Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-26-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder -3 v. Memphis Grizzlies | 92-89 | Push | 0 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Thunder -3 Bottom Line: I'll back the Thunder in this highly motivated spot. After losing 2 straight to the team that knocked them out of the playoffs last year, the Thunder will be out for blood tonight. Since coach Brooks took over, OKC is 54-32 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, 47-27 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses, 50-32 ATS when out for revenge for 2 straight losses to an opponent and 53-33 ATS when out for revenge for an upset loss to an opponent. |
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04-26-14 | San Antonio Spurs -3.5 v. Dallas Mavericks | 108-109 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
5* Wiseguy Saturday NBA Playoffs *BEST BET* on Spurs -3.5 Bottom Line: The Spurs will come storming back following a poor performance in Game 2. The Spurs are 7-0 ATS this season in road games following an upset loss. They have won these games by 12.0 points on average. The Spurs are also 7-0 ATS this season in road games versus teams with a win percentage of 51% to 60%. They have won these games by an average of 13.2 points. The Mavericks are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a win of more than 10 points, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The Spurs are 4-0 SU and ATS in their last 4 in Dallas, winning these by an average of 12.3 points. And, the road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Pound San Antonio. |
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04-26-14 | Indiana Pacers -2 v. Atlanta Hawks | 91-88 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
4* Major GM4 *SUREFIRE* on Pacers -2 Bottom Line: The Pacers responded following a loss in Game 1, and I expect a similar response this afternoon. The Hawks are just 15-30 ATS in home games following 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons and 7-18 ATS in home games off a home win the last 2 seasons. The Pacers are 39-26 ATS off 1 or more consecutive losses the last 2 seasons and 30-17 ATS off a road loss the last 2 seasons. |
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04-25-14 | Houston Rockets +3 v. Portland Trailblazers | 121-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Rockets +3 Bottom Line: Houston won't go quietly into the night. It has won or lost by fewer than 3 points in 6 of its last 7 visits to Portland, and I expect this trend to continue. The Rockets are 5-1-1 ATS in these 7 visits, and the road team is 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Additionally, Portland is 0-8 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as a road underdog under coach Terry Stotts. It has lost by an average of 9.0 points in this situation. |
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04-25-14 | Chicago Bulls +3 v. Washington Wizards | 100-97 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Bulls +3 Bottom Line: The Bulls have the heart of a champion, and they aren't about to fold down 0-2. Chicago is a reliable 25-16 ATS this season when out for revenge for a loss. It is also an impressive 117-81 ATS in road games when playing with double revenge since 1996. Furthermore, the Bulls are 37-22 ATS as a road dog of 6 points or less under Tom Thibodeau. Washington is on an 11-25 ATS slide off 2 or more consecutive road wins. Teams headed up by Randy Witman are just 46-72 ATS as a home favorite, including 27-51 ATS as a home fave of 6.0 points or more. His teams are also just 5-16 ATS in home games following a close win of 3 points or less. The underdog is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Pound Chicago. |
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04-24-14 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Golden State Warriors +2 | 98-96 | Push | 0 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Warriors +2 Bottom Line: The home team has dominated this matchup going 10-3 in the last 13. The Clippers suffered each of the 3 home losses during this streak. The Warriors are 5-0 at home during this streak with an average winning margin of 11.2 points. Golden State was brutally embarrassed in Game 2 and will be playing with a big chip on its shoulder tonight as a result. The Warriors are 29-15 ATS after a loss of more than 10 points under coach Jackson, including 12-2 ATS in their last 16 games after a loss of more than 10 points. Pound Golden State. |
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04-24-14 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 215 | 98-96 | Win | 100 | 12 h 60 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA "Total" DOMINATOR Clippers/Warriors UNDER 215 Bottom Line: First off, playing the UNDER on any team off 2 or more consecutive overs that is matched up against an opponent off 5 or more consecutive overs has resulted in a 40-14 (74%) record the last 3 seasons. Secondly, playing the UNDER on all teams in the 3rd game of a 1st round playoff series has resulted in a 40-12 (77%) record since 1996, provided the total is 200.0 or higher. Lastly, playing the UNDER on road teams that are off a victory of 15 points or more and are going against a team off a defeat of 15 points or more has resulted in a 34-10 (77%) record the last 5 seasons, provided the total is 200.0 or higher. With Golden State looking to bounce back from a terrible Game 2 and L.A. looking to regain home-court, I expect the screws to tighten defensively in Game 3. This one stays UNDER as a result. |
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04-24-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 189 | 95-98 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA "Total" LINE MISTAKE on Thunder/Grizzlies UNDER 189 Bottom Line: OKC doesn't get enough credit for what it is capable of doing defensively. The Thunder rank No. 3 in field goal percentage defense, and I expect to see a strong defensive effort from them tonight after allowing Memphis to shoot nearly 50% in Game 2. The Thunder are 6-2 UNDER in their last 8 games following a loss, 9-3 UNDER in their last 12 games after giving up 100 points or more, 6-2 UNDER in their last 8 1st round playoff games and 29-10 UNDER in their last 39 games on 2 days' rest. The Grizzlies will look to slow down the pace, knowing its chances of winning suffer greatly when they let OKC get out in transition. With OKC turning up the heat defensively and Memphis looking to play in the half court, we have ourselves a solid UNDERS situation. |
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04-23-14 | Portland Trailblazers v. Houston Rockets -6 | 112-105 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
5* Wiseguy GM2 *BEST BET* Bailout on Rockets -6 Bottom Line: Look for the Rockets to come storming back in Game 2. A lot went right for Portland to win Game 1 (Harden shot 8 for 28 while Aldridge shot 17 for 31), but it still needed OT to get the job done. Despite the loss, Houston is laying as much as 1-point more (depending on the book) than it did in Game 1. This tells me oddsmakers expect to see a much different Houston squad here. Aldridge won't play as well as he did in Game 1, and Harden won't shoot as badly. I'm very confident the Rockets won't shoot as poorly collectively (only 41% in Game 1) because the Blazers allow 45% shooting on the season. Houston has quietly had a good season defensively, especially at home where it is allowing just 42.9% shooting. In the second half of the season, playing against underdogs that are off 2 or more consecutive overs in a game involving two teams that allow 102 ppg or more has resulted in a 63-32 ATS record since 1996. Teams fitting this scenario have been underdogs of 6.7 points on average and have lost by an average of 10.3. Pound Houston. |
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04-22-14 | Washington Wizards v. Chicago Bulls -5 | Top | 101-99 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Eastern Conference 1st Round Game of the Year on Bulls -5 Bottom Line: The defense wasn't there for Chicago in Game 1 as it allowed the Wizards to score 102 points on 48.6% shooting. Recent history tells us the defense will be there for the Bulls tonight. Chicago is 8-0 ATS in its last 8 games after giving up 100 points or more in its previous game. The last 7 of these covers were also straight up wins by an average of 12.9 points. Pound the Bulls as they tighten the screws defensively and bounce back strong. |
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04-21-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Los Angeles Clippers -7.5 | Top | 98-138 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference First Round Game of the Year on Clippers -7.5 Bottom Line: Playing favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that average 102 ppg or more has resulted in a 52-22 ATS record since 1996 if they have combined with their opponents to score 205 points or more in 4 straight games and are up against a team that allows 98-102 ppg. If the contest takes place 42 games or later into the season, this system explodes to 35-10 ATS. Since Doc Rivers came to town the Clippers are an impressive 18-7 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses, and they have won by an average of 8.5 points in this situation. They are also 13-3 ATS under Rivers when out for revenge for an upset defeat and have won in this situation by an average of 11.3 points. Pound the Clippers. |
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04-21-14 | Memphis Grizzlies +7 v. Oklahoma City Thunder | 111-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Grizzlies +7 Bottom Line: I'll grab the points with the Grizz in this bounce-back situation. OKC couldn't have gotten off to a better start in Game 1, and Memphis couldn't have gotten off to a worse start. Despite trailing by 25 points just before the half, Memphis cut the deficit to four points and won the 2nd half by 8 points. That does a ton for its confidence heading into this one. I expect to see the defensive effort we saw from Memphis in the 3rd quarter from the jump tonight. The Grizzlies are on a 41-23 ATS run in road games when out for revenge for two straight losses to an opponent that scored 100 points or more both times. The Thunder are 9-21 ATS in the 2nd half of the season the last 3 seasons versus teams with a win percentage of 60-70%. Memphis has won or lost by fewer than 7 points in 8 of their last 11 meetings. |
