12-04-13 |
Detroit Pistons v. Milwaukee Bucks +4.5 |
Top |
105-98 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 54 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* Game of the Month on Bucks +4.5 Bottom Line: This is a huge letdown spot for Detroit following last night's win over the Heat. Meanwhile, this is a revenge spot for Milwaukee as it was embarrassed by 19 in Detroit 1 1/2 weeks ago. Playing any team that has lost 12 or more of its last 15 games ATS, provided that team has is playing 6 or more games in a 10-day span, has resulted in a 90-50 ATS record since 1996. Teams fitting this scenario have been underdogs of 3.5 points on average but have lost by just 0.2 points on average. Pound the Bucks.
|
12-04-13 |
Denver Nuggets v. Cleveland Cavaliers +4.5 |
|
88-98 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 54 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Super System Smoker on Cavs +4.5 Bottom Line: Playing underdogs that have lost 12 or more of their last 15 games ATS has resulted in a 54-23 ATS record since 1996 if they're taking on a team that has won 3 of their last 4 ATS. Teams fitting this scenario have lost by just 2.8 points on average. Value lies with Cleveland.
|
12-03-13 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Sacramento Kings +7 |
|
97-95 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 30 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Kings +7 Bottom Line: OKC gets caught looking ahead here as it has a big showdown in Portland tomorrow. The Kings have lost 4 in a row but played the Clippers to a 1-point game and a 6-point game and played the Warriors to a 2-point game during this stretch. The Kings are an impressive 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600.
|
12-03-13 |
Charlotte Bobcats v. Dallas Mavericks -8 |
Top |
82-89 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 6 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Blowout on Mavs -8 Bottom Line: Mavs will be extremely motivated following back-to-back losses and 4 defeats in 5 games. They'll be ready to take their frustrations out on a Charlotte squad they are 9-0 lifetime against at home with a 12.9-point average margin of victory. Pound Dallas.
|
12-03-13 |
Illinois v. Georgia Tech -125 |
Top |
64-67 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 40 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Big Ten/ACC Challenge *BEST BET* on Georgia Tech -125 Bottom Line: The Yellow Jackets lost by 13 points at Illinois in last year's Big Ten/ACC Challenge, and they will have their revenge tonight. Georgia Tech brings almost everyone back from last year's team while Illinois returns only two starters and lost its top two scorers. The Fighting Illini are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 7-15 ATS in their last 22 road games versus a team with a winning home record. Pound Tech.
|
12-02-13 |
Cal-Irvine v. California -6.5 |
Top |
56-73 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 56 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* Blowout on Cal -6.5 Bottom Line: With or without Richard Solomon, I expect Cal to roll tonight at home where it is 37-6 in non-conference games under Mike Montgomery and 5-0 all-time versus Irvine. It's last 3 home wins in the series have come by an average of 18.7 points. If you want to beat Cal at home, you better be able to force some turnovers. That's something Irvine hasn't been able to do. The Golden Bears are 6-0 ATS in home games versus teams that force 12.0 turnovers or less per game under Montgomery, winning by an average of 21.6 points in these contests.
|
12-01-13 |
Oregon St v. DePaul -135 |
Top |
81-93 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 46 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on DePaul -135 Bottom Line: I like DePaul against the spread but am taking it on the ML for insurance as I really like it to win this game. Playing against road underdogs or pickems after a combined score of 175 points or more with four starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season has resulted in a 70-39 ATS record since 1997. Teams fitting this scenario have lost by an average of 13.5 points. The Beavers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a win and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game. The Blue Demons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 versus Pac-12 foes.
|
11-30-13 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Washington Wizards -157 |
Top |
101-108 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 59 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards -157 Bottom Line: I still like the Wizards against the spread but am taking them on the ML for insurance as I love their chances of winning this game. Washington is 17-6 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. It is also 18-7 ATS when playing the second game of a back-to-back over the last 2 seasons. The home team is 5-1-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The Hawks are 0-3-2 ATS in the last 5 meetings and 0-3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Washington.
|
11-29-13 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Detroit Pistons -5 |
Top |
106-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 41 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on Pistons -5 Bottom Line: Fading the Lakers in road contests when they are off an upset victory has resulted in an 11-1 ATS record the last 3 seasons. LA has lost these games by 11.9 points on average. Pound the Pistons.
|
11-29-13 |
Miami Heat v. Toronto Raptors +6.5 |
Top |
90-83 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 11 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog Game of the Week on Raptors +6.5 Bottom Line: Toronto has a huge edge in terms of fresh legs. Playing home underdogs with a losing record that are extremely well rested (playing 5 or less games in 14 days) has resulted in a 20-3 ATS record the last 3 seasons. Pound Toronto.
|
11-27-13 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Oklahoma City Thunder -131 |
|
88-94 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 36 m |
Show
|
4* Major *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Thunder -131 Bottom Line: The Thunder are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. The home team is 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings, and the Spurs 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Oklahoma City. San Antonio's winning streak comes to an end tonight.
|
11-27-13 |
Denver Nuggets v. Minnesota Timberwolves -6 |
|
117-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 35 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Timberwolves -6 Bottom Line: Minnesota has lost two straight but those came on the road to the Rockets and Pacers. Look for the Wolves to get back on track at home where they are 6-2 this season. The Timberwolves are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400 while the Nuggets are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games versus a team with a winning home record.
|
11-27-13 |
Washington Wizards v. Milwaukee Bucks +3.5 |
|
100-92 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 29 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Bucks +3.5 Bottom Line: The Wizards aren't the same team on the road where they are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games. They are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games versus a team with a losing home record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of less than .400.
|
11-27-13 |
Atlanta Hawks +8.5 v. Houston Rockets |
|
84-113 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 24 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Hawks +8.5 Bottom Line: The Hawks will respond following last night's ugly loss to Orlando. They are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Also, the underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings, and the road team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
|
11-27-13 |
Miami Heat v. Cleveland Cavaliers +9 |
|
95-84 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 6 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (ESPN) on Cavs +9 Bottom Line: Cleveland gave Miami fits last season, playing the Heat to within 2, 4, 3 and 1 points. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and I expect this trend to continue.
