Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-22-19 | Clemson +6.5 v. Florida State | Top | 68-77 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 26 m | Show |
7* NCAAB Situational Game of the Month on Clemson +6.5 The Key: It’s rare that you’ll see one team with such a big rest advantage over another team in the middle of conference play. But that’s the case here with Clemson having a big edge in rest coming in over Florida State. Clemson last played on January 16th and has had five full days off to get ready for the Seminoles. Florida State just played on Sunday, January 20th, so they only have one day to get ready for Clemson. And the Seminoles are not playing well, going 1-4 SU in their last 5 games and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games. The Seminoles are 0-6 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams who make 72% or more of their attempts this season. The Seminoles are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 ACC games. Take Clemson. |
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01-21-19 | Creighton v. Georgetown -1.5 | 91-87 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
6* Monday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Georgetown -1.5 The Key: The Georgetown Hoyas are 9-3 at home this season with their 3 losses coming by 3, 3 and 8 points. The Creighton Bluejays are 1-4 in true road games this year with their 4 losses coming by 19, 13, 15 and 15 points. This is a pretty easy choice tonight as the Hoyas basically just have to win at home to cover this short number. Creighton is 2-11 ATS as a road underdog or PK over the last 2 seasons. The Bluejays are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games overall. Take Georgetown. |
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01-21-19 | Rockets v. 76ers -3.5 | Top | 93-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
7* Rockets/76ers TNT *HEAVY HITTER* on Philadelphia -3.5 The Key: The Rockets have to be running on fumes by now playing back-to-back overtime games against the Nets and Lakers, both at home. They were substantial favorites in both games. And now they’re getting too much respect from oddsmakers here as only 3.5-point dogs at Philadelphia. The Rockets are without both Chris Paul and Clint Capela. The 76ers are 19-5 at home this year. Houston is 0-7 ATS after a combined score of 245 points or more this season. The 76ers are 8-0 ATS in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season. Take Philadelphia. |
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01-20-19 | Patriots v. Chiefs -3 | Top | 37-31 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
7* Patriots/Chiefs AFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Kansas City -3 The Key: Home teams have won 10 straight AFC/NFL Championship Games over the past 5 seasons. The Patriots went just 3-5 on the road this year and only scored 21.6 PPG. They will be hard-pressed to keep up with Patrick Mahomes and company, who are scoring 35.1 PPG this year. Tom Brady hasn’t been as efficient since losing Josh Gordon to suspension. He averages 7.6/attempt with Gordon and 5.6/attempt without hime this year. This play falls into a system that has been great in the playoffs. Teams who scored 40 or more points in a win in their last game have gone 5-25-1 ATS in their next 31 playoff games, including 2-11-1 ATS in championship games. Take Kansas City. |
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01-19-19 | Celtics v. Hawks +8.5 | Top | 113-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational Game of the Month on Atlanta Hawks +8.5 The Key: The Hawks have pulled some monster upsets, and come close to pulling some others here of late. They beat Miami by 24 as 6.5-point home dogs, won at Philadelphia as 10.5-point road dogs, and beat the Thunder by 16 as 10.5-point home dogs. They also only lost by 3 as 13.5-point dogs at Toronto. All four efforts have come within their last 6 games. Now they are rested coming in on 3 days’ rest, while the Celtics will be playing for a second consecutive day and their 7th game in 11 days. The situation really favors the Hawks tonight. Boston is 1-8 ATS when playing its 3rd game in 4 days this season. The Celtics are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. Take Atlanta. |
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01-19-19 | South Carolina +9 v. LSU | 67-89 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
6* SEC Game of the Day on South Carolina +9 The Key: The South Carolina Gamecocks are 5-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. They have upset both Florida and Vanderbilt on the road, while also upsetting Mississippi State at home, and beating Missouri by 10 as 4.5-point home favorites. The Gamecocks are better than they are getting credit for with this 9-point spread. LSU is not going to beat them by double-digits. It’s a letdown spot for the Tigers off their upset road win over Top 25 Ole Miss last time out, and Ole Miss team that was also in letdown mode off an upset road win at Mississippi State in its previous game. LSU is 0-6 ATS off a win an SEC win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. It is coming back to lose by 13.0 PPG in this situation. The Gamecocks are 10-1-1 ATS In their last 12 SEC games. Take South Carolina. |
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01-19-19 | St. John's +4.5 v. Butler | 71-80 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 24 m | Show | |
6* Big East Game of the Day on St. John’s +4.5 The Key: Chris Mullin has far and away his best team at St. John’s this season. The Red Storm are 15-3 this year with all 3 losses by single-digits, losing by 2 at Seton Hall and by 5 at Villanova among them. They have beaten Marquette by 20 at home, Georgetown on the road, and Creighton by 15 at home. They are the better team in this matchup with Butler, which is down in the midst of an 11-7 rebuilding year. The wrong team is favored here. Butler is 0-7 ATS off a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better this season. St. John’s is 6-0 ATS after having lost 2 of its last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. The Red Storm are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games against a team with a winning record. Take St. John’s. |
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01-18-19 | Grizzlies +11 v. Celtics | Top | 116-122 | Win | 100 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
7* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month on Memphis Grizzlies +11 The Key: The Grizzlies have failed to cover 15 of their last 17 games overall. That’s why they are catching 11 points tonight, and the price is too good to pass up. The Celtics are coming off a huge win over the Raptors and won’t be nearly as hungry to face the Grizzlies. Memphis also wants revenge from a home loss to Boston earlier this season. The Grizzlies relish these opportunities to face some of the league’s best teams as they’ve already won outright as big dogs over the Bucks and Jazz this year. Take Memphis. |
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01-17-19 | Santa Clara +16.5 v. St. Mary's | Top | 55-75 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
7* WCC Game of the Month on Santa Clara +16.5 The Key: Santa Clara has gone 7-2 in its last 9 games overall while going 8-1 ATS in the process. They have upset the likes of USC, Washington State and San Diego, and their only losses were on the road to Gonzaga and BYU. This St. Mary’s team is in rebuilding mode and not as strong as most season with just an 11-7 record on the season. The Gaels are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games when coming off a road win by at least 10 points. The Broncos are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 road games. Take Santa Clara. |
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01-17-19 | Suns +8 v. Raptors | 109-111 | Win | 101 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Phoenix Suns +8 The Key: Toronto is coming off a tough game at Boston last night. That has prompted them to rest Kawhi Leonard and Kyle Lowry tonight, their two best players. They are also playing without Jonas Valanciunas and OG Anunoby. C.J. Miles is questionable to return as well. The Suns are actually the better team tonight with all the players the Raptors are missing, and they should not be catching 8 points here to the Raptors. It will only be the 3rd game in 9 days for the Suns here. The Suns are 39-18 ATS in their last 57 against NBA Atlantic Division teams. The Suns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Suns are 20-6-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings, and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Toronto. Take Phoenix. |
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01-16-19 | Magic v. Pistons -4 | 115-120 | Win | 100 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Detroit Pistons -4 The Key: The Pistons are happy to be back home after a tough 4-game road trip out on the West Coast. They concluded the trip playing well with an upset win at the Clippers as 7.5-point dogs and a cover as 7.5-point dogs at the Jazz. The Magic are in a letdown spot here off back-to-back upset home wins over Boston and Houston. The Magic are just 1-6 SU & 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games with all 6 losses coming by 10 points or more. The Pistons are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Wednesday games. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Take Detroit. |
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01-16-19 | Temple v. East Carolina +8.5 | Top | 85-74 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
7* AAC Game of the Week on East Carolina +8.5 The Key: ECU is playing too well to be catching 8.5 points at home to Temple tonight. The Pirates are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games overall. They upset Cincinnati outright as 17.5-point home dogs, and if they can beat Cincinnati, they can certainly beat Temple. They also only lost by 6 as 15.5-point dogs at Memphis and by 11 as 16.5-point dogs at UCF. They have covered against 3 of the best teams in the conference. Temple is feeling a little too good about itself following a 73-69 home win over Houston, handing the Cougars their first loss of the season. They promptly laid an egg and needed OT to beat South Florida at home as 9-point favorites. And they will have to fight tooth and nail to win this game against ECU, let alone cover an 8.5-point spread. The Pirates are 8-2 SU & 8-2 ATS at home this year. The Pirates are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 home games overall. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take East Carolina. |
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01-16-19 | Boston College +11 v. Louisville | 70-80 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
6* ACC Game of the Day on Boston College +11 The Key: This is more of a situational play than anything. I’m fading Louisville in a letdown spot off their blowout win at North Carolina over the weekend. They won’t be playing with the same passion as they did against UNC when Boston College, losers of 4 straight, comes to town Wednesday night. This is a pesky BC team that only has one loss by more than 11 points this season, and that was against arguably the best team in the country in Virginia. Jim Christian is 22-6 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 of his last 6 games as the Eagles’ head coach. Take Boston College. |