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04-20-14 | PORTLAND GM1 +5.5 v. HOUSTON GM1 | Top | 122-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Trailblazers +5.5 Bottom Line: Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are playing 4 games or less in 10 days and are off at least 2 consecutive home wins are 53-28 ATS the last 5 seasons. Portland has quietly been a terrific road investment all season, going 25-16 ATS overall and 4-0 ATS in its last 4. The Rockets won the season series 3-1, but Portland took them to OT in Houston the last time these two met. The Blazers are 20-9 ATS this season when out for revenge for a loss where they allowed 100 points or more. The Rockets are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games versus a team with a winning record, and the underdog is 11-5-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings. Pound Portland, which enters the playoffs in better form. |
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04-19-14 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Oklahoma City Thunder -7 | 86-100 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Thunder -7 Bottom Line: I expect to see a very hungry OKC squad tonight. Memphis sent the Thunder home early in last year's playoffs and that series loss will be all the fuel the Thunder need. The Grizzlies didn't have to deal with Westbrook in last year's series, but they will tonight, and they weren't able to handle him defensively while losing the 2 games he played against them this season. The Grizz don't do a very good job of getting to the charity, and that's an issue because OKC does. The Thunder are 13-3 ATS this season versus teams like Memphis that attempt 21 or fewer free throws per game. They have defeated such teams by an average of 12.2 points. |
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04-19-14 | Atlanta Hawks v. Indiana Pacers -7.5 | Top | 101-93 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Pacers -7.5 Bottom Line: Defense wins in the NBA Playoffs, and Indiana is arguably the best defensive team in the NBA. It has allowed just 88 ppg at home this season while the Hawks have allowed 104.4 ppg on the road. The Pacers held the Hawks to 90.3 points while averaging 108.7 in 3 home wins in last season's playoff series. Indiana might have entered the playoffs overconfident, but it struggled down the stretch of the regular season and lost badly on this floor to the Hawks just under 2 weeks ago. The Pacers will be highly motivation to crush the Hawks and any upset aspirations in Game 1 as a result. The favorite is 25-9-1 ATS in the last 35 meetings. Pound the Pacers. |
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04-19-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Los Angeles Clippers -7 | 109-105 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Clippers -7 Bottom Line: The Clippers were knocked out of the playoffs in the 1st round last year after winning the first 2 games of their series with Memphis. The harsh memory of that crushing series loss is all the motivation they'll need when they hit the floor this afternoon. Home court has been huge in this series. The home team is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings with an average margin of victory of 14.1 points. The Clippers home wins during this stretch have come by an average of 16.7 points. In games played 42 games or more into the season, favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that average 102 ppg or more and have combined with their opponents for 205 points or more in their last 4 games are 35-9 ATS since 1996 if they are matched up against a team that allows 98-102 ppg. Teams fitting this scenario have been favored by 6.7 points on average but have won by 12.5. |
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04-16-14 | Chicago Bulls v. Charlotte Bobcats -105 | Top | 86-91 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
04-15-14 | Denver Nuggets v. Los Angeles Clippers OVER 219 | 105-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA “Total” Dominator on Nuggets/Clippers OVER 219 Bottom Line: Playing the OVER when the total is 210 or higher on teams that are off a blowout win of 15 points or more has resulted in a 32-19 record the last 5 seasons if they are up against a team that has scored 100 points or more in 4 straight games. The Clippers do an excellent job of getting to the foul line and make their free throws at a nice clip (72.9%). This is important to note because Denver is 15-3 OVER the last 2 seasons versus team that attempt 27 free throws per game or more. We’ve seen 225.6 total points scored on average in these games. Both teams are well rested, and the Clippers are especially well rested because they’ve been at home since April 3. This is also important because the Clippers are 8-0 OVER in home games after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons. We have seen an average of 223 total points scored in these games. |
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04-14-14 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Phoenix Suns -2.5 | Top | 97-91 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Suns -2.5
Bottom Line: I expect the Suns to stay in the playoff hunt with a win over the Grizzlies tonight. When the line is +3 to -3, home teams off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 65-32 ATS since 1996 if they have a win percentage of 51-60% and are playing a winning team. This system is a perfect 1-0 ATS this season. The Suns are 7-1 ATS this season as a favorite of 2.5 points or less, including 3-0 ATS in the role at home. The Grizzlies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Pound the Suns. |
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04-13-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Indiana Pacers -1 | Top | 97-102 | Win | 100 | 4 h 50 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Pacers -1
Bottom Line: I'll lay this small number with a motivated Indiana squad that is 34-6 at home. The Pacers are still in the running for home court in the East while the Thunder have already secured the two-seed in the West and can't catch San Antonio. Additionally, OKC pounded the Pacers back in December so this game will be about payback. The Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. They are also 8-20 ATS in the 2nd half of the season the last 3 seasons against teams with a win percentage of 60-70%. Indiana is 22-11 ATS the last 2 seasons in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses. The Pacers have won by an average of 10.3 points in this spot. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Pound the Pacers. |
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04-12-14 | Boston Celtics v. Cleveland Cavaliers -8 | Top | 111-99 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Blowout on Cavs -8
Bottom Line: Cleveland will be out to wash the sour taste of last night's loss in Milwaukee out of its mouth. It will also be out to make sure it doesn't get swept by Boston. Playing home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are off an upset loss and playing a 3rd game in 4 days are 67-40 ATS the last 5 seasons. Boston has been awful on the road where it is 8-31 on the season and has lost 13 straight. It's even 12-24 ATS in road games against teams with losing records over the last 2 seasons. Pound the Cavs. |
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04-11-14 | Charlotte Bobcats v. Boston Celtics +4.5 | Top | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Celtics +4.5
Bottom Line: This is a letdown spot for the Bobcats, who are coming off a very satisfying overtime win against Washington that moved them into a tie with the Wizards for 6th in the East and gave them the tiebreaker over the Wizards. Even though Boston won the last meeting between these teams, that was clear back in November, and this fatigued Bobcats squad will be looking to coast tonight. Charlotte has seen 4 of its last 7 games go to overtime, including its last 2. Boston isn't rolling over. It blew a 9-point lead with 5:44 remaining in Wednesday's 105-97 defeat to Atlanta and was outscored 30-16 over the last 12 minutes in its previous defeat, 115-111 to Detroit on Saturday. Those losses are not sitting well, and the Celtics will be motivated not to lose a 10th straight. I believe Rondo will be the key as he has given Kemba Walker fits in 4 previous head-to-head meetings. The Celtics won all 4. Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have failed to cover 4 of their last 5 are 68-37 ATS since 1996 when they are matched up against a team that has covered 6 or 7 of their last 8. This system is 26-7 ATS the last 5 seasons. Pound Boston. |
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04-10-14 | Denver Nuggets v. Golden State Warriors -10.5 | Top | 100-99 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy *BEST BET* Bailout on Warriors -10.5
Bottom Line: Denver spent itself in last night's win over Houston, and it won't have enough left in the tank to keep the score respectable versus a Golden State team that has had the last 3 days off. The Warriors also have a big motivational edge as they were defeated 123-116 at home the last time they faced Denver. They'll be out to avenge that loss as well as take a big step toward locking up the No. 6 seed. The Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing without a day of rest and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. The Nuggets are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings at Golden State. Pound the Warriors. |
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04-10-14 | San Antonio Spurs +2 v. Dallas Mavericks | 109-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
4* Major *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Spurs +2
Bottom Line: Likely no Parker or Ginobli tonight, but I don't believe it will matter. The Spurs are much more than the Big 3 these days, and they'll be hungry following a bad showing in Minnesota. The Spurs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss and 23-9-1 ATS in their last 33 games following a loss of more than 10 points. The Mavs handed Utah a 12-point defeat last time out, but they are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a win of more than 10 points. They are also 3-11 ATS in their last 14 versus the Spurs, including 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home meetings in the series. Playing against home teams that are playing with double revenge has resulted in a 71-37 ATS record the last 5 seasons when they are up against a team that is off an upset loss on the road. |
