07-02-17 |
Cubs -136 v. Reds |
Top |
6-2 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 29 m |
Show
|
7* NL Central Game of the Month on Chicago Cubs -136
The Key: The Chicago Cubs are getting healthy as both Ben Zobrist and Kris Bryant has recently returned to the lineup. After losing the first two games of this series to the Reds, they'll be hungry to not get swept here in Game 3. Jake Arrieta should shut down the Reds. He is 6-2 with a 3.76 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 8 lifetime starts against them. Tim Adleman is 5-4 with a 4.76 ERA in 13 starts this year, and 1-2 with a 5.62 ERA in his last 3 starts. Arrieta is 20-3 (+15.5 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. Take Chicago.
|
07-01-17 |
Red Sox -1.5 v. Blue Jays |
Top |
7-1 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 41 m |
Show
|
7* AL East Game of the Month on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+100)
The Key: The Boston Red Sox should have no problem winning by multiple runs today thanks to their advantage on the mound over the Toronto Blue Jays. Chris Sale has been a Cy Young candidate at 10-3 with a 2.77 ERA and 0.91 WHIP with 155 K's in 113 2/3 innings. He is 2-1 with a 1.99 ERA and 0.71 WHIP in his last 3 starts as well. Sale is 4-1 with a 1.72 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts vs. Toronto. His teams have won each of his last 5 starts against the Blue Jays, including the last 4 by 2 runs or more. Francisco Liriano is 3-3 with a 5.11 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in 7 lifetime starts vs. Boston. Liriano is 4-3 with a 5.46 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 12 starts this season. Sale is 22-4 vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. His teams are winning by 3.3 runs per game. Take Boston on the Run Line.
|
06-30-17 |
Mariners -118 v. Angels |
Top |
10-0 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 25 m |
Show
|
7* Mariners/Angels AL West *BAILOUT* on Seattle -118
The Key: Ariel Miranda has been very good for the Mariners this season. He is 6-4 with a 4.11 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in his 16 starts. Miranda has never lost to the Angels, going 3-0 with a 3.38 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against them. Parker Bridwell is very raw for the Angels as he has made just 3 starts this year. He has already given up 5 homers in 17 2/3 innings pitched. The Mariners are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series. The Mariners are 6-0 in Miranda's last 6 starts during game 1 of a series. The Angels are coming off a huge 4-game series against the Dodgers and could certainly have a letdown here in Game 1. Take Seattle.
|
06-29-17 |
Yankees v. White Sox OVER 10.5 |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 27 m |
Show
|
7* AL Total of the Month on Yankees/White Sox OVER 10.5
The Key: The conditions favor the OVER in today's game between the White Sox and Yankees. The wind is expected to be blowing out to left center at 12 miles per hour around game time. The Yankees have one of the best lineups in baseball as they are scoring 5.6 runs per game. They hung 12 on the White Sox yesterday. They should feast on James Shields, who is 1-1 with a 4.26 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 5 starts this year, including 1-1 with a 7.56 ERA and 2.04 WHIP in 2 home starts. Luis Cessa is just a fill-in starter for the Yankees. He has gone 0-2 with a 7.00 ERA in 2 spot starts this year for them. The White Sox are scoring 4.8 runs per game at home. Shields is 7-0 to the OVER in June games over the last 2 seasons. The OVER is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Chicago. Take the OVER.
|
06-28-17 |
Cardinals v. Diamondbacks -132 |
Top |
4-3 |
Loss |
-132 |
10 h 54 m |
Show
|
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Arizona Diamondbacks -132
The Key: The Arizona Diamondbacks are 16-3 in their last 19 games overall. They are also 30-10 at home this season. This is a very nice price here on the Diamondbacks when you consider how big of an advantage they have on the mound in this game. Zack Godley has been flying under the radar, going 3-1 with a 2.53 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 9 starts, and 2-0 with a 2.13 ERA and 0.83 WHIP in 4 home starts. Adam Wainwright has been getting absolutely crushed on the road this year, going 2-4 with a 9.48 ERA and 1.91 WHIP in 7 starts. The Cardinals are 3-12 in their last 15 road games. The Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Godley's last 5 starts. Take Arizona.v
|
06-27-17 |
Phillies v. Mariners -1.5 |
Top |
8-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 22 m |
Show
|
7* Interleague Game of the Week on Seattle Mariners -1.5 (+115)
The Key: The Seattle Mariners have a big scheduling advantage here. They had yesterday off while the Phillies played a Game 4 in Arizona. We're getting the better, fresher team with easily the better starter on the mound here, and I like this plus price with the Mariners on the Run Line as a result. James Paxton is 5-2 with a 3.39 ERA in 11 starts this year, including 4-1 with a 2.48 ERA in 7 home starts. He'll be opposed by Aaron Nola, who is 4-5 with a 4.32 ERA in 10 starts this year for the Phillies. The Mariners are 25-15 and scoring 5.3 RPG at home this year, while the Phillies are 10-31 and scoring 3.5 RPG on the road. Philly is 1-12 after scoring 1 run or less this season, losing by 2.8 RPG. Take Seattle on the Run Line.
|
06-26-17 |
Rockies +125 v. Giants |
Top |
2-9 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 24 m |
Show
|
7* Rockies/Giants NL West *BAILOUT* on Colorado +125
The Key: The Colorado Rockies are coming off 5 straight losses. They'll be hungry to get back in the win column today, and now they get to face the 27-51 San Francisco Giants to do just that. I just can't fathom how the Giants are consistently favored like they are today. Their name recognition gets them too much respect, but they simply aren't a good team this year. And Jeff Samardzija is almost always favored despite the fact that he's 2-9 with a 4.74 ERA in 15 starts this year. We'll gladly back German Marquez against him. Marquez has gone 5-3 with a 3.92 ERA in 11 starts, 3-1 with a 3.00 ERA in 6 home starts, and 1-0 with a 1.93 ERA in his last 3 outings. Samardzija is 0-3 with a 9.33 ERA in his last 3 starts against Colorado, yielding 19 earned runs in 18 1/3 innings. The Rockies are 20-6 in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Colorado is 7-1 in Marquez's last 8 starts. The Giants are 5-21 in their last 26 overall. San Francisco is 1-10 in its last 11 home games. Take Colorado.
|
06-25-17 |
Pirates v. Cardinals -140 |
Top |
4-8 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
|
7* Pirates/Cardinals ESPN *BAILOUT* on St. Louis -140
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals will be hungry for a victory tonight after dropping the first two games of this series to the Pittsburgh Pirates and three straight overall. Now the Cards have a big advantage on the mound with Mike Leake over Chad Kuhl. Leake is 5-6 with a 3.03 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 14 starts this year. Kuhl is 2-6 with a 5.46 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 14 starts. Kuhl has never beaten the Cards, going 0-2 (0-3 money line) with a 4.85 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them. Leake is 10-5 with a 3.58 ERA and 1.26 WHIP in 29 lifetime starts vs. Pittsburgh. Take St. Louis.
|
06-24-17 |
Astros v. Mariners +130 |
Top |
5-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 19 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Dog of the Month on Seattle Mariners +130
The Key: I've cashed in the Mariners a lot recently and will continue to ride them tonight, especially at this great underdog price of +130. The Mariners have now won 6 straight while scoring at least 5 runs in all 6 games, including 13 last night against the Astros. They are getting healthy and will be a dangerous team moving forward. Sam Gaviglio has held his own this year for Seattle, going 3-1 with a 3.38 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 7 starts, including 1-0 with a 1.71 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 4 home starts. Lance McCullers is 5-9 with a 4.31 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 23 lifetime road starts. The Mariners are 25-13 at home this year. Seattle is 5-0 in Gaviglio's last 5 starts. Take Seattle.
|
06-23-17 |
Astros v. Mariners -114 |
Top |
3-13 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 58 m |
Show
|
7* Astros/Mariners AL West *BAILOUT* on Seattle -114
The Key: The Mariners have now won 5 straight while scoring at least 5 runs in all 5 victories. They are getting healthy in their lineup and on the mound as Jean Segura just returned, and Felix Hernandez will be making his first start since April 26th. Hernandez pitching 6 shutout innings while striking out 8 in his final rehab start last week. Hernandez is 2-0 with a 3.29 ERA in 2 home starts this year. He'll be opposed by Joe Musgrove, going 4-6 with a 5.09 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 12 starts this year. Musgrove sports a 4.36 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts vs. Seattle. The Mariners are 24-13 at home this year and scoring 5.3 runs per game. Seattle is 20-7 as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season. The Astros are 1-7 in Musgrove's last 8 starts vs. a team with a slugging percentage of .410 or worse this season. The Mariners are 8-2 in Hernandez's last 10 home starts. Take Seattle.
|
06-22-17 |
Tigers v. Mariners -121 |
Top |
6-9 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 16 m |
Show
|
7* Tigers/Mariners American League *BAILOUT* on Seattle -121
The Key: Andrew Moore will be making his major league debut today. He was a former 2nd round pick out of Oregon State in 2015. He has been so good in the minors that the Mariners can't leave him down there any longer. He'll be taking the place of the struggling Yovani Gallardo in the rotation. Moore was the Mariners' minor league pitcher of the year in 2016, going 12-4 with a 2.65 ERA. He has gone 4-3 with a 2.72 ERA in 14 games this season. He'll be opposed by Daniel Norris, who is 4-4 with a 4.42 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in 13 starts. The Mariners are 23-13 at home this year, while the Tigers are 14-23 on the road. The Tigers are 0-5 in their last 5 games overall. The Mariners are 6-0 in their last 6 home meetings with Detroit. Take Seattle.
