09-11-21 |
Texas State +2 v. Florida International |
|
23-17 |
Win
|
100 |
34 h 59 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Texas State +2 -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-11-21 |
Wyoming -6 v. Northern Illinois |
|
50-43 |
Win
|
100 |
123 h 10 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR on Wyoming -6 -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-11-21 |
Pittsburgh -2.5 v. Tennessee |
Top |
41-34 |
Win
|
100 |
122 h 1 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Pittsburgh -2½ -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-06-21 |
Louisville +10 v. Ole Miss |
Top |
24-43 |
Loss |
-110 |
31 h 30 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Louisville +10 -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-05-21 |
Notre Dame -7 v. Florida State |
Top |
41-38 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 18 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Notre Dame -7 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-04-21 |
New Mexico State v. San Diego State -30 |
|
10-28 |
Loss |
-109 |
160 h 55 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR on San Diego State -30 -109 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-04-21 |
Northern Illinois v. Georgia Tech -16 |
|
22-21 |
Loss |
-110 |
937 h 23 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR on Georgia Tech -16 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-04-21 |
Texas Tech v. Houston +2.5 |
|
38-21 |
Loss |
-113 |
53 h 9 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR on Houston +2½ -113 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-04-21 |
Central Michigan v. Missouri -14 |
|
24-34 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 48 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR on Missouri -14 +100 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-04-21 |
West Virginia v. Maryland +3 |
|
24-30 |
Win
|
100 |
40 h 50 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Maryland +3 -120 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-04-21 |
Rice +19.5 v. Arkansas |
|
17-38 |
Loss |
-110 |
62 h 6 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR on Rice +19½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-02-21 |
Boise State v. Central Florida -5.5 |
|
31-36 |
Loss |
-107 |
22 h 51 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Central Florida -5½ -107 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-02-21 |
Ohio State -13.5 v. Minnesota |
|
45-31 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 8 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Ohio State -13½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-02-21 |
East Carolina +10.5 v. Appalachian State |
|
19-33 |
Loss |
-112 |
39 h 20 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on East Carolina +10½ -112 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-28-21 |
UTEP -6.5 v. New Mexico State |
Top |
30-3 |
Win
|
100 |
772 h 38 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on UTEP -6½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
08-28-21 |
Nebraska v. Illinois +8 |
|
22-30 |
Win
|
100 |
763 h 5 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR on Illinois +8 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
12-29-20 |
Colorado +8.5 v. Texas |
Top |
23-55 |
Loss |
-114 |
14 h 42 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Colorado +8½ -114 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
12-29-20 |
Oklahoma State -2 v. Miami-FL |
Top |
37-34 |
Win
|
100 |
32 h 29 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Oklahoma State -2 -112
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
12-26-20 |
Liberty v. Coastal Carolina -6.5 |
|
37-34 |
Loss |
-112 |
110 h 57 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR on Coastal Carolina -6½ -112 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
12-25-20 |
Marshall +5.5 v. Buffalo |
Top |
10-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
27 h 23 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Marshall +5½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
12-23-20 |
Georgia Southern -5.5 v. Louisiana Tech |
Top |
38-3 |
Win
|
100 |
33 h 24 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Georgia Southern -5½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
12-12-20 |
Rutgers +8 v. Maryland |
|
27-24 |
Win
|
100 |
110 h 40 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Rutgers +8 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
12-11-20 |
Nevada v. San Jose State -2.5 |
Top |
20-30 |
Win
|
100 |
37 h 36 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on San Jose State -2½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
12-10-20 |
Pittsburgh v. Georgia Tech +7 |
Top |
34-20 |
Loss |
-110 |
33 h 54 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Georgia Tech +7 -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
12-05-20 |
Iowa -13 v. Illinois |
Top |
35-21 |
Win
|
100 |
115 h 8 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Iowa -13 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
12-05-20 |
Texas A&M -6.5 v. Auburn |
|
31-20 |
Win
|
100 |
112 h 38 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR on Texas A&M -6½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
11-28-20 |
LSU v. Texas A&M -11.5 |
Top |
7-20 |
Win
|
100 |
142 h 10 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Texas A&M -11½ -116 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
11-28-20 |
Northern Illinois v. Western Michigan -19 |
|
27-30 |
Loss |
-110 |
114 h 40 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Western Michigan -19 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
11-26-20 |
New Mexico v. Utah State +7 |
Top |
27-41 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 4 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Utah State +7 -115
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
11-21-20 |
Tennessee v. Auburn -10 |
Top |