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04-09-14 | Brooklyn Nets v. Orlando Magic +5.5 | 111-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* on Magic +5.5
Bottom Line: The Magic have an excellent chance to knock off a Nets squad that is in a letdown situation following last night's big win over the Heat. Orlando has a better home record that Brooklyn has on the road, and the Magic are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games versus a team with a losing road record. They are also 9-1 ATS as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points this season, winning these games by an average of 4.8 points. |
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04-09-14 | Charlotte Bobcats v. Washington Wizards -5 | Top | 94-88 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Wizards -5
Bottom Line: The Wizards blew a 16-point halftime lead in their recent 100-94 loss at Charlotte, and they'll be out for some serious revenge as a result. The Wizards are 48-26 ATS under coach Wittman when out for revenge for a loss where they allowed 100 or more points, including 19-5 ATS in this situation this season. Pound the Wizards as they have their revenge in impressive fashion. |
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04-08-14 | Brooklyn Nets v. Miami Heat -7 | 88-87 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
4* Major *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Heat -7
Bottom Line: Miami has lost all 3 prior meetings with the Nets this season and will be out for blood tonight as a result. Home teams that are out for revenge for at least 2 consecutive upset losses to an opponent are 18-4 ATS the last 3 seasons if they are also off a home win. Additionally, the Nets haven't been the same team on the road where they are 0-4 ATS in their last 4. |
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04-08-14 | Detroit Pistons +7 v. Atlanta Hawks | Top | 102-95 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Pistons +7
Bottom Line: In a game taking place at least 42 games into the season, playing against home favorites that led their previous game by 20 points or more at the half has resulted in a 23-3 ATS record since 1996 if the game involves teams that average 98-102 ppg. Additionally, road teams that give up 103 ppg or more and trailed by 10 points or more at the half in their last 2 games are 86-34 ATS since 1996. This system is a perfect 11-0 ATS this season. The Hawks are being overvalued following their big win in Indiana. Pound the Pistons. |
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04-06-14 | Dallas Mavericks v. Sacramento Kings +6.5 | Top | 93-91 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Kings +6.5
Bottom Line: Dallas is being overvalued in this one because it has won its last 4 on the road. Its last 2 wins over the Kings have come by just 4 and 3 points. The Kings will be looking to avoid the season sweep as well as save face following an embarrassing 102-69 loss at Golden State. The Mavs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Kings are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Pound Sacramento. |
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04-05-14 | Charlotte Bobcats v. Cleveland Cavaliers -3 | Top | 96-94 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Cavs -3
Bottom Line: We rode the following system I'm about to unveil to a big win on the Rockets last night, and I'm going to ride it again here. When the line is +3 to -3, home teams playing with triple revenge are 69-35 ATS since 1996 when they are matched up against a team off 2 consecutive covers as a favorite. This system is 13-3 ATS the last 3 seasons. Cleveland is still in the playoff hunt, and I expect maximum effort from it tonight after a humiliating performance in Atlanta last night. Additionally, they will be out to make sure they aren't swept by Charlotte. Cleveland has won 14 of its last 16 at home against the Bobcats. Pound the Cavs. |
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04-04-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Houston Rockets -2.5 | Top | 107-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* (ESPN) on Rockets -2.5
Bottom Line: Not only have the Rockets lost their last 3 games, they've lost all 3 meetings with the Thunder this season. They'll be out for blood here as a result. When the line is +3 to -3, home teams playing with triple revenge are 68-35 ATS since 1996 when they are matched up against a team off two consecutive covers as a favorite. This system is 12-3 ATS the last 3 seasons. Additionally, Houston is 18-3 ATS under coach McHale in home games after failing to cover in 4 or 5 of their last 6. The Rockets have won by an average of 15.0 points in this spot. Pound Houston. |
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04-04-14 | Milwaukee Bucks +11.5 v. Chicago Bulls | 90-102 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Oddsmaker Error on Bucks +11.5
Bottom Line: Playing against Friday favorites of 10 points or more that have won 3 consecutive games or more has resulted in a 36-16 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Additionally, playing on Friday double-digit underdogs off a double-digit loss on the road has resulted in a 40-18 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Chicago is a soft 8-18 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons. The Bucks are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. |
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04-03-14 | Dallas Mavericks +4.5 v. Los Angeles Clippers | Top | 113-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BEST BET* Bailout on Mavs +4.5
Bottom Line: Not only will Dallas be motivated by losses in each of the season's first 3 battles, but it will also be motivated by a loss to Golden State last game as well as the tight playoff race it finds itself in. The Mavs should have more legs having had yesterday off. LA used a lot of energy in last night's late comeback in Phoenix. Dallas is 27-13 ATS under coach Carlisle in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%). Pound Dallas. |
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04-03-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Oklahoma City Thunder -3.5 | 94-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA on TNT *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Thunder -3.5
Bottom Line: Playing against road dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are out for revenge for a home loss to an opponent has resulted in a 33-12 ATS record since 1996 if they enter off a cover as a double-digit favorite. The Spurs are the hottest team in the league, but OKC has been their kryptonite. The Thunder are 4-0 SU and ATS in the last 4 meetings overall and 6-0 SU and ATS in the last 6 home meetings. OKC has been off since Sunday while the Spurs are playing the 2nd game of a back-to-back and a 5th game in 7 days. |
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04-02-14 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Phoenix Suns -2.5 | Top | 112-108 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Game of the Week on Suns -2.5
Bottom Line: Phoenix needs this game more than LA, and it will be out for blood following Sunday's humiliating loss to the Lakers. Explosive offensive teams like Phoenix that average 103.0 ppg or more are 147-79 ATS since 1996 if they trailed in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half. The Suns are a trustworthy 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games following a loss and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games against the Clippers. Pound the Suns. |
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04-02-14 | Chicago Bulls v. Atlanta Hawks +2.5 | 105-92 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
4* Major Eastern Conference *SUREFIRE* on Hawks +2.5
Bottom Line: Playing on all teams when the line is +3 to -3 that are out for revenge for 3 straight losses to an opponent has resulted in a 76-39 ATS record since 1996 if the opponent checks in off 2 consecutive covers as a favorite. The Bulls are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a cover and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win of more than 10 points. |
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04-01-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Dallas Mavericks OVER 204 | 122-120 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Warriors/Mavs OVER 204
Bottom Line: The fact Dallas has lost the last 2 meetings bodes extremely well for us. The Mavs are 7-0 "Over" this season in home games when playing with double revenge. We have seen an average of 219.2 total points scored in these contests. |
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04-01-14 | Houston Rockets v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 210 | Top | 96-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Rockets/Nets UNDER 210
Bottom Line: This line opened at 208 but has been bet up to 210 in some places creating even more value. Because of where the line opened the following system applies. Playing the "Under" on home teams when the total is 200-209.5 has resulted in a 50-16 record the last 5 seasons, provided they have gone over the total by 48 or more points in their last ten games and have won between 51% and 60% of their games on the season. We have seen just 198.3 total points scored on average in this situation. Pound the UNDER. |
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03-31-14 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Denver Nuggets +4.5 | 94-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Nuggets +4.5
Bottom Line: It will be very difficult for Memphis to cover this number. The Grizzlies are playing their 2nd road game in as many days, and 3rd in 4 days, and to make matters worse are playing in altitude where fatigue sets in faster. The Nuggets have had the last 2 days off so they carry a sizable advantage in terms of fresh legs. Underdogs that average 103.0 ppg or more are 62-30 ATS since 1996 is they trailed in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half. |
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03-31-14 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Minnesota Timberwolves +2.5 | Top | 114-104 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on T-Wolves +2.5