|
06-21-17 |
Cardinals -123 v. Phillies |
Top |
7-6 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 13 m |
Show
|
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on St. Louis Cardinals -123
The Key: We're getting a great price here Wednesday to fade the Philadelphia Phillies. It has been a profitable move all season as they are just 22-47, especially of late as they are 1-12 in their last 13 games overall. I'm not sure why Nick Pivetta is getting so much love from the books as he's 1-3 with a 4.46 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in 7 starts this year. Michael Wacha isn't having his best season, but he has only allowed 3 earned runs in 14 innings in his last 2 starts against the Phillies. Pivetta faced the Cardinals for the first and only time earlier this season, allowing 4 runs in 5 innings of a 7-0 loss. The Cardinals are 11-0 in their last 11 vs. National League East. The Cardinals are 9-0 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Take St. Louis.
|
06-20-17 |
Angels v. Yankees -1.5 |
Top |
8-3 |
Loss |
-135 |
7 h 47 m |
Show
|
7* AL Run Line Game of the Month on New York Yankees -1.5 (-135)
The Key: The New York Yankees are riding a season-high 6-game losing streak as their lost their final 6 games of a 7-game road trip last week. They had Monday off to regroup, and now I believe they'll get back in the win column with a blowout victory at home over the Los Angeles Angels. The Yankees are 22-9 at home this season. Michael Pineda is 6-1 with a 1.96 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 7 home starts this year. The Yankees are 18-4 at home against right-handed starters this season, and they're winning by 3.5 runs per game on average. The Yankees are 7-0 in their last 7 home meetings. Take New York on the Run Line.
|
06-19-17 |
Nationals -107 v. Marlins |
Top |
7-8 |
Loss |
-107 |
6 h 11 m |
Show
|
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington Nationals -107
The Key: The Washington Nationals have a big advantage on the mound and at the plate tonight over the Miami Marlins. But that's not reflected in the line here as we are getting basically even money. Tanner Roark is 3-1 with a 1.78 ERA in his last 4 starts against the Marlins, giving up only 5 earned runs in 25 1/3 innings. He'll be opposed by Justin Nicolino, who has never beaten Washington, going 0-3 with an 8.62 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them. The Nationals are 26-12 in Roark's last 38 starts. The Marlins are 1-11 in Nicolino's last 12 starts vs. a team with a winning record, including 0-6 in Nicolino's last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Take Washington.
|
06-18-17 |
Red Sox v. Astros OVER 9 |
Top |
6-5 |
Win
|
105 |
8 h 13 m |
Show
|
7* Red Sox/Astros ESPN *BAILOUT* on OVER 9
The Key: Expect plenty of runs tonight between the Red Sox and Astros as both teams are capable of covering this 9-run total on their own. Joe Musgrove has been a mess at 4-5 with a 4.81 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 11 starts, including 2-5 wiht a 5.05 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 8 home starts. David Price hasn't been sharp at all since returning from the DL. He is 1-1 with a 5.09 ERA in 4 starts this year. The OVER is 17-3-2 in Astros last 22 Sunday games. The OVER is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 Sunday games. The OVER is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Take the OVER.
|
06-17-17 |
Diamondbacks -115 v. Phillies |
Top |
5-1 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 10 m |
Show
|
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Arizona Diamondbacks -115
The Key: The Philadelphia Phillies are just 1-9 in their last 10 games overall. Yet they continue to get too much respect from oddsmakers here today as small dogs. Zack Godley is 2-1 with a 2.44 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in 7 starts this year for the Diamondbacks and getting zero respect. He'll be up against Jerad Eickhoff, who is STILL looking for his first win this year. Eickhoff is 0-7 with a 5.22 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 13 starts. The Diamondbacks are 10-1 in their last 11 during game 2 of a series. The Phillies are 1-8 in Eickhoff's last 9 starts. The Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 meetings in Philadelphia. Take Arizona.
|
06-16-17 |
Giants v. Rockies -104 |
Top |
8-10 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 33 m |
Show
|
7* NL West Game of the Month on Colorado Rockies -104
The Key: The Colorado Rockies (43-26) should not be basically even money tonight against the San Francisco Giants (26-42). The Rockies are scoring 5.5 runs per game against right-handed starters while the Giants are scoring 3.7 runs per game overall and 3.9 against righties. I would argue that the Rockies have the advantage on the mound too. Antonio Senzatela is 8-2 with a 3.84 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 13 starts, including an impressive 6-1 with a 3.18 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 7 home starts. Jeff Samardzija is 2-8 with a 4.31 ERA in 13 starts for the Giants. Samardzija has given up 11 earned runs in 12 1/3 innings in his last 2 starts against the Rockies. Senzatela has never lost to the Giants, going 2-0 with a 2.57 ERA and 0.79 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts against them. Take Colorado.
|
06-15-17 |
Yankees -112 v. A's |
Top |
7-8 |
Loss |
-112 |
11 h 46 m |
Show
|
7* Yankees/A's American League *BAILOUT* on New York -112
The Key: The New York Yankees are coming off back-to-back road losses to the Los Angeles Angels to close out that series. Those two losses followed up a 6-game winning streak in which they scored 60 runs combined. Now it's a short trip to Oakland and I think they'll get a victory here in Game 1 of this series against the A's. This is an A's team that is just 1-6 in their last 7 games overall. I really like Jordan Montgomery, who is 4-4 with a 3.55 ERA in 11 starts, 2-3 with a 3.21 ERA in 5 road starts, and 2-1 with a 1.56 ERA in his last 3 starts. We'll fade Sonny Gray, who is 2-2 with a 4.37 ERA in 8 starts this year, including 0-1 with a 6.11 ERA in his last 3 starts. Gray is 1-2 with a 4.44 ERA in 4 lifetime starts vs. New York. The A's are 7-19 in Gray's last 26 starts. The Yankees are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings and 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Oakland. Take New York.
|
06-14-17 |
Red Sox -123 v. Phillies |
Top |
7-3 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 21 m |
Show
|
7* Interleague Game of the Week on Boston Red Sox -123
The Key: We're getting a great price on the Boston Red Sox today against one of the worst teams in baseball in the Philadelphia Phillies. The Phillies are 21-42 on the season. Jeremy Hellickson has been one of their best starters, but that's not saying much as he sports a 4.50 ERA in 13 starts. Brian Johnson has been sharp in his 3 starts for the Red Sox at 2-0 with a 3.44 ERA. The Red Sox are 80-32 in their last 112 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. The Phillies are 0-7 in their last 7 interleague games. The Red Sox are 29-11 in the last 40 meetings. Take Boston.
|
06-13-17 |
Rangers v. Astros OVER 9 |
Top |
4-2 |
Loss |
-112 |
8 h 17 m |
Show
|
7* AL West Total of the Year on Rangers/Astros OVER 9
The Key: The Texas Rangers are getting healthy and starting to really hit the baseball. They have won 4 straight road games while scoring 5 runs or more in all 4. They have scored at least 5 runs in 9 of their last 12 games as well. The Houston Astros have one of the best lineups in baseball as they are scoring 5.4 runs per game on the season and hitting .275. Two awful starters in Nick Martinez and Brad Peacock are in line to get rocked today. Martinez is 1-3 with a 5.24 ERA in 8 starts this year, while Peacock is 1-1 with a 5.00 ERA in 4 starts. Martinez is 10-1 OVER in his last 11 starts vs. teams who outscore opponents by 1 or more runs per game on the season. Take the OVER.
|
06-12-17 |
Cavs v. Warriors -8.5 |
Top |
120-129 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 8 m |
Show
|
7* Cavs/Warriors Game 5 *HEAVY HITTER* on Golden State -8.5
The Key: The Golden State Warriors were just humbled in Cleveland by a final of 137-116. They let their guard down after taking a 3-0 lead, but now they'll be focused on closing out this series in Game 5. They remember blowing their 3-1 lead last year all too clearly, and they aren't about to let it happen again. The Cavs made a whopping 24 3-pointers in Game 4 and that's obviously not going to happen again, either. The home crowd will be a huge edge here as the Warriors are 44-5 at home this season and winning by 16.2 points per game. Golden State is 7-0 ATS in home games against Central division opponents this season. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take Golden State.
|
06-12-17 |
Phillies v. Red Sox -1.5 |
|
5-6 |
Loss |
-113 |
7 h 12 m |
Show
|
6* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-113)
The Key: The Boston Red Sox should have no problem beating one of the worst teams in baseball in the Philadelphia Phillies (21-40) by two or more runs today. The Phillies have lost 5 straight coming in while scoring just 9 runs total in those 5 losses. Jerad Eickhoff is still looking for his first win in 12 starts for the Phillies. He is 0-7 with a 5.29 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in those 12 starts, including 0-2 with a 6.92 ERA and 1.92 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Boston is 26-7 in home games after a loss by 4 runs or more over the last 3 seasons. It is winning by 2.5 runs per game in this situation. Take Boston on the Run Line.
|
06-11-17 |
Marlins v. Pirates -145 |
Top |
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 21 m |
Show
|
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Pittsburgh Pirates -145
The Key: The Miami Marlins are expected to be without their top two power hitters in Giancarlo Stanton and Justin Bour today. That will make life on Ivan Nova much easier today. Nova has been one of the more underrated starters in the big leagues. He is 5-4 with a 3.04 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 12 starts, including 3-2 with a 2.70 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 5 home starts. Nova is also 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA in one lifetime start vs. Miami, pitching a 9-inning shutout in a 4-0 victory over the Marlins earlier this season on April 29th. Nova is 11-1 (+10.3 Units) against the money line against NL East opponents in his career. The Marlins are 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Take Pittsburgh.
