03-26-13 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Dallas Mavericks +1 |
Top |
102-109 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 55 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Bailout on Mavericks +1 Bottom Line: The Mavs are showing good value at home catching a point against LA considering they are 10-1 in their last 11 at home in the series. These 10 wins have come by an average of 10.7 points. The Clippers are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings overall and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Dallas. Pound the Mavs.
|
03-26-13 |
New York Knicks v. Boston Celtics -2 |
|
100-85 |
Loss |
-108 |
8 h 17 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Celtics -2 Bottom Line: Boston has lost 4 in a row, but 3 of these losses were on the road and the other came to the Miami Heat in a game that it should have won. Betting against Boston at home hasn't been an option lately. The Celtics are 11-1 SU & ATS in their last 12 home games with notable wins over the Heat, Clippers, Lakers, Nuggets and Bulls during this run. Lay the deuce.
|
03-25-13 |
Los Angeles Lakers +1 v. Golden State Warriors |
|
103-109 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 41 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *BAILOUT* on Lakers +1 Bottom Line: The Lakers will be very motivated after back-to-back defeats, especially since they were called out by D'Antoni after blowing an 18-point second-half lead in Friday's 103-100 home loss to Washington. They should be the much fresher team tonight as they have played just once in the last 6 days. It's also to their benefit that Stephen Curry is banged up with an ankle injury that should limit him if he is indeed able to go. The Lakers have won the season's first two meetings and 18 of the last 19. Take LA.
|
03-25-13 |
Denver Nuggets v. New Orleans Hornets +6.5 |
Top |
86-110 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 16 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hornets +6.5 Bottom Line: After getting humiliated in Denver in the first two matchups of the season, the Hornets will be hungry tonight. They are on an impressive 32-17 ATS run when out for revenge for 2 straight losses to an opponent. They've lost in this situation on average but only by 3.2 points. New Orleans gives the Nuggets all they want here. Pound the Hornets.
|
03-25-13 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Washington Wizards +3 |
|
94-107 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 16 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Wizards +3 Bottom Line: Washington has been undervalued against quality competition at 22-10 ATS on the season versus opponents with a winning record. The Wizards are also 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 home games, and the home team is 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings. I like Washington outright in this one but will take the points for insurance.
|
03-24-13 |
Philadelphia 76ers +3 v. Sacramento Kings |
|
117-103 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 52 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on 76ers +3 Bottom Line: The 76ers will be very motivated here because they have lost 15 in a row on the road. They will also be fresher than Sacramento as they will be playing on 2 days' rest while the Kings just played in Denver last night. The 76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on 2 days' rest. They are 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Sacramento.
|
03-24-13 |
Chicago Bulls v. Minnesota Timberwolves -2 |
|
104-97 |
Loss |
-109 |
8 h 57 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Surefire on T-Wolves -2 Bottom Line: This is a big letdown spot for the Bulls following last night's win over Indiana. Plus, Chicago is expected to be without Joakim Noah, arguably its best player. T-Wolves have won 3 of their last 4 at home with a decisive win over the Spurs during this stretch. Chicago has dropped 5 of its last 6 on the road. Lay the deuce.
|
03-24-13 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Houston Rockets +1.5 |
Top |
95-96 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 58 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Rockets +1.5 Bottom Line: I'll gladly grab the points with the Rockets at home. They have won 10 of 12 at home and are 3-1 in their last 4 at home versus San Antonio with the loss coming in OT in a game where James Harden did not play. Houston has been a home dog of 6 or fewer points 10 times since the beginning of last season and has covered the number in 9 of these matchups while winning outright by an average of 2.3 points.
|
03-24-13 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Milwaukee Bucks -2.5 |
|
104-99 |
Loss |
-101 |
4 h 57 m |
Show
|
4* Major Early *BLOOD BATH* on Bucks -2.5 Bottom Line: Milwaukee has lost the season's first two meetings, but plays on home teams when the line is +3 to -3 that are playing with double revenge against an opponent coming off a home loss by 10 points or more are 67-33 ATS since 1996.
|
03-23-13 |
Indiana Pacers v. Chicago Bulls -3.5 |
Top |
84-87 |
Loss |
-103 |
10 h 25 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Central Division Game of the Year on Bulls -3.5 Bottom Line: I'm not hesitating to lay the small number with the Bulls here as home faves of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are out for revenge for a loss to an opponent that is coming off a win of at least 20 points against a divisional foe are 46-19 ATS the last 17 years. This system, which is 13-4 ATS the last 5 seasons, carries an average winning margin of 8.6 points. Since Thibodeau took over, the Bulls have responded well following any loss at home. They've lost their last 2 at home so I expect them to play inspired tonight. Chicago is 21-8 ATS under coach Thibs following a home loss, winning by an average of 10.2 points in this situation. Pound the Bulls.
|
03-22-13 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. Atlanta Hawks -7.5 |
Top |
104-93 |
Loss |
-103 |
9 h 57 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hawks -7.5 Bottom Line: Tough spot for the Blazers which are playing their second game in as many nights and fourth in five days. The Hawks were at home resting yesterday, and they'll go after this one hard knowing their next 4 are on the road. Portland has been awful on the road this season. It had lost 10 of 11 on the road before last night's 10-point win in Chicago. Don't expect the Blazers to build on that win as they are 2-14 ATS in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. They have lost by an average of 9.9 points in this spot. The Blazers have also dropped their last 4 in Atlanta by an average of 8.5 points.
|
03-21-13 |
Philadelphia 76ers +14 v. Denver Nuggets |
Top |
100-101 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 48 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on 76ers +14 Bottom Line: Road underdogs of 10 or more points that are coming off a blowout loss of 15 points or more and are up against an opponent that has had a combined score of 215 points or more in 2 straight games are 23-5 ATS since 1996. Teams in this scenario have been underdogs of 13.6 points on average but have been defeated by just an average of 9.0 points. This system is a near-perfect 7-1 ATS the last 5 seasons. Denver finds itself in a letdown spot following a big win over the Thunder while the 76ers are in bounce-back mode following a humiliating loss to the Clippers.