Bottom Line: Minnesota has lost 8 straight to the Clippers but has been very close to ending the skid this season. The T-Wolves haven't lost by more than 4 points in any of the season's 3 meetings with one of the losses coming by 2 points and the other coming in OT. With this in mind, I think we are getting a good number, especially since Blake Griffin is doubtful. The T-Wolves fell by double digits in Brooklyn yesterday but are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 games following a loss of more than 10 points. They are also 7-1 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Pound Minnesota. |
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03-31-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Indiana Pacers +4.5 | 103-77 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Pacers +4.5
Bottom Line: Home underdogs off an upset loss are 46-19 ATS since 1996 if they have a win percentage of .600 to .750 and are playing a winning team. This system is 10-2 ATS the last 5 seasons. Underdogs that have failed to cover the spread in 12 of more of their last 15 games are 77-36 ATS if they are playing a team that has covered the number in 4 or 5 of their last 6. This system is 8-1 ATS this season. |
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03-30-14 | New York Knicks +7.5 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 89-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Knicks +7.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks are still fighting for a playoff spot, and I expect them to rebound following Friday's ugly loss to Phoenix. The Warriors are banged up. Their biggest concern is getting to the postseason as healthy as possible. The Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 Sunday games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on 1 day of rest. Pound the Knicks. |
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03-29-14 | Atlanta Hawks +5 v. Washington Wizards | 97-101 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
4* Major Eastern Conference *SUREFIRE* on Hawks +5
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from Washington following last night's big win over Indiana. Plus, an Atlanta team that has lost 5 straight knows it needs to start showing up if it's going to hold onto the No. 8 seed in the East. The Hawks should have no problem getting up for this game after getting hammered at home by the Wizards last month. The Wizards are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win, 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a win of more than 10 points and Wizards are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 home games versus a team with a losing road record. The Wizards are also 10-21 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. The underdog is 5-1-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. |
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03-29-14 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Houston Rockets -2 | Top | 118-107 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Game of the Week on Rockets -2
Bottom Line: The Rockets have yet to beat the Clippers this season, but they are primed to do it tonight. They catch the Clippers at a great time as LA is playing its 3rd road contest in 4 nights. Plus, Houston has been in a great rhythm offensively, and that bodes extremely well for us. The Rockets are 15-4 ATS under coach Kevin McHale after 4 straight games of making 47% of their shots or better. They have won by an average of 10.0 points in this spot. Houston has won 11 straight at home with wins over Portland, Indiana, Miami and San Antonio during this stretch. The Clippers have shown some vulnerability on the road where they have lost 2 of 3. Pound the Rockets. |
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03-28-14 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Brooklyn Nets -9 | 97-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Nets -9
Bottom Line: Brooklyn won the most recent matchup 89-82 at home to cover a 6.5-point spread. Now, it is laying 2.5 more points despite coming off back-to-back losses and despite Cleveland winning its last 3. That's because Brooklyn has won 11 straight at home by 11.4 points on average. Also, the Cavs are 11-26 ATS the last 3 seasons when out for revenge for a loss where they were held to 85 points or less. The Nets are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games, and I expect them to continue their home dominance tonight. |
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03-28-14 | Indiana Pacers v. Washington Wizards +3 | Top | 78-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Wizards +3
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from Indiana as it hits the road following a big win over the Heat. The Pacers have lost 3 in a row and 6 of 8 on the highway. They are 6-21-1 ATS in their last 28 games overall, 4-17 ATS in their last 21 road games, 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games following a win and 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games versus a team with a winning record. Washington has lost its last 2 games and has been buried twice by Indiana this season so it will be lacking no motivation. Plus, it wants to hold onto the 6th spot in the East to avoid Indiana and Miami in the first round. Pound Washington. |
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03-27-14 | Los Angeles Clippers -1 v. Dallas Mavericks | Top | 109-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Clippers -1
Bottom Line: Dallas has lost both meeting with the Clippers this season, and it catches them at a bad time. Off last night's ugly loss in New Orleans, LA will be out for blood. Playing against home teams in a double revenge spot has resulted in a 69-36 ATS record the last 5 seasons if the team they are out for revenge against is off an upset loss on the road. Plus, the Clippers are a perfect 9-0 ATS since Doc Rivers took over in road games following a road loss. They have won these games by an average of 9.4 points. Additionally, the Mavs are a poor 11-23 ATS as a home dog under Rick Carlisle. Pound LA. |
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03-26-14 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Utah Jazz +8 | Top | 91-87 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy ESPN *BEST BET* BAILOUT on Jazz +8
Bottom Line: The Jazz will be looking to bounce back following a 114-94 home loss to Detroit. They will also be out for revenge for a pair of 10-point losses to Memphis this season. Both of those games were on the road, and I expect things to go much differently in Utah where the Jazz are 10-1 in the last 11 meetings. The Jazz are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games following a double-digit loss at home and 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Utah is 11-2 ATS the last 2 seasons after failing to cover in 4 of its last 5 games. The Grizzlies are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Utah. Pound Utah. |
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03-26-14 | Phoenix Suns v. Washington Wizards +2.5 | 99-93 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Wizards +2.5
Bottom Line: Washington's defense has been poor of late as it has given up 105 points or more in 4 straight games. Those were all on the road. The "D" should be much better at home where the Wizards have held their last 3 opponents to 98 points or less. The Wizards have been motivated by poor defensive efforts and are 14-4 ATS this season after allowing 100 points or more in 2 straight games. They have won these contests by an average of 4.3 points. Washington has had the last 2 days off so it should be much fresher than a Phoenix squad playing a 3rd road contest in 4 days. |
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03-25-14 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Orlando Magic +5 | Top | 85-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Magic +5
Bottom Line: The Blazers covered in Miami last night, erasing a 17-point 4th quarter deficit before LeBron James ripped their heart out. The Blazers, who are only 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a cover, will have a hard time pulling themselves off the floor after that heartbreaker. The Magic are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. They are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games, losing only twice by more than 5 points during this stretch. The Magic are 5-2 SU and ATS in their last 7 home games against Portland with one of these losses coming by less than 5 points. Pound Orland. |
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03-24-14 | Brooklyn Nets v. New Orleans Pelicans +2.5 | Top | 104-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Pelicans +2.5
Bottom Line: Bad spot for Brooklyn playing a 2nd road game in as many days, especially since yesterday's contest went to OT. The Nets are just 14-20 on the road this season, including 3-7 when playing without a day of rest. New Orleans hasn't quit on the season. It has won 6 of 9, including its last 2, with the most recent win coming against Miami. The Pelicans should also benefit from having had a day off prior to this contest. Home teams that shoot 45.5-47.5% and have a +/-3.0 rebounds per game margin are 74-35 ATS since 1996 when they are matched up with a team that holds opponents to 43.5-45.5% shooting and has a -3 to -5.5 rebounds per game margin. This system is 6-1 ATS this season. Pound the Pelicans. |
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03-24-14 | Phoenix Suns v. Atlanta Hawks +1.5 | 102-95 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Hawks +1.5
Bottom Line: This game is meaningful for both teams in terms of the playoff race, but the edge goes to Atlanta at home where it is 20-12 on the season. The home team has had the advantage in this series, going 3-0 in the last 3 and 9-4 in the last 13. It's also worth mentioning that the Hawks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 versus Pacific division foes and 7-4 ATS this season as home dogs. The Suns have dropped 7 of 11 this season when playing on the road without a day of rest. |
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03-23-14 | Brooklyn Nets v. Dallas Mavericks -4.5 | Top | 107-104 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Mavs -4.5