|
06-10-17 |
Brewers v. Diamondbacks -147 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 34 m |
Show
|
7* National League Game of the Week on Arizona Diamondbacks -147
The Key: The Arizona Diamondbacks are 24-9 at home this season, where they are hitting .294 and scoring 6.5 runs per game. After a rare home loss to the Brewers in Game 1 of this series, they'll be hungry for a victory in Game 2 tonight. Zack Godley has been awesome with a 2.39 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 6 starts this year, including 1-0 with a 1.93 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in 3 home starts. Godley is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.83 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts vs. Milwaukee, pitching 12 shutout innings. The Brewers are expected to be without 3 of their best hitters in Ryan Bruan, Travis Shaw and Jonathan Villar, so Godley should have his way with this watered-down lineup. The Brewers are 30-72 in their last 102 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Take Arizona.
|
06-09-17 |
Brewers v. Diamondbacks -130 |
|
8-6 |
Loss |
-130 |
10 h 32 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on Arizona Diamondbacks -130
The Key: The Arizona Diamondbacks are a sensational 24-8 at home this season. And they are rarely big home favorites, which is the case again today with this generous -130 price. Randall Delgado has been awesome in his 3 starts this year, sporting a 1.80 ERA and 1.07 WHIP while allowing just 3 earned runs in 15 innings pitched. Zach Davies sports a 4.69 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 12 starts this year for the Brewers. The Diamondbacks are 7-1 in Delgado's last 8 home starts. The Brewers are 29-72 in their last 101 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Take Arizona.
|
06-09-17 |
Warriors v. Cavs UNDER 229 |
Top |
116-137 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 53 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Finals Total of the Year on Warriors/Cavs UNDER 229
The Key: This total of 229 is the highest of the four games thus far in the NBA Finals, so that fact alone shows that there's value with the UNDER. And the 10 meetings between the Cavs and Warriors prior to Game 2 all saw 217 or fewer combined points. Cleveland is 18-3 UNDER as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last two seasons. The UNDER is 39-17 in Warriors last 56 games playing on 1 days rest. Take the UNDER.
|
06-08-17 |
Orioles +144 v. Nationals |
Top |
1-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 55 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Dog of the Week on Baltimore Orioles +144
The Key: This is an awful spot for the Washington Nationals tonight. They just took 2 out of 3 from the Los Angeles Dodgers on the West Coast, and now they had to fly all the way back to the East Coast yesterday and got in early this morning. They won't be ready for this game against the Orioles tonight. Baltimore has won 5 of its last 7 and is riding hight after a huge 5-run comeback yesterday to beat the Pirates 9-6 at home in extra innings. It's just a short trip for them to Washington. Alec Asher has held his own in 4 starts this year with a 1.02 WHIP in 4 starts while allowing only 21 base runners in 20 2/3 innings. Joe Ross has been terrible with a 7.34 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in 6 starts this year. Asher is 1-1 with a 3.27 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts vs. Washington. Baltimore is 15-3 after 7 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons. The Orioles are 9-2 in their last 11 vs. National League East. The Nationals are 2-8 in their last 10 vs. American League East. The Orioles are 20-8 in the last 28 meetings. Take Baltimore.
|
06-07-17 |
Warriors v. Cavs +4 |
Top |
118-113 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 46 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Finals Game of the Year on Cleveland Cavaliers +4
The Key: The Cleveland Cavaliers will give everything they have in Game 3 tonight to try and get back in this series. This is the exact same situation as last year when they lost the first two games in Golden State in blowout fashion, then won Game 3 in Cleveland 120-90. I don't expect that big of a blowout this time around, but I do think they win this game outright, though we'll take the points for some insurance. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this series. Take Cleveland.
|
06-07-17 |
Mets v. Rangers -154 |
|
4-3 |
Loss |
-154 |
8 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* Interleague *MOUND MISMATCH* on Texas Rangers -154
The Key: The New York Mets are a mess right now as they are 1-5 in their last 6 games overall while getting outscored 22-44 in the process. And Zack Wheeler is 3-3 with a 3.72 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 10 starts for the Mets this year. He was fortunate to only give up 2 runs despite allowing 11 base runners in his last start. He won't be so fortunate today against this Rangers lineup. Ace Yu Darvish gets the ball for the Rangers and is 5-4 with a 3.01 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 12 starts this year. Teams are hitting .300 and scoring 6.3 runs per game at home against the Mets this year. Texas is 17-4 as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. The Rangers are 12-1 in home games vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season. The Mets are 2-8 in their last 10 road games. The Rangers are 8-0 in their last 8 interleague home games. Take Texas.
|
06-06-17 |
Angels v. Tigers -140 |
Top |
5-3 |
Loss |
-140 |
7 h 31 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Detroit Tigers -140
The Key: The Detroit Tigers have won 4 straight while scoring a combined 38 runs in the process. They should stay red hot at the plate against Jesse Chavez, who is 4-5 with a 4.48 ERA in 11 starts, including 1-4 with a 5.76 ERA in five road starts. And Daniel Norris should have success against an Angels lineup that is now gutted after losing Mike Trout, the one irreplaceable player in baseball. The Angels are hitting .221 and scoring 3.4 runs per game on the road, while the Tigers are hitting .277 and scoring 5.8 runs per game at home. Chavez is 2-15 as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Chavez is 0-12 as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons. The Tigers are 17-3 after scoring 7 runs or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Take Detroit.
|
06-05-17 |
Cardinals -129 v. Reds |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-129 |
19 h 32 m |
Show
|
7* NL Central Game of the Month on St. Louis Cardinals -129
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals will be hungry for a victory tonight after getting swept by the Cubs last series. Fortunately, they now have a series with the lowly Cincinnati Reds to get back on track. The Reds are just 1-5 in their last 6 games overall. Carlos Martinez is the ace of the Cardinals staff, going 4-4 with a 3.08 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 11 starts this year. He is 1-1 with a 1.48 ERA and 0.74 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Asher Wojciechowski makes just his second start of the season for the Reds after giving up 4 runs and 3 homers in 4 innings of a 4-6 loss at Toronto in his first. The Cardinals are 10-1 in Martinez's last 11 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. St. Louis is 13-3 in Martinez's last 16 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Reds are 20-46 in their last 66 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The Cardinals are 5-1 in Martinez's last 6 starts vs. Cincinnati. Take St. Louis.
|
06-04-17 |
Cavs v. Warriors -8.5 |
Top |
113-132 |
Win
|
100 |
32 h 49 m |
Show
|
7* Cavs/Warriors Game 2 *HEAVY HITTER* on Golden State -8.5
The Key: The Golden State Warriors are playing with a massive chip on their shoulder after blowing that 3-1 series lead in the NBA Finals last season. That's why they won't let up after winning 113-91 in Game 1. We saw last year in the first two games of the NBA Finals that the Warriors won by 15 in Game 1 and came back and won by 33 in Game 2. I think this will be another double-digit blowout for the Warriors, who are 28-1 in their last 29 games while winning 9 of their last 10 by double-digits. They are the better defensive team here and held the Cavs to 34.5% shooting in Game 1. That is the difference in this series, and it will be the difference in Game 2 as well. The Warriors are 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 games overall. Take Golden State.
|
06-04-17 |
Rockies -138 v. Padres |
|
3-1 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Colorado Rockies -138
The Key: The Colorado Rockies hung a 10-spot on the San Diego Padres yesterday. They should hang a big number on Jarred Cosart today as well. Cosart is 0-1 with a 3.72 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in 5 starts this year, averaging just 3.9 innings per start. He'll be opposed by young phenom Jeff Hoffman, who is 2-0 with a 2.92 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 2 starts with 15 strikeouts in 12 1/3 innings. Cosart is 0-1 with a 5.87 ERA and 1.96 WHIP in 2 starts this year. Bets against home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SAN DIEGO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 37-7 since 1997. Take Colorado.
|
06-03-17 |
Twins -109 v. Angels |
Top |
2-7 |
Loss |
-109 |
11 h 39 m |
Show
|
7* Twins/Angels American League *BAILOUT* on Minnesota -109
The Key: The Minnesota Twins are now 16-5 on the road this season profiting backers +13.6 units. Ace Ervin Santana has been virtually unhittable this season, especially on the road. Santana is 7-2 with a 1.75 ERA and 0.84 WHIP in 11 starts this year, and 4-0 with a 0.31 ERA and 0.72 WHIP in 4 road starts. He'll be opposed by Matt Shoemaker, who is 4-3 with a 4.26 ERA in 11 starts, and 3-1 with a 5.21 ERA in 5 home starts. The Angels are without Mike Trout for a couple months and will be straight fade material now and moving forward. The Twins are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Twins are 6-0 in Santana's last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Take Minnesota.
|
06-02-17 |
Nationals -128 v. A's |
Top |
13-3 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 45 m |
Show
|
7* Interleague Game of the Week on Washington Nationals -128
The Key: We're getting to lay a very low price on the better team and the better starter today in Oakland. The Washington Nationals are 33-19 on the season. Stephen Strasburg is 6-1 with a 2.94 ERA in 10 starts, and 4-0 with a 2.70 ERA in 5 road starts. The Nationals have gone 8-2 in Strasburg's 10 starts. Andrew Triggs is 3-3 with a 4.09 ERA at home this year. Washington is 9-1 in road games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. The Nationals are 39-12 in Strasburg's last 51 starts. Washington is 10-1 in Strasburg's last 11 starts during game 1 of a series. Take Washington.