|
11-27-13 |
Chicago Bulls +4 v. Detroit Pistons |
|
99-79 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 57 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Bulls +4 Bottom Line: Nothing gets your attention like a loss to a terrible team. Chicago just lost at Utah, and that defeat will get the Bulls to quit sulking and start playing. They've shown they can be very competitive without Rose in the past, and I believe they'll be ready to go tonight. Chicago is 18-1 in its last 19 versus Detroit.
|
11-27-13 |
Philadelphia 76ers +4 v. Orlando Magic |
|
94-105 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 42 m |
Show
|
4* Major on 76ers +4 Bottom Line: An Orlando squad playing its 4th game in 5 days can't be trusted laying this many points against a Philly squad that has had 3 days of rest. The 76ers will be the fresher side without question. The Magic are 1-14 ATS as a favorite under coach Jacque Vaughn.
|
11-27-13 |
Indiana Pacers v. Charlotte Bobcats +8 |
Top |
99-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 34 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Bobcats +8 Bottom Line: The Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss, 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 Wednesday games and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 versus NBA Central division foes. The Pacers check in off a double-digit win over Minnesota but are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Pacers have only 1 road win greater than the point spread for this game. Pound the Bobcats.
|
11-26-13 |
Illinois v. UNLV +2 |
|
61-59 |
Push |
0 |
10 h 1 m |
Show
|
4* Major NCAAB *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on UNLV +2 Bottom Line: Illinois has been rolling right along, but now it hits the road for the first time this season. The Fighting Illini are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 road games. They are also on a 9-24 ATS slide in road games after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more.
|
11-26-13 |
Utah State v. Weber State +3 |
Top |
77-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 54 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Weber State +3 Bottom Line: The Wildcats are 37-17-2 ATS in their last 56 games following a loss, 20-3 ATS in their last 23 games following a road loss of 10 points or more and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 20 points. Weber State coach Randy Rahe has shown he can get his players to respond following defeat, and I expect a big statement win here. Pound the Wildcats.
|
11-26-13 |
Golden State Warriors -124 v. New Orleans Pelicans |
Top |
102-101 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 36 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Warriors -124 (still like Golden State at -2.5 but am taking it on the ML to eliminate any fluke ATS loss as I really like its chances of winning this game) Bottom Line: Playing road teams when the line is +3 to -3 that have given up 100 points or more in 2 straight games has resulted in a perfect 13-0 ATS record the last 3 seasons if the road team averages 98-102 ppg and is up against a team that allows 98-102 ppg. Additionally, the Warriors are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on 2 days' rest and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings in New Orleans. The Pelicans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 versus Western Conference foes. Pound the Warriors.
|
11-25-13 |
Milwaukee Bucks +7.5 v. Detroit Pistons |
|
94-113 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 25 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Super System Smoker on Bucks +7.5 Bottom Line: Playing road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after 8 or more consecutive losses has resulted in a reliable 94-52 ATS record since 1996. Additionally, playing against teams off a road win of 10 points or more that have a win percentage of 25-40% and are playing a losing team has resulted in a 28-9 ATS record the last 5 seasons. The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
|
11-25-13 |
Minnesota Timberwolves +7 v. Indiana Pacers |
|
84-98 |
Loss |
-115 |
6 h 55 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *POWER PLAY* on T-Wolves +7 Bottom Line: Playing against home favorites that are outscoring the opposition by 6.0 points or more per game has resulted in a 73-36 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they're playing a team that gave up 110 points or more last game. The Wolves have dropped 5 of 7 on the road but have been extremely competitive in these games with 4 losses of 4 or fewer points. The exception was an 11-point defeat at Houston last game, but we can't ignore that Minnesota is 28-11 ATS in its last 39 games following a loss of more than 10 points.
|
11-24-13 |
Chicago Bulls +7 v. Los Angeles Clippers |
|
82-121 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 18 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *BEST BET* on Bulls +7 Bottom Line: This line is an overreaction to Rose's injury. The Bulls played the Clippers to a 5-point game without Rose in the most recent meeting and certainly have what it takes to keep this one within the number. Chicago, one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, should have success slowing down a Clippers squad that is playing the second game of a back-to-back and 4th game in 5 days. This Chicago team knows how to elevate its play without Rose because it has had to do it a bunch. The Bulls are 17-7 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. Additionally, playing against home teams in November that are off a win but didn't cover the spread in the game has resulted in a 25-9 ATS record the 3 seasons.
|
11-23-13 |
Orlando Magic +13.5 v. Miami Heat |
|
99-101 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 11 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *BEST BET* on Magic +13.5 Bottom Line: Miami will have a tough time getting up for an Orlando squad it defeated by 28 a couple days ago. I look for the Heat to just go through the motions here. The Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games versus a team with a losing road record. Also, playing against home teams that outscore their opponents by an average of 9.0 points per game or more has resulted in a 29-4 ATS record the last 5 seasons when they are up against an opponent that allowed 105 points or more last game.
|
11-22-13 |
Chicago Bulls +3.5 v. Portland Trail Blazers |
|
95-98 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 9 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Bulls +3.5 Bottom Line: The Bulls were upset in Denver last night, but they are 33-14 ATS off a upset loss under coach Thibodeau, winning by an average of 9.4 points in this spot. The Bulls are also an impressive 30-13 ATS on Friday nights under Thibodeau. The Bulls are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games when playing without a day of rest. The Trail Blazers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games versus a team with a winning record.
|
11-21-13 |
Chicago Bulls v. Denver Nuggets +1.5 |
|
87-97 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 25 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA on TNT *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Nuggets +1.5 Bottom Line: Denver is 41-5 in its last 46 regular-season home games, including 3-0 in its last 3. It is 12-1 in its last 13 home games against the Bulls, including 6-0 in its last 6. It is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings overall, including 4-0 in the last 4. Bet the Nuggets.
