or fewer combined points and an average of 53 points per game. There is clearly value with the UNDER in this contest. Take the UNDER.v
|
12-02-16 |
Rockets v. Nuggets -4 |
|
128-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 2 m |
Show
|
6* Rockets/Nuggets ESPN National TV *Annihilator* on Denver -4
The Key: The Rockets just played a double-OT thriller in Golden State last night and pulled off the upset as double-digit underdogs. They aren't going to have much left to give tonight here on the road against the Denver Nuggets a night later. While Houston should have an off game because of the circumstances, Denver should be primed for once of its best games of the season as it will be excited to play on National TV on ESPN. Plus the Nuggets have lost 3 of their last 4 and need a win here. Denver has won 3 straight meetings with Houston while covering the spread in all three. The Nuggets are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing at least 105 points in 5 straight games coming in. Take Denver.
|
12-02-16 |
Clippers v. Pelicans +5.5 |
|
114-96 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 32 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New Orleans Pelicans +5.5
The Key: The Los Angeles Clippers are coming off a huge road win over the Cleveland Cavaliers last night. Now they're in a prime letdown spot here against the New Orleans Pelicans, and they're a tired team playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after losing in double-OT to Brooklyn on Tuesday as well. The Pelicans are 5-2 SU & 5-2 ATS since Jrue Holiday returned to the lineup. Four of those wins have come by 12 points or more as well. They are playing their best ball of the season and are primed to upset the Clippers here, especially since they've had 2 days off in between games. New Orleans is 26-12 ATS as a home dog over the last 3 seasons. The Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Clippers are 10-24 ATS in the last 34 meetings and 5-16 ATS in the last 21 road meetings. Take New Orleans.
|
12-02-16 |
Pistons v. Hawks -2.5 |
Top |
121-85 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 32 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Atlanta Hawks -2.5
The Key: The Atlanta Hawks are hungry for a victory after losing 4 straight and 7 of their last 8 games overall against a brutal schedule where 7 of the 8 games were on the road. It's safe to say they're happy to return home tonight, where they are 6-2 SU & 6-2 ATS and winning by 6.5 points per game. They get to face a terrible road team in the Pistons, who are 3-8 SU & 3-8 ATS on the road this season and losing by 7.1 points per game. The Pistons are coming off back-to-back road wins, which is rare for them and has them overvalued now. The chances of them winning 3 straight on the highway are slim to none, especially against a hungry team like the Hawks. Bets against any team off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog; tired team playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 28-7 ATS over the last 5 seasons. The Hawks are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Take Atlanta.
|
12-02-16 |
SIU-Edwardsville +26 v. Indiana |
|
60-83 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 26 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on SIU-Edwardsville +26
The Key: The Indiana Hoosiers are primed for a letdown tonight. They are coming off a 76-67 home win over North Carolina on Wednesday just two days ago. They won't give the same kind of effort they gave in that one as they probably just feel like they need to show up to win tonight against SIU-Edwardsville. We saw this same effect after Indiana beat Kansas in its season opener. It came back flat the next game and only beat UMass-Lowell 100-78 while failing to cover as 28.5-point favorites. SIU-Edwardsville is a decent team that is 4-3 this season with three outright wins as underdogs against Hawaii, FAU and IUPUI. It also picked up a big 76-64 road win at Grand Canyon last time out and has had 3 days off since to prepare for the Hoosiers. The Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 13.0 or greater. The Hoosiers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 13.0 or greater. SIU-Edwardsville is 22-8 ATS in its last 30 games after playing 5 consecutive games as an underdog. Indiana is 11-24 ATS in its last 35 games following an ATS win. Take SIU-Edwardsville.
|
12-02-16 |
Ohio v. Western Michigan UNDER 59 |
|
23-29 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 26 m |
Show
|
6* Ohio/WMU MAC Championship *CA$H COW* on UNDER 59
The Key: These are two of the best defensive teams in the MAC, which is a big reason why both are in the MAC Championship Game tonight. Western Michigan only allows 19.2 points per game this season while Ohio gives up just 21.7 points per game. The Broncos are allowing only 18.4 points per game in MAC play, while the Bobcats are yielding only 16.7 points per game in conference action. Ohio also features a below-average offense that puts up 21.9 points per game in MAC play. All of these numbers really show that the books have set this 59-point total too high. The UNDER is 10-1-1 in all Ohio games this season, including 7-0-1 in all Oho conference games. Take the UNDER.
|
12-01-16 |
Heat v. Jazz -9.5 |
|
111-110 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Utah Jazz -9.5
The Key: The Utah Jazz have won 4 straight games by an average of 20 points per game. Look for their domination to continue tonight against the Miami Heat. The Heat are running on fumes right now as they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days. They are also dealing with some injuries, and after playing in the altitude last night in Denver, they won't have a whole lot left to give tonight. The Jazz are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 vs. a team with a losing record and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The Heat at 12-27 ATS in their last 39 following a road win. Take Utah.
|
12-01-16 |
Cowboys -3 v. Vikings |
|
17-15 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 56 m |
Show
|
6* DAL/MIN Thursday NFL *CA$H COW* on Dallas -3
The Key: The Minnesota Vikings continue to get too much respect from the books. They got off to a 5-0 start but were a flawed team. Now their true colors have shown during a 1-5 slide since. The Vikings cannot move the football because they have no running game and their offensive line is so banged up that it's one of the worst in the NFL. The Cowboys have the best offensive line in the NFL and the best rushing attack. They can move the football on this Minnesota defense. This is a very small number for them to have to cover here in what is a complete mismatch on paper. The Cowboys are 9-1-1 ATS in all games this season. Dallas is 7-0 ATS in road games off a home win over the last 3 years. Take Dallas.
|
12-01-16 |
Clippers v. Cavs UNDER 215.5 |
Top |
113-94 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 42 m |
Show
|
7* Clippers/Cavs TNT *HEAVY HITTER* on UNDER 215.5
The Key: This is a battle between two of the best teams in the NBA. Both squads will be laying it all on the line defensively tonight to get a win. The Clippers are coming off 3 straight losses, while the Cavs are coming off an upset loss to the Bucks where both teams didn't play well defensively. That will be the focus heading into tonight's game. The Clippers rank 2nd in the NBA in defensive efficiency this season. Clippers games have averaged roughly 207 combined points per game while Cavs games have averaged roughly 214. I think there's some value with the UNDER tonight. Bets on the UNDER in a game involving 2 very good teams who outscore their opponents by 7-plus points per game after a combined score of 205 points or more are 43-13 over the last 5 seasons. Take the UNDER.
|
11-30-16 |
Spurs v. Mavs UNDER 189.5 |
|
94-87 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
|
6* Wednesday NBA *Total* Annihilator on Spurs/Mavs UNDER 189.5
The Key: We have two of the slowest teams in the NBA matching up tonight in the Spurs and Mavs. The Mavs rank 29th in the NBA in pace this season while the Spurs are 27th. The Mavs haven't done much with those few possessions as they also rank 28th in offensive efficiency. The Spurs have beaten the Mavs 96-91 in consecutive meetings for 187 combined points in each. The most recent was on November 21st just over a week ago, so these teams are familiar with one another. And I can't see them getting to 190 combined points here, which is what it would take to top this 189.5-point total. The UNDER is 9-2 in Spurs last 11 vs. NBA Northwester Division opponents. The UNDER is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings. The UNDER is 5-1 in Mavericks last 6 home games. Take the UNDER.
|
11-30-16 |
Rutgers +15 v. Miami (Fla) |
|
61-73 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 2 m |
Show
|
6* Wednesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Rutgers +15
The Key: Rutgers is off to a 6-0 start this season, yet continues to get no respect from the books here as 15-point dogs to the Miami Hurricanes. I realize that the Scarlet Knights have played a soft schedule, but they are certainly way improved this year as they returned three players who averaged at least 12.3 PPG last season. And it's clear that Miami is taking a big step back this year. That was evident in blowout losses to Iowa State (56-73) and Florida (56-65) over the weekend. The Scarlet Knights are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. The Hurricanes are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Miami is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 vs. Big Ten opponents. Take Rutgers.