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01-15-19 | Florida +5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 68-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 14 m | Show |
7* SEC Game of the Week on Florida +5 The Key: I think Mississippi State is a fraud this season. Florida is the better team in the Kenpom rankings, and I agree with it. A lot of it has to do with Florida playing a much tougher schedule as they’ve played the 19th-most difficult while Mississippi State is 68th. The Gators are 8-0 SU in their last 8 meetings with the Bulldogs and should not be 5-point underdogs in this matchup, let alone dogs at all. Take Florida. |
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01-15-19 | South Florida +13 v. Cincinnati | 74-82 | Win | 100 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
6* AAC Game of the Day on South Florida +13 The Key: The South Florida Bulls have been flying under the radar all season. They are 12-4 SU & 12-4 ATS and now they are getting 13 points from Cincinnati. The Bulls are 5-0 ATS in road games this season, which includes only a 3-point loss at the buzzer at Tulsa as 5.5-point dogs and a 2-point loss at Temple in overtime as 9-point dogs. Cincinnati’s last three games show that they should not be favored by 13 here. They lost outright as 17.5-point favorites at ECU, needed OT to beat Tulsa as 6.5-point favorites, and only beat UConn by 2 as 11.5-point home favorites. The Bulls are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games against a team that wins better than 60% of their games. The Bulls are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Bulls are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games against a team with a winning record. The Bulls are 15-5-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings, and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings in Cincinnati. Take South Florida. |
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01-14-19 | Wisconsin v. Maryland -3.5 | 60-64 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
6* Wisconsin/Maryland Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Maryland -3.5 The Key: The Maryland Terrapins are 8-2 SU & 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. They are not being priced right in the market as they are better than they get credit for. The Badgers have had some really precarious results here of late. They lost at Western Kentucky, and they also lost at home to Minnesota and Purdue, going 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last 4 games. They just don’t have much talent outside Ethan Happ. The Badgers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Terrapins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss. The Terrapins are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Monday games. Take Maryland. |
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01-14-19 | Grizzlies +5 v. Rockets | Top | 94-112 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 49 m | Show |
7* NBA Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Memphis Grizzlies +5 The Key: The Grizzlies want revenge from two losses to the Rockets in the last month. They catch the Rockets at the right time because they are without 3 of their 4 best players in Paul, Capela and Gordon. And the Rockets are playing on a back-to-back after losing in Orlando on Sunday. Take Memphis. |
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01-13-19 | East Carolina +17 v. UCF | 65-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
6* Sunday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on East Carolina +17 The Key: Just look at their last two games and it’s easy to see that East Carolina should not be getting 17 points against UCF today. The Pirates pulled the 73-71 upset over Cincinnati as 17.5-point underdogs. They also only lost 72-78 at Memphis as 15.5-point underdogs. And now they are catching too many points here again Sunday against a UCF team that is likely rusty after having over a week off prior to this game. Bets against favorites of 10 to 19.5 points who have made 55% or more of their shots in 2 straight games against an opponent that is coming off a game where they made 20% of their 3-point shots or worse are 24-6 ATS since 1997. Take East Carolina. |
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01-13-19 | Chargers +4 v. Patriots | Top | 28-41 | Loss | -101 | 32 h 12 m | Show |
7* Chargers/Patriots AFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles +4 The Key: You could make the argument that the Chargers are the best team in the NFL. They are the only team that ranks in the Top 10 in both offensive and defensive efficiency. And they won 12 games this season, the same amount the No. 1 seed Kansas City Chiefs did. And they beat the Chiefs down the stretch. In fact, the Chargers are 9-1 SU in their 10 road games this season playing their best football away from home. They have beaten the Chiefs, Steelers, Ravens and Seahawks on the road this year. The Patriots went just 2-2 SU & 1-3 ATS in their final 4 games despite every game being huge for them in trying to earn a first-round bye. They are beatable, especially since losing their top big play threat in Josh Gordon recently. Rob Gronkowski only has 3 TD receptions this season and is really becoming a non-factor as injuries have clearly caught up with him. The Patriots are beatable, and this is the best chance the Chargers have had to beat them in years. I expect them to capitalize. Dogs are 14-1 ATS in the last 15 playoff games. Take Los Angeles. |
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01-12-19 | Pelicans +2 v. Wolves | 106-110 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 14 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New Orleans Pelicans +2 The Key: The situation couldn’t be better for the Pelicans tonight. They come in on 2 days’ rest while the Timberwolves will be playing for a second consecutive day. And the Pelicans are fully healthy for the first time all season. It has helped them to a 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS run in their last 3 games while outscoring the opposition by a whopping 23.3 PPG. Given the situation, they shouldn’t be dogs to the Timberwolves tonight. The Pelicans are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games when playing on 2 days’ rest. Take New Orleans. |
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01-12-19 | Colts v. Chiefs UNDER 57 | Top | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
7* NFL Playoffs Total of the Year on Colts/Chiefs UNDER 57 The Key: It's expected to snow all day in Kansas City and the winds will be in the double-digit range. I'm shocked this total hasn't dropped yet, but it will on game day. Don't wait to get this bet in. The Colts have a better defense than they get credit for, and the Chiefs should put forth one of their best defensive performances of the season with two weeks to prepare. Once you see the conditions on the field Saturday you're going to feel very good about having the UNDER in your pocket. Take the UNDER. |
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01-12-19 | Valparaiso v. Southern Illinois -6 | 65-61 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
6* Missouri Valley Game of the Day on Southern Illinois -6 The Key: Valparaiso will be without leading scorer Ryan Fazekas (12.7 PPG, 44% 3-pointers) for the first time this season after he suffered an ankle injury last game. After opening 3-0 in MVC play with wins over 3 of the worst teams in the conference, I think the Crusaders suffer their first loss here. They’ll be facing a Southern Illinois team that returned all 5 starters from last year. Leading scorer Armon Fletcher (12.8 PPG, 50% 3-pointers) has missed 8 games this season due to suspension, but he recently returned and will make the Salukis a formidable opponent moving forward. The Salukis are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss. Take Southern Illinois. |
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01-12-19 | Rutgers v. Minnesota -10.5 | 70-88 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
6* Big Ten Game of the Day on Minnesota -10.5 The Key: Rutgers leading scorer and rebounder Eugene Omoruyi (14.6 PPG, 7.5 RPG) has been ruled out for this game and will miss his first game this season. That makes the job a lot easier for Minnesota, which comes in with a chip on its shoulder from an upset home loss to Maryland last time out. Rutgers is in a huge letdown spot after beating ranked Ohio State at home on Wednesday. Minnesota is 3-0 SU & 2-1 ATS in its last 3 home meetings with Rutgers, winning those 3 games by 17.7 PPG. Expect another blowout victory in favor of the Gophers with Omoruyi out for Rutgers. Take Minnesota. |
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01-11-19 | Bulls +15.5 v. Warriors | Top | 109-146 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
7* Bulls/Warriors NBA *BAILOUT* on Chicago +15.5 The Key: The Bulls have been playing well on the road in recent games. They are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 road games. They won outright at San Antonio by 5, won at Cleveland by 20 and won outright at Washington by 9 all as underdogs. They only lost by 6 at Toronto as 10.5-point dogs. And they were in the game the entire way against the Blazers on the road last time out before eventually losing by 12. They can stay within 15.5 of the Warriors tonight as this price is too steep. The Bulls are 5-1 ATSin their last 6 games playing on one day of rest. The Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams that win better than 60% of their games. The Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. The Warriors are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games against a team with a losing road record. Take Chicago. |
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01-10-19 | Pepperdine v. Santa Clara -1.5 | 64-67 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
6* Thursday NCAAB *BAILOUT* on Santa Clara -1.5 The Key: Santa Clara has really been impressive of late and should be a bigger favorite over Pepperdine here. They are 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. They upset USC 102-92 as 8.5-point dogs, upset Washington State 79-71 as 8-point dogs and upset San Diego 68-56 as 6-point dogs. Pepperdine is 0-5 in true road games this year with losses to likes of Northern Colorado, UC-Riverside, Southern Utah and Long Beach State. Santa Clara is way better than all 4 of those teams. Pepperdine is 2-14 ATS in its last 16 road games off 3 consecutive home games. The Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. The Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with the Waves. The Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home meetings with the Waves. Take Santa Clara. |
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01-10-19 | Celtics v. Heat +3 | Top | 99-115 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
7* Celtics/Heat TNT *HEAVY HITTER* on Miami +3 The Key: The Celtics will be playing for a second consecutive night and their 3rd game in 4 days. It’s a bad spot for them, and they’re up against a Miami Heat team that is playing very well right now. The Heat are 12-7 SU & 12-6-1 ATS in their last 19 games overall. They had yesterday off and will be playing only their 5th game in 11 days. The Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with the Celtics and match up very well with them. The Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 rest. The Heat are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against a team that wins more than 60% of their games. Miami is 8-2 ATS in its lsat 10 games against a team with a winning record. Take Miami. |
