Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-08-20 | Tulane v. Houston OVER 59 | 31-49 | Win | 100 | 52 h 58 m | Show | |
6* Tulane/Houston NCAAF *Total* Annihilator on OVER 59 The Key: Michael Pratt took over early in the 1st quarter for the terrible Keon Howard and promptly led Tulane to 66 points in a 66-24 victory over Southern Miss last time out. It’s a big upgrade at the QB position with his dual-threat skills. And Tulane should keep it rolling offensively against Houston this week. The Cougars have an offensive genius as a head coach in Dana Holgorsen, and he is working with 10 returning starters on offense and a terrible defense. There should be some offensive fireworks in this one. These teams combined for 69 points last year and 65 points two years ago, so this one should have no problem topping the 59-point total. The Green Wave are 11-2 OVER in their last 13 games after scoring 20 points or more at halftime in 2 straight games. The OVER is 10-4 in Cougars last 14 conference games. Take the OVER. |
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10-08-20 | Rays v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -116 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
6* Rays/Yankees Game 4 *CA$H COW* on OVER 8.5 The Key: The New York Yankees and their opponents have combined for 12 or more runs in all 5 postseason games and an average of 14 RPG. The Yankees have a dangerous lineup now that everyone is back healthy. The Rays have also shown some life offensively by scoring a combined 26 runs in their last 4 games. Jordan Montgomery has a 5.11 ERA in 10 starts this year and the Rays should get after him. The Rays will make this a bullpen game. Montgomery has a 5.14 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts against the Rays. Take the OVER. |
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10-07-20 | Rays v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | Top | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
7* MLB Total of the Week on Yankees/Rays OVER 8.5 The Key: The New York Yankees and their opponents have combined for 12 or more runs in all 4 postseason games and an average of 14.5 RPG. The Yankees have a dangerous lineup now that everyone is back healthy and they have just been pounding the ball led by Giancarlo Stanton, who has 5 HR in 4 games. The Rays have also shown some life offensively with a combined 18 runs scored in their last 3 games. And they should get after Masahiro Tanaka, who has a 7.20 ERA in his last 3 outings. Tanaka has yielded 7 earned runs and 3 homers in 10 innings in his last 2 starts against the Rays this year. Charlie Morton has a 4.32 ERA in 12 lifetime starts against the Yankees. Morton sports a 4.74 ERA in 9 starts this year. Take the OVER. |
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10-06-20 | Lakers v. Heat +7.5 | Top | 102-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
7* Heat/Lakers Game 4 *HEAVY HITTER* on Miami +7.5 The Key: The Miami Heat showed their resiliency by winning Game 3 outright as 9-point underdogs, 115-104. Jimmy Butler had a 40-point triple double and willed this team to victory. And now the Heat should be getting Bam Adebayo back from injury from Game 3. The Lakers made more 3-pointers than the Heat for a 3rd straight games, which was very unlikely when you consider the Heat are a great shooting team while the Lakers are a terrible one. It’s now 45 to 34 the edge in 3-pointers made for the Lakers in this series. Look for the Heat to narrow that gap in Game 4 tonight and come away with a cover and possibly another outright victory. Take Miami. |
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10-06-20 | Astros v. A's -104 | 5-2 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
6* Astros/A’s Game 2 *CA$H COW* on Oakland -104 The Key: The Oakland A’s are a resilient bunch. They are 43-16 in their last 59 games off a loss and staved off 2 elimination games against the White Sox last series. They will bounce back in Game 2 today. The A’s are 39-12 in their last 51 against left-handed starters and will pound unproven lefty Framber Valdez today. Sean Manaea sports a 3.26 ERA in 13 lifetime starts against the Astros and will shut them down. Take Oakland. |
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10-05-20 | Falcons +7 v. Packers | Top | 16-30 | Loss | -105 | 82 h 13 m | Show |
7* Falcons/Packers MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Atlanta +7 The Key: The Atlanta Falcons are desperate for a win after opening 0-3 this year. I like backing desperate teams. They should be 2-1 as they blew a 15-point lead against the Cowboys and a 16-point lead against the Bears both in the 4th quarter. But since they are 0-3 we are getting a good price on them. The Packers are 3-0 and need to be faded this week, especially since Aaron Rodgers may not have Devante Adams and Allen Lazard. Lazard is for sure out, while Adams sat out last week and is questionable with a hamstring. The Falcons are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as underdogs. The Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. This is the role they are good in. Take Atlanta. |
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10-05-20 | Astros v. A's -130 | 10-5 | Loss | -130 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
6* Astros/A’s Game 1 *CA$H COW* on Oakland -130 The Key: The Oakland A’s have the edge on the rubber tonight with Chris Bassitt over Lance McCullers Jr. Bassitt sports a 2.19 ERA in his 12 starts this year and a 0.44 ERA in his last 3 outings. McCullers Jr. sports a 7.33 ERA in his 6 road starts this year and has always been a train wreck on the road throughout his career. Bassitt sports a 3.66 ERA in 8 lifetime starts against Houston. McCullers Jr. has a 4.04 ERA in 9 lifetime starts against the A’s. Take Oakland. |
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10-04-20 | Lakers v. Heat +9.5 | Top | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
7* Heat/Lakers Game 3 *HEAVY HITTER* on Miami +9.5 The Key: The Miami Heat will be laying it all on the line tonight. This is a must-win after falling behind 0-2 in this series. And this has been a resilient team all year as they have gone 23-8 ATS following a loss this season. The Lakers have made 31 3-pointers in this series while the Heat have only made 22. That’s really the difference in the series, and it has been a big upset thus far because the Heat are the way better shooting team when you look at their numbers compared to the Lakers coming into this series. It will even back out tonight as the Heat have their best shooting game of the series. Take Miami. |
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10-04-20 | Saints v. Lions +4.5 | 35-29 | Loss | -105 | 50 h 13 m | Show | |
6* Saints/Lions NFC *CA$H COW* on Detroit +4.5 The Key: Drew Brees is just a shell of his former self. He has lost a ton of arm strength and that has been on display this season. They were fortunate to beat the Bucs in Week 1, then their defense got gashed in 24-34 and 30-37 losses to the Raiders and Packers. They have impact injuries on both offense and defense. Matthew Stafford is one of the most underrated quarterbacks in the NFL. He guided the Lions to a gutsy 26-23 win at Arizona last week. He did everything he could to avoid a 23-6 collapse against the Bears in Week 1 by driving the Lions down and throwing a perfect pass that was dropped in the end zone that would have been a game-winner. And Stafford just got his favorite receiver in Kenny Golloday back from a 2-game absence last week against the Cardinals, so he now has his full compliment of weapons. Take Detroit. |
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10-04-20 | Seahawks v. Dolphins OVER 54 | 31-23 | Push | 0 | 50 h 13 m | Show | |
6* Sunday NFL *Total* Annihilator on Seahawks/Dolphins OVER 54 The Key: The Seahawks are 3-0 to the OVER in 2020 with combined scores of 63, 65 and 69 points. This one should see 60-plus too. Russell Wilson has been the MVP of the league thus far in leading the Seahawks to 37 PPG. They have really opened up their passing game this year and let Wilson shine finally with 2 of the best weapons in the NFL in Metcalf and Lockett. But Seattle gives up 28.7 PPG and 497.3 YPG defensively. They have injuries all over their defense and are a far cry from the legion of boom D they had back in the day. Ryan Fitzpatrick will keep the Dolphins in this game and match Wilson score for score. He completed 90% of his passes against the Jaguars last week. He put up 28 points on the Bills and 31 points on the Jaguars the last 2 weeks, and he should reach or exceed both of those numbers again here. Seattle is 6-0 OVER when eh total is 49.5 or higher over the last 3 years. Miami is 8-1 OVER as a home dog of 7 points or less over the last 3 years. Miami is 12-0 OVER in its last 12 against good rush defenses that give up 70 or fewer rushing yards per game. Take the OVER. |
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10-03-20 | LSU v. Vanderbilt +21 | Top | 41-7 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 3 m | Show |
7* SEC Game of the Month on Vanderbilt +21 The Key: Vanderbilt showed they are going to have one of the best defenses in the SEC when they only lost 12-17 to Texas A&M as a 31.5-point dog last week. They returned all 11 starters on D, and Pro Football Focus actually graded their D-Line as the best unit in the country after that performance. LSU’s defense was shredded for 44 points and 623 passing yards in their upset loss to Mississippi State last week. This is an LSU team that lost 15 players to the NFL in the offseason. That’s simply irreplaceable. The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 matchups. The Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a losing record. Take Vanderbilt. |
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10-03-20 | Texas Tech v. Kansas State -2 | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 22 h 2 m | Show | |
6* Texas Tech/K-State Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Kansas State -2 The Key: “We better put it behind us in a. Hurry or we’re going to not be ready on Saturday,” Kansas State head coach Chris Klieman said. “What you did today is great, but it pales in comparison to what you can do the next day. Right now, we have to move on. That’s been our mantra for a year-plus. Stack great days and don’t worry about yesterday, worry about today. Let’s win this dang day.” I love the quotes coming from Klieman leading up to this game against Texas Tech. And I think with the veteran leadership the Wildcats have, they can avoid the dreaded letdown off their incredible upset of Oklahoma as 28-point dogs last week. I think getting humbled in their opener by Arkansas State, losing outright as 15-point dogs will make it easier to avoid that letdown. Texas Tech blew a 15-point lead in the final minutes and lost in OT to Texas last week. That’s harder to recover from. And remember Texas Tech only beat Houston Baptist 35-33 as a 40.5-point favorite in their opener. The fact of the matter is Kansas State is the better team in this matchup, and if they just show up with their ‘B Game’ they will win and cover. The Red Raiders are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games off a SU loss. Texas Tech is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 road games. The Wildcats are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games. The Wildcats are 8-1 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last 9 matchups with Texas Tech. Take Kansas State. |