|
11-29-16 |
Pistons +3 v. Hornets |
|
112-89 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 44 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Detroit Pistons +3
The Key: The Detroit Pistons have owned up to their road woes as they are just 1-8 away from home this season. They realize it's a problem if they want to be a playoff contender, and look for them to tackle it head-on tonight. There's every reason they should win this game against Charlotte. The Hornets will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 4th game in 5 days, one of the toughest situations you'll find in the NBA. I expect a pretty weak effort from them here tonight as they just don't have much left to give. The Pistons come in on 2 days' rest after last playing on Saturday. This is a huge scheduling advantage that they must capitalize on tonight. Take Detroit.
|
11-29-16 |
North Dakota State +18 v. Xavier |
Top |
55-85 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 9 m |
Show
|
7* Tuesday NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on North Dakota State +18
The Key: North Dakota State has been one of the best small school programs in the country throughout the years. They nearly made their 3rd straight NCAA Tournament appearance last season, falling just short with a loss to rival South Dakota State in the Summit League Championship Game. They brought back 4 starters from that team and 3 key reserves who all averaged at least 6.3 points per game last year. They're 5-2 this season thus far and looking to hang with a Top 25 program like Xavier. I think this is a bad spot for Xavier, After playing Missouri, Clemson, and Northern Iowa (twice) in their last 4 games, and with huge road games against both Baylor and Colorado on deck, this could be a sandwich game for the Musketeers. I don't expect them to bring the kind of effort it's going to take to beat this solid NDSU outfit by more than 18 points tonight. The Musketeers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Summit League foes. Take North Dakota State.
|
11-28-16 |
Packers v. Eagles OVER 47.5 |
Top |
27-13 |
Loss |
-102 |
8 h 18 m |
Show
|
7* GB/PHI ESPN National TV *Total* Annihilator on OVER 47.5
The Key: The Green Bay Packers still boast an explosive offense that has scored at least 24 points in 5 consecutive games. But their defense has been their downfall, giving up 30 or more points in 4 straight and 5 of their last 6 games overall. I expect this trend to continue as we see a shootout in Philadelphia tonight. The Eagles have had no problem putting up points at home as they average 27 points per game at home this season. Green Bay is 10-1 OVER in its last 11 road games after a road game where both teams scored 24 or more points. The Packers are 7-0 OVER in road games after allowing 30 points or more in 2 straight games. Green Bay is 8-0 OVER after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse over the last 3 seasons. Philadelphia is 6-0 OVER vs. terrible defensive teams that allow 6 or more yards per play over the last 2 years. This is a combined 31-1 angle backing the OVER. Take the OVER.
|
11-28-16 |
Hornets -1 v. Grizzlies |
|
104-85 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 52 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Charlotte Hornets -1
The Key: The Charlotte Hornets opened as 2.5-point dogs and are now 1-point favorites. I completely agree with this move as they should beat the Memphis Grizzlies. They'll be out for revenge from a home loss to the Grizzlies on November 21st exactly one week ago today. And they should be able to get it because they are nearly 100% healthy, while the Grizzlies are battling several key injuries right now. They are without two starters in Chandler Parsons and James Ennis, and they are also without the best 6th man in the NBA in Zach Randolph. I can't see the Grizzlies even being competitive tonight this short-handed. Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 home games. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take Charlotte.
|
11-28-16 |
Arizona State v. Kentucky -16.5 |
|
69-115 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 48 m |
Show
|
6* ASU/Kentucky ESPN 2 *CA$H COW* on Kentucky -16.5
The Key: Somehow the Kentucky Wildcats continue to be undervalued. This is a team that gets a lot of public support but the books haven't been able to set their numbers high enough. The Wildcats have covered 4 straight games and have won all 6 games by 21 or more points during their 6-0 start, including a 21-point win over Michigan State as 6.5-point favorites. Arizona State isn't going to break this streak today. The Sun Devils are clearly down this season as they are 4-2 SU but 1-4-1 ATS. ASU lost to Northern Iowa 63-82 and Davidson 60-68 on neutral courts. Those two results alone show that the Sun Devils aren't going to be able to hang with one of the top teams in the country here. ASU is 8-20 ATS after winning 2 of its last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. Kentucky is 9-2 ATS off a combined score of 155 points or more over the last 2 years. The Wildcats are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. The Wildcats are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games as a favorite. The Sun Devils are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog. Take Kentucky.
|
11-27-16 |
Clippers v. Pacers +10 |
|
70-91 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Dog of the Week on Indiana Pacers +10
The Key: The Indiana Pacers should not be catching double-digits at home to the Los Angeles Clippers today. The Clippers are overrated right now because they have the best record in the NBA. Bets on underdogs of 10 or more points after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in thier last 3 games, with a winning percentage between 40% & 49% on the season are 25-5 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Indiana.
|
11-27-16 |
Iowa State +4 v. Gonzaga |
|
71-73 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 56 m |
Show
|
6* Iowa State/Gonzaga NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Iowa State +4
The Key: The Iowa State Cyclones are a legit Top 25 team that can make a deep run in the NCAA Tournament because they have tremendous guard play across the board. They came through with their most complete performance of the season last time out in a 73-56 win over Miami. Now they're up against a Gonzaga team that isn't as strong as last year despite the 5-0 start against week competition. The Bulldogs beat Florida 77-72 last time out, and Iowa State is better than Florida. The Cyclones are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Sunday games. The Cyclones are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. The Bulldogs are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games. Take Iowa State.
|
11-27-16 |
Chargers -2.5 v. Texans |
Top |
21-13 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 36 m |
Show
|
7* NFL Situational Game of the Year on San Diego Chargers -2.5
The Key: The Houston Texans are playing on a short week after returning from Mexico City and their Monday Night Football game against the Oakland Raiders. Now they'll be up against a San Diego Chargers team that is coming off their bye week and desperate for a win. Given this awful spot for the Texans and great one for the Chargers, I think the road team gets the job done today. The Chargers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings with the Texans. Take San Diego.
|
11-26-16 |
Pistons v. Thunder -3.5 |
|
88-106 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 31 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Oklahoma City Thunder -3.5
The Key: This line has been bet down from -6.5 to -3.5 and I feel that we are now getting the right price to back the Thunder. I get the move because the Thunder played on overtime game last night against the Nuggets. But they showed a lot of fight in that game to end a 3-game losing streak. And now they'll want revenge from an 88-104 loss in Detroit back on November 14th just less than 3 weeks ago. They were in a bad spot there as they were on a back-to-back while the Pistons were not. And the Pistons also played yesterday in a 108-97 home win over the Clippers, so it's not like they'll be much fresher than the Thunder here. They'll be playing their 6th game in 9 days. And they could have a letdown off such a big win over the Clippers, plus the fact that they've already beaten the Thunder once this season. And the Pistons have been a terrible road game, going 1-7 SU & 1-7 ATS on the highway this season while losing by 11.3 points per game. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Take Oklahoma City.
|
11-26-16 |
Utah v. Colorado -9 |
|
22-27 |
Loss |
-109 |
22 h 32 m |
Show
|
6* Utah/Colorado Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on Colorado -9
The Key: Looking ahead last week this game appeared to be for all the marbles in the Pac-12 South. Colorado took care of its business with a home win over Washington State, but Utah failed to do the same. It was upset 30-28 at home by Oregon on a last-second touchdown. Talk about a deflating loss because now the Utes are eliminated from the Pac-12 race. I don't see them getting up emotionally for the Buffaloes this week after that loss to Oregon. The Buffaloes need a win and they'll be playing Washington in the Pac-12 title game. A loss would allow USC to partake. The Buffaloes have been undervalued all season as they are 10-1 ATS this year. They are 5-0 at home and winning by nearly 28 points per game. The Utes are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. The Buffaloes are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. Utah is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 meetings with the Buffaloes. Take Colorado.