17-30 |
Win
|
100 |
130 h 35 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Auburn -10 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
11-21-20 |
Cincinnati -4 v. Central Florida |
|
36-33 |
Loss |
-110 |
126 h 17 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Cincinnati -4 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
11-21-20 |
Arkansas State -5.5 v. Texas State |
Top |
45-47 |
Loss |
-114 |
123 h 57 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Arkansas State -5½ -114 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
11-20-20 |
New Mexico +10.5 v. Air Force |
Top |
0-28 |
Loss |
-109 |
108 h 58 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on New Mexico +10½ -109 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
11-18-20 |
Western Michigan v. Central Michigan -2.5 |
Top |
52-44 |
Loss |
-110 |
58 h 57 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Central Michigan -2½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
11-15-20 |
California v. UCLA +3 |
Top |
10-34 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 13 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on UCLA +3 -109
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
11-13-20 |
Iowa v. Minnesota +4 |
Top |
35-7 |
Loss |
-113 |
6 h 56 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Minnesota +4 -113
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
11-11-20 |
Central Michigan -6.5 v. Northern Illinois |
Top |
40-10 |
Win
|
100 |
71 h 51 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Central Michigan -6½ -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
11-10-20 |
Miami-OH +11.5 v. Buffalo |
Top |
10-42 |
Loss |
-115 |
32 h 21 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Miami-OH +11½ -115
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
11-07-20 |
UCLA -5.5 v. Colorado |
|
42-48 |
Loss |
-108 |
130 h 57 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR on UCLA -5½ -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
11-07-20 |
Nebraska v. Northwestern -3.5 |
|
13-21 |
Win
|
100 |
123 h 58 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Northwestern -3½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
11-06-20 |
BYU -2.5 v. Boise State |
Top |
51-17 |
Win
|
100 |
109 h 58 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on BYU -2½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
11-05-20 |
Utah State v. Nevada -17 |
Top |
9-34 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 59 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Nevada -17 -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
11-04-20 |
Ball State +3.5 v. Miami-OH |
Top |
31-38 |
Loss |
-110 |
58 h 58 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Ball State +3½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-31-20 |
TCU -2.5 v. Baylor |
|
33-23 |
Win
|
100 |
129 h 31 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on TCU -2½ -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-31-20 |
Northwestern +3 v. Iowa |
|
21-20 |
Win
|
100 |
128 h 25 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR on Northwestern +3 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-31-20 |
Kansas State +3 v. West Virginia |
|
10-37 |
Loss |
-109 |
125 h 49 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR on Kansas State +3 -109 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-31-20 |
Purdue -6.5 v. Illinois |
Top |
31-24 |
Win
|
100 |
125 h 52 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Purdue -6½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-30-20 |
East Carolina +18.5 v. Tulsa |
Top |
30-34 |
Win
|
100 |
110 h 53 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on East Carolina +18½ -114 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-24-20 |
Air Force -6.5 v. San Jose State |
Top |
6-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
132 h 44 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Air Force -6½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-24-20 |
Utah State v. Boise State -15.5 |
|
13-42 |
Win
|
100 |
128 h 14 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR on Boise State -15½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-15-20 |
Georgia State +4.5 v. Arkansas State |
Top |
52-59 |
Loss |
-110 |
81 h 19 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Georgia State +4½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-14-20 |
Coastal Carolina +7 v. UL-Lafayette |
Top |
30-27 |
Win
|
100 |
58 h 1 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Coastal Carolina +7 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-10-20 |
Charlotte -2.5 v. North Texas |
|
49-21 |
Win
|
100 |
129 h 18 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Charlotte -2½ -118 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-10-20 |
UL-Monroe v. Liberty -18.5 |
|
7-40 |
Win
|
100 |
117 h 15 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Liberty -18½ -113 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-10-20 |
Florida -6.5 v. Texas A&M |
Top |
38-41 |
Loss |
-110 |
132 h 40 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Florida -6½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-09-20 |
Louisville -4.5 v. Georgia Tech |
Top |
27-46 |
Loss |
-112 |
115 h 41 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Louisville -4½ -112 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-08-20 |
Tulane v. Houston -4.5 |
Top |
31-49 |
Win
|
100 |
91 h 11 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Houston -4½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-03-20 |
Auburn +7 v. Georgia |
|
6-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
131 h 43 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Auburn +7 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-03-20 |
Oklahoma v. Iowa State +7.5 |
|
30-37 |
Win
|
100 |
129 h 12 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR on Iowa State +7½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-03-20 |