Bottom Line: This game means more to a Dallas team that is sitting 7th in a tight Western Conference playoff race. Plus, Brooklyn hasn't been the same team on the road where it is 5-6 in its last 11 and averaging just 94.8 ppg in these contests. It will have a tough time keeping pace offensively against a Dallas team that is averaging 111.0 points on 50.5% shooting over its last 5 games. Playing against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are off a win of 10 points or more over a division rival has resulted in a 53-24 ATS record since 1996 if their opponent is off a home win of 10 points or more. Pound Dallas. |
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03-22-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Golden State Warriors -1 | 99-90 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Warriors -1
Bottom Line: After losing each of the first 2 matchups of the season by 2 points, I expect Golden State to break through against the Spurs. The Warriors are 21-9 ATS when out for revenge for an upset loss to an opponent under coach Mark Jackson, including 11-2 ATS this season. They have won by an average of 12.8 points in these 13 contests. |
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03-22-14 | Indiana Pacers v. Memphis Grizzlies -1 | 71-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Non-Conference *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Grizzlies -1
Bottom Line: Memphis may not have Marc Gasol tonight, but it shouldn't matter at home where they are 8-0 in their last 8 and 14-2 in their last 16. Indiana is a very inconsistent offensive team and likely won't get much help from points off turnovers against a Memphis squad that averages only 13 turnovers per game. The Pacers are 0-8 ATS in the 2nd half of this season versus teams averaging 14 turnovers or less. They have lost to these teams by an average of 6.4 points. The Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a cover, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 versus the West and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games versus a team with a winning home record. |
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03-22-14 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Charlotte Bobcats +1 | Top | 94-124 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Bobcats +1
Bottom Line: Charlotte has been outstanding in the 2nd half of the season at home where it is on an 8-1 ATS run and outscoring opponents by 8.1 points. Plus, the Bobcats are 11-3 ATS this season as a home dog of 6 points or less, winning these games by 3.2 points on average. Portland is one of the best rebounding teams in the league but likely won't have leading rebounder LaMarcus Aldridge tonight. Besides, the Cats are 8-0 ATS versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds per game in the 2nd half of this season, defeating these teams by 10.8 points on average. Pound the Bobcats. |
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03-21-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Sacramento Kings +8.5 | 99-79 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Kings +8.5
Bottom Line: Sacramento is rested and will be hungry for a win against a Spurs team it has 8 straight against. The Spurs have a much more challenging game against Golden State tomorrow so I don't believe Sacramento will get their full attention. The Kings are 31-15 ATS as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996. They are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games versus a team with a winning road record and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage greater than .600. |
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03-21-14 | Denver Nuggets v. Dallas Mavericks -7.5 | Top | 106-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on Mavs -7.5
Bottom Line: Dallas is off a home loss to Minnesota and has lost all 3 matchups this season with a Denver squad that has won 4 of 5 (2 of the wins over the Heat and Clippers), yet it is laying 7.5 points? Obviously, the books are expecting Dallas to take care of business in this highly motivated spot, and I completely agree. Not only will the Mavs be out to avoid the season sweep, but they need every win they can get as they fight to hang on to a playoff spot. With several tough games ahead, this is one Dallas really needs. The Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 versus the Western Conference and 37-14 ATS in their last 51 games following a loss. Pound Dallas. |
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03-20-14 | Milwaukee Bucks +13.5 v. Golden State Warriors | 110-115 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Bailout on Bucks +13.5
Bottom Line: Warriors head coach Mark Jackson has said the focus right now is to get healthy. He's not going to push guys extra minutes just to blow out the Bucks. The Warriors won in Milwaukee by 21 earlier this season, and they have San Antonio on deck so I don't see them being very hungry or focused tonight. Milwaukee has been scoring the ball well and covering big numbers as a result. The Bucks are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Warriors are off a 14-pt. win over Orlando but are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Bucks are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings at Golden State. Pound the Bucks. |
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03-19-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Los Angeles Lakers +13.5 | 125-109 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Lakers +13.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers haven't played since the 14th when they were brutally embarrassed in San Antonio. I expect a much, much better effort from them here as they look to save some face. The Spurs have had the last 2 days off, but they will be looking to conserve as much energy as possible down the stretch to get their bodies ready for another championship run. I don't see them going for the jugular again tonight. Playing against double-digit favorites after 8 or more consecutive wins has resulted in a 30-14 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are a winning team playing a losing team. The Spurs are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on 2 days' rest. The Lakers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. |
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03-19-14 | Toronto Raptors v. New Orleans Pelicans +1 | 107-100 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Non-Conference *SUREFIRE* on Pelicans +1
Bottom Line: Bad spot for the Raptors who played an OT game in Atlanta last night. I don't think they'll have enough left in the tank to come away with a win tonight. They are 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games without a day of rest. The Pelicans will be working on 2 days of rest and are on a 4-0 ATS run when that is the case. The underdog is 15-5-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings, and I'll side with the home dog here. |
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03-19-14 | Charlotte Bobcats +6 v. Brooklyn Nets | Top | 99-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Bobcats +6
Bottom Line: The Nets are being overvalued because they have won 9 straight at home and defeated Charlotte by 16 at home last month. Despite that win, Brooklyn is laying less here than it did in that game (-7.5). Obviously, the books are expecting Charlotte to put up a lot more of a fight this time around, and I look for the Bobcats to take the Nets down to the wire. Charlotte is 9-1 ATS this season versus teams with a win percentage of 51% to 60%, and it has defeated these teams by an average of 3.4 points. The Bobcats are also 15-7 ATS this season when out for revenge for a double-digit loss. They have lost these contests by just 3.1 points on average. Pound the Bobcats. |
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03-18-14 | Toronto Raptors -3 v. Atlanta Hawks | Top | 113-118 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Raptors -3
Bottom Line: Atlanta won in Charlotte last night, but it hasn't fared well in the 2nd game of a back-to-back. The Hawks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games when playing without a day of rest and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. Toronto won by 21 when it hosted the Hawks last month, and it will be motivated to crush them again following an upset loss to Phoenix last game. The Raptors are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a loss and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Hawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games. Playing against home teams when the line is +3 to -3 that are out for revenge for a loss to an opponent has resulted in a 92-50 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are off a win on the road. Playing against home underdogs that are out for revenge for a road loss of 20 points or more has resulted in an 87-49 ATS record since 1996 if they're opponent is off an upset loss. Pound Toronto. |
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03-17-14 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Denver Nuggets +4.5 | Top | 100-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Bailout on Nuggets +4.5
Bottom Line: Denver was fortunate to cover at Atlanta in its last game as it trailed by 21 points in the contest. That poor performance bodes well for us tonight. Consider that underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that average 103 ppg or more are 37-14 ATS since 1996 if they trailed by 15 points or more at the half last game. The Nuggets have been a terrific investment at home against elite competition, going 9-1 ATS there the last 2 seasons versus teams with a win percentage over .700. They have defeated those teams by an average of 5.1 points. Pound the Nuggets. |
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03-17-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder -2.5 v. Chicago Bulls | 97-85 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Thunder -2.5
Bottom Line: The Bulls catch the Thunder at a bad time. After getting embarrassed by Dallas yesterday, Oklahoma City will be out for blood. The Bulls are one of the top defensive teams in the league, but so are the Thunder. The difference is OKC is far superior on the offensive end. In the end, OKC's offense will be a little too much for Chicago to overcome. That's been the case in OKC's 4-game win streak in the series. They've won these 4 by 15.5 points on average while holding Chicago to 84.0 points. The Thunder are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a double-digit loss at home and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600. In games played in the second half of the season, road teams that average 102.0 ppg or more and are off a loss of 15 points or more are 41-15 ATS since 1996 if they are up against a team that averages only 92-98.0 ppg. This system is 6-1 ATS the last 3 seasons. |