|
11-26-16 |
Virginia -13 v. Providence |
|
63-52 |
Loss |
-106 |
9 h 43 m |
Show
|
6* Providence/Virginia Emerald Coast Classic *CA$H COW* on Virginia -13
The Key: The Virginia Cavaliers are clearly one of the best teams in the country this season. They haven't even been letting their opponents come up for air. They have won each of their first 5 games by at least 24 points. None were more impressive than their 74-41 win over Iowa yesterday. Their suffocating defense is only giving up 39.2 points and 29.3% shooting this season. Providence is in rebuild mode after losing its two best players from last year in Ben Bentil (21.1 PPG, 7.7 RPG) and Kris Dunn (16.4 PPG, 6.2 APG, 5.3 RPG). The Friars erased a double-digit deficit yesterday to beat a down Memphis team 60-51. But they won't have much success here against this Virginia defense because they don't shoot the ball very well, especially from 3-point range, and the Cavaliers force you to shoot from outside with their pack line defense. The Cavaliers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. Virginia is 14-3-1 ATS in its last 18 vs. a team with a winning record. Take Virginia.
|
11-26-16 |
Virginia +18.5 v. Virginia Tech |
|
10-52 |
Loss |
-106 |
14 h 2 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAF Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Virginia +18.5
The Key: This is a great situation to back Virginia. The Virginia Tech Hokies just took a collective sigh of relief when they saw North Carolina get upset by NC State on Friday. That's because the Hokies were gifted the ACC Coastal Division title with that upset. Now they don't have nearly as much at stake in this game, and they will most certainly be more worried about saving up for Clemson next week in the ACC Championship Game. But this game means everything to Virginia, which won't be going to a bowl game, so it will be their Super Bowl. We've seen the Cavaliers be competitive all season as they haven't lost once by more than 21 points this year. Bronco Mendenhall is getting his players to show up week in and week out. This has been a very tight series recently. The Cavaliers are 3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings as they've all been decided by 10 points or less, and by 20 points total. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Virginia is 18-8 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. The Cavaliers are 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 road games. The Hokies are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Take Virginia.
|
11-26-16 |
Michigan v. Ohio State -5 |
Top |
27-30 |
Loss |
-106 |
14 h 2 m |
Show
|
7* Michigan/Ohio State Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Ohio State -5
The Key: This is a very cheap price for the Ohio State Buckeyes here. They have the home-field edge and a big edge at quarterback with J.T. Barrett over John O'Korn. The Buckeyes are beating teams by 42 points per game at home this season. We saw Michigan lose on the road at Iowa and struggle beating Michigan State away from home. We also saw O'Korn struggle against Indiana at home last week. Ohio State has won 11 of its last 12 meetings with Michigan and there hasn't been an upset in this series in 11 years. Urban Meyer is 8-0 ATS when favored by less than 10 points or an underdog in his last 8 games as a head coach. Take Ohio State.
|
11-25-16 |
Memphis v. Providence -2 |
|
51-60 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 9 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Providence -2
The Key: Providence has been impressive in its two toughest games this season to show what it is capable of. In the opener it beat a very good Vermont team that is likely headed to the NCAA Tournament 80-58 as only 4.5-point home favorites. Then it traveled to Ohio State and only lost 67-72 as 6.5-point road dogs. Memphis is starting over with first-year head coach Tubby Smith. The Tigers are 4-0, but they haven't played anyone as their four opponents have been UTRGV, Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Savannah State and McNeese State, all at home. I like the fact that the Friars are battle-tested here having played two tough opponents already, while the Tigers don't have the same luxury, and this will be the first road game for Memphis. Providence is 8-0 ATS away from home when playing its 3rd game in a week over the last 3 seasons. Memphis is 7-17 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 years. Take Providence.
|
11-25-16 |
Clippers v. Pistons +6.5 |
|
97-108 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 58 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Detroit Pistons +6.5
The Key: This is a very nice price for the Detroit Pistons at home tonight. They have had one of the more underrated home-court advantages over the past few seasons. They are 6-2 SU & 6-2 ATS at home this season with their only two losses coming to Boston (92-94) and Houston (96-99) by a combined 5 points. They are actually outscoring opponents by 13.1 points per game at home this year. The Los Angeles Clippers are getting too much respect from the books now after their NBA-best 14-2 start to the season. The Clippers are 9-22 ATS in their last 31 games as a road favorite of 6.5 to 9 points. The Pistons are 8-0 ATS in home games revenging a loss where they scored 85 points or fewer over the last 3 seasons. The home team is 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take Detroit.
|
11-25-16 |
Washington -6 v. Washington State |
|
45-17 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 44 m |
Show
|
6* Washington/Washington State Apple Cup *CA$H COW* on Washington -6
The Key: The Washington Huskies are by far the superior team in this matchup. They have played the tougher conference schedule having to face USC, Utah and Stanford. Washington State has only had to play one of those three teams this season and has benefited from a watered-down conference schedule. But the Cougars took a step up in class last week and lost 24-38 at Colorado while getting outgained by 141 yards. Washington owns Washington State, going 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. All 6 wins have come by at least a touchdown and 5 have come by double-digits. They won 45-10 as only 7.5-point home favorites last year. Their defense will be the difference in this game as it is way better than the stop unit Washington State has to offer. And the Huskies only give up 196 passing yards per game and 6.0 per attempt, so they are equipped to stop Luke Falk and the Cougar passing attack. Washington is 6-0 ATS off 2 or more consecutive ATS losses over the last 3 seasons. The Huskies are 6-0 ATS in road games vs. poor defensive teams that allow 5.9 or more yards per play. Take Washington.
|
11-25-16 |
Northern Illinois -5 v. Kent State |
Top |
31-21 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 24 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAF Friday *HEAVY HITTER* on Northern Illinois -5
The Key: The Northern Illinois Huskies are playing very well here down the stretch at 4-3 SU & 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. They have found their QB of the future in Daniel Santacaterina, who led them back from 21-0 down to beat Eastern Illinois last week. He rushed for 91 yards in the second half alone after taking over for their injured starting QB. Kent State is down to its 3rd-string QB now after losing 7-42 at Bowling Green last week. That was an alarming loss and it's hard to tell what kind of effort you are going to get from the Golden Flashes this week. The Huskies are 8-0 SU & 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings winning seven of those by at least 7 points. The Huskies are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 road games against a team with a losing home record. Take Northern Illinois.
|
11-24-16 |
LSU -6.5 v. Texas A&M |
|
54-39 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 55 m |
Show
|
6* LSU/Texas A&M ESPN National TV *Annihilator* on LSU -6.5
The Key: LSU is by far the superior team in this matchup with Texas A&M. The Tigers do have 4 losses, but they came to Wisconsin, Auburn, Alabama and Florida, and they could have won every one of those games. Texas A&M is on a downward spiral while going 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games overall. The Aggies barely beat lowly UTSA 23-10 last week after falling to both Mississippi State and Ole Miss, two teams that LSU has beaten this season. The Aggies will get run over in this game defensively behind the power rushing attack of the Tigers. The Aggies have allowed 282-plus rushing yards in 3 of their last 6 contests. LSU is 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in its last 5 meetings with Texas A&M. Look for that series dominance to continue as the Tigers send Ed Orgeron out a winner in the regular season finale. Take LSU.
|
11-24-16 |
Redskins +7 v. Cowboys |
Top |
26-31 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 55 m |
Show
|
7* WAS/DAL NFC East Game of the Month on Washington Redskins +7
The Key: The Washington Redskins will be out for revenge from their 23-27 home loss to the Dallas Cowboys back in Week 2. That was the start of a 9-game winning streak both straight up and ATS for the Cowboys. They are getting way too much respect from the books now as the Redskins were 3-point favorites in that first game, and now they're 7-point dogs in the rematch, a whopping 10-point swing. The Redskins continue flying under the radar as they've gone 6-1-1 SU & 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games. Statistically these teams are very similar as the Redskins outgain teams by 48 yards per game and 0.4 per play while the Cowboys outgain teams by 65 yards per game and 0.3 yards per play. The Redskins are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 trips to Dallas, so clearly the Cowboys don't have much of a home-field advantage in this series at all. Take Washington.