|
06-01-17 |
Cavs v. Warriors -7 |
Top |
91-113 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 6 m |
Show
|
7* Cavs/Warriors Game 1 *HEAVY HITTER* on Golden State -7
The Key: The Golden State Warriors will jump on the Cavaliers in Game 1 to make an early statement that this series isn't going to go like it did last year. The Warriors just have too many weapons now with the addition of Durant, and they are the second-best defensive team in the NBA and have the players who can contain Lebron James. This is a highly anticipated series, but the casual fan will be disappointed with Game 1 as the Warriors run away with it. They are 27-1 in their last 28 games overall, including 12-0 in these playoffs with 9 straight double-digit victories. Take Golden State.
|
06-01-17 |
Diamondbacks -122 v. Marlins |
|
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 5 m |
Show
|
6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Arizona Diamondbacks -122
The Key: The Arizona Diamondbacks are 33-22 (+11.4 units) and one of the most profitable teams in baseball. The Miami Marlins are 21-30 (-9.4 units) and one of the least profitable teams in MLB. But the Marlins are starting to get too much respect from the books due to their 4-game winning streak, which includes 3 straight wins over the lowly Phillies. Ace Zack Greinke gets the ball for the Diamondbacks looking to improve on his 6-3 record with a 3.23 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 11 starts this year. Greinke is 4-0 (7-0 money line) with a 3.09 ERA in 7 lifetime starts vs. Miami having never lost to them. Jeff Locke makes his first start of the season for the Marlins, and he's 1-2 with a 7.25 ERA and 1.84 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts vs. Arizona. Take Arizona.
|
05-31-17 |
Tigers v. Royals -115 |
Top |
6-5 |
Loss |
-115 |
7 h 1 m |
Show
|
7* AL Central Game of the Month on Kansas City Royals -115
The Key: The Kansas City Royals have a massive advantage on the mound tonight. Ian Kennedy sports a 4.43 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 8 starts this year, including a 3.04 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 4 home starts. Matt Boyd sports a 5.40 ERA in 10 starts this year, including 0-2 with a 10.22 ERA and 2.68 WHIP in his last 3 outings. While Kennedy sports a 3.78 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts vs. Detroit, Boyd is 1-3 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.87 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts vs. Kansas City. The Tigers are 0-6 in Boyd's last six starts. Take Kansas City.
|
05-30-17 |
Astros v. Twins OVER 9 |
Top |
7-2 |
Push |
0 |
8 h 16 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Total of the Month on Astros/Twins OVER 9
The Key: Both Mike Fiers and Jose Berrios are fly ball pitchers. That's bad news for both of them because the wind is blowing out to center at 14 miles per hour tonight. Fiers has served up 18 homers already in 46 2/3 innings. Berriors gave up 3 solo homers in his last start alone. The OVER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings, which includes the 24 runs they combined to score yesterday. Take the OVER.
|
05-29-17 |
A's v. Indians -1.5 |
Top |
3-5 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 33 m |
Show
|
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-120)
The Key: The Cleveland Indians throw their best starter in Carlos Carrasco Monday. All he's done is go 4-2 with a 2.93 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 9 starts this season. And Carrasco certainly enjoys facing the A's, going 2-0 with a 1.13 ERA and 0.58 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them. Daniel Mengden is making his first start of the season for the A's. Mengden went 2-9 with a 6.50 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 14 starts for the A's last season in his only previous big league action. Cleveland is 30-8 after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons. It is winning by 2.8 runs per game in this spot. Take Cleveland on the Run Line.
|
05-28-17 |
Rays -105 v. Twins |
Top |
8-6 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 12 m |
Show
|
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Tampa Bay Rays -105
The Key: We're getting the Rays at even money today despite the fact that they have a huge advantage on the mound today. Alex Cobb is 4-4 with a 3.82 ERA and 1.26 WHIP in 10 starts this year. He has been much better than Minnesota's Kyle Gibson, who is 1-4 with an 8.62 ERA and 1.98 WHIP in 7 starts. Cobb is 1-0 with a 3.17 ERA in one lifetime start vs. Minnesota, while Gibson is 1-4 with a 7.82 ERA in 5 lifetime starts vs. Tampa Bay. The Rays are 8-2 in their last 10 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. The Twins are 1-4 in Gibson's last 5 home starts. The Rays are 19-7 in the last 26 meetings in Minnesota. Take Tampa Bay.
|
05-27-17 |
Braves v. Giants -125 |
Top |
3-6 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 14 m |
Show
|
7* Braves/Giants National League *BAILOUT* on San Francisco -125
The Key: The San Francisco Giants have not gotten off to a very good start these first few months. But now the price with them is going to be favorable moving forward, especially today as they are coming off 4 straight losses and should be hungry for a win. I'm going to back the Giants and Ty Blach, who is 1-1 with a 1.73 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 4 home starts this year. He has been dominant in all of his starts outside of one against the Reds. The Braves are 17-35 in their last 52 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Take San Francisco.
|
05-26-17 |
Royals v. Indians -1.5 |
Top |
6-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 14 m |
Show
|
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (+120)
The Key: I'm backing the Cleveland Indians to win by multiple runs tonight over the Kansas City Royals due to their advantage on the mound and at the plate. Mike Clevinger has gone 2-1 with a 1.59 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in three starts this season for the Indians. One of those was against the Royals on May 7th as he pitched 5 2/3 shutout innings. Clevinger is now 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA in 2 lifetime starts vs. Kansas City. Ian Kennedy is 0-2 with an 8.49 ERA in his last 3 starts, and 2-4 with a 5.18 ERA in 8 lifetime starts vs. Cleveland. Kansas City is 2-15 in road games after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base over the last 2 seasons. It is losing by 3.1 runs per game in this spot. Take Cleveland on the Run Line.
|
05-25-17 |
Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 217 |
Top |
135-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 47 m |
Show
|
7* Cavs/Celtics Game 5 *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 217
The Key: The Cavs shot 56.5% in Game 2 and it went UNDER. The Cavs shot 59.5% in Game 4 and it went UNDER. The Cavs can't shoot the ball any better, and yet the UNDER has cashed two of the last three games. And I think Game 5 will be the lowest scoring yet after a previous low of 211 in Game 4. The Celtics are worse offensively but better defensively without Isaiah Thomas. Boston is 8-0 UNDER as a home dog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last three seasons. The UNDER is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Boston. Take the UNDER.
|
05-24-17 |
Angels v. Rays -108 |
Top |
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 16 m |
Show
|
7* American League Game of the Month on Tampa Bay Rays -108
The Key: The Tampa Bay Rays have lost 3 in a row, including two by exactly one run, and they'll be hungry for a victory tonight against the Angels. Erasmo Ramirez is 1-0 with a 2.61 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in 2 starts this season. Ramirez is 2-2 with a 2.64 ERA in 5 lifetime starts vs. Los Angeles. Ricky Nolasco is 2-3 with a 4.01 ERA in 9 starts this season. He's 3-6 with a 6.57 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 9 lifetime starts vs. Tampa Bay. The Angels are 0-4 in Nolasco's last 4 starts. The Rays are 9-3 in Ramirez's last 12 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Angels are 17-37 in their last 54 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Take Tampa Bay.
|
05-23-17 |
Celtics v. Cavs UNDER 218 |
Top |
99-112 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 7 m |
Show
|
7* Celtics/Cavs Game 4 *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 218
The Key: The Cavs and Celtics could not have shot any better in Game 3 and they STILL only combined for 219 points. The Celtics went a ridiculous 18-of-40 (45%) from 3-point range, while the Cavs went 16-of-39 (41%) from distance. The chances of that happening again are highly unlikely, thus we'll take the UNDER in Game 4. The UNDER is 14-5-2 in Celtics last 21 road games. Take the UNDER.
|
05-23-17 |
Blue Jays v. Brewers -104 |
|
4-3 |
Loss |
-104 |
6 h 7 m |
Show
|
6* Interleague Game of the Week on Milwaukee Brewers -104
The Key: Great price here with the underrated Milwaukee Brewers at basically even money against the overrated Toronto Blue Jays. The Brewers have an excellent lineup that is scoring 5.3 runs per game overall and 5.9 per game at home. The Blue Jays are hitting .238 and scoring 4.1 runs per game as their lineup has taken a big step back this year. Jimmy Nelson has been unhittable in his last 3 starts, going 1-0 with a 1.15 ERA and 1.02 WHIP. Joe Biagini is only averaging 4.3 innings per start as he is no more than a spot starter for the Blue Jays right now. The Blue Jays are 1-7 in their last 8 games following an off day. The Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Brewers are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record. Take Milwaukee.
|
05-22-17 |
Warriors v. Spurs +12 |
Top |
129-115 |
Loss |
-115 |
8 h 52 m |
Show
|
7* Warriors/Spurs Game 4 *HEAVY HITTER* on San Antonio +12
The Key: The San Antonio Spurs won't just quit even though this series is essentially over. Greg Popovich will make sure his players give a big effort tonight in Game 4 to avoid the sweep. And we're getting some serious line value here with the Spurs as 12-point home dogs with the books knowing that the public is just going to keep pounding the Warriors no matter how high they set the line. We'll go against the public here tonight. Bets against road favorites of 10 or more points (GOLDEN STATE) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game are 70-27 ATS since 1996. Take San Antonio.