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03-17-14 | Phoenix Suns v. Brooklyn Nets -4.5 | 95-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Nets -4.5
Bottom Line: This is a tough scheduling spot for the Suns who will be playing their 3rd road game in 4 days and 2nd in as many days. Brooklyn is in a much better scheduling spot as it is playing for just the 2nd time in 5 days. The Nets lost at Washington last time out, but they are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss. They are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a winning record. Bet the Nets. |
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03-16-14 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Los Angeles Clippers -11 | Top | 80-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Bailout on Clippers -11
Bottom Line: The Clippers have taken care of business against poor teams lately going 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games versus teams with a winning percentage below .400. They'll be lacking no motivation here as they look to pay Cleveland back for a 6-point upset loss in the season's first matchup. LA is 11-3 ATS this season when out for revenge for an upset loss this season. Playing against double-digit road dogs that have beaten the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games has resulted in a 61-31 ATS record since 1996 if they have a winning percentage of .250 to .400. These teams have lost by an average of 16.0 points in these contests. Pound the Clippers. |
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03-15-14 | Denver Nuggets v. Atlanta Hawks -6 | Top | 92-97 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Year on Hawks -6
Bottom Line: This is the last game of a long 5-game road trip for Denver, and it comes after arguably its biggest win of the season. In other words, this has letdown written all over it for the Nuggets. Atlanta will be the more rested team. Plus, it will be highly motivated as it looks to hold off teams for the last playoff spot in the East. The Nuggets are a terrible 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games when playing without a day of rest. They are also 1-11 ATS in the 2nd half of the season versus teams with a win percentage of 40-49% over the last 2 seasons. Pound the Hawks. |
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03-14-14 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Utah Jazz +9.5 | Top | 96-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +9.5
Bottom Line: Off a big win over Golden State, it's going to be mighty tough for the Clippers to get up for the lowly Jazz. Utah hasn't quit and continues to be competitive at home where it has lost by double digits just twice in its last 12 games. The Jazz are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games versus a team with a winning road record. This is the Clippers' first trip to Utah since 12/28/12, and they typically haven't fared well there. The Clippers are 4-17 ATS in the last 21 meetings in Utah. Pound the Jazz. |
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03-13-14 | Houston Rockets v. Chicago Bulls +3.5 | Top | 87-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Month on Bulls +3.5
Bottom Line: I think Houston will still be holding on to Tuesday's loss to the Thunder. That was a game it really wanted, and I don't see it being able to get up for a Bulls team it defeated by 15 earlier this season. Plus, the Rockets are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. The Bulls suffered a letdown against San Antonio following a huge win over Miami, but they are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games following a loss. They are also 10-1 ATS in the 2nd half of the season the last 3 seasons when playing against good teams that have a Win Pct. of .600 to .700. Also, Chicago is 13-4 ATS this season when out for revenge for a double-digit loss to an opponent. Pound the Bulls. |
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03-12-14 | Charlotte Bobcats +5.5 v. Washington Wizards | Top | 98-85 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Bobcats +5.5
Bottom Line: Washington is being overvalued at home, where it is 11-18-2 ATS this season, against a Bobcats team that will be out for revenge for a disappointing 14-point loss in the first matchup. The Wizards are a soft 9-19 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. The Wizards are also 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 home games versus a team with a losing road record. Charlotte is one of the best defensive teams in the league and has been solid in transition defense. That's why it's 8-1 ATS in the 2nd half of this season versus up-tempo teams like Washington that average 83 shots or more per game. The Bobcats have won these games by an average of 9.3 points. Pound Charlotte. |
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03-11-14 | Houston Rockets v. Oklahoma City Thunder -4 | 98-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
4* Major Western Conference *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Thunder -4
Bottom Line: Following an ugly upset loss to the Lakers, OKC will take its frustrations out on a Houston team it has owned. The Thunder have won 3 straight in the series by 9 points or more with the home win coming by 31. Playing against underdogs that are out for revenge for a home loss to an opponent has resulted in a 92-51 ATS record the last 5 seasons if the opponent is also off a road loss. The Thunder are 19-8 ATS the last 3 seasons following an upset loss on the road, winning these contests by an average of 8.4 points. |
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03-11-14 | Boston Celtics v. Indiana Pacers -11 | Top | 83-94 | Push | 0 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Pacers -11
Bottom Line: Look for the Pacers to bounce back at home, where they are 29-4 on the season, against a Boston team that has struggled on the road and has struggled against the Pacers. The Celtics are 8-22 on the road this season, including 0-4 in their last 4. They've lost 3 straight to the Pacers with two of the losses coming by 15-plus. They lost by 27 in the game played in Indiana. Cold teams like Indiana that have failed to cover the spread in 12 or more their last 15 games are 68-30 ATS since 1996 if they are up against an opponent that has covered the number in 5 or 6 of its last 7 games. This system is a perfect 5-0 ATS this season. Additionally, playing against road underdogs that are out for revenge for a home loss to an opponent has resulted in a 165-103 ATS record the last 5 seasons if their opponent is off a road loss. The Pacers are 28-11 ATS off a road loss the last 2 seasons. Pound Indiana. |
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03-10-14 | Phoenix Suns v. Los Angeles Clippers -10 | 105-112 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Clippers -10
Bottom Line: This is a tough spot for Phoenix, which is playing a 2nd road game in as many days. The Clippers suffered a letdown following their blowout win over the Lakers and were lucky to beat a struggling Atlanta squad. They will be focused here because of it. Plus, they lost by 19 on this floor to Phoenix earlier this season and will be motivated to right that wrong. The Clippers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 versus the Western Conference. They are 18-8 ATS this season after a game where they failed to cover the spread. |
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03-10-14 | Atlanta Hawks v. Utah Jazz +1.5 | 112-110 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Fool's Gold Favorite on Jazz +1.5
Bottom Line: The wrong team is favored here. The Hawks are 1-14 in their last 15, including 0-6 in their last 6. They are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall and 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 road games. They are even 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games versus teams with losing home records. Utah has been playing good at home where it is 2-0 in its last 2, 4-2 in its last 6 and 11-6 since Dec. 27. |
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03-09-14 | Indiana Pacers -1.5 v. Dallas Mavericks | Top | 94-105 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Pacers -1.5
Bottom Line: Despite 3 consecutive defeats, the Pacers are still 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a loss, and I fully expect them to bounce back strong here. Friday's loss at Houston brought the Pacers the kind of humiliation that will elicit a response. The Pacers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss of more than 10 points. They are 29-15 ATS under coach Frank Vogel off a road loss of 10 points or more. The Mavs picked up a much needed win over Portland last game to end a 3-game skid, but I don't see them being able to match defensive intensity with an Indiana team that has shown it can put the clamps on. The defensive effort hasn't been there for Indiana the past 2 games, and the results were ugly, so I expect them to do something about it. The Pacers are 10-2 ATS this season versus good shooting teams that make 46% of their shots or more. The Mavs are 5-17 ATS under Rick Carlisle in home games versus good defensive teams with a shooting percentage defense of 43% or better. The Pacers are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Dallas. The road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Pound the Pacers. |
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03-09-14 | Portland Trail Blazers +6 v. Houston Rockets | 113-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Blazers +6
Bottom Line: This is a sandwich game for Houston. It is off a gigantic 112-86 revenge win over Indiana and it has a big revenge game at Oklahoma City on deck. It has a pair of double-digit losses to the Thunder this season so it will already be looking ahead to that game, especially since it has won 2 of 3 against Portland this season and posted a 13-point win in this building in the most recent matchup. The Rockets are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Trail Blazers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a winning home record. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that average 103.0 ppg or more and trailed in their previous game by 15 points or more at the half are 29-9 ATS since 1996. |