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01-09-19 | Pistons v. Lakers -1.5 | Top | 100-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
7* Pistons/Lakers ESPN *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles -1.5 The Key: Head coach Luke Walton called out Lonzo Ball and Brandon Ingram for not being passionate enough following their 86-108 loss at Minnesota two games back. Well, those two responded in a big way in the 2nd half in leading the Lakers to a 107-97 upset win as 7.5-point dogs at Dallas the next night. And they should continue playing harder here against the Pistons at home on National TV. Getting a healthy Kyle Kuzma back has also helped. The Pistons are 6-11 on the road this season. Detroit is 20-41 when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons, including 7-20 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3. Take Los Angeles. |
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01-09-19 | Iowa v. Northwestern -2.5 | 73-63 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 60 m | Show | |
6* Iowa/Northwestern Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Northwestern -2.5 The Key: The Iowa Hawkeyes have now trailed by at least 17 points at some point in 11 consecutive Big Ten road games. It’s a big reason why Iowa is just 1-11 ATS in all road games over the last 2 seasons. And the Hawkeyes are 9-24-1 ATS in their last 34 road games overall. The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in this series. Take Northwestern. |
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01-08-19 | Knicks +17 v. Warriors | Top | 95-122 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
7* Knicks/Warriors NBA TV *BAILOUT* on New York +17 The Key: The Knicks will be playing just their 3rd game in 7 days tonight. That’s why I’m not concerned that they are playing for a second consecutive day here after losing in Portland last night. They’ll certainly be able to muster up the energy to face the defending champion Warriors, just as every has seemed to do this season. The Warriors get everyone’s best shot, which is why they have struggled so much this season, going 26-14 SU & 16-24 ATS. They are tied with the Wizards as the worst ATS team in the NBA this season. It’s pretty easy to figure out why. The Warriors are 1-14 ATS on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons. The Warriors are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a losing road record. The Knicks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 against Western Conference teams. Take New York. |
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01-08-19 | Tennessee v. Missouri +9 | 87-63 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 15 m | Show | |
6* Tennessee/Missouri SEC *CA$H COW* on Missouri +9 The Key: Missouri is 7-1 at home this season. The Tigers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. They can hang with the Tennessee Vols, who are 3-1 on the road this season but only winning by 4.5 PPG on average. Three of those road games were on a neutral, and in their only true road game they won by 10 at Memphis. Missouri is better than Memphis. The Tigers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points. Take Missouri. |
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01-07-19 | Knicks +11.5 v. Blazers | 101-111 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
6* Knicks/Blazers NBA *BAILOUT* on New York +11.5 The Key: The Knicks are starting to catch too many points now after a recent 1-12 SU & 2-13 ATS run. But they’ve covered the last two games with a 7-point loss at Denver as 13.5-point dogs and an outright win by 7 points over the Lakers as 5.5-point dogs. And now they are catching double-digits on the road here against the Blazers and should be able to stay within the number. The Knicks come in on 2 days’ rest so they will be fully of energy, especially since it’s also just their 2nd game in 6 days. The Blazers are coming off a big win over the Rockets and this is clearly a letdown situation for them. Bets on road dogs who are off a road win who win between 25% to 40% of their games playing a team with a winning record are 53-19 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take New York. |
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01-07-19 | Alabama v. Clemson UNDER 58 | Top | 16-44 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
7* Alabama/Clemson *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 58 The Key: Forecasts are calling for rain in Santa Clara and it’s going to be colder than normal. It will likely be a sloppy field, which will benefit the UNDER. Also benefitting the UNDER is that these are two of the best defenses in the country. The Tigers allow just 12.9 PPG and 275 YPG while the Crimson Tide yield only 16.2 PPG and 308 YPG. Neither of these offenses have faced a defense as good as the one they will be facing tonight. Clemson is 9-0 UNDER against good teams who outscore their opponents by 10 or more points per game over the last 2 seasons. Take the UNDER. |
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01-06-19 | Wizards +10 v. Thunder | 116-98 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Washington Wizards +10 The Key: The Wizards have been playing better since it was announced John Wall was out for the season. He is a cancer in the locker room and the Wizards simply play better without him. They have gone 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games without Wall. And now they’re catching 10 points at Oklahoma City. A big reason for their improved play of late is also the return of a healthy Otto Porter Jr., who is one of the more underrated players in the NBA. The Thunder are 15-35 ATS in their last 50 games off a road win by 3 points or less. Bets on dogs of 10 or more points who are off a loss by 6 points or less against an opponent that scored 110 points or more in their previous game are 52-27 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Washington. |
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01-06-19 | Chargers +3 v. Ravens | Top | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 2 h 41 m | Show |
7* Chargers/Ravens AFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles +3 The Key: The Chargers get the chance to face Lamar Jackson for a 2nd time, the only team in the NFL that gets to claim that. And facing a strange offense like the one the Ravens run for a 2nd time is a huge advantage. They actually held Jackson in check in the first meeting, but the offense was the problem as they were held to just 10 points. Of course, an INT in the end zone and a fumble by Antonio Gates when the Chargers were driving to take the lead didn’t help matters. They will make the adjustments, and continue their road success this season. The Chargers are 8-1 on the road this year with wins at Seattle, Kansas City and Pittsburgh. They have notoriously been a better road team than home team. That trend continues Sunday. Take Los Angeles. |
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01-05-19 | Ole Miss v. Vanderbilt -1.5 | 81-71 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
6* Ole Miss/Vanderbilt SEC *CA$H COW* on Vanderbilt -1.5 The Key: Vanderbilt is 8-1 at home this year and winning by 19.4 PPG on average. I like the price we are getting on the Commodores are only 1.5-point home favorites over Ole Miss here Saturday. Ole Miss has only play 2 true road games this year, losing by 7 at Butler and winning by 7 at Illinois State. They have played an easy schedule overall and are getting too much respect from oddsmakers now after their 10-2 start. The Commodores are 6-0 ATS in home games after having won 4 or 5 of tier last 6 games over the last 3 seasons. Vanderbilt is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 home games off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more. The Rebels are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 SEC games. The Commodores are 39-19 ATS in their last 58 games following a win by more than 20 points. Take Vanderbilt. |
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01-05-19 | Seahawks v. Cowboys -130 | Top | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
7* Seahawks/Cowboys NFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Dallas ML -130 The Key: The Dallas Cowboys have certainly enjoyed a nice home-field advantage this season. They are 7-1 SU & 5-2-1 ATS at home this year with their defense only allowing 18.5 PPG and 290.9 YPG. They are outgaining teams by 73 yards per game at home this year. The Seahawks only have 3 road wins this year, and two of them came on last second field goals at Arizona and at Carolina. They also won at Detroit, but they were coming off a bye that week. Obviously the Cardinals, Panthers and Lions weren’t very good this season, so they really don’t have a good road win this year. Dallas is good at stopping the run while Seattle is not good at stopping the run. Whoever wins the line is scrimmage will win this game. I expect that to be the Cowboys. Take Dallas. |
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01-05-19 | Georgia +13.5 v. Tennessee | 50-96 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 44 m | Show | |
6* Georgia/Tennessee SEC *CA$H COW* on Georgia +13.5 The Key: The Georgia Bulldogs are improving rapidly under first-year head coach Tom Crean. They have gone 5-1 SU & 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall with their lone loss coming 74-76 to Arizona State as 3-point home dogs. They can hang with Tennessee, which remains without Lamonte Turner with a shoulder injury today. The Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS after playing a home game this season. Georgia is 24-12 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 years. The Bulldogs are 11-3 ATS against teams who commit 12 or fewer turnovers per game over the last 2 seasons. The Vols are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win. The Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings, consistently playing Tennessee tough year in and year out. Take Georgia. |
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01-04-19 | Thunder v. Blazers UNDER 223.5 | Top | 111-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
7* Thunder/Blazers ESPN *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 223.5 The Key: The Thunder are the top defensive team in the NBA this season. And the Blazers play at a slow pace compared to most teams and they’ll control the pace playing at home. This number is too high tonight, especially when you factor in what these teams have done in recent meetings. They have combined for fewer than 223.5 points in 7 of their last 8 meetings. The UNDER is 10-1 in Thunder games where the line is between +3 and -3 this season. Take the UNDER. |
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01-03-19 | Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 225 | Top | 135-134 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