|
11-20-13 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. Milwaukee Bucks +5 |
Top |
91-82 |
Loss |
-104 |
8 h 33 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Bucks +5 Bottom Line: Playing home underdogs after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread has produced a 21-3 ATS record the last 3 seasons if they're up against a team that has covered 6 or 7 of its last 8 against the spread. Plus, the Bucks are 4-0 SU and ATS in their last 4 versus Portland, winning these by 16.0 points on average. Pound Milwaukee.
|
11-20-13 |
Wichita State v. Tulsa +6 |
|
77-54 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
4* Major NCAAB *BEST BET* on Tulsa +6 Bottom Line: The Golden Hurricane are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600 while the Shockers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400. The Golden Hurricane are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games. The Shockers own an even first-half scoring margin of 96-96 while shooting 40.0 percent from the field. Another slow start tonight could get them beat as they hit the road for the first time. The Golden Hurricane have been very stingy defensively in the first half, holding opponents to 36.8 percent shooting, and I expect an inspired effort here as they look to snap a 5-game losing streak in the series. Wichita State has been able to pull away in the second half of its games, but I don't see that happening tonight against a motivated Tulsa squad.
|
11-20-13 |
Indiana Pacers v. New York Knicks +7 |
|
103-96 |
Push |
0 |
7 h 33 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Knicks +7 Bottom Line: The Knicks are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games when playing without a day of rest. The home team is 5-0 SU and ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Knicks have won or lost by 7 points in 6 straight home games versus the Pacers, creating a 6-0 trend in our favor (5 of these were wins).
|
11-19-13 |
Minnesota Timberwolves v. Washington Wizards +4.5 |
Top |
100-104 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 35 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards +4.5 Bottom Line: The Timberwolves are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games when playing on 2 days' rest. The Wizards are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 versus Western Conference opponents and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 versus Northwest division foes. They are also 26-12-1 ATS in their last 39 games versus winning teams. The home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The Timberwolves are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 meetings at Washington. Pound the Wizards.
|
11-18-13 |
Charlotte Bobcats +12 v. Chicago Bulls |
|
81-86 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 20 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *BEST BET* on Bobcats +12 Bottom Line: Playing against home favorites of 10 or more points - good defensive team allowing <=91 points/game on the season, after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game - has resulted in a 35-12 ATS record since 1996. Teams in this scenario have been favored by an average of 12.4 points but have won by only 7.8 points on average. This system is 6-1 ATS the last 5 seasons. Additionally, playing against home favorites of 10 or more points after 3 or more consecutive wins, with a winning record on the season, has resulted in a 118-69 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Teams in this scenario have been favored by 12.2 points on average but have won by only 9.8 on average.
|
11-18-13 |
Miami (Fla) v. College of Charleston -1 |
|
70-54 |
Loss |
-109 |
6 h 45 m |
Show
|
4* Major NCAAB *BEST BET* on College of Charleston -1 Bottom Line: I'll get behind this experienced College of Charleston squad (4 starters back) at home against a Miami club that lost its top six scorers from last season. Miami got it going against Texas Southern last game but lost to St. Francis-NY and defeated Georgia Southern by just a single point. Now this inexperienced Miami squad takes the road for the first time. The Cougars are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 versus ACC schools. They are also on a 64-39 ATS run in non-conference and a 66-40 ATS run after 1 or more consecutive losses.
|
11-17-13 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Sacramento Kings +2 |
|
97-86 |
Loss |
-102 |
8 h 27 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *BEST BET* on Kings +2 Bottom Line: The Grizzlies are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall, 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 road games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win and 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on 1 days' rest. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
|
11-17-13 |
Stanford v. Denver +2 |
|
66-57 |
Loss |
-105 |
4 h 18 m |
Show
|
4* Major NCAAB *BEST BET* on Denver +2 Bottom Line: Denver is a live dog today at home where it has won 13 in a row by an average of 20.6 points. This is Stanford's first road game of the season, and first road games are almost always a challenge. That challenge gets kicked up a notch here playing in Denver's mile-high altitude. The Pioneers will be hungry to keep their home winning streak alive and to avenge last season's loss at Palo Alto.
|
11-16-13 |
Wisconsin v. Wisc-Green Bay +5.5 |
|
69-66 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 17 m |
Show
|
4* Major NCAAB *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* on Wis-GB +5.5 Bottom Line: The Phoenix have an excellent opportunity to knock off the ranked Badgers just like they did in 2009 the last time they hosted in the series. Wis-GB is 35-9 at home under Brian Wardle. It is the more experienced team with 4 starters returning, including 7-foot-1 beast Alec Brown. Wisconsin lost a lot of fire power and toughness with the departures of Jared Berggren, Ryan Evans and Mike Bruesewitz. The Badgers are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 against Wis-GB.
|
11-16-13 |
Appalachian St +19.5 v. Cincinnati |
|
49-77 |
Loss |
-106 |
4 h 17 m |
Show
|
4* Major NCAAB Super Situation on Appalachian State +19.5 Bottom Line: Appalachian State is 7-0 ATS after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons and 9-0 ATS when playing only its 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons. Cincinnati is 0-7 ATS in Saturday home games over the last 2 seasons and 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games following an ATS win. These 4 trends create a 30-0 ATS situation in our favor.
|
11-15-13 |
Brooklyn Nets -1 v. Phoenix Suns |
|
100-98 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 5 m |
Show
|
4* Major Vegas Line Mistake on Nets -1 Bottom Line: The books are giving us a gift with the Nets laying a single point in what is a highly motivated spot. Brooklyn has gotten up for the good teams but played flat against lesser competition. However, with 3 straight losses and no road wins you better believe the Nets will be out to send a message here. They won both meetings against Phoenix last season. Plus, playing against any team off a cover in a game they lost straight up that is going against an opponent that's off an upset loss of 10 points or more on the road has resulted on a 44-15 ATS record since 1996.
|
11-15-13 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. Boston Celtics +2.5 |
|
109-96 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 36 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Live Dog on Celtics +2.5 Bottom Line: Portland is on a 0-8 ATS slide as a favorite of 3 points or less on the road. It is also on a 0-9 slide in Boston.