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03-08-14 | New York Knicks v. Cleveland Cavaliers -1.5 | Top | 107-97 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Cavs -1.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks crushed Utah last night, but they are a pathetic 1-10 ATS in road games after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons and have lost in this spot by an average of 10.5 points. The Knicks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing without a day of rest, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games versus a team with a losing home record and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 versus the Eastern Conference. It is also worth mentioning that the Knicks are just 11-24 ATS as an underdog this season. The Cavs dropped a 3rd straight game last night, but they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400. They are also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games when playing without a day of rest. The Knicks embarrassed the Cavs 117-86 in late January, and that loss will provide plenty of fuel here. Pound Cleveland. |
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03-07-14 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Dallas Mavericks -2 | Top | 98-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on Mavs -2
Bottom Line: Playing on teams like Dallas that average 103.0 ppg or more and trailed in their previous game by 15 points or more at the half has resulted in a 140-76 (65%) ATS record since 1996. Additionally, Dallas is 10-1 ATS the last 3 seasons after trailing by 15 points or more at the half of its last game. The Mavs came out very flat in their last game against Denver but won the second half by 12 points. What they did in the second half gives them some momentum heading into this one. Mentally, they know if they can come out strong that they have an excellent chance to come away with a victory. I expect Dallas to get off to a strong start tonight against a Portland team that is giving up 105.3 ppg. You might recall that Portland won by 16 in this building in January so the Mavs will be lacking no incentive. Pound Dallas as it explodes to a double-digit win. |
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03-07-14 | Brooklyn Nets v. Boston Celtics +4 | 84-91 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
4* Major Atlantic Division *SUREFIRE* on Celtics +4
Bottom Line: The Celtics will go after this game with all they've got. They've lost the season's first two matchups, but I believe the third time's a charm. While the Celtics have struggled against the West, they are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 versus the Eastern Conference, earning a cover against Indiana during this span. The Nets have been far from reliable on the road where they are 12-18. They also have a losing record against the East. Brooklyn is coming off a pair of very satisfying wins over Chicago and Memphis, and the tendency will be to coast tonight. |
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03-07-14 | Cleveland Cavaliers +5 v. Charlotte Bobcats | 92-101 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Letdown *BLOOD BATH* on Cavs +5
Bottom Line: The Bobcats are in a letdown spot following Wednesday's upset win over Indiana. The Bobcats are 4-13 ATS off an upset win at over the last 2 seasons, losing these games by an average of 8.2 points. Charlotte is one of the lowest scoring teams in the NBA but has topped the century mark in its last 2 games. This is noteworthy because the Bobcats are 1-10 ATS after scoring 100 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. They have lost by an average of 10.5 points in this spot. The Cavs fall on the other side of the coin as they are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. They've lost the season's first 2 matchups with Charlotte so I expect them to bring a little extra tonight. The Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games versus a team with a losing record and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. |
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03-06-14 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Los Angeles Lakers +11.5 | 142-94 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA on TNT Bailout on Lakers +11.5
Bottom Line: I expect the Lakers to compete hard here after giving up 132 points in a loss to New Orleans. Plus, they gave up 123 points in a 36-point loss the last time they played their city rivals so they will be out to save face. The Lakers are 12-2 ATS under coach D'Antoni after allowing 120 points or more in their previous game, winning these contests by 0.1 points on average while holding opponents to 101.9 points. Clearly, the Lakers have responded following poor defensive efforts. |
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03-06-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Phoenix Suns +6.5 | Top | 122-128 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Suns +6.5
Bottom Line: The Suns have been a terrific investment this season at 38-21-1 ATS. They are 21-12 ATS when catching points. Phoenix went down to the Clippers last game, but it is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 games following an ATS loss. The Thunder are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 versus the far more challenging Western Conference. They are also 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games versus teams that have a winning record. The Suns played the Thunder to a 7-point game on the road early in the season, and I expect them to keep this one even closer. The last time they hosted OKC, they were handed a 97-69 defeat. That loss assures us they will be highly motivated. |
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03-05-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Boston Celtics +5 | Top | 108-88 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Celtics +5
Bottom Line: This is a huge letdown spot for the Warriors following last night's last-second victory in Indiana. This is also a highly fatigued spot for the Warriors who are playing their 6th straight road game and 3rd in 4 days. Boston has had 3 days off so it will undoubtedly be fresher. I also expect the Celtics to be motivated as they were done in by a Stephen Curry jumper with 4 seconds left back on Jan. 10. The Warriors are a poor 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a win. They are also 0-4 ATS this season in the last game of a road trip lasting at least 3 games. Boston is 5-0 in its last 5 and 8-1 in its last 9 home games in the series with the loss coming by a single point. Pound the Celtics. |
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03-05-14 | Houston Rockets v. Orlando Magic +6.5 | 101-89 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Magic +6.5
Bottom Line: This one has letdown written all over it for the Rockets, who defeated the Heat last night and have the Pacers, Blazers and Thunder up next. Orlando will have the fresher legs as it has had the last 2 days off. You can bet Dwight Howard would like to turn in a giant performance inside his old home. He did just that when he visited with the Lakers last season. But this Magic team has pride and will make sure it doesn't happen again. Orlando has been outstanding at home of late. It is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games with outright wins over the Thunder and Pacers during this stretch. The Magic are also a perfect 8-0 ATS in their last meetings with the Rockets. |
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03-04-14 | New Orleans Pelicans +2.5 v. Los Angeles Lakers | 132-125 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Pelicans +2.5
Bottom Line: Look for the Lakers to come out flat following last night's huge upset win in Portland. The Lakers are on a 13-28 ATS slide in home games off a road win of 3 points or less. They are also just 2-12 ATS in home games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. It's been a rough stretch for New Orleans, but it is also a 34-18 ATS run in road games after 4 or more consecutive losses. It is also 12-4 ATS in its last 16 road games against the Lakers. |
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03-04-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Cleveland Cavaliers +7.5 | Top | 122-101 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Cavs +7.5
Bottom Line: Cleveland has had an extra day to prepare for this contest, and it will want it more than the Spurs as it seeks revenge for the 126-96 beating it was handed at San Antonio earlier this season. The Spurs have bigger fish to fry and are already focusing on Thursday's matchup against the Heat, who defeated them in last year's NBA Finals and won the season's first matchup by double digits. Cleveland is an outstanding rebounding team, and such teams have given the Spurs big problems. The Spurs are just 4-15 ATS this season versus teams who average 53 boards per game or more. The Spurs have lost to these teams by 0.7 points on average. Additionally, the Cavs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 versus the Western Conference. Pound Cleveland. |
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03-03-14 | Chicago Bulls v. Brooklyn Nets -3 | Top | 80-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Nets -3
Bottom Line: I believe this is a motivational mismatch. The Nets have been embarrassed by the Bulls in the first 2 matchups, which is salt in a wound that was opened up by last season's playoff loss. I expect Brooklyn to finally have its revenge tonight, and it will be aided by the fact Chicago is in a tough scheduling spot (5th game in 7 days). The Nets have been impressive at home since the calendar turned to 2014, winning 10 of 12, including 4 in a row. They have big wins over the Thunder, Heat and Spurs in 2014, and they'll get the Bulls tonight. Pound the Nets. |
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03-02-14 | Dallas Mavericks +5.5 v. San Antonio Spurs | Top | 106-112 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Mavericks +5.5