7* Rockets/Warriors TNT *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 225 The Key: When you look at the recent history in this series it’s easy to see that the books have set this number too high tonight. The Rockets and Warriors have gone UNDER the total in 20 of their last 28 meetings. And more recently, they have combined for 211 or fewer points in 6 consecutive meetings. The Rockets are 28th in pace, no longer the run and gun team they used to be. They really have to play this style now because they don’t have Chris Paul and Eric Gordon due to injury. Take the UNDER. |
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01-03-19 | Minnesota +9.5 v. Wisconsin | 59-52 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
6* Minnesota/Wisconsin Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Minnesota +9.5 The Key: The Minnesota Golden Gophers returned 5 starters this year and should be able to give Wisconsin a run for its money tonight. It’s a Wisconsin team that is coming off a bad 76-83 loss at Western Kentucky. Minnesota has already beaten Texas A&M, Washington, Oklahoma State and Nebraska with its only two losses coming on the road to both Boston College and Ohio State. This number is just a little too steep as Wisconsin would have to win by double-digits to cover. Wisconsin is 1-8 ATS off a game as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons. Take Minnesota. |
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01-02-19 | Thunder v. Lakers +6 | Top | 107-100 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
7* OKC/LAL ESPN *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles +6 The Key: This line has been adjusted too much for the absence of Lebron James. I like the Lakers tonight catching a pretty big number at home against the Thunder. The Lakers won without James against the Kings and they can win this game also. The Lakers are in a good situation playing on 2 days’ rest. The Thunder will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days. The home team has dominated this series with the home team going 16-5 ATS in the last 21 meetings. Take Los Angeles. |
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01-02-19 | Tulsa +11 v. Houston | 56-74 | Loss | -112 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Tulsa +11 The Key: The Houston Cougars are 13-0 right now. Because they’re undefeated, they are squarely in the spotlight of the betting public. And they are consistently overvalued until they get beaten. I think that’s the case here as Houston is getting too much respect as a double-digit favorite against a good Tulsa team that is capable of giving them a game. Tulsa is 10-3 this season with its 3 losses all coming by 10 points or less all on the road to Nevada, Utah and Southern Illinois. They have quality wins over Oklahoma State, Kansas State and Dayton. The Golden Hurricane are 6-0 ATS against good defensive teams that allow 64 or fewer PPG over the last 2 seasons. Take Tulsa. |
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01-01-19 | Texas +12 v. Georgia | Top | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
7* NCAAF Bowl Game of the Year on Texas +12 The Key: Tom Herman as an underdog is a scary proposition for opponents. Herman is 12-2 ATS as a dog in his head coaching career and even better than that dating back to his time as an assistant at Iowa State and Ohio State with something like a 22-2 ATS record as a dog. Georgia doesn’t want to be here. The Bulldogs wanted to make the four-team playoff and are very disappointed they didn’t. They were the final team left out. Those teams never seem to show up when they were the final team left out, or right on the borderline of making the playoffs. Texas will be able to hang around because of it. Take Texas. |
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01-01-19 | Pistons +10.5 v. Bucks | 98-121 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Detroit Pistons +10.5 The Key: The Bucks are starting to get too much respect from oddsmakers. They now have the best record in the NBA at 25-10. Their lines are inflated now as they are laying double-digits night in and night out. And the Pistons should be able to make a game out of this. They’ll want to avenge their 107-104 loss to the Bucks in their last meeting on December 17th just 2 weeks ago. Milwaukee is 23-48 ATS in its last 71 games as a favorite of 10 points or more. The Pistons are 4-1-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Bets on dogs of 10 or more points who allowed 55 points or more in the first half of two straight games against an opponent that scored 60 points or more in the first half last game are 42-17 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Detroit. |
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12-31-18 | Wolves v. Pelicans -5 | 114-123 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New Orleans Pelicans -5 The Key: The Pelicans will be hungry for a victory tonight after losing 6 of their last 7 all by 8 points or less. They get Elfrid Payton back in the lineup and will be a dangerous team moving forward. They had yesterday off, while the Timberwolves played yesterday and will be a tired team playing their 3rd game in 4 days. The Pelicans are 12-6 at home this year, while the Timberwolves are 5-13 on the road. Minnesota is 0-10 ATS in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 ATS over the last 2 seasons. The Timberwolves are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road meetings with the Pelicans. Take New Orleans. |
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12-31-18 | Northwestern +7 v. Utah | Top | 31-20 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
7* Northwestern/Utah NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Northwestern +7 The Key: Northwestern is relishing this opportunity to be playing in the Holiday Bowl. I think Utah is the more disappointed team after scoring just 3 points in a loss to Washington that cost them a trip to the Rose Bowl. Pat Fitzgerald has certainly gotten his team to play well in the underdog role. Underdogs went 11-1-1 ATS in Northwestern games this season. Northwestern pulled off 5 outright upsets in 7 tries as an underdogs this season. And the two losses were to Michigan (by 3) and Ohio State in the Big Ten Championship. The Wildcats are 6-0 ATS against teams who win 60% to 75% of their games over the last 2 seasons. Take Northwestern. |
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12-30-18 | Colts -4.5 v. Titans | Top | 33-17 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
7* Colts/Titans AFC South Game of the Year on Indianapolis -4.5 The Key: Andrew Luck is 10-0 lifetime against the Tennessee Titans. Few of these games have even been close, including the 38-10 beat down the Colts laid on the Titans earlier this season. And I give the Titans almost zero chance of even being competitive in this game Sunday without Marcus Mariota. The Colts have gone 8-1 in their last 9 games overall and are on a mission to make the playoffs. They won’t be denied by the Titans tonight. Take Indianapolis. |
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12-30-18 | Browns +7 v. Ravens | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
6* Browns/Ravens AFC North *CA$H COW* on Cleveland +7 The Key: The Cleveland Browns are closing strong. They have gone 5-1 in their last 6 games overall, the same record as the Ravens in their last 6 games, yet the Browns are 7-point dogs here. And the Browns will treat this game as their Super Bowl as they can actually finish the season with a winning record with a victory, which would be a major accomplishment. Baltimore choked at home in a must-win situation against the Bengals in Week 17 last year. They’ll be hard-pressed to win this game, let alone win it by more than a touchdown or more to beat us. Take Cleveland. |
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12-30-18 | Pistons v. Magic -2 | 107-109 | Push | 0 | 3 h 42 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Orlando Magic -2 The Key: The Orlando Magic are coming off a 116-87 home win over the Raptors on Friday. That ended a 4-game skid, so they’re still hungry for victories. And they should be able to get one at home against the Pistons Sunday afternoon. Detroit is also scuffling right now at 3-10 SU & 4-8-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall. Bets on favorites in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45.5%-47.5%) after a game where they allowed a shooting percentage of 35% or less are 24-6 ATS since 1996. Take Orlando. |
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12-30-18 | Jets +14 v. Patriots | 3-38 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 37 m | Show | |
6* Jets/Patriots AFC East *CA$H COW* on New York +14 The Key: The Jets have been very competitive here down the stretch. They realistically should be 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall, but since they are just 2-2-1 ATS, they are flying under the radar. The Jets want to avenge their 13-27 home loss to the Patriots in which they were going in for a score late but threw an INT in the end zone that allowed the Patriots to cover as 13-point favorites. They only lost 22-26 at Tennessee as 10.5-point dogs after leading most they way. They won 27-23 at Buffalo as 4.5-point dogs. They only lost 22-29 at home to Houston as 7-point dogs after blowing a lead with only four minutes left and giving up 10 unanswered points to close. And last week they blew a 15-point 4th quarter lead and lost to the Packers 38-44 (OT) as 3-point home dogs. They are playing well, especially since the return of Sam Darnold. The Patriots aren’t the same juggernauts they’ve been in years’ past. They are more vulnerable, going 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games. They used to dominate the month of December, but not any more. New York is 21-9 ATS in its last 30 road games when revenging a loss where they scored less than 14 points. The Jets are 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Take New York. |
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12-29-18 | Nuggets v. Suns +5 | 122-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Phoenix Suns +5 The Key: The Phoenix Suns are 5-3 SU & 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. They don’t have to travel at all after losing to the Thunder at home last night. The Nuggets have to travel after a hard-fought 102-99 home win over the Spurs last night. I think the situation favors the Suns staying at home and sleeping in their own beds in this matchup of two teams on the second of a back-to-back. The Nuggets are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 road games off a home win. Bets against any team off a home non-cover where they won straight up as a favorite, on Saturday games are 72-33 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Phoenix. |
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12-29-18 | Oklahoma v. Alabama UNDER 79 | Top | 34-45 | Push | 0 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
7* Alabama/Oklahoma *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 79 The Key: Alabama will utilize its running game to keep the Oklahoma offense off the field in this game. And the Alabama defense is way better than anything Oklahoma has seen this season. This should be much lower scoring than the oddsmakers anticipate. Take the UNDER. |
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12-29-18 | Notre Dame +13.5 v. Clemson | 3-30 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