|
11-24-16 |
New Mexico v. Virginia Tech -5 |
|
72-92 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 53 m |
Show
|
6* Thursday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Virginia Tech -5
The Key: Virginia Tech came out of nowhere to finish 6th in the loaded ACC last season. Buzz Williams has this Hokie basketball program on the rise and flying under the radar once again this season. He returns 3 starters this season, including each of his top two scorers in Zach LeDay (15.5 PPG, 7.9 RPG last season) and Seth Allen (14.4 PPG). It's no surprise that both LeDay (18.3 PPG, 9.7 RPG this season) and Allen (13.3 PPG) are leading the team in scoring once again this season. But they are getting plenty of held as they have 5 other players averaging at least 8.7 points per game. New Mexico only beat Idaho State by 11, Houston Baptist by 16 and New Mexico State by 13 in its first 3 games this season and appears down a notch this year. The Lobos simply aren't as good away from home, where they have one of the best advantages in the country. New Mexico is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 neutral site games. Virginia Tech is 18-5 ATS in its last 23 games overall. The Hokies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a win. Take Virginia Tech.
|
11-23-16 |
Thunder v. Kings -2.5 |
|
101-116 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 10 m |
Show
|
6* Thunder/Kings Western Conference *BAILOUT* on Sacramento -2.5
The Key: The wheels have fallen off in Oklahoma City. The Thunder are 2-6 SU & 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. This is a tired team right now as they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 7th game in 11 days. The Sacramento Kings are rested as they have had 2 days off and will be playing just their 4th game in 12 days. They only lost by 5 to the Spurs, by 6 to the Clippers and beat the Raptors by 3 in their last three contests, which are three of the best teams in the NBA. The Thunder are 3-15 ATS in road games after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite over the last 2 seasons. Oklahoma City is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 road games. The Kings are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. Sacramento is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Thunder are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take Sacramento.
|
11-23-16 |
Vermont v. Houston -7 |
Top |
71-72 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 16 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB Wednesday Night *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston -7
The Key: The Houston Cougars took a big leap forward last season in Kelvin Sampson's second year. They went 22-10 and are going to make a run at the NCAA Tournametn this season with 3 starters back, including Damyean Dotson (13.9 PPG, 6.8 RPG), Rob Gray Jr (16.0 PPG) and Galen Robinson Jr (7.9 PPG, 3.4 APG). The Cougars are 4-0 this season and winning by 29.2 points per game. They covered easily in their two games with point spreads, beating George Mason 93-56 as 12-point favorites and South Dakota 85-58 as 13.5-point favorites. Vermont is off to a 5-1 start but overvalued as its loss came by 22 points as 4.5-point dogs to a down Providence team. The five wins have come against Quinnipiac, Marist (by 4), Wofford (by 1) and Hofstra. The Catamounts are outclassed here. Vermont is 3-14-2 ATS in its last 19 games following a win. The Cougars are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Sampson is 11-1 ATS after scoring 85 points or more in 2 straight games in all games he has coached. Take Houston.
|
11-23-16 |
Blazers v. Cavs -11.5 |
|
125-137 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Cleveland Cavaliers -11.5
The Key: I think we're actually getting a discount on the Cleveland Cavaliers for once because they have gone 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. But Lebron James returned to the lineup last time out, and they rolled the Pistons 104-81 at home. That was five days ago as they have had four days off in between games. They will be primed for a big performance tonight. The Blazers are running on fumes right now as they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days. They have gone 1-4 straight up in their last 5 games, and they are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as they have been consistently overvalued. Portland is 1-9 ATS vs. good offensive teams who score 99-plus points per game this season. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take Cleveland.
|
11-22-16 |
Pelicans v. Hawks -8.5 |
|
112-94 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 8 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Atlanta Hawks -8.5
The Key: The Atlanta Hawks have lost two straight road games to the Hornets and Knicks to fall to 9-4 on the season. It's safe to say they will be very hungry for a win tonight to get back on track. The opposite is true for the Pelicans, who are coming off two straight home wins over the Blazers and Hornets to get to 4-10 on the season. Now the Pelicans hit the road where they are 1-5 and losing by 7.3 points per game. The Hawks are 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS at home this season, outscoring opponents by 10.0 points per game. Take Atlanta.
|
11-22-16 |
Central Michigan v. Eastern Michigan +1.5 |
Top |
21-26 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
7* CMU/EMU MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Eastern Michigan +1.5
The Key: Eastern Michigan is looking to get to its first bowl game since 1987. The Eagles are 6-5 this season, but they may need another victory to secure their spot in the postseason. And after blowing a 21-0 lead and losing to Northern Illinois last week, they will come back very hungry on Senior Night here against Central Michigan. The Chippewas are also 6-5, but with their win over Oklahoma State earlier this season, they're probably going to a bowl either way. They had lost 3 straight before winning 27-20 over Ohio last week, but Ohio pretty much gave that game away by committing four turnovers. CMU was held to just 286 total yards in that game and outgained by 71 yards. EMU is 6-0 ATS off one or more consecutive unders this season. The Eagles are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. The Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Take Eastern Michigan.
|
11-22-16 |
Northwestern +4 v. Notre Dame |
|
66-70 |
Push |
0 |
5 h 19 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Northwestern +4
The Key: The Northwestern Wildcats won 20 regular-season games for the first time in school history last year. They returned G Bryant McIntosh, who averaged 13.8 points and finished 9th in the nation in assists at 6.7 per game. Forward Aaron Falzon is back after nailing 63 3-pointers as a freshman last year. Forward Vic Law missed last season because of a shoulder injury, but he's back after averaging 7 points and 4.8 rebounds while shooting 35.5 percent from 3-point range as a freshman in 2014-15. Northwestern is 3-1 this season with a 31-point win over Miss Valley State, a 14-point win over Eastern Washington, a 2-point loss as 7.5-point dogs at Butler, and a dominant 19-point win over Texas yesterday as 3-point dogs. I like the value here with the Wildcats as I feel they are a better team than Notre Dame this year and will win outright. Notre Dame is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games as a neutral court favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. The Wildcats are 10-1 ATS in road games versus good rebounding teams who outrebound their opponents by 4-plus per game over the last 3 seasons. The Wildcats are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games. The Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win. Take Northwestern.
|
11-21-16 |
Texans v. Raiders OVER 45 |
Top |
20-27 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 42 m |
Show
|
7* HOU/OAK AFC *Total* Annihilator on OVER 45
The Key: The OVER is 7-2 in all Raiders games this season. Oakland has an elite offense that puts up 27.2 points and 401 yards per game, but a terrible defense that gives up 24.8 points and 398 yards per game. I look for a shootout in Mexico City tonight. The altitude will be a huge issue here as both of these teams will get fatigued in the second half. I expect the offenses to continue to roll in the second half, while the fatigue will hurt the defenses a lot more. You know the NFL wants to put on a show in Mexico City, so expect plenty of offensive fireworks in this game. Oakland is 10-1 OVER off one or more ATS wins over the last 2 seasons. Houston is 8-1 OVER in road games vs. teams who commit 60 or more penalty yards per game over the last 3 seasons. Take the OVER.
|
11-21-16 |
Suns +8 v. Wizards |
|
101-106 |
Win
|
102 |
6 h 17 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Phoenix Suns +8
The Key: The Washington Wizards have only one win by 8 points or more this season in 12 games. I like the Suns for that reason alone. Plus the Suns have gone 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in Washington. They haven't lost to the Wizards by more than 7 points in any of their last 6 meetings. The Suns are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games following an ATS loss, and 16-4 ATS in their last 20 games following a loss by 10 points or more. Take Phoenix.
|
11-21-16 |
George Washington v. Georgia -4 |
|
73-81 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 12 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Georgia -4
The Key: The Georgia Bulldogs have won 20-plus games in 3 consecutive seasons. They are loaded with talent this year. Guard J.J. Frazier is the SEC's leading returning scorer at 16.9 points per game. Forward Yante Mate is the SEC's third-leading returning score at 16.5 points per game, and its second-leading returning rebounds are 8.0 boards per game. George Washington won the NIT last year, but lost 3 starters from that team that combined to average 35 points per game. The Colonials are 3-0 this season but all 3 games were at home, and they barely beat both Siena (77-75) and MD-East Shore (75-71). This team is clearly rebuilding now. Georgia is 8-0 ATS vs. teams who outrebound their opponents by 7-plus boards per game over the last 3 seasons. George Washington is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 road games vs. SEC opponents. Take Georgia.