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10-03-20 | Arkansas State -3 v. Coastal Carolina | 23-52 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 33 m | Show | |
6* Sun Belt *CA$H COW* on Arkansas State -3 The Key: Arkansas State has been impressive against two tough opponents this year. They only lost by 13 on the road to Memphis and upset Kansas State as 15-point road underdogs. Then Kansas State went on to beat Oklahoma outright as a 28-point dog last week. And keep in mind the Red Wolves didn’t have 10 starters for that game against K-State due to Covid-19. Now they should be back to full strength this week and blast Coastal Carolina, which has played a much easier schedule in beating Kansas and Campbell thus far. The Red Wolves have won all 3 matchups with Coastal Carolina over the last 3 years by an average of 21 PPG. Coastal Carolina is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 home games. Take Arkansas State. |
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10-03-20 | Baylor v. West Virginia +115 | 21-27 | Win | 115 | 19 h 33 m | Show | |
6* Saturday NCAAF *UPSET SPECIAL* on West Virginia ML +115 The Key: Neal Brown is in his 2nd season at West Virginia. They only had 7 starters back last year in his first season and still managed to win 5 games, including 3 Big 12 road games, which is no small feat. But now Brown has 14 starters back this year and this should be one of the most improved teams in the country. Baylor is the team rebuilding with just 9 starters back for new head coach Dave Aranda. The Bears’ 47-14 win over Kansas last week was so misleading. They only outgained Kansas by 24 yards and managed just 352 total yards. But they got 2 special teams touchdowns. West Virginia played Oklahoma State much tougher than the 13-27 final score would indicate last week as well. The Mountaineers outgained the Cowboys by 11 yards and held them to just 342 total yards. West Virginia only lost 14-17 at Baylor as 17.5-point dogs last year. It’s revenge time as WVU looks to improve to 5-0 SU in home matchups with Baylor since joining the Big 12. Take West Virginia on the Money Line. |
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10-03-20 | South Carolina +17 v. Florida | 24-38 | Win | 100 | 19 h 32 m | Show | |
6* South Carolina/Florida SEC *CA$H COW* on South Carolina +17 The Key: This has been a very closely contested series between South Carolina and Florida through in the year. Each of the last 7 matchups were decided by 13 points or fewer, so with this 17-point spread I like the price we are getting on the Gamecocks. South Carolina only lost 27-31 to a very good Tennessee team last week. Florida beat Ole Miss 51-35, but gave up 613 total yards in the process and only outgained the Rebels by 29 yards. That’s an Ole Miss team in transition with a new head coach in Lane Kiffin. The Gamecocks are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as road underdogs. The road team is 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 matchups. Take South Carolina. |
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10-02-20 | Heat +10 v. Lakers | Top | 114-124 | Push | 0 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
7* NBA Finals Game of the Year on Miami Heat +10 The Key: The Miami Heat are catching double-digits against the Lakers tonight and they shouldn’t be. This is a huge game for them in this series. And this is a 5.5-point adjustment from Game 1 where the Heat were +4.5 dogs to close. I realize Adebayo and Dragic are unlikely to play, but the Heat have the depth to overcome it. They can go small and give the Lakers some problems. They are the best shooting team in the NBA from the 3-point line which is a big reason why they have made it this far. But the Lakers won the 3-point line in Game 1, which is a huge upset. The Lakers were 15-of-38 while the Heat were only 11-of-35. Look for a role reversal here. The Heat shoot 37.4% from 3 on the season and the Lakers only shoot 35% as one of the worst 3-point shooting teams in the NBA. The Heat are 35-15-2 ATS in their last 52 games off an ATS loss. Take Miami. |
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10-01-20 | Brewers v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
6* Brewers/Dodgers Game 2 *BAILOUT* on UNDER 7.5 The Key: The two best starters for the Dodgers and Brewers are going tonight after the Dodgers won 4-2 yesterday. Clayton Kershaw is 6-2 with a 2.16 ERA and 0.84 WHIP in 10 starts this year. Kershaw is 7-6 with a 3.02 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 17 lifetime starts against the Brewers. Brandon Woodruff is 3-5 with a 3.05 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in 13 starts this year for the Brewers. Milwaukee is 17-3 UNDER as an underdog of +150 or more over the last 3 years. Woodruff is 10-2 UNDER In all games this season. Take the UNDER. |
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10-01-20 | Broncos v. Jets OVER 40.5 | Top | 37-28 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
7* Broncos/Jets AFC *Total* Annihilator on OVER 40.5 The Key: Both the New York Jets and Denver Broncos have been up against some very good defenses this season. The Jets have faced the Bills, 49ers and Colts while the Broncos have faced the Titans, Steelers and Bucs. This is the chance for both offenses to open things up against the worst defenses that they will have faced yet. The Broncos give up 23.3 PPG and 380 YPG and have injuries all over their defense, most notably to Miller, Casey and Bouye. The Jets give up 31.3 PPG and 372 YPG and have just been gashed defensively. This is a very low total for today’s NFL and there’s definitely some value with the OVER. Take the OVER. |
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09-30-20 | Brewers v. Dodgers -1.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-105) The Key: The Los Angeles Dodgers are the best team in baseball at 43-17 on the season. They are scoring 5.8 RPG and giving up just 3.5 RPG this year, so they are outscoring opponents by 2.3 RPG on average. And I’ll take them on the Run Line here Wednesday. Walker Buehler is 1-0 with a 3.44 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in 8 starts this year and the Dodgers have gone 7-1 in those starts. Buehler is 1-0 with a 1.31 ERA and 0.68 WHIP in 4 home starts. He sports a 2.89 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against the Brewers. Take Los Angeles on the Run Line. |
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09-30-20 | Heat +5 v. Lakers | Top | 98-116 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
7* Heat/Lakers Game 1 *HEAVY HITTER* on Miami +5 The Key: The Miami Heat are 12-3 SU & 12-3 ATS in the postseason. They play great defense, have tremendous shooting, and have the go-to guy in Jimmy Butler to get it down down the stretch when the games are tight. They match up well with the Lakers because they have guys who can handle Anthony Davis and LeBron James defensively. And the Lakers just don’t have the depth outside those two superstars to match up with the Heat. This line is way off in Game 1 tonight with the Heat catching 5 points. Take Miami. |
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09-30-20 | Astros v. Twins -150 | 3-1 | Loss | -150 | 3 h 44 m | Show | |
6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Minnesota Twins -150 The Key: The Minnesota Twins have the edge on the rubber tonight with Jose Berrios over Lance McCullers Jr. Berrios is 3-3 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 6 home starts this year. The knock on McCullers Jr. has been that while he has been great at home throughout his career, he has been awful on the road. That has proven to be the case again in 2020 as McCullers Jr. is 0-3 with a 7.33 ERA and 1.71 WHIP in 6 road starts this year. He is also 0-1 with a 6.48 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against the Twins. The Twins are 23-8 at home this year, while the Astros are 10-21 on the road. Houston is 1-10 in road games after 4 or more consecutive road games this year. Take Minnesota. |
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09-29-20 | Astros v. Twins -160 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -160 | 4 h 10 m | Show |
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Minnesota Twins -160 The Key: The Minnesota Twins have edges everywhere over the Houston Astros, who got into the playoffs with a losing 29-31 record. They especially have the edge on the rubber tonight with Kenta Maeda over Zack Greinke. Maeda is 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA and 0.75 WHIP in 11 starts this year, and 3-0 with a 1.91 ERA and 0.55 WHIP in 5 home starts. Zack Greinke is 3-3 with a 4.03 ERA in 12 starts, 0-2 with a 4.28 ERA in 5 road starts and 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA in his last 3 starts. Greinke is 4-9 with a 4.65 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 20 lifetime starts against the Twins. The Twins are 23-7 at home this year. The Astros are 6-20 in their last 26 road games. Take Minnesota. |
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09-28-20 | Chiefs v. Ravens -3.5 | Top | 34-20 | Loss | -105 | 90 h 26 m | Show |
7* Chiefs/Ravens MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Baltimore -3.5 The Key: The Baltimore Ravens have blown the doors off their first 2 opponents with a 38-6 win over Cleveland and a 33-16 win at Houston. The Kansas City Chiefs also beat the Texans 34-20, but they only outgained them by 9 yards in that contest. And the Chiefs were outgained by 65 yards last week in a fortunate 23-20 (OT) win over the Chargers in which they gave up 479 total yards to rookie QB Justin Herbert and company. The Ravens have lost their 2 matchups with the Chiefs by a combined 8 points over the last 2 seasons. It’s revenge time here as the Ravens prove they are the best team in the AFC Monday night. Take Baltimore. |
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09-27-20 | Celtics v. Heat +3.5 | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
6* Celtics/Heat Game 6 *CA$H COW* on Miami +3.5 The Key: The Miami Heat are 11-3 SU & 11-3 ATS in the playoffs. Every time they have lost they have bounced back with a win and cover. They are a resilient team and realize they need to step on Boston’s throat after letting them win Game 5. I think Jimmy Butler and company will rise to the occasion in Game 6 and close out this series. The Celtics are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games off an ATS win. The Heat are 25-8 ATS in their last 33 games off a SU loss. The Heat are also 34-15-2 ATS in their last 51 games off an ATS loss. Take Miami. |