Navy +1.5 v. Air Force |
Top |
7-40 |
Loss |
-110 |
141 h 46 m |
Show
|
5* Academy Game of the Year on Navy + All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-03-20 |
Western Kentucky v. Middle Tennessee State +7 |
|
20-17 |
Win
|
100 |
128 h 24 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR on Middle Tennessee State +7 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-03-20 |
Texas A&M +17.5 v. Alabama |
|
24-52 |
Loss |
-110 |
126 h 39 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR on Texas A&M +17½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-03-20 |
North Carolina -10.5 v. Boston College |
|
26-22 |
Loss |
-108 |
127 h 53 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR on North Carolina -10½ -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-03-20 |
Memphis -1.5 v. SMU |
|
27-30 |
Loss |
-108 |
125 h 57 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Memphis -1½ -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-03-20 |
Missouri +11 v. Tennessee |
|
12-35 |
Loss |
-105 |
122 h 46 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Missouri +11 -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
10-02-20 |
Louisiana Tech v. BYU -24 |
Top |
14-45 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 25 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on BYU -24 -105
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-26-20 |
Iowa State -2.5 v. TCU |
Top |
37-34 |
Win
|
100 |
124 h 8 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Iowa State -2½ -119 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-26-20 |
Kentucky +8 v. Auburn |
|
13-29 |
Loss |
-108 |
123 h 38 m |
Show
|
4* MAJOR on Kentucky +8 -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-25-20 |
Middle Tennessee State +7 v. UTSA |
Top |
35-37 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 56 m |
Show
|
5* NO BRAINER on Middle Tennessee State +7 -115
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-19-20 |
Wake Forest +3 v. NC State |
Top |
42-45 |
Push |
0 |
136 h 39 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on Wake Forest +3 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-19-20 |
Appalachian State -3.5 v. Marshall |
|
7-17 |
Loss |
-108 |
123 h 22 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Appalachian State -3½ -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-19-20 |
Tulsa v. Oklahoma State -22 |
|
7-16 |
Loss |
-108 |
128 h 39 m |
Show
|
4* BEST BET on Oklahoma State -22 -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-18-20 |
Campbell v. Coastal Carolina -28.5 |
|
21-43 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Coastal Carolina -28½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-12-20 |
Clemson -32.5 v. Wake Forest |
|
37-13 |
Loss |
-110 |
133 h 52 m |
Show
|
3* BEST BET on Clemson -32½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-12-20 |
UL-Lafayette +11.5 v. Iowa State |
Top |
31-14 |
Win
|
100 |
125 h 1 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on UL-Lafayette +11½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-10-20 |
UAB v. Miami-FL -14 |
|
14-31 |
Win
|
100 |
33 h 48 m |
Show
|
4* BEST BET on Miami-FL -14 -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-05-20 |
Stephen F Austin +7.5 v. UTEP |
|
14-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 8 m |
Show
|
4* BEST BET on Stephen F Austin +7½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
09-03-20 |
South Alabama +15 v. Southern Miss |
Top |
32-21 |
Win
|
100 |
33 h 32 m |
Show
|
5* BEST BET on South Alabama +15 -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
|
01-13-20 |
Clemson +6.5 v. LSU |
|
25-42 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 14 m |
Show
|
3* NCAAF - Clemson/LSU ATS Vegas INSIDER on Clemson +6½ -110 I like the value with Clemson as a dog in the title matchup with LSU. I just think Clemson is a very scary team when they are a dog and I definitely think LSU's blowout win over Oklahoma has inflated this number to the point where you got to take a shot with Clemson. I just think people are failing to realize how big a game there was between Oklahoma and the other 3 teams. I don't doubt for a second that Ohio State and Clemson would have destroyed the Sooners had they played them. LSU's offense is great, but people were hyping Ohio State's offense just as much and Clemson held them to 23 and didn't even play their best. When Clemson has had 2 or more weeks to prepare for a game over the last 3 seasons, they are giving up a mere 12.0 ppg in these matchups. While I think LSU will definitely surpass that, I don't see them eclipsing 30+ points in this game. Clemson is 7-0 ATS last 7 games vs a team with a winning record, 7-0 ATS last 7 vs a team that averages 31 or more points/game and 10-1 ATS last 11 games vs a team that averages 450 or more total yards/game. Take Clemson!
|
01-04-20 |
Tulane -6.5 v. Southern Miss |
Top |
30-13 |
Win
|
100 |
581 h 10 m |
Show
|
5* NCAAF - Tulane/S Miss ARMED FORCES BOWL Top Play on Tulane -6½ -110 Easy play here on Tulane in Saturday's early bowl action against Southern Miss in the Armed Forces bow. While the Green Wave ended up finishing the season with a mere 6-6 record, it was more a result of the brutal schedule they had to navigate. Tulane's 6 losses were against Auburn, Memphis, Navy, Temple, UCF and SMU. Four of which won 10 or more games. No disrespect to Southern Miss, but I just think they are outclassed here. Despite the tough schedule, Tulane still managed to finish 24th in the country in total offense at 456.8 ypg. They were also a respectable 55th in total defense. Golden Eagles are a very pass-happy team, which is evident by the fact that they finished 118th in rushing. Tulane on the other hand is a ball control team that ranked 11th in rushing at 251.4 ypg. I think the Green Wave are going to play keep away, which is going to wear down the Southern Miss defense and keep the Eagles offense out of sync. Take Tulane!