|
11-15-13 |
Charlotte Bobcats v. Cleveland Cavaliers -6 |
Top |
86-80 |
Loss |
-108 |
9 h 36 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Month on Cavaliers -6 Bottom Line: Cleveland is 14-1 at home versus Charlotte since the 2004 season, winning these games by an average score of 104-92. The Cavs are 4-0 in their last 4 home games in the series, winning these by 10, 14, 13 and 27. Pound Cleveland.
|
11-15-13 |
Western Carolina +8 v. Virginia Tech |
|
61-79 |
Loss |
-106 |
8 h 0 m |
Show
|
4* Major NCAAB Letdown Game of the Week on Western Carolina +8 Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from VA Tech following a big come from behind upset win against West Virginia. Western Carolina is very experienced (5 seniors start) and it will be hungry after getting kicked by Oregon. The Hokies are 2-10 ATS in home games after a game where they covered the spread over the last 3 seasons.
|
11-14-13 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 207.5 |
|
115-116 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 44 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA "Total" Bailout on Thunder/Warriors UNDER 207.5 Bottom Line: Playing the UNDER on road teams when the total is 200 to 209.5 after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record, has resulted in a 27-6 record the last 5 seasons. This system tightens up to a near-perfect 9-1 the last 3 seasons. Bet the UNDER.
|
11-13-13 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Los Angeles Clippers -4 |
Top |
103-111 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 4 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Clippers -4 Bottom Line: The Clippers will be out for revenge tonight as they were swept by the Thunder last season. OKC has won 4 straight coming in but 3 of those were at home and none came against 2012-13 playoff teams. The Clippers have 3 losses but have played a road-heavy schedule in the early going. They are 3-0 at home with double-digit wins over Golden State and Houston. The Thunder are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. This is a statement game for LA. Pound the Clipps.
|
11-13-13 |
Wyoming v. Colorado -10.5 |
Top |
58-63 |
Loss |
-102 |
8 h 24 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NCAAB Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Colorado -10.5 Bottom Line: Playing favorites of 10 or more points after a blowout win by 20 points or more, with four starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season, has resulted in a 78-41 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting this scenario have won by 19.0 points on average. Wyoming lost its top 3 scorers from last year's team while Colorado brings back 4 of its top 5 scorers, including its top 2. Wyoming has won 6 straight against Colorado so the Buffs will be lacking no incentive. Also, Wyoming is 8-17 ATS as an underdog under coach Shyatt. Pound the Buffs.
|
11-12-13 |
New Orleans Pelicans v. Los Angeles Lakers OVER 198.5 |
Top |
95-116 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 29 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Pelicans/Lakers OVER 198.5 Bottom Line: The Lakers are 21-7 OVER after 3 straight games where they made 42% of their shots or worse since 1996. New Orleans is on a 19-7 OVERS run versus team that shoot 43% or worse and allow 46% shooting or better. The OVER is 13-5 the last 18 times these teams have met in LA.
|
11-12-13 |
Pennsylvania -6 v. Monmouth |
|
79-73 |
Push |
0 |
5 h 6 m |
Show
|
4* Major NCAAB *BEST BET* on Penn -6 Bottom Line: This ultra-experienced Penn squad, which returns its entire starting 5, will be hungry to break into the win column following a narrow loss to Temple in its opener. The Quakers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games.
|
11-11-13 |
Detroit Pistons +4.5 v. Portland Trail Blazers |
|
103-109 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 12 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Pistons +4.5 Bottom Line: The Pistons are 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall, 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 road games, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Trail Blazers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games versus a team with a losing road record.
|
11-11-13 |
Denver Nuggets v. Utah Jazz +2.5 |
|
100-81 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 12 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Jazz +2.5 Bottom Line: The Nuggets are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss, 0-7 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 2 days' rest.
|
11-11-13 |
Toronto Raptors v. Houston Rockets -8 |
|
104-110 |
Loss |
-102 |
9 h 12 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Rockets -8 Bottom Line: The home team has dominated this series to the tune of 10-1-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
|
11-11-13 |
Orlando Magic +2.5 v. Boston Celtics |
|
105-120 |
Loss |
-103 |
9 h 42 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Magic +2.5 Bottom Line: Orlando is 19-8 ATS in road games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Additionally, the road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings between the Magic and Celtics.
|
11-11-13 |
Memphis Grizzlies +7 v. Indiana Pacers |
|
79-95 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 13 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Grizzlies +7 Bottom Line: The Grizzlies are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games versus a team with a winning record, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 versus the Pacers and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 in Indiana.
|
11-11-13 |
Wisc-Milwaukee v. Davidson -12 |
|
81-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 6 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Davidson -12 Bottom Line: The Panthers are 0-7 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons. Davidson is 7-0 ATS in home games after a combined score of 155 points or more over the last 3 seasons, 6-0 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons and 11-1 ATS in home games after allowing 85 points or more under Bob McKillop.
|
11-11-13 |
Georgia Southern v. Miami (Fla) -15.5 |
|
80-81 |
Loss |
-108 |
6 h 5 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Miami -15.5 Bottom Line: Miami is on a 10-2 ATS run at home. It's also 13-3 ATS under coach Jim Larranaga after a game where it made 33% of its shots or worse.
|
11-10-13 |
Washington Wizards v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 204 |
|
105-106 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 15 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Wizards/Thunder UNDER 204 Bottom Line: Playing the under when the total is 200 to 209.5 on all teams (Oklahoma City) with a winning record in the first half of the season has resulted in a 163-95 record the last 5 seasons. We've seen an average total line of 204.0 in these games but have seen just 199.2 total points scored on average. This system is 5-0 this season. Additionally, playing the under when the total is 200 to 209.5 on all teams (Washington) that have gone over the total by 42 or more points in their last five games has resulted in a 225-149 record the last 5 seasons. We've seen a total line of 204.4 on average in the games but only 202.5 total points scored on average. This system is 4-0 this season.