|
11-20-16 |
Jazz v. Nuggets -3.5 |
|
91-105 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 12 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Denver Nuggets -3.5
The Key: The Denver Nuggets have been one of the more underrated teams in the NBA as they are 8-4 ATS in their 12 games this season. They had yesterday off following an OT loss to the Raptors, and they'll be hungry to bounce back and get a win at home against the Jazz. And the Jazz have been overvalued, going 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games. They are dealing with a plethora of injuries right now as starters George Hill and Derrick Favors are out, while key role player Boris Diaw is questionable. Now the Jazz are playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after a run-and-gun 102-111 loss at Houston last night. They won't have much left in the tank for the Nuggets, who also like the push the pace like Houston. The Nuggets are 8-0 ATS after allowing 100 points or more in 5 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Take Denver.
|
11-20-16 |
Xavier -4.5 v. Northern Iowa |
|
67-59 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* Northern Iowa/Xavier NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Xavier -4.5
The Key: Xavier is 4-0 this season and ranked as one of the top teams in the country. I really think they are capable of giving Villanova a run for its money in the Big East this season. Northern Iowa is off to a surprising 3-0 start, upsetting both Arizona State and Oklahoma. Off a huge OT win over Oklahoma, I believe this team is in a letdown spot tonight. And they are also overvalued because of that win, only catching 4.5 points against Xavier here. Northern Iowa actually trailed by 18 points in the second half against Oklahoma. But the Sooners miraculously went like 11 straight minutes without a field goal in the 2nd half to allow the comeback. That's not going to happen again. The Musketeers are 7-0 ATS vs. good 3 point shooting teams who make 37% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. Xavier is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 neutral site games. The Musketeers are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 non-conference games. Take Xavier.
|
11-20-16 |
Dolphins v. Rams +1 |
|
14-10 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 35 m |
Show
|
6* Dolphins/Rams Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles +1
The Key: The Dolphins are getting way too much respect from oddsmakers after winning each of their last 4 games. But those are the only 4 games where they have had a completely healthy, intact starting 5 offensive line. They were down a few starters before that run, and now they'll be down a few starters again this week as both C Mike Pouncey and T Branden Albert are expected to miss this game. That's bad news for the Dolphins, who will be up against arguably the best defensive line in the league in the Rams. Jared Goff will give the Rams' offense a spark this week as he can't be any worse than Case Keenum was. And the Dolphins stayed out West after playing the Chargers last week and probably haven't been all that focused leading up to this contest with so many distractions. Miami is 1-8 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record in the 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The Dolphins are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 vs. a team with a losing record. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take Los Angeles.
|
11-20-16 |
Cardinals +2.5 v. Vikings |
Top |
24-30 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 31 m |
Show
|
7* NFC Game of the Month on Arizona Cardinals +2.5
The Key: The Arizona Cardinals remain one of the best teams in the NFL. Just look at the numbers they have put up this season. They are 1st in the NFL in yardage differential as they average 382.0 yards per game on offense and only give up 295.2 yards per game on defense, outgaining opponents by 86.8 yards per game. They face a Minnesota Vikings team that is 0-4 in its last 4 games overall with no signs of turning it around soon due to an offense that ranks as the worst in the NFL, averaging just 302.3 yards per game. This is a mismatch on paper and it will be a mismatch on the field, too. Take Arizona.
|
11-20-16 |
Jaguars +6 v. Lions |
|
19-26 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 31 m |
Show
|
6* Sunday NFL *UPSET SPECIAL* on Jacksonville Jaguars +6
The Key: The Detroit Lions cannot be trusted to lay this kind of weight against anyone in the NFL. They may be 5-4 this season, but all 5 wins have come by 6 points or less. The only 6-point win came in overtime against the Vikings as the other 4 wins came by 4 points or fewer. Matthew Stafford has had plenty of late-game heroics to save this team, masking a defense that ranks 23rd in giving up 366.3 yards per game and 5.9 per play. The Jaguars have been better than their record, and they have the league's 8th-ranked defense in yielding 327.7 yards per game and 5.0 per play. They just have to quit turning the ball over, which has been their biggest problem. They are actually outgaining teams by 15.6 yards per game this season, while the Lions are getting outgained by 28.5 yards per game. Bets on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points off a loss by 3 points or less to a division opponent, winning 25% or fewer of their games playing a team with a winning record are 28-8 ATS since 1983. The Lions are 27-50 ATS in their last 77 games as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Take Jacksonville.
|
11-19-16 |
Celtics v. Pistons -3.5 |
|
94-92 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Detroit Pistons -3.5
The Key: The Detroit Pistons are 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS at home this season, outscoring opponents by 17.4 points per game. The Pistons are 24-8 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. Both the Celtics and Pistons played yesterday, but while the Pistons are relatively healthy, the Celtics are not. They are expected to be without Al Horford and Jae Crowder again tonight, and those are two of their best players. The Pistons are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 0 days' rest. Detroit is 37-17-2 ATS in its last 56 home games. Take Detroit.
|
11-19-16 |
Stanford -10.5 v. California |
Top |
45-31 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 51 m |
Show
|
7* Pac-12 Game of the Month on Stanford -10.5
The Key: The Stanford Cardinal have won three straight games by double-digits, including a 24-point win at Arizona and a 25-point win at Oregon. They should keep this streak going against the Cal Bears, who have lost three straight games by at least 21 points each while getting outscored by an average of 31.7 points per game. Their defense has given up 662 yards per game during this stretch. Stanford will have its way rushing the football in this game as the Golden Bears allow 283 yards per game on the ground, and frankly I don't know how they are going to ever stop Stanford from scoring. The Cardinal have owned this series with 6 straight victories over Cal and 5 of those coming by 13 points or more. The Cardinal are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 when favored by 10.5 to 21 points. Take Stanford.
|
11-19-16 |
St. Mary's -2.5 v. Dayton |
|
61-57 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 9 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB Saturday Afternoon *CA$H COW* on St. Mary's -2.5
The Key: St. Mary's returned all 5 starters from a team that went 29-6 last season and barely missed out on the NCAA Tournament. They even beat Gonzaga twice during the regular season, but lost to them in the WCC Tournament. This team is going to be dynamite this year. Dayton returned 4 starters, but have 2 key players out now due to injury in Kendall Pollard (10.3 PPG, 4.9 RPG last year) and Josh Cunningham (7.9 PPG, 7.5 RPG). St. Mary's is 13-2 ATS off a game with 24 or more assists. The Gaels are 8-0 ATS off a home blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Gaels are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games after scoring 95 points or more. Take St. Mary's.
|
11-19-16 |
Ohio State v. Michigan State +22 |
|
17-16 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* Ohio State/Michigan State Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Michigan State +22
The Key: Michigan State is coming off a 49-0 shutout win over Rutgers in its best performance of the season. This team is not just going to lay down as Mark Dantonio will have them ready. Remember, they put up 401 yards on Michigan's defense in a 9-point loss as 24.5-point dogs. In fact, Dantonio is 11-2 ATS the last 13 times he has been an underdog, and 8 of those have been outright upsets. Ohio State will be looking ahead to its huge showdown with Michigan next week. Urban Meyer is 1-5 ATS the week before playing Michigan. The Buckeyes are way overvalued right now after back-to-back 62-3 wins over Nebraska and Maryland. It's time to fade them this week in this rivalry game. Take Michigan State.
|
11-19-16 |
Oklahoma State v. TCU -5 |
|
31-6 |
Loss |
-120 |
12 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* Oklahoma State/TCU Big 12 *CA$H COW* on TCU -5
The Key: TCU head coach Gary Patterson is a ridiculous 14-1 ATS at home off a bye. And TCU is off a bye this week following its best performance of the season, a 62-22 road win at Baylor as 7-point underdogs. The Horned Frogs racked up 688 total yards in the win, including 431 rushing. And they held Baylor to a respectable 417 total yards. Oklahoma State is extremely fatigued right now off back-to-back barnburners in a 43-37 win at Kansas State two weeks ago, and a 45-44 home win over Texas Tech last week. The Cowboys are ripe for the picking, especially since their have their rivalry on deck against Oklahoma and could be looking ahead to that. Take TCU.