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09-27-20 | Lions +6 v. Cardinals | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 63 h 37 m | Show | |
6* Lions/Cardinals NFC *CA$H COW* on Detroit +6 The Key: Teams failing to cover by 5 PPG or more who are also 0-2 ATS have gone 57-28-1 ATS in Week 3. Teams like the Lions are undervalued after a poor start to the season. They blew a 23-6 lead against the Bears in Week 1 and a 14-3 lead against the Packers in Week 2. They aren’t as bad as their 0-2 record, and the Cardinals aren’t as good as their 2-0 record, beating a poor Washington team and taking advantage of a banged-up 49ers team. Bets on road dogs or PK who allowed 335 or more total yards per game last season, after allowing 450 yards or more last game are 24-4 ATS since 1983. The Lions are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 road games off a loss by 14 points or more. Take Detroit. |
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09-27-20 | Cowboys +5 v. Seahawks | Top | 31-38 | Loss | -109 | 63 h 37 m | Show |
7* Cowboys/Seahawks NFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Dallas +5 The Key: Seattle’s defense is way too poor to trust the Seahawks to be laying 5 points to the Dallas Cowboys, who have one of the best offenses in the NFL. That was on display last week when the Cowboys racked up 40 points and 570 total yards on the Falcons. The Seahawks give up 27.5 PPG and 485 YPG this season. The Cowboys are 16-4 ATS in their last 20 road games after trailing at halftime by 14 points or more last game. Take Dallas. |
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09-27-20 | Marlins v. Yankees -1.5 | 5-0 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 2 m | Show | |
6* MLB Interleague *CA$H COW* on New York Yankees -1.5 (+101) The Key: The New York Yankees have a lot at stake in their final game of the season. They can improve their seeding with a win. The Marlins don’t have much to play for and are just happy to have made the postseason, especially after going just 2-5 in their last 7 games overall. The Yankees will hang a big number on Jose Urena, who is 0-3 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in 21 starts this year. That should allow them to cover the -1.5 run line even with rookie Clarke Schmidt on the mound. The Yankees are 18-2 as a home favorite of -150 or more this season and winning by 4.3 RPG. Take New York on the Run Line. |
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09-27-20 | Titans v. Vikings +3 | 31-30 | Win | 100 | 59 h 12 m | Show | |
6* Sunday NFL *UPSET SPECIAL* on Minnesota Vikings +3 The Key: Teams failing to cover by 5 PPG or more who are also 0-2 ATS have gone 57-28-1 ATS in Week 3. Teams like the Vikings are undervalued after a poor start to the season. They go from being favored by nearly a FG at home against the Packers in their opener to now 3-point dogs to the Titans in Week 3, basically a 6-point adjustment. It’s time to buy low on the Vikings, and sell high on the 2-0 Titans who have beaten 2 bad teams in the Broncos and Jaguars by a combined 5 points. The Vikings are better than both those teams and will likely win this game outright to get back on track. Take Minnesota. |
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09-26-20 | Nuggets +5 v. Lakers | 107-117 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
6* Nuggets/Lakers Game 5 *CA$H COW* on Denver +5 The Key: The Nuggets are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 playoff games when trailing in a series. They came back from 3-1 deficits in the first 2 rounds of the playoffs this year. And they certainly believe they can still come back and win this series after giving the Lakers all they wanted and more through the first 4 games. Take Denver. |
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09-26-20 | NC State v. Virginia Tech -6.5 | 24-45 | Win | 100 | 26 h 25 m | Show | |
6* NC State/VA Tech ACC *CA$H COW* on Virginia Tech -6.5 The Key: The Virginia Tech Hokies are one of the most experienced teams in the country with 18 starters back this year. NC State went 4-8 lsat year and has 15 starters back. But the defense is clearly atrocious after giving up 42 points to Wake Forest last week. Virginia Tech should be able to score at will and offer a lot more resistance on D than Wake did. NC State is 1-8 ATS when the total is 56.5 to 63 over the last 3 years. The Wolfpack are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as underdogs. NC State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games off a win. The Wolfpack are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Hokies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games. The Hokies are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 matchups. Take Virginia Tech. |
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09-26-20 | Vanderbilt +30.5 v. Texas A&M | 12-17 | Win | 100 | 26 h 55 m | Show | |
6* Vanderbilt/Texas A&M SEC *CA$H COW* on Vanderbilt +30.5 The Key: Texas A&M is getting too much love early in the season ranked as a Top 10 team off an 8-5 season. Jimbo Fisher is doing a good job recruiting but hasn’t put it together. No question the Aggies will be good this year, but not 30.5 points better than Vanderbilt, which returns all 11 starters on defense and should have their best stop unit of the Derek Mason era. The Aggies didn’t beat a single SEC team by more than 24 points last year. Vanderbilt is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 road games with a total between 45.5 and 49 points. Such a low total definitely favors the +30.5 underdog. Take Vanderbilt. |
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09-26-20 | Florida State v. Miami-FL -11 | 10-52 | Win | 100 | 26 h 54 m | Show | |
6* FSU/Miami ACC *CA$H COW* on Miami -11 The Key: Miami finally has its QB in Houston transfer D’Eriq King and the Hurricanes look the part thus far. They beat UAB 31-14 in their opener, and that’s a UAB team that just beat South Alabama 42-10 on Thursday. That’s a South Alabama team that upset Southern Miss and also nearly upset Tulane. Then Miami beat Louisville 47-34 last week with 3 scoring plays of 47 or more yards. This is a very explosive offense with King, and the defense has plenty of studs to shut teams down. FSU was thoroughly outplayed in its opener, a 13-16 home loss to Georgia Tech as 13-point favorites. The Yellow Jackets outgained them by 131 yards. Now FSU will be without its new head coach in Mike Norvell due to Covid-19. Miami has won three straight over FSU, including a 27-10 road win last year. The Hurricanes are even better this season with King. Take Miami. |
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09-26-20 | Cubs v. White Sox -1.5 | 5-9 | Win | 128 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
6* MLB Interleague *CA$H COW* on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (+128) The Key: The Chicago White Sox are 13-0 against left-handed starters in 2020 and scoring 6.9 RPG. They get to face lefty Jon Lester for a 2nd time this season. The 1st on August 21st was a disaster for Lester. He yielded 8 runs and 4 homers in 3 2/3 innings of a 10-1 win for the White Sox. Dane Dunning is 2-0 with a 3.19 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 6 starts this year, including 1-0 with a 2.20 ERA and 0.74 WHIP in 3 home starts. Take the White Sox on the Run Line. |
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09-26-20 | Duke v. Virginia -4 | Top | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 22 h 25 m | Show |
7* ACC Game of the Month on Virginia -4 The Key: Virginia has 15 starters back from a team that beat Duke 48-14 last year. Duke lost by 14 to Notre Dame and by 20 to Boston College to start the year, so it’s clear the Blue Devils aren’t any better than they were last season. This is a very short number for the defending Coastal Division champs to be laying to open their season. Take Virginia. |
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09-26-20 | Mississippi State +17 v. LSU | 44-34 | Win | 100 | 22 h 54 m | Show | |
6* Mississippi State/LSU SEC *CA$H COW* on Mississippi State +17 The Key: LSU lost a record 14 players to the NFL. You can make that 15 now with receiver Ja’Marr Chase and his 1,780 yards and 20 TD from last season deciding to sit out and get ready for the NFL. I just can’t see LSU being on their game in the opener with all that they have lost. I know the situation isn’t great for Mississippi State either with a new head coach in Mike Leach, but at least their an experienced team with 11 returning starters and plenty of senior leadership with 13 projected starters being seniors. I love the addition of Stanford transfer KJ Kostello at QB to run Leach’s Air Raid system. This number just feels a bit too wide with all that LSU lost. Take Mississippi State. |
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09-25-20 | Heat v. Celtics -3 | Top | 108-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
7* Heat/Celtics Game 5 *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston -3 The Key: The Boston Celtics have responded every time they’ve had some adversity. They won Game 7 against the Raptors, and they won Game 3 after falling into an 0-2 hole to the Heat. With their season on the line tonight they will respond again. The Celtics are 23-9-1 ATS in their last 33 playoff games as a favorite. Boston is 7-1-1 ATS in its last 9 games off an ATS loss. The Celtics are 18-9 ATS off a SU loss this season. The Celtics are 20-11 ATS when revenging a loss this year. Take Boston. |
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09-25-20 | Reds v. Twins -140 | 7-2 | Loss | -140 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
6* MLB Interleague *MOUND MISMATCH* on Minnesota Twins -140 The Key: The Twins have a huge edge on the rubber today with Jose Berrios over Tyler Mahle. Berrios is 3-2 with a 2.67 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 5 home starts this year. Mahle is 0-2 with a 6.39 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in 3 road starts. The Twins are 22-5 at home this year. The Reds are 1-8 in road games after allowing 2 runs or less this year. Mahle is 1-12 as a road dog of +100 or higher over the last 2 years. Take Minnesota. |
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09-24-20 | Dolphins +3 v. Jaguars | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
7* Dolphins/Jaguars AFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Miami +3 The Key: The Miami Dolphins hung 28 points on the Buffalo Bills last week and gave them everything they could handle. They also hung tough with the New England Patriots on the road. They are going to be able to score at will on this awful Jaguars defense that gave up 33 points to the Titans last week and that is giving up 400 YPG this year. The Dolphins are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games off a SU loss. The Jaguars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as favorites. Bets on road dogs who gave up 335 or more YPG last year after allowing 450 or more yards in their previous game are 24-4 ATS since 1983. Take Miami. |
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09-24-20 | UAB v. South Alabama +7 | 42-10 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