|
01-03-20 |
Ohio -7.5 v. Nevada |
|
30-21 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 35 m |
Show
|
4* NCAAF - Ohio/Nevada IDAHO POTATO BOWL on Ohio -7½ -107 Easy play here on the Bobcats as a big favorite against the Wolf Pack in Friday's Famous Idaho Potato Bowl. Ohio finished the season with a mere 6-6 record, which might have some wondering why they are laying such a big number with how bad the MAC was. Thing is, the Bobcats were really close to a double-digit win season. They had 5 losses decided by 10 or fewer with 4 of those by 3 or less. In terms of talent, this may have been the best team in the MAC this year. Either way, they should have no problem winning by double-digits against a Nevada team that is very fortunate to be in a bowl. Wolf Pack went 7-5, but that was largely due to their schedule. Nevada had just one win against a FBS team that finished with a winning record. This is a team that lost by 71 points to Oregon and 51 to Hawaii. They really got no business even playing in a bowl game. Take Ohio!
|
01-02-20 |
Tennessee -2.5 v. Indiana |
|
23-22 |
Loss |
-114 |
10 h 17 m |
Show
|
3* NCAAF - Tennessee/Indiana GATOR BOWL on Tennessee -2½ -114 I think we are getting a great price here with the Vols laying less than a field goal against the Hoosiers in the Gator Bowl. Tennessee might be one of the worst in the SEC, but I still think there's no doubt they are the more talented team. I also love how the Vols finished the season with 5 straight wins and were 6-1 ATS over their last 7. Indian went 8-4, but really struggled against the better teams in the Big Ten. In fact, the Hoosiers didn't have a single win all season over a FBS team that finished with a winning record. Playing on a neutral field hasn't been kind to Indiana, as they are a mere 1-5 ATS last 6 times on a neutral site. Vols are 6-1 ATS last 7 on a neutral site as a favorite and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games when laying points. They have also covered 4 straight against the Big Ten. Take Tennessee!
|
01-01-20 |
Baylor v. Georgia -7 |
|
14-26 |
Win
|
100 |
518 h 27 m |
Show
|
3* NCAAF - Baylor/Georgia SUGAR BOWL on Georgia -7 -110 I know Georgia has a lot of players down on both sides of the football, but I just don't think it's going to be enough to keep them from winning this game. Baylor gets a lot of love for how tough they played Oklahoma, but after watching how overmatched the Sooners were in their semifinal matchup with LSU, there's clearly a massive gap from the top of the SEC to the top of the Big 12. I get Georgia wasn't as elite as they have been in previous years, but this is still a really talented football team. They are absolutely loaded with talent, so while some key guys will be out I don't think they will be missed in this one. I get this isn't a great spot for Georgia after losing the SEC title game to miss out on the playoffs, but it's the same thing with Baylor. I actually think the Bulldogs will be fine, as they can look back at last year and how poorly they played in their bowl game after losing the SEC title game to Alabama. Simply put, Baylor just isn't good enough to keep this close. Take Georgia!
|
01-01-20 |
Michigan +7.5 v. Alabama |
Top |
16-35 |
Loss |
-110 |
511 h 40 m |
Show
|
5* NCAAF -Alabama/Michigan New Year's BOWL OF THE YEAR on Michigan +7½ -110 I love the Wolverines getting a touchdown and the hook against Alabama in the Citrus Bowl. While both teams ended the year with losses to their biggest rival, the Crimson Tide's was a lot more costly. Alabama's crushing 45-48 loss to Auburn knocked them out of the playoff race and for the first time since the playoff format was introduced they are not one of the 4 teams participating. I just think that makes this a really tough spot for Alabama to show up and it's not like we haven't seen this before when the Crimson Tide missed out on the BCS with a late loss and didn't show up in their bowl. On top of a lack of motivation, the Crimson Tide have a number of guys sitting out and are really decimated on the defensive side of the ball. Michigan had hopes of making the playoff, but those were put to rest a long time ago and I think they will have no problem here getting up for a shot at Alabama. Michigan's defense won't have to worry about facing Tua, which is a big plus, but more than anything I think a Wolverines offense that got better and better as the season went on will be able to do more than enough to keep this close and maybe even win outright. Take Michigan!