6* Notre Dame/Clemson *CA$H COW* on Notre Dame +13.5 The Key: Five times in college football history have two teams gone into bowl games undefeated with one team favored by a touchdown or more. All five times, the underdog won the game outright. I think Notre Dame is way better than it is getting credit for. Take Notre Dame. |
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12-28-18 | Clippers -5.5 v. Lakers | Top | 118-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
7* Clippers/Lakers NBA TV *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles Clippers -5.5 The Key: This is a bad spot for the Lakers. They will be playing for a second consecutive day and their 3rd game in 4 days after a 116-117 loss to the Kings last night and a shocking upset win over the Warriors on Christmas Day. The Clippers will be playing only their 2nd game in 5 days tonight. While the Clippers are fully healthy, the Lakers are playing without LeBron James and Rajon Rondo right now. Michael Beasley is also out, and JaVale McGee is questionable. They are short-handed, which makes this spot even worse for them. The Clippers should run away with this one given the spot. The Clippers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 Friday games. The Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, which started when Lou Williams returned from injury. The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take the Los Angeles Clippers. |
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12-28-18 | Auburn v. Purdue +3.5 | 63-14 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 34 m | Show | |
6* Auburn/Purdue Music City Bowl *CA$H COW* on Purdue +3.5 The Key: Purdue battled back from an 0-3 start this season to get to 6-6 and a bowl. They pulled off upsets over Boston College and Ohio State along the way, and they needed to win at Indiana in their season finale to get their 6th win. The Boilermakers certainly want to be here. And they are better than their 6-6 record would suggest as they lost 4 games by 4 points or less this year. They were really close to being a 10-2 team. Auburn does not want to be here. They lost to Alabama 21-52 in the Iron Bowl to punctuate what has been a very disappointing 7-5 season. They only beat 2 bowl teams all season in Washington and Texas A&M, which were both close wins that could have gone either way. Purdue is 9-1 ATS vs. good passing teams with a 58% completion percentage or better over the last 2 seasons. The Boilermakers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. The Tigers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games. Take Purdue. |
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12-27-18 | Knicks v. Bucks UNDER 228 | Top | 96-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
7* NBA Total of the Week on Knicks/Bucks UNDER 228 The Key: This will already be the 4th and final meeting between the Bucks and Knicks this season. Not to mention, they just played two days ago on Christmas Day with the Bucks winning 109-95 for 204 combined points. And now this total is 228 just 2 days later? Give me a break. The UNDER has tremendous value in this matchup. Familiarity breeds low-scoring games and favors the defenses over the offenses. The UNDER is 6-0 in Bucks last 6 games following a win by more than 10 points. The UNDER is 8-1 in Bucks last 9 vs. Eastern Conference teams. The UNDER is 9-2 in Bucks last 11 games overall. Take the UNDER. |
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12-26-18 | Wolves v. Bulls +4.5 | Top | 119-94 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
7* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Week on Chicago Bulls +4.5 The Key: The Bulls come in playing well with back-to-back upset blowout victories over the Magic (90-80) and the Cavs (112-92). They have held 5 of their last 6 opponents to 97 points or fewer as interim head coach Jim Boylen is getting them to play defense. Lauri Markkanen, off consecutive 30-point games for the first time in his career, says the team is having fun playing basketball again under Boylen. The Timberwolves should not be favored on the road in this matchup. The Timberwolves are just 3-13 SU & 6-10 ATS on the road this season and giving up 116 PPG away from home. The home team has won and covered each of the last 4 meetings between these teams. The Timberwolves are 13-28 ATS in their last 41 road games dating back to last year. The Bulls are 11-0 ATS off 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Take Chicago. |
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12-25-18 | Blazers +6.5 v. Jazz | Top | 96-117 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
7* Blazers/Jazz ESPN *BAILOUT* on Portland +6.5 The Key: The Blazers will be revenge-minded following their 90-120 home loss to the Jazz on December 21st just 4 days ago. Everything went right for the Jazz in that game as they shot 55.3% overall and 51.6% from 3-point range. The Blazers shot 40.2% overall and 31.2% from 3-point range. Ricky Rubio scored 24 points, and Rubio, Crowder and Korver combined to go 11-of-18 from 3-point range. That’s not going to happen again. Bets on dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points who have lost 2 of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 26-6 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Portland. |
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12-24-18 | Broncos v. Raiders +3 | Top | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
7* Broncos/Raiders AFC West *HEAVY HITTER* on Oakland +3 The Key: There is a good chance this will be the final game at the Oakland Coliseum ever. The Raiders are looking for a place to play next year before moving to Vegas the following season. From quotes I’ve ready from players and coaches alike, the Raiders will be up for this game. And they’ve played well at home of late against two of the best teams in the NFL. They upset the Steelers are double-digit underdogs and also only lost by 7 to the Chiefs as 14-plus point dogs. The Broncos have lost 2 in a row and have officially been eliminated. They have injuries on offense and defense that have really hampered them the last two weeks and they aren’t any healthier now. The Raiders only lost 19-20 at Denver in their first meeting this season and will be looking to avenge that defeat. Denver is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 road games off 2 or more straight ATS losses. Take Oakland. |
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12-23-18 | Chiefs v. Seahawks +2.5 | Top | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
7* SEA/KC Sunday Night Game of the Year on Seattle +2.5 The Key: The Seahawks are tremendous as home underdogs. And after losing last week, they need a win to clinch a playoff spot here. And with the Chargers losing to the Ravens yesterday, the Chiefs can now relax knowing that they have a two-game lead on the Chargers for the division lead. They can clinch at home against Oakland next week if need be. The Seahawks will be the hungrier team given the situation. And the Chiefs just aren’t playing well since losing three of their top playmakers on offense in Kareem Hunt, Spencer Ware and Sammy Watkins. They have one of the worst defenses in the NFL, too, especially against the run. They give up 5.0 yards per carry this season, and the Seahawks lead the NFL in rushing at 154.9 yards per game, so this is a bad matchup for Kansas City’s defense. The Seahawks are 11-1-1 ATS since January of 2011 as a home underdog with 9 outright wins. Seattle is 11-0 SU & 9-1-1 ATS in its last 11 games off a SU loss as a favorite. Russell Wilson is 5-1 ATS in his career as a home dog. Take Seattle. |
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12-23-18 | Steelers v. Saints UNDER 53 | 28-31 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
6* NFL Total of the Week on Steelers/Saints UNDER 53 The Key: With the Saints only averaging 283 YPG on offense in their last 4 games, this total should not be this high. And with both teams having great defenses, this total shouldn’t be this high. Both of these teams are improved tremendously on defense this year. The Steelers are 9th in total defense and give up only 22.6 PPG and 333.5 YPG. The Saints are 11th in total defense and give up just 20.9 PPG and 341.6 YPG. Their defense has been playing as well as any other D in the league down the stretch. The Saints are yielding a mere 12.3 PPG in their last 6 games. The UNDER is 36-15 in Steelers last 51 road games, including 12-2 in all road games over the last 2 seasons. The UNDER is 5-0 in Saints last 5 games overall. Take the UNDER. |
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12-23-18 | Steelers +7 v. Saints | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
6* PIT/NO Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Pittsburgh +7 The Key: The situation favors the Steelers here Sunday. The Ravens beat the Chargers yesterday and now if the Steelers don’t win, they’ll be trailing the Ravens in the AFC North. They would also need help to make a wild card. Basically, their season is on the line today, and they can’t afford to have a letdown after their big win over the Patriots last week. The Saints can relax knowing that even if they lose this game, they could still beat the Panthers next week at home and clinch the No. 1 seed. That’s because the Rams were upset as 13.5-point favorites by the Eagles last week. The Saints caught a big break there. And the Saints just aren’t playing well at all right now offensively as they putting up only 283 YPG in their last 4 games. The Steelers have the better offense and the better defense this season and shouldn’t be catching this many points given the situation. Take Pittsburgh. |
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12-22-18 | Ravens v. Chargers -3.5 | Top | 22-10 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
7* Ravens/Chargers AFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles -3.5 The Key: The Chargers have a huge rest advantage here after playing last Thursday, while the Ravens played on Sunday and will be on a short week with this game being played on Saturday. The Ravens have to travel clearly across country as well. And the Chargers got some great news this week as that extra rest has allowed their two best playmakers on offense to get healthy and return to the lineup this week. Leading receiver Keenan Allen and leading rusher Melvin Gordon are both back. The Ravens won’t have enough firepower to match the Chargers offense. The Ravens are too predictable as they have run for a lot of yards lately, but not passed for many. And it’s worth noting that the 5 defenses Lamar Jackson has faced since taking over as starter all rank 24th or worse in total defense. So they have faced five bottom 10 defenses. The Chargers have the 8th-best defense in the NFL, and it has been even better here down the stretch since Joey Bosa returned. They held the high-powered Chiefs to just 294 total yards last week. And they have allowed 65 or fewer rushing yards in 3 of their last 4 games coming in. They will be able to stop the run and make life difficult on Jackson. The Chargers are 34-13 ATS after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games. Take Los Angeles. |
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12-22-18 | Buffalo v. Troy | 32-42 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