|
11-10-13 |
NC-Wilmington +20.5 v. Iowa State |
|
62-95 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 9 m |
Show
|
4* Major NCAAB *BEST BET* on NC-Wilmington +20.5 Bottom Line: Buzz Peterson is a good coach, and I'm confident we'll see a much better effort from his team than we saw in the opener. Teams headed up by Peterson are 74-51 ATS lifetime following 1 or more consecutive losses. Additionally, his squads are 16-6 ATS lifetime following a road loss where they were held to less than 60 points.
|
11-09-13 |
Indiana Pacers v. Brooklyn Nets -1.5 |
|
96-91 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 58 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *BEST BET* on Nets -1.5 Bottom Line: This is a bad spot for Indiana as this is its 4th game in 5 nights. Brooklyn will have the fresher legs. It was pushed to OT last night but didn't give a very good effort in that game as it was looking ahead to this one. Plus, the Nets are very deep, and they had 2 days off prior to last night's game. We saw the way Brooklyn got up for the Heat, and it will be jacked up for this game as well as it looks to hand Indiana its first loss of the season. The Nets have been a thorn in the side of the Pacers lately. They are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings with victories of 16, 11, 5 and 8 points in the last 4.
|
11-09-13 |
Temple v. Pennsylvania +5.5 |
|
78-73 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 23 m |
Show
|
4* Major NCAAB *BEST BET* on Penn +5.5 Bottom Line: Penn has played Temple tough the past two seasons. It played the Owls to a 6-point game in the 2011-12 season as host, and it played them to a 7-point game on the road last season. I love the Quakers chances of keeping this one even tighter as they return their entire team. That includes 3 players who averaged double figures and 3 more that averaged 5 or more. Temple brings back just 1 starter, and will miss the scoring and playmaking ability of Khalif Wyatt dearly. The Owls are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 versus Ivy League opponents and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings against Penn.
|
11-08-13 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Detroit Pistons +4 |
|
119-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 49 m |
Show
|
4* Major *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* on Pistons +4 Bottom Line: The Thunder are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on 1 days' rest. The Pistons are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Detroit has played the Thunder to 2 and 1 point games in its last 2 home games in the series and has an excellent chance to pull off the upset tonight.
|
11-08-13 |
Texas Christian v. Southern Methodist -9 |
|
61-69 |
Loss |
-108 |
7 h 45 m |
Show
|
4* Major NCAAB Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on SMU -9 Bottom Line: This line opened at -10 at several books and was bet up to as high as -10.5 at several others. The line has been bet back down, but one of the most profitable early season systems still applies because of where the line was. Playing against underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points in the first 10 games of the season if they return 1 or no starters and made 42% or less of their shot attempts last season has resulted in a 43-16 ATS record since 1997. Teams fitting this scenario have lost by 20.5 points on average.
|
11-08-13 |
Toronto Raptors +9 v. Indiana Pacers |
|
84-91 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 20 m |
Show
|
4* Major Super System Smoker on Raptors +9 Bottom Line: Playing against any team (Indiana in this case) that is holding its opponents to 41% shooting or less on the season after 4 straight games of allowing 42% shooting or worse has resulted in a 75-37 ATS record since 1996. Bet Toronto.
|
11-08-13 |
Brooklyn Nets v. Washington Wizards +3 |
|
108-112 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 20 m |
Show
|
4* Major LIVE DOG on Wizards +3 Bottom Line: The Wizards are an impressive 18-7 ATS as a home underdog since the beginning of last season, winning by an average score or 96.9 to 96.4 in these contests.
|
11-07-13 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Denver Nuggets -4 |
|
107-109 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 31 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *POWER PLAY* on Nuggets -4 Bottom Line: The Nuggets are 38-5 in their last 43 regular-season games at the Pepsi Center. They are 28-11 all-time at home versus the Hawks, including 6-0 in the last 6. These 6 wins were by an average of 9.2 points. Bet Denver.
|
11-07-13 |
Los Angeles Clippers +6 v. Miami Heat |
|
97-102 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 26 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Clippers +6 Bottom Line: Playing on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that score 103+ points/game on the season, after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half, has resulted in a 26-5 ATS record since 1996. Bet L.A.
|
11-06-13 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. Milwaukee Bucks +2 |
|
104-109 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 45 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Bucks +2 Bottom Line: Milwaukee is 6-1 in its last 7 home games against the Cavs. The Cavaliers are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games versus a team with a losing record, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on 1 days' rest.
|
11-06-13 |
Golden State Warriors v. Minnesota Timberwolves +1 |
|
106-93 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 44 m |
Show
|
4* Major on T-Wolves +1 Bottom Line: Now's the time to fade Golden State as the Warriors are just 5-15 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins under coach Jackson, losing these contests by an average of 6.9 points. Additionally, the T-Wolves are12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a loss.
|
11-06-13 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Orlando Magic +7.5 |
|
90-98 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 45 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Magic +7.5 Bottom Line: This is a sandwich game for LA off a big win over Houston and with Miami on deck. First half of the season home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off 2 or more consecutive home wins are 44-17 ATS the last 5 seasons.
|
11-06-13 |
Washington Wizards -1.5 v. Philadelphia 76ers |
|
116-102 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 45 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Wizards -1.5 Bottom Line: This game is all about revenge for Washington, which lost at home to Philly Friday. The Wizards are on an 18-6 ATS run when out for revenge for a home loss to an opponent.
|
11-06-13 |
Chicago Bulls +3 v. Indiana Pacers |
Top |
80-97 |
Loss |
-107 |
8 h 45 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Bulls +3 Bottom Line: The rested Bulls will be out to send the message that they're the best squad in the Central division. They lost 3 of 4 to the Pacers last season but didn't have Derrick Rose in the lineup. The Bulls have won 14 of 20 against the Pacers with Rose, and I expect them to spoil Indy's unbeaten season tonight.
|
11-05-13 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Dallas Mavericks -8.5 |
Top |
104-123 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 18 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Blowout on Mavs -8.5 Bottom Line: The Lakers are 11-25 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons and 5-18 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. LA is also 0-10 ATS after successfully covering the number in 2 or more consecutive games under D'Antoni. Dallas is 19-5 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by 13.5 points on average. Pound the Mavs.