6* UAB/South Alabama NCAAF *CA$H COW* on South Alabama +7 The Key: South Alabama won outright as a 15-point dogs at Southern Miss in its opener and only lost 24-27 as a 10-point dog to Tulane in their next game. And they led 24-6 over Tulane and should have won. I actually think this is a step down in class for South Alabama against UAB Thursday night. UAB only beat Central Arkansas by 10 as a 21.5-point favorite and gave up 35 points to that FCS team. UAB also lost by 17 to Miami as a 15.5-point dog. UAB suffered a big blow when starting QB Tyler Johnson hurt his shoulder against Miami and backup Bryce Lucero came in and completed just 33% of his 12 attempts. Lucero is a redshirt freshman and cannot be trusted. South Alabama is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 home games. The Jaguars are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as underdogs. The Blazers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. Take South Alabama. |
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09-24-20 | White Sox +127 v. Indians | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
6* Thursday MLB *UPSET SPECIAL* on Chicago White Sox +127 The Key: The Chicago White Sox just lost the AL Central lead for the first time since August. They will be hungry for a win after dropping 4 straight, including the first 3 games of this series to Cleveland, so they want to avoid the sweep after losing to walk-off HR’s each of the past 2 days. Dallas Kuechel comes in to stop the bleeding today. Kuechel is 6-2 with a 2.04 ERA in 10 starts this year, 3-1 with a 1.62 ERA in 6 road starts, and 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA in his last 3 outings. Kuechel is 4-1 with a 2.50 ERA in 8 previous starts against the Indians. The wrong team is favored in this matchup. Take Chicago. |
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09-23-20 | Celtics v. Heat +3 | Top | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
7* Celtics/Heat Game 4 *HEAVY HITTER* on Miami +3 The Key: This game is likely to go down to the wire and it’s clear the Miami Heat are better in clutch moments in these playoffs. So I’ll trust them here catching 3 points. They had a chance to win late in Game 3 after taking the first 2 games of this series despite shooting terribly. The Heat shot 38.8% in Game 3 compared to 48.2% for Boston. There won’t be that big of a disparity again, and the Heat certainly won’t shoot as poorly as they did from the 3-point line, where they were 12-of-44 (27.3%). The Heat are 10-2 SU & 10-2 ATS in the playoffs this year. The Heat are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 games off a loss. The Heat are 40-18 ATS in their last 58 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Take Miami. |
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09-23-20 | Tigers v. Twins -1.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
6* AL Central *CA$H COW* on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-135) The Key: The Minnesota Twins have won 3 straight to pull within 0.5 games of the Chicago White Sox for 1st place in the AL Central. They keep their momentum going today against the Detroit Tigers, who are 5-15 in their last 20 games overall. The Twins have a big edge on the rubber in this one. Kenta Maeda is 5-1 with a 2.52 ERA and 0.76 WHIP in 10 starts this year, and 2-0 with a 1.33 ERA and 0.52 WHIP in 4 home starts. Casey Mize is 0-2 with a 6.09 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in 6 starts for Detroit. Mize is 0-0 with a 6.43 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in 2 starts against the Twins this year. The Twins are 15-3 in home games against right-handed starters this year and winning by 2.3 RPG on average. The Twins are 21-4 vs. an AL starting pitcher with an ERA of 5.90 or worse over the last 2 years, and outscoring these teams by 3.0 RPG on average. Take Minnesota on the Run Line. |
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09-23-20 | Astros -1.5 v. Mariners | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
6* AL West *CA$H COW* on Houston Astros -1.5 (-115) The Key: The Houston Astros are fighting to make the postseason and have won 3 of their last 4 coming in. The Mariners have been eliminated from postseason contention and are 2-6 in their last 8 games overall with all 6 losses coming by 2 runs or more. The Astros have the edge on the rubber today with Zack Greinke, who is 3-2 with a 3.90 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 11 starts this year. Greinke is 7-1 with a 1.86 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in 13 lifetime starts against the Mariners. Nike Margevicius is 1-3 with a 5.34 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in 6 starts this year, and 0-2 with a 6.89 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Greinke is 59-17 as a favorite of -175 to -250 lifetime with his teams winning by 2.1 RPG on average. Take Houston on the Run Line. |
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09-22-20 | Lakers v. Nuggets +6.5 | Top | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
7* Nuggets/Lakers Game 3 *HEAVY HITTER* on Denver +6.5 The Key: The Denver Nuggets are very comfortable being down in a series. They gave the Lakers all they could handle in Game 2 and probably should have won, but lost at the buzzer. They’ll come back in Game 3 with their best effort of the series. The Nuggets are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 playoff games when trailing in the series. Take Denver. |
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09-22-20 | Cardinals -113 v. Royals | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
6* MLB Interleague *CA$H COW* on St. Louis Cardinals -113 The Key: I like the price we are getting on the St. Louis Cardinals today as they try and make the playoffs. They also look to bounce back from a loss to the Royals as a big favorite yesterday. Austin Gomber has only made 2 starts this year, but he has a 0.00 ERA as he has fired 5 2/3 shutout innings for the Cardinals. Brady Singer is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in 3 home starts for the Royals this year. Gomber pitched 5 shutout innings in his lone lifetime start against the Royals in a 7-0 victory. The Royals are 29-72 in their last 101 home games against a team with a winning record. Take St. Louis. |
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09-21-20 | Astros -134 v. Mariners | 1-6 | Loss | -134 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Houston Astros -134 The Key: The Houston Astros are fighting to make the postseason as they embark on the final week of the season. They have a great chance considering they play the 2 worst teams in their division on the Mariners and Rangers. The Astros have the edge on the rubber today over Seattle. Lance McCullers is 1-0 with a 2.77 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in his last 3 outings. McCullers is 7-2 with a 2.95 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 13 lifetime starts against the Mariners. Marco Gonzalez has never beaten the Astros, going 0-5 with a 6.61 ERA and 1.84 WHIP in 7 lifetime starts against them. His teams are 0-7 in those starts. Take Houston. |
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09-21-20 | Saints v. Raiders +5.5 | Top | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 98 h 48 m | Show |
7* Saints/Raiders MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Oakland +5.5 The Key: All the playmakers the Raiders added in the offseason paid off in a big way against the Panthers in Week 1. Las Vegas scored 34 points and will be a tough team to stop offensively all season. Their defense is better than it showed against the Panthers and played well in giving up only 15 points through 3 quarters, but Carolina made a comeback in the 4th. The Saints did not beat the Bucs as badly as the 34-23 final would suggest. They only had 271 total yards but forced 3 turnovers and didn’t give the ball away once. They slowed down without Michael Thomas, who suffered an ankle injury in that game and is now out this week. There’s just no replacing what Thomas does for this offense. He had 149 receptions for 1,725 yards and 9 TD in 2019 after having 125 receptions for 1,405 yards and 9 TD in 2018. He is arguably the best receiver in the NFL. Take Las Vegas. |
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09-20-20 | Nuggets v. Lakers OVER 213.5 | 103-105 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
6* Nuggets/Lakers Game 2 *Total* Annihilator on OVER 213.5 The Key: The OVER is 21-7-2 in the last 30 matchups in this series. The OVER is 4-0 in the last 4 matchups with combined scores of 240, 245, 236 and 232 points. This is about as easy as it gets after they combined for 240 in Game 1. They might not score that many points, but they will score enough to top this very low 213.5-point total. Take the OVER. |
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09-20-20 | Yankees -1.5 v. Red Sox | 2-10 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on New York Yankees -1.5 (-115) The Key: The New York Yankees are 10-0 in their last 10 games overall with 8 wins by 2 runs or more. They have scored a combined 57 runs in their last 5 games and are getting healthy at the right time. The Red Sox are 19-34 with nothing to play for. Deivi Garcia has been superb for the Yankees, going 2-1 with a 3.28 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 4 starts, including 1-1 with a 3.06 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in 3 road starts. The Yankees are 12-0 in their last 12 matchups with Boston with 11 of those wins coming by 2 runs or more. Take New York on the Run Line. |
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09-20-20 | Jaguars +9 v. Titans | Top | 30-33 | Win | 100 | 67 h 34 m | Show |
7* AFC South Game of the Month on Jacksonville Jaguars +9 The Key: The Jacksonville Jaguars were singled-out as the worst team in the NFL in the offseason by most media outlets. They are taking it personally. They respond with a 27-20 win over Indianapolis as 7-point dogs in Week 1. I was on them in that game, and I’m back on them again this week as 9-point dogs to the Tennessee Titans. Gardner Minshew continued proving his doubters wrong, completing 19-of-20 passes against the Colts with his only incompletion being a catchable ball. With Minshew at QB, they will be able to compete. The Titans are over-hyped after making the AFC Championship last year. They barely beat the Broncos 16-14 on Monday Night Football, which means they are now on a short week while the Jaguars have an extra day to get ready. The Titans are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game. The Jaguars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 September games. Take Jacksonville. |
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09-20-20 | Lions +6.5 v. Packers | 21-42 | Loss | -108 | 67 h 33 m | Show | |