|
05-22-17 |
Pirates -120 v. Braves |
|
2-5 |
Loss |
-120 |
6 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Pittsburgh Pirates -120
The Key: The Pittsburgh Pirates are playing very well right now in going 6-2 in their last 8 games overall. Now they send ace Gerrit Cole to the mound Monday to keep it going. Cole is 2-4 with a 2.84 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 9 starts this year, and 1-1 with a 1.71 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in his last 3 outings. He'll be opposed by Mike Foltynewicz, who is 1-2 with a 6.35 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in 3 home starts this year. Cole has never lost to the Braves, going 3-0 (5-0 money line) with a 2.25 ERA in 5 lifetime starts. Foltynewicz has never beaten the Pirates, going 0-3 with an 8.25 ERA in 3 lifetime starts. Take Pittsburgh.
|
05-21-17 |
Celtics v. Cavs UNDER 217 |
Top |
111-108 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 48 m |
Show
|
7* NBA 3rd Round Total of the Year on Celtics/Cavs UNDER 217
The Key: The Celtics will now be without leading scorer Isaiah Thomas for the rest of the playoffs. It will certainly hurt their offense moving forward, especially here in Game 3 as they are not used to playing without him. He creates so much for them offensively. Where they won't miss him is on the other end, where Thomas is one of the worst defensive point guards in the NBA. I really love this UNDER in Game 3 as it's one of my strongest plays of the postseason. They combined for 216 points in Game 2 and will certainly combine for less than that now that the Celtics are worse off on offense and better off on defense. The UNDER is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 road games. The UNDER is 81-38-3 in Cavs last 122 Sunday games. The UNDER is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings. Take the UNDER.
|
05-21-17 |
Rangers -120 v. Tigers |
|
5-2 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* Rangers/Tigers ESPN *BAILOUT* on Texas -120
The Key: The Texas Rangers are the hottest team in baseball. They have gone 10-1 in their last 11 games overall. They lost yesterday, but should start a new streak today with their advantage on the mound. Yu Darvish is an elite ace who is 4-2 with a 2.61 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 9 starts this season. He'll be opposed by Matt Boyd, who is 2-3 with a 5.18 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 8 starts, including 0-2 with a 7.31 ERA and 1.81 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Boyd is 1-3 with a 5.24 ERA in 4 lifetime starts vs. Texas. Darvish has never lost to the Tigers, going a perfect 6-0 with a 3.46 ERA and 1.104 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts. Take Texas.
|
05-20-17 |
Warriors v. Spurs +9.5 |
Top |
120-108 |
Loss |
-115 |
8 h 59 m |
Show
|
7* Warriors/Spurs Game 3 *HEAVY HITTER* on San Antonio +9.5
The Key: The San Antonio Spurs aren't the type of team that's just going to pack it in down 2-0. They were deflated in Game 2 after losing Kawhi Leonard to injury in Game 1, and they did not play well as they shot just 37% while the Warriors hot 56% for the game. Look for them to show some pride tonight. After all, they are still 8-2 without Leonard this season, so they have the pieces to make this game competitive. I always like backing home teams in the playoffs in Game 3 after losing the first two games of the series because you know they are going to give the effort with their season basically on the line. The Spurs are 19-9 ATS in the last 28 home meetings. Take San Antonio.
|
05-20-17 |
Giants v. Cardinals -138 |
|
3-1 |
Loss |
-138 |
6 h 9 m |
Show
|
6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on St. Louis Cardinals -138
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals are hungry for a victory tonight after losing three straight. They blew a 5-3 lead in the 8th inning last night to the Giants, giving up 2 runs in the 9th to lose 5-6. I expect them to bounce back thanks to their huge advantage on the mound Saturday. Carlos Martinez is 2-1 with a 3.06 ERA in 5 home starts this season and 3-0 with a 2.70 ERA in his last 3 starts overall. Jeff Samardzija is 1-5 with a 5.26 ERA in 8 starts this year and 0-3 with a 6.66 ERA in 4 road starts. Samardzija gave up 6 runs and 4 homers in 5 innings in a 4-7 loss to the Cardinals in his last start at St. Louis. Martinez has never lost to the Giants, going 2-0 with a 3.27 ERA in 2 lifetime starts against them. The Cardinals are 16-4 after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. The Cardinals are 24-7 in Martinez's last 31 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Take St. Louis.
|
05-19-17 |
Cavs v. Celtics +6.5 |
Top |
130-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 7 m |
Show
|
7* Cavs/Celtics Game 2 *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston +6.5
The Key: The Boston Celtics are in must-win mode here in Game 2. They let the Cavs take it to them in Game 1 and won't make that same mistake again tonight. The Cavs are clearly a public team right now as they have gone 4-0-1 ATS in their last five playoff games while winning all nine playoff games thus far. The public is going to continue to back them blindly, and this line is up to 6.5 in some places today after being just 3.5 in Game 1. That's a clear over-adjustment as the books know that the public is only going to back the Cavs. This extra line value is a nice bonus in a game the Celtics will likely win outright. Take Boston.
|
05-19-17 |
Giants v. Cardinals -145 |
|
6-5 |
Loss |
-145 |
7 h 50 m |
Show
|
6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on St. Louis Cardinals -145
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals have gone 8-3 in their last 11 games overall to really turn their season around and get atop the NL Central division. They have a huge advantage on the mound tonight over the struggling San Francisco Giants, who are 17-25 on the season, including 6-15 in road games. Michael Wacha is 2-1 with a 3.19 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 6 starts this season. Wacha has gone 2-0 with a 2.92 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 4 home starts. He is also 1-0 with a 1.88 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts vs. San Francisco. Matt Moore is 2-4 with a 5.68 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in 8 starts this year, including 0-3 with a 10.51 ERA and 2.17 WHIP in 4 road starts. Moore is 0-10 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in road games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Giants are 16-45 in their last 61 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Take St. Louis.
|
05-18-17 |
Red Sox -103 v. A's |
Top |
3-8 |
Loss |
-103 |
8 h 29 m |
Show
|
7* Red Sox/A's American League *BAILOUT* on Boston -103
The Key: Getting the Boston Red Sox at basically even money against the Oakland A's is a gift from the books tonight. Hector Velazquez will make his major league debut and has the element of surprise working in his favor. Velazquez sports a 1.55 ERA at Triple-A Pawtucket this season. Sonny Gray is still looking for his first win for the A's, going 0-1 with a 3.78 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 3 starts this year. Gray has never beaten the Red Sox, going 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA in 3 lifetime starts. The Red Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record. The A's are 5-16 in Gray's last 21 starts. Oakland is 6-21 in its last 27 during game 1 of a series. The Red Sox are 9-1 in the last 10 meetings. Take Boston.
|
05-17-17 |
Cavs v. Celtics +5 |
Top |
117-104 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 50 m |
Show
|
7* Cavs/Celtics Game 1 *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston +5
The Key: The Boston Celtics have only played 4 games in the past 10 days. So I'm not buying the public perception that they are fatigued heading into this series. The Cavaliers have had 9 days off in between games and I think that puts them at a disadvantage in Game 1. The Celtics are favored by 4 at home in their final regular season meeting with the Cavaliers. Now they are GETTING 5 points in Game 1. That's way too big of an adjustment. The Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. Take Boston.
|
05-17-17 |
Orioles v. Tigers -141 |
|
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 39 m |
Show
|
6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Detroit Tigers -141
The Key: The Detroit Tigers have a huge advantage on the mound today with Michael Fulmer over Ubaldo Jimenez. Fulmer is 4-1 with a 2.54 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in seven starts this season. Jimenez is 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in six starts this season. The Tigers went 2-0 in Fulmer's 2 starts against the Orioles last season. Jimenez is 6-11 with a 5.72 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 21 lifetime starts vs. Detroit. The Tigers are 29-7 in their last 36 after scoring 8 or more runs in their previous game. The Tigers are 17-4 in Fulmer's last 21 starts when the total is 8.5 to 10. Take Detroit.
|
05-16-17 |
Mets v. Diamondbacks -160 |
|
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 24 m |
Show
|
6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Arizona Diamondbacks -160
The Key: The Arizona Diamondbacks have a huge advantage on the mound with Zack Greinke, who is 4-2 with a 2.79 ERA in 8 starts, and 3-0 with a 2.27 ERA in 5 home starts. Greinke is 5-2 with a 2.87 ERA in 9 lifetime starts vs. New York. Tom Milone is 1-0 with a 4.74 ERA in 4 starts this season for the Mets. Milone sports a 7.20 ERA in his lone lifetime start vs. Arizona. Greinke is 81-23 (+40.3 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more lifetime. The Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 games overall. The Diamondbacks are 20-8 in their last 28 home games. Arizona is 9-2 in its last 11 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Take Arizona.
|
05-16-17 |
Spurs +14 v. Warriors |
Top |
100-136 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 4 m |
Show
|
7* Spurs/Warriors Game 2 *HEAVY HITTER* on San Antonio +14
The Key: There's no question that the loss of Kawhi Leonard is huge for the Spurs. But I think the books have over-adjusted here in Game 2. In fact, the Spurs are actually 8-1 this season without Leonard, which is remarkable. They thumped Houston 114-75 on the road without Leonard in Game 6 last series. Bets against home favorites (GOLDEN STATE) - when leading in a playoff series, a top-level team (75% or better) playing a good team (60% to 75%) are 32-9 ATS since 1996. San Antonio is 8-0 ATS off a close road loss of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take San Antonio.
|
05-15-17 |
Wizards v. Celtics -5 |
Top |
105-115 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 26 m |
Show
|
7* Wizards/Celtics Game 7 *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston -5
The Key: The home team has won all 10 meetings between the Wizards and Celtics this season. The home team has gone 9-1 ATS in those 10 games as well. The Boston Celtics have won 8 straight home meetings with the Wizards while going 8-0 ATS in the process. I think they'll fee off their home crowd and run away with this Game 7, just as they have in all previous 8 home meetings with the Wizards. Take Boston.