|
11-04-13 |
Minnesota Timberwolves v. Cleveland Cavaliers -2 |
Top |
92-93 |
Loss |
-102 |
7 h 19 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Cavs -2 Bottom Line: This is a letdown spot for 3-0 Minnesota following yesterday's upset win in New York. This is a highly motivated spot for the Cavs, who have lost their last two. They also lost both of last season's meetings with Minnesota so we can be assured that they will be lacking no incentive. Cleveland is 10-4 in its last 14 against the T-Wolves. Additionally, Minnesota is 7-18 ATS following an upset victory under coach Adelman, losing by an average of 5.3 points in this spot.
|
11-03-13 |
Minnesota Timberwolves v. New York Knicks -3.5 |
|
109-100 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 14 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *BEST BET* on Knicks -3.5 Bottom Line: This is a good spot to back the Knicks. Not only are they motivated by a 1-point loss at Chicago last time out, but they have had 2 days to rest up and prepare for this contest. For the first time this season Minnesota is on the road where it went just 11-30 a season ago. The Knicks were an impressive 31-10 at home last season. The Knicks are 4-0 in their last 4 against Minnesota, winning these by 4.5 points on average. They are 3-0 in their last 3 home games against the T-wolves, winning these by 12.3 points on average. New York is an impressive 18-2 ATS in home games after playing a game as an underdog under coach Woodson. It has won by an average of 11.6 points in this spot.
|
11-02-13 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Portland Trail Blazers +1.5 |
|
105-115 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 51 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Blazers +1.5 Bottom Line: Portland has given San Antonio fits. The Blazers are 12-5 against the Spurs in the regular season since 2008. They are 8-1 in their last 9 home games against the Spurs with a 10.5-point average margin of victory. Tough spot for this aging Spurs team playing back-to-back, possibly without Tim Duncan, after making the long trip up from L.A. last night.
|
11-02-13 |
Houston Rockets v. Utah Jazz +6 |
|
104-93 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 50 m |
Show
|
4* Major Western Conference *PUNISHER* on Jazz +6 Bottom Line: Utah will want this game just a little bit more. The Jazz are 0-2 and want to break into the win column before leaving for a 4-game road trip out east. It will have an excellent opportunity to do just that at home where it has won 30 of its last 42. Houston has a poor road team last season (16-25), and the Jazz have won or lost by 2 points or fewer in 10 of their last 12 home games against the Rockets. Utah is also on a 27-14 ATS run in home games after playing a road game, winning these contests by 5.9 points on average.
|
11-02-13 |
Charlotte Bobcats v. New Orleans Pelicans -8 |
|
84-105 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 50 m |
Show
|
4* Major Double Digit Blood Bath on Pelicans -8 Bottom Line: The Bobcats are on a 7-17 ATS slide as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points, losing these contests by 14.4 points on average. Charlotte is also on a 13-31 ATS skid in the second game of a back-to-back, losing in this spot by 13.5 points on average. New Orleans was embarrassed in Orlando last night but is 24-6 ATS in its last 30 games following a loss of more than 10 points. The Bobcats are 4-14 ATS in the last 18 meetings, including 1-8 ATS in the last 9 meetings in New Orleans.
|
11-02-13 |
Chicago Bulls -8.5 v. Philadelphia 76ers |
|
104-107 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 20 m |
Show
|
4* Major Eastern Conference *BEST BET* on Bulls -8.5 Bottom Line: The Bulls have had a day of rest while the 76ers will be playing a second game in as many nights. Philly has not performed well in back-to-backs as it is 8-25 ATS in its last 33 games when playing without rest. The Bulls have failed to cover in their first two games, but now's the time to back them as they are 32-16 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games under coach Thibodeau.
|
11-01-13 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Sacramento Kings +3.5 |
|
110-101 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 52 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Kings +3.5 Bottom Line: Tough spot for the Clippers playing a back-to-back and a 3rd game in 4 nights. The Clippers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games, and they have struggled in Sacramento where they are 2-6-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings, including 0-2 ATS in the last 2.
|
11-01-13 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Minnesota Timberwolves -2 |
|
81-100 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 52 m |
Show
|
4* Major *POWER PLAY* on T-Wolves -2 Bottom Line: Not having Russell Westbrook in the lineup is a big deal as it makes the Thunder more of a one-on-one team. They had just 9 assists versus Utah, which is a bad sign considering they are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games after a game with 15 or less assists. They have lost by 2.9 points on average in this spot. The Thunder are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall going back to last season. They are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Minnesota, and the home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. OKC has lost its last 2 at the Target Center by 6 and 8 points.
|
11-01-13 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. Charlotte Bobcats +3 |
|
84-90 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 52 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Vegas Line Mistake on Bobcats +3 Bottom Line: I feel oddsmakers are making a mistake by giving the Bobcats points at home. Charlotte was favored in both home meetings last season and lost one of those by just 2 points and won the other by 7 points. Plus, this looks to be a flat spot for Cleveland following a big win over the Nets with a big game at Indiana tomorrow. The Cavaliers are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a game in which they covered the spread.
|
11-01-13 |
Philadelphia 76ers v. Washington Wizards -9.5 |
Top |
109-102 |
Loss |
-102 |
8 h 52 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Friday Night Blowout on Wizards -9.5 Bottom Line: This is a huge letdown spot for Philly, which is coming off an upset win against the defending champs and hosts Chicago tomorrow. The 76ers were a woeful 11-30 on the road last season, and those woes continue here against a Washington team that is 22-9 ATS lifetime in home games against teams with a winning record under coach Wittman. Pound the Wiz.
|
10-31-13 |
Golden State Warriors v. Los Angeles Clippers -6.5 |
|
115-126 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 20 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Clippers -6.5 Bottom Line: Rivers isn't at all pleased with how his Clippers debut went, and I'm confident his team will respond. Rivers' teams are 35-18 ATS all-time following a loss to a division rival.