6* Lions/Packers NFC *CA$H COW* on Detroit +6.5 The Key: The Detroit Lions just blew a 23-6 lead over the Chicago Bears in the 4th quarter. They are the kinds of close losses dating back to last season, and they don’t want to be known as the team that cannot finish this year. Look for them to be playing with a chip on their shoulder Sunday against the Packers. And since the Lions have such a knack for losing close games, getting 6.5 points with them here is a nice price. The Packers are over-hyped after beating up on a young, banged-up Minnesota defense last week, winning 43-34. The Lions will offer a lot more resistance than the Vikings did on both sides of the ball. Detroit is 4-2 SU & 6-0 ATS in its last 6 meetings with Green Bay with the 2 losses both coming last year by 1 and 3 points. They have revenge in mind in this first matchup of 2020. Take Detroit. |
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09-20-20 | Rams v. Eagles -105 | 37-19 | Loss | -105 | 67 h 33 m | Show | |
6* Rams/Eagles NFC *CA$H COW* on Philadelphia PK The Key: Philadelphia blew a 17-0 lead against Washington last week and was outscored 27-17 the rest the way. The offense stalled, and Carson Wentz had a poor game as he just didn’t have any time and was sacked 8 times. Injuries on the offensive line contributed to it. But the Eagles got good injury news this week as both G Jason Peters and T Lane Johnson will play Sunday, plus they get RB Mile Sanders back after missing last week. Johnson means everything to the O-Line. The Eagles are 36-17 with Lane under Doug Pederson, but just 6-12 without him. The Rams played good enough to win over the Cowboys, who had all kinds of injuries hit their defense last week. The Rams won that game 20-17. Now they faced a pissed off Eagles team, and the challenge will be much tougher for them this week. I love the price getting the Eagles as a pick ‘em at home as I still think they are the better team than the Rams. Take Philadelphia. |
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09-19-20 | Celtics -3 v. Heat | 117-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
6* Celtics/Heat Game 3 *CA$H COW* on Boston -3 The Key: The Boston Celtics are in must-win mode here in Game 3. They did themselves no favors in Game 2 by turning the ball over 20 times and lost 101-106 after blowing a big lead. They also lost in overtime in Game 1, so this is a really close series. I think the intensity level the Celtics play with compared to the Heat will be massive in this game. Look for the Heat to relax just enough to allow the Celtics to win and cover this game. Boston is 19-6 ATS when playing 4 or fewer games in 10 days this year. The Celtics are 46-25 ATS in their last 71 games off 2 straight losses by 6 points or less. Boston is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games off an ATS loss. The Celtics are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 playoff games as favorites. Take Boston. |
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09-19-20 | Wake Forest v. NC State -1 | 42-45 | Win | 100 | 27 h 2 m | Show | |
6* Wake Forest/NC State ACC *CA$H COW* on NC State -1 The Key: NC State is a prime bounce-back candidate this year off a disappointing 4-8 season. The Wolfpack had won 9 games each of the previous 2 seasons. But they lost 14 players from those 2 teams combined to the NFL. So last year was a rebuilding season. Now the Wolfpack have 15 starters back this year and a ton of talent, especially on offense where 10 starters are back. Wake Forest looks like the rebuilding team this year. They went 8-5 last year but now only return 11 starters, including just 3 on offense. They lose their QB, leading rusher and leading receiver. NC State wants to avenge its embarrassing 10-44 loss to Wake Forest last year, and you can bet they’ve been using it as motivation all offseason. The Wolfpack will be ready to play at home Saturday. The home team is 16-4 ATS in the last 20 matchups. Take NC State. |
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09-19-20 | Miami-FL v. Louisville -2.5 | Top | 47-34 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 45 m | Show |
7* Miami/Louisville ACC *HEAVY HITTER* on Louisville -2.5 The Key: The Louisville Cardinals have 16 starters back from a team that went 8-5 last year in Scott Satterfield’s first season coming over from Appalachian State. They are loaded everywhere and it showed last week as they outgained Western Kentucky by 239 yards and put up 487 yards of offense. They will now take down Miami and avenge a 27-52 loss at Miami last year. But they outgained Miami by 47 yards in that game and never should have lost by 25. They lost the turnover battle 3-0 which proved to be the difference. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 matchups. The Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. The Hurricanes are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games. Take Louisville. |
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09-19-20 | Yankees -1.5 v. Red Sox | 8-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on New York Yankees -1.5 (-131) The Key: The New York Yankees are 9-0 in their last 9 games overall with 7 wins by 2 runs or more. They have scored a combined 49 runs in their last 4 games and are getting healthy at the right time. They have the edge on the rubber over the Red Sox once again today. J.A. Happ is 1-2 with a 3.96 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 7 starts this year. Chris Mazza is 1-1 with a 6.28 ERA and 1.81 WHIP in 4 starts. Happ is 12-5 with a 3.22 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 26 lifetime starts against the Red Sox, which is no small feat. Mazza is 0-1 with a 12.00 ERA and 3.00 WHIP in his lone lifetime start against the Yankees, which came back on August 16th. The Yankees are 11-0 in their last 11 matchups with the Red Sox with 10 of those wins coming by 2 runs or more. Take New York on the Run Line. |
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09-19-20 | Syracuse +21.5 v. Pittsburgh | 10-21 | Win | 100 | 19 h 2 m | Show | |
6* Syracuse/Pitt ACC *CA$H COW* on Syracuse +21.5 The Key: This line is out of whack due to what happened last week. Syracuse lost 6-31 to a UNC team that is a serious contender to win the ACC. Pitt beat Austin Peay 55-0 and easily covered the 26.5-point spread. And keep in mind Syracuse was only trailing that juggernaut of a UNC team 6-10 entering the 4th quarter before things spiraled out of control in the final period. Pitt hasn’t been this big of a favorite over an FBS opponent since the Panthers were favored by 24 over Syracuse in 2016. They only won that game by 15 points. The Panthers are 8-19 ATS in their last 27 games as home favorites. Take Syracuse. |
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09-18-20 | Nuggets v. Lakers -7 | Top | 114-126 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
7* Nuggets/Lakers Game 1 *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles -7 The Key: The Denver Nuggets are coming off their 2nd straight 7-game series. They almost have to be running on fumes right now, at least for Game 1 of this series with the Lakers. They did not respond well in Game 1 last series against the Clippers following a 7-game series against the Jazz. They lost to the Clippers by 23 in Game 1. I think the Lakers can put it on them early and pull away to a blowout victory as well. The Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall with 4 straight wins over the Rockets by 8 points or more to close out last series. Take Los Angeles. |
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09-18-20 | Yankees -1.5 v. Red Sox | 6-5 | Loss | -134 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on New York Yankees -1.5 (-134) The Key: The New York Yankees are now 8-0 in their last 8 games overall with 7 wins by 2 runs or more. They have scored a combined 43 runs in their last 3 games and they are getting healthy at the right time. Now they have a big edge on the rubber over the Boston Red Sox tonight. Jordan Montgomery is 2-2 with a. 4.76 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in 8 starts this year for the Yankees. Montgomery has never lost to the Red Sox, going 1-0 with a. 3.42 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against them. He has yielded just 2 runs in 9 1/3 innings in 2 starts against the Red Sox in 2020 alone. Martin Perez is 0-3 with a 5.48 ERA in 4 home starts for the Red Sox this year. Perez is 2-3 with a 9.85 ERA and 2.07 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts against the Yankees. The Yankees are 10-0 in their last 10 matchups with the Red Sox with ALL 10 WINS BY 2 RUNS OR MORE. Take New York on the Run Line. |
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09-17-20 | Bengals v. Browns OVER 43.5 | Top | 30-35 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
7* Bengals/Browns AFC *Total* Annihilator on OVER 43.5 The Key: There are some key injuries on defense for both teams heading into this Thursday night affair. The Browns are missing 3 starters in the secondary, and the Ravens diced them up for 38 points last week. They also lost LB Jacob Phillips in that game and he is out this week. The Bengals are without their best defensive player in DT Geno Atkins, plus starting S Shawn Williams. The OVER is 4-0-1 in the last 5 matchups with combined scores of 44 or more points in all 5 games. They combined for 46 and 56 points in their 2 matchups last year. Take the OVER. |
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09-17-20 | Heat +2.5 v. Celtics | 106-101 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
6* Heat/Celtics Game 2 *CA$H COW* on Miami +2.5 The Key: The Miami Heat show no mercy. They are 9-1 SU & 9-1 ATS in the playoffs this year. They took the Bucks out in 5 games and really outplayed them even before Giannis got hurt, which is saying something because the Bucks were arguably the best team in the NBA. And they came up clutch in Game 1 and won in OT. It’s a Heat team playing with so much confidence right now that it’s just tough to bet against them. And here they are again getting no respect from oddsmakers as 2.5-point dogs in Game 2. They play great defense and have 3-point shooters everywhere, plus the best closer in Jimmy Butler. Take Miami. |
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09-17-20 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -1.5 | 7-10 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on New York Yankees -1.5 (-119) The Key: The New York Yankees have righted the ship by going 7-0 in their last 7 games overall with 6 wins by 2 runs or more. They have scored a combined 33 runs in their first 2 games against Toronto in this series. And now they have another big edge on the rubber tonight with Masahiro Tanaka over Chase Anderson. Tanaka is 2-2 with a 3.16 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 8 starts this year. He is 13-5 with a 2.87 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 21 lifetime starts against the Blue Jays. Chase Anderson is 0-1 with a 5.81 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 7 starts this year for the Blue Jays. That includes 0-0 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.86 WHIP in 2 road starts. The Yankees are 16-1 as a home favorite of -150 or more this year and winning by 4.4 RPG. Take New York on the Run Line. |