|
05-15-17 |
Rays v. Indians -147 |
|
7-8 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cleveland Indians -147
The Key: Carlos Carrasco is one of the best starters in baseball. He has gone 4-2 with a 1.86 ERA and 0.77 WHIP in 7 starts this season. Carrasco certainly enjoys facing the Rays, going 3-3 with a 2.57 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts against them. He has yielded only 2 earned runs over 16 2/3 innings while winning each of his last 2 starts against Tampa Bay. Chris Archer has never beaten the Indians, going 0-5 with a 5.14 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against them. Take Cleveland.
|
05-14-17 |
Pirates +130 v. Diamondbacks |
|
6-4 |
Win
|
130 |
4 h 56 m |
Show
|
6* MLB Dog of the Week on Pittsburgh Pirates +130
The Key: The Pittsburgh Pirates should not be underdogs to the Arizona Diamondbacks, let alone +130 dogs, when you considering the huge advantage they have on the mound today. Ivan Nova continues to get no love from oddsmakers despite the fact that he's 3-3 with a 2.23 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in 7 starts this season. Robbie Ray is 2-3 with a 4.14 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 7 starts for Arizona, and 1-2 with a 6.35 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in 4 home starts. Ray has never beaten the Pirates, going 0-2 (0-3 money line) with a 7.07 ERA and 1.93 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them. The Diamondbacks are 1-7 in Ray's last 8 starts as a home favorite of -125 to -175. Take Pittsburgh.
|
05-14-17 |
Spurs v. Warriors -9.5 |
Top |
111-113 |
Loss |
-115 |
3 h 16 m |
Show
|
7* Spurs/Warriors Game 1 *HEAVY HITTER* on Golden State -9.5
The Key: The Golden State Warriors are chomping at the bit to get back on the court again. They swept each of their first round series against the Blazers and Jazz while winning seven of those games by 11 points or more. I think they get a double-digit win over the Spurs in Game 1. The Spurs are banged up right now without Tony Parker and with Kawhi Leonard nowhere near 100%. They have also only had two days off since beating the Rockets in Game 6, while the Warriors have had five days off in between. San Antonio is 0-7 ATS off a road win over a division opponent this season. The Warriors are 17-5-1 ATS in their last 23 games overall. Take Golden State.
|
05-13-17 |
Phillies v. Nationals -1.5 |
Top |
4-6 |
Win
|
125 |
6 h 21 m |
Show
|
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Month on Washington Nationals -1.5 (+125)
The Key: I'll back the Washington Nationals on the Run Line tonight against the struggling Philadelphia Phillies, who are 2-10 in their last 12 games overall. The Nationals are 22-12 on the season behind a lineup that is hitting .283 and scoring 6.1 runs per game. Tanner Roark has been a money-making machine over the past few seasons as he's consistently undervalued. Roark is 3-1 with a 3.46 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 7 starts this season. He'll be opposed by Nick Pivetta, who is 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.90 WHIP in 2 starts for the Phillies this year. Roark is 4-4 with a 3.19 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 12 lifetime starts vs. Philadelphia. Pivetta gave up 4 runs, 3 homers and 9 hits in 5 innings of a 2-4 loss to the Nationals on May 5th in his only lifetime start against them. Take Washington on the Run Line.
|
05-12-17 |
Padres v. White Sox -127 |
|
6-3 |
Loss |
-127 |
7 h 38 m |
Show
|
6* Interleague *CA$H COW* on Chicago White Sox -127
The Key: The Chicago White Sox are hungry for a victory after losing 5 straight games coming in. They should get back on the winning track tonight against one of the worst teams in baseball in the San Diego Padres. Plus, they have a massive advantage on the rubber with Miguel Gonzalez. He is 3-2 with a 3.18 ERA in 6 starts this season and 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA in 2 home starts. He'll be opposed by Jhoulys Chacin, who is 3-3 with a 5.49 ERA in 7 starts, and 1-3 with a 10.71 ERA in 4 road starts. Chicago is 29-12 in its last 41 home games following 5 or more consecutive losses. The Padres are 17-43 in their last 60 road games. San Diego is 1-7 in its last 8 games overall. The White Sox are 5-0 in Gonzalez's last 5 home starts. Take Chicago.
|
05-12-17 |
Celtics v. Wizards UNDER 217 |
Top |
91-92 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 33 m |
Show
|
7* Celtics/Wizards Game 6 *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 217
The Key: The Over has gone 4-1 in this series thus far. But I think Game 6 is primed to be the lowest scoring game yet as these teams clearly know one another very well now. And with the pressure of an elimination game, I don't expect the Wizards to shoot lights out, but their defensive effort will be there for four quarters. This one will be played at a much slower pace give the high stakes. Boston is 7-0 UNDER in Friday night road games this season. Boston is 13-2 UNDER in road games versus teams who allow 46% shooting or worse this season. Take the UNDER.
|
05-11-17 |
Spurs v. Rockets -6 |
Top |
114-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 51 m |
Show
|
7* Spurs/Rockets Game 6 *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston -6
The Key: I like the way the Houston Rockets responded the first time they trailed in this series. Trailing 2-1, they blew out the Spurs 125-104 at home in Game 4. After they gave away Game 5, I think the Rockets will respond with a big performance in Game 6 at home here again Thursday. The Spurs are already without Tony Parker, and now Kawhi Leonard is nowhere near 100% as he's nursing ankle and knee injuries. This is just a really bad spot for the Spurs here tonight. Take Houston.
|
05-10-17 |
Wizards v. Celtics -4 |
Top |
101-123 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 3 m |
Show
|
7* NBA 2nd Round Game of the Year on Boston Celtics -4
The Key: This one is really as simply as it gets. The home team has been dominant when the Wizards and Celtics get together. The home team has won 8 straight while going a perfect 8-0 ATS in the process. The Celtics have won 7 straight home meetings with the Wizards while going 7-0 ATS as well. They have won all 7 games by at least 8 points. Take Boston.
|
05-10-17 |
Cardinals -103 v. Marlins |
|
7-5 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 13 m |
Show
|
6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on St. Louis Cardinals -103
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals are playing their best baseball of the season right now. They have won 5 straight while scoring at least 5 runs in all five games. They are now 18-14 on the season. The Miami Marlins have gone the other direction, going 3-10 in their last 13 games overall. Lance Lynn has been the Cardinals' best starter this season with a 4-1 record and a 2.04 ERA in 6 starts, including 3-0 with a 1.00 ERA in his last 3 outings. Tom Koehler is 1-1 with a 5.40 ERA in 6 starts for the Marlins. Lynn has never lost to the Marlins, going 4-0 with a 3.28 ERA in 4 lifetime starts. Koehler is 1-3 with a 7.84 ERA in 4 lifetime starts against the Cards. Take St. Louis.
|
05-09-17 |
Twins -102 v. White Sox |
|
7-2 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 32 m |
Show
|
6* AL Central Game of the Week on Minnesota Twins -102
The Key: The Minnesota Twins have a big advantage on the mound tonight, yet we're getting them at a generous price of basically even money. Hector Santiago is 3-1 with a 2.78 ERA in 6 starts this season. Santiago really enjoys facing the White Sox, going 4-1 with a 1.40 ERA in 6 lifetime starts against them. Mike Pelfrey is one of the worst starters in baseball. He has gone 0-2 with a 5.02 ERA in 3 starts for Chicago this season. Pelfrey is 1-1 with a 6.88 ERA in 4 lifetime starts vs. Chicago as well. The Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 road games. The Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 trips to Chicago. Take Minnesota.
|
05-09-17 |
Rockets +5.5 v. Spurs |
Top |
107-110 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
|
7* Rockets/Spurs Game 5 *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston +5.5
The Key: Not every game in this series is going to be a blowout. After all, the four regular season meetings were all decided by 6 points or less, including three by exactly 2 points. But each of the first four games in this series have been decided by 11 points or more. The Rockets won by 21 and 27 points in their two victories. I have a sneaky suspicion this Game 5 comes down to the final shot, and thus the price is a good one in getting the Rockets at +5.5. The road team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Take Houston.
|
05-08-17 |
Warriors v. Jazz UNDER 207 |
Top |
121-95 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 40 m |
Show
|
7* Warriors/Jazz Game 4 *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 207
The Key: We cashed in the UNDER in Game 3 with a 102-91 final and a total of 207.5. The oddsmakers have failed to adjust enough for Game 4 with another 207-point total. The UNDER is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings between the Jazz and Warriors. They have combined for 205 or fewer points in 7 of those 9 meetings. The UNDER is 25-8-2 in the last 35 meetings, including 11-4-1 in the last 16 meetings in Utah dating back further. The UNDER is 20-5-1 in Warriors last 26 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. The UNDER is 26-10 in Warriors last 36 road games. The UNDER is 7-1-1 in Jazz last 9 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. The UNDER is 10-2 in Jazz last 12 games following a double-digit loss at home. Take the UNDER.
|
05-08-17 |
Cardinals -119 v. Marlins |
|
9-4 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 50 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on St. Louis Cardinals -119
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals are playing their best baseball of the season in winning 7 of their last 10 games overall coming in. The Miami Marlins have gone just 3-9 in their last 12 games overall. The Cardinals have the clear advantage on the mound tonight. Carlos Martinez is 1-3 with a 3.75 ERA in 6 starts, and 1-1 with a 3.79 ERA in 3 lifetime starts vs. Miami. Adam Conley is 2-1 with a 6.00 ERA in 5 starts this year, and 0-1 with a 14.08 ERA in 2 home starts. The Cardinals are 6-0 in their last 6 road games. The Cardinals are 23-7 in Martinez' last 30 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Marlins are 0-7 in their last 7 Game 1's of a series. Take St. Louis.