|
03-20-13 |
Golden State Warriors v. San Antonio Spurs -8 |
|
93-104 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 32 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Spurs -8 Bottom Line: The Spurs are well rested (had last 3 days off) and hungry as they were defeated in Golden State the last time these two met. I like them to have their revenge at home where they have won 28 in a row in the series by 17.0 point on average.
|
03-20-13 |
Orlando Magic +11 v. New York Knicks |
Top |
94-106 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 33 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Line Mistake Game of the Year on Magic +11 Bottom Line: The Knicks have gone from being a 10.5-point underdog at Utah last game to being an 11-point favorite at home. That's one of the biggest line jumps you'll ever see and it's not warranted. Carmelo Anthony returns to the lineup, but the Knicks did not perform well the last time he returned after sitting out several games. In fact, they were blown out by 29 at Golden State. Melo's return throws a hitch in the giddy-up of New York. Orlando was crushed in Indiana last night but will have no problem getting up for this one as they have lost the season's first three meetings and will be motivated to avoid the sweep. The Magic are 26-15 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. Pound Orlando.
|
03-20-13 |
Miami Heat v. Cleveland Cavaliers +11.5 |
|
98-95 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 2 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Cavs +11.5 Bottom Line: Tough spot for Miami playing its third road game in four days, especially since it enters off an emotionally and physically draining game against Boston. The Heat are just 1-5 ATS as a double-digit favorite during their winning streak.
|
03-19-13 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Sacramento Kings +9.5 |
|
101-116 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 15 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Kings +9.5 Bottom Line: The Kings have lost the season's first two matchups by double digits. However, they are 13-2 ATS lifetime under coach Smart when out for revenge for 2 straight losses of 10 points or more to a foe. They have lost in this spot on average but only by 2.8 points. Plus, Kings have won or lost by fewer than 8 points in each of their last 8 at home.
|
03-19-13 |
Denver Nuggets v. Oklahoma City Thunder -9 |
Top |
114-104 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 18 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Thunder -9 Bottom Line: The Thunder were upset in Denver earlier this month on a last second shot. You can bet that defeat hasn't been sitting well. OKC typically responds following such losses. It is 8-1 ATS this season in home games when out for revenge for an upset loss on the road. It has won by an average of 12.8 points in these contests.
|
03-18-13 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Phoenix Suns +3 |
Top |
76-99 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 22 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA BEST BET Bailout on Suns +3 Bottom Line: Not hesitating to grab the points with the home dog here considering the home team is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings with an average winning margin of 10.75 points. The Suns are 3-0 at home during this stretch with wins of 12, 20 and 6. This veteran Lakers team just played yesterday while the more youthful Suns have had a day off. The extra rest helps the Suns here while vets like Nash, Jamison and World Peace struggle to be at the top of their game on consecutive nights.
|
03-18-13 |
Golden State Warriors v. New Orleans Hornets +3.5 |
|
93-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 56 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Hornets +3.5 Bottom Line: Hornets have lost the season's first two matchups but are 32-16 ATS the last 2 seasons when playing with double revenge. Plus, Golden State is off a huge revenge win over Houston and has the Spurs on deck. In other words, look-ahead spot. Also can't ignore the Warriors' road woes. They're just 2-9 in their last 11 on the highway. Hornets should be the hungrier, more focused team tonight.
|
03-18-13 |
Denver Nuggets v. Chicago Bulls +4.5 |
|
119-118 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 58 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Bulls +4.5 Bottom Line: Nuggets have reeled off 11 straight wins but just 4 of those came on the road and were all against sub-.500 competition. Nuggs haven't won on the road against a team with a winning record since Jan. 23. They're 15-19 away from home on the season with only six victories over teams that are currently .500 or better. Expect Denver's road struggles to continue considering how strong the home team has been in this series. The home team has won or lost by 4 points or less in 16 of the last 17 matchups.
|
03-18-13 |
Washington Wizards v. Charlotte Bobcats +7.5 |
|
114-119 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 55 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Bobcats +7.5 Bottom Line: Bobcats are struggling but have won 2 of 3 versus Washington this season and Wizards are only 2-8 in L10 on the road. Plus, cold underdogs that have dropped 12 or more of their last 15 ATS and are up against a team that has won at least 4 of its last 6 ATS are 67-35 ATS since 1996. Teams fitting this scenario have been dogs of 7.9 points on average but have lost by only 3.4 on average.
|
03-17-13 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Dallas Mavericks +5 |
Top |
107-101 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 50 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Mavs +5 Bottom Line: The Thunder can't be trusted on the road laying this many points against a team playing as well as Dallas. The Thunder are 3-4 in their last 7 on the road with only 1 win coming by more than 4 points during this stretch. That was against lowly Charlotte. The Thunder are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Mavs have won 5 of their last 6 with the only loss in this stretch coming by 1 point at San Antonio. Keep in mind OKC just lost by 12 at San Antonio. The Mavericks are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 games overall and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games. They've covered the number in 2 of 3 against OKC this season with one of those being a loss of only 3 points at home. The underdog is a potent 22-6-1 ATS in the last 29 meetings. Grab the points.
|
03-17-13 |
Golden State Warriors +7.5 v. Houston Rockets |
|
108-78 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 20 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Warriors +7.5 Bottom Line: The Warriors have been incredibly resilient since Mark Jackson took over and instilled his grit and toughness. Golden just got whacked by Chicago and it has been taken out behind the woodshed 3 times by Houston this season. I expect the Warriors to be out for blood here as a result. Golden State is 25-12 ATS under Jackson in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses. They have lost these contests on average but only by 2.6 points. Take the points in what should be a tight one.