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12-31-19 |
Florida State +4.5 v. Arizona State |
|
14-20 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 3 m |
Show
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4* NCAAF - Florida St/Arizona St SUN BOWL on Florida State +4½ -110 I like the value here with the Seminoles in their Sun Bowl showdown with Arizona State. I just don't get why the Sun Devils are getting so much love in this one. Head coach Herm Edwards fired a bunch of his offensive staff and if that wasn't going to be enough to overcome, ASU's two biggest weapons at the skill positions are both sitting out for the draft in running back Eno Benjamin and wide out Brandon Aiyuk. As for Florida State, they will be down their top two backs with Cam Akers also skipping to prepare for the draft and backup Khalan Labron out with an injury. However, they got plenty of talent at that position and should be able to throw all over this Sun Devils defense. Seminoles ended the year with the 33rd rank passing offense and will be up against a ASU secondary that ranked 114th against the pass. Give me Florida State +4.5!
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12-30-19 |
Virginia +14.5 v. Florida |
|
28-36 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 56 m |
Show
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4* NCAAF - Virginia/Florida ORANGE BOWL on Virginia +14½ -105 This is just too many points to pass up on a play with Virginia. There's no question that Florida is the more talented team, but I just feel like this line is a huge overreaction to the Cavaliers embarrassing 62-17 loss to Clemson. The thing you have to keep in mind is Clemson, Ohio State and LSU were on a whole different level than the rest of the country. This is a Florida team that keep in mind only beat Miami by 4 in their season opener and had several close calls throughout the year against teams they had the talent edge against. I just think with all the talk about how the Gators are going to dominate this game, they might have a hard time here giving Virginia the respect they deserve. As for the Cavaliers, they have to be itching to get back on the field after that ugly loss to the Tigers and show everyone they are a better team than that score would indicate. I'm not expecting a win by Virginia, but look for this to be a lot closer game than the line would suggest. Take Virginia!
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12-28-19 |
Oklahoma +14 v. LSU |
Top |
28-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
418 h 57 m |
Show
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5* NCAAF - Oklahoma/LSU Playoffs PLAY OF THE YEAR on Oklahoma +14 -110 I absolutely love the value here with the Sooners at this price. The hype around this LSU team has gotten out of control and the books have drastically inflated this line knowing the public is going to pound the Tigers no matter the number. I'm not going to say Oklahoma is going to win this game, but I'm extremely confident they keep it within two touchdowns. Sooners have more than shown they can compete on this stage the last two years. Last season they fell 45-34 to Alabama as a similarly priced 13 point dog. The year before they should have beat Georgia, but blew a big lead and wound up losing in 2OT. Oklahoma's offense might not be as potent as it was the last two years behind a couple of Heisman winners, but the defense is vastly improved. Also, as good as Joe Burrow and the LSU offense is, the defense can be had. They allowed 38 to Texas, 28 to Florida, 41 to Alabama and 37 to Ole Miss. I fully expect them to struggle with Lincoln Riley's offense and a turnover here or there by the Sooners defense and this could get real interesting. Take Oklahoma!
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12-26-19 |
Miami-FL v. Louisiana Tech +7 |
Top |
0-14 |
Win
|
100 |
370 h 40 m |
Show
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5* NCAAF - Miami/La Tech INDEPENDENCE BOWL Top Play on Louisiana Tech +7 -110 Easy play here on the Bulldogs catching a touchdown against Miami in the Independence Bowl. I just don't feel Miami is the least bit interested in playing in this game, especially with how they closed out the season with back-to-back losses to FIU and Duke. Given the talent that the Hurricanes have, there's zero excuse for them losing either one of those games other than they just don't care about finishing the season strong. I just don't think Miami flipped a switch once the regular-season was over and started putting everything they had into beating LA Tech. There's no incentive for the Hurricanes to win this game. The same can't be said for the Bulldogs. Any time a small conference gets a shot at a Power 5, especially a storied program like Miami, they really get up for the game. That alone is enough reason to take the points with Louisiana Tech, but there's even more reason to like the Bulldogs. The game will be played in Shreveport, Louisiana, which is roughly an hour drive from their campus in Ruston. It's going to feel like a home game for the Bulldogs. You also have to take into account just how good La Tech head coach Skip Holtz has been at getting his team prepared and motivated for bowl play. Since he took over with the program, they have gone 5-0 in bowl games and he's 7-3 in his career as a head coach. I would not be shocked at all if they won this game outright. Take Louisiana Tech!