|
05-07-17 |
Yankees v. Cubs -124 |
|
5-4 |
Loss |
-124 |
11 h 10 m |
Show
|
6* Yankees/Cubs Interleague Game of the Week on Chicago -124
The Key: The Chicago Cubs have dropped the first two games of this series to the Yankees. Now they'll be wanting to save face tonight and avoid the sweep. Jon Lester is clearly the better starter in this matchup with Luis Severino, which wasn't the case in the first two games, though they should have won Game 1 after blowing a 2-0 lead in the 9th. Then Brett Anderson got shelled yesterday. Lester will stop the bleeding here. The Cubs have gone 14-0 in his last 14 home starts in night games. Take Chicago.
|
05-07-17 |
Celtics v. Wizards UNDER 216 |
Top |
102-121 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 35 m |
Show
|
7* Celtics/Wizards Game 4 *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 216
The Key: The Celtics and Wizards are getting more familiar with one another as this series goes on. After two shootouts in Boston, these teams combined for just 205 points in Game 3 in Washington. I think we see a similar result here with what's at stake, and especially now that the Wizards are without one of their biggest offensive weapons in Kelly Oubre in Game 4 due to suspension. The UNDER is 13-3-2 in Celtics last 18 road games, including 5-0-1 in Celtics last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The UNDER is 4-1 in Wizards last 5 home games. Take the UNDER.
|
05-06-17 |
Rangers v. Mariners OVER 8.5 |
|
2-8 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 59 m |
Show
|
6* MLB Total of the Week on Rangers/Mariners OVER 8.5
The Key: The OVER is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 games overall, while the OVER is 3-1 in Rangers last 4 games. Martin Perez is 1-4 with a 4.26 ERA in 6 starts, and 0-1 with a 5.19 ERA in 2 road starts this year. Chase De Jong is 0-1 with a 20.22 ERA in his lone start this season, allowing 6 runs and 11 base runners in 2 2/3 innings of a 4-12 loss at Cleveland. Seattle is 14-4 OVER in May home games over the last 2 seasons. Seattle is 37-19 OVER in home games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons. Perez is 10-1 OVER in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in his career. The OVER is 9-2 in Perez's last 11 starts vs. Seattle. The OVER is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings. Take the OVER.
|
05-06-17 |
Warriors v. Jazz UNDER 208 |
Top |
102-91 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 24 m |
Show
|
7* NBA 2nd Round Total of the Year on Warriors/Jazz UNDER 208
The Key: The UNDER is 6-1-1 in the last eight meetings in this series. The Warriors and Jazz have combined for 209 or fewer points in seven of those eight meetings, and 205 or fewer in six of them. The Jazz play at the slowest tempo in the NBA, and they'll control the pace playing at home in Game 3. The UNDER is 25-10 in Warriors last 35 road games. The UNDER is 24-8-2 in the last 34 meetings, and 10-4-1 in the last 15 meetings in Utah. Take the UNDER.
|
05-05-17 |
Spurs v. Rockets -4.5 |
Top |
103-92 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 32 m |
Show
|
7* Spurs/Rockets Game 3 *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston -4.5
The Key: James Harden had one of his worst games of the season in Game 2 as he went just 3-for-17 from the field. Don't expect another poor performance from him here in Game 3 as this series shifts to Houston. This is where the Rockets take control of the series as they are clearly the better team. The Spurs are now down their starting point guard in Tony Parker for the rest of the postseason. They will be lost without him as Kawhi Leonard will have to take over more of the PG duties, which he's unaccustomed to. Leonard has too much on his plate for the Spurs. The Rockets are a complete team that can beat you with a number of different players. Take Houston.
|
05-05-17 |
Diamondbacks -107 v. Rockies |
|
6-3 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 32 m |
Show
|
6* NL West Game of the Week on Arizona Diamondbacks -107
The Key: I love the price we are getting with the Arizona Diamondbacks. We're getting their ace in Zach Greinke at basically even money here. Greinke sports a 3.19 ERA in 6 starts this year, including a 2.25 ERA in his last 3 starts. He'll be opposed by German Marquez, who is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA in his 2 starts this season. The Rockies are 0-4 in Marquez's last 4 starts. Take Arizona.
|
05-04-17 |
Jazz +12.5 v. Warriors |
Top |
104-115 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 58 m |
Show
|
7* Jazz/Warriors Game 2 *HEAVY HITTER* on Utah +12.5
The Key: Gordon Hayward was basically a no-show in Game 1 and the Utah Jazz still managed to cover the 13-point spread. Expect a much better game from him here tonight after he went just 2-for-9 for 12 points in Game 1. Utah is 75-49 ATS when revenging a loss vs. opponent over the last three seasons. The Jazz are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games. Utah is 9-1-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on one days rest. Take Utah.
|
05-04-17 |
Angels v. Mariners -119 |
|
3-11 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* Angels/Mariners AL West *BAILOUT* on Seattle -119
The Key: The Seattle Mariners have gone 7-4 at home this season and we are getting a great price on them as only -119 favorites over the Los Angeles Angels tonight. Ariel Miranda has held his own this season, going 2-2 with a 3.81 ERA in 5 starts, including 1-1 with a 2.84 ERA in 2 home starts. Miranda has never lost to the Angels, going 2-0 with a 3.71 ERA in 3 lifetime starts vs. Los Angeles. Alex Meyer was rocked for a 9.00 ERA in his lone lifetime start against the Mariners. The Angels are 4-9 in their last 13 home games. The Mariners are 5-1 in Miranda's last 6 home starts. Take Seattle.
|
05-03-17 |
Rockies -124 v. Padres |
|
11-3 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 49 m |
Show
|
6* Rockies/Padres NL West *BAILOUT* on Colorado -124
The Key: The Colorado Rockies have dropped two straight and five of their last seven. They'll have a good opportunity to bounce back tonight against the San Diego Padres. Jered Weaver is a dumpster fire who is far past his prime. Weaver is 0-2 with a 4.71 ERA in 5 starts this season. He'll be opposed by Antonio Senzatela, who is 3-1 with a 2.81 ERA in 5 starts, and 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA in 2 road starts. Senzatela allowed just 2 runs in 7 innings of a 3-2 victory over the Padres on April 11th. The Rockies are 8-1 in their last 9 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. The Rockies are 4-1 in Senzatela's last 5 starts. The Padres are 0-5 in Weaver's last 5 starts. Take Colorado.
|
05-03-17 |
Raptors +7.5 v. Cavs |
Top |
103-125 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 44 m |
Show
|
7* Raptors/Cavs Game 2 *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto +7.5
The Key: The Toronto Raptors are tired of getting beat down in Cleveland. They have lost their last four playoff games in Cleveland by an average of 25 points. I think they come out with a chip on their shoulder tonight and play the Cavs close from start to finish. They were at least competitive in Game 1, losing by 11 points. They will stay within 7.5 tonight, possibly pulling off the upset. Toronto is 10-2 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season. The Raptors are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games. The Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take Toronto.
|
05-02-17 |
Jazz v. Warriors -12.5 |
Top |
94-106 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 22 m |
Show
|
7* Jazz/Warriors Game 1 *HEAVY HITTER* on Golden State -12.5
The Key: Big advantage here for the Warriors in rest and preparation in Game 1. The Warriors beat the Blazers in 4 games and have been off since April 24. The Jazz needed 7 games to beat the Clippers and just wrapped up their series on Sunday. Look for the Warriors to keep the foot on the gas in Game 1 and make a statement here. The have had the Jazz number over the past couple seasons, going 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings at Golden State. All 6 of those wins have come by at least 13 points, and that will get us a cover here in Game 1. Take Golden State.
|
05-02-17 |
Blue Jays v. Yankees -1.5 |
|
5-11 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 40 m |
Show
|
6* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on New York Yankees -1.5 (-105)
The Key: Masahiro Tanaka is 3-0 with a 1.61 ERA in his last 3 starts. He is coming off a complete game shutout at Boston, so he's clearly finding his groove. Mat Latos has been awful over the past few seasons and isn't about to resurrect his career in Toronto in the tough AL East. Tanaka is 6-3 with a 2.34 ERA in 10 lifetime starts vs. Toronto. The Yankees are 12-1 in Tanaka's last 13 starts as a home favorite of -110 or higher, winning by an average of 2.2 runs per game in this spot. Take New York on the Run Line.
|
05-01-17 |
Pirates -109 v. Reds |
|
3-4 |
Loss |
-109 |
7 h 55 m |
Show
|
6* NL Central Game of the Week on Pittsburgh Pirates -109
The Key: The Cincinnati Reds have come back down to reality over the past few weeks. They are just 2-8 in their last 10 games overall. Amir Garrett is now 2-2 with a 5.09 ERA on the year after getting shelled for 9 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings in his last start against the Brewers. Ace Gerrit Cole sports a 1.89 ERA over his last 3 starts and we'll back him at an excellent price tonight. The Pirates are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Take Pittsburgh.
|
05-01-17 |
Raptors +7 v. Cavs |
Top |
105-116 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 51 m |
Show
|
7* Raptors/Cavs Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto +7
The Key: The additions of Serge Ibaka and PJ Tucker make the Raptors the biggest threats to beat the Cavaliers in the Eastern Conference. They took the Cavs to 6 games last year and are capable of winning this series now. The Cavs aren't as strong as they were a year ago, especially defensively as they ranked 22nd in efficiency during the regular season. They gave up 111 points per 100 possessions against the Pacers last series. While they swept the Pacers, that series was much closer than the sweep would suggest as all 4 games were decided by 6 points or less. Ibaka and Tucker helped the Raptors limit the Bucks to just 93.2 points per game last series. It's clear that they are by far the superior defensive team in this series. Toronto is hitting its stride in winning its last three games over the Bucks by a combined 39 points despite playing two of those games on the road. The Raptors are 10-1 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season. The Cavaliers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Take Toronto.