|
11-18-16 |
Raptors v. Nuggets +4 |
|
113-111 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 52 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Denver Nuggets +4
The Key: The Toronto Raptors are in a very tough spot mentally here. They just played two huge games on back-to-back nights against the Golden State Warriors and Cleveland Cavaliers, the two teams who played in the NBA Finals each of the past two seasons. And now they face the Denver Nuggets and won't be able to emotionally get up for this game tonight. The Nuggets want revenge from a 102-105 road loss at Toronto in their first meeting this season. The Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The Nuggets are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Bets against favorites in a game involving two bad defensive teams who allow at least 102 points per game, after scoring 110 points or more in 4 straight games are 27-6 ATS since 1996. The Nuggets are 14-1 ATS after allowing 100 points or more in 5 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Take Denver.
|
11-18-16 |
UNLV +28.5 v. Boise State |
Top |
25-42 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 47 m |
Show
|
7* UNLV/Boise NCAAF Friday Night Lights on UNLV +28.5
The Key: The UNLV Rebels just beat Wyoming in Triple Overtime last Saturday. That gives these teams a common opponent at Boise State actually lost to Wyoming 30-28. And UNLV gained 653 yards against Wyoming and outgained them by 168 yards. Boise State was actually outgained by 2 yards by Wyoming in that loss. UNLV averages 253 rushing yards per game this season and will find success on the ground against Boise State. After all, the Broncos have allowed 215 or more rushing yards in 3 straight games to Wyoming, San Jose State and Hawaii. The Broncos haven't won by more than 14 points at home this season, and they are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games at home dating back to last season. Take UNLV.
|
11-18-16 |
Siena +23 v. Kansas |
|
65-86 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 47 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB Friday Night *CA$H COW* on Siena +23
The Key: The Kansas Jayhawks are in a prime letdown spot here. After losing to Indiana and then beating top-ranked Duke to open the season, there's no way they're going to be able to get up for Siena tonight. They will just be going through the motions and won't win by more than 23 points. Sienna is a very good team that went 21-13 last season with its only loss this season coming by 2 points at George Washington, which won the NIT last year and barely missed the NCAA Tournament. Siena has all five starters back from last season and each of its top five scorers. I love the experience on this team, and they won't be intimidated by Kansas. They have five players back who averaged double-digits scoring last year. Saints coach Jimmy Patsos is 9-1 ATS in road games after a road game where both teams scored 75 points or more in all games he has coached. Take Siena.
|
11-17-16 |
Saints v. Panthers -3 |
Top |
20-23 |
Push |
0 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
7* NO/CAR Thursday NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on Carolina Panthers -3
The Key: The Carolina Panthers had won 3 straight meetings with New Orleans by an average of 13 points per game before losing 38-41 to them on the road earlier this season. I think they get their revenge here Thursday night to hold on to slim hopes of making the playoffs. This is the make-or-break game for the Panthers, who blew a 17-0 lead to the Chiefs last week and lost despite dominating that game. Bets on favorites revenging a loss by 7 points or less while also coming off an upset loss as a favorite are 27-6 ATS over the last 10 seasons. Take Carolina.
|
11-17-16 |
76ers v. Wolves -11 |
|
86-110 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Minnesota Timberwolves -11
The Key: The Philadelphia 76ers are playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days. They will be missing two key players tonight in Jahlil Okafor and Nik Stauskas, who combined for 34 points last night against Washington. I think the 76ers will show their fatigue here and fail to keep this game against the Minnesota Timberwolves competitive. The 76ers are 0-4 on the road this season and getting outscored by 17.7 points per game. The 76ers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win. Philadelphia is 0-4 ATS in its last four games playing on zero rest. Take Minnesota.
|
11-17-16 |
Louisville v. Houston +15 |
|
10-36 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 2 m |
Show
|
6* Louisville/Houston ESPN National TV *Annihilator* on Houston +15
The Key: The Houston Cougars have kind of just been going through the motions over the past month. Because they've had upset losses to Navy and SMU, they are clearly undervalued right now. But you can bet that Houston will get up for this game against Louisville. Let's not forget that Houston beat Oklahoma 33-23 and it is fully capable of beating Louisville when it brings its 'A' game. And this will be a hostile atmosphere at home. Louisville's 44-12 win over Wake Forest was very misleading last week. It actually trailed 12-3 midway through the 3rd quarter. The Cardinals scored 34 points in the 4th quarter of that game. I think that 'blowout' win has provided us with some line value here. Bets on home dogs of 14.5 or more points off 2 or more consecutive wins, with a winning record on the season are 38-10 ATS since 1992. The Cougars are 7-0 ATS as underdogs over the last 3 seasons. Take Houston.
|
11-17-16 |
Northern Iowa v. Arizona State -4 |
|
82-63 |
Loss |
-106 |
5 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB Thursday Afternoon *CA$H COW* on Arizona State -4
The Key: Bobby Hurley is now in his second season at Arizona State and big improvements can be expected. Two key starters return from last year's team in Tra Holder (14.2 PPG) and Obinna Oleka (9.6 PPG, 6.4 RPG). Guard Shannon Evans followed Hurley from Buffalo, sitting out last season due to transfer rules. But he was Arizona State's best player in practice at times and will make significant contributions this season. The Suns Devils are 2-0 SU & 1-0-1 ATS this season, winning by 18 over Portland State as 18-point favorites and by 22 over Cal Poly as 14.5-point favorites. They are clearly undervalued in the early going. Northern Iowa is overvalued after making the NCAA Tournament last season and showing well. But the Panthers lost 3 starters and 3 of their top 4 scorers from that team. They can be expected to get out to a slow start this season as a result. Northern Iowa is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games off a win by 30 points or more. Bets against neutral court underdogs in the first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 8 or more wins in their last 10 games, good team from last season that won 60% to 80% of their games are 22-4 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Arizona State.
|
11-16-16 |
Rockets v. Thunder -2 |
Top |
103-105 |
Push |
0 |
8 h 33 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Oklahoma City Thunder -2
The Key: The Oklahoma City Thunder will be hungry for a win following 4 consecutive losses. I like the price we are getting here as they basically just have to win to cover the spread. I like the fact that the home team has won 7 of the last 9 meetings between OKC and Houston, and the home team went 4-0 straight up at home in their 4 meetings last season as well. The Thunder are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss by double-digits. Take Oklahoma City.
|
11-16-16 |
Ball State +20.5 v. Toledo |
|
19-37 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 27 m |
Show
|
6* Ball State/Toledo MAC *CA$H COW* on Ball State +20.5
The Key: The Toledo Rockets finally put an end to a 7-game losing streak to Northern Illinois with a 31-24 victory last Wednesday. Now they have an even bigger game on deck against unbeaten Western Michigan next week. That makes this a sandwich game for the Rockets, and I don't expect them to put forth the kind of effort it's going to take to beat Ball State more three or more touchdowns to cover this 20.5-point spread. Ball State is still alive for a bowl at 4-6 this season and will keep fighting until the end. Five of Ball State's six losses this season have come by 10 points or less with the only exception being Western Michigan. The Cardinals haven't lost by more than 20 points to Toledo in any of the last 11 meetings. Take Ball State.
|
11-16-16 |
Morehead State v. Marshall -2.5 |
|
77-85 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 18 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Marshall -2.5
The Key: Dan D'Antoni has his best team yet as he enters year 3 at Marshall. They managed a 17-16 record last season and should be even better in 2016-17. That's because they return 4 starters in Stevie Browning (12.8 PPG), Ryan Taylor (14.2 PPG), Jone Elmore (15.2 PPG) and Austin Loop (9.4 PPG). Morehead State only has 2 starters back this year and loses three key players in Corban Collins (11.0 PPG), Brent Arrington (10.2 PPG) and Anthony Elechi (8.3 PPG). I like the Thundering Herd to cover this small number and beat Morehead State tonight. The Thundering Herd are 9-1 ATS in home games off a win over the last 3 seasons. Marshall is 8-1 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Take Marshall.