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12-23-19 |
Marshall +17.5 v. Central Florida |
Top |
25-48 |
Loss |
-110 |
47 h 56 m |
Show
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5* NCAAF - UCF/Marshall GASPARILLA BOWL Top Play on Marshall +17½ -110 This is just too good a price to pass up with the Thundering Herd in Monday's matchup with UCF in the Gasparilla Bowl. Marshall has thrived in bowl games under head coach Doc Holiday. They have yet to lose since Holiday took over with a perfect 6-0 mark and come in having covered 5 straight bowl games. UCF had another fantastic season and are without a doubt the more talented team, but bowl games is all about motivation and I just wonder how much the Knights really want to be here. UCF was playing in the Fiesta Bowl last year and the Peach Bowl the year before that. They got nothing to prove here against a team they are favored to beat by more than two touchdowns. Marshall has the 43rd ranked defense (362.1 ypg) and 42nd in points allowed (23.1 ppg). With the extra time to prepare, I think they can slow down this UCF offense. At the same time, the Knights are vulnerable defensively against the run and the Herd averaged a healthy 195.7 rushing ypg (36th). This is just too many points. Take Marshall!
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12-21-19 |
UAB +17 v. Appalachian State |
|
17-31 |
Win
|
100 |
255 h 34 m |
Show
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3* NCAAF - UAB/App St NEW ORLEANS BOWL on UAB +17 -110 I just feel this is too good a price to pass up with UAB in the New Orleans Bowl. I know the Blazers played a really easy schedule in route to making the C-USA title game and were annihilated by FAU in that C-USA Championship. I just feel that poor perception of UAB is playing into this line. As for Appalachian State they are really good team, but it's not always about who is more talented in bowl games. It's typically about who wants it more and I really question the motivation here for the Mountaineers. Appalachian State was so close to being the top ranked Group of 5 team, which would have had them in the Cotton Bowl. I just don't think playing UAB in the New Orleans Bowl will get the juices flowing. Keep in mind it's the same exact bowl they played in last year, which I think also takes away from the excitement. On top of that, the Mountaineers had to deal with their head coach leaving, for a second straight year. Last year Scott Satterfield bolted before their bowl to take over at Louisville. This year it was Eliah Drinkwitz jumping ship to Missouri. I still think App State wins, just not by the number. Take UAB!
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12-21-19 |
Washington v. Boise State +3.5 |
Top |
38-7 |
Loss |
-109 |
253 h 13 m |
Show
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5* NCAAF - Wash/Boise St LAS VEGAS BOWL Top Play on Boise State +3½ -109 The Broncos are definitely worth a look here catching more than a field goal against the Huskies. There's a lot of talk about this being the last game for Chris Petersen with Washington and how they are going to play their hearts out for him because of that. I just don't that I buy that. If I was a Huskies player I would be a little ticked off that Petersen is walking away. The other big thing is this was not a great Washington team this year. One that lost at home to Cal and Colorado on the road. This is also a far cry from the kind of bowl that the Huskies are accustomed to. The last 3 years they have played in the Peach, Fiesta and Rose bowls. You also got some of their best players sitting out, which I think speaks volumes to how little this game really means to them. Left tackle Trey Adams and tight end Hunter Bryant are both skipping to prepare for the draft. Lastly, this is a Huskies offense that struggled to score and will be facing a really good Boise State defense. The Broncos ranked 35th in total defense (347.5 ypg) and 24th in scoring (20.6 ppg). They are also really good at stopping the run, ranking 19th in the country allowing 113.1 ypg. Broncos are also 10-3 SU in their last 13 vs a team from the Pac-12. Simply put, the wrong team is favored. Take Boise State!
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12-21-19 |
Central Michigan +4 v. San Diego State |
|
11-48 |
Loss |
-109 |
248 h 41 m |
Show
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4* NCAAF - C Mich/SD St NEW MEXICO BOWL on Central Michigan +4 -109 I'll gladly take the points here with Central Michigan against San Diego State in the New Mexico Bowl. The Chippewas had quite the turnaround in the first year under head coach Jim McElwain, as they finished 8-5 after going just 1-11 last year. They also won the MAC West after being picked by many to finish last in the division. They did come up short in the MAC title game against Miami (OH), but I think that will have them that much more motivated to finish their season strong. As for the Aztecs, you just can't trust Rocky Long's team in postseason play. Long is just 4-9 as a head coach in bowl games. Last year they lost 27-0 to Ohio out of the MAC Long has basically said his primary goal is to not win bowl games. He's more interested in developing his underclassmen and getting them primed for making a bigger impact the next season. It's also really hard to trust a team laying points that has a hard as time as San Diego State scoring the football. The Aztecs finished 115 in total offense (330.1 ypg) and 119th in scoring (19.0 ppg). The defense is good, but some of the great numbers are a result of a schedule that simply didn't have them facing many great offenses. I like the Chips and their balanced attack to have some success and really like them to win this outright. Take Central Michigan!