|
04-30-17 |
Padres v. Giants -129 |
|
5-2 |
Loss |
-129 |
4 h 2 m |
Show
|
6* National League *CA$H COW* on San Francisco Giants -129
The Key: The Giants will bounce back from their 12-4 defeat at the hands of the Padres yesterday. Ty Blach is a nice young starter for them who deserves a spot in the rotation and will be hungry to prove it today. Clayton Richard is 2-3 with a 4.45 ERA in 5 starts for the Padres, 1-2 with a 5.09 ERA in 3 road starts and 1-2 with a 6.06 ERA in his last 3 starts. San Diego is 2-8 in its last 10 road games. The Padres are 8-32 in road games after 4 or more consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. The Padres are 16-41 in their last 57 road games. The Padres are 0-5 in Richard's last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Giants are 16-6 in their last 22 home games vs. a left-handed starter. The Padres are 15-37 in the last 52 meetings in San Francisco. Take San Francisco.
|
04-30-17 |
Jazz v. Clippers UNDER 191 |
Top |
104-91 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 32 m |
Show
|
7* Jazz/Clippers *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 191
The Key: The UNDER is 2-0 in the last two games of this series with combined scores of 188 and 191 points. This comes as no surprise because as these teams get more familiar with one another, the harder it is to score points. I think we'll see the lowest-scoring game of the series here in Game 7 Sunday with what is at stake. The UNDER is 5-0 in Jazz last 5 road games. The UNDER is 4-1 in Clippers last 5 home games. The UNDER is 17-5-1 in Clippers last 23 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The UNDER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Los Angeles. Take the UNDER.
|
04-29-17 |
Rockies v. Diamondbacks -125 |
Top |
7-6 |
Loss |
-125 |
8 h 20 m |
Show
|
7* NL West Game of the Month on Arizona Diamondbacks -125
The Key: Rarely will you get the opportunity to back ace Zach Greinke at this kind of price at home. The Diamondbacks are 11-4 at home this season and scoring 6.8 runs per game. Greinkey is 2-2 with a 2.93 ERA in 5 starts, and 2-0 with a 2.04 ERA in 3 home starts, clearly turning it around this year. Tyler Anderson is 1-3 with a 7.10 ERA in 5 starts for the Rockies. Anderson is 0-0 with a 6.30 ERA in 2 lifetime starts vs. Arizona. Greinke is 98-37 (+41.8 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher in his career. Greinke is 42-11 (+25.9 Units) against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse in his career. Take Arizona.
|
04-28-17 |
Rockies +142 v. Diamondbacks |
|
3-1 |
Win
|
142 |
9 h 3 m |
Show
|
6* NL West *CA$H COW* on Colorado Rockies +142
The Key: The Colorado Rockies come in having lost 3 straight games. They will be hungry to get back in the win column tonight, and I think they do that against the Rays at a great price due to their advantage on the mound. Kyle Freeland has gone 2-1 with a 3.32 ERA in 4 starts this year, including a 2.25 ERA in his lone road start. Robbie Ray sports a 3.42 ERA in 4 starts for the Diamondbacks, including a 6.55 ERA in 2 home starts. Ray has been rocked by the Rockies, sporting a 5.30 ERA and 1.682 WHIP in 7 lifetime starts. Colorado is a very profitable 19-16 (+12.8 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. Ray is a woeful 2-8 (-9.3 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons. Take Colorado.
|
04-28-17 |
Celtics -3 v. Bulls |
Top |
105-83 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
7* Celtics/Bulls Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston -3
The Key: The Chicago Bulls haven't been the same since losing Rajon Rondo. They are 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games, getting outscored by a combined 37 points by the Celtics in the process. They have been held to just 93.0 points per game without Rondo as well as their offense has stalled. I think the Celtics close out the series here tonight, especially knowing that Isaiah Thomas and friends will be leaving for Washington for his sister's funeral after this game either way. They'd rather not have the distraction of a Game 7 during the funeral, so they'll be 'all in' here to finish the deal. Boston is 17-8 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. The Celtics are 17-8-2 ATS in their last 27 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The favorite is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings. The road team is 4-1 ATS in this series. Take Boston.
|
04-27-17 |
Raptors v. Bucks -1 |
Top |
92-89 |
Loss |
-103 |
6 h 26 m |
Show
|
7* Raptors/Bucks Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee -1
The Key: The Toronto Raptors play great with their backs against the wall. They dug themselves out of a 2-1 deficit in this series to win the last two games. But now that they know they have a home game in their back pocket for Game 7, they won't be nearly as hungry to win Game 6 tonight. They just have a way of falling flat in games they don't need in the playoffs over the past two postseasons. They were forced to go to Game 7 twice last year in the first two rounds. Milwaukee is 8-0 ATS in home games off 2 straight losses by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Take Milwaukee.
|
04-26-17 |
Marlins v. Phillies +101 |
|
4-7 |
Win
|
101 |
6 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* NL East Game of the Week on Philadelphia Phillies +101
The Key: The Philadelphia Phillies are rolling right now. They have won 4 straight coming in. They are hitting .278 and scoring 5.7 runs per game at home this year. Vincent Velasquez is one of the bright young talents in the game. He has 19 strikeouts in 15 innings over 3 starts this year. Velasquez is 1-0 with a 2.50 ERA in 3 lifetime starts vs. Miami. Wei-Yin Chen has struggled recently against the Phillies. He is 0-2 with a 5.51 ERA in his last 3 starts against them, all of which came last season. He has given up 10 earned runs and a whopping 28 hits in 16 1/3 innings in those 3 starts. Take Philadelphia.
|
04-26-17 |
Hawks v. Wizards UNDER 213 |
Top |
99-103 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 22 m |
Show
|
7* Wizards/Hawks *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 213
The Key: The last 3 games in this series have finished right around this 213-point total. They went for 210 points in Game 2, 214 in Game 3 and 212 in Game 4. I expect the lowest-scoring game of the series tonight. The more familiar teams become with one another, the harder it is to score. The advantage goes to the defenses when they know what the opposing offenses are trying to do. Atlanta is 9-0 UNDER in road games after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. The UNDER is 8-0 in Hawks last 8 Wednesday games. The UNDER is 11-4-1 in Hawks last 16 road games. The UNDER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Washington. Take the UNDER.
|
04-25-17 |
Thunder +7.5 v. Rockets |
Top |
99-105 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 10 m |
Show
|
7* Thunder/Rockets Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Oklahoma City +7.5
The Key: The Oklahoma City Thunder have led 128 of 192 minutes in series but trail 3-1. That's the most minutes any team has led in any series in postseason through four games. They just haven't been able to finish game late. And this has been a closely-contested series all season. In fact, 6 of 8 meetings this season have been decided by 4 points or less. Dating back further, 11 of the last 13 meetings have been decided by 8 points or fewer. Expect a big effort from the Thunder with their season on the line. It also helps that James Harden has a bum ankle and isn't 100%. The Underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Take Oklahoma City.
|
04-24-17 |
Bucks +6 v. Raptors |
Top |
93-118 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 45 m |
Show
|
7* Bucks/Raptors Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee +6
The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks have been the better team in this series thus far. They have outscored the Raptors by a combined 24 points through four games. They played great in each of the first 3 games, but they committed an uncharacteristic 20 turnovers in Game 4 and lost by 11. They are being undervalued now after that performance, and I look for them to possibly win this game outright, let alone stay within 6 points in Game 5. Jason Kidd preached tempo after the Game 4 loss. He said they were playing too slow, and that their energy level was too low. Look for them to correct their mistakes and get back to playing the way they were when they took 2 of the first 3 games from the Raptors by a combined 35 points. The Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. The Raptors are 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 Conference Quarterfinals games. Take Milwaukee.
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04-24-17 |
Cubs -118 v. Pirates |
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14-3 |
Win
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100 |
7 h 45 m |
Show
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6* Cubs/Pirates ESPN *CA$H COW* on Chicago -118
The Key: Brett Anderson had two great starts to open the season in which he allowed just 1 earned run in 10 2/3 innings. But after getting blown up by the Brewers in his last start, Anderson is now being undervalued. But he's clearly the better starter in this matchup with Chad Kuhl, and the Cubs have far and away the better lineup. The Cubs are scoring 4.9 runs per game overall and 5.9 per game on the road. The Pirates are scoring just 3.4 runs per game overall and 2.9 against left-handed starters. Kuhl has never beaten the Cubs, going 0-2 with a monstrous 10.45 ERA and 2.323 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts, all of which came last season. Take Chicago.
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04-23-17 |
Rockets v. Thunder -1 |
Top |
113-109 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 37 m |
Show
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7* Rockets/Thunder Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Oklahoma City -1
The Key: The Oklahoma City Thunder picked up a huge win in Game 3 as they breathed a huge sigh of relief after James Harden missed a potential game-winning 3-pointer at the buzzer. Now they have the confidence that they can beat the Rockets, and I think that carries over into Game 4 here. The Thunder have some of the best home fans in the NBA, which has led to a 29-13 record on their home floor this season. This is a very generous -1 price as a result. The Thunder are 8-0 ATS in home games after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games this season. The Rockets are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games overall. Take Oklahoma City.
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