6* Buffalo/Troy NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Buffalo PK The Key: Buffalo is far and away the best team in the MAC. And because they blew a 19-point second half lead against NIU and lost 29-30 in the MAC Championship, they’ll be extra hungry to want to erase that sour taste. Look for them to beat Troy here, which is deflated following its loss to Appalachian State in the season finale that cost them a trip to the Sun Belt title game. Buffalo has played the tougher schedule and has put up better numbers than Troy, and thus are the better team. The Bulls are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a loss and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. The Trojans are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games against MAC teams. Take Buffalo. |
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12-22-18 | Wichita State v. VCU -5.5 | 54-70 | Win | 109 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
6* Saturday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on VCU -5.5 The Key: VCU is off back-to-back losses to Virginia and Charleston that will have them hungry for a victory. And they’ve had a whole week to get ready for Wichita State after playing on December 15th last. Wichita State only has two days to get ready for VCU after playing on Wednesday, December 19th last at home against Oral Roberts. That rest and preparation advantage makes VCU a strong play today. Wichita State has only played one true road game this season, and they lost that game handily 48-80 at Oklahoma as 6.5-point underdogs. VCU is 5-1 at home this year. Take VCU. |
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12-21-18 | Pelicans v. Lakers -3.5 | Top | 104-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
7* Pelicans/Lakers NBA *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles -3.5 The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Lakers tonight as short home favorites over the New Orleans Pelicans. The Lakers come in hungry off consecutive losses. The Lakers have won 9 of their last 10 home games and if they win this game, they’re likely going to cover. I think they will win because the Pelicans are banged up right now. Mirotic and Payton are out, and Julius Randle, Ian Clark and Anthony Davis are all questionable. The Pelicans are 4-12 SU on the road this year. The Pelicans are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after covering the spread in their previous game. The team favored in this series is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take Los Angeles. |
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12-21-18 | Pistons +4.5 v. Hornets | 86-98 | Loss | -103 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Detroit Pistons +4.5 The Key: I like the situation for the Pistons tonight. They blew a double-digit lead at Charlotte the last time these teams played on December 12th just over a week ago and lost 107-108. They want to avenge that defeat and I think they will here. They gutted out an impressive OT win at Minnesota last time out and are playing much better here of late. They beat Boston 3 games back and only lost to Milwaukee by 3, so they’ve played 3 straight good teams tough and won two of them outright as underdogs. Detroit is 14-3 ATS vs. teams who shoot 24 or fewer free throws per game this season. Charlotte is 3-12 ATS in December home games over the last 2 seasons. The Hornets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Hornets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games overall. Take Detroit. |
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12-21-18 | Cal-Irvine +9 v. Butler | 54-71 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 29 m | Show | |
6* UC-Irvine/Butler NCAAB *CA$H COW* on UC-Irvine +9 The Key: UC-Irvine is off to an impressive 11-2 start to the season while upsetting both Texas A&M and St. Mary’s in true road games. It’s a veteran bunch that returned 5 starters and one that is capable of hanging with any team in the country. I think they will hang with Butler, which is coming off a lackluster 9-point home win over Presbyterian. The Bulldogs also have losses to Dayton and Saint Louis this season among their three losses in an 8-3 start. Irvine is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 road games. Take UC-Irvine. |
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12-20-18 | Mavs v. Clippers -3 | Top | 121-125 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
7* Mavs/Clippers NBA *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles -3 The Key: The Clippers have played 7 of their last 10 games on the road. It hasn’t gone well for them as they’ve gone just 3-7 during this stretch. But now they are back home here and on two days’ rest so they should be primed for a big performance against the Mavericks. This is a Dallas team that has been dreadful on the road this season with a 2-11 record. The Mavericks are 3-14 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. I like the price we are getting with the Clippers at home tonight. Take Los Angeles. |
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12-19-18 | Rider v. Drake -4.5 | 58-76 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday NCAAB *BLOWOUT* on Drake -4.5 The Key: The Drake Bulldogs are one of the most underrated teams in the entire country. They have gone 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall as the books have consistently missed their mark. Heck, they were leading against Iowa State deep into the second half just a few games ago to show their potential, and easily covered as 13.5-point dogs. Their only other loss came at Colorado. They have upset wins over Boise State and North Dakota State and sit at 7-2 SU on the season. Rider is just 4-4 SU & 2-6 ATS. They are 1-4 SU in true road games with all 4 losses by 14 points or more, and their only win coming as a favorite at lowly Wagner. The Broncs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Bulldogs are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 home games. Take Drake. |
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12-19-18 | Ohio v. San Diego State +3 | Top | 27-0 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
7* Ohio/San Diego State *HEAVY HITTER* on San Diego State +3 The Key: Wrong team favored here. Ohio getting too much respect for their finish to the season, while SDSU getting killed by oddsmakers for their 0-3 finish to the season. The Aztecs weren’t motivated at all over their final 3 games and now will be motivated to finish off their season with a win. The Bobcats were motivated down the stretch trying to win the MAC. The MAC is just 6-24 SU in bowl games over the last 6 years. And after an 0-2 start to this bowl season, the MAC is now 1-12 SU over the last 3 seasons in bowl games. The Aztecs are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as underdogs, which includes outright upsets over Boise State and Arizona State this season. Take San Diego State. |
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12-19-18 | Suns +12 v. Celtics | 111-103 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Phoenix Suns +12 The Key: The Phoenix Suns have Devin Booker back in the lineup and it’s no surprise that they are now playing up to their potential. The Suns are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games overall with upset wins over the Mavericks and Timberwolves, and a blowout road win by 18 at the Knicks. They stay out East here for this showdown with the Celtics, a team they have owned. The Celtics are starting to get too much respect from the books now after going 8-1 SU & 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Suns are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings with the Celtics, not once losing by more than 10 points. Take Phoenix. |
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12-18-18 | South Dakota +22 v. Kansas | 53-89 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on South Dakota +22 The Key: Kansas is already going to be getting a lot of respect from oddsmakers due to their No. 1 ranking this season. But this isn’t the best team in the country. The Jayhawks have won 6 of their 9 games by single-digits this season, and 8 of their 9 wins have come by 16 points or fewer. And South Dakota is a good team that went 26-9 last year and returned 4 starters. They can hang with the Jayhawks. And I like fading Kansas in this awful spot. They are coming off a huge 74-71 home win over defending champion Villanova, and they have a huge game on deck this weekend at Arizona State. It’s a sandwich game that the Jayhawks won’t show up for. They recently lost star C Udoka Azubuike to an ankle injury and there’s no timetable for his return. That’s a big loss moving forward for this team. South Dakota is 8-0 ATS off a road win over the last 2 seasons, and 13-1 ATS off a road game over the last 2 years. Take South Dakota. |
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12-18-18 | Cavs +12 v. Pacers | Top | 92-91 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
7* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Week on Cleveland Cavaliers +12 The Key: Indiana is starting to get too much respect from oddsmakers due to their 7-game winning streak. And they certainly will not be that excited to play the Cavs tonight, which will make it difficult for them to cover this 12-point spread. Especially when you fact in that they have a huge road game at Toronto on deck tomorrow night, so they’ll want to conserve their energy for that game against the East’s top team. It’s just a great situation here to back the Cavs given the Pacers’ obvious lack of motivation tonight. The Pacers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Cavs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after giving up more than 125 points in their previous game. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take Cleveland. |
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12-17-18 | Saints v. Panthers +7 | Top | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
7* Saints/Panthers NFC South *HEAVY HITTER* on Carolina +7 The Key: Despite losing 5 straight, the Panthers are still very much alive for the playoffs. They need to win out, and it starts with this game against the Saints at home Monday Night. They only trail the Vikings by a game in the wild card and hold the tiebreaker over the Eagles. The Panthers are 5-1 at home this year and scoring 30.8 PPG on their home turf. They have what it takes to hang with the Saints, whose offense has sputtered in recent weeks with just 262 YPG in their last 3 games. And the Panthers will certainly be revenge-minded after losing all 3 meetings with the Saints last year, including playoffs. Ron Rivera is 22-6 ATS off a road loss as the coach of the Panthers. Take Carolina. |
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12-17-18 | Bucks v. Pistons +4 | 107-104 | Win | 100 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Detroit Pistons +4 The Key: The Bucks are just 6-6 SU & 5-7 ATS on the road this season. They are getting too much respect from oddsmakers tonight as 4-point road favorites over a Pistons team that is 10-6 at home this year. It’s also a hungry, rested Pistons team that will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days. And they have lost 6 of their last 7 coming in, but they were a tired team previously, and now they’re fresh. It helped when they returned from 2 days off to beat the Celtics 113-104 at home as 2-point dogs last time out. Home-court advantage has clearly matters in this series. The home team is 7-0 SU in the last 7 meetings. The Bucks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a win by more than 10 points. Take Detroit. |