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12-20-19 |
Kent State v. Utah State -6.5 |
Top |
51-41 |
Loss |
-110 |
180 h 12 m |
Show
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5* NCAAF - Utah St/Kent St FRISCO BOWL Top Play on Utah State -6½ -110 Easy play here for me on the Aggies. I don't get the line move at all as I thought the books had it priced right when they opened Utah State at -8.5. There's simply too much value here now with them under the key number of 7. I just think Jordan Love announcing he was leaving early to go pro and then some key guys getting accused of smoking pot had people leaning Kent State in this game. Thing is, Love is playing and those allegations appear to be false, at least from what head coach Gary Anderson is saying. Love is going to want to show out here to build up his draft stock. I also think the Utah State players will be motivated that much more after hearing the coach had their back. Love should have a field day in this one, as the Golden Flashes are awful defensively. They give up 471.7 ypg and allow 34.6 ppg away from home. They also are allowing opposing QB's to complete 69% of their attempts for 249 ypg and 8.4 yards/ pass attempt. Also, Kent State went 6-6 and their only decent win was against Buffalo and they trailed 27-6 in the 4th quarter of a crazy 30-27 win. Golden Flashes are a great story as they had quite the turnaround, but they are outclassed in this one. Take Utah State!
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12-14-19 |
Army v. Navy -10 |
Top |
7-31 |
Win
|
100 |
80 h 27 m |
Show
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5* NCAAF - Army/Navy NO LIMIT Top Play on Navy -10 -110 I got no problem laying double-digits with the Midshipmen in Saturday's huge rivalry game with Army. Some might think Navy will be looking ahead to their bowl, while Army is going to treat this like it's their bowl game. Sure the Black Knights are going to come to play, but don't think for a second that the Midshipmen aren't 100% focused on this game. A big reason for that is they come in having lost 3 straight in the series after they had rattled off 14 wins in a row over Army. A big reason for the Black Knights recent success is they for the first time in a long time had the better talent on the field. This year Army has underperformed big time and finished just 5-7, despite a schedule that had many calling for at least 8 wins. Navy has played the much tougher schedule and are 9-2. Midshipmen are the better team on both side of the ball and I just think they come out with a chip on their shoulder Saturday and win here by at least 14. Army is just 1-9 ATS last 10 as a neutral field dog of 7.5 to 14 points and have lost in this spot by an average score of 35 to 10. Take Navy!
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12-07-19 |
Wisconsin +17 v. Ohio State |
|
21-34 |
Win
|
100 |
60 h 39 m |
Show
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4* NCAAF - Big Ten Championship VEGAS INSIDER on Wisconsin +17 -115 I really like the value here with the Badgers getting three scores against the Buckeyes in Saturday's Big Ten Championship Game. The public is going to be on Ohio State in this one. Not only because they are off an impressive 56-27 blowout win at Michigan last week, but because of the fact they beat Wisconsin 38-7 with a 431 to 191 edge in total yards when these two played in the regular-season. As lopsided as the box score was in that first meeting, Wisconsin held their own for a good chunk of that game. Ohio State was only up 10-0 at the half and 24-7 going into the 4th quarter. I don't think Wisconsin's offense can play any worse than they did in that game and they closed out the season really strong on the offensive side of the ball, scoring 37 or more in each of their last 3. The other big factor here is the health of Buckeye's star quarterback Justin Fields. He's probable to play with a knee injury, but I don't think he's going to be playing at 100%. I could definitely see him not utilizing his legs like he has and I think taking away his ability to run really makes things easier on the Wisconsin defense. They should also be better off having already faced this offense once. Badgers are 32-15 ATS last 47 vs excellent offenses that average 450 or more yards/game and a perfect 8-0 ATS last 8 times they have been on the road when revenging a loss where they scored 14 or fewer points. Take Wisconsin!
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12-07-19 |
Georgia +7.5 v. LSU |
Top |
10-37 |
Loss |
-110 |
56 h 34 m |
Show
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5* NCAAF - Georgia/LSU SEC PLAY OF THE MONTH on Georgia +7½ -110 I love the value here with Georgia keeping this within a touchdown against LSU in the SEC Championship Game. LSU has been the talk of college football this year and it's only a matter of time before Tigers quarterback Joe Burrow is named this year's Heisman winner. I just think with how the public is pounding LSU right now, it's resulted in too good a price to pass up with Georgia. The biggest thing that I think people are overlooking in this game is Georgia's defense and part of that is the public just doesn't think this LSU offense can be stopped. The Bulldogs defense was already going to be fired up for this game and I think all the Burrow talk will have them playing with a massive chip on their shoulder. Keep in mind Georgia hasn't allowed more than 17 points in any game this season and are excellent against both the run and the pass. Ed Orgeron has proven he's more than just a motivator, but I still give the coaching edge to Georgia's Kirby Smart. People were saying the same things about Georgia the last two years when they met up with Alabama in the national title game in 2017 and in last year's SEC title game. They lost both of those games, but should have won both meetings. Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are outgaining teams by 125 or more total yards and off a game where they gained 6.75 or more yards/play are 60-28 (68%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. At the same time, neutral field underdogs that are outrushing opponents by 100 yards/game are 36-11 (77%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Georgia!