|
03-16-13 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Utah Jazz -1.5 |
Top |
84-90 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 13 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Bailout Blowout on Jazz -1.5 Bottom Line: The Jazz are in great position to blow this spread out of the water. The Grizzlies are coming off a tough loss in Denver last night and will be playing their fourth road contest in five days. Utah has had two days of rest, and it will be hungry for revenge after losing the season's first two meetings. The Jazz have been tough as nails at home once again this season, and they have won nine of their last 10 at home against the Grizzlies with those nine wins coming by an average of 15.9 points.
|
03-16-13 |
Indiana Pacers v. Philadelphia 76ers +5 |
|
91-98 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 43 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Underdog Shocker on 76ers +5 Bottom Line: Tough spot for the Pacers playing their second game in as many night and third in four days. Plus, it's on the road where they are just 14-17 on the season. Philly enters this contest with confidence after giving Miami all it wanted and more last time out. It also enters rested as it has had the last two days off. Philly has lost the season's first two meetings and was embarrassed 88-69 when Indy visited last month. The 76ers, who have a winning record at home, should have an excellent chance to pull the upset as I fully expect them to take the Pacers down to the wire. The Pacers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The 76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on two days of rest. Lastly, the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
|
03-16-13 |
Charlotte Bobcats v. Boston Celtics -15.5 |
|
88-105 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 42 m |
Show
|
4* Major Big Chalk Blowout on Celtics -15.5 Bottom Line: Boston has Miami Monday but won't get caught looking ahead here. That's because the Celtics have lost their last two with Charlotte and were humiliated 100-74 at Charlotte Tuesday. Boston will be out for some serious revenge, and it should also be the much fresher side. The C's have had two days off while the Bobcats will be playing their second road game in as many days. Charlotte has lost its last six road games by an average of 22.7 with five of those losses coming by at least 17 points.
|
03-15-13 |
Cleveland Cavaliers +7.5 v. Dallas Mavericks |
Top |
86-96 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 50 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy on Cavaliers +7.5 Bottom Line: I love Cleveland's chances of keeping this one within the number considering it has had 2 days of rest and will be up against a team that just played last night. Plus, Dallas struggles on the defensive end and Cleveland is 9-1 ATS this season in road games versus poor defensive teams that allow 99.0 points or more per game. Dallas like to play uptempo but the Cavs have shown they can hang with such teams, even on the road. Cleveland is 7-0 ATS this season in road games versus uptempo teams that average 83 or more shots per game. No Kyrie Irving, but Cleveland will be the much fresher side.
|
03-15-13 |
New Orleans Hornets +4 v. Washington Wizards |
|
87-96 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 20 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Hornets +4 Bottom Line: The Wizards are a dismal 3-12 ATS the last 2 seasons as a home favorite of 6 points or less. Also, the Hornets are a potent 17-4 ATS the last 2 seasons off a road loss of 10 points or more. Washington is getting a little too much respect here against a Hornets side that has bounced-back well.
|
03-15-13 |
Los Angeles Lakers +10 v. Indiana Pacers |
|
99-93 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 17 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Lakers +10 Bottom Line: Fading double-digit home favorites that exploded for 60 points or more in the first half of their last game, as long as they give up 91 ppg or less on the season, has produced a 35-11 ATS mark since 1996. Teams fitting this criteria have won by just 7.5 points on average. Also, this system is a perfect 7-0 ATS the last 5 seasons. No Kobe for LA tonight, but I still like its chances of keeping this one closer than the oddsmakers think.
|
03-14-13 |
New York Knicks +6 v. Portland Trail Blazers |
Top |
90-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 56 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Knicks +6 Bottom Line: The Knicks will be without Carmelo Anthony and could also be without Tyson Chandler, but they are still very capable of beating the Blazers. New York has been completely embarrassed in its last two games and also lost at home to the Blazers in the first meeting so it will be very motivated tonight. The Knicks are an awesome 20-7 ATS off 2 consecutive road losses by 10 points or more since 1996. They are also 29-13 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
|
03-14-13 |
Dallas Mavericks +9.5 v. San Antonio Spurs |
|
91-92 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 20 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Mavericks +9.5 Bottom Line: The Mavs have lost the season's first three meetings with the Spurs and will be very hungry as a result. Dallas is 14-6 ATS when out to avenge a same-season loss to an opponent this season. It is also 79-53 ATS in road games when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent - since 1996. San Antonio had Tony Parker in the first 3 meetings and he averaged 20.7 points in those games. The Spurs will have a tough time covering this hefty number without him.
|
03-13-13 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Atlanta Hawks +1 |
|
92-96 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 47 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Hawks +1 Bottom Line: The Lakers won and covered in Orlando last night but have been a terrible investment this season off a cover. Under D'Antoni, fading the Lakers following a cover has produced an 18-6 ATS mark.
|
03-13-13 |
Miami Heat v. Philadelphia 76ers +9 |
|
98-94 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 18 m |
Show
|
4* Major on 76ers +9 Bottom Line: Miami has defeated Philly twice during its 19-game win streak but will have a difficult time winning this one by double digits on the road with no rest. The value clearly lies with the 76ers, who are 16-5 ATS under coach Collins when they check in with 8 losses or more in their last 10 games. They have actually won by an average of 3.4 points in this situation.
|
03-13-13 |
Minnesota Timberwolves v. Indiana Pacers -14 |
Top |
91-107 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 18 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Year on Pacers -14 Bottom Line: The books are begging for money on Minnesota after it crushed the Spurs last night, but I believe Indiana will be ready to rock and roll. Fading the Wolves following a victory is currently on an unbeaten 7-0-1 ATS run. Minnesota has been blown out by 23 and 16 following its last 2 wins. Also, fading the Wolves on the road against teams that carry a home winning percentage above 60% is on a 7-0-1 ATS run. Indiana won by 23 the last time Minnesota visited, and I'm expecting a similar result.
|
03-12-13 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Minnesota Timberwolves +9.5 |
|
83-107 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 55 m |
Show
|
4* Major on T-Wolves +9.5 Bottom Line: The T-Wolves will show up in a big way after getting humiliated by Dallas last time out. Rick Adelman has a proven track record of making adjustments and getting his teams to respond following lopsided losses. In fact, his teams are 64-38 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more since 1996. His teams have won by an average of 2.8 points in this situation. Also, this is a rough spot for the Spurs, who will struggle to get up for this one following last night's big win over OKC.