|
11-15-16 |
Bulls v. Blazers -3 |
|
113-88 |
Loss |
-108 |
10 h 39 m |
Show
|
6* Bulls/Blazers Non-Conference *BAILOUT* on Portland -3
The Key: The Portland Trail Blazers are 7-4 this season with two of their losses coming to the Los Angeles Clippers, who are the best team in the NBA right now. The Blazers are 5-1 in their last 6 games overall. But they have failed to cover the spread in 4 straight, which has them undervalued right now as only 3-point favorites over the Chicago Bulls. With wins and covers in 3 of their last 4 games against the Magic, Heat and Wizards, the Bulls come into this game overvalued. I think the Blazers are the far superior team on a neutral court, and home-court advantage should be worth more than 3 points for them here. This is a discount. Take Portland.
|
11-15-16 |
Kansas +2 v. Duke |
|
77-75 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 14 m |
Show
|
6* Kansas/Duke ESPN National TV *Annihilator* on Kansas +2
The Key: The Duke Blue Devils are title favorites for good reason. However, they aren't at full strength right now or even close to it as they are basically letting 6 players play all their minutes. That's because they are without three McDonald's All-Americans in Jayson Tatum, Henry Giles and Marques Bolden. Because of these losses, Kansas is actually the better team right now and shouldn't be underdogs. The Jayhawks will also be motivated to avoid opening 0-2 after losing to Indiana in overtime in their opener. The Blue Devils are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games. The Jayhawks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games. Kansas is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 neutral site games. The Jayhawks are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games following a loss. Take Kansas.
|
11-15-16 |
Ohio v. Central Michigan |
Top |
20-27 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
7* Ohio/CMU MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Central Michigan PK
The Key: The Central Michigan Chippewas need a win to get bowl eligible as they sit at 5-5 on the season. They will be motivated here at home. I question the motivation of the Ohio Bobcats, who can lose tonight and still win the MAC East with a home win over Akron next week. The Bobcats have played one of the easiest schedules in the country up to this point and are extremely overrated. Central Michigan went on the road and beat Oklahoma State. Ohio is coming off 3 straight ATS covers, while CMU is coming off 3 straight ATS losses. That has put the value squarely on the home team in this contest tonight. Take Central Michigan.
|
11-14-16 |
Georgia State v. Auburn -7 |
|
65-83 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 27 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Auburn -7
The Key: The Auburn Tigers are in Year 3 under Bruce Pearl and primed for their best season yet. They are revitalized with an influx of new, talented players joining key contributors from an injury-riddled 2015-16 campaign. Pearl has done an excellent job in recruiting, and he now has his deepest, most talented team yet. The Tigers beat North Florida 83-66 in their opener while forcing 28 turnovers. This seems like a cheap price to back them at home against overmatched Georgia State as only 7-point favorites. Georgia State is 2-12 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. The Panthers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games. Georgia State is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 vs. SEC opponents. The Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Sun Belt foes. Take Auburn.
|
11-14-16 |
Bengals v. Giants |
Top |
20-21 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 48 m |
Show
|
7* MNF Game of the Year on Cincinnati Bengals PK
The Key: The Cincinnati Bengals are coming off their bye week after tying the Washington Redskins in London. They are now as healthy as they have been at any point this season. Tyler Eiffert returned against the Redskins, and he and AJ Green both had over 100 yards receiving. This Bengals' offense should thrive now with Eiffert back in the fold because they already have a strong running game. The Giants cannot say the same as they average just 68 rushing yards per game. The Giants have been outgained in 4 of their last 5 games. Their 3-game winning streak comes to an end tonight against the superior Bengals. Cincinnati is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 road games. Take Cincinnati.
|
11-14-16 |
Thunder v. Pistons -2.5 |
|
88-104 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 52 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Detroit Pistons -2.5
The Key: The Oklahoma City Thunder are a tired team right now. They have lost 3 straight games coming in and now will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 8th game in 12 days. I don't expect a very good effort from them here tonight off their 117-119 home loss to the Magic last night. The Pistons are 4-0 at home this season. Not only are they winning, they are dominating, beating opponents by over 17 points per game. The Pistons are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 games as a home favorite. Take Detroit.
|
11-13-16 |
Texas-San Antonio +17.5 v. Oregon State |
|
64-72 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 5 m |
Show
|
6* Sunday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on UTSA +17.5
The Key: The UTSA Road Runners really impressed me in their opener. They only lost 66-69 at Fresno State as 15-point dogs, covering the spread by 12 points. They outrebounded the Bulldogs by 25 boards and only lost the game because they committed 20 turnovers. This is a team that returned 4 starters from last year and hired Steve Henson, Lon Kruger's right-hand man at Oklahoma. Oregon State is a team that lost 4 key players from last year, including star PG Gary Payton II, who averaged 16 points and 7.8 boards last year. I wasn't impressed with Oregon State's 78-58 home win over Prairie View A&M in the opener as the Beavers shot just 41.3% and committed 20 turnovers. That's really bad when you consider they had only 46 shot attempts. Take UTSA.
|
11-13-16 |
Cowboys v. Steelers -3 |
|
35-30 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 30 m |
Show
|
6* Cowboys/Steelers Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Pittsburgh -3
The Key: The Pittsburgh Steelers will be playing with a sense of urgency today. They have lost 3 straight games coming in, and Ben Roethlisberger hasn't been healthy for any of them. But now Roethlisberger should be closer to full strength at today against the Dallas Cowboys in a game the Steelers are looking at like a must-win. After all, the Steelers are 7-0 in Roethlisberger's last 7 home starts. The Cowboys are 7-0-1 ATS this season and getting too much respect from oddsmakers now. It's time to fade them. Mike Tomlin is 9-1 ATS off 3 or more straight ATS losses as the coach of the Steelers. Take Pittsburgh.
|
11-13-16 |
Packers -2.5 v. Titans |
Top |
25-47 |
Loss |
-120 |
4 h 6 m |
Show
|
7* NFL Non-Conference Game of the Month on Green Bay Packers -2.5
The Key: The Packers are just .500 at this late in the season for the first time since Aaron Rodgers' rookie year. Off two straight losses, it's clear that the Packers will be playing with a sense of urgency. Tennessee's Nissan Stadium will be turned into Lambeau Field South today as the Titans just have no home-field advantage at all. The only team they can beat at home is the Jaguars over the past couple seasons. Oh yeah, they also beat the winless Browns 28-26 earlier this season at home. The Titans are 12-36-3 ATS in their last 51 games overall and 15-34-3 ATS in their last 52 home games. Tennessee is 4-15 ATS in home games over the past 3 seasons alone, losing by an average of 8.1 points per game. The Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Take Green Bay.
|
11-13-16 |
Falcons v. Eagles +1.5 |
|
15-24 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 5 m |
Show
|
6* NFC *CA$H COW* on Philadelphia Eagles +1.5
The Key: The Philadelphia Eagles will be playing with a sense of urgency today. After their 3-0 start, they have lost 4 of their last 5 games by a touchdown or less, and all 4 losses were on the road. So they have had a chance to win every game they've played this season, but they have just come up short in 50/50 games. At home though, there has been no such thing as a 50/50 game for the Eagles. They have absolutely dominated at home this season, going 3-0 while winning by an average of 20.3 points per game. They are holding opponents to just 7.7 points per game in their 3 home contests, which includes a 34-3 win over the Steelers. Look for the Eagles to right the ship today. The home team has won 7 of the last 9 meetings. Take Philadelphia.
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11-12-16 |
Nets v. Suns -4.5 |
|
122-104 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 12 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Phoenix Suns -4.5
The Key: The Phoenix Suns have been competitive in almost every game this season. They have won three of their last five overall and were competitive in the other two in road losses to the Lakers and Blazers. The Brooklyn Nets have lost three of their last five with blowout losses to Chicago by 30 and New York by 14. All three of the Nets' wins this season have come at home, but they are 0-3 on the road. I look for the supremely talented Suns to put them away early and win this one going away. The Nets are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games. Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 home games. The Suns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Take Phoenix.