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12-16-18 | Eagles +14 v. Rams | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
6* Eagles/Rams Sunday Night *BAILOUT* on Philadelphia +14 The Key: This line has gotten out of hand. Oddsmakers have adjusted too much for the Carson Wentz injury. It was obvious they didn’t need Wentz when they won the Super Bowl last year, and this line has jumped from 8 up to 13 and 14 in some places since it was announced that Wentz would be out. Nick Foles is clearly a capable backup after what he did in the Super Bowl run last year. And he’s out to prove to other teams that he can be their starter, and he’s a consummate pro wanting to help his teammates get back to the playoffs. After all, the Eagles are still only a half-game out of the wild card even with how poorly this season has gone thus far. The Rams have been overvalued for weeks. They are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Rams are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 home games against a team with a losing road record. The Eagles are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings with the Rams. Take Philadelphia. |
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12-16-18 | Patriots v. Steelers +3 | Top | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
7* Patriots/Steelers AFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Pittsburgh +3 The Key: The Steelers need to right the ship quickly off 3 straight upset losses they had no business losing. They should have beaten the Broncos, Chargers and Raiders, but late miscues cost them in all 3 games. They are back home here today and ready to exorcize their demons against the Patriots. The Pats are only 3-4 on the road this season, so they are beatable. The Steelers are outscoring their opponents by 8.3 PPG at home this year behind an offense that puts up 34.5 PPG at home. Mike Tomlin is 11-3 ATS off 3 or more consecutive ATS losses as the coach of the Steelers. Take Pittsburgh. |
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12-16-18 | Titans v. Giants +2 | 17-0 | Loss | -113 | 2 h 40 m | Show | |
6* Sunday NFL *Upset Special* on New York Giants +2 The Key: The Giants are 4-1 SU & 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. And they blew a 16-point lead on the road against the Eagles in their only loss. This is a team playing with a lot of confidence right now and still believing they are alive for the playoffs. The Titans are only 2-5 on the road this season, where they’re scoring 16.4 PPG. They should not be favored in this matchup. Tennessee is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 road games following 2 or more straight up wins. Take New York. |
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12-15-18 | Wolves v. Suns +8.5 | 99-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Phoenix Suns +8.5 The Key: The Timberwolves are 2-11 on the road this season and losing by 7.6 PPG. They can’t be laying 8.5 points on the road to anyone. Minnesota is 12-26 ATS in its last 38 road games. The Suns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home meetings with the Timberwolves. Take Phoenix. |
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12-15-18 | Texans v. Jets +7 | 29-22 | Push | 0 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
6* Texans/Jets AFC *CA$H COW* on New York +7 The Key: The Houston Texans are starting to get too much respect from oddsmakers now after going 9-1 in their last 10 games overall. They lost outright at home to the Colts last week as 4-point favorites. Consider that in Houston’s previous 6 road games this season, they haven’t been favored by more than 3 points once. And now they’re laying a touchdown on the road to the Jets. This is a Jets team that has been impressive since Sam Darnold returned from injury. They led most the way at Tennessee two weeks ago and only lost 22-26 as 10-point dogs, easily covering the spread. Then last week they had a nice 27-23 road win at Buffalo as 4.5-point dogs. And they should be able to stay within 7 points of Houston with a legit chance to pull the upset this week. The Texans are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss. The Texans are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 December games. The Jets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games against a team with a winning road record. The dog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Take New York. |
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12-15-18 | Davidson v. Temple -3 | 75-77 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
6* Davidson/Temple NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Temple -3 The Key: Davidson has played a much weaker schedule than Temple. In their toughest game, they lost by 21 to Purdue as 7.5-point underdogs on a neutral. And Purdue is a rebuilding team this year. Temple is battle-tested with true road games at Missouri, St. Joe’s and Villanova. They beat the first two, and took Villanova down to the wire. The Owls are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 neutral site games. Take Temple. |
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12-15-18 | Arizona State v. Fresno State UNDER 53.5 | Top | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
7* December Bowl Total of the Year on ASU/Fresno State UNDER 53.5 The Key: Two teams with great defenses square off in the Las Vegas Bowl Saturday. Fresno State has been elite defensively, giving up only 13.7 PPG on the season. Arizona State allows 25.1 PPG. And these are two mediocre offenses. But my favorite thing about these offenses is that they don’t turn the football overall. Fresno State has committed just 11 turnovers in 13 games, while ASU has committed only 8 turnovers in 12 games. Turnovers usually create easy points, and since both teams won’t be turning it over, I think that greatly benefits the UNDER. ASU’s offense suffered a big blow when it was announced leading receiver N’Keal Harry would skip the bowl game to get ready for the NFL Draft. He may be the best receiver in the Pac-12, catching 73 balls for 1,088 yards and 9 touchdowns this season. The UNDER is 22-8 in Bulldogs last 30 games overall. The UNDER is 6-0 in Bulldogs last 6 games this season with a total of 49.5 to 56 points. Take the UNDER. |
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12-14-18 | Warriors v. Kings +7.5 | 130-125 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
6* Warriors/Kings NBA *BAILOUT* on Sacramento +7.5 The Key: The Kings are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. They will relish this opportunity to face the defending champion Warriors at home tonight. The Kings have actually won 2 of their last 5 meetings with the Warriors outright, and in their only meeting this season they only lost 116-117 on the road. They are now getting 7.5 points to the Warriors at home. The Warriors are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Conference teams. The Kings are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games when coming in on one days’ rest. Take Sacramento. |
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12-14-18 | Bucks v. Cavs +10.5 | 114-102 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 60 m | Show | |
6* NBA Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on Cleveland Cavaliers +10.5 The Key: The Cavaliers just lost by 16 at Milwaukee 5 days ago on December 10th. I like looking to back teams who have a shot at revenge in the 2nd meeting between teams who have just recently played. Especially big underdogs like the Cavs here, who are now catching double-digits against the Bucks at home. The Cavs have won their last two home games outright as underdogs over the Wizards and Knicks by a combined 22 points. The Bucks are only 20-48 ATS in their last 68 as a double-digit favorite and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games. Take Cleveland. |
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12-14-18 | Knicks v. Hornets UNDER 224.5 | Top | 126-124 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
7* NBA Total of the Month on Knicks/Hornets UNDER 224.5 The Key: The Hornets and Knicks just played 6 days ago on December 9th. The Hornets won that game 119-107 for 226 combined points. I like looking to the UNDER in the 2nd meeting between teams who have just recently played. And I think it’s safe to take the UNDER here as they just need to combine for 2 fewer points to get the UNDER. The Knicks have a ton of injuries right now and are without three key players in Trey Burke, Alonzo Trier and Lance Thomas. Trier and Burke are big losses because they create offense. The Knicks just don’t have many playmakers left. Take the UNDER. |
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12-13-18 | Chargers v. Chiefs UNDER 55 | Top | 29-28 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
7* Chargers/Chiefs AFC West *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 55 The Key: This will be the 2nd meeting between the Chargers and Chiefs this season. Both of these defenses have gotten a whole lot better since they met way back in Week 1. The Chargers are giving up just over 16 PPG in their last 9 games coming in. The Chiefs have held 7 of their last 10 opponents to 23 points or fewer. And I think we see a defensive battle in this rematch tonight. The Chiefs are missing their top two running backs and receiver Sammy Watkins, and Tyreke Hill is banged up. The Chargers are missing their top two running backs as well, two guys in Gordon and Ekeler who are huge safety valves for Philip Rivers out of the backfield. The UNDER is 10-1 in Chargers last 11 December games. The UNDER is 8-1 in Chargers last 9 against AFC West teams. The UNDER is 48-21-1 in Chiefs last 70 home games. Take the UNDER. |
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12-12-18 | Blazers v. Grizzlies -3 | Top | 83-92 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show |
7* NBA Western Conference Game of the Month on Memphis Grizzlies -3 The Key: The Blazers are in a difficult situation tonight. They will be playing the second of a back-to-back while having to take a long flight from Houston to Memphis last night in between. The Grizzlies are hungry for a victory off two straight losses to the Lakers and Nuggets, and they had yesterday off. The Grizzlies are 8-4 SU & 8-4 ATS at home this season, while the Blazers are 5-8 SU & 4-9 ATS on the road. The Blazers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games. Portland is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games overall. Memphis is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Grizzlies are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games. Take Memphis. |
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12-11-18 | Raptors -4 v. Clippers | Top | 123-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
7* Raptors/Clippers NBA TV *BAILOUT* on Toronto -4 The Key: The situation is a good one for the Raptors. They are coming off two straight upset losses to the Nets and Bucks, and they’ve covered just one of their last six coming in. They’ll be hungry for a victory here against the Clippers. This is a Clippers team playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after needing overtime to beat the lowly Suns on the road last night. Several starters played close to 40 minutes, and they’ll be fatigued now. It’s also their 3rd game in 4 days and their 6th game in 10 days. The Raptors are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings with the Clippers. Take Toronto. |