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12-07-19 |
Hawaii +14 v. Boise State |
|
10-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
55 h 26 m |
Show
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3* NCAAF - MWC Championship ATS ANNIHILATOR on Hawaii +14 -110 This is too good a price to pass up with the Rainbow Warriors as a two touchdown dog against the Broncos. Boise State is the household name and are nationally ranked, so no surprise the public is on the favorite in this one. I'm not saying Hawaii is going to win this game outright, but I'm confident they will put up a fight and keep this within two touchdowns. I know Boise State won the regular-season meeting by 22 at home, but there's reason to believe that Hawaii can make up the ground. Broncos only had a 518 to 438 edge in total yards and 29 to 24 advantage in first downs. The difference in that game was the Warriors turned it over 4 times to Boise State's 1 turnover. I also like the fact that all the pressure is on the Broncos, as they need this win to have any shot at playing in the Cotton Bowl. Hawaii on the other hand can play loose, as they really got nothing to lose. Rainbow Warriors don't have the best defense, but road teams that are coming off a game where they allowed 7.25 or more yards/play, who have an experienced QB are a dominant 72-36 (67%) ATS over the last 5 seasons if facing a team with an inexperienced QB. Take Hawaii!
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12-01-19 |
Army v. Hawaii -2 |
|
31-52 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 29 m |
Show
|
3* NCAAF - Army/Hawaii BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Hawaii -2 -105 I think the public perception here is that because the Rainbow Warriors have already locked up a spot in the MWC title game next week, they aren't going to show up for this one. I just don't think that's the case. With a win the Rainbow Warriors would improve to 9-4 and that means they would have two shots to get to that elusive 10-win mark. As for Army, this has been a season to forget, as the Black Knights have come nowhere close to meeting expectations. Army has won their last two, but against two awful teams in UMass and VMI. Their other 3 wins are against Rice, UTSA and Morgan State. They just aren't very good. This is also a horrible matchup for the Knights, as they are not good at defending the pass, especially teams like Hawaii that can really stretch the field with their air attack. Look for the Warriors to score at will and cruise to an easy win and cover. Take Hawaii!
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11-30-19 |
Texas A&M v. LSU -16.5 |
|
7-50 |
Win
|
100 |
88 h 59 m |
Show
|
3* NCAAF - Texas A&M/LSU Prime Time ATS DESTROYER on LSU -16½ -110 I got no problem here laying the points with the Tigers at home against the Aggies. LSU is 100% locked in right now. Even with a spot in next week's SEC title game locked up, I don't think it's going to stop them from winning here by 20+ on senior day, especially with this being a night game. Texas A&M is better than they get credit for, as they have played a brutal schedule, but they still are now match for the Tigers. I also think this is a bit of a flat spot for them coming off that emotional game at Georgia last week. Aggies are just 4-17 ATS last 21 on the road with a total of 63 or more and 12-28 ATS last 40 on the road vs teams who are outscoring opponents by 17+ ppg. History is also on our side. Home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points with an experienced QB back as their starter are 51-19 (73%) ATS over the last 5 seasons if they come in having outgained their last two opponents by 125 or more total yards. Take LSU!
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11-30-19 |
North Carolina -10 v. NC State |
|
41-10 |
Win
|
100 |
28 h 50 m |
Show
|
4* NCAAF - UNC/NC State ACC PLAY OF THE WEEK on North Carolina -10 -110 Easy play here for me on the Tar Heels winning by more than 10 at rival NC State. No question the Wolfpack will play hard here against their in-state rivals, but they just don't have enough talent or healthy bodies to make a game of it. NC State has been on a complete free fall, as they enter having lost 5 straight, including a heartbreaker 26-28 setback at Georgia Tech in their most recent game to put to bed any hopes of getting to a bowl. UNC has been better than expected in the first year under Mac Brown, but they still need one more win to get bowl eligible. All 6 of the Tar Heels' losses this season have come by 7-points or less, 3 of those decided by a field goal or less, including a mere 1-point loss at home to Clemson. Note that these two teams have played 3 common opponents and UNC has outgained those 3 teams by 3 ppg, while NC State has been outscored by 27.0 ppg. Wolfpack are 0-6 ATS the last 2 seasons when listed as an underdog and have lost in this spot by a ridiculous 30.6 ppg. Take North Carolina!
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