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11-12-16 |
USC v. Washington -7.5 |
|
26-13 |
Loss |
-100 |
17 h 57 m |
Show
|
6* USC/Washington FOX National TV *Annihilator on Washington -7.5
The Key: Washington is easily one of the Top 5 toughest places to play in the country. I look for the unbeaten Huskies to feed off of their home crowd and improve to 10-0 with a blowout win over USC this weekend. Everyone is making a big deal about USC winning 5 straight games coming in, but 4 of those came at home and they were mostly against soft competition. I like using common opponents to compare team. USC is 3-2 while winning by 11.8 points per game against common opponents of Washington this season. Washington is 5-0 against those 5 and winning by 28.0 points per game. There's no doubt in my mind that the Huskies are by far the superior team, and those numbers prove that. USC is 0-6 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons, losing by 19.3 points per game. USC is 0-7 ATS in road games after winning 4 or 5 of its last 6 games coming in over the last 3 seasons. Take Washington.
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11-12-16 |
Stanford -3 v. Oregon |
|
52-27 |
Win
|
101 |
13 h 27 m |
Show
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6* Stanford/Oregon Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on Stanford -3
The Key: The Oregon Ducks are just 3-6 SU & 1-7-1 ATS this season, but they still continue to get too much respect from the books here as only 3-point underdogs to the Stanford Cardinal. Stanford is by far the superior team. While the slight edge on offense goes to Oregon, the massive edge on defense goes to Stanford. The Cardinal have held their last four opponents to an average of 11.2 points per game. Oregon is allowing 49.0 points and 601.5 yards per game in conference play this season. The Ducks give up 239 rushing yards per game and 5.5 per carry. Christian McCaffrey is primed for perhaps the biggest game of his career. The Cardinal have rushed for 301 yards per game in their last two contests. Stanford wants revenge from a 36-38 home loss to Oregon last season that likely cost the Cardinal a spot in the four-team playoff. They would love nothing more than to hand Oregon its 7th loss and assure that the Ducks won't be going to a bowl game. The Cardinal are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Ducks are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Take Stanford.
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11-12-16 |
Wyoming -7.5 v. UNLV |
Top |
66-69 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 57 m |
Show
|
7* Mountain West Game of the Year on Wyoming -7.5
The Key: Wyoming is 5-0 in conference play with a win over Boise State to boot. With wins in 2 of their final 3 games, the Cowboys will be going to the conference championship game. But they still have tough games coming up at home against San Diego State and on the road at New Mexico. They really need to win this game against UNLV if they want to reach their goals. I look for them to continue playing well against the Rebels here. UNLV has lost 3 of its last 4 with its only win coming against Hawaii, and I don't expect it to put up much of a fight here. That includes a 23-42 home loss to Colorado State, which is the same team Wyoming beat 38-17 on the road earlier this season. UNLV is a one-dimensional running team that only completes 45.2% of its passes for 163 yards per game. Wyoming has been great against the run, giving up just 139 rushing yards per game and 4.1 per carry. Bets on favorites on of 3.5 to 10 points after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last seven games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 25-3 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Wyoming.
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11-11-16 |
Kings v. Blazers -6.5 |
|
120-122 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 18 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Portland Trail Blazers -6.5
The Key: The Sacramento Kings are in the midst of the toughest early schedule in the NBA. They are being asked to play an 11th game in 17 days to open the season tonight. This will be their 5th game in 7 days and the 2nd of a back-to-back after a home loss to the Lakers last night. The Blazers have owned the Kings, going 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in the last 6 home meetings while winning 5 times by at least 11 points. Given the tough spot for the Kings, another blowout win for the Blazers can be expected tonight. Take Portland.
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11-11-16 |
Boston College +20.5 v. Florida State |
Top |
7-45 |
Loss |
-102 |
6 h 43 m |
Show
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7* BC/FSU NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Boston College +20.5
The Key: The Florida State Seminoles have already suffered 3 losses this season and are merely playing for bowl positioning. They're not concerned at all about this game against Boston College. They were flat last week in their 24-20 win over NC State, and I don't see them putting forth a much better effort here. Keep in mind that Boston College also beat NC State 21-14 on the road as 14-point dogs two weeks ago. Speaking of 14, the Eagles haven't lost by more than 14 points to Florida State in any of the past 3 meetings. The Eagles are 7-0 ATS in road games off an ATS loss over the last 3 seasons. After failing to cover in a blowout loss to Louisville last week, the Eagles are undervalued here. Take Boston College.
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11-11-16 |
Michigan State v. Arizona +1 |
|
63-65 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 13 m |
Show
|
6* Michigan State/Arizona ESPN National TV *Annihilator* on Arizona +1
The Key: Arizona has four new starters, including two true freshman starters in guard Rawle Alkins and power forward Lauri Markkanen, a 3-point shooter and NBA lottery prospect who was the team's leading scorer with 21 points in its final exhibition game against Chico State on Sunday. Sophomore post player Chance Comanche should be good to go after serving a suspension due to academics. Comanche (6-11) joins a front line that includes 7-footer Markkanen, 7-foot center Dusan Ristic and 6-9 forward Keanu Pinder, a junior college transfer. Michigan State also replaces 4 starters from last season, and they'll be without big men Ben Carter and Gavin Schilling due to knee injuries. That leaves Nick Ward, at 6-8, as the team's tallest player tonight. The Wildcats should own the Spartans on the glass in this game, which will be the key to victory. Take Arizona.
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11-10-16 |
Browns +8 v. Ravens |
Top |
7-28 |
Loss |
-108 |
9 h 55 m |
Show
|
7* Browns/Ravens AFC North Game of the Month on Cleveland +8
The Key: The Baltimore Ravens can't be trusted to lay this kind of weight. Not when they haven't blown anyone out over the past two seasons. The Ravens haven't won a game by more than 8 points in any of their last 24 games. They have been the kings of close games as 22 of those 24 games were decided by 8 points or fewer. Plus, the Ravens are coming off a huge win over the rival Steelers on Sunday, so they could come out flat here against the Browns. The Browns have at least been competitive in the majority of their games, and they will be again here tonight against the offensively-challenged Ravens. The Ravens are 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 home games. The road team is 12-3-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings. The Browns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 trips to Baltimore. Take Cleveland.
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11-10-16 |
Pelicans v. Bucks -5.5 |
|
112-106 |
Loss |
-103 |
9 h 35 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Milwaukee Bucks -5.5
The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks have won 3 of their last 4 games coming in. They throttled the Pacers 125-107 and the Kings 117-91 in the process. Their only loss came on the road in overtime at Dallas while playing the 2nd of a back-to-back. But the Bucks have had the last 3 days off to get ready for the Pelicans, who they already beat 117-113 on the road just over a week ago. The Pelicans are a mess as they are 0-8 SU & 2-6 ATS this season. They should be much bigger underdogs here to the Bucks on the road. The Pelicans are 10-22 ATS in their last 32 vs. Eastern Conference. Take Milwaukee.
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11-10-16 |
North Carolina -11 v. Duke |
|
27-28 |
Loss |
-108 |
8 h 0 m |
Show
|
6* UNC/Duke ESPN National TV *Annihilator* on North Carolina -11
The Key: The North Carolina Tar Heels are 5-1 in conference play with their only loss coming to Virginia Tech in the slop left over by Hurricane Matthew. They have a great chance to win the Coastal for a second consecutive season. They have won their last 3 games in impressive fashion with a 7-point win at Miami, a 21-point win at Virginia, and a 28-point home win over Georgia Tech. I look for this blowout streak to continue as they put Duke away early. The Tar Heels have blown out the Blue Devils each of the last 2 seasons. They won 45-20 on the road in 2014 and 66-31 at home in 2015. Bets against home teams who have lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games against opponents who have won 3 of their last 4 games are 34-7 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take North Carolina.
|
11-09-16 |
Blazers v. Clippers -9.5 |
Top |
80-111 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 49 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Los Angeles Clippers -9.5
The Key: The Portland Trail Blazers are in a very tough situation here. They are playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 6th game in 9 days. They used up a lot of energy in a 124-121 home win over the Phoenix Suns last night as Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum combined for 71 points. The Clippers are 6-1 this season and outscoring teams by 14.9 points per game. They have been the best team in the NBA thus far in point differential. And they want revenge on the Blazers after getting knocked out of the playoffs by them last year once Chris Paul and Blake Griffin were lost to injury. Los Angeles is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 home games. That includes 20 and 21-points wins over the Blazers in Game 1 and 2 of the playoffs last year when they were healthy. Take Los Angeles.
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