|
10-31-13 |
New York Knicks v. Chicago Bulls -8 |
|
81-82 |
Loss |
-102 |
8 h 56 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bulls -8 Bottom Line: The Knicks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win and Knicks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Chicago. The Bulls are 8-0 ATS under coach Thibodeau after scoring 35 points or less in the first half last game. They have won by 12.5 points on average in this spot.
|
10-30-13 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Golden State Warriors -12 |
|
94-125 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 49 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Warriors -12 Bottom Line: The Lakers are 14-36-2 ATS in their last 52 games following an ATS win, 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a win of more than 10 points, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games and 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
|
10-30-13 |
Memphis Grizzlies +5.5 v. San Antonio Spurs |
|
94-101 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 45 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Grizzlies +5.5 Bottom Line: This is a game the Grizzlies have had circled since they were swept by San Antonio in last year's Western Conference Finals. The Grizzlies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games, and the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
|
10-30-13 |
Indiana Pacers v. New Orleans Pelicans +2 |
Top |
95-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 20 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Pelicans +2 Bottom Line: The Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win. Plus, this is a tough spot as they set out on the road after playing at home last night. New Orleans will be fresh and waiting. I expect the Pelicans to be greatly improved with the addition of Philadelphia All-Star Jrue Holiday and Tyreke Evans, and with a healthy Eric Gordon. I also believe we'll see big-time improvement from Anthony Davis in year No. 2. Pound the Pelicans.
|
10-30-13 |
Milwaukee Bucks +8 v. New York Knicks |
|
83-90 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 56 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Bucks +8 Bottom Line: The Bucks are 48-19-2 ATS in their last 69 versus NBA Atlantic division opponents. They are also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings in New York.
|
10-30-13 |
Miami Heat v. Philadelphia 76ers +11.5 |
|
110-114 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 32 m |
Show
|
4* Major on 76ers +11.5 Bottom Line: The Heat are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.
|
10-30-13 |
Brooklyn Nets v. Cleveland Cavaliers +4 |
|
94-98 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 31 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Cavaliers +4 Bottom Line: It's going to take some time for the Nets to jell with all their new pieces. Plus, I think they'll be looking ahead to Friday's showdown with Miami. The underdog is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
|
10-30-13 |
Boston Celtics +8 v. Toronto Raptors |
|
87-93 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 29 m |
Show
|
4* Major on Celtics +8 Bottom Line: The Celtics are 18-7-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings overall and 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Toronto.
|
10-29-13 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Los Angeles Lakers +9 |
|
103-116 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 35 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOIT* on Lakers +9 Bottom Line: The Clippers are being overalued because Kobe Bryant won't be on the floor for the Lakers. The Lakers still have enough talent to keep this one close, and the offense will likely flow better with the ball not stopping once it hits Bryant's hands. Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that won 45-55% of their games last season are 38-12 ATS since 1996.
|
10-29-13 |
Chicago Bulls +4.5 v. Miami Heat |
Top |
95-107 |
Loss |
-102 |
10 h 50 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bulls +4.5 Bottom Line: Motivated by last season's playoff series loss to the Heat, and with Derrick Rose back in action, look for the Bulls to give Miami all it wants and more on opening night. The Bulls have given Miami problems, even without Rose in the lineup, because of the way they get after it at the defensive end. The Bulls won their first meeting with the Heat last season in Miami and split the regular season series 2-2. Chicago has won or lost by fewer than 4.5 points in 8 of the last 14 meetings. The road team is 3-0 ATS in the last 3 meetings. Pound the Bulls.
|
06-20-13 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Miami Heat -5.5 |
Top |
88-95 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 6 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Game 7 *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Heat -5.5 Bottom Line: The Spurs blew their chance in Game 6. Although the opportunity to win a championship is the ultimate motivator, it will be extremely difficult for the Spurs to recover, both emotionally and physically, from the blow they were dealt in Game 6. I fully expect Miami to win this game at home where it has won 46 times in 53 chances this season. I'm also not hesitating to lay the points as the Heat are 35-21 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. The Heat didn't cover the number last game, but they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss. Pound Miami.
|
06-20-13 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Miami Heat UNDER 189 |
Top |
88-95 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 5 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Game 7 "Total" DOMINATOR on Spurs/Heat UNDER 189 Bottom Line: Game 7's are a different animal. With so much on the line, teams up the ante on defense. Also, the pace typically slows as more value is placed on each possession. The slower pace tends to disrupt the rhythm of the offenses. We have seen an average of only 163.7 total points scored in the last 3 NBA Finals Game 7's with no more than 174 total points scored in any of these. Also, you want to bet the UNDER on #1 seeds in the NBA Finals if the total is between 180 and 189.5 points. Doing so has generated a 24-6 record the last 17 years. Pound the UNDER.
|
06-18-13 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Miami Heat UNDER 191 |
|
100-103 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 0 m |
Show
|
4* Major NBA Finals Game 6 "Total" Dominator on Spurs/Heat UNDER 191 Bottom Line: The last 3 games of the series have finished over the number, but I expect that to change with a change venue. Miami is 4-0 UNDER in its last 4 home games and the Spurs are 3-0 UNDER in their last 3 road games. Besides, even with the 3 consecutive overs, these two have still finished UNDER the total in 22 of the last 30 meetings, including 12 of the last 15 in Miami. San Antonio shot 60% in Game 5, but that won't happen in Miami where they shot under 42% in Games 1 and 2. Both teams know the way to the title starts on the defensive end, and both teams should be locked in defensively as one tries to end the series and the other fights for its life.
|
06-18-13 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Miami Heat -7 |
Top |
100-103 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 0 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Game 6 *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Heat -7 Bottom Line: The Heat are 12-0 SU and ATS in their last 12 games following a loss, and each of these victories have come by double digits. They are also 16-4 ATS this season when out for revenge for a same-season loss to an opponent. They have responded to win these games by an average of 13.4 points. Miami is 45-7 at home on the season where it carries an average winning margin of 10.4 points. I fully expect the reigning NBA champs to force a Game 7. Pound Miami.
|
06-16-13 |
Miami Heat v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 188 |
Top |
104-114 |
Loss |
-110 |
54 h 54 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Parlay of the Year on Spurs +1.5/UNDER 188 Bottom Line: With 2 full days of rest on their side, I fully expect both of these teams to play tenacious defense in Game 5. Miami is 11-3 UNDER this season when playing on 2 days' rest this season. The Spurs are also on an 83-62 UNDERS run in home games when playing on 2 days' rest. It's also very typical to see a team pick up its level of defensive intensity after getting blown out. That's been the case for the Spurs, who are on a 33-17 UNDERS run at home following a blowout loss of 15 points or more. Also, you want to bet the UNDER on all teams in the NBA Finals if the total is between 180 and 189.5 points because doing so has produced a 50-16 (75.8%) mark the last 17 years. We've seen only 179.3 total points scored on average in these contests.