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09-16-20 | Twins v. White Sox -138 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -138 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago White Sox -138 The Key: They Chicago White Sox are 22-5 in their last 27 games overall. They have won 10 of their last 11 games coming in. And now they have the edge on the rubber over the Twins once again today, and it’s not even close. Lucas Giolito is 4-2 with a 3.43 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 10 starts this year with 82 strikeouts in 60 1/3 innings. Jake Odorizz is 0-1 with an 8.10 ERA and 1.600 WHIP in 3 starts this year for the Twins, and all 3 came against the light-hitting Royals. The Twins are 2-8 in their last 10 road games. The White Sox are 14-2 in their last 16 home games. The White Sox are 26-8 as a favorite of -110 or higher this year. Take Chicago. |
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09-15-20 | Nuggets v. Clippers UNDER 208.5 | Top | 104-89 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
7* Nuggets/Clippers Game 7 *HEAVY HITTER* on UNDER 208.5 The Key: Game 7 UNDERS are one of the best bets in the NBA. The pressure is huge for these Game 7’s, and they tend to be played at a snail’s pace because of it. The Denver Nuggets have played 3 Game 7’s the past 2 seasons and we saw them combine for 176 points with the Spurs, 196 with the Blazers and 158 with the Jazz. The UNDER is 5-0-2 in Nuggets last 7 games overall. The UNDER is 5-0-2 in Clippers last 7 games overall. Take the UNDER. |
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09-15-20 | Indians +144 v. Cubs | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
6* MLB Interleague *CA$H COW* on Cleveland Indians +144 The Key: The Cleveland Indians are desperate to end their 6-game losing streak. They had yesterday off to regroup and should come back with a big effort against the Chicago Cubs today. I love the price we are getting with the Indians behind Carlos Carrasco, who sports a 3.12 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in 9 starts this year. Carrasco has been dominant in his last 3 starts with a 0.95 ERA and 1.05 WHIP while yielding only 2 earned runs in 19 innings. Yu Darvish is having a great season, but his teams are just 1-5 in his 6 lifetime starts against the Indians. The Indians are 7-2 in their last 9 interleague games, and 6-1 in their last 7 interleague road games. The Cubs are 2-9 in their last 11 home games against a team with a winning record. Take Cleveland. |
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09-15-20 | Twins v. White Sox -122 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago White Sox -122 The Key: The Chicago White Sox are 21-5 in their last 26 games overall. They have won 9 of their last 10 games coming in. And now they have the edge on the rubber over the Twins today. Dane Dunning is 1-0 with a 2.70 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in his 4 starts as a rookie for the White Sox this year. Randy Dobnak started strong for the Twins, but he’s just 1-2 with an 8.25 ERA and 1.92 WHIP in his last 3 outings. The White Sox are 25-8 as a favorite of -110 or higher this year. Take Chicago. |
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09-14-20 | Twins v. White Sox +129 | 1-3 | Win | 129 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Chicago White Sox +129 The Key: The Chicago White Sox are playing too well to be home dogs to the Twins. The White Sox are 20-5 in their last 25 games overall. They have won 8 of their last 9 coming in. They have scored at least 4 runs in all 9 games. And now they should get after Jose Berrios, who is 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.80 WHIP in 4 road starts this year. One of those starts came at Chicago on July 24th when he yielded 5 earned runs in 4 innings. Dylan Cease is 5-2 with a 3.33 ERA in 9 starts for the White Sox, including 2-0 with a 1.72 ERA in 3 home starts. Take Chicago. |
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09-14-20 | Steelers -6 v. Giants | Top | 26-16 | Win | 101 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
7* Steelers/Giants NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on Pittsburgh -6 The Key: The Pittsburgh Steelers did a great job of getting to 8-8 last season without Ben Roethlisberger. They got there behind a defense that ranked 5th in total defense at 304.1 YPG and 5th in scoring defense at 18.9 PPG. They were also 1st in sacks (54) and 1st in takeaways (38). Rookie QB Daniel Jones had 23 turnovers last year, including 11 lost fumbles and he didn’t even play the entire season. The Giants have a makeshift offensive line to start the season, so the Steelers will dominate the line of scrimmage defensively, and that will be the key to them winning and covering. Big Ben just has to be decent for the Steelers to put away the Giants. And all reports coming out of training camp is that he has great velocity on his balls and looks like the old Big Ben. Take Pittsburgh. |
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09-13-20 | Indians +115 v. Twins | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
6* Indians/Twins AL Central *CA$H COW* on Cleveland +115 The Key: The Cleveland Indians feel like they’re in a must-win here Sunday after losing the first 2 games of this series to the Twins. They desperately want to avoid the sweep as they are now 2.5 games behind the Twins. Rookie Triston McKenzie has been awesome for the Indians, going 2-0 with a 2.57 ERA and 0.76 WHIP in his 4 starts this year with 26 strikeouts in 21 innings. The Indians are 14-6 in their last 20 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. Take Cleveland. |
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09-13-20 | Clippers v. Nuggets UNDER 215 | 98-111 | Win | 100 | 2 h 14 m | Show | |
6* Clippers/Nuggets Game 6 *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 215 The Key: The Clippers and Nuggets combined for 181 points in Game 4 and 216 points in Game 5. I expect this total to fall somewhere in the middle close to 200 combined points. The Nuggets scored 38 points in the 4th quarter of their Game 5 comeback win that pushed that up to 216. They just went off from the 3-point line. That’s unlikely to happen again, and this will be a half court game. Take the UNDER. |
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09-13-20 | Dolphins +7.5 v. Patriots | 11-21 | Loss | -121 | 2 h 10 m | Show | |
6* Dolphins/Patriots AFC East *CA$H COW* on Miami +7.5 The Key: The Miami Dolphins came on strong at the end of last season under Brian Flores. They even upset the New England Patriots in Week 17. And now the Dolphins have almost everyone back, plus brought in some talent on defense. They will go with QB Ryan Fitzpatrick, who gives his team a chance to win every week. The Patriots are in a world of hurt replacing Tom Brady with Cam Newton. But they are even worse off on defense with all of the players that have opted out. The Patriots can’t be favored by more than a TD here given their current state entering Week 1. Take Miami. |
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09-13-20 | Colts v. Jaguars +8 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 2 h 9 m | Show |
7* NFL Game of the Week on Jacksonville Jaguars +8 The Key: The Jaguars have been getting trashed all offseason. There is a lot of hype around the Colts with the addition of Philip Rivers. That narrative has created some nice line value here to back the Jaguars catching more of a touchdown at home in their opener. Gardner Minshew had a great rookie season and should only build off of it this year. The Jaguars are still loaded with talent on defense, and the offense isn’t that bad under Minshew. Rivers is far past his prime and I don’t think he’ll be as good as everyone is expecting. He had great weapons with the Chargers, and he has a downgrade in weapons with the Colts. Take Jacksonville. |
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09-13-20 | Jets +7 v. Bills | 17-27 | Loss | -120 | 2 h 9 m | Show | |
6* Jets/Bills AFC East *CA$H COW* on New York +7 The Key: There’s a lot of hype on the Buffalo Bills after making the playoffs last year. But they were 10-6 while the Jets were 7-9 and really not that far behind. And I don’t think there is 7 points separating these teams entering Week 1 of 2020, so I like the price we are getting with the Jets here. The Jets blew a big lead in Week 1 last year to the Bills and lost 16-17. But they got revenge in a 13-6 win in Week 17. And this game will likely be decided by a TD or less, just as the last 3 matchups have been. Take New York. |
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09-12-20 | Coastal Carolina +7 v. Kansas | 38-23 | Win | 100 | 28 h 1 m | Show | |
6* Coastal Carolina/Kansas NCAAF *BAILOUT* on Coastal Carolina +7 The Key: Coastal Carolina beat Kansas 12-7 last year as identical 7-point dogs. I think we could see more of the same here in the 2020 rematch. Coastal has 14 starters back while Kansas only has 11 back. Coastal got in 15 spring practices, more than almost anyone in the country. Kansas got in 0 spring practices. Kansas has to break in a new starting QB this year, while Coastal gets back 8 starters on offense, including its top 2 QB’s from last year in Payton and Carpenter. Plus redshirt freshman QB Grayson McCall is a stud, so they have good options there no matter who they go with. The Chanticleers return their top 3 tacklers on D. They had 4 losses by 7 points or fewer last year in their 5-7 campaign. This is the 3rd year for head coach Jamey Chadwell and his best team yet. Take Coastal Carolina. |
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09-12-20 | Indians -107 v. Twins | 4-8 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
6* Indians/Twins AL Central *CA$H COW* on Cleveland -107 The Key: This is a huge game for the Cleveland Indians after losing Game 1 to the Minnesota Twins. They are trying to keep pace in the AL Central and find themselves in 3rd place currently. But the Indians have the clear edge on the rubber tonight with Zach Plesac, who is 3-1 with a 1.32 ERA and 0.74 WHIP in 5 starts this year. Rich Hill is 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 5 starts for the Twins. Hill is 0-1 with an 8.00 ERA and 1.78 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts against the Indians. The Indians are 12-3 in their last 15 road games. The Indians are 7-1 in their last 8 during Game 2 of a series. The Twins are 2-10 in their last 12 games as home underdogs. The Indians get back on track here following 4 straight losses overall. Take Cleveland. |
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09-12-20 | Rockets +6.5 v. Lakers | 96-119 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
6* Rockets/Lakers Game 5 *CA$H COW* on Houston +6.5 The Key: We’re getting he best price we’ve gotten on Houston all series in Game 5 tonight as 6.5-point dogs. That’s because they have failed to cover in each of their last 3 games against the Lakers, but it’s not like any of them were blowouts. They lost all 3 by 10 points or fewer. With their season on the line, expect a big performance from the Rockets in desperation mode in Game 5. Houston is 15-5 ATS when playing with double revenge over the last 2 years. Take Houston. |