Bottom Line: Off a loss to the Bulls and out for revenge for an ugly loss in its last trip to San Antonio, Dallas will be lacking no motivation or focus. First off, the Mavericks are 40-15 ATS in their last 55 games following a game where they failed to cover. Secondly, they are 40-16 ATS in their last 56 road games, 36-15 ATS in their last 51 road games versus a team with a winning home record and 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600. The Spurs are only 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Pound Dallas. |
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03-01-14 | Washington Wizards v. Philadelphia 76ers +11.5 | Top | 122-103 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Line Mistake of the Week on 76ers +11.5
Bottom Line: I'm fading the Wizards here. They are off a huge 3OT revenge win over Toronto, and they have a revenge game against Memphis up next. Not only will they be extremely fatigued, they won't give a 76ers team with the 2nd-worst record in the league their full attention. The 76ers will be the fresher team having not played since Wednesday, and I expect them to also show some fight as they try to avoid the season sweep. Keep in mind that 2 of their 3 losses to Washington this season have come by just 7 and 8 points. Double-digit dogs off 4 or more consecutive losses and playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 77-39 ATS since 1996. This system is 9-2 ATS the last 3 seasons and 2-0 ATS this season. I feel it is ridiculous for an average team like Washington to lay this many points on the road, especially given their high level of fatigue and low level of motivation. Pound Philly. |
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02-28-14 | Utah Jazz +4 v. Cleveland Cavaliers | Top | 79-99 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +4
Bottom Line: The Cavs are just 6-14 ATS as a favorite this season, 4-15 ATS in home games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons, 6-16 ATS in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons and 4-13 ATS in home games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons. I just don't trust the Cavs laying this many points in a fatigued spot. Road teams off 2 consecutive home wins of 10 points or more that are up against a non-conference opponent are 23-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. Pound Utah. |
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02-27-14 | Washington Wizards +5.5 v. Toronto Raptors | Top | 134-129 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards +5.5
Bottom Line: This game is all about revenge for the Wizards, who have lost each of first three matchups with Toronto. Washington is 7-0 ATS in road games this season versus teams that have a winning home record. This trend shows how competitive they've been on the highway against good teams. The Wizards are also 13-0 ATS this season in road games after playing a home game. They have won by an average of 5.5 points in this spot. Pound Washington. |
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02-26-14 | Brooklyn Nets +3 v. Portland Trail Blazers | 80-124 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Nets +3
Bottom Line: Edge goes to the Nets because they will be the much fresher teams. They've had the last 2 days off and are playing just their 4th game since the break. Portland played in Denver last night, is playing its 5th game since the break and its 3rd in 4 days. The Nets are 12-3 ATS in road games when playing 4 or less games in a 10-day span over the last 2 seasons. They are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. The Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games. Bet the Nets. |
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02-25-14 | Houston Rockets v. Sacramento Kings +4.5 | Top | 129-103 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Kings +4.5
Bottom Line: This is a really bad spot for Houston, which has a big showdown in L.A. against the Clippers tomorrow. The Rockets lost both of this season's previous meetings with the Clippers so that is a game they really want. They'll want to make sure they have plenty left in the tank for tomorrow night because they know they'll need maximum energy to beat the Clippers on their home floor. This means they'll likely try to get the "W" by coasting tonight, and I expect a very poor performance on the defensive end by the Rockets as a result. The Rockets are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400. The Kings are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Pound Sacramento. |
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02-24-14 | Dallas Mavericks v. New York Knicks +4 | 110-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Knicks +4
Bottom Line: Both teams are playing for the 3rd time in 4 days, but the situation is worse for the Mavs as all of these games have been on the road. The Knicks are 18-6 ATS in home games under coach Woodson when playing a 3rd game in 4 days and 25-11 ATS under Woodson in home games in the second half of the season. The home team has had the edge in this matchup, going 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Knicks have won both of their home games during this stretch by an average of 8.5 points. They also won the season's first matchup in Dallas last month and have won or lost by fewer than 4 points in each of the last 3 matchups. |
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02-24-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Detroit Pistons +2.5 | Top | 104-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Pistons +2.5
Bottom Line: Plays on teams like Detroit, 42 games or more into the season, that average 98-102 ppg and are up against a team that allows 98-102 ppg has resulted in a 27-8 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they have combined with their opponents for 205 total points or more in 3 straight games. This system tightens up to 16-3 ATS the last 3 seasons. Detroit has underachieved to this point given the level of talent it has, but it will have no problem getting up for this game considering how it was embarrassed at Golden State earlier this season. Plus, the Pistons catch a break tonight with Bogut still nursing a shoulder injury and Lee dealing with an illness. Those absences give them a huge advantage inside. Pound the Pistons. |
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02-24-14 | Los Angeles Clippers v. New Orleans Pelicans +4 | 123-110 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Pelicans +4
Bottom Line: This is a very difficult spot for the Clippers, who are playing a 3rd road game in 4 days and are in a letdown spot following a big win at Oklahoma City yesterday. The Pelicans got a much-needed day off yesterday and they'll go after this one with everything they've got to try to end a 3-game skid because they go right back out on the road for 5 consecutive games starting Wednesday. The Clippers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing without a day of rest while the Pelicans are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games playing with 1 day of rest. The Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win while the Pelicans are 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU loss. The Clippers are 3-13 ATS in the last 16 meetings in New Orleans. |
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02-23-14 | Washington Wizards +1 v. Cleveland Cavaliers | Top | 96-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards +1
Bottom Line: The Wizards lost by 2 at home Feb. 7 in the most recent matchup, and that loss will have them extremely motivated here. Washington is 12-0 ATS this season in road games after playing a home game, winning by an average of 4.8 points in this spot. The Wizards are also 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games versus a team with a winning home record. And, the underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Wizards are the healthier team, and they'll be the hungrier team. Pound Washington. |
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02-22-14 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Utah Jazz +4.5 | Top | 121-104 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +4.5
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from Minnesota following a blowout win over Indiana. The T-Wolves have had the last two days off while Utah played last night, but they have a big revenge game in Portland tomorrow and that makes this a tough spot for them, especially since they won easily in two previous meetings against the Jazz this season. Minnesota's tendency will certainly be to look ahead to tomorrow. The Timberwolves are 13-27 ATS in their last 40 games when playing on 2 days' rest and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a win of more than 10 points. Home underdogs with a losing record that are playing 5 games or less in 14 days are 48-22 ATS the last 5 seasons. Home underdogs that have failed to cover in 2 of their last 3 games and playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 68-32 ATS since 1996. Things haven't exactly gone smoothly for the T-Wolves in Utah where they have lost 7 of the last 8 meetings. The Timberwolves are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings overall. Pound the Jazz. |
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02-21-14 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Toronto Raptors -8 | Top | 91-98 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on Raptors -8
Bottom Line: The Cavs have rattled off 6 consecutive SU and ATS wins and they're catching nearly double digits? The books clearly expect their winning streak to come to an end tonight, and they're looking to trap the public in the process. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are off an upset loss and playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 65-36 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Cavaliers are 9-24 ATS in their last 33 games when playing on 1 day of rest, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games versus a team with a winning home record and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games versus a team with a winning record. The Raptors are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400, 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a loss, 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games when playing on 1 day of rest, 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 home games and 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games versus a team with a losing record. The Cavs have some key guys hurt and must also try to adjust to playing with a new teammate (Spencer Hawes). Look for Toronto to take advantage. |