I believe the Spurs will want this game just a little more knowing they'll have to win two in a row in Miami if they don't get the job done. They know that's likely too much to ask so they'll leave it all on the floor. I'm expecting a strong game from Ginobli to the be the difference. He's getting call out by everyone (media, teammates, coach), and I believe he'll respond the way great players do. The Spurs have followed up each of their previous 3 playoff defeats with decisive wins. Plus, they are 16-4 ATS when out for revenge for a home defeat to an opponent the last 3 seasons. They have won by an average of 8.0 points in this situation.
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06-16-13 |
Miami Heat v. San Antonio Spurs +1.5 |
Top |
104-114 |
Win
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100 |
54 h 54 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Parlay of the Year on Spurs +1.5/UNDER 188 Bottom Line: With 2 full days of rest on their side, I fully expect both of these teams to play tenacious defense in Game 5. Miami is 11-3 UNDER this season when playing on 2 days' rest this season. The Spurs are also on an 83-62 UNDERS run in home games when playing on 2 days' rest. It's also very typical to see a team pick up its level of defensive intensity after getting blown out. That's been the case for the Spurs, who are on a 33-17 UNDERS run at home following a blowout loss of 15 points or more. Also, you want to bet the UNDER on all teams in the NBA Finals if the total is between 180 and 189.5 points because doing so has produced a 50-16 (75.8%) mark the last 17 years. We've seen only 179.3 total points scored on average in these contests.
I believe the Spurs will want this game just a little more knowing they'll have to win two in a row in Miami if they don't get the job done. They know that's likely too much to ask so they'll leave it all on the floor. I'm expecting a strong game from Ginobli to the be the difference. He's getting call out by everyone (media, teammates, coach), and I believe he'll respond the way great players do. The Spurs have followed up each of their previous 3 playoff defeats with decisive wins. Plus, they are 16-4 ATS when out for revenge for a home defeat to an opponent the last 3 seasons. They have won by an average of 8.0 points in this situation.
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06-13-13 |
Miami Heat +1.5 v. San Antonio Spurs |
Top |
109-93 |
Win
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100 |
32 h 24 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Game 4 *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Heat +1.5 Bottom Line: Even if Tony Parker's hamstring is 100% by game time on Thursday, I expect the Heat to get the job done. The defending champs haven't lost consecutive games in 5 months. They are 11-0 in their last 11 games following a loss and have won these games by 19.8 points on average. Also, you want to take road teams that check in off an embarrassing road loss where they were held to less than 80 points if they are playing their 6th game or fewer in 14 days. Doing so has produced a 27-12 ATS mark the last 5 seasons. The Heat are on a 14-3 ATS run in road games following a road blowout loss of 20 points or more. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a game in which they did not cover and 7-0 ATS this season on the road after 3 consecutive non-conference games. Pound the Heat.
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06-11-13 |
Miami Heat v. San Antonio Spurs -2 |
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77-113 |
Win
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100 |
11 h 9 m |
Show
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4* Major NBA Finals Game 3 *SUREFIRE* on Spurs -2 Bottom Line: The Spurs are 13-3 in the playoffs and haven't lost consecutive games. After losing Game 2 of the conference semis to Golden State, they responded with a 102-92 victory. After losing Game 4 to the Warriors, they bounced back with a 109-91 win. San Antonio is also 6-1 at home in these playoffs, including 3-0 in its last 3. The Spurs are 21-9 ATS all-time under coach Popovich when tied in a playoff series. They are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games following a loss of more than 10 points while the Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win of more than 10 points. Bet the Spurs.
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06-11-13 |
Miami Heat v. San Antonio Spurs OVER 187.5 |
Top |
77-113 |
Win
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100 |
11 h 9 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Total of the Year on Heat/Spurs OVER 187.5 Bottom Line: We saw 187 total points scored in Game 2 despite San Antonio's big 3 combining for only 27 points and LeBron James scoring just 17 points. I expect the stars to show much better tonight. These teams combined for 20 3-point makes in Game 2, but that isn't out of the ordinary as they average 8 a piece per game on the season. Plus, I expect to see both teams making a lot more trips to the charity stripe in this one. They both average 16+ free throws made per game but attempted only 14 in Game 2. Miami is 18-9 OVER when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points this season. The Spurs are 24-11 OVER when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points over the last 3 seasons. The OVER is also 5-1 in the Spurs last 6 home games and 7-3-1 in the Heat's last 11 road games versus a team with a winning home record. Pound the OVER.
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06-09-13 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Miami Heat -5.5 |
Top |
84-103 |
Win
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100 |
12 h 0 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Game of the Year on Miami -5.5 Bottom Line: I missed with Miami in Game 1, but I'm not hesitating to come right back with them tonight. The Heat appeared on the verge of busting Game 1 open several times before falling flat in the 4th. The Game 1 defeat assures us they'll come out with even more energy and passion tonight. The Heat lost Game 1 of the NBA Finals last year but then rattled off 4 consecutive wins against the Thunder so they will enter Game 2 with complete confidence. No team in the NBA has shown as much resiliency as the Heat, who are 10-0 in their last 10 games following defeat. Miami didn't just win these games, it won them big. Each of the 10 were by a minimum of 10 points. Pound the Heat.
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