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09-12-20 | Tulane v. South Alabama +11 | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 25 h 11 m | Show |
7* Saturday NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on South Alabama +11 The Key: This South Alabama team looks very promising with the way they closed out last season and now have 15 starters back. They were competitive in every game when freshman Desmond Trotter took the reigns at quarterback. They went toe-to-toe with Louisiana in a 27-37 loss and beat Arkansas State 34-30. Those were 2 of the best teams in the Sun Belt last year. Trotter has accuracy and mobility, plus smart decision making as he threw 8 touchdowns against only 2 interceptions last year. He picked up right where he left off in the opener, leading South Alabama to a 32-21 upset win over Southern Miss as 15-point dogs. Trotter threw for 299 yards and 2 TD while also rushing for 41 yards while leading South Alabama to 526 total yards in the win. Tulane only has 12 starters back this year and loses it QB, top 2 receivers and top 2 RB’s from last year. This is another game that the Jaguars have a chance to win outright, especially with a game under their belts already. Take South Alabama. |
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09-12-20 | UL-Lafayette v. Iowa State -11 | 31-14 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
6* Louisiana/Iowa State NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Iowa State -11 The Key: Louisiana won a school record 11 games last year and is getting too much respect from oddsmakers entering 2020 because of it. They lost 3 picks to the NFL draft, including their top 2 offensive linemen. They will be without their top 3 receivers from last year now that Jamal Bell is out for the year with a knee injury. They are also without both Brian Smith Jr. and Calif Gossett at receiver as both were expected to add depth. I don’t expect the chemistry to be very good in the opener between QB Levi Lewis and his receivers. Louisiana was very fortunate to only give up 19.7 PPG last year when they gave up 372 YPG, an average of a huge 18.9 yards per point allowed. There will be some regression on that side of the ball. Iowa State has one of the best defenses in the Big 12 with 8 starters back from a unit that gave up 25.9 PPG and 369 YPG last year. They will shut down this Louisiana offense. The Cyclones only return 5 starters on offense, but they are their 2 best players in QB Brock Purdy and RB Breece Hall. They are just better everywhere on the field, and that will show up on the scoreboard here. The Rajin Cajuns are 1-5 ATS in their last 5 against Big 12 teams. Take Iowa State. |
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09-11-20 | Celtics -2.5 v. Raptors | Top | 92-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
7* Celtics/Raptors Game 7 *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston -2.5 The Key: This series is tied 3-3, but it’s clear the Boston Celtics are the better team. They have outscored the Raptors by a combined 43 points in their 3 wins, while the Raptors have only outscored the Celtics by a combined 11 points in their 3 victories. So the Celtics have outscored the Raptors by a total of 32 points in this series, or by an average of 5.3 PPG. I like the price on the Celtics here as only 2.5-point favorites in Game 7. Boston is 8-1 ATS in road games off an upset loss as a favorite this year. The Celtics are 12-2 ATS in road games off a loss this year. The Celtics are 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 playoff games as a favorite. Take Boston. |
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09-11-20 | Tigers v. White Sox -1.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -128 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-128) The Key: The Chicago White Sox are 17-5 in their last 22 games overall and really making their move to win the AL Central. They have a huge edge on the rubber tonight over the Detroit Tigers, who are coming off a double-header yesterday against the Cardinals, while the White Sox had yesterday off. That’s a huge rest advantage too. Lucas Giolito is 4-2 with a 3.29 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in 9 starts this year. One of those came against Detroit on August 20th when he pitched 7 shutout innings with 13 strikeouts in a 9-0 victory. Casey Mize is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.71 WHIP in 4 starts for the Tigers. One of those came against the White Sox on August 19th when he yielded 3 runs in 4 1/3 innings for a 6.24 ERA. The White Sox are 6-1 against the Tigers in 202 with all 6 wins coming by 2 runs or more. Take Chicago on the Run Line. |
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09-10-20 | Texans v. Chiefs OVER 53 | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
6* Texans/Chiefs *Total* Annihilator on OVER 53 The Key: The Chiefs and Texans are 2 of the better offensive teams in the NFL this season, especially the Chiefs. And both have suspect defenses, especially the Texans. I think we see plenty of offensive fireworks in this Week 1 opener tonight to push this total OVER 53 points. The Texans gave up 25.3 PPG and 393 YPG last year. The Chiefs can score at will on them. We saw that in the playoffs when the Chiefs won 51-31 for 82 combined points with the Texans. Houston won the regular season matchup 31-24 for 55 combined points. This total is 53 is simply too low in today’s NFL and with these 2 teams. Take the OVER. |
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09-10-20 | Lakers v. Rockets UNDER 219.5 | Top | 110-100 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
7* NBA 2nd Round Total of the Year on Lakers/Rockets UNDER 219.5 The Key: We’ve seen all these playoff series get lower and lower scoring as they progress. And this Lakers/Rockets series should be no different. After combining for 226 points in Game 2, the Lakers and Rockets only combined for 214 points in Game 3. And I see more of the same here in Game 4. Houston is 21-11 UNDER off a loss this season. Houston is 17-4 UNDER revenging a home loss over the last 2 years. Take the UNDER. |
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09-10-20 | Phillies -104 v. Marlins | 6-7 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
6* National League *CA$H COW* on Philadelphia Phillies -104 The Key: The Philadelphia Phillies are 12-4 in their last 16 games overall. They had yesterday off and will the fresher team today. The Marlins had to suffer through their worst loss in franchise history, a 9-29 loss to the Atlanta Braves yesterday. They won’t be fully recovered. Jake Arrieta owns the Marlins at 8-1 with a 3.55 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 11 lifetime starts against them. Philadelphia is 13-2 when the money line is +100 to -150 this season. Take Philadelphia. |
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09-09-20 | Clippers v. Nuggets +8 | Top | 96-85 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
7* NBA 2nd Round Game of the Year on Denver Nuggets +8 The Key: The Denver Nuggets won Game 2 outright as 8.5-point dogs and covered in Game 3 in a 6-point loss as 8.5-point dogs. Oddsmakers just aren’t giving them the respect they deserve here on a neutral court as 8-point dogs again for Game 4. This is a big game for the Nuggets to try and get back into this series and square it up at 2-2. They will be the hungrier team and will be playing like it. The Nuggets are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Denver is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 conference semifinals games. Take Denver. |
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09-09-20 | Yankees v. Blue Jays +127 | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Toronto Blue Jays +127 The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays have now won 17 of their last 24 games and are just 3.5 games back of the Rays in the AL East. The New York Yankees have lost 15 of their last 20 games coming in and are 6.5 games back. It’s just not the same Yankees team we saw at the start of the year as they are without arguably their 2 best hitters in Judge and Stanton, plus Urshela. Tanner Roark is consistently underrated and the Blue Jays are 6-1 (+6.5 units) in his 7 starts this year. Deivi Garcia was just rocked for 4 runs in 4 2/3 innings of a 3-6 loss to the Orioles in his last start for the Yankees. Roark is 1-1 with a 3.65 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts against the Yankees, both of which have come over the last 3 seasons. Roark is 10-1 (+13.7 units) as a dog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 years. Take Toronto. |
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09-08-20 | Yankees v. Blue Jays -111 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Toronto Blue Jays -111 The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays have won 16 of their last 23 games while the New York Yankees have lost 14 of their last 19 now. The Yankees have lost 4 straight including the final 3 games of their series with the Orioles, and then their 7-12 loss to the Blue Jays yesterday. It’s just not the same Yankees team we saw at the start of the year as they are without arguably their 2 best hitters in Judge and Stanton plus Urshela. Taijuan Walker is 3-2 with a 3.26 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 7 starts this season and 3-1 with a 2.66 ERA and 0.89 ERA in 4 home starts. J.A. Happ is 1-1 with a 4.68 ERA in 5 starts for th eYankees, and 0-0 with an 8.00 ERA in 2 road starts. The Yankees are 1-8 in their last 9 against a team with a winning record. Take Toronto. |
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09-08-20 | Heat v. Bucks +4 | Top | 103-94 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
7* Heat/Bucks Game 5 *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee +4 The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks went from being basically 5-point favorites in the first 3 games of this series to now underdogs. They were 2.5-point dogs in Game 4 with the uncertainty surrounding Giannis. He played and got off to a quick start before injuring his ankle again. He didn’t play the entire 2nd half and the Bucks still won 118-115 (OT). Now the Bucks are 4-point dogs in Game 5, basically a 9-point adjustment for likely being without Giannis, and I don’t agree with it. The Bucks aren’t 9 points worse without him. They actually can space the floor better because the Heat can’t sink in on Giannis like they have been doing. Now the Heat have to play the Bucks more straight up because of all the great shooters on their team. And the Heat have some injuries of their own that are flying under the radar as Herro, Crowder and Olynyk are all questionable to play tonight. Giannis is also technically questionable and not officially out yet. The Bucks will be playing with a ton of confidence tonight after pulling out Game 4 in OT and staying alive. Take Milwaukee. |