|
03-12-13 |
Atlanta Hawks +10 v. Miami Heat |
Top |
81-98 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 25 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hawks +10 Bottom Line: I'll back the Hawks catching big points in what is a highly motivated spot. They've lost the first 3 meetings of the season with Miami but kept the score within single digits in 2 of those. They lost the most recent meeting by 13 but are an impressive 15-5 ATS lifetime on the road when looking for revenge for a double-digit loss under coach Drew. They have actually won by an average of 1.5 points in this situation.
|
03-11-13 |
New York Knicks v. Golden State Warriors -3.5 |
|
63-92 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 0 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Warriors -3.5 Bottom Line: The Knicks are 3-8-2 ATS in their last 13 road games versus a team with a winning home record while the Warriors are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The Knicks are just 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings. They won the first meeting at home by 4, but I expect a different result at Golden State where they have lost 9 of 10.
|
03-11-13 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. San Antonio Spurs -1.5 |
Top |
93-105 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 11 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Spurs -1.5 Bottom Line: Well-rested home faves that are playing only their second game in five days are an amazing 105-65 ATS since 1996 when matched up against a team that's playing its fourth game in five days. This system has produced a 5-1 ATS result this season. The Spurs are coming off their worst loss of the year but are on a dominant 35-19 ATS run following a blowout loss of 20 points or more.
|
03-11-13 |
Brooklyn Nets v. Philadelphia 76ers +6.5 |
|
97-106 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 41 m |
Show
|
4* Major on 76ers +6.5 Bottom Line: The 76ers lost 109-89 at home in the most recent matchup, but they are on a 38-23 ATS run when looking for revenge for a loss where they gave up 100 points or more.
|
03-10-13 |
Indiana Pacers v. Miami Heat -6.5 |
Top |
91-105 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 60 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Heat -6.5 Bottom Line: This is a statement game for the Heat, who have lost the season's first two meetings after winning the previous three by an average of 17.3 points. I expect them to have their revenge here in impressive fashion. Miami has won 17 in a row overall and 13 straight at home, which shows you the level its playing at right now. The Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600 while the Pacers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Pound Miami.
|
03-09-13 |
Houston Rockets v. Phoenix Suns +6.5 |
Top |
105-107 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 13 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Suns +6.5 Bottom Line: The Rockets are getting too much respect on the road tonight. We're talking about a team that's only 14-20 on the highway. Houston is just 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games versus teams with a losing record, and it is only 2-10-1 ATS in its last 13 road games versus teams that have a losing home record.
|
03-08-13 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Detroit Pistons +4 |
Top |
102-99 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 45 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pistons +4 Bottom Line: The Pistons have lost their last 3 ATS but that won't keep me off them here. They haven't lost more than 3 consecutive games ATS all season and are 28-14 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. Dallas is a dismal 10-21 on the road this season, a record that does not warrant being favored here. Plus, the Mavs are an ultra-soft 19-44-1 ATS in their last 64 versus the NBA Central division.
|
03-08-13 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Charlotte Bobcats +14.5 |
|
116-94 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 53 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Bobcats +14.5 Bottom Line: The Thunder were lucky to escape New York with a win last night, and I expect a flat performance from them following such an emotionally and physically draining game. That's been the norm following close wins. They are just 10-24 ATS under Brooks after a win of 3 points or fewer. They have actually lost by an average of 3.0 points in these spots.
|
03-07-13 |
Los Angeles Clippers +4.5 v. Denver Nuggets |
|
92-107 |
Loss |
-103 |
12 h 8 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Clippers +4.5 Bottom Line: The Clippers just played last night but are an impressive 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing without a day of rest. Plus, they are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games and even 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games versus teams that have a winning record at home. The Nuggets won the previous meeting, but the Clipps are 13-4 ATS this season when out for revenge for a loss. The underdog is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings, and the Clippers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 at Denver.
|
03-06-13 |
Houston Rockets v. Dallas Mavericks -1.5 |
|
108-112 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 22 m |
Show
|
4* Major Western Conference *BLOOD BATH* on Mavs -1.5 Bottom Line: Houston ended a 9-game losing streak in the series Sunday, but I expect the Mavs to have their revenge at home where they are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings with a 7.2-point average margin of victory. The Mavericks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Houston is 2-11 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
|
03-06-13 |
New York Knicks v. Detroit Pistons +3 |
Top |
87-77 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 23 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Year on Pistons +3 Bottom Line: This is a terrible spot for the Knicks for so many reasons. It's a fatigue spot as this will be their 3rd game in 4 days. It's a letdown spot following a big comeback win against Cleveland. It's a look ahead spot with the Thunder on deck tomorrow, especially since the Knicks have made easy work of the Pistons in the first three meetings. Meanwhile, this is a strong spot for Detroit. It's had two days of rest and it will be hungry to end a six-game skid in the series. The Pistons are 30-12 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons and 11-3 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season. It's unclear if Melo will play but I love Detroit here regardless.
|
03-05-13 |
Denver Nuggets v. Sacramento Kings +5 |
|
120-113 |
Loss |
-108 |
12 h 45 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Kings +5 Bottom Line: The Nuggets are being overvalued on the road, where they are just 13-19, because the offense has been rolling of late. They are 1-12 ATS the last 2 seasons in road games after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. They have lost by an average of 9.2 points in this spot. The Nuggets won the season's first 2 matchups big, but the Kings are on a 12-1 ATS run when out for revenge for two consecutive double-digit defeats to an opponent.
|
03-04-13 |
Charlotte Bobcats +13 v. Portland Trail Blazers |
|
105-122 |
Loss |
-101 |
12 h 55 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Bobcats +13 Bottom Line: Fading double-digit favorites that have lost at least 4 of their last 6 games, if they are playing 4 or less games in 10 days, has produced a 36-13 ATS mark since 1996. Bet the Bobcats.
|
03-04-13 |
Miami Heat v. Minnesota Timberwolves +10 |
Top |
97-81 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 24 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Timberwolves +10 Bottom Line: Playing on double-digit dogs that have won just 25% to 40% of their games and have failed to cover the number in at least two consecutive contests has produced a 175-110 ATS record since 1996. This system is 32-15 ATS the last 3 seasons and 10-4 ATS this season. I don't see Miami giving the Timberwolves its full attention following an emotionally and physically exhausting win in New York Sunday.
|
03-03-13 |
Atlanta Hawks +6 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
|
98-99 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 54 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Hawks +6 Bottom Line: The Lakers have been a dead fade following a victory as they are a dismal 16-36 ATS in their last 52 games following a win. They check in off a 22-point win over the T-Wolves but are even a poor 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Hawks are 5-1 SU and ATS in their last 6 on the road and 19-5 ATS in road games the last 2 seasons when they enter with wins in 3 of their last 4 games.
|
03-02-13 |
Toronto Raptors +5.5 v. Milwaukee Bucks |
|
114-122 |
Loss |
-106 |
10 h 37 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Play of the Day on Raptors +5.5 Bottom Line: The Raptors were defeated at home by Indiana last night, but they have been trustworthy on the road and with short rest. They have covered the number in 6 of their last 7 on the highway. Also, they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing without a days' rest. The Bucks are just 9-18 ATS at home this season and 15-27 ATS as a home favorite the last 2 seasons.
|
03-01-13 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Denver Nuggets |
|
103-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 38 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Thunder pk Bottom Line: Road favorites that have a winning record and are off 2 consecutive home wins of 10 points or more are 60-20 ATS the last 5 seasons.
|
03-01-13 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Miami Heat -8 |
Top |
91-98 |
Loss |
-102 |
8 h 58 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Heat -8 Bottom Line: Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are looking for revenge for a road loss of 10 points or more to an opponent, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), are 111-65 ATS since 1996.
|
02-28-13 |
Minnesota Timberwolves +10.5 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
|
94-116 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 28 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on T-Wolves +10.5 Bottom Line: The Lakers are being overvalued at home as they so often are. They are only 10-22 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons. The T-Wolves have struggled on the defensive end but the Lakers haven't been able to take advantage against such teams in terms of the spread. They are 0-9 ATS in home games in the 2nd half of the season the last 3 seasons versus poor defensive teams that allow their opponents to shoot 46% or better. The Lakers have won these games but only by 4.0 points. The Lakers haven't been hitting the offensive glass very well the past couple games and that's cause for concern. They are 0-8 ATS this season after 2 straight games with 10 or less offensive rebounds.
|
02-27-13 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Utah Jazz -4.5 |
|
102-91 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 5 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Jazz -4.5 Bottom Line: The Jazz are 21-7 at home where they beat Miami by 7 and OKC by 15. This just goes to show you how hard it is to beat Utah on its home floor. Also, the Jazz are 12-2 in their last 14 home meetings versus Atlanta.
|
02-27-13 |
Toronto Raptors -3 v. Cleveland Cavaliers |
Top |
92-103 |
Loss |
-103 |
8 h 5 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Raptors -3 Bottom Line: The Cavs managed to beat Chicago last night without Kyrie Irving, but that's not something that's going to happen too often. Irving is still expected to be out tonight, and the Cavs will come back down to earth as fatigue sets in from them playing their 4th game in 5 days. The Raptors are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a losing home record. The Raptors are also 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Cleveland, and the road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Pound Toronto.
|
02-26-13 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. Dallas Mavericks OVER 211 |
|
95-90 |
Loss |
-106 |
8 h 15 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Bucks/Mavs OVER 211 Bottom Line: The Bucks are rested and should have little trouble scoring on a Dallas squad that ranks near the bottom of the league in scoring defense. The Bucks are 6-1-1 over in their last 8 games when playing on 2 days' rest. They are also 5-2 over in their last 7 road games. The Mavs are 7-2 over in their last 9 at home and 7-0 over in their last 7 versus the East. The over is 17-4 in the last 21 meetings between these two and 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Dallas. Bet the Over.
|
02-25-13 |
Boston Celtics v. Utah Jazz -7 |
|
110-107 |
Loss |
-108 |
10 h 57 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Jazz -7 Bottom Line: Utah is one of the very best home teams in the NBA and it has especially been dangerous at home versus the East. In fact, it is 13-4 ATS in home games versus Eastern Conference foes the last two seasons and has won these games by an average of 8.6 points. Boston's fatigue showed late last night against Portland and it will be even more fatigued tonight as it steps on an opponent's floor for the 5th time in 7 days. The C's are just 6-16 ATS on the road in the 2nd game of a back-to-back the last 2 seasons.
|
02-25-13 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Detroit Pistons +3 |
Top |
114-103 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 27 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pistons +3 Bottom Line: The Hawks enter off back-to-back wins both SU and ATS and will be out to avenge last month's loss at Detroit. However, they are just 21-35 ATS when looking to avenge a road loss to an opponent over the last 3 seasons, 6-21 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons and 24-40 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. Detroit has failed to cover the number in its last two and is off an 18-point home loss to the Pacers. But, it is 16-5 ATS in home games off a home loss over the last 3 seasons, 18-7 ATS in home games after a blowout loss of 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons and 10-2 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season.
|
02-24-13 |
Golden State Warriors v. Minnesota Timberwolves +1.5 |
Top |
100-99 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 18 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on T-Wolves +1.5 Bottom Line: Golden State enters off back-to-back wins SU and ATS but is a poor 0-7 ATS in road games following covers in 2 or more consecutive games this season. It has fallen hard in these spots, losing by an average score of 105.1 to 91.3.
|
02-23-13 |
Miami Heat v. Philadelphia 76ers +7.5 |
Top |
114-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 50 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on 76ers +7.5 Bottom Line: Plays on home underdogs that failed to cover the spread in their last game and are playing 3 or fewer games in 10 days are 72-36 ATS since 1996. The rest factor is huge because the Heat will be playing their third game in four days. The 76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 2 days rest, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southeast division opponents.
|
02-22-13 |
Portland Trail Blazers +9 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
Top |
107-111 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 25 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Blazers +9 Bottom Line: Off 6 consecutive losses both SU and ATS, now is the time to back the Blazers. February road teams that are riding a losing streak of 6 games or more are an awesome 25-9 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 8.7 points on average but have lost by just 3.4 points on average. The Lakers are coming off an emotional win over Boston in the wake of Jerry Buss' death, but I don't believe they can duplicate that performance against a Portland team that will be hungry to get off the snide. The Lakers are 16-39-1 ATS in their last 56 games versus a team with a losing record and 15-35-1 ATS in their last 51 games following an ATS win. Pound Portland.
|
02-22-13 |
Minnesota Timberwolves v. Oklahoma City Thunder -13 |
|
111-127 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 37 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Thunder -13 Bottom Line: Poor Minnesota. The last time it visited OKC (1/9/13), the Thunder were coming off a loss at Washington. They proceeded to crush the Wolves 106-84. This time, the Thunder are coming off 3 consecutive defeats and Minnesota will once again pay the price. The T-Wolves are on a 1-10 ATS slide in road games played in the 2nd half of the schedule versus very good shooting teams that make 48% of their attempts or more. They have lost to these teams by an average of 19.2 points.
|
02-22-13 |
Houston Rockets v. Brooklyn Nets -1.5 |
|
106-96 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 8 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Nets -1.5 Bottom Line: Look for Houston to suffer a letdown on the road following a huge win over OKC last time out. The Rockets haven't been the same team on the highway where they are only 11-18 on the season. Brooklyn, on the other hand, has enjoyed its new building. It's 20-10 there this season. The home team has covered the spread in 5 of the last 7 meetings, and I expect this trend to continue.
|
02-21-13 |
San Antonio Spurs +3 v. Los Angeles Clippers |
Top |
116-90 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 21 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Best Bet Bailout on Spurs +3 Bottom Line: The Spurs have lost the season's first two meetings with the Clippers but both losses took place clear back in November before they hit their stride. They'll be out for revenge tonight, and I fully expect them to get it. Revenge has been a strong angle to play with the Spurs. They are 55-38 ATS under coach Popovich in road games when looking for revenge for an upset loss at home to an opponent. They are also 34-19 ATS under Pop when out for revenge for two consecutive upset losses to an opponent. They have won by an average of 7.1 points in this situation. Pound the Spurs.
|
02-21-13 |
Miami Heat v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 187 |
|
86-67 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 51 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Heat/Bulls UNDER 187 Bottom Line: The Heat and Bulls have been under this number in each of the last three meetings, and I expect this trend to continue. Plays Under on all teams when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (Chicago in this case) that are extremely well rested team playing 3 or less games in 10 days, provided they have a winning record on the season and are playing another winning team, are 33-12 the last 5 seasons. We have seen just 183.5 points scored on average in this situation. Also, Chicago is 8-0 Under this season in home games versus good ball handling teams that commit 14 or less turnovers/game. We have seen just 175.6 total points scored in these games. Both teams are fresh enough to get after it on the defensive end following the All-Star break. Plus, both teams do an excellent job of taking care of the basketball so I don't expect many easy fastbreak opportunities off of steals. Bet the Under.
|
02-20-13 |
Boston Celtics v. Los Angeles Lakers -7 |
|
99-113 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 32 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Lakers -7 Bottom Line: This veteran Boston team can't be trusted playing on consecutive days. It is just 18-33 ATS in the second game of a back-to-back over the last 3 seasons. The Celtics are also just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games. The Lakers were kicked in Boston on the 7th so they will want to return the favor. Plus, I'm expecting a very inspired performance from them tonight as they look to win this one for the Buss family.
|
02-20-13 |
New York Knicks +3.5 v. Indiana Pacers |
Top |
91-125 |
Loss |
-104 |
8 h 2 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Knicks +3.5 Bottom Line: The Knicks are 41-22 ATS as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons, including 29-11 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or fewer during this time frame. Pound New York.
|
02-19-13 |
Chicago Bulls -2 v. New Orleans Hornets |
Top |
96-87 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 51 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bulls -2 Bottom Line: Plays on all teams when the line is +3 to -3 that are out for revenge for a home loss to an opponent, provided this is their third game (or fewer) in 10 days, are 40-16 ATS since 1996. Also, plays on road teams that check in off a road loss where they were held to less than 80 points, provided they are playing 6 (or fewer) games in 14 days, are 25-7 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Bulls are the superior team and should be able to prove that in this rested and motivated spot.
|
02-14-13 |
Miami Heat v. Oklahoma City Thunder -4.5 |
Top |
110-100 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 15 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Thunder -4.5 Bottom Line: Right away I love the fact that the Thunder are 18-8 ATS at home this season and 20-7 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. It also bodes well for us that OKC lost the season's first meeting 103-97 because it is 10-2 ATS in home games when looking for revenge for a loss to an opponent this season and 11-2 ATS in home games when looking for revenge for a loss in which it gave up 100 points or more over the last 2 seasons. It also works in our favor that the Thunder of coming off a 15-point upset loss at Utah considering they are 9-1 ATS off a upset loss this season and 13-4 ATS off an upset loss on the road over the last 2 seasons. Pound OKC!
|
02-13-13 |
Utah Jazz v. Minnesota Timberwolves -2 |
|
97-93 |
Loss |
-113 |
8 h 13 m |
Show
|
4* Major on T-Wolves -2 Bottom Line: Expect the Jazz to suffer a letdown here following a very satisfying win over the Thunder last night. Utah is just 9-17-1 ATS in road games this season.
|
02-13-13 |
Toronto Raptors v. New York Knicks -8.5 |
|
92-88 |
Loss |
-113 |
8 h 44 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Knicks -8.5 Bottom Line: This is a great spot for the Knicks, who have 2 days of rest on their side. The Raptors aren't as fortunate as this is the 2nd game of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days. The Knicks were kicked at home by the Clippers in their last game, but they typically respond well. They are are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 games following a loss and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss of more than 10 points.
|
02-13-13 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Orlando Magic +3 |
|
108-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 14 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Magic +3 Bottom Line: The Magic are healthier than they've been in a while and it showed with a big win over Portland last time out. They'll be hungry tonight as they go up against an Atlanta team that has defeated them in each of the season's first two meetings. The underdog is 12-3 ATS in the last 15 meetings.
|
02-13-13 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Cleveland Cavaliers +7 |
Top |
96-95 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 57 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA GAME OF THE WEEK on Cavs +7 Bottom Line: Duncan, Ginobli and Parker are all expected to be in the lineup together, and the Spurs are being overvalued as a result. This is San Antonio's third game in 4 days so it will be showing fatigue. Even the guys that have been sitting will be winded as you lose conditioning when you aren't playing. Cleveland has lost 2 in a row so it will be very focused. Plus, it was embarrassed by the Spurs in both of last season's meetings and you can bet it hasn't forgot. The Spurs are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win and 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400. Fade the overvalued Spurs!
|
02-12-13 |
Houston Rockets v. Golden State Warriors -4.5 |
|
116-107 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 56 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Warriors -4.5 Bottom Line: The Rockets are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games. The home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings, and the favorite is 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. The Warriors feel like they owe Houston for the embarrassing defeat it handed them last week. Lay the points as Golden State has its revenge.
|
02-12-13 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Utah Jazz +6 |
Top |
94-109 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 26 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Jazz +6 Bottom Line: Utah is 19-6 at home and will be focused tonight following back-to-back defeats. The Jazz are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The Thunder are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Also, the home team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Pound Utah!
|
02-12-13 |
Portland Trail Blazers +11.5 v. Miami Heat |
|
104-117 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 56 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Trailblazers +11.5 Bottom Line: The Trailblazers are a terrific 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. Also, they are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Miami.
|
02-11-13 |
Washington Wizards v. Milwaukee Bucks -4.5 |
|
102-90 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 29 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Bucks -4.5 Bottom Line: Plays against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that check in off a double-digit home win and are looking for revenge for a double-digit home loss to an opponent are 94-49 ATS since 1996. Washington has lost 4 straight in Milwaukee by an average of 12 points. It has also lost 4 straight on the road by an average of 7.8 points.
|
02-11-13 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Philadelphia 76ers +5.5 |
|
107-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 19 m |
Show
|
4* Major on 76ers +5.5 Bottom Line: The Clippers enter this contest overvalued following yesterday's double-digit win against the Knicks. They are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games while the 76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. In addition to this 11-4 ATS angle, we find that LA hasn't defeated the 76ers by more than 5 points in Philly dating back to 1997. This is a span of 15 games and the 76ers have won 12 of them straight up.
|
02-11-13 |
Boston Celtics v. Charlotte Bobcats +4.5 |
Top |
91-94 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 6 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bobcats +4.5 Bottom Line: It will be tough for Boston to bounce back physically from yesterday's triple-overtime contest. Plus, home underdogs that have failed to cover the number in 4 of their last 5 games that are matched up against a team that has cover the spread in 6 of 7 of its last 8 games are 30-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 5.4 points on average but have won outright by an average of 1.8 points. Pound Charlotte!
|
02-10-13 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Phoenix Suns +8.5 |
Top |
97-69 |
Loss |
-102 |
11 h 8 m |
Show
|
5* NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Suns +8.5 Bottom Line: The Suns were embarrassed in OKC Friday, and I believe they will put forth an incredible effort as a result. They gave up 127 points on 57.5% shooting to the Thunder but are on a 38-21 ATS run after a game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 55% or higher and a 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. The Thunder have failed to cover the number in 5 of their last 7 on the road, and I believe this trend continues.
|
02-10-13 |
Minnesota Timberwolves +9 v. Memphis Grizzlies |
|
88-105 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 8 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Timberwolves +9 Bottom Line: Memphis beat Golden State last time out but that was a tired Warriors squad that was playing its 3rd game in 4 days. The Grizzlies haven't looked too good since moving Rudy Gay and are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a win. The T-Wolves have lost 3 in a row but 2 of those came by 6 points or less. They have also lost 3 in a row on the road but 2 of those came by 8 points or less so I feel we are getting some solid line value here. Teams headed up by Rick Adelman is 58-35 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses dating back to 1996.
|
02-10-13 |
Los Angeles Clippers +3.5 v. New York Knicks |
|
102-88 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 2 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Clippers +3.5 Bottom Line: I expect the Clippers to bounce back strong from the beating they took in Miami Friday. Road teams that outscore their opponents by 3.0 points or more per game are 66-35 ATS the last 5 seasons when they are coming off a blowout loss of 15 points or more.
|
02-09-13 |
Utah Jazz v. Sacramento Kings -1 |
|
109-120 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 20 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Kings -1 Bottom Line: This is a tough spot for Utah which just lost a tough one last night and now has to go on the road to face a Kings team that has had 4 days of rest. The Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 3 or more days rest and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 versus Utah.
|
02-09-13 |
Detroit Pistons v. Milwaukee Bucks -7 |
|
105-100 |
Loss |
-103 |
10 h 49 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Bucks -7 Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from the Pistons following last night's big upset win over San Antonio. The Pistons are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day.
|
02-09-13 |
Golden State Warriors v. Dallas Mavericks -5.5 |
Top |
91-116 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 50 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Mavericks -5.5 Bottom Line: Mavs have the huge edge in terms of fresh legs. They have had 2 days' rest while Warriors will be playing their 4th game in 5 nights. Teams headed up by Rick Carlisle are 100-54 ATS lifetime when playing with 2 days' rest. Also, plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days against extremely tired team - playing their 4th game in 5 days - are 25-7 ATS the last 5 seasons.
|
02-09-13 |
Denver Nuggets v. Cleveland Cavaliers +6 |
|
111-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 50 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Cavaliers +6 Bottom Line: The Cavs are playing well, and I don't think they are getting the respect they deserve at home tonight against a Denver team that is just 10-15 on foreign hardwood. The Cavs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a win of more than 10 points and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing without a day of rest.
|
02-08-13 |
Chicago Bulls +4 v. Utah Jazz |
|
93-89 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 40 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Bailout on Bulls +4 Bottom Line: It's bounce-back time for the normally solid Bulls, who were awful at the defensive end last night. The Bulls are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS loss and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after giving up over 125 points in their previous contest. They are also 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Utah.
|
02-08-13 |
Phoenix Suns +13 v. Oklahoma City Thunder |
|
96-127 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 10 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Suns +13 Bottom Line: The Thunder are being overvalued here because they murdered Dallas and Golden State in their last two. I expect a letdown tonight as a matchup with a Phoenix team they have defeated 8 straight times won't get the juices flowing. Keep in mind that only 2 wins have come by more than 12 points during their 8-game run in the series. Plays against home teams after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more that are matched up against an opponent that was held to 85 points or less last time out are 36-15 ATS the last 5 seasons.
|
02-08-13 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Detroit Pistons +5 |
Top |
109-119 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 41 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pistons +5 Bottom Line: The Spurs are being overvalued on the road because of their 11-game win streak. The Pistons have won or lost by fewer than 4 points in 11 of their last 13 home games. Plus, they have won or lost by 5 points or less in 4 of their last 5 home meetings with San Antonio. Pound the Pistons!
|
02-08-13 |
Toronto Raptors +7.5 v. Indiana Pacers |
|
100-98 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 11 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Raptors +7.5 Bottom Line: The Raptors are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games, and the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Also, Toronto is 10-1 ATS in road games against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
|
02-07-13 |
Chicago Bulls v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 196 |
Top |
96-128 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 58 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Total of the Year on Bulls/Nuggets UNDER 196 Bottom Line: After a pathetic defensive performance in their last game, expect the Bulls - a team that prides itself on defense - to really get after it on the defensive end tonight. We have been able to count on the Bulls following up poor defensive efforts with strong ones since Thibodeau came to town. Chicago is 15-4 UNDER under his watch after allowing 105 points or more in its last game. It has responded by holding its opponents to just 89.4 points in this spot. We have seen only 183.4 total points scored on average in this situation. Pound the UNDER.
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02-06-13 |
Phoenix Suns v. New Orleans Hornets -6.5 |
|
84-93 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 4 m |
Show
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4* Major Western Conference Play of the Day on Hornets -6.5 Bottom Line: Hornets have the advantage at home here as they will have much fresher legs. They are on a 12-3 ATS run when they get at least 3 days of rest. The Suns, on the other hand, are on a 4-9 ATS slide when playing without a day of rest.
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02-06-13 |
Indiana Pacers v. Philadelphia 76ers -2.5 |
|
88-69 |
Loss |
-103 |
7 h 5 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on 76ers -2.5 Bottom Line: This is an extremely unfavorable scheduling spot for Indiana, which will be taking the floor for the third straight night. It will likely be able to hang with the 76ers through 3 quarters but I expect it to run out of gas in the 4th. The 76ers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
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02-06-13 |
Boston Celtics v. Toronto Raptors -3 |
Top |
99-95 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 5 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Atlantic Division Game of the Month on Raptors -3 Bottom Line: Boston has won 4 in a row (all at home) but can't be trusted on the road where it is on a 3-11 ATS slide. Also, the home team is on a 6-0 ATS run in the series. Pound Toronto!
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02-05-13 |
Phoenix Suns +9 v. Memphis Grizzlies |
Top |
96-90 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 48 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Game of the Month on Suns +9 Bottom Line: The Grizzlies have had 3 days to try to build some chemistry with new additions Tayshaun Prince, Ed Davis and Austin Daye. That's not enough time. Plus, the intensity of a game can't be simulated in practice. I know Memphis won its first game with its new additions against Washington, but I expect it to take some time for them to jell. The Suns have a win against Memphis this season and are 47-19 against the Grizzlies since 1996. Expect Memphis to be lacking a little chemistry tonight and for the Suns to go after this one hard as they try to earn a split in the season series. Pound the Suns.
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02-05-13 |
Atlanta Hawks +5 v. Indiana Pacers |
|
103-114 |
Loss |
-101 |
10 h 48 m |
Show
|
4* Major Eastern Conference *BLOOD BATH* on Hawks +5 Bottom Line: Atlanta has defeated the Pacers twice this season, and I like its chances of keeping this one within the number as it will be the much fresher side. The Hawks have had 2 days off while the Pacers just played last night. The Hawks are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
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02-04-13 |
Sacramento Kings +8 v. Utah Jazz |
|
91-98 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 20 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *BAILOUT* on Kings +8 Bottom Line: The Kings will be very focused tonight following an embarrassing 39-point loss to the Knicks last time out. They match up well with the Jazz and have won, or lost by less than 8 points, in 9 straight meetings as a result. The Kings are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Utah.
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02-04-13 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. Minnesota Timberwolves -3 |
|
100-98 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 19 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Timberwolves -3 Bottom Line: Minnesota finally enters a game with some momentum on its side as it ended a 6-game skid with a blowout win over New Orleans. Look for the T-Wolves to rattle off another victory against a Portland team that has lost 4 straight on the road. The Trailblazers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team that has a losing record.
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02-04-13 |
Charlotte Bobcats +13.5 v. Miami Heat |
Top |
94-99 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 50 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bobcats +13.5 Bottom Line: The Heat rolled in Toronto yesterday but are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a win of more than 10 points, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win and 6-14 ATS in their last 20 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Also, they are only 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 home games against Charlotte. Bet the Bobcats!
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