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12-10-18 | Vikings +3.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 7-21 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
7* Vikings/Seahawks NFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Minnesota +3.5 The Key: I strongly believe the Vikings are the better team in this matchup and we’re getting 3.5 points with them. This line should be closer to pick ‘em. The Vikings have outgained 6 of their last 8 opponents and they are a legit team with a legit defense and a solid offense. Sure, the Seahawks have on 3 in a row coming in, but they were outgained in 2 of those games by a combined 200 yards by the 49ers and Panthers. The Seahawks have now been outgained in 4 of their last 5 games coming in. The Vikings are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games following a loss. Seattle is 4-17 ATS in its last 21 games off a blowout win by 21 points or more. Mike Zimmer is 50-27 ATS as the coach of the Vikings. Take Minnesota. |
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12-10-18 | Cavs +13.5 v. Bucks | 92-108 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Cleveland Cavaliers +13.5 The Key: This is a great situation to fade the Milwaukee Bucks. They are coming off an upset win yesterday over the Raptors on the road, so they’ll be playing for a second consecutive day. And that followed up a 10-point home loss to the Warriors. So their last two games have been against the defending champs and the team with the best record in the NBA. There’s absolutely no way they get up emotionally to face the Cavs tonight, and that’s going to make it tough for them to cover this big spread. And this is a Cavs team that is playing competitive basketball now. They went on the road and upset the Nets 99-97 as 6-point dogs a few games back, and last time out they won 116-101 as 7.5-point home dogs to the Wizards. Milwaukee is 2-11 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons. The Bucks are 3-12 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 years. Take Cleveland. |
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12-09-18 | Rams v. Bears +3 | 6-15 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
6* Rams/Bears Sunday Night *BAILOUT* on Chicago +3 The Key: The Chicago Bears have one of the best defenses in the NFL. The Rams are in for a rude awakening against Chicago here tonight. The Bears have forced more turnovers (30) than any team in the NFL. They will be ready for Jared Goff and company. Plus, they get Mitch Trubisky back at quarterback for this game after he missed the past two games. The Bears should be able to take away Todd Gurley as they give up just 86 rushing yards per game this season, and just 66 rushing yards per game at home. The Rams are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a winning record. The Bears are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 home games, including 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a winning road record. Take Chicago. |
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12-09-18 | Steelers v. Raiders +10 | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
6* AFC Game of the Day on Oakland Raiders +10 The Key: Big Ben just hasn’t been a quarterback that you can trust when on the road and laying points. And now his job got a whole lot more difficult with the injury to James Connor. Roethlisberger is 1-9 ATS as a double-digit road favorite lifetime. And in six career starts against Oakland, Big Ben has gone just 2-4 SU & 1-5 ATS. The Raiders have covered the spread 2 of the last 3 weeks and only lost by 7 to the Chiefs last week at home. They can stay within 10 points of the Steelers, who lost at home to the Chiefs earlier this season. Take Oakland. |
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12-09-18 | Broncos v. 49ers +3.5 | Top | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
7* NFL Non-Conference Game of the Month on San Francisco 49ers +3.5 The Key: The Broncos are missing two key players this week that they had last week and during this run they’ve made. Leading receiver Emmanuel Sanders is out with a torn Achilles suffered in practice earlier this week. And top corner Chris Harris is out as well. The loss of Sanders hurts because the Broncos traded away Demaryius Thomas and were already thin at receiver. The 49ers have outgained their opponents by a total of 174 yards on the season. They are clearly better than a 2-10 team, and I think they get to taste victory here against the Broncos Sunday. The Broncos are 0-6 ATS vs. teams who force one or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. They are losing by 12.3 PPG on average to these teams. Take San Francisco. |
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12-08-18 | Nets v. Knicks -2.5 | Top | 112-104 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 0 m | Show |
7* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Week on New York Knicks -2.5 The Key: The Nets are in a letdown spot off their 106-105 upset win over the Raptors last night. They’re also a tired team as they’ll be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 6th game in 9 days. The Knicks will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days. The home team is 3-0 in the last three meetings, including a 19-point win and a 16-point win by the Knicks in the last two meetings in New York. The Nets are 0-7 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season. Take New York. |
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12-08-18 | Nuggets v. Hawks +6.5 | 98-106 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Atlanta Hawks +6.5 The Key: The Nuggets just had their 7-game winning streak come to an end in Charlotte last night. I always like going against teams who just had a long winning streak ended because they seem to be deflated the next game out. And the Nuggets will now be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days. Plus, they’ll be without two of their best players in Paul Millsap and Gary Harris. Millsap suffered a broken toe against the Hornets last night, and his loss is a big one for this team. Harris is the Nuggets’ leading scorer this year. And they’re already without Will Barton. The Hawks are rested having two days off prior to this game, and they’ll be playing only their 3rd game in 8 days. The situation really favors Atlanta. The Nuggets are 1-8 ATS off one or more consecutive overs this season. The Hawks are 36-17 ATS in their last 53 games following a double-digit home loss. The Hawks are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 home meetings. Take Atlanta. |
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12-08-18 | Buffalo -7 v. St Bonaventure | 80-62 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
6* Saturday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Buffalo -7 The Key: The Buffalo Bulls are one of the best teams in the country that nobody knows about. They have moved up to No. 17 in the rankings this week and are off to an 8-0 start. And now they want some revenge on St. Bonaventure after losing 4 straight meetings in this series between these upstate New York rivals. Buffalo has gone on the road and beaten West Virginia 99-94 as 10.5-point dogs, Southern Illinois 62-53 as 4-point favorites, and San Francisco 85-81 as 4-point favorites. Those are 3 really good teams. St. Bonaventure is in a rebuilding year. The Bonnies are just 4-5 with their 4 wins coming against Jackson State, Canisius, Delaware State and Siena all at home. They have lost to Bucknell at home, as well as Niagara, Georgia State, Boise State and Akron on the road. Those last four losses all came by 8 points or more. That’s why I think Buffalo has no problem covering this 7-point spread today. The Bulls are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Bulls are 8-1 ATS in road games off a win by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Bonnies are 4-16 ATS in their last 20 home games after committing 8 or fewer turnovers in their previous game. Take Buffalo. |
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12-07-18 | Lakers v. Spurs +1 | Top | 120-133 | Win | 102 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on San Antonio Spurs +1 The Key: I love the situation here for the Spurs. They blew a big lead against the Lakers on Wednesday and lost 113-121. Now they get their chance at revenge just two days later, this time in San Antonio. And I think they get that revenge tonight. The Lakers are banged up right now as they were already playing without Rajon Rondo, and now they’ll also be without starter Brandon Ingram for their next two games. And they are playing a back-to-back here with Memphis on deck tomorrow night. They won’t be nearly as hungry as the Spurs here, and they will be looking to limit their starters’ minutes if they can. The Spurs are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 home games. The Spurs are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 Friday games. The underdog is 6-0-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Take San Antonio. |
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12-06-18 | Suns v. Blazers -13 | 86-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Portland Trail Blazers -13 The Key: This really feels like a get right game for the Portland Trail Blazers tonight. They are just 1-6 SU in their last 7 games and 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games. But the Suns are the worst team in the West at 4-20 on the season, and they are 1-11 on the road while losing by 14.6 PPG on average. The Suns are also 0-6 SU & 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall, losing 5 times by double-digits, including 4 straight by 14 points or more. And now the Suns are without their two leading scorers in Devin Booker and TJ Warren. They are already short on talent, but they really stand zero chance of being competitive without these two, who combine to average 41.2 PPG on the season. The Blazers are 24-10 ATS in their last 34 home games, and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 Thursday games. Take Portland. |
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12-06-18 | Jaguars v. Titans UNDER 37.5 | Top | 9-30 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
7* Jaguars/Titans NFL *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 37.5 The Key: The Jaguars and Titans played in a 9-6 ugly defensive battle in their first meeting in Jacksonville that saw 15 combined points. I think we see another ugly defensive battle in the rematch, especially with the Jaguars going with Cody Kessler again at quarterback. His first start last week resulted in a 6-0 win over the Colts. The Jaguars have a great defense that ranks 3rd in the NFL in total defense at 315.6 YPG allowed. The Titans also have a great defense that ranks 9th in the NFL in total defense at 340.9 YPG allowed. And both teams have been terrible on offense. The Jaguars are 24th in total offense and the Titans are 28th. The Jaguars are 30th in scoring offense at 16.9 PPG, while the Titans are 28th at 18.4 PPG. I don’t think either team tops 20 points in this one. The UNDER is 6-1 in Titans last 7 vs. AFC South teams. The UNDER is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 vs. division opponents. Take the UNDER. |