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09-07-20 | Celtics -1.5 v. Raptors | Top | 111-89 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
7* Celtics/Raptors Game 5 *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston -1.5 The Key: The Boston Celtics had a terrible shooting night in Game 4 and lost 93-100. They made just 7 3-pointers compared to 17 for the Raptors. Just shoot the ball a little better and they would have won that game. That’s what I’m expecting to happen for them here in Game 5 as they grab back control of this series. The Celtics are 27-12 ATS against teams with winning records this season and I trust head coach Brad Stevens to get them to respond today. Take Boston. |
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09-07-20 | Tigers v. Twins -1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 2 h 9 m | Show | |
6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-109) The Key: The Minnesota Twins have a huge edge on the rubber today with Michael Pineda over Michael Fulmer. Pineda made his first start of the season for the Twins on September 1st and held the White Sox to 2 runs in 6 innings of a 3-2 victory. Pineda is 3-2 with a 4.11 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 8 lifetime starts against Detroit. Fulmer is 0-0 with a 7.27 ERA and 1.90 WHIP in 6 starts this year. Pineda is 11-1 off a team loss over the last 2 years with his teams winning by 4.1 RPG. Take Minnesota on the Run Line. |
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09-06-20 | Rockets v. Lakers -5.5 | Top | 109-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
7* Rockets/Lakers Game 2 *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles -5.5 The Key: Rust has played a factor in the Lakers losing both Game 1’s in these playoffs. They didn’t all play together in the bubble and it hurt them in their upset loss to the Blazers in Game 1 last round. And having 6 days off prior to this series with Houston hurt them in Game 1. The Lakers will be much sharper in Game 2 tonight and their massive advantages in this series will show through. They actually got out rebounded by the Rockets in Game 1, which should never happen with their size. They won’t let it happen again, and they can’t shoot it much worse than they did in Game 1. Take Los Angeles. |
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09-06-20 | Cardinals -101 v. Cubs | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
6* Cardinals/Cubs ESPN *BAILOUT* on St. Louis -101 The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals have won 5 of their last 7 now and are making a run at the Cubs in the NL Central. They swept the Cubs yesterday and I expect them to win again Sunday thanks to their huge edge on the rubber. Dakota Hudson sports a 2.77 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 5 starts this year and a 1.64 ERA and 0.64 WHIP in 2 road starts. Hudson sports a 3.38 ERA in 2 lifetime starts against the Cubs. Jon Lester is 2-1 with a 5.11 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 7 starts this year and 0-1 with an 8.04 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 3 home starts. Lester is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA and 2.07 WHIP in his last 3 outings. The left-handed is also 1-2 with a 10.93 ERA in his last 3 starts against the Cardinals, yielding 17 earned runs in 14 innings. Take St. Louis. |
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09-05-20 | Tigers v. Twins -1.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -124 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-124) The Key: The Minnesota Twins have a huge edge on the rubber tonight with Kenta Maeda over Tarik Skubal and that should lead to a win by multiple runs. Maeda is 4-1 with a 2.53 ERA and 0.75 WHIP in 7 starts this year, including 1-0 with a 0.64 ERA and 0.36 WHIP in 2 home starts. Skubal is 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 3 starts for the Tigers, including 0-1 with a 10.39 ERA and 2.77 WHIP in 2 road starts. Detroit is 24-72 when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 years, losing by 2.2 RPG. Take Minnesota on the Run Line. |
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09-05-20 | Raptors +2 v. Celtics | Top | 100-93 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
7* Raptors/Celtics Game 4 *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto +2 The Key: The Toronto Raptors went from being favorites in the first 3 games of this series to now 2-point dogs in Game 4. I like this price we are getting on the Raptors who have to be feeling very confident after beating the Celtics at the buzzer in Game 3 to avoid an 0-3 hole. The Raptors just need to shoot it better and they’ll get right back in this series, which seems like an easy fix. Toronto is shooting just 28.3% from 3-point range in this series compared to 38.7% for Boston. The Raptors are 26-11 ATS in their last 37 games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 ATS. The Raptors are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. Take Toronto. |
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09-05-20 | Middle Tennessee State v. Army -3.5 | 0-42 | Win | 100 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
6* MTSU/Army NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Army -3.5 The Key: Army went 11-2 in 2018 but plummeted to 5-8 in 2019. They weren’t nearly as bad as their record last year as they still outscored their opponents 28.3 to 23.0 on the season and outgained them 379 to 342 on average. They simply had bad luck in close games as they lost 6 games by single-digits. The Black Knights have 12 starters back this year which is more than they had each of the last 2 seasons. I especially like the defense with 7 starters back from a unit that gave up 23 PPG. The offense should be fine with Jabari Lewis at QB. He actually averaged 6.4 YPC last year compared to 5.1 for starter Hopkins. And he completed 16 of 20 passes for 80% completions, so he may even be better than Hopkins was. Middle Tennessee went 4-8 last year thanks to an awful defense that gave up 29.9 PPG and 459 YPG. They only have 5 starters back on D and will be terrible again. They gave up 194 RYPG and 4.9 YPC last year, which is bad news going up against this triple-option of Army. The Black Knights will be able to move the ball on the ground at will in this game. Take Army. |
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09-04-20 | Marlins v. Rays -124 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
6* MLB Interleague *CA$H COW* on Tampa Bay Rays -124 The Key: We are getting he Tampa Bay Rays at a great price tonight over the lowly Miami Marlins. The Rays are now 20-4 in their last 24 games overall. The Marlins are just 7-12 in their last 19 contests. The Rays beat the Marlins 4-0 in this same matchup of Josh Fleming against Pablo Lopez just a week ago on August 29th. Fleming is 2-0 with a 1.74 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in his 2 starts this year. He shut out the Marlins through 5 1/3 innings and gave up just 3 base runners with 6 strikeouts. Take Tampa Bay. |
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09-04-20 | Bucks -5 v. Heat | Top | 100-115 | Loss | -103 | 17 h 28 m | Show |
7* Bucks/Heat Game 3 *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee -5 The Key: The Miami Heat should not be getting this much respect from the books. They were 5-point dogs in Game 1 and 5.5-point dogs in Game 2 and won both outright to improve to 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in the playoffs. But now they are back down to only 5-point dogs in Game 3, a game that the Milwaukee Bucks simply have to have. Look for the Bucks to be the team playing with the sense of urgency here down 0-2 and for the Heat to have their worst performance of the series knowing that they have some breathing room. I expect the Bucks to win this game with plenty of room to spare by double-digits. Take Milwaukee. |
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09-03-20 | South Alabama +15 v. Southern Miss | 32-21 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
6* Thursday NCAAF *CA$H COW* on South Alabama +15 The Key: This South Alabama team looks very promising with the way they closed out last season and now have 15 starters back. They were competitive in every game when freshman Desmond Trotter took the reigns at quarterback. They went toe-to-toe with Louisiana in a 27-37 loss and beat Arkansas State 34-30. Those were 2 of the best teams in the Sun Belt last year. Trotter has accuracy and mobility, plus smart decision making as he threw 8 touchdowns against only 2 interceptions last year. Southern Miss should be a pretty good team with 14 starters back from a squad that went 7-6 last year. But I don’t expect them to come close to winning this game by more than 2 touchdowns in the opener. Take South Alabama. |
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09-03-20 | White Sox -130 v. Royals | 11-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago White Sox -130 The Key: Dylan Cease is having a great season for the White Sox. He is 4-2 with a 3.00 ERA in his last 7 starts and 1-1 with a 2.70 ERA in his last 3 outings. Danny Duffy is 2-2 with a 4.11 ERA in 7 starts for the Royals and 1-0 with a 5.00 ERA in 2 home starts. Cease is 1-0 with a 2.61 ERA in 2 starts against the Royals in 2020. Duffy gave up 4 runs in 5 2/3 innings to the White Sox on August 28th in his last start. The White Sox are a perfect 11-0 against left-handed starters this season and scoring 6.7 RPG in those contests. Take Chicago. |
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09-03-20 | Raptors -2 v. Celtics | Top | 104-103 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
7* Raptors/Celtics Game 3 *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto -2 The Key: The Toronto Raptors have to win this game to get back in this series. They are down 2-0 because Boston has shot lights out while Toronto couldn’t have been colder. The Celtics are shooting 41.6% with 32 made 3’s in this series while the Raptors are shooting 26.3% with only 21 made 3’s. It took an out of this world performance from Marcus Smart and his 5 3’s in the 4th quarter for the Celtics to win Game 2. The Raptors will return the favor in Game 3 tonight. Take Toronto. |
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09-02-20 | Cubs -1.5 v. Pirates | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-115) The Key: The Chicago Cubs have scored 18 runs in winning each of their last 2 games. They will get after Joe Musgrove in this game as well. The Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games. The Cubs give the ball to Kyle Hendricks, who is 3-4 with a 4.09 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 7 starts this year. Hendricks sports a 3.27 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 17 lifetime starts against Pittsburgh. The Pirates are 11-41 in their last 52 against a team with a winning record. The Cubs are 4-0 against the Pirates this year. Take Chicago on